Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 7, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU February 7, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings issued for new capital last week totaled $>106 million for corporations, including expiration of subscription rights for one large issue, and $76 million for State and local governments. This week, corporations are expected to market issues with aggregate proceeds of #7b million. State and local government offerings amounting to &76 million and a Canadian.bond issue for §35 million are also scheduled for sale. Recent declines in long-term interest rates appear to be encouraging a rising volume of State, and local government security flotations. The substantial increase in issues scheduled for offering later this month has raised our February estimate of State and local government bond sales by &125 million to a total of $525 million, Bond yields - Bond yields declined last week for all categories of outstanding bonds, except those for corporate Baa's which remained stable. Offering yields on new corporate issues also declined. A new Aa-rated, 30-year, first mortgage electric utility issue for W.2 million was reoffered this week at a yield of h,29 per cent—11 basis points below that for the last comparable issue, an offering made on January 2it. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks declined 1.9 points last week, closing at 266.3 on February 1, The volume of trading declined, averaging *1,8 million shares a day. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate a sharp decline in prices on Tuesday in increased activity, with little change on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. 'Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a o GOVERNMENT: : ^ 7 V - V v °'° STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aaa U. S, Govt., long-term 2 / Date Corporate Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. local govt. (old series) and Aaa y Corporate!State and I local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low . 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 3.82 3.72 (6/19) 3.15 2.78 (1/9) (1/8) 2.7k (14/23) . 2.kk (12/23) 2.9k 2.62 (1/7) (12/28) 3.k9 2.80 (3/2) (l/U) 3.53 (2/1) 3.20 January It January 1 1 January 18 January 25 February 1 3.82 3.81 3.78 3.73 3.72 3.53 3.k5 3.30 3.22 3.20 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1.7) (12/21) (2/17) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.3k 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/28) 3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.15 (l/k) 3.05 3.29 (2/1) 2.87 n.a. (l/k) (2/1) 3.k5 3.kk 3.37 . 3.31 3.29 • 1/ Week]y average of daily figures. 3.05 3.05 3.02 2.96, 2.87 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (i/io) (1/31) .38 .19 • k3 .32 .3k .13 • kk .13 . .52 .29 .8k .30 .61 .29 .70 .5k .68 .32 •k8 .26 .29 .36 .k8 .51 .52 .k8 .ko .28 .26 .33 Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2j Weekly averages of dally figures. The old series Includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1 / 2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1 9 5 5 , and those due or callable in 1 0 - 1 2 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 1 1 1 / 2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l/U per cent bond of 1 9 7 8 - 8 3 . J / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average tern is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates, for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa /\ i Moody', W I V | - r J I STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.a 3.63 3-1*5 h.kl з.58 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/iU) (12/28) (3/9) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 h.22 3.20 (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 (1/1) 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/21;) (1/U) 1957 - High L5o (1/18) h.h6 (i/W h.22 (1/10) I1.O8 (1/31) 3.81 (2/1) January U January 11 January 18 January 25 February 1 U.I46 4.22 3.98 3.95 3.90 3.8k ii.U9 U.50 U.U8 и.ue It. 22 U.-17 a. 13 U.08 3.81 ~ 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average terra of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 2/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Stock price Trading volume 2/ (millions of shares) Common yields J/ (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers1 debit bal- loans to ances j*/ "others" (Millions of dollars) 167.1 ll*l*.0 221.1* 156.5 270.7 217.U 295.5 257.lt 279.2 266.3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1M) (8/3) (1/20) (1/1*) (2/1) • 273.1 277.7 267.1* 268.2 266.3 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* U.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2,7 1.8 .2.2 2.1* 2.3 2.1 1.8 5,75 5.15 5.33 1*.20 1*. 22 3.78 1*.25 3.86 2,1*1*5 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 It,030 3,537 It,01*7 3,911* n.a. n.a. i t . 25 1*. 13 3,91*6 3,981* 1,665 1,3H* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,781* 2,823 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,114 1,162 1,161 1,11*7 1,11*1 n.a.—Not available. — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — V SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19u7-l*9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. y End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. jj/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series arid may be on different dates for different series. exhibit D Corporate and State and Local- Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 Corporate 1 1956 I New capital 1955 State and local 1 1956 I 1957 e/660 5/525 390 535 312 538 April May- 816 1,144 478 886 687 377 490 735 427 350 641 July August September 1,066 597 644 376 199 333 470 249 406 October November December 778 ;/ 1,057 * 645 e/325 e/400 919 #8 408 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,490 1,603 908 e/l,370 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 'It, 217 6,128 8,821 3,093 4,001 e/5,371 2,803 3,927 5,911 January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th e/1,050 e/l,0C0 579 704 790 535 407 1,223 830 669 , 836 670 1,162 2/ 632 900 e/950 2,073 quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,790 2,571 e/2,785 1st half Three quarters Year - 4,863 7,U34 e/10,219 ; 404 1955 ^ 696 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,263 e/2,660 e/9,060 ' 1,727 1,870 1,434 ' 2,554 7,569 1/ Includes #637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Includes #$71,5 million AT&T common stock issue. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Exhibit E H.lli Large Public Security. Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuiy) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month 1956 - January February March April May June July August September October November December J1957 - January Corporate. ' State arid local government Other 2/ 192 uuu 163 157 233 95 212 278 -395 623 185 592 217 558 386 701 1*30 567 50 to 16U 35 181 363 • 135 , 201 386 20 37 35 100 Large Individual Issues Offered during January Issuer Type j/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering of net interyield Rating dollars) est cost CORPORATE Idaho Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. Standard Oil Co. of Ohio S.F. deb. Aluminum Co. of America Deb. New England Tel.& Tel. Co. Deb. Interstate Oil PL Co. S.F. deb. Sears Roebuck Accept.Corp. Deb. Household Finance Corp. Deb. Louisiana Power & Light Co.1st mtg. bds. Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. 1st mtg.bds. Pacific Petroleums, Ltd. Conv.sub.deb. Pacific Gas & Electric Co, lst&ref. mtg. bds. Armco Steel Corp. Common stk, 20,0 1987 25.0 1982 125.0 1982 35.0 1986 25.0 ' 1987 50.0 1972 30.0 1977 20.0 1987 20.0 1987 15.0 1977 k 1/2 kl/k k l/k k 3/k kl/k k 5/8 L5/8 k 3/k k 5/8 5 1986 k 1/2 35.0 60.9 k.$0 ii.25 U.25 li,60 ii.25 k.57 h.6o k.6? k.k3 it.38 Aa Aa Aa Aa Aa A Aa Aa f .H.Ik E-2 Large individual Issues Offered During January (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon Offering Rating (millions Maturity rate or net inter- yield of est cost dollars) CORPORATE (Cont'd) Niagara-Mohawk Power Co. Conv. deb. 46.2 Mountain States TeL &Tei; Co. Deb. 35.0 May Stores Realty Corp. Gen. mtg. bds. 25.0 1972 1988 1977 4 5/8 4 3/8 4.63 4.30 5. oil A Aaa Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Antonio Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas G.O, 5.0 1958-75 3.76 Fort Worth Ind. Sch. Dist., TexasG.O. 5.0 1956-82 3.58 Los Angeles, California G.O. 18.0 1958-87 3.38 Fort Lauderdale , Florida ktr. &swr. rev. 11.0 1957-86 4.51 Caddo Parish Sch. Dist., La. G.O. 5.0 1958-77 3.49 Dallas, Texas G.O. 10.0 1957-76 3.31 Dallas, Texas Rev. 5.0 1957-77 3.33 Orange Co. Flood Dist., Cal, G.O. 10.0 1958-96 3.33 State of Michigan L.L. 27.0 1958-77 3.37 Ga. Rural Roads Auth. L.L. 17.5 1958-72 3.81 Spokane Co.Sch.Dist.No.81, Washington G.O, 6.0 1958-80 2.96 King Go. Sch. Dist. No. 1, • Washington • G.O. 10.0 1959-77 3.39 State of California G.O. 85.0 1958-83 3.32 Alabama Highway Authority L.L, 6.0 1959-76 3.69 San Antonio, Texas Elec. &gas rev. 20.0 1958-00 3.36 Wichita Sch.Dist. No. l,Kan. G.O. 6.0 1958-77 3.33 Denver, Colorado G.O. 20.0 1968-95 3.02 Columbus Sch. Dist., Ohio. G.O, 5.0 1958-81 2.81 Tulsa, Oklahoma G.O. 6,5 1959-82 3.32 Birmingham, Alabama G.O. 6.7 1957-87 3.45 De Kalb Co.Sch. Dist., C-aT G.O. 5.1 1958-82 3.43 Boston Metro. Dist., Mass. G.O. 8.2 1957-87 2.92 Port of New York: Auth, Rev. 50.0 1987 3.54 S.tate of Connecticut G.O. 29.2 1958-77 2.61 Austin, Texas Util. rev.; 4.7 1960-79 3.13 Austin, Texas G.O. 3.7 1958-87 3.22 2.80-3.75 A 2.70-3.80 A 2.50-3.50 Aa 3.00-4.50 Ba, 2.50-3.25 A 2.50-3.35 A 2.40-3.25 ' Aa 2.50-3.55=/ Aa 2.50-3.35 Aa 3.00-3.75 A 2.40-2.90 Aa 2.65-3,40 A 2.60-3.40 Aa 2.90-3.70 A 2.50-3,,30 Aa 2.10-3,135 A 2.65-3-,05 Aa 2.25-2,85 Aa 2.60-3.35 A 2.50-3.50 A 2.50-3.50 A ' 2.10-3.oo Aa A 3.48 2.00-2.63 Aaa 2.65-3.15 Aa 2.30-3.25 A H.l h E-3 Large Individual Issues Offered During January (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (mill ions rate or Offering Maturity Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost OTHER Int. Bank for Reconstruction & Development Bds. 100.0 1977 h 1/2 h.39 Aa 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $$ million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues, 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O, denotes general obligation; Rev,, revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured b y pledge of designated revenues. h/Is of 1993-96 not reoffered. # i H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U, S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following Subsequent, to date shown date shown State and Corporate Other 2/ C o r p o r atel^^jothera/ local govt. Date of computation - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 176 123 360 568 198 • h37 2k7 369 683 U36 U76 ' 591 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 #9 162 48 280 -153 ; 376 233 1,013 818 bhQ 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 37 23 100 35 966 917 785 • 811 832 9U1 690 726 958 1,197 . 955 979 763 6U8 37 23 100 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 1 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Carrier Corp. - Douglas Aircraft Co. Stanrock Uranium Mines, Ltd. * Potomac Electric Power Co. •^Trans-Canada Pipe Lines, Ltd. Ohio Edison Co. Conv. sub. deb. Conv. sub. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. & common stk. "Common stk. 18.0 30.0 26.0 18.0 20.8 27.0 Southern California Edison Co. Socony Mobil Oil Co. lst&ref.mtg. bds. Common stk. Colorado Fuel & Iron Corp. Conv. S.F, deb. 19.9 Conv. deb. 171.8 Phillips Petroleum Co. 37.5 200.0 February 6 February 6 February 6 February lit February 15 February 15 (rights expire) February 19 February 19 (rights expire) February 23 (rights expire) February 25 (rights expire) H. lit F-2 Forthcoming large Offerings,, as of February 1 (Cont'd) Type Issuer Amount date (millions Approximate of offering of dollars) CORPORATE (Cont'd) American Natural Gas Co. s-United Gas Corp. Potomac Electric Power Co. Anaconda Co. Common stk, 28.0 1st. coll. tr. Preferred stk. Common stk. 35.0 15.0 100.0 Carw. deb. •^Consolidated Edison Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. . Deb. 1st mtg, bds. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co, 55.1 250.0 25.0 February 25 (rights expire) February 27 February 28 March 5 (rights expire) March 15. (rights expire) March 26 (rights expire) Winter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT G.O. Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin G.O. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. New York, New York | - G.O. | Fresno Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. * Public Housing Authorities 1 G.O. State of Missouri Swr. rev. Allegheny Co. Sanitary Auth., Pa. G.O. ^State of New York G.O. San Francisco (City & Co.),Calif, G.O. St. Louis, Missouri G.O. El Paso Co. Sch. Dist. No. 11, Colo, *Los Angeles, Dept. of Wtr. & Pwr., Calii Rev. G.O. ^Commonwealth of Massachusetts Elec. rev. •^Jacksonville, Florida G.O. Houston Ind, Sch. Dist., Texas G.O. ^Seattle, Washington Rev, . Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission . Rev. Inter-American Center Auth,', Florida New York State Thruway Authority G.O. Rev. Jacksonville Expressway Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Rev. Rev. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Expressway rev, State of Connecticut OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission : February U February 5 February 5 February 5 February 6 February 13 February lU February Ik February 18 February 19 February.20 February 20 . February 26 February 26 March 1 March 1 Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter 11.2 5.0 25.2 5.5 28.6 20.0 15.0 1*0.0 23.6 12,1 6.9 9.0 83.0 8.0 16.8. 6.5 62.0 20.0 50.0 U2.0 185.0 65.0 51.0 - Deb. L 35.0 " February 6 ^ ' H.lU F-3 -*—Included in table for first time, 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.