Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 21, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lU February 21, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMEIffS The volume of large publicly offered securities was moderate last week, but is expected to be substantial this week, particularly for corporate securities. During the week ending February 15, corporations sold large issues totaling $66 million and State and local government offerings amounted to $75 million. This week subscription rights expire on Socony Mobil Oil Company's §199 million stock issue and two corporate debt issues with aggregate proceeds of $57 million are expected. State and local government offerings totaling $75 million are also scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields declined last week for outstanding corporate and State and local government bonds> while those for U. S. .Government (old series) obligations remained stable and U. S. Government (new series) bond yields increased. The decline was sharp for State and local bond yields. Reoffering yields on new corporate issues showed little change. A new Aa-rated, 30 year first mortgage electric utility issue was reoffered this week at a yield of It. 25 per cent—only h basis points below a similar offering made on February 5» Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding U. S, Government securities) declined during January, totaling S3j903 million at the end'of the month. This is the smallest amount outstanding since August 1955. The decline of $81 million resulted from a decline of $6l million in net debit balances and a continuing decline, amounting to $20 million, in.bank loans to "others." Borrowing by member firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts, except borrowings on U. S. Government securities, declined <i>l68 million, principally in borrowing on customer collateral. Customers' net free credit balances also declined. These and other data on stock market credit for January and December are shown in the following table. End of Month January jDecember Change (millions of dollars) 3,98k 2,823 1,161 33 hi hl l,961i 1,73k h2 866 2,132 1,852 I46 880 Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, increased 1.2 points last week, closing at 261.5 on February 15. Daily figures through Wednesday of this week indicate little change in price. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and CapitalfoarketsSection, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. ° Broker and dealer credit honey borrowed except on U. S. Govt, securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on. U. S. .Govt, securities Customers.' net free credit balances 3,903 2,762 1,111 29 1 1 1 1 Customer credit Excluding U. S. Govt, securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, securities -168 -118 - h -lh EXHIBIT A 3 H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Aaa 'v' GOVERNMENT v - STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aaa U. S. Govt., long-term 2 / " Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt. local govt. (old series) and Aaa |Z CorporateI State and Aaa Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High -Low January 18 January 25 February 1 February 8 February 15 3.1t2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 3.82 3.67 (6/19) 3 .15 (6/6) (1/9) . 2.78 (12/26) (1/8K 2 (1/23) 2,M (12/23) 2, (1/7) 2, (12/28) 3, U9 (12/21) 3.39 (3/2) 2, 80 (2/17) 2.92 (1A) 3. 53 (1/U) 3.U5 ( 2 A 5 ) 3.15(2/15) 3.22 3.78 I 3.30 3.22 3.20 3.15 3.15 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 3.37 3.31 3.29 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) (12/28) (2/3) a/k) (2/8) 2.3U 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.05 2.76 3.02 I:It 2.81 2.76 (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (1/10) (2/110 .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .3li .13 .16 .13 .51 .29 .18 .51 .52 • 5ti .52 ' .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 •5U .68 .32 .U8 .26, .28 .26 .33 .34 .39 Average tern of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/h per cent bond of 1978-83. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Hi^is and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. L O W E R - GRADE B O N D YIELDS Weekly L CORPORATE Baa I i I . I I I STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa I v A/ -/ -itoM I H i I I I I STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. State and local govt, rev, y (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low January 18 January 25 February 1 February 8 February 15 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.W 3.63 3.1*5 U.ltl 3.58 14.-50 U.U6 U.50 U.U8 U.48 U.U8 k.hl (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/Hi) (12/28) . (3/9) (1/18) d A ) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 1*. 22 3.20 14.22 3.9U U.17 li.l3 I1.08 U.00 3.9U 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) 3.98 (12/28) 2.89 ( V 2 U ) 3.98 (1/k) 3.70 (2/15) 3.90 3.81; 3.81 3.80 3.70 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 2/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and Aj average term is 20 years. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET D»t. Stock price aarkefc custximer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to_ ances h/ "others" 2/ Common volume 2/ (millions • yields of shares) (per cent) (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 167.1 (1/2) 221.lt 156.5 270.7 217.U 295.5 257.lt 279.2 260.3 December January February 1 February 8 February 15 277.7 273.0 266.3 260.3 261.5 lltU.0 (9/18) (12/31) (2/6) (12/30) (1/1W (8/3) (1/20) (1/W (2/8) 2.5 0.9 3.7 M It.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2-7 1.8 2.It 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.It n.a. n.a. 1,665 l,3Ht 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7lt0 n.a. n.a. It. 13 It. 31 3,98U 3,903 2,823 2,762 5.75 5.15 5.33 It. 20 " It. 22 • 3.78 It. 25 3.86 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,lt36 2,lt05 It,030 3,537 U,0lt7 3,91U 780 661t I,0lt8 7lt6 l,2ltl 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,120 1,161 1,114 i,ua 1,120 . n.a.—Not available. V SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing.prices, 1939-100; converted to 19u7-h9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. %/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual.series and may be on different dates for different series. H.lU Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 January February harch New capital 1955 579 70U 790 535 W7 1,223 April May June 816 l,liiU 830 July August September 1,066 669 836 October November December 1,!% / | *lst 2nd 3rd i|th e/1,100 e/l,0C0 Corporate 1 1956 I quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year State and local 1 1956 I 1957 e/660 e/525 1955 hOh 696 390 U 535 U78 886 687 377 h9 0 735 127 350 6ia 597 6hh 670 376 199 333 L70 2h9 U06 61*5 311 e/W 919 658 1:08 1,09k 1,162 ^ 632 900 2,073' 2,790 2,571 2,929 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,190. 1,603 908 e/l,3>1 1,385 1,1|18 1,12U 1,98k U,863 7,h3h 10,363 а, 217 б,128 8,821 . 3,093 U,001. e/5,332 2,803 3,927 5,911 excluding finance companies Zj 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,263 e/2,80U 1,727 1,870 1,U3U 2,554 ^/9,'2iQU 7,569 1/ Includes &637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue, 2/ Includes #571,5 million AT&T common stock issue. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. ' Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 4 - H.lU Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U, S, Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1956 - January February March April May June July August • September October November December 1957 - January State and local government 192 1M 163 157 - 233 95 212 276 395 623 185 592 217 558 386 701 1*30 567 Other 2/ . 50 20 to. 161* 35 18b 383 135 201 386 —— 37 35 100 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 15 Issuer Type y Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Conv.sub.deb. 18.0 Carrier Corp. Conv. sub.deb. 27.9 Douglas Aircraft CoT"" Stanrock Uranium Mines,Ltd 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 Deb. Potomac Electric Power Co. 18.0Trans-Canada Pipe Lines,Ltd Deb. & Common 20.8 Common stk. 27.0 Ohio Edison Co. 1982 1977 1963 1982 1987 h 1/8 k / 5 3/U it 5/8 5.60 14.03 3.89 Ba? Ba« k%5 y A V H.l4 I E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 15 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ ' Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering net inter- yield Rating of est cost dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin G.O, 11.2 San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., California G.O. 5.0 New York, New York G.O. 25.2 Fresno Unified Sch. Dist., California G.O. 5.5 Public Housing Authorities 28.6 State of Missouri G.O. i 20.0 Allegheny Co. Sanitary Auth., Pennsylvania Swr. rev. 15.0 State of New York G.O. 4o.4 1958-67 2.48 2.00-2.45 Aaa 1959-78 1958-66 3.07 2.89 2.35-3.10 2.25-3.00 A A 1958-77 1958-97 1958-77 2.10-2.85 2.79 2.82 - 1.95-2.85 1.80-2.40 2.39 Aa Aaa Aaa 1961-96 1959-2007 3.21 2.67 2.60-3.22 2.00-2.90 Aaa 4 3/8 4.47 A mmmm OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission Deb. 5o.o 1977 State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes _ general obligationj Rev,, revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured Iyy pledge of designated revenues, 4/ Offered in units with common stock. Exhibit F H.Ik Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and State and Corporate local govt. Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ Date of • computation 1956 - Jan. 31 • Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 176 123 380 568 198 U37 21*7 369 315 ^683 1*36 1*76 591 _L 327 220 132:173 332 81 131 #9 162 1*8 260 153 376 233 1,013 818 1*1*8 37 23 100 35 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 966 917 785 811 • 832 91*1 • 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 37 23 100 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 15 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Southern California Edison Co. Socony Mobil Oil Co. Ist&ref. mtg. bds. 37.5 Common stk. 199.3 Colorado Fuel & Iron Corp. Conv. S.F. deb. 19.9 Conv, deb. 171.8 1st mtg. bds. 1st & coll. tr. Preferred stk. Common stk. 1*0,0 35.0 15.0 86.7 Phillips Petroleum Co. Illinois Bell Telephone Co. United Gas Corp. Potomac Electric Power Co. Anaconda Co. Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric Co* 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 February 19 February 19 (rights expire) February 20 (rights expire) February 25 (rights expire February 27 February 28 February 28 March 5 (rights expire) March 6 IP H.Ik F-2 ' Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 15 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of dollars) of offering CORPORATE (Cont'd) ^-Connecticut Light & Power Co* 15.3 15.0 Uo.o 50.0 20.0 28,0 Deb. 1st mtg, bds. 250.0 25.0 San Francisco (City & Co.), Calif. G.O. St. Louis, Missouri G.O. Montgomery Co., Md. G.O. Elizabeth, New Jersey G.O. El Paso Co. Sch. Dist, No. 11, Colo. G.O, Los Angeles, California Wtr. rev. Puerto. Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Auth. Rev. Commonwealth of Massachusetts G.O. Jacksonville, Florida Elec. rev. Dallas Ind, Sch, Dist,, Texas G.O. Georgia Farmers Market Authority Rev. *State of Delaware G.O, Houston Ind. Sch. Dist,, Texas G.O, Seattle, Washington G.O, ^University of Illinois Rev, Broward Co, Spec. Tax Sch. Dist,,Fla G.O. *Dade Co. Tax Dist, No. 1, Ela, G.O. -xFort Worth, Texas Wtr.&swr, rev. *Fort Worth, Texas G.O. 23.6 12,1 6,0 5.0 6.9 9.0 12.0 83.2 8.0 7.5 10.0 10.8 16.8 6,5 6.8 6.0 10.0 6.0 k.o February 18 February 19 February 19 February 19 February 20 February 20 February 20 February 26 February 26 February 27 February 27 February 28 March 1 > March 1 March 5 March lit March 20 .March 25 March 25 Consolidated Edison Co. *Applachian Electric Power Co. •Consumers Power Co. *Lone Star Gas Co. 0 Common stk. •1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg.P.L. bds. 1st mtg. ods. Common stk. Common stk. March 6 (rights expire) March 7 March 7 March 12 March 13 March lU (rights expire) March 15 (right.<3 expire) . March 20 March 22 (rights expire) March 25 (rights expire) March 26 Winter Southern Counties Gas Co. #Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. ^Commonwealth Edison Co. Central & South West Co. American Natural Gas Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Conv. deb. 55.1 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 29.0 2U.0 Conv. pfd. stk. 15.5 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT i . ' H.lli . . " F-3 - Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 15 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) . STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Inter-American Center Auth., Florida New York State Thruway Authority Jacksonville Expressway Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority State of Connecticut Rev. Rev.G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Expressway rev. 62.0 20.0 50.0 1*2.0 185.0 65.0 5U.0 Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter • OTHER None *—Included in table for first time, 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of &15 million and over; State and local government issues of #5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.