Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 2, 1955
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lij- F e b r u a r y 2 , 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Heavy volume of s e c u r i t y i s s u e s - The volume of l a r g e i s s u e s o f f e r e d p u b l i c l y f o r new c a p i t a l was lh2 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s during the week ending January 28 and was made up of $6 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s , 50 m i l l i o n of corporate i s s u e s , and a 35 m i l l i o n o f f e r i n g by Llontreal, Canada. Only 19 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of l a r g e o f f e r i n g s a r e t o be f l o a t e d t h i s week. February outlook - Total S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y i s s u e s a r e estimated a t 850 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s f o r February, not much below the December 19%k volume, t h e l a r g e s t month on r e c o r d . Two expected i s s u e s account f o r almost t w o - t h i r d s of the estimate— the 390 m i l l i o n d o l l a r I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority i s s u e and the IliO m i l l i o n Sam Houston Company o f f e r i n g . The former,which Was p r e v i o u s l y scheduled f o r December o f f e r i n g , w i l l be the l a r g e s t s i n gle i s s u e ever f l o a t e d . The Sam Houston o f f e r i n g had been l i s t e d f o r January s a l e . The February corporate estimate f o r new c a p i t a l i s 350 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , moderately below both the previous month's volume and t h a t of l a s t February. Only one i s s u e over 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s i s c u r r e n t l y scheduled f o r public o f f e r i n g t h i s month. Bond y i e l d s - Yields increased on outstanding corporate Aaa, U. S. Government long-term, and high-grade municipal bonds d u r ing the week ending January 28„ Corporate Baa y i e l d s did not change. R e f l e c t i n g i n p a r t the T r e a s u r y ' s announcement of an o f f e r i n g of z iiO-year bonds, long-term government bond y i e l d s rose moderately on January 30 and 3 1 but decreased one b a s i s point on February 1 . Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stocks rose to 221.0, near the a l l - t i m e high l a s t week. A f u r t h e r i n c r e a s e was indicated by d a i l y indexes on t h i s Ilonday, but t h e r e was a very small decline on Tuesday. ] -2- Further d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments a v a i l a b l e frcm e x h i b i t s - More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments w i l l b e found i n t h e f o l l o w i n g e x h i b i t s which are a t t a c h e d h e r e t o : A - Bond Y i e l d s B - Stock Market. C - Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements D - Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (-Other than U. S . Treasury) E - Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U . S . Treasury) Business. Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H.N EXHIBIT A BOND YIELDS WEEKLY PER CORPORATE CENT PER A N N U M Baa CORPORATE Aaa A_> GOVERNMENT LONG-TERM I : / H I G H - G R A D E M J S D MUNICIPAL M Date J S D M Corporate 1 / J S 'J. S. Govt, long-tern 2 / D M J S Spread between Corporate Aaa and U. S. Govt. D Highgrade Hun. 3 / (Per cent per annum) 1952 - High 1953 - High 195k - High December 31 1955 - January 7 January lit January 21 January 28 3.03 2.91 3.U2 2.99 3-09 2.85 2.92 2.91 2.92 2.93 2.9k 3.63 3.US 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3-kk 3-kk 3.US 3;L5 ' 3.k6 3.k6 2.79 2.56 3-15 2.7k 2.7k 2 ,kk 2.58 2.62 2.6k 2.65 2.67 .37 .19 .38 .19 .13 .32 .3k .29 .28 .28 .27 2.k3 3.1k 2.43 2.56 2.23 2.35 2.36 2.k0 2.k0 2.U1 1/ Moody's Investors. Service; weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . ? / Federal Reserve; weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . 3 / Standard and Poor's Corporation; Wednesday f i g u r e . Mote.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . M STOCK MARKET 1951 ' Bate - ° " 1952 ' ° 1953 ° " 1954 ' ° SB"' Bank,loans Common stock Customers' t o "otiiers" Trading f o r purchases Stock p r i c e volume 2 / yields 3/ balances it/ of s e c u r index 1 / (millions (per cent (millions i t i e s 5/ (19li7-i;9-100) of shares) per annum) of d o l l a r s ) ( m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1902 - High 1953 - High , 1 9 # - High December 1955 - High January January lii January 21 January 28 165.3 . 151.7 167.1 " lUi.O 221.1 156.5 216.1 221.0 217 .U 218.it 217.1 217.6 221.0 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.U 3.5 U;6 2.8 3.6 3.5 2.8 3-h 5.77 5.13 5-75 5.15 5-33 .It .20 a .20 1,328 ' l,2hl 1,665 1,311: 2,388 1,653 2,388 295 250 327. 252 487 328 177 48] U75 L80 183 . his- 181 1 / QT.n inripY nf ? nom-nnn nr Vc . r/nnVlv r-lncinr HHOP . iQ^P.inn. mmm T»"t\ori t.n 19li7-C9'«100 by Federal Reserve. . 2 / Weekly averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume oh Mew York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . 11/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of Hew York Stock Exchange; excludes balances secured by U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks i n Mew York and Chicago; excludes loans f o r purchase of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . On March % 1953, the l a s t d a t e on which f i g u r e s f o r a l l r e p o r t i n g banks were a v a i l a b l e , New York and Chicago accounted f o r kS per c e n t of such l o a n s . In the p a s t Mew York and Chicago loans have f l u c t u a t e d more than t o t a l l o a n s . n.a.—Not available. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different s e r i e s . Exhibit C Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 •January February March e/500 e/350 Corporate 1 1954 $hk U39 660 New. c a p i t a l 1 1953 623 623 666 . April May June he 6 6# 8# 779 675 1,123 July August September 8# 3u6 •776 483 325 753 October November Decerbei- 895 e/300 e/750 l s t quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r Lth q u a r t e r Year 1,61I3 1,998 2,021 e/1,9hS e/7,605 1955 e/535: e/850 . .577 k29_, 1,1383/ 1,912 2,578 M S i 8,195 • S t a t e and l o c a l r 1954 1 396 . hll #5 3&9 360 k2o 73h . 7hQ #9 261 619. # 9 . 6L9: h3U ' 519 259 175 U53 I1O8 771 . 59k 123 2/062 1,372 2,33k 1,188 P/1,879 F&,773 1953 . 1,176 1,112 1,253 1,636 5jU77 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r itth q u a r t e r Year 1,562 . 1,931 1,911 e/l,8U0 e/7,275 1,669 1^991 1,223 2,3^ 7,227 1/ I n c l u d e s 603" m i l l i o n d o l l a r AT&T d e b e n t u r e i s s u e . 2 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies, e/ Estimated, p/ Preliminary. N o t e . — D e t a i l s may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. Exhibit D H.lh - Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S . Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2 / 16U 119 289 103 160 169 324 I9$k - January , February March April May June July August September October November December : 1955 - January' 213 378 557 557 603 92 86 455 388 268 689 341 % 75 335 413 0 94 liil 50 30 35 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered during January, Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount O f f e r i n g Rating (millions Maturity yield net i n t e r of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison Duquesne Light New England Power Marine Midland Corp. of : Buffalo Consumer power Co. SF Deb. 50.0 Common s t k . 15*7 1 s t mtg. bds. 25.0 2004 3.13 3.13 Aa 1985 3.25 3.15 Aa Pfd. stock 20.2 1 s t mtg. b d s . 30.0 1990 3,25 3 Oil Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Caddo Parish School D i s t r i c t , Louisiana Public Housing Auth. Los Angeles School D i s t r i c t s , California G.O, 60.0 1957-76^ 2.03 0.75-2.20 Aa G.O. 5.0 118.1 1956-75-^ 1956-95 2.27 2.34 0.80-2.15 0.75-2.55 A — G.O. 20.0 1956-80 2.30 0.90-2.50 Aa H.l4 D-2. Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d d u r i n g January ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount Offering r a t e or (millions Maturity yield net i n t e r of dollars) est cost Rating "TATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) S t . Louis, Missouri State of Michigan New York City Harris County, Texas Philadelphia, Pa. F a i r f i e l d , Conn. Southeastern Oakland Co. Water & Power Auth., Mich. Los Angeles Dept. of Water & Power G.O, L.L. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 11.7 5.0 65.2 16.0 12.0 5.0 1960-75 1956-74 1956-80 1956-77 1957-71 1956-75 1.51 . 2.09 2.41 2.41 = 2.30 • 2.05 1,25-2.00 1.00-2.2 < 1 . 0 0 - 2 . 8J 1.00-2.65 1,15-2.500.95-2.25 Aa Aa A A A Aa Rev. 5.4 1959-85 2.96 1.60-3.05 A Rev. 18.0 1956-85 2.47 1.00-2.65 Aa Deb. 35.0 1956-74 2 OTHER CO 1 I Montreal, Canada A ~ 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and o v e r : S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y . o f f e r i n g s of £ m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y s e c u r e d by f a c i l i t i e s r e v e n u e s ; and, L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s s e c u r e d by pledge of designated revenues. 4 / Bonds maturing 1976 n o t p u b l i c l y r e o f f e r e d . t / Bonds m a t u r i n g 1974-75 not p u b l i c l y r e o f f e r e d . H.lii Exhibit E Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s During month f o l l o w i n g " date shown S t a t e and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. Date of computation 118 108 20k 323 332 336 100 33k 3h3 15 9k 181 16 - J a n . 29 Feb. 26 Mar. 31 Apr. .30 May 28 June 30 J u l y 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - J a n . 31 161 • 198 #5 #5 596 86. tk 300 333 1^36 661 567 682 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and Corporate local.govt. 50 27 30 — other 1,660 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,52k 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,lkk 1,961 k7 9 690 .555 62+7 526 532 303 608 klk 135 2k6 216 k22 2 —— 50 — 27 30 30 35 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of January 28 Issuer Type Amount' Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE 1st mtg. bonds Common stock Common stock 1st &ref. mtg.bds. 1 s t mtg. bonds O O CO o o Kansas City Power and Light General Hot cars Corp. New England Telephone and Telegraph ^ P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c Co. .Alabama Power ^ February 15 March 7 March March May 31 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Allegheny County, Pennsylvania San Antonio, Texas Miami, F l o r i d a Milwaukee County, Wisconsin Long Beach U n i f i e d S. D . , Cal. F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Texas .Turnpike Company Louisiana S t a t e Building Authority ^Milwaukee, Wisconsin F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority | G.O. G.O. L.L. G.O. G.O. L.L. Rev. n.a. n #3, # Rev. 7.2 • 6.0 6.0 15.5 16.3 9.2 liiO.O 9.9 7.8 - 71.0 February February February February February • February February February February February 1 1 2 7 8 8 16 17 23 28 / H.m E-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of January 28 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVEMHIENT ( C o n t ' d ) I l l i n o i s Turnpike AuthorityS t a t e of Louisiana Houston, Texas M e t r o p o l i t a n T/ater D i s t . of So. C a l . New J e r s e y Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Connecticut Expressway Texas Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Sam Houston Company Los A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a San Diego County, C a l i f o r n i a I n t e r - A m e r i c a n Center A u t h . , F l a . Michigan Turnpike A u t h o r i t y S t a t e of L o u i s i a n a Dade County P o r t A u t h o r i t y , F l a . Springfield, Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge A u t h o r i t y J e r s e y C i t y Sewerage A u t h . , N. J . North C a r o l i n a Turnpike A u t h o r i t y " . Rev. n.a. n.a. G.O. Rev. n.a. 390.0 10.0 15.0 10.0 30.0 100.0 58.2 . ,150.0 5-io.o 8.U • 60.0 186.0 80.0 21.0 9.0 Rev. Rev. Rev". n.a. 85*0 235.0 16.0 200.0 ; Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. February Larch 3 March k March 9 Vfi n t e r Y.r i n t e r Winter V."inter April 6 Spring Spring Spring . Spring 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 None 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of l 5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank for Reconstruction arid Development i s s u e s . n.a,—Hot a v a i l a b l e . ->>—Included i n t a b l e for f i r s t time.