Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 16, 1959
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Not for Publication DECONTBOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.ll; February 16, 1959 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large corporate issues, including expiration of subscription rights totaled $130 million during the week ending February 13. Large State and local government issues with total proceeds for $70 million were also sold. This week, only one large corporate issue for $25 million is expected. However, State and local government issues totaling $108 million and a foreign government issue for $30 million are scheduled for sale. In addition, the $120 million issue for Chicago-O'hare Airport is tentatively scheduled to be offered this week. Bond yields - Bond yields changed little last week. Yields declined slightly for all categories of outstanding bonds, except those for lower-grade corporate bonds, which remained stable. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that for U. S. Government securities) increased $62 million further in January. At a record level of $k>55h million, customer credit was 6 per cent higher than when margin requirements were increased last October. The January increase in customer credit was largely in bank loans to "others," which increased $50 million, while the rise in net debit balances was $12 million. Borrowing by member firms of the New York Stock Exchange maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowing on U. S. Government securities) declined last month, principally in borrowing on customer collateral. Customers' net free credit balances increased substantially, totaling $1,226 million at the end of January. End of month Jan. Dec. Customer credit Excluding U. S. Government securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Government securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances __ £/ Revised. ' Change (Millions of dollars) h,$$h 3,297 1,257 155 rA>92 1,207 116 +62 +12 +50 +9 62 63 -1 1,990 1,714 230 1,226 2,071 1,797 231 1,159 -81 -56 -k +67 — 2 — Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, showed little net change last week, closing at 5k*k2 on February 13. Trading volume was the lightest since December, averaging 3.0 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE LOWER-GRADE BOND BOND YIELDS YIELDS Exhibit 1i H.l4 Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa 2/ (Per cent) 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High ts Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. Feb. It. 1 1 4.12 4 . 16 it. 15 4.14 Low 16 23 30 ' 6 13 g/ (4/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) (1/30) (1/9) 2.ii5 3.76 3.84 3.07 3.96 3.83 (6/6) (10/18) (12/26) (V25) (1/16) (1/2) 3.89 3.96 3.94 3.93 3.92 1.90 (9/2) 3.45 (8/29) 3.31 (9/11) 2.64 ( 5 A ) 3.20(2/5) .30 .60 • .51 .22 .27 3.19 3.19 3.20 3.20 3.18 .22 .16 .22 .22 .22 3.18 (2/12) -16 .30 .47 .72 .34 .77 .65 .70 .77 .71* .73 .74 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. Feb, 16 23 30 6 13 2/ 2.93 4.51 4.34 3.64 (8/5) (8/29) (9/11) (5/D 3.44 (12/31) 5.10 (11/29) 4.96 (1/3) 4.51 (7/11) 4.90(2/13) 4.85 (1/9) 4.13(2/5) 4.08 ( 1 A 5 ) 4.86 4.88 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.08 4.10 4.13 4.13 4.11 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 .77 .74 .96 1.21 1.11 .93 .98 .89 .75 .76 .74 .75 .76 .91 .93 .93 .93 .89 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. j|/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.--highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET 1941-43 Averege.10 STOCK MAIKiT CIIDIT Exhibit D Table for Ex] libit C Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common volume 2/ stock (millions yields 3/ of sharers) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Bank Customers' debit bal- loans to ances U/ "others" 5/ Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 26.51* ( 1 / 2 ) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21.93 (1/8) 1*5.89 ( 1 2 / 9 ) 35.28 (l/ll*) 1*9.61* ( 8 / 3 ) 1*3.22 ( 1 / 2 0 ) 1*9.08 ( 7 / 1 2 ) 39.1*8 ( 1 2 / 2 0 ) 5U.11 ( 1 2 / 2 6 ) hO,37 ( 1 / 1 0 ) 56.00 (1/23) 5U.37 ( 2 / 6 ) December January Jan. 30 Feb. 6 Feb. 13 e / 53.49 55.82 55.1t2 5U.37 5U.U2 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.U U.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1|. 2 1.1* U.9. 1.7 U.2 3.0 3.7 3.2 3.0 : 5.38 6.25 U.32 5.82 U.08 U.Ul 3.82 U. 3U 3.91 U.72 3.30 U.58 3.19 3.3U 3.35 3.2U 3.27 3.3U 3.35 780 1,665 1,31k 2 ,U55 2,055 3>U36 2,1.05 h,030 3,537 Ii,0li7 3,914 li,031 3,576 4,1.80 3,55k n.a. n.a. 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7140 2,987 2,U82 3,261 2,U87. n.a. n.a. i/h,k92 U, 551* n.a. n.a. n.a. i/3,285 3,297 n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,308 661* 1 , 7^ i,2ia 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,317 1,051 1,257 1,210 1,207 1,257 1,257 1,251 n.a.---Not available. p/ Preliminary. £/ Revised. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common'stocks, weekly closing prices, Ifkl-lC-lO. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5 / Wednesday figures for weekly reporting meml>er banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at, banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may l o on different dates for different series. H.ll* Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1959 January February March New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1958 1 1958 1 1957 1959 1 1957 %%h/ 1,060 1,065 1,320 April May June l,ll*l 600 881 July August September e/700 e/6$0 723 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter 7k2 572 506 765 i,to 798 895 551 765 5U6 393 1,102 536 1,1W* 1,003 92k 973 806 k03 651 529 581* 1*31 858 1*78 91k 1,090 789 1,076 1*56 k7k k35 633 3,135 2,78k 2,250 3 ,kk5 3,lk9 2,899 2,95k 2,276 2,2kk 1,860 1,365 1,820 1,701* 1,51*1* 2,029 5,757 8,5kl 10,791 6,59k 9,1*3 12,a? 1,520 6,380 7,7l6 3,521* 5,069 7,099 2,622 . 1st half Three quarters Year 812 9 ii 698 698 Excluding finance companies h/ 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 2,89k 2,583 2,753 2,175 ii,ko5 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 11,518 __ 2/ Preliminary. ~ij Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. U/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance . companies. Exhibit F 11.11* Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ 1#U 1 1957 1 1956 1958 1 1957 1 1956 January February March 196 53 April May Jane 139 198 120 123 k8 k2 z^July 1 August September 9 5 17 28 7 30 — 58 123 74 4 60 1 I4U 5 21 507 300 October November . December Year — 992 . 8k k9 30 37 8 1,163 251 5G . 95 — 523 125 — 2 39 72 — — — 215 2,321 Short-term State and local government 4/ 109 — 100 — — 572 169 Federal agency 3/ January February March 233 460 273 326 455 147 196 357 249 371 208 144 638 430 505 380 220 283 April May June 357 354 26k 205 337 153 125 252 . 176 209 161 329 336 469 501 323 314 260 July August September 289 423 369 272 272 252 195 207 179 - 437 206 330 224 370 512 222 425 273 231 . H5 E/2U1 303 9k 159 294 328 148 114 454 137 1,238 255 116 407 222 128 [2/3,909 3,27k 3,098 5,543 3,457 October November December Year . 2,706. . 60 164 220 — 60 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from thoeo in Etiiibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more th'^n one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United Staten by foreign governments and tHeir subdivisions and by international organizations. Sourcer Securities and Exr change Commission. 2/ Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. 4/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances P11A notes included may have a somewhat tern than one year. Source* Bond buyer. Digitizedlonger for FRASER 1 H.lU Exhibit G Large Long-tern Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ t Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - December 1958 - January F ebruary March April May June July August September October November December 19 $9 - January State and local government Other 2/ 404 4i o 553 182 300 505 195 275 109 288 172 259 229 3# 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 771 209 8# 259 227 305 3# 1,357 266 653 164 86 a 18 209 100 79 75 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 13 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity Offering Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Southern Co. Com. stk. 145,3 Universal Oil Processes,Ihc Cap. stk. 72.5 Avco Manufacturing Co. Conv. deb. lb.9 1979 5 Reynolds Metals Co. Conv. pfd. stk.55.0 ConsolidatedridisonCo. Conv. deb. 59.6 1973 4 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin G.O. i4.o 1960-7it 2.70 Los Angeles, California Rev.-Ut. 14.0 1960-79 3.47 Massachusetts Port Auth. Rev.-Ut. 50.1 1998/64 4.86 Louisiana Dept. of Highways G.O. 20.0 1960-81/68 3.50 State of Minnesota Rev. -S.T. 22.9 1964-76 n.a. State of Washington G.O. 34.9 1960-79/69 3.19 St. Louis, Missouri G.O. 12.6 1965-78 3.05 5.00 Ba 4.00 A 1.80-3.00 1.90-3.60 4.75 1.90-3.60 2.40-3.10 1.80-3.35 2.55-3.10 Aaa Aa A Aa Aa Aa OTHER Kingdom of Denmark Ext. loan bds. 20.0 1974 5 1/2 5.75 — n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate.arid other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. y In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Exhibit « H.ll* Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - Nov. "29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. .30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 1959 - Jan. 30 1 During month following Subsequent to date shown date shown State and State and Coiporate local govt. Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ 383 378 1*9,8 1,123 555 356 266 766 161 785 113 201* 301 210 270 363 315 370 131* 298 1*93 177 225 55 21*1 295 258 229 261 551 18 150 110 150 36 71 75 1*5 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 381 911* 216 326 1*01 370 365 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 125 1*35 521* 675 683 515 856 63 165 110 150 36 71 75 1*5 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 13 Issuer Public Service Co. of Indiana, Inc. Connecticut Light and Power Co. Illinois Bell Telephone Co. •^Northern Indiana Public Service Co. American Natural Gas Co. Montana Power Co. Conmierce Oil Refining Corp. Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 25.0 17.2 Rev.-Ut. 13.2 Feb. 17 G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.0 25.0 60.0 Feb. 17 Feb. 18 Feb. 18 Feb. 18 Feb. 2k (rights expire) 1st mtg. bds. Feb. 25 50.0 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Mar. 11 Common stk. 30.0 "Mar. 12 (rights expire) 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Winter Deb., bds. & common 15.0 Winter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Monroe County Water Auth., N. Y. Los Angeles Co. Flood Control Dist., California East Bay Mun. Ut. Diet., Calif. State of New York H.li; H-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 13 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) San Antonio, Texas State of Michigan •^Chicago, Illinois Public Housing Authorities Chicago, Illinois Memphis, Tennessee ^Philadelphia, Pa. *New York, N. Y. Metro. Water Dist. of So. California State of California Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission Detroit-Metro. Expressway State of New Jersey OTHER Empire of Japan • G.O. Rev.-S.T. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Ext. loan bds. 10.8 25.0 iiO.O 103.0 120.0 10.0 22.5 26.3 26. h 100.0 lhh.0 35.0 25.0 Feb. 2h Feb. 2h Feb. 25 Feb. 26 Feb. Mar. 1 •Mar- h Mar. 10 Mar. 10 "Mar. 11 Winter Winter Winter 30.0 Feb. 18 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over j State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue; None. H.Ut Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ A-rated offering yields Aa-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March April May 7 1 ^ 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 18 23 Oct. 7 15 28 29 Dec. 17 1959 - Jan. 7 20 . 28 ... • 5.00(8/14/57) 2.93(3/31/54) 87 -3 *3.60,, 3.89^ U.08 3.91 -8 22 35 18 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 24 4.00 4.10 4.10 4.57 4.50 4.40./ 4.42^ 4.44 25 28 29 25 22 12 14 23 5.50(11/7/57) 3.oo(3A7/5M 3.96%/ lt.07 4.16 4.01 4.00 • 3 9 -1 8 ' 3 4.07 4.35 4 32 4.00 3.95 t-1 -6 3.98^ 1 1».352/ 31 b.7$2/ 4.6o 4.65 123 -15 ' 23 34 40 • •—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies, from 26 to 28 years. — 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such * provision. Other issues have no such provision.