Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 15, 1955
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/>//? Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS HolU December 15> 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d f o r new c a p i t a l was heavy during the week ending December 9# t o t a l i n g $190 m i l l i o n f o r corporations —including proceeds of $100 m i l l i o n from RCA s u b s c r i p t i o n debentures—and $10l|. m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments. A corporate debenture i s s u e of $25 m i l l i o n , S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s with proceeds of $88 m i l l i o n , and a Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission f l o t a t i o n of $$0 m i l l i o n are the l a r g e i s s u e s expected t h i s week. Bond Yields - Yields on corporate Aaa and S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa and Baa outstanding bonds increased s l i g h t l y l a s t week. Corporate Baa bond y i e l d s rose moderately, and y i e l d s on S t a t e and l o c a l government revenue bonds jumped f i v e b a s i s p o i n t s . Treasury o b l i g a t i o n y i e l d s remained unchanged.. Daily f i g u r e s r e f l e c t e d a s l i g h t r i s e on Tuesday of t h i s week i n the/ corporate Aaa, Baa and U. S. Government s e r i e s . As shown i n E x h i b i t G, y i e l d s on newly-offered 30-year f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c power bonds with Aa-ratings rose somewhat t o 12 b a s i s p o i n t s above y i e l d s on s i m i l a r l y r a t e d outstanding bonds with s l i g h t l y s h o r t e r m a t u r i t y . The preceding week the spread between newly-offered and seasoned y i e l d s had been seven b a s i s p o i n t s . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s as measured by t h e SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , rose to 270.5, a new high, during t h e week ending December 9* P r i c e s decreased g e n e r a l l y during t h e f i r s t t h r e e days of t h i s week according to d a i l y indexes. Stock market c r e d i t - Total stock market c r e d i t — n e t d e b i t balances with brokers and "bank loans t o "others" —increased $36 m i l l i o n during November to a l e v e l of $3.,9Ul m i l l i o n in cont r a s t t o a $22 m i l l i o n decrease i n October. Most of t h e increase was i n bank l o a n s j customers' n e t d e b i t balances, excluding b a l ances secured by U. S. Government T securities, accounted f o r only $10 m i l l i o n of the""$36 m i l l i o n r i s e i n November. Money borrowed on s e c u r i t i e s other than U« S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s by NYSE member f i r m s maintaining margin accounts i n creased $97 m i l l i o n ; about o n e - t h i r d of t h i s increased borrowing was secured by customer c o l l a t e r a l . Customers' n e t f r e e c r e d i t balances declined million. The t a b l e on the following page shows t h e s e and other d a t a on stock market c r e d i t f o r October and .November. H.lU -2End of month October |November| Change (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Customer c r e d i t Excluding U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s - Total Net d e b i t balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U.S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Bank loans to others f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Broker and d e a l e r c r e d i t Money borrowed except on U.S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s On customer c o l l a t e r a l Money borrowed on U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Customers' n e t f r e e c r e d i t balances 3}9hk 277U9 1,195 . i40 3,980 27W 1,221 38 +10 +26 -2 29 27 -2 2,088 1,711 71 920 2,182 1,71*1 75 876 +97 +30 +i* More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. # H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a a \-V GOVERNMENT STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a Corporate Aaa 1 / Date U. s . Govt', long-term 2 / Spread between S t a t e and l o c a l . U. S. Govt, and g o v t . , Aaa ^ Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) . 19$2. - High 1955 - High Low 3.03 2.91 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.11i 2.91 November November November December December 3.08 3.08 3.11 3.12 3.13 1953 - High Low 195U - High 11 18 25 2 9 (1/10 (2/1$) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (9/9) (1/7) 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.7L 2.a 2.91 2.62 2.83 2.86 2.88 2.88 2.88 (12/27) (5/17) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.00 (10/23) 1.65 (5/1) . 2.73 ( 6 / 2 5 ) 1.98.(1/8) 2 . 2 1 (6/10) 1.90 ( 9 / 2 ) ; 2.3U ( 9 / 8 ) 2.05 (5/26) • 37 • 19 • 38 .19 •1*3 •32 . • 3U •13 2.19 2.19 2.21 2.27 2.28 .25 .22 .23 • 2li •25 1.02 • 71 .8U • 30 .61 • 29 • 70 -*5U .6U .67 .67 .61 .60 2/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s 11-lit y e a r s . 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term Ts 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . EXHIBIT B LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly / t~ \ 1952 1953 Date Corporate Baa 1 / STATE 1954 State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / 1955 State and l o c a l govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1952- - High 1953 - High 3-63 3.18 3.89 3-50 3.71 (1/U) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) 2.98 (10/23) 2.U8 (U/17) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 ( 1 / 8 ) 3.32.(1/7) 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.61 ( 1 2 / 9 ) 3.U5 ( 1 / l U ) . 3-25 (12/8) 3.02(1/6) November November November December December 3.58 3-58 3-59 3-59 3.61 3.19 3.19 3.20 11 18 25 2 9 3.UU (12/31) 2.93(8/5) 3.2k 3.25 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.97 2.76 (12/19) (U/25) (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/9) (1/7) 2.86 2.86 2.88 2.92 2.97 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds . included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average terra i s 20 y e a r s . 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average tern i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Date Stock p r i c e index 1 / Common | Stock market customer c r e d i t 1 Trading stock Customers' volume 2/ Total d e b i t b a l - loans to 1 (millions y i e l d s 3/ (of shares) (per cent) ances V "others" 5 / (Millions of d o l l a r s ) 1952 - High 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 - High Low October November November 25 December 2 December 9 165.3 151.7 167.1 lUt.O 221.1* 156.5 270.5 217.U (12/26) (10/21,) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/9) (1/lW 250.1, 265.0 268.3 268.3 270.5 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.i, U.6 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.6 1,986 1,801 2,10,5 2,055 3,1,36 2,1,05 3,537 1,332 l,21il 1,665 ' 1,311, 2,388 . 1,653 2,605 2,517 U.12 1.09 3,9l,U 2,71,9 n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.77 5.13 5.75 5,15 _f.33 U.20 U.22 3.78 3,966 656 552 780 66k 1,01,8 71x6 1,221 1,018 1,195 1,221 1,217 1,221 n.a. 1 / SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939=100; converted to 19H7-ii9=100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123-91. 2/ Averages of d a i l y trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . H/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5/ Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes a l l loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Governments f o r 1952; since 1953 only these loans at banks i n New York and Chicago are excluded. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and lows are for i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t ' d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government Security O f f e r i n g s and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 J anuary February March . P 1 Corporate 195U 1 New c a p i t a l 5t*6 136 ' 1,261 51*7 1*26 635 623 623 666 April May June U9U 903 697 197 #6 81*2 779 1 675 123 July August September 583 651* 680 909 335 7U7 October November December 1,138 y e/680 e/925 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r l*th quarter Year 2,2ll3 2,09k 1,917 e/2,71(5 e/9,000 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,U90 . S t a t e and l o c a l 1 195U 1 1953 535 312 538 396 1*11 565 390 360 >26 1*27 350 61*1 73k 7U8 853 329 61*9 h3k 1*83 325 753 1*70 21*9 1*06 279 261 61*9 519 259 175 577 1*29 1,138 e/900 3/625 e/l*00 59L 123 877 1*53 1*08 771* 1,912 . 1,385 1,1*18 2,578 .1,561 / 1,12k 2,1*1*1* y e/1,925 e/5,850 8,1*95 1,372 2,33U 1,188 1,891* 6,789 > 1,003 290 60U 1955 1953 • . 1,176 1,1*12 1,253 1,636 5,1*77 . Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter l*th quarter Year 1,791 1,912 1,IM e/2,5U5 e/7,690 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 . 1,669 •1,991 1,223 2,3W* 7,227 e/ Estimated. ' ~~ ' 1 / Includes $637*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . "2/ Includes #602.$ m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 3 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New,Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuiy) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) . Month Corporate 195k - October November December 1 9 # - January' February March April May S t a t e and l o c a l government 388 268 689 3ul 107 337 238 152 ho 3 278 . 65 23k 716 396 U33 0 121 Ihl 63 750 173 U63 175 101 Uo5 328 80$. 269 July August September October November Other 2 / 30 35 15 25 Large I n d i v i d u a l Issues Offered December 1 through 9 Issuer Type 3 / . Coupon Amount r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating (millions Maturity of yield net i n t e r dollars) est cost CORPORATE Conv. deb. Radio Corp. of America Consolidated Edison Co. of New York Ist&ref.bds. Connecticut Light & Power 1st &ref. bds. 100.0 1980 3 1/2 3-35 Baa 70.0 20.0 - 1985 1985 3 3/8 3 1/ii 3.32 3.27 Aa . Aaa Rev. lU.h 1956-05 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.R. 12.6 20.0 6.8 50.0 STATE. & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Pend O r e i l l e Co., Wash. Onondaga Co. Water Authority, New York Los'Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a Cook County, I l l i n o i s New York Thruway OTHER None - 1957-95 1957-81 1957-75 1985-95 n.a. 1.85-3.25 3-30 2.72 2.81 2.7k 2.00-3.35 1.80-2.75 2.00-2.80 2.60-2.75 Baa Aa A Aaa H.1U E-2 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Recons t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n j Rev., revenue bondsj G.R., general* o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues. Exhibit F . H.1U Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) l / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shorn Corporate Date of computation 195U - Nov. 30 . .Dec. 31 1955 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Jipr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 9h m 16 710 211 1*25 160 67 1*07 222 80S 202 215 661 567 682 521* 208 116 339 3UU 100 181* 8ii3 330 305 30 50 Subsequent to date shown Corporate 21*6 216 122 1,395 922 1,11*1 850 .830 1,135 920 909 1*12 230 2,682 2,11*1* 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917' 30 35 1,861 •1,81*5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of December 9 Mount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) | Issuer New Jersey Bell Telephone Sheraton Corporation of America Deb. Deb. 15.0 25.0 December ll* 1956 Rev. G.O. G.O. 1*6.0 6.9 5.0 December 13 December 13 December 13 G.O. G.O. G.O. n. a. 10.0 20.0 13-3 6.7 6.0 5.0 38.0 8.0 . 9-5 5.2 25.0 December 13 December ll* December 19 January 5 January 10 January 10 January 10 January 10 January 17 January 17 1956 • STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT California Toll Bridge Authority Milwaukee, Wisconsin Newark, New J ersey Long Beach Unified School D i s t r i c t , California S t a t e of South Carolina San Francisco, California Wayne County, Michigan ^Allegheny County, Pennsylvania *Tacoma, Washington Los Angeles, California State of Colorado San Diego, California ^ S p r i n g f i e l d , Ohio V Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. H.lZt F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 9 (Cont'd) ! Issuer Mount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) Type STATE-AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Oklahoma Turnpike AuthorityPennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e Toll Bridge Auth. S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona Connecticut Expressway Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. . 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 100.0 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission SF deb. 50.0 December 13 *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t ime. \ j Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Exhibit G Yields on Novf and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Pow-ar Bends, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 average 3.16 13 3.35 12 1953 average 346 16 • 3.78 26 1954 average 3.03 3 3.12 -3 3.19 3.01 *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02 3,03 None None 6 -1 0 5 4 l . *3.35 *3.20 3.05 3.10 3.14 3.14 *3.13 . 3.11 *3.10 .3.10 None 3.11 1951} - January February March April ' May " Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per c e n t ) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) (basis points) " July August September October November December 1955 - January February March April May June July August 31 September 14 21 October 19 20 27 November 30 December 7 3 3 — 13 7 8 *3.15 *3.14 *3.17 None *3.22 *3.20 None — 3.32 3.25 10 7 3.27 " 10- 7 • 2 -1 -10 -6 . 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 0 None *3.23 3.29 3.31 3.35 *3.30 None — 3.57 3.50 30 23 3.25 3.30 -7 -4 — 9 14 16 lit 10 7 12 1/ Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, ac r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except vihere i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. The number of new i s s u e s included i n t h e monthly averages v a r i e s from 2 t o It except f o r .October 1954 when 6 i s s u e s were included. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s .