Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 7, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS August 7, 1957 H.lliCAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large publicly offered securities during the week ending August 2 totaled $78 million for corporations, including expiration of subscription rights, and $+9 million for State and local governments. This week, General Motors Acceptance Corporation's $100 million debenture issue is the only large corporate offering scheduled for sale. State and local government issues amounting to $90 million are also expected. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on corporate, Aaa-rated State and local government, and U. S. Government (new series) obligations increased; Baa-rated State and local government bond yields remained stable and yields on U. S Government (old series) declined. Stock prices - The SEC index of 265 common stocks declined last week, closing at 286.3 on August 2. Daily figures for the first three days of this week indicate a further decline -in prices on balance, bringing prices down to the lowest level since May. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS \ U. S. GOVERNMENT U. S. Govt., long-term iJ "at. Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series Kew series Spread between U. S. ( State and local govt. (old serj"esj^'and Corporate State and Aaa 1/ local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low July 5 July 12 July 19 August 2 n.a. 3.U2 (6/19) 3.15 (6/6) 2.99 (1/9) 2.78 (12/26) 3.09 (1/8) 2.7U (1/9) 2.85 (li/23) 2.U4 (8/7) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (8/5) 2.91 (1/7) 2.62 (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.1,9 (12/21) 3.07 (3/2) 2.80 (2/17) 1*.05 (8/2) 3.70 (6/21) 3.66 (V12) 3.15 (2/8) 3.03 2.89 3.39 2.92 3.62 3.22 Ji.00 3.97 3.98 U.oi U.05 3.56 3.56 3,57 3.61 3.62 3.61 3.58 3.63 3.68 3.6U 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) (8/5) 2.3U (9/8) (6/10) 2.05 (5/26) (12/28)3.05 (12/27)1 (2/3) 2.17 (2/23) (8/2) 3.25 (8/1) (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) 3.20 3.11 3.1k 3.22 3.25 .38 .19 .13 .32 • 3U .13 .hh .13 .51* .25 .8U .30 .61 .29 .70 •Sh .68 .32 .1*9 .26 .39 .39 .35 .33 .ia .ia .1*7 .1*9 .1*6 .39 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/ii per cent bond of 1978-83. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included} average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different peries. • '7 EXHIBIT B LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt, rev. y State and local govt. Baa 2/ (Per cent) 1953 - High 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - High • 1957 - High Low July 5 July 12 July 19 July 26 August 2 3.89 3.50 3.74 l.Uh 3.63 3.L5 li.U 3.58 Ju76 k.U2 U.71 U.72 U.72 U.7U h. 76 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/llt) (12/28) (3/9) (8/2) (VI2) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) In 22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/6) fc.35 (6/27) 3.90 (2/21) k.33 _U.2U It. 28 U.30 li.30 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 3.70 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/21*)(1A) (2/22) V 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included j average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and Aj average term is 20 years. h/ Series- discontinued, as of March 15. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK M A R K E T tots Stock price index 1/ Trading Common volume 2/ (millions yields of shares) (per cent Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to "others" SJ (Millions of dollars) 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Lev 167.1 (1/2) lWt.O (9/18) 221.1, (12/31) 156.5.(1/6) 270.7 (12/30) 217.ii (1/lii) 295.5 (8/3) 257.U (1/20) 29U.6 (7/12) 260.3 (2/8) June July July 19 July 26 August 2 286.2 292.0 291.3 290.1 286.3 1953 - High 195b - High 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* U.6 1.5 3.1 ' 1.5 2.7 1.6 5.88 5.15 5.-1*9 1*.09 li.23 3.59 1.13 3.65 lt.28 3.67 2,1*5 2,055 3,1*36 2,105 L,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* It,031 3,832 1,665 1,3H* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 1,713 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 . 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8 3.79 3.75 3.69 3.69 3.76 U,031 n.a. 2,887 n.a. l,H*lt n.a. 1,132 1,120 n.a. n.a.—Hot available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19u7-1*9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on thetiew%ork Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 125 industrial stocks; weekly data based on Friday. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying 0. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. £ H.lU Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 1 Corporate 1956 | New Capital State and local 1 1956 I 1955 1957 to 696 390 1955 1,063 1,071 1,344 573 712 817 535 407 1,223 685 566 499 April May June e/950 e/750 e/1,350 818 l,llj6 8ia 1478 886 687 762 V550 p380 378 490 735 July August September e/1,000 e/900 1,063 654 838 597 6I4I4 670 e/UBo e/375 376 199 333 1470 21*9 I4O6 6145 311 126 919 658 I4O8 January February March October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year • 745 . 1,0892/ 1,088 1,1621/ 632 900 535 312 538 . li27 350 6I42 3,1479 e/3,050 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 .2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,750 e/1,692 1,1490 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,1418 1,121* 1,984 e/6,529 1,907 7,163 10,38U 1,216 6,127 8,821 e/3,442 . 3,093 14,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 3,268 e/2,800 Year 1,6147 2,541. 2,215 2,826 1,727 1,870 1.444 2,5514 9,259 7,-595 e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issues. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issues. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies, ; Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lt* Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 185 592 217 #9 386 701 1*30 1956 - June July August September October November December 1957 - January February Marph April May June 561 671 788 1*77 329 877 State and local government Other y 20 1*63 16U 35 181* 383 135 201 386 306 37 35 ' 100 50 19k 125 25 1*99 21*8 176 39 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through August 2 Issuer Type j/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Rating Maturity of net inter- yield est cost dollars) CORPORATE I Southern Calif. Edison Co, 1st ref. mtg.bds. 1*0.0 1982 b 3A 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Rochester Gas & Elec. Co. 1987 1* 7/8 Common stk. 19.it Timken Roller Bearing Co. Central Illinois Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. l5.0 : 1987 U 5 / 8 Deb. Wisconsin Telephone Co. 30.0 1* 1/2 1992 Washington Water Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 1987 u 7/8 West Penn Power Co. 1st mtg.: bds. 20.0 1987 1* 7/8 Deb. Associates Investment Co. 20.0 1977 ' 5 3 A Texas Electric Service Co. 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 1987 1*3A Jersey Central Pwr. &Lt. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 1987 5 Inland Steel Co. . 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 1987 1* 3/8 First National City Bank . of New York Capital stk. 120.0 1st & ref. Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. mtg. bds. 60.0 1989 5 Tennessee Gas. Trans. Co. Deb. 6 25.0 1977 Sears Roebuck Accept. Corp, Deb. 5Q.0 1982 5 Minneapolis-Honeywell Regulator Co. Common stk. 28.2 Deb. Associates Investment Co. 50.0 1977 5 lA 1*.70 l*.80 1*.57 ' 1*.1*3 I1.88 1*.75 5.75 U.65 1*.90 1*.38 1*.95 6.08 5.00 5.25 Aa A Aa Aaa A Aa Aa A Aa Aa Baa — H.lU' E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through August 2 (Contfd) Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net interyield dollars) est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Salt River Agric. Impr. & 0.0. Power Dist., Arizona 5.0 0.0. Fresno U.S.D., California 7.0 - Metro. Wtr. Dist. of So. California Rev. 15.0 Port of New York Auth. Airport rev. 28.8 0.0. Cook Co. S. D. No. 205, 111. 5.5 G.O. Philadelphia S. D., Penna. 12.0 State of Minnesota Highway rev. 12.0 Atlanta, Georgia 0.0. 15.5 St. Louis Co., Missouri 0.0. 6.8 State of Louisiana 0.0. 10.0 Westport, Connecticut 5.1* Georgia Rural Roads Auth. Rev. 17.5 Milwaukee, Wisconsin Water rev. 10.0 East Baton Eouge Par. S.D., Louisiana G.O. 10.0 State of California G.O. 5o.o State of Oregon 15.0 State of New'York G.O. 27.9 Phoenix, Arizona 0.0. 6.0 0.0. 0.0. 1960-87 1960-77 h.29 1958-69 1958-75/65 1959-76 1959-82 1960-73 1958-86 1958-77 1964-66 1958-77 3.20 3.66 4.19 3.55 2.89 3,39 3.31 3.20-14.25 A 2.70-3.35 Aa Aa A Baa A Aa Aa 1959-86/6? 3.62 2.50-3, 2.70-3 3.10-4, 2.60-3, 2.10-2,,90 2.40-3,,1*5 2.30-3. 3.10-3.fouAl 2.50-3,50 3.00-14,,05 2.65-3,,70 Aa A Aa 1958-77 19^9-78/73 1971 1958-77 1960-79 3.97 3-58 3.65 3.09 3.9U 2.60-4.00 2.75-3.55 3.15-3.50 2.20-3.15 3.10-4.00 A Aa Aa Aaa AS/ $ l/k 5.70 3.28 3.20 3.50 1959-?y68 I4.O8 OTHER Montreal, Quebec S.F. deb. 25.0 1977 1/ includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 2/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. 4/ Part not reoffered. J/'Is of 1979 not reoffered. H.U* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) X/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following Subsequent to date shown date shown State and State and Corporate Other.2/ Corporate local govt. local govt. Other 2/ Date of computation 1956 - July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 2l*7 369 315 683 136 1*76 591 7h0 U6l 187 525 370 526 131 359 162 18 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 252 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 966 795 I486 258 525 1*15 811 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 5Ht 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of August 2 Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering CORPORATE General Motors Acceptance Corp. Northern States Power Company J. Ray McDermott and Co. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. 100.0 18.0 20.3 Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Co. •Atlantic Refining Co. Thompson Products, Inc. Deb. Conv. sub. deb. Conv. sub. deb. 90.0 100.0 19.7 •Southern California Edison Co. •Public Service Electric & Gas Co. •Tampa Electric Co. •Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Co. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk» Deb. August 7 August 11* August 20 (rights expire) August 21 August 21 August 27 (rights expire) 1*0.0 August 28 60.0 16.0 August 29 September 6 September 30 (lights expire) October 29 17.2 256.0 H.Ut F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of August 2 (Cont'd) I Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT G.R. State of Connecticut G.O. Du Page Co. H.S.D. No. 88, H I . 0.0. Sacramento Unif. Sch. Diet., Calif, G.O. ~«Chicago, Illinois Los Angeles City Sch. Dists., Calif, G.O. G.O. *New York, New York G.O. *Tampa, Florida G.O. Dade County, Florida G.O. *Nassau Co., New York G.O. . *State of Massachusetts Kansas Turnpike Authority Rev. G.O. *San Jose, California G.O. Dade Co., Spec. Tax. S.D. No. 1, Fla. Highway rev. State of Ohio Rev. •^Pennsylvania Gen. State Authority San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. G.O. State of Texas Jacksonville, Florida Utilities rev. University System Bldg. Auth., Ga. Rev. Rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth.', Fla. G.O. New York State Thruway Authority 35.0 7.9 7.0 39.6 a.o 1*0.0 6.3 7.5 21.0 19,0 19.5 5.0 9.5 31.0 25.0 10.0 12.5 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 Aug. 6 Aug. 6 Aug. 7 Aug. 8 Aug. 13 Aug. 15 Aug. 15 Aug. 15 Aug. 19 Aug. 20 Aug. 20 Aug. 21 ; Sept. U Sept. 10 Sept. 19 Oct. 15 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 OTHER None _L *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $1$ million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.