Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 4, 1955
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Not f o r Publication H.lii DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX"MONTHS August U, 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS S t a t e and l o c a l governments offered 67 million d o l l a r s . of l a r g e s e c u r i t y issues, and a manufacturing company f l o a t e d 35 million d o l l a r s of sinking fund debentures during the week ending July 29. The volume of large issues i n t h i s week's t o t a l of newc a p i t a l i s bO m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and includes a common stock i s s u e , subscription r i g h t s f o r which expire August August estimates - The corporate estimate f o r the volume of new c a p i t a l i n August i s 650 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , almost twice as large as the t o t a l in the same month l a s t y e a r . About m e - t h i r d of t h e proceeds w i l l come frcm the General Motors Acceptance Corporation 200 m i l l i o n d o l l a r debenture i s s u e , which i s scheduled f o r f l o t a t i o n on August 17. Pacific Telephone and Telegraph w i l l o f f e r 67 million d o l l a r s of debentures, and a t l e a s t four large common stock issues are expected during the f i r s t half of the month. The August volume of S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s i s estimated a t 300 million d o l l a r s , the smallest monthly volume since August 195h. This i s l a r g e l y because t h e volume of large • i s s u e s expected f o r o f f e r i n g during the month was smaller a t the beginning of August than at any time i n the l a s t twelve months. Bond y i e l d s r i s e - Yields on outstanding high-grade bonds rose t o 1955 highs during the week ending July 29—corporate Aaa y i e l d s increased two basis p o i n t s , and y i e l d s cn U. S. Government long-term obligations and S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa bonds i n creased four and t h r e e b a s i s points r e s p e c t i v e l y . These y i e l d s are the highest since mid-January 19$h f o r corporates, since September 1953 f o r U. S. Governments, and since October 1953 f o r S t a t e and l o c a l Governments. Lower-grade bond y i e l d s also reached new highs f o r 1955* Yields on corporate Baa and S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa bonds rose one b a s i s point each, and State and l o c a l government revenue yields increased t h r e e basis points l a s t week. Daily f i g u r e s indicate some f u r t h e r increase during the f i r s t p a r t of t h i s week f o r the corporate and Treasury bond y i e l d s . Stock p r i c e s reach new high - The SEC index of 265 common stocks r o s e s l i g h t l y t o a new high of 259.9 during the week ending July .29. A sharp drop occurred on August 1, but sane small gains were indicated by d a i l y indexes on Tuesday and Wednesday of t h i s week. . Here d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found in t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent p e r a n n u m V-V 1952 Date 1953 Corporate Aaa y 1954 U. S . Govt. long-term 2 / 1955 State and l o c a l g o v t . , Aaa 3 / Spread between U. S . Govt, and Corporate State and l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1955 - High Low- 3.03 2.91 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.07 2.91 July July July July July 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.07 1952 - Higfr Low 1953 - High Low 1954 - High 1 8 15 22 29 (1/ii) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (4/23) (7/29) (1/7) . 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.74 2.44 2.94 2.62 (12/27) (5/17) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (7/29) (1/7) 2.81 2.82 2.83 2.90 2.94 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . .2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.27 2.05 2.lit 2.19 2.23 2.24 2.27 (10/23) (5/D (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (7/28) (5/26) .37 .19 .38 .19 .43 .32 .34 .13 . 1.02 .71 .84 .30 .61 .29 .70 .54 .24 .23 ,22 .15 .13 .67 .63 .60 .66 .67 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average term t o f i r s t c a l l of bends included i s 13-14 y e a r s . 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . " Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . 10WE1-6IADE BON» YIILIS Weekly ; ! \ STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT. \ , - Meed,'. , STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa y State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / State and l o c a l govt. rev. 1 / (Per cent) 1952 - High 1953 - Higfr 1954 - Higfc Loir 1 9 # - Higfr Loir July 1 July July July July 8 15 22 29 3.63 3.48 3.89 3.50 3.74 3. a 3.53 3.45 3.51 3.51 33 3.53 (1/4) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (7/29) (1/14) 2.98 (10/23) 2.48 (4/17) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.18 (7/28) 3.02 (1/6) 3.11 3.14 3.17 3.17 3.18 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 (12/15) (4/25) (6/26) (1/2) 3.00 (1/1) 2.72 (8/13) 2.90 (7/29) 2.76 (1/7) 2.8k 2.84 2.84 2.87 2.90 . E Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds d i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bends included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Bate Stock price index 1 / Trading Common volume 2 / (millions yields 3 / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers1 debit bal- loans to ances 4 / "others" 5 / Total (Millions of dollars) 1952 - High Lew 1953 - High 195it - High 1955 - High Low May July 15 July 22 July 29 165.3 151.7 167.1 144.0 221.4 156.5 259.9 217.4 (12/26) (10/24) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (7/29) (W) 233.3 244.5 256.8 259.1 259.9 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 2.0 5.77 . 5.13 5.75 5.15 • 5.33 4.20 4.22 3.87 2.2 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.2 4.14 3.87 1,986 1,804 2,445 2,055 3,436. 2,405 3,872 3,537 1,332 1,241 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,712 2,517 3,787 - 2,684 3,872 2,712 656 552 780 664 1,048 746 1,174 1,018 1,103 l,l6o 1,169 ; 1,174 n . a . Not available. V SEC index of 26$ common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939=100; converted to 19u7-49-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i? 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York "Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. 5 / End of month figures for menber firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5 / Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes a l l loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Governments for 1952; since 1953 cnly these loans at banks in New York and Chicago are excluded. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lews are for individual series and may be on different dates for different s e r i e s . Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 1 Corporate 1952: 1 . Net / c a p i t a l 1953 1955 January February March S&6 H36 1,261 547 426 6# s 666 535 312 538 April May June e/500 e/900 E/675 497 656 842 779 675 1,123 427 e/350 e/630 July August September e/hOO e/650 909 335 747 483 325 753 e/460 e/300 October ' November December 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd quarter 4th quarter Tear 1,003 290 60k 577 429 1,438 y 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,490 2,243 e/2,075 1,912 1,385 e/l,405 " 2,578 1,561 n , 2,444 y , 8,495 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1954 1 396 % 1953 390 360 426 3 853 329 64 9 434 279 261 649 519 259 475 594 423 877 453 408 774 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 1,176 1,412 1,253 1,63.6 5,477 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd quarter 4th quarter •Year 1,791 e/2,000 - 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 . 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,344 7,227 . 2 / T o t a l netr c a p i t a l i s s u e s e x c l u d i n g o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. e / Estimated. N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o r o u n d i n g . H«lii Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S, Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (ilillions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 19$k - July August September October November December 1955 - January February March April May June July State and l o c a l government Itll 75 36U 1*33 0 121 1U 63 750 175 m 182 101 92 86 455 #8 268 689 31+1 107 337 238 . 152 409 278 Other 2/ 30 35 V : 15 .— Large Individual Issues Offered during July Issuer Type 3 / A; neurit Coupon (miHions r a t e or Offering Maturity Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE I l l i n o i s B e l l Tel. Co. 1st mtgebds. Texas Eastern Transmission Pfd. stock P a c i f i c Finance Deb, Container Corp0 of America SF deb. 30.0 16.0 20.0 35*0 1995 3 1/4 3.17 1965 1980 3 1/2 3.30 3.56 3.30 Aaa •• A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERM.ENT Tulsa, Oklahoma Alabama Highway Authority L o u i s v i l l e , Kentucky Pierce Co., Washington, Tacoma School-District State of Ohio Public Housing Authorities G.O. Rev. Rev. 5.4 15.0 8.0 1958-80 1957-75 1960-84 2.6? 2.73 2 .44 1.80-3.05 1.60-2.80 1.75-2.60 A A . Aaa G.O. L.L. 8.3 52.0 1957-75 1956-72 2.59 2.31 1.60-2.85 1.25-2.35 A Aa 121.5 1956-96 2.55 1.20-2.70 Aaa — Holii E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered during July (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount Offering Rating r a t e or (millions Maturity neb i n t e r yield of e s t cost dollars) STATE AMD ' LOCAL GOVERNMENT "(Cont'd) Chicago^ I l l i n o i s Los Angeles, C a l i f . Norfolk, Virginia Denver, Colorado G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 25.3 25.0 5oO 12.0 1956-75 1956-80 1956-80 1956-75 2.45 2 49 2.63 2.16 1.30-2.55 1.30-2.55 1,35-2o75 1.25-2.25 A Aa A Aa OTHER ~y Includes corporate and other security o f f e r i n g s of 15 million d o l l a r s and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of.5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case .of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes gene r a l obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; and, L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.14 Exhibit : - Forthcoming Largo Public Security Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During mouth f o l i a t i n g date shmn State and other 2J/ l o c a l govt- Date of computation Corporate 195k - July 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1 9 # - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Bar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 100 33k 3k3 15 9k *18U 16 710 211 k2$ 160 67 k07 •5k 300 383 136 661 5&7 682 52k 208 lib 339 3 kh 100 Subsequent t o date shown S t a t e and other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt a j 303 608 30 135/ 2146 216 422 1,395 922 1,12:1 850 830 1,135 1,553 1,876 2,158 30 30 35 2,682 2,ia 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,815 2,018 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 29 Issuer ! Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Consumer Power Goodyear Tire and Rubber "."e stern Union Telegraph American Natural Gas •^-General Motors Acceptance Corp. P a c i f i c Telephone and Telegraph S t . Louis-San Francisco Railway *Utah Power and Light American Telephone and Telegraph Southern C a l i f o r n i a Gas Freedom Insurance Company Common stock Common stock Common stock Common stock Deb, Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. deb. Bonds Common stock 16.9 L5.6 20.7 37.0 . 200.0 67.0 19,5 15(0 650.9 1*0,0 22.0 August 5 August 8 August 8 August 12 August 17 August 23 August 2k September 13 1955 1955 1955 STATE AND LCCAL GOVERNLSNT Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana Llobile, Alabama Fairfax County, Virginia •^Springfield, Ohio j G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 8.2 liu5 7.1 5.8 August August August August 3 3 10 11 H.m F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 29 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount • (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) •STATE AND LOCAL GOVERMTSKT (Cont'd) *Cdok County, I l l i n o i s Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a Chicago, I l l i n o i s , B d . o f Education Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a -^Richmond-Petersburg Turnpike Auth. Connecticut Expressway Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority Texas Turnpike Company California Toll Bridge Authority •^Louisiana Turnpike Commission C a l i f o r n i a Toll Bridge Authority *Nen York State Thrmmy Authority ^-Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. G,0. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. . n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.R. Rev. Rev. 40.0 12 oO 12.5 18.0 67.5 100.0 60.0 186.0 80.0 390.0 lil-OaO 235.0 100.0 43.0 125.0 146.0 227.0 August 16 August 23 August 2k September September Summer 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1956 OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over; State and l o c a l government issues of 5 million and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . n.a«—Hot a v a i l a b l e . Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time.