Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 15, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS August 15 s 1957 H.li; CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large publicly offered securities during the week ending August 9 included a $100 million corporate offering and State and local government issues totaling $90 million. This week, a single corporate offering for $18 million and State and local government issues with aggregate proceeds of $98 million are expected. Bond yields - Yields increased last week for every category of outstanding bonds, except for U. S. Government (old series) obligations which declined slightly. The increase was substantial for the State and local government bond yields — 9 basis points for the Aaa's and 11 points fqr the Baa's. Yields on new corporate issues also continued to increase. An Aa-rated first mortgage electric utility issue was offered to investors this week to yield 5.00 per cent — 35 basis points above that for a comparable issue offered in mid-July. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks declined U«2 points last week, closing at 282.1 on August 9. Daily figures for the first three days of this week indicate further decline in prices particularly on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS \ U. S. GOVERNMENT:/* V ! long-t.im '/ V _ A J / 7 U. S. Govt., long-term £j Corporate Aaa y Old series -New series State and local govt. Aaa j / Spread between U. S. Govt. (old series) and (Per cent) 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 h.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (It/23) (12/23) (V7) (12/28) (3/2) (8/9) 3.66 (U/12) 3.97 3.98 14.01 1.05 h.07 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7k (1/9) 2 . W (8/7) 2.9U (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 3.1»9 (12/21) 2.80 (2A7). 3.70 (6/21) 3.15 (2/8) 3.58 3.63 3-61* 3.62 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 3.03 2.89 3.39 2.92 3.63 a. 2.73 a. 1.98 a. 2.21 a. 1.90 (8/5) 2.31 (6/10) 2.05 (12/28)3.05 (2/3) 2.17 (8/9) 3.3k (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/8) .19 .13 .*3U :£ 3.22 (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) .25 1 .35 f, .29 1 • 32 .h9 .26 •U7 3.22 :S .US Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included,declined from Uj years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond .of 1995 and the 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83y Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are Included; average term is 20 years. . Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different peries. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS V Date ! Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. J / (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 3.89 3.50 3.71* 3.Wi 3.63 3.15 U.bl (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (l/ll) (12/28) 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 3.58(3/9) k.78 (6/9) h.U2 (V12) July 12 July 19 July 26 August 2 August 9 14-72 U.72 U.lh u.ie li.78 3.79 (6/25) 2.96(1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 3.26 3.02 h.22 (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) •u.ia (8/8) • 3.90 (2/21) h.21* 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/21*) 3.98 ( 1 / U 3.70 (2/22) y U.28 L.30 1.30 L.ia included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation M n d s are included ; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa arid A; average term is 20 years. h/ Series discontinued, as of March 15. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET ^ Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common volume 2/ (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cent Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to "others" 5/ ances h/ Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 195a - High 1955 - High 167.1 lhh.0 221.lt 156.5 270.7 217.k (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/1W 1956 - High 295.5 (8/3) 1957 - High ; Low 257.U (1/20) 29h.6 (7/12) 260.3 (2/8) June July August 2 August 9 286.2 292.0 290.1 286.3 282.1 2.5 0.9 -3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 1.6 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 . ' . 5.88 5.15 5.1*9 1.09 It.23 3.59 U.13 3.65 li.28 3.67 . 3.79 3.75 • 3,91k 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 4,031 3,832 1,713 1,031 2,887 n.a. n.a. 2M S 2,055 3,136 2,1*05 4,030 3,537 li,0U7 3.69 3.76 3.8V 2,887 7 80 66U 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,1631,117 1,11*1* 1,119 1,120 1,119 n.a. n . a . — N o t available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19u7-l*9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the "ew ^ork Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 125 industrial stocksj weekly data based on Friday. 5/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New Capital 1957 1 Corporate 1956 I' January February March 1,063 1,071 1,344 573 712 817 535 .407 1,223 April • May June 92k 771 1,489 818 1,146 841 478 886 687 e/1,075 . e/900 • 1,063 651 838 597 644 670 July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 3,U79 3,184 6,663 State and local 1 1956 I 1955 685 566 499 * 404 6# 390 535 312 538 762 528 e/380 378 490 735 427 350 642 e/480 e/425 376 199 333 470 249 406 645 311 426 919 658 408 1,490 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 3,093 4,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 1957 1955 ' 745 . 1,0892/ 1,088 1,1621/ 632 POO 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 4,907 7,1,63 10,381 4,216 6,127 8,821 1,750 e/1,670 e/3,420 Excluding finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 3,268 e/2,884 Year 1,647 2,541 2,246 2,826 1,444 2,554 9,259 7,595 1,727 1,870 ' e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issues. 2/ Includes &571»5 million AT&T common stock issues. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. , •. ! H.'lii Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1956 - July August September 0 ctober November December 1957 - January • February March April May June July ^ State and local government . 164 .35 184 383 135 201 386 306 194 499 248 176 265 592 2YT 558 386 701 U30 567 671 788 477 329 877 525 Other 2/ __ 37 35 100 5o 125 25 39 25 Large Individual Issues Offered August 1 through 9 Issuer Type 2 / Amount Coupon 1 (millions Maturity rate or I Offering Rating of net intex yield dollars) est cost , CORPORATE Minneapolis-Honeywell Regulator Company Associates Investment Co. General Motors Acceptance Corporation Common stk. Deb. 28.2 50.0 1977 5 1/4 5.25 Deb. 100.0 1977 5 5.20 O.R. 35.0 STATE AND IOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Connecticut Du Page Co. H.S.D. No. California Sacramento Unif. 5.D., California Chicago, Illinois OTHER None 0.0. 0.0. 0.0. 1963-97/65 3.61 2.80-3.65 Aaa 7.9 1956-76 4.23 2.80-4.25 A 7.0 39.6 1959-82 1959-76 3.U9 3.8k 2.50-3.55 2.85-3.85 Aa A H.lU 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $$ million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. i / In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. i H.ll* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and State and Other 2/ Other 2/ Corporate Corporate local govt. local govt. Date of . computation 1956 - July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct, 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 2l*7 369 315 683 1*36 1*7 6 591 7h0 l*6l 187 525 370 526 37 131 359 162 1*8 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 252 23 100 35 25 25 25 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 966 795 1*86 258 525 1*15 811 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 511* 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of August 9 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) 1st mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. 18.0 20.3 , Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Co. Atlantic Refining Co. Thompson Products, Inc. Deb. Conv. sub. deb. Conv. sub. deb. 90.0 100.0 Southern California Edison Co. , * 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Conv. deb. Northern States Power Company j. Ray McDermott and Co, Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Tampa Electric Co. *Duke Power Co. *E1 Paso Natural Gas Co. Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Co. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Common stk.. Deb. 19.7 August ll* August 20 (rights expire) August 21 August 21 August 27 (rights expire) 1*0.0 August 28 60.0 18.0 50.0 60.0 August 29 September 6 September 11 September 11 (rights expire) September 30 (rights expire) October 29 17.2 250.O R'.Ui" F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of August 9 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles City Sch. Dists., Calif. 0.0. New York, New York 0.0. Tampa, Florida 0.0; Dade County, Florida 0.0. Nassau Co., New York 0.0. State of Massachusetts o.o.. Kansas Turnpike Authority Rev. •Omaha Public Power Dist., Nebraska Elec. rev. San Jose, California 0.0. •State of South Carolina 0.0. •State of Rhode Island 0.0. •Chicago Bd. of Educ., Illinois G.O. •Santa Monica Unif. Sch. Dist.,Calif. 0.0. Dade Co.,Spec. Tax. S.D. No. 1, Fla. G.O. State of Ohio Highway rev. •Los Angeles, California G.O. •State of Missouri 0.0. Pennsylvania Gen. State Authority Rev. G.O. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., Cailif. State of Texas i G.O. Jacksonville, Florida Utilities rev. University System Bldg. Auth., Ga. Rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. New York State Thruway Authority 0.0. - a.o k0.0 6.3 7.5 21.0 19.0 19.5 8.0 5.0 6.0 6.7 15.0 5.0 9.5 31.0 5.0 30.0 25.0 10.0 12.5 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 Aug. 13 Aug. 15 Aug. 15 Aug. 15 Aug. 19 Aug. 20 Aug. 20 Aug. 20 Aug. 21 Aug. 21 Aug. 21 Aug. 28 Sept. 3 Sept. U Sept. 10 Sept. 11 Sept. 17 Sept. 19 Oct. 15 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 OTHER None •—Included in table for first ime. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 Billion and over3 State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.