Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 11, 1958
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Mot for Publication B E C 0 1 , T H 0 1 J | E D . a f t e r s i x MONTHS H.lii August 11, 1956. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of p u b l i c s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g c o n t i n u e s t o be moderate. During t h e week ending August 8, two S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s amounting t o $33 m i l l i o n were t h e o n l y l a r g e o f f e r i n g s . The c a l e n d a r f o r t h i s week i n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l t o t a l i n g $101 m i l l i o n ; no l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s "are scheduled f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Y i e l d s i n c r e a s e d s u b s t a n t i a l l y l a s t week f o r a l l c a t e g o r i e s of o u t s t a n d i n g bonds. ' A l l types' of bond y i e l d s , except t h o s e f o r c o r p o r a t e B a a - r a t e d bonds, reached new h i g h s f o r t h e y e a r . Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s d e c l i n e d on Monday and Tuesday of l a s t week a f t e r margin r e q u i r e m e n t s were i n c r e a s e d , but more than r e covered t h e s e l o s s e s t h e l a t t e r p a r t of t h e week. Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common s t o c k s i n c r e a s e d .56 p o i n t s d u r i n g t h e week, c l o s i n g a t 48.05 on August 8. P r i c e s a r e now only 2 p e r c e n t below t h e J u l y 1957 peak. Trading a c t i v i t y continued t o be heavy. More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS W..Hy L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS CORPORATE Boo ./—STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa. H.ll Exhibit B Tables f o r Exhibit A High r grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 1953 -ii$k 1957 1958 - High - Low - High -High Low 3-U2 2.85 it.lU 3.77 3.55 3.19 2.L5 3.76 3.53 3.07 July July July Aug. Aug. 11 18 25 1 8 2/ 3.63 3.67 3.70 3.71 3.77 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa y (Per cent) (6/19) (Ii/23) (9/27) (8/8) (5/2) (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (8/8) (1/25) 2.73 1.90 3.45 2.91 2.6k (6/25) (9/2) (8/29) (8/7) (.5/1) 2.78 2.78 2.78 2.81* 2.91 3.31 3.39 3.38 3.a 3.53 .38 .30 .60 .51 .2k .83 .30 •U7 .62 '3k .32 .28 .32 .27 .2k .52 .62 .60 .60 .62 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Ba a y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 1953 19514 1957 1958 -High - Low - High - High Low 3.89 3.Wi 5.10 U.96 1.51 July July July Aug. Aug. 11 18 25 1 8 2/ ii.51 ii.52 K55 L56 L60 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) 3.79 2.93 k.Sl 3.92 3.6U 3.85 3.83 3 82 3.83 3.92 (6/25) (8/5) (8/29) (8/7) (5/1) .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .83 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .99 .88 .85 .85 .85 .83 1.07 1.05 l.Oii .99 1.01 2 / Preliminary. 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e in 10 y e a r s or more. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n s bonds are included; average term id 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t , dates f o r different series. STOCK MARKET Exhibit D Table f o r E x h i b i t C Stock Market Date Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading Common volume 2 / stock yields V (millions of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' Bank debit b a l - loans t o ancea 1*/ " o t h e r s " 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low July J u l y 25 Aug. 1 Aug. 8 e / 26.5k d / 2 ) 22.95 ( 9 / 1 8 ) 35.98 (12/31) 21.93 (1/8) 15.89 35.28 II; 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 5.*82 1*.08 1*.1*1 1*9.08 ( 7 / 1 2 ) 39.U8 (12/20) 1*8.05 (8/8) 1*0.37 (1/10) 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* 3.8 1.7 l*.3t* 3.91 U.72 3.71* li.58 1*1*. 75 1*5.98 1*6.97 1*7.1*9 1*8.05 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.7 1*.07 3.97 3.88 3.81 3.71* 1*9.61* 1*3.22 3.82 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* 1*,031 3,576 1*,226 3,551* 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 2,929 2,1*87 780 661* l,0l*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,317 1,051 1*,226 n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,929 1,297 1,231 1,251 1,231 n.a. n.a.—Not available* p / Preliminary. 1/ Standard and Poor 1 s composite index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 191*1-1*3=10. Monthly d a t a a r e averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of F r i d a y s ' only. Highs and lows a r e f o r F r i d a y ' s data o n l y . 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite s t o c k y i e l d based on Wednesday d a t a conv e r t e d t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by F e d e r a l Reserve. Yields shown a r e f o r d a t e s on which p r i c e index reached i t s high o r low. 1*/ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r i y margin a c c o u n t s ; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . £ / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes l o a n s f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 70 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit E H.lk Long-term Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1958 January February March 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 's§ 7k2 572 506 kok 696 390 ; s 1,453 818 l,lli6 8kl 798 873 5k2 765 5k6 393 378 k90 735 1,003 92k 973 1,063 65k 838 2/627 e/300 529 58k k31 ko8 206 357 1,090 789 1,076 1 , ^ • 1,088 .698 633 698 639 3k7 k09 3,135 e/2,518 3,kk5 3,lk9 2,899 2,951 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 e/5,683 6,59k 9,k93 12,kk7 1,907 7,163 10,38k 723 April May 1/800 July August September e/1,150 e/600 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three q u a r t e r s Year New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l 2 / 1 1956 1 1956 1957 1958 1 1957 812 . 2,276 2,213 1,820 1,70k l,5kk 2,029 l,k90 • 1,603 971 1,395 k,k89 3,52k 5,069 7,099 k,06k 5,k59 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89it ' e/2,k98 Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 1,6U7 2,5kl 2,216 2,826 11,519 9,260 e / Estimated. w 3 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission e s t i m a t e s of n e t proceeds. 2 / Data through June 1956 a r e Bond Buyer data c l a s s i f i e d as new c a p i t a l by Federal Reserve; l a t e r data a r e from t h e Investment Bankers Association of America and a r e somewhat more complete a s t o coverage than t h e e a r l i e r d a t a , p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r F e d e r a l Government l o a n s . 3/ Includes $718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . k/ Includes $571.5 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e . cy T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies Exhibit F II. Ill Other Security Offerings 1 / (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 1958 1958 1 1957 1 1957 1 1956 January February March 196 53 81* 1*9 30 April May June 139 197 123 1*8 1*2 . 37 8 — — 523 125 60 60 — 95 28 7 30 2 39 October November December 1* 60 1 a Tear. 1,163 251 50 July August September 507 April May June 233 1*60 273 326 U55 11*7 357 351* E/f26i 205 337 153 July August September October November December Year ~ - 109 • 215 — 5 21 100 — — 300 572 169 Short-term State and l o c a l government h / January February March 1956 72 Federal agency 3/ 196 - 357 21*9 371 208 u*u 638 1*30 505 380 220 283 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 323 31h 260 272 272 252 195 207 179 22l* 370 512 222 1*25 273 1*59 29h 328 ll*8 1,238 255 116 1*07 222 128 3,27k 2,706 5,51*3 ' 3,^57 e / kstimated. jo/ Preliminary. 1/ Data presented i n t h i s exhibit d i f f e r from those in Exhibit E in that refunding i s s u e s , as well as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are defined as those maturing in more than one year. * 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s offered in the United States by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r subdivisions and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l organizations. Sources Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission; .short-term, Federal Reserve. h / Principally t a x and bond anticipation notes, warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one y e a r . Source: Bond buyer. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I Exhibit G H.lh Large Long-terra Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1957 - J u l y August September October November December 1958 - January February March April May 5# 526 537 57 k 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 771 July S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2/ 221* 266 133 393 3hh 1*01* 1*10 553 182 300 505 195 275 25 21*5 1 Sh 1,357 266 653 16U 86 1*1 Large Individual Issues Offered August 1 through 8 • issuer •type 1/ Coupon Amount Offering ( m i l l i o n s Maturity Rating n e t inter- yield of x dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE None STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Philadelphia Sch. Dist.,Pa. G.O. Georgia Rural Rds. Auth. Rev.-Rent. 12.0 21.0 1960-83 3.28 1960-79/68 3.72 1.1*0-1*. 00 A 1.70-3.70 A OTHER 1/ Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of *15 million and over; State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of -J10 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. 2 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O., denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; Rev.-Rent.,revenue bonds secured solely by l e a s e payments. H.lU Forthcoming Large Long-term P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation 1957 - June 28 J u l y 31 Aug. 30 S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - J a n . 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 . May 29 June 30 J u l y 31 During month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l g o v t . Other 2 / 370 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 498 1,123 555 356 266 768 161 153 218 183 33U 339 3% 31*5 370 13k 298 1*93 177 225 55 25. 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 Subsequent t o d a t e shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l g o v t . Other 2 1*15 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 1*61* 1,01*8 381 1*79 1*71 379 551 • 51*3 558 561* 1*87 31*1 330 1*93 208 235 125 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 36 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of August 8 Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate d a t e of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Montana Power Co. Consolidated N a t u r a l Gas Co. Houston Corp. P u b l i c S e r v i c e E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. ^Southern C a l i f o r n i a Edison Co. -frUniversal-Cyclops S t e e l Corp. Commerce O i l R e f i n i n g Coip. Standard O i l Co. of C a l i f o r n i a M a r t i n Co. 1 s t mtg,. bds 20.0 S . F . deb. 1*5.0 Deb. & common s t k . 36.2 1 s t r e f . mtg. b d s . 60.0 1 s t r e f . mtg. b d s . 5 0 . 0 S.F. deb. 22.5 Deb., bds. i & common 1*5.0 Deb. 150.0 S . F . deb. 25.0 Aug. 13 Aug. 11* Aug. 15 Aug. 21 Aug. 26 Aug. 27 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los_Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a *New York, New York ^ D e t r o i t , Michigan *San C a r l o s , C a l i f o r n i a Indiana S t a t e O f f i c e Bldg. Comm. San Diego U n i f . Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . S t a t e of Ohio * S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a ^Chesapeake Bay F e r r y Comm. None G.O. 0.0, Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev.-S .T. • G.O. Rev.-Ut. 21.5 32.1* 10.6 10.7 30.0 10.0 30.0 50.0 H*l*.o Aug. 19 Aug. 26 Aug. 26 August Sept.. 9 Sept., 10 S e p t . 18 Oct. 22 October H.lU H-2 *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of #10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : . None.. H. lit Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 2 / Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March k 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 • 25 July 2 9 18 23 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated ojFferine y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned y i e l d s Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) ( b a s i s p o i n t s ) (per cent) ( b a s i s p o i n t s ) 5.00(8/lU/57) 2.93(3/31/51*) 87 -3 *3.60 3.89f/ -8 22 it. 15 14.22 LOO It. 00 ltlt 50 28 26 It. 05 3.98 li.00 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 21 • 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3-95 17 12 2lt It. 00 25 ii:18 : II 5.50(11/7/5>7) 3.00(3/17/54) 123 -15 3.96^/ It. 07 lt.25 3 9 * 6 U. 07 -7 3.98 5 It.Olt It. 00 11 3 It. 07 It. 35 It. 00 3.95 ~ It 32 -1 . -6 3.98^ 1 U..35 31 Single observation, not an average. \ J Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2 / Provides f o r a 5-year period during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n .