Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 10, 1959
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS August 10, 1959. . vH.lit CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS D u r i n g t t h e week ending August 7, l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l governm e n t bond i s s u e s | t o t a l i n g $lU6 m i l l i o n were s o l d and a $15 m i l l i o n c o r p o r a t e b o n d - i s s u e p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d . This week, l a r g e c o r p o r a t e s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g , i n c l u d i n g e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s , i s e x p e c t e d t o t o t a l $98 m i l l i o n w h i l e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s f o r $66 m i l l i o n were s c h e d u l e d f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Y i e l d s on a l l t y p e s of seasoned bonds, e x c e p t B a a - r a t e d c o r p o r a t e o b l i g a t i o n s , d e c l i n e d l a s t week. A a a - r a t e d S t a t e and l o c a l government bond y i e l d s are c u r r e n t l y 10 b a s i s p o i n t s below t h e J u l y peak, w h i l e l o n g - t e r m U. S . government and h i g h - g r a d e c o r p o r a t e bond y i e l d s are 5 b a s i s p o i n t s below t h i s J u l y h i g h s . An A a - r a t e d , f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d t o y i e l d U . 3 5 per c e n t l a s t week, 8 b a s i s p o i n t s l e s s than t h e . y i e l d on t h e l a s t comparable i s s u e , an o f f e r i n g made on J u l y 1 0 . Mortgage r e c o r d i n g s - Recordings during May incned down as a s l i g h t d e c l i n e i n F e d e r a l l y - u n d e r w r i t t e n mortgages recorded exceeded a small r i s e i n conventional a c t i v i t y . In A p r i l s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d r e c o r d i n g s remained a t the r e c o r d $ 3 2 . 2 b i l l i o n annual r a t e e s t a b l i s h e d a month earlier. Through May o v e r 1 . 5 m i l l i o n mortgages of $ 2 0 , 0 0 0 or l e s s were recorded f o r a t o t a l amount of more t h an $ 1 2 . 7 b i l l i o n , o r an average of n e a r l y $ 8 , 5 0 0 per l o a n . Although t h e number of r e c o r d i n g s was U per c e n t below t h e number f o r t h e same p e r i o d i n 1955, p r i c e s and l o a n terms have changed s i n c e then t o such an e x t e n t t h a t t h e ' a v e r a g e amount per l o a n recorded was 18 per c e n t h i g h e r i n 1959 and t h e t o t a l amount of l o a n s recorded was 13 per c e n t h i g h e r . Stock p r i c e s - Common s t o c k p r i c e s d e c l i n e d l a s t week i n moderate t r a d i n g volume. Standard and P o o r ' s 500 stock i n d e x c l o s e d a t 5 9 . 8 7 F r i d a y , O.6I1 p o i n t s below t h e c l o s e a week e a r l i e r . More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n c o n c e r n i n g r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE LOWER-GRADE BOND BOND YIELDS YIELDS h.i4 kxii.i.uit a Tables l'or Exhibit A ltiph-gxade Hond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / Spread between U, S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa l o c a l Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa 1 / (Per cent) 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low July July July July Aug. 10 17 24 31 7 e/ 2.85 4.14 4.13 3.55 4.48 1.09 (4/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) x (7/10) (1/9) 4.48 4.47 4.46 4.45 4.43 2.1.5 3.76 3.84 3.07 £13 3.83 (8/6) (10/18) (12/26) (4/25) (7/10) (1/2) 4.13 4.08 4.10 4.10 4.08 1.90 3.45 3.31 2.64 3.54 3.06 (9/2) (8/29) (9/11) (5/1) (7/2) (3/26) 3.52 3.51 3.48 3.48 3.44 .30 .60 .51 .22 .39 .16 .30 .47 .72 .34 .92 .57 .35 • .39 .36 .35 .35 .61 .57 .62 .62 .64 . Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 3.44 5.10 4.96 4.51 5.09 4.83 July July July July Aug. 5.07 5.09 5.09 5.07 5.08 10 17 24 31 . 7 £/ (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) (7/24) (4/17) 2.93(8/5) 4 . 5 1 (0/29) 4.34 ( 9 / 1 1 ) 3.64 (5/1) 4.46 ( 7 / 2 ) 3.92 ( 3 / 2 6 ) 4.45 4.45 4.39 4.39 4.37 .52 1.27 1.20 .77 .77 .56 .59 .62 .63 .62 .65 .96 1.21 1.11 .93 .98 .86 .93 . .94 .91 .91 .93 2 / I'reliminary. 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e in 10 years or more. J / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bondc are included; average term i s ?0 years. Note.—liiphs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. STOCK MARKET STOCK MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND LOANS MARKET CREDIT Exhibit D - T a b l e : ; f o r h'xhibiiu C Stock Market Date 1 9 5 3 - 1 9 5 8 - High. Low IV55 - H i g h Low May | June :July July July Aug. Stock p r i c e index 1/ 51i.ll 22.95 60.51 54.37 (12/24/58) (9/18/53) (7/31) (2/6) 57.96 57.16 59.19 59.65 60.51 59.87 1? 24 31 7 g/ Trading Common volume 1 / yields 2/ (millions (per cent) of shares) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers1 Bank debit balloans to ances 4 / "others" 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Total 3.30 6.25 3-08 3.31 4.9 0.9 4.3 2.6 4,492 2,o55 4,721 4,527 3,285 1,3114 3,M l 3.253 1 ,317 669 1 ,332 1 ,210 3.20 3.23 3.14 3.12 3.08 3.10 3.4 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.6 4,711 4,692 3,385 3,368 1,326 1,30k • 1,256 1,271 1,274 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . g / Preliminary. 1 / Standard and Poor's Tmposlte index of 500 common s t o i k s , weekly closing p r i c e s , 1941-43=10. Monthly data are averages of daily f i g u r e s rather than of Fridaya* only. Highs and lows are f o r Fridays' data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are f o r da tea on which price index reached i t s high or low. 3/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Ebcolwnge. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Excharge which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5/ Wednesday f i g u r e s for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. 5. i Government s e c u r i t i e s • Prior to July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only a t banks in New York and Chicago, i Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 70 p e r oent of loans t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see Bulletin. ; Nonfarm Mortgage R e c o r d i n g s and Loans 1 / Date 1 9 5 8 - May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. AprMay Unadjusted Total Seasonally VA Unadjusted FHA adjusted 2/ ( M i l l i o n s oi ' d o l l a r s ) 2,087 2,192 2,291 2,ii3 2,488 2,56? 2,652 2,629 2,677 2,631 2,683 E/2,683 n.a. 2,151 2,275 2,543 2,535 2,#6 2.*857 2,432 2,629 2,353 2,21,5 2,586 g/2,776 2/2,768 311 343 368 371 480 501 457 510 585 506 530 490 478 73 98 127 156 189 239 216 257 276 238 261 231 212 Conv. 1,767 1,835 2,048 2,007 1,927 2,116 1,759 1,861 1,491 1,500 1,796 E/2,055 B/2,079 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1/ Total recordings data are estimates based on reports from about 450 areas and include • mortgages of $20,000 or l e s s secured by nonfarm r e a l e s t a t e , primarily r e s i d e n t i a l p r o p e r t i e s . FHA-insured loans represent gross amount of insurance w r i t t e n , and VA-guaranteed loans the gross amount of loans closed,on 1-4 family houses. Conventional data are derived as a r e s i d u a l , although t o t a l recordings and VA and FHA loans ure not s t r i c t l y comparable i n concept or timing. 2/ Three-month moving average, seasonally adjusted by Federal Reserve. Sourcei Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration. t l H.lli Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of dollars) 1959 January Februa zy March BhQ 71*5 631 Corporate 1 / 1 1950 / 1 New c a p i t a l 1957 1959 720 857 1,5533/ 1,060 1,065 1,320 636 856 61*1* State and l o c a l 2/ 1 1958 1 1957 812 953 . 511 71*2 572 506 April May June p/826 £5/806 e/950 1,11*0 597 887 931 765 1,1*53 July August September e/550 e/650 1,107 51*0 1,111* 1,003 921* 973 862 518 920 1,090 789 1,076 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 3,1*1*5 3,11*9 2,899 2,951* 2,136 9/2,502 2,276 2,21,1* 1,860 1,365 1,820 1,70)* 1,51*1* 2,029 5,762 8,522 10,823 6,591* 9,1*93 12,1*1*7 9/^,638 1*,520 6,380 7,71*6 3,521* 5,069 7,099 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd l*th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1 s t half Three quarters Year 2,216 g/2,582: e/l*,798 " 930 592 E/980 798 895 551 765 51*6 393 • e/l*75 500 806 1*03 651 529 581* 1*31 1*56 1*71* 1*35 698 633 698 Excluding: finance companies h / 1st 2nd 3rd Lth quarter quarter quarter quarter 2.011 e/2,332 Year 2,899 2,506 2,731 2,213 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 10,129 11,518 e / Estimated. g / Preliminary. * 1 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2 / Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. 3 / Includes #713.2 m i l l i o n AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e , 5 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. Exhibit F Hi ill Other S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s 1 / ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Long-term Foreigr government 2 / Federal agency 3 / 1959 1 1958 I 1957 1959 1 1958 1 1957 January February March 77 59 2 197 5k 56 50 139 200. 120 81* k9 30 199 175 1,163 251 72 — — 123 1*8 .1*2 523 125 — 60 9 '..5 17 28 7 30 161* October November December 57 123 7k k 220 60 1 Year 992 507 April May June July August September — Short-t 215 — 100 — — 2,321 Federal agency 3 / " 190 233 1*60 273 326 1*55 11*7 359 500 1*89 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30 565 563 fall 357 351* 261+ 205 337 153 1*86 675 289, 209 161 329 336 1*69 5t>l July August September 289 1*23 369 272 272 252 727 1*37 206 330 221* 370 512 October November December 231 1*15 21*3 303 91* 1*59 1*51* 111* 137 1,238 255 116 3,910 3,271* January February March April May June • E./213 Tear ' 572 3,098 5,51*3 jd/ P r e l i m i n a i y . l / Data p r e s e n t e d i n t h i s e x h i b i t d i f f e r from t h o s e i n E x h i b i t E i n t h a t refundi n g i s s u e s , a s w e l l as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are i n c l u d e d . Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are d e f i n e d a s t h o s e maturing i n more than one y e a r . 2 / Includes s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n t h e United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r s u b d i v i s i o n s and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s . Source: S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. y I s s u e s n o t guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission$ short-term, Federal Reserve. k j P r i n c i p a l l y t a x and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t e s , warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and P u b l i c Housing Authority n o t e s . In some i n s t a n c e s PttA n o t e s included may have a somewhat Digitized l o nfor g e r FRASER t e r n than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. H.Ik Exhibit G Large Long-term Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury). 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered * ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1958 - July August September October November December 1959 - January February March April May June July S t a t e and l o c a l government 771 209 825 259 227 305 369 3ii0 215 359 3U2 26b 110 Other 2/ la. 275 109 288 172 259 229 335 551 369 563 258 635 19k 18 209 100 79 17 U 35 176 20 50 60 50 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered August 1 through 7 Type J / Issuer Amount (millions of dollars) Coupon r a t e or O f f e r i n g Maturity n e t i n t e r - y i e l d Rating est- c o s t CORPORATE Pennsylvania E l e c t r i c Co. lst.xntg.bds. . 15.0 1989 U.85 STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT Commonwealth of Penna. Los Angeles Sch. D i s t . , Cal OTHER None G.O. G.O. 120.0 26.0 1 9 6 2 - 7 7 0 3-UO 1960-61 3 . 7 2 2.75-3.36 2.50-3.80 Aa Aa H.U G-2 Footnotes n.a.—Not Available. 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over3 S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of #10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . 3 / In the c a s e of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G. 0 . denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s j R e v . - U t . , revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s j R e v . - Q . U t . , revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s j R e v . - S . T . , revenue bonds secured by revenue f r o m s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e , payments. ii.lll Foi*thcomirig Laiye Long-tenn Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Subsequent t o During month f o l l o w i n g date shown date shown S t a t e and S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l g o v t . Other 2 / computation 1958 . July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 1959 - Jan. 30 Feb. 27 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 161 785 113 204 301 210 270 198 396 21+6 287 165 238 __ 55 2la #5 258 229 261 551^ 292 550 254 247 146 356 71 75 45 381 914 216 326 4oi 370 365 279 476 346 332 272 305 ' 20 50 50 — 125 435 524 675 683 515 856 481 761 517 761 500 406 __ . 71 75 45 20 50 50 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of August 7 Issuer Type Amount Ikpproxima t e date ( m i l l i o n s | oi oi f e rint: of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Northern S t a t e s Power Co. Com. s t k . 20.9 Let Conv. suo. ceb. 30.0 47.0 1 s t mtr. bds. 1 s t ntg. bus. 1 s t & r e f . mtg. ods. ' Conv.. j r . deb. L e b . , c o s . ei common 35.0 *5.0 .65.0 22.5 45-. 0 Michigan B e l l Telephone Co. Pan American World Airways, Inc. Consumers Power Co. Houston Lighting & Power Co. P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. American and t o r e i r n Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. ! ' AU[;. 11 ( r i g h t s e xpire) 12 12 ire) a:.. . llf. Suni'".i Sunn t: 20 25 STATE ANL LOCAL X'VriiNHbNT S t a t e of Ohio Texas Water Development Board Nassau Co., New York New York Thruway Autnority vLos Angeles, Calii ornia (State of C a l i f o r n i a Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission G.O. 0.0. G.O. Rev.—Ut, G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 30.0 10.0 26.2 50.0 12.5 50.0 190.0 11 An,". 3 2 12 lull! . 19 Sept. 1 Sent. 10 ounmmr j-.iii'. h.li* H-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of August 7 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions of d o l l a r s ) Approximate date of o f f e r i n g OTHER None *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t ,ime. 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r reasons other than s a l e of i s s u e : None. Exhibit I Y i e l d s on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power bonds, hated Aa anu A 1 / - Date 195? - 1958 High Low 1959 - Jan. 7 20 28 Feb. 18 Mar. 11 25 26 31 Apr. 3 15 16 29 May 1 13 Ik 20 21 26 17 26 July 9 10 15 30 Aug. 5 A-rated o f f e i i n g y i e l d s Aa-rated o f f e ring y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per c e n t ) ( basis points) (basis points) 5.00 ( 9 A V 5 7 ) 2.93 (3/31/5W i4.60 it.65 , h do!/ k.kl b.h3 k.kl 87 -3 5.50 (11/7/57) 3 . 0 0 (3/17/51*) k.i$y . 23 u.67 18 L.85 5.06 17 13 ' 5.13 27 k.9?y 5.10 5.10 6 2k 19 5.10 5.00 19 13 3k liO k 11 9 9 13 h.60 !:&/ 22 21 7 1.95 1.95 38 3h 5.00 L95 38 29 L93 31 ii.85 2k 123 -15 * — S i n g l e o b s e r v a t i o n , not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between trn-.se new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. Averape maturity f o r trie seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 years. 2 / Provides f o r a 5-year period during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked i n c l u d e one or more i s s u e s with such a p r o v i s i o n . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n . 3/ Provides f o r a 7 - y e a r period during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding a t a l o v e r munon r a t e .