Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 1, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTBOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lli August 1, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large publicly- offered securities was large last weeks particularly for corporate securities, but is expected to be somewhat smaller this week. During the week ending July 26, corporations sold large issues totaling $255 million, including the expiration of subscription rights for First National City. Bank of New York's stock issue. State and local governments floated large issues totaling $88 million. The State and local government financing total includes a $10 million school district bond issue which was sold at a net interest cost of 3.97 per cent. This issue had been postponed in late June after the district rejected all bids received ~ the best one at that time designated a 3.99 per cent interest cost for the A-rated bonds. The calendar for this week includes two large corporate issues totaling $78 million, one of which is a subscription issue, and State and local government offerings amounting to $67 million. Bond yields - Yields on all categories of outstanding bonds increased last week. Corporate bond yields reached new highs for the year, while yields on U. S, Government and State and local government bonds remained below their peaks of late June. Offering yields on new issues also continued to increase. Oregon State's issue of Aa-rated veterans' welfare bonds was offered to investors this week at a net interest cost of. 3.65 per cent — U7 basis points above a similar issue sold in mid-April. During this 3month period, yields on outstanding Aa-rated bonds have increased 35 points. Oregon Veterans' Welfare Bonds . Issued in 1957 Amount (millions of dollars) ^April 18 July 29 10.0 15.0 Maturity Average term (years) Net interest cost 1967-70 1971 13 y 13 2/3 3.65 3.18 Yield New issue I Outstanding 1/ 3.02-3.05 3.45-3.50 l/ As measured by Moody's Aa municipal bond yield averages. 3.13 3.18 Estimated August volume - Corporate security issues for new capital during August are expected to total $900 million. This volume is 10 per cent below the estimated. July volume, but represents the , largest volume for any August in the postwar period and exceeds last year's August volume by three-eighths. Most of the estimated volume is comprised of issues to be publicly offered; take-downs of private placements are expected to be seasonally low. State and local government bond offerings for August are estimated at $375 million — one-fifth below the previous month, but seven-eighths above the volume in August last year and one-half above August 1955. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of common stocks declined last week, closing at 290.1 on July 26. Trading activity also declined with the daily volume averaging 1.8 million shares. Daily indexes this week indicate a sharp decline in prices on Monday with little change on Tuesday and Wednesday. More detailed information1 concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section> Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS 1954 1953 long-term 0J Date Corporate series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt, local govt. (old series) and Corporate(State and Aaa J/ Aaa 1local Aaa (Per cent) 3.12 (6/19) 3.15 (6/6) 2.99 (1/9) 2.78 (12/26) 3.09 (1/8) 2.7k (1/9) 2.85 (V23) 2.1*1* (8/7) (8/5) 1955 - High 3.17 (12/23) 2.9h Low 2.91 (1/7) 2.62 (1/7) 1956 - High 3.79 (12/28) 3.19 (12/21) Low 3.07 (3/2) 2.80 (2/17) 1957 - High ' lwOl (7/26) 3.70 (6/21) Low 3.66 (ii/12) 3.15 (2/8) 1953 - High Low 195b - High June 28 July 26 3.97 1*.00 3.97 3.96 1.01 3.68 3.61 3.53 3.63 3.66 n.a. 3.03 2.89 3.39 2.92 3.62 3,22 3.60 3:56 3.56 3.57 3.61 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) (8/5) 2.31 (9/8) (6/10) 2.05 (5/26) (12/28)3.05 (12/27)i (2/3) 2.17 (2/23) (6/21) 3.23 (6/27) (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) 3.23 3 ill 3.1U 3.22 .13 .a .13 .51 .25 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .5k .68 .32 .1*9 .26 .29 .39 .39 .35 .33 •1*5 . .1*1 .1*7 .1*9 .1*6 . .38 >19 .13 • .32 • 3h 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lU years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83. y Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS V Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt.. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. y (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - Ki--h Low June July July July July 28 5 12 19 26 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.71*. (1/8) l.hh (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.15 (1/llt) U.hl (12/28) 3.58(3/9) U.7U (7/26) h.hZ (U/12) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 li.22 3.20 L.35 3.90 L68 U.35 lt.33 I4.2U in 28 14.30 h.71 14.72 1.72 . U.714 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (6/27) (2/21) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 3.70 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/21) (1/W (2/22) V 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average -term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average, rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. h/ Series discontinued, as of March 15Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CREDIT Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common volume 2/ (millions yields J/ of shares) (per cent Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances h/ "others" 5/ Total (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 1951 - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low May July 12 July 19 July 26 167.1 llilnO 221.14 156.5 270.7 217.it 295.5 257.U 291.6 260.3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/lU) (8/3) tl/20) (7/12) (2/8) 381.2 286.2 291.6 291.3 290.1 1.5 3.1 1.5 .. 2.7 1.6 5.88 5.15 5.19 L.09 It.23 3.59 It.13 3.65 It.28 3.67 ?.h 2.2 2.6 2.2 1.8 3.82 3-79 3.67 3.69 3.69 2.5 0.9 3.7 1-1* h.e 2,1*1*5 2,055 -3,1*36 2,1*05 It,030 3,537 lt,0lt7 3,9U* it,031 3,832 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7ltO 2,667 1,713 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 3,921* it,031 2,791* 2,887 n.a. • n.a. 1,130 1,11*2* 1,135 1,132 n.a. ' n.a.—Hot available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19li7-li9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume' on the "ew i-ork Stock Exchange. Ji/- Moody's 125 industrial stocks; weekly data based on.Friday. it/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting meriber banks. Excludes loans.for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit. D H.Ik Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1957 January February March April May June July August September 1st half Three quarters Year Corporate 1956 I New Capital 1955 1957 State and local 1 1955 1 1956 1,063 1,071 1,3^ 573 712 817 535 1*07 1,223 685 566 1*99 l*ol* 696 390 535 312 538 e/1,350 818 1,11,6 8la 1*78 886 687 762 e/$S0 e/380 378 1*90 735 1*27 350 61*2 1,063 651 838 597 6hh 670 e/l*B0 e/375 376 199 333 . 1*70 2U9 h06 6bS 311 126 919 658 . 1*08 e/1,000 e/900 October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter itth quarter 1 3,1*79 e/3,050 e/6,529 71*5 . 1,0892/ 1,088 1,1621/ 632 900 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,907 7,1,63 10,38k It, 216 6,127 8,821 1,750 e/1,692 e/3,1*1*2 1,1*90 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,1*18 1,121* 1,981* 3,093 14,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 Excluding finance companies %/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter lith quarter 3,268 e/2,800 Year 1,617 2,51*1 2,2U6 2,826 , 1,727 1,870 1,1*1*1* 2,551* 9,259 7,595 e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issues. 2j Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issues. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. ; H.1U Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1956 - June July August September October November December 1957 - January February Marph April May June State and local government 185 592 217 #9 386 701 - i*30 567 671 788 U77 329 877 Other %/ 20 U63 16U 35 181* 383 135 201 386 306 19U U99 21*8 176 37 35 100 50 125 25 39 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 26 ^ Issuer Type J/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering of net inter- yield Rating dollars) est cost CORPORATE Southern Calif. Edison Co, 1st ref. mtg. bds. IiO.G Rochester Gas & Elec. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Timken Roller Bearing Co. Common stk. 19.4 Central Illinois Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Wisconsin Telephone Co. Deb. 30.0 Washington Water Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 West Penn Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Associates Investment Co. Deb. 20.0 Texas Electric Service Co. 1st mtg. bds; 16.0 Jersey Central Pwr. &Lt. Co. 1st mtg. bds* 15.0 Inland Steel Co. 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 First National City Bank of New York Capital stk. 120.0 Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 60.0 Tennessee Gas. Trans. Co. Deb. 25.0 for FRASER Sears Roebuck Accept. CorpJ Deb. .50.0 Digitized 1982 1987 h 3/4 4 7/8 U.70 U.80 Aa A 1987 1992 1987 1987 1977 1987 1987 1987 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 1.57 h.h3 li.88 4.75 5.75 U.65 U.90 U.38 Aa Aaa A Aa 5/8 1/2 7/8 7/8 3/4 3/4 3/8 1989 5 ' 1977 6 1982 . 5 4.95 6.08 5.00 Aa A Aa Aa Baa 9 H.llf E-2 . Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 26 (Cont'd) Coupon Amount Offering Rating Type 3/ (millions Maturity rate or net inter- yield of dollars) est cost Issuer STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Salt River Agric. Impr. & G.O. Power Dist., Arizona Fresno U.S.D., California G.O. Metro. Wtr. Dist. of So. California Rev. Port of New York Auth, Airport rev. Cook Co. S. D. Nb. 20$, 111. G.O. G.O. Philadelphia S. D., Penna. State of Minnesota Highway rev. G.O. Atlanta, Georgia G.O. St. Louis Co., Missouri G.O. State of Louisiana G.O. Westport, Connecticut ^Georgia Rural Roads Auth. Rev. W-lilwaukee, Wisconsin V/ater rev. East Baton Rouge Par. S.D., Louisiana G.O. State of California G.O. '5.0 7.0 1960-87 1960-77 1.29 3.31 3.20-L25 A 2.70-3.35 Aa 15.0 28.8 5.5 12.0 12.0 15.5 6.8 10.0 •5.14 17.5 10.0 1958-69 1958-75 1959-76 1959-82 1960-73 1958-86 1958-77 I96I4-66 1958-77' 1959-7 y68 1959-86/67 3.20 3.66 li.U9 3.55 2.89 3.39 3.28 3.20 3.50 it.08 3.62 2.50-3.20 Aa 2.70-3.70 A 3.10-1*. hO Baa 2.60-3.60 A 2.I4O-2.9O Aa 2.UO-3.U5 Aa 2.30-3.30, Aa 3.10-3.203Z 2.50-3.50 Aa 3.00-1.05 A 2.65-3.70 Aa 10.0 5o.o 1958-77 3.97 1959-78/73 3.58 2.60-1.00 A 2.75-3.55 OTH&R Montreal, Quebec | S.F. deb. 25.0 1977 5 1A 5,70. A 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over State and local government security, offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds%G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ Part not reoffered. # H.lL Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1956 - June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar*, 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. local govt. 1*37 21*7 36 9 315 683 136 1*76 591 7i+0 461 187 525 370 81 131 359 162 1*8 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 #6 795 1*86 258 • 525 .1*15 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 __ 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 26 Type Minneapolis-Honeywell Regulator Co. Amount (millions Approximate date _ of dollars) of offering Common stk. 28.2 •^Associates Investment Co. ^General Motors Acceptance Corp. Northern States Power Company J. Ray McDermott and Co. Deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. 5o.o 100.0 18.0 20.3 ^Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Co. ^Thompson Products, Inc. x Deb. Conv. sub. deb. 90.0 19.7 American Telephone & Telegraph Co. 250.0 August 1 (rights expire) August 2 August 8 August ll* August 20 (rights expire) August 21 August 27 (rights expire) October 29 H.llt F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 26 (Cont'd) Issuer , Type Amount Approximate date (mill ions of offering of dollars) STATE AND IOCAL GOVERNMENT G.O. State of Oregon G.O. State of New York G.O. Phoenix, Arizona " .. • Rev. Kansas Turnpike Authority G.R. frState of Connecticut G.O. #Du Page Co. H.S.D. No. 88, HI. G.O. Sacramento Unif. Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. Los Angeles City Sch. Dists., Calif. G.O. #Dade County, Florida G.O. -xDade Co., Spec. Tax. S.D. No. 1, Fla. Highway rev. State of Ohio G.O. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. State of Texas Utilities rev. Jacksonville, Florida Rev. University System Bldg- Auth., Ga. Rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. G.O. New York State Thruway Authority Rev. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority 15.0 27.9 6.0 18.0 35.0 7.9 7.0 Ui.O 7.5 9.5 31.0 10.0 12.5 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 65.0 July 29 July 30 July 31 Aug. 1 Aug. 6 Aug . 6 , Aug. 7 Aug. 13 Aug. 15 Sept. li Sept. 10 Oct. 15 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 1957 OTHER None *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $lf> million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: Public Service Electric and Gas Company's §2$ million preferred stock issue - withdrawn from registration.