Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 4, 1957
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^ H.lU .- ^ ^NTE9 % -' A p r i l h, 1957 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s was subs t a n t i a l l a s t - week, p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r corporate s e c u r i t i e s , but i s expected t o be somewhat smaller t h i s week. During the week ending March 29, corporations sold l a r g e i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $286 m i l l i o n , comprised of t h e $250 m i l l i o n AT&T debenture i s s u e and e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s f o r two stock i s s u e s , . S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s f o r §h9 m i l l i o n were sold, This week, r i g h t s expire on corporate i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $78 m i l l i o n a n d . S t a t e and l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s amounting t o &90 m i l l i o n a r e scheduled f o r s a l e . The S t a t e and l o c a l government f i n a n c i n g t o t a l i n c l u d e s the $50 m i l l i o n Connecticut Expressway's revenue bond i s s u e which was sold Tuesday a t a n e t i n t e r e s t , c o s t of 3.69 p e r c e n t . This i s s u e i s p a r t of a $75 m i l l i o n i s s u e which was o r i g i n a l l y scheduled f o r October 30, 1956 but postponed because of market conditions a t t h a t time. When rescheduled f o r s a l e on November 20, the i s s u e was reduced t o &5U m i l l i o n and c a n n e d a U.CO per cent c e i l i n g on i n t e r e s t c o s t . No bids were r e c e i v e d , however. The s u b s t a n t i a l l y lower r a t e a t which t h e i s s u e was marketed t h i s week i s n o t , howe v e r , an a c c u r a t e measure of t h e easing i n municipal bond markets; i n order to improve the m a r k e t a b i l i t y of t h e i s s u e , Connecticut made a number of changes i n terms, such as strengthening the underlying s e c u r i t y and lengthening t h e c a l l p r o v i s i o n s . Bond y i e l d s - Changes i n y i e l d s on outstanding bonds were mixed l a s t week. Yields on U. S, Government (new s e r i e s ) bonds increased one basis p o i n t and those f o r corporate Baa's remained s t a b l e . Yields on c o r p o r a t e Aaa, S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa and Baa and U. S. Government (old s e r i e s ) o b l i g a t i o n s declined. On A p r i l 3, Western Massachusetts E l e c t r i c Company's Aa. r a t e d 30-year f i r s t mortgage i s s u e was r e o f f e r e d t o y i e l d 1|»29 per cent — 7 b a s i s p o i n t s below t h a t f o r the l a s t comparable i s s u e , an o f f e r i n g made on Februazy 27. *5A p r i l e s t i m a t e s - The corporate volume of new c a p i t a l i s s u e s f o r A p r i l i s estimated a t $900 m i l l i o n , about 30 p e r c e n t below the estimated March volume, but 10 p e r cent g r e a t e r than t h e volume i n A p r i l l a s t y e a r . Included i n t h e t o t a l a r e expected l a r g e p u b l i c i s s u e s t o t a l i n g between $350 and $liOD m i l l i o n . A s u b s t a n t i a l volume i n t a k e downs of p r i v a t e placements i s a l s o expected. H. 14 - 2 - S t a t e and l o c a l governments are e.ip ected t o o f f e r #6^0 m i l l i o n of bonds during A p r i l , This would be more than o n e - t h i r d g r e a t e r t h a n the volume estimated f o r March and t h r e e - f o u r t h s above l a s t A p r i l ' s volume. - Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stocks increased s l i g h t l y l a s t week. Daily f i g u r e s through Wednesday of t h i s week i n d i c a t e l i t t l e change i n p r i c e s . More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE B O N D YIELDS GOVERNMENT U. S. Govt., lone-term 2/ DM. Corporate Aa,l/ Old series New series Spread between . U. S. Govt, State and local govt. (old series) and Corporate 1 State and Aaa 3/ Aaa Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 2^99 (1/9? 2*.78 (12/26) 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - high 1957 - High March 8 March 15 March 29 3.17 (12/23) r.9h (e/5) 2.91 (1/7) 2.62 (1/7) 3.07 (3/2) 3.82 (l/l*) 3.66 (3/29) L e o (2/17) 3.53 ( l / w 3.15 (2/8) 3.66 j.27 I S 3.21 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 3.03"(8/5) 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/26) 3.05 2.17 2.92 (2/3) 3.1*5 (1A) 3.05 2.76 3.22 (2/8) 3.28 3.26 3.26 3.28 3.29 2.83 2.90 2.88 2.88 2.86 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (1/10) (2/21) .38 .19 .1*3 •32 .31* •13 .a VL3 .51 .29 .81* •30 .61 .29 .70 .39 .36 .la .1*3 .1*5 .1*1* .1*0 •37 ;36 .35 •32 .1*8 .26 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 of 1995 and the 3 1/1* per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average ten ™ Note?--Highs and lows are f o r individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t series. FXHIBIT B L O W E R - GRADE B O N D YIELDS 1954 Date . 1955 Corporate Baa J / 1956 S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / S t a t e and local govt, rev. 3 / (Per c e n t ) 1953 - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 3.89 3.50 3.71; 3.I4U 3.63 3.U5 l+.ia 1957 - High Low 4.50 (1/18) k.k2 ( 3 / 2 9 ) March March March March March i t i U.I42 U.U2 1954 - High 1 8 15 22 29 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1Ah) (12/28) 3.58 (3/9) U.k7 1.11(8^) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) U.22 ( 1 2 / 2 7 ) 3.20 (3/8) 4.22 (1/10) 3.90 (2/21) 3.99 3.99 3.99 3.97 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.93, 2.89 3.98 3.70 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/24) (lA) (2/22) 3.83 . >4? 3.93 included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are i n cluded; average term i s 20 y e a r s . 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 y e a r s . k/ S e r i e s d i s c o n t i n u e d . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET I /" ! '""I I " STOCK MARKET CREDIT i 2000 Common yields y (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers -,_yank. debit bal- loans to ances U/ others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) ' 1953 - High 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High February March 15 March 22 March 29 167.1 (1/2) lUt.O (9/18) 221.lt 156.5 270,7 217.lt 295.5 257.k 279.2 260.3 (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/Ut) (6/3) (1/20) (1/W . (2/8) 262.14 265.1 265.7 265.1 266.2 2.5. 0.9 % 1.5 3.1 1.5 1:1 2.0 1.7 i:Z 1.7 5.88 5.15 It.28 3.91 2,ltlt5 2,055 3,136 2,1,05 It,030 3,537 It,01,7 3,911t 3,903 .3,616 1,665 1,31It 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,7lt0 2,762 2,729 It. 27 3,81,6 2,7.29 5.1*9 It.09 It. 23 3.59 ltil8 It.18 It. 16 780. 66k •1,01,8 71t6 1,2a 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 1,117 l,'l?6 1,121 n.a.—Not available 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939=100; converted to 19u7-lt9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.9,1. 2J Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. V Moody's 125 industrial stocks; weekly data based on friday. h/ End of month figures f o r member firms of the i.ev York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by V. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures f o r weekly reporting member banks. .Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying 0. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Hi$is and lows are f o r individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. H.1U Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements . (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1957 January February March e/1,039 April May June e/900 New c a p i t a l Corporate 1956 1 ill quarter quarter quarter quarter 6/3,364 1 s t half Three q u a r t e r s Year S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1956 I 1955 1957 535 U07 1,223 e/660 e/525 e/500 hoh 696 390 535 312 538 . h78 e/675 378 1+90. 735 61+2 670 3# 199 333 1*06 71.7 1,0885/ l,09ii 1,1621/ 632 900 6ii5 311 i+26 919 6# i;08 2,073 2,789 2,571 2,929 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,1*90 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,1*18 1,121* 1,981* 3,093 ii,001 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 579 70ii 790 816 1,114; 830 '886 .687 1,066 669 836 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd iith 1 ii,862 7,432 10,362 597 6hk- • U,2l6 6,127 8,821 e/l^b: • 1955 k27 1*70 2h9 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / 1st 2nd 3rd iith quarter quarter quarter quarter e / 3 , l6ii Year 1,617 2,519 2,263 2,83k 9,233 • 1,727 1,870 z/l,hhk 2,55k c/7,595 e / Estimated, 1 / Includes ^637,2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 2j Includes $571.5 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e , 3 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. * Note,—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. Exhibit E H.lU Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1956 - March April May June July August September. October November December 1957 - January February March 278 395 623 185 592 217 558 366 701 1*30 567 671 788 S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2/ 163 157 233 163 16U 35 18U 383 135 201 386 306 19k . 50 20 37 35 100 50 — Large Individual Issues Offered During March Issuer CORPORATE • Commercial Credit Co. Anaconda Co. Columbus & So. Ohio Elec. Connecticut Lt. & Pwr. Co Texas Eastern Trans. Corp, Southern Counties Gas Co. Commonwealth Edison Co, Central & South West Co, Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corporation American Natural Gas Co. Dresser I n d u s t r i e s , Inc. Consolidated Edison Co. El Paso Natural Gas Co. " Appalachian Elec. Pwr. Co. Public Service Elec. & Gas Company Consumers Power Co. I Lone Star Gas Co. American Tel. & Tel. Co. General Public I J t i l . Corp. Type 2 / Coupon Amount (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity Rating of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost Sub, notes Common s t k . 1st mtg.bds. Common s t k . 1 s t artg.F.L. bds. 1 s t mtg, bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Common s t k . Common s t k . Common s t k . Conv.sub.deb. Conv. deb, Cum.pfd.stk, 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. Common s t k . Conv.pfd,stk. Deb. Common s t k . 1977 h 1/2 1.65 16.0 1987 b 1/2 k.hl h 7/8 U 5/8 h 1/h It. 91 U.53 it. 25 A Aaa Vl3 Baa A 25.0 86.7 15.3 iiO.O 1977 i5.o 1982 5o.o 1987 2.1,5 16.3 2h.l 20.0 1977 . 5U.8 1972 15.0 29,0 1987 50.0' 1977 Si 250,0 20.7 1985 k h 1/8 ' 1/2 U 5/8 h 5/8 . h 3/8 k.50 U.55 • >.30 A A L52 . Aa ti.llt E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered During March (Cont'd) Issuer Type 1/ Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or Maturityof net i n t e r dollars) e s t cost Offering y i e l d Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERifljENT Houston Ind. Sch. D i s t . , Texas G.O. 16.8 1958-8? S e a t t l e , Washington G.O, 6.5 1959-77 S t a t e of Rhode Island G.O. 13.0 1958-85 Ferndale Sch. D i s t . , Mich. G.O. . 5.5 1958-83 Chicago, I l l i n o i s Vltr.rev. 15.0 1970-77 Memphis, Tennessee G.O. • 11.5 1958-87 Brovard Co. Spec. Tax School D i s t , , Florida G.O. 6.0 1959-76 Alabama Highway Authority L.L. lU.O 1958-76 Cojnmcnwealth of Mass. G.O. 20.2 1958-77 Dade Co. Tax D i s t r i c t No. 1, Florida G.O. 10.0 1959-76 Glendale, California Elec.rev. 6.5 "1958-77 • Louisiana S t . Bldg, Auth. L.L. 9.9 1962-71 S t a t e of South Carolina G.O. 10.0 1958-77 Commonwealth of Puerto Rico G.O. 10.0 1958-77 State of Ohio Thoroughfare rev. 32.0 1957-72 Palm Beach School D i s t r i c t No. 1, Florida G.O. 6 . 9 1959-78 3.50 3.21 3.19 h.Oh 3.66 3.03 A 2.35-3.50 2.35-3.25 A 2.00-3.25 A 2.60-Loo Baa 3.1*0-3.60 A Aa 2.00-3.10 3.60 2,70-3.60 2.1*0-3.65 2.00-3.05 A A Aa 3.62 3.06 2.70-3.65 2.20-3.05 3.20-3,75 2.00-2.85 2.60-3.70 A Aa Baa Aa A Aa 3.63 3.03 3.00 2.83 3.73 2.91 3.55 2.00-2.90 2.60-3.55 n.a. OTHER _L n. a. —Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of &15 million and overj S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of is>5 million and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and Internationa^ Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues3 L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit F H.lU Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month f o l l o w i n g date shown S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / Date of computation 380 568 198 437 2b7 369 315 683 U36 ii76 591 1956 - Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 J u l y 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 7h0 1*61 132 173 332 81 131 359 162 i|6 280 153 153 390 Subsequent t o date shown Corporate | ^ c a ^ g o " ! 1,013 818 lw8 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 U81 796 966 795 U86 — —— 37 23 100 35 25 811 832 9itl 690 726 958 1>197 955 979 763 648 631. 862 other 2/ —— 37 23 100 35 25 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s . o f March 29 Issuer Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date I of d o l l a r s ) ; of o f f e r i n g CORPORATE El Paso Natural Gas Co. Baltimore Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Southern Company Aluminum Co. of Canada, Ltd, •frSears Roebuck Acceptance Corp. Houston Lighting & Power Co. U. S. F o i l Co. Reynolds Metals Co. Quebec Natural Gas Corp. Quebec Natural Gas Corp. Conv. 2nd p f d . s t k . * April 2 ( r i g h t s expire) April 3 17.9 .. ( r i g h t s expire) Common s t k . A p r i l .1* 30.-1 ' ( r i g h t s expire) S.F. deb. 125.0 A p r i l 11 Sub. deb. 25.0 A p r i l 12 Common s t k . April 15 26.3 (rights expire) Common s t k . 20.2 A p r i l 16 ( r i g h t s expire) Common s t k . 20.1 A p r i l 16 ( r i g h t s expire) 1 s t mtg, bds. 25.0 A p r i l 16 1 Sub. deb. & common 15.0 A p r i l 16 Common s t k . 30.0 H.lli Forthcoming Large Offerings., a& of March 29 (Cont'd) Issuer Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) Type CORPORATE (Cont'd) -^Transcontinental Gas Corp. Columbia Gas System, I n c . Babcock & Wilcox Co. -^-Northwestern Bell Telephone Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. 1 s t ratg, bdSi Common s t k . 50.0 26, k * C a p i t a l stk, 20.0 Deb, 1 s t mtg. bds. 30.0 25.0 A p r i l 18 A p r i l 22 ( r i g h t s ejgpire) A p r i l 22 ( r i g h t s expire) A p r i l 2U 1957 .ST&TE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT J e f f e r s o n Co., Texas • Los Angeles City Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . S t a t e of Connecticut H a r r i s Co. Navigation D i s t . , Texas Miami, F l o r i d a Lynchburg, Virginia Ohio S t a t e University - S t a t e of Michigan J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway Authority Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s *St. Paul, Minnesota Milwaukee, Wisconsin Orleans Par, Sch. D i s t . , La. P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania ^•State of Oregon *New. York, New York S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a e s t a t e of Ohio Jacksonville, Florida F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania* Turnpike Commission Inter-American C<wi.er Auth,, F l o r i d a New York S t a t e x'hruway Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority G.O, G.O, Expressway r e v , G.O, G.O. Wtr. & swr. r e v . Dormitory r e v , Expressway r e v . Rev, G.O, G.O. G.O, G.O. G.O, G.O. G.O, G.O, Utilities Rev, Rev. Rev. • G.O, Rev. 5.h 20.0 50,0 7.0 7.5 5.0 6.0 25.0 iiil.l 36.1 6.7 22.2 5.0 . 29.5 10.0 30,5 80.0 60.0 rev. 30.0 185.0 62,0 20.0 50.0. 65.0 . April 1 April 2 April 2 April 3 April 3 April 8 April 8 April 9 April 9 A p r i l 10 April 10 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 17 A p r i l 17 April 18 A p r i l 23 A p r i l 2h May 1 May 9 July 1 1957 1957 1957 1957 OTHER High Authority of t h e European Bonds A p r i l 10 Coal and S t e e l Community 25.0 —Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over5 S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Note.—Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : Melbourne, F l o r i d a , §6.8 m i l l i o n water and sewer revenue i s s u e — no bids r e c e i v e d . H.14 Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A Date 1952 - 1956 High Low A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) ( b a s i s points) (per cent) (basis p o i n t s ) U. 30(12/12/'56) 2.93(3/31/54) 1956 - January February March April May June July August September October 10 . 31 November 21 December 6 12 1957 - January 8 16 18 22 2k February 5 19 27 March 6 12 20 29 62 - 3 None *3.15 3.28 *3.77 *3.53 *3.52 3,66 *U-07 1.13 3 11 . k) 19 18 29 52 53 1.20 4.30 48 52 4.30 47 62 4.50 4.43 4.40 4.29 4.25 4.22 . 56 - 53 45 46 43 4.58(12/6/!# ) 3.00(3/17/54) None 3.23 3.45 3.61 3,76 *3,75 *3.82 *4.oo None 4.40 70 -15 - 6. 15 26 28 27 28 43 63 4.58 70 4.67 70 4.56 57 4.41 4.58 4.55 4.45 . 35 52 49 43 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only.30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between these new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s .