Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 2, 1958
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Not for Publication Hilii ' DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS : April 2, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large public security offerings for new capital continues to be moderate. During the week ending March 28, corporations sold large issues totaling $U0 million and State.and local governments offered issuesjgith aggregate proceeds of $106 million. Another State and local government issue scheduled for sale last week was not sold. The State of Iowa received no bids for its $25 million Aaa-rated veterans bonus bond issue because of a 2 1/2 per cent limitation on interest cost. This week, corporate issues are expected to total $101 million and State and local government issues totaling $60 million are scheduled for sale. A foreign government issue for $75 million is also expected. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed> but minor last week. Yields on corporate and Baa-rated State and local government bonds increased, while those on State and local government Aaa's remained stable. U. S. Government bond yields declined. Two new Aa-rated, first mortgage electric utility bond issues were offered to the public on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, one to yield 3.98 per cent and the other it.00 per cent as compared with a similar offering made last week at it.05 per cent. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and-Poor's index of 500 common stocks, declined last week, closing at 1|2.20 on March 28. Prices declined further in the early part of this week. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS / V V/V Date State and local govt. Aaa y Spre<id between U. S. Govt, and Corporate 1 State and Aaa (local Aaa Corporate Aaa 1/ 0. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 3.1*2 (6/19) 3.19 (6/5) 2.7k (12/31) 2.71* (1/8) 2.1*5 (8/6) 2.97 (8/5) 2.61* (1/7) 3.1*5 (12/28) 2.81* (2/17) 3.76 (10/08) 3.18 (2/8) 3.28 (1/31) 3.20 (1A0) 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) 2.31* (9/8) 2.05 (5/26) 3.05 (12/27) 2.17 (2/23) 3.1*5 (8/29) 2.76 (2/21) 2.86 (1/9) 2.65 (1/23) .38 .20 .1*3 .30 .27 .11 .1*1 .12 .60 .27 .1*6 .28 .83 • 33 .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 .1*7 .15 .62 .31* 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.21* 3.21 2.76 2.78 2.78 2.79 2.79 .33 .35 .35 .39 .1*3 .51 .1*9 .1*9 .1*5 .1*2 (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 - High Low 1956 High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 U.l1* 3.66 3.68 3.56 February 28 March 7 March ll* March 21 March 28 3.60 3.62 3.62 3.63 3.61* (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (k/12) (1/3) (1/31) / 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of botida included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of dally figures. The series Includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. y Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are includedj average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Baa \/i I STATE AND LOCAL GO^ A/ V\ 1953 1954 1955 Corporate Baa 1/ Date 1956 . 5 State and local govt. Baa 2/ (Per cent) 1958 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.a 3.63 3.U5 4.41 3.58 5.10 4.42 4.96 J*.6U February 28 March 7 March lit March 21 March 28 It. 65 4.66 4.67 4.68 4.69 . 1953 - High 1954 - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (4/12) (1/3) (2/21) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32(1/7) 2.93(8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 4.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 4.51 (8/29) 3.90 (2/21) 3.92 (1/2) 3.73 (1/23) .3.85 3.85 3.86 3.89 3.90 M 1957 5 1958 5 Spread between Aaa and Baa |State and Corporate 1local govt. — .69 .42 .68 .52 .54 .45 .63 .42 1.27 .64 1.28 1.04 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.21 x l S .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.04 1.11 1.02 ' 1.09 1.07 1.08 1.10 1.11 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-2oyears. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. . STOCK MARKET Stock price Trading Common Stock market customer credit Customers' Bank volume 2/ (millions yields y Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances h/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High 26.51* (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21*.93 (1/8) 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/11.) 1*9.61* (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 (12/20) 1*2.1*2 (3/21) 1*0.37 (Vio) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* I*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* • 2.5 1.7 January February March lii 1*1.12 1*1.26 1*2.33 1*2.1*2 1*2.20 2.3 2.0 2.1* 2.3 2.2 6.25 5.38 5.82 . a. 32 ' 1*. 1*2 3.61* U-35 3.82 1*.72 3.91 U.58 1**33 1*.1*8 1*.1*9 l*.3l* 1*.33 1*.35 2,1*55 m M30, 3,537 •5® U.031 3,576 1,665 1,3114 2,368 1,653 2,ti05 2,517 2,823 2,7LO JS 2,887 2,1*82 2,580 2,1*87 3,551 3,679 2,1*87 2,580 780 661 1,01*8 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,117 1,051 1,067 1,09? 1,106 1>U7 n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 191*1-1*3-10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Higha and lows are for Fridaj's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New -York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations.. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting hanks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. - Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1958 January February March April May e/ 800 s/875, e/ 1,5002/ e/ 900 October November December quarter quarter quarter quarter 1957 92U 771 1,189 818 . 1,1U6 1958 State and local 1/ 1 1957 1 1956 7U2 572 506 aoa 696 378 a9o 8Ul : 765 516 393 838 k3± 529 58L aos 206 357 7 h.5 1,089 3/ 633 698 639 3a? 792 1,086 1,088 3,L79 3,18U2,878 2,933 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 III 1st half Three quarters Year 1956 573 712 817 1,055 e/ 3,175 1 1,063 1,071 1,3^ 991 91U 973 July August September 1st 2nd 3rd lith Corporate 1 1,907 7,to 10,381* 810 9Wi e/550 e/700 e/2,30L 390 735 698 ao9 1,820 1,U90 l,70a 1,5a 1,603 971 2,029 1,395 3,521 3,093 a, 06a 5,a59 5,069 7,099 Excluding finance companies hj 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter e/ 2,875 Year 3,268 2,92b 2,560 2,788 1,617 2,511 2,216 2,826 11,5^3 9,260 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes £718.3 mill ion AT&T convertible debenture issue. V Includes $571-5 million AT&T common stock issue. %/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Exhibit E H.lU Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - February March April May State and local government 671 788 h77 329 877 525 526 537 57a a20 399 318 605 July August September October November December 1958 - January February Other 2/ 306 19a h99 2kQ 176 265 357 185 a35 386 a39 506 629 50 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 15 • JL Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 28 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon Offering (millions Maturity of net inter- yield dollars) est cost Hating CORPORATE Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. lst&ref.mtg.bds.30.0 1st mtg.bds. liO.O Ohio Edison Co. . Union Electric Co. 1st mtg.bds. 35.0 Columbia Gas System, Inc. Deb. 30.0 Pub. Service Elec. & Gas Pfd. stk. 25.0 Sylvania Elec. ProductsJha S.F. deb. 20.0 Sylvania Elec. Products lac Conv. sub. deb.20.0 Conv. deb. 718.3 American Tel. & Tel. Co. Miss. River Fuel Corp. Deb. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 Chi.,Rock Is. & Pacific RR 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Carolina Pwr. & Lt. Co. Pfd. stk. 20.0 Tenn. Gas Trans. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Texas Eastern Trans. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 2h.O Georgia Power Co. 1st mtg. bdd. 20.0 Florida Power & Light Co. Gen'l. Telephone Co. of 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 California 1993 1988 1988 1983 h U iA h 3/8 h 3/8 3.9k a.15 a.22 a.ao 1980 1983 1973 1978 1983 1988 U 1/2 i:g fcg a i/8 U.oo 1978 1988 1988 h 1/8 1988 a i/8 h 3/U hl/h h 3/U 5 1/2 5.50 a.92 a.07 a. 05 a.io Aa" Aa A Baa Ba Aa Baa Baa Aa Baa A Aa Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 28 (Cont'd) Type 3/ •Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net interyield of dollars) est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Rev=-Utc Seattle, Washington Miami, Florida G,0. G.O. State of Mississippi Harrisburg Swge. Auth.3Pa Rev.-Rent. Newark, New Jersey G.O. G.O. Cuyahoga Co., Ohio .Milwaukee, Wisconsin Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Lafayette, Louisiana St. Paul, Minnesota G.O. State of West Virginia Rev.-S,T. State of Ohio Rev.-S.T. Rev.-Q.Ut. Indiana University Orlando Utilities Comm.Fla. Rev.-Ut. State of New York G.O. Rev.-Ut. hoboken, New Jersey State of Louisiana G.O. Providence, Rhode Island G.O. Fort Worth I, S. D., Tex, G.O. Harris Co,, Texas G.O. Buffalo, New York G.O. Rev.-Q.Ut. Los Angeles, California OTHER 20.0 12.7 20.0 7.2 15.0 5.3 10.0 8.0 5.4 • 8.7 32.0 6.1 12.5 49.5 7.3 7.5 6.7 5.0 7.0 10.6 7.8 1960-68/68 1960-bti 1959-73 1961-83/63 1959-78 1959-73 1959-86/68 1960-87/63 1959-88 " 1959-68 1958-72 .1960-87 1961-84/68 1959-78 1959-98/68 1963-93/68 ' 1959-82 1959-82 1959-78 1959-73 1993 3.63 1.75-3.75 3.11 1.80-4.25, z 2.68 1.10-2.85-^ 3.01 1.70-3=50 3.09 1.30-3.35 2.55 1.10-2.85 3.12 1.25-3.25 t/ 4.13 2.40-4.202/ 2.93 1.10-3.00 2.38 1.10-2.60 2.56 1.00-2.80 n.a. 3.21 1.70-3.30 2.42 0.90-2.70 4.34 1.50-4.35 3.34 2.00-3.90 3.24 1.10-3.50,, 3.00 1.10-3.252/ 2.90 1.10-3.207/ 2.22 1.85-2.60 n.a. 5.27 A A Aa Aa A Aa Aa Baa Aa A Aa Aa Aaa Baa A A A A n.a.—Not available. . 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over, 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case-of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilitiesj Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured by revenue of quasi-utilities3 Rev.-3.T., .revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev,-Rent,> revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 4/ 1972-73 maturities not reoffered, 5/ 1987 maturity not reoffered. 0/ 1981-82 maturities not reoffered. 7/ 1978 maturity not reoffered. ' ii-iH Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following ' date shown State and Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Bate of computation 1957 - Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 — Jan. 3I Feb. 28 Mar. 31 1*61 187 525 370 526 578 576 1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 552 290 179 97 172 252 2L3 370 369 387 383 1*29 175 3U0 25 25 25 30 30 18 .150 110 Subsequent to date shown C o i P o r a t e ^ t ^ n d J o t h e r g/ 1*86 258 525 1*15 811 81*5, 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 862 396 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 573 589 61k 51*6 389 372 25 25 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 28 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Wisconsin Electric Power Co. General American Transportation Co. General Telephone Corp. Pacific Petroleum Ltd. Duquesne Light Co. Joseph E. Seagram & Sons, Inc. American Can Co. Douglas Aircraft Co. Aluminum Co. of America . Richfield Oil Corp. Commonwealth Edison Co. -^Diamond Gardner Corp. Mississippi Power & Light Co. Consolidated Edison Co. of New York -^Southern Counties Gas Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Tennessee Gas Transmission Co. 1st nrtg. bds. Equip, tr. cert. Common stk. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. S.F. deb. Deb. Conv. sub. deb. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st ref. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb.,bds. & common 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 30.0 20.0 21. U 30.0 15.0 1*0.0 1*0.0 60.0 125.0 19.0 50.0 25.0 15.0 50.0 15.0 1*5.0 1*0.0 30.0 Apr. 1 Apr. 3 Apr. 3 Apr. 3 Apr. 10 Apr. 10 Apr. 10 Apr. 11 Apr. 11 Apir. lit (rights expire) Apr. 16 Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. 23 Apr. 2k 1958 1958 1958 F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 28 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Texas-Veterans Land Board G.O. „ G.O. Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Los Angeles, California Rev.-Ut. Lafayette Par. Sch. Dist."""No. 1, La. G.O. Tampa, - Florida Rev.-Ut. . Anne Arundel Co., Maryland G.O. Chicago, Illinois G.O. State of Maryland . G.O. /*Erie Co. Wti*. Auth., N. Y. Rev.-Ut. State of Massachusetts G.O. Louisiana State University Rev.-Q.Ut. State of California - G.O. -"-Philadelphia, Pa. G.O. ::-State of Ohio • Rev.-S.T. 12.5 ' 18.3 13.5 . 7.0 8.U 5.0 7.5 2L6 6.5 96.9 7.5 100.0 31.9 . 32.0 Apr. 1 Apr. 1 Apr. 2 Apr. 2 Apr. 3 Apr. 8 Apr. 9 Apr. 9 Apr. 10 . Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. 23 Apr. 30 May 20 OTHER Ontario, Canada Edmonton, Alberta, Canada -x-Belgian Congo Ext. deb. Ext. deb. Ext. loan bds. 75.0 20.0 15.0 Apr. 2 Apr. h Apr. 17 *--Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and -local government issues of §5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.-—Deletions for reasons other than sale of'issue: State of Iowa ^2h.l million general obligation issue — n o bids received. Exhibit G Yields cn iNew and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, hated Aa and A 1/ Aa-ratcfl offering yields Actual I Amount above 1952 - 1956 High Low it. 30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/5it) 19^7 - January February March April May June July August September October November December it.itit it. 25 None Wt.29 it.itit it.71 -it. 66. *5.oo it. 83 . *it.78 , •it-it. 30 62 -3 57 Wt > 50 58 81 57 75 5it hS U9 lit 1958 - January 8 9 17 21 23 February 5 lit 20 21 25 26 28 March it 5 6 12 19 A-rated offering yields Amount above Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) it.58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/51) it. 62 61t It. 50 it.55 it. 80 it5 5it 79 1 :&/ None *5.10 l:°2& 106 70, 51 U6 66 *it.itO it 3.85 9 13 -3 3.90 -3 3.92 -3 iUo It. 25 1 3.80 3.60 70 -15 -8. 3.80 3.80 13 12 3.95 it.00 28 33 it.15 a.22 it. 00 it. 00 itit 50 28 26 21 it.07 -7 25 it.05 31 * — S i n g l e observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Providesfor a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other averages and issues have no such provision.