Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 12, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU April 12, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of p u b l i c l y sold s e c u r i t y i s s u e s was very • l a r g e l a s t week, but i s expected t o be more moderate during t h e r e s t of A p r i l . Large corporate i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $2l±9 m i l l i o n were e i t h e r sold or had s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s expire during the week ending April 6, while l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l bond i s s u e s aggregating ^19 m i l l i o n were f l o a t e d . This week a |U0 m i l l i o n corporate debenture i s s u e and m i l l i o n of S t a t e and l o c a l bonds are scheduled f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Yields on a l l types of outstanding bonds increased f u r t h e r l a s t week, e s t a b l i s h i n g new highs f o r t h e y e a r . Daily data i n d i c a t e i n c r e a s e s through Tuesday of t h i s week f o r corporate and U. S. Government (old s e r i e s ) y i e l d s . S t a t e and l o c a l government and U. S. Government bond y i e l d s l a s t week were at the highest l e v e l since l a t e 1953* At week-end, corporate Baa-rated bond y i e l d s were the h i g h e s t s i n c e . e a r l y 195k, but Aaa y i e l d s were s t i l l s l i g h t l y below the 1955 high. Yields on newly issued 30-year f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bonds increased somewhat l a s t week, as shown i n Exhibit G. The spread between y i e l d s on t h e two new i s s u e s and y i e l d s on simi l a r outstanding ...bonds was 23 and 26 b a s i s p o i n t s , about t h e same as t h e spread a week e a r l i e r . Tuesday of t h i s week, a new i s s u e of t h i s type, but with s l i g h t l y s h o r t e r m a t u r i t y , was o f f e r e d a t the even higher y i e l d of 3=6? per cent. Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s increased to a.new high l a s t week and, as measured by the SEC index of 265 s t o c k s , were 290.8 on April 6. P r i c e s declined on Monday of t h i s week and- then broke sharply on Tuesday, closing a t about t h e mid-March l e v e l s . There was some recovery Wednesday. More d e t a i l e d „ i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t market developments i s presented i n t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly - Per c e n t p e r o n n u m CORPORATE A a a U. S. GOVERNMENT: i STATE AND LOCAL | GOVERNMENT A a a 1953 1954 1955 long-term <z/ u. s . Date Corporate Aaa'1/ Old s e r i e s New serids 1956 Spread between State.and U. 5l» Govt, local govt. (old series) and CorporateIState and Aaa 3 / Aaa Jlocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195L - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low March March March March April 9 16 23 30 6 3.1t2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.16 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (V8) . U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (L/6) (3/2) 3.08 3.10 3.12 3-lU | 3-16 3.15 2.78 2.71 2.1* 2.9U 2.62 3.03 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) <V6) (2/17) 2.86 2.89 2.93 2.96 3.03 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. n.a. 3.03 2.89 3.07 2.92 2.96 2.97 2.99 3-01 3.07 (8/5) (6/10) (it/6) (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.38 2.17 2.18 2.25 2.27 2.33 2.38 (6/25) < (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (l*/5) (2/23) -38 .19 .1*3 32 • 31* .13 .28 .13 .81* • 30 .61 .29 •70 •51* .68 •56 .22 .21 .19 .18 .13 .68 .6U .66 •63 .65 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable a f t e r 12 years through September 1955# and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from lU years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956 • The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l A per cent bond of 1978-83* 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ts 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . L O W E R - GRADE B O N D YIELDS Per cent per annum CORPORATE B a a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B a a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE \W-LU Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. rev. 3/ . State and l o c a l gcrvt. Baa V (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low March March March March April 9 16 23 30 6 3.89 (9/18) iS MS 3.Ui 3.63 3.L5 3.6U 3.58 (12/31) (12/30) (1M) (U/6) (3/9) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3-32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 3-33 (U/5) 3.20 (3/8) 3.58 3.59 3.20 3.62 3.29 3-33 3.60 3.61 3.26 . 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.01 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (L/6) (2/2U) 2.91 2.96 2.98 3.00 3.01 1/ Weekly average of daily, f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. . 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. j 3/ Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . FRASER Digitized for STOCK MARKET Date Stock price Common Trading volume 2 / (millions y i e l d s j / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances ti/ "others" 5 / (Millions of dollars) 1956 - High Low 167.1 U*l*.0 221.U 156.5 270.7 217.U 290.8 257.U February March March 23 March 30 April 6 266.3 283-2 288.1* 287.8 290.8 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (I/Hi) (l*/6) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3-7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 2.0 5.75 5-15 5-33 1*.20 U.22 3.78 1*.08 3.68 2,1*5 2,055 3,1*36 2,U05 L,030 . 3,537 lt,0U0 3,991 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,786 2,71*0 780 66b 1,01.8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,21*9 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 3-93 3.68 3,991 2,71*0 in.a. n.a. 1,251 1,252 1,252 1,252 n.a. 3.68 n.a. ' n.a.-'-Not available. V SEC index of 26$ common stocks, treekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 1967-1*9*100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. ~V Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. U/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. $J Wednesday figures f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S> Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans t o others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March L8? 708 e/8?5 April May June e/800 Corporate 1 1955 1 546. 1I36 1,261 U9U 903 697 . New c a p i t a l 1956 5U7 126 635 aoa e/650 e/375 535 312 5# 396 a n 565 197 6# ea'2 e/350 U27 350 6U1 73a ?as 853 a 70 ao6 279 261 6a9 919 658 aos 59a a23 877 1,385 i,ais 1,12a 1,98a 5,911 1,372 2,33a 1,188 1,89a 6,789 July August September #3 65L 680 October November ' December.. 1,207 631 921 1,003 '290 60U 2,2U3 2,094 1,917 2,760 9,OIL 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,190 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r -' 3rd q u a r t e r . Uth q u a r t e r Year e/2,070 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r - 3rd q u a r t e r Uth q u a r t e r Year e/1,670 . S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1955 1 195U 909 335 7U7 21x9 e/l,U25 195a Excluding f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1,791 1,912 l,Wil 2,619 7,762 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,%% 7,158 . 1 / I n c l u d e s $637*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e d e b e n t u r e i s s u e . • 2 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. • N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. . H.12* Exliibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month 1955 - March April May J une July August September October November December 1956 - January February March Corporate | | I 750 173 U83 175 101 I4O5 328 805 221 263 95 212 278 S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2 / __ 337 238 152 h03 278 65 23lt 716 396 205 192 h33 163 . 15 25 50 —% Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d A p r i l 2 through 6 Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions M a t u r i t y r a t e o r Offering of net i n t e r yield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Bank of America S c o t t Paper P l a n t a t i o n P i p e Line F l o r i d a Power & Light Duquesne L i g h t C a t e r p i l l a r Tractor Com s t k . Conv. deb. SF deb. Istmtg.bds. Istmtg.bds. Com. s t k . 56.0 98.7 25.0 15.0 20.0 Rev. L.L. 7.0 12.0 1971 1986 1986 1986 3h-h 3 3 1/2 3 5/8 3 1/2 3.00 3.50 3-57 3-UO A A A Aaa " STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Escanaba, Michigan La. S t a t e Bldg. Auth. None 1959-67),/ 1960-85- 3-i 3.00-3.80 2.90-3.00 Baa -E-2 . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of-$5 m i l l i o n and over. £ / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Recons t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i gations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. U/ For 1961-66 m a t u r i t i e s only; 1967-85 not r e o f f e r e d . Exhibit F H.1U Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) l / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation 1955 - Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 J u n e 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - J a n . 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 During month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shorn Corporate I S t a t e and | Other 2/ 1 l o c a l govt.1 211 125 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 208 116 339 922 1,111 850 830 1,135 920 909 3hh " 100 18U -843 330 205 121 327 220 132 Subsequent t o d a t e shovm Corporate j S t a t e and Other 2/ | l o c a l govt. / h!2 50 —— —— 230 85 376 2% 1,013 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,81:5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 • • 50 —* —— Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of A p r i l 6 Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) ! CORPORATE Columbia Gas Southern C a l i f o r n i a Edison Wisconsin E l e c t r i c Power Westcoast Transmission L t d . Duke Power General Telephone 1*0.0 Deb. 1st & r e f . mtg. bds. iiO.O 1 s t mtg. b d s . 30.0 Sub. deb. 20.5 1st & r e f . mtg. bds. 30.0 Convo deb. . 53.0 ^General American T r a n s p o r t a t i o n Conv. deb. 23.8 ^ C a l i f o r n i a Oregon Power General E l e c t r i c American Telephone and Telegraph 1 s t mtg. b d s . Deb. Deb. 16.0 300.0 250.0 A p r i l 10 A p r i l 17 A p r i l 2k . April May 7 May. 7 (rights expire) May 9 ( r i g h t s expire) May Spring June STATE AND LOCAL GOVIMENT P h i l a d e l p h i a dchool D i s t r i c t , Pa. S t a t e of M a s s a c h u s e t t s D e t r o i t , Michigan Omaha P u b l i c Power D i s t . , Neb. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 12.0 18.0 5.U 15.0 April April April April 10 10 10 H H.lU - F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 6 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERBENT (Cont'd) ^Florida Development Commission State of Ohio Philadelphia,"Pennsylvania ^••Territory of Hawaii -^Allegheny County Sanitary Auth., Pa. ^Pasadena, C a l i f . Georgia Rural Roads Authority Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission Florida S t a t e Turnpike Auth. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona .. Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. Rev. Rev. 227.0 Rev. 70.0 April 2b April 25 April 25 April 26 May 1 May 8 May Spring Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 50.0 April 22 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 5-5 50.0 12.3 7-5 25.0 11.0 15.5 20.0 209.0 65.0 62*0 11.0 OTHER -^Ontario Hydro-Electric Commission Deb. *—Included in table f o r f i r s t time. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . ' 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 million and over; State and local"government issues of $5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Exhibit G Yields on Mew and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A l / Date 1952 1953 195h 1955 average average average average 19$6 - January February March 8 16 23 30 April U U Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g v i e I d s Amount above Actual Actual I Amount above (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) (seasoned y i e l d s [(basis points) (basis points) 3.16 3.16 3.03 3-23 7 13 16 3 9 3.78 3.12 3.33 12 26 -3 12 — None — None *3.1$ 3.19 3 . 5 3.37 18 3.35 . - 3.23 3.32 7 3 . # 25 23 3.57 3.60 * 26 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new. o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. The number of new i s s u e s included in the monthly averages v a r i e s from 2 to U except f o r October 195U when 6 A-rated i s s u e s were included. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s .