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MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. VIII San Francisco, California, May 20, 1924 No. 5 April, owing chiefly to large reduction of forces at textile and clothing establishments. Con Factory employment and production of basic tract awards for new buildings reached a commodities declined in April, and there was higher value than in March and were also a further recession in wholesale prices. Retail larger than a year ago. Value of building per trade was larger than in March, chiefly be mits granted, however, declined and was cause of Easter buying, and was at about the smaller than in the corresponding month of level of earlier months of the year. There was 1923. Department of Agriculture May 1st esti a decrease in the volume of borrowing for com mates of yield of winter wheat and rye are mercial purposes and further easing of money somewhat above the forecasts made in April. rates. The acreage of winter wheat is estimated to Production. The Federal Reserve Board’s be 7.0 per cent less than last year. index of production in basic industries, ad Trade. Railroad shipments, which since the justed to allow for seasonal variations, de middle of March have been smaller than last clined 2.0 per cent in April. Declines were par year, were 3.0 per cent less in April, 1924, than ticularly large in the iron and steel, coal, and in April, 1923. Shipments of coal were much woolen industries. Mill consumption of cotton, below last year, while loadings of merchandise on the other hand, showed less than the usual and miscellaneous freight were higher. seasonal reduction between March and April. Wholesale trade in April, 1924, was in about Factory employment declined 2.0 per cent in the same volume as during the preceding Summary of National Conditions PER CEN T 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Production in Basic Industries Index of 22]basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation ( 1919=100). Latest fifoi«. April. 114. Wholesale Prices Index of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistic* (1913=100, base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure. April. 148. Those desiring this review sent them regularly will receive it without charge upon application. M ay, 1924 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 66 month and as in April, 1923. Sales of dry goods and hardware were smaller than a year ago, while sales of drugs and shoes showed some increase. Department store sales were consid erably larger in April than in March, owing partly to the unusually late Easter. Total sales for the two months were 2.0 per cent greater increased slightly. Total earning assets de clined to $795,000,000 on May 21, the lowest figure since the autumn of 1917, Further easing of money conditions during the last week of April and the first three weeks of May was reflected in a continued rise of the prices of government securities, in a reduction M IL L IO N S O F D O L L A R S 4000 3000 2000 / V s Discout ’ri\ v Tòta! Damine Assets L K 1000 0 Factory Employment Index for 53 Manufacuring Industries (1919=100). Latest figure. April, 97 tptancei & L1 1.5 -----Sec. i V jr % 1919 1920 192! 1922 1923 1924 Reserve Bank Credit Weekly figures for 12 Federal Reserve Banks. Latest figure. May 21 than in the corresponding period of 1923. Mer from to per cent in the rate for prime chandise stocks at department stores showed commercial paper, and in a decline in the rate less than the usual seasonal increase in April, for bankers’ acceptances from 4 to 3 per cent. On May 1st the discount rate of the Federal but were at a higher level than a year ago. Prices. The general wholesale price level, Reserve Bank of New York was reduced from according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' 4y2 to 4 per cent. index, declined 1.0 per cent during April and reached the lowest point since May, 1922* Summary of District Conditions Metals and foods showed substantial reducr Productive activity in the district declined tions and prices of clothing, fuel, and chemicals moderately during April, but the distribution also declined, while prices of building mate of goods continued at the high levels of previ rials and house furnishings remained un ous months. The total volume of business changed. Farm products, however, advanced transacted, the resultant of these conflicting 2.0 per cent during the month. During the movements, was smaller during April than dur first half of May quotations on cotton, wheat, ing March and, if correction be made for nor flour, and hogs increased, while prices of sugar, mal annual growth, was slightly below the level silk, wool, and metals declined. of April, 1923. It should be said, however, that Bank credit. The volume of borrowing for the decline in the district figures for April, as commercial purposes at member banks ift lead was the case in March, was due solely to ab ing cities declined somewhat from the high normal conditions prevailing in California. In level reached early in April during the five- the district outside of that state there has been week period ending May 14th. There were in a steady increase in business activity during creases, however, in loans on stocks and bonds the first four months of 1924. and in investments in securities, so that the Slight curtailment of lumber production, as total of all loans and investments at the middle compared with a year ago, was noted during of May was higher than a month previous, and the month, a movement forecasted during re in larger volume than at any time in more than cent weeks by small increases in mill stocks three years. and continued price weakness. Shipments of Volume of borrowing by member banks at and orders for lumber continued in large vol Federal Reserve Banks declined further during ume. Mineral production appears to be stabil the last week of April and in May, while hold ized at levels slightly below the peak of recent ings of securities bought in the open market months. The continuous decline in flow of May, 1924 petroleum from California wells which began in September, 1923, terminated, at least tempo rarily, during April when average daily produc tion increased by a fraction of 1.0 per cent as compared with March. Stored stocks of petro leum had risen to another new record figure, 97,335,651 barrels, at the close of the month. The number and value of building permits issued in 20 principal cities of the district dur ing April declined from the seasonal peak of the previous month, and were in each case approximately 2.0 per cent below the figures reported for April, 1923. Restricted produc tion programs have resulted in a moderate de crease in employment in the district as com pared with a year ago. Comparison of April trade movements, par ticularly at retail, with those of a year ago are rendered difficult by the difference in Easter dates of the two years, and in some cases it has been necessary to consider the combined figures for March and April in order to ascertain the real trend. Sales of 35 reporting department stores for the two months were 6.1 per cent larger in 1924 than in 1923, and, while stocks held this year are slightly larger than those held a year ago, the rate of stock turnover has been practically the same. Conflicting tenden cies have persisted in the wholesale trade, a reflection of the cautious purchasing attitude of retail buyers and no definite buying trend is distinguishable. During April five of the eleven lines of business reporting to this bank showed increases in the value of their sales as com pared with one month ago, and four of the eleven lines showed increases as compared with one year ago. The record of business failures for the district gives the following compari sons i Percentage Increase or Decrease ( — ) April, 1924, compared with A pril, 1923 March, 1924 Number ........................ Liabilities ----- 32.2 — 15.3 3.1 —5.9 Changes in prices of individual commodities have been numerous during recent weeks, but advances and declines have been in approxi mate balance, and the general level of prices for the principal products of the district has been comparatively stable. For the United States the level of wholesale prices, according to the index number of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, stood at 148 in April, 1924, compared with 150 in March, 1924, and 159 in April, 1923. Bank credit for business and industrial enter prises of the district has continued abundant. Member banks were able during April and early May to increase their total loans and investments while reducing their borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank. Earning assets of the latter, which indicate the amount of Re 67 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO serve Bank credit in use in the district, have remained near the lowest levels of recent years. Interest rates, already low, tended downward during the month. The outbreak of foot and mouth disease of livestock in parts of the southern half of Cali fornia, which threatened serious injury to the livestock and allied industries of that state, is slowly being brought under control. Upon in vitation of state authorities the Federal Gov ernment has assumed complete charge of eradi cation work, and has standardized eradication and quarantine measures. Modification of intra-state quarantines has been permitted wherever it has been possible to do so without reducing the effectiveness of established meth ods for controlling the disease. It is anticipated that embargoes of other states against Cali fornia products which authorities of the Fed eral Government certify as safe for shipment will soon be lifted. Agriculture Spring agricultural operations have pro ceeded under moderately favorable weather conditions over a large part of the district. Seasonal rainfall was generally less than nor mal during April, but, except in parts of Cali fornia where a condition of semi-drought had previously existed, little injury to growing crops was reported. Killing frosts during the latter part of April and early May did consid erable damage to deciduous fruit and berry crops in the Pacific Northwest, but the exact extent of the losses is as yet indeterminate. Figures for the important winter wheat crop (A) M ovement o f Crops to Market* T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T 1923-1924 Season to W heat E xportsf A p r. 30,1924 Portland and Puget Sound ......... (bu.) 28,202,734 (19.7) Barley E xportsf San Francisco (bu.) 9,655,825 (20.8) Apple Shipm ents! T welfth Dis. (cars) 56,487 (97.7) Orange Shipments^ California , , (cars) 22,435 (40.7) Lemon Shipments^ California ....(cars) 4,947 (38.8) 1922-1923 Season to A p r. 30,1923 1921-1922 Season to A p r. 30,1922 17,767,948 (18.1) 36,932,447 (29.2) 15,340,483 (35.7) 16,177,402 (41.1) 40,562 (90.5) 50,287 (98.3) 25,416 (51.5) 18,642 (60.4) 3,479 (35.5) 4,065 (39.0) •Figure« in parentheses indicate percentage of crop, t Season begins Ju ly 1st ¿Season begin« November 1st. C O R R E C T IO N S : Apple shipments reported in A p ril Review should have been 55,271 (9 5 .7 % ) instead of 5,527. Orange and lemon shipments to March 31, 1922, should have been 15,250 (4 9 .4 % ) and 3,118 (2 8 .9 % ), respectively, instead of 19,113 and 3,120, respectively. MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 68 showing acreage sown during the autumn of 1923, percentage of acreage abandoned since planting, and condition of the crop on May 1st are now available. They are presented below, together with comparable data for previous years. Condition M ay 1st PerCent (Per Cent of N o rm «]) 10 Year 1924 1923 Average California _____ 64 Idaho ................. 91 Oregon ............. 9 6 Utah .................... 93 W ashington ..... 83 88 92 95 90 88 84 94 95 94 90 Twelfth D istrict........................... United S ta te s. . . 84.8 80.1 86.3 Acreage* Abandoned Sown by Autumn M ay 1st 1923 1924 1923 691 381 896 152 1,559 3,679 39,933 S4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 18.0 18.9 7.6 8.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 5.0 5.0 14.3 *000 omitted. The poor condition of the grain in Califor nia, due to deficient rainfall in that state, has caused many growers to pasture their fields or to plan to use their product for hay only. Unsatisfactory moisture conditions which have limited the acreage and lowered the con dition of field crops in California have also affected unfavorably the deciduous fruit crops of that state. This fact, as well as the losses due to frost injury in some fruit growing areas, is reflected in figures of the condition of the prin cipal deciduous fruit crops of California pre sented below. Condition M ay 1st (Per Cent of Normal) 1924 1923 1922 Almonds ........... ..61 Apples .................90 Apricots ..............66 Cherries ..............65 Peaches ............ ..77 Pears ....................70 Plums ..................78 Prunes .................68 75 80 98 73 87 90 95 60 Final Estimated Yield 1923 1922 (tons) (tons) 70 11,000 8,500 96 5,196,000f 4,197,000f 52 170,000 145,000 90 14,500 14,000 92 380,000 410,000 92 128,000 150,000 * 69,000 48,000 95 80,000 110,000 *Not available. fCommercial crop in boxes— total crop 1923, 8,450,000 boxes; 1922, 7,850,000 boxes. California citrus fruit yields for the 19231924 and 1922-1923 seasons (November 1st to October 31st) are estimated as follows: Crop Year r ----------------------Orange« Total Navels (boxes) (boxes) > Valencias (boxes) Lemons (boxes) 1923-1924... 22,000,000 11,000,000 11,000,000 5,100,000 1922-1923... 19,955,000 9,676,000 10,279,000 3,920,000 The estimated condition of all oranges was 95 per cent of normal and of lemons 88 per cent of normal on May 1, 1924, compared with 97 per cent and 90 per cent, respectively, on May 1, 1923. Harvesting and shipping of Navel oranges had been practically completed by May 15th. Both canned and dried fruit markets contin ued seasonally active during April and early May, and further substantial reduction of un sold stocks in first hands was reported. M ay, 1924 An approximate measure of progress made up to April 30th in marketing wheat, barley, apples, and citrus fruits grown in this district during the past crop year is given in table “A.” Cold storage holdings of boxed apples in the United States, the majority of which apples are produced in the Twelfth District, were about twice as large on May 1, 1924, as on May 1, 1923, an indication that not all of the fruit shipped from the district during the past season has actually entered into consumption. Livestock— Animal Products Apart from the unusual situation in Califor nia, where foot and mouth disease of livestock, although apparently under control, is still pres ent, the livestock industry has continued in satisfactory condition. Valley grazing and pas ture lands in many sections have suffered from a lack of rainfall, but as feed becomes scanty livestock are being moved to mountain feed ing grounds. Physical conditions during last winter favor able to the livestock industry are reflected in the annual May 1st report on mortality of live stock during the preceding twelve months. Losses of all classes of livestock due to disease and exposure during the year ending May 1, 1924, were generally the same as, or slightly smaller than during the year ending May 1, 1923, a year of small losses in the industry. M O R T A L I T Y O F L IV E S T O C K * Cattle Hogs Sheep Lambs Year Ended Year Ended Year Ended Year Ended A pril 30, A pril 30, A pril 30. A pril 30, 1924 1923 1924 1923 1924 1923 1924 1923 50 22 50 16 55 Arizona ^ ........ .. .. 50 t t 30 25 40 44 37 100 37 21 20 20 26 25 35 40 35 20 40 45 165 70 75 22 14 Oregon ........... . . t 40 t 27 t t 43 16 20 43 48 60 70 Utah ............... . . 41 33 11 20 20 41 38 50 Washington . . . . 20 United States . . . 30.5 29.4 52.9 50.5 37.5 46.3 50.2 49.7 • Num berof deaths per 1,000 head due to disease and exposure. fN o t available. Increased losses in California may be attrib uted partly to abnormal conditions accompany ing the outbreak of foot and mouth disease in that state, and in the case of sheep to the short age of feed, particularly at lambing time. Shearing of wool has proceeded steadily dur ing recent weeks, and nearly half of the dis trict's 1924 clip, which commercial estimates place at 78,500,000 pounds, had been shorn by May 15th. Lambing was completed satisfac torily during April and early May in practi cally all sheep raising sections of the district. Losses (except in California) have generally been less than last year. Total receipts of all classes of livestock at eight principal markets of the district during April are shown in the accompanying table and chart. Divergencies from what appear to be M ay, 1924 normal trends reflect almost entirely condi tions prevailing in California markets as a re sult of the presence of foot and mouth disease in that state. L IV E S T O C K R E C E IP T S A T E I G H T M A R K E T S Cattle Calve* Hogs April, 1924.... March, 1924... April, 1923......... 4-year average— April 4-year average— March .............. 69 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO 64,086 15,348 184,021 88,107 20,451 249,433 65,824 17,269 178,937 204,675 169,200 214,977 64,144 14,353 141,766 214,808 71,559 14,674 171,084 188,733 lambs at about the same figures as were quoted one year ago. Prices offered growers for wool during April, at 33 to 43 cents per pound (qual ity and cost of transportation to terminal mar kets considered), were slightly lower than during March, and were from 4 to 7 cents per pound below prices offered a year ago. Wool buyers in the field were not active during the month, and the volume of reported sales and contracts made thus far during the present season has been smaller than was reported during the same period last year. Foot and Month Disease TH O U SAN D S 500 400 300 200 IO O Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal Market« of the District 1923-1924. (L o s Angeles, Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake City» San Francisco, Seattle, Spokane, and Tacoma included) Steady progress toward effective control of the outbreak of foot and mouth disease in parts of California has been made during the past month. On April 22nd the Federal Gov ernment, upon invitation of the State of Cali fornia, took full charge of eradication work, using the combined forces of the Federal Bu reau of Animal Industry and of the California State Department of Agriculture in applying and enforcing control measures. Intra-state embargoes on agricultural products other than livestock and livestock derivatives have been removed, and the extent of the area under quarantine has been reduced, allowing the greatest possible freedom of trade compatible with effective quarantine of actually infected areas. Close quarantine of Tuolumne County and parts of the following counties was being maintained on May 16th: Alameda Mariposa San Francisco Supplies of fresh butter reaching markets in Contra Costa Merced San Joaquin this district during April were heavy, a normal Fresno Napa Solano Kern Orange Stanislaus seasonal condition accompanying the sharp up Los Angeles San Bernardino Tulare ward trend of production during the spring, Madera and greatly exceeded current demand. Much of the surplus butter was placed in cold stor Losses of livestock up to and including May age, the volume of cold storage holdings of 6, 1924, have been estimated as follows: butter being more than eight times as large on Total Number per Number May 1st as on April 1, 1924, and three times as 1000 H ead in State 36,101 17.3 large as on May 1, 1923. E gg production also Cattle .................................. 22,362 9.1 expanded rapidly during the month, and the Sheep .......................... 18,179 22.0 seasonal increase in production was accom Swine ................................ .................. , 417 panied by a rapid accumulation of cold storage Goats . . . . stocks. A summary of cold storage holdings The appraised value of animals slaughtered of butter and eggs in the chief markets of the up to May 6th was approximately $2,962,000. Twelfth District and the United States is pre Embargoes placed by other states upon ship sented in the following table: ments of California products into or through F ive-Year their territory have not been modified to any M ay 1, A p r. 1, M ay 1, Average Butter (pounds) 1924 1924 M ay 1st 1923 considerable degree, but the United States De 224,163 817,736 •Twelfth D is tric t... 1,859,787 532,956 partment of Agriculture is authority for the 6.401.000 United States............ 8,977,000 7,842,000 3.248.000 statement that such modification may be ex Eggs (cases) t T welfth 109,816 D is tr ic t... 295,811 314,697 t pected prior to the summer season of heaviest 579,000 3.737.000 3.741.000 United States ..........3,609,000 shipment of such products. Disposal of the •Four markets, f S ix markets. ¿Figures not available. spring lamb crop, a problem which had caused Prices for meat animals at the chief markets considerable concern, has been accomplished of the district tended to decline during April. without undue disorganization of markets. A Beef cattle sold at higher, hogs at lower, and large number of lambs, which would ordinarily 70 M ay, 1924 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS have been shipped to eastern markets alive, were slaughtered in California under Federal inspection and the dressed carcasses sent East. Prices Relative stability of the average price level for the more important agricultural products of the district during April was the result of ap proximate balance between advances and de clines in prices of individual commodities. The average level on May 1, 1924, was slightly higher than one year ago. The downward movement of quotations for all classes of meat animals at Chicago markets during April re sulted in a net decline of prices for beef cattle, hogs, sheep, and lambs, but quotations at the end of the month were, except in the case of hogs and sheep, higher than one year ago. Grain prices moved upward during the month, May wheat at Chicago advancing 3 cents per bushel, spot shipping barley at San Francisco 10 cents per cental, and cleaned California rice at the same market 5 cents per 100 pounds. Quotations on May 2, 1924, were approxi mately 11.8 per cent lower for wheat and 13.8 per cent and 22.1 per cent higher for barley and rice, respectively, than on May 4, 1923. The price of cotton rose fractionally during April. On May 2, 1924, spot middling uplands cotton INDEX NUMBERS _____ Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920-1924 United States Bureau of Labor Index of Wholesale Prices (1913=100) National Industrial Conference Board Index of the Cost of Living (July 1914=100) (B) Commodity Price»— Commodity Unit M *y 2,1924 T w enty Basic Commodities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1913=100. 146.3 148.0 W holesale Prices (U. S. Bureau of Labor) 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 . . . . Cost of Living (National Industrial Conference Board) 161.8 July, 1914=100 $ 9.65 Cattle (N ative B e e f).. .W eekly Average Price at Chicago. 100 lbs. 7.50* 100 lbs. Sheep ................. ........ .W eekly Average Price at Chicago. 15.85 ,. .W eekly Average Price at Chicago. 100 lbs. Lambs 7.30 . . . . . . .Weekly Average Price at Chicago. 100 lbs. H ogs 1.04#-1.0554 W heat .................Chicago Contract Price for May W heat. bu. cental 1.80-1.90 .Shipping Barley f. o. b. San Francisco. Barley 5.25 Rice ..................... .California Fancy Japan at San Francisco, cental Cotton ... ......... .Middling Uplands—W eekly range of spot quotations at...... N ew lb. O rlea n s..29.75-30.88tf 80.61* W o o l .................. .Average of 98 quotations at B oston ........ lb. Flour ...... ....... .First Grade Family Patent f. o. b. Cali 7.14 fornia mills . . . . ---------- . . . . „ . . ..... ..... bbl. ,B eet Granulated f. o. b. San Francisco. . lb. 8.20* Sugar Oranges .......... .Navels, Fancy—W holesale at San Fran 3.50-5.50 cisco . . ____ _____ _ _________ „_____ box 2.50-3.50 Lemons . . ___ .Choice—W holesale at San Francisco...... box Dried A pples........Choice in 50-lb. boxes f. o. b. California., lb. .1 2 # •13-.14 Dried A p ricots....Choice in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. California., lb. .Size 40/50 in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. Calif........ lb. .lO ^ -.lO # Prunes — .... Raisins .. .. , ,.Loose Muscatel in 25-lb. bxs. f. o. b. Calif. ib. .08 54 Canned A pricots. Choice 2lA s f. o. b. California--------- ------ doz. 2.75 Canned Peaches...Cling, Choice, 254s f. o. b. C alifornia.___ doz. 2.30 Canned P e a r s . . . . ,Bartlett, Standard 254 s f. o. b. California. doz. 2.75 100 lbs. 2.72 Raw M ilk............. .Pacific Coast—April average. „ ............. .38 Butter .................. .93 Score at San F ra n cisco ....... ....... ......... lb. doz. .26 E ggs .................... , Extras—San Francisco....... .................... .Electrolytic; N ew York Spot. ................ lb. Copper .......... .1354 .N ew York S p o t............................................. lb. 7.875* Lead .............. .6 4 # S ilv e r .................... .N ew York F o r e ig n ............... ........................ oz. .East St. Louis S p ot______ ___ __________ lb. 5.80-5.85* .California 35° and above........ ................... . bbl. Petroleum .... 1.40 17.50 D ouglas F ir......... .2x4, 16 ft. N o. S1S1E f. o. b. Seattle.......... M ft. D ouglas F ir......... . 12x12 Timbers f. o. b. Seattle........ .............. M ft. 21.00 "Prices fo r shorn sheep. One Month Ago One Year Ago 150.9 150.0 157.4 159.0 163.2 159.1 $ 9.75 $ 9.05 10.25 8.35 16.00 13.75 7.50 8.00 1.01*6-1.02# 1.17^ -1.19^ 1.75-1.80 1.60-1.65 5.20 4.30 27.50-30.00* 82.47* 7.11 8.50* 3.50-5.50 2.00-3.00 ■1354 .1354-.1454 .1054-.11 .08*4 2.60 2.30 2.75 2.80 .40 .26 .1 3 # 8.75* .6354 6.30-6.35* 1.40 17.50 21.00 27.00-28.25* 83.49* 7.97 9.90* 3.00-5.25 3.75-5.00 .075Í-.0754 .1454 .1 0 # - .l l .10 3.30 2.75 2.75 2.75 .4354 .32 .1 6 # 7.75* .6 7 # 7.00-7.05* 1.04 23.50 26.50 May, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO 71 on the New Orleans market sold at an advance year average for May 1st (2,094,736 bushels). Figures of output and stocks for 16 milling of approximately 9.8 per cent over the quoted price on May 4, 1923. The trend of wool prices companies for which a continuous record is was downward, the average of 98 quotations at kept are given in the following table: Five* Year Boston declining nearly two cents during the Average (1920-1924) month, and reaching a level 3.4 per cent below A p r., 1924 Mar., 1924 A pr., 1923 A pril that of a year ago. Sugar prices on the San O utput ...........(bbls.) 411,405 512,639 396,348 396,037f Stocks* Francisco market declined rapidly during the Flour .......... (bbls.) 492,486 476,362 541,303 526,831 W heat ...........(bu.) 2,307,082 3,448,892 2,243,886 2,094,736 first weeks of May, and granulated beet sugar is now (May 20th) selling at $7.60 per 100 *As of the first day of the following month, average. pounds, compared with $8.50 per 100 pounds Nt Four-year O T E : O utput of 16 reporting mills during M arch, 1924, the latest month for which complete comparative data are avail on April 4, 1924, and $9.90 per 100 pounds on able, represented approxim ately 60.9 per cent of the total pro May 20, 1923. Dried fruit quotations have duction of all mills in the district producing 5,000 or more barrels of flour annually (as reported to the B ureau of the tended downward during the past month, while C ensus). canned fruit prices have remained firm, with small advances for some varieties reported. M I L L I O N S O F B U S H E L S 5 Prices for both canned and dried fruits con tinued below the levels of a year ago. Prevail V /s_ ing quotations for dairy and poultry products rocKS o EWHEAT ■ were lower than in April, 1923, following > seasonal declines from March levels. Price movements in the non-ferrous metals group (excepting silver) were generally down ward during April. (A more detailed discus sion of metals prices is given in the paragraph TH O U SA N D S OF B A R R E L S on “ Mining.” ) Petroleum prices in California 900 oil fields continued the sidewise movement 44 /'a V noted during the past two months, and are \ »«J5T2:ksoff JOWf now 34.6 per cent higher than at this time last 500 year. The general downward tendency of lum PUTO'FPLOUR ber prices evidenced during recent months in OUIV Pacific Northwestern producing centers ap I O O i-- -n pears to have terminated, at least temporarily, during April at levels from 20.0 to 25.0 per 1924 1923 cent below those of April, 1923. Monthly Flour Output, and Stock* of Wheat and Floor at End of Month N / AJ ■ of 16 Reporting M illing Companies Milling Flour production in this district during April continued at slightly higher levels than one year ago, reported output of 16 large milling companies at 411,405 barrels being 3.8 per cent larger than production during April, 1923. Out put of the same mills declined 19.7 per cent during April as compared with March, but as similar declines have been reported for April in previous years, this decrease probably was largely seasonal. Although millers reduced their output during the month, the volume of production was slightly greater than sales and stocks of flour held by mills increased. On May 1, 1924, total reported stocks of flour, at 492,486 barrels, were 3.4 per cent greater than on April 1, 1924, 9.0 per cent smaller than on May 1, 1923, and 6.5 per cent smaller than the five-year (1920-1924) average of 526,831 barrels for that date. Millers' stocks of wheat were reduced by 33.1 per cent during April, and stood at 2,307,082 bushels on May 1, 1924, at which figure they were little larger than one year ago, but 10.1 per cent larger than the five Moderate activity in domestic flour markets was reported during April, but foreign demand continued sluggish. Prices for flour have strengthened slightly during the past month. Lumber A seasonal increase in output, which was nevertheless at levels below those of a year ago, a small reduction in the volume of ship ments and orders, and a slight accumulation of stocks at mills were outstanding develop ments in the lumber industry of this district during April. Since the recovery of the indus try from the depression of 1920-1921 monthly production of lumber has been growing pro gressively larger, due allowance being made for seasonal variations, but in April, 1924, for the first time in two and one-half years, the total output of reporting mills was less than in the corresponding month of the previous year, the cut being 3.3 per cent less than the cut for April, 1923. Although declining from the March figures, both shipments and new orders received by the mills were at high levels 72 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS M ay, 1924 The reported volume of sales of copper, lead, and zinc during April was slightly smaller than in March, reflecting a continuance of the gen eral downward trend of activity in non-ferrous metals markets noted during the last weeks of A p r., 1924 M ar.. 1924 A pr.. 1923 Mar.. 1923 the earlier month. Contraction of both foreign (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) Production ... , 627,838 606,686 649,400 573,471 and domestic demand during the month in the Shipments ........... ..618,267 620,201 619,512 659,718 face of an apparently unchanged production Orders ......... ......... ..530,011 580,829 580,014 601,543 induced price declines for copper, lead, and Unfilled Orders. , 455,846 529,699 628,419 637,694 zinc, and monthly average prices of these metals for April, 1924, were lower than aver M IL L IO N S O F B O A R D F E E T age prices for March. Copper, quoted at 13 cents per pound on May 20th, was 16.8 per cent lower in price than on May 20, 1923. Lead prices, although declining during the past month, are now (May 20th), at 7.25 cents per pound, the same as one year ago. The pres ent (May 20th) quotation of 5.80 cents per pound for zinc compares with 6.60 cents per pound paid on May 20, 1923. Silver has met a stronger demand and prices have moved up ward during the past month. Present prices are below those of a year ago, but at that time the larger part of the domestic output was be Lumber Production, Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth ing purchased by the Government under the Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lumber Associations. 1923-1924 Pittman Act, at a fixed price well above the A slight seasonal increase in domestic de level of world markets. Average prices paid mand for lumber appeared during April as for the principal non-ferrous metals during compared with March, but domestic markets April, 1924, and 1923, and March, 1924, are generally were relatively sluggish. Substan given in the following table: A pr.. 1924 M ar.. 1924 A pr.. 1923 tial price reductions at the mills at a time when (lb.) (cent«) (cents) (cents) consumers’ needs are increasing are reported Copper New York Electrolytic. . 13.21 13.52 16.66 to have stimulated buying during the first Lead (lb.) weeks of May. Activity in the export market N ew Y o r k .................. , 8.26 9.01 8.10 reported in March subsided somewhat during Silver (oz.) N ew Y ork..... .................. 64.14 63.96 66.86 April, the estimated volume of new orders re (lb.) ceived being approximately 30.0 per cent less Zinc St. L ou is........ .................. . 6.12 7.20 6.49 than during the earlier month. The volume of Quicksilver (dollars per new orders placed by foreign buyers was less flask) San Francisco..,, 72.25 70.74 63.07 by 60 per cent during April, 1924, than during Petroleum April, 1923. during April. As compared with April, 1923, a month of great activity for the lumber indus try, they declined only 0.2 per cent and 8.6 per cent, respectively. Figures follow (000 omitted) : Following six months of declining produc tion, the daily average output of petroleum at Production of non-ferrous metals at the California wells increased 0.2 per cent during mines of this district during April continued April as compared with March. An increase of at about the same levels as in March accord 2.9 per cent in indicated average daily con ing to preliminary reports. Figures for na sumption accompanied the increase of produc tional production of copper, silver, zinc, and tion, and stored stocks at the end of the month quicksilver during March, 1924, the latest were but 0.7 per cent greater than at its begin month for which complete data are available, ning. Total flow of oil from new wells opened February, 1924, and March, 1923, are given in in California has been smaller during the first the following table : four months of 1924 than during the corre Copper (lbs.) (mine M ar.. 1924 Feb.. 1924 M ar.. 1923 sponding period a year ago. On the average production) . . . . 128,560,000 128,260,000 122,193,969 approximately 112 new wells were opened each Silver (oz.) (com month during the period January to April, mercial bars)... 5,726,600 5,426,776 6,109,841 1924, inclusive, the average initial daily pro Zinc (tons) (slab) ............... 47,775 43,933 40,480 duction of all new wells opened being 50,355 barrels of crude oil. During the first four Quicksilver(flasks— 75 lbs., estimated) 1,165 900 ♦ months of 1923 there was an average of only 63 new wells brought in each month, but the •Not available. Figures for lead are not available. M ay, 1924 average initial daily production of new wells opened during the period was approximately 98,744 barrels. A statistical summary of re cent developments in the petroleum industry in California is presented in the following table : C A L IF O R N IA P E T R O L E U M S IT U A T IO N Indicated Average Average Daily , Daily Consumption Production (Shipments) (barrels) (barrels) April, M ar, Sept., April, 73 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO 1924. 1924 . 1923* 1923 . 643,328 642,363 858,750 689,865 621,030 603,453 779,657 611,736 Stored Stocks at End of Month (barrels) 97,335,651 96,666,719 85,496,609 68,937,459 New Wells —> Daily Produc* Number tion Opened (barrels) 97 37,937 131 62,771 93 139,960 60 117,589 *Peak of production. Production of gasolene at California refin eries during March, 1924, at 112,234,823 gal lons, was 5.8 per cent greater than during the preceding month, and 7.5 per cent greater than during March, 1923. The advance in indicated consumption from 83,271,000 gallons during M IL L IO N S Electric Energy Total sales of electric energy for industrial purposes in this district during March were 8.8 per cent greater than during February and 29.9 per cent greater than during March, 1923. The large percentage increase for the year period may be accepted as an indication of industrial growth in the district, although it undoubtedly reflects also a considerable expansion in the use of electricity by industries formerly using other types of power. All industries for which segregated figures are available consumed more power during March, 1924, than during March, 1923, and substantial increases in the volume of sales to agriculture and manufacturing were reported during March as compared with February. Sales to the mining industry declined slightly during the month. Percentage comparisons of sales by certain industries and by sections of the district are presented in the following table: Percentage Increase or Decrease (— ) March, 1924, compared with March, 1923 Total Manu Industrial Agricul Mining facturing Sales ture California _____ 233.6 21.3 Pacific N orth w est___ 60.2 8.6 Intermountain States... 65.4 — 17.5 Twelfth D is t r ic t ....... 217.7 8.7 16.0 39.7 12.0 23.4 36.0 18.0 22.4 29.9 Figures showing the number of industrial consumers and the volume of industrial sales of reporting companies during March, 1924, and 1923, follow: Number ot Industrial Consumers M ar., M ar., 1924 1923 California ................. 78,136 52,592 Pacific Northwest . . 12,836 11,666 Intermountain States 5,127 4,953 Twelfth District . . . . 96,099 69,211 Industrial Sales K . W . H . M ar., M ar., 1924 1923 246,216,751 220,220,511 75,633,408 71,721,734 55,058,741 54,388,412 376,908,900 346,330,657 Employment Production, Shipments, and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery Stored Stocks of Gasolene, 1923-1924 February to 90,161,148 gallons during March was insufficient to offset the greater increase in production during the later month, and stored stocks of gasolene increased 9.9 per cent to 246,170,979 gallons on March 31, 1924, a figure 80.1 per cent greater than that reported on March 31, 1923* Output and stocks of gasolene at California refineries for March and Febru ary, 1924, and 1923, are given in the following table: M ar., 1924 Feb., 1924 M ar., 1923 Feb., 1923 (callons) (pUlons) ( gallon*) (ralions) Refinery Output . 112,234,823 106,086,405 104,402,122 92,852,538 Stored Stocks* . . 246,170,979 224,097,304 136,684,477 120,680,550 •As of the U st day of the month. Non-statistical evidence indicates that there was a slight increase in unemployment, par ticularly of unskilled labor, in this district dur ing April, 1924, as compared with April, 1923, the result of a general decrease in both indus trial and agricultural demand for labor. There is some evidence, however, that the increased volume of unemployment in many lines of in dustry was due largely to an influx of laborers from states outside the district during recent months. Retarded development of seasonal agricultural operations in California, generally unsettled conditions accompanying the out break of foot and mouth disease in that state, restricted logging operations, and a tendency to curtail extra shift production programs in the lumber industry of the Pacific Northwest and California, and a reported slackening of activity in metal mining industries, all tended to curtail employment during the past month. Autom obile R egistrations Sales of new automobiles (as indicated by registrations of new cars) in all reporting states of the district except California were larger during the first quarter of 1924 than during the first quarter of 1923. Registrations of new passenger cars and new commercial vehicles in California during the first quarter of 1924 were smaller by 8.0 per cent and 21.7 per cent, respectively, than during the first quarter of 1923. In the district as a whole, the number of new car sales during the first three months of 1924 was approximately the same as the number of new car sales during the first three months of 1923, an increase of 0.7 per cent in sales of new passenger cars being offset by a decline of 7.0 per cent in sales of new com mercial vehicles. Figures follow: Total New Passenger Cars Registered Jan. 1 to A p r. 1, 1923 1924 ------ Arizona California Idaho ....... Oregon Utah W ashington 2,472 47,145 2,369 9,203 2,474 * Total (5 States) 63,663 Total New Commercial Cars Registered Jan. 1 to A pr. 1, 1924 1923 2,026 51,273 1,321 7,106 1,451 8,739 291 3,975 242 630 131 * 136 5,078 116 197f 141 1,092 63,177 5,269 5,668 1924. Figures showing national automobile production during April, 1924, March, 1924, and April, 1923, follow: Apr., 1924 Passenger C a r s ........... 336,968 Trucks .... 34,977 Total 1,799,199 37,712 861,590 42,158 122,979* 42,029 169,419 1,275,887 24.7 30.4 99.5 128.7 34.7 21.9 41.0 •Revised figure. Motor vehicle output in the United States declined approximately 2.5 per cent during April, 1924, as compared with March, 1924, and was 2.3 per cent less than during April, 1923. This decrease as compared with a year ago compares with gains of more than 30 per cent over corresponding months of 1923 re ported during January and February of this year when manufacturers increased their pro duction substantially in anticipation of spring demand, and of 7.8 per cent during March, 381,348 380,579 3 0 28 i 1 1 2 6 1 f1 24 Total registrations of old and new automo biles in this district during the first four months of 1924 were 40.9 per cent greater than registrations during the first four months of 1923. Detailed figures by states of this district (figures for Nevada are not available) follow: Arizona . ...... 47,019 California ...... 1,123,526 Idaho ..... 84,107 Oregon ........... ..... 281,271 Utah ................. 56,637 W ashington . „ . 206,639 343,793 36,786 M IL L IO N S O F D O L L A R S 3 2 2 0 Percentage Increase 1924 over 1923 371,945 A pr., 1923 348,287 33,061 Comparisons of retail trade conditions dur ing the individual months of March and April, 1924, and March and April, 1923, show changes at variance with normal seasonal and annual movements, and lead to the conclusion that the difference in Easter dates in the two years, rather than underlying trade conditions, was responsible for the changes noted. In order to obtain a more accurate view of the situation than can be had by comparing figures for single months, combined totals for March and April 22 January 1 to M ay 1. 1924 1923 __ Mar., 1924 Retail Trade •N o t available, tja n u a ry 1st to M arch 1st. Total ............... May, 1924 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 74 1 I I I 1 18 16 14 12 1924 V \ / 7 V / ^ A •" / \ 19 2 3 / / S . N / M v IO n — r— r r r ~ . . i 1 ______ —— -— 1 ^ r r r ^ z i Net Sales of 31 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District (In Million* of Dollar*) of the two years are here considered. The value of total sales of 35 reporting stores was 6.1 per cent larger during March and April of this year than during March and April a year ago, all cities reporting increases except Spo kane and Salt Lake City, both of which re ported decreases of nearly 9.0 per cent. Aver age stocks during March and April, 1924, as compared with average stocks during March and April, 1923, were greater by 10.6 per cent, all cities reporting increases except Salt Lake City, where a decrease of 1.8 per cent occurred. The following table compares the value of sales and stocks of reporting department stores in the principal cities of this district during April and March of 1924 with the value of their May, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO sales and stocks during the same two months of 1923, and the value of sales during the first four months of 1924 with the value of sales during the same period of 1923: Percentage increase or decrease ( — ) in value of sales M ar.- Jan. 1A pr., A pr. 30, 1924 1924 compared with M a r.Jan. 1No. A pr., A pr. 30, of 1923 Stores 1923 Percentage increase or decrease(— )in value of stocks M ar.-A pr., 1924, compared with M ar.-A pr., 1923 19.0 6.2 3.4 10 5.6 1.4 .07 5 6.0 5 — 8.7 — 2.7 4 — 8.9 0.7 Los A n geles__ Oakland — San Francisco.. Seattle . Spokane — . Salt Lake City. 6 26.3 5.9 12.8 4 District* .35 10.1 6.1 — 1.8 10.6 •Figures for one store included in district figures but not included in figures for cities shown above. Wholesale Trade The wholesale trade situation in the district, which during March was characterized as ir regular, changed little during April, according to reports received by this bank from approxi mately 200 firms in 11 lines of business. As APRIL PRICES 1923=10036- APRIL U.S.BUKAU OF LABOR M KX MO. WHOLESALE HttCES I 2Ä APRIL ] 19 r a g r ic u l t u r a l im plements AUTÛM0BU SUPPLES AUTOMOBILE TIRES " ” Z in the physical volume of trade was not so great as indicated above by figures of value of sales. As compared with March, 1924, six of the eleven lines reported decreases in the value of their sales during April, 1924. Percentage increases or decreases (—) in the value of April sales of all reporting firms in each line of business, compared with the value of sales during April, 1923, and March, 1924, are presented in the following table: Numb er A p r., 1924. comp ared with of Firms A p r., 1923 M ar., 1924 1.1 9.1 3.1 j DRUGS DRY GOODS 75 Agricultural Im plem ents. Automobile Supplies., Automobile T ir e s ........... Drugs . u ................................ Dry Goods Electrical Supplies., Furniture .......................... Groceries Hardware Shoes __ Stationery 22 17 20 9 15 7 17 27 21 15 27 A decline in the volume of building in this district is forecast by figures on building per mits issued in 20 principal cities during April, 1924. As compared with the previous month there was a decline of 8.7 per cent in the num ber of permits issued, and the declared value of such permits was less by 12.2 per cent. The number of permits issued during April, 1924, was 2.2 per cent less than the number issued during April, 1923, and the value of permits Building Permits — A pril, 1924 Value N o. Berkeley .... Boise Fresno L ong Beach. compared with sales of April, 1923, the figures for April, 1924, showed decreases in value in seven lines and increases in four lines, as fol lows : Dry Goods — Shoes ___ — 11.5% — 11.2 H a r d w a r e ------ — 10.2 Auto T ires___ — 9.8 Groceries — 9.8 Stationery ___ — 9.1 A uto Supplies. — 6.7 Drugs ....... .. +19.6% Electrical Equip ment ............. + 8 . 6 Agricultural Im plements ...... + 5.9 Furniture ____ + 1.3 Inasmuch as general wholesale prices during April, 1924, were 7.4 per cent lower than dur ing April, 1923, it is probable that the decline — 7.9 — 1.2 2.6 1.0 — 10.4 4.9 .09 2.8 — 6.5 — 9.9 — 11.6 Building Activity (C ) Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Firms and General Wholesale Prices in April, 1924, compared with A pril, 1923 5.9 — 6.7 — 9.8 19.6 — 11.5 8.6 1.3 — 9.8 — 10.2 — 11.2 — 9.1 Los Angeles. Oakland . Ogden Pasadena ___ Phoenix Portland Reno .............. Sacramento , , Salt Lake City San D iego San Francisco. San Jose...... . Seattle ... Spokane ..... Stockton ---Tacoma ........ 225 $ 702,535 34,328 77 172,386 123 422 865,470 13,224,568 4,544 2,457*592 1,136 372,500 31 1,290,159 310 161,897 77 1,432 2,519,275 18 25,850 336 849,290 210 566,355 482 1,567,734 1,045 5,719,856 87 152,195 1,005 2,329,805 261 688,396 113 309,950 448 546,225 No. A pril, 1923 Value 173 $ 525,925 132 40,052 152 492,543 504 2,260,272 5,094 15,352,944 859 2,135,488 62 185,800 285 968,526 64 135,200 1,357 2,523,330 20 32,720 301 699,047 570,028 200 409 846,480 5,173,801 954 332,810 107 2,141,385 1,105 318,685 346 407,600 129 280,703 408 District ---- 12,382 $34,556,366 12,661 $35,423,339 M ay, 1924 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 76 issued was less by 2.4 per cent. Inasmuch as building materials prices have declined by more than 2.4 per cent since April, 1923, how ever, it is probable that the physical volume of building proposed during April, 1924, was greater than during April, 1923. Percentage Decrease in the Number and Value of Building Permits Issued in 20 Cities Apr.» 1924, compered with A pr.. 1923 Mar., 1924 Number of Permits Issu ed .... Value of Permits Issu e d .. , „ —2.2 , —2.4 — 8.7 —12.2 ures in the states of this district during April, 1924, and March, 1924, follow: N o. Arizona ___ California ....... Idaho .............. Nevada Oregon ... Utah .............. W ashington ... , District ........ 1 96 24 0 33 12 31 197 A pril, 1924 Liabilities March, 1924 N o. Liabilities 114,570 710,780 148,814 0 249,320 369,626 556,803 1 $ 4,329 103 985,091 71,572 6 0 0 199,443 27 14 275,300 750,024 40 $2,149,913 191 $2,285,759 $ 60 LIA B ILITIE S ( 0 0 0 - -O M IT T E D ) 5 0 0 0 , ---------------------- AO NO.OF FAILUR ES -------------------------- 15 0 0 AMOt NT OF PERMITS IN MI LI .IONS OF D 5LLARS 2 0 NUME IN TH -IITS IO 2000 200 IOOO too 50 500 11 i i i 11i i i 111" i i IT i 7 i 111 i i 11■ i i i 1923 1924 Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1923*1924 The United States Department of Labor in dex number of building materials prices stood at 182 in April, 1924 (1913 prices=100). The figure was unchanged as compared with the past two months, and 10.8 per cent less than a year ago (1923 peak). The Aberthaw index number of the total cost of constructing a rein forced concrete factory building stood at 200 on May 1, 1924 (100 in 1915), compared with 202 on April 1, 1924, and 204 on May 1, 1923. The latest figure is 3.4 per cent below the re cent peak (207) reached June 1, 1923. Business Failures The number of business failures in the dis trict during April, 1924, was 32.2 per cent greater than during April, 1923, but liabilities involved were less by 15.3 per cent than in the earlier month. Compared with March, 1924, there was a slight increase in the number of business failures, but a decrease in the liabili ties of failing concerns. Percentage Increase or Decrease ( — ) in the Number and Liabilities of Business Failures in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District A p r., 1924, compared with A p r., 1923 M ar., 1924 Number of Business F a ilu res.., 32.2 Liabilities of Business Failures. — 15.3 3.1 —5.9 R. G. Dun & Company's preliminary figures of the number and liabilities of business fail 100 1923 1924- Business Failures, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1923-1924 Bank Debits The volume of business transacted in this district during April, 1924, as indicated by checks drawn against accounts of individuals at banks (bank debits), declined as compared with March, 1924, but increased slightly as compared with April, 1923. Reviewing the first four months of the year, business activity in the district appears to have reached a peak during February, and to have declined in each of the two following months. The figures for each month, however, were larger than those for the corresponding month a year ago. The presence of special factors affecting busi ness in California (lack of normal seasonal rainfall and outbreaks of foot and mouth dis ease of livestock) makes it desirable to con sider figures for that state apart from those of the rest of the district. If this be done it is found that in the district outside of California there has been a steady increase in business activity during the first four months of the year, the declines in the district figures for March and April being due solely to declines in California, where a large proportion of the business of the district is transacted. The following table shows bank debits re ported for 20 cities in the Twelfth District, 9 cities in the Twelfth District outside of Cali fornia, and 11 cities in California, during the first four months of 1924 and 1923. Allowance May, 1924 has been made for seasonal variations in the figures reported, and also for the extra busi ness day in February, 1924. 1924 April March February January Outside California* 9 Centers California* 11 Centers .$2,532,000 2,605,000 2,785,600 ... 2,510,400 $560,300 557,500 545,100 528,800 $1,971,700 2,047,500 2,240,500 1,981,600 2,421,200 ... 2,526,800 ..... 2,401,300 ...... 2,359,300 540,500 525,400 515,000 514,600 1,880,700 2,001,400 1,895,300 1,844,700 Twelfth District* 20 Centers 1923 April ...... March ... February January .,. 77 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO *000 omitted. M IL L IO N S OF D O L L A R S 3000|---------------- Savings Acconnts Savings deposits in 72 banks in seven princi pal cities of the district amounted to $1,005,839,000 on April 30th, a figure 0.4 per cent less than the record total of $1,010,941,000 reported on March 31st. This decrease interrupts a steady upward movement of savings deposits which has been in progress since the early months of 1922. Declines were shown for all reporting cities except Portland, but most of the loss occurred in Los Angeles and San Francisco. During the year period, April, 1923, to April, 1924, reported savings deposits in creased 11.3 per cent, an amount considerably in excess of the increase which could be attrib uted to interest accruals alone. Detailed 2800 2600 y 1923""', 2400 2200 \ I -V -JII Jh 2000 J ____ L Debits to Individual Account» in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District. 1923-1924 1919 1920 1921 1982 1 92 3 1924. Savings Deposits oi 73 Banks in Seven Cities of Twelfth District _____ (Base year 1919.) (D ) Bank Debits *— Berkeley Boise . ■ Fresno ....... Long Beach. L os A n geles. Oakland Ogden ----Pasadena Phoenix ... Portland Reno Sacramento . Salt Lake City. San D ie g o ............... San Francisco. ... San J o se ....... ......................... Seattle ....... Spokane .................. Stockton ........................... Tacoma ........................ Yakima ........................... .... Five weeks ending A pr. 30,1924 .$ 15,728 10,014 27,213 47,819 692,573 116,937 19,272 31,311 18,486 153,655 6,550 36,989 58,529 43,161 735,534 18,842 168,116 44,673 21,301 37,136 9,201 T otal ....................................... $2,313,040 *000 omitted. Five weeks ending M ay 2, 1923 $ 16,180 11,330 43,745 54,932 652,127 119,680 30,116 30,845 16,600 152,417 9,010 34,640 59,219 40,718 764,428 22,782 159,296 45,838 22,233 37,186 9,668 $2,332,990 N o te : Four per cent line represent« Savin** Deposits as of January 31. 1919, with interest accruals at a rate of 4 per cent compounded semi-annually, assuming no new deposits. changes in the amount of savings deposits dur ing the month and year, as reported by the 72 banks, are presented in the following table: Number of *Apr.f *M ar„ Banks 1924 1924 Los Angeles ... 13 $ 341.228 $ 342,459 Oaklandf ......... 7 93,260 93,588 9 49,841 49,805 Portland .......... Salt Lake C ity. 8 28,068 28,669 San Francisco t 14 411,418 414,387 Seattle ............. 15 65,114 65,113 Spokane ........... 6 16,910 16,920 Total ............ 72 Per Cent Increase or Decrease ( — ) A p r.. 1924. compared with ♦Apr., A p r., M ar., 1923 1923 1924 $302,892 12.6 — .3 84,773 10.0 — .3 44,318 12.4 .07 26,111 7.4 — 2.0 * 373,369 10*1 — .7 56,409 15.4 — .001 15,625 8.2 — .05 $1,005,839 $1,010,941 $903^497 " lL 3 — .4 *000 omitted. flncludes one bank in Berkeley which was formerly a branch of an Oakland bank. JTh e consolidation of reporting banks has reduced their number but has not affected the value of reported figures for compara* tive purposes. 78 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS M ay, 1924 1924, an increase due chiefly to advances in total discounts. Investments changed little Reporting member banks of this district during the month, increases in holdings of were able during April to increase their ac United States securities being more than offset commodations to customers, add to their in by decreases in holdings of acceptances. Total vestment holdings, and at the same time reduce discounts amounted to $41,000,000 on May 14, their borrowings from the Reserve Bank, in 1924, an increase of $5,000,000 (13.9 per cent) dicating that the credit supply of these banks over the figure reported on April 16, 1924, and is a large one. Total loans and investments a decrease of $25,000,000 (37.9 per cent) from of reporting member banks continued the the figure reported a year ago. The trend of seasonal upward movement noted since the total discounts (and of total earning assets), first of the year, and on May 7, 1924, amounted however, has been downward during the to $1,392,000,000, an increase of $28,000,000 for month, the increases noted above being occa the month and of $33,000,000 during the year. sioned by the fact that total earning assets and This increase was due to gains in total loans total discounts on April 16, 1924, had declined, (chiefly commercial) amounting to $12,000,000 temporarily, to the lowest levels reached since (1.0 per cent), and in investments amounting July, 1918, and November, 1917, respectively. to $6,000,000 (1.7 per cent). Total deposits of Federal reserve note circulation increased reporting member banks, principally as a re $3,000,000 (0.1 per cent) during the month, and sult of increases in time deposits, increased at $207,000,000 on May 14, 1924, was $2,000,000 greater than a year ago. The volume of Federal reserve bank credit M IL L IO N S OF D O LLA R S used by member banks (bills discounted) has shown a definite downward trend during the present year. This decline has been due entirely to a decline in borrowings of city banks (report ing member banks). Borrowings of country Banking and Credit Situation M IL L IO N S OF D O L L A R S Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted, $17,000,000 (1.3 per cent) during the four Total Reserve«, and Inveatments, Federal Reserve Bank of San Franciseo weeks ending May 7th, and on that date amounted to $1,354,000,000. The latter figure banks (banks outside San Francisco, Oakland, is $40,000,000 larger than the figure reported a Berkeley, Los Angeles, Portland, Seattle, Spo year ago. Demand deposits, except for a tem kane, and Salt Lake City) have shown a slight porary increase during the week ending April upward trend. The largest increases in borrow 16th, remained unchanged throughout the ings of country member banks have occurred month of April, but increased during the first in California. week of May and at $725,226,000 on May 7, An increased demand for acceptances from 1924, were $4,000,000 (0.6 per cent) greater banks, corporations, and private individuals than on April 9, 1924, and $13,000,000 (1.8 per was noted during April, a result of the gener cent) in excess of demand deposits held a year ous supply of credit available and of the de ago. cline in money rates which began in March. Total earning assets of the Federal Reserve The abnormal demand was in excess of the Bank of San Francisco fluctuated widely dur available supply of prime acceptances, and ing April and the first two weeks of May. At rates on this type of paper declined during the $82,000,000 on May 14, 1924, they were $4,000,- month from 4 per cent to 3j4 per cent. The 000 (5.1 per cent) greater than on April 16, relative shortage of prime paper has increased May, 1924 79 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO the demand for bills marked at higher rates, and acceptances of non-member banks, as well as trade acceptances, have been sought by bill purchasers. Reports received by this bank from 35 of the principal accepting banks of this district show the following percentage changes in the amount of bills purchased and accepted during April, 1924, compared with March, 1924, and April, 1923: Apr compared with A pr.. 1923 Amount of bills accepted ......... Amount of bills bought ---------Amount of bills held at close of month . ........ ......................... M ar., 1924 —26.4 — 41.8 — 2.7 —28.7 —26.2 —25.7 Interest rates declined during the five weeks ending May 17th according to the following table which shows weekly average interest rates on various classes of paper in the New York market as reported by the Federal Re serve Bank of New York. M ay 17. 1924 A p r. 12. 1924 Time M oney.............. 3*4-4% 4 # -4 ^ % Commercial P aper... 4% -4% 4J4 Bankers' Acceptances 3H 4 Stock Land Banks has increased in all states of the district during the past four months, and is now well above the levels of a year ago. L O A N S O U T S T A N D IN G A T C L O S E O F A P R IL Federal Land BankaJoint Stock Land Banks 1924 1923 1924 1923 Arizona .............. $ 4,639,900 $ 3,679,600 $ 1,301,000 $ 930,900 California ......... 19,584,200 16,851,800 12,609,750 10,104,100 Idaho .................. 23,577,620 20,925,945 1,706,100 628,200 681,500 592,600 340,700 101,100 Nevada ............... Oregon ............... 20,140,730 18,598,180 8,109,900 5,823,450 Utah ................ 14,006,100 12,901,300 656,300 398,200 Washington . . . . 28,475,495 25,228,745 1,795,700 1,340,750 Tw elfth D is tric t.$111,105,545 $98,778,170 $26,519,450 $19,326,700 Federal Intermediate Credit Banks, which first made loans in July, 1923, and which ex tend credit to agriculture for periods (six months to three years) intermediate between short and long time credit, were at the close of April loaning $6,587,461 in four states of the district, distributed as follows: Loans Outstanding A p r. 30,1924 Autumn Peak M ay 12. 1923 1923 5% 4% 5lA % 5 4% The amount of long time credit extended to agriculture by Federal Land Banks and Joint Arizona California ... Oregon ............. W ashington ............... Total . - .$ 198,478 ...... 6,041,666 101,387 245,930 .................................................................$6,587,461 PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AND LIABILITY ITEMS OF REPORTING MEMBER BANES IN RESERVE CITIES IN TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT May 7 .192« Number of Reporting B a n k s........................................... Loans and Discounts (including rediscounts)............ Investm ents ........... ................ ........ ...................... Cash in Vault and with Federal Reserve Bank. Total D ep osits................ .. , ................. ............... Bills Payable and Rediscounts with Federal Reserve Bank. , 67* .$1,032,079,000 359.778.000 123.015.000 1,353,690,000 22.903.000 A p ril 9,1924 67* $1,019,848,000 353.966.000 116.975.000 1,336,403,000 27,534,000 M ay 9.1923 6 6* $ 991,029,000 367.538.000 116.426.000 1,312,789,000 43,428,000, *Due to change in the composition of the list of reporting banks, current figures are not exactly comparable with those of a year ago«. COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO AT CLOSE OF BUSINESS MAY 14, 1924 R ESO UR CES M ay 14.1924 A p ril 16.1924 M ay 16.1923 T otal R eserv es.............................................................................................$293,240,000 Bills D iscou n ted .............. .......... .................................... ............... ....... 40,945,000 Bills Bought in Open Market............ ......................... ........... .... 7,929,000 United States Government S ecu rities............... ............ ............ 33,262,000 $293,080,000 35.738.000 14.471.000 27.377.000 $246,869,000 66.246.000 31.062.000 27.596.000 T otal Earning A sse ts. All Other Resources*. 82.136.000 51.615.000 77.586.000 55.578.000 124.904.000 55,408,000 Total Resources...... .$426,991,000 $426,244,000 $427,181,000 L IA B IL IT IE S Federal Reserve N otes in Actual Circulation_________________.$206,657,000 Total D eposits....................................... ........ ...................... ............... 155,394,000 Capital and S u rplu s...................... , ............................................. . 23,302,000 A ll Other L iabilitiesf...... ................................. . ...................... ............ 41,638,000 $203,727,000 156.553.000 23.156.000 42.808.000 $205,266,000 157,493,000 23.066.000 41.356.000 $426,244,000 $427,181,000 45.221.000 41.356.000 43.124.000 39.724.000 T otal L iabilities....................................................... ............................ .$426,991,000 *Incltsdes “Uncollected Item s"..................... ......................................... 41,247,000 fln clu d es "Deferred Availability Items**............................................... 40,150,000 CHANGES IN THE COST OF LIVING Living costs, both in the United States and in five principal cities of this district, decreased slightly from December, 1923, to March, 1924, following the general downward trend charac teristic of commodity prices during this period. Itemized figures showing percentage in creases or decreases (—) from December, 1923, to March, 1924, follow: Los Angeles 1st Quarter ending Items of Expenditure March, 1924 March ... June September Decem ber. March __ United States 1st Quarter ending March, 1924 Food .......... .—3.3 .1 Clothing ....... H ousing ____ 1.3 Fuel and Light- 1 .0 Furniture and Furnishings.—2.0 Miscellaneous . .3 —4.9 .1 .5 1.1 —5.0 0.0 .7 3.2 —2.3 — .2 .1 — .9 — 1.3 — .6 — .6 -—4.7 - 2 .1 — .5 — .3 Total ........... — .8 — 1.6 —2.6 — 1.3 — 1.6 1.3 Cost of Living Index Numbers— December, 1914=100 Wholesale Prices U. S. E of Labor Statistics San Francisco 1913 Dec.,1914 Los and = 100 =100* Angeles Portland Oakland Seattle 1923 United States 159 153 154 151 162 156 157 154 172.9 175.1 177.1 178.8 150 153 177.4 155.3 158.0 166.3 165.4 154.6 156.5 154.6 157.6 156.4 160.4 157.8 162.1 161.9 166.4 168.4 168.5 163.9 164.8 167.1 168.2 1924 C H A N G E S IN T H E C O S T O F L IV IN G San Francisco and Portland Oakland Seattle 1st 1st 1st Quarter Quarter Quarter ending ending ending March, March, March, 1924 1924 1924 five cities on the Pacific Coast and for the United States as a whole. •United States Bureau of Labor index of wholesale commodity prices is computed with the 1913 monthly average taken as the base period, and the index number for December, 1914, is 98. In order to make this column comparable with the Cost of Living index numbers they were shifted to this December, 1914, base. C EN T — .3 .3 — .9 Swings upward and downward which mark the movement of commodity prices at whole sale ordinarily precede similar changes in the cost of living, which reflect changes in retail prices principally. This normal relationship appears to have prevailed during the year per iod March, 1923, to March, 1924, as is indicated by a comparison of the monthly index numbers of general wholesale prices compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics and the quarterly cost of living index numbers for ÏÏ® 5® 52 52 52 e»2 6yi — 01 O® y O® iiW W(M OCI Changes in the Cost of Living shown as Percentage Increase since December. 1914 Changes in the cost of living in the United States and in the five cities of this district from December, 1914, to March, 1924, are summar ized in detail in the accompanying table (dur ing June, 1920, the cost of living reached its highest point). COST OF LIVING IN THE TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Percentage Increase or Decrease ( ~ ) C ity Los Angeles.... Portland.......... San Francisco and Oakland. Seattle.......... United States... Dec. 1914 to Mar., 1924 - — Food— Jane, 1920 to Mar.. 1924 t Mar.. 1923to Mar., 1924 Dec.. 1914 to Mar., 1924 Jane, 1920 to Mar.. 1924 Mar., 1923 to Mar., 1924 Dec., 1914 to Mar.. 1924 June, 1920 to Mar., 1924 103.7 43.4 42.8 3.3 7.6 — .1 37.5 —28.0 28.6 —37.9 5.9 1.6 83.2 —35.7 62.1 —37.4 0.0 .8 35.3 —30.3 32.7 —34.5 36.8 —34.4 4.8 3.5 1.1 94.4 —31.2 77.4 —35.3 74.1 —38.9 2.3 .9 .8 COÛT OF LlVING, Court«»—f C ity Los Angeles................................... Portland........................................ San Francisco and Oakland......... Furniture D ec, 191410 Mar.. 1924 and Furnishings Jane. Mar., 1920 to 1923 to Mar., Mar.. 1924 1924 147.0 —18.3 — .7 . 106.3 —27.4 —1.5 —23.0 — .4 —23.0 3.0 -24.4 1.7 25.2 37.0 63.2 — 6.7 67.0 23.7 Dec.. 191410 Mar., 1924 Mar.. 1923 to Mar., 1924 4.0 .2 2.8 •M iscellaneous... % June. Mar.. 1920 to 192310 Mar., Mar.. 1924 1924 105.0 9.8 1.7 78.7 — .6 .3 72.7 — 3.9 — 6.4 92.5 1.1 5.4 95.2 — 2 .4 Dec.. 1914 to Mar.. 1924 Fuel and Light— \ June. Mar.. 1920 to 1923to Mar., Mar., 1924 1924 34.0 —12.8 — .4 12.5 — 2.9 65.3 4.3 53.6 3.5 57.7 — 4.9 — 2.0 80.4 6.0 — 2.1 t Dec., 1914 to Mar., 1924 ---- T o ta lJune, 1920 to Mar.. 1924 77.4 55.3 58.0 66.3 65.4 —12.1 —22.6 —19.4 —21.0 —21.3 Mar.. 1923 to Mar., 1924 2.6 .4 .9 2.7 .9