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MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. VII San Francisco, California, March 16, 1923 Summary of National Conditions Continued active business is indicated by the maintenance of a high rate of industrial pro duction, increases in freight traffic, increases in employment, and a large volume of trade at retail and wholesale. Production. The Federal Reserve Board's index of production in basic industries for Feb ruary was at the same high level as in January. The index number for these industries is now approximately equal to the highest point reached in the past. Since the low point in July, 1921, there has been an increase of 61 per cent. The volume of new building projected in February was exceptionally large, for the season, particularly in the western districts. Railroad freight shipments have been increas ing and the car shortage, which was somewhat relieved in December and January, has become more marked in recent weeks. A continued increase in industrial employ ment has been accompanied by further ad vances in wage rates in a number of industries. Many New England woolen mills workers have received a wage increase of 12% per cent, effective April 30th. A shortage of women workers has been reported in the textile, rub ber, and garment industries, and there is a shortage of unskilled labor in many industrial centers. Trade. Wholesale and retail distribution of goods continued at a high level during Febru ary. Sales of both wholesale and retail con cerns reporting to the Federal Reserve Banks were well above those of a year ago, but the increase was relatively more pronounced in wholesale trade. Mail order and chain store business was almost as large in February as in January despite the shorter month, and sales of 5 and 10-cent stores were actually larger than in January. Wholesale prices. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ index of wholesale prices advanced slightly during February. Prices of metals, M ILLIONS PER No. 3 OF D O LL A RS B I L L I O N S OF D OL LA RS 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 Index of Production in Basic Industries Combination of 22 individual series corrected for seasonal variation (1919 average = 100 per cent) Prices Bank Credit Bank Credit Index numbers o f wholesale prices. United States Bureau o f Labor statistics (1913 average=100 per cent) All Federal Reserve Banks 800 member banks in leading cities A substantial, black, cloth-covered, three-ring binder, large enough to contain one year’s (12) issues of »hi« review, will be mailed prepaid to any address on our mailing list upon receipt of one dollar to cover actual costs. 34 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS building materials, and clothing increased, while prices of fuels and farm products de clined. Building materials and metals, during the past year, have advanced more than any other groups of commodities, and are now about 25 per cent higher than in March, 1922. Bank credit. Recent increases in industrial and commercial activity have been reflected in a larger volume of loans by member banks for commercial purposes, especially in the New York, Chicago, and San Francisco districts. Loans of this character by reporting member banks are now approximately $500,000,000 larger than at the end of December, 1922. This increase has been accompanied by a reduction in investment holdings, so that there has been only a moderate net increase in total loans and investments. The larger demand for funds has not led to any increase during the past month in the total volume of credit extended by the reserve banks. Total earning assets and loans to mem ber banks on March 21st were approximately the same as four weeks earlier. Borrowings by member banks in the interior increased, par ticularly in the Chicago district, but borrow ings by member banks in the New York dis trict decreased. Since the end of February there has been a small decline in the volume of Federal Reserve note circulation, which is now at approximately the same level as six months ago. Other forms of currency in circulation, however, have recently increased. The market rates on commercial paper ad vanced further to a range of 5 to 5% per cent, and the rate on bankers’ acceptances remained steady at about 4 per cent. There has been a slight increase in the yield of short term treas ury certificates as well as of government and other high grade bonds. Summary of District Conditions Activity in production and trade which char acterized the first month of the year continued during the short month of February, and in some instances rose to record proportions. De mand for the principal raw materials produced in the district (excepting agricultural prod ucts) continued equal to or in excess of the available supply, prices of these commodities tending toward higher levels. Distribution of goods, measured by bank debits and sales at retail and wholesale, proceeded at a rate equal to that of any previous period of which this bank has record. Employment of bank credit increased moderately. Although the lumber mills of the district operated at or near maximum capacity during February, 1923, both orders received and ship ments were greater in volume than was produc tion. Present mill stocks of lumber, particularly in Oregon and Washington, are reported to be small and prices tending to advance. A tem porary shortage of logs, with a rapid increase in their price, occurred during the month. Min eral production in the district, particularly metals of industrial importance, is increasing rapidly. During January, the latest month for which authoritative figures are available, more copper was produced than during any month in the past two years. Large increases in the production of lead and zinc have also been re ported. Another production record was estab lished in the oil fields of California during Feb ruary, when average daily production of petro leum totaled 586,670 barrels, raising storage stocks there on March 1, 1923, to a new high record, 65,000,000 barrels. Building activity has not declined during the winter months, permits issued during February, 1923, having exceeded the number issued during February, 1922, by 28.5 per cent, and their value by 52.4 per cent. Increasing distributive activity has accom panied expanding production. Trade at retail during February, 1923, was greater in value than in any February since the year 1919, when this bank first began assembling sales figures. In the wholesale trade sales in all of the 10 reporting lines of business were greater than in February, 1922, the amount of the increase in each of eight lines being over 25 per cent. Seasonal declines in sales during February compared with January were smaller than usual. The volume of orders already placed with wholesale dealers for goods to be deliv ered during the spring and summer is reported to be considerably greater than one year ago. General trade activity, as reflected by charges to bank accounts in 20 cities, was 18.7 per cent greater in February, 1923, than in February, 1922. This is the largest increase reported since 35 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO April, 1922, since when each monthly figure has exceeded that of the corresponding month a year ago. The record of business failures, omitting figures for one large failure in the State of Utah, shows a normal seasonal decline in February compared with January. Credit demands upon member banks and upon the Reserve Bank have, to a limited ex tent only, reflected the increasing volume of production and trade. Commercial loans of 66 reporting member banks in the larger cities of the district rose from $743,000,000 on February 7th to $763,000,000 on March 7th, an increase of $20,000,000. During the same period their borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank rose from $19,500,000 to $27,800,000, an in crease of $8,000,000. Country bank borrowings from the Reserve Bank continued unchanged at $18,000,000. Federal Reserve Note circula tion, at $202,383,000 on March 14, 1923, was at the lowest point since the 1920 peak. Interest rates to customers of banks in this district have remained steady during the month. The dis count rate of this bank was advanced from 4 to 4y2 per cent on March 6, 1923. Prices for lumber, the principal industrial metals, and for some agricultural products of the district, notably cotton, wool, and sugar, moved upward during the month. Numerous price declines were also reported, and the gen eral level of prices of the products of the dis trict was approximately the same at the close of the month as at its beginning. Stocks of wheat and barley held on the farms of this district on March 1st were small, aggre gating not more than 10 per cent of the 1922 crops of these grains. Reports received by this bank indicate that stocks of canned fruits, with the exception of the lower grade packs of some varieties, and of dried fruits, with the excep tion of raisins, are moderate in amount. Weather conditions thus far this year have been normal, growing crops are in good con dition, and livestock have wintered well. Crop Conditions Fall sown grain crops of the Pacific North west continued to improve with the favorable weather of February, and will enter the spring growing season in good condition. In Califor nia during the past month the growth of grain crops has been retarded by cold weather, in sufficient rainfall, and drying winds. Sales of 1922 crop wheat were comparatively small in volume during February, both in for eign and domestic markets. Exports of wheat from Portland and Puget Sound ports were unusually light, amounting to only 516,491 bushels compared with 1,452,224 bushels ex ported during February, 1922, and 1,436,828 bushels exported during February, 1921. The movement for the season to date continues far below the record exports of the 1921-1922 season, and well below the small shipments of the 1920-1921 season. W H E A T EXPORTS July 1st to February 28th inclusive 1922-1923 1921-1922 1920-1921 (bushels) P ortland.............12,552,298 Puget Sound . . . 3,143,033 Total . . . . . . . . 15,695,331 (bushels) (bushels) 27,266,100 6,496,612 33,762,712 14,873,887 4,348,589 19,222,476 The light volume of export sales of wheat during the current season has been offset to some extent by increased activity in the domes tic market, and the proportion of the total 1922 crop now remaining in the hands of farmers of this district is but little larger than it was a year ago. United States Department of Agri culture estimates of the stocks of wheat held on farms in the principal grain producing states of this district, on March 1st of the past three years, are given in the following table: STOCKS OF W H E A T ON FARM S, M A R C H 1st (thousands o f bushels) Per Cent Per Cent of 1922 of 1921 Crop 1922 Crop 1923 California .. 918 Idaho .......... 3,641 Oregon ___ 1,974 Washington. 3,569 District .. 10,102 United States 153,134 1921 Per Cent of 1920 Crop 6 668 5 1,799 18 15 4,312 16 6,150 25 10 2,790 11 2,691 11.9 11 4,660 8 5,416 13 10.2 12,430 9.8 16,056 15.2 17.9 134,253 16.5 217,037 26.1 Growers of the district have marketed their 1922 crops of barley more rapidly than they did the crops grown during the previous two years, judging from United States Department of Agriculture estimates of the percentage of the total crop held on farms, in the four principal producing states of the district, on March 1st of the past three seasons: STOCKS OF B A R L E Y O N FAR M S, M A R C H 1st (thousands o f bushels) 1923 California .. Idaho .......... Oregon ----Washington. District ___ United States Per Cent of 1922 Crop 2,580 7 491 14 346 16 236 13 3,653 8 43,592 23.4 Per Cent of 1921 1922 Crop 2,673 9 668 24 493 22 618 21 4,452 11 42,294 27.3 1921 Per Cent of 1920 Crop 5,462 966 749 1,042 8,219 65,229 19 30 31 36 21 34.5 Storage holdings of apples in this district on March 1st were 167 per cent greater than they were on that date last year, as shown by the following table : 1922-1923 1921-1922 (cars) Total commercial crop of apples.......... 44,800 Shipments July 1st to February 28th.. 36,922 Remaining in storage in the district... 7,878 (care) 51,123 48,180 2,943 36 M O N TH LY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Shipments of apples from the district during February were less than during January by 1,735 carloads, but were approximately 21 per cent greater than shipments during February, 1922. Prices paid growers for apples declined slightly during February, contrary to the usual trend of prices at this season of the year. Prices on March 1, 1923, were approximately 43 per cent below those of a year ago. Further improvement in the condition of the Navel orange crop in California has been re ported, and the February 1st estimate of the total yield (8,864,000 boxes) has been increased approximately 4j4 per cent. If present expec tations are realized the 1922-1923 crop will total 9,260,000 boxes. Early season estimates of the 1922-1923 lemon crop in California were reduced again during February. Total prob able yield is now placed at 4,166,000 boxes. Advancing prices to growers for oranges stimu lated marketing of that fruit during the month. A decline in prices paid growers for lemons, and comparatively light picking of the fruit due to cold weather, combined to reduce lemon shipments. Total shipments of oranges and lemons up to March 5th of the past two seasons have been as follow s: Nov. 1st to March 5th 1922-1923 1921-1922 (cars) Oranges .............................................. 14,405 Lemons ............................................... 2,113 (cars) 11,506 2,324 Canned and Dried Fruits Commercial estimates indicate that the amount of the record-breaking 1922 pack of canned fruits now remaining unsold in the hands of canners in this district is but little larger, in proportion to the total pack, than the stocks held last year at this time. The greater part of the present carryover is made up of the lower grade packs of the various fruits, par ticularly peaches. Unusually large amounts of the canning fruits grown during the 1922 season were small in size, and of poor quality. Export movement of canned fruits during the 1922-1923 season has been comparatively light. It is estimated by important factors in the trade that foreign buyers have taken only about 4 per cent of the 1922 pack of California fruits, as compared with purchases approxi mating 8 per cent of the total pack during the previous season. Packers report that activity in the domestic market has been well main tained during the season, the better grades of fruit having been in greatest demand. Prices for the higher grades of canned fruits have advanced slightly as the season pro gressed, but those for the lower grades have not been generally maintained, many canners finding it necessary to offer price concessions in order to move comparatively large holdings of the latter class of fruit. The market for all grades and varieties of canned fruits is re ported to have strengthened during February. Dealers report that delays in transportation of dried fruits from California to Eastern mar kets, during the autumn of 1922, prevented a normal volume of sales of these fruits during the year-end holiday season, and resulted in a large carryover in hands of distributors there at the beginning of the present year. Buying by the latter for spring needs has, therefore, been lighter than usual. Notwithstanding this fact, Pacific Coast holdings of all dried fruits except raisins are not large. Present stocks of prunes in California, amounting to approxi mately 40,000,000 pounds, are reported to be 30 per cent less than they were last year at this time. Reported holdings of prunes in Oregon and Washington are also light. Unsold hold ings of dried apricots in California amount to only one-fifth of the total 1922 yield of 20,000,000 pounds. During 1922 California produced approxi mately 230,000 tons of raisins, a record crop. It entered a market well supplied with 1921 crop raisins sold at the end of that crop year in an endeavor to reduce an unwieldly carry over. Stocks available throughout the present season have, therefore, been unusually large, and demand for raisins light. Commercial fac tors estimate that approximately 95,000 tons of raisins remained unsold in California at the be ginning of March, 1923, compared with unsold stocks of 65,000 tons held last year at this time. Present unsold stocks amount to approxi mately 40 per cent of the total 1922 crop. They are reported to consist largely of Thompson Seedless and Muscat raisins, holdings of the former amounting to 60 per cent and of the latter to 40 per cent of the total. Foreign demand for dried apricots and prunes has been light during the past year, but exports of raisins during 1922 were more than double those of 1921. The following table shows the exports of dried apricots, prunes, and raisins from the United States (chiefly from the Pacific Coast) for the past two years: EXPORTS OF DRIED FRUITS (U NITED STATES) 1922 (pounds) Apricots ............................... 9,858,450 Prunes .................................. 94,216,105 Raisins ................................. 93,891,071 1921 (pounds) 21,575,149 117,933,740 32,968,664 Prices of prunes and dried apricots have ad vanced slightly during the marketing season. The price of raisins, although maintained un changed by the growers’ association which controls the bulk of the crop, has been reduced from one to two cents per pound by independ- 37 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO ent packers. Comparative price quotations for dried apricots, prunes, and raisins are given in the following table: DR IED FRU IT PRICES ( F. O. B. California) (P ackers’ quotations— Cents per pound) Opening Price 1921-1922 Apricots (choice in 25-lb. boxes) .................................. 18^4 Prunes (4G-50s basis price). 5^ -5 2 4 Raisins (Thompsons— bulk in 25s) .................................. 14*4 Opening Price 1922-1923 M ar. 10, 1923 22% sy2-sy4 24 834-9 10 10 Livestock Severe storms in the Intermountain states and a protracted dry spell in California have been unfavorable factors affecting the livestock industry of the district during the past six weeks. Cold weather and deep snows in Utah, Nevada, and Southern Idaho have necessitated considerable feeding and caused light losses of sheep and cattle on some of the ranges of those states. Unless unfavorable weather con tinues, however, little permanent injury will be done to herds and flocks, as prior to this time the winter has been mild and feed plentiful. THO U SA ND S and in the later lambing areas, the large num ber of ewes bred and the excellent condition of the flocks indicate numbers of spring lambs greatly in excess of those of 1922. Receipts of all classes of livestock at the eight principal markets of the district during February were substantially larger than the receipts of February, 1922, as shown by the following table : Cattle February, 1923... 69,919 January, 1923... 89,640 February, 1922... 60,611 Calves Hogs Sheep 15,683 16,533 9,635 176,203 222,228 143,924 185,242 210,808 166,030 Prices for cattle and sheep at the principal markets of this district tended toward lower levels during February, the largest decline being in the price of cattle. Prices of hogs at the same markets tended to advance during the month. Dairy and Poultry Products The increase in cold storage holdings of but ter reported during January, 1923, proved to have been a temporary reversal of the down ward trend customary at this season, which was resumed during February. The net with drawal of 261,217 pounds of butter from cold storage during that month reduced total stocks to 378,764 pounds on March 1st. Present hold ings are 61 per cent greater than those of a year ago, when, as a result of unusually heavy withdrawals during February, but 242,043 pounds remained in cold storage on March 1st. M IL L IO N S OF P O U N D S / / r V \ \ \ X 1922/ / ^ ^ 1923 i Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal Markets of the District 1S£2-1923. (Los Angeles, Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, Spokane and Tacoma included) Lambing is now in progress in the Southern sections of the district and in a few sheltered shed-lambing sections of other states. In Cali fornia it is approximately three-fourths com pleted, with unusually small losses reported. Excellent weather for lambing and satisfactory feed conditions, in addition to keeping losses at a minimum, have facilitated quick growth and early maturity of spring lambs, some of which have already reached California markets. In Arizona conditions for lambing have also been favorable, the increase has been large, and losses have been light. Both in these sections, 1 - —- * ✓ s / . ~ N \ \ “ A ..................... \ \ ---- (---------1-- Seasonal Movement of Holdings of Cold Storage Butter at Four Principal Markets of the District, 1922-1923 Butter prices in the San Francisco market moved irregularly during February.The whole sale price of 93 score creamery butter declined from 48^2 cents per pound on February 2nd to 45 cents per pound on February 7th, advanced to 48 cents per pound on February 16th, and declined steadily thereafter, the quotation on March 15th being 43 cents per pound. Holdings of cold storage eggs in the five principal markets of this district increased during February, the movement into storage having been accelerated by rising production and declining prices for the product. Storage holdings of 1,352 cases of eggs on March 1, 38 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 1923, were nearly double those of February 1, 1923, but were practically the same as holdings on March 1, 1922. In the San Francisco mar ket, the wholesale price of extra grade eggs declined from 28% cents per dozen on Febru ary 16th to 24% cents per dozen on March 1st. A price of 25 cents per dozen was quoted on March 15th. A summary of the cold storage holdings of butter and eggs in the chief markets of the Twelfth Federal Reserve District is presented in the following table: March 1, 1923 Butter (pounds).. 378,764 Eggs (cases).......... 1,352 Feb. 1, 1923 Jan. 1, 1923 March 1, 1922 639,981 706 437,061 73,183 242,043 1,349 the end of February, as a result of actual de clines or of seasonal advances of less than usual extent, some commodities were quoted at lower levels than one year ago. Included in IN D E X N U M B E R S 260 220 ISO 1 40 Prices Substantial advances in the prices of cotton, wool, and sugar during recent months have tended to obscure the movement of prices of other agricultural products. In general they have moved upward, but not rapidly, and at 100 O Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920-1923 United States Bureau o f Labor Index o f W holesale Prices (1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 ). National Industrial Conference Board Index o f the Cost o f Living (July 1 9 1 4 = 1 0 0 ). (A) Commodity Prices— Commodity Twenty Basic Commodities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1913=100. Wholesale Prices (U. S. Bureau of Labor*) 1913=100___ Cost of Living (National Industrial Conference Board) July, 1914=100................................................................................. Cattle (Native B eef).. .Weekly average price at Chicago.. Sheep ................................W eekly average price at Chicago.. Lambs ............................. Weekly average price at Chicago.. Hogs . . ............................. Weekly average price at Chicago.. Wheat ................... Chicago contract prices for May Wheat. Barley ................... Shipping Barley f. o. b. San Francisco... Rice ....................... California Fancy Japan at San Francisco Cotton ................... Middling Uplands— Weekly range of spot quotations at New Orleans..................... W ool ..................... Average of 98 quotations at Boston......... Flour ..................... First Grade Family Patent f. o. b. Pacific Coast mills .................................................... S u g a r .....................Beet granulated f. o. b. San Francisco... A p p le s...................Extra Fancy Winesaps f. o. b. Pacific N orthw est...................................................... Oranges ...............Navels, market pack, Los Angeles........... Lemons ................Loose pack at Los Angeles.......................... Dried Apples___ Choice in 50-lb. boxes f. o. b. California.. Dried Apricots . .Choice in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. California.. Prunes ..................Size 40/50 in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. Calif... Raisins .................Loose Muscatel in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. California ...................................................... Canned Apricots.Choice 2}4s f. o. b. California..................... Canned Peaches..Cling Choice, 2%s f. o. b. California........ Canned Pears .. .Bartlett, Standard 2%s f. o. b. California. Raw M i l k .............Pacific Coast— January average.................. Butter ...................93 score at San Francisco.............................. Eggs ..................... Extras— San Francisco.................................. Copper . . .............Electrolytic— New York Spot...................... Lead .....................New York Spot................................................. Silver ....................New York Foreign ........................................ Z i n c .......................East St. Louis Spot.......................................... Petroleum ...........California 35° and above................................ Douglas Fir..........2x4, 16-ft. No. S1S1E f. o. b. Seattle......... Douglas F ir ........ 12x12 Timbers f. o. b. Seattle...................... •Revised figures. Unit 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. bu. cental cental lb. lb. March 2.1923 < One Month Ago 159.6 157.0 151.7 156 One Year Ago 132.0 141 157.5 158.1 157.7 $8.85 $8.80 $8.05 7.50 7.50 7.90 13.95 13.90 14.75 8.00 8.25 11.00 1.18 ^ -1 .1 9 ^ 1 .1 7 ^ -1 .1 8 ^ 1 .4 2 ^ -1 .4 6 ^ 1.65-1.75 1.60-1.75 1.35-1.50 4.40 4.60 4.90 29.75-30.13tf 27.62-28.00tf 17.00-17.25tf 82.36tf 81.28tf 59.72tf bbl. lb. 7.79 9.10 7.81 6.90 8.13 5.40 box box box lb. lb. lb. 1.40-1.50 2.50-3.00 3.00-3.25 .08^ -08^ 4 .22-.23 1.40-1.55 2.25-3.25 3.00-3.50 •08j4—.08^4 .23y2 . 1134-.12 2.50-2.65 2.50-4.50 3.00-3.50 .17-.17^ .26 .14^ .11 3.15 2.60 2.85 2.82 .48^ .34 .15 8.375tf .6 4 ^ 7.05-7.10tf 1.45 21.50 24.00 .15 3.00 2.60 3.00 2.43 .35 .2 7 ^ .12H 4.70tf .63 4.55-4.60tf 2.45 13.50 14.00 lb. doz. doz. doz. 100 lbs. lb. doz. lb. lb. oz. lb. bbl. M ft. M ft. .u x -.i w .11 3.15 2.60 2.85 2.80 .45 .27^2 .167/8 8.50tf .66 7.80-7.85tf 1.45 22.50 24.00 F in a n c ia l C o n d itio n s in t h e T w e l f t h F e d e r a l R eser ve D istr ict by JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco San Francisco, California, March 16, 1923 SU RVEY of financial conditions in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District based upon reports of condition of all banks (State and National) as of December 29, 1922, is presented herewith, in comparison with a similar survey made a year ago, on December 31, 1921. With few exceptions, credit condi tions during the year have materially improved, particularly in the Intermountain states of Ari zona, Idaho, and Utah, and in eastern Oregon. As in previous surveys, the ratio of total loans and discounts to total deposits of all banks, State and National, in a given area was used in determining the financial condition of that area. Where the total of loans and dis counts was less than 80 per cent of total de posits, financial conditions were characterized as “ good” (colored blue on accompanying maps) ; where the ratio was between 80 per cent and 100 per cent, financial conditions were characterized as “ fair” (colored yellow on maps) ; and where the ratio was over 100 per cent, and where in consequence many banks were borrowing from the Federal Reserve Bank or from their correspondents, financial conditions were characterized as “poor” (col ored green on maps). This study relates primarily to conditions in the agricultural regions of the district, as have previous studies. The following summary, which excludes figures for the cities of Berke A ley, Los Angeles, Oakland, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, and Spokane, shows the continued improvement in condition during the past two years: PROPORTION OF T O T A L DEPOSITS OF BANKS IN COLORED AR EAS TO T O T A L DEPOSITS OF A L L C O U N T R Y BANKS April 28, 1921 Dec. 31. 1921 June 30, 1922 Dec. 29, 1922 89.0% “ Good” areas.. . 54.9% 80.3% 66.1% “Fair” areas.. . 34.8% 12.7% 27.2% 7.4% “ Poor” areas.. . 10.3% 7.0% 6.7% 3.6% Total deposits of all banks included in the above summary—the so-called country banks— were, on December 29, 1922, approximately 36 per cent of total bank deposits in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, and the ratio of their total loans and discounts to their total deposits was, on December 29, 1922, 70.7 per cent, com pared with 75.5 per cent on December 31, 1921. Deposits in the cities above mentioned equaled 64 per cent of total bank deposits in the district, and the ratio of their combined loans to deposits was 64.9 per cent compared with 67.6 per cent on December 31, 1921. The above figures indicate that financial con ditions generally are “ good” in all of the prin cipal cities of the district, and in those agricul tural areas in which approximately 90 per cent of the banking resources of the agricultural sections are to be found. FINANCIAL CONDITIONS in the TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT As of December 31, 1921 LEGEND ~| GOOD □ □ R e d isc o u n t O p e r a t io n s in t h e T w e l f t h F e d e r a l R e s e r v e D is t r ic t COMPARATIVE REDISCOUNT OPERATIONS, 1920-1923 Borrowings of City and Country Member Banks (As of the end of each month) NOTE: City banks include all member banks in Berkeley, Los Angeles, Oakland, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, and Spokane. Country banks include all other member banks. BORROWINGS FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK AND WHOLESALE PRICES Country Bank Borrowings Member Bank Borrowings United States Bureau of Labor Wholesale Price index (1913=100) $21,978,000 $ 84,066,000 233 Aug. 23. 1921 Oct. 5.1920 May. 1920 $68,985,000 $174,699,000 247 All City Bank Borrowings Date January 27, 1920..................................................$ 62,088,000 r Oct. 5, 1920 Subsequent Peak..............................................| $116,286,000 f A u i. 8. 1922 Later Low Point..............................................{ $ February 27, 1 9 2 3 .......................................... *Index number for January, 1923. 8)264j000 $ 29,174,000 Jan. 2.1923 Jan. 16.1923 Jan. 1922 $19,729,000 $ 35,576,000 138 $21,358,000 $ 50,532,000 156* 39 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO this list were sheep, lambs, hogs, wheat, wheat flour, rice, and the majority of the fresh and dried fruits now being marketed. The average of 98 wool quotations on the Boston market advanced from 81.28 cents per pound on February 2nd to 82.36 cents per pound on March 2nd, the latter average being 37.9 per cent higher than that of March 2, 1922. Prices of standard grades of cotton advanced more than two cents per pound during Feb ruary, and at the close of the month were 74.5 per cent above prices a year ago. Sugar prices have continued their upward movement, and at the beginning of March were higher than at any time since November, 1920. The price of refined beet sugar on the San Francisco mar ket, which was $6.90 per hundred pounds at the end of January, advanced to $9.10 per hun dred pounds at the close of February. A fur ther advance of 30 cents per hundred pounds was reported during the first two weeks of March. Substantial advances in prices of bar ley and beef cattle were noted during February. Metal prices continued upward. Copper was quoted at 17 cents per pound on March 16th, the highest quotation since September, 1920, and 2 cents per pound above the quotation six weeks previous. Recent advances in the price of lead and zinc have carried the quotations on these metals to levels 80 per cent and 71 per cent, respectively, above those of February, 1922. Milling Relative inactivity of the flour market during the past month was reflected in the operations of millers of the district. Although production during February, 1923, increased as compared with February, 1922, the increase was a small one and according to reporting millers did not result from a similar increase in the demand for their product. N o. o! Mills Reporting Feb., Jan., 1923 1923 California .. Idaho . . . . . Oregon . . . . Washington 10 2 15 16 District . . , . 4 3 10 3 17 18 48 -----Output— r"‘ ",1 Feb., 1923 Jan., 1923 --------- > Feb., 1922* (barrels) (barrels) (barrels) 264,144 5,831 144,675 378,624 281,068 11,306 169,964 380,024 233,570 6,648 150,497 354,935 793,274 842,362 745,650 *64 Mills reporting. Stocks of flour held at mills, as reported by 16 large companies, declined slightly from the peak of the previous month, and at 510,642 barrels on March 1, 1923, were approximately the same as on March 1st a year ago. The amount of wheat in millers' bins on March 1st, although reduced by 12.3 per cent during the preceding month, was still 87.9 per cent greater than one year ago. Flour prices quoted by mills of the district declined during February. On March 1, 1923, they were approximately 4 per cent below the price of March 1, 1922. M IL L IO N S OF B U S H E L S 5 4 3 2 I O T H O U S A N D B A R R E LS 900 700 500 300 100 0 1922 1923 Monthly Flour Output, and Stocks of Wheat and Flour at End of Month, of 16 Reporting Milling Companies Lumber Output of lumber mills of the district during February was at the maximum permitted by log supply and weather conditions. Mills in four lumber associations operated at 95 per cent capacity, and produced 13.2 per cent more lumber than in February, 1922. Their produc tion for the 28 days of February, 1923, was slightly greater than production for the 31 days of January, 1923. Figures showing the activity of reporting mills follow (000 omitted) : Production .......... Shipments ........... . O r d e r s ........ ............ Unfilled Orders...,. Feb., 1923 Jan., 1923 Feb., 1922 (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) 419,321 574,138 598,805 626,895 4 1 4 ,9 8 5 3 7 0 ,2 0 5 4 7 5 ,5 1 0 3 7 9 ,1 3 4 6 1 0 ,9 7 6 3 8 2 ,5 5 8 5 7 2 ,7 7 0 3 4 9 ,7 2 4 Notwithstanding the increase in output, ship ments during February exceeded production by 36.9 per cent, and new orders received ex ceeded production by 42.8 per cent. Both for eign and domestic buyers are contributing to the present active demand for lumber, which was larger both in January and February of the present year than in any month since January, 1920. For the past three months shipments of lumber from the mills of the district have ex ceeded production, and stocks of all grades of lumber are now reported to be at low levels. In the Pacific Northwest mill stocks on March 1, 1923, were reported to be less than 50 per cent of normal. Logging activity in Oregon, Washington, and Northern Idaho was greatly curtailed dur 40 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS ing February by severe storms in the moun tains, and production was less than in January, 1923, or in February, 1922. During the latter part of the month a shortage of logs developed in some sections, several large saw mills in the Puget Sound and Columbia-Willamette River districts being forced to suspend or curtail their operations. Prices for logs now prevailing are reported to be as high or higher than at any time in the history of the industry. M IL L IO N S OF BOARD F E E T duction in the United States, which has ex ceeded 100,000,000 pounds in each month since October, 1922, reached 112,341,097 pounds in January, 1923, the latest month for which fig ures are available. This is the largest output of copper in any single month for the past two years. Expanding production has been accom panied by a large increase in sales, and it is estimated that stocks of copper (refined and blister) have been further reduced since the January 1st estimate of the United States Geo logical Survey, 629,000,000 pounds, was pub lished. Estimated stocks of copper in the United States on January 1st for the past four years have been as follow s: Refined (pounds) January January January January Lumber Production, Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lumber Associations, 1922-1923 Statistical evidence of the increase in water borne shipments of lumber during the past year compared with 1921 and 1920, and of the growing demand for Pacific Coast woods in foreign countries, is contained in the following table (000 omitted) : P A C IFIC N O R TH W E ST LUM BER SHIPM EN TS (By water) 1922 (board feet) 1921 1920 (board feet) (board feet) California ........................ ■1,580,257 Atlantic Coast of U. S .. .. 665,844 590,921 Japan ................................ 159,263 Australia .......................... 154,317 China ................................ 66,320 Hawaiian Islands........... South America— W est 62,407 C o a s t............................. .. United Kingdom and 50,611 Europe ......................... 16,808 South A fr ic a ................... 10,456 India ................................. 9,182 C u b a .................................. 8,171 Mexico ............................. South America— East 7,338 C o a s t ............................. 20,421 All O th e r * ....................... 978,583 1,066,125 49,706 211,404 378,382 78,557 66,155 106,110 136,503 131,915 56,618 59,690 Destination ____ 53,229 98,189 27,150 5,142 10,928 2,745 6,361 146,368 17,782 9,316 19,680 4,154 1,414 33,167 12,001 36,610 3,402,316 1,963,193 1,840,791 ^Includes: Alaska, Central America, Egypt, New Zealand, Pan ama, Philippine Islands, South Sea Islands, Fiji, and Straits Settlements. The increase in the production of and the demand for copper during the early weeks of the present year has been the outstanding fea ture of the metal mining industry. Copper pro- 1, 1, 1, 1, 1920. 1921. 1922. 1923. 631,000,000 659,000,000 459,000,000 277,000,000 Blister and Material in Process of Refining (pounds) Total (pounds) 273,000,000 904,000,000 465,000,000 1,124,000,000 283,000,000 742,000,000 352,000,000 629,000,000 The price of electrolytic copper delivered in New York was 17.0 cents per pound on March 16, 1923, compared with 15.50 cents per pound on February 16, 1923, and 13.0 cents per pound on March 16, 1922. Substantial increases, compared with De cember, 1922, and January, 1922, in the output of other important metals produced in the country and in this district were reported in January, 1923. The following table shows the national production of copper, silver, and zinc during these three months: Copper (lbs.) Jan *1923 Dec- 1922 Jan- 1922 (mine production) 112,341,097 103,003,306 25,848,284 Silver (oz.) (commercial bars) 5,189,745 5,052,192 3,937,784 Zinc (tons) (slab) ................... 46,317 42,84L 23,706 Figures for lead are not available. Copper production at eight of the thirteen principal mines in this district now producing metal was 27,430,000 pounds in January, 1923, compared with 25,949,000 pounds in December, 1922. In January, 1922, production of the three mines then producing copper was 8,077,000 pounds. Silver mines of the district are now operating at approximately 100 per cent of ca pacity. Government purchases of silver from domestic mines, at $1.00 per ounce, under the Pittman Act, totaled approximately 150,750,000 ounces up to January 1, 1923, out of a total of 208,000,000 ounces to be purchased. Activity in the gold mines of the district, especially in California, is greater than at any time during the past year. Dredging properties are increas ing their output and many small quartz mines are resuming or expanding operations. 41 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO Petroleum Production of petroleum in California during February, 1923, averaged 586,670 barrels per day, a record figure, and 261,903 barrels per day, or 80.6 per cent larger than it was in Feb ruary, 1922. Increased activity in industry and a seasonal increase in demand for petroleum products were responsible for an increase in the consumption of crude petroleum during February, 1923, which, at 508,926 barrels per day, exceeded the daily consumption during January, 1923, by 24,837 barrels, or 4.8 per cent, and consumption during February, 1922, by 202,634 barrels per day, or 66.1 per cent. A c cumulation of stored stocks of petroleum con tinued during the month, storage holdings on M IL L IO N S 90 per cent, occurred in the Intermountain Dis trict, where industrial recovery, although but recently begun, has been proceeding at a rapid rate. Increased sales to the lumbering, mining, and manufacturing industries, recorded in the following table, reflect the marked increase in industrial activity which has taken place dur ing the past year. lared with January, 1922 Agriculture Mining California .............. — 1.0 Pacific Northwest. 56.6 Intermountain . . . . 244.9 Twelfth District... 7.3 1.7 14.9 103.7 18.8 Manufacturing Total Industrial Sales 36.3 16.7 11.0 30.3 15.8 5.8 90.9 20.6 Compared with December, 1922, sales of electric energy for industrial purposes during January, 1923, declined by approximately 4.4 per cent. This decline was caused primarily by a decrease in sales in one section of the district where adverse weather conditions and other purely local factors had reduced the industrial demand for electric power. The accompanying chart shows, by months of 1922 and 1923, the total industrial sales (in kilowatt hours) of 20 of the largest power com panies in this district. M ILLIONS OF KILO W ATT HOURS 450r 400 /V 192 2 350 C A L IF O R N IA Production, Shipments, and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery Stored Stocks of Gasolene, 1922-1923 Figures for month« subsequent to August, 1922. furnished by American Petroleum Institute. Figures for previous months partly estimated. \\ / / M 300 , 1923 • <------ .... i t / / $ / i March 1, 1923, amounting to 64,812,395 barrels, 2 5 0 0* compared with 62,635,588 barrels held a month previous and 36,701,810 barrels on March 1, 1922. Forty-three new wells were completed 200 __ _ _ during February and 14 wells abandoned, a 1 1. net increase of 29 producing wells during the Total Industrial Sales (K. W. H.) month. Q rrr~ \ / ! 1 1 i l V l J J of 20 Power Companies in Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 Electric Energy Total industrial sales of electric energy were 20.6 per cent greater during January, 1923, than during January, 1922, according to reports of 20 of the principal power companies in the dis trict. This increase compares favorably with the annual increases which have been reported in each month since May, 1922, and which have approximated 20 per cent during the past three months. The largest increase, approximately Figures showing the number of industrial consumers and industrial sales of reporting companies during January, 1923, and January, 1922, follow: Number of Industrial Consumers Jan., Jan., 1923 1922 Industrial Sales K.W . H. Jan., Jan., 1923 1922 California.................. 56,262 Pacific Northwest . . 11,115 Intermountain States 10,102 49,742 10,614 9,719 171,639,680 65,708,357 44,317,938 148,216,598 62,093,674 23,208,673 Twelfth District . . . . 70,075 281,665,975 233,518,945 77,479 42 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Retail Trade Wholesale Trade Trade at retail in this district during Feb ruary, 1923, appears to have been greater in value and volume than in any previous Feb ruary of which this bank has record. The dollar value of sales of 33 department stores in six cities was 20.9 per cent greater than in Feb ruary, 1922 ; 7.4 per cent greater than in Feb ruary, 1921; 15.8 per cent greater than in Feb ruary, 1920; and 49.9 per cent greater than in February, 1919. Combined sales of stores in each of the six cities showed increases com pared with February, 1922. Only four of the thirty-three reporting stores did not participate in the increase. Sales at wholesale during February, 1923, as reflected in reports of 193 firms in 10 lines of business, averaged 25.6 per cent greater in dollar value than during February, 1922. In creases in individual lines of business ranged from 7.4 per cent in drugs to 65.6 per cent in automobile tires, every line of business and 166 of 193 reporting firms sharing in the gains. In four lines the increase was over 40 per cent, and in eight lines over 25 per cent. Compared with January, 1923, the value of sales during February, 1923, increased in five of the ten lines of business. The percentage increase or decrease (— ) in the value of sales of all re porting firms in each line of business was as M IL L IO N S OF D O LLA R S fo llo w s : Two Months Ending Feb. Feb. 1923 28,1923 corncompared with pared with Number Feb., Jan., sameperiod of Firms 1922 1923 ^ in 1922 2 4 1———- — 22 Agricultural Implements 21 Automobile Supplies____21 Automobile Tires.............21 Drugs ................................ .10 Dry Goods.........................15 Furniture ......................... .16 Groceries .......................... .29 Hardware ..........................20 Shoes ................................. .13 Stationery..........................27 20 16 16 14 12 /' 1923 . \ I9 Î2 -V 10 8 Net Sales of 31 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District (in M illions o f D ollars) Reported increases in value of sales undoubt edly indicate similar increases in the physical volume of goods sold, as the average of retail prices has increased but little, if at all, during the past year. The number of individual sales transactions during February, 1923, as reported by 16 stores that keep such records, was 8.3 per cent greater than during February, 1922. Statistics concerning sales, stocks, and out standing orders as furnished by 33 department stores in this district follow : 40.8 29.0 65.6 7.4 25.7 49.3 28.5 40.1 25.7 22.2 5.6 — 5.4 — 29.9 .5 — 11.1 6.8 1.8 — 2.2 3.2 — 10.9 51.0 18.3 62.5 9.0 29.5 45.0 17.8 37.6 22.1 18.3 The majority of reports recently received in dicate that the volume of orders placed for spring and summer deliveries has been con siderably greater in all lines than it was last year. Prices during February were reported as KBRUARV PRICES 1922 =100%=FEBRUARY 1922 SALES U-S.BUREAU OP LABOR INDEX NO WHOLESALE PRICES Hi ■ i I^:\lil/J 1 AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENTS J■■■ AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIES A U T O M O B IL E T IR E S DRUGS DRV G O O D S F U R N IT U R E G R O C E R IE S Net sales (percentage increase or decrease51') February, 1923, compared with February, 1922 20.9 February, 1923, compared with January, 1923 — 11.4 Period January 1 to February 28,1923, com pared with same period in 1922................... 17.6 Stocks (percentage increase or decrease*) February, 1923, compared with February, 1922 February, 1923, compared with January, 1923 4.4 9.6 Percentage of average stocks on hand at close of each month since January, 1923, to aver age monthly sales during same period.......... 465.8 Percentage outstanding orders at close of February, 1923, to total purchases during year 1922 .................................................................. 10.9 * (— ) Decrease. HARDW ARE SHOES S T A T IO N E R Y 0 20 40 60 8 0 100 120 140 160 Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Firms and General Wholesale Prices in February, 1923, compared with February, 1922 “ advancing” by a majority of the firms in all lines. The general level of wholesale prices as indicated by the index number of the United States Department of Labor was six-tenths of 1 per cent higher in February, 1923, than in 43 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO January, 1923, and 11.3 per cent higher than in February, 1922. Collections during the past three months have been reported as follow s: Number of Firms Reporting Collections as Excellent Good Fair Poor December, 1922................. 2 January, 1923................. 5 February, 1923................. 3 57 52 42 67 67 74 13 12 11 Employment The winter peak of unemployment in this district appears to have been passed during February, the gradual increase in industrial ac tivity and resumption of agricultural work in some states having resulted in a marked in crease in the number of men employed. In creased employment of unskilled labor in the lumber camps was a noteworthy feature of the month. Continued abnormal building activity has resulted in a shortage of certain classes of skilled building trades artisans in a few sec tions of the district. Compared with February, 1922, employment during February, 1923, was greater in all sec tions and industries of the district. Of the 17 principal copper mines in the Intermountain territory, which in 1920 produced over half the copper mined in the United States, 15 are now operating and employing large numbers of men, whereas on February 1, 1922, only 8 of these mines were operating, and these on a limited scale. Reports from the 10 principal lumbering sections of Idaho, Oregon, and Washington show that 85,000 loggers and lum bermen were on the payrolls March 1, 1923, compared with 55,000 men on March 1, 1922, an increase of 54 per cent. Part time employ ment, which was prevalent in the district a year ago, has now practically disappeared. Compared with February, 1922, employment in manufacturing industries during February, 1923, increased in Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Seattle, and was approximately the same in Portland, according to figures compiled by the United States Employment Service of the Department of Labor. Figures showing the total number of workers on the payrolls of 40 manufacturing firms usually employing 501 men or more are given in the following table: Numberof Firms Los Angeles..................... Portland........................... San Francisco.................. Seattle .............................. 16 8 10 6 ____ 40 Number of Men on Payroll* Feb. 28, Feb. 28, 1923 1922 31,890 8,302 7,254 2,349 49,795 24,448 8,395 6,864 2,094 41,801 *These figures do not represent the total number of men engaged in manufacturing activities in these cities, but only the pay roll figures of a selected number of firms. Building Activity Building permits issued in 20 principal cities of this district during February, 1923, were substantially greater, .both in number and value, than in February, 1922. Comparisons with the latter month and with the month of January, 1923, are made in the following table: Percentage Increase or Decrease (—) in Number and Value of Building Permits, February, 1923, compared with Feb., 1922 Jan., 1923 N u m b er................................................... 28.5 Value ....................................................... 52.4 — 5.2 10.1 The decline in the number of permits issued during February, 1923, compared with January, 1923, was largely seasonal. Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922*1923 Considered geographically the reports for February, 1923, show an increase in the num ber of permits granted in 14 of the 20 cities compared with February, 1922, while the value of construction involved was greater in 15 cities. (B) Building Permits— February, 1923 No. Value Berkeley ....... Boise .............. Long Beach... Los Angeles.. Oakland ........ O g d e n ............ Pasadena . . . . Phoenix ........ P ortland........ Reno ............... Sacramento .. Salt Lake City San Diego----San Francisco. San Jose......... Spokane ......... Stockton ....... Tacoma ......... 156 68 197 408 4,104 932 15 279 43 817 9 251 30 403 782 100 661 64 106 241 D istrict.......... 9,666 $ February, 1922 No. Value 503,642 28,671 428,210 3,045,285 12,080,310 2,041,521 42,080 759,817 63,225 1,674,150 147,760 595,178 204,980 673,350 3,278,676 204,980 2,091,380 139,165 371,560 456,495 151 47 175 301 2,842 537 6 195 48 934 8 203 37 308 609 74 691 84 81 269 $ $28,830,435 7,600 $18,917,868 432,766 20,757 819,714 1,164,084 7,579,798 1,424,772 6,325 402,772 120,466 1,541,745 27,600 678,307 47,630 490,357 2,830,991 121,570 611,635 132,190 134,428 329,961 44 M O N TH LY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS According to the United States Department of Labor, wholesale prices of building materials have advanced steadily for the past 11 months, and on March 1, 1923, were approximately 23.0 per cent higher than on March 1, 1922. Build ing materials prices are now only 33.6 per cent below the peak point reached in April, 1920 (300.0). In view of this fact, the increase in the number of permits issued, compared with a year ago, is a more representative index of the increase in the physical volume of construc tion than would be a comparison of the dollar values of the permits granted. As an index of the relative amount of build ing in various sections of the district, the fol lowing table showing the per capita value of building permits granted during February, 1923, has been constructed: index number of wholesale prices advanced 11.3 per cent. Retail prices have changed little during the year. An increase of 18.7 per cent in debits to individual accounts indicates, there fore, an increase in the physical volume of business transacted in February, 1923, com pared with February, 1922. Business Failures The record of business failures for February, 1923, was distorted by the failure of one large concern in the State of Utah. Eliminating the figures for this failure, which had liabilities of approximately $2,000,000, the reports show a normal seasonal decline in the number of failLIABILITIES IN MILLIONS 250 A Northern California.$ 7.00 Southern California. 22.01 B o i s e ........................... 1.34 O g d e n ......................... 1.28 P h oen ix ...................... 2.17 R e n o ........................$12.29 Salt Lake Ci t y. . . . 1.73 S eattle..................... 6.63 Spokane ................ 1.33 Tacoma .................. 4.70 Bank Debits M IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS 2600 \ 2400 2200 1600 \ \ % \ \ \ \ W V . ...................... ✓ ✓ / 1 9 2 2 ,... / / / ~ / \ \/\ / » ^ ' \ \ 200 % ISO V IOO IL IT IE S L L, t i l 7 i l 1 50 ! .. 1 _.L. J___I... L. ■ I . I . . - ! - J__ 1__J_ 1922 1923 Business Failures, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 Note: T h e increase in liabilities in February, 1923, was due to the failure o f one concern in Salt Lake City, Utah. ures and the amount of liabilities involved in February, 1923, compared with January, 1923. The number of failures declined 24 per cent, and reported liabilities were less by 16 per cent. In the country as a whole business failures during February were substantially below the (C) Bank Debits* — Four weeks ending Feb. 28, 1923 w Debits to Individual Accounts in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922*1923 than in January, 1923, the latter being a sea sonal movement. This is the tenth consecutive month during which debits to individual ac counts have been greater than in the corres ponding month a year ago. The percentage in crease in February, 1923, was greater than in any of the previous nine months. In the year period February, 1922, to Feb ruary, 1923, the United States Bureau of Labor V v \A V sA / / * Y 1 » 1 f 1 1 1 NO. OF rA ILU R £ / « 1 1 2000 1923 \ \ \ t y J __ 1__ L_ Jl The volume of business transacted in the district during February, 1923, as reflected by reports of debits to individual accounts in 20 principal clearing house centers, was 18.7 per cent greater than in February, 1922, and as reported from 21 cities, was 5.4 per cent less NO. OF FAILURES 10 B erkeley...................................... $ Boise ............................................. Fresno ......................................... Long Beach................................. Los Angeles................................ Oakland ...................................... Ogden ......................................... Pasadena..................................... P h oen ix ....................................... Portland ..................................... Reno ............................................ Sacramento ............................... Salt Lake City............................ San Diego .................................. San Francisco............................ San Jose....................................... Seattle ......................................... Spokane ...................................... Stockton ..................................... Tacoma ....................................... Yakima ....................................... 14,882 10,444 41,982 49,853 586,622 110,542 26,272 27,533 16,442 124,494 7,869 41,237 54,478 42,227 680,420 19,654 140,288 40,215 18,856 31,456 8,385 Total ........................................ $2,094,151 *000 Omitted. Four weeks ending Mar. 1,1922 $ 16,167 9,505 36,352 25,555 437,489 72,346 16,013 20,571 114,376 7,943 48,007 44,947 32,864 629,252 15,167 128,555 36,193 18,018 30,002 10,127 $1,749,449 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO normal of past years, for the first time since early in 1921. R. G. Dun and Company’s comparative fig ures of the number and liabilities of business failures in the states of this district follow : February, 1923 January, 1923 No. Liabilities No. Arizona .............. 1 California ........... 74 Idaho .................. 10 Nevada ....................... Oregon ...... 23 Utah ........ .. 11 Washington . . . 37 District ........... 156 $ 14,943 701,689 127,426 .. 195,573 2,243,783 536,592 $3,820,006 Liabilities 3 $ 38,200 95 828,906 12 172,227 1 91,000 34 324,015 15 138,273 46 581,678 206 $2,174,299 Savings Accounts The total amount in all savings accounts, as reported by 75 banks in 7 principal cities, in creased 1.5 per cent during the month ended February 28th, being on that date $877,113,000 compared with $864,077,000 on January 31st. Savings deposits in the district as a whole, and in six of the seven reporting cities, are now at the highest point in the past four years, the most recent figures for Salt Lake City exceed ing the previous record month of March, 1922. M IL L IO N S OF D O L L A R S 45 Government Financing On March 8th the Treasury Department an nounced an offering of United States Treasury Certificates of Indebtedness in two series dated March 15, 1923, one series, TS2-1923, bearing interest at the rate of 4J4 per cent per annum, and maturing September 15,1923, and the other series, TM-1924, bearing interest at the rate of 4^2 per cent per annum and maturing March 15, 1924. The interest rate on the one-year cer tificates is Yz per cent above the rate on the last similar issue (offered in December, 1922), a reflection of the higher money rates now obtaining. Subscription books were closed on March 14, 1923. In this district total subscriptions amounted to $41,528,000, of which $34,285,500 were allotted. In the United States as a whole total subscriptions amounted to $538,859,000 of which $475,414,000 were allotted. Subscrip tions entered in this district for Treasury Cer tificates of Series TS2-1923 were larger in amount than in any other Federal Reserve dis trict, except that served by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. This district stood fifth among the twelve districts in the amount of total subscriptions to both issues. The purpose of the offering, as stated by the Treasury Department, was to provide for pay ments on government obligations coming due in March, insofar as such payments might be in excess of tax receipts estimated at approxi mately $400,000,000, and at the same time to cover the Treasury’s further cash requirements between March 15th and May 15th when the uncalled Victory Notes mature. Approximately $366,000,000 of Certificates of Indebtedness be came payable on March 15, 1923, together with interest on the public debt in the amount of approximately $135,000,000. Called Victory Notes to the amount of $90,000,000 and ma tured War Savings Certificates to the amount of $75,000,000 are also outstanding, and both are coming in steadily for redemption. Banking and Credit Situation Savings Accounts in Banks in Seven Principal Cities of the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 Figures for all of the seven reporting cities, as of February 28, 1923, show increases com pared with January, 1923, and February, 1922. In two cities the increase compared with a year ago has been over 20 per cent, and in six cities over 11 per cent. In the district as a whole the increase for the year period has been 15.6 per cent. Total loans and discounts of 66 reporting member banks in the larger cities of the district increased from $919,162,000 on February 7th to $938,773,000 on February 28th, declining to $934,714,000 on March 7th, a net increase of $15,552,000 for the four week period. “All other loans,” which are made largely for commercial purposes, and which are included in “ total loans and discounts,” increased from $743,112,000 on February 7th to $763,477,000 on March 7th. The latter figure is an increase of $37,207,000, or 5 per cent, since January 17, 1923, and of $92,000,000, or approximately 14 per cent, since the low point of February 8, 1922. 46 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Investments of reporting banks changed lit tle during the past month. Total deposits on March 7th, $1,271,271,000, were slightly less than the figure reported on February 7th, $1,275,439,000, although they reached the rec ord figure of $1,285,631,000 during the inter vening period. As the amount of their loans to customers has risen, reporting city member banks have increased their borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank, which on March 7th stood at $27,849,000, compared with $19,538,000 on Feb ruary 7th, an increase of $8,311,000, or 42 per cent. Borrowings of country member banks remained practically unchanged during the month at $18,000,000. M IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS market were then 5y2 per cent, compared with 5 per cent at the end of February. The discount rate of this bank on all classes of paper and all maturities was advanced from 4 to 4y2 per cent on March 6, 1923. Changes in the discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco since December, 1919, are shown in the following table: December 26, 1 9 1 9 . . November 2, 1921___ 5% February 2, 1920___ 6 °fo January 23, 1922 ... July 25, 1921...............Sy2% July 8, 1 9 2 2 . . . . . . . . 4 % March 6, 1923...............4 y2% Discount rates at all of the twelve Federal Reserve banks are now the same, at Ay2 per cent, the banks at Boston and New York hav ing raised their rates from 4 to 4y2 per cent on February 23, 1923. M IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS 320r 260 / / V * T O T A L RESERV 'E S 240 2 00 i j FE DERAL fi ESERVE NOTE C IR C U LA TIO N 160 120 IN V E S TÍ IE N TS ,.* 00 * ... “ V5S* 400 40 300 * v - - ; TOTAL BILLS 015 C0UNTE __ 1___L 1922 100 50 i i _1__ 1— i i _ i I x J . _Ü_L. J— 1922 - U 1__ 1_l._ 1 , I... .1__J___ 1923 Total Deposits. Loans and Discounts, Investments, and Bills Payable and Rediscounts of Reporting Member Banks Federal Reserve note circulation, at $202,383,000 on March 14th, was at the lowest point reached since the peak of 1920, and about 9 per cent below the average circulation during the year 1922, approximately $220,000,000. Interest rates charged customers of banks in this district remained unchanged in general during February and the early part of March. In the New York market the rate on prime commercial paper, which was established at 4^4 per cent during the week ending February 17th, advanced to 5 per cent during the week ending February 24th, the rate prevailing on March 16th. Time money rates in the same 11 11 < » __ i__ i__ 1923 Total Reserves, Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted, and Investments, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco BILLS P VYABLE A MO REDI! COUNTS WITH FEDERAlf ESERVE BANK __ 1__ 1— ... L-..L . The activity which characterized the accept ance market during January and the early part of February was succeeded by a period of dull ness during the four weeks ending March 15th. The rate on prime bills has remained at 4 per cent. Reports received by this bank from 35 of the principal accepting banks in the district show the following changes in the amount of bills purchased and accepted during February, 1923, compared with January, 1923, and Febru1922. February, 1923, compared with Feb., 1922 Jan., 1923 Amount of bills accepted ........... ..+21.9 Amount of bills b o u g h t..................— 53.2 Amount of bills held at close of month ..............................................— 18.2 — 39.5 — 45.1 + 15.9 The principal commodities upon which these acceptances were based were cotton, sugar, dried and canned fruits, and wheat. 47 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AND LIABILITY ITEMS OF REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN RESERVE CITIES IN TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT March 7, 1923 Num ber o f R eporting Banks .................................................................... 66* Loans and Discounts (including rediscounts)...................................$ 934,714,000 Investments February 7. 1923 March 8,1922 68* 66* $ 919,162,000 $ 842,008,000 307,733,000 .................................................................................................... 354,213,000 361,143,000 Cash in Vault and with Federal Reserve Bank................................. 117,415,000 119,289,000 98,552,000 Total Deposits.................................................................... ............................ 1,271,271,000 1,275,439,000 1,131,448,000 Bills Payable and Rediscounts with Federal Reserve Bank.......... 27,849,000 19,538,000 27,614,000 •Mergers have reduced the number of reporting banks, but comparisons of resource and liability items have not been affected. COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO AT CLOSE OF BUSINESS, MARCH 14, 1923 RESOURCES Total Reserves........................................................................................ March 14.1923 February 14,1923 March 15. 1922 $252,534,000 $263,599,000 $285,332,000 Bills Discounted..................................................................................... 42,926,000 42,951,000 56,860,000 Bills Bought in Open Market......................................................... , .. 31,663,000 24,684,000 8,318,000 United States Government Securities........................................... 34,742,000 34,742,000 39,386,000 Total Earning Assets.......................................................................... , , $109,331,000 $102,377,000 $104,564,000 58,719,000 54,182,000 48,217,000 $420,584,000 $420,158,000 $438,113,000 Capital and Surplus............................................................................ ......... $ 23,030,000 $ 23,034,000 $ 22,583,000 150,561,000 144,876,000 All Other Resources*........................................................................... . . , Total Resources...................................................................... . , L IA B IL IT IE S Total Deposits....................................................................................... . .. 153,817,000 Federal Reserve Notes in Actual Circulation............................. 202,383,000 207,230,000 225,504,000 All Other Liabilities!............................................................................ ■ 41,354,000 39,333,000 45,150,000 Total Liabilities....................................................................... , . .$420,584,000 $420,158,000 $438,113,000 ♦Includes “Uncollected Items” ....................................................... ........ 42,577,000 42,572,000 41,445,000 flncludes “Deferred Availability Items” ....................................... ........ 40,176,000 38,337,000 39,593,000 Those desiring this review sent them regularly will receive it without charge upon application. THE COPPER MINING INDUSTRY IN 1922 In March, 1922, this bank published a special report on the copper mining industry, with par ticular reference to conditions in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, where in recent years approximately three-fifths of the blister copper of the United States and one-third of that of the world has been produced. The condition of the industry at that time was summed up briefly as follows : “ The present condition of the copper industry is reflected in figures show ing that mine production of the metal in the United States today is at the rate of 20 per cent of pre-war normal production, that stocks of refined copper and blister and material in process of refining on January 1, 1922, were 793.000.000 pounds compared with average pre war stocks of 360,000,000 pounds and that the price of electrolytic copper dropped from 35.74 cents per pound in March, 1917, to 12 cents per pound in August, 1921, and is today (March 1st) at 12.75 cents, 9.6 per cent under the aver age pre-war price, whereas the level of prices of all commodities at wholesale, according to Bradstreet’s index number, is 27 per cent above the pre-war level,” The immediate outlook for the industry was commented upon favorably by reason of the increase in the demand for copper, the rise in prices, and the decline in stocks which occurred during the last quarter of 1921 and the first two months of 1922. It now appears that the trough of the de pression in this industry had actually been reached and passed at the time this report was published, and that the improvement of which mention was made therein was the beginning of a substantial recovery. The extent of this movement and its importance to this district warrant its brief discussion here. Productive activity in the copper mining in dustry, which had been greatly restricted since April, 1921, was resumed on a large scale dur ing April, 1922, and by May, 1922, nearly all of the principal mining companies in the United States had taken steps to reopen their proper ties and commence mining operations. Smelter production of copper in the United States in creased steadily throughout the year, advanc ing from 25,800,000 pounds in January, 1922, to 94.000.000 pounds in June, 1922, and 103,000,000 pounds in December, 1922. Output during the latter month was at the rate of 1,240,000,000 pounds a year, a figure slightly in excess of normal production of pre-war years. Refinery production of new copper from domestic ores during 1922 was estimated by the United States Geological Survey at 897,000,000 pounds, 288,000,000 pounds more than was produced during 1921. The figure for 1922 is still well below production in the pre-war year 1913 when total refinery output from domestic ores was 1,237,000,000 pounds. Re finery production of new copper from foreign ores, including imports of refined copper, was about 501,000,000 pounds during 1922, making total production of new refined copper during the year 1,398,000,000 pounds. During 1921 there were 1,020,000,000 pounds of new refined copper produced in the United States, and dur ing 1913, 1,615,000,000 pounds. Increased production of copper was pre ceded by increased consumption of the metal, accompanied by a considerable reduction in stocks during the year 1922. The figures for refined copper are given in the following table based on reports of the United States Geologi cal Survey: 1921 1922 Stocks of new refined cop(pounds) (pounds) per January 1..................... 659,000,000 459,000,000 Refinery production from domestic so u rces............. 609,000,000 897,000,000 Refinery production from foreign sources, includ ing estimated imports of refined copper* ................ 411,000,000 501,000,000 Total Su p p ly ................. 1,679,000,000 1,857,000,000 Total withdrawn on domes 611,000,000 837,000,000 tic account......................... Exports including unrefined black blister and con verter copper in bars, pigs, and other forms, and refined in ingots, bars, rods, etc.................... 609,000,000 743,000,000 Total Consumption.... 1,220,000,000 1,580,000,000 Stocks December 31st........ 459,000,000 277,000,000 *Figures on imports of copper during last quarter of 1922 partly estimated. Stocks of blister copper and material in process of refining in the hands of smelters, in transit to refineries, and at refineries on De cember 31, 1922, were estimated to be 352,000,000 pounds compared with 283,000,000 pounds held on December 31, 1921. The price of copper has risen sharply during the first months of 1923. The average monthly price of electrolytic copper on the New York market during 1922 and monthly since January, 1923, are shown in the following table: (Cents per pound)* ____ 1922 Average............................... .13.632 January, 1923.............................14.760 February, 1923............................15.605 March 16, 1923........................... ..17.000 *Delivered price. The present quotation is approximately 9.5 per cent above the average price quoted in the year 1913, whereas general wholesale prices, according to the index of the United States Department of Labor, are now 57 per cent above the 1913 average. The chief restriction on mine output at the present time is the shortage of labor in several mining districts.