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F E D E R A L
O F

R E S E R V E

S A N

B A N K

F R A N C IS C O

J O H N PER RIN
CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD
Federal Reserve a g en t

and

G E N E R A L B U S IN E S S A N D A G R I C U L T U R A L C O N D I T I O N S
IN T H E T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T

M arch 15, 1920.
E C E N T

R

r a in s h a v e m a t e r ia lly im p r o v e d

th e T w e lft h
s till fr o m

F ed era l R eserve

30 to 60 p e r c e n t b e lo w

p ro sp e cts fo r

D is t r ic t , a lt h o u g h
n o r m a l.

In

1920 cro p s

in

s e a s o n a l r a i n f a l l is

C a lifo r n ia , th e r ic e , b e a n

a n d s u g a r b e e t a c r e a g e is b e in g m a t e r ia lly c u r t a ile d

a n d a s e r io u s s h o r t­

a g e o f h y d r o - e l e c t r i c p o w e r is p r o b a b l e b e c a u s e o f l a c k o f p r e c i p i t a t i o n .
S h orta g e
acreage
are

o f

w a ter

sow n

th a t

n o r m a l.
s e c tio n s

th e

to

fa ll-s o w n

W h ile
o f

fo r

ir r ig a tio n

s p r in g

crop s
w heat

acreage

Id a h o,

In

p ro sp e cts fo r n o rm a l cro p s
R a n g e c o n d itio n s
N o r th e rn U ta h .

are

p u rposes

and

m ay

th e P a c ific

crop

p la n te d

N evada

80 p e r c e n t o f n o r m a l.

in

w ill

average

w ill b e
U ta h ,

som ew h at

N o rth w e st

th e

about

u n d im in is h e d
y ie ld

w ill

and
70
in

redu ce

th e

in d ic a t io n s
per

th e

cen t

o f

ir r ig a te d

a p p r o x im a te

o n ly

th e d r y fa r m in g p o r t io n s o f th e se sta tes, th e
a r e e x c e lle n t.

fa v o r a b le

in

a ll p a r ts

o f

th e

d is tr ic t e x c e p t in

T h e o p e n w in t e r h a s r e s u lt e d in s m a ll lo s s o f liv e s t o c k

th r o u g h e x p o s u r e a n d th e re h a s n o w b e e n e n o u g h p r e c ip ita tio n to a ss u re
s u ffic ie n t

fe e d

d u r in g

th e

su m m er,

a lth o u g h

p o s tp o n e d f o r s e v e r a l w e e k s in C a lifo r n ia .
c o m p le te d , w ith

g r a z in g

has

had

to

be

L a m b i n g is a b o u t 5 0 p e r c e n t

la r g e in c r e a s e s r e p o r te d .

L u m b e r s t o c k s a r e s o d e p le t e d in th e P a c ific N o r t h w e s t th a t it is p r o b ­
a b le th a t a n o r m a l v o lu m e

o f m ill s to ck s w ill n o t b e

a tta in e d

fo r

m ore




th a n

a y e a r , a lth o u g h

o n ly

a b ou t 50 p e r

in

th e

car

s itu a tio n

m ovem ent

o f

p la n ts

cen t o f

2 ,0 2 8

has

a re r u n n in g

th e

b u s in e s s

been

cars,

u n fille d r a il o r d e r s fr o m

n o tic e d

d u r in g

th e

to

c a p a c ity

o ffe r e d .
d u r in g

w eek

and

are

a c c e p tin g

s lig h t im p r o v e m e n t

th e

past

e n d in g

1 2 ,6 0 1 t o 1 2 ,2 7 3 c a r s .

th a t th e re w ill b e n o r e lie f fr o m

A

fe w

M arch

w eeks,

6,

th e

d e c r e a s in g

It is a n t ic ip a t e d , h o w e v e r ,

ca r sh orta g e fo r se v e ra l m on th s.

D u r in g

th e fiv e w e e k s e n d in g M a r c h 6, a n a v e r a g e o f 1 2 2 m ills r e p o r t e d a c u t o f
4 0 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0
fe e t,

35

fe e t,

per

6 .2

cen t

per

cen t

b e lo w

b e lo w

n o r m a l,

p r o d u c tio n .

and

D u r in g

orders

th e

o f

fiv e

3 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0

w eeks

e n d in g

M a r c h 6, a n a v e r a g e o f th ir te e n C a lifo r n ia r e d w o o d m ills r e p o r t e d
o f

3 1 ,8 4 6 ,0 0 0

fe e t

and

orders

r e c e iv e d

o f

2 9 ,7 9 2 ,0 0 0

fe e t,

as

a cu t

com p ared

w i t h a c u t o f 2 4 ,8 1 4 ,0 0 0 f e e t a n d o r d e r s o f 3 0 ,1 8 1 ,0 0 0 f e e t d u r i n g t h e p r e ­
c e d in g fiv e w e e k s .
B u ild in g

p e r m its

in

18

p r in c ip a l

c itie s

$ 1 2 ,3 7 4 ,9 3 0 d u r i n g F e b r u a r y , a s c o m p a r e d
ary, an d

$ 4 ,8 9 0 ,1 9 8

p resen t ra te
sh orta g e

o f

d u r in g

o f b u ild in g
h o u s in g

F e b ru a ry , 1919.

fa c ilit ie s in

th e

It is

it w ill ta k e fiv e y e a r s
th e la r g e r

p a r a t iv e s ta te m e n t o f b u ild in g p e r m its in
in

o f

d is tr ic t

a g g re g a te d

w i t h $ 1 2 ,9 3 4 ,8 2 9 d u r i n g J a n u ­
e s tim a te d

to o v e r c o m e

c itie s

o f

th e

th a t
th e

at

th e

e x is t in g

d is tr ic t.

th o s e c itie s r e p o r t in g

C om ­
p e r m its

e x c e s s o f $ 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 i n F e b r u a r y is g i v e n b e l o w :

F E B R U A R Y, 1920J A N U A R Y , 1920
CITY

N um ber

L os

A n g e l e s ......................... 1585

Sa n

F r a n c i s c o ....................

..............................
L o n g B e a c h ...........................
S e a t t l e ....................................
O a k l a n d .................................
F r e s n o .....................................
P ortland

538
819
335
785
316
208

A m ount

N um ber

Am ount

$3 ,286 ,41 5
2,6 4 8 ,2 7 2
1,021,3 55
1,011,1 43
93 9,160
92 1,50 2
63 3 ,6 5 9

1928
490
694
581
771
354
224

$4,186 ,26 6
1,6 36,7 33
924,30 5
1,271,8 20
1,2 91,310
548,693
875,540

B o t h th e r e ta il a n d w h o le s a le tr a d e r e p o r t th e c u s t o m a r y d e c r e a s e s in
b u s in e s s d u r in g F e b r u a r y a s c o m p a r e d w it h J a n u a r y , s a le s b y v a lu e s , o f
d e p a r t m e n t s to r e s d e c r e a s in g fr o m
w are

stores

15

20

to

cen t.
report

A s

per

fr o m
cen t,

in c r e a s e s

65

p e r cen t.

to
and

com p ared

s a le h a r d w a r e
fr o m

5

to

70

in

10
o f

w ith
s a le s

stores fr o m
per

cen t,

per

20 to 25 p e r c e n t ; o f w h o le s a le h a r d ­

cen t;

of

w h o le s a le
F ebru ary,
by

v a lu e

w h o le s a le

grocery
1919,

of

fr o m

d rygood s

stores

fr o m

h ow ever,
25

to

30

w h o le s a le

grocery

to

d ep a rtm en t
per

60 to 65 p e r c e n t ; w h o le s a le
and

stores
25

stores

W h o le s a le fir m s r e p o r t th a t p r e s e n t d e m a n d

cen t;

d rygood s
fr o m

20

fr o m

30

per

stores
w h o le ­
stores
to

is p r i m a r i l y

s ta p le s a n d e s s e n tia l g o o d s r a t h e r th a n s p e c ia ltie s a n d lu x u r ie s a n d

25
fo r

th a t

r e ta il d e a le r s a r e p u r c h a s in g
grocery

p r ic e s

w h o le s a le

sh ow

p r ic e s

a

s u p p lie s f o r

ten d en cy

c o n tin u e

to

to

cu rren t use

d e c lin e

advan ce.

C o lle c tio n s

w ere rep orted

as fa ir to g o o d , as c o m p a r e d

in g

C o m p a r a tiv e

Ja n u a ry.

o n ly .

s lig h tly , b u t

sta tem en t o f

w ith

r e ta il

oth er

d u r in g

good
and

W h o le s a le

in

to

lin e s

F ebru ary

e x c e lle n t d u r ­

w h o le s a le

tra d e

o f

r e p o r t i n g fir m s in p r i n c i p a l c it ie s o f t h is d is t r ic t is a s f o l l o w s :

R ETA IL TR AD E*
CITY

Los

C om parison o f net sales during
February, 1920, w ith those o f

January, 1920 F ebruary, 1919
% Decrease
% Increase

A n g e l e s . . . ....................

14.4
20.5
22.2
23.2

51.6
27.4
22.8
26.9

................ ....................
S p o k a n e .............. ....................

20.7
25.7
15.5

....................

21.1

Oakland

............. ....................
S a c r a m e n t o . . . ....................
S a n F r a n c i s c o .. ....................
P ortland
Sa l t

W H O L E SA L E TR AD Et

C om parison o f net sales during
February, 1920, w ith those o f

January, 1920
% Decrease

11.5
22.4
23.6

28.4
21.3
31.3
21.4
15.5
30.5

8.1
40.8
18.5
26.6
94.1
56.0

31.3

23.1

41.2

...........
C i t y ....................

Lake

Seattle

D is t r ic t

,

February, 1919
% Increase

Departm ent stores.
G roceries, d rygood s, hardw are, drugs.
D u r in g
w ith
to

80

F ebru ary

d u r in g

$ 3 3 2 ,4 1 8 ,

th e re

w ere

J a n u a ry.

as

5 4 fa ilu r e s in

L ia b ilitie s

com p ared

w ith

t h is

a m o u n te d

lia b ilit ie s

$ 9 0 4 ,9 3 2 d u r i n g t h e p r e c e d i n g m o n t h .

o f

to

d is tr ic t, a s c o m p a r e d
$ 1 ,0 7 5 ,7 9 0

$ 1 ,8 6 9 ,2 3 7

and

and

a sse ts

a ss e ts

o f

C o m p a r a tiv e s ta te m e n t b y sta tes,

g iv in g n u m b e r o f f a ilu r e s a n d lia b ilit ie s , is a s f o l l o w s :

NUM BER
January
1920

STATE

Idah o

............. ..1 4

.............

54

$1,869 ,23 7

................................

2

............. ..

N evada

7

........................... N o n e
................................ ..1 3

W a s h in g t o n

Total

N one
1
7
1
2
12

3

.....................41

O regon
Utah

January
1920

9,000
373,102
14,000
45,059
N on e
165,476
1,262,600

A r i z o n a ..........................
C a l if o r n ia

LIAB ILITIES

F ebruary
1920

80

$

31

February
1920

$

N on e
620,689
11,000
41,414
50,000
13,420
339,267

$1 ,075,790

(Figures fu rn ish ed b y R. G. Dun & Com pany)
In terest a n d

d is c o u n t ra te s h a v e

w h a t fir m e r d u r in g
per




cen t

in

sh ow n

a

ten d en cy

th e p a st m o n th , th e p r e v a ilin g

in d u s tr ia l

cen ters,

and

8

per

cen t

in

to

becom e

ra te s b e in g
a g r ic u ltu r a l

6

som e­
to

6x/2

s e c tio n s .




B a n k c le a r in g s in 2 0 p r in c ip a l c itie s o f th e d is tr ic t a g g r e g a te d
9 4 0 ,0 0 0

in

d ecrease

F ebru ary

o f

1 5 .1

per

cen t, as c o m p a re d
L a b o r is f u l l y
arou n d
m any
th ere
tim e
any

as

c e n t, a lth o u g h

w ith

a g r ic u ltu r a l
g e n e r a lly

o f th e y e a r.
im p o r ta n c e

p ro sp e cts
D a ily

s e c tio n s

T h ere
d u r in g

p r o d u c tio n

in

th ere

som e

o f a n y la b o r
o f

w it h

$ 1 ,6 6 0 ,3 0 7 ,0 0 0

in c r e a s in g

in

$ 1 ,3 8 9 ,-

Ja n u a ry,

$ 2 5 9 ,9 4 0 ,0 0 0 , o r

2 2 .3

a

per

F e b ru a ry , 1919.

e m p lo y e d

S e a ttle , w h e r e

is

com p ared

a ll s e c tio n s
are

n ow

report

a

u n e m p lo y m e n t
have been
th e

past

o f

th e

a p p r o x im a t e ly

no

sh orta g e

th rou g h ou t
s tr ik e s

m on th

and

e x c e p t in

and

u n e m p lo y e d ,

and

o f
th e

o r la b o r
th ere

d iffic u lt ie s in

th e

p e tr o le u m

C a lifo r n ia

in

d is tr ic t,
4 ,0 0 0

are

la b o r ,

a lth o u g h

d is tr ic t

at

th is

d is tu r b a n c e s
no

o f

im m e d ia t e

d is tr ic t.
F ebru ary

aver­

a g e d 2 7 4 ,0 2 6 b a r r e l s a s c o m p a r e d w i t h 2 7 3 ,0 8 7 b a r r e l s i n J a n u a r y .

d u r in g

S h ip ­

m e n t s a v e r a g e d 3 0 4 ,1 2 0 b a r r e l s p e r d a y , t h e r e b y d e c r e a s i n g s t o r e d s t o c k s
b y 8 7 2 ,7 0 4 b a r r e l s t o 2 8 ,7 3 8 ,9 2 1 b a r r e l s o n

F e b ru a ry 29, 1920.