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M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. VIII San Francisco, California, January 21,1924 Summary o f National Conditions No. 1 B oards index of factory employment decreased 1 per cent during December, and was 4 per cent lower than in the spring of 1923. The largest decreases were at plants manufacturing food products and railroad equipment. Build ing contract awards in December were smaller than in November, but almost 25 per cent larger than a year ago. Production of basic commodities showed a further decline in December, and wholesale prices receded slightly. Christmas trade was somewhat larger than a year ago. Changes in the banking situation in January reflected, chiefly, an unusually large return flow of cur rency after the holiday season. Production. The index of production in basic Trade. Railroad shipments continued to de industries declined 4 per cent in December to crease during December and were slightly less the low point of the year. The decrease for the than in December, 1922. Loadings of coal and month reflected, principally, a large reduction grain were smaller than a year ago, while load in consumption of cotton, but also reduced ings of miscellaneous merchandise and live operations in the woolen, petroleum, sugar, and stock were larger. The volume of wholesale lumber industries. Production of pig iron an^, .ta^de .showed more than the usual seasonal deanthracite coal increased. The Federal ReVervs* „ £r^afcfe^ was at about the same level as a PER C E N T 150 •1 • •• «••• • * ••o PER C E N T ** / V • •» • • • • ’ 3Q0C► • • 1 • • • » « • •• < • • « • •••*« I* * » * • •■S •• a• 100 •• •• * • • •««•• » < • 41•• ••200 50 100 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Production in Basic Industries Index of 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation (1919— 100). Latest figure, December 111. * * -t r ^ Jk * 1919 r » » * »** » • • V • • *\ * • •\ « 1920 . • •* • •• • • 1921 1922 1923 1924 Wholesale Prices Indexof U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, (1913— 100, base adopted by Bureau.) Latest figure, December 151. Those desiring this review sent them regularly will receive it without charge upon application. 2 M O N T H L Y REVIEW of b u s in e s s January, 1924 c o n d itio n s year ago. Sales of meat, hardware, and drugs were larger than in December, 1922, while sales o f dry goods and shoes were smaller. Retail trade, though larger in December, 1923, than in any other month on record, did not show as large an increase over November as is usual at the Christmas season. 1923. A t the middle of January the volume of Reserve bank credit outstanding was below $1,000,000,000 for the first time since early in 1918. Loans made largely for commercial purposes by member banks in principal cities declined between December 12th and January 16th to a BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MILU0NS OF DOLLARS 4000 16 Ja V * 11 3000 / 2000 A D isc oui V Total Earnirx Assets 1000 X eppanca I.SSec. 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Member Bank Credit Weekly figures for member banks in 101 leading cities. Latest figure, January 9. 1919 1920 c l> 1921 1922 1923 1924 Reserve Bank Credit Weekly figures for 12 Federal Reserve Banks. Latest figure, January 16. Prices. W holesale prices, according to the point $264,000,000 lower than at the peak in index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, de October, and to about the level of July, 1923. creased less than 1 per cent during December. This decrease in loans, which was general The chief reductions occurred in prices of fuel throughout the country, was accompanied by and building materials, while prices of clothing •a• movement of funds to the financial centers and metals increased, and prices o£ i£rq£ £tfodl \*&nd an increase in loans on securities, princiucts remained unchanged. During •* •p^ll^iiftlNew York. weeks of January, p r ic e sv & co /n , wheat, pig Easier¿nbney conditions in January were re iron, petroleum, and lui^W^ad^ai^cecl, jvhil£##je c t e d in‘a#fai£her slight decline in the rate on quotations on cotton,Vsjigar, and»/c5fBP.^T. •¿rinje comm^ixfiatf. paper to 4^4 per cent (com pared with 4^,3f6*5#per cent in December) and clined. ***** iuQreaaed activily in the investment markets. Bank credit. The*vijum e o f ccedit.exi:sii.ded .in • « •• • by the Federal Reserve bank£.slflcO&£e#drthfe if¿tlal •*••• «• •• **•*• •• sharp increase during the latter part of Decem Summary o f District Conditions ber in response to holiday requirements for Less than the normal seasonal decline of credit and currency and financial settlements activity in the principal industries of this dis falling due on the first of January. W ith the trict occurred during December, while trade, passing of the seasonal demands there was an although characterized by caution, was main unusually rapid return flow of currency to the tained at the high levels of recent months. Reserve banks, reflected both in an increase of Debits to individual accounts at banks in 20 reserves and a decline of Federal Reserve note clearing house centers, figures which afford an circulation. Member banks used the currency approximate index of the total volume of busi returned from circulation to reduce their bor ness carried on in the district, were smaller, rowing, with the consequence that the earning when corrected for seasonal variation, than in assets o f the Federal Reserve banks declined previous months of 1923 (except September), by $360,000,000 during the four weeks follow but were larger by more than 7 per cent than ing Christmas, or approximately $150,000,000 in December, 1922. An index of debits to indi more than during the corresponding period of vidual accounts prepared by this bank shows FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T AT SAN FRANCISCO January, 1924 the follow ing figures for December of the past five years (1919 monthly average=100) : 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 120.4 112.1 103.2 113.4 108.5 3 considerably smaller than that produced in 1922. Average daily production of petroleum in California declined rapidly during the last three months of 1923, but total output for the year was approximately twice as great as in the previous record year 1922. In December, 1923, for the first time since late in 1921, production of petroleum in California was less than con sumption, as indicated by producers’ shipments, and stored stocks declined by a fraction of 1 per cent. In mid-January prices of crude oil and gasolene, which had been at low levels since September, 1923, were advanced. Figures of building permits issued in 20 cities during December indicate no abatement in building activity during com ing months. Both the num ber and value of permits issued in this district during the year 1923 were of record propor tions. The figures fo llo w : These figures are not corrected for price changes during the period, but comparative stability of the general price level during the past year makes such correction unnecessary when comparing December, 1923, with Decem ber, 1922, and correction for price changes since 1920 would increase the index number for 1923. Detailed figures of activity in industry and trade, now available for the full year 1923, con firm previous estimates of record production and distribution of the chief products of the dis trict. O f particular significance are the figures compiled by the United States Department of Agriculture showing gains of 20 and 23 per Percentage cent, respectively, in the total dollar value of 1923 1922 Increase grains and of field crops produced in this dis Number of Permits 144,673 122,295 36 trict during 1923 as compared with 1922, gains Value of P e r m its..$419,726,221 $310,644,294 35 which were offset to some extent by a decline Bank credit has continued relatively abun of 10 per cent in the dollar value of fruit crops. dant, and since the turn of the year an easier Products of the farm, however, have advanced tendency in interest rates has been noted. Dur in price during the year by 1.4 per cent, while ing the past six weeks changes in conditions of prices of other commodities have declined 3.2 member banks and the Reserve Bank in this per cent, thus improving the position of the district have been largely in response to year agriculturist even without the increase in total end demands for credit and currency. Loans value of his crop which the grain and field crop and discounts of reporting member banks and farmer has experienced. Disquieting reports their borrowings from the Reserve Bank were are being received from agriculturists and live slightly higher on January 9, 1924, than on stock men in all parts of California, where the January 10, 1923, reflecting the increased de seasonal rainfall to date has been approximately mand for funds incident to rising activity in one-third of normal, although damage now in industry during the past year. The deposits of prospect from drought would be materially these banks reached the highest point on rec diminished by abnormally heavy rains in Feb ord, $1,344,183,000 on January 9, 1924, and the ruary. ratio of their total deposits to total loans stood Output of lumber during the year, as re at 133.6 on that date compared with 139.8 a ported by 200 mills of the district, was approxi year ago. mately 25 per cent larger than in 1922. Ship ments of lumber and the volume of orders re Agriculture ceived increased as did production, and no ab The volume of agricultural production in this normal growth of stocks has been reported. The value of gold and silver produced in the district increased substantially during 1923, ac mines of the district was 11.6 per cent greater companied by an advance in farm value of all in 1923 than in 1922, and physical volume of products excepting fruits. That the increase output of the principal industrial metals (cop in value of farm crops has resulted in an in per, lead, and zinc) increased by even greater crease in actual purchasing power of farming percentages. The canned fruit pack in three communities appears probable from the fact principal producing states was 1.4 per cent that prices of farm products, as a group, have above the average of the past four years. A risen approximately 1.4 per cent during the reduction of 20 per cent from the record pack past year, while the general level of prices has of 1922 was the immediate result of a difficult -».de c lined 3.2 per cent. W eighted indexes of marketing situation at the b e g in n im ^ S T g i^ ^ j^ ^ c t io n and farm value of grains, field crops packing year, a situation which improved as it o**id fruits in the Twelfth District and in the became certain that the year’s p a c ^ ^ y ^ ^ j b e ^ j ^ and of the purchasing power of OF PHILADELPHIA J 4 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS farm products in the United States during the years 1919 to 1923, inclusive, are given in Table “ A .” The actual value of crops included in the indexes for the Tw elfth District is given in Table “ B.” Combined production of the principal grain crops o f the district during 1923 increased 27.9 per cent over 1922, according to the grain index prepared by this bank, which reveals a general upward trend o f production during the past five years. Segregated figures for wheat, bar ley, and oats indicate that the increase in grain production during 1923 was due chiefly to a record wheat crop, the greater part of which was produced in the Pacific Northwest. The combined total farm value of the three grains increased 20.1 per cent during 1923 compared with 1922. Combined production and combined farm value of wheat, barley, and oats in the United States were slightly smaller during 1923 than during 1922. Production of the district’s chief field crops during 1923 was larger than in 1922. Relatively large increases in yields of beans, cotton, and sugar beets during 1923 were offset by declines in production of potatoes and rice. The com bined total farm value of five selected field crops of this district was 22.7 per cent greater in 1923 than in 1922. During 1923, total United States production of crops included in the index increased but little over 1922. The production index for fruits shows an in creasing yearly volume and a steady decrease in farm values during the past five years, both in the Twelfth District and in the United States. Production in the district during 1923 was 3.3 per cent greater than in 1922. The dis trict index of farm value of fruits dropped from CONDITIONS January, 1924 86.1 for 1922 to 76.8 for 1923, a decline of 10.8 per cent. There was a decline of 1.4 per cent in the index for the United States during the same period. The farm value indexes for the district and for the United States during 1923 were 41.4 per cent and 26.7 per cent, respec tively, lower than their high points in 1919. Acreage sown to winter wheat in this district during the autumn of 1923 was 0.8 per cent less than was sown during the autumn of 1922. The condition of the crop on December 1, 1923, was better than the 10-year average on that date in all states except California. Up to the present time (January 16th) weather and soil condi tions in the Pacific Northwest, where the bulk of winter wheat produced in this district is grown, have been favorable for grow ing grains. Grain crops sown during the present season in California have suffered because of insufficient rainfall. The acreage and condition of winter wheat by states in this district and for the United States are given in the follow ing ta b le: Per Cent Decrease 1923 Area Sown (Acres) com* Condition Autumn Autumn pared Dec. 1st 1923 1922 with 10-Year (Preliminary)* (Revised)* 1922 1923 Average A r i z o n a .............. California ......... 32 691 368 3 896 U t a h .................... 152 W ashington . . . . 1,559 Twelfth District . 3,701 United States . . . 40,191 46 813 409 3 896 152 1,417 3,736 45,950 30 15 10 0 0 0 io t 0.8 12.6 95 82 94 98 97 93 94 t# 94 92 89 89 92 88 85 88.0 86.5 *000 omitted, tlncrease. (A) Weighted Indexes o f Production^ Farm Value and Purchasing Power o f Farm Products— ,----- 1919----- \ 12th United Dist. States Production— Physical Volum e Grain ................W h eat, barley and o a ts*------ 100.5 101.3 Field C rop s...P o tatoes, beans, sugar beets, cotton and r ic e f......................... 97.6 99.9 Fruits ...............Apples, oranges, raisins, peaches, prunes and p e a r s f.. 105.4 96.5 Farm Valued Grains ..............W heat, barley and o a ts*------ 144.3 141.4 Field C rop s...P o tatoes, beans, sugar beets, cotton and r ic e f......................... 129.4 149.9 Fruits ...............Apples, oranges, raisins, peaches, prunes and p e a r s f.. 131.1 123.5 111 Purchasing Power of Farm Products§......... *Five-year fFive-year $Based on §Computed ,----- 1920----- \ 12th United Dist. States /----- 1921------X 12th United Dist. States 100.8 101.5 111.4 105.9 118.2 ,------1922----- x 12th United Dist. States /----- 1923----- X 12th United Dist. States 88.9 97.5 96.6 123.8 93.7 90.4 79.2 94.9 96.5 96.8 97.0 84.0 100.6 91.8 79.6 99.0 92.6 67.2 52.5 69.3 66.3 83.9 103.6 83.3 71.8 60.5 68.2 81.6 83.7 107.5 105.3 107.2 86 100.8 87.0 67 86.1 91.8 69 76.8 103.8 111.3 115.0 112.0 62.9 90.5 72 average 1 9 1 8 -1 9 2 2 = 1 0 0 . average 1919-1923 = 100. prices as of December 1st except where other dates conform more closely to the period o f heaviest marketing by producers. by U nited States Department of Agriculture. S O U R C E : U nited States Department of Agriculture. N O T E : These index numbers are based upon the relation o f the total annual production and farm value figures for each group to the five-year average, 1918-1922 (1919-1923 for fruits). The proportion o f the total farm value of each commodity within a group, for the indicated five-year period, to the total farm value of all commodities in that group for the same period, is used as a basis for weighting the different commodities. January, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T AT SAN FRANCISCO Livestock Ample seasonal rainfall and a plentiful sup ply of feed on winter ranges in the Intermoun tain States and the Pacific Northwest were factors favoring the livestock industry of the district during the past month, as was the oc currence of scattered rains over parts of Cali fornia. Severe cold weather in some sections during the first weeks of January, 1924, and a serious shortage of grass feeds on those Cali fornia ranges now or previously suffering from drought were unfavorable factors. Receipts of all classes of livestock, except hogs, normally decreased in December, due to heavy shipments and consumption of poultry during the year end holiday season and other purely seasonal causes. Livestock receipts at eight principal markets of the district during December, 1923, were, however, uniformly larger than during December, 1922. Receipts THO USANDS Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal Markets of the District 1922-1923. (Los Angeles, Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, Spokane, and Tacoma included) Farm Value December 1st 1923 1922t 1921t *000 omitted. fRevised figures. $100,489 27,707 16,643 21,341 21,394 10,762 16,886 8,470 32,405 24,200 24,885 21,310 15,400 11,979 during December and November of the past two years are given in the follow ing table: Cattle December, Novem ber, December, November, 1 9 2 3 .... 1 9 2 3 .... 1 9 2 2 .... 1 9 2 2 .... 93,513 101,593 74,217 102,964 Calves 22,353 23,393 17,734 18,921 Hogs Sheep 251,443 218,471 217,124 167,073 204,871 213,732 199,526 228,091 Prices for cattle, hogs, and lambs in the chief markets of the district generally tended toward higher levels during December, although a slight downward trend was noted for cattle and lambs in Southern California markets. Dairy and Poultry Products Abnormal declines in production of butter in many sections of California, where lack of rain fall has caused deterioration of pastures, have accentuated the downward trend of output reg ularly evidenced during the winter months. Heavy withdrawals of butter from cold storage have been necessary, but stocks have continued* larger than a year ago. Holdings of storage butter in four principal markets of the district, at 1,203,128 pounds on January 1, 1924, were 175.2 per cent greater than on January 1, 1923, when there were but 437,061 pounds of butter in storage at those markets. Reported cold storage holdings of butter in the United States were 30,282,000 pounds on January 1, 1924, compared with a five-year average of 46,312,000 pounds. During December, 1923, holdings of cold storage eggs at six principal markets of the district declined from 192,685 cases to 76,304 cases, the figure reported on January 1, 1924, which was 306.3 per cent greater than total holdings of 24,908 cases on January 1, 1923. A summary of cold storage holdings of but ter and eggs in the chief markets of the Twelfth District is given in the follow ing table: Jan. 1, 1924 D ec. 1,1923 D ec. 1,1922 Jan. 1,1923 Butter (pounds) 1,203,128 2,212,735 1,117,208 437,061 E ggs (cases) ... 76,304 192,685 75,657 24,908 ( B ) Crop Values— Twelfth District* — W h e a t .............................. $125,701 B a r le y .............................. 31,809 Oats .................................. 19,803 P o ta to e s .......................... 27,702 Beans ............................... 22,492 Sugar B e e t s .................. 18,400 C o t t o n .............................. 21,950 Rice ................................... 6,126 A p p le s .............................. 33,891 Oranges .......................... 41,567 Raisins ............................ 18,960 P e a c h e s ........................... 13,310 P r u n e s ............................. 8,000 11,134 P e a r s ................................ 5 $106,412 21,729 13,682 38,229 11,005 16,430 9,018 8,384 48,332 46,574 27,550 26,564 11,700 9,829 Prices Stability characterized the general price level during December, although readjustments within groups and between different groups of commodities continued. Seasonal adjustment of prices within the livestock group advanced Chicago quotations for sheep, lambs, and hogs, while cattle prices declined. The latter decline was smaller than that noted in December, 1922, however, and present prices for cattle are higher than a year ago. Sheep, lambs, and hogs, on the contrary, are now selling at lower levels than at the close of 1922. The trend of grain prices was downward during December, 1923. Quotations for contract wheat at Chicago and cash prices for shipping barley at San Francisco M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS were lower at the beginning of January, 1924, than at the beginning of December, 1923, or January, 1923. Relative stability, with a slight upward tendency, marked the course of daily quotations for raw cotton and w ool during the last month of 1923. On January 4, 1924, the quotation for spot middling uplands cotton at New Orleans was 32.7 per cent higher than one year ago. The average of 98 wool quotations at Boston on the same date was fractionally higher than on January 5, 1923. Refined beet sugar quotations at San Francisco declined steadily from $9.15 per 100 pounds on Decem ber 1, 1923, to $8.25 per 100 pounds on January 9, 1924, but advanced to $8.50 per 100 pounds on January 16th. The later quotation is 19.7 per cent higher than one year ago. Prices for fresh, canned, and dried fruits changed little during December. During the first two weeks o f January prices for prunes and raisins were revised downward by the grow ers’ associations which control the majority of these crops, but prices for the larger sizes of prunes were ad vanced later. January, 1924 In non-ferrous metal markets, lead prices ad vanced approximately 10 per cent during the month to a point 9.4 per cent higher than one year ago, copper declined slightly, and quota tions for zinc and silver increased fractionally. INDEX NUMBERS 1920 _____ 1921 1922 1923 Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920-1923 United States Bureau of Labor Index of Wholesale Prices (1913=100) National Industrial Conference Board Index of the Cost of Living (July 1914=100) (C ) Commodity Prices— Commodity lb. lb. bbl. lb. One Month Ago One Year Ago 146.1 151.0 146.8 152.0 148.7 156.0 165.0 165.3 158.9 73.0 $ 9.50 7.50 13.20 7.15 1 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. bu. cental cental Jan. 4. 1924 » 00 © Unit p Tw enty Basic Commodities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 .. W holesale Prices (U. S. Bureau of Labor) 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0........... Cost of Living (N ational Industrial Conference Board) July, 1 9 1 4 = 1 0 0 ....................................................................................... Purchasing Power of Farm Products (U . S. Department of Agriculture) 1913=100 ..................................................................... Cattle (Native Beef) . . .W e e k ly Average Price at C h ica g o .. Sheep ..................................W e ek ly Average Price at C h ica g o .. Lambs ............................... W e ek ly Average Price at C h ica g o .. H o g s ...................................W e ek ly Average Price at C h ica g o .. W h eat ................... Chicago contract price for M ay W h e a t .. B a r l e y .................... Shipping Barley f. o. b. San F ra n c isc o ... Rice .........................California Fancy Japan at San Francisco. Cotton ................... Middling Uplands— W eek ly range of spot quotations at N ew O rleans........................ W o o l ...................... Average of 98 quotations at B osto n ............ Flour ..................... First Grade Family Patent f. o. b. Cali fornia M ills ....................................................... Sugar ..................... Beet Granulated f. o. b. San F ran cisco.. . Apples ................... Extra Fancy W inesaps f. o. b. Pacific Northw est ......................................................... Oranges ................Navels, Fancy— W holesale at San FranI cisco ................................................... . ............... Lem ons .................Choice— W holesale at San Francisco-----Dried A p p le s .. . .Choice in 50-lb. boxes f. o. b. C aliforn ia.. Dried A p ricots...C h oice in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. C aliforn ia.. Prunes ................... Size 40 /50 in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. Calif-----Raisins .................. Loose Muscatel in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. California .......................................................... Canned Apricots.C hoice 25^s f. o. b. C alifo rn ia....................... Canned Peaches..Cling Choice, 2 ^ s f. o. b. C a lifo r n ia ..... Canned Pears. ...B artlett, Standard 2 ^ s f. o. b. California. Raw M ilk ...............Pacific Coast— December average................ Butter .................... 93 Score at San Francisco................................ E ggs .......................Extra— San Francisco....................................... Copper .................. Electrolytic; New Y o rk S p o t.......................... L e a d ........................N ew Y o rk S p o t.................................................... Silver ..................... N ew Y o rk Foreign............................................. Z i n c .........................East St. Louis S p ot.............................................. Petroleum ........... California 35° and above................................... Douglas F ir ......... 2x4, 16 ft. N o. S1S1E f. o. b. Seattle.......... Douglas F ir ......... 12x12 Tim bers f. o. b. Seattle.......................... 1.55-1.65 5.15 73.0 68.0 $ 9.65 $ 8.90 7.00 7.75 12.75 13.90 7.00 8.50 1.09^-1.11^4 1 .1 7 ^ -1 .1 8 ^ 1.55-1.70 1.60-1.70 5.20 4.40 35.00-36.00tf 34.50-36.000 26.50-26.750 79.500 79.614 78.284 7.14 8.704 7.14 9.150 box 1.25-1.40 box box lb. lb. lb. 3.00-5.50 1.50-2.00 .12 .10J4-.11 .1 0 J i-.ll 3.50-4.50 3.00-3.75 . 10-.1054 .10-.10J4 .1 0 J i-.ll .08*4 2.60 2.25 2.40 2.90 .48 .42 .08^4 2.60 2.25 2.40 2.89 .4 9 ^ .50 .13 7.304 .64 X 6.25-6.300 .76 18.50 25.00 lb. doz. doz. doz. 100 lbs. lb. doz. lb. lb. oz. lb. bbl. M ft. M ft. .1 2 « 8.10 4 .6 4 ^ 6.27-6.304 .76 18.50 25.00 1.15-1.40 7.88 7.100 1.65-1.75 3.50-4.75 5.00-6.00 .08^4 .23-.24 .11 54-12 .10 3.25 2.60 2.90 2.72 -4954 .47 .1454 7.400 .645^ 7.05-7.100 1.95 20.50 20.00 7 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO January, 1924 The latter three metals are now selling at lower prices than at the beginning of 1923. Prices paid producers for crude petroleum were un changed during December, remaining approxi mately 60 per cent lower than a year ago. Lum ber prices were comparatively steady, some grades and kinds selling for less and some for more than in November, 1923, or December, 1922, but the general level remaining approxi mately the same. Canned and Dried Fruits Total output of canned fruits in three prin cipal producing states of this district during 1923 was 19.7 per cent less than the record pro duction of 1922, but 1.5 per cent above the aver age of the past four years. Production in Cali fornia, where approximately 75 per cent of the total pack of the district is canned, was 26.6 per cent less than in 1922. The pack in Oregon and W ashington was 12.0 per cent greater than the combined output of these states during 1922, a relatively large increase in W ashington more than offsetting a slight decrease in Ore gon. Figures follow : 1923 1922 (cases) (cases) California ..1 1 ,3 5 1 ,5 3 6 15,477,865 Oregon ......... 1,694,805 1,793,854 W ashington . 2,050,560 1,549,087 District ...1 5 ,0 9 6 ,9 0 1 18,820,806 1921 1920 1919 (cases) (cases) (cases) 8,511,851 11,382,863 13,696,403 1,304,457 1,019,391 1,233,735 1,307,548 1,003,936 1,211,177 11 ,1 2 3 ,8 5 6 13,406,190 16,141,315 CASES (IN MILLIONS) 22 The 1923 season in the fruit canning indus try has been marked by conservatism both in production and in distribution of product. Packers of the district generally held large stocks, principally of lower grade fruits, at the beginning of 1923, and the presence of these stocks exerted a depressing influence on both domestic and foreign markets. W holesale dealers and jobbers in the country were content to satisfy their current needs without placing orders for future delivery in most cases, and foreign distributors purchased approximately 25 per cent less canned fruit during 1923 than during 1922. The combination of a heavy carry over and a small volume of future sales at the beginning of the canning season was reflected in the announced intention of the majority of packers to can little fruit in excess of that needed to fill orders actually received or surely in prospect. Demand became more active as the season progressed, but packers, except in the Pacific Northwest, found it impossible or undesirable to expand their output. Commer cial factors report that, on January 1, 1924, the carryover of canned fruit in California was ap proximately the same, in proportion to the quantity packed, as on January 1, 1923, al though considerably smaller in number of cases. Carryover stocks in Oregon and W ash ington are reported to be smaller than a year ago. Prices paid producers for canning fruit dur ing the 1923 season ranged from 3.0 per cent to more than 60.0 per cent below those paid dur ing 1922. Representative returns to growers in Central California for some of the principal varieties of canning fruits during the past tw o seasons are given in the follow ing table : 1923 1922 (per ton) (per ton) Percentage Decrease 1923 compared with 1922 $ 90 196 55 45 70 61.1 8.8 45.4 44.4 50.0 Apricots ............................ $ 35 Cherries, Royal A n n e . . 180 Peaches, Clingstone . . . 30 Peaches, Freestone 25 35 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 Pack of Canned Fruits and Vegetables in California, 1914-1923 California, Oregon, and W ashington com bined produced 8,347,886 cases of all varieties of canned vegetables during 1923, the largest pack on record. Production of canned vege tables in these three states totaled 7,509,829 cases in 1922, the previous record year, and 7,266,550 cases during 1919, an active year in the industry. Packers' 1923 opening prices for the princi pal varieties of canned fruits were from 2.0 per cent to 20.0 per cent lower than 1922 open ing prices. As the market for canned fruits strengthened during the latter part of the year, prices on items which were in relatively small supply were advanced. The figures fo llo w : Opening Prices 1923 1922 No. 21 cans, choice grade (per doz.) Apricots, S l ic e d ................... $2.15 Cherries, Royal A n n e ......... 3.25 Peaches, Y ellow C lin g .. . . 2.10 Pears, Bartlett ..................... 2.65 (per doz.) Spot Price Jan. 1,1924 (per doz.) $2.70 3.90 2.60 $2.60 3.25 3.25 2.75 2.25 8 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS Production of the principal dried fruits in California during 1923 did not reach expected figures (except in the case of apricots), largely because of crop losses resulting from unfavor able climatic conditions. Distributors have been chiefly concerned with the marketing of the apricot, prune, and raisin output, the large crop of apricots and the presence of heavy carryover stocks of 1922 crop prunes and raisins making it difficult to dispose of these products, even at reduced prices. Pertinent data relating to dried fruits in California are given in the follow ing ta ble: Prices Production* (cents per pound) Choice Grade in 251b. Boxes Spot Opening Jan. 14, 1922 1924 1923 Apricots, N o r t h e r n ............ 1923 (tons) 17,500 1922 (tons) 10,250 Figs, Black M issio n ............ 9,000 11,000 7 24^ 1454 Peaches, Unpeeled Yellow . 23,400 28,000 7V* n ti Prunes— 4 0 /5 0 ...................... 80,000 Raisins, T h o m p s o n s........... 237,000 110,000 235,000 10J4 10 sy 8 ^Production figures cover all grades and varieties o f specified dried fruits. Milling D ec., 1923 N ov., 1923 D ec.,1922 O u t p u t .................... (bbls.) 736,300 777,795 564,743 Stocks of Flour* . (bbls.) 569,430 560,189 521,501 Stocks of W h e a t * .. (bu.) 3,901,986 4,150,492 4,337,362 * A s of the first day of the following month. Figures obtained from 42 mills through sec tional millers’ associations show the same gen eral trend as those collected by this bank. They fo llo w : N o . of M ills Reporting D ec., N o v ., 1923 1923 California . . . 10 Idaho ............. 2 O r e g o n ......... 14 W ashington . 16 District . . . Seasonal declines in flour milling activity were smaller than usual during December, 1923, according to reports received from 16 large milling companies, being but 5.3 per cent smaller than during November, 1923, whereas January, 1924 of flour held by them. Flour stocks on January 1, 1924, were 9.1 per cent greater than one year ago. Figures of output and stocks for 16 milling companies for which a continuous record is kept are given in the follow ing table: ny2 m 11¿4-12 10y2 10 CONDITIONS 42 D ec., 1923 (barrels) -O u tp u t — N ov., 1923 (barrels) D ec., 1922* (barrel«) 10 2 16 16 350,382 9,929 266,530 468,133 387,235 8,654 254,217 523,736 286,977 9,019 155,162 360,984 44 1,094,974 1,173,842 812,142 *46 mills reporting. Lumber The year 1923 was one of record activity in the lumber industry of the district. Production proceeded at a high rate throughout the year, demand was substantial and steady, prices were relatively stable, and transportation facilities generally adequate. A statistical summary of the operations of approximately 200 mills re porting to four lumber associations of the dis trict during 1923, 1922, and 1921 is presented in the follow ing table (000 omitted) : t-----------------52 W eeks Ending----------------D ec. 29.1923 D ec. 30.1922 D ec. 31.1921 (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) THOUSAND BARRELS 9 oor 700 500 300 t STCCKS OF FLOUR/ -V# % j OUT PUT 0 ' i i Ni i J i i ili 1922 \ j"/" / t y 'jr -— - —------i i rT i/T iT T iL . i i 77 i i 71 1923 Monthly Flour Output, and Stocks of Wheat and Flour at End of Month of 16 Reporting Milling Companies production decreased 14.5 per cent during D e cember, 1922, as compared with November, 1922. Their total output during December (736,300 barrels) was 30.3 per cent greater than during December, 1922. Sales of the 16 com panies during December, 1923, were slightly less than production, as indicated by an in crease of 1.6 per cent during the month in stocks Production ................. 8,403,620 Shipments .................. 7,803,345 Orders .......................... 7,403,666 6,580,965 6,063,165 6,819,623 4,192,500 4,114,445 4,383,680 t %V* FLOUR 100 í / Exceptionally active winter demand for lum ber continued during December, the bulk of the business originating in the domestic market, principally on the Atlantic Coast. The foreign market was relatively quiet, little new business being placed in Japan where a large part of the foreign sales of recent months has been made. The majority of the mills in the Pacific Northwest closed for repairs or to await im proved weather conditions during the latter part of December, and reported production dur ing that month was less by 26 per cent than in the previous month. Reports indicate that mills will not be idle for more than the customary two to four weeks, a resumption of operations being scheduled for the last two weeks of Janu ary. Figures showing activity of nearly 200 mills during omitted) : 9 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T AT SAN FRANCISCO January, 1924 December, 1923, D ec.. 1923 (board feet) Production .................... 491,780 S h ip m e n ts...................... 467,230 O r d e r s ............................. 512,238 Unfilled O rd ers............ 530,144 follow N ov.. 1923 (board feet) 666,754 574,877 572,967 481,551 (000 D ec.. 1922 (board feet) 388,354 465,488 460,315 500,511* *Figures for one association based on five weeks. MILLIONS OF BOARD FEET New Y ork market having fluctuated between 12.625 cents and 13.00 cents per pound. These prices were approximately the same as those prevailing in November, but were more than a cent a pound below prices paid a year ago. Lead prices advanced during the month, reaching 7.85 cents per pound at New Y ork on Janu ary 9, 1924, and on that date were 0.45 cents higher than one month ago and 0.35 cents higher than one year ago. Zinc prices continued to fluctuate in response to frequent changes in the prevailing relation between supply and de mand. Average prices paid for the principal non-ferrous metals during December, 1923, N o vember, 1923, and December, 1922, follow : _ Lumber Production, Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lumber Associations, 1922-1923 /1t_ N D ec., 1923 Copper (lb.) (cents) New Y o rk Electrolytic.. 12.82 Lead (lb.) N ew Y o r k ............................ 7.37 Silver (oz.) New Y o r k ............................ 64.71 Zinc (lb.) St. L o u is............................... 6.26 Quicksilver (dollars per flask) San Francisco------ 59.75 N o v .,1923 (cents) Dec., 1922 (cents) 12.73 14.07 6.85 7.16 63.82 63.91 6.35 7.00 61.09 70.75 Mining The value of gold and silver produced in the states of this district during 1923 has been esti mated by the Director of the United States Mint at $69,334,598, an increase of 11.6 per cent over the $62,121,862 of gold and silver produced in the same states during 1922. National pro duction of gold and silver during 1923 was val ued at $110,919,884 compared with $104,606,859 in 1922. Segregated figures fo llo w : -1 9 2 3 Gold Silver Tw elfth District $28,428,400 $40,906,698 U nited S t a t e s ... 51,378,700 59,541,184 -1 9 2 2 Gold Silver $24,738,300 $37,383,562 49,096,000 55,510,859 There was little change in production of the principal industrial metals of the district during December as compared with preceding months of 1923 according to preliminary returns re ceived by this bank. The figures of national production o f copper, silver, zinc, and quick silver during November, 1923 (December fig ures are not available), October, 1923, and N o vember, 1922, are presented in the following table : Copper (lbs.) mine N ov.. 1923 Oct., 1923 N ov.. 1922 production ........ 127,410,543 132,934,701 102,593,152 Silver (oz.) (com mercial b a r s ). . . 4,894,135 5,428,071 4,869,905 Zinc (tons) (slab) ................... 44,280 42,098 38,746 Quicksilver (flasks— 75 lbs., estimated) 800 800 550 Figures for lead are not available. The market for copper was dull during D e cember, prices for electrolytic copper on the Petroleum Production of petroleum in California during 1923 was almost twice as great as in the previ ous record year 1922, and the proportion of total United States output produced in that state in creased from 25.3 to 35 per cent. The figures for recent years fo llo w : California Production (barrels) 192 0 192 1 192 2 1923*.................... 105,668,000 114,709,000 139,671,000 262,000,000 United States Production (barrels) 443,402,000 469,639,000 551,197,000 745,000,000 Per Cent California to United States 23.8 24.4 25.3 35.0 "Estim ated. The peak of production in California was reached during September, 1923, when output of the newer flush fields in Southern California was at its height, and during the last three months of the year the flow of oil declined steadily. Average Daily Production of Petroleum in California (in barrels) N ov., 1923 O ct.. 1923 Sept., 1923 D ec.. 1922 D ec., 1923 706,427 746,595 792,787 858,750 497,639 During December, 1923, for the first time in tw o years, consumption of California petro leum, as indicated by producers’ shipments, was greater than production, and stored stocks de clined slightly. A t 91,925,153 barrels, stocks held in that state on January 1, 1924, were 0.2 per cent less than the 92,081,143 barrels (re vised figure) held on December 1,1923, but 50.2 10 January, 1924 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS per cent greater than the 61,184,928 barrels held on January 1, 1923. Refinery output of gasolene declined 2.2 per cent during December, 1923, as compared with November, 1923, but was 60.8 per cent greater than in December, 1922. Consumption during December declined more than did production, however, and stored stocks of gasolene on Jan uary 1, 1924, had risen to 191,780,375 gallons, an increase of 9.9 per cent over the 174,452,019 gallons held on December 1, 1923, and of 93.0 per cent over the 99,366,400 gallons held on January 1, 1923. M IL L IO N S all industries for which segregated figures are available showing increases. N ot all of this in crease, however, represents an increase in total business of the district. A part of it (statistics are too recent to permit an estimate of how large a part) represents the normal annual growth of the power companies at the expense of distributors of coal, oil, and other forms of fuel for power. As compared with October, 1923, sales during November, 1923, decreased 6.4 per cent, due principally to a further seasonal decline amounting to 41 per cent in the use of electric power for agricultural purposes. Sales to manufacturing establishments declined 4.3 per cent as compared with the preceding month. Percentage comparisons of sales by certain in dustries and by sections of the district are pre sented in the follow ing table: Percentage Increase or Decrease (— ) November, 1923, compared with November, 1922 Total Agricul M anu Industrial ture Mining facturing Sales 17.9 C a lifo rn ia ...................... Pacific N orth w est___ — 8.2 Intermountain States. — 57.0 Tw elfth D istrict.......... 14.7 7.2 — 2.0 65.3 14.0 15.9 32.5 14.3 19.5 20.0 13.4 29.9 19.7 MILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS Production, Shipments, and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery Stored Stocks of Gasolene, 1922-1923 On January 21, 1924, prices of crude oil in California were advanced 25 cents per barrel, and refined products (including gasolene) were advanced 2 cents per gallon. Prices paid pro ducers of crude oil now range from 85 cents per barrel of oil of 14 to 19.9 degrees gravity to $1.01 per barrel o f oil of 35 or more degrees gravity. The service station price of gasolene in the San Francisco Bay region is now 16 cents per gallon (not including state tax of 2 cents per gallon). H igh and low points of retail gasolene prices (in cents per gallon) at San Francisco during recent years are shown in the follow ing ta b le: M ay, July, 1914................ 1 4 ^ August, 1920.............. 27 September, 1923.............. 14 1915................ 11 January, 1924...................... 16 Electric Energy Sales of electric energy for industrial pur poses reported by 20 principal power companies in this district were 19.7 per cent greater during November, 1923, than during November, 1922, Total Industrial Sales (R. W . H .) of 20 Power Companies in Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 Figures showing the number of industrial consumers and industrial sales of reporting companies during November, 1923, and 1922 fo llo w : Number of Industrial Consumers N ov., N ov., 1923 1922 C a lif o r n ia .................... 74,659 55,702 Pacific Northwest . . . 12,576 11,158 Intermountain States 5,062* 10,650* Tw elfth District . . . . 92,297 77,510 Industrial Sales K .W .H . N ov., N o v .. 1923 1922 230,782,427 192,271,684 87,948,424 55,225,609 373,956,460 77,515,688 42,498,896 312,286,268 *Due to a change in the statistical method of one reporting com pany these figures are not comparable. Employment Steady employment of practically all kinds of workers, a lower rate of labor turnover, and im proved industrial relations characterized the employment situation in this district during the past year. Employment in most of the major industries of the district increased as compared with 1922, and during the period of greatest industrial activity in the spring and early summer there was some shortage of workers, particularly in mining districts and in the building trades. Curtailment of activity in some lines during the summer months and an influx of workers from other parts of the coun try relieved this shortage, but during the autumn the number of farm laborers in several sections was inadequate. T he month of D e cember witnessed a normal seasonal decline in volume of employment as activity in farming areas and in outdoor construction work of all kinds abated. Seasonal closing of many of the lumber mills and camps in the Pacific North west also resulted in temporary unemployment of a large group of workers. The number of men employed in lumber operations in this section was estimated at 74,600 on January 1, 1924, compared with 90,000 on December 1, 1923. W ages during the year have been relatively stable, although a slight upward trend in the building trades and in agriculture was noted. The follow ing table shows average wages paid farm laborers in the United States during the year 1913 and the five years since the close of the war. AVERAGE WAGES OF MALE FARM LABOR* Per Month With Board 1913................................. 191 9 192 0 192 1 192 2 192 3 11 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T A T SAN FRANCISCO January, 1924 Per Day at Harvest With Board Without Board $21.38 39.82 46.89 30.14 29.17 33.18 $1.57 3.15 3.60 2.24 2.20 2.45 $1.94 3.83 4.36 2.79 2.72 3.03 months of 1923 and 1922 are presented in the follow ing table: Total N ew Passenger Cars Registered Jan. 1 to Dec. 1 1923 1922 Total New Commercial Cars Registered Jan. 1 to Dec. 1 1923 1922 A r i z o n a ................. 9,515 4,563834 California ............ 208,646 135,319 Idaho ..................... 8,586 4,200 O r e g o n .................. 32,239 14,538 U t a h ........................ 10,530 * W ashington ........ 42,976 16,680 Total . . . . ■ ......... 258,986 158,620 259 22,199 647 1,602 975 271 25,282 17,051 396 1,451 * * 19,157 *N ot available. Total registrations of old and new automo biles in six states of the district (the figures for Nevada are not available) during 1923 have been estimated at 1,707,172, an increase of 27.6 per cent over the 1,337,421 cars registered in 1922. Total registrations of automobiles in the United States during 1923 have been estimated at 14,500,000, an increase of 18 per cent over the 12,239,114 cars registered in the preceding year. Seasonal declines in the production of auto mobiles occurred during December, 1923, ac cording to preliminary figures compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, but output continued considerably greater than a year ago. Estimates of the National Automobile Cham ber of Commerce place total production of auto mobiles for 1923 at 4,014,000 vehicles (3,644,000 passenger cars and 370,000 trucks), an increase of 50 per cent over the 2,659,064 cars produced in 1922, the previous record year. Figures showing the national production of automobiles during December, 1923, November, 1923, and December, 1922, as compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, are presented in the f o llo w in g t a b l e : Dec„ 1923* Nov.. 1923* Dec., 1922 Passenger C ars................... 228,765 Trucks .................................... 24,171 236,351 23,599 207,483 19,640 Total ................................... 252,936 259,950 227,123 *U nited States Department o f Agriculture. *Preliminary figures. Automobile Registrations Retail Trade There was an increase of 29.5 per cent in the number of new passenger cars registered in re porting states of the district during November, 1923, compared with November, 1922, and registrations of new commercial vehicles in creased by 15.7 per cent. During the first 11 months of 1923 as compared with the same period of 1922 increased registrations amount ing to 63.3 per cent for passenger cars and 31.9 per cent for trucks were noted. Figures show ing registrations o f new automobiles in the states of this district (except for Nevada, for which figures are not available) for the first 11 Christmas trade at retail, as shown by the value of sales of 34 department stores in seven cities of the district during December, 1923, was 14.4 per cent greater than in 1922. All sec tions of the district participated in the increase. Stocks of goods on retailers’ shelves were greatly reduced by holiday sales, and were 16*1 per cent less in value on January 1, 1924, than on December 1, 1923. They were 9.9 per cent greater in value on January 1, 1924, than on January 1, 1923. The average annual rate of turnover of department store stocks for the last six months of 1923 was 2.57, compared with a 12 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS rate of turnover of 2.64 for the same period in 1922. A detailed statement of the percentage changes in the value of sales and stocks of re porting department stores in this district fol lows . Percentage increase Percentage increase or decrease (—) in value of sales Dec.. 1923, compared with N o. of D ec., N ov., Stores 1922 1923 L os A n g e le s......... ..6 Oakland ..................4 Salt Lake C i t y ... 4 San F ran ciscof.. . 9 Seattle ................... ..5 Spokane ..................5 District* . . . . . . 3 4 30.0 8.6 1.8 6.1 5.5 0.6 14.4 or decrease (— ) in value of stocks D ec., 1923, compared with D ec., N o v ., 1922 1923 60.1 87.3 65.5 62.3 61.6 41.8 22.3 3.1 *9.7 7.2 3.8 3.0 61.7 9.9 — 12.6 — 17.6 — 16.0 — 16.2 — 21.1 — 14.3 — 16.1 *Figures for one store included in district figures, but not included in figures for cities shown above. ■{•Preliminary. CONDITIONS January, 1924 sales of these 11 lines were less than in N o vember, a decline which is doubtless largely seasonal in character. Percentage increases or decreases (— ) in the value of December sales of all reporting firms in each line of business are presented in the following table: xlw elve ^ . ° Months Ending Dec. 31, D ec., 1923, 1923, corncompared with pared with D ec., N o v ., same period 1922 1923 in 1922 Number of Firms Agricultural Implements 23 Automobile Supplies___ 18 Autom obile T ir e s............ 18 D r u g s .................................... 9 D ry G oo d s........................... 13 Electrical E q u ip m en t... 6 Furniture ............................ 16 Groceries ............................ 26 Hardware ............................. 21 Shoes ...................................... 14 S ta tio n e ry ........................... 29 — 5.2 11.9 — 10.4 8.9 4.3 12.5 20.4 — 2.1 6.6 — 21.5 — 3.7 — 4.8 — 8.8 — 0.1 — 17.9 — 21.7 16.5 5.5 — 27.9 — 6.1 — 19.9 — 1.6 11.1 21.8 7.5 15.2 13.7 28.1 22.6 9.6 16.5 6.6 11.0 DECEMBER PRICES I922=I0036=DECEMBER 1922SALES U.&BUREAU Op LABOR INDEX NO. WHOLESALE PRICES [D EC EM BER | l92 3 ^g || [E e c e m b e r I i S S u a l AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENTS ■ I H M H AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIES AUTOMOBILE TIRES DRUGS D R Y GOODS FURNITURE a H H GROCERIES HARDWARE wmMÊwmwmi SHOES B H H a | STATIO N ERY 1 20 Net Sales of 31 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District 1 , 1 40 60 1 60 too 120 140 160 ( i n M illio n s of D ollars) Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Firms and General Wholesale Prices in December, 1923, compared with December, 1922 Wholesale Trade Considerable irregularity is revealed in the December reports of 11 wholesale lines. As compared with sales of December, 1922, the results of December, 1923, showed a decrease in five lines, and an increase in six, as fo llo w s: Shoes ...................... Automobile Tires Agricultural Implements S ta tio n e r y ............ G r o c e r ie s ............... — 2 1 .5 % — 10.4 — 5.2 — 3.7 — 2.1 F u r n itu r e ....................... ..+ 2 0 . 4 % Electrical Equipm ent. + 1 2 .5 Automobile Supplies.. + 1 1 .9 Drugs .............................. ..+ 8.9 Hardware ........................+ 6.6 D ry G oods........................+ 4 . 3 W holesale prices as a whole in December, 1923 (United States Bureau of Labor in d ex = 151) were approximately the same as in De cember, 1922 (United State Bureau of Labor in dex= 156), so that the disparities apparent in the above comparisons are chiefly due to differ ences of conditions in the particular lines of trade. E xcepting in electrical equipment and furniture, where increases of 16.5 per cent and 5.5 per cent, respectively, occurred, December Collections during the past three months have been reported as fo llo w s : Number of Firms Reporting Collections as Excellent Good Fair Poor October, 1923.................. 9 November, 1923.................. 6 December, 1923.................. 8 57 55 39 77 50 65 4 6 7 Building Activity The year 1923 established a record for build ing activity in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District. There were 144,673 permits authoriz ing construction valued at $419,726,221 issued in 20 cities of the district during the year. In 1922, the previous record year, the number of permits issued was 122,295 and their value $310,644,294. Continuance of active building is forecast by the record of building permits issued in these cities during the past few months. The usual winter decline in these figures has been of small January, 1924 13 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T A T SAN FRANCISCO proportions, and in December there was an actual gain in the value o f permits issued as compared with the previous month, although their number showed a normal seasonal de crease. Percentage Increase or Decrease (— ) in the Number and Value of Building Permits issued in 20 Cities D ec. 1923, compared with D ec., 1922 N ov., 1923 Number of Permits Issu ed.............. Value of Permits Issued.................... 30.1 66.3 — 18.3 20.6 The United States Department of Labor in dex number of building materials prices stood at 178 in December (1913 prices=100). This is 1.7 per cent lower than a month ago, 3.8 per cent lower than a year ago, and 12.7 per cent below the peak of April, 1923. Business Failures The total number of business failures in this district during 1923 was 7.2 per cent less than the number of failures during 1922, and liabili ties involved were less by 19.5 per cent. A ver age liabilities amounted to $13,718 compared with $18,874 in 1922, and $18,441 in 1921. The follow ing table, based on R. G. Dun & Com pany’s figures for this district, shows the total number and liabilities of business failures for the years 1920-1923, inclusive, together with average liabilities of failing concerns during those years: Number of Failures Liabilities Average Liability 2,050 2,209 1,851 1,187 $28,123,072 34,936,823 34,280,351 28,407,979 $13,718 18,874 18,411 23,932 1923............. ............. 1922............. ............. 1921............. ............. 1920.............. .............. LIABILITIES INMILLIONS 10 A t’ \! NO. O F 'w rA IL U R E 1s A t• ! /» '" ' NO. OF FAILURES 250 V r** w « v' \ f\ i. ..i. 200 150 A IOO IL IT IE S V 1 X A \* ' \/t\' T V ...1. l .1 L , L 1__ 1 1 l, j / •/ i...l _ i 1922 L.. t .1 k ! 50 1 ! 1923 Business Failures, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 (D ) B uilding Perm its— December, 1923 N o. Value B e r k e le y ......... B o i s e ................ Fresno ............ L o n g B e a c h ... Los Angeles.. Oakland ......... O g d e n ............. Pasadena ........ Phoenix ......... Portland...... R e n o ................. Sacramento . . Salt Lake City San D ie g o .. . . San Francisco San Jose.......... Seattle ......... Spokane ...... Stockton ........ Tacom a .......... 189 30 126 342 4,721 874 18 332 59 886 6 205 59 410 746 83 617 81 116 212 D istrict . . . . 1 0 , 1 1 2 $ December, 1922 N o. Value 601,600 37,215 142,940 1,255,104 20,758,194 2,583,312 263,500 551,314 149,515 1,452,860 15,050 607,633 293,300 1,047,301 4,952,444 114,030 1,060,930 76,622 351,725 341,796 112 32 187 318 3,613 602 25 298 52 593 16 159 69 374 528 74 456 52 60 147 $ $36,656,385 7,767 $22,034,644 278,135 9,460 1,261,176 851,360 8,955,597 2,070,582 120,950 766,086 69,475 808,725 54,400 750,259 766,950 559,603 2,439,658 170,750 1,792,685 69,270 125,270 114,253 There were declines both in number and lia bilities of business failures in this district dur ing December, 1923, as compared with N ovem ber, 1923, amounting to 13.7 and 17.5 per cent, respectively. Compared with December, 1922, the number of business failures during Decem ber, 1923, declined 9.1 per cent, and liabilities involved declined 39.1 per cent. The average liabilities of business failures in this district during December, 1923, amounted to $13,053, compared with $13,647 in November, 1923, and $19,484 in December, 1922. R. G. Dun & Company’s preliminary figures of the number and liabilities of business failures in the states of the district during December, 1923, and November, 1923, follow : December, 1923 N o. Liabilities . 4 81 2 107 8 1 O r e g o n ............. , . Utah ................... , . W ashington . . . 10 1 30 9 34 26,877 743,851 157,265 6,618 347,003 298,458 625,896 33 8 37 167,836 1,385,578 64,063 24,099 214,533 266,666 551,979 . D is t r i c t ......... 169 $2,205,968 196 $2,674,754 C a lifo rn ia ......... $ November, 1923 N o. Liabilities $ 14 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Savings Accounts Savings deposits in 74 banks in seven princi pal cities of the district increased from $957,980,000 on November 30, 1923, to $980,205,000 on December 31, 1923, a gain of 2.3 per cent. All cities participated in the increase except Salt Lake City which showed a decline of 0.5 per cent. Compared with December, 1922, the MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1000 variations, shows that the December total was smaller than in any other month of 1923 except September. The figures fo llo w : (1919 AVERAGE = 100) July ............... 125.6 128.2 134.9 131.3 131.4 140.9 April M ay . June . , 126.2 123.9 117.2 125.5 127.9 , 120.4 S e p te m b e r ....... O cto b er............ N ovem ber . . . . December . . . . , The movement of these figures gives a fairly accurate picture of the course of business in the district during the past year. A ctivity in indus try and trade noted during the closing months TOTAL 500 400 300 January, 1924 S A M F R A N C IÎ MILLIONS OF OOLLARS 2800 )S ANGELE 200 2600 100 2400 50 40 30 \ 1923 1 / / / / /\ / .... 1 —.*— *' ""Vv / ... ✓✓ 2200 SPO K A N E \\ 11 \\ it 1800 ......1\i / 10 1922 V 1923 Savings Accounts in Banks in Seven Principal Cities of the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 district figures for December, 1923, show an in crease of 13.7 per cent. Detailed changes in the amount of savings deposits since one month ago and one year ago as reported by 74 banks in seven cities fo llo w : Per CeBt Increase Number of Reporting Banks , 13 L os A n g ele s........... , 7 Oakland* ................ .. 9 P o rtla n d .................. 8 Salt Lake C ity -----San Francisco........ ........... 15t 16 Seattle ..................... 6 Spokane .................. T o t a l .................... 74f or Decrease (—) Dec., 1923, compared with Nov., 1923 Dec.. 1922 ——______ Debits to Individual Accounts in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922-1923 (E) Bank Debits*— 1.6 2.3 1.9 — .5 2.9 2.7 2.5 Lon g B each............................ L o s A n g ele s ........................... Oakland .................................. O g d e n ...................................... Pasadena ............................... Phoenix .................................. P o r tla n d .................................. 13.7 2.3 S a c ra m e n to ........................... Salt Lake C ity ....................... San D ie g o ............................... San Francisco........................ San Jose................................... Bank Debits Debits to individual accounts at banks in 20 clearing house centers increased by less than the normal seasonal amount during December, and this bank’s index, which allows for seasonal Four weeks ending Jan. 2, 1924 Berkeley ................................ . , 17.8 11.6 13.9 11.3 10.4 19.0 13.9 *Includes one bank in Berkeley which was form erly a branch o f an Oakland bank. fT h e consolidation o f two reporting banks has reduced their num ber by one, but has not affected the value o f reported figures for comparative purposes. 1 I 1 1 \ Y « V 1922^-. 1 \■X«' 2000 \\ t 20 Spokane .................................. Stockton ................................ , ,, . .. .. , . ,, $ 14,275 11,917 41,017 52,075 690,312 115,774 26,733 30,000 21,455 149,106 10,342 50,314 71,524 43,860 718,145 20,073 160,423 45,845 24,073 35,489 9,683 , ,,$2,342,435 *000 omitted. Four weeks ending Jan. 3, 1923 $ 14,333 14,739 57,102 44,352 564,251 103,854 31,545 26,810 18,303 128,633 10,522 73,459 69,579 43,159 681,698 21,079 149,254 44,385 21,121 35,807 9,210 $2,163,195 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T A T SAN FRANCISCO January, 1924 o f 1922 continued at an accelerated pace during the spring of 1923, reaching a peak in the early summer of that year. Then followed a sharp decline, bred partly of fear o f the consequences o f the previous rapid rise, which culminated in the early autumn. Since that time some revival o f activity has occurred, but, as is illustrated by the figures for December, the movement is a cautious one. Total debits to individual accounts during 1923 amounted to $29,453,000,000 compared with $25,122,000,000 during 1922, an increase o f $4,331,000,000 or 17.2 per cen t Banking and Credit Situation Year end financial adjustments have ob scured credit trends during recent weeks, but figures now available for the first half of Janu ary indicate that bank credit in this district is now somewhat more abundant than it was be fore the turn of the year, accompanying the M I L L I O N S OF DO LLARS 320 15 banks increased their borrowings at the R e serve bank from $51,563,000 on December 12, 1923, to $64,955,000 on December 26, 1923, and then reduced them to $45,296,000 by January 16, 1924. The temporary demand for additional hand to hand currency normally experienced during the Christmas holiday period was met by an increase in Federal Reserve note circula tion from $214,853,000 on November 28, 1923, to $232,397,000 on December 26, 1923. Since the latter date, the need for additional currency having passed, circulation has fallen, and on January 16, 1924, the amount of notes out standing was $212,616,000. The downward trend of interest rates from the autumn peak continued during December and early January. W eekly average interest rates on various classes of paper in the New Y ork market are shown in the following table. (Figures are for week ending on date shown.) Jan. 12, 1924 Tim e M o n e y .................4$4~5 Commercial Paper (4 -6 m on th s)........... 4^4 B a n k e d Acceptances 4*4 Dec. 8, 1923 Autumn Peak Jan. 13, 1923 5-554 5^ 4.63 280 1922 1923 Total Reserves, Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted, and Investments, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco pronounced ease reflected in the New Y ork money market since January 1st. Principal items in statements of reporting member banks in large cities of the district in creased, in most cases, during the first three weeks of December, and then declined to pre vious levels in the follow ing three weeks. Total deposits, however, moved steadily upward throughout the entire period, and at $1,344,183,000 on January 9, 1924, were at the highest point ever reported. The ratio of total deposits to total loans at these banks stood at 133.6 on January 9, 1924, compared with 128.2 on D e cember 5,1923, and 139.8 on January 10, 1923. A similar seasonal movement to that experi enced by member bank figures characterized the fluctuations of items shown in the state ments of the Federal Reserve Bank. Member 100 50 B IL L S P VYABLE A ND R ED i: C O U N T S W ITH F E D E R A L F E S E R V E B A N K i i i __!.. 1922 . i l V V ..1 .J— — l— 1— i 1923 l i __ 1— 1 Total Deposits, Loans and Discounts, Investments, and Bills Payable and Rediscounts of Reporting Member Banks Reports received by this bank from 35 of the principal accepting banks of this district show the follow ing changes in the amount of bills purchased and accepted during December, 1923, compared with November, 1923, and December, 1922: December. 1923, compared with N ov., 1923 D ec.. 1922 Am ount of bills accepted ___ + 1 7 .7 % Am ount of bills bought .......... — 22.3% Am ount of bills held at close of m o n t h ......................................... — 18.9% — 0.9% — 33.5% — 73.9% 16 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS The principal commodities upon which these acceptances were based were canned and dried fruits, raisins, lumber, coffee, merchandise, and sugar. The amount of long term credit extended to agriculture by special agencies created for that purpose has increased in all states of the dis trict during the past year, outstanding loans of Federal Land Banks and Joint Stock Land Banks being, respectively, 11.5 and 133.0 per cent larger on December 31, 1923, than on De cember 31, 1922. The figures by states of the district fo llo w : LOANS OUTSTANDING AT CLOSE OF YEAR Federal Land Banks Joint Stock Land Banks 1923 1922 . .$ 4,342,800 $ 2,917,000 .. 12,284,100 15,558,400 . 22,909,895 18,845,645 666,200 528,100 .. 19,639,080 17,715,105 .. 13,845,200 11,911,200 .. 27,734,345 23,366,445 1923 1922 $ 1,320,000 $ 232,300 12,213,350 6,281,100 1,645,300 55,600 292,700 7,474,700 3,609,700 120,700 645,300 1,747,700 576,250 District . . . .$101,421,620 $90,841,895 $25,339,050 $10,875,650 A r i z o n a -----California . . Idaho ............ Nevada . . . . O regon -----U tah .............. W ashington January, 1924 Federal Intermediate Credit Banks which be gan operations in the summer of 1923, and which loan money for agricultural purposes for periods (six months to three years) intermedi ate between short time and long time credit, had outstanding loans amounting to $7,236,933 on December 31, 1923. As the Federal Inter mediate Credit Banks have entered the field of agricultural finance the W ar Finance Cor poration has prepared to withdraw. The an nual report of the latter body for the year ending November 30, 1923, gives the follow ing figures for the Twelfth Federal Reserve D istrict: Advances Through and Loans Outstanding with Approved Advanced Repaid Outstanding Nov. 30, 1923 B a n k s ..........................$16,516,814 $14,371,597 $13,662,674 $ 708,922 Livestock Loan C o m p a n ie s........... 21,210,718 18,881,338 12,623,044 6,258,293 Cooperative Market Associations . . . . 19,240,189 3,707,185 3,707,185 Totals ................... $56,967,721 $36,960,120 $29,992,903 $6,967,215 PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AND LIA BILITY ITEMS OF REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN RESERVE CITIES IN TW ELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT January 9, 1924 December 5, 1923 Jan«ary 10, 1923 N u m b er o f R e p o r t in g B a n k s ......................................................................... 68* Loans and Discounts (including rediscounts)........................................$1,005,658,000 Investments ............................................................................................................ 344,192,000 Cash in Vault and with Federal Reserve B ank...................................... 127,085,000 Total Deposits ....................................................................................................... 1,344,183,000 Bills Payable and Rediscounts with Federal Reserve Bank........... 32,746,000 65* $1,001,779,000 343,740,000 119,313,000 1,284,881,000 33,996,000 66* $ 902,427,000 347,582,000 119,315,000 1,261,296,000 14,480,000 *D u e to changes in the composition o f the list o f reporting banks, current figures are not exactly comparable with those o f a month ago or a year ago. COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO AT CLOSE OF BUSINESS, JANUARY 16, 1924 RESOURCES December 12, 1923 January 17, 1923 T otal Reserves ...................................................................................................... $290,732,000 Bills Discounted .................................................................................................. 45,296,000 Bills Bought in Open M arket......................................................................... 34,134,000 United States Government Securities.......................................................... 12,542,000 January 16, 1924 $299,183,000 51,563,000 33,506,000 9,185,000 $263,836,000 33,289,000 35,290,000 40,767,000 Total Earning A s s e ts .......................................................................................... $ 91,972,000 A ll Other Resources*......................................................................................... 57,366,000 $ 94,254,000 62,134,000 $109,346,000 54,438,000 Total Resources................................................................................................$440,070,000 $455,571,000 $427,620,000 Federal Reserve Notes in Actual Circulation.......................................... $212,616,000 Total D e p o s it s ....................................................................................................... 161,410,000 Capital and Surplus............................................................................................. 23,182,000 A ll Other Liabilitiesf.......................................................................................... 42,862,000 $224,905,000 159,917,000 23,127,000 47,622,000 $219,075,000 146,682,000 23,008,000 38,855,000 Total Liabilities................................................................................................ $440,070,000 $455,571,000 $427,620,000 L IA B IL IT IE S ♦Includes “ Uncollected Item s” ....................................................................... •(•Includes “ Deferred Availability Item s” ................................................. 44,938,000 41,267,000 47,994,000 45,268,000 42,847,000 37,907,000 A substantial, black, cloth-covered, three-ring binder, large enough to contain one year's (12) issues of this review, will be mailed prepaid to any address on our mailing list upon receipt of one dollar to cover actual costs.