The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
MONTHLY REVIEW OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco No. 1 San Francisco, California, January 16, 1923 Vol. VII Summary o f National Conditions cember, accompanied by wage increases in cer Production and prices remained relatively tain industries. Some shortage of labor in the constant in December while trade and credit eastern districts was still reported, but in the showed the usual increases in the holiday Pacific states the customary winter surplus of unskilled labor was indicated. season, follow ed by declines in January. W holesale prices. The general level of whole Production. The index of production in basic sale prices remained unchanged in December. industries, after rising rapidly since last A u A m ong various groups of commodities the gust, showed a slight recession in December, price tendencies of recent months were con though production was maintained at a level tinued. Prices of farm products, cloth, chemi near the peak of 1920. The output of pig iron cals, and house furnishings registered further and coal continued to increase, but the produc increases, while fuel and metals prices con tion of certain other commodities, particularly tinued to decline. of cotton textiles and flour, showed declines. During January a number of basic com m odi In southern districts the building industry ties advanced in price and cotton, rubber, and continued active and in all parts of the country lead rose to the highest points since 1920. much new construction was projected. Rail Volum e of trade. W holesale trade in most re road traffic continued heavier than a year ago. The seasonal decline in car loadings and the porting lines showed a seasonal decline during but was considerably larger than a reduction in bad order cars partially relieved • freight congestion. Employment in industrial -t&Sf ago: i&Sm^ implement dealers, however, » •# *•»«* ***«»'% establishments made a further advanc& i$*#£ )d -1 reported larger ^ales/Jthan in November, and P€RCEM T 300 - • ' ----- . * .*4 .** # *•••• 400(1 * • «# • • * * • • ' >«o » •- « • > p; «0 Vva/ \v « J \ \ \ Sr A \ » • • • • * « * • « » • «* • • •• * * a # ft** 3000 • . #. *' m* 4 « • •• * üjf y f'i. •• • * ........ 4 Allionsor dollars • • • •• ** • * :\ r • •• ••• '"''L<a x w DCMMHO DCPO&pf* A \ Vi ; LAftNtMG /«wm TIMt OCPOSITS^, ». f 01—*—IL_JL_ 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1919 t920 <921 Index of Production in Basic Industries Combination of 22 individual series corrected for seasonal variation (1919 average = 100 per cent) Prices Index numbers of wholesale prices, United States Bureau of Labor statistics (1913 average— 100 per cent) Bank Credit All Federal Reserve Banks Bank Credit 800 member banks in leadimg cities A substantial, black, cloth-covered, three-ring binder, large enough to contain one year’s (12) issues of this review, will be mailed prepaid to any address on our mailing list upon receipt of one dollar to cover actual costs. 2 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S more than doubled their December, 1921, busi grown was 10 per cent greater in 1922 than in ness. Retail sales of reporting stores during the previous year. Prices for livestock and live Decem ber reached the largest volume in the stock products have returned moderate profits to producers during the major portion of the last four years. Bank credit. Dividend and interest payments year and the livestock industry is now in appre and the disbursement of government funds in ciably better condition than it was a year ago. connection with the redemption of V ictory The recovery is reflected in the present active Notes and W ar Savings Certificates, together demand for breeding animals to be used in with the usual decline in the demand for cur rebuilding flocks and herds. H eavy rains and rency after the holiday season, were attended snows during recent weeks have benefited fall by a large increase in the volume of new secur sown crops, stimulated the growth of feed for ity issues and by somewhat easier money con livestock, and practically assured an adequate ditions. Open market commercial paper rates supply of water for irrigation purposes later in in financial centers, which were A y2 to 4% per the year. cent in December, declined to 4*4 to 4 y2 per Industrial activity, which has been steadily cent in January. increasing during the past year, continued Member banks in leading cities reported an through December with less than seasonal dim increase in demand deposits, an important fac inution. The volume of trade in the lumber tor in which was the usual seasonal flow of industry was approximately 50 per cent greater funds from country districts to financial cen in December, 1922, than in December, 1921. ters. W hile the volume of loans on stocks and The mines of the district have, temporarily at bonds decreased in the first two weeks of Jan least, stabilized production, at levels much uary, there was a somewhat larger increase in above those prevailing a year ago. The total the investments owned by the banks. value of the district’s production of five prin A t the Federal Reserve banks the principal cipal metals (gold, silver, copper, lead, and change between Decem ber 20th and January zinc) was $163,340,471 in 1922 compared with 24th was a reduction of $230,000,000 in Federal $101,638,967 in 1921. Production of petroleum Reserve note circulation caused by the seasonal in California continues to exceed consumption decline in currency requirements. Reserves in and stored stocks were increased by 1,430,204 creased $65,000,000 while earning assets de barrels during December, reaching the record clined $171,000,000. These changes are similar figure of 61,184,928 barrels on January 1, 1923. to developments during the sam£.«pe n p V Bjiilding permits issued during December, ago, although the decline m *e^£iige£set$*wag , 1 were greater both in number and in value less than last year. tfiaitjin Djecember, 1921, but the percentages of ijicreas^ vwjjre not so great as in previous Summary o f Distridt.Gpnditiorfs *.• / •. : months *<H«*1§22. The 1922 pack of canned ••• , » Final estimate§*$£*£he United States Depart fruits and\v£gfetables has proved to be the ment of Agriculture sho#w Jtfr^ihe; -pjiyqicfd taj*gqs£*£ver produced in the district, exceeding volume of a g r i c u l t u r a l p t o t j i i c t i o r i jn 1921 pack by almost 75 per cent. trict in 1922 was approximately the same as in Seasonal decreases in employment have been 1921, but that the aggregate value of the crops smaller this winter than in the past tw o years. N o t e : A national summary of business and credit conditions similar to that presented above will be in cluded in the Review regularly hereafter. This summary, which is to be prepared each month by the statis tical services of the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Reserve banks, will deal with the latest available facts regarding production, prices, trade, and bank credit. The figures for banking will be those of the cur rent month, but the other figures will necessarily relate to the preceding month. The index of production includes the follow ing 22 series: Pig Iron, Steel Ingots, Cotton (consumption), W o o l (consum ption), W h eat Flour, Sugar Meltings, H og s Slaughtered, Cattle Slaughtered, Calves Slaugh tered, Sheep Slaughtered, Lumber, Bituminous Coal, Anthracite Coal, Copper, Zinc, Leather, Newsprint Paper, Cement, Petroleum, Cigars, Cigarettes, Manufactured Tobacco. In combining these series in a single index, the different items have been weighted in accordance with their relative importance. Allowance has been made for seasonal variations, so that the index does not reflect changes due to seasonal causes. The combined production index compares current output with the produc tion in 1919. The wholesale price index is prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and uses average prices in 1913 as a base. 3 FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRANC ISCO Reporting department stores of the district transacted the largest volume of business in their history during the past Christmas season. Sales were 11.9 per cent greater in value than in December, 1921, and 8.1 per cent greater than the previous record month of December, 1920. Sales in all of the 10 reporting lines of wholesale trade increased in December, 1922, compared with December, 1921, the increases varying from 3.5 per cent to 31.4 per cent and being over 15 per cent in 7 of the 10 lines. Debits to individuals’ accounts in banks of the district outside of San Francisco were 11.6 per cent larger in December, 1922, than in Decem ber, 1921. Including the figures for San Fran cisco the increase was 5.5 per cent. A marked improvement in the record of business failures was noted during the month. They were less both in number and in amount of liabilities than in December, 1921. The banking situation changed little during December. Loans of 66 reporting member banks were less by $8,432,000 on January 10th than on December 6th. Total deposits of the same banks increased from $1,222,483,000, to the record figure of $1,261,296,000 during the five-week period. They reduced their borrow ings from the Federal Reserve Bank by ap proximately 50 per cent, from $28,000,000 on December 6th to $14,000,000 on January 10th. Country bank borrowings were unchanged. The demands of member banks for additional currency to meet holiday and year-end require ments caused the amount of Federal Reserve notes of this bank in circulation to rise from $235,842,000 on December 13th to a peak of $244,596,000 on December 27th. W ith the sub sidence of business activity after the holidays, this total steadily declined to $226,388,000 on January 10th. Prices in general were relatively stable dur ing December. The wholesale price index num ber of the United States Department of Labor was unchanged at 156 (1913 prices=100). A d vances and declines in the prices of the princi pal products of this district were almost equally divided and none was of significant proportions. Crop Conditions Acreage sown to winter wheat in this dis trict during the 1922-1923 planting season was 3.1 per cent less than the area sown one year ago. The condition of the plant on December 1, 1922, in all states except California, was be low the 10-year average for that date. W eather conditions during December were favorable for grow ing grain, rains and light snows in many sections improving the appearance of the crop. The acreage and condition of winter wheat by states of this district are shown in the follow ing table: Area Sown (A cres) Autumn, Autumn, 1922 1921 (P relim inary) * (R evised ) * 46 813 409 3 879 143 1,456 54 774 465 3 879 162 1,533 Tw elfth D istrict___ . 3,749 Total United S ta te s.46,069 3,870 47,611 California .................. Idaho ........................... U t a h ............................. W ashington ............. Condition D ec. 1st 10 year 1922 average 95 92 91 90 92 90 90 96 81 90 91 70 77 88 79.5 87.9 “ *000 Omitted. Marketing of the 1922 wheat crop was less rapid during December than in the previous month. Little additional grain moved out of farmers’ hands, and in the Pacific Northwest, where the bulk of the district’s wheat crop is (A) Crop Estimates—Twelfth Federal Reserve District*— r Crop Unit 1922 W h e a t .................. 99,277 Oats ..................... 30,126 B a r le y .................. 45,358 C o r n ..................... 13,148 R y e ........................ 898 H a y ....................... 15,456 Cotton ................. ------(bales) ........... 127 Beans ................... 5,166 8,262 R i c e ...................... ____(bushels) . . . 46,307 P o ta to e s .............. Sugar B eets........ 1,578 H o p s .................... 25,910 Apples ................. 32,241 Peaches ............. 20,188 P e a r s .................... 8,365 O r a n g e s ............. . . . . 10,500 * (0 0 0 ) Omitted. — Production— 1921 1920 126,548 34,343 39,295 11,806 1,204 16,115 79 3,902 7,290 37,637 2,496 29,340 38/646 i 4 6,271 13,000 105,307 35,482 38,703 11,774 855 14,814 178 3,332 8,262 35,629 2,867 33,330 22,131 15,188 6,568 21,600. , A (--------- Farm Value on Decemlber 1st--------- \ 1922 1921 1920 $101,754 16,695 29,265 12,725 721 202,011 17,350 19,264 9,086 21,901 9,760 2,200 31,084 31,536 10,557 42,075 $106,412 13,682 21,729 9,256 817 149,214 9,018 11,005 8,384 38,229 16,287 7,080 49,008 18,679 9,884 36,400 $145,329 25,217 38,268 14,620 1,141 244,006 26,746 10,956 9,997 36,429 36,340 11,666 26,489 29,912 14,229 47,088 4 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S grown, grow ers’ holdings are still estimated at 10 to 15 per cent of the total crop of 76,000,000 bushels. Both export and domestic markets were relatively inactive. Exports of wheat from Portland and the Puget Sound ports for the season to date have been approximately onehalf of the movement during the corresponding period last season. W H E A T EXPORTS July 1st to December 31st (inclusive) 1922 1921 1920 (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) P o r t la n d ..............11,624,619 Puget S o u n d .... 2,653,445 23,680,712 4,788,761 11,484,638 3,878,821 T otal ................14,278,064 28,469,473 15,363,459 The rice harvest in California was practically completed during December, and small lots, yet uncut, will be removed from the fields only if weather and market conditions are favorable. O f the total crop of 8,260,000 bushels (3,717,000 bags of 100 pounds each), approximately 1,777,778 bushels, or 800,000 bags, were dam aged by rain. T he market value of this rice will depend to a considerable extent upon the care used in handling the grain in warehouses and mills. In addition to the 1922 crop of rice, commercial factors estimate that there are 222,225 bushels, or 100,000 bags, of 1921 crop rice yet to be disposed of by California growers. A t present the market is reported weak on account of cessation of hitherto substantial Japanese buying. Pacific Coast markets and the Hawaiian Islands are buying normal quantities of California grow n rice. On December 29, 1922, the Rice Growers Association of Cali fornia sold number one paddy rice of the 1922 crop for $2.40 per 100 pounds. In 1921, at this, time, the same grade of rice sold for $2.60 per 100 pounds. Rising prices for cotton stimulated the har vesting of that crop during December, so that nearly all of the merchantable cotton grown in the district has now been picked and ginned. Ginning returns up to January 1, 1923, indicate that the crop will probably fall short of the 76,000 bales previously estimated. C O T T O N G I N N I N G T O J A N U A R Y 1st 1923 1922 (bales) Arizona ........................... 36,692 California ...................... 23,611 Total ........................... 60,303 1921 (bales) (bales) 35,441 23,229 77,562 47,119 58,670 124,681 The short staple cotton crop of California is reported to have been sold as fast as it was baled. Growers received from 27 to 29 cents per pound for this cotton during December, an advance of 2 cents per pound over the previous month and of 6 cents per pound over the same month a year ago. Approxim ately one-half of the 30,000-bale crop of Pima long staple cotton grown in Arizona was reported sold by Janu ary 1, 1923. Prices to growers during D ecem ber, 1922, were based on a price of 32 cents per pound for number two Pima cotton, the same price which prevailed during December, 1921. The preliminary sugar beet report of the United States Department of Agriculture for 1922 gives the follow ing information concern ing the crop in this district : Production in Short Acreage* Tons* California . . . . 5 9 Idaho ........ 25 Utah .. 74 441 277 860 Average Sugar Content Average Farm Price of Beets per ton 18.60% 16.66% 16.23% $8.77 5.50 5.08 *000 Omitted. Acreage and yield in 1922 were slightly more than half as large as in 1921. Average farm prices given in the above table are largely guaranteed or minimum prices. A s final prices paid to producers are partly determined by the selling price of refined sugar during the year, these farm prices may be raised as the season progresses. An unusually large proportion of the apple crop of the district remains in storage at ship ping centers as a result of inactive buying in Eastern markets, which continue to be well supplied with low-priced, locally grown fruit. Storage holdings in this district are estimated as follow s: 1922 1921 (c a r.) (c ars) Total commercial crop ................................ 44,800 Shipments July 1st to Dec. 31 st.............. 27,933 Remaining in storage in the d istric t.. . 16,867 51,123 42,615 8,508 In many cases mid-season varieties of apples held in common storage have been forced into sale to avoid deterioration. Later varieties held in common storage, and all varieties in cold storage, are reported to be in good condition. Prices to growers for apples are now approxi mately 15 per cent below prices of a year ago. Revised estimates of the 1922-1923 Navel orange crop in California as of January 1, 1923, indicate a yield of 8,400,000 boxes, or 21,000 carloads, compared with an earlier estimate of 7,500,000 boxes, or 18,750 carloads. W arm rains and high temperatures during December re sulted in a rapid increase in the size of the in dividual fruits. The preliminary estimate of the 1922-1923 yield of lemons in California has been reduced from 4,400,000 boxes to 4,200,000 boxes, or 10,500 carloads. Citrus fruit ship ments for the season up to December 31st of the past two years were as fo llo w s: N ov. 1st to D ec. 31st 1922 1921 (cars) Oranges .................................................... 5,629 Lem ons ..................................................... 762 (cars) 5,406 912 FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRA N C ISCO Smaller shipments of lemons this year than last year have been due to the rapid decline in the price of lemons during December follow ing the receipt of a large quantity of foreign lemons in the New Y ork market. Preliminary average returns for lemons to grower members of the California Fruit Growers Exchange were $4.66 per box during December, 1922, compared with $6.78 during November, 1922, and $2.12 per box during December, 1921. Livestock The livestock industry of the district was benefited during December by favorable weather and grass conditions on the ranges, and by increases in local market prices of all meat animals. The principal feature of the month at the livestock markets of the district was the large increase in receipts of hogs, 30 per cent more THOUSANDS 400 A »» 3ti0 ; : sH EEF i ; : 3CW f • 1 • : \ ,A 280 '— ■" ,_l"9 • ; v % V ; v » 240 i ——1■ f ■ OAfl cUv » 160 s / 120 ><5S / 1 IA I •1 1» THOUSANID S 4 4ÛÛ !\ • a ■ • \ «» • ; S ■ 9 • I I I • } • 1 { V 1I . • • • A 11 » f t / a*. V V / A*, , > V -* / / / V / V, kyPV \&rx I / « « r \\ 80 40 CA1 TLE AND C U V ES 0 JUv 320 280 240 200 5 classes of animals has not always been equal to the demand. A ccording to estimates of the United States Department of Agriculture, the seasonal movement of cattle and sheep to the ranges and pastures of the district was much heavier during the autumn of 1922 than during the autumn of 1921, the number of animals now on feed in the district being considerably larger than last year. For the United States as a whole it is estimated that there are now 27 per cent more cattle on feed and 20 per cent more sheep than on December 1, 1921. Dairy and Poultry Products In anticipation of the seasonal increase in butter production during the spring, dealers are rapidly reducing their cold storage hold ings. W ithdrawals during December at the four principal markets of this district amounted to 741,399 pounds, and holdings on January 1, 1923, had been reduced to 437,061 pounds, a figure considerably smaller than reported stor age stocks on January 1, 1922, which were high as a result of the importation of a considerable quantity of low priced butter from Australia during the latter part of 1921. During the early part of the past month, a few cars of butter were shipped to Eastern markets but when prices advanced on the local markets as a re sult of the active holiday demand, this move- 160 120 80 40 lâ>21 1 92 2 o Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal Markets of the District 1921-1922. (Los Angeles, Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, Spokane and Tacoma included) having been shipped than during November, 1922, and 44 per cent more than during D e cember, 1921. As in November, 1922, a con siderable proportion of hog shipments origi nated within the district. The movement of cattle and sheep to market declined seasonally during December, 1922. Sheep receipts were also less during December, 1922. than during December, 1921. Figures showing the receipts of livestock at eight of the principal markets of the district during December, 1922, and D e cember, 1921, follow : Cattle December, 19 22 .. 74,217 December, 1921.. 62,243 Calves H ogs Sheep 17,734 12,800 217,124 150,724 199,526 221,142 The market for stocker and feeder animals has been active during the past few weeks and in the Pacific Northwest the supply of these Seasonal Movement of Holdings of Cold Storage Butter at Four Principal Markets of the District, 1921-1922 ment ceased. In the San Francisco market the price of 93 score creamery butter advanced from 49}4 cents per pound on December 12th to 53y2 cents per pound on December 30th, and declined to 50y2 cents per pound on January 3rd, compared with 36y2 cents per pound a year ago. Holdings of cold storage eggs in five markets of this district were reduced more than 90 per cent during December and on January 1, 1923, were approximately one-fourth as large as on January 1, 1922. During the period of heavy withdrawals between December 12th and D e cember 27th, the price of extra grade eggs on the San Francisco market declined from 5 3 ^ 6 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U SIN E S S C O N D IT IO N S cents per dozen to cents per dozen. The price on January 16th was 3 5 ^ cents per dozen. A summary of the cold storage holdings of butter and eggs in the chief markets of the Tw elfth Federal Reserve District is presented in the follow ing ta b le: Jan. 1, 1923 D ec. I, 1922 N o v . 1, 1922 M illin g Flour mills of the district were less active during Decem ber than during the previous month but production was considerably greater than in the same month a year ago. The figures fo llo w : California . . 1 0 3 Idaho ......... Oregon ___ 17 W ashington 16 t— ... . ' D ec., 1922 (barrels) 10 3 15 16 District . . . 46 44 ------ Output— N o v ., 1922 (barrels) Production of canned fruits and vegetables during 1922 by canners in four of the principal producing states of the district was larger than in the previous record year, 1919, and practi cally double that of 1921. Jan. 1, 1922 Butter ( p o u n d s ) ...437,061 1,178,460 2,139,676 786,682 6,200 73,183 282,576 24,908 E ggs (c a se s)........... N o . of M ills Reporting D ec. N ov. 1922 1922 Canned Fruits and Vegetables --------------- N D ec., 1921* (barrels) 286,977 9,019 155,162 360,984 368,512 13,091 180,761 384,034 215,314 15,726 157,963 386,136 812,142 946,398 775,139 t -------------- Fruits-------------- t-------------- Vegetables-------1922 1921 1922 1921 (cases) (cases) (cases) (cases) California* . 15,477,865 8,511,851 Id ah of ........ 80,111 66,328 O regonf . . . 1,793,854 1,304,457 W a sh in g ton f 1,549,087 1,307,548 T otal . . . . 18,900,917 11,190,184 6,913,371 2,615,947 49,276 8,500 182,787 53,745 364,395 103,655 7,509,829 2,781,847 *Estimated by Canners League o f California. •{•Estimated by Am erican Can Company. In 1919 the total pack in these states was 23,498,014 cases, including 16,208,793 cases of canned fruits and 7,289,221 cases of canned vegetables. CASES CIN MILLIONS) CASES (IN MILLIONS) *61 M ills reporting. Millers ground more wheat than they pur chased during December and produced more flour than they sold. A s a result stocks of wheat at 16 reporting mills were smaller and stocks o f flour were larger on January 1, 1923, than on December 1, 1922. Present stocks of wheat at these mills, 4,337,362 bushels, are nearly double the amount held on January 1, 1922. M IL L IO N B U SH ELS o A 7 X o• c M IL L IO N B U SH E L S K / v j A/HÉ V » o THO O SA N O 1 I / s TOCK S OF ^ — \AT/ / / — v yn 500 ^ \ 300 tv V c. p 1 900 ....... I. O U T !P U T * . . Ô P I / 700 y f / o T H O U S A N D f3 A R R E L S BA R R E IL S 900 j a « r p - *o\’ (V U FLÖ I STO CKS FLO UR. N \ r' , r. 100 500 300 100 o CVJ 19 1921 1922 Monthly Flour Output, and Stocks of Wheat and Flour at End of Month, of 16 Reporting Milling Companies There has been an active domestic demand for flour during the past month but foreign buying has been light according to the reports of millers. Flour prices advanced during De cember and on January 1, 1923, they were ap proximately 8 per cent higher than one year ago. Pack of Canned Fruits and Vegetables in California, 1914-1922 Canners generally entered the 1922 packing season with small holdover stocks. The market was steady and fairly active but buyers pro ceeded cautiously and future sales were re ported to be small in volume. A s the season progressed and general business and industrial conditions improved, demand became more ac tive and canners repeatedly increased the amount of their projected packs. Foreign de mand was also greater than had been expected and it is estimated that between 2,600,000 and 3,100,000 cases of canned fruits were shipped from the Pacific Coast to the United Kingdom alone. As the possibility of profitably disposing of a large pack became apparent, the demand for green fruit increased rapidly and prices rose accordingly. The follow ing table shows aver 7 FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRA NC ISCO age prices paid growers in central California for some of the principal fruits during the past tw o seasons: 1922 1921 (per ton) (per ton) Apricots ............................................... $ 95.00 200.00 Royal Anne Cherries...................... Clingstone Peaches.......................... 55.00 P e a r s ...................................................... 70.00 $ 60.00 110.00 40.00 60.00 Opening prices on 1922 canned fruits, which were slightly above 1921 opening prices, have been well maintained on the lower grades of fruits, which were in heavy supply and have recently been advanced on the better grades, of which the pack was relatively small. cated by the National Industrial Conference Board’s index of the cost of living, advanced three-tenths of 1 per cent, standing at 158.9 in December compared with 158.4 in November. The wholesale price level is now 11 per cent higher than one year ago while the cost of liv ing is 2.3 per cent lower. INDEX NUMBERS oe-i? A 235 215 195 175 The general level of prices changed little during December, 1922. Index numbers of wholesale prices constructed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New Y ork and the United States Department of Labor were the same as in November, 1922. Prices at retail, as indi 155 V 235 ÎLES *l e \ PRI CES » 215 \\ 0* * 195 \ v \ S \ O 1 Prices INDEX NUMBERS -»re 175 OF LIVI N6 % 135 19 2 0 155 135 19 2 2 19 2 1 Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920*1922 United States Bureau of Labor Index of Wholesale Prices (1913— 100) National Industrial Conference Board Index of the Cost of Living (July 1914=100). (B ) Commodity Prices— Commodity Twenty Basic Commodities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1913=100. Wholesale Prices (U. S. Bureau of Labor*) 1913=100___ Cost of Living (National Industrial Conference Board) July, 1914=100 ......................................................................... Cattle (Native B e e f).. .Weekly average price at Chicago.. Sheep .............................W eekly average price at C hicago.. Lambs ........................... W eekly average price at C hicago.. H o g s ...............................W eekly average price at C hicago.. W h e a t ................. Chicago contract prices for May W heat. B a r le y ................. Shipping Barley f. o. b. San F ra n cisco... R i c e ..................... California Fancy Japan at San Francisco Cotton ................ Middling Uplands— W eekly range of spot quotations at New Orleans..................... W o o l ................... Average of 98 quotations at Boston......... Flour .....................First Grade Family Patent f. o. b. Pacific Coast mills.................................................. Sugar .................. Beet granulated f. o. b. San F ran cisco... A p p le s ................. Extra Fancy Winesaps, f. o. b. Pacific N o rth w e st.................................................. Oranges ..............Navels, market pack, Los A ngeles............ Lemons ...............Special Brands Fancy at Los A n g e le s... Dried A p p le s... .Choice in 50-lb. boxes, f. o. b. California. Dried A pricots...C hoice in 25-lb. boxes, f. o. b. California. Prunes .................Size 40/50 in 25-lb. boxes, f. o. b. Calif... Raisins ................Loose Muscatel in 25-lb. boxes, f. o. b. California ................................................... Canned Apricots.Choice 2 ^ s f. o. b. California................... Canned Peaches..Cling Choice, 2^4s, f. o. b. California___ Canned P ea rs... .Bartlett, Standard 2 ^ s, f. o. b. California Raw M ilk.............Pacific Coast— December average............ Butter ..................93 score at San Francisco........................... E g g s .................... Extras— San Francisco................................ Copper ............... Electrolytic; New Y ork S pot.................... Lead .................... New Y ork S p ot............................................. Silver .................. New York Foreign....................................... Zinc ..................... East St. Louis S p ot....................................... P etroleu m ...........California 35° and above.............................. Douglas F ir.........2x4, 16-ft. No. S1S1E, f. o. b. Seattle........ Douglas F ir.........12x12 Timbers, f. o. b. Seattle.................... *Revised figures, f December W heat. Unit Jan.5.1923 148.7 156 100 100 100 100 lbs. lbs. lbs. lbs. bu. cental cental lb. lb. bbl. 100 lbs. box box box lb. lb. lb. lb. doz. doz. doz. 100 lbs. lb. doz. lb. lb. oz. lb. bbl. M ft. M ft. One Month Ago One Year Ago 149.6 156 128.7 140 158.9 $8.90 7.75 13.90 8.50 1 .1 7 ^ -1 .1 9 ^ 1.60-1.70 4.40 158.4 $9.65 7.00 14.35 8.15 1.18j4-1.20t 1.50-1.55 4.75 162.7 $7.00 5.10 11.50 7.30 1.09—1.11^4 1.35-1.45 5.25 26.50-26.75tf 79.504 25.25-25.624 78.434 17.25-17.75tf 47.38tf 7.59 7.45 7.18 5.00 7.73 7.10 1.65-1.75 3.00-3.25 7.00 .0 8 ^ .23-.24 . 1 1 ^4 - 1 2 .11 3.25 2.60 2.90 2.72 .4 9 ^ .47 .1434 7.404 1.65-1.75 4.50-4.75 8.00-9.00 •09J4 .23-.24 .1254 .11 7.05-7.104 1.95 20.50 3.25 2.60 2.85 2.61 .45^2 .59 .1 3 « 7.3754 .643A 6.50-6.754 1.95 20.50 20.00 20.00 .645/ s 2.00-2.15 2.50-4.50 3.50 .1 3 3 / 4 -^ 4 .2 2 / 2 - 2 3 .1 1 ¿4- . 12 .1 5 « 3.25 2.60 2.90 2.57 .37 .45 .1 37/s 4.704 .65 4.90-4.95tf 2.45 11.00 16.00 8 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E SS C O N D IT IO N S Prices of the principal products of this dis trict displayed no definite general trend during the month. Prices for sheep and hogs advanced slightly in the Chicago market but the advance was accompanied by a decline in prices for beef cattle and lambs. W heat prices at Chicago tended lower than in the previous month but the average price of first grade family flour in this district advanced 14 cents per barrel. Bar ley prices gained from 10 to 15 cents per cental. The rice market was weak and California rice was quoted at prices 35 cents per cental below those prevailing one month ago. The prices of deciduous fruits, fresh, canned, and dried, were generally unchanged or fluctuated within nar row limits. Prices for oranges and lemons de clined heavily. A m on g non-agricultural products the con tinued advance of copper prices was noteworthy. On December 18th copper was quoted at 14^ cents per pound and on January 5th at 14^4 cents per pound, the price prevailing on Jan uary 16th. The price of zinc continued upward during December and is now approximately 43 per cent higher than in January, 1922. Lead prices also advanced substantially during the month. They are now approximately 58 per cent above the levels o f one year ago; soft w ood lumber associations in the United States, four of which are in this district, dur ing the years 1922 and 1921 follow (000,000 omitted) : Seven Principal Four Associations in Twelfth District (Board feet) 1922 1921 Cut ................. 6,180 Orders .......... 6,819 Shipments . . 6,063 D ec., 1922 (Board feet) Production ........... . 388,354 Shipments ............ 465,488 Orders .................... 460,314 Unfilled O rd ers... 500,511* N ov., 1922 (Board feet) D ec., 1921 (Board feet) 556,707 430,555 482,248 479,880 297,139 306,836 335,500 329,751 *Figures for one association based on five weeks. Production of lumber in this district during the year 1922 was approximately 49 per cent greater than during 1921. Shipments increased 50 per cent during the year period and the amount of orders received was greater by 57 per cent. Compared with the previous record year, 1920, production in 1922 increased 5 per cent, shipments 23 per cent, and orders re ceived 51 per cent. Figures showing the cut, orders, and shipments of the seven principal 8,156 8,228 8,461 10,977 10,447 11,333 600 600 V /* f 500 f 400 / 200 _ /a .4 y t¡ tyi S Im ORDERS MÏH 500 ÜJ • i '/ V v i ^ if \ Jy - 01 ñ¡ r F Ô N - 300 400 300 T¿ 200 PRODUCTION _ SHIPMENTS « . . . O RDERS . . . . 1921 Conform ing to the usual seasonal trend the lumber industry was slightly less active during December, 1922, than during the previous month, but production, shipments and orders received were all greatly in excess of the fig ures for December, 1921. Production, although 30 per cent greater than in December, 1921, was well below the capacity of reporting mills, as many plants were com pletely or partially shut down for winter repairs. Figures showing the activity of reporting mills in the four lum ber associations in this district follow (000 om itte d ): 4,142 4,335 4,055 Dom estic and foreign lumber markets were unusually active during December. The rail roads were particularly heavy purchasers in the domestic market. A large amount of cargo business was transacted, water shipments of lumber from the Pacific Northwest to the A t lantic Coast and to California being nearly double those of a year ago. In the foreign market, dealers in Australia, China, Japan, and 100 Lumber Associations in the United States (Board feet) 1922 1921 100 l<9 Í -*r Lumber Production, Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lumber Associations. 1921-1922 the W est Coast of South America were the principal buyers. A factor which has contrib uted materially to recent activity in the lumber market has been the practical disappearance of freight car shortages. Reports indicate that log production was smaller in December, 1922, than in November, 1922, but greater than in December, 1921. Severe weather conditions and the customary winter shut-down for repairs have curtailed or prevented logging activity in many sections. Mining The total value of mine production of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District was $161,340,471 in 1922 compared with $101,638,967 in 1921, ac cording to figures compiled by the United States Geological Survey. Figures of produc tion by states for gold, silver, lead, and copper are presented in table “ C.” Reports received from the mineral producing sections of the district state that general min ing conditions remained unchanged during D e cember, 1922, compared with November, 1922. Compared with December, 1921, there was a 9 FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRA NC ISCO marked increase in mining activity and devel opment work. National production of copper, silver, and zinc, three of the most important metals pro duced in this district, continues well above pro duction a year ago. The figures are shown in the follow ing table which compares the output during November, 1922, with October, 1922, and November, 1921. Copper (lbs.) Nov- 1922 ° ct-'1922 Nov*’ 1921 (mine production) 102,593,152 103,881,223 22,347,984 Silver (oz.) (commercial bars) 4,869,905 5,160,732 3,789,828 Zinc (tons) (slab) ..................... 38,746 39,940 21,135 56,482 barrels per day over the previous month and of 175,559 barrels per day over the same month a year ago. On January 6, 1923, reductions in buying prices of certain grades of crude oil were an nounced, ranging from one cent per barrel on oil of 20.9 degrees gravity to 50 cents per barrel MILLIONS 50 /sv MILLIONS 90 80 70 r . 00 •*50 .....n ...” 90 r 80 70 60 :D 5STOfc CKSor G&SOUNE (GAI ---- ^ TOREOSTOCKSOP Í ETROl EUM ( £BLSJ X Figures for lead are not available. Reports received from 8 of the 13 principal copper mines which are operating in this dis trict show that they produced 30,305,000 pounds of copper in November, 1922, compared with 28,643,000 pounds in October, 1922. In N ovem ber, 1921, the production of three mines then producing metal was 7,251,000 pounds. Petroleum Stored stocks of petroleum in California reached the record level of 61,184,928 barrels on January 1, 1923. One year ago they stood at 35,021,912 barrels. This increase of approxi mately 75 per cent has occurred in spite of a steady increase in consumption and is chiefly due to the flush production of new oil fields developed during the year. There were 835 new wells completed during 1922 and 121 wells abandoned, a net increase of 714 wells. During the entire year 1922, California wells produced 140,849,596 barrels of petroleum, an increase of 25,999,672 barrels or 22 per cent over the previous record figures of 1921. In December, 1922, for the seventh consecutive month, production was greater than in the pre ceding month, amounting to 497,639 barrels per day compared with the November daily aver age of 467,851 barrels. Consumption (ship ments) of petroleum averaged 451,503 barrels per day during December, 1922, an increase of PETROLEUIA PRODJCTION(B3LS. V */ \ V» — “N Y \ PET y SHIPK1ENTS(ßßus.) 11213 4 |S16 71819 loiII 112»1213 4|5]6 7|8|9 (OlIII 12 1922 1921 C A L IF O R N IA Production, Shipments and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery ________ Stored Stocks of Gasolene, 1921-1922 * Figures for subsequent months furnished by American Petroleum Institate. Figures for previous months partly estimated. on oil of 35 degrees gravity and above. There was no reduction in the buying prices of the heavier crude oil of 14 to 19.9 degrees gravity. On January 4th the service station price of gasolene in California was reduced tw o cents to 20 cents per gallon. Electric Energy Sales of electric power for industrial pur poses during November, 1922, were 21.1 per cent larger than during November, 1921, ac cording to reports from 20 electric power com panies in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District. Greater activity in manufacturing, mining, lum bering, and oil refining in 1922 as compared with 1921 is chiefly responsible for this increase in use of electric power. Sales of power for in dustrial purposes by certain industries and by (C) Output o f Metal in Twelfth Federal Reserve District— COPPER* (pounds) 1922 1921 LEAD * (pounds) 1922 1921 1922 1921 89,Í87 143 141,765 761,660 26,402 160,276 375 85,626 6,216 4,760 3,181 5,998 8,198 47 16,800 192 2,469 3,629 6,080 7,083 43 12,251 142 302,652 1,184,813 1,182,320 39,176 31,697 185,034 11,681 1,688 10,961 274 30,891 251 14,080 6,260 195,300 9,107 6,541 1,124 198,469 7,188 134,000 1,500 D is t r i c t ........................... , 561,422 240,780 360,247 * (000) Omitted. S IL V E R * (ounce«) 1922 1921 175,036 718,100 23,705 152,249 426 106,507 8,790 418,000 22,660 3,946 19,892 1,089 95,500 335 Arizona .............................. California ............... Idaho ................................... Nevada ............................... O r e g o n ............................... Utah ..................................... W ashington ..................... GOLD (ounces) 10 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E SS C O N D IT IO N S sections of this district are compared in the follow ing percentage table: Percentage Increase or Decrease, November, 1922, compared with November, 1921 Total AgriculM anuIndustrial ture Mining facturing Sales California ............... — 15.2 Pacific N orthw est. + 9 9 .5 Intermountain . . . . + 3 9 .3 Twelfth D istrict... — 13.8 + 2.5 + 1 3 .0 + 6 2 .1 + 1 0 .9 + 2 9 .9 + 3 2 .0 + H -0 + 3 0 .0 + 1 4 .2 + 2 3 .3 + 5 8 .0 + 2 1 .1 Retail prices have changed but little during the past year. An increase of 11.9 per cent in the value of sales during December, 1922, com pared with December, 1921, is therefore indica tive of a corresponding increase in the physical volume of goods sold. Compared with October, 1922, sales in N o vember declined 4.7 per cent, a seasonal move ment due to decreasing needs of agricultural consumers and to the winter curtailment of other industries in certain sections of the dis trict. Figures showing the number of indus trial consumers and industrial sales of report ing companies during November, 1922, and N o vember, 1921, fo llo w : Number of Industrial Consumers N o v ., N ov., 1922 1921 California ..................... 55,702 Pacific N o r t h w e s t .... 11,158 Intermountain States. 10,648 Tw elfth D is t r i c t ... 77,508 45,182 10,208 Industrial Sales K .W . H . N ov., N ov.. 1921 1922 192,171,684 74,919,485 168,181,427 60,761,695 9,745 43,514,132 27,535,773 65,135 310,605,301 256,478,895 Retail Trade The value of sales at reporting department stores during December was greater than in any previous month of which this bank has record. Every store and every city participated in the increase in sales incident to the holiday season. The total value of all reported sales was $21,881,967, an increase of 11.9 per cent over December, 1921, of 8.1 per cent over D e cember, 1920, and of 12.0 per cent over D ecem ber, 1919. Merchants state that practically all departments of their stores contributed to the increase in sales during the 1922 Christmas season and that the demand for lower prices was not so insistent as in the two previous years. Statistics in regard to sales, stocks, and outstanding orders as furnished by 32 s1 this district fo llo w : * ( — ) Denotes decrease. bo oo N et sales (percentage increase or decrease) December, 1922, compared with December, 192 1 .............................. , 11.9 December, 1922, compared with November, 54.3 1922 Period July 1 to Decem ber 31, 1922, com pared with same period in 1921.................... Stocks Decem ber, 1922 (percentage increase or decrease): Compared with December, 1921...................... 3.7 Compared with Novem ber, 1922....................... ,— 1 1 .2 * Percentage of average stocks on hand at close of each month since July, 1922, to average m onthly sales during same period 379.1 Percentage outstanding orders at close of December, 1922, to total purchases dur ing year 1921............................................................. 8.6 N et Sales of 32 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District (in Millions of Dollars) Wholesale Trade In December for the second consecutive month the value of sales in all reporting lines of wholesale trade was greater than in the cor responding month a year ago. In one line the increase was over 30 per cent, in four lines over 20 per cent, and in seven lines over 15 per cent. The average net increase or decrease (— ) in the value of sales of 191 reporting firms in 10 lines of wholesale business was as fo llo w s: Number of Firms Agricultural Im p lem en ts.. 24 20 Autom obile Supplies........ 15 Autom obile T ir e s.............. 9 14 D ry G o o d s........................... 15 Furniture ............................. 31 Groceries ............................. 21 Hardware ............................ 14 28 Stationery ........................... D ec., 1922 compared with D ec., 1921 Year 1922 compared with Year 1921 27.5 18.6 11.4 3.5 18.3 31.4 15.9 22.3 22.7 8.0 8.8 1.3 — 5.7 5.0 8.7 10.8 4.8 11.6 — 1.7 3.4 The general level of wholesale prices as in dicated by the index numbers of the United States Department of Labor was 11.4 per cent higher in December, 1922, than in December, 1921. 11 FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRANCISCO Collections during the past three months have been reported as follow s : Number of Firms Reporting Collections as Excellent Good Fair Poor 68 October ............................... 5 Novem ber ........................... 5 December ............................ 2 70 73 67 53 57 12 8 13 DECEMBER PRICES1921=100%DECEMBER1921SALES U.S.BUREAUOFLABOR INDEX NO.WHOLESALE PRICES AGRICULTURALIM PLEM ENTS| reau of Labor Statistics of that state showed that there had been an increase of 18.0 per cent in the number of employees on December 1, 1922, compared with December 1, 1921. The total figures for all reporting concerns fo llo w : Percentage Increase D ec. 1, 1922 over D ec. 1, 1921 Num ber of Persons Employed D ec. 1, Oct. 1, Dec. 1, 1922 1922 1921 Number of Firms 521.................... 107,724 116,094 18.0 91,269 B u ild in g Activity r Although building activity during Decem ber, 1922, receded from the record levels of the previous eight months, construction continued greater in value and volume than in the same month a year ago. Building departments of 20 cities report that 7,767 building permits were issued during December, 1922, with an esti mated value of $22,034,644, compared with 7,672 permits issued during December, 1921, with an estimated value of $21,004,120. These AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIES AUTOMOBILETIRES DRUGS DRY GOODS FURNITURE GROCERIES HARDWARE SHOES STATIONERY 30 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 26 Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Houses and General Wholesale Prices in December, 1922, Compared with December, 1921 30 A f \ 26 \ \ 22 22 18 18 Em ploym ent Em ploym ent in practically every major in dustry of the district has increased during the past year. In some sections and in some trades, such as mining and building construction, a shortage o f skilled labor has been reported dur ing the last few months and this condition con tinued in the mining camps during December. Cessation of practically all farm work, de creased activity in the lumber industry, and the winter suspension of work on highways and other public enterprises during December, caused the customary seasonal decrease in em ployment among unskilled laborers. The trend of employment in manufacturing industries is indicated in the follow ing table showing the total number of workers on the payrolls of 40 manufacturing firms usually em ploying 501 men or more. Number of Firms Los A n g e le s .. . . Portland .............. San Francisco. , . Seattle .................. Total ................. . . . 16 <—Number of Men on Payroll*—> Dec. 31, Nov. 30, Dec. 31, 1922 1922 1921 8 10 6 29,253 7,486 6,904 2,396 29,161 7,494 7,050 2,331 23,087 7,236 6,258 1,996 40 46,039 45,731 38,577 *These figures do not represent the total number of men engaged in manufacturing activities in these cities, but only the pay roll figures of a selected number o f firms. An employment survey of 30 manufacturing industries in California conducted by the Bu AMOUNT Of PE13MITSIN MILLIO»S OF O.OLLARS 14 r 10 f r \ ^ / £ o 'NUMI1EROFPIRMIT5IKTHOUSANOS o £ 1921 14 jT mm' ‘ \ 10 c O ? t» 1922 Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1921-1922 (D) Building Permits— December, 1922 Value N o. B e r k e le y ......... Fresno ........... L on g B ea c h .. L o s A n g ele s. . Oakland ......... Pasadena . . . . Phoenix ......... P o r tla n d ......... Sacramento . . Salt Lake City San D ie g o -----San Francisco. San Jose.......... S e a t t le ............. Spokane ......... Stockton ........ Tacom a .......... 1 12 $ December, 1921 N o. Value 32 187 318 3,613 602 25 298 52 593 16 159 69 374 528 74 456 52 60 147 278,135 9,460 1,261,176 851,360 8,955,597 2,070,582 120,950 766,086 69,475 808,725 54,400 750,259 766,950 559,603 2,439,658 170,750 1,792,685 69,270 125,270 114,253 130 43 203 270 3,364 500 68 201 294,955 20,389 500,539 1,392,700 9,168,851 2,149,756 93,800 396,278 77,930 854,055 36,730 420,266 404,595 1,775,711 2,007,705 121,370 494,835 88,225 163,133 542,297 7,767 $22,034,644 7,672 $21,004,120 20 209 52 731 15 224 117 265 568 59 518 115 $ 12 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S figures represent an increase of 1.2 per cent in number and 4.9 per cent in value of construc tion involved in December, 1922, compared with December, 1921. Reports from the same 20 cities for the whole year 1922 reveal the record magnitude of recent building operations. From January to Decem ber, 1922, inclusive, 122,295 permits valued at $310,644,294 were issued. During 1921, the pre vious record year, 106,177 permits were issued, representing construction valued at $208,968,615. The increase in 1922 compared with 1921 was 15.1 per cent by number and 48.6 per cent by value. Inasmuch as the wholesale price level of building materials advanced through out the year and was 17.0 per cent higher in December, 1922, than in December, 1921, an increase of 48.6 per cent in the value of permits issued is less indicative of the expansion in physical volume of construction than is the increase of 15.1 per cent in number of permits issued. ures in this district during December, 1922, and November, 1922, follow : December, 1922 Tw elfth Federal ^°* Reserve District. 186 November, 1922 Liabilities No. Liabilities $3,623,837 228 $2,335,805 B a n k Debits The volume of business transacted in this district during December, 1922, as measured by charges to bank accounts in 21 principal clearing house centers, was four-tenths of one per cent greater than in November, 1922, and, as reported from 20 cities, was 5.5 per cent greater than in December, 1921. Contrary to the normal seasonal trend, bank debits in San Business Failures The number of business firms failing during December was smaller than in November, 1922, or December, 1921, and, while the liabilities in volved were greater than in November, they were 28.8 per cent less than in December, 1921. During the year 1922 business failures in the Tw elfth Federal Reserve District were larger both in number and amount of liabilities than in any previous year for which records have Debits to Individual Accounts in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District. 1921-1922 (E) Bank Debits*— Berkeley ............ been kept. There were 2,209 failures reported with liabilities of $34,936,823. In 1921 there were 1,851 failures with liabilities of $34,280,351, the increase in 1922 compared with 1921 being 19.3 per cent by number and 1.9 per cent by amount of liabilities involved. The average liabilities of business failures during 1922 were $18,874 compared with $18,411 during 1921 and $23,932 during 1920. Changes in the general price level during the three-year period have corresponded roughly with these changes in liabilities of business failures and have prob ably been largely responsible for them. R. G. Dun & Com pany’s comparative figures of the number and liabilities of business fail L o n g Beach. . . . L o s A n g e le s. . . . Oakland ............. Ogden ................. Pasadena ........... Phoenixf ........... Portland ............ Reno .................... Sacramento Salt Lake C ity .. San D ie g o .......... San Francisco.. . . San J o se ............. Seattle ................. Spokane ............. Stockton ............ Tacom a .............. Yakim a ............... Total ................ Four weeks ending Dec. 27,1922 Four weeks ending Nov. 29,1922 Four weeks ending Dec. 28,1921 $ $ $ 15,368 14,592 62,262 45,085 544,800 105,240 32,365 27,319 18,393 125,670 9,911 72,386 69,967 40,115 655,298 20,852 143,712 44,241 21,979 36,209 9,327 $2,115,091 15,625 12,547 68,821 39,180 512,685 92,905 31,519 25,053 19,285 131,536 10,667 52,420 65,315 37,171 692,863 25,113 159,123 41,305 25,139 36,340 14,200 11,278 51,954 25,057 461,350 82,540 14,958 18,945 12 1,2 21 11,10 0 9,409 73,347 77,941 34,506 734,389 21,356 126,314 40,864 21,276 33,319 11,660 $2,105,712 $1,985,884 * (0 0 0 ) Omitted. t December, 1921, figures for Phoenix not available. FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRA NC ISCO Francisco, Seattle, and Portland, the leading financial centers of California, W ashington, and Oregon, respectively, declined 5.9 per cent during December, 1922, compared with N o vember, 1922. W ere it not for the decline in figures for these cities, the increase in bank debits would be 6.0 per cent for the district as a whole, compared with one month ago. In December, 1922, for the third consecutive month, bank debits in San Francisco were less than in the corresponding month a year ago. Om itting the figures for San Francisco, bank debits for the district as a whole during D e cember, 1922, would be 11.6 per cent greater than during December, 1921. In interpreting the figures presented in table “ E ” allowance must be made for advances in the price level during the past year, which would result in an increase in the number of dollars necessary to transact a given volume of business. The general level of wholesale prices, as indicated by the United States Department of L abor’s index number, was 11.4 per cent higher in December, 1922, than in December, 1921. Retail dealers state that prices to cus tomers have changed little during the same period. A n increase of 11.6 per cent in debits to individual accounts in the district outside of San Francisco would therefore indicate that the physical volume of business transacted in this territory was greater in December, 1922, than in December, 1921. Savings Accounts The total amount in all savings accounts in 75 banks in seven cities increased 4.4 per cent between November 30th and December 30th, or from $796,128,000 to $831,018,000. Increases Savings Accounts in Banks in Seven Principal Cities of the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1919-1922 were reported by all cities, but about half the total increase occurred in Los Angeles, and in creases in San Francisco and Oakland were unusually large. 13 Savings accounts in the seven cities are now 13.3 per cent greater than one year ago. Sub stantial gains are shown for all cities, that for Los Angeles being especially large. Gains in Seattle, Spokane, and Portland during recent months have been noteworthy. The accompanying chart shows the changes in savings accounts in each of the seven cities since January, 1919. Government Financing On January 9th the Treasury Department opened subscription books for an issue of Treasury Notes designated as Series A-1927, dated January 15, 1923, and payable December 15, 1927. The notes bear interest at the rate of 4 y2 per cent per annum, payable semi-annually on June 15th and December 15th of each year. They are not subject to call for redemption be fore maturity. The offering was for $300,000, 000 or thereabouts, sales to be effected for cash and in exchange for unregistered W ar Savings Certificates, Series of 1918, and per cent V ictory Notes whether or not the latter had been called for redemption. Subscription books were closed January 13, 1923. All subscriptions were allotted in full up to amounts not exceeding $100,000 for any one subscriber. Subscriptions of single subscribers amounting to more than $100,000 were allotted on a graduated percentage basis. A ll subscrip tions for which either 4% per cent V ictory Notes or unregistered W ar Savings Certifi cates of the Series of 1918 were tendered in payment, however, were allotted in full. In this district total subscriptions amounted to $42,254,400 of which $20,957,300 were allotted. In the United States as a whole total subscrip tions amounted to $581,550,800 of which $366,982,100 were allotted. N ote: The Treasury Department has invited the attention of V ictory Loan subscribers to the fact that considerable amounts of V ictory Notes, already called for redemption, have not yet been redeemed. V ictory Notes of the 3^4 per cent series were all called for redemption on June 15, 1922, and interest ceased to accrue on that date. A ccord ing to the most recent figures available about $3,500,000 of these notes are still outstanding. V ictory Notes of the per cent series, bearing the distinguishing letters A, B, C, D, E, or F, prefixed to their serial numbers, were called for redemption on December 15, 1922, and interest ceased to accrue on that date. There are about $225,000,000 of these notes still outstanding. Holders of these notes should present them for immediate redemption in order to avoid further loss of interest. 14 M O N T H L Y R E V IE W OF B U SIN E S S C O N D IT IO N S Banking and Credit Situation Total loans and discounts of 66 reporting member banks in the principal cities of this district advanced from $910,859,000 on Decem ber 6th to $917,658,000 on December 20th, the highest point yet reached in the upward move ment, which began nearly a year ago, and then declined to $899,765,000 on January 3, 1923. During the follow ing week they again ad vanced and were reported at $902,427,000 on January 10th. Investments of the same banks tended upward throughout the past month and, at $347,582,000 on January 10th, were $4,782,000 above the figure reported on December 6th. Borrowings of these banks from the Federal time since April, 1918. Federal Reserve note circulation in this district reached its peak for the holiday season at $244,596,000 on December 27th, and has since declined to $226,388,000, where it stood on January 10th, compared with $235,842,000 on December 13, 1922. Earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, at $119,726,000 on January 10th, were only slightly below the figure reported in the statement of December 13th. M IL L IO N S M IL L IO N S 1 1 A, .A r \ 1 280 i > 240 V 200 £ as A 7? r 7 280 A A n à > su S S Ü S I S S 9 5 f t t i @ S m S H S ! l ? I U “V 1 r' * *1 V1«, *•* rv -1 160 v > \ IDU \i \ M1 120 OA vU \ 80 200 roT B LL« 315COUft TCI V* 120 240 \ 40 0 •**' 1 X J.S, 60 IMI se<iURITIE! ¡HI « d & 1921 •\ 1! / N . r ’QE. 3iujSB nu htJA r-w IMf i t iBtieT 1922 40 \ 1 0 Total Reserves. Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted, U . S. Government Securities H eld, and Bills Bought in the Open Market, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Reserve Bank declined throughout December, increased moderately at the close of the year, and then declined rapidly until they stood at $14,480,000 on January 10th, the lowest point reached since O ctober 25, 1922. Total deposits of reporting banks reached the record figure of $1,261,296,000 on January 10th, an increase of $38,813,000 since December 6th and of $20,000,000 since the previous peak on November 15, 192Z Country bank borrowings, estimated by sub tracting city bank borrowings from the total discounts of the Federal Reserve Bank, changed little during the month. A t $18,000,000 on January 10, 1923, they were approxi mately the same as on December 13, 1922. As a result of changes in member bank bor rowings, noted above, total discounts of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco de clined from $43,403,000 on December 13, 1922, to $32,874,000 on January 10, 1923, a decrease of $10,529,000, or 24 per cent. Total discounts on the latter date were smaller than at any Interest rates in New Y ork City declined slightly at the close of the year. The New Y ork open market rate on prime commercial paper, which had stood at 4^4 per cent since November 11th, declined to Ay2 per cent during the week ending December 30th, and now (Jan uary 13th) stands at that point. In this dis trict there has been no change in the general level of interest rates. The market for bankers acceptances in the district has been moderately active during the past month, a marked increase in buying being noted after the first of the present year. The rate on prime bills remains at 4 per cent, at which figure it has stood since October 25, 1922. Reports received by this bank from 35 of the principal accepting banks in the district show the follow ing increases or decreases in the amount of bills purchased and bills accepted in December, 1922, compared with November, 1922, and December, 1921. December, 1922 compared with December, 1921 Am ount of bills accepted . . . Am ount of bills bought ........ Am ount of bills held at close of month ................................ December, 1922 compared with November, 1922 -f-83.2 — 22.9 + 2 2 .9 + 1 3 .8 — 31.7 — 5.6 The principal commodities upon which these acceptances were based were wheat, canned fruit, and cotton. FEDERAL RESERVE A G E N T A T S A N FRANCISCO 15 PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AN D L IA B IL IT Y ITEM S OF R EP O R TIN G M EM B ER B A N K S IN RESERVE CITIES IN T W E L F T H FED ERAL RESERVE D ISTR IC T J a n . 1 0 ,1 9 2 3 N u m b er o f R e p o r t in g B a n k s .......................................................................... 66 * Loans and Discounts (including rediscounts)........................................ $ 902,427,000 Investments D e c . 6, 1922 66 * $ 910,859,000 ........................................................................................................... 347,582,000 342,800,000 Cash in Vault and with Federal Reserve B an k...................................... 119,315,000 110,574,000 Total D eposits......................................................................................................... 1,261,296,000 1,222,483,000 Bills Payable and Rediscounts with Federal Reserve B ank........... 14,480,000 28,327,000 J a n . 4 ,1 9 2 2 68 * $ 878,885,000 314,766,000 105,744,000 1,172,000,000 32,637,000 ^M ergers have reduced the number o f reporting banks but comparisons of resource and liability items have not been affected. C O M P A R A TIV E STA TE M E N T OF CONDITION OF FE D E R A L R ESER VE B A N K OF S A N FRANCISCO A T CLOSE OF BUSINESS, J A N U A R Y 10 , 1923 RESOURCES J a n . 1 0 .1 9 2 3 T otal R eserves.........................................................................................................$259,788,000 D e c . 1 3 ,1 9 2 2 J a n . 1 1 .1 9 2 2 $267,108,000 $285,422,000 Bills D iscounted..................................................................................................... 32,874,000 43,403,000 65,348,000 Bills Bought in Open M arket.......................................................................... 37,086,000 41,363,000 12,447,000 United States Government Securities.......................................................... 49,766,000 36,098,000 12,515,000 $120,864,000 $ 90,310,000 54,361,000 49,337,000 $442,333,000 $425,069,000 $ 22,769,000 $ 22,579,000 Total Earning A sse ts..........................................................................................$119,726,000 A ll Other R esources*......................................................................................... 56,666,000 T otal Resources................................................................................................ $436,180,000 L IA B IL IT IE S Capital and Surplus..............................................................................................$ 23,008,000 Total D eposits......................................................................................................... 146,143,000 141,751,000 129,943,000 Federal Reserve Notes in Actual Circulation........................................ 226,388,000 235,842,000 230,970,000 41,971,000 41,577,000 $442,333,000 $425,069,000 A ll Other Liabilitiesf......................................................................................... 40,641,000 T otal Liabilities................................................................................................. $436,180,000 ♦Includes “ Uncollected Item s” .................. 45.440.000 47.649.000 41.949.000 •(•Includes “ Deferred Availability Item s” 39.658.000 39.082.000 35.585.000 P R O D U C T IO N AND T R A D E IN T H E T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T A statistical summary o f production, business activity, employment, and finance in the Tw elfth Federal Reserve District during the years 1921 and 1922 is presented in the follow ing table. Substantial increases in the value or volume of practically every item of production and distribution, in 1922 compared with 1921, indicate the extent of the business and industrial recovery which took place during the past year. P R O D U C T IO N Agriculture Grains (wheat, barley, oats)— Farm V alue................................. Hay— Farm Value.............................................................................. Fruits (apples, peaches, pears, oranges)— Farm V alue............ Receipts o f Livestock at 8 Markets— Number C a ttle ............................................................................................... S h e e p .............................................................................................. H o g s ................................................................................................ Flour Milling— (Output o f 16 mills in barrels)................................. Lumber— (Output o f four associations in board fe e t )................... Petroleum— (California production in barrels)................................. (California stocks in barrels at end of D ecem ber).. Metals— (Value o f gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc produced) . 1922 1921 $147,714,000 $202,011,000 $115,252,000 $141,823,000 $149,214,000 $113,971,000 850,292 3,005,141 1,632,599 5,944,977 6,180,000,000 140,117,546 61,184,928 $163,340,471 759,672 2,976,107 1,236,169 5,652,952 4,142,000,000 114,849,075 35,021,912 $101,638,967 Department Store Sales; value, 32 stores.......................................... $161,952,606 W holesale Trade; total value of sales of 143 firms in 10 lines........ $248,618,097 Bank Debits in 20 cities......................................................................... $25,031,609,000 Building Permits— Number issued in 20 cities................................. 122,295 Value in 20 cities.................................................. $310,644,294 Business Failures— Number in Twelfth D istrict............................... 2,209 Amount of liabilities........................................... $34,936,823 Prices— United States Bureau of Labor average of 404 com modities for December (1913=100).............................................. 156 $156,643,695 $236,787,664 $24,262,840,000 106,177 $208,968,615 1,851 $34,280,351 BUSINESS A C T IV IT Y 140 EM PLOYM ENT Actual Number of Workers on Payrolls of 40 Firms during D e ce m b e r............................................................................................. Sayings Deposits in Seven Largest Cities, December 30th............ 46,039 $831,018,000 38,577 $733,220,000 4% 5% FIN A N C E Rediscount Rate of Federal Reserve Bank, December 30th.......... Rates Charged Commercial Borrowers by San Francisco banks, December 30th..................................................................................... Borrowings of Member Banks from Federal Reserve Bank at close o f year......................................................................................... Deposits o f 66 Reporting Member Banks at close of year.............. Loans and Discounts of 66 Reporting Member Banks at close of y e a r ....................................................................................................... 5-5 6-6y2% $37,304,000 $1,254,765,000 $67,093,000 $1,178,938,000 $908,690,000 $929,734,000 Those desiring this review sent them regularly will receive it without charge upon application.