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MONTHLY REVIEW OF B U S IN E S S C O N D I T I O N S JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. IX San Francisco, California, February 20, 1925 No. 2 SU M M A R Y OF N A T IO N A L CONDITIONS Further growth in production during Janu ary carried the output of basic commodities to the highest point reached since the spring of 1923. Employment at industrial establishments increased slightly, but remained below the level of a year ago. Prices of farm products continued to advance, and there were smaller increases in the wholesale prices of most of the other groups of commodities. Production. Production in basic industries, after a rapid increase in recent months, ad vanced 8 per cent in January and was 34 per cent above the low point of last summer. The most important factor in the increase in the level of production since August has been greater activity in the iron and steel industries, but in January the output of lumber, minerals, food products, and paper and the mill consump tion of cotton also showed considerable in creases. The woolen industry was somewhat less active in January, and output of automo biles, though larger than in December, was considerably smaller than a year ago. Further increases during the month in employment in the metal, textiles, and leather industries were largely offset by seasonal declines in the num ber employed in the building materials and food products industries. Building activity, as measured by contracts awarded, though less in January than during the closing months of 1924, was near the high level of a year ago. Trade. Railroad shipments were in record volume for this time of year, and loadings of merchandise and miscellaneous products were particularly heavy. Wholesale trade in Janu ary, however, was slightly smaller than in De cember. Sales of groceries, shoes, and hard ware were in smaller volume, while sales of dry goods and drugs increased. Department store sales in most districts were somewhat smaller than a year ago, but sales of mail order houses were considerably larger. Prices. Wholesale prices, as measured by the index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics rose 2 PER CENT P E R C£MT P rodu ction in B a sic Industries — Index of 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation ( 1 9 1 9 = 1 0 0 ) . Latest figure, January, 126. W h olesale P rices — Index of U . S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1 91 3 = 100, base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure, January, 160. T h o s e d e s irin g : t h is r e v ie w s e n t t h e m r e g u l a r l y w i l l r e c e iv e it w i t h o u t c h a r g e u p o n a p p lic a t io n . 10 M ON TH LY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS F e b ru a ry , 1925 per cent during January to the highest level in four years. The increase of 10 per cent in the index since last January represents an ad vance of 19 per cent in prices of agricultural commodities and 3 per cent in other commodi ties. In the first half of February prices of grains, wool, coal, and lead declined, while petroleum and gasolene prices advanced clined slightly from the high level reached in the middle of January. Net demand deposits, owing largely to decreases at New York City banks, declined sharply from the high point reached in the middle of January. At the Federal reserve banks the seasonal liquidation resulting from the return flow of currency from circulation came to a close by January billions of dollars BILLIONS OF DOLLARS W y \ Earning Assets Discounts! -. L ) V vvAjy 1t* AAH/Vj V 1922 M em b er Bank C r e d it — W e e k ly figures for member banks in 101 leading: cities. Latest figure, February 11. sharply, and cotton, silk, and rubber showed smaller increases. Bank Credit. Loans and investments of member banks in leading cities, following the rapid growth during the last half of 1924, de clined by about $100,000,000 between the middle of January and the middle of February. This decrease represents a reduction in the holdings of investments, chiefly at banks in New York City, partly offset by an increase in loans. Loans on stocks and bonds increased, though less rapidly than in the latter part of 1924, while loans for commercial purposes de- j'i 1 tan y » i u.s.ssc>v r . and K Acceptances r Va ¡ ? 1323 1924 j { 1925 R eserv e B ank C re d it — W e e k ly figures for 12 Federal Reserve Banks, Latest figure, February 18. 21st, and during the following four weeks there was an increase in total earning assets. This increase reflected largely the demand for gold for export which led member banks to increase their discounts at the reserve banks. Reserve bank holdings of United States securities de clined further, while acceptances showed rela tively little change during the period. Money rates, after remaining comparatively steady during most of January, showed a firmer ten dency during the early part of February, when rates for prime commercial paper advanced to 3 per cent. T W E L F T H FED ER AL RESERVE DISTRICT CO NDITIONS Agricultural Activities During the last half of January and the first weeks of February, rains fell in nearly all sec tions of the Twelfth District and seasonable temperatures prevailed. The moderate weather was favorable to growing crops and to the con dition of range animals, which had suffered somewhat during the unusually cold weather of late December, 1924. Reseeding of those areas where grain crops were killed during the December cold spell, particularly in Eastern Oregon, has been begun. Lambing is now pro gressing in the early lambing sections of the district with favorable results. Between January 1, 1924, and January 1, 1925, according to the report of the United States Department of Agriculture, there were decreases in the number of domestic animals on farms and ranges of this district, as follows: beef cattle, 6.2 per cent; swine, 12.4 per cent; and sheep, 0.6 per cent. Taking the United States as a whole, the percentage of decrease in the number of cattle and hogs was less than in the Twelfth District, while the total number of sheep increased 2.2 per cent. In the dairy industry there was an increase in the number of milk cows of 2.4 per cent in the district and 2.2 per cent in the United States. Total district and United States figures of livestock on farms F e b r u a r y , 1925 and ranges on the first day of January of the past three years follow (000 omitted) : (-----T w e lfth D istrict----- r ----------U n ited S ta te s -------- s 1925 M ilk C o w s ......... 1,572 O th e r C a ttle . . . 4,365 S h e e p ..................... 12,059 S w in e .................... 1,629 January 1st, 1924 1923 1,535 1,467 4,652 4,712 12,130 11,938 1,859 1,778 January 1st, 1924 1923 24,786 24,437 41,720 42,803 38,300 37,223 66,130 68,227 1925 25,319 39,609 39,134 54,234 Trends of agricultural marketing activity, as indicated by comparative figures of the move ment to market of certain of the district’s im portant crops, figures of market receipts of livestock and of cold storage holdings of butter and eggs, are shown in Table “A .” Industrial Activity There was little change in the industrial situation during January as compared with De cember, the winter season in a district where seasonal factors restrict control of activity in some of the principal industries being normally a period of industrial stability at the lowest levels of the year. The volume of employment continued at levels slightly below those of a year ago. No acute problems of winter unem ployment have been reported. Lum ber production in this district increased greatly in volume duriijg January, the extent of the gain reflecting largely the unusually low level of operations during the preceding month when weather conditions were particularly un favorable for producers. Output figures were 0.8 per cent smaller in January, 1925, than in January, 1924, however, and reports for the first weeks of February indicate a tendency on the part of producers to curtail production further. Shipments during January were larger in volume than either production or orders, with the result that figures of mill stocks and un filled orders declined. Figures follow (000 omitted) : L U M B E R A C T IV IT Y * Jan., 1925 D e c ., 1924 Jan., 1924 D e c ., 1923 (board feet) (board feet) P r o d u c t io n .......................... S h ip m e n ts ............................ O rd e rs ....................... ........... U n fille d O rd e rs ............... N o . o f M ills R e p o r t in g . 800 (board feet) 523,932 580,797 536,869 501,049 182 (board feet) 447,072 508,951 578,991 522,314 180 528,175 575,934 629,300 596,008 197 491,780 467,229 512,238 497,183 193 * A s r e p o r te d b y 4 a s s o c ia tio n s . Preliminary reports from mines operating in this district show little change in production of copper during January, 1925, as compared with December, 1924. Output of gold and silver appears to have been smaller than in the preceding month. Figures of national produc tion of non-ferrous metals, which are important products of this district, follow : N A T I O N A L P R O D U C T I O N O F N O N -F E R R O U S M E T A L S C o p p e r ( lb s .) (m in e p r o d u c t io n ) ................................ S ilv e r ( o z .) (c o m m e r c ia l b a rs ......................................... Z in c (t o n s ) ( s l a b ) ............... MILLIONS OF BOARD FEET Jan., 1925 D e c ., 1924 Jan., 1924 144,544,000 136,244,000 132,817,000 5,374,000 50,386 5,794,245 47,711 5,220,751 49,709 F ig u r e s f o r le a d are n o t ava ila b le . 600 1 I \ 7 V 1 f IfJ y '« A 400 0 11 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO PRODUCTION — SHIPMENTS — — — OR DEk o * 1 Ll u l i i 11 11 i i m 1922 . ______ u m i^TTTÎi i i i i i « i i i i iTm i i * i i t i i i < 1923 1Q 2A 1925 Lu m ber Produ ction , O rd ers R eceiv ed , and Shipm ents in T w elfth Federal R eserve D istrict as R ep orted b y F ou r L u m ber A ssocia tion s, 1922*1925 During January, 1925, average daily produc tion of petroleum in California decreased 0.2 per cent and, at 604,622 barrels, was 10.4 per cent lower than in January, 1924, and 29.6 per cent lower than in September, 1923, the month of peak production in that state. A seasonal decline in consumption greater than the de crease in production resulted in stored stocks reaching a new high point of 100,121,316 bar rels on January 31st, an increase of 2 per cent during the month. (A ) Agricultural Marketing Activity— t-------E x ports------->----- — C a rlot Shipm ents —> W heat* Barley* A p p le s* Portland and San 12th Oranges§ L em on siPuget Sound F ra n cis co D ist. C a lif. C a lif. M on th ly (1000 bu.) J a n u a ry , 1925 .............................................. 322 D e c e m b e r , 1924 .............................................. 1,993 J a n u a ry , F iv e -Y e a r A v e r a g e ............ 1,995 (lOOObu.) (cars) (cars) (cars) 82 61 583 2,063 3,282 4,129 3,403 3,206 3,274 724 598 650 f------------------------- C r o p Y e a r --------------------------15,929 6,775 33,735 10,769 1,965 (2 2 .8 ) (3 6 .4 ) (7 3 .3 ) T o J a n u a ry 31, 1 9 2 4 ..................................... 21,974 7,744 49,289 10,521 1,673 (1 5 .4 ) (1 6 .7 ) (7 5 .0 ) F iv e -Y e a r A v e r a g e t o J a n u a ry 3 1 . . . . 17,823 8,937 39,296 9,359 1,478 ( 1 8 .2 ) (2 0 .8 ) (8 0 .7 ) C um ulative T o J a n u a ry 31, 1 9 2 5 .................................... F ig u r e s in p a re n th e s e s in d ica te p e r c e n ta g e o f n e w c r o p o n ly . * S e a so n b e g in s J u ly 1st. § S e a s o n b e g in s N o v e m b e r 1st. * * A t en d o f m o n th . L iv e s to c k R eceip ts Cold Storage Holdings*’ at Eight M ark ets in 12th D istrict 12th D istrict C attle Butter Eggs and (1000 (1000 C a lves H ogs Sheep lb s.) cases) 126,301 3 16,990 179,656 1,244 0.6 115,967 295,810 189,294 1,589 11.7 105,125 233,250 192,375 843 2.5 ------------- C a len d ar Y e a r --------------> 126,301 316,990 179,656 120,324 293 ,874 171,763 105,125 233,250 192,375 12 F e b r u a r y , 1925 M O N TH LY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Current and comparative figures of the petro leum industry in California follow: PETROLEUM In dicated A v e ra ge A v e ra ge D aily D aily C on su m p tion P rodu ction (Shipm ents) (barrels) J a n ., D e c ., S e p t., 1 9 2 5 . . . 604,622 1 9 2 4 .. . 606,294 1 9 2 3 * .. 858 ,750 J a n ., 1 9 2 4 ..'. Stored S to ck s at E nd o f M on th N e w W ells D aily P ro d u c tion N u m ber O pen ed (barrels) (barrels) (barrels) 530,688 572,269 $ 100,121,316 97,829,374 t 674,597 compared with January, 1924, there were in creases in 13 of the 20 cities over the year period. Particularly large gains were reported for Fresno and San Diego, California; Ogden, Utah; Phoenix, Arizona; Portland, Oregon; Reno, Nevada; and Spokane, Washington. Dis trict comparisons follow: 21,286 46,800 139,960 56,239 62 72 Î 93 9 3 ,8 0 4 ,3 0 1 t 120 * P e a k o f p r o d u c t io n , t A u g u s t , 1924, s to c k s , j C o m p a ra b le fig u re s n o t a v a ila b le . B U I L D I N G P E R M I T S I N 20 C I T I E S N u m b e r o f B u ild in g P e rm its I s s u e d . . . . Percentage increase or d ecrea se ( — ) Jan., 1925, com pared w ith Jan., D e c., 1924 1924 - 7 .0 21.2 -5 .3 V a lu e o f B u ild in g P e rm its I s s u e d ............... Decreasing activity was reported during January by 16 large flour milling companies of the district regularly reporting to this bank. Flour output declined by 7.9 per cent during the month and millers purchased but little wheat, total stocks of the reporting companies showing a net decline of 6.7 per cent during January. Millers’ stocks of flour were 1.3 per cent greater on February 1 than on January 1, 1925. Figures of production and stocks of wheat for January were smaller, while those for stocks of flour were larger than five-year average figures for that month. Comparative figures follow: F L O U R M IL L IN G * Jan., 1925 489 ,357 O u tp u t ( b b l s .) S to ck s* * F lo u r ( b b l s . ) . . . 556,007 W h e a t ( b u . ) ------ 2,731,217 D e c ., 1924 530,949 548 ,550 2,927,762 Jan., 1924 679,463 530,845 3,159,731 * A s re p o r te d b y 16 co m p a n ie s . * * A s o f th e first d a y o f th e f o ll o w i n g m o n th . 1924. F iv e -Y e a r A v e ra g e f Jan. 55 1 ,7 1 8 t 505,355$ 3,481,487J 1 1921-1925. i 1920- Domestic flour markets were relatively active during January, while foreign demand was sluggish. Although a total of building permit figures for 20 reporting cities shows a decrease both in number and value during January, 1925, (B) Building Permits— B e r k e l e y ................. B o is e ....................... F r e s n o .................... L o n g B e a ch L o s A n g e le s . . . . . . O a k la n d ................. O g d e n ....................... P a sa d e n a ............... P h o e n ix ................. P o r t la n d ................ . . R e n o ....................... S a c r a m e n to .......... S alt L a k e C it y . . . S an D ie g o ............ S an F r a n c is c o . . S an J o s e ............... S ea ttle ................... S p o k a n e ................. S tock ton ............... T a c o m a ................... D i s t r i c t ............... . . January, 1925 V a lu e N o. 284 $ 810,251 14,381 29 103 758,008 1,240,010 406 11,171,162 3,908 2,850,970 1,214 11 51,600 257 878,465 115 341,158 1,090 2,942,410 21 97,740 592,479 238 42 128,200 752 1,868,228 875 3,403,623 116 219,325 2,715,790 859 99,065 84 101 273,690 1,007,650 10,797 $31 ,464,205 January, 1924 N o. V a lu e 237 $ 686,790 27 9,033 135 216,919 476 3,198,048 5,400 13,158,526 983 2,019,166 9 21,300 349 924,462 78 120,878 964 1,778,275 12 12,835 287 653,256 44 102,193 485 738,431 773 3,178,413 93 444,125 777 3,341,435 74 55,245 109 219,455 308 2,350,628 11,620 $33,229,413 — 0.04 The United States Bureau of Labor Statis tics’ index of building materials prices stood at 179 in January, 1925, compared with 175 in De cember, 1924, and 181 in January, 1924. Build ing costs (including labor and materials) are about 0.5 per cent less than a year ago, accord ing to the Aberthaw index of the total cost of constructing a reinforced concrete factory building. Changes in consumption and distribution of electric energy in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District during December, 1924, as compared with November, 1924, and December, 1923, are shown in the accompanying tables, compiled from the reports of 20 companies operating in the several states of the district. Total indus trial consumption of electric energy was greater in December, 1924, than in December, 1923, but slightly smaller in volume than in November, 1924. Available figures segregated by indus tries indicate that manufacturing consumers purchased more, and the agricultural and min ing industries of the district less power in De cember, 1924, than in December, 1923. Figures follow: E L E C T R IC E N E R G Y * P ercentage In crease or D e cre a se (— ) in V o lu m e o f Sales D e ce m b e r, 1924, com pared w ith D e ce m b e r, 1923f T ota l A g r ic u l M a n u Industrial ture M in in g facturing Sales — 17.7 — 3.7 — 0.5 — 8.1 ( — 4 8 .9 ) ( — 5 .0 ) ( 5 .4 ) ( — 2 .1 ) 51.5 P a c ific N o r t h w e s t .......... 28.0 33.0 0.2 (3 .2 ) ( — 6 .3 ) (2 .4 ) ( 1 .5 ) I n te r m o u n ta in S ta te s ., 281.8 — 33.6 43.7 5.4 (_ 4 4 .6 ) ( 7 .0 ) (1 7 .1 ) ( — 0 .8 ) T w e lft h D i s t r i c t ............ . — 13.8 — 3.8 11.5 5.9 ( — 4 8 .6 ) (4 .8 ) (0 .3 ) ( — 3 .1 ) fF i g u r e s in p a re n th e s e s in d ic a te p e r c e n t a g e in c re a s e o r d e c r e a s e ( — ) D e c e m b e r , 1924, c o m p a r e d w ith N o v e m b e r , 1924. N u m ber and D istrib u tion o f Industrial C on su m ers and A ctu a l V o lu m e o f Sales N um ber o f Industrial C on su m ers D e c ., D e c ., 1924 1923 C a l i f o r n i a .................... 85,295 75,224 P a c ific N o rth w e s t . . 14,330 12,631 I n te r m o u n ta in S ta tes 5,212 5,109 Industrial Sales K. W . H . D e c., D e c., 1924 1923 234 ,844 ,71 2 217 ,226 ,18 0 76,516,602 76,358,120 57,731,361 54,758,007 T w e lfth D is t r ic t . . . 369 ,092,675 104,837 * A s r e p o r te d b y 20 co m p a n ie s . 92,964 348 ,342 ,30 7 February, 1925 13 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT A T SAN FRANCISCO General Business and Trade In this district, the total volume of business transacted during January exceeded that of December, although a decline in general busi ness activity has been usual at this season dur ing past years. In 21 principal clearing house centers, the volume of payments b y check (bank debits), the best single available measure of business activity in this district, rose 3.4 per cent during January, 1925, as compared with December, 1924. The total during January, 1925, was 5.0 per cent greater than in January, 1924, a gain approximately equal to the estimated normal annual increase. The estimated volume of bank debits in these cities during January is nor mally 7.5 per cent less than in December. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS sonal amount during January, and was 1.8 per cent smaller than in January, 1924. Stocks of reporting stores on January 31, 1925, were 0.3 per cent larger than on January 31, 1924, and the indicated annual rate of stock turnover for the month was 2.87 compared with 2.93 in January, 1924. Comparisons follow: R E T A IL T R A D E N o. of Stores 6 L o s A n g e le s .......... . . .. 5 S a lt L a k e C i t y . . . . , 4 .. 10 S an F r a n c is c o . , 5 . . 5 In value o f sales Jan., 1925, com pared with Jan., D e c., 1924 1924 — 4.4 — 39.4 2.4 — 51.1 6.0 — 48.4 — 0.3 — 46.9 — 54.7 2.7 — 6.2 — 53.0 T w e lft h D is t r ic t * . . . — 1.8 36 — 45.7 In value o f stocks Jan., 1925, com pared with D e c ., Jan., 1924 1924 2.3 — 2.7 — 1.5 9.5 — 5.4 1.7 — 5.3 1.9 — 10.5 — 0.8 — 5.1 1.3 0.3 — 2.8 ^ F ig u r e s f o r o n e s to r e in c lu d e d in d is t r ic t fig u re s n o t in c lu d e d in fig u re s f o r c itie s s h o w n a b o v e . INDEX NUMBERS B ank D e b its in 21 Principal C itie s, T w elfth F ed eral R eserve D istrict. 1922-1925 Irregularity continued in wholesale trade in this district during January, 1925. Of the eleven lines of trade reporting, seven showed de creases and four increases in value of sales compared with a year ago. Decreases in Janu ary, 1925, compared with January, 1924, were less than in December, 1924, compared with December, 1923. Comparisons follow: D epartm ent Store Sales — T w elfth D istrict Index of 32 Stores in 7 cities ( 1 9 1 9 = 1 0 0 ) . Latest figures, January, with correction, 1 4 6 .9 ; without correction, 129.3 (C) Bank Debits .............. .............. .............. W H OLESALE TRAD E A g r ic u ltu r a l I m p le m e n t s . A u t o m o b ile S u p p lie s ----A u t o m o b ile T ir e s ............. D r u g s ....................................... D r y G o o d s ........................... E le c tr ic a l S u p p l i e s .......... F u rn itu r e ............................... G ro c e r ie s ................................ H a r d w a re ............................. S h o e s ....................................... S ta tio n e r y ............................ N o. of F irm s 21 17 20 6 15 7 17 24 20 12 26 Percentage increase or decrease (— ) ------------- in V a lu e of Sales----------- \ Jan., 1925 Jan., 1925 D e c ., 1924 com pared com pared com pared w ith with w ith Jan., 1924 D e c ., 1924 D e c ., 1923 7.1 21.7 — 13.8 — 9.0 — 4.2 — 12.2 31.0 22.5 — 0.6 10.8 8.2 20.5 — 13.3 10.9 — 6.5 4.0 — 3.3 6.8 — 8.0 — 6.3 — 23.4 — 2.2 8.8 8.8 — 5.7 — 0.7 — 6.4 — 15.5 13.3 — 18.8 — 3.2 — 9.7 0.6 The volume of trade at retail, as indicated by the value of sales of 36 reporting department stores, declined by more than the usual sea L o n g B e a c h ........................ L o s A n g e l e s ....................... .............. ............... .............. ............. .............. ............... ............. S a c r a m e n to ....................................... S alt L a k e C i t y ................... ............... S a n D ie g o ........................ .. S an F r a n c is c o ................. .............. .............. .............. ............. .............. ............... January, 1925 $ 20,759 13,906 31,322 818,585 146,962 28,268 38,377 27,663 153,573 8,055 44,889 74,568 919,228 27,890 196,406 53,996 27,921 44,713 January, 1924 $ 20,090 11,710 35,428 67,169 798,822 135,931 29,640 40,819 22,590 157,854 10,125 61,947 68,906 54,670 813 ,964 24,876 179,617 47,549 26,994 39,795 10,008 $2,658,504 *000 omitted. 14 M ON TH LY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS The chart on page 13 shows index num bers of sales of 32 department stores by months from January, 1922, to date. The light line represents actual sales as reported. The heavy line represents these sales after allowance has been made for normal seasonal fluctuations. The monthly average of 1919 has been taken as 100 in both cases. Total value of sales of the 32 department stores, comparable figures of which are available since January, 1919, amounts to approximately 83 per cent of the total value of sales reported to this bank by 61 retail firms. Registrations (sales) of new automobiles in the states of this district were approximately 18 per cent less in 1924 than in 1923. The larg est declines were in California and Washing ton. Figures follow: R E G IS T R A T IO N S O F N E W A U T O M O B IL E S Passenger C om m ercia l 1924 1923 1924 1923 A r iz o n a ............................................ 9,744 9,871 1,044 873 C a lifo rn ia ........................................ 172,852 224,253 15,851 23,955 I d a h o .................................................. 10,248 8,873 1,063 667 O r e g o n ............................................... 33,064 33,835 2,602 1,795 U ta h ................................................... 11,537 10,840 1,002 1,018 W a s h in g t o n .................................... 3 5 ,1 9 3 f 4 2 ,9 7 6 f ** 4,618 T o t al (5 s t a t e s ) * ..................... 237,445 287,572 ^ W a s h in g t o n n o t in c lu d e d . t i l m o n th s e n d in g N o v e m b e r 30th. 21,562 28,308 * * N o t ava ila b le . On January 31, 1925, savings deposits in 71 banks in seven cities of the district were larger by 9.1 per cent and 0.2 per cent, respectively, than on January 31 and December 31, 1924. Figures follow: S A V IN G S A C C O U N T S N u m ber of Jan., Banks 1925* L o s A n g e le s . . 13 $ 343,777 $ O a k la n d ........... 7 92,352 P o r t la n d .......... 9 53,269 S a lt L a k e C ity 8 29,493 S a n F r a n c i s c o . 14 436 ,366 S e a ttle .............. 14 71,944 6 19,685 S p o k a n e ............ T ota l ............ D e c .. 1924* 342,356 92,849 53,809 29,285 435,202 71,858 19,220 P er C e n t increase or decrease( —) Jan., 1925, com pared with Jan., Jan., D e c ., 1924* 1924 1924 $311,882 10.2 0.4 87,469 5.5 — 0.5 50,086 6.3 — 1.0 27,276 8.1 0.7 400,185 9.0 0.2 64,813 11.0 0.1 17,098 15.1 2.4 71 $1,046,886 $1,044,579 $958,809 *000 om itte d . 9.1 0.2 F e b r u a r y , 1925 Percentage increases or decreases (— ) in the number and liabilities of business failures in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, as re ported by R. G. Dun and Company, follow: Jan., 1925, com pared with Jan., 1924 D e c ., 1924 N u m b e r o f B u s in e s s F a ilu r e s ......................... 45.7 37.0 L ia b ilitie s o f B u sin e ss F a ilu r e s .................... 24.1 16.1 Prices The upward trend of general wholesale prices in the United States, noted during the last half of 1924, continued at a slower pace during January, 1925, when prices for most commodities were more nearly stable than in previous recent months. The general level at tained by the present movement continued higher than last year. The price level of farm products as a group advanced during January, raising the relation ship existing between it and the price level of other commodity groups to a point slightly higher than in December. Farm products are now exchangeable for other commodities at ap proximately the 1913 basis, a condition which has not prevailed for four years past. Prices of 30 selected commodities produced in this district, as of the end of the month of January, 1925, compared with January, 1924, were higher for 19, lower for 9, and practically unchanged for 2. The principal farm products showing price increases during the period in clude livestock (except beef cattle, prices of which changed little), the grains and wheat flour, wool, oranges, apples, and canned and dried fruits. The majority of these 30 prod ucts increased in price during January. During the first weeks of February, Chicago quotations for wheat declined, May delivery being quoted at $1.84 per bushel on February 18th, an in crease of 66.6 per cent over the price on Febru ary 18, 1924, but a decline of 9.8 per cent from the high point of $2.04 per bushel reached on January 30, 1925. The peak price of 1920 was $3.50 per bushel. Cotton sold for 29 per cent (D) Commodity Prices— 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lb s. bu. lb . lb . lb . lb . lb . lb. oz. F e b . 6, 1925 O n e M o n th A g o One Y ear A g o 160.0 88.0 $9.25 10.60 18.20 1 .8 5 -1 .9 4 2 4 157.0 85.0 $9.25 10.45 17.25 1 .7 5 ^ -1 .8 0 ^ 151.0 84.0 $9.25 7.00 13.70 1 .1 1 5 4 - 1 .1 2 ^ 23.75—24.550 .1 0 - .1 0 ^ .0954 102.040 14.710 10.170 68.450 31.68 2 3 .9 0 -2 4 .6 0 0 - —.1054 .0954 102.040 14.260 9.210 68.100 31.26 3 3 .1 3 -3 3 .6 3 0 10 * A s p u b lish e d b y the “ L u m b e r M a n u fa c t u r e r an d D e a le r .” t R a t i o o f fa rm p r ic e s ( A u g u s t , 190 9-J u ly, 1 9 1 4 = 1 0 0 ) t o w h o le s a le p r ice s o f n o n -a g r ic u ltu r a l c o m m o d it ie s ( 1 9 1 0 - 1 9 1 4 = 1 0 0 ). o U nit o & .1 C om m od ity W h o le s a le P r ic e s ( U . S . B u re a u o f L a b o r ) 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 ....................................... P u r c h a sin g P o w e r o f F a rm P r o d u c t s (U . S. D e p a r tm e n t o f A g r i c u l t u r e ) ! C a ttle (N a t iv e B e e f ) . W e e k l y a v e r a g e p r ic e at C h ic a g o .................................... H o g s ................................ W e e k ly a v e r a g e p r ic e at C h i c a g o ..................................... L a m b s ............................. W e e k ly a v e r a g e p r ic e at C h i c a g o ..................................... W h e a t ............................. C h ic a g o c o n t r a c t p r ic e f o r M a y w h e a t ....................... C o t t o n ............................. M id d lin g U p la n d s — W e e k ly r a n g e o f s p o t q u o t a tio n s at N e w O r le a n s ........................................................ P ru n e s ........................... S iz e 4 0 /5 0 in 25 -lb . b o x e s , f. o . b . C a lifo r n ia ............. R a is in s ...........................L o o s e M u s c a te l in 2 5-lb. b o x e s , f. o . b . C a lifo rn ia . W o o l ................................A v e r a g e o f 98 q u o ta tio n s at B o s t o n .............................. C o p p e r ...........................E le c t r o ly t ic , m o n th ly a v e ra g e at N e w Y o r k ............. L e a d ................................ M o n t h ly a v e r a g e at N e w Y o r k ........................................... S i l v e r ............................... M o n t h ly a v e r a g e at N e w Y o r k .......................................... L u m b e r ( S o f t w o o d ) .. W e e k l y I n d e x , U . S . * ............................................................. .10 81.240 12.400 7.970 63.450 32.99 February, 1925 15 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO less and sugar for 30 per cent less, at the end of January than a year ago. Slight price de clines for both were recorded during the month. On February 4, 1925, the price of crude oil at California oil fields was advanced, a repre sentative increase being that for crude oil of 35.0-35.9 degrees gravity which was advanced 45 cents to $1.85 per barrel. This is the first such advance since February 5, 1924. Silver prices advanced slightly during January, while prices of copper, lead, and zinc declined. Aver age quotations of these four metals during January, 1925, were from 7.9 to 27.6 per cent higher than in January, 1924. Lumber prices at Pacific Northwestern producing centers changed little during the past month. Details of prices of the more important selected commodities of the district, and repre sentative index numbers of the general price level are presented in Table “D .” Total earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco declined by $1,000,000 during the five weeks ended February 18, 1925, a decrease in the amount of government securi ties held and bills bought in the open market being more than sufficient to offset an in crease of $10,000,000 in discounts and redis counts. The latter increase in discounts and rediscounts compares with an increase of $1,000,000 occurring in the similar period a year ago. Total reserves declined by $3,000,000 from January 14th to February 18th, and the volume of Federal reserve notes in circulation decreased from $204,000,000 to $194,000,000 during the five-week period. Changes in significant items in the statement of condition of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco during the month and year ended February 18, 1925, are presented in the following table (000,000 omitted) : Banking and Credit Situation C on dition F e b . 18, 1925 T o t a l E a rn in g A s s e t s . . . . $101 D is c o u n ts ................................ 18 U n ite d S ta tes S e c u r itie s . 39 P u rc h a se d A c c e p t a n c e s . 44 T o t a l R e se rv e s .................... 272 T o t a l D e p o s its .................... 166 F e d e ra l R e s e r v e N o te C ir c u la tio n ........................ 194 On February 11, 1925, total loans and invest ments and total deposits of reporting member banks were at higher levels than ever before.f MILLIONS OF DOLLARS C h ange from O n e M on th A go* — 7 ( 6 .5 % ) + 10 ( 1 2 5 .0 % ) — 10 ( 2 0 .4 % ) — 7 ( 1 3 .7 % ) — 3 ( 1 .1 % ) — 2 ( 1 .2 % ) C h an ge from O n e Y ear A go* + 16 ( 1 8 .8 % ) — 28 ( 6 0 .9 % ) + 24 ( 1 6 0 .0 % ) + 20 ( 8 3 .3 % ) — 19 ( 6 .5 % ) + 8 ( 5 .0 % ) — 10 ( — 12 ( 4 .9 % ) 5 .8 % ) * F ig u r e s in p a re n th e se s in d ica te p e r c e n ta g e ch a n g e s . MILLIONS O f DOLLARS R e se rv e Bank C r e d it — T w elfth D istrict W e e k ly figures for Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. figure, February 18. Latest On that date, borrowings from the Reserve Bank were but $10,000,000. Changes occurring in the principal items of the combined statement of reporting member banks in this district (representing approxi mately 47 per cent of the district's banking re sources) during the month and year ended February 11, 1925, are presented in the follow ing table (000,000 omitted) : T o t a l L o a n s ...................... C o m m e r c ia l L o a n s . . . . In v e s tm e n ts ...................... D e m a n d D e p o s i t s .......... T o t a l D e p o s it s ................. B o r r o w in g s fr o m F e d e ra l R e s e r v e B a n k ............... C on dition F e b . 11, 1925 $1,072 847 441 805 1,515 10 C h ange from O ne M on th Ago* + 31 ( 3 .0 % ) + 25 ( 3 .0 % ) + 6 ( 1 .4 % ) + 10 ( 1 .3 % ) + 28 ( 1 .9 % ) 0 C h ange from O ne Y ear Ago* + 59 ( 5 .8 % ) 33 ( 4 .1 % ) + + 97 ( 2 7 .0 % ) + 30 ( 3 .9 % ) -r 148 ( 1 0 .8 % ) — * F ig u r e s in pa ren th eses in d ica te p e r c e n ta g e ch a n ges. 14 (5 8 .3 % ) M e m b e r B ank C red it — T w elfth D istrict W e e k ly figures for 70 member banks in leading cities. February 11. Latest figure, Interest rates in this district increased slightly during the month. The rate charged by San Francisco banks on prime commercial paper of 30-90 days maturity advanced from 5 per cent in mid-January to 5-5^ per cent in mid-February. Interest rates at the latter time were slightly lower than a year ago. f A d d it io n s t o the lis t o f r e p o r t in g m e m b e r b a n k s d u r in g the first w e e k s o f F e b ru a r y in te rfe r e to so m e e x te n t w ith all su ch c o m p a r is o n s.