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MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank o f San Francisco Vol. VIII San Francisco, California, April 21, 1924 Sum mary o f National Conditions P ro d u ction of basic com m odities decreased d u rin g M arch, and th ere w as a recession in w holesale prices. D istrib u tio n , both at w hole sale and retail, show ed less th an th e usual seasonal increase and w as sm aller th an a y ear ago. P ro d u ction. T h e F ederal R eserve B oard's index of production in basic industries, ad ju sted to allow for len g th of m onth and o ther seasonal variations, declined 3.0 per cent in M arch. O u tp u t w as reduced by m ost indus tries, th e decreases being p artic u la rly large in mill consum ption of cotton and production of bitum inous coal and copper. D aily average No. 4 production of steel ingots, how ever, w as larg er th a n in any previous m onth. T h e level of factory em ploym ent w as unchanged, b u t som e c u rtailm en t in w orking hours w as evidenced by a decline of 1.0 p er cent in average w eekly earnings. C ontract aw ards for new buildings in M arch reached the h ig h est to tal value on record, ow ing chiefly to a large increase in th e N ew Y ork district. E stim a te s by th e D ep artm en t of A gricultu re on th e basis of condition on A pril 1st indicate a reduction of 4.0 per cent in th e yield of w in ter w h eat and of 6.0 per cent in the p ro duction of rye, as com pared w ith th e final h a r vests in 1923. PER CENT 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Production in Basic Industries W holesale Prices Index of 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation (1 9 1 9 = 1 0 0 ). Latest figure, March, 116. Indexof U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 , base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure, March, 150 Those desiring th is review sen t them regu larly w ill receive it w ithout charge upon application. 50 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS T rad e. S hipm ents of com m odities by rail roads declined d u rin g each w eek in M arch, and carloadings for th e m onth w ere 4.0 per cent less th a n a year ago. W holesale trad e in creased slightly d u rin g M arch b u t w as 8.0 per cent less th an a y ear ago, ow ing to decreases in sales of dry goods, shoes, and hardw are. A pril, 1924 000,000 on A pril 2nd, declined by about $125,000,000 d u rin g th e first th ree w eeks in A pril to the low est point for th e year. T h is decline rep resents a reduction in discounts and in hold ings of acceptances, th e volum e of governm ent securities held h aving increased som ew hat. M oney rates in th e N ew Y ork m ark et du rin g BILLIONS OF DOLLARS D epartm ent Store Sales M em ber B ank C redit Index of 333 stores in 117 cities (1 9 1 9 = 1 0 0 ). Latest figures, March, with correction, 115, without correction, 115. W eekly figures for member banks in 101 leading cities. Latest figure, April 16. M arch, 1924, sales of d ep a rtm en t stores w ere 8.0 per cent less th a n sales in M arch, 1923, and m erchandise stocks a t the end of the m onth w ere 8.0 per cent larg e r th an a y ear ago. Sales of m ail order houses also show ed less th a n the usual seasonal increase in M arch. D ecrease in th e volum e of purchases at retail com pared w ith last y ea r is p a rtly accounted for by the late E a ste r and th e generally unfavorable w eath er conditions this spring. P rices. W holesale prices, as m easured by th e B u reau of L ab o r S ta tistic s’ index, de creased slig h tly m ore th an 1.0 per cent in M arch, and w ere 6.0 per cent low er th a n a year ago. P rices of farm products, foods, clothing, chem icals, and house furnishings declined, b u ild in g m aterials rem ained unchanged, w hile fuel and m etals w ere slightly hig h er th a n in F eb ru ary . D u rin g th e first th ree w eeks of A pril, quotations on pig iron, lead, coal, silk, and su g ar declined, w hile prices of w heat, corn, and co tton advanced. B an k credit. T h e volum e of borro w in g for com m ercial purposes a t m em ber banks in lead in g cities, afte r increasing d u rin g the early p a rt of th e year, rem ained co n stan t a t a high level b etw een th e m iddle of M arch and the m iddle of A pril. D u rin g th e four w eeks period to tal loans of these banks w ere in larg er vol um e th a n a t any tim e in m ore th a n tw o years. D isco u nts and investm ents of th e F ederal re serve banks, w hich w ere slightly above $1,000,- th e first th ree w eeks of A pril w ere at ab o u t the sam e level as in the la tte r p a rt of M arch. P rim e com m ercial paper w as quoted at Ay2 per cent and ninety days b an k e rs’ acceptances at 4 per cent th ro u g h o u t the period. Sum mary o f D istrict Conditions D ue largely to special factors o p eratin g in C alifornia, slig h t recession from th e high levels of F eb ru a ry appeared in re p o rts of production and d istrib u tio n in th is d istric t d u rin g M arch. E v en ts u n related to the general business situ a tion have reacted u nfavorably upon tra d e in C alifornia, w here a large p ro p o rtio n of th e to ta l business of th e d istrict is tran sacted . T h e w in te r and sp rin g seasons in th a t sta te w ere u n u sually dry, re su ltin g in a condition appro ach ing d ro u g h t in the so u th central and so u th ern p arts of th e state, and w hile recent rains have m aterially im proved th e situation, ag ric u ltu re and livestock in m any com m unities have su s tained serious losses. D u rin g F e b ru a ry and M arch foot and m outh disease of livestock ap peared in th e neighborhood of San F rancisco B ay and L os A ngeles, and in four counties of the San Jo aq u in V alley. A lth o u g h th e o u t break is being com batted effectively, it has already caused considerable direct loss to th e livestock in d u stry and has th rea ten ed to cause indirect losses of large proportions to general business. Q u aran tin e re stric tio n s im posed April, 1924 ag ain st p roducts from infected areas by th e large areas of th e sta te free from th e disease, and by several o th er states ag ain st products of the soil as well as livestock from C alifornia gen erally, have g re atly ham pered trad e in farm pro d u cts both w ith in and w ith o u t th e state. F u rth e r inform ation on th e su b ject appears later in this Review. In th e d istrict outside of C alifornia business activ ity d u rin g M arch w as a t approxim ately th e high level reported in M arch a y e a r ago, and in m ost cases norm al seasonal increases as com pared w ith F eb ru a ry of this year w ere re ported. T he am ount of checks draw n ag ain st accounts of individuals a t banks (bank debits) was 7.9 per cent larg er th a n in M arch, 1923, a norm al increase over th e y ear period, although less th an th e gain of 20 per cent (over a y ear ago) reported in F eb ru ary . B anks continue generally to m eet th e needs of th eir custom ers w ith o u t ap p a ren t strain upon th e ir ow n re sources and w ith o u t direct assistance from th e R eserve Bank. L u m b er production w as curtailed d uring the m onth, b u t not to th e ex ten t th a t had been an ticipated. P roduction has exceeded th e volum e of new orders for som e w eeks past, b u t ship m ents on old orders have been heavy and stocks a t m ills are n o t large. L ittle change in th e s it u ation in th e m ining in d u stry w as reported d u rin g M arch. E fforts to a d ju st producing schedules to p resen t m ark et dem ands have re sulted in fu rth e r slig h t declines in copper pro duction and in an increase in o u tp u t of lead. F low of petroleum from producing w ells in C alifornia w as sm aller in am ount th an d u rin g F eb ru ary , continuing, although at a reduced rate, th e decline in production w hich has been in pro g ress in th a t state since Septem ber, 1923. A dditions to stored stocks of oil th ere durin g the p a st tw o m onths have been sm all. T he num ber of building perm its issued in 20 p rin cipal cities of the d istrict d u rin g M arch, 1924, was 1.5 p er cent larg e r th an d u rin g M arch, 1923, b u t th e ir value w as 2.1 per cent less, due in large p a rt to th e decline in prices of building m aterials over th e y ear period. E m ploym ent conditions im proved seasonally d u rin g M arch in all states of th e d istrict except California. F arm labor available is slightly in excess of curren t req u irem en ts in m ost states. T ra d e a t retail, as reflected in sales of 35 re porting d ep a rtm en t stores of th e district, w as 1.3 per cent less in value d u rin g M arch, 1924, than d u rin g M arch, 1923, b u t such a yearly com parison is inaccurate, because the figures for M arch, 1923, included th e E a ste r b u ying of th a t year, w hich d u rin g th e cu rren t y ea r w as done in A pril. A fair estim ate of retail trad e conditions m u st be postponed until a com pari son can be m ade of com bined sales of M arch 51 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO and A pril of th e tw o years. W ith the com ple tion of the brief period of active buying by re tailers in F eb ru ary , conditions in th e w holesale tra d e again becam e irregular, and seven of th e eleven lines of business for w hich figures are collected by this bank show ed declines in value of sales durin g M arch, 1924, as com pared w ith M arch, 1923. B usiness failures in th e d istrict d u rin g M arch increased both in num ber (4.3 per cent) and in liabilities (14.5 per cent) as com pared w ith F eb ru ary . T he stre n g th of th e p resen t banking situ atio n is show n by th e fact th a t w hile loans of re p o rt ing m em ber banks have been a t or close to record levels d u rin g recent weeks, discounts w ith the R eserve B ank have declined to th e low est point reached since late in the year 1917. Agriculture W e a th e r conditions favored farm operations and g ro w th of crops over th e g re ater p a rt of th is d istrict d u rin g M arch and early April. W idespread rains p artia lly relieved th e dro u g h t in C alifornia and certain sections of the In te r m ountain S tates, considerably im proving ag ri cultural prospects in these areas. In C alifornia th e heaviest rainfall w as reported in th e south central and so u th ern sections of the state, w here the d ro u g h t had previously been m ost pronounced. T h e scan ty snow cover on Cali fornia m ountain ranges, th e source of supply for a large p roportion of th e irrig atio n w ater used in th a t state d u rin g sum m er m onths, was also slightly deepened d u rin g recent storm s. W in te r w h eat in th e Pacific N o rth w e st w as (A) M ovement o f Crops to M arket * T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T 1923-1924 1922-1923 1921-1922 Season to Season to Season to E x p o rtsf M ar. 31, 1924 M ar. 31,1923 M ar. 31,1922 W h eat Portland and P u get Sound . , (bu.) 26,139,855 (18.3) B arley E x p o rtsf San Francisco (bu.) 9,130,250 (19.7) R ice— G row ers’ S a les! C a lifo r n ia -----(bu.) 4,211,900 (77.0) A pple Sh ip m en tsf T w elfth D is. (cars) 5,527 (95.7) Orange Shipm ents^ California . . . (cars) 16,969 (30.8) L em on Shipm ents^ California . . . (cars) 3,559 (27.9) 16,388,964 (16.7) 35,787,709 (28.2) 14,735,206 (34.4) 15,387,960 (39.2) 2,804,167 (36.4) 3,852,510 (52.8) 39,514 (88.2) 49,602 (97.0) 20,529 (41.4) 19,113 (61.9) 2,798 (28.5) 3,120 (29.9) *F igures in p arentheses in dicate p ercentage of crop. tS e a so n begins Ju ly 1st. JS eason begins N ovem ber 1st. N O T E : T he estim ates fo r rice a re based on com m ercial estim ates of unsold paddy rice in C alifornia. 52 A pril, 1924 M ONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS in excellent condition on A pril 1st. In C alifor nia th e g ra in crops, alth o u g h show ing im prove m en t since th e rains of late M arch, are still suffering from th e effects of th e earlier drought. P la n tin g s of o th er field crops in th a t state, es pecially on u n irrig ate d lands, have been som e w h a t curtailed. D u rin g th e last w eek of M arch severe frosts occurred in sections of th e decidu ous fru it raisin g regions of th e S acram ento and upper San Jo aq u in V alleys in C alifornia. T he im p o rtan t clingstone peach crop, used largely for canning, is re p o rted to have been dam aged to th e e x ten t of approxim ately 30 per cent for th e en tire crop of th e state, th e estim ated dam age in som e sections being 75 per cent of the crop. A pricots, cherries, pears, and plum s w ere dam aged slig h tly by th e unseasonably low tem peratu res. M ark etin g of th e m ore im p o rtan t crops of the d istric t d u rin g th e crop y ear to M arch 31, 1924, is m easured in table “A .” W h e a t m ark etin g in th e Pacific N o rth w e st is discussed m ore fully on page 63 of th is R eview . N o indication of the p ro p o rtio n of apple shipm ents forw arded from th e d istrict b u t still held in cold sto rag e at E a ste rn m ark ets is given by th e table. I t is significant, inasm uch as a large m ajo rity of the boxed apples produced in th e co u n try are packed in th e Pacific N o rth w est, th a t 50 per cent m ore boxed apples w ere held in cold sto r age in th e U n ited S tates on A pril 1, 1924, th a n on A pril 1, 1923. A stead y m ovem ent of canned fru its into con su m ing m arkets d u rin g recent m onths has stren g th en e d th e m ark et position of these prod ucts, and m inor price advances have occurred d u rin g th e p ast m onth. O pening prices for the 1923 pack and spot prices announced on A pril 11, 1924, by th e larg e st factor in th e tra d e are given in the follow ing ta b le : ful in California, and on In term o u n ta in ran g es g ro w th of feed w as stim u lated and w a te r su p plies w ere replenished. R ep o rts indicate, how ever, th a t in general m ore rainfall will be needed in C alifornia and in som e sections of Idaho and N evada if norm al feed conditions are to be m aintained on p astu re s and ranges d u rin g the sum m er m onths. S h earin g of wool is now in progress th ro u g h o u t th e d istrict. T h e quality of th e clip is rep o rted as excellent, and yields are generally larg e r th a n la st year. L am bing is practically com pleted in A rizona and California, and is pro g ressin g satisfacto rily in In term o u n ta in S tates. T o tal receipts of cattle and calves a t eig h t principal m arkets of th e d istrict d u rin g M arch w ere g re a te r th a n in F eb ru ary , and receipts of all classes of livestock except sheep exceeded those of M arch, 1923. F ig u res for M arch an d Opening Price 1923 Pack Stand C hoice ard G rade G rade N o. 2\ C ans perdoz. per doz. $1.65 A pricots ........... ......... $2.15 2.85 C herries, R oyal A n n e 3.25 1.75 Peaches, Yellow C ling 2.25 2.35 P ears, B a rtle tt. .......... 2.65 F eb ru ary , 1924, M arch, 1923, and th e four-year average for M arch (for com parative purposes) are given in th e follow ing t a b le : f Choice G rade A pril 11, 1924 1923 perdoz. perdoz. $2.45 $2.75 3.00 4.15 2.40 2.75 3.00 3.10 Standard G rade A pril 11, 1924 1923 perdoz. perdoz. $1.80 $1.85 2.75 1.90 1.85 2.75 2.75 D ried fru it m ark ets continued active during M arch, seasonally large sales reducing unsold stocks held in first hands to m ore nearly norm al p ro p o rtio n s th a n has been th e case for some tim e past. L ivestock— Anim al Products T im ely rainfall follow ed by com paratively m ild w e ath er caused a m arked im provem ent in range and p astu re conditions in m ost sections of th e d istrict d u rin g M arch and th e first half of A pril, benefiting all branches of th e livestock ind u stry . G reen p astu re s becam e m ore p len ti TH O U S A N D S Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal M arkets of the D istrict 1923-1924. (L os Angeles, Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake C ity, San Francisco, Seattle, Spokane, and Tacom a included) L IV E S T O C K R E C E IP T S A T E I G H T M A R K ET S C attle C alves H ogs Sheep March, 1924............88,107 February, 1924............77,677 March, 1923............71,503 4-year average— March ..................... .71,559 20,451 17,082 16,147 249,433 264,792 184,025 169,200 197,064 219,540 14,674 171,084 188,733 N orm al seasonal expansion of b u tte r p ro d u c tion d u rin g M arch increased th e m ark e t su p p ly of fresh b u tte r in th e d istrict beyond im m ediate needs of consum ers, and a large p ro p o rtio n of th e b u tte r reaching central m arkets w as placed in cold storage. H oldings of cold sto rag e b u t ter, p artic u la rly at Los A ngeles, increased su b stan tially d u rin g th e m onth. R apid seasonal increase in egg production d u rin g M arch w as reflected in a sharp upw ard tren d of cold s to r age stocks of eggs. A sum m ary of cold sto rag e April, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO holdings of b u tte r and eggs in th e chief m arkets of th e T w elfth D istrict and th e U n ited S tates is p resen ted in th e follow ing ta b le : A p r. 1, B u tte r (p o u n d s) 1924 •T w e lfth D i s tr ic t... 224,163 U n ite d S ta te s .............7,830,000 Eggs (cases) fT w e lfth D i s tr ic t... 109,816 U n ite d S ta te s ............. 569,000 * F o u r m arkets. fS ix m arkets. M ar. 1, 1924 A p r. 1, 1923 F iv e -Y e a r Average A p r. 1st 146,887 9,873,000 66,173 4,824,000 216,661 10,627,000 1,537 44,000 145,204 453,000 754,000 $ ^ F ig u res n o t available. A v erage prices for all classes of livestock ten d ed tow ard higher levels a t th e principal m ark ets of the d istrict d u rin g the p ast m onth. T h e general level of quo tatio n s as com pared w ith a y ear ago w as definitely higher for cattle and lam bs, and low er for hogs. C om m ercial factors re p o rt th a t grow ers have been offered from 35 to 47 cents per pound for w ool d uring th e p ast m onth, th e offering price depending CENTS PER POUND W eekly Average Prices of W ool (Average of 98 quotations), Choice Lambs, and Aged Sheep, 1921-1924 larg ely upon th e quality of wool and cost of tran sp o rta tio n to term inal m arkets. P re se n t field prices range from 5 to 8 cents per pound below prices paid grow ers for wool d u rin g M arch, 1923. T h e volum e of wool sold by grow ers, both on co n tract and for cash, d u rin g th e p re sen t season up to A pril 15th, is reported to have been sm aller th an d u rin g corresponding periods of im m ediately preceding years. T he tren d of prices for sheep, lam bs, and wool from 1921 to th e p re sen t tim e is presented g ra p h i cally in the accom panying chart. F oot and M outh D isease L ate in M arch th e foot and m outh disease, first detected d u rin g F e b ru a ry in four San F rancisco B ay counties of C alifornia (A lam eda, C ontra Costa, N apa, and Solano), spread to im p o rta n t dairy in g and stock-raising regions in 53 south central and so u th ern C alifornia, and to th e stock yards in Los A ngeles and San F ra n cisco. O n A pril 20th the q u aran tin ed area in C alifornia included the follow ing counties : Closed Quarantine ( Counties in which infected areas are located) Provisional Quarantine ( Counties contiguous to those counties in ii which infected areas are located) Alam eda Contra Costa Kern L os A n geles M ariposa M erced San Francisco San Joaquin Stanislaus Parts o f Napa and Solano Fresno Madera Marin San M ateo Santa Clara Sonom a Parts of Napa and Solano U p to A pril 9, 1924, it w as estim ated th a t approxim ately 295 herds of livestock in Cali fornia had becom e infected w ith foot and m outh disease, and th a t approxim ately 40,000 anim als had been slau g h tered or w ere m arked for slaughter. T h ere w ere included approxim ately 25,000 cattle, 9,500 sw ine, and 5,500 sheep. Con tro l w ork u n d ertak en to A pril 9th had cost be tw een $1,600,000 and $1,700,000, one-half of th is cost being borne by th e F ederal G overnm ent and one-half to be borne by the state. T h e in direct losses w hich have arisen by reason of th e dislocation of tra d e incident to fighting th e disease cannot be accurately estim ated. A t th e p re sen t tim e re strictio n upon shipm ents of spring lam bs and baby chicks from th e state are causing serious losses. W ith in th e sta te th e disease is being fo u g h t by q u aran tin e of infected areas, slau g h ter of infected and exposed anim als, and disinfection of persons and prem ises in infected sections. P rec au tio n ary m easures designed to prev en t spread of th e disease to the large areas of C ali fornia no t already infected, and to o th er states of the d istric t and th e country, are b eing strictly enforced by both sta te and national authorities. M any states, in an a tte m p t to p ro te c t th eir ow n livestock industry, have placed em bargoes upon the im portation of livestock, and in som e cases o th er products of the soil, from California. T hese q u aran tin e restrictio n s are m ost severe in th e w estern ran g e states and m ore m oderate in th e M iddle W e st and E ast. I t is th e considered opinion of experts of th e B ureau of A nim al In d u stry of th e U nited S tates D e p artm en t of A g ric u ltu re based upon experience in co m batting th e disease success fully in th e U n ited S tates on prior occasions, th a t qu aran tin es ag ain st products of the soil produced in non-infected areas are unnecessary for protection ag a in st spread of the disease. Serious unnecessary losses to th e agricu ltu re and general business of th e state are inevitable unless q u aran tin es now in effect in o ther states are so m odified as to perm it free m ark etin g of 54 A pril, 1924 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS C alifornia p roducts of th e soil w hich do no t o rig in ate in those sections of th e sta te w here the disease actu ally exists. T h e situ atio n in th is resp ect is acute on account of th e approach ing m a tu rity of th e im p o rtan t fresh fru it crops w hich are norm ally sen t in large q uantities to outside m arkets. q uo tatio n s a t San F rancisco declined from $8.60 per 100 pounds on M arch 21st to $8.10 per 100 pounds on A pril 14th, th e qu o tatio n on A pril 21st. P rices for th e m ajo rity of th e m ore im p o rta n t fresh and dried fru its of th e d istrict advanced slig h tly or rem ained firm durin g IN D E X N U M B E R S Prices T h e ra th e r g en eral u pw ard tren d of prices for th e chief ag ric u ltu ral products of th is dis trict, first ap p a re n t d u rin g F eb ru ary , contin ued, b u t w ith m an y exceptions d u rin g M arch. P rices fo r all classes of livestock a t Chicago m ark ets advanced d u rin g th e m onth, and, ex cep tin g th e price of hogs, w ere h ig h er th a n a y ear ago. W h e a t prices again m oved dow n w ard and on A pril 17th w ere a t levels approxi m ately 17.0 p er cent below those of a year ago. W ool q u o tatio n s on th e B oston m ark et changed little d u rin g M arch. W eekly averages of 98 q u o tatio n s rem ained co n stan t a t 82.47 cents per p ound d u rin g th e en tire m onth, close to the h igh p o in t (83.93) of the p a st th ree years reached on Ju n e 1, 1923. Refined beet sugar _____ Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920-1924 • United States Bureau of Labor Index of W holesale Prices (1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 ) National Industrial Conference Board Index of the Cost of Living (July 1 9 1 4 = 1 0 0 ) * (B) C o m m odity P rices— Comm odity T w en ty B asic C om m odities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 .. W h olesale Prices (U . S. Bureau of L abor) 1913 = 1 0 0........... C ost of L iving (N ation al Industrial C onference Board) July, 1914=100 P urchasing P ow er o f Farm Products (U . S. Dept, of A gri culture) 1913=100 .......................................................................... Cattle (N ative B e e f ) .. .W eek ly A verage Price at C h ica g o .. Sheep ................... Lam bs ................. H o g s ..................... W h e a t ................... Chicago contract price for M ay W h e a t.. . B a r le y ................... S hipping Barley f. o. b. San F r a n c isc o ... Rice ....................... California F ancy Japan at San F rancisco. C otton .................. M iddling U plands— W eek ly range of spot quotations at N ew O rlea n s....................... W o o l ..................... .A verage of 98 quotations at B o sto n ......... F l o u r ..................... F irst Grade Fam ily P atent f. o. b. Cali fornia m ills ................................................... Sugar ..................... B eet Granulated f. o. b. San F r a n c is c o ... O ranges ............... N avels, Fancy— W h olesale at San Fran cisco .................................................................. L em ons ................C hoice— W h olesale at San F ra n cisco___ Dried A p p le s___ .C hoice in 50-lb. b oxes f. o. b. C a lifo rn ia .. Dried A p r ic o ts ..,.C hoice in 25-lb. b oxes f. o. b. C a lifo rn ia .. Prunes ................ .Size 40/50 in 25-lb. b oxes f. o. b. Calif........ R a is i n s ................ ..L o o se M uscatel in 25-lb. bxs. f. o. b. Calif. Canned A p ricots.C h oice 2î^ s f. o. b. C alifornia..................... Canned Peaches. .C ling Choice, 2 4 s f. o. b. C alifornia........... Canned P e a r s___.B artlett, Standard 2 4 s f. o. b. California. R aw M ilk ............ .Pacific C oast— March a v era g e..................... B u t t e r ................. .93 score at San F r a n c isc o ............................. E g g s ..................... .E xtras— San F ra n cisco ................................... Copper ............... ..E lectrolytic; N ew Y ork S p o t....................... Lead ...................... .N ew Y ork S p o t................................................. Silver .................. .N ew Y ork F o r e ig n .......................................... Z i n c ...................... .E ast St. L ouis S p o t.......................................... P e tr o le u m .......... .C alifornia 35° and a b o v e ................................ D ouglas F ir ........ .2x4, 16 ft. N o. S1S1E f. o. b. S ea ttle......... D ouglas F ir ..........12x12 T im bers f. o. b. S e a ttle....................... U n it 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. bu. cental cental lb. lb. bbl. lb. b ox b ox lb. lb. lb. lb. doz. doz. doz. 100 lbs. lb. doz. lb. lb. oz. lb. bbl. M ft. M ft. A p ril 4.1924 O ne M onth Ago One Y ea r A go 150.9 150.0 151.3 152.0 161.3 159.0 163.2 163.9 159.2 69.0 74.0 74.0 $ 9.10 $ 9.75 $ 9.60 8.20 10.25 9.25 13.45 16.00 15.50 7.50 8.40 7.35 1.01H -1.02H 1.10^-1.11 H 1 .2 1 ^ -1 .2 3 ^ 1.75-1.80 1.60-1.65 1.65-1.75 5.20 4.15 5.05 27.50-30.00tf 28.88-29.63* 28.00-29.50* 82.14* 82.47* 82.47* 7.11 8.500 3.50-5.50 2.00-3.00 .13*4 .134-.144 .1 0 ^ - . l l .08*4 2.60 2.30 2.75 2.92 .40 .26 .1 3 ^ 8.75* .634 6.30-6.35* 1.40 17.50 21.00 7.24 8.90* 2.50-4.50 1.50-2.50 .1 3 4 .12—.13 .104 .08 4 2.60 2.25 2.40 2.89 .4 6 4 .25 .137/s 10.75* .6 4 4 6.65 * 1.40 19.50 22.00 7.79 9.00* 2.50-4.00 3.75-5.00 .08 .21 •10& .10 3.30 2.75 2.75 2.69 .43 .2 9 4 .17H 8.30* .66H 7.45-7.50* 1.45 23.50 25.00 ; April, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO 55 M arch cam e largely from m illers’ storage bins, and to tal stocks of th a t g ra in held by th e m ills w ere reduced by 2.0 p er cent. Stocks of w heat, a t 3,448,892 bushels on A pril 1st, w ere, how ever, 19.2 per cent larg er th a n th e five-year average for th a t date (2,892,415 bushels). F ig u res of o u tp u t and stocks for 16 m illing com panies for w hich a continuous record is kept are given in th e follow ing ta b le : M arch, b u t in m ost cases w ere low er th an d u r ing M arch, 1923. T he larg e st producer of canned fru its in th is d istrict advanced q u o ta tions on som e of its products on M arch 28th and again on A pril 11th. A lthough prices now p rev ailin g for m ost varieties and grades of canned fru it are still low er th a n one year ago, a few item s are quoted a t ab o u t the sam e level as in M arch, 1923. B u tte r prices declined ap p ro x im ately 14.0 per cent d u rin g the m onth, w hile quotations for eggs, and th e average w holesale price of raw m ilk advanced slightly. P rices for b u tte r and eggs are now low er, and for raw m ilk higher, th a n one y ear ago. T h e upw ard m ovem ent of non-ferrous m etals prices, noted in th e M arch, 1924, Review, w as checked, at least tem porarily, d u rin g th e last w eeks of M arch. (P rices for these products are discussed on page 56 of th is R eview .) L u m ber prices have continued dow nw ard d u rin g the p a st m onth, and th e general level of prices quoted a t Pacific N o rth w e stern producing cen ters rem ains low er th a n one year ago. C rude petroleum prices w ere unchanged d u rin g the m onth. A sm all increase in dom estic dem and and continued inactivity in foreign m arkets w ere reported by m illers d u rin g M arch. P rices for flour declined slig h tly d u rin g the m onth. M illing Lumber F lo u r production continued m oderately large d u rin g M arch, 1924. D espite fu rth e r seasonal declines, the to tal o u tp u t of sixteen large com panies reg u larly re p o rtin g to this bank w as 3.0 Some effect of recen t declines in lum ber prices, w hich have follow ed a production som e w h a t in excess of cu rre n t dem and, w as visible in production re p o rts for M arch. A ltho u g h total production for th e m onth w as g re a te r th an d u rin g F eb ru ary , average daily production w as sm aller, m any m ills hav in g curtailed o u t p u t at least d u rin g p a rt of M arch. N ew orders received by m ills d u rin g th a t m onth w ere slightly g re a te r th a n in th e previous m onth, b u t w ere still considerably below production. S hipm ents d u rin g M arch w ere approxim ately equal in volum e to those of F eb ru ary . Com p arin g M arch, 1924, w ith M arch, 1923, lum b er o u tp u t of the district, as rep o rted by four lum b er associations covering th e activ ity of ap p roxim ately 200 m ills, w as 5.7 per cent g reater, and new orders received and shipm ents m ade w ere respectively 3.4 per cent and 5.9 per cent sm aller th is y ear th a n last. A ctual figures are given in the follow ing table (000 om itted ) : ______ T H O U S A N D S OF B A R R E L S 900 ^ 'X w o ff¡ V o *%„STO : k s 500 k% i / \ y % OUT P UT OF FLOUR 100 1923 1924 M onthly F lo u r O utput, and Stocks of W heat and F lo u r at E nd of M onth of 16 R eporting M illing Companies per cent g re a te r th an d u rin g M arch, 1923. F lo u r sales d u rin g th e p a st m onth exceeded pro d u c tion, and m illers’ stocks of flour w ere reduced to 476,362 barrels on A pril 1st, th e low est figure reported for A pril 1st since 1921, and 5.7 per cent less th a n th e five-year average for th a t date (505,191 b arrels). W h e a t ground d u rin g M ar., 1924 Feb., 1924 M ar., 1923 F ive-Y ear A verage IMarch O utput (bbls.) 512,639 578,314 497,545 496,255t Stocks* Flour (bbls.) 476,362 508,699 549,582 505,191 W h eat (bu.) 3,448,892 3,520,908 3,146,340 2,892,415 *As of the first day o f the follow ing m onth, t F our-year average. N O T E : O u tp u t of th e 16 re p o rtin g m ills d u rin g F e b ru a ry , 1924, th e la te st m onth fo r w hich com plete com parative da ta a re available, re p re sen te d approxim ately 64.8 per cent of th e to ta l p ro duction o f all m ills in th e d istric t producing 5,000 or m ore b a rre ls of flour an n u ally (as re p o rte d to th e B u re au of th e C ensus). M ar., 1924 F eb., 1924 M ar., 1923 F eb., 1923 (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) 586,050 620,421 573,624 559,399 573,471 442,466 659,718 577,945 601,543 564,721 637,694 673,696 P roduction .............606,686 Shipm ents ..............620,201 Orders ................... ..580,829 U nfilled O r d e r s ... 529,699 D om estic lum ber m ark ets generally are re ported to have been relatively inactive durin g M arch, b u t increased activ ity w as noted d u rin g th e early w eeks of A pril. S tro n g er dem and w as reported in foreign m arkets d u rin g M arch th an d u rin g previous m onths of 1924, sales for April, 1924 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 56 M arch being approxim ately 80 per cent of the total for the first quarter of the year. The total am ount of foreign sales reported during the p ast three m onths was less than one-third as g reat as th at reported during the same period in 1923. More than 60 per cent of the new or ders received during M arch were from m arkets on the W est Coast of South America. cents per pound on April 20, 1923. This metal has continued in active demand. Zinc and silver prices declined slightly during the past month. Present quotations are approxim ately 16.0 per cent and 5.0 per cent, respectively, lower than one year ago. Average prices paid for the prin cipal non-ferrous m etals during March, 1924, and 1923, and February, 1924, are given in the following ta b le : MILLIONS OF BOARD FE E T Copper (lb.) (cents) N ew York Electrolytic., . 13.52 Lead (lb.) N ew Y o r k ........................ 9.01 Silver (oz.) 63.96 Zinc (lb.) St. L o u is .......................... 6.49 Quicksilver (dollars per flask) San Francisco___ 63.07 eoo 600 400 200 (cents) (centi) 12.71 16.83 8.55 8.25 64.36 67.56 6.76 7.71 59.67 69.91 Petroleum - 1929 1924 Lumber Production« Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lumber Associations, 1923-1924 M in in g Prelim inary reports indicate little change in non-ferrous metal production at the mines of this district during M arch, although a ten dency tow ard an increased output of lead has been reported. Figures for national production of copper, silver, zinc, and quicksilver during F ebruary, 1924, the latest month for which final statistics are available, January, 1924, and Feb ruary, 1923, are given in the following table : Copper (lbs.) (mine Feb., 1924 Jan., 1924 Feb., 1923 production) . . . . 128,260,000 132,817,000 102,515,000 Silver (oz.) (com mercial b a r s ) ... 5,426,776 5,221,000 4,729,000 Zinc (tons) (slab) .................. 43,933 49,709 42,443 Quicksilver (flasks— 75 lbs., estim ated) 900 800 550 Figures for lead are not available. Follow ing a period of activity during the first tw o weeks of M arch, dem and for the principal non-ferrous m etals, excepting lead, declined and price advances of the earlier period were not m aintained. Copper, which in response to a rising foreign demand, had risen in price from 13}4 cents to 14 cents per pound during early M arch, again declined to 13f4 cents per pound on A pril 10th, where it now stands, compared w ith 17 cents per pound on April 21,1923. Lead prices declined from the recent high point of 10 cents per pound reached on F ebruary 29th to 9 cents per pound on M arch 20th, later (April 10th) declining fu rther to 8.20 cents per pound, th e present quotation. Lead was quoted at 8 For the sixth consecutive m onth production of petroleum in California during March was less than in the preceding month, and the aver-| age daily flow of oil from producing wells inth a t state on April 1st was 32.1 per cent below ! the peak of September, 1923. Consumption of' oil (as indicated by shipm ents) declined during; the month by an am ount approxim ately equal to the decline in production, and stored stocks,, as in February, showed a relatively slight in crease. From January 1st to M arch 31, 1924/ stored stocks of petroleum in California in*; creased 4,741,566 barrels or 5.1 per cent. Dur* ing the same period of 1923 they increased by 5,408,643 barrels or 8.8 per cent. A statistical sum m ary of the petroleum industry in Califor nia is presented in the following ta b le : C A L IF O R N IA P E T R O L E U M S IT U A T IO N Indicated Average Average Daily Daily Consumption Production (Shipments) (barrels) (barrels) Mar., Feb., Sept., Mar., ____ 1924 1924 1923 1923 642,363 666,939 858,750 632,522 603,453 625,364 779,657 575,065 Stored *New W ell, -> Daily Stocks at Produc End of tion Month Number (barrels) Opened (barrels) 96,666,719 131 95,460,505* 102 85,496,609 93 66,593,571 71 62,771 44,471 139,960 97,425 •C orrected figure. Figure given in this table of M arch, 1924, Review was in error. Production of gasolene at California refin eries declined slightly during F ebruary as com pared w ith January, 1924. Total output of 41 reporting plants, at 106,086,405 gallons for Feb ruary, 1924, was 2.9 per cent less than reported output of 42 refineries during January, 1924, b u t 12.5 per cent greater than production dur ing February, 1923, as shown by comparable figures. Indicated consum ption of gasolene (83,271,000 gallons) during F ebruary was 21.5 per cent less than production during th a t m onth FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO April, 1924 and stored stocks rose to 224,097,304 gallons on February 29, 1924, 11.3 per cent above the figure reported for January 30, 1924, and 85.6 per cent above that reported on February 28, 1923. Out put and stocks of gasolene at California re fineries for February and January, 1924, and 1923, are given in the following tab le: Feb., 1924 (gallons) Jan., 1924 (gallons) Feb., 1923 (gallons) Jan., 1923 (gallons) R efinery O u tp u t. 106,086,405 109,307,994 92,852,538 92,686,090 S to red Stocks* .. 224,097,304 201,281,887 120,680,550 116,433,560 centage comparisons of sales by certain indus tries and by sections of the district are pre sented in the following tab le: Percentage Increase or Decrease (— ) February, 1924, compared with February, 1923 Total A gricul M an u Industrial Sales M ining facturing ture California .................... 153.8 Pacific N o r th w e st__ -- 18.9 Interm ountain States. 137.0 T w elfth D istr ic t......... 152.0 M IL L IO N S 4 0 0 Num ber of Industrial Consumers Feb., Feb., 1924 1923 3 0 0 S T O R E D S T 3CK'S o f g a (G A L L O N S ) C alifornia .................. 77,023 Pacific N orthw est . . 12,686 In te rm o u n ta in S tates 5,165 T w elfth D istric t . . . . 94,874 IO O 8 0 6 0 15.3 8.9 6.9 12.3 34.3 12.9 28.3 28.3 18.0 49.4 16.5 27.9 Figures showing the number of industrial consumers and the volume of industrial sales of reporting companies during February, 1924, and 1923, follow: *As o f th e last day o f th e m onth. 200 57 Industrial Sales K . W . H . Feb., Feb., 1923 1924 56,919 11,164 4,980 73,063 163,910,221 63,482,863 42,359,847 269,752,931 220,220,511 71,721,734 54,388,412 346,330,65 7 MILLIONS OF KILOW ATT HOURS 500 STORED S' OCKS OF P (BBLS.) 4 0 450 2 0 ✓ ✓ s y 400 f * % \ \ \ r IO 1924 [ i r i i H i i~ i 111~~i 1923 i iii i i in i~ t ii i 1924 Industrial sales of 20 of the largest producers of electric power in this district were 28.3 per cent larger in amount during February, 1924, than during February, 1923, while the number of industrial consumers increased 29.8 per cent. How much of this increase represents greater industrial activity in the district it would be difficult to determine, as electric energy has undoubtedly been substituted for other types of power by many industries. Increased consumption as compared with February a year ago was reported for all in dustries for which segregated figures are avail able. The largest percentage increase (152.0 per cent) was in agricultural sales, due to urgent power needs for pumping irrigation water in California and some sections of the Intermountain States, where rainfall has been deficient. Sales to farm consumers, however, comprised only 5.9 per cent of total industrial sales during February, 1924, compared with 3.0 per cent during February, 1923. Increases in sales to other industries, such as general manu facturing and mining, were substantial. Per- \ ^ '¡ 9 2 3 350 f Production, Shipments, and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery Stored Stocks of Gasolene, 1923-1924 Electric Energy \ '/ * \ V ✓ 9 / 300 / ✓ 250 1 I -1 ...1____J - ---- L_ ,i .....i i í. i _ i T7I Total Industrial Sales (K . W . H . ) of 20 Power Companies in Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1923>1924 Employment Employment in the Pacific Northwest and Intermountain States increased slightly in vol ume during March to levels as high as a year ago, due to seasonal expansion of operations in agriculture, lumbering, mining, building con struction, and other outdoor industries. In Cali fornia, on the contrary, a slight increase of un employment is reported, due to curtailed agri cultural activity as a result of inadequate rain fall during the winter and spring, and com paratively slow expansion in other seasonal in dustries. Figures compiled by the United States De partment of Agriculture show that the supply of farm labor in all states of the district except Arizona, California and Washington was less than normal on April 1st. The need for farm 58 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS laborers except in Washington, however, was below normal and the supply generally was somewhat greater than the demand. Detailed figures by states in the Twelfth District and for the United States for April 1, 1924, and 1923, are given in the following tab le: Supply Per Gent of Norm al A p ril 1, 1924 1923 A rizona ..........102 C alifornia ... 102 Idaho ..............94 N e v a d a ...........83 O r e g o n ...........91 U tah .............. ..98 W ash in gto n .. 102 U n ited States 83.4 98 94 92 84 89 96 88 83.6 Demand Per Gent of N orm al A p ril 1, 1924 1923 97 85 92 90 88 90 100 90.4 96 96 92 95 93 92 95 94.6 Supply Per Cent ot Demand A p ril 1, 1924 1923 104 120 102 98 102 100 92 88 96 103 109 102 102 88 92.3 88.4 Automobile Registrations A marked decrease in purchases of new auto mobiles in California during the first two months of 1924 as compared with the first two months of 1923 and a marked increase in such purchases in other states of the district during the same period are shown by figures of regis trations of new cars now available for five states. Registrations of new passenger cars and new commercial vehicles in California during January and February, 1924, were 10.3 per cent and 19.4 per cent, respectively, smaller in num ber than during the same two months of 1923. In the district as a whole, notwithstanding the declines in California, where more than 75 per cent of total new car sales of the district are usually made, there was a slight increase in sales of new automobiles during this period as compared with a year ago. An increase of 2.6 per cent in district sales of passenger automo biles more than offset a decline of 4.1 per cent in total sales of commercial machines. Figures April, 1924 per cent). Detailed figures showing registra tions during the first quarter of 1924 and 1922 by states of this district (figures for Nevada are not available) follow : January 1 to A p ril 1, 1924 1923 Percentage Increase 1924 over 1923 A rizona ..............., .. 44,776 California ........... . , 1,082,436 77,593 , . . 271,723 U t a h ..................... 49,498 W ash in gton . . . . . . . 191,087 35,259 808,719 32,789 172,585 27,240 148,906 27.0 33.8 136.7 57.4 81.7 28.3 1,717,113 1,165,498 47.3 Motor vehicle output in the United States, which had risen to record levels during January and February, 1924, increased by less than the usual seasonal amount during March. Produc tion was approximately 10 per cent greater than in March, 1923, whereas in the previous months of 1924, gains of more than 30 per cent over corresponding months of 1923 were reported. Output during the first quarter of 1924, as com pared with the first quarter of 1923, was greater by approximately 21.5 per cent. Preliminary figures showing production of identical com panies during March and February of this year follow : M arch. February, 1924 1924 P assen ger C ars.............................. 304,248 Trucks .............................................. 26,962 293,236 23,209 T otal ............................................. 331,210 316,445 Retail Trade Retail sales during March, 1924, as reported by 35 department stores in seven cities of this district, were 1.3 per cent smaller in value than during March, 1923. This is the first time since April, 1922, when a decline of 1.3 per cent was reported, that current monthly sales have not been greater in value than during the corre sponding month of the previous year. The de f0 ll0 W : Total Total N e w Passenger N e w Commercial cline may be attributed, at least in part, to the Cars Registered Cars Registered fact that Easter Sunday occurred on April 20th Jan. 1 to M ar. 1, Jan. 1 to M a r. 1, 1924 1923 1924 1923 this year, whereas in 1923 it came on April 1st, 210 67 A rizona .................. 1,8151,276 so that most of the Easter buying of 1923 was California .............. 26,524 29,570 2,323 2,883 done in March while that for 1924 was done in Idaho ...................... 1,154638 140 70 April. O r e g o n ................... 5,7023,350 391 197 Stocks of goods held by the reporting stores U tah ......................... 1,017463 72 53 were 11.4 per cent greater in value on April 1, W ash in gton .......... *4,809 * 698 1924, than on April 1, 1923. A reported in crease of 24.9 per cent in the value of stocks T otal (5 S tates) 36,202 35,297 3,136 3,270 held by reporting stores in Los Angeles was *N ot available. largely responsible for the increase in the dis Total registrations of old and new automo trict. To a certain extent, no doubt, the present biles in this district during the first quarter of increase reflects the difference in dates of 1924 were 47.3 per cent greater than registra Easter Sunday in the two years. All cities reported increases in the value of tions during the first quarter of 1923, due prin cipally to large increases in Idaho (136.7 per sales during March as compared with Febru cent), Oregon (57.4 per cent) and Utah (81.7 ary. April, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO A detailed statement of the percentage changes in the value of sales and stocks of re porting department stores in this district fol lows . Percentage increase Percentage increase or decrease ( — ) in value of sales M ar., 1924, compared with N o . of M a r., Feb., Stores 1923 1924 or decrease (— ) in value of stocks M ar., 1924, compared with M a r., Feb., 1923 1924 L os A n g e le s ......... 6 Oakland ............... 4 San F ra n cisco __ 10 Seattle .................. 5 Spokane ............... 5 Salt Lake C it y .. . 4 6.2 — 9.9 — 5.6 — 0.7 — 16.0 — 4.0 5.8 13.4 12.0 26.2 6.5 18.7 24.7 10.2 6.6 1.6 7.6 11.2 4.9 8.5 10.8 11.3 7.7 9.9 D is t r ic t * ...........35 — 1.3 11.0 11.4 8.4 of sales during March, 1923, and February, 1924, are presented in the following tab le: Number of Firm s M ar., 1923 Agricultural Im p lem en ts. . . . 23 18 A utom obile S u p p lies........ 19 A utom obile T ir e s .............. 9 D ry G o o d s........................... 15 Electrical S u p p lies............ 8 Furniture .............................. . . 1 7 Groceries ............................. 28 Hardware ............................ . . 20 14 Stationery ..........................., 26 — 8.6 4.6 —24.8 3.8 — 13.1 7.2 — 3.5 2.4 — 7.2 — 19.9 — 1.5 Feb., 1924 31.4 16.1 5.9 8.4 3.9 8.8 — 0.7 4.3 10.9 13.1 8.8 Collections during the past three months have been reported as follow s: Num ber of Firm s Reporting Collections as Excellent Good Fair Poor •Figures for one store included in district figures but not included in figures for cities shown above. M IL L IO N S O F D O L L A R S 59 January, 1924. February, 1924. March, 1924. ... 4 ... 1 ... 3 MARCH PRICES 33 35 33 85 84 78 12 16 16 1923= 100%= MARCH 19235ALES U.S.BUREAU OF UBOft INDEX NO. WHOLESALE PRICES AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENTS AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIES AUTOMOBILE TIRES DRUGS DRY GOODS FURNITURE GROCERIES HARDWARE SHOES S TATIO N E R Y 100 Net Sales of 31 Department Stores in Tw elfth Federal Reserve District ( i n M illio n s of D o lla r s ) W holesale Trade Retailers, having satisfied urgent spring needs in January and February, resumed their former cautious attitude regarding future com mitments during March, and as a result the wholesale trade situation of the district again became slightly irregular. Of the eleven whole sale lines for which this bank compiles figures, seven reported decreases in the value of sales during March, 1924, as compared with the same month a year ago, and five reported increases. All lines except furniture reported increases (largely seasonal) in the volume of sales as compared with February, 1924. Percentage increases or decreases (—) in the value of March sales of all reporting firms in each line of business, compared with the value 120 140 Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Firm s and General Wholesale Prices in M arch, 1924, compared with M arch, 1923 Building Activity Building permits issued in 20 principal cities of the district during March, 1924, were 2.1 per cent less in value than during March, 1923, the first decline reported in such yearly compari sons since July, 1921. The number of permits issued during March, 1924, however, was slightly greater than the number issued during March, 1923, and if figures of value of permits are corrected for price changes during the past 3^ear it appears likely that the physical volume of building proposed during March, 1924, was greater than that proposed during March, 1923, inasmuch as there has been a greater percent age decline in building materials prices since March, 1923, than in the value of permits. (W ages in the building trades, the other prin cipal element entering into cost of construction, have changed little.) The United States De- 60 A pril, 1924 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS partment of Labor index number of building materials prices stood at 182 in March (1913 prices=100). The figure was unchanged as compared with one month ago, 8.0 per cent lower than a year ago, and 10.8 per cent below the peak of April, 1923. The Aberthaw index number of the cost of constructing a reinforced concrete factory building remained unchanged during March and stood at 202 on April 1, 1924 (100 in 1915), compared with 204 on April 1, 1923. The latest figure is 2.4 per cent below the recent peak (207) reached June 1, 1923. Percentage increases or decreases (—) in the number and value of building permits is sued in 20 cities of this district during March, 1924, as compared with February, 1924, and March, 1923, follow : Percentage Increase or Decrease (— ) in the Number and Value of Building Permits issued in 20 Cities M a r., 1924, compared with Feb., 1924 M ar., 1923 N um ber o f P erm its Is su e d ............. V alue of P erm its Is su e d ................. 11.0 15.1 1.5 — 2.1 6 0 4 0 Business Failures The number of business failures in the dis trict during March, 1924, was 9.0 per cent less than during March, 1923, but liabilities in volved were greater by 4.2 per cent. Compared with February, 1924, there was an increase both in the number and in the liabilities of failing concerns. Percentage Increase or Decrease ( — ) in the Num ber and Liabilities of Business Failures in the Tw elfth Federal Reserve District M a r., 1924, compared with M a r., 1923 Feb., 1924 N um ber of B u sin ess F a ilu r e s ... — 9.0 L iabilities of B usiness F ailu res. 4.2 R. G. Dun & Company’s preliminary figures of the number and liabilities of business fail ures in the states of the district during March, 1924, and February, 1924, follow: No. A rizona Californi Idaho . . N evada . O regon U tah . . . NT OF PER MITS IN M IL L IO N S OF DOLLARS 2 0 M arch, 1924 Liabilities $ 4,329 985,091 71,572 0 199,443 275,300 750,024 0 91 12 2 26 12 40 191 $2,285,759 183 / \ AM<)UNT OF LIABILITI :s# 2000 \ A Vv A $ 0 776,406 224,245 9,548 245,622 314,935 425,154 $1,995,910 N O .O F F A I L U R E S ---------- -------------- , 5 0 0 5000 IO February, 1924 No. Liabilities 1 103 6 0 27 14 40 O M IT T E D ) NUME IN TH 4.3 14.5 \ Jr* K 200 c .. NUMBER 0 'FAILURES V I » i i iT i_i_t71.,.i_i_l_l1j_i_I_lLj_i—i—Li—i—»—i—l 1 9 2 3 IO O IO O O 1924- Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Tw elfth Federal Reserve District, 1923-1924 50 500 100 1 1 1 . I....! r. L_1— 1—lLj— 1— 1—L 1923 (C) B u ild in g P erm its— M arch, 1924 No. Value B e r k e le y ......... B o i s e ............... F resno ............ L o n g B e a c h .. L o s A n g e le s .. O akland ......... O gden ............ Pasadena ----P h oen ix ......... P ortland ........ R eno ............... Sacram ento . . Salt L ake C ity San D i e g o . . . . San F rancisco. San J o s e .......... Seattle ............ Spokane ......... Stockton ........ T acom a .......... 286 75 130 469 5,256 1,386 36 353 76 1,528 14 324 156 496 994 122 1,040 312 118 391 D istric t ....1 3 ,5 6 2 j lO 1924 Business Failures, Tw elfth Federal Reserve District, 1923*1924 M arch, 1923 Value No. 956,950 71,777 175,943 2,287,240 17,279,758 2,896,416 204,500 885,252 118,010 3,247,290 26,900 622,072 833,020 800,739 4,652,933 217,175 2,151,860 359,485 810,140 763,102 238 83 211 517 5,556 1,014 34 350 66 1,316 21 347 90 500 977 139 1,052 242 159 446 $39,360,562 13,358 $ _1_L 1 1 1 1 i « $ 703,095 45,895 520,668 1,974,618 21,196,087 2,581,989 90,600 1,001,770 585,843 2,761,220 83,875 728,688 380,356 1,409,013 3,229,672 280,605 1,362,985 221,205 533,720 511,536 $40,203,440 Bank Debits The volume of business transacted in this district during March, 1924, as indicated by checks drawn against accounts of individuals at banks (bank debits), continued large. Total debits at banks in 20 principal clearing house centers during the month showed an increase of 7.9 per cent over March, 1923, which was a month of great activity in business. This in crease is slightly in excess of the estimated normal annual increase (approximately 6 per cent in this district). An increase of 3.1 per cent in bank debits during March as compared with February was less than the normal seasonal increase between these two months, but unusual activity during February rather than dullness during March was responsible for this movement. April, 1924 The following table shows total debits by months for the past six months, as computed by this bank from weekly figures reported by 20 clearing house associations (000 om itted): 1924 61 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO Percentage Increase or Decrease (—) as compared with One One Year Ago Month Ago Amount M a r c h ....................... $2,698,824 February .................. 2,501,242 January ................... 2,646,762 7.9 20.4 6.9 3.1 — 5.5 1.2 7.4 18.9 18.4 1.2 — 3.6 12.3 1923 D ecem ber ................ 2,614,713 N ovem ber ............... 2,582,887 O ctober ................... 2,679,253 Detailed data showing debits for 21 individ ual cities for the four weeks ended March 26, 1924, and for the corresponding period a year ago, are presented in table “ D.” Savings Accounts Savings deposits in 72 banks in seven prin cipal cities of the district amounted to $1,010,941.000 on March 31st, a figure 0.4 per cent greater than the previous record total of $1,006,480.000 reached on February 29, 1924. The ad vance during the month was due to increases in savings deposits at San Francisco, Oakland, Seattle, and Salt Lake City, the latter city showing a gain of 4.6 per cent. During the year period March, 1923, to March, 1924, reported savings deposits increased 12.5 per cent, an M ILLIO NS OP DOLLARS M IL L IO N S O F D O L L A R S Savings Deposits of 73 Banks in Seven Cities of Twelfth District (B ase year 1919.) Debits to Individual Accounts in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1923-1924 (D ) B a n k Debits * — B e r k e le y ................................ B oise ...................................... F resno ................................... L o n g Beach ........................ L os A n g e le s ......................... Oakland ................... ............ O g d e n .................................... Pasadena .............................. P h oen ix ................................ P o r tla n d ................................ Reno ...................................... Sacram ento .......................... Salt Lake C ity .................... San D iego ............................ San F ra n cisco ...................... San J o s e ................................ Seattle ...............................;. Spokane ................................ Stockton ............................... Tacom a ................................ Yakima ................................. T otal . . . *000 omitted. Four weeks ending Mar. 26,1924 .. $ .. . ,. , , . . , , . 15,555 9,798 26,732 57,491 826,422 125,076 22,210 37,371 19,400 148,967 6,686 35,805 56,151 43,677 806,464 19,112 181,817 45,783 22,504 48,672 9,603 .$2,565,296 Four weeks ending Mar. 28,1923 $ 16,059 10,914 45,563 56,335 668,447 121,055 26,370 33,646 17,287 132,835 8,161 31,895 55,063 44,887 799,321 19,785 160,505 45,411 20,824 36,789 9,084 $2,360,236 amount considerably in excess of the increase which could be attributed to interest accruals alone. Detailed changes in the amount of sav ings deposits during the month and year, as reported by the 72 banks, are presented in the following table: PerCent IocreMe or Decrease (—) Mar., 1924, Number *Mar., of *Feb., *Mar., Banks 1924 1924 1923 Los Angeles ... 13 $ 342,459 $; 343,125 $295,074 7 93,588 92,854 86,526 9 49,805 50,079 44,011 Salt Lake City. 8 26,452 28,669 27,385 San Francisco $ 14 414,387 411,380 374,090 Seattle^ ........... 15 65,113 64,705 55,604 6 16,952 16,920 15,925 72 $1,010,941 $1,006,480 $897,682 Mar., 1923 16.0 8.1 13.1 8.3 10.7 17.1 6.2 12.5 Feb., 1924 — .1 .7 — .5 4.6 .7 .6 — .1 .4 *000 omitted. flncludes one bank in Berkeley which was formerly a branch of an Oakland bank. $The consolidation of reporting banks has reduced their number but has not affected the value of reported figures for compara tive purposes. Banking and Credit Situation Total loans of 67 reporting member banks, after increasing to the record figure of $1,027,000,000 on February 20th, declined during the last week of February and during the greater 62 A pril, 1924 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS part of March, reaching $1,013,000,000 on March 26th. During the two weeks ending April 9, 1924, however, loans again increased, and on the latter date amounted to $1,020,000,000, a decrease of $3,000,000 (0.3 per cent) from the figure reported a month before, and of $7,000,000 (6.8 per cent) from the high figure of February 20, 1924. L ast year during Febru ary, March and early April loans expanded steadily without check, and at this time a year ago were $49,000,000 or 5 per cent less than they are now. Despite the decline in loans, the total volume of credit (total loans and investments) ex tended by these banks increased during the period under review, as a result of increases in their investment holdings, which, at $359,000,000 on March 19, 1924, were higher than at any time since July 3, 1923. Total loans and invest ments at $1,376,000,000 on the same date also approximated the peak figures of the mid-sum- than a month before and $43,000,000 (3.2 per cent) greater than one year ago. Member banks have continued to finance business and industry of the district largely independently of the Reserve Bank. Reserve Bank discounts and holdings of banker’s ac ceptances have declined during recent weeks and total earning assets at $77,586,000 on April 16,1924, were at the lowest point reported since July, 1918. Total discounts, at $35,738,000 on that date, were lower than at any time since November, 1917. Federal Reserve note circula tion declined $2,000,000 or 0.1 per cent during the month, but at $204,000,000 on April 16, 1924, was $7,000,000 greater than a year ago. Interest rates eased during the month ending April 12th. The initial downward movement , was the result of Treasury operations in the i New York market (a temporary excess of dis- \ bursements over receipts) during the mid- I M IL L IO N S OF D O L L A R S M IL L IO N S O F D O L L A R S Total Reserves, Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted, and Investments, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco mer of 1923. Declining investment holdings subsequent to March 19th partially offset the gains of previous weeks, but at $1,374,000,000 on April 9, 1924, total loans and investments were still $16,000,000 (1.2 per cent) greater March tax payment period, but easiness con tinued after that date. Weekly average in terest rates on various classes of paper in the New York market as reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York are given in the following table (figures are for the week end ing on date shown) : A p r. 12, 1924 M ar. 15, 1924 Autum n Peak A p r. 14, 1923 1923 T im e M o n ey ............... 4 j4 -4 ^ % 4 ^ - 4 ^ % 5y2% S% % C ommercial P a p e r ... 4 y2 4^[ 5% S-5% B ankers'A cceptances 4 4$i 4% 4 PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AND LIABILITY ITEMS OF REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN RESERVE CITIES IN TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT A p ril 9,1924 February 6,1924 A p ril 11,1923 N um ber o f R eporting B a n k s........................................................................ 67* 68* 66* L oans and D iscou n ts (including r e d isc o u n ts).................................... $1,019,848,000 $1,022,874,000 $ 970,893,000 Investm en ts ...................................................................................................... 353,966,000 334,882,000 369,435,000 Cash in V ault and w ith Federal R eserve B a n k .................................... 116,975,000 117,214,000 111,048,000 T otal D e p o sits.................................................................................................... 1,336,403,0001,316,230,000 1,328,106,000 Bills Payable and R ediscounts w ith Federal R eserve B an k ............. 27,534,000 34,215,000 35,310,000 *Due to changes in the composition of the list of reporting banks, current figures are not exactly comparable with those of a year ago. F inancial Co n d itio n s in th e T w elfth F ed er a l R e se r v e D istr ic t by JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco San Francisco, California, April 21, 1924 SU RV EY of financial conditions in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District based upon reports of condition of all banks (State and National) as of December 31, 1923, is pre sented herewith in comparison with a similar survey made a year ago on December 29, 1922. Considering the district as a whole, comparison of the two surveys shows little change in finan cial conditions during the year 1923, both sets of figures revealing a generally sound banking situation. Within the district there has been a slight shifting of banking strength, gains in some sections, notably southeastern Idaho, be ing offset by losses in such widely scattered areas as the middle San Joaquin Valley in California, the Yakima Valley in Washington, and the counties of eastern Utah. As in previous surveys, the ratio of total loans and discounts to total deposits of all banks, State and National, in a given area was used in determining the financial condition of that area. Where the total of loans and dis counts was less than 80 per cent of total de posits, financial conditions were characterized as "good” (colored blue on accompanying m aps); where the ratio was between 80 per cent and 100 per cent, financial conditions were characterized as “ fair” (colored yellow on maps) ; and where the ratio was over 100 per cent, financial conditions were characterized as “poor” (colored green on maps). This study relates primarily to conditions in the agricultural regions of the district, as have A previous studies. The following summary, which excludes figures for the cities of Berke ley, Los Angeles, Oakland, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, and Spokane, shows the continued improvement in condition since the end of 1921: P R O P O R T IO N O F T O T A L D E P O S IT S O P B A N K S I N C O L O R E D A R E A S T O T O T A L D E P O S IT S O F A L L C O U N TR Y BANKS Deo. 31. 1921 D o«. 29. 1922 Dee. 31, 1923 . . 80.3% “Good” areas.......... “Fair” areas.......... ........ 12.7% “Poor” areas.......... ........ 7.0% 89.0% 7.4% 3.6% 87.9% 10.0% 2.1% Total deposits of all banks included in the above summary—the so-called country banks— were, on December 31, 1923, approximately 33 per cent of total bank deposits in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District, and the ratio of their total loans and discounts to their total deposits was, on December 31, 1923, 68.3 per cent, com pared with 70.7 per cent on December 29, 1922. Deposits in the cities above mentioned equalled 67 per cent of total bank deposits in the district, and the ratio of their combined loans to deposits was 67.6 per cent compared with 64.9 per cent on December 29, 1922. The above figures indicate that financial con ditions generally are “good” in the principal cities of the district and in those agricÉmiral areas in which approximately 88 per cent of the banking resources of-the agricultural sections are to be found. April, 1924 63 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO WHEAT MARKETING IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST Harvesting of wheat in the Pacific North west begins late in June, increasing in volume until the peak is reached in August and is or dinarily completed early in September. It is thus practically the first wheat of the cereal year (July to June) to reach international mar kets, where most of the large annual surplus of wheat in the Pacific Northwest above seed and feed requirements is normally sold. The accom panying chart shows graphically the harvest ing periods (immediately following which the heaviest shipments are normally made) of the chief surplus wheat producing countries of the world, and the proportion which each country contributes to the total amount contributed by all to the international wheat trade. It appears therefrom that competition in. world markets between the wheat grown in the Pacific North west and wheat grown in other parts of the United States and in foreign countries will nor mally be least during the weeks immediately following the harvesting in the Pacific North west. Each week that wheat of the Pacific Northwest is “held” after October brings more new crop wheat from other countries into com petition with it in world markets; first, from Canada in October and early November, then from Argentine in January and from Australia in February. Whether or not the farmers of the Pacific Northwest sell the bulk of their wheat imme diately after harvest, it is difficult to estimate, because the Department of Agriculture's first report on “stocks of wheat held on farms” is as of March 1st. These figures for the current year show a record number of bushels (15,511,000) of wheat held on Pacific Northwestern farms, due in large measure to the record crop of 118,665,000 bushels harvested in 1923. Measf f f f > Z J o a i - > u 2 a i < a < 3 3 D U I U O U < U J PERCENT OF TOTAL* * 20 TW ELFTH D IS T R IC T U N IT E D STATES CANADA ! A R G E N T IN A : :: A U S T R A L IA B R IT IS H IN D IA Wheat Harvest Periods in Principal Wheat Exporting Countries •Percentage of combined total exports from all countries named, based on five-year average expons. 1919-1923. Percentage for Twelfth District also included in that given for the United States. ured in percentage of the total harvest, these farm stocks on March 1, 1924, at 13.1 per cent of the crop, were exceeded twice before in re cent years, once in 1918, a war year when they were 14.8 per cent, and again in 1921 following the drastic price decline of 1920 when they (C ontinued on page 64.) COMPARATIVE STATEM ENT OF CONDITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SA N FRANCISCO AT CLOSE OF B U SIN E SS APRIL 16, 1924 R ESO U R C E S April 16.1924 March 12, 1924 April 18.1923 T otal R eserves ............................................................................................................. $293,080,000 B ills D iscounted ......................................................................................................... 35,738,000 B ills Bought in Open M arket ............................................................................. 14,471,000 United States Government Securities ............................................................. 27,377,000 $291,006,000 $229,877,000 T otal Earning A sse ts ............................................................................................. A ll Other R esources* ............................................................................................. 77,586,000 55,578,000 Total Resources......................................................................................................$426,244,000 42,893,000 21,021,000 22,304,000 58,749,000 37,267,000 27,617,000 86,218,000 56,900,000 123,633,000 55,528,000 $434,124,000 $409,038,000 Federal Reserve N otes in Actual Circulation .......................................... $203,727,000 Total D ep osits .............................................................................................................. 156,553,000 Capital and Surplus .................................................................................................. 23,156,000 A ll Other L iab ilitiesf ............................................................................................... 42,808,000 $206,479,000 158,461,000 23,201,000 45,983,000 $196,796,000 148,996,000 23,040,000 40,246,000 Total Liabilities......................................................................................................$426,244,000 $434,124,000 $409,038,000 L IA B IL IT IE S ♦Include« “Uncollected Items'* ........................................................................... fln clu d es “Deferred Availability Item s” ...................................................... 45,221,000 41,356,000 45,691,000 44,396,000 42,350,000 38,743,000 64 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS April, 1924 WHEAT MARKETING IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST—Continued vnere 16.1 per cent of the then record crop of sponsible for the small crop of that year. The 110,561,000 bushels. Figures for Idaho, Oregon, table also shows that farmers were holding on and Washington combined showing acreage March 1st last 15,511,000 bushels (13.1 per cent planted to wheat, total production and stocks of the crop), as compared with average hold remaining on farms on March 1st and July 1st ings on this date over a five-year period of during each of the past seven years are pre 10,022,000 bushels (11.9 per cent), and, what is sented in the following table (000 omitted) : more significant, that there has been a tendency over recent years to market a diminishing per Stocks on Farms* Acreage Production M ar. 1st July 1st centage of the crop before March 1st. It seems Year (aerei) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) desirable that this situation be recognized if 1917 3,474 45,690 7,363 970 abnormal carryovers are to be avoided. (1 0 .2 ) (1.3) 1918 4,213 64,690 1919 4,596 79,300 1920 4,632 88,692 1921 4,755 110,561 1922 4,702 75,279 1923 4,633 118,665 1924 .. 5 - y e a r a v e r a g e 4 ,5 8 0 f ____ 8 3 ,7 0 4 f 6,754 (1 4 .8 ) 6,696 (1 0 .3 ) 8,333 (1 0 .5 ) 14,257 (1 6 .1 ) 11,762 (1 0 .6 ) 9,062 366 (0 .8 ) 809 (1 .3 ) 1,438 (1 .8 ) 4,093 (4 .6 ) 2,623 (2 .4 ) 1,390 (12.0) ( 1.8) 15,511 (1 3 .1 ) 10,022* (1 1 .9 ) M IL L IO N S O F B U S H E L S IQ 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 flO 9 0 100 110 120 PRODUCTION f § TOTAL SHIPMENTS* H MAR. IS IÏ FARM ■ JU L. 151/STOCKS ■SHIPMENTS FIRST 9 M05.11910-19TO1922-23 •TOTAL ANNUAL SHIPHENTSJS YEAR A/ERAGE 2,071$ (2.2) *Figures in parentheses indicate percentage of crop of previous year. +1918-1922 average. ¿1919*1923 average, to compare with 1918-1922 production average. Source; U nited States Department of Agriculture. The table shows that the 1923 crop was raised on an acreage only 1.2 per cent larger than the preceding five-year average acreage, but that the yield was 41.7 per cent greater. Favorable growing and harvesting weather in 1923 was primarily responsible for this great increase in yield, just as a deficient rainfall in wheat growing sections during 1922 was re Wheat Production, Shipments, and Farm Stocks in Pacific Northwest— _____ Crop Years 1918-19 to 1923-24 •includes Foreign (export) and Domestic Shipments from Portland and Puffet Sound ports. Other shipments not included. fShipments are for first nine months only, July I, 1923, to March 1, 1924. FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC SHIPMENTS OF WHEAT AND WHEAT AS FLOUR FROM PORTLAND AND PUGET SOUND Crop Year July 1st to June 30th 1918-19 1919-20 1920-21 1921-22 1922-23 1923-24* 5-Y ear A v e r a g e t ........ t------------ Domestic Shipments-------------v Total Foreign and .------------------ Foreign Shipments--------------------* Total Wheat Total Wheat -— Domestic Shipments— % Wheat and Wheat Wheat and Wheat First Nine Wheat as Flour as Flour Wheat as Flour as Flour Months Annual (bushels) (bushels) (bushels)(bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) (bushels) 1,315,725 24,656,961 3,653,604 29,167,471 29,251,663 13,577,008 42,719,581 16,190,835 19,985,229 16,276,887 25,467,004 22,875,939 19,385,160 19,973,832 25,972,686 122,558 3,841,674 32,821,075 64,732 4,346,111 42,828,671 460,515 5,391,269 58,910,416 549,410 7,313,089 36,262,116 346,849 6,307,066 48,342,943 1,979,336 6,369,881 39,358,992 308,813 5,439,842 3,964,232 4,410,843 5,851,784 7,862,499 6,653,915 8,349,217 5,748,655 18,409,580 26,536,581 35,145,193 55,102,159 36,085,228 56,692,160 34,255,748 29,936,918 37,231,918 48,680,455 66,772,915 42,916,031 45,107,647 •First nine months— Ju ly 1, 1923, to March 31, 1924. tl918-19 to 1922-23. Source: Commerciai R tv itw , Portland, Oregon. A substantial, black, cloth-covered, three-ring binder, large enough to contain one year's (12) issues of this review, will be mailed prepaid to any address on our mailing list upon receipt of one dollar to cover actual costs. R ed isco unt O pe r a t io n s in t h e T w elfth F e d e r a l R ese r v e D istr ic t COMPARATIVE REDISCOUNT OPERATIONS, 1920-1924 (Borrowings of City and Country Member Banka) (A* o f the end o f ««eh month) NOTE: City banks include all member banks in Berkeley, Los Angeles, Oakland, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, and Spokane. Country banks include all other member banks. BORROWINGS FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK AND WHOLESALE PRICES C ity Bank Borrowing* Country Bank Borrowings $ 62,088,000 $21,978,000 $ 84,066,000 233 Date 1920-1921 Peak. 1922-1923 Low P oint. 1923 Peak. United States Bureau of Labor Wholesale Price Index (1913=100) A ll Member Bank Borrowings Oot. 5.1920 Aug. 23,1921 Oet. 5,1920 May, 1920 $116,286,000 $68,985,000 $174,699,000 247 An*. 8» 1922 $ 8,264,000 Oct. 2.1923 Dee. 11,1923 Jan. 16,1923 Jan., 1922 $18,430,000 $ 35,576,000 138 Aug. 28,1923 Oct. 2,1923 M a r.-A p ril $ 64,269,000 $32,698,000 $ 92,092,000 159 $ 31,491,000 $20,771,000 $ 52,262,000 150