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MONTHLY REVIEW BUSINESS AND AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS WILLIAM W. HOXTON, CHAIRMAN AND FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT SEPTEMBER 30, 1926 RICHMOND, VIRGINIA DISTRICT SUMMARY — August business in the Fifth Federal Reserve District was up to seasonal average, and on the whole prospects for the balance of the year seem to have improved during the month. A moderate expansion in loans to customers by member banks and a seasonal rise in the circulation of Federal Reserve notes show that fall trade is opening normally. Labor continues well employed, assuring a large purchasing power for the next few months. The failure record for the District compared favorably in August with the record of last August and with other re cent months. Coal production is very large as a result of seasonal demand in this country and' the influence of the British coal strike abroad. Textile mills are still operating from hand to mouth, but stocks have been kept low. Valu ation figures for building permits issued in August in twentyeight Fifth District cities exceeded the figures for all other months this year except March, and were 41 per cent larger than in August 1925. Official estimates on this year’s cotton crop indicate increased production in both Carolinas but the season is late and the crop is subject to serious damage by an early frost and prices are lower than a year ago. The tobacco crop of the Fifth District promises to be a very profitable one. Although crops are generally somewhat later than usual, the entire agricultural situation in the District is distinctly improved over last year and last month, with probably greatest improvement over 1925 in South Carolina and least improvement in Maryland. Wholesale trade developed seasonally in August and com pared fairly well with trade in August 1925, while depart ment store sales in August exceeded sales in August 1925 by nearly 7 per cent. Collections were slower than in July, but this is a seasonal development. Contrary to these de velopments, however, debits to individual accounts during the four weeks ended September 8th were below aggregate debits for the corresponding period of the preceding year for the first time in two years. R ESER V E BANK OPERATIONS— Increased demands for funds incident to crop marketing swelled the volume of Reserve bank credit extended’ to member banks in the Fifth District during the past month, the volume of rediscounts held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond rising from $43,510,000 on August 15th to $46,014,000 on September 15th. Crop marketing requires a relatively large amount of cash in comparison with the total volume of business, and the volume of Federal Reserve notes in actual circula tion rose between the middle of August and the middle of September from $72,296,000 to $76,099,000. Total bill hold ings of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond advanced from $55,415,000 on August 15th to $57,306,000 on September 15th. Member banks in the Fifth District increased their reserve deposits at the Reserve bank during the month under review from $65,753,000 to $67,873,000. As a result of the changes mentioned, with some reduction in Government security holdings by the Reserve bank, the cash reserves of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond rose from $84,902,000 on August 15th to $90,499,000 on September 15th, and between the same dates the ratio of cash reserves to note and deposit liabilities combined rose from 59.81 per cent to 62.57 per cent. The usual early fall increase in Reserve bank credit has thus far been slightly less marked than a year ago, prob ably due to the lateness of this year’s leading money crops. The volume of rediscounts for member banks held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond at the middle of Sep tember last year totaled $53,924,000, but on September 15th this year totaled only $46,014,000. The circulation of Fed eral Reserve notes, however, increased slightly during the year, rising from $75,758,000 on September 15, 1925, to $76,099,000 on September 15, 1926. Total bill holdings of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond declined’ during the year from $58,577,000 to $57,906,000, an increase in bankers acceptances purchased in the open market partly offsetting the decline in rediscounts for member banks. Reserve deposits of member banks rose from $63,750,000 on September 15, 1925, to $67,873,000 on September 15, 1926, an increase partly due to higher reserve requirements because of increased deposits and partly due to the easier position occupied this year by the member banks. The cash reserves of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond stood at $81,703,000 on September 15th last year, but rose to $90,499,000 at the middle of September this year, and the ratio of cash to note and deposit liabilities combined increased during the same period from 58.17 per cent to 62.57 Per cent- The National Summary will be found on page 8 CONDITION OF SIXTY-EIGHT REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN SELECTED CITIES ITEMS 1. Total Loans and Discounts (including all rediscounts) ...................................... 2. Total Investments in Bonds and Se curities ...................................................... 3. Reserve Balance with Federal Reserve Bank ...................................................... 4. Cash in Vaults.............................................. 5. Demand Deposits ........................................ 6. Time Deposits ............................................ 7. Borrowed from Federal Reserve Bank.... Sept. 15, 1926 Aug. 18, 1926 Sept. 16, 1925 $ 520,485,000 $ 514,930,000 $ 515,230,000 140.049.000 141,629,000 130,532,000 41.766.000 14.061.000 381.731.000 209.232.000 22.247.000 41,962,000 13,589,000 375,455,000 209,825,000 17,567,000 38,607,000 13,823,000 365,518,000 198,324,000 24,895,000 In the accompanying table, the principal items of condition reported by sixty-eight regularly re porting member banks in thirteen leading cities of the Fifth District are shown, figures being included as of the close of business September 15, 1926, August 18, 1926, and September 16, 1925. Thus an opportunity is offered to compare the figures reported on the latest available date with those of the preceding month this year and the corresponding date a year ago. It should be understood that the figures mentioned refer to the report dates only, and are not necessarily the highest or lowest fig ures that occurred between the dates compared. Between August 18th and September 15th, both this year, total loans and discounts to customers of the sixty-eight reporting banks rose from $514,930,000 to $520,485,000, a seasonal increase due partly to loans for crop m arketing and partly to commercial loans to merchants in connection with their receipt of fall merchandise. Total investments in bonds and other securities declined during the month from $141,629,000 to $140,049,000, and the reserve balances of the reporting banks at the R e serve bank declined from a total of $41,962,000 to $41,766,000. Cash in vaults increased slightly, rising from $13,589,000 on August 18th to $14,061,000 on September 15th. Demand deposits rose from $375,455,ooo to $381,731,000 between August 18th and September 15th, chiefly as a result of the in creased loans to customers, but time deposits declined during the same period from $209,825,000 to $209,232,000. The increase in loans to customers necessitated further rediscounting at the Reserve bank, and the total borrowing of the sixty-eight member banks at the Federal Reserve Bank of Rich mond rose from $17,567,000 on August 18th to $22,247,000 on September 15th. A comparison of the figures reported on September 15, 1926, with those as of September 16, 1925, shows the banks to be in a stronger position this year. Loans to customers on September 15th this year totaled $520,485,000, compared with $515,230,000 on September 16th last year, and total invest ments in bonds and securities aggregated $140,049,000 this year in comparison with $130,532,000 at the middle of September last year. A ggregate reserve balances at the Reserve bank and cash in vaults stood at $41,766,000 and $14,061,000, respectively, on September 15, 1926, compared with a reserve bal ance of $38,607,000 and cash in vaults totaling $13,823,000 on September 16, 1925. Demand deposits totaled $381,731,000 on September 15th this year and $365,518,000 on September 16th last year, and time deposits rose during the year to $209,232,000 from $198,324,000 reported at the middle of Sep tember 1925. Borrowing by the sixty-eight reporting banks at the Federal Reserve Bank of Rich mond totaled $22,247,000 on September 15, 1926, compared with $24,895,000 on September 16, 1925. SAVINGS DEPOSITS—A ggregate deposits in fourteen regularly reporting mutual savings banks in Baltimore declined slightly last month, but the decrease was less than usually occurs during A u gust. Deposits dropped from $155,255,756 on Ju ly 31st to $155,189,787 on August 31st. A year ago, on August 31, 1925, aggregate deposits in the fourteen banks totaled $149,571,500. Time deposits in sixty-eight reporting member banks also declined last month, decreasing from $209,825,000 at the close of business August 18th to $209,232,000 on September 15th, but on the latter date were m ate rially above the total of $198,324,000 in time deposits reported by the same banks on September 16, 1925. DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS IN LEADING TRADE CENTERS The accompanying table shows the total of debits to individual, firm and corporation accounts in the leading trade centers of the Fifth Federal Reserve District for three equal periods of four weeks, ended September 8th and August 11, 1926, and September 9, 1925. The figures for the latest avail able four weeks period, ended September 8th, may be compared with those reported for the preced ing four weeks ended August n th this year and with those for the corresponding four weeks ended September 9, 1925. The period ended Sepember 8th this year contained one business day less than the period ended August n th , the Labor Day holiday occurring on September 6th. A ggregate debits of $1,085,367,000 in the reporting banks during the four weeks ended September 8th show a somewhat larger decline under the total of $1,191,599,000 reported for the like period 2 TOTAL DEBITS FOR THE FOUR W EEKS ENDING CITIES Asheville, N. C.......... Baltimore, Md............ Charleston, S. C........ Charleston, W. Va. .. Charlotte, N. C.......... Columbia, S. C.......... Cumberland, Md........ Danville, Va............... Durham, N. C............ Greensboro, N. C...... Greenville, S. C.......... Hagerstown, Md........ Huntington, W . Va. Lynchburg, Va........... Newport News, Va. .. Norfolk, Va................ Raleigh, N. C............ Richmond, Va. ........ . Roanoke, Va.............. Spartanburg, S. C. .. Washington, D. C. .... Wilmington, N. C. .... Winston-Salem, N. C Totals.......... Sept. 8, 1926 $ 31, 822,000 341,878,000 23,525,000 30,892,000 41,269,000 15,586,000 7,243,000 6,328,000 27,049,000 21,401,000 15,240,000 9,376,000 22,568,000 15,687,000 9,721,000 63,287,000 16,537,000 117,277,000 25,611,000 10,205,000 184,836,000 16,463,000 31,566,000 $1,085,367,000 Aug. 11, 1926 $ 34,603,000 386,570,000 21,405,000 31,385,000 42,750,000 16,523,000 8,073,000 8,247,000 23,434,000 21,331,000 18,564,000 9,828,000 22,344,000 16,607,000 18,960,000 71,663,000 23,332,000 115,847,000 26,199,000 10,798,000 214,126,000 16,837,000 32,173,000 $1,191,599,000 Sept. 9, 1925 $ 26,356,000 379,484,000 24.199.000 31.854.000 38,211,000 16,342,000 7,705,000 7,701,000 23,711,000 17,361,000 17,350,000 9,404,000 23,231,000 18,259,000 6,900,000 55,032,000 20,082,000 128,448,000 22,477,000 11,409,000 183,090,000 15,946,000 27,979,000 $1,112,531,000 ended August n th than is usual at this season, but the relatively large decrease is possibly due to the late agricultural season, which is delaying the m arketing of important crops, especially cotton. Eighteen of the twenty-three reporting cities show lower figures for the more recent weeks. A con siderable part of the decline was of course due to the shorter period covered, the Labor D ay holiday reducing the actual number of business days during the more recent period from 24 to 23 days, a de cline of more than 4 per cent. A ggregate debits of $1,122,531,000 during the four weeks ended September 9, 1925, exceeded the total of $1,085,367,000 reported for the corresponding period ended September 8th this year. The 1926 period was the first one to fall below the corresponding period of the preceding year since the fall of 1924. Thirteen cities reported lower figures this year, while ten showed higher totals. BUSINESS FAILURES— “ Extending the improvement of the four immediately preceding months, commercial failures in the United States for August show a further reduction,” according to Dun's Review oi September 4th. “ The number of defaults reported for August is 1,593, which is slightly be low the Ju ly total of 1,605 and compares with 1,708 insolvencies in Ju ne 1,730 in M ay and 1,957 in April. It was during the latter month that the progressive decrease in number of iailures began, the March aggregate being 1,984. The August defaults show some numerical increase over those for the corresponding month of 1925, when the total was 1,513, and also are in excess of the number for A u gust of both 1924 and 1923. The present showing is, however, relatively satisfactory when the larger number of firms in business now is considered. Not only is the number of insolvencies for August less than that for recent preceding months, but the liabilities are also smaller. The indebtedness of $28,129,660 reported last month compares with $29,680,008 in Ju ly , about $29,400,000 in June, fully $33,500,000 in M ay and approximately $38,500,000 in April. The high point of the year was $43,661,444 last January. Moreover, last month's liabilities, despite the increased number of failures, is mate rially below the $37,158,861 of August 1925, and is, in fact, less than the amounts for August of all years since 1919, when the commercial m ortality w as at an unusually low level.” There were 107 business failures in the Fifth District in August, with liabilities totaling $1,438,713, compared with 98 failures and $1,565,924 in liabilities in August 1925. A ggregate liabilities in August were the lowest reported for any month since September 1924, and were the lowest August figures since 1920. COAL— Bituminous coal production in August totaled 46,352,000 net tons, compared with 43,472,000 tons mined in Ju ly and 41,992,000 tons in June. Total production this calendar year to Sep tember n th was 374,753,000 net tons, compared with 336,108,000 tons produced during the same period last year. The increase this year is due to two factors, one the anthracite strike which in creased the demand for bituminous coal in the early months of the year, and the other the con tinuation of the British coal strike, which m aterially increased foreign demands for American coal dur 3 ing recent months. Nearly 9,000,000 tons of coal were exported prior to September 1st, of which over 6,000,000 tons were shipped through Hampton Roads. Including coastwise shipments and bunker coal, Hampton Roads handled 17,794,072 net tons between Jan u ary 1st and August 31st this year, compared with 14,061,275 tons handled during the corresponding eight months in 1925. Retail coal yards are busy filling orders, but coal in all sizes and quantity is immediately available. Prices have been practically stationary since the first advances of the fall season went into effect six weeks or two months ago. TEXTILES—Reports from cotton mill executives early in September were more optimistic in tone than in recent months, although curtailment of operations continues and nearly all buying is □f the hand to mouth sort. Our correspondents nearly all profess to see somewhat brighter prospects for fall and winter business, however, and mills are keeping stocks of manufactured goods low. The Southern Y arn Spinners Association reports more numerous inquiries and considerable interest in spots and near-by deliveries. The Association reports buyers having increased difficulty in filling their needs. Cotton consumption in the Fifth District mills totaled 205,019 bales in August, compared with 195,944 bales used in Ju ly this year and 170,194 bales in August 1925. North Carolina and V ir ginia mills consumed less cotton in Augu$t than in Ju ly, but South Carolina mills used over 10,000 bales more during the later month. Total consumption in August in the Fifth District was 41 per cent of National consumption and 57 per cent of consumption in cotton grow ing states. BUILDING OPERATIONS FOR THE MONTHS OF AUGUST 1926 AND 1925. Premits Issued 0 CITIES z : New Repairs 1926 1925 1 Baltimore, Md. ... 501 Cumberland, Md... 28 4 3 Frederick, Md. ... 19 4 Hagerstown, Md... 9 5 Danville Va.......... 30 6 Lynchburg, Va.... 56 7 Norfolk, Va. 5 8 Petersburg, Va..... 92 9 Richmond, Va. ... 86 10 Roanoke, Va. 13 11 Bluefield, W. Va... 18 12 Charleston, W. Va. 17 13 Clarksburg, W. Va 14 Huntington, W.Va. * 60 21 15 Parkersburg,W.Va 54 16 Asheville, N. C..... 42 17 Charlotte, N. C__ 20 18 Durham, N. C. ... 51 19 Greensboro, N. C. 62 20 High Point, N. C... 21 Raleigh, N. C....... 48 10 22 Salisbury, N. C..... 8 23 Wilmington, N. C. 94 24 Winston-Salem, N. C. 22 25 Charleston, S. C ... 17 26 Columbia, S. C..... 12 27 Greenville, S. C..... 25 28 Spartanburg, S. C. 29 Washington, D. C. 338 ! NV»w■fY»netriir»f-inr» 1926 1925 1926 1925 1926 1925 679 1,278 1,157 $ 5,624.880 $ 5,686,320 $1,471,800 $ 23 10 10 46,860 10,975 56,827 10 3 2 31,445 9,895 1,690 32 4 1,065 7 135,265 50,990 732,726 13 717,841 17 13 34,837 30 21 18,860 20,297 13 66,170 135 26,388 65 53 78,985 257,213 4 13,390 3 8 5,650 25,440 125 64 73 83,490 547,035 441,365 81 33 31 145,290 9,570 1,054,237 6,065 13 6 2 107,554 18,592 24,800 16 25 7 64,030 88,118 12 4,965 22 17 37,650 37,130 * 1 * 270,484 * 1,500 2,050 26 6 10 130,500 94,125 46 38 347,955 21,005 43 253,400 27,920 53 20 13 683,110 806,220 16 21,725 36 13 117,340 164,785 37 33 186,414 59,480 45 237,420 14,050 67 7 7 269,515 195,025 12 11 6,725 223,795 55 133,134 21 13 3 2,100 22,625 50,150 11 10 10,800 9 17,100 38,250 53 38 67 566,865 65,650 235,160 44 11,470 9 31 14,570 18,650 11,250 37 40 43,350 23 209,329 36 28,465 10 16 88,550 72,200 27 25 20 69,900 104,198 18,215 182 477 523 8,549,640 5,463,640 422,435 Totals.......... 1,702 1,829 2,349 2,258 $19,751,368 $15,044,026 $3,130,561 —Denotes decrease * Huntington’s figures not included in totals. NOTE-- The figures in the above table reflect the amount of work provide^ cities, but take no account of suburban developments. Increase or Per Cent Decrease of of Increase 0 Total or Z Valuation Decrease 222,840 $ 1,187,520 20.1 <jo 1 15,042 5,900 28.5 2 i,250 — 21,110 — 64.6 3 82,015 3,325 151.0 4 1,404,900 3,076.4 10,830 5 31,650 35,957 71.2 6 24,737 — 176,577 — 62.6 7 32,460 720 51.0 8 125,724 — 147,904 — 22.0 9 906,622 11,895 576.8 10 15,150 79,877 236.7 11 5,338 — 5.7 12 6,050 — 8,050 — 2,565 — 5.7 13 14 33,610 4,815 34.0 15 11,363 104,197 39.4 16 13,270 — 108,460 — 13.2 17 24,225 — 49,945 — 26.4 18 25,508 — 17,034 — 6.5 19 7,200 81,340 40.2 20 8,075 89,311 63.2 21 7,836 — 33,261 — 57.4' 22 11,700 — 22,050 — 44.1 23 49,031 348,324 122.6 24 3,822 — 12.8 25 11,212 — 11,335 — 166,064 — 75.3 26 28,755 16,060 32.6 27 3,883 — 19,966 — 18.5 28 3,007,960 500,475 50.4 29 $1,174,109 $ 6,663,794 41.19b in the corporation limits of the several The number of building permits issued in twenty-eight leading Fifth District cities in August was lower than in either Ju ly this year or August last year, but valuation figures, chiefly due to large gains in Baltimore, Danville, Roanoke and Washington, exceeded the figures of August 1925 and were above all earlier months this year except March. Perm its for new construction in August totaled 1,702 with estimated valuation of $19,751,368, compared with 1,829 permits and $15,044,026 valuation for similar work in August last year. Alteration and repair permits issued in August totaled 2,349, with the very high valuation total of $3,130,561, compared with 2,258 permits and $1,174,109 in August 1925. Combined valuation for all classes of work totaled $22,881,929 in August 1926 and $16,218,135 in August 1925, an increase this year of $6,663,794, or 4 1.1 per cent. In addition to the large gains men 4 tioned above, Hagerstown, Bluefield and Winston-Salem each reported valuation figures more than 100 per cent above those of August 1925. COTTON—According to figures gathered by the Cotton Quotation Service of the Department of Agriculture, spot cotton prices in the Carolinas declined nearly 2 cents per pound between August 14th and September 18th. During the week ended August 14th, the average price paid grow ers for middling cotton was 17.90 cents per pound, but in the next five weeks the averages were respectively 16.93 cents, 17.36 cents, 17.43 cents, 17.26 cents and 16 ,0 1-cents,-the latter average for the week ended September 18th being the lowest price reported since February n , 1922. Cotton consumption in American mills in August totaled 500,652 bales, exceeding the total of 460,918 bales used in Ju ly this year and 448,665 bales in August 1925. The Census Bureau’s con sumption report as of September 1st, issued on September 14th, reports cotton on hand in manufac turing establishments at the end of August as 920,944 bales, compared with 1,096,521 bales so held on Ju ly 3 1st this year and 680,527 bales on August 31, 1925. A t the end of August, public warehouses and compresses held 1,715,593 bales, compared with 1,936,662 bales on Ju ly 31, 1926, and 1,040,178 bales on August 31, 1925. Spindles active in August numbered 31,321,936, compared with 31,082,482 in Ju ly this year and 31,269,774 in August a year ago. Cotton exported amounted to 391,329 bales in August 1926, compared with 365,522 bales sent abroad in Ju ly 1926 and 315,825 bales in August 1925. August imports also increased, rising to 13,280 bales from 12,090 bales imported in Ju ly this year and 9,266 bales received from over seas in August last year. Cotton consumed in cotton grow ing states totaled 359,708 bales in August, 334,752 bales in Ju ly , and 302,604 bales in August 1925. In our Review last month we discussed the Department of Agriculture’s cotton condition report as of August 1st, at which time a condition of 69.8 per cent was expected to result in a production for 1926 of 15,621,000 bales. The reports of August 16th and September 1st indicated considerable deteri oration in crop prospects, however, and forecast figures were lowered to 15,248,000 bales on August 1 6th and 15,166,000 bales on September 1st. The first half of September was generally favorable for cotton development, however, and the Department’s report as of September 16th estimated the condi tion at 59.5 per cent and the probable production as 15,810,000 bales, only 294,000 bales under the large crop of 16,104,000 bales ginned in 1925. The Census Bureau’s ginning report to September 16th shows how late the crop is this year and clearly indicates the unusual hazards the crop still has to overcome. Ginnings to September 16th this year of 2 ,5 11,3 17 bales compares with 4,282,066 bales in 1925 and 2,665,793 bales in 1924 ginned prior to the middle of September. During August and early September prospects for cotton improved in South Carolina, the condi tion figure rising from 53 per cent on August 1st to 55 per cent on September 16th, but North Caro lina’s condition declined between August 1st and September 16th from 70 per cent to 69 per cent and Virginia’s condition dropped from 72 per cent to 66 per cent. South Carolina’s probable production this year is 1,057,000 bales, compared with 889,000 bales ginned last year. The crop in the middle belt and in the south and east is better than last year, and the improvement since the middle of August in the upper counties of South Carolina appears to indicate a larger crop there also, but much of the cotton in that section is very late, is poorly fruited, and is dependent upon favorable weather to an unusual degree. North Carolina’s crop estimate on September 16th, was 1,199,000 bales, compared with 1,102,000 bales grown in 1925. The crop is from two to three weeks late, and insect damage and shedding are noticeable. W eevils did comparatively little damage prior to September, but may do serious harm to the late crop before the end of the season. V irginia’s prospective yield of 47,000 bales compares unfavorably with 53,000 bales produced in 1925. The crop has improved somewhat since the August rains, but the growth is backward and the crop is so late that much of it is in danger of an early frost. The crop is fully two weeks later than last' year. TOBACCO— SO UTH C A R O LIN A tobacco markets sold 20,787,591 pounds of producer’s tobacco in August at an average price of $24.89 per hundred pounds, compared with 23,238,117 pounds sold for $17.81 per hundred in August 1925. The crop this year is estimated at 57,548,000 pounds, about 13,000,000 pounds less than the crop last year, but if August prices are maintained the balance of the season this yea r’s crop will probably exceed last year’s crop in value between two and three million dollars. NO RTH C A R O LIN A had only seven m arkets open in August. Sales for grow ers totaled 9,983,519 pounds, at an average of $24.78 per hundred pounds, compared with 11,8 12,18 8 pounds for $18.23 per hundred sold on the same m arkets in August 1925. M arkets in the New Bright belt opened on September 7th, and prices were from 35 to 50 per cent above those of last year, some scattered piles selling as high as 100 per cent above 1925 prices. V IR G IN IA m arkets are not yet open. Tobacco improved distinctly during the latter half of A u gust/and on September 1st a crop of 135,626,000 pounds was forecast, compared with 129,497,000 pounds 5 grown in 1925. The greatest improvement was in the Bright crop, although the prospects in the Dark and Sun-cured sections are also quite encouraging. Bright tobacco is of exceptionally good quality this year, and Sun-cured is ab6ve the average, but in the Dark belt much of the leaf is large arid coarse, so the quality will not equal that of the Bright types. AGRICULTURAL NOTES— M A R Y L A N D . H eavy rains in August hurt M aryland peaches, melons, shocked grain, tomatoes and tobacco, but helped late corn, potatoes and grasses. Most crops are below their ten year average of condition. On the whole, M aryland’s agricultural prospects ap pear below those of 1925, although prospective yields this year of potatoes, sweet potatoes, tobacco, apples, peaches and pears are above those of last year. Tomatoes for canning indicate only about 50 per cent of a normal yield and in the big producing areas on the Eastern Shore are ripening very slow ly, with considerable scalding and rotting. V IR G IN IA crops all improved after the rains of the latter half of August, and prospects on Sep tember 1st were for larger yields in nearly all crops than last year. Corn prospects are now excel lent, a crop of 44,212,000 bushels forecast this year comparing with 36,058,000 bushels harvested in 1925. The oat crop turned out above expectations, the heads being well filled. The oat straw was quite short, however, and a large part of the crop had to be cut for hay. Late potatoes improved slightly during late August and early September, but prospects are still below the average. The total yield of potatoes this year is forecast at 11,934,000 bushels, compared with 11,340,000 bushels last year. Sw eet potatoes made considerable improvement during the latter half of August, and a fair crop is expected. The commercial crop is later than usual, however. A production of 5,120,000 bushels is predicted this year, compared with 3,996,000 bushels gathered in 1925, most of the increase being due to increased plantings. Total production of hay this year is expected to be 884,000 tons, compared with 768.000 tons last year. Pastures improved wonderfully between August 15th and September 15th, and are now in excellent condition. Good fall grazing appears assured. The commercial apple crop in Virginia is expected to amount to 3,325,000 barrels, compared with 1,400,000 barrels last year and 1.478.000 barrels the average production during the five years 1921-1925. Most orchards have unusual ly heavy crops of apples, although occasionally some are found which bore heavily last year that have a light set of fruit. The season is later than last year, consequently harvest will be delayed from ten days to two weeks. The apple m arket has been very slow developing and thus far few sales have been reported. The fruit is coloring well and with the ample supply of moisture in the soil will be well sized. A s there has been less injury from diseases and insects than usual the quality will be unusually fine. N O RTH C A R O LIN A crpp prospects, after an adverse spring and very dry summer, have improved markedly since the middle of August, and now promise comparatively good yields in nearly all crops. The cotton crop appears likely to break all previous record for North Carolina, a good and profitable tobacco crop seems assured, and corn shows a condition equal to any corn crop in several years. The fruit crop is unusually good. Pastures and hay crops are now doing well, and soy beans and cowpeas are looking better than for several years. Pecan trees promise a heavy yield. SO UTH C A R O LIN A prospects are better in every crop this year except tobacco than in 1925, and in the case of tobacco this year's prices will make that crop more profitable. Prospective yields are m aterially higher than a year ago, and prices are the principal concern of the farm ers at present. The per acre yield of small grain crops was the highest in the history of the state, the peach crop was the largest on record, the corn crop of 24,552,000 bushels is 5,000,000 bushels above last year’ s yield, and hay, sweet potatoes, sugar cane, sorghum for syrup, cowpeas, soy and velvet beans range in condition from good to excellent and promise fine yields. W E S T V IR G IN IA crop prospects improved during the past month as a result of rains, but on the whole conditions in the state appear to be somewhat less favorable than a year ago. Low er yields are forecast this year for corn, oats and hay, while larger yields are expected of buckwheat, potatoes, sweet potatoes, tobacco, and sorghum. Most of the indicated increases are chiefly due to larger acre age this year, however, rather than to improved condition of the grow ing crops. FIGURES ON RETAIL TRADE As Indicated By Reports from Thirty-One Representative Department Stores for the Month of AUGUST 1926 Confidential reports from 3 1 leading department stores District showed sales in August 6.8 per cent above sales above average August sales during the five years 1920-1924, through August this year were 3.9 per cent above aggregate scattered throughout the Fifth Reserve in August a year ago, and 15 per cent inclusive. Total sales from Jan u ary 1st sales during the first eight months of 1925- Stocks of merchandise on the shelves of the reporting stores declined slightly in August, the de crease averaging one-half of 1 per cent, but at the end of August stocks averaged 1.5 per cent above 6 Percentage increase in August 1926 sales over sales in August 1925 Richmond Washington Other Cities Baltimore District 7.7 12.1 2.0 6.8 3.7 Percentage increase in cumulative sales from January 1st through August, over sales during the corresponding eight months in 1925: 4.9 6.9 3.5 3.9 1.2 Percentage increase in August sales over averge August sales during the five years 1920-1924, inclusive: 35.0 23.6 11.7 15.0 3.7 Percentage increase in stock on hand August 31, 1926, over stock on August 31, 1925: — 1.0 1.5 — 4.0 5.0 9.1 Percentage increase in stock on hand August 31, 1926, over stock on July 31, 1926: — .3 .2 .6 — .5 — 1.4 Percentage of sales during August 1926 to average stock carried during that month: 21.6 22.2 23.2 20.4 22.1 Percentage of cumulative sales since January 1st to average stock carried during each of the eight months: 195.9 204.8 213.8 174.5 200.6 Percentage of outstanding orders on August 31st to total purchases of goods in 1925: 8.3 9.2 9.1 7.2 8.7 Percentage of collections in August to total accounts receivable on August 1st: 20.3 23.2 34.3 28.9 24.4 — Denotes decreased percentage. those of August 31, 1925. Outstanding orders for fall merchandise at the end of August totaled 8.7 per cent of last year’s purchases, a seasonal increase over outstanding orders at the end of Ju ly. The rate of stock turnover was slightly more rapid during August than in Ju ly, sales last month averaging 22.1 per cent of stocks carried. Cumulative sales since the first of the year amounted to 200.6 per cent of average stock carried during each of the eight months, indicating an annual turnover rate of 3.009 times. The rate of turnover during* the first eight months of 1925 was 2.982 times. Collections in August averaged 24.4 per cent of receivables outstanding on August 1st, a slightly smaller percentage than 27.1 per cent of outstanding receivables collected in Ju ly this year and 24.6 per cent collected in August 1925. WHOLESALE TRADE, AUGUST 1926 Percentage increase in August 1926 sales, compared with sales in August 1925: 35 Groceries 12 Dry Goods 8 Shoes 17 Hardware 5 Furniture 13 Drugs — 2.6 — 4.6 8.9 7.1 10.6 — 1.4 Percentage increase in August 1926 sales, compared with sales in July 1926: — 2.8 65.4 48.4 8.1 60.62.8 Percentage increase in total sales since Jan. 1st, compared with sales during the same eight months in 1925: — 1.9 — 4.2 7.3 1.6 — 8.6 1.4 Percentage increase in stock on August 31, 1926, compared with stock on August 31, 1925: 1.0(12) — 9.75(5) 22.2(5) 3.5(9) Percentage increase in stock on August 31, 1926, compared with stock on July 31, 1926: 2.3(12) .3(5) — 5.6(4) 1.4(9) Percentage of collections in August to total accounts receivable on August 1} 1926: 64.3(21)_____________ 28.4(8)____________ 24.5(6) _________ 26.4(12) ____________ 34.5(3)___________ 57.3(9) — Denotes decreased percentage. NOTE: The number of firms reporting stock and collection data in each group is shown immediately following the percentages. Reports received from 35 wholesale grocers, 12 dry goods jobbers, and 13 wholesale drug firms show lower sales on the average in August 1926 than in August a year ago, but 8 shoe jobbers, 17 wholesale hardware firms and 5 furniture factories report larger sales in August this year than last. In comparison with Ju ly sales this year, August sales registered increases in all lines reported upon except groceries. Cumulative sales during the eight elapsed months this year exceeded sales in the corresponding period of 1925 in shoes, hardware and drugs, but grocery, dry goods and furniture sales were lower this year. Stocks increased during August in groceries, dry goods and hardware, but declined slightly in shoes. At the end of August 1926, stocks of groceries, shoes and hardware were larger than at the end of August 1925, but dry goods stocks declined during the year. Collections in August were slower than in Ju ly in dry goods, shoes, hardware, furniture and drugs, but were slightly better in groceries. Slower collections in August is seasonal, however. (Compiled September 20, 1926) 7 BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES. (Compiled by the Federal Reserve Board) Industrial activity and distribution o f commodities continued in large volume in August at a level higher than a year ago. The general level o f wholesale prices receded further in August, reflect ing price declines fo r agricultural commodities. PRODUCTION. The index o f production in basic industries, which is adjusted fo r the usual seasonal variations, declined slightly in August, but this decline was accounted fo r by the fact that there were five Sundays in August against fou r in July. Textile mill ac tivity and production o f steel ingots^ zinc and petroleum increased, while the output o f pig iron, lumber, coal, copper, cement and sugar was smaller than the month before. Automobile production in creased considerably in August and was larger than in any month since April. Factory employment and pay rolls, after declining in July, increased in August, as is usual at this season o f the year. Building activity, as measured by contract awards in 37 states east o f the Rocky Mountains, was in larger volume in August than in July or in any other previous month with the exception o f August 1925. In eastern and southeastern states the volume o f building was smaller in August than a year ago, while in the middle west contracts awarded were larger. Contracts fo r residential structures were smaller than last year, while those fo r industrial buildings and fo r public works and public utilities were substantially larger. Crop conditions improved in August, according to a statement by the Department o f Agriculture. September forecasts of yields of com , barley, hay, tobacco, and most fruit and vegetable crops were above those made in August, while expected yields o f oats and spring wheat were slightly less. A cotton crop o f 15,810,000 bales was indicated on the basis of the condition of the crop at the middle of September. The crop, however, is later than last year and ginnings up to September 16 amounted to only 2,511,000 bales, compared with 4,282,000 bales prior to September 16, 1925. Index of 22 bask commodities adjusted for seasonal variation (1919-1O0L Latest figure-August 116. ... ------- PER CENT < 150 r ^V \ V \, ) / \ P a y rolls / 100 Employment 50 FACTCIRY EMPLONfMENT Al PAY ROL LS 1 1 Federal Reserve Board’s indexes of factory employment and pay rolls (1919' " ).l. Latest figures, August, employment 94.4, pay rolls 107.7. 100 1. i1 R E SE F IV E BAN K C: r e d i t V Total Reserve Bai Credit 4 scourrts for m b er Banks^ f\l 7 ( 7) 0^ rv y { \ 1922 USSecuiritfeS Acceptan c e s X v y 1923 y*/ , 1925 Monthly averages of daily figures for 12 Federal Reserve jBanks. Latest figures, averages of first 23 days of September. 2 BlkUOMS Of DOLLARS ----------------- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TRADE. Volume o f wholesale trade and o f sales at department stores increased in August and retail sales were larger than a year ago. Stocks o f dry goods and shoes carried by wholesale firms were smaller at the end o f August than last year, while those o f gro ceries and hardware were larger. Inventories o f department stores increased in preparation fo r autumn trade, but this increase was less than is usual at this season and at the end o f the month stocks were smaller than a year ago. Freight car loadings in August con tinued higher than in the corresponding months o f previous years and fo r the weeks o f August 28 and September 4 exceeded all previous weekly records. Loadings o f grain continued large and shipments o f merchandise in less-than-carload lots, miscellaneous commodities, ore and coke were conhiderably larger than in the corresponding period o f previous years. PRICES. Wholesale commodity prices, according to the index o f the Bureau o f Labor Statistics, declined over 1 per cent in August, reflecting largely price decreases fo r grains, livestock and meat products. Prices of clothing materials, fuels and metals in creased between July and August, while prices o f cotton, wool, sugar, building materials and rubber showed little change. In the first half o f September prices of grains, cattle, sugar, bituminous coal and coke advanced, while prices of raw cotton, silver and bricks declined. BANK CREDIT. Increased demand fo r bank credit in con nection with the harvesting and marketing of crops and autumn trade, together with an increase in loans on securities, was reflected in a considerable growth between the middle o f August and the middle o f September in loans of member banks in leading cities. The banks’ holdings o f investments also increased, though there was a decrease in investments at banks in New York City, and total loans and investments on September 15 were larger than at any previous time. The volume of reserve bank credit increased by about $90,000,000 between August 18 and September 22, partly in response to seasonal demands fo r currency. Discounts fo r member banks rose in September to the highest frgure fo r the year, and ac ceptance holdings also increased, while United States securities de clined by about $55,000,000. Money rates continued to rise in September. Rates on commercial paper advanced by one-fourth per cent to 4V 2-4% per cent, and rates on security loans also averaged higher than in August. 8