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101st Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
SEPTEMBER

1989

(Includes data available as of September 29, 1989)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1989

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member-Designate
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the second quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.1
percent (annual rate) or $88.6 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 2.5 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 4.6 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600

5,600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

5,200

5,200

^
4,800

_
4,800

^\
—'

—

—

GNP

4,400

IN CURRENT DC UARS

4,400

^

^

—

>1

4,000

—

\
S^
jT

^X'

^-'

—

\
\
GNP
IN 1982 DO LARS

x*"

c^~--^-cr- —

,_-~'~

___

3,600

—

4,000

^

3,<500

—

—1

3,200

3,200

—

-^~
2,800

2,400

2,800

1

1

1

\

1981

\

1 1 1

1

1 ! 1

1983

1982

1

1984

1

1

1985

1

1

1

1

1986

1

\

1

\

\

1988

1987

SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

2,400

1989

COUNCll OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
1984:
19851986:

...

Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

32.1
33.9
26.3
61
-58.9
-78.0
-97.4
-112.6
-73.7

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7

318.9
348.9
335.6
• 358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
561.2
621.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.8
83.3

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8

14.1
— 25.8
-67.9
-103.2
-108.9

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7

Gross
national
product

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases l

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
544.5
587.6

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,636.8
4,954.3

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

...
...

3,212.5
3,545 8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3

1987: HI
IV

...

4,566.6
4,665.8

3,055.9
3,083.3

692.8
749.7

-115.3
-114.6

458.0
482.6

573.4
597.2

933.2
947.5

384.5
388.1

300.2
296.8

84.3
91.3

548.7
559.4

4,557.1
4,602.5

4,681.9
4,780.4

4,739.8
4,838.5
4,926.9
5,017.3

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

-82.8
-74.9
-66.2
-70.8

521.6
532.5
556.8
579.7

604.3
607.5
623.0
650.5

945.7
960.1
958.6
1,011.4

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

297.4
298.0
296.1
300.5

76.7
79.1
71.4
105.9

571.6
583.0
591.0
604.9

4,709.8
4,809.2
4,882.3
4,998.7

4,822.5
4,913.4
4,993.1
5,088.1

5,113.1
5,201.7

3,381.4
3,444.1

769.6
775.0

54 0
-50.6

605.6
626.1

659.6
676.6

1,016.0
1,033.2

399.0
406.0

298.7
301.3

100.4
104.7

617.0
627.2

5,085.4
5,174.3

5,167.1
5,252.3

1988: I

n

ni
rv
1989- I r

n ....

1

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of
goods and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1

69
57.0
23.9
49.4
245
26.3
-6.4
19 9
62.3 -84.0
9.1 — 104.3
5.6 -129.7
23.7 -115.7
27.9 -74.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3

11.7
-59.3
27.0 -46.2
41.7 -94.8
7.7 -125.3
-20.8 -135.4

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9

1987- HI....

3,872.8
3,935.6

2,536.5
2,532.3

472.8
472.7

192.1
191.9

6.8 -118.9
56.6 -109.8

461.3
484.1

1988- I

n
m

3,974.8
4,010.7
4,042.7
4,069.4

2,570.8
2,586.8
2,608.1
2,627.7

483.6
497.8
501.0
492.7

189.1
194.2
195.1
198.1

34.3
21.5
37.5
18.3

-78.2
-72.6
-74.9
-73.8

n . ..

4,106.8
4,132.5

2,641.0
2,653.7

501.0
511.4

195.6
189.3

24.5
19.1

55 0
-51.2

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
19841985:
1986-

IV
IT
IV
IV
IV

rv

IV
1989- I r
1

Gross
national
product

Change
in
business
inventories

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

National
defense

Nondefense

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.2
261.5

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.4
67.4

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0

580.2
593.9

783.5
792.1

340.7
344.9

270.6
266.7

70.1
78.2

442.8
447.2

3,866.0
3,879.0

3,991.7
4,045.5

517.4
519.7
531.9
551.4

595.6
592.3
606.9
625.2

775.1
783.0
775.9
806.4

323.8
327.9
319.8
343.9

263.0
262.5
258.8
261.6

60.8
65.4
61.0
82.3

451.3
455.1
456.1
462.5

3,940.5
3,989.2
4,005.2
4,051.0

4,052.9
4,083.3
4,117.6
4,143.2

569.7
587.5

624.6
638.7

799.7
810.3

335.5
343.6

254.4
255.8

81.1
87.8

464.2
466.7

4,082.3
4,113.5

4,161.8
4,183.7

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Imports

Total
Total

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
tl982—100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

Gross
national
product

Total

Gross private
domestic investment

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
110.1

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
128.8

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0

117.9
118.6

120.5
121.8

108.8
109.0

112.8
113.7

129.8
131.5

96.7
97.0

117.8
118.7

99.3
99.7

98.8
100.6

112.8
112.5

110.9
111.3

120.3
116.8

123.9
125.1

1988- I

n
m
rv

119.2
120.6
121.9
123.3

122.5
123.9
125.1
126.5

109.3
109.6
110.2
111.2

114.0
115.9
117.1
118.2

132.7
134.2
135.6
137.3

97.7
97.8
98.4
100.6

119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4

100.8
102.5
104.7
105.1

101.5
102.6
102.7
104.0

115.5
115.0
114.9
118.2

113.1
113.5
114.4
114.9

126.2
121.0
117.1
128.7

126.7
128.1
129.6
130.8

1989- I
II r

124.5
125.9

128.0
129.8

111.2
110.8

120.0
123.3

139.0
140.4

100.4
100.2

122.1
124.2

106.3
106.6

105.6
105.9

118.9
118.2

117.4
117.8

123.8
119.2

132.9
134.4

19821983:
1984198519861S87-

..
..

IV
IV
IV..
IV
IV....
TTT
IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analyi




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

1988:

-0.2
1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
5.3
6.6
4.0
3.7
3.2
2.7
3.7
2.5

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
8.4
9.0
6.5
8.6
7.5
7.5
7.9
7.1

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987:

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

IV
IV
IT
IV
IV
in

rv
I
n
m

IV
1989- I r

u.

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.8
2.4
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.6

9.0
9.4

6.3
4.1
3.9
33
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.7
3.3
3.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
4.9

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
9.2
3.6
8.7
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.1
7.6

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
3.8
3.8
4.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.0

Implicit
price
deflator

-0.2
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4
5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
22
4.7
-.7
6.2
2.5
3.3
3.0
2.0
1.9

Chain price
index

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9
4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9
4.4
4.4
2.3
4.7
3.9
4.6
4.8
5.7

10.9
9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.1
4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9
4.4
4.3
2.6
5.0
4.3
4.8
4.7
5.8

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9
4.4
4.5
2.6
5.1
4.6
4.9
4.8
6.3

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) '

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
19831984:
19851986:
19871988:

TV
IV
IT
IV
IV
m
IV
I

n
ni
IV

1989:
1

I r

n

Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Indirect
business
taxes 3

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax 4

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1 540 8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,520.7
2,731.3
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.4
2,408.7
2,556.2
2,598.4
2,648.1
2,705.9
2,754.9
2,816.4

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,282.6
2,419.5
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,309.2
2,343.3
2,381.8
2,408.9
2,434.1
2,453.2

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.107
1.109
1.112
1.123
1.132
1.148

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.123
.122
.122
.122
.122
.124

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.107
.106
.106
.107
.108
.108

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.726
.734
.732
.740
.746
.756

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.048
.050
.050
.051
.053
.055

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.103
.098
.102
.103
.102
.105

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.044
.041
.041
.044
.044
.045

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.060
.057
.060
.059
.058
.061

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.908
21.446
18.770
19.423
19.783
20.117
20.646
21.090
21.192
21.418
21.453
21.528
21.506

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.252
15.947
12.865
13.209
13.735
14.342
15.005
15.319
15.546
15.672
15.871
16.068
16.259

2,842.7
2,887.2

2,459.1
2,471.3

1.156
1.168

.125
.126

.110
.111

.768
.778

.057
.060

.096
.093

.045
.041

.051
.053

21.411
21.398

16.449
16.665

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

4

Total

With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

lars.
2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
3
Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.




Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventoryvaluation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

1982
1983..
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3 312 8
3,473.1
3,694.8
3,799.9

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,709.8
2,778.7

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
33.6
48.4

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
271.6
280.3

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
11.5
14.3

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
313.0
308.2

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
261.5
255.8

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
281.0
276.2

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
— 1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-19.4
-20.4

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
51.5
52.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
355.3
370.0

n
in

IV

3,853.6
3,933.6
4,005.7
4,097.4

2.819.4
2,878.9
2,935.1
2,997.2

44.0
45.4
37.7
32.0

279.9
286.5
289.3
296.3

15.6
14.6
16.3
16.1

318.1
325.3
330.9
340.2

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

49.9
48.9
46.9
41.5

376.6
383.0
396.4
415.7

1989: I r
Tl

4,185.2
4,249.6

3,061.7
3,118.2

59.0
51.3

300.3
304.2

11.8
9.8

316.3
307.8

279.7
275.5

318.0
296.0

-38.3
-20.5

36.6
32.3

436.1
458.4

IV
IV
IV
IT
IV
IH
IY...

1988: I

1

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION

EXPENDITURES

[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods
Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

1982
1983..
1984
1985...
1986
1987
1988
1982: IY
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986: IV
1987: HI
IV .

2,050.7
2,234.5
2 430 5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,055.9
3,083.3

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
439.3
424.5

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
211.3
196.3

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.0
151.4

1988: I
II
III
IV

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

446.4
454.6
452.5
467.4

210.3
212.5
208.4
215.3

1989: I....
r

3,381.4
3,444.1

466.4
471.0

211.7
212.9

Period

n

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Totai
nondurable
goods

Food

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
77.0
76.7

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1.006.0
1,015.4

156.9
162.2
162.7
166.1

79.2
79.9
81.4
86.0

172.1
173.5

82.6
84.6

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
531.7
536.8

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
178.9
180.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.8
76.7

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
218.6
221.3

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,610.6
1,643.3

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
7.8
6.6

22
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.5
3.3

1,022.2
1,042.4
1,066.2
1,078.4

542.5
554.5
567.8
574.1

180.8
183.6
188.9
193.9

74.3
76.9
78.3
77.6

224.5
227.5
231.2
232.8

1,679.5
1,707.9
1,744.7
1,778.2

7.7
7.5
7.4
7.5

3.2
3.2
3.0
3.0

1,098.3
1,121.5

587.3
592.2

195.0
198.9

77.9
89.5

238.1
241.0

1,816.7
1,851.7

7.0
7.3

2.8
3.0

Other

Domestics

Imports

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $19.5 billion (annual rate) in August, following an increase of $29.2 billion in July. Wages
and salaries increased $9.2 billion in August, compared with an increase of $23.5 billion in July.
BILLIONS OF DOLIARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000 I
4,000

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

'"•
OTHER INCOME

800

800

TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

400

400

miiliim I l l l l l l l l l l
1981

1982

1985

1984

1983

1986

Illllllllll
1987

• SEASONAUY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

1988

1989

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Total
personal
income

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb.
Mar r

V

May r
July '.
Aug p

. ...

Wage and
salary
disbursements l

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5

1,372.0
1,510.3
1,586.1
1,676.6
1,838.6
1,975.4
2,094.8
2,249.4
2,429.0

4,094.2
4,118.6
4,180.4
4,168.9
4,206.3

2,447.7
2,465.6
2,497.1
2,501.6
2,516.7

4,273.1
4,319.5
4,360.7
4,387.1
4,396.3
4,417.5
4,446.7
4,466.2

2,545.4
2,557.3
2,579.4
2,601.3
2,603.5
2,621.7
2,645.2
2,654.4

Proprietors' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

138.4
150.3
163.6
173.6
182.9
187.6
199.3
212.8
228.9
231.1
232.9
234.7
236.5
238.2
239.7
241.3
242.9
244.4
246.0
247.5
249.1
250.7

Farm

Nonfarm

20.5
30.7
24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8

38.6
33.4
47.1
19.5
29.4
48.0
65.9
63.0
56.4
54.3
43.2
37.2
36.0

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2 Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
4
With capital consumption adjustment.




160.1
156.1
150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
288.5
290.9
295.8
295.7
297.4
299.6
300.6
300.8
304.6
303.5
304.6
307.1
308.6

Rental
income of
persons 4

6.6
13.3
13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
16.5
16.7
16.4
16.1
16.0
13.8
11.8
9.9
9.8
9.8
9.7
9.7
9.7

Personal
dividend
income

52.9
61.3
63.9
68.7
75.5
78.7
85.8
92.0
102.2
103.9
104.7
105.8
106.5
106.9
108.4
109.4
110.3
111.0
111.4
111.8
112.8
113.3

Personal
interest
income

271.9
335.4
369.7
393.1
444.7
478.0
493.2
523.2
571.1
576.0
583.0
590.8
598.6
606.4
616.5
628.9
641.5
648.4
655.2
661.8
668.2
674.4

Transfer
payments 5

324.7
368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.8
521.5
548.2
584.7
587.9
588.7
592.2
593.5
595.6

610.7
614.2
624.2
623.9
625.5
630.9
632.3
634.6

5

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
149.3
161.9
172.9
194.9
195.9
197.2
199.5
199.1
200.1
209.0
209.8
211.3
212.6
212.7
213.8
214.9
215.4

Nonfarm
personal
income 6

2,215.8
2,465.6
2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,271.3
3,469.4
3,714.7
4,003.7
4,034.6
4,064.1
4,112.3
4,128.4
4,155.9
4,204.0
4,232.4
4,276.5
4,309.4
4,320.5
4,352.6
4,387.7
4,408.4

Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income was about unchanged in the second quarter of 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

,800

1,400

1,400

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

16,000

16,000

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME
14,000

- CURRENT DOLLARS

14,000

12,000

12,000

10,000

10,000
1982 DOLLARS

8,000

8,000

I

6,000
1981

1982

1983

I
1984

I

I I
1985

6,000
1986

1987

1988

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Personal
income

Less:
Personal
tax and
nontax
payments

Disposable
personal
ineome

Less:
Personal
outlays l

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in
1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

Billions of dollars
1980

1981
1982
1983
1984.
1985
1986....
1987
1988

2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.7
586.6

1,918.0
2,127.6
2,261.4
2,428.1
2,668.6
2,838.7
3,013.3
3,205.9
3,477.8

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures
Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars
1,781.1
1,968.1
2,107.5
2,297.4
2,504.5
2,713.3
2,888.5
3,104.1
3,333.1

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
101.8
144.7

2,214.3

2,248.6
2^261.5
2,331.9
2,469.8
2,542.8
2,635.3
2,676.6
2,793.2

8,421
9,243
9,724
10,340
11,257
11,861
12,469
13,140
14,116

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
ineome

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

7,607
8,320
8,818
9,515
10,253
10,985
11,576
12,340
13,131

8,783
8,794
8,818
9,139
9,489
9,839
10,123
10,303
10,546

— 1.1

7.1

9,769
9,724
9,930
10,419
10,625
10,905
10,970
11,337

.5
2.1
4.9
2.0
2.6
.6
3.3

7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
3.2
4.2

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,322
241,660
243,985
246,378

9,722

— .5

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579

1987: m....
IV

3,795.5
3,908.7

572.0
589.2

3,223.5
3,319.4

3,149.9
3,177.6

73.6
141.8

2,675.6
2,726.2

13,196
13,552

10,953
11,130

12,510
12,588

10,384
10,339

5.6
6.6

2.3
4.3

244,274
244,936

1988: I
II

3,948.5
4,026.6
4,097.6
4,185.2

572.2
590.7
585.9
597.8

3,376.4
3,435.9
3,511.7
3,587.4

3,244.4
3,301.9
3,362.1
3,424.0

131.9
134.0
149.6
163.4

2,757.2
2,773.3
2,806.4
2,835.9

13,754
13,966
14,235
14,504

11,232
11,273
11,377
11,466

12,824
13,028
13,229
13,439

10,473
10,515
10,573
10,624

3.7
1.5
3.7
3.2

3.9
3.9
4.3
4.6

245,476
246,008
246,685
247,343

4,317.8
4,400.3

628.3
652.6

3,689.5
3,747.7

3,483.8
3,547.0

205.7
200.7

2,881.7
2,887.6

14,884
15,084

11,625
11,622

13,641
13,862

10,654
10,681

5.7

5.6
5.4

247,890
248,456

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

m....

IV

1989: I r

n ....

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.




i

Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the second quarter of 1989, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $5.8 billion (annual rate)
and net farm income rose $5.5 billion. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

240
200

240
200

r

,*~"

160

rrnr-

—
"—• '

'

120

_——-—'

-

160
120

GKl5SS FARM INC OMb

80
^^'

60

60

^
40

/\

*

/\

x

20

'

~\
\
i
\
\
i

^•*

»
/ \
'
'
/

t
«

.

I
t

I
\ /'
»
20

NET FARM INCOME

I

i \ /'
I \«

|

10

'
/**'*

J

'

—'

•• X

1
/

.'•

1

*

1

'

\*

10

*

\
\l

1 1 1
198)

1

1

1

1

1982

1 1
1983

I

1 1
1984

1

1

1 1
1983

1
1986

1

I I I

1987

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAl RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

1

1 1
1988

1

1 1
1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total

1

Total

1980
1981 . .
1982
1983

.

1984
1985 r
1986 r
1987 r
1988 r
1986: UJ r
IV
1987- I r'
n ...
r

mr

IV ..
1988: I *r
n ...
r

mr
rv ..

1989: I '

n"...

149.3
166.4
163.5
153.0
174.9
166.4
160.4
171.6
177.6
156.2
164.2
170.5
172.4
167.6
175.6
174.7
182.0
175.0
178.6
197.7
203.5

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.6
142.4
144.1
135.5
139.5
151.5
135.7
139.3
131.3
143.8
144.8
138.1
144.4
148.8
160.4
152.2
152.7
168.9

Livestock and
products

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
75.7
78.9
76.2
74.2
72.8
76.4
77.8
75.8
81.8
75.3
78.3
80.3
83.0
80.5

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other /arm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
z
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
64.0
63.8
72.6
59.5
65.1
58.6
67.4
66.9
62.2
62.6
73.5
82.1
71.9
69.7
88.4
3

Value of
inventory
changes 2

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
109
6.3
24
-2.7
— .4
43

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.4
124.5
132.0

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.2
32.3
38.0
47.0
45.6

22
-1.8
1
.3
2
-1.7

121.1
120.7

35.1
43.5
49.2
47.2
41.5
49.9
47.5
52.3
39.8
42.9
63.4
68.9

40
-4.4
47
-4.1

121.3
125.1
126.0
125.6
127.2
129.7
135.2
135.7

6.7
5.9

134.3
134.6

1982 dollars 3

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8
28.6
23.5
12.2
29.9
29.1
33.4
40.0
37.7
30.7
37.8
42.4
40.3
35.3
42.0
39.8
43.3
32.7
34.8
50.9
54.7

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the second quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $22.0 billion
(annual rate) and after-tax profits fell $12.5 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360

J6U

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320

320

\

/^

280

280

240

200

/~~\

v

^

120

80

240

200

^

^~ —"~ "...
160

s

^_ s"

~~\
\

/

^/

y

\
160

.

^0

f

\

"

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

•

-N

PR DFITS AFTER T, VX
.-"

,''' ^-~.,_

f

-X
120

s

\

s —'* '~^^

'^ r _

<~<r~

80

TAX LIABILITY

^

40

*"\

"'/'

\

"X

UNDISTI IBUTED PROFI'

i i i

1

1

1

1982

1981

\

\ \

1

1

1

1

1984

1983

1

s*

1

"'
I 1 1
1986

1985

1

1

1 1
1987

1

1

40

1 1 1

0

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Period

Nonfinancial
Total 2
Total

Financial

Total 3

Manufacturing

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Profits
before tax

Tax
liability

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

1980
1981 .
1982
1983
1984
1985.. .
1986
1987.. ..
1988

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
208.7
238.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5

-43.1
24 2
-10.4
109
-5.8
17
6.7
18 9
-25.0

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4

13 4
-8.1
16
-6.6
80

1987:

HI .
IV

261.5
255.8

222.6
211.8

30.2
29.9

192.4
181.9

87.3
84.5

43.2
41.2

281.0
276.2

132.7
127.3

148.3
148.9

100.0
102.8

48.3
46.1

-19.4
-20.4

1988:

I
II

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

225.7
235.8
239.0
252.2

27.7
29 7
31.6
30.1

198.0
206.1
207.3
222.1

94.6
98.2
95.1
105.5

42.2
37.3
39.2
41.8

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

129.0
138.4
141.2
143.2

159.9
166.9
173.2
175.6

105.7
108.6
112.2
115.2

54.2
58.3
61.1
60.4

20 7
-28.8
304
-20.1

279.7
275.5

233.1
231.8

29.3
28.6

203.9
203.2

96.5
90.3

34.1
36.9

318.0
296.0

144.4
134.9

173.6
161.1

118.5
120.9

55.1
40.2

-38.3
-20.5

m. .
IV

1989- I r

n

1
2

See p. 4 for profits with inventor}' valuation and capita! consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the second quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment rose $9.4 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $3.7 billion. There was a $27.4 billion increase in inventories, following
an increase of $27.7 billion in the first quarter of 1989.
BILLIC NS OF DOLLARS
900

BILLIONS OF DOLL ARS
900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

800
-

^~"

"~

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC

/"*

INVFSTAAPMT

700

r^~"

r~>V/i

/

700

~^1

—

^—1

600

/

~__-\

-

^N/

400

--..

— '"'

-

NONRESIDENTIA 1
Fl>CED INVESTME^•IT

500

600

---••

,---'

500
• •*

-

400

^,'~

^1

—

RESIDENTIAL
Fl> ED INVESTMEh

300

300

~

-

_,~--~

200

200

.'

-

~— '— —.

100

CHA NGE IN BUSIS ESS
INVENTORIES
/X

~\

,''

0
1

-100

|
1981

1

1

1
1982

1

1

1

1

1983

1

|

I

-X ..
1 1 1
1985

1984

100
/N

,V

—

"

'"•-*..

0

1

I 1
1986

1

1

1

1987

1

1

1

1988

1

1

1

-100

1989

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

OURCE-. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

Gross
private
domestic
investment

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
TJ3
IV
1988: I

n
in

IV
1989: I r

n

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3
409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
692.8
749.7
728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8
769.6
775.0

Nonresidential
Total
Total

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
670.6
719.6
469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9
683.2
686.3
698.7
719.1
726.5
734.1
742.0
747.6

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.3
487.2
354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8
457.0
458.6
472.7
487.1
493.2
495.8
503.1
512.5

Structures

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.8
140.3
' 137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7
137.3
138.9
137.1
139.9
142.0
142.5
144.7
142.4

Producers'
durable
equipment

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
310.5
346.8
217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2
319.8
319.7
335.6
347.2
351.3
353.3
358.5
370.1

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.4
232.4
114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1
226.2
227.7
226.1
232.1
233.2
238.4
238.8
235.1

Total

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
71

67.7
11.3
6.9
29.3
30.6
-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-12.2
9.5
63.3
30.0
29.3
44.6
18.7
27,7
27.4

Nonfarm

-2.4
18.3
— 23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
30.5
34.2
-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
-8.0
14.0
61.3
24.2
30.4
41.5
40.8
19.1
23.6

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department July-August survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 10.0 percent in 1989, following a rise of 10.5 percent in 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

500

500

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

400

400

300

300

NONMANUFACTURING -^

200

200

MANUFACTURING

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40

1981

1983

1982

1985

1984

1987

1986

1988

J/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
_!/ SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total 1

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commereial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business 2

.
Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985..
1986
1987
1988 '
1989 "...

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.61
430.76
473.65

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
181.90

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
11.01
78.30
82.23

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
14.88
88.01
99.67

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.18
264.44
291.75

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.66
12.22

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.34
24.75

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.67
50.76

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.76
204.02

1987: TJI r
IV.

393.05
403.96

147.58
151.36

71.67
72.22

75.91
79.14

245.47
252.60

11.80
12.28

19.02
19.30

45.09
45.75

169.56
175.28

147.58
151.36

245.47
252.60

1988- I '
II '

413.34
427.54
435.61
442.11

157.97
162.62
168.76
173.32

75.28
77.38
79.15
80.56

82.69
85.24
89.62
92.76

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

12.61
13.15
12.53
12.38

20.35
20.95
22.02
22.04

45.05
45.60
46.69
48.73

177.37
185.21
185.61
185.65

157.97
162.62
168.76
173 32

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

1989: I r
II r 4

459.47
470.86
481.24
483.04

175.22
181.53
185.41
185.44

81.26
82.97
82.51
82.17

93.96
98.57
102.90
103.27

284.24
289.33
295.82
297.60

12.15
12.70
12.34
11.70

23.13
24.26
25.76
25.85

50.81
52.01
50.54
49.69

198.15
200.36
207.18
210.36

175.22
181.53
185.41
185.44

284.24
289.33
295.82
297.60

lllr
IV.

ni 4
IT

1

Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.
3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical sen-ices; professional services;

10



314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
483.48

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
181.90

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
317.17

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
291.75

Surveyed
annualIy3

31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in July-August 1989, corrected for biases.
Note,—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1986.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In August, civilian employment rose 138,000 and unemployment fell 76,000.
MILLKDNS OF PERSONS*
126

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
126

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

r^~
122

122

r^^

LABOR FORCE

118

ru>i

""**
118

.— —

'

-^

114
110

r~/^~~

^>^-~s~- —"

— -••

.-~--.~x
98

•.

^

^"""**"

•^»*~ s

114

^s"'

106
?02

-s~-f

*

110

— **""

-'-\'~

106

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

102

\

98
•V
\.
^

** ^
^

— 12

12
8

^^

.

•""

^'

4

1 1 1 1 1 1 ii 1 11

0
1982

1981

—

8

s.

\
1
INEMPLOYMEh T

1983

- 4

II III 1 II 1 II

it 1 11 1 it 1 1 1
1984

1985

1987

1986

0
1989

1988

'16YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986*
1987
1988
1988:
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709

113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378

186,522
186,666
186,801
186,949
187,098

1,692
1,704
1,687
1,705
1,696

187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854
187,995
188,149
188,286

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673
1,666
1,666
1,688

108,544
110,315
111,872

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

Agricultural

Total

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons *

Total

Civilian

15
weeks
and
over

Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0

2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610

64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9

59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169

95,938
97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800

5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965

10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

122,000
121,984
122,091
122,510
122,563

115,203
115,370
115,573
115,947
116,009

3,142
3,176
3,238
3,238
3,193

112,061
112,194
112,335
112,709
112,816

4,972
4,862
4,727
4,819
5,033

6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

1,636
1,568
1,554
1,502
1,495

66.0
66.0
66.0
66.1
66.1

62.3
62.4
62.4
62.6
62.6

123,428
123,181
123,264
123,659
123,610
124,102
123,956
124,018

116,711
116,853
117,136
117,113
117,215
117,541
117,459
117,597

3,300
3,223
3,206
3,104
3,112
3,096
3,219
3,307

113,411
113,630
113,930
114,009
114,102
114,445
114,240
114,290

4,837
4,697
4,709
4,930
4,609
4,801
4,505
4,553

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561
6,497
6,421

1,512
1,304
1,310
1,426
1,313
1,258
1,472
1,305

66.5
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4
66.6
66.5
66.5

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.1
63.0
63.0

106,940
108,670
110,204

99,303
100,397
99,526

106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677

111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669

123,692
123,688
123,778
124,215
124,259

116,895
117,074
117,260
117,652
117,705

125,124
124,865
124,948.
125,343
125,283
125,768
125,622
125,706

118,407
118,537
118,820
118,797
118,888
119,207
119,125
119,285

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) is percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unemployment

Civilian employment
Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

4,064
4,499
5,852

7,637
8,273

59.2

'Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
estimation procedures.
SollrCK Department of Lobor] Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In August, the overall unemployment rate fell slightly, to 5.1 percent, and the civilian unemployment rate was
unchanged, at 5.2 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20

15

Vv¥
A-

15

^

TEENAGERS
(16-19)

10

10

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

-T

MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

1985

1985

1987

1986

1989

1988

•UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1980.
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986 ..
1987
1988 ...

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5

7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4

By sex and age
All
civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

5.9
6.3

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4

5.5

8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2

By selected groups

By race
Both
sexes
16-19
years

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Black
and
other

Black

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4

14.3
15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7

6.9
7.3

18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7

White

9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

Married
men,
spouse
present

4.2
4.3
6.5

6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1

6.9
7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6

9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

7.9

8.5

11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3

1988: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

5.5
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

5.6
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3

4.9
4.6
4.6
4.8
4.7

4.8
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.7

15.4
15.5
15.0
14.1
14.8

4.9
4.7
4.6
4.6
4.6

10.0
9.5
9.8
10.0
10.0

11.4
10.9
11.2
11.2
11.6

5.3
5.1
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.4
3.1
3.1
3.3
3.1

7.5
8.1
7.9
7.7
8.2

5.3
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.1

7.4
7.4
7.4
7.1
7.0

6.4
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.3

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....
July
Aug

5.4
5.1
4.9
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.2
5.1

5.4
5.1
5.0
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.2

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3
4.3
4.3
4.4

4.7
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
4.7

16.4
14.8
13.7
14.4
15.2
15.6
14.7
14.5

4.6
4.3
4.2
4.6
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.5

10.6
10.6
9.8
9.6
9.5
10.3
9.6
9.5

12.0
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
11.9
10.9
11.1

5.2
4.8
4.7
5.1
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.1
3.1
2.9
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.9
3.1

8.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
8.3
7.9
8.7
8.0

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.9
4.9

7.9
7.3
6.2
7.2
6.9
7.7
7.2
6.9

6.2
5.9
5.8
6.0
5.9
6.1
6.0
5.9

1
2

Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
Aggregate hours tost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as per-

12



cent of potentially available lafcor force hours.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In August, the percentage of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks was unchanged, the
percentage for 5-14 weeks rose, and the percentages for 15-26 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell. Both the
mean and the median duration of unemployment fell.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT
60

- 50
JOB LOSERS

40

REENTRANTS

- 30

*. ..-»A\.'

20

20
JOB LEAVERS

10

-

10
NEW ENTRANTS

linn
1989

1985

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment
Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

State
programs

Number of
weeks
27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) '

Weekly average, thousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,056

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125

1988- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

46.8
47.4
47.4
47.6
46.2

29.0
28.8
28.5
29.5
31.1

12.3
11.8
12.2
12.0
11.5

11.9
12.1
11.9
10.9
11.2

13.5
13.5
13.4
12.6
12.8

5.9
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.8

46.2
46.7
45.9
46.2
46.5

14.6
14.9
15.3
14.7
15.1

27.3
26.8
27.2
26.9
26.2

11.9
11.5
11.6
12.2
12.1

2,069
2,025
1,972
1,989
2,032

305
293
296
301
309

1,914
1,734
1,677
1,857
2,205

1989: Jan
Peb ..
Mar

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561
6,497
6,421

47.0
50.6
49.4
47.2
47.7
50.4
48.1
48.1

30.7
29.1
29.4
31.1
31.7
30.4
29.4
31.5

11.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
11.0
10.0
12.9
11.5

11.1
10.0
10.7
11.3
9.6
9.1
9.6
8.9

12.7
12.1
12.4
12.7
11.8
11.1
12.0
11.3

5.7
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.5
5.6
5.0

46.4
45.2
46.0
45.7
42.7
42.0
44.3
46.5

14.7
15.5
14.4
15.0
17.5
15.5
15.3
16.2

27.3
27.3
28.1
29.0
29.1
31.2
29.4
27.5

11.6
12.0
11.6
10.3
10.7
11.3
11.0
9.8

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063
2,134
2,216
2,177

293
309
323
300
317
335
339
319

2,685
2,695
2,567
2,221
1,960
1,941
2,174

May
T 3

July

.. . .

1
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




Source: Department of Labor (Bun lu of Ijabor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 110,000 in August. The size of the
increase was held down by a net loss of 108,000 workers from payrolls due to labor-management disputes.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
110
.—
100

_

•

'

26

,^

SERVICES

r^rTl
ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

—

VI

24

—

90

,-•-'''"

—

-"""

22
80 -

—

—

—

20
70

f ETAIL TRADE

—

SEI VICE-PRODL CING
INDUSTRIE 5

18

60

—

^—^

AAAKI

-

40 -

—

30

18
Illllllllll

-

iniiiiiiii iiiiiliini

mill

mill, Milk

Y

—

r~\—1

I*
1
NSTRUCTO

4

1987

•—

1r^

•—

\

1986

UFACTURINC

6

iniitliiin

minium iiiiiliiiii iiiiiliini iiiiiliini iimliinlj
1985

'

__

1

"

y
GOC5DS-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

~~~~~-

,

mill fun miiliiiiilmnliiiii iimlimik1

If
20

50

20

_—•—"

__

\2c-—\
GOVERNMEh'n

1988

f

1989

1985

M.lllMII,

Illllllllll

1986

1

1987

SEASONALLY ADJ USTED
OURCE: DEPARTM ENT OF LABOR

1988

Illiil.MlIf
1989

COUNCIL OF ECGNOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted]

Goods-producing industries
; 3
Penod

Total
nonagricultural
employment

Service-producing industries

Manufacturing

Total 2

ConTotal

D

hi
,
goo s

Nondurable
goods

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

-p
Ketail..
trade

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Government

Services
Total

Federal

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,584

25,658
25,497
23313
23*334
24,727
24)859
24,558
24)708
25,249

1988: Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov....
Dec

105,954
106,207
106,475
106,824
107,097

25,303
25,313
25,384
25,460
25,513

5,153
5,163
5,162
5,191
5,213

19,425
19,431
19,505
19,557
19,589

11,462
11,464
11,509
11,545
11,565

7,963
7,967
7,996
8,012
8,024

80,651
80,894
81,091
81,364
81,584

5,572
5,581
5,596
5,616
5,634

6,051
6,071
6,086
6,104
6,125

19,182
19,188
19,229
19,282
19,328

6,686
6,695
6,710
6,726
6,744

25,784
25,888
25,986
26,111
26,230

17,376
17,471
17,484
17,525
17,523

2,967
2,985
2,986
2,983
2,981

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May....
June rr.
July ..
Aug p..

107,442
107,711
107,888
108,101
108,310
108,607
108,791
108,901

25,626
25,629
25,646
25,671
25,672
25,648
25,683
25,724

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,279
5,283
5,283
5,317
5,325

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,672
19,667
19,650
19,659
19,670

11,605
11,594
11,604
11,600
11,594
11,567
11,554
11,567

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,072
8,073
8,083
8,105
8,103

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,638
82,959
83,108
83,177

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,700
5,716
5,741
5,619

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,206
6,222
6,230
6,240
6,246

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,489
19,528
19,551
19,582
19,601

6,746
6,763
6,774
6,776
6,790
6,808
6,812
6,836

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,651
26,711
26,931
26,972
27,057

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,626
17,687
17,723
17,761
17,818

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,982
2,999
2,995
2,999
3,004

1980. .
1981
1982 .

90,406
91,156
89)566

is',181
18)434
19,378
19)260
18,965
19^024
19,403

12,187
12,109
11,039
10)732
11,505
11,490
11,230
11,194
11,437

8,098
8,061
7,741
7)702

7,873
7)770
7,734
7)830
7,967

65,659
65,753
60)866
69,769
72,660
74,967
77,492
80,335

4,346
4,188
3)905
3,948
4,383
4)673
4,816
4*. 967
5,125

20,285
20,170

1
Includes ail full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-emploved persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



64,748

15,035

5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,283
6,547
6 676

17,890
18,619
19,036
19)694
20,797
22)000
23,053
24)286
25,600

16,241
16,031
15,837
15)869
16,024
16)394
16,693
17,010
17,372

2,866
2,772
2)739
2)774
2,807
2)875
2,899
2)943
2,971

15 189

5,160
5 298

5,082
4)954
5,159
5)288
5,255
5)372
5,548

5,275
5 358
5,278
5,268
5,555
5,717
5,753
5,844
6,029

15,179
15,613
16,545
17,356
17,930
18,483
19 110

5,146
5,165

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or noiisupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Total
private
nonagrieultural ]

Period

Total

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6
34.6
34.8
34.6

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July ".....
Aug".

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0
41.1
41.2
41.2
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.3
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.9

Total
private
nonagricultura! 1

Overtime

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8

Manufacturing

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.21
10.25
10.29
10.30
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.42
10.45
10.49
10.53

$6.66

7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.32
9.37
9.43
9.42
9.45
9.49
9.52
9.54
9.61
9.60
9.62
9.70
9.69

3

1

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1977 = 100 base).
2

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural *

Manufacturing

Current
dollars

1977
dollars 2

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
322.47
325.14
328.16
326.87
327.92
330.25
329.39
331.04
335.39
332.16
332.85
337.56
335.27

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
166.82
167.68
168.55
167.28
167.39
167.55
166.44
166.44
167.53
165.01
165.10
167.03
165.89

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
418.61
421.28
423.95
424.36
422.71
424.56
426.21
426.40
429.52
427.22
428.45
430.09
430.68

$367.78

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
183.57
185.08
186.30
185.60
187.11
187.40
186.41
186.98
189.44
187.56
188.43
190.97
189.58

399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
492.53
494.05
499.66
503.04
497.07
496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
494.17
498.17
511.30
508.64

Current
dollars

6.9
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
2.8
4.2
4.1
3.3
3.9
4.2
3.5
4.1
4.5
3.3
3.5
4.2
3.9

1977
dollars

-5.8
-1.5
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
-1.0
-.9
-1.2
.0
-.1
-.9
-.5
3
-1.2
-.8
.7
-2.0
1.6
-.9
-.7

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent ch ange from

Index (June 1981 = 100)

1I months earlk r

3 months earlie r

Period

1980:
19811982:
19831984:
19851986:
19871988-

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

94.7

954
103 8
1103
115 8
120.6

Dec
Dec....
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1040
110.7
1170
122.7
1275
131.6
1360
142 6

1986- Mar....
June
Sept...
Dec

1289
129.0
130 8
131.6

1987- Mar
June
Sept
Dec

132 9
133 8
135 1
1360

1988:

1989:

Mar
June...
Sept
Dec
Mar

.

....

138.1
139 8
141.2
142.6
144.4
146 1

1256
129.5
133 8
139 3
126 8
1299
128 8
1295
130 8
131 7
133 0
133.8
135.1
1366
137.9
139 3
140.8
142 2

Benefits

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

93.0
1043
111.7
120.0
127.9
1324
136.9
141 7
151 3

2.1
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
.6
.6
7
10

2.0
1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.5

1342
134.8
136 1
136.9

1l
8
7
.6

1.0
.9
.7
.5

138 1
139.3
1403
141.7

10
7
10

10

146.1
148.2
149.7
151.3

1.5
12
1.0
10

.7
1.0
.6
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0

154.0
156.5

1.3
12

1.1
1.0

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




J

Benefits 1

.6

10

Total
compensation

2.2
2.3

1.5
1.3
1.4

.5
.6
1.0
1.1
1.4
.4
1.0
.6
.9
.9
.7
1.0
3.1
1.4
1.0
1.1
1.8
1.6

9.8
9.8
6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.9

Wages and
salaries

9.0
8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1

Benefits '

3.1
3.3
4.1

11.8
12.2
7.1
7.4
6.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
6.8

3.8
3.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
3,0
3.3
3.3
3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9

3.9
3.7
3.1
3.1

3.2
3.5
3.3
3.4

3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3

2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5

3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1

5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8

4.6
4.5

4.2
4.1

5.4
5.6

4.1

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output

Business
sector

1

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of all
persons z

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.4
101.0
100.2
102.6
105.2

99.0
100.0
99.1
102.0
104.2

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.3
107.9
105.3
107.2
113.3

107.8
108.5
105.9
108.0
114.4

131.8
144.1
154.9
160.8
167.4

131.6
144.0
154.7
160.8
167.2

97.0
96.1
97.3
97.8
97.6

96.7
96.0
97.1
97.8
97.5

132.6
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.1
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

1985
1986. .
1987
1988

107.3
109.8
111.1
113.1

105.6
107.7
108.9
111.2

124.2
128.0
133.4
140.0

123.9
127.6
133.1
140.3

115.7
116.6
120.1
123.8

117.4
118.4
122.2
126.2

174.8
183.8
191.0
200.4

174.0
182.9
189.8
198.9

98.4
101.7
101.9
102.7

98.0
101.1
101.2
101.9

162.8
167.5
171.9
177.2

164.9
169.8
174.2
178.8

162.2
165.6
170.0
174.9

163.8
167.6
172.0
176.5

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
IV

100.9
103.5
105.7
108.4

99.5
103.0
106.2

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5

104.1
109.7
114.3
116.2

104.7
110.8
115.5
118.1

158.2
163.2
169.9
178.6

158.0
162.9
169.6
177.5

97.9
97.8
97.8
99.3

97.8
97.6
97.6
98.7

156.8
157.7
160.7
164.9

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5

1986:

HI
IV

109.6
109.8

107.5
107.6

127.7
128.9

127.2
128.4

116.5
117.4

118.3
119.3

185.1
187.4

184.1
186.4

102.2
102.8

101.7
102.2

168.9
170.6

171.2
173.2

166.7
167.1

168.8
169.2

109.9
110.7
111.7
112.5

107.7
108.6
109.5
110.3

130.4
132.2
134.4
136.7

130.0
132.0
134.1
136.4

118.6
119.5
120.3
121.5

120.7
121.6
122.4
123.7

188.2
189.5
191.8
195.2

187.0
188.3
190.5
193.9

101.9
101.4
101.7
102.6

101.3
100.7
101.0
101.9

171.2
171.3
171.6
173.5

173.6
173.4
173.9
175.8

168.2
169.6
170.7
171.3

170.3
171.4
172.6
173.4

113.3
2.7
113.6
113.6

111.1
110.7
111.6
112.1

138.2
139.3
140.7
141.9

138.0
139.5
141.1
142.8

122.0
123.6
123.9
124.9

124.3
126.1
126.4
127.3

196.5
199.3

195.1
197.8

202.2
204.8

200.5
203.3

102.3
102.7
102.9
103.1

101.6
101.9
102.1
102.4

173.5
176.9
178.1
180.2

175.7
178.7
179.6
181.3

171.9
174.1
175.8
177.9

173.8
175.6
177.0
179.6

113.9
114.3

111.8
112.0

143.6
144.2

143.6
144.5

126.0
126.2

128.5
129.0

207.2

205.7
208.6

103.0
103.1

102.3
102.1

181.9
184.3

184.1
186.3

179.4
181.4

180.8
182.8

1987: I

n
m
IV

1988- I

n.
m
IV

1989: I r

n.

104.5.

210.6

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

-0.3
1.5
7
2.4
2.6

-0.4
1.1
-.9
3.0
2.1

11
2.1
31
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.6
-2.4
1.8
5.7

07
.6
-2.4
2.0
6.0

10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9

-2.6
-.9
1.2
.6
o

-2.6
-.7
1.1
.7
-.4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

1985
1986
1987
1988

2.0
2.3
1.2
1.8

1.3
2.0
1.1
2.1

4.2
3.1
4.2
4.9

3.9
3.0
4.4
5.4

2.2
.8
3.0
3.1

2.6
.9
3.2
3.2

4.4
5.2
3.9
4.9

4.1
5.1
3.7
4.8

.8
3.3
.2
.8

.5
3.2
.1
.7

2.3
2.8
2.6
3.1

2.8
3.0
2.6
2.7

2.5
2.1
2.6
2.9

3.0
2.3
2.6
2.7

IV
IV
IV
IV

2.6
3.3
1.5
1.5

2.0
1.6
.9
.8

-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5

-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.1

-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.7

4.1
5.7
3.5
6.3

4.6
4.4
3.5
5.8

2.8
1.6
.0
2.1

3.3
.3
.0
1.6

1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8

2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1

1986: HI
IV

-1.6
.8

-1.7
.3

.8
4.0

.7
3.7

2.5
3.2

2.5
3.4

4.6
5.0

4.6
5.0

2.2
2.1

2.2
2.1

6.4
4.2

6.5
4.7

4.9
1.0

5.1
1.0

.5
2.6
3.9
2.9

.4
3.3
3.6
2.7

4.7
5.6
6.7
7.1

5.2
6.1
6.6
7.0

4.3
2.9
2.7
4.1

4.8
2.8
2.9
4.2

1.9
2.7
4.8
7.4

1.4
2.7
4.8
7.3

-3.3
-2.0
1.1
3.6

-3.8
-2.1
1.1
3.5

1.4
.1
.9
4.3

1.0
-.6
1.2
4.5

2.5
3.4
2.6
1.4

2.8
2.5
3.0
1.7

2.7
-2.0
3.1
.2

3.0
-1.5
3.4
1.9

4.4
3.3
4.0
3.4

4.8
4.4
4.6
4.8

1.7
5.4
.9
3.2

1.8
5.9
1.2
2.8

2.8
5.9
5.8
5.2

2.7
5.5
5.5
5.9

-.8
1.3
1.0
.7

-.9
.9
.8
1.4

.1
8.1
2.6
5.0

-.3
7.1
2.0
3.9

1.5
5.1
4.1
4.8

1.0
4.3
3.2
5.9

1.0
1.3

-1.3
.7

4.8
1.9

2.4
2.4

3.8
.6

3.8
1.7

4.8
6.8

4.8
5.6

-.6
.4

-.6
1

3.7
5.5

6.2
4.9

3.3
4.6

2.8
4.5

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

1987: I

n
m
IV

1988:

I

n
m
IV

1989: I
II '.

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
* Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at th'
work site rather than hours paid.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose in August, and capacity utilization was unchanged.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
160

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

FINAL PRODUCTS

DEFENSE AND
SPACE
EQUIPMENT

220
140
200
180

120

.X*

^-V

"

^'"

BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT

160
Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

100

Illllllllll

160
140

"*^~"

720

NONDURABLE
120
100

^—

r^
.»— ^"~*'

_--*^^

Illllllllll

lllttllllll

'
\"'
CONSUMER
GOODS

iiiniiiiii iiiniiiiii

Illllllllll

PERCENT*
100
CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
" (TOTAL INDUSTRY)
90

ill i l i u m i i i i i l i i i i i i i i n i i i i i i

100

-^

140

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

r

r

,__r

140

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION

~

120
,

80

X^

!• ' II

=.

*^~~

^-^-1

-

100

70
llllll|llll

1985

1985

1989

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986
1987

•SEA5ONAUY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Illllllllll

1988

Illllllllll
1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Total
industrial
production
Period
Index,
1977 = 100

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988: Aug .
Sept

Oct.
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May r.
June r.
July r
Aug p
1

Output as percent of capacity.




Capacity utilization
rate, percent *

Industry production indexes, 1977—100
Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

-1.9
2.2
-7.1
5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7

84.21
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7

49.10
109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9

35.11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.8
143.9

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4

5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3

80.9
70.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5

138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

5.5
5.7
5.2
5.1
4.9

144.0
144.4
145.3
145.8
146.3

143.2
143.8
144.6
145.2
145.7

145.1
145.3
146.3
146.7
147.1

103.8
103.7
103.1
104.7
104.9

117.8
113.0
113.9
113.7
115.4

83.8
83.7
84.0
84.1
84.3

84.0
84.0
84.3
84.4
84.4

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.7
141.6
141.9
142.0
142.4

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.7
4.1
4.0
2.9
2.8

147.2
146.8
147.0
148.0
148.1
148.6
148.6
148.9

146.2
145.9
145.8
146.9
147.1
147.3
146.9
147.5

148.5
148.1
148.6
149.6
149.5
150.4
150.9
150.9

103.0
100.9
101.5
102.4
102.0
101.2
101.5
103.9

114.0
116.5
117.5
117.1
115.6
114.0
115.0
113.9

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.2
84.0
83.9
83.8
83.8

84.7
84.3
84.1
84.5
84.3
84.3
84.1
84.0

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Equipment

Consumer goods
Period
Total
Total

1

Total *

Business

Business
supplies

Energy

25.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5

43.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
101.5

Dec

145.8
145.8
146.4
146.8
147.7

135.0
134.8
136.4
136.8
138.2

125.7
126.3
129.3
129.2
131.9

138.5
138.0
139.0
139.7
140.5

160.1
160.4
159.7
159.9
160.4

160.2
160.8
160.2
161.2
162.6

184.9
184.5
184.0
182.2
180.5

152.3
152.9
154.0
154.2
155.0

138.1
138.4
140.0
140.7
141.4

164.4
165.2
165.9
165.7
166.7

126.5
126.5
127.5
128.3
128.3

103.2
101.5
101.3
102.3
102.6

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May r
June r
July T
Aug p

148.2
148.6
1489
150.2
150.4
150.9
150.4
150.8

138.5
138.7
138.4
139.5
139.2
139.6
138.9
139.0

131.5
131.6
130.1
132.2
131.2
130.8
128.0
129.6

141.1
141.4
141.4
142.2
142.1
142.9
142.9
142.5

161.1
161.6
162.8
164.3
165.4
165.9
165.7
166.4

163.8
165.0
166.3
167.8
169.1
169.4
168.9
169.9

180.0
179.3
178.7
179.9
180.7
181.1
181.7
181.2

156.6
155.1
156.1
156.5
156.3
157.0
157.3
157.6

142.3
139.5
139.3
140.2
140.2
141.0
141.0
141.5

168.8
168.4
170.4
170.4
170.0
170.7
171.2

128.1
127.4
127.3
128.2
127.9
127.7
128.4
128.9

100.5
100.5
101.0
101.7
101.1
99.0
99.1
100.9

.

1985
1986
1987
1988

1989:

Nondurable goods

Construction
supplies

Total

Total

44.77
112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144.3

1980.
1981
1982
1983
1984

1988:

Durable
goods

Defense
and
space
equipment

Aug
Sept
Oct

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977—100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals

1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

.

Aug
Sept
Oct
Dec

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
May r
July r
Aug p




Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

cals
and
products

Foods

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89.2

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
.152.7
170.8

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7

90.8
93.1
94.2
92.7
90.0

78.9
81.4
83.1
80.8
77.6

122.1
122.5
122.6
124.6
125.1

174.1
174.8
173.8
175.4
177.8

182.2
181.8
183.0
182.2
180.9

131.8
132.7
134.8
135.2
136.8

117.5
118.5
121.7
122.9
125.5

133.8
133.5
137.5
139.4
143.0

108.9
109.9
109.5
110.1
108.8

186.7
188.0
188.1
188.5
188.0

154.8
155.3
156.7
157.5
158.1

143.3
143.2
144.0
145.7
145.8

93.2
91.1
88.4
90.1
87.2
87 3
89.1
89 5

82.2
79.1
75.9
77.0
73.2
72.9
74.7

124.5
124.5
123.8
123.1
124.8
125.4
126.1
126.4

178.7
180.8
183.0
184.7
186.5
187.0
186.1
186.0

180.9
181.7
181.6
182.2
181.6
182.0
180.9
181.6

136.7
136.4
134.8
136.4
135.5
134.2
131.9
133.7

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.0
119.7
116.5
110.2
114.3

139.9
132.8
133.4
135.1
135.5
137.1
136.0

110.2
110.2
109.9
111.3
111.5
112.2

193.0
194.6
198.5
200.1
199.0
200.9
200.3
202.0

159.0
158.5
159.2
159.3
158.2
159.4
160.2

146.6
146.3
145.4
146.6
147.2
147.7
147.6

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18

Lumber
and
products

Iron and
steel

Total

1980.
1981
1982
1983
1984

Nonelectrical
machinery

Fabricated
metal
products

Period

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Construction contracts

Federal,
State, and
local

Residential

Total

New housing
units

Tola! '

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Total value
index
(1982=100)

3

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

253.0
252.8
261.3
248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7

201.3
194.3
204.7
194.3
228.7
271.9
292.6
315.3
320.1
328.7

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8

42.8
47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8

109
97
100
100
124
136
150
158
164
161

51.7
58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9

Annual rates

Annual rates
1988: July

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
May '
July"

410.7
408.1
411.5
411.1
415.4
425.0

328.1
329.2
329.8
331.4
332.8
336.3

196.8
197.6
198.3
200.8
202.0
202.5

137.0
137.0
138.0
139.8
141.9
143.3

81.4
80.6
79.7
79.1
78.8
80.6

49.9
51.0
51.9
51.5
51.9
53.2

82.5
78.9
81.7
79.7
82.6
88.8

160
162
157
164
158
163

954
905
880
841
839
942

424.8
418.5
419.2
415.8
419.3
415.6
415.7

339.5
335.0
340.4
335.4
334.1
333.7
334.7

204.7
202.3
204.5
204.0
201.0
198.6
198.2

145.6
145.3
143.2
142.0
138.3
136.4
135.9

82.5
81.1
84.2
79.4
80.1
81.7
82.4

52.2
51.6
51.8
52.0
53.1
53.5
54.2

85.3
83.4
78.7
80.4
85.1
81.9
80.9

155
148
150
163
159
157
163
160

943
850
856
836
905
938
933
803

Au£ " .
1
2
3

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
942

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.
Includes hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, hy type of structure
Total

1979
1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1 unit

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1 620 5
1,488.1

1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3

1,459
1,463
1,332
1,567
1,577

1,076
1,039
1,136
1,138
1,141

2-4 units

5 or more units

122.0

429.0
330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8

Units
authorized

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1
3

397
337
275
253
301
353
346
357
365
366

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676

1,466
1,432
1,526
1,508
1,518

1,539
1,536
1,516
1,429
1,539

712
691
718
650
669

363
361
353
364
366

1,486
1,403
1,230
1,334
1,347
1,308
1,281
1,328

1,537
1,610
1,459
1,552
r
1,442
1,354
1,369

700
621
555
607
646
646
739

369
375
377
377
381
379
371

1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) z

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7

Seasonally adjusted annu al rates

1988- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

July

r

1,678
1,465
1,409
1,343
1,308
1,406
1,424
1,353

1,199
1,029
981
1,029
977
972
1,029
1,003

59
62
63
68
65
66
62
50
62
42
55
57
58

1
Seasonally adjusted.
2
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.




324
362
333
361
371
413
374
378
252
289
379
338
292

7.8
7.3

7.3
7.3

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In July, manufacturing and trade sales fell 1.0 percent and inventories rose $5.1 billion. In August, according to
advance data, retail sales rose 0.7 percent, following a rise of 0.5 percent in July.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

240

.--- _

-^"~"'

700

1—

-

MANU FACTURING AND
TRAC E INVENTOf IES

-

^

-

* *

—

^^

__

-

X"*

—

140

-

^**

/v r'-C"

-

'"\"

M, VNUFACTUR NO

400

Ktl AIL INVENTC)RIES

160

_x~500

—

-~is\

f

180

—

^

_^^T

200

~~~^'
\

600

^^"" —

<^~s\

220

120

At^JD TRADE SA LES

*

•"RETAIL SA

**

—
LbS

f

—

-

—
100

mulmii iiiiilmn Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

300

RATIO*
1.80

-

—

INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

1.60
1.40

200

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.20

imiliiin
j 1 1 1 1 1 n 1 1Minium
1
1985

1986

1987

i.ooluiuii

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1989

1988

1986

1985

1987

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade 1

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail
Sales 2

Period

2

Inventories 3

Sales 2

Inventories 3

348,747
368,813
407,869
418,151
423,700
449,536
485,756

574,491
590,358
644,306
655,066
653,853
700,761
753,718

96,290
100,244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361

128,196
130,334
142,380
146,745
152,447
162,648
178,313

486,289
492,173
492,478
498,846
501,400
506,186

729,786
737,562
744,054
743,544
746,756
753,718

133,850
134,726
135,332
138,087
137,239
136,170

174,466
176,368
176,972
177,408
177,060
178,313

511,881
507,328
507,555
517,745
518,088
515,695
510,341

759,803
763,051
765,504
771,340
778,093
780,802
785,874

140,356
139,547
139,991
142,290
142,474
141,959
140,881

179,761
179,810
179,681
181,226
182,615
182,548
182,573

Sales

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories 3
Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade *

61,093
64,754
68,985
72,434
74,802
79,077
83,384

134,468
147,377
167,159
180,825
185,224
206,981
221,242

61,469
68,984
79,257
88,608
90,477
106,271
114,994

72,999
78,393
87,902
92,217
94,747
100,710
106,248

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50

83,306
84,103
84,324
85,117
85,599
85,035

211,532
215,396
219,297
216,724
218,093
221,242

107,487
110,146
114,303
111,689
112,904
114,994

104,045
105,250
104,994
105,035
105,189
106,248

1.50
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.49
1.49

86,225
86,357
86,630
87,512
88,404
88,484
r
88,832
88,521

222,584
224,185
224,693
226,656
230,423
231,762
232,503

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,093
118,835
119,542
119,708

106,880
108,016
108,700
109,563
111,588
112,220
112,795

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.54

Nondurable goods
stores

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- July r
Aug

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Slav
June r
July p .
Aug"

1
2
3

r

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period.

20



28,013
32,574
37,819
41,387
44,861
47,707
52,379

89,107
97,328
106,805
113,821
119,663
126,785
135,763
r

135,741
135,732
135,751
137,842
139,529
139,189

140,040
139,428
139,516
141,413
142,543
142,500
r
143,271
144,285

r

52,435
5 1,629
51,427
52,725
53,930
54,154

53,815
53,071
52,886
53,901
54,139
54,016
r
54,439
55,764
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57
1.56
1.59
1.62
1.57
1.56
1.59

r

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.62
1.63
1.62

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In July, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell while inventories and unfilled orders rose. In August,
according to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders rose.
BILLKDNS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
280
240

•—^—*»

r^—l

<

200
'

'

160
120

"

l

v
TOTAL

^

\
TOTAL
1
DURABLE GOO DS

280,

160

•._!_*••

NONDURABLE GOODS

120

"~\~"

60
Illllllllll

umiiim iiinlinii

Illllllllll Illllllllll

,

-— -"

r

1
N
DURABLE GOODS

200!

|"^~— -

\\..

80

BILLKDNS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
480
440 — INVENTORIES
400
360

'"

NC)NDURABLE GOODS

80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
280
240

NFW i~>RPERS
^_e--~

1
^^

"--r \
|

160
120

1
A
DURABLE GOODS
1 fs~-!i-"t"X'-

_
-

80

RATIO *
2.20

TOTAL

-.."--f-v

' *—**v- ^

- _x-.

1"

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

2.00
1.80
1.60

~

r
"~^1

'

r-~

S~^

1.40

60

||IIlllll||

Illllllllll Illllllllll

1985

1986 1987

Illllllllll

1988

Illllllllll

1.20

iniiliiiii Hitilinii tl 1 lltll III
1987
1988
1989

1 t 1 1 1 1 1 1 I|
1|11 1 1 | | 1 | | f

1985

1989

1986

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturers' shipments 1

Manufacturers' inventories 2

Manufacturers' new orders 1
Durable goods

Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
116,112
122,806
119,321
122,791
123,035
132,149
128,479
124,107
125,377
129,372
123,524
125,137
r
122,070
126,735

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
36,213
38,808
34,858
34,623
35,825
39,432
40,352
37,189
38,137
40,389
37,290
39,146
T
4 1,458
37,383

Total

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
103,765
104,203
103,348
104,304
105,118
106,737
107,596
107,199
107,634
110,535
110,229
110,020
108,528

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
446,536
451,830
453,103
457,281
460,802
468,860
473,450
476,403
481,366
487,231
487,913
491,834
496,243

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982.. ..
1983
1984..
1985.
1986..
1987 .
1988
1988: July
Sept
Oct.
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
June T
July p
Aug p
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
216,698
221,715
221,395
222,917
224,632
230,827
231,485
228,353
228,048
234,042
233,071
231,236
226,189

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
113,122
117,866
118,030
118,439
119,874
124,175
123,578
120,924
120,432
123,331
122,962
121,720
r
l!7,183
128,358

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
103,576
103,849
103,365
104,478
104,758
106,652
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,711
110,109
109,516
109,006

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the sam
End of period.




311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
343,788
345,798
347,785
349,412
351,603
354,163
357,458
359,056
361,130
363,458
365,055
366,492
370,798

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
225,467
226,600
228,214
229,735
231,766
233,666
236,810
238,165
239,330
240,486
241,689
242,295
245,764

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
118,321
119,198
119,571
119,677
119,837
120,497
120,648
120,891
121,800
122,972
123,366
124,197
125,034
3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
219,877
227,009
222,669
227,095
228,153
238,886
236,075
231,306
233,011
239,907
233,753
235,157
230,598

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58

1.59
1.56
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.53
1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55
1.57
1.58
1.64

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In August, the producer price index for all finished goods fell 0.4 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods rose
0.3 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods fell 1.0 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.3
percent.
INDEX, 1982=100 (RATIO SCALE)
120

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

£

FINISHED GOODS PRICES
~~

,'-T— "::'

.--->'N
/

=^5**

100

"~^f
90

^-~~.-

.y -*s

l\w/\

'-\.-'

«*£'

V

y ..
110

/\

*

*-/

f

S
,'>c*'~*3''"-">
-— £-5\A.- fc""

.^

/.->"

,--¥*
*•• *
,

CAPITAL EQUIPMENT
V
,.„.

110

INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)
120

ONSUMER
FOODS

TOTAL_y

_.-•—
' \

.-•S
100

CONSUMER C OODS
EXCLUDING F OODS

—
90

—

—
80

80

imilmii
1981

iiiiiliiin Illlllllltl

1984

1983

1982

1985

Illllilllll Illllilllll

1986

1988

1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

imilmii
1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Finished goods
Period

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Total
finished
goods

Con-

sumer
foods

Consumer goods
Total
Total

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dee
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr T.
May
June
JuJy

Aug
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
108.5
109.1
109.2
109.5
109.9
111.1
112.1
112.6
113.1
114.1
114.0
113.5
113.1

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
113.6
114.6
114.7
115.1
115.2
116.7
117.8
118.8
118.1
119.2
118.2
118.3
118.7

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
106.9
107.3
107.4
107.7
108.2
109.3
110.1
110.5
111.4
112.4
112.6
111.9
111.3

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22



Intermediate materials

Durable

Nondurable

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3

103.5
103.7
103.8
104.1
104.7

114.5
115.1
115.0
115.0
115.4

97.6
97.6
97.8
98.3
98.9

106.0
107.1
107.5
109.0
110.2
110.1
109.1
108.0

116.3
116.9
117.0
116.3
117.2
117.4
117.1
117.5

100.4
101.6
102.2
104.4
105.8
105.6
104.3
102.6

Capital
equipment

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
114.7
115.7
115.6
115.8
116.2
116.9
117.4
117.5
117.4
117.9
118.7
118.7
119.0

Total
finished
consumer
goods

Total

Foods
and
feeds l

Other

Crude materials

Total

Foodstuffs
and

Other

stuffs

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5

106.8
107.3
107.4
107.8
108.2

108.2
108.6
108.6
109.0
109.5

109.5
110.6
111.2
112.0
113.2
112.8
112.1
111.5

110.8
111.3
111.9
112.5
112.6
112.4
112.2
111.9

114.9
115.3
115.1
113.2
112.3
115.2
114.8
116.7
114.9
113.6
111.8
113.6
113.4

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
107.8
108.2
108.3
108.8
109.4
110.5
111.1
111.7
112.4
112.6
112.4
112.1
111.8

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5

97.2
97.1
96.6
94.8
97.8

110.9
113.1
113.4
108.8
110.8

84.4
83.1
82.0
82.1
85.6

101.8
101.5
103.7
104.5
105.1
103.0
103.2
101.2

113.3
111.7
115.2
112.1
112.3
109.4
108.2
110.0

90.2
90.7
92.1
95.1
96.0
94.5
95.4
91.3

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In August, the consumer price index for all urban consumers was unchanged, seasonally adjusted (it rose

0.2

percent not seasonally adjusted). The index was 4.7 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

- CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS -

110

110

\
100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

111

60
1981

1983

1982

1985

1984

1987

1986

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

60

1989

1988

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84—100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items *

Transportation

Housing

Medical
care

Ener-

gy 2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

3.1
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9

6.0
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6

7.3
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3

48.7
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9

Shelter
Period

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

Rel. imp.3.... 100.0
824
1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986.. ..

1987
1988
1988:
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989:
Jan
Feb.
Mar
Apr . .
June
July
Aue:

90.9
96.5
99.6
103 9
107.6
1096
113.6
118.3

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Rent-

Food

ers'

Total '
Total

costs

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

16.2
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2

42.3
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1

7.9

19.7

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total '

New
cars

Motor
fuel

7.6
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4

6.4
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4

17.2
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7

4.3
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9

119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

119.0
119.5
120.0
120.3
120.7

119.5
120.3
120.6
120.8
121.2

118.9
119.3
119.6
120.1
120.6

127.6
128.1
128.3
128.9
129.4

133.8
133.8
134.1
134.2
134.9

131.9
132.5
132.7
133.5
133.9

115.0
115.3
115.0
115.4
115.8

104.0
104.4
105.1
105.5
106.3

113.9
116.0
117.4
117.4
117.7

109.6
109.7
110.1
110.4
110.4

117.0
117.7
117.8
117.9
118.1

82.8
82.0
81.3
81.1
79.7

140.0
140.7
141.6
142.2
142.9

89.5
89.3
89.2
89.5
89.2

122.4
123.0
123.8
124.2
124.6

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
124.0
124.2
124.5
124.5

122.1
122.6
123.6
124.2
125.0
125.3
125.7
125.9

120.9
121.3
121.7
121.8
122.3
122.6
123.3
123.5

129.7
130.3
131.1
131.2
131.8
132.3
133.2
133.5

135.2
136.4
138.2
137.3
137.3
138.1
140.2
139.6

134.2
134.7
135.1
135.6
136.5
136.9
137.5
138.1

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4
118.3
118.4
118.5

106.9
106.7
106.9
107.4
107.6
107.1
107.6
107.5

117.7
117.5
119.1
119.4
120.4
119.1
118.1
116.3

111.2
111.9
112.6
115.0
116.1
115.9
115.2
114.3

118.9
119.3
119.7
119.8
119.6
119.3
118.8
118.5

80.5
81.8
83.6
93.0
96.6
95.4
93.3
89.5

144.0
145.2
145.9
146.6
147.6
148.7
149.8
150.8

89.9
90.4
91.4
96.1
97.6
96.6
95.9
94.0

125.4
125.8
126.3
126.6
127.2
127.4
127.6
127.7

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—-and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1988.




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for bom
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

wnership costs

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

,

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.2
5.7

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5

11.4

9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6

Change, month to month
1988- Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

. ...

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May r

July '

0.3
.6
.1
.3
.4

0.6
.9
.1
.3
.1

0.2
.2
.1
.3
.6

0.3
.9
-.1
.2
.3

4.2
5.7
3.7
3.7
3.0

8.9
9.2
6.5
5.4
2.1

2.4
4.0
2.0
2.3
3.9

3.6
6.1
4.6
3.9
1.7

4.0
4.4
4.0
3.9
4.3

6.7
7.4
7.6
7.1
5.6

3.2
3.0
2.2
2.3
3.9

2.8
4.5
3.9
3.7
3.9

2.6
2.7
3.0
3.3
4.0

1.1
.9
.4
.4
.9
-.1
4

1.3
.9
.8
-.6
.9
%
.1
.3

1.2
1.0
.4
1.4
1.1
i
9
-1.0

.6
.4
.1

7.1
9.8
10.2
7.4
7.3
5.1
1.4
-3.5

7.2
9.7
13.1
4.9
4.8
20
.7
-1.7

8.8
12.0
11.1
11.8
12.1
10.0
.4
-7.7

4.6
5.6
4.6
1.7
1.7
4.1
4.5
3.8

5.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
8.6
7.6
4.4
1.8

6.8
7.5
7.5
6.0
7.3
5.3
2.8
1.5

5.3
7.1
7.5
10.3
12.1
10.6
5.9
1.7

4.6
4.8
3.1
3.1
3.7
4.3
3.1
2.7

4.5
5.3
5.5
5.6
6.2
5.9
5.0
4.2

-.4

1

.4
.7
0
.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Transportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items 1

Food
Total '
Total '

Renters'
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total i

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
8
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA
1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4

10.2
4.3
31
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2

13.7
10.2
36
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0

15.0
9.9
24
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7

0.3
.4
.4
.3
.3

0.5
.7
.2
.2
.3

0.3
.3
.3
.4
.4

0.5
.4
.2
.5
.4

0.3
0
.2
.1
.5

0.5
.5
.2
.6
.3

.2
.5
.6
.1
.5
.4
.7
.2

2
.9
1.3
-.7
0
.6
1.5
-.4

.2
.4
.3
.4
.7
.3
.4
.4

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0

7.4
18.8
6.8
9.4
1.5 -6.5
3.4 — 1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
1.8
18.7
2.1 -2.1

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
33

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1

3.8
4.7

Change, month to month
1988:

1989:

Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug

.6
.4
.5
.7
.6
2
.2
0

.7
.4
.8
.5
.6
.2
.3
.2

.2
.3
.3
.1
.4
.2
.6
2

-1.6
1.8
1.2
0
.3

0.8
.1
.4
.3
0

0.3
.6
.1
.1
.2

1.8
-1.0
-.9
— .2
-1.7

0.4
.5
.6
.4
.5

0.7
-.2
-.1
.3
-.3

0.2
.5
.7
.3
.3

.6
0
__ 2
-.2
.2
1.4
.5
.3
.2
.8
-.5 — 1.1
.5
-.8
-.1 -1.5

.7
.6
.6
2.1
1.0
-.2
-.6
-.8

.7
.3
.3
.1
-.2
-.3
-.4
-.3

1.0
1.6
2.2
11.2
3.9
-1.2
-2.2
-4.1

.8
.8
.5
.5
.7
.7
.7
.7

.8
.6
J.I
5.1
1.6
-1.0
7
-2.0

.6
.3
.4
.2
.5
2
.2
.1

0
.4
.7
.4
.8

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.

24



3

4.5

4.4

5.4
6.4"

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

4.5
4.8
4.8
4.4
4.1

4.7
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.5

4.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
4.4

4.7
5.4
6.1
6.4
7.1
5.7
4.0
1.6

4.8
4.9
5.1
5.6
6.2
5.9
5.2
4.3

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.2
5.0
4.7

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in September were 0.7 percent below their August level. Prices paid by farmers in July
were 0.6 percent above their April level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

160

160

T

PRICES PAID

140

140

120

120
PRICES RECEIVED

100 '

100

80

80

60,
RATIO^
140

m

Illll

mnliim

-

120
100

-

80

-

140
120

-

x^,-

HiHlHffl
1981

Illllllllll
1982

Illllllllll
1983

•_

KAIIO

.
1

->_

-

60

60

—__ ~
"~~'~~'~1--N
1
^
Illllllllll iiiiiiiini Illllllllll llllllllUI inniinii iiiiiiiini
1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

100

80
60

1989

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- Sept
Oct
Nov

Dec

1989' Jan
Peb
Mar

Apr
May

July
Sept
1

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
144
143
144
145

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
126
135
133
136
136

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
153
152
151
154

149
148
149
147
149
147
146
144
143

140
138
136
140
141
138
134
126
127

158
158
161
154
156
157
r
!57
161
158

Includes items not shown separately.
z
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,1
and wage rates

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

150
159
161
164
162
159
161
170
(3)
173
(3)
(3)
175
(3)
(3)
177
(3)
(3)
178
(3)
(3)

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)

Production
items

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
(3)
162
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)

Ratio 2

92
84
84
87
79
77
79
81
84
83
83
84
85
85
85
83
84
83
82
81
80

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexe;
have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Growth in Ml and the broader aggregates slowed in August.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

4,800
4,400
4,000

4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

3,600
M3

3,200

3,200

2,800

2,800

2,400

2,400
M2

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

800

800

600

Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l

400
1982

1985

400

1989

1987

1986

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

• AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Ml

M2

MS

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
EPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3
790.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9
3,069.5

1,991.1
1,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.6
3,915.4

2,327.8
2,599.4
2353.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
4,137.1
4,340.2
4,676.1

1988: Aug '
Sepf
Oct
Nov
Dec

782.4
783.7
785.4
786.6
790.3

3,029.7
3,035.0
3,042.3
3,059.4
3,069.5

3,851.5
3,861.0
3,877.9
3,898.1
3,915.4

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

786.3
787.4
786.3
783.1
773.3
770.3
777.2
777.7

3,065.8
3,069.4
3,078.4
3,080.6
3,072.1
3,088.0
3,117.5
3,136.3

3,920.2
3,929.5
3,950.8
3,958.6
3,954.6
3,973.5
4,003.2
4,009.4

Period

19801981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:

Dec
Dec
Dec ..
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec '

May ....
July

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



L

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

r

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

M2

M3

Debt

r

3,881.9
4,269.0
r
4,660.0
'5,185.4
r
5,932.7
r
6,741.5
r
7,597.0
r
8,316.1
9,081.1

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6
5.1

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5
5.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2
6.5

'9.2
ll,3
14.4
r
!3.6
r
!2.7
r
9.5
9.2

4,583.9
4,592.2
4,613.3
4,639.4
4,676.1

8,819.5
8,882.2
8,942.9
9,017.7
9,081.1

6.0
5.3
3.7
4.1
3.6

5.4
4.5
3.5
4.0
3.8

6.5
5.6
5.2
5.5
5.2

9.8
9.6
9.4
9.4
9.2

4,679.8
4,692.0
4,726.2
4,744.1
4,743.0
4,746.7
4,777.1

9,137.8
9,206.1
9,267.8
9,323.7
9,380.8
9,431.6
9,479.3

1.0
1.3
.7
-.6
-3.4
-5.0
-2.3
-2.4

2.8
2.6
2.9
2.5
.8
1.2
3.4
4.4

4.3
4.1
4.7
4.2
2.9
3.0
4.3
4.1

8.9
9.0
8.9
8.7
8.2
7.9
7.6

r

er at an annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

r 9.5

io.o

r

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Money market
mutual fund
balances

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

NSA

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

NSA

Small
denomination
time
deposits '

Savings
deposits

Large
denomination
time
deposits *

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RFs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

NSA

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

1980: Dec
1981: Dec
1982: Dec
1983: Dec
1984: Dec
1985- Dec
1986: Dec
1987- Dec
1988: Dec

115.2 261.5
122.5 231.5
132.6 234.2
146.3 238.7
156.1 244.2
167.8 267.3
180.5 303.2
196.4 288.3
211.8 288.6

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4
282.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.3
78.3
r
78.5

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
221.1
239.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6
87.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.9
513.5
572.5
526.3
502.7

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4
431.3

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1
1,025.2

260.1
302.5
326.8
327.4
417.2
436.6
439.0
487.4
537.8

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
109.1
T
124.1

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8
105.8

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.7
100.4
109.1

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5
275.2

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7
40.6

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.7
207.4
231.0
260.3
335.8

1988: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

207.0
208.6
209.7
210.5
211.8

289.9
288.8
288.9
287.7
288.6

278.3
279.0
279.4
281.0
282.3

79.9
77.3
'76.1
'75.7
'78.5

230.8
231.0
231.3
237.4
239.4

84.0
83.7
84.6
87.4
87.6

517.7
511.4
507.5
506.7
502.7

430.9
430.5
429.2
431.8
431.3

988.3
998.7
1,009.7
1,017.8
1,025.2

519.4
526.7
532.0
534.4
537.8

' 124.1
'122.8
' 125.4
T
128.4
' 124.1

102.8
102.8
100.2
101.6
105.8

107.4
107.9
108.4
108.7
109.1

272.6
272.8
273.3
268.4
275.2

41.2
41.7
41.3
40.5
40.6

311.3
308.8
312.3
323.7
335.8

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar .

213.4
214.3
215.6
215.9
216.4
217.4
218.0
218.4

284.0
284.8
284.3
281.4
278.2
275.0
278.9
277.6

281.3
280.9
279.1
278.5
271.3
270.7
273.2
274.5

r

241.7
247.2
255.5
259.1
258.9
265.1
274.6
285.5

89.3
89.6
87.6
87.7
91.6
95.1
98.2
100.6

495.2
485.3
480.3
471.3
457.0
456.9
459.8
465.4

427.8
424.6
420.8
412.8
404.7
402.0
401.5
402.3

1,035.7
1,048.3
1,061.0
1,083.1
1,105.8
1,118.5
1,126.4
1,131.7

109.7 274.4
110.6 267.8
273.5
111.5
112.3 r 277.6
112.9 ' 280.8
113.8 r 267.7
114.6 265.9

40.6
39.9
41.2
'41.4
41.1
41.2
42.1

334.9
344.2
349.2
354.2
353.5
350.5
351.4

May. .
July '
Aug"

81.8
79.0
r
77.4
r
74.5
'73.5
r
76.0
77.4
74.7
r

1
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE. —Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock hut are not shown

r

544.4
'551.6
r
558.8
r
567.7
'572.1
r
573.0
573.0
568.7

r

125.3 r 100.7
'128.5 r 100.0
r
!31.0 ' 105.5
r
!28.8 r!01.3
'129.3 ' 100.5
' 129.3 r 99.3
125.1
99.8
97.2
119.6

here.
Source: Roard of

(>overilors of

the Federal

Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

Nonborrowcd

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,134
47,175
57,313
57,916
58,990

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,739
47,674
57,616
58,399
60,234

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,468
47,436
56,771
57,665
59,666

152,525
161,043
173,011
188,303
201,889
219,510
241,448
257,991
275,501

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

1984:

Dec ..

1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

Dee
Dec ....
Dec
Dec

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,321
48,493
58,140
58,693
60,706

1988: Aug
Sept...
Oct
Nov
Dec

60,903
60,824
60,862
60,853
60,706

57,663
57,985
58,562
57,991
58,990

60,316
60,043
60,343
60,314
60,234

59,950
59,852
59,800
59,733
59,666

270,979
272,420
273,659
274,380
275,501

3,241
2,839
2,299
2,861
1,716

423
421
332
186
130

2,653
2,059
1,781
2,322
1,244

1989: Jan.
Feb
Mar.
Apr
May....
June
July '
AugP

60,370
60,260
59,854
59,463
58,740
58 350
58,698
58,760

58,708
58,773
58,041
57,174
57,019
56,860
58,004
58,085

59,754
59,822
59,376
58,880
58,217
57,776
58,110
58,126

59,226
59,106
58,896
58,686
57,709
57,445
57,733
57,870

276,784
277,553
278,615
278,675
278,329
279,056
279,983
280,294

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720
1,490
694
675

76
97
139
213
345
431
497
490

1,046
1,050
1,334
1,707
1,197
917
106
41

.. ..

. .

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.




27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.8 percent in August; commercial and industrial loans also rose 0.8
percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

2,800

2,800
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

2,400

_

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

X.
200

200

T

160

160

OTHER SECURITIES •

him

120
1981

1983

1982

1984

1986

1985

I l l l l l l l l 1120
1987

1989

1988

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted M
All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

U.S.
Government
securities

Total
securities 2

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

Dee
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug"...

1,307.7
1,401.5
1,553.6
1,723.7
1,911.4
2,094.5
2,239.6
2,417.2
2,377.6
2,381.5
2,401.4
2,410.2
2,417.2
2,422.8
2,451.9
2,464.9
2,470.9
2,486.3
2,496.8
2,518.1
2,534.4

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.7

309.6
335.5
361.4
350.9
353.1
355.6
358.8
361.4
360.4
361.8
368.8
370.7
373.5
373.8
374.4
376.6

Other
securities

160.9
165.7
170.6
142.6
181.4
196.5
195.3
194.0
196.5
195.2
196.8
195.9
194.0
189.6
190.4
189.7
187.2
186.4
185.8
184.6
182.8

Total 2

967.5
1,034.1
1,123.9
1,321.0
1,459.3

1,588.4
1,708.8
1,861.9
1,830.1
1,833.2
1,848.9
1,855.6
1,861.9
1,872.9
1,899.7
1,906.5
1,913.1
1,926.5
1,937.3
1,959.1
1,974.9

Commercial
and
industri-

355.4
392.6
414.1
472.9

State

Non-

Heal
estate

284.1
299.8
330.8

376.3
499.7 425.8
536.2 494.0
562.7 589.0
601.9 672.0
597.4 643.0
598.1 650.3
601.6 659.8
601.8 665.3
601.9 672.0
606.6 678.9
619.0 685.6
617.8 691.8
620.6 699.5
626.3 705.5
624.9 712.0
r
632.1 r719.9
637.3 729.0

Individual

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.8
315.9
329.5
355.5
347.7
350.2
351.6
353.0
355.5
357.9
358.9
360.6
362.9
365.4
366.0
367.0
369.3

Agricultural

political
subdivisions

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
35.0
31.6
31.9
29.4
30.0
30.7
29.6
31.1
29.6
30.7
30.4
29.8
30.2
30.3
30.7
30.0
30.3
30.7
30.6
30.7
29.7
30.7
29.2
30.4
29.0
30.3
30.6 . 30.3
30.4
31.7
32.0
30.3

0.0
.0
3.3
46.0
56.7

Security

financial
institutions

21.5
25.4
28,1
34.3
42.7
40.1
34.4

29.9
31.3
30.5
31.4
32.5

38.5
39.6
36.5
38.5
38.2
38.5
37.7
44.7
43.6
40.0
38.0
41.1
40.3
39.6

58.4
52,5
46.8
48.2
48.0
48,5
47.7
46.8
44.4
44.5
44.6
44.6
44.6
r
44.4
r
44.2
43.9

Foreign
banks

18.1
14.8
13.4
11.1
9.7
9.6
7.5

7.6
8.0
7.2
7.6
8.1
7.6
7.8
8.5
8.2
8.3
9.4
9.3
8.9
9.3

1

1

Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.

28



2

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

7.2

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0
22.3
24.5

5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0
5.9
5.3
4.9
5.1
5.0
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.9
4.9
4.7
4.5
4.3

29.2
28.1
28.5
28.9
29.1
29.2
29.4
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.0
29.9
r
30.3
30.3

Other

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
36.3
39.4
42.1
44.8
52.2
49.1
47.5
47.0
44.8
44.4
42.7
45.2
42.9
43.1
r
43.9
49.7
49.6

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources
External

Period
Total

Internal

l

Total

1979 r
1980 r
1981 r
1982 r
1983 '

1984 r
1985 r
1986 T
1987 r
1988 r

1988: lrr

n r ...
m.
IV.

1989: I rp

n

Loans and
short-term
paper

Securities
and
mortgages

Total

Total

Other 2

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

Increase in
financial
assets

Capital

Credit market funds

tures 3

-3.0
59.0
38.1
7.7

51.3
40.2
66.4
52.0
33.7
104.2
53.9
64.0
30.9
69.3

65.8
52.5
46.0
10.4
55.2
63.7
54.1
42.8
64.6
58.9

368.4
341.6
382.9
302.7
392.0
473.0
422.9
448.1
453.9
473.3

238.6
243.2
285.9
255.7
269.9
367.9
339.9
328.8
348.3
380.4

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
122.1
105.1
83.0
119.3
105.6
92.9

-44.6
-18.3
-5.6
.3
27.2
22.0
34.4
62.6
32.4
35.0

95.5
109.4
82.0
21.0

38.2
28.1
38.7
-74.3

57.3
81.3
43.3
95.3

43.0
31.8
74.2
86.2

470.9
474.0
500.9
447.7

359.2
380.7
390.1
391.8

111.7
93.3
110.8
55.9

36.7
34.3
27.8
41.1

31.8
115.5

-52.2
20.5

84.0
95.0

91.4
28.0

445.6
473.2

376.0
388.8

69.6
84.4

39.5
39.3

323.7
323.2
377.4
303.0
419.2
495.0
457.3
510.7
486.2
508.4

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
344.9
352.6
372.6

126.1
123.1
137.9
60.7
133.5
158.7
105.0
165.8
133.6
135.8

60.3
70.7
91.8
50.3
78.3
95.1
50.9
123.0
69.0
77.0

507.7
508.3
528.6
488.8

369.1
367.2
372.4
381.6

138.6
141.1
156.2
107.2

485.0
512.5

361.9
369.0

123.1
143.5

9.0
30.5
25.4
17
44.6
91

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
broad.
3
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding 1

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period

1980:
19811982:
19831984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:
1988-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec .
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
NEW SERIES:
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July"

Other

Automobile

Mobile
home

Other

Revolving

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
639,207
644,666
646,556
649,132
654,413
659,507

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
277,659
279,585
279,243
278,902
279,926
281,174

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
165,343
167,125
168,273
170,131
173,030
174,792

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
26,213
26,277
26,185
26,033
26,005
25,744

112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
169,993
171,679
172,855
174,066
175,452
177,798

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786
1,371
5,459
1,890
2,576
5,281
5,094

7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198
-399
1,926
-342
-341
1,024
1,248

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908
935
1,782
1,148
1,858
2,899
1,762

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
-643
39
64
-92
152
-28
261

-329
1 529
-344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323
797
1,686
1,176
1,211
1,386
2,346

682,020
687,397
691,162
693,911
698,132
700,849
700,569

286,382
288,767
288,850
289,654
290,741
290,192
288,730

176,716
178,570
182,831
184,500
186,502
189,622
190,890

26,036
25,992
24,168
23,993
23,952
23,685
23,626

192,886
194,068
195,314
195,763
196,936
197,349
197,324

(2)
5,377
3,765
2,749
4,221
2,717
-280

(2)
2,385
82
804
1,087
549
-1,463

<2)
1,854
4,261
1,670
2,002
3,120
1,268

(2)

(2)
1,182
1,246
449
1,173
413
-26

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Because of break in series, net change not available.




Mobile
home

Automobile

Total

Total

539

Revolving

,^,£

-1,824
-174
41
-267
-60

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose in September.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

:ONOMIC

ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985 ..
1986
1987...
1988

3-month bills
(new issues) l
14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69

Constant maturities
3-year

2

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) "

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months l

Discount rate
(N.Y. P.R.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged by
banks 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB) 6

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22
9.32

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19

1988:

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

7.23
7.34
7.68
8.09

8.57
8.43
8.72
9.11

8.98
8.80
8.96
9.11

7.71
7.54
7.58
7.66

9.82
9.51
9.45
9.57

8.23
8.24
8.55
8.97

6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50

10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.50
10.50-10.50

9.26
9.10
9.43
9.39

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

8.29
8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22
7.92
7.91
7.72

9.20
9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.37
7.83
8.13
8.26

9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19

7.41
7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97
6.97
7.08
7.27

9.62
9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.10
8.93
8.96
9.00

9.02
9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.80
8.35
8.32
8.50

6.50-6.50
6.50-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.50
10.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00
11.00-10.50
10.50-10.50
10 50 10 50

9.52
9.82
9.99
10.17
10.18
10.42
10.48
10.23

7.94
7.88
7.64
7.64
7.72

8.37
8.29
8.11
8.19
8.42

8.25
8.17
8.13
8.15
8.31

7.20
7.17
7.19
7.33
7.38

9.05
9.02
8.98
8.98
9.03

8.51
8.52
8.45
8.45
8.58

7.00-7.00
7 00 7 00
7.00-7.00
7 00 7 00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50

July
Aug r
Sept "
Week ended:
1989: Sept 2
9
16
23
30 "
1

Bank-discount basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weeklv data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.
2

30



5

Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in September.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS CALE)

INDE)(, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
(-OMPOSPTF STOCK PRICE NPE*
(NYSE)

180
160

N

r ~

140
120

160

H(

\ /""^
^^

'

140
120
100

^-^r~'

80

40

-/"

s^^S

100

60

f-

240
220
200
180

/

^^

1

80

60

^J

. M i l l . nil 1 1 I i i 1 1 1 I I i .. .,,!,,,,,

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11

1983

1982

1981

! 1 1 II I 1 1 1 1 t1

1 g 1 1 1 1 1 i 11 1 1 | | | 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 . 1 . 1 , 1 . 1 ,

1985

1984

1986

1987

1988

40

1989

PERC:ENT

PERC ENT

20

20
15

15

NGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS

-~"^~H
i i*

10
5
0

(S&P1
\

"^r

10

__

—-

\

f

5
J

1
1982

1981

1

1

1 I
1983

1

1

1

1984

1

1

1

I

1985

1 !
1986

1

1

1

1987

1

1

1

1988

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION

New York Stock Exchange indexes (Elee. 31, 1965 — 5*O )
Composite

Industrial

Transportation

Finance

Utility

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

267.97
277.40
271.02
276.51

3.69
3.61
3.70
3.68

8.36

132.26
137.19
137.91
143.26
146.60
154.08
157.78
164.86
165.51

2,234.68
2,304.30
2,283.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,494.90
2,554.03
2,691.11
2,693.41

285.41
294.01
292.71
302.25
313.93
323.73
331.93
346.61
347.33

3.64
3.59
3.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.38
3.28
3.29

164.11
165.58
165.63
165.24
164.93
166.10

2,688.62
2,737.50
2,720.22
2,686.13
2,684.12
2,676.78

345.72
351.55
349.73
346.01
346.50
346.28

3.30
3.25
3.26
3.30
3.28
3.30

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82

1988:

151.47
156.36
152.67
155.35

182.18
188.58
183.79
187.75

136.27
141.93
138.60
144.07

71.83
74.19
73.83
74.81

133.15
134.66
129.61
128.83

160.40
165.08
164.60
169.38
175.30
180.76
185.15
192.93
193.02

194.62
200.00
199.20
204.81
211.51
216.75
221.74
231.32
230.86

153.09
162.66
160.14
164.32
168.88
173.47
179.32
197.52
202.01

75.87
77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.95
90.40
92.90
93.44

192.40
195.29
194.44
192.40
192.45
192.42

230.84
234.64
233.53
230.31
229.72
229.41

199.16
209.64
206.88
201.70
200.31
198.29

92.33
93.13
92.64
92.64
94.10
94.15

1

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
4
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings3




Earningsprice ratio

2,080.06
2,144.31
2,099.04
2,148.58

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77

2

Dividendprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12

Sept p
Week ended:
1989: Aug 26
Sept 2
9
16
23
30"

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10) 4

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95

Dec

0

1989

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91

1989' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

1

Common stock yields
(percent) 5
2

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 . .
1987
1988 . .
Sept
Got

1

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Common stock prices l
Period

1

1

8.56

8.46

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 11 months of fiscal 1989, there was a deficit of $145.9 billion, compared with a deficit of $165.3
billion a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

1,200

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!/

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

OUTLAYS.!/

900

900

800

800
RECEIPTS.!/

700

700
600

600

N
SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (->!/

0

-100

-100

^^^

\

-200

A
1^1981

\

_-

i
1982

i
1983

1984

—

'

i

1985

1986

^-^

i

I
1987

i
1988

I
1989

.

-200

IS

1990^

FISCAL YEARS

v INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS,

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVtSERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]
Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

Outlays

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

1976
Transition quarter
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

-73.7
14 7
-53.6
59 2
-40.2
73 8
-78.9
127 9
-207.8
185 3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates) 1
1990 (estimates) 1

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
995.9
1,080.1

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

-212.3
221 2
-149.7
155 1
-148.3
99 2

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
731.1
793.3

811.2
892.4

976.5
1,038.3

165 3
-145.9

591.9
652.2

Cumulative total, first 11
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989

1
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget, July 18,
1989. Data for 1990 include asset sales.
2
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for August 1989, issued September 1989.

32



Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Total

Held by
the public

-3.9
43
-2.0
11
-5.0
79
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
211.0
222.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
53.8
64.5

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,853.5
3,084.8

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,177.8
2,279.2

185.2
192.5

34.1
47.7

2,573.4
2,844.7

2,036.5
2,181.8

-72.7
73 9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
933.2
957.1

-221.6
-237.9
-169.3
-193.9
-202.1
-163.8

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
264.7
286.8

791.3
845.8

- 199.4
-193.6

219.3
240.1

-70.5
13 3
49 7
-54.9
38 2

Surplus
or deficit
(-)
-3.2
14

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 11 months of fiscal 1989,
billion higher.

receipts were $81.2

billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were

$61.8

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500
RECEIPTS!/
400

. INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES,

400
300

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION_
INCOME TAXES

200

OTHER RECEIPTS

100

100

0

0

900

900

OUTLAYS-!/
800

-NONDEFENSE

800
700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

. NATIONAL DEFENSE_

300

300
200

200

1981

1982

1985

1984

1983

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
J/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET HEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts
National defense

Social
Fiscal year

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

.

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates) '
1990 (estimates)1..
Cumulative total, first 1 1
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989
1
2

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

298.1
355.6
399.6
463 3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
995.9
1,080.1

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.3
484.6

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
105.8
117.0

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
361.5
387.5

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
83.3
91.0

811.2
892.4

359.4
400.7

73.5
83.2

305.6
330.2

72.6
78.4

Total

ancc
taxes

Income
securi-

Social
securi-

inter-

ty

ty

est

60.8
61.0

61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
86.2
97.1

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.6
145.4

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.4
249.1

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
176.3

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.3
142.4

71.8
77.6

118.9
124.6

200.8
213.0

139.3
155.6

125.3
139.0

Department of
Defense,
military

International
affairs

Health

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
301.2
296.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
292.7
286.9

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
10.7
16.4

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
49.6
56.4

976.5
1,038.3

268.4
274.9

260.9
267.1

11.2
8.7

40.7
44.8

Total

contributions

See footnote 1, page 32.
Data from Monthly Treasury Stater :nt for August 1989, issued September 1989.




Other

and

Total

Medicare

Net

Other

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the second quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $17.0 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $14.9 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,200

1,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

EXPENDITURES

s

1,000

1,000
-V.

800

800
RECEIPTS

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)

-200

-200
1

1981

1982

1984

1983

1987

1986

1985

1988

1

1

1989

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Federal Government expenditures

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6

340.4
357.0
401.2
408.0

74.6
81.1
97.7
108.3

55.9
50.9
53.4
55.8

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.4
1,104.0

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6

128.3
134.6
138.8
149.0

20.7
22.8
31.9
35.1

-0.1
.0
.1
I

-185.5
-212.8
-163.1
-145.4

Calendar year:
1985
1986
1987
1988

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4

346.4
361.4
405.8
413.0

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7

310.9
332.1
350.8
391.3

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8
1,118.3

355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4

20.3
26.0
32.6
36.0

2
.0
.0
.0

-196.9
-206.9
-161.4
-145.8

633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8

303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2

46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9

47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8

236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9

835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8

347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8

84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0

87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0

23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2

.0
.0
.6
.0
.0

-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
-212.2
-189.0

921.5
937.4

408.1
420.0

107.4
103.1

53.8
54.5

352.2
359.7

1,065.5
1,101.7

384.5
388.1

414.3
421.9

101.7
102.2

142.5
147.3

22.7
41.9

.2
2

-143.9
— 164.4

944.7
973.2
977.3
994.6

402.7
417.5
411.4
420.3

104.2
111.6
114.0
115.8

55.9
55.9
57.4
57.8

382.0
388.2
394.5
400.6

1,096.5
1,114.7
1,099.8
1,162.1

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

433.0
434.4
438.0
447.6

110.1
112.2
111.0
112.2

144.9
149.9
153.9
157.0

34.4
41.2
29.4
38.9

.0
.0
.0
.0

-151.8
-141.5
-122.5
-167.6

1,036.2
1,053.2

446.8
465.1

117.0
109.7

58.0
58.2

414.3
420.2

1,183.7
1,198.6

399.0
406.0

460.4
466.9

118.7
118.4

167.0
172.0

38.5
35.3

.0
.0

-147.5
-145.4

19821983:
19841985:
1986-

IV..
IV
IV
IV
IV

1987: UJ..
IV
1988- I

rr....
TTT

IV..
1989: I r

n

.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34



INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84=100)

Industrial production (1977=100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985 .
1986
1987
1988

1988- July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989:

Jan
Feb .
Mar

July r .
Aug *.... .
1

United
Kingdom

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
r
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7

119.0
119.0
119.6
119.0
119.6
118.8

118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
129.3
120.5

123.7
124.1
124.2
124.8
125.1
125.1

105.3
105.6
106.4
106.9
106.5
106.2

124.7
125.0
125.3
125.6
125.8
126.0

106.3
106.3
106.3
106.4
106.7
106.9

140.9
141.5
142.2
143.3
144.5
145.0

125.4
126.8
127.4
128.7
129.2
129.6

118.1
117.6
117.8
117.8
116.4
116.5

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6

125.7
126.6
127.2
127.6
128.9
129.6
130.4
130.5

106.0
105.7
106.2
108.1
108.7
108.6
108.4

126.5
126.8
127.2
128.0
128.5
128.7
129.0

108.1
108.4
108.6
109.2
109.5
109.6
109.5

146.1
147.3
148.0
149.0
149.6
150.3
150.7
150.9

130.4
131.4
131.9
134.3
135.1
135.6
135.7
136.1

Germany

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

104.8
106.9
96.5
102.7
115.2
r
!21.6
r
!21.5
r
128.3
' 136.3

119.0
120.3
120.7
124.5
136.1
141.0
140.8
145.7
159.1

107.2
106.1
105.0
105.0
106.1
106.1
107.2
109.4
114.3

108.0
105.9
102.7
103.3
106.2
111.0
113.0
113.7
118.1

114.8
113.0
109.5
105.9
109.5
110.7
114.7
119.3
126.4

99.8
96.7
98.5
102.2
102.4
107.9
110.2
114.1
118.2

138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

137.4
138.7
138.8
137.8
137.1
137.9

156.4
160.8
161.6
160.2
165.0
166.1

116.0
116.0
117.2
113.2
118.0
117.3

116.1
121.3
120.0
119.4
119.1
121.2

128.5
126.0
124.1
127.6
129.1
132.2

136.7
137.4
' 137.0
'137.7
' 137.9
137.9

167.3
164.5
172.5
166.3
167.3
r
170.7
167.1

118.2
117.4
116.6
120.7
r
l!8.1
119.9

121.2
120.5
121.3
124.3
118.6
' 123.6
126.9

127.9
130.3
126.9
127.0

r

Italy

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3

France

r

Germany

Japan

Japan

Italy

United
States '

Canada

Canada

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.7
141.6
' 141.9
142.0
1424

May

United
Kingdom

r

France

72.2
81.8
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.3

r

63.2
86.7
92.2
75.4
97.1
87.7
100.3
100.8
102.7
111.5
104.9 '121.1
'104.7 128.5
105.0
134.4
106.2
141.1

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
'111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

Data relate to all urban consumers.

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted}
General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) 1
Principal end-use commodity category

1982
1983

1988- July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May
June'
July
1
2




79
89
87
82
91
9.1

66
72
76
77

37 9
382
39 5
39.0
405
39 3
38.3

22
20
21
20
22
20
1.9

10 7
100
11 0
11.3
11 7
11 4
11.1

90
93
93
91
99
95
9.0

35
34
36
44
40
3.6

94
93
99
10.1
98
106
10.9

24
24
25
24
23
23
2.2

24

47
42
42
4.4
4.6
40
3.6

Capital
goods
except
automotive

25
27

2.8
26

29
2.7

Other 2

20.7
20.5

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada.
arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical

3
Total
4

97
102
93
99
98
10.2

20
20
21
20
20
2.3

29
29
32
31
32
32
2.9

71
75
76
80
79
83
8.4

19
22
20
21
21
2.2

21
28
25
25
25
2.7

29 0
28 8
30 1
308
305
31 3
30.7

27 5

35 1
37 6
368
37 1
38 1
39.7

92
93
94
94
94
10.1

28.9

26 6
27 5
27 6
27 9

21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8

325.7
345.3
365.4
406.2
441.0

71
71
72
68
70
7.4

227.2
254.1
322.4

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7

24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4

28
29
29
27
26
2.8

224.0

4
218.8
4

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2

61.7

107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3

16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3

56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1

116.4
205.6

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

15.7

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3

Total

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Industrial
supplies
and

2

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Foods,
feeds,
and
bever-

Period

Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Total

244.0
258.0

Foods
feeds,
and
hever-

17.1
18.2
21.0

Industrial
plies
and

112.0

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

39.7

6.5
6.3

44.9

60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9

7.8
9.4
10.4

12.1
12.8

merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Exports
(t.a.s)
less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

254.9
269.9
346.4

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4

352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5

-27.5
-52.4
-101.7
-126.5
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
— 85
-10.1
— 92
— 9.2
-10.5
-10.8

-9.9
-11.7
— 10.6
-10.7
-12.1
-12.5

— 8.9
— 9.4
— 9.5
-8.3
— 10.1
-8.0
-7.6

-10.5
-10.9
-11.2
-9.9
-11.7
-9.6
-9.3

11
11
11
1.1

8.0

79
81
80
8.1
83
9.0

1.2

36 5
39.2
38 2
38.6
39.6
41.3

74
76
77
73
72
67
6.7

77
8.3
83
8.3
8.5
85
8.6

9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
11
1.0

39.5
39.7
41.2
40.7
42.2
40.9
40.0

75

12

month basis.
NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the second quarter of 1989, the current account deficit rose to $31.0 billion, from $30.4 billion in the first
quarter. The merchandise trade deficit fell to $27.7 billion, from $28.4 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

10

10

-40

-45
1989
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)]

Merchandise 1 2

Investment income 3

Payments

Net

Net
military
transactions

42 119
52 329
54 884
52 376
67 419
62 901
66 968
82 420
105 548
-17,357
-17,533
-15,729
-16,350
19 755
-20,554
-21,904
-20,207
-23,955
-25,613
-27,310
-28,670
-29,246
-31,947

30 387
34 083
28 664
24 875
18 489
25 931
21 647
22 283
2 227
6,613
4,545
6,015
4,472
5 362
2,190
1,674
13,058
2,795
-2,465
-2,590
4,489
-2,416
-5,015

2 577
1 523
474
040
2 099
3 557
4 576
2 857
4 606
-1,411
-1,298
-1,089
-777
176
— 210
-1,031
-1,440
-964
— 1,033
-1,006
-1,604
-1,498
-1,630

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986:

I
II
Ill
IV
1987- I
II
Ill
IV
1988: I

n
in

IV

1989: I r
II "
1
2
3

Exports

Imports

224 269
237 085
211 198
201 820
219 900
215935
223 367
250 266
319 251
53,899
56,796
56,182
56,490
57 255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447
78,471
80,604
83,729
87,919
90,866

249 749
265 063
247 642
268 900
332 422
338 083
368 425
409 766
446 466
-89,549
-90,812
-92,983
-95,081
95 916
-99,834
- 104,903
-109,113
- 109,893
- 109,882
-110,943
-115,748
-116,297
-118,584

Net balance

Receipts

25 480 72 506
27 978 86 412
36 444 83 548
67 080 77 251
112 522 85 908
122 148 88 832
145 058 88 615
159 500 104 703
127 215 107 775
-35,650 23,970
-34,016 22,078
-36,801 21,744
-38,591 20,822
38661 25 117
-39,819 22J744
-40,606 23,578
-40,414 33,265
-33,446 26,750
-31,411 23,148
-30,339 24,720
-32,019 33,159
-28,378 26,830
-27,718 26,932

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36



Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

997
144
992
4 227
7 885
9 832
8 031
7 324
2 633
-2,452
-1,465
-1,874
-2,241
1 965
-2,088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
-297
512

Other
services,
net3

Balance on
goods and
services

7 794
11 085
11 436

9 126
15 810
2 191
34 510
91 718
97 256
117 470
129 488
111 892
-28,280
-27,653
-29,210
-32,330
31 190
-35,555
-36,687
-26,055
-28,682
-30,586
-28,964
-23,659
-26,864
-27,894

12 299
12 351
18 547
17 909
20 335
4,620
4,581
4,539
4,807
4 250
4,372
4,555
4,734
4,787
5,042
5,126
5,381
5,725
5,957

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers '
7 593
7 647
9 188
12 468
15 778
14 656
-3,068
-4,199
-4,376
-4,136
3 137
-3,265
-3,225
-4,586
-3,364
-2,899
-3,376
-5,018
-3,526
-3,094

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Balance
on current
account

1 533
8 163
6 997
44 286
104 186
112 682
133 249
143 700
126 548
-31,348
-31,852
-33,586
-36,466
34 327
-38^820
-39,912
-30,641
-32,046
-33,485
-32,340
-28,677
-30,390
-30,988

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks decreased $28.5 billion in the second quarter
of 1989, compared with an increase of $22.1 billion in the first quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported
by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, decreased $22.8 billion in the second quarter, compared with an
increase of $13.3 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

1989

1981
-SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase /capit
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 1 2

Other U.S.
Government
assets

Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase/capital inflow ( + )] 2

]

U.S.
private
assets

Total

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
-32,628
-99,665
-76,218
-82,110

8 155
-5,175
-4,965
-1,196
3,131
-3,858
312
9,149
-3,566

n
in

— 15,401
-24,763
-26,078
-33,422

-115
16
280
132

-232
238
-1,565
11

-15,054
24 541
-24,793
-33,565

39,048
50,291
69,927
62,339

m

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

1,956
3,419
32
3,742

40
195
308
843

6,763
25 856
-26,316
40955

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

n
m

4,540
-16,119
-37,886
-32,648

1,503
39
-7,380
2,272

-1,490
885
1,961
3,413

4,528
15 273
-32,467
38 332

27,027
65,334
46,179
80,759

HP....

-31,318
7,476

-4,000
-12,095

1,049
-372

-28,367
19,943

60,007
-3,117

1988
1986: I

IV
1987: I
II
IV
1988: I

IV
1989: I r

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs),
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




72 802
5 162
-5,097 -100,679
-6,131 -110.058
-5,006
-43,576
5489
13 685
-2,821 -25,950
97 954
2024
997 -86,363
2,999
-81,543

58 112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

ivertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve

Foreign
official
assets

Other
foreign
assets

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
-1,083
35,594
45,193
38,882
2,720
15,838
15,785
1,251
14,040
10,329
753
20,070
24,631
5,895
-2,234
10,589
7,478
-4,948

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

1,152
1,093

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

25,322
18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15,298
11,308
1,878
-10,641

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net *
(unadjusted,
end of
period)
26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

36,328
34,453
54,142
61,088

7,701
6,324
- 10,263
7,549

3,515
-3,306
4 669
4,463

44,919
46,595
48,087
48,511

19,341
40,805
72,822
39,879

-7,813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

3,895
2 559
-4,501
3,166

48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
— 19,434

3,843
3 714
-4,556
4,431

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

52,529
1,831

1,702
26,629

4,127
-2,340

49,854
60,502

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
' Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.
38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1989 0—22-220