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95th Congress, 2d Session

•1-1

^of®^5

-•

Economic indicators
T

September 1978

Prepared for the joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1978

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Chairman
LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin)
WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania)
LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana)
GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana)
PARREN J. MITCHELL (Maryland)
CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio)
GARRY BROWN (Michigan)
MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts)
JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California)

SENATE
JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama)
WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)
ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
GEORGE McGOVERN (South Dakota)
JACOB K. JAVITS (New York)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
JAMES A. McCLURE (Idaho)
ORRIN G. HATCH (Utah)

JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
CHARLES L. SCHULTZE, Chairman
LYLE E. GRAMLEY
WILLIAM D. NORDHAUS

[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint
Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a
sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at
Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to
the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic
Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository
libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23; 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $1.30 a single copy
or by subscription at $15.00 per year ($3.75 additional for foreign mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, B.C. 20402

11




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME,

SPENDING

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
According to revised estimates for the second quarter, gross national product rose $95.5 billion or 20.6 percent,
both at annual rates. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) increased 8.7 percent from the first quarter level
and the implicit price deflator rose at an 11.0 percent annual rate.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALQ
2,200

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALQ
2,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

2,000

2,000

1,800

1,600

1,600

GNP
IN CURRENT DOLLARS

1,400

1,200

1,200

GNP
IN 1972 DOLLARS

1,000.

1,000
I
1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1977

1976

1975

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF fOMMSRCE

1978

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of currerit dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual ra1bes]
Gross
national
product

Period

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

Go\rernment purchases of goods and
services

Export s and imp>orts of
goodIs and sen/ices

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

796.3 490.4
868.5 535.9
935. 5 579.7
982.4 618. 8
1, 063. 4 668. 2
1, 171. 1 733.0
1, 306. ft 809.9
1, 412. 9 889.6
1, 528. 8 979. 1
1, 700. 1 1, 090. 2
1, 887. 2 1, 206. 5

120.8
131.5
146. 2
140.8
160. 0
188.3
220.0
214.6
190.9
243.0
297.8

4.9
2.3
1.8
3.9
1.6
-3.3
7. 1
6.0
20.4
7.4
-11. 1

45.6
49.9
54.7
62.5
65. 6
72.7
101.6
137.9
147.3
163.2
175.5

40.6
47.7
52.9
58.5
64. 0
75.9
94.4
131.9
126.9
155.7
186.6

180.2
198.7
207.9
218.9
233. 7
253. 1
269.5
302.7
338.4
359.5
394.0

1, 806. 8 1, 167. 7
1, 867. 0 1, 188. 6
III.. 1, 916. 8 1, 214. 5
IV.._ 1, 958. 1 1, 255. 2

272.5
295. 6
309.7
313.5

— 8.5
-5.9
-7.0
-23.2

170.9
178. 1
180.8
172.1

179.4
184.0
187.8
195.2

1, 992. 0 1, 276. 7
2, 087. 5 1, 322. 9

322.7
345.4

— 24. 1
-5.5

181.7
205.4

205.8
210.9

1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977:1

1978:1
II...

i This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense,
shown on p. 33.




Total

National
defense l

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

129.9
145. 1

71.5
76.9
76.3
73.5
70.2
73.5
73.5
77.0
83.7
86.8
94.3

19.5
21.2
21. 2
22. 1
26. 0
28.6
28.7
34. 1
39.4
43.1
50.8

89. 3
100.7
110.4
123.2
137.5
151. 0
167. 3
191. 5
215.4
229. 6
248. 9

786.2
860.8
926.2
978.6
1, 057. 1
1, 161. 7
1, 288. 6
1, 404. 0
1, 539. 6
1, 689. 9
1, 871. 6

375.0
388.8
399. 5
412. 5

138.3
142.9
146. 8
152.2

91.9
93.7
94,4
97.1

46.4
49. 3
52.4
55. 1

236.7
245. 9
252. 7
260.3

1, 796. 5
1, 850. 0
1, 894. 9
1, 945. 0

416.7
424.7

151.5
147.2

97.9
98.6

53.6
48. 6

265.2
277. 6

1, 975. 3
2, 067. 4

90.9
98.0
97.5
95.6
96. 2
102. 1
102.2
11L 1

mi

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Exp»orts of gc>ods
Gross iprivate do mestic
aiad service£
irivestment
Personal
conGross
Change
national sumpNonResi- in busition
product
Net Exports Imports
resiexpend- dential dential ness in- exports
ventofixed
itures
fixed
ries

Period

1, 007. 7
1967_
1968. -_ -_ 1, 051. 8
1, 07a 8
1969
1, 075. 3
1970
1, 107. 5
1971.
1972.. __ 1, 171. 1
M73_._ _ 1, 235. 0
1974_. _ 1, 217. 8
1, 202. 3
1975.
1, 271. 0
1976.
1, 332. 7
1977.

603.2
633. 4
655. 4
66R9
691.9
733. 0
767. 7
760. 7
774 6
819.4
857.7

103.5
108.0
114. 3
110. 0
108. 0
116. 8
131. 0
130.6
113.6
118.9
129.8

37.2
42.8
43.2
40.4
52.2
62.0
59.7
45. 0
38. 8
47.8
57.7

1977:1—. 1, 306. 7
II_— 1, 325. 5
III— jl, 343. 9
IV... 11, 354. 5

846.6
849. 5
858. 0
876.6

12a8
129.1
130. 8
132. 5

53. 5
58.0
58.8
60.3

1978: 1— . 1, 354. 2
II... 1, 382. 6

873. 5
886. 3

133. 8
140.5

59. 5
59.9

as

Governrnent purebases of
good s and serdees
Tji'

Total

State
and
local

Federal

ni
.rinal
sales

50.7
58.9
63.5
65.7
68.5
75.9
79. 9
77. 1
67. 5
80.5
88. 7

248. 3
259.2
256.7
250.2
249. 4
253. 1
252. 5
257. 7
262. 6
262.8
269. 2

125.3
128. 3
121. 8

15.9
22.6
15.4
9. 5

54.2
58.5
62.2
67. 1
67.9
72.7
87.4
93. 0
90.0
95.9
98.2

110.7
103.9
102. 1
96. 6
95. 8
96.5
96.6
101.6

123. 1
130.9
134. 9
139. 5
145. 5
151. 0
155.9
161. 8
166. 1
166. 2
167. 6

10. 0
12. 2

11.2
11.0
12. 5
3. 1

97.4
98.9
100. 8
96. 0

85. 9
87.9
88.2
92. 9

262.8
267. 9
271.7
274.5

98.7
101.3
102. 9
103. 6

164. 1 1, 300. 9
166. 6 1, 315. 5
168.8 1, 331. 7
170.9 1, 347. 1

12.3
12. 7

2.9

99. 1 ',
108.4 1

96. 2
97. 1

272.1
271.9

101.2
97. 1

12.0
8. 7
10.6

4,3
6.6
9.4

16.5
8.0

~9. 8
6. 7
8.9

5.8
7.5

-.4

-1.3
1.4
—.6

-3.3
7.6

11.3

1

i

170. 8
174.8

995.7
1, 043. 1
1, 068. 2
1,071.0
1, 100. 9
1, 161. 7
1, 218. 5
1, 209. 9
1,212. 1
1, 264. 4
1, 323. 8

1,341. 8
1, 369. 9

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1972 = 100]

Period

Gross
national
product

Persona consump tion expe]aditures

Total

Gross ]private
dom estic
invesi ,ment

Nonres- ResiNonDurable durable Services idential dential
goods
goods
fixed
fixed

Expor ts and
Governnlent purimports of goods chases c)f goods
and scjrvices
and se rvices
Exports Imports Federal

State
and

local

1967.
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

79.02
82.57
86.72
91.36
96. 02
100. 00
105. 80
116. 02
127. 15
133. 76
141. 61

81.3
84.6
88.5
92.5
96.6
100.0
105.5
116. 9
126. 4
133. 1
140.7

87.4
90.7
93. 1
95.5
99.0
100.0
101.6
108. 4
117.7
124. 4
129.5

81.9
85.3
89.4
93. 6
96.6
100.0
107. 9
123. 8
133.4
138.2
145. 0

78.8
82.0
86. 1
90.5
95.8
100.0
104. 7
113. 6
123.2
131.6
141. 0

79.3
82.6
86. 6
91. 3
96.4
100. 0
103. 8
115. 3
132. 2
138. 4
146.7

77.0
80.7
87.7
90. 6
94, 9
100.0
110. 8
122. 3
132. 8
142. 5
159.4

84. 0
85. 3
87.9
93. 1
96. 6
100.0
116.2
148. 3
163.6
170. 1
178.7

80. 1
80. 9
83. 3
89. 1
93.5
100. 0
118. 2
171. 0
188.0
193. 5
210.3

72. 6
76.4
80.0
86. 4
92. 6
100.0
105.8
115. 9
127.5
134. 4
142.7

72. 5
76.9
81.9
88. 3
94. 5
100.0
107. 3
118.4
129.7
138. 1
148. 5

1977:1
II
III
IV

138. 27
14a86
142. 63
144. 56

137.9
139. 9
141. 6
143.2

128. 4
128.9
129.5
130. 9

142. 4
144.7
145. 7
147. 0

137.4
139. 7
142. 3
144. 4

142. 5
145. 0
147.9
151.2

152.3
157. 6
160.6
166. 1

176. 1
180.0
179.4
179. 2

208. 9
209. 3
212. 9
210.2

140. 1
141. 1
142.7
146. 9

144.3
147.6
149.7
152.3

1978: I
II

147. 10
150. 98

146.2
149. 3

133. 1
135.7

150.4
154.4

147. 1
149.9

153. 6
156. 7

168. 6
175.7

183.3
189.4

213. 8
217. 2

149. 6
151.5

155. 2
158.8

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross national p roduct

Constant
(1972)
dollars

Current
dollars

Period

5.8

1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

9. 1
7.7
5.0
8.2

10. 1
11. 6
8. 1

__

8.2

11.2
11.0

13.7
14. 0
11. 1

1977: I
II.....
III
IV

8.9

7.1

1978: I

20. 6

II

Implicit
price
deflator

Gross ciomestic ] >roduct
Fixedweighted
price
index
(1972
weights)

Chain
price
index

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

Constant
(1972)
dollars

Chain
price
index

Fixedweighted
price
index
(1972
weights)

2.7
4.4
2.6
—.3
3. 0
5.7
5.5
-1.4
-1.3
5.7
4.9

2.9
4.5
5.0
5.4
5. 1
4. 1
5.8
9.7
9. 6
5.2
5.9

3.0
4.4
5.0
5.3
5.0
4. 1
6.0
9.9
9.4
5. 6
6.2

3.0
4.3
5.0
5.2
4.9
4. 0
6.0
10.2
9.3
5.6
6.3

5.7
9.1
7.8
5.0
8.1
10.1
11.5
7.9
8.5
11.0
10. 9

2.7
4.4
2.6
—.3
2.8
5.8
5.4
-1.3
— 1. 1
5.6
4.8

3.0
4,5
5. 1
5.3
5. 1
4. 1
5.7
9.3
9.7
5.2
5.8

3. 1
4.4
5.0
5.3
5. 0
4. 1
5.9
9.6
9.4
5.7
6. 1

3. 0
4. 4
5. 0
5. 2
4. 9
4. 0
5. 9
9.9
9. 3
5.7
6. 3

7. 3
5.9
5.7
3. 2

6.0
7.7
5. 1
5.5

6.6
7. 3
4,6
6.5

7.0
7.4
4.7
6.8

13. 3

7. 1
5.8
5.8
3.5

5.7
7.7
5. 1
5.8

6.4
7.4
4.5
6.7

6. 8
7. 5
4. 6
7.0

7.2
11.0

7.1
10.8

7.0
11.0

6.7
20.1

—.4

7.1
10.9

7. 1
10.9

7.0
11.0

a

ij^i

NOTE.—Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changes from
previous quarter.

ia 9

11.2
9.5

as

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Cijrrent-dol lar cost a nd profit per unit of outpu t (dollars) i

Gross d omestic
prodt ct of
nonfin ancial
corp(>rate
busi ness
(billic>ns of
doll ars)

Period

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
Compenallowances Indirect sation
Net
inwith business
of
3
employ- terest
capital taxes
ees
consumption
adjustment

Current
dollars

1972
dollars

452. 9
498. 4
541. 8
560. 6
_
602. 5
671. 0
752. 0
808. 8
874. 1
988. 5
1, 103. 2

545. 8
581. 6
607. 3
600. 6
619. 3
671. 0
720. 4
695. 0
680.0
730. 0
769. 3

1} 048. 5
I, 093. 3
1, 124. 6
1, 146. 3

750. 2
766. 9
776. 7
783. 6

1.
1.
1.
1.

398
426
448
463

. 149
. 149
. 151
. 152

.
.
.
.

1978: I _ _ _ _ ll, 161. 6
II
i 1, 233. 0

783.6
811.9

1. 482
1. 519

. 155
. 153

. 145
. 145

1967
1968
1969
1970__
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

1977:1
II...
Ill—
IV___

1

0.830
. 857
. 892
. 933
. 973
1. 000
1. 044
1. 164
1.285
1. 354
1. 434

0.072
. 074
.079
. 088
. 094
. 093
. 095
. 116
. 142
. 146
. 150

Total

Profits
tax
liability

0.535 0. 016 0. 123
0. 084
0. 051
. 553 .017
. 124
. 058
.089
. 055
. 094
. 589 . 022 . 109
. 045
. 103
.628
. 028
.086
. 645
. 048
. 110
. 029 . 095
. 107
. 661
. 028
.050
. 110
.055
. 112
. 032
. 105
. 699
. 061
. 123
. 796
. 043 . 086
. 136 . 848
. 113
. 060
. 045
. 042
.073
. 136
.891
. 139
. 952
. 044
. 077
. 140
. 148
140
139
140
142

1
Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate
business
in 1972 dollars.
2
This is equal to~the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
* Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments
less subsidies.




Corpo rate profi ts with
inventc)ry valuai ion and
capit al consuniption
aidjustmen ts

. 932
.946
. 955
. 973

1.008
1. 017

. 043
.043
. 044
. 045

.
.
.
.

134
148
158
151

.046
.045

. 129
. 157

Profits
after4
tax
0.072
. 066
. 055
. 041
. 046
. 057
.050
. 024
. 053
.066
.071

ComOutput
penper
sation
hour
per
of all
hour
employ- of all
ees
employ(1972
ees
dollars) (dollars)

6. 873
7. 105
7. 139
7. 132
7.374
7.595
7. 780
7. 504
7.777
8. 045
8. 190

3.
3.
4.
4.
4.
5.
5.
5.
6.
7.
7.

676
929
198
473
757
024
440
971
597
166
794

7.
7.
7.
8.

550
709
884
027

. 075
.078
. 076
. 077

.059
.070
.082
. 074

8.
8.
8.
8.

.071
.086

.057
.071

8. 198
8. 280

097
152
257
252

8. 264
8. 434

< With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees 1

Propri etors'
incom<2 with
inventory valuation anc capital
consunaption
adjust ments

Farm

1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

.

Nonfarm

Corpor ate profits5 with inventory valuation
and capital consumptio Q adjusted ente

"R fmtal

income
of persons
with,
capital
consumption
adjustment

Profits with inv entory
valuat,ion adjustment
and Twithout c«tpital
consum ption adjiistment
Profits
before
tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Total
Total

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

70.2
79.5

19.4
18.6
18.1
18.6
20. 1
21.5
21. 6
21.4
22. 4
22.5
22.5

79. 3
85.8
81.4
67. 9
77.2
92. 1
99. 1
83. 6
95. 9
127. 0
144. 2

75. 6
82. 1
77.9
66. 4
76. 9
89.6
97.2
86. 5
107.9
141.4
159. 1

77.3
85.6
83. 4
71.5
82.0
96.2
115. 8
126. 9
120. 4
155. 9
173. 9

1.7
— 3.4
-5.5
-5. 1
5. 0
-6.6
-18. 6
-40. 4
-12.4
-14. 5
-14. 8

3.7
3.7
3.5
1.5
.3
2.5
1.9
-2.9
-12.0
-14. 4
-14. 9

24.3
26.8
30.8
37.5
42.8
47.0
52.3
69. 0
78. 6
84.3
95. 4

471.9
655. 8
519.8
7144
57L 4
767.9
609.2
798.4
650.3
858. 1
715. 1
951.9
799. 2
1,064.6
875.8
1, 136. 0
931. 1
1, 215. 0
1, 359. 2 1, 036. 8
1, 515. 3 1, 153. 4

12.1
12. 0
13.9
13.9
14.3
18.0
32.0
25.4
23. 5
18.4
20.2

4&9
51.4
52. 3
51.2
53.4
58. 1
60.4
60.9

ea 5

1977:1
II
III
IV

1, 447. 5
1, 499. 3
1, 537. 6
1, 576. 9

1, 107. 9
1, 140. 5
1, 165. 8
1, 199. 7

19.4
20.0
16.5
25. 1

76. 1
78.9
80.8
82.3

22. 5
22. 4
22.4
22.7

129.9
143. 7
154. 8
148.2

144.5
158. 5
169. 9
163.5

164.8
175. 1
177. 5
178.3

-20.3
-16. 6
-7.7
-14.8

-14. 6
-14.8
-15.0
-15.3

91.7
93.7
97. 3
99.0

1978:1
II

1, 603. 1 1, 241. 0
1, 688. 1 1, 287. 8

21.9
24.0

83. 1
86. 1

22. 8
22.2

132. 6
163.4

148.7
180. 6

172. 1
205. 5

-23. 5
-24.9

-16. 1
-17.2

101.7
1046

1

Includes employer contributions for social Insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondura :>le goods

Durable goo<Is

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durableJ
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Total
nondurable
goods *

Food

Clothing
and
shoes

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (nlillions
of uiaits)
Services
Gasoline
and oil

!

Domestics

Imports

1967
490.4
1968___
535. 9
1969
579. 7
1970
618.8
1971
668.2
1972
733. 0
1973
809. 9
1974
889. 6
1975
__
979. 1
1976
1, 090. 2
1977_.
1, 206. 5

69. 6
80. 0
85.5
849
97. 1
111. 2
123. 7
122. 0
132. 6
156. 6
178. 4

29. 7
35.8
37.7
349
43. 8
50. 6
55. 2
48.0
53. 4
69. 7
81.5

29.5
32.6
35.0
36. 7
39. 4
448
50.7
54 9
58.0
63.9
71. 3

212. 6
230.4
247.0
264 7
277. 7
299.3
333.8
376. 3
408.9
442.6
479. 0

109. 6
118. 3
126. 1
136. 3
140.6
150.4
168. 1
189.8
209. 6
225. 8
245.2

38.2
41.8
45. 1
46. 6
50. 5
55. 1
61. 3
65. 3
70. 1
75.7
81. 5

17.0
18.4
20.4
22. 0
23.4
249
27. 8
36. 4
39.5
42. 8
46. 5

208. 1
225.6
247.2
269. 1
293.4
322. 4
352. 3
391.3
437.5
491.0
549. 2

7.6
8. 6
8. 5
7. 1
8. 7
9. 3
9. 7
7. 5
7. 1
8. 6
9. 1

0. 8
10
1. 1
1. 3
1. 6
1. 6
1. 8
1. 4
1. 6
1. 5
2. 1

1977:1.....
II
III____
IV

1, 167. 7
1, 188. 6
1, 214 5
1, 255. 2

173.2
175. 6
177. 4
187.2

81.3
81.2
79.5
840

68. 0
69.9
72.0
75. 3

465.9
473.6
479. 7
496. 9

237. 5
2445
246.4
252. 6

78.5
79.3
81.4
86.7

46. 1
46. 2
46. 0
47.5

528.6
539.4
557. 5
571. 1

9.4
9. 2
8. 9
9.0

1. 9
2. 3
2 o

1978:1
II

1, 276. 7
1, 322. 9

183.5
197. 8

84 1
92.5

72. 1
76.5

501.4
519.3

257.7
267. 8

82.9
87.5

48.3
49. 1

591.8
605. 8

8.7
10.0

1

Total includes other items not shown separately.

4




2.0
2. 1
2. 1.

Source : Department of Commerce, Buream of Economic Analysis.

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $8.6 billion (annual rate) in August following increases of $24.2 billion in July and $13.5
billion in June. Wages and salaries rose $3.4 billion in August, compared with $11.0 billion in July. Farm proprietors*
income declined slightly again in August, while all other major types of income rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
12,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,000

1,200

1,800
1,600.
1,400
1,200

1,000

1,000

1,800
1,600
1,400

800

800

600

600

WAG.E AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

400

400

OTHER INCOME

200

200

100

100

80

80

60

60
I i t u I I LJ 1 I
1970

1971

1972

1974

1973

I | \ | j | 1 t L i\ It ! t I I II 1 11

1976

1975

1977

t \ 1 I I I I I I 1.1

1978

^SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCls DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Wage
3
Rental
Total
and
Other Proprietc >rs' income income
Transfer
Divi- Personal
personal salary
labor 1 2
payinterest
of
dends
income disburse- income
income ments 5
Farm
Nonfarm persons 4
ments *

Less: Per- Nonsonal confarm
tributions personal
for social income 8
insurance

546.5
579.4
633. 8
701.3
7646
805.9
890.1
983.6

32.0
36.2
42. 0
48.7
55. 6
65.1
77.0
90.4

13. 9
14. 3
18.0
32.0
25. 4
23.5
18.4
20,2

51. 2
53.4
58. 1
60.4
60.9
63.5
70.2
79. 5

18. 6
20. 1
21.5
21. 6
21.4
22.4
22.5
22. 5

22. 9
23. 0
24.6
27.8
31.0
31.9
37.9
43.7

64. 3
69. 3
74.6
84. 1
103.0
115.5
126.3
141.2

79.9
94. 1
104. 1
118.9
140.8
178.2
193.9
208.8

28.0
30. 8
34. 2
42.2
47.7
50.5
55.5
61. 0

780.7
838.0
917.3
1, Oil. 9
1, 119. 3
1, 220. 8
1, 349. 5
1, 494. 4

1977: Aug.... 1, 540. 7
Sept... 1, 556. 9
Oct
1, 577. 0
Nov
1, 592. 7
Dec
1, 609. 2

991.5
1, 000. 4
1, 014. 1
1, 022. 3
1, 027. 3

92.2
93.5
94.8
96. 1
97.3

15. 0
18.5
22. 1
24.6
28.5

80.8
81.0
81.4
82.2
83.2

22.4
22.4
22.4
22.6
22.9

44.1
44.4
45,1
45. 5
48.3

143.7
145, 1
145.3
145.5
147.3

212. 1
213.3
214.2
216. 5
217.2

61. 3
61.6
62.4
62.6
62.8

1, 511. 2
1, 523. 9
1, 540. 1
1, 553. 1
1, 565. 5

1978: Jan
1, 615. 5
1, 625. 0
Feb
Mar
1, 646. 3
Apr
1, 669. 4
I, 682. 1
May
June — 1, 695. 7
July »_- 1, 719. 9
Aug »__ 1, 728. 4

1, 038. 3
1, 047. 4
1, 066. 6
1, 083. 9
1, 088. 4
1, 098. 4
1, 109. 4
1, 112. 8

98. 7
100.0
101.3
102.7
104. 0
105.4
106. 7
108.0

25.6
21.5
18.6
22.0
24.8
25.3
24.4
24. 0

82.0
83.0
84.4
85. 5
86. 1
86.7
88.0
88.4

23.0
22.8
22. 6
22. 3
22. 1
22. 1
24. 3
24. 4

46.8
47.0
47.2
47.4
48.0
49. 0
49.2
50.3

149. 6
151.4
153.3
154. 8
156. 5
157. 6
159. 1
160. 6

218.1
219.0
220. 3
219. 7
221. 3
220. 8
229.0
230.4

66. 5
67.0
68.0
68.9
69. 0
69. 6
70.3
70.4

1, 574. 7
1, 588. 3
1, 612. 5
1, 631. 9
1, 641. 8
1, 654. 7
1, 679. 7
1, 688. 5

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

801.3
859. 1
942. 5
1, 052. 4
1, 154. 9
1, 255. 5
1, 380. 9
1, 529. 0

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs
from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2 Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare
funds;
workmen's compensation; directors' fees; and a few other minor items.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
--With capital consumption adjustment.




fi
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
6
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other
labor income, and agricultural net interest.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable income rose again in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* {RATIO SCALE)
1,600

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

PERSONAL OUTLAYS

1

1

1

I

1

1

1

!

1

1

I

!

!

I

f

!

!

I

1

DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME-

2,000

2,000
1970

1978

1971

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

T

Period

Personal
Pertax
sonal
and
income nontax
payments

Equals :
Disposable
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays l

Per cjapita
dispc>sable
Equals : persona ] income
Personal
saving Current
1972
dollars dollars

Bil lions of d ollars

115. 4
630.4
595.3
685. 9
115.3
635. 4
742. 8
116. 3
685. 5
141. 2
801. 3
751. 9
150. 8
901.7
831. 3
984. 6
170.3
913. 0
168. 8 1, 086. 7 1, 003. 0
196. 5 1, 184. 4 1, 116. 3
226. 0 1, 303. 0 1, 236. 1

1977: !_.___ 1, 470. 7
!!___ 1, 508. 6
Ill— 1, 543. 7
I V _ _ 1, 593. 0

222. 7
223. 3
224. 6
233. 3

1972
dollars

Saving
as percent of Populadispostion
able
(thou-2
persands)
sonal
income

35. 1
50.6
57. 3
49. 4
70. 3
71. 7
83. 6
68. 0
66.9

3, 111
3,348
3, 588
3, 837
4,285
4, 646
5,088
5,504
6, 009

3,515
3, 619
3,714
3,837
4, 062
3,973
4, 025
4, 136
4, 271

2, 860
3,020
3,227
3,510
3,849
4, 197
4,584
5, 066
5, 564

3,234
3,265
3,342
3, 510
3, 648
3,589
3, 627
3, 808
3,955

1. 5
3. 0
2. 6
3. 3
5. 9
-2. 2
1. 3
2. 8
3. 3

7. 7
6. 2
7. 8
7. 3
7. 7
5. 7
5. 1

202, 677
204, 878
207, 053
208, 846
210, 410
211, 945
213, 566
213, 191
216, 856

Season ally ad; usted annlual rates
52. 2
5, 772
4, 185
67. 5
5, 934
4, 241
74.3
6, 077
4,293
73.7
6, 250
4, 365

5,401
5,487
5,595
5, 770

3, 916
3,922
3, 953
4,030

1. 1
5. 5
5. 0
6. 9

4. 2
5. 3
5. 6
5. 4

216,
216,
217
217,

5,859
6,060

4, 009
4,060

2.7

5. 9

217, 897
218, 290

1, 195. 8
1, 217. 8
1, 244. 8
1, 285. 9

1978:I____ 1, 628. 9 237. 3 1, 391. 6 1, 309. 2
!!.__ 1, 682. 4 249. 1 1, 433. 3 1, 357. 0

82. 4
76. 3

6,387
6, 566

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to
business,
and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1 through 1973 and
are averages of quarterly data beginning 1974. Quarterly data are average for the
period.




Current
dollars

Percent
change
in real
per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Do!lars

1969
745. 8
1970
801. 3
1971
859. 1
1972
942.5
1973
1, 052. 4
1974
1, 154. 9
1975
1, 255. 5
1976 _.___ 1, 380. 9
1977
1, 529. 0

1, 248. 0
1, 285. 3
1, 319. 1
1, 359. 6

Per cap>ita personal ccmsumption exp enditures

4, 370
4, 399

.5

5. 6

7.4

5.3

206
603
073
541

Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and BureauA
of the Census).

INCOME
In the second quarter, net farm income before inventory adjustment rose $4.2 billion (annual rate) while income
after inventory adjustment rose $2.2 billion,
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAI^

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALi}
120

120

100

.100
GROSS FARM INCOME
BEFORE INVENTORY

80

ADJUSTMENT

60
NET FARM INCOME
AFTER INVENTORY
ADJUSTMENT

40

40

\

/N

*.
/

20

V

10

10
1970

1971

1972

1975

1974

1973

1977

1976

* SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAt RATES
SOURCEVD£PARTMEUT OF AGRICULTURE

1978

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Persona 1 income received
by tota! farm po pulation

Income resceived frc>m farmin S
Gross income be; "ore inven tory adjustnlent

Period

From From From
all
farm nonfarm
]
sources sources sources Total

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977:1
II
III...

27.5
28.8
34.6
48.9
45. 2
44.5
41. 2
43. 0

IV,

1978: I _ _ II

13.0
13.5
16.9
29. 2
23. 4
21.9
16.9
18.3

14.5
15.3
17.8
19.7
21.8
22. 7
24. 4
24. 7

Gas1i receipts from
inarketing s

58.6
60. 6
70. 1
95.5
100. 0
96.9
104. 1
108. 1
108. 1
106. 7
102. 7
114.8

Livestock
Total
Crops
and
products
Billioiis of dolla rs
50. 5
29. 6
21. 0
52. 9
30. 6
22. 3
61.2
35.7
25.5
87. 1
45. 9
41. 1
92. 4
41. 4
51. 1
88. 2
43. 0
45. 1
46.2
94.5
48.3
96. 1
47.6
4a5
97.6
46.3
51.3
4&6
95.7
49. 1
47.8
91.3
43.5
49.5
99.6
50. 1

115.8
122.5

102.2
109.0

1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney inome
furnished by farms.
2
3 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year.
Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is
uteld constant within a year.
33-908 °—78




52.7
57.5

49.5
51.5

Nettx3 farm
oper ators
Production expenses

Before
inventory
adjustment

44. 4
47. 4
52. 3
65.6
72.2
75.9
83.0
88.0
87.5
87.0
86.0
91.4

14,1
13.2
17.8
29.9
27.7
21. 1
21. 1
20. 1
20.6
19. 7
16.7
23.4

93. 5
96.0

22. 3
26.5

Net incc)me per
farm abfter inventory adjustmeiat*

After
invenCurrent
1967 4
tory
adjust-2 dollars dollars
ment
Dol lars
14.2
4, 800
4,130
14.6
5,040
4,160
18.7
6,530
5,210
33.3 11, 810
8,870
26. 1
9,350
6,330
215
8,850
5,490
18.8
6,850
4,020
20.6
7,590
4, 180
19. 6
7,240
4,090
20.2
7,460
4, 130
16.8
6, 210
3,390
25.5
9, 420
5,080

22.3
24.5

8,320
9,140

* Income in current dollars divided by the consumer price Index.
Source: Department of Agriculture,

4,410
4,730

CORPORATE PROFITS
According to revised estimates for the second quarter, profits before tax rose $33.4 billion while after-tax profits rose
$18.4 billion. About one-fourth of the increase was due to a rebound from the effects of the severe weather and coal
strike in the first quarter.
205.5
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

40

40

1970

1971

SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profit s (before tax) wit i inventc3ry valu*ition
adjustn lent *

Prolfits after tax

Dome ?tic indu stries
Period

> onfinanc ;ial

Total 2
Total

1967
1968
1969
1970... _
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975____
1976
1977
1977: I
II
III
IV
1978: I
II

75.6
82. 1
77.9
66. 4
76. 9
89. 6
97.2
86. 5
107.9
141. 4
159. 1
144. 5
158. 5
169.9
163.5
148. 7
180. 6

72.6
7&9
74. 2
62. 6
72. 4
84.7
90. 4
76. 9
101. 8
133. 2
149.5
134. 8
148. 1
159. 5
155.6
139. 2
168.9

Financial
Total3

Manufacturmg

Wholesale
and
retail
trade

63.6
68. 5
62. 9
50. 1
58.2
69,3
74. 1
62. 5
88.9
115.6
128. 6
115. 1
128. 1
137.6
133. 7
116.6
144. 6

37. 9
41.2
36. 8
27. 1
32. 4
40.6
44. 1
36. 6
48. 3
65.6
74 7
66.4
77.4
74. 7
80.2
69.8
87.8

8.9
10. 1
10. 1
9.4
11.7
13.3
14. 7
12. 9
20.7
24,0
24. 0
20. 6
22.8
30. 6
22. 1
16.7
22.0

9. 0
10. 4
11. 3
12.6
14.1
15.4
16. 2
14. 4
13.0
17.5
20. 9
19. 7
19.9
21.9
21. 9
22. 7
24.3

1
See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

8




3
Includes
8

Profits
before
tax

Tax
liability

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

77.3
85. 6
83.4
71.5
82.0
96. 2
115. 8
126. 9
120. 4
155.9
173. 9
164. 8
175. 1
177.5
178.3
172. 1
205.5

32.5
39. 4
39.7
34. 5
37.7
41. 5
48. 7
52. 4
49. 8
64. 3
71.8
68.3
72. 3
72. 8
73. 9
70.0
85.0

44.9
46.2
43. 8
37.0
443
54 6
67. 1
74 5
70.6
91. 7
102. 1
96.5
102.8
104 8
1044
102. 1
120.5

20. 1
21.9
22. 6
22. 9
23.0
24 6
27. 8
31. 0
31.9
37. 9
43. 7
41. 5
42.7
44. 1
46. 3
47. 0
48. 1

247
24 2
21. 2
14 1
21.3
30. 0
39. 3
43.6
38. 7
53. 8
58.4
55. 0
60. 1
60. 6
58. 1
55. 1
72.4

rest of the world, not shown separately.
Includes industries not shown separately.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

-1.7
— 3.4
-5.5
-5. 1
-5. 0

— 6. 6
-18.6
— 40. 4
— 12.4
— 14 5
-14.8
-20.3
— 16. 6
— 7. 7
-148
-23.5
-24.9

GROSS PRIVATE
According to revised estimates for the second quarter, business fixed investment rose $14.5 billion (annual rate) as
nonresidential construction outlays rose $8.1 billion and producers' durable equipment purchases increased $6.4
billion. Residential investment outlays increased $5.0 billion, inventory investment amounted to $20.1 billion, up
$3.4 billion from the first quarter level.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIOSCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO

-NONRESIDENIT1AL FIXED IN\/ESTMENT

340 -GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT

s^\

***

300

120

PRODUCERS'

-

DLARABLE EQUIP/*WMS*^

260

\

100

r-

>•

^

^^.

220

-

80
180

JLJ

L

1

BILLIONS OF DOtLARS
120
110

-

1 I 1

! 1

++~

STRUCTURES
\

60

RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT

-x -

i- *

^»» »•*•*%

50

100

t

90

I 1

1

t

t

f

1

1

1

!

!

I

I

1

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

80
70
60
50

1974

1975

1976

1975

1974

1978

1977

1977

1976

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE! DEPARTAMNT OF COMMERCE

1978

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Noiiresident ial fixed investm<3nt

Gross
private
domes-

Period

tic

investment

1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974____
1975
1976___
1977

1978:1

II..

_
„
...

Total

297. 8

82. 1
89. 3
98.9
100. 5
104. 1
116.8
136.0
150. 6
150. 2
164. 6
190. 4

29.5
31.6
35. 7
37. 7
39.3
42. 5
49. 0
54. 5
53.8
57. 3
63.9

28.2
30.4
34. 3
36. 1
37. 8
41. 1
46.9
51. 8
51. 3
54. 7
61.0

52. 6
57.7
63.3
62. 8
64. 7
74. 3
87.0
96. 2
96. 4
107.3
126. 5

48.0
53.4
58. 9
58. 1
59.9
69. 1
80. 1
88. 2
87. 4
97.5
116.7

28.6
34.5
37.9
36.6
49.6
62.0
66. 1
55. 1
51. 5
68.2
91. 9

27.2
33. 1
36.3
35. 1
47.9
60. 3
64. 3
52.7
49.5
65. 8
88.9

272. 5
295. 6
309. 7
313. 5

180.6
187. 2
193.5
200. 3

59. 3
63. 4
65.4
67.4

56. 4
60.4
62.7
64. 5

121. 4
123. 8
128. 1
132. 8

111. 0
113.8
118. 6
123. 4

81. 6
91. 4
94. 3
100. 2

322. 7

205.6

68. 5
76.6

65.2
73.4

137. 1
143.5

127. 2
132. 9

100. 3
105. 3

345.4

220. 1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




farm
structures

farm

243.0

1977:1
II
III—.
IV_

Non-

Total

Non-

220.0

.ProT)

Non-

214. 6
190.9

_ _

Total

Prod ucers'
dur able
equip>ment

Total

120. 8
131. 5
146. 2
140. 8
160. 0
188. 3

__

Strucjtures

Resid ential fis:ed investment

Farm
structures

farm

0.7

Change in business inv entories

ducers'

dur-

able
equipment

Total

0.7

10. 1

.9

9. 4

Nonfarm

-10.7
10. 2
15. 6

9. 4
7. 6
9. 2
3. 7
5. 1
8. 8
14. 7
10. 8
-14. 3
12. 2
15. 0

1. 6

1.4
1.4

1.2

1. 5
1. 6

10.3
17. 0
21. 9
13. 1

11. 1
16. 5
22.0
10.4

1. 3
1. 4

1.7
1.8

16.7
20.1

16. 9
22. 1

.6

.7

.6
.7
.7

.8
.9

1.0

.6
1.2

1. 1
1. 2
1. 2
1. 1

1.5

1.3
1.5

78.6
88.4
91. 2
97. 5

1. 6

97. 3
102. 1

.9
1. 1
1.6

7.7

3.8

6. 4

9.4

17. 9
8.9

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
Business plans to increase capital spending 12.3 percent in 1978, according to the Commerce Department survey
conducted in late July and August. Spending in 1977 was 12.7 percent above the 1976 level.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS {RATIO SCALQ

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALQ

20

20
1970

1978

1971

J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW.
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Starts <3f plant
and eqtlipment
proj ects3

Es;penditur€is for plan t and equipment
Mi inufacturi ng

Period
Total l

Total

NcDnmanuf acturing

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Trans- Public ComMining porta- utili- munition
ties
cation

Commercial
and

Manufacturing

Public
utilities

2

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975..
1976
1977
1978*

81. 21
88. 44
99.74
112. 40
112. 78
120. 49
135. 80
152. 50

29.99
31. 35
38. 01
46. 01
47.95
52.48
60. 16
68. 01

14. 15
15. 64
19. 25
22. 62
21. 84
23. 68
27. 77
SI. 66

15. 84
15. 72
18.76
23. 39
26. 11
28. 81
32.39
86. 35

51. 22
57. 09
61. 73
66.39
64.82
68. 01
75.64
84. 49

2. 16
2.42
2.74
3. 18
3.79
4. 00
4. 50
4. 76

493

5.72
6.03
6. 66
7.57
7.45
6. 93
8. 00

15. 30
17.00
18.71
20.55
20. 14
22. 28
25.80
28. 95

10.77
11.89
12.85
13. 96
12. 74
13.30
15.45
17. 71

other
18. 05
20. 07
21. 40
22. 05
20. 60
20. 99
22. 97
25. 07

28. 00
35. 21
47. 57
52.49
48. 24
51. 05
66. 73

22.22
28. 60
38. 13
45. 74
34 50
29. 66
32. 54

1977:1
II
III

130.
134.
140.
138.

16
24
38
11

56. 43
59. 46
63.02
61.41

26.30
27. 26
29. 23
28. 19

30. 13
32. 19
33. 79
33.22

73.74
74. 78
77. 36
76.70

4. 24
4. 49
4.74
4.50

7. 29
6.96
6. 85
6.88

25.35
25. 29
26. 22
26. 23

14. 19
15. 32
16. 40
15. 82

22. 67
22.73
23. 14
23.27

15. 26
15. 15
19. 81
16.54

9. 76
3. 79
10. 23
7.99

1978: I
II

144. 25
150. 76
155. 13
158. 98

61. 57
67. 20
68. 66
73. 62

28.72
31.40
38. 11
33. 89

32. 86
35.80
36.64
39. 72

82.68
83. 56
86.47
85. 36

4.45
4.81
4.80
5. 07

8.46
7.40
8.98
7. 18

27.92
28. 46
29. 26
30. 22

17.07
18. 18

24. 76
24. 71

17.41
18. 10

7.98
7. 78

IV,

III * _ _
IV *.„

i Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical, legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. These figures do not
agree precisely with the nonresidential fixed investment data in gross national
product estimates, mainly because those data include investment by farmers,
professionals, nonprofit institutions, and real estate firms, and certain outlays
charged to current account.

10




43. 44
42. 90

2 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance.
3
Starts are estimated by adding changes in carryover to expenditures during
given period.
« Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in late July and
August 1978. Plans are adjusted when necessary for systematic bias.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES

STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE

Seasonally adjusted employment Increased by 156,000 in August, while unemployment decreased by 225,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

"too

100

90

80

10

0 l i n - n l m n i i n i l t M i i i m i h i n i n i n I n n.t i i.n i I t i i n u r i i l n i n i n n h i M i I I i n I t i i ri l i M i l i i i i i l Q
1970
1971
1972
1973 *
1974
1975
1976
1977
*
1978
*16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER.
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

Period

Noninstitutional
population

COUNCH. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Total
labor
Civilian Unem- force Civilian
employ- ploy- (includ- labor
ing
ment
force
ment
Armed
Forces)

Total

15
weeks
and
over

Labor
participation
rate
(per_ _ j.\ 2

cent)

88, 714
91, Oil
92, 613
94, 773
97, 401

84, 409
85, 935
84, 783
87, 485
90, 546

2,311
3,452 80, 957
2,709
3,492 82, 443
3,490
3,380 81, 403
3,272
3,297 84, 188
3,297
3,244 87, 302
Seascmally adj usted

4,304
5,076
7,830
7,288
6,855

812
937
2,483
2,339
1,911

61.4
61.8
61. 8
62. 1
62.8

92, 315
91, 247
92, 230
92, 473
92, 623

6, 757 99, 751
6,437 99, 887
6,221 100, 205
6,346 101, 009
5,880 101, 048

97, 614
97, 756
98, 071
98, 877
98, 919

90, 793
91, 088
91, 383
92, 214
92, 609

3,224
3,199
3,243
3,357
3,323

87, 569
87, 889
88, 140
88, 857
89, 286

3,253
3, 306
3,263
3,285
3,220

6,821
6,668
6,688
6,663
6,310

1,800
1,834
1,848
1,829
1,797

62.8
62.8
62. 9
63.3
63.3

91, 053
91, 185
91, 964
93, 180
93, 851
95, 852
96, 202
96, 116

6,897
6, 739
6,479
5,685
5,457
6,326
6,438
5,931

92, 881
93, 003
93, 266
93, 801
94, 112
94, 819
94, 425
94, 581

3,354
3,242
3,310
3,275
3,235
3,473
3,387
3,360

89, 527
89, 761
89, 956
90, 526
90, 877
91, 346
91, 038
91, 221

2,986
3, 193
3, 164
3,327
3,243
3,458
3,330
3, 294

6, 226
6,090
6, 148
5, 983
6, 149
5,754
6, 193
5, 968

1, 688
1, 568
1,463
1,384
1,358
1,231
1,292
1,215

63. 3
63.2
63.3
63. 5
63.7
63.8
63.8
63.6

148, 263 84, 409
150, 827 85, 935
153, 449 84, 783
156, 048 87, 485
158, 559 90, 546
Uiaadjusted

1977: Aug..
Sept.,
Oct..
Nov..
Dec..

158, 899
159, 114
159, 334
159, 522
159,736

1978: Jan*__
Feb.Mar._
Apr.
May.
June..
July..
Aug..

159,
160,
160,
160,
160,
160,
161,
161,

4,304
5,076
7,830
7,288
6,855

101,
101,
101,
101,
102,
102,
102,
102,

228
217
536
902
374
671
734
671

99,
99,
99,
99,
100,
100,
100,
100,

107
093
414
784
261
573
618
549

Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages,
Inability
to find full-time work, etc.
2
Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population 16 years of age and
over.




Total

Agricultural

N onagri cultural
Part-time
ecoTotal for
nomic 1
reasons

91, 040
93, 240
94,793
96, 917
99, 534

1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

937
128
313
504
713
928
148
348

Unempl<>yment

Civilian einploymenit

Beginning 1978, data not strictly comparable with earlier data because of
revisions in the household survey, which added about 250,000 to labor force and
to employment.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
in August, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined to 5.9 percent. Unemployment among non-whites fell
to 11.7 percent, a new low for the year.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

•PERCENT* {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

1978
*UN£MPLOYMEm AS PERCfHT OF OVWAN LMOR FORCI IN GROUT SPBOflH).
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Total
(all
civilian
workers)

Period

1973.
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
1

_

4.9
5.6

as

.„
„

7.7
7.0
7.0
6.8

as

6.7
6.4
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.0
6.1
5.7
6.2
5.9

Unecaployme nt rate ( percent <yf civiMaia labor f orce in group)
By gsex and $tge
]3y select ed grouj:MS
By race

Men Women Both
20
20
sexes
years years 16-19
and
and
years
over
over
3.2
3.8
6.7
5.9
5.2
5.1
47
5.0
47
46
47
45
45
42
42
3.9
41
41

48
5.5

ao
7. 4

7.0

7. 1

6.9
6.8
6.9
6.6

ai

5.7
5.8
5.8
6.3

ai
ai
6.5

145

ia o

19.9
19.0
17,7
17.3
18.3
17.3
17.2
15. 6
16, 0
17.4
17.3
16.9
16. 5
142

16.3
15.6

Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours.

12



White

43
5.0
7.8
7.0
6.2
6,1
6.0
6.0
5.9

5. 5

5.5
5.3
5.3
5.2
5.2
49
5.3
5.2

ExpeFullBlack rienced
wage Housetime
and
hold
and
other salary
heads workers
workers
8.9
45
43
2,9
9.9
5.3
3.3
5. 1
13.9
8.2
5.8
8. 1
13.1
7.3
7.3
5.1
13. 1
ae 4 5 as
143
a5 4 5 6.6
13. 1
as 4 4 6.4
13.7
as 4 4 6.4
13.7
as 4 2 a 2
12. 7
ao 3.9 5.9
12.7
5.9
3.8
5.8
11.8
5.7
5.7
3.6
12.4
5.7
3.7
5. 6
11.8
5.5
3.6
5.4
12. 3
5.6
3.7
5.6
11.9
5.4
5.2
3.6
12.5
5.7
3.9
5.7
11.7
5.5
3.7
5.5

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Parttime
workers

Labor
force
time
lost
(percent) *

7.9

5.2

10.3
10. 1

9. 1

ae

9.8
9.0
9.7
9.6
9.6

a9

8.9
8.6
9.6
9.6
9.2
8.8
8.8
8.6

ai
a3

7.6
7.6
7.4
7.4
7.3
7.0
6.8
6.6

6. 6
6. 3

6.6
6.4
6.8

6.6|

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS
The decrease in unemployment in August was accompanied by an increase in the proportion of unemployed persons
who were job losers and a decrease in the proportion who were reentrants to the labor force.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

60
JOB LOSERS

REENTRANTS

~x^—w
20

20

JOB LEAVERS

NEW ENTRANTS

OU.
1975

1977

1976

1978

1975

1978

*SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

Period

1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug..
Sept-.
Oet»-_
Nov...
Dec...
1978: Jan.,.
Feb
Mar..
Apr
May_.
June..
July*..
Aug*._

Unemployment
(thousands)

4,304
5,076
7,830
7,288
6,855
6,821
6,668
6,688
6,663
6,310
6,226
6,090
6,148
5,983
6, 149
5, 754
6, 193
5,968

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Percecit distrib ution of unem- State pirograms Insured
Percen t distribiution of unemunem- Special
ployment b y duratic>n*
pl<Dyment 1>y reasoii i
unemployment,
ployment
all
27
Insured
Less
New
5-14 15-26 weeks unem- Initial regular benefit3
ReenJob
Job
than 5 weeks
enproclaims
and
ploy- claims
weeks
losers leavers trants trants
weeks
grams 8 (unadover
ment
(unad- justed)
justed)

38.7
43.4
55.4
49. 8
45. 3
46.3
45.3
45. 5
447
43. 4
42.9
41.6
40.3
41.2
42. 5
40.6
41. 3
42. 4

15.7
14.9
10.4
12,2
13. 0
12. 9
12. 9
13. 1
13.3
13.9
13. 6
14.7
13.9
14 5
13.5
14.7
14 1
14 0

30.7
28.4
23.8
26. 0
28. 1
27. 1
27.9
28.6
28.5
29. 8
29. 0
29.4
30. 9
28. 9
29. 2
30.6
30.4
28.8

14 9
13.3
10.4
12. 1
13. 7
13.7
13.9
12. 8
13.6
13.0
145
142
14 9
15.4
14 8
14 1
142
148

51. 0
50. 6
37.0
38.3
41.7
41.5
41. 1
41. 4
42.4
41.3
43.2
43.3
45.8
46.8
48. 1
46.4
49. 0
46.8

Detail may not add to 100 percent because of rounding.
2 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Eico), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (BE) programs. Also includes
Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal
supplemental benefits) and SUA (special unemployment assistance).




30. 1
31. 0
31. 3
29.6
30.5
32. 4
31.8
31. 3
30.3
30.4
29.8
30.5
30.5
29.9
29.6
32.6
30. 0
33.0

11.0
11. 1
16.5

ias
13. 1
ias

13.4
13. 6
13. 9
14 8
13.8
15.0
12.4
12.0
11.2
11. 1
10. 8
10. 5

7.8
7.3
15.2
18.3
148
12. 6
13.7
13.7
13.3
13. 5
13.2
11.2
11.3
11.2
11. 1
9.9
10.2
9.7

Weejkly aver age, thoujsands
1,793
1, 632
246
2,262
363
2,558
3,992
478
4,943
1,173
382
3,822
2,968
1,152
375
3, 112
572
2,473
385
2,751
2,733
535
2, 664
2, 643
368
412
2,624
361
2,649
364
354
2,602
2,853
315
2, 516
346
3,226
259
3,781
344
192
2,461
3,638
2,524
369
143
3,212
102
2,406
326
2,659
2,210
330
60
331
2,369
2, 167
36
2, 194
2,297
348
21
2,392
377
2,581
2, 397
361
2,550

s FSB and SUA. These programs started January 1975 and regular reporting
began March 1975.
Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment
and Training Administration).
* e±

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose by 113,000 in August, despite a decline
of 66,000 in employment by goods-producing industries.
MILLIONS OF "PERSONS* (B^LARGED SCAIQ

MILLIONS Of PERSONS*
90

18 —WHOLESALE AND

RETAIL TRADE-

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

80

GOVERNMENT

.,-.^70

SERVICES

12

-SERVICE-PRODUCING IND

1111111 in f i n t i n i HI in Hilit111n t u t i..i_.n i t.i m hit i u

22

-

-

50

20

\ MANUFACTURING
\

40

\ ^

• •M«**^'

...^

r

•"

18

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11

fri f f 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i I 1 1 1 1 II I 1 | | | 1 || 1 | U 1 I

1 1 II | 1 I M I If

-GOODS-PRODUCING •INDUSTRIES

30

\

..•••...,:„„..•" •»•«*"""

""-SI""Mm,

CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION

20
1974

1976

1975

1977

1974

1978

1975

1976

1977

1978

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC. ADVISERS

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Thousands of wage and salary workers;* seasonally adjusted]
Groods-prc>ducing iiadustries
.

Period

1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug..
Sept__
Oct__.
Nov__
Dec_._
1978: Jan.__
Feb.Mar___
Apr...
May
June__
July "__
Aug »__

Total
nonagricultural
employ- Total 2
ment
76, 896
78, 413
77, 051
79, 443
82, 142
82, 474
82, 763
82, 902
83, 245
83, 429
83, 719
84, 046
84, 555
85, 223
85, 466
85, 820
86, 003
86, 116

Contract
construction

Service-pi oducing IndustrieJS
TransFinance,
Ma nufactui ing
Gover nment
insurporta- Wholesale
tion
ance,
and
Non- Total
State
and
and Services
Total Durable
Federal and
public retail
real
goods durable
trade
goods
local
utilities
estate

24, 727 4,015 20, 068 11, 839
24, 697 3,957 20, 046 11, 895
22, 603 3,512 18, 347 10, 679
23, 332 3,594 18, 956 11, 026
24, 229 3, 844 19, 554 11, 480
24, 305 3,893 19, 594 11, 527
24, 360 3,892 19, 612 11, 545
24, 436 3,911 19, 666 11, 604
24, 528 3,950 19, 715 11, 625
24, 526 3,947 19, 868 11, 748
24, 593 3, 916 19, 972 11, 828
24, 733 3,947 20, 075 11, 909
24, 945 4, 053 20, 164 11, 965
25, 351 4,237 20, 216 11, 992
25, 429 4,268 20, 258 12, 029
25, 554 4, 355 20, 287 12, 049
25, 614 4, 379 20, 316 12, 110
25, 548 4,356 20, 270 12, 115

8,229
8, 151
7,668
7,930
8,074
8,067
8,067
8,062
8,090
8,120
8, 144
8, 166
8, 199
8,224
8,229
8,238
8,206
8, 155

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural
establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period
which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from
this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the
civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed
persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they

14




52, 169
53, 715
54, 448
56, 111
57, 912
58, 169
58, 403
58, 466
58, 717
58, 903
59, 126
59, 313
59, 610
59, 872
60, 037
60, 266
60, 389
60, 568

4,644
4,696
4,498
4,509
4, 589
4,581
4,616
4,610
4,634
4,652
4,628
4,651
4,672
4,709
4,714
4,728
4, 696
4, 730

16,674
17, 017
17,000
17, 694
18, 292
18, 377
18, 431
18, 414
18, 512
18, 610
18, 744
18, 744
18, 849
18, 891
18, 967
19, 064
19, 126
19, 205

4,091
4,208
4,223
4, 316
4,508
4,524
4,545
4,572
4,597
4,611
4,630
4,647
4,670
4,683
4,712
4,737
4,754
4,774

13, 021
13, 617
14, 006
14, 644
15, 333
15, 448
15, 482
15, 533
15, 608
15, 663
15, 693
15, 791
15, 875
15, 962
15, 970
16, 031
16, 153
16, 212

2,663
2, 724
2,748
2,733
2,727
2, 732
2,728
2, 730
2, 727
2, 718
2,736
2,736
2,736
2,744
2, 753
2, 772
2, 763
2,769

11, 075
11, 453
11, 973
12, 215
12, 463
12, 507
12, 601
12, 607
12, 639
12, 649
12, 695
12, 744
12, 808
12, 883
12, 921
12, 934
12, 897
12, 878

are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on a sampi«
of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based c
reports from employing establishments.
2 Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Averag e gross
hourly <sarnings

Aver age weekly tours
Period

Total
private
nonagrioultural '

37.7
37. 1
37. 0
37. 1
37.1

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

1974

36. 6

36. 1
36.2
36. 1

1975
1976
1977

Manuft icturing
Total

40. 6
39.8
39. 9
40. 6
40.7
40.0
39.4
40. 0
40.3

1977: Aug...
Sept
Got
Nov
Dec

36. 0

36. 0
36.2
36. 2
36.2

40. 3
40.3
40. 4
40. 5
40.5

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July »
Aug*

35.6
35.8
36.2
36.3
36.0
36.1
36.0
35. 9

39.6
39.9
40.6
40.6
40.3
40.4
40.4
40. 3

Overtime

3. 6
3. 0
2.9

3. 5

3.8

, 3.2
2.6

3. 1
3. 4
3.3

3. 3

3.5

3. 5

3.5
3.5
3.8
3.7

3. 6

3.5

3. 5

as

3.5

Total
private
nonagncultural l

Adjusted h ourly earnirigs indexJ —t otal private
nonagricmltural

Manufacturing

Percent eh ange from
a year earlier 4

Index, 1 967=100
Current
dollars

$a 19

1967
dollars 3

Current
dollars

3. 36
3. 57
3. 81
4. 08
4.41
4 81
5. 19
5.63

113.2
120.7
129.2
137.7
146. 5
158. 5
172.5
185. 0
198. 5

103. 1
103.8
106.5
109. 9
110.0
107.3
107. 0

8.8

109. 4

7.3

5. 28
5. 32
5.38
5.41
5.42

5. 68
5. 73
5.79
5. 81
5. 83

199. 9
201.2
203. 3
204 1
205. 2

109.2
109. 5
110.2
110. 2
110.3

5.49
5. 52
5.56
5.62
5. 64
5. 68
5. 73
5. 74

5. 90
5.95
5.97
6.00
6.03
6.08
6. 14
6. 17

208.1
208.8
210.2
212. 1
212.8
213.9
215.8
216. 1

111. 0
110.6
110.5
110.6
109.9
109.5
110.0
109.5

$3. 04
3. 22
3. 44
3.67
3. 92
4.22
4.54
4 87
5. 25

1967
dollars

6. 6

1.7
.6
2.2

6.6
7.0

6. 6
6. 4
8. 2

ioa5

7. 2

ai

.5

— 2.3
—.2
1.4
.8

7. 1

.4
.7
1.3
.8
.8

8. 1

1.2
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.2
.9
.6
.3

7.3
7.9
7.6
7.6
8.1
8.2

8. 4
8. 3

8.4
8.2
8.1

AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS—PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings
Total prrrate nonagricu Iturali

Period

Current
dollars

Manufacturing

1967
dollars '
$104. 38
102. 72
104 93
108. 67
109. 26
104 57
101. 67
103. 40
104.42

$129. 51
133. 73
14a44
15469
166. 06
176. 40
189. 51
207. 60

1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

190. 08
191. 52
19476
195. 84
196. 20

103. 81
104.20
105. 62
105. 75
105. 48

228. 90
230. 92

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

195. 44
197. 62
201. 27
204. 01

104. 23
104 73
105. 82
106. 37
10488
10499
105. 08
104. 39

233.
237.
242.
243.
243.
245.

-

1974

1975
1976
1977

-

2oao4

May

205. 05

June
July"
Aug'-

206. 28

206. 07

J
3 Also includes

226. 89

233. 92
235. 31
236. 12

248. 06

248. 65

other private indostry groups shown on p. 14.
Adjusted for intericdcstry employment shiits and for overtime in manufacturing.
i Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index.
Bevised Index for urban wage earners and clerical workers need beginning 1978.
33-908 °—78




3

64
41
38
60
01
63

Percent ch inge from a
year € arlier,
total prrirate nonagricu Ltural •
Current
dollars

Durrent dollars!

$114. 61
119. 46
127. 28
136. 16
145. 43
15445
163. 89
176, 29
189. 53

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973

Contract
construction

Wholesale
and retail
trade

$181. 54
195. 45
211. 67
222. 51
235. 69
249. 08
265. 35
28493
296. 68

$90. 78
95.66
100. 39
105. 65
111.04
118. 33
126. 75
133. 39
142. 52

29492
294 48
300. 66
301.84
302. 13

143. 09
143. 76
146. 40
145. 75
147. 52

287. 87
297. 02
309. 12
314 16
312. 32
319. 29
322. 76
319. 19

147. 93
148. 26
151. 27
152. 92
152. 46
153. 45
154 77
154. 63

6.4
42

6. 5
7.0
6.8
6.2

6. 1
7. 6

1967
dollars
1.0

-1.6
2. 2

3.6
:5

— 43
—2.8

7.5

1.7
1.0

7.3

:6
1.4

8. 1
8.4
8.2
7.7

7.7
7.0
8.1
8.9
8.1
8.3
8.8
8.4

1.8
1.4
:8

.9

.6
1.6
2.2
1.0
.8
1.0
.6

*1 Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places.
Based on unadjusted data.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, PRIVATE BUSINESS ECONOMY
Hours of 2all
pers<>ns

Outf nit*

Output iuer hour
of all p ersons

Compe nsation
per 1lour 3

Unit labor
CO

sts

Implicit price
defla tor 4

NonPriNon~
NonPriNonPriNonPrivate farm
Private
Private Nonvate
farm
vate
farm
vate
farm
farm
farm business
business
business business
business business business business business business
sector business
sector business
sector
sector sector
sector sector sector sector sector
sector
sector

Period

1967= = 100; qua rterly dat a seasoniilly adjuslbed

98.0
100.0
105. 1
108.3

98.1
100. 0
105.4

ioae

100.3
100. 0
101.7
104.5

100.0
100.0
102.1
105.3

97.8
100.0
103. 3
103.7

98.1
100.0
103. 2
103. 1

947
100.0
107.6
115. 1

945
100, 0
107. 3
1143

96.8
100. 0
104 1
111. 0

96.4
100. 0
1040
110,9

97.2
100. 0
103.9
108.8

96.8
100. 0
1040
108.6

107,3
110.3
117.6
124 5
121. 5

107.4
110.2
117.8
125.0
121.9

102. 8
102.3
106. 0
110.3
110.7

104 0
103.7
107.6
112.4
112.9

104 4
107.8
110.9
112.8
109.7

103.2
106. 3
109.5
111.1
108.0

123.3
131.5
138, 9
150.0
164 1

121.9
129.9
137.4
147.8
161.8

118. 1
121.9
125.2
132. 9
149. 5

118. 1
122.2
125.5
133. 0
149. 8

113.9
118.9
123.1
130.2
143. 0

1140
119. 1
122.8
127.9
141.3

118. 8
126. 5
133. 2

127. 0
133. 6

na 8

106.1
109.0
112.7

108.0
111.4
115.6

112.0
116. 1
118. 1

110.0
1140
115.6

180.3
196.3
212.7

177,8
192.9

208.9

161. 1
169.2
180. 1

161.6
169.2
180.7

157. 4
165. 4
1749

156.3
164 8
1746

125.0
126.2
127. 1
127.6

125. 2
126.9
127.7
128. 1

108.6
108.9
108. 8
109.3

111. 1
111.3
111.3
112. 0

115. 1
115. 9
116.8
116.8

112.6
114 1
114.7
1144

190.3
194.2
198.5
202.7

186.8
191.0
1949
198.8

165.3
167. 6
170.0
173.6

165.8
167.4
169.9
173.8

162.4
1645
166.3
168.5

161.8
163.4
165.7
168.2

131.0
133.0
134.6
135.8

111.0
113.1
112.9
113.8

113.8
115.7
115.9
116.7

117.6
117.2
118.9
119. 1

115.2
114.9
116.1
116,4

206.8
210.0
215.2
218.9

203.0
206.5

.

130. 5
132. 5
134.2
135. 5

210.9
215.0

175.9
179. 2
181.0
183.8

176.3
179.7
181. 6
1848

170. 6
174.0
176.3
178.4

170.0
173.6
176. 4
178.1

1978:1
!!».„.

135. 3
138.5

136. 1
139.7

115.0
117. 5

117.9
120.7

117.7
117.9

115.4
115.7

225. 1
229.5

221.2
225. 5

191.4
1947

191.6
1948

181, 3
186,5

180.6
185.2

3.2
2.9
3.9
47

2.9
3.3
40
45

47
44

49
4.5
3.1
41
10.5

1966_.
1967.,

_™

1968
1969
1970_
1971

—

1972..

1973
1974

..

. ,«

1975,—.
1976-.

1977

_—.

1976:1

II

III.....

IV

1977:1—-—
II..—.

II..
IV

Perceiit change ; quarterlyf data at seasonall y adjuste<i annual rates
5.5
2.0
5. 1
3.0

1966
1967._
1968_,
1969., ,

6.0
1.9
5.4
3.0

2.3
-.3
1.7
2.7

3.3
—.0
2. 1
3.2

3.2
2.3
3.3
.3

2.5
1.9
3.2
-.2

7.0
5. 6
7.6
7.0

6.0
5.8
7.3
6.5

41

3.4
3.8
40
6.7

6.4
3.2
2.7
6.1

6.5
3,5
2.7

1970_
1971
1972...
1973
.„
1974_.^ .„ .

-. 9
2.8
6. 6
5.9
-2,4

-1. 1
2.6
6.9
6.0
-2. 5

-1.6
-.4
3. 6
41
.4

— 1.2
-.3
3. 7
4
.4

.7
3,2
2.9
1.7
-2.8

.2
2.9
3.1
1.5
-2.8

7.2
6. 6
5.7
8.0
9.4

6.7
6.6
5.8
7.5
9.5

1975—
1976
1977

....
.„.

-2.3
6. 5
5.3

-2.5
6.9
5,2

-4.2
2.7
3.5

-43
3.2
3.7

2.0
3.7
1.8

1.9
3.6
1.5

9.9
8. 9
8.4

9.9
8.5
8.3

1976:1
„„_
II
III.....
IV.....

11.2
4.0
2.8
1.6

11.5
5.7
2.5
1.2

5.2
1,2
g
1. 7

6.4
.4
.3
2.3

5.8
2.8
3.2
— .1

48
5.3
2.2
— 1.0

10.2
8.6
9. 1
8.7

1977:1.
II
III „„„.
IV.—

9.3
6.5
5.0
4.0

9.4
6.2
5.0
3.5

6.3
7.8
-.7
3.4

6.6
7. 1
.7
2.7

2.8
-1.2
5.8
.6

2.7

-.6
9.9

.7
11. 1

42
9. 1

42
9.8

-47
.8

1978:1
II*
J
2

Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1972 dollars.
Hours of all persons in private industry engaged in production, including
hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on
establishment
data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social
insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries,
and
supplemental payments for the self-employed.
4
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



3,7
3.3
6.6

3. 6
5. 8

12.5

6. 0
12. 7

7.7
5.0

6. 5

7.9
4.7
6.7

10.1
5. 1
5.7

10.6
5.4
5.9

8.7
9.2
8.4
8,3

42
5.6
5.8
8.8

3.8
3.8
6.1
9.4

3.2
5.2
44
5.4

49
41
5.8
6.1

4.3
.8

8.3
6.4
10.3
7.0

8.6
7.2
8.8
8.0

5.3
7.7
43
6.3

5.8
8.1

43
7. 1

5.2
8.2
5.2
49

44
8.7
6.5
4.0

-3.3
1.2

11.9
8.0

12,0

17.4

15.8

6.7

5.8
10.7

Q

8.1

7.2

6.9

9.8

12.0

NOTE,—Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original
data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes
shown here.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION

Industrial production rose 0.5 percent in August, following revised increases of 0.7 percent in both June and July.
The index for August was 6.2 percent above a year earlier.
INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE)
180

INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE)
160

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION

TOTAL INDUSTR AL PRODUCTION
160

140
UTItlTIES

120

MINING

100
160

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

1 1 ii-tl in 11

M I t ! r 11 1 1

1574

1975

1976

1978

1977

PERCENT (RATIO SCALE)
100

MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
140

90

80

120

70
100

1974

1975

1976

1974

1978

1977

1975

1976

1977

1978

*SEASONAUY ADJUSTED
COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVSCftS

SOURCE. KOAXD OF GOVESNOCS OF THE FEDERM RESERVE '

Period

1967 proportion
1972
1973
1974._
1975
•
1976.
1977-.

Total iii dustrial
produ Btion
Percent
Index, change
1967=
from
100
year
earlier
100. 00
9. 2
119. 7
8.4
129.8
—. 4
129. 3
— 8. 9
117. 8
10.2
129.8
5. 6
137. 1

mi

1977: Aug
Sept..
Oct
Nov_ • _ _ _
Dec

138. 5
138. 9
139. 3
139.7

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
-_
Apr_-___ _
May
June
July » .. _•„
Aug"

138.8
139.2
140.9
143.2
143. 9
144. 9
145.9
146. 6

[Seasonally adjusted]
prodiiction ind axes, 1967 = 100
M anufactun ng

Indu,stry

Total

Durable

Nondurable

87. SB

61.98

SB. 97

6.36

5. 69

118. 9
129.8
129.4
116. 3
129. 5
137. 1

113. 7
127. 1
125. 7
109. 3
121. 7
129.5

126. 5
133. 8
134. 6
126. 4
140. 9
148. 1

113. 1
114. 7
115. 3
112. 8
114 2
117. 8

139. 4
145. 4
143. 7
146. 0
151. 0
156. 5

83. 1
87. 5
84. 2
73. 6
80. 2
82. 4

88. 0
92. 4
87. 7
73. 6
80. 4
81. 9

5.0

138. 6
139. 0
139. 4
139.9
140.5

131. 3
131. 7
132.4
132.7
133. 4

149. 4
149. 5
149. 6
150. 1
150. 9

115. 4
118. 0
119. 6
118. 8
113. 4

155. 7
154. 1
154. 0
154. 2
156.7

82.9
82. 9
82. 9
82. 9
83. 0

82.0
82. 0
82. 4
82. 3
81.9

4.9
4. 5
4. 1
5.2
5.0
5. 2
5.2
6.2

138.7
139.4
141. 4
143.5
144. 3
145. 4
146.4
147.3

131. 1
131.5
134. 4
136. 9
137. 6
138. 8
140.8
141. 9

149. 8
150. 6
151. 4
153. 2
154. 0
154.8
154. 7
155. 2

115.0
114.4
119. 3
127.2
126. 7
128.0
126. 6
126. 1

162. 3
163. 5
159. 5
156. 0
157. 0
157. 7
158. 5
159. 3

81.7
81. 9
82.7
83.7
83.9
84.2
84.6
84.8

81.9
81. 3
81.9
84.0
84. 5
85. 1
85. 6
85. 6

5.2
6.0
6.7

5.9

1
Output as percent of capacity.
*1 Annual data are averages of four monthly indexes.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages ot
Quarterly data.




Utilities

Manufswrturing c ipacity utilization
rate, p ercent '
Federal Reserve
sei•ies
ComWharTotal
mercel
ton
Mate- series
manuseries *
facturrials
ing

Mining

i

83
86
83
77
81
83

91. 8
97. 1
93. 0
80.4
87.5
90.2

82

90. 9

82

91. 1

84

90. 1

92.6

Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of
Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), and \Vfaarton School of Finance.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1967=100, seasonally adjusted]
Prod uets
Final I*roducte
Coiisumer go ods

Period
Total

Total
1967 proportion
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
._
1976 .
__
1977
1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Feb

Mar
Apr
May
June

July »
Aug » _

—

iias

127.2

„_.„
__

.

47. 82
105.3
106.3
115.7
124.4
125. 1

.—

„_--

_ ._

1349
13&3
136.8
136.5
137.0
137.6

134.9
136.4
138.9
140. 5
140,8
14a9
141.9
142. 5

S7.68
109. 0
114.7

124. 4
131.5
12&9
124. 0
136.2
14a 4

Interim ediate
prod ucts

Equip meat

NonDurable durable
goods
7,89
19. 79
no. i
106. 1
na i
118.8
120.6
133.8
125. 6
146. 2
126.3
135.3
121. 4
125.1
141.4
134 1
153. 1
139.6

Materials

Supplementary
group:
Energy
total

112. 9
116.7
126. 5
137.2
135.3
12ai
137. 2
145. 1

Construction
supplies
6.42
111.0
116.8
12R4
139.8
1345
116.3
132.6
140.8

S9.S9
109.2
111.3
122.3
133.9
132.4
115.5
130. 6
136.9

12. $3
117. 0
119.5
125.2
128.3

Total

Busi-

Total

so. 14

1S.6S
107.0
104 1
118.0
134 2
142.4
128.2
136.3
149.2

IS. 89

100.1
94.7
103.8
114 5
120.0
110.2
1146
12a 2

125. 5

125. 5

128. 8
132.5

144. 7
144.9
1449
145. 2
145. 8

1547
155.6
156.8
155.2
155.8

140. 6
140.7
140. 1
141.2
141.8

1249
125.6
125.0
125. 8
126.2

151. 1
152. 1
152.6
153.5
1540

146. 1
146.5
147.8
148.4
150.4

141.7
143.2
1449
146.5
148.3

137.6
137.9
138.9
139.0
138.8

131.4

141.8

146. 5
151.2
157.5
161.8
160.2
160.5
160.9
160.8

139.9
140.8
141.3
141.8
141.7
141.5
141.7
141.9

125. 4
126.2
129.1
130.8
131.6

152.6
154 2
157.4
159. 3
160.2
161.8

151.6
151.4
151.4
152. 1
152.6
1545
155. 8
156.8

149.2
148.6
147.9
148.5
150.4

139.2
138.6
139.9
143.7
145. 1

132. 5
130.0
129.8

153.8
155.0

147.6
148. 1

143. 8

145.9
147. 5

147.0
146. 9
147. 2
147. 3

isao

leas

1343
135.8

165. 3

152. 1

146.4

132.5
133.0

132. 3
129.7

isa i

1342
135. 1
135.2
135. 5

[1967=100, seasonally adjusted]
Diarable manufactu res

Primar)r metals
Period
Total

Iron
steel

1967 proportion
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
_

6. 67
106.6
100.2
112. 1
126.7
123. 1
96.4
108. 9
110.2

1977: Aug
Sept.
Oct
Nov
Dec

112. 5
109.0

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July »

107.4

AUK*

na s

111.2
111.0

106.2
106. 1
1143
115.5
117. 6
122.5
1244

4. SI
1047
96. 1
107. 1
122.3
119.8
95.8
104 9

ioa4

110. 6
104 6
107.7
104.3
103.8
99.5
96.3
96. 4
109.0
110.5
1145
118.9

Fabricated
metal
products

ery

Electrical
machinery

9.15
104 4
100.2
116. 0
133.7
140. 1
125. 1
135. 0
1448

8.06
108. 1
107.7
122.2
14a 1
143.8
116.5
131. 6
141. 9

S. 27
89. 5
97. 9
108.2
118. 3
108. 7
97.4
110. 6
121. 1

143. 9
1446

135.8
136.4

145.2
147.4
14R 9
149. 7
151.7

144. 2
146.0

124 3
125.5
1243

136. 9
136.9
138. 1
139.5
140.4
142.3
143.5
1447

150. 1
150. 1
151. 5
152.2
152.9
1544
157.2
158.8

144.0
146.4
149. 5
152.3
152,9
1541
155.0
156. 0

5. 93
102.4

ioas

112.1
124.7
1242
109. 9
123.3
130.9
1340
133.6

isas

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserre System.

18




Non-

trical
ma-

147.3

Non iurable inanufact urea

TranspDrtation
equip meat
Total

122.0
122.2

116.2
118.4
126. 5

130.5
130. 1
130. 1
132. 1
132.9

Motor
veMcles
and
parts

Lumber
and
products

At>*%
parel
products

4.60

1. 64

S.S1

92.3
118. 6
135.8
148.8
128.2
111. 1
140.7
159.7

105.6
113.8
120.8
126. 0
116.2
107.6
125. 1
133.4

101.4
104 7

109.4
117.3
1143
107. 6
122. 2
1242

164 4

131.8
137.1
135.7
137.5
138. 1

146.6

138.5
135.5
136. 5
136.9
136.5
13&5
139.0

165.6
168.4
163.0
161.8

isai

165. 1
171.7
16&3
167. 5
169.3
169. 3

Print- Chemicals
ing
Foods
and
and
pub- prodlishing ucts
4.72
107.0
107. 1
112.7

7.74

8.76

120.4
125.9
143.6
1545

ioa9

1247

120. 6

159.4
147.2
169.3
180.7

112. 8
116.8
120.9
1240
123.4
132.3
137.9

124 1
127. 7
129.0
125. 1
125.8

125.0
1242
125.7
126.2
127.5

182.6
181.3
182.3
183. 1
183.0

139.3
138.3
137.3
139.4
140.4

118. 6
121. 1
122.8
12a 1
125.8
126.8

129. 9

184.4
183.7
185.2
185.5
188.1
190.8
191.4

139.3
140.8
141. 1
143. 1
142.8
141.8
142.3

118. 2
11R2

lias

i2as

129. 1
12R6

12a2
12a7

130.4
131. 4

NEW CONSTRUCTION
Construction contracts'

Private
Total new
Period

tion
expenditures

Read ential
Total

Total1

Commercial and
industrial

New
housing

Other

Federal,
State,
and
local

CommerTotal value cial and
index
industrial
(1967= floor space
100)
(millions of
square feet)

Bil lions of dollMrs

1971
1972

1973._-.-.-i

1974
1975
1976
1977

_
___

110.0
124.1
137.9
138.5
1345
148.8
172.6

4as

80,1
9a9
105.4
100.2
9a7
110.6
1347

17.0

35.1
449
50. 1
40.6
344
47.3
65.7

543
59.7
50.4
46.5
60.5
81.0

iai

21.7

2a s

20.8
19.9
22.5

19.8
21.5
240
25.9
26.4
30. 0
31.3

29.9
30. 2
32.5
38.3
40.9
38.3
37.8

3LO

39.1
38.8
39.4
37.4
37; 4
36.8
36.4
35.7
37.7
41.5
45.1
45.1
47.9

Seasonall / adjusted aiinual rates
1977: July
Aug-..._.^
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
-May

176.4
176.4
177.8
17&7

17ai
179.0
171.7
177.9
184.8
192.9
. 19a2
203.3
206.9

June »»
July*

137. 3
137.6

82.9
82,9

139,2
140.6
142.3
135.3
142,2
147. 1
151.3
153.1
15&2
159.0

842
8K2
87.4
79. 7
85.6
87.6
90,0
91.1
92.5

isas

2a4
2as

67.1
67; 1
67.6
69.3
70.7
72.8
65.0
70.9
72.5
744
75.1
76. &
77.5

sao

gas

1

Includes nonhousekeeplng residential construction and additions and alterations,
not shown separately.
1
F. w. Dodge series. Berates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value Indei and
beginning 1971 for floor space.

242
241
243
22.8
22.4
22.8
25.4
26.4
27.3
30.6
30.7

sag

31. 2
30.9

31; 1

32. 1
33.2
33.8
34 1
349
347
35.1
35.1

145.4
165. 3
179.5
169.7
167.9
199.4
252.2

727
854
1,010
840
555
592
738
Seasonally
Seasonally adjusted
annual
adjusted
rates
209
702
853
267
813
279
244
757
258
847
864
299
283
996
266
814
254
863
921
279
332
1,061
999
249
286
898

NOTE.—New construction expenditures data prior to 1973 not comparable with
later data.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and MeGraw-Hlll
Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
Is ew private lousing units

Units started, by type of stn.icture

Period

Total
1970.-.
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

.__

1, 433. 6
2, 052. 2
2, 356. 6
2, 045. 3
1, 337. 7
1, 160. 4
1, 537. 5
1, 987. 1

1 unit

812.9
1, 151. 0
1, 309. 2
1, 132. 0
888. 1
892.2
1, 162. 4
1, 450. 9

2-4

units

848
120.3
141.3

nas
ea i

640
85.9
121.7

6 or more
units
535.9
780.9
906.2
795.0
381.6
2043
289.2
414.4

New priv ate homes
Units
authorized

1, 351. 5
1, 924 6
2, 2ia 9
1, 819. 5
1, 074 4
939.2
1, 29a 2
1, 690. 0

"Units
completed

1, 4ia 4
1, 706. 1

2, ooa 9

2, 100. 5
1, 72a 5
1, 317. 2
1, 377. 2
1, 667. 1

Homes
sold

Homes for
sale at
end of
period *

485
656
718
634
519
549
646
819

220

818
845
870
819
857
813
774
793

389
389
398
401
403
405
404
404
410
415
420
420

287

409
418
346
313
354
403

Vacancy
rate for
rental
housing
units
(percent)'

5.3
5.4
5.6
5.8
6.2
6.0
5.6
5.2

Seasonally adjusted arinual rates

1977: Aug
Sept.
Oot
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May *
June *
July "
Aug» -_
1

2,038
2,012
2, 139
2,096
2,203
1,548
1,569
2,047
2,165
2,054
2,124
2,128
2,029

1,454
1,508
1,532
1,544
1,574
1,156
1,103
1, 429
1,492
1,478
1,441
1,453
1,442

Seasonally adjusted
'Quarterly date enteired In last mont h of quarter.




119
124
127
134
153
101
79
126
142
89
148
138
134

465
380
480
418
476
291
387
492
531
487
535
537
453

1,770
1,695
1,781
1,822
1,778
1,526
1,534
1,647
1,740
1,597
1,821
1,632
1,571

1,677
1,875
1,665
1,769
1,641
1,759
1,696
1, 821
1,943
1,854
1,898
1,924

827

849
833
804

Source: Department of Comme tea. Bureau of he Census.

5,4
5.1
5.0
5. 1

1Q

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE
Business sales fell slightly in July, while inventories rose about $2 billion. Accordin$ to the advance survey, retail
sales rose in August following a slight decline in July.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

100

400

90

RETAIL INVENTORIES

350

TOTAL BUSINESS
INVENTORIES

_\

80
70

300

60

250

RETAIL SALES

50

200
TOTAL BUSINESS
SALES

40

150
RATIO*
1.80

100

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1977

•SEASONAUY ADJUSTED
SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COMfKtt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Total b usiness!

Who esale

K<:tail

Sales 2
Period

Sales 2

1978

Inventories *

Inven-3
Sales2 tories

Tntnl

Inventory- sales
Iriventories

DurNonable durable
goods goods
stores stores

Durable

rai io *

Nondurable
goods
stores stores

Total
business '

23, 342 50, 063 21, 687 28, 376
25, 054 55, 079 24, 238 30, 841

1.58

goods

Retail

Milli ons of d ollars, seasonally adjustec

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976. 1977

.

1977: Aug_.__

224, 247 327, 639 53, 208 65, 095 59, 020 19, 984 39, 036 84, 462
_ 224, 907 330, 345 53, 307 66, 119 59, 014 19, 763 39, 251 85, 215
_„ 228, 508 330, 832 53, 639 66, 209 60, 778 20,895 39, 883 85, 322
231, 488 333, 186 55, 558 67, 047 61, 588 20, 733 40, 855 86, 299
237, 258 334, 785 57, 266 67, 998 62, 054 20, 915 41, 139 87, 073

39, 303 45, 159
39, 559 45, 656
39, 589 45, 733
40, 087 46, 212
40, 534 46, 539

230, 162 337, 676 55, 985 68, 991 59, 855 19, 782 40, 073 87, 708
103 87, 642
752 89, 097
110 89, 963

41, 060 46, 648
41, 369 46, 273
41,521 47, 576

Sept

Oct
Nov
Dee.

1978: Jan— _ • _ _ _
FebMar
Apr
May...

June

July »__

Aug»

116, 351
130, 049
151, 647
175, 200

188,508
203, 088
233, 749
285, 064

26, 257 35, 823
29, 584 39,' 786
36, 822 46, 254
45, 836 56, 537
179,621 283, 614 44, 633 55, 113
200, 760 309, 238 48, 408 61, 307
.. 223, 793 334, 785 53, 509 67, 998

34, 169 10,
37, 422 12,
41, 871 14,
44, 543 13,
48, 370 14,

27, 781 62, 950
30, 723 70, 716
907 33, 463 70, 623
53, 542 17, 544 35, 998 78, 045
59, 029 19, 901 39, 127 87, 073

238, 278 340, 396 57, 635 70, 361 61, 661 20, 558 41,
242, 668 345, 839 58, 877 72,882 62, 690 20, 938 41,
250, 768 350, 545 62, 152 74, 867 64, 079 21, 969 42,
251, 806 354, 226 64, 01 1 75, 474 34, 229 21, 758 42,
252, 534 356, 920 33,235; 75, .'20 64, 460 21, 987 42,
250, 382 358, 795 63, 190 75, 158 64, 086 21, 515 42,
_
64, 584 21, 846 42,

" ^"cvtiiit wtiaiueeo itiau iiitiuucs'iiimiuiKCMiriBg
!
3 Monthly average for year and total lor month.

vseepage^ij.
Book value, end ol period, seasonally adjusted.
* For annual .periods, ratio otweighted average inventories to average monthly
sales; tor monthly data, ratio ol inventories at end of month to sales for month

20




827
369
091
820

28, 072 34, 878

32, 394
32, 119
36, 417
40, 534

38, 322

38, 504
41, 628
46, 539

41, 881 48, 082

471 91, 063 42, 300 48, 763
473 91, 543 42, 036 49, 507
571 92, 470 42, 359 50, 111
738

1. 50
1.44
1.47
1. 58

1.48
1. 44

1.46
1.47
1.45
1.44
1. 41
1.47
1.43
1.43
1. 40
1. 41
1.41
1. 43

1-39
1. 40

1.41
1. 48
1.43
1.39
1.40

1.43
1. 44
1.40
1.40
1. 40

1.47
1. 42
1.42
1.40
1. 42
1.42
1. 44

Note.—Total (and manufacturing) sales revised beginning February 1978.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau
of the Census).

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS
Manufacturers' shipments and new orders declined in July, while inventories rose. According to advance data, durable
goods shipments and orders rose in August.
BILLIONS OF.DOLLARS* (RATIOSCALE)'

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAL0

1977
•5EASOMMIY ADJUSTED
SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufao turers' sh pments l Manufact urers' inventories 2

Manufacturers ' new ord ers '

55, 925
63, 043
72, 954
84, 821
86, 616
98, 809
111, 256

29, 973
34, 043
39, 704
44, 253
43, 678
50, 697
58, 266

25, 952
28, 999
33, 250
40, 568
42, 939
48, 112
52, 990

Durabl e goods
Capital
Nongoods
Durable
Total
Total
indusgoods durable
Total
goods
tries,
nondefense
MUlio Da of dollstrs, season ally adjus ted
7,535
102, 622 66, 271 36, 351 56, 016 30, 030
8,832
108, 223 70, 244 37, 979 64, 201 35, 098
124, 545 81, 333 43, 212 76, 224 42, 894 11, 114
157, 811 101, 790 56, 021 87, 200 46, 783 12, 691
157, 878 101, 580 56, 298 85, 058 41, 933 10, 781
169, 886 108, 968 60, 918 99, 134 50, 997 12, 501
179, 714 115,424 64, 290 112, 842 59, 795 15, 201

1977: Aug_._ 112,019
Sept__ 112,586
Oct._. 114, 091
Nov_ . 114, 342
Dee._. 117, 938

58, 649
59, 285
60, 316
60, 228
62, 130

53, 370
53, 301
53, 775
54, 114
55, 808

178, 082
179, Oil
179, 301
179, 840
179, 714

113,917
114,467
114, 448
115,212
115,424

64, 165
64, 544
64, 853
64, 628
64, 290

112, 615
113, 680
117, 331
117, 024
122, 128

59, 269
60, 364
63, 556
62, 821
66, 165

59, 973 54,349
63, 077 55, 905
64, 457 56, 644
66, 493 58, 044
65, 417 58, 149
66, 293 58, 546
65, 222 57, 884
67, 765

180, 977
182, 393
183, 860
185, 715
187, 689
189, 557
191, 167

116,278
117,511
118, 725
119, 848
121, 471
122, 688
123, 830

64, 699
64, 882
65, 135
65, 867
66, 218
66, 869
67, 337

117, 899
122, 544
125, 801
128, 175
128, 450
127, 580
123, 279

63, 335
66, 681
69, 016
70, 033
70, 045
68, 840
65, 187
70, 131

Period

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

1978:

Total

NonDurable durable
goods
goods

Jan.. 114,322
Feb... 118, 982
121, 101
Mar
124, 637
Apr
May__ 123, 566
June__ 124, 839
July * 123, 106
Aug".

1
Monthly average for year and
3
Book ralue, end of period.
3

total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.

End of period,
* For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly
shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments
for month.




1978

COUNCB. OF ECONOMIC ADYISEHS

ManufacNon- turers'
durable unfilled
goods orders 3

Manufacturers'
inventory—
shipments
ratio '

25, 986
29,104
33, 329
40, 417
43, 125
48, 137
53, 047

107, 657
121, 709
161, 194
189, 678
170, 686
174, 553
193, 659

1.83
1.67
1.58
1.65
1.83
1. 66
1.58

14, 527
16, 124
16, 097
16, 090
16, 988

53, 346
53, 316
53, 775
54, 203
55, 963

182, 453
183, 547
186, 787
189, 469
193, 659

1.59
1.59
1.57
1.57
1.52

16, 511
17, 882
17, 507
17, 409
18, 124
18, 155
17, 074
18, 802

54, 564
55, 863
56, 785
58, 142
58, 405
58, 740
58, 092

197, 235
200, 798
205, 500
209, 133
214, 010
216, 754
216, 922

1.58
1. 53
1.52
1.49
1. 52
1. 52
1.55

Note.—Total and nondurable shipments and new orders revised beginning
February 1978.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRODUCER PRICES

PRICES

In August, the producer price index for all finished soods fell 0.1 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished
consumer foods fell 1.5 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.4 percent. Prices of capital equipment rose 0.4 percent.
INDEX, 1967-100 (RATIO SCALI)
240

INDEX, 1967-100 (RATIO SCALE)

240

SEASONALLY ADJUSTS)

_ FINISHED GOODS

220

220

200

200
CONSUMER FOODS

180

180

.CONSUMER GOODS EXCLUDING FOODS

160

160

CAP TAL EQUIPMENT

140

140

120

120

100

too
II1 1 I 11 1 1 1
1971

i 1 1 1 1 11
1972

1973

1975

1974

1976

t i 1 1 i 11 t i i i

1977

1978

SOUHCEi KFAnMENT OF lABOt

Period

Total
finished
goods

1970 _
110.3
1971
113.7
1972
117.2
1973
127.9
1974
147.5
1975
163.4
1976
__ 170.3
1977
180. 6
1977: Aug
181. 5
Sept
182. 1
Got
183. 2
Nov
184.5
Dec
185. 3
1978: Jan
186. 6
Feb
188.6
Mar
189. 6
Apr
192. 0
May
193.3
194. 7
June
July
195. 7
Aug
195.5

COUNCH Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1967=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Fin. shed go<Dds
Iatermediate
material3
Finisheti goods excludlng
corisumer f c>ods

Consumer
foods

113. 5
115.3
121. 7
146.4
166. 9
181.0
180.2
189.1
189.3
189.2
189.5
191.9
192. 6
194.8
200.7
202. 1
205. 8
206.8
209. 1
208.4
205.2

» Formerly called producer &lislicd gooda.

22



1979

Corisumer g oode
Total

109. 1
113.1
115.4
120.2
139.4
156.2
165.5
176.2
177.2
178.2
179.5
180. 3
181.2
182. 2
183.0
183. 9
185. 8
187.2
188. 3
189. 8
190.6

Total

T°hlr
*fill —

able

/-1_ ;
Oapi-

Nondurable

Hhol
bitl

SCjlilp**

Total

ment 1

107. 7 106. 9 108. 3 112. 0
111.4 110.8 111.7 116.6
113.4 113.2 113. 6 119.5
118. 5 115.4 120.5 123.5
138. 6 125.9 146. 8 141. 0
153. 1 138. 2 163. 0 162. 5
161.8 144.4 173. 3 173.2
172.1 152.2 185.4 184.5
173.2 153. 7 186. 3 185.4
174.1 154. 0 187. 5 186.4
174.8 154.9 188. 1 188.9
175.4 155. 5 188.8 189.9
176. 1 156. 1 189.5 191. 3
177. 1 157.4 190. 3 192.3
177. 6 157.7 190.9 193. 5
178. 4 158. 7 191. 5 194. 6
180. 8 163.2 192.4 195. 7
182. 1 165.1 193. 1 197.3
182. 9 165. 5 194. 3 198. 9
184.8 168.4 195. 4 199.9
185.6 169.6 195.9 200.6

109. 9
114. 1
118.7
131.6
162.9
180.0
189.3
201.7

Foods
and
feeds 2

109. 1

111.7
118. 5

168.4
200. 2
195.3
186.6
191.0
202.6 176.2
203. 5 172. 9
204.3 172. 8
205.2 185.4
206.0 183. 3
207. 9 187.2
209.7 191.0
211. 3 201. 1
212.4 201. 2
213.6 206.6
214. 3 201. 0
215.4 204 1
216.4 197. 1
3 Intermediate materialIs for food

feet Is.

Other

Cn.ide mate rials

Total

112. 3
115. 1
127. 6
174 0

Foodstuffs
and
feedstuff;

112. 0
1142
127. 5
180. 0
196. 1 189.4
196. 9 191.8
205. 1 190. 1
202.4 2143 190.9
2042 206. 3 180.2
205. 3 205. 7 179.8
206. 1 207.4 182.2
206.4 2144 189.9
207.4 217. 2 191. 1
209.2 221. 6 196. 4
210.9 228.7 205. 6
212. 0 231. 7 208. 0
213. 1 238. 5 217.0
214 1 238. 9 217.1
215. 1 243. 1 221. 3
216. 0 241. 7 215. 7
217.5 238. 6 211.9
manufactu ring and saanufacture id
109. 9
114.3

118. 9
128.1
159.5
178.6
189.5

Nora.—Data revised for April 1978.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Other

112. 7
117.0
128.0
162. 5
208.9

206. 9

233.6
258.4
255.6
2544

254 9
260. 9
266. 3
269. 4
272. 1
276. 5

278. 8
279. 7
284 4
291. 0|
289.6
animal

CONSUMER PRICES
In August, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.6 percent (also 0.6 percent seasonally adjusted).
Food prices increased 0.2 percent (0.3 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 0.5 percent
(also 0.5 percent seasonally adjusted) and services prices were up 0.8 percent (also 0.8 percent seasonally adjusted).
INDEX, 1967=100 {RATIO SCALQ

INDBC 1?67«100 (RATIO SCALE}

220

220

UNADJUSTED

200

200

180

180
FOOD

160

160

/SERVICES,
V'

140

140

"COMMODITIES
LESS FOOD
120

120

100

100

M i l l I M I.I t

1970

1971

1972

1974

1973

1975

1977

1976

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1978

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1967=100]

Period

1970
1971
1972__
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

All
items

Food

Commodities
less
food

116. 3
121. 3
125. 3
133. 1
147.7
161. 2
170. 5
181.5

114.9
118. 4
123.5
141.4
161.7
175. 4
180.8
192.2

112.5
116.8
119.4
123.5
136. 6
149. 1
156.6
165. 1

Comnaodities less food

Food

All

XlJJ.

Services

commodities

All

Food
at
home

Food
away
from
home

All

121. 6
128.4
133.3
139. 1
152. 1
166.6
180.4
194.3

113.5
117. 4
120. 9
129. 9
145. 5
158.4
165. 2
174.7

114.9
118.4
123.5
141. 4
161. 7
175.4
180.8
192.2

113.7
116.4
121.6
141.4
162. 4
175.8
179.5
190.2

119.9
126. 1
131. 1
141.4
159.4
174. 3
186. 1
200.3

112.5
116.8
119.4
123.5
136. 6
149. 1
156.6
165. 1

Services

Durable

Nondurable

111. 8
116.5
118.9
121.9
130. 6
145.5
154. 3
163.2

113. 1
117.0
119.8
124. 8
140.9
151.7
158.3
166.5

121. 6
128.4
133.3
139. 1
152. 1
166.6
180.4

1943

Seasonal y adjust ed

Unad justed
1977: Aug....
Sept.._
Oct
Nov._.
Dec

183.3
184. 0
184.5
185. 4
186. 1

195.2
1945
194.4
195. 6
196. 3

166.0
166.7
167.4
168. 1
168.4

196.3
197.7
198.5
199.5
200. 5

175. 7
176.2
176.7
177.5
178.3

194.3
194.7
195. 0
196.0
196. 7

192.0
192.3
192. 5
193. 5
194.2

203. 0
203.8
204.5
205. 1
206. 1

165. 7
166.2
166.8
167.6
168.4

163. 6
163.9
164.4
165. 1
166. 0

167.2
167.8
168.6
169. 4
169.9

196.8
197.9
198.7
199.5
200.3

1978: Jan
Feb.—
Mar
Apr
MayJune
July—
Aug

187.2
188.4
189.8
191. 5
193. 3
195. 3
196. 7
197. 8

199. 2
202. 0
204.2
207.5
210. 3
213. 8
215. 0
215.4

168. 6
168.8
170.0
171.3
173. 0
174.4
175. 4
176.3

202.0
203. 5
204.9
206. 5
208. 0
209. 9
211.7
213.4

179.9
180.8
182.3
184.0
185. 6
187.2
187. 9
188.7

199.2
201. 6
204.3
208. 1
211. 2
214.0
213. 9
214.5

197.0
199.5
202. 5
207.3
211. 1
214.0
213. 2
213. 3

208.4
210.5
212.5
214.0
215.8
218.2
219. 9
221.7

169.5
169.9
170.9
171.8
172.8
173.9
174. 9
175.7

167.6
168.7
169.5
170.4
171.8
173.2
174.4
175.2

170.6
170. 1
171.2
172. 1
172. 8
173.5
1744
175.2

201.5
203. 0
204.7
206.6
208. 7
210. 5
212.2
214 0

NOTE.—Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. Earlier
data relate to urban wage earners and clerical workers.




Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
Percent ; change from prcseeding
perioc .; season ally adjuBted i
Period

Total
finished
goods

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug

4.8
2.2
3.2
3.8

11.8
18.3

6.6
3.3
6.6
.2
.3
.6
.7
.4
.7

1. 1

.5
1.3
.7
.7
.5

— .1

Consum er goods

Capital
equipExclud- ment
ing
Foods
foods

a2

-2. 5
5. 9

8.0

22. 5
13. 0
5.5

-2.5
6. 6
— 3
—. 1
.2
1.3
.4
1.1
3.0
.7
1.8
.5

1. 1

—.3
-1.5

2.9
3.9
2. 0
2.0
7.4
20.5
6.7
4.9
6.1
3
5
4
3
4
6
3
5
13
7
4
10
4

Percen^ } change from 3 iTaonths
earlier; seasortally adjilisted
annua . rates

Percen t change from 6 imonths
earlie r; seasoilally adj listed
annua L rates

Consum er goods

Consum er goods

Total
finished
goods

4. 6
4.9
2.4
2.0
5.3
22. 6
8. 2
6.4
7.2
.5
.5
1.3
.5
.7
.5
.6
.6
.6
.8
.8
.5
.4

2.0
2.9
4.7
6.8
7.2
7.6
9.2
9. 6
12. 1
10.3
11.2
7. 9
4. 6

1

Capital Total
equipfinExclud- ment
ished
ing
Foods
goods
foods

4.0
4.0
5. 2
5.2
4.7
5.4
5.1
5. 3
8. 6
10. 5
10.5
9.1
7.9

— 5. 9
-2.3
Q

"~ . o

5. 6

7.4

11.7
19.6
21.2
24. 6
12.7
14. 6

5.2

—a i

5.8
6.0
9. 9
10. 1
10.9
7.4
7.8
7. 1
7.3
8. 1
9. 1
8.9
6.9

5.6
4.7
4. 5
4.4
5.0
6.2
8.0
8.4
9.8
9.8
10.4
10.0
7.5

Capital
equipExclud- ment
ing
Foods
foods

3.7
1.0
—.1
—.3
2.4
5.2
12.4
14. 1
17.9
16. 1
17.9
14. 5
4.5

6. 2
5.9
4.9
4.6
4.3
5.3
5.1
5.0
7.0
7.8 7.<#
8.9
9.2

6. 2
6.4
8. 1
7. 9
8.4
8, 6
8. 9
9. 0
7.3
7.9
8. 1
8. 1
7.5

Source: Department ©f Labor, Bureau of Labor Statisti«s.

Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted).
NOTE.—Based on revised data for April 1978.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES
Percen t change from preceding
perio<i; seasonlaUy adjujsted1
Period

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug...
Sept...
Oct...
Nov.__
Dec___
1978: Jan...
Feb...
Mar__
Apr
MayJune..
July—
Aug—

All
items

6. 1
5.5
3.4
3.4
8.8

12.2

7.0
4.8
6.8

.4
.4

.3
.4
.4

.8
.6
.8
.9
.9

Food
7.2
2.2
4.3
4.7

4.5
4.8
2.3
2.5
5.0

20. 1
12.2

13.2

.6

5. 1

6.5

6.2

8.0
.4
.2
.2

4.9
.2

.4

.5

.5

.9

1.3
1.2
1.3
1.9
1.5
1.3

.6

.3

.5

Commodities
less
food

.0

.3
.4

.5
.7
.2
.6
.5
.6

.6

.6
.5

Services

Percent c" lange fro m 3 mont tis earlier ; Percent c' lange f re m 6 mont bs earlier ;
seasonsJly adjusrfeed annu al rates
seasons lly adjus>ted annu al rates

All
items




Services

AU
items

Food

Commodities
less
food

Services

7.4
8.2
4.1
3.6
6.2

11.3

8.1

7. 3

7.9

.6

.6
.4
.4
.4

.6

.7
.8
.9
1.0
.9
.8
.8

5.0

4. 5

4.5
4,7
4.9

3.6
1.9

ai

3.5
4.2
R9

2.7
2.7
3.4
4.7
5.4

8.3
7.6
6.3

5. 6

4.9

5.1
48
4.7

5.8
7.2

6. 1

7. 5

11.9

6.6
5.6

10.0
11.3
11.4
9. 7

19.1
20.5
20.4
11. 6

5.5
7.0
7.2
7.4
6.9

6.7

9.3

8.3

1
Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted).
NOTE.—Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. Earlier data
relate to urban wage earners and clerical workers.

24

Food

Commodities
less
food

ia4
6.4

6. 1

9. 1
10.5
11. 7
11. 8
11.3
10.6

6.6

6. 1

5.6

7.1
8.3
9.4

10.4

9.8
9.8

7.5
6.6
3.7
3.6
3.0

3.7
3.5
3.3
3.7
4.0

9. 1

6.0
7.7

5. 1

5.0

6.0
6.4

10. 1
13.9
16. 1
18.4
15. 3
13.2

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

5.7
6.1

6. 3
6.6
6.5
6.9

8.5
7.8

7. 0

6.3

7. 0
8. I

9.4

10.4
10.9
11. 1

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers fell nearly 3 percent in August. Contributing most to the decrease were lower prices for
broilers, corn, potatoes, cattle, and apples. Partially offsetting were higher prices for hogs, milk, and eggs. Prices paid
by farmers were unchanged in the month ended August 1 5.
INDEX, 1967=100

(RATIO SCALE)

PRICES RECEIVED
(ALL FARM PRODUCTS)

PRICES PAID
(ALL ITEMS, INTEREST,
TAXES, AND WAGE RATES)

70 60

1970

I

1971

1972

1973

'

1974

1976

1975

1978

1977

I/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RiCEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PA», INTEREST, TAXES, AMD WAC€ RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE,
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTU8P

Prices ]received by 'armers
Period

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

All farm
products

„

Crops

Prices paid by far]criers
All
items,
Livestock
Family
Producinterest,
and
tion
living
taxes,
and
products wage rates
items
items
Index, 1<367=100

110
113
125
179
192
185
186
183

100
108
114
175
224
201
197
192

118
118
136
183
165
172
177
175

112
118
125
144
164
180
191
202

(s)

1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

174
174
177
178
181

172
170
178
184
183

177
177
176
174
180

201
201
201
202
203

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug

186
193
200
208
215
217
215
209

188
190
198
208
212
216
212
201

185
196
204
209
217
219
217
217

209
211
214
216
219
220
220
220

1
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to Index of prices paid,
interest,
taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base.
3
The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to
farmers.




114
118
123
133
151
166
176

Parity ratio 1
Actual

Adjusted 2

108
113
121
146
166
182
193
200

72
71
74
91
86
76
71
66

77
75
79
94
87
76
72
68

(3)
(3s)
(3)
( 3)
()

198
197
198
199
199

64
63
65
65
66

65
65
66
66
67

(3)
(*)
(33)
()
(33)
(3)
(3)
()

203
206
211
214
217
218
218
217

65
67
69
71
72
73
72
70

67
69
71
73
74
75
74
72

3
Index discontinued. Consumer price index (Department of Labor) substituted
in calculating total prices paid beginning January 1977.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK
Growth in all of the monetary aggregates accelerated in August.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO <

BilllONS OF DOLLARS.* (RATIO SCAlQ

300

20O

200

1978

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Over all measiires *

Deposi ts at coimmercia banks
Period
Mj

M2

M3

Currency

Tim e and savings

Demand
Total

1972: Dec—
1973: Dee—
1974: Dec—
1975: Dec___
1976: Dec—
1977: Dee___
1977: Aug_._
Sept..
Oct___
Nov
Dec...
1978: Jan —
Feb___
Mar___
Apr
May__
June__
July___
Aug »_

255.3
270. 5
282.9
295.2
313. 5
338. 5
330. 5
333.0
335.9
336. 2
338. 5
341. 7
341. 8
342. 9
348.5
350. 6
352. 8
354. 2
356. 8

525.3
571.4
612. 2
664. 7
740. 5
809. 5
789.2
795. 1
801. 4
805. 4
809. 5
815. 9
819. 1
822. 6
830. 3
835. 2
840. 6
846. 2
853.5

844.4
919. 2
981.2
1, 092. 5
1, 236. 5
1, 376. 1
1, 331. 3
1, 344. 9
1, 357. 9
1, 367. 1
1,376. 1
1, 386. 6
1, 393. 1
1, 400. 3
1, 411. 4
1, 419. 9
1, 429. 8
1, 440, 9
1, 455. 1

56.8
61.5
67.8
73.7
80.7
88. 6
85. 5
86.3
87. 1
87.7
88. 6
89.4
90. 1
90.7
91.2
92. 1
92. 8
93. 3
94. 0

19&4
209. 0
215. 1
221. 5
232.8
249.9
245.0
246.6
248.7
248.5
249. 9
252.2
251. 7
252. 3
257.3
258. 5
259.9
260. 9
262. 8

313.5
363.9
418.3
450. 9
489. 7
545.0
521.9
525.9
531.9
540. 1
545. 0
550.6
556.7
561.7
565.2
571. 6
574. 5
579.4
583.0

'Mi is currency plus demand deposits; Mz is Mi plus time deposits at commercial banks other than large certificates of deposit (CDs); and Ms is M 2 plus
deposits at nonbank thrift institutions.

26




Pensent2
change

Compon ents and related i1 ems

Large
CDs
43.5
63.0
89. 0
81. 3
62. 7
74. 0
63.2
63.8
66.4
70. 9
74.0
76.3
79.4
82. 0
83.4
87. 1
86.7
87.4
86.3

Other
270. 0
300.9
329. 3
369. 6
427. 0
471.0
458.7
462. 1
465. 5
469. 2
471. 0
474.3
477.3
479. 7
481. 8
484. 5
487.8
492.0
496. 7

Deposits
at
nonbank
thrift
institutions

U.S. Government
demand
deposits
(unadjusted)

319. 2
347. 8
369. 1
427. 8
496. 0
566.6
542. 1
549. 8
556. 5
561.7
566.6
570.7
574.0
577. 7
581.2
584. 7
589.2
5947
601.6

7.4
6. 3
4.9
4. 1
4. 4
5. 1
3.4
5. 0
3. 7
3.5
5. 1
4.3
4. 3
4. 8
5. 0
4. 0
(>. 2
4.5
3.6

M,

9. 1
6.0
4.6
4.3
6. 2
8.0
8.5
8.6
8.0
7. 9
8. 1
8. 1
7.0
6.0
7. 6

a7

8.6
7.5
9.0

Ms

11.3
8.8
7. 1
8. 6
11.4
9.3
9. 8
9. 7
9.4
9.5
9.0
8.2
7.7
7. 0
7. 3
7. 5
7.8
7. 6
8.6

2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes ar©
from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1975.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System.

PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS— NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Currency and cieposits

Total

769.7
852.5
967.7
1, 079. 3
1, 166. 9
1, 290. 1
1, 423. 3
1, 596. 4

632.7
719.0
816.9
887. 4
945.0
1, 054. 5
1, 194. 1
1, 328. 1

49. 1
52.6
56.8
61. 5
67.8

1977: Aug
Sept
Oct
.Nov_
Dec

1, 530. 3
1, 546. 3
1, 565. 6
1, 582. 4
1, 596. 4

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June.
July
Aug *

1, 613. 1
1, 624. 5
1, 636. 4
1, 6~4. 6
1, 670. 4
1, 682. 4
- _ . 1, 695. 7
_ 1, 708. 6

Period

1970:
1971:
1972:
1973:
1974:
1975:
1976:
1977:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

—

'...

U.S. Treasury
secuidties

Negotiable
certifiShortNonbank
cates of
term
Savings marketthrift
deposit
institubonds able securities

Time d eposits

Total
liquid
assets

Currency

Demand
deposits

Commercial
banks
19a9
23a6
2644
294.5
321. 2
360. 6
417. 3
459.4

232.7
271. 1
319.3
348. 1
369. 1
428.6
497. 3
566. 6

52.0
54.3
57.5
60.4

80.7
88.6

152.0
161.8
17&4
183.3
186.9
191.5
19a 8
213. 5

1, 284. 8
1, 298. 6
1, 312. 0
1, 320. 0
1, 328. 1

85. 5
86.3
87.1
87.7
88.6

209. 2
210.9
213.7
212.9
213.5

448.0
451.5
454. 7
457.7
459. 4

1, 338. 9
1, 345. 3
1, 352. 7
1, 365. 2
1, 373. 5
1, 383. 5
1, 396. 1
1, 410. 1

89.4
90. 1
90.7
91.3
92.2
92.9
93.4
94.0

215. 9
214.9
215. 1
221.3
222, 2
222.8
224.5
226.2

462.8
466. 2
469. 3
471.4
474.4
478.6
483.5
488. 5

7a7

Other
private
money
market
instruments

eas
67.2
71.9
76.6

41. 9
31.5
34.5
43.3
47.7
6&9
66. 6
76.7

21.8
27. 6
36. 2
53.8
70.4
58.5
43.5
51. 6

21.3
20. 1
22. 5
34. 5
40. 6
43.0
47.3
63.4

542. 1
549. 8
556. 5
561.7
566.6

75. 1
75.4
75.8
76.2
76.6

71.6
73.0
74.9
76.4
76.7

42. 5
42.8
44.9
49. 0
51.6

56.3
56.6
58.0
60.8
63.4

570.7
574.0
577.7
581.2
584.7
589.2
594.7
601.4

77.0
77.4
77.8
78. 2
78.6
78.9
79.3
79.5

78. 8
79.7
79.6
80.5
81.3
80.9
79.1
78.6

52.7
54. 3
56.4
58.2
62.2
61.6
62.4
61.4

65.7
67.9
69.8
72.6
74.9
77.5
78.8
78.9

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Instalm ent credit e:^tended
Period
Total *

Instalm*3nt credit liejuidated

Bank
credit
cards

Total *

094
820
700
399
429
413
988
888

6, 768
8, 377
10, 390
13, 863
17, 098
20, 428
25, 862
31, 761

107,
113,
121,
138,
147,
156,
172,
194,

444
784
926
156
920
665
795
555

Automobile

1, 153
699
918
1,430
1, 443
1,220
1, 850
2, 911

167
553
814
160
826
402

4,897
5, 104
5,005
5,234
5,089
5,424

2, 382
2, 396
2,567
2,687
2,585
2,723

2,464
2, 651
2, 351
2, 626
2,853
2,736

1, 069
1, 054
1, 105
850
1,241
1,297

184
315
279
287
243
250

17, 162
17, 518
17, 527
18, 398
18, 479
18, 888
19, 031

5,078
5,296
5,300
5,520
5,598
5,698
5, 636

2,788
2,858
2,783
2,944
2,982
3, 120
3,068

2,424
2, 661
4, 068
3,719
3,857
3,792
3,301

1, 185
1, 104
1,522
1, 728
1,789
1,543
1, 520

160
285
448
311
263
362
398

631
204
164
787
680
138

5, 966
6, 158
6, 109
6,083
6,330
6,721

2, 566
2, 711
2,847
2, 973
2, 828
2, 973

16,
16,
16,
17,
16,
17,

1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr_
May
June
July

19,
20,
21,
22,
22,
22,
22,

586
179
595
117
336
680
332

6,263
6,400
6,822
7,248
7,387
7,241
7,156

2,948
3, 143
3,231
3,255
3,245
3,482
3,466

__

„.

* Includes some items not shown separately.




Bank
credit
cards

-347
4,207
5,512
5, 758
500
3, 007
10, 238
13? 235

18,
19,
19,
19,
19,
20,

—

Automobile

4, 852
10, 043
15, 191
19, 707
9, 280
7, 504
20, 533
31, 090

1977: July. _
Aug.. _ _
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

_

Total *

5, 615
7,679
9,472
12, 433
15, 655
19, 208
24, 012
28, 851

296
826
117
863
200
169
328
645

30,
35,
42,
48,
45,
51,
62,
72,

Bank
credit
cards

440
614
188
642
929
406
750
652

112,
123,
137,
157,
157,
164,
193,
225,

1970
19711972 _
1973
1974
1975
1976
_ _
1977 _

Automobile

Net change in amount outstanding

30,
31,
37,
42,
44,
48,
52,
59,

Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

27

BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES
Growth in commercial and industrial loans strengthened in August.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS *(RATKD SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAlQ

1,000 -ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS-

1,000

TOTAL
-LOANS AND INVESTMENTS

800

800

600

600

400

400

200

200
INVESTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES

-„«.«««
,,«ii«««*

100

100

80

80

INVESTMENT IN
U5. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

*******

60

60

i t lit I til I t
1973

40
1971

1970

1972

Ll I [ i l l M M I I I I M I I M I I

1974

1975

l t t l t l . l t 1 1 1 I I I t I I M I LI

1976

"'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END Of MONTH
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

"P • A

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975___
1976
1977

292. 0
320. 9
378. 9
449. 0
500.2
496.9
538. 9
617. 0

1977: Aug
Sept...
Oct
Nov
Dec

845.
850.
860.
866.
870.

8
8
0
2
6

587. 9
593.9
602. 7
611. 6
617. 0

1978: Jan*
Feb*
Mar * _ _ _
Apr *
May *
June »__
July *
Aug*

880. 6
886. 6
892. 2
906. 0
917. 9
922. 4
935. 2
939.2

624.9
628. 2
636. 5
646. 3
657. 9
661. 2
672. 0
677. 2

1978

COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISfRS

4

5
6

6

110. 0
116.2
130.4
156. 6
183.5
176. 2
179. 7
201. 4

57.8
60.6
62.6
54. 5
51. 1
80. 1
98.0
95. 6

85.7
104. 2
116. 5
129. 9
139.8
144.8
148. 2
158. 0

29.11
31. 17
31.34
34.91
36. 57
34.68
34. 93
36.14

28. 78
31.04
30.29
33.61
35.84
34. 55
34. 87
35.57

28.86
30.98
31. 06
34. 61
36. 31
34 42
34.65
35. 95

321
107
1,049
1,298
703
127
62
558

41
32
13
12
54

194. 4
196. 0
198.7
200. 2
201. 4

102.4
100.7
99.4
96. 3
95. 6

155.5
156. 2
157.9
158. 3
158.0

35.50
35. 52
35. 81
35. 96
36.14

34.44
34.89
34.50
35. 10
35. 57

35. 30
35.31
35.60
35.71
35.95

1,071
634
1,319
840
558

101
112
114
83
54

203.9
206. 1
210. 3
213. 3
219. 2
220.4
222.3
224. 4

96.3
99.0
95. 6
97. 6
97. 1
98.4
99.7
97. 0

159.4
159.4
160. 1
162. 1
162. 9
162.8
163.5
165.0

36. 60
36.93
36.67
36. 95
37. 27
37. 73
38. 19
37. 91

36. 12
36.53
36.34
36.40
36. 06
36. 63
36.88
36. 77

36.33
36.69
36.47
36.81
37. 05
37. 55
38.00
37.74

481
405
344
539
1,227
1, 111
1,286
1, 147

32
52
47
43
93
120
143
188

*2 Data are for end of period.
Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December.
s
Member bank reserves series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages
with no adjustment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M.




I I1 I II I 1 M 1

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All c ommercial I>anks 1
All member ban ks
Borrowiiigs (milL Dans
Investnlents
IReserves 2 3
lions of dollars,
Total
unadJListed) 2
loans
and
Total exinvest- cluding Commer- U.S. Gov- Other
NonReSeacial and
ernment
secuTotal
Total
ments
interborrowed quired
sonal
industrial securities
rities
bank

435. 5
485. 7
558. 0
633. 4
691. 1
721. 8
785. 1
870. 6

28

1977

4
During 1974, total loans and investments were increased $0.6 billion due
a bank
merger and were reduced $1.5 billion due to liquidation of a large bai
6
Loan ^classifications reduced these loans by $1.2 billion as of March 31,1£
6
Loan reclassifications reduced these loans by $0.2 billion in December 1977;
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System.

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE
BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses

Pur-

External

chase

Period
Total

Credit; market i unds

Inter-

nal 1

Total
Total

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

104.3
127.1
161.7
199. 7
190.8
143.8
205.0

__

238. 9

Longterm 2

Shortterm 3

Total
Other

cal

assets 4

in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources
less
uses)

58.9
68.6
80.8
83. 8
75.7
106.8
124.7
135.3

45.5
58.5
80.9
115. 9
115. 1
37.0
80.3
103.6

40.7
44.5
58.3
72.7
81.8
37.0
58.2
78.7

32. 1
40.6
40.6
37.1
39. 1
49.2
48.7
46.2

8. 6
3.9
17.6
35. 6
42. 6
-12.2
9.4
32,5

4.8
14. 1
22.7
43. 3
33.4
.0
22. 1
25. 0

95. 9
119.6
145. 9
185.6
179. 1
131.9
184. 9
212.4

80. 3
86.0
100.3
123. 3
134. 7
99. 9
141.2
164.6

15.6
33. 6
45. 6
62. 3
44. 4
32.0
43.7
47.8

8.4
7.5
15.9
14.2
11.8
11. 9
20. 1
26.7

214.6
177.3

152.5
162.4
175. 2
168. 0

62. 1
14. 9
59.4
54.7

29.6
21. 3
31.4
24.4

180. 3
198.3

80.2
47.5

21.6
20.8

1977: I
II
III
IV

198. 6
266. 1
247. 2

123.8
134.9
145.5
137.3

120. 5
63.7
120.6
109.9

75.9
63.7
80.1
95.2

34.5
35.2
53.4
61.6

41.4
28. 5
26.7
33.6

44. 5
.0
40.5
14.7

1978: I
II v

282. 2
266. 6

125.6
140.5

156. 6
126. 1

107.0
101.3

40. 3
46. 7

66. 7
54. 6

49. 6
24.8

244.3

of
physi-

Increase

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption
adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits.
» Stocks, bonds, and mortgages.
> Bank loans, commercial paper, finance company loans, bankers' acceptances,
and Government loans.

234.6
222.7

260. 5
245.8

* Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights.
NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1971.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS
[Billions of dollars, except as noted]

Cur rent liabilities

Curreiit assets

Net

U.S.

End of period
Total

Cash

government
securities

Notes

Notes

and
ac-

counts
payable

Inventories

Other
current
assets

Total

and
ac-

counts
payable

Other
current
Mabili-

SEC series:2

1970
1971
1972

_

1973___

1974

FTC-FRB series : 3
1974_._
__ _

492. 3
529.6
599.3

697. 8
790. 7

50. 2
53. 3
59. 0
66.3
71. 1

11.0
10. 6
12. 8
12. 3

7.7

206. 1
221. 1

193. 3
200. 4

248.2

225.7

288. 5
322. 1

35. 0
43.8
55. 8
66. 4
71. 7

375. 6
450. 9
530. 4

375.4

65. 9
69. 9
76. 4
84. 3

451. 8
446. 9
487. 5
543. 9

263. 9
313.6

318. 9
314. 7
341. 4

304.9
326.0

1975.
1976_
1977_

756. 3
823. 1
901. 2

73. 0
80. 0
86.8
94. 4

11.3
19. 6
26. 0
20.8

272. 1

1976: III
IV

817.4
823. 1

79. 5
86.8

24. 1
26. 0

292. 4

342. 2
341.4

73.6
76. 4

484. 0

1977: I
II
III
IV

843. 2
857. 3
881. 7
901.2

80. 9
83.2
83. 6
94.4

26. 9
22. 3
21.7
20. 8

304. 5
313.2
327. 1

352. 4
359. 3
367. 9
375. 4

78. 3
79.2
81. 2
84.3

503. 4
510. 5
530. 2

734.6

265.5
292.4

326. 2
297.9

326.2

i3 Total current assets divided by total current liabilities.
Based on data from Statistics of Income, Department of the Treasury.
8
Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining, and
Trade Corporations, Federal Trade Commission.




487.5

543.9

work-

ing

Current
ratio 1

capital

93. 6
105. 5
92. 7
110. 7
128. 1

187. 4
203. 6
223. 7
246. 9
260. 3

1. 615
1. 625
1. 595
1. 548
1.491

272. 3
261. 2
273. 2
307. 1

179. 5
185. 7
214. 2
236.8

282. 8
309. 5
335. 6
357. 3

1.
1.
1.
1.

271. 2
273. 2

212. 8
214. 2

333. 4
335. 6

1. 689
1.688

280.6
287.4

222. 9
223. 1
231. 7
236. 8

339. 8
346. 9
351. 6
357. 3

1.675
1. 679
1. 663
1.657

211. 3
220. 5
282. 9
340.3

402. 3

298. 2
307. 1

626
693
688
657

NOTE.—SEC series not available after 1974.
See Federal Reserve Buttetin, July 1978, for details regarding the series.
Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Trade
Commission, and Securities and Exchange Commission.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Short-term interest rates continued to rise during September/ long-term rates turned up late in the month.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PER ANNUM

10

10
CORPORATE Aaa BONDS
(MOODrS)

1970

1978

SOURCEs SEE TABLE BELOW

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AtVKERS

[Percent per annum]

U.S. Tre asury security
3-month
bills *

Period

4. 071
7.041

1972__

1973
1974
1975
1976_ .
1977
1977: Aug.

7.886

...

Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1978: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr__
May

5. 838
4. 989
5. 265
5. 500
5. 770
6. 188
6. 160
6.063

6. 448
_

6.457

6. 319
6. 306
6.430
6.707
7.074

June
July

Aug__ _

7. 036

yields

Constant rnaturities 2
3-year

5.72
6.95
7. 82
7.49
6.77
6.69
6. 79
6. 84
7. 19
7. 22
7. 30
7.61
7.67
7. 70
7. 85
8. 07
8. 30
8.54
8. 33

10-year

6.21
6.84
7.56
7. 99
7.61
7. 42
7. 40
7. 34
7. 52
7. 58
7. 69
7. 96
8.03
8.04
8. 15
8. 35
8.46
8. 64
8.41

High-grade Corporate Prime com- Discount
rate
municipal
mercial
Aaa
(N.Y.
paper,
bonds
bonds
F.R.
(Standard
4-6
(Moody's)
Bank)4
months
& Poor's)3

7. 21
7.44
8.57
8. 83

5.27
5. 18
6. 09
6. 89
6. 49
5. 56
5.46
5.37
5. 53
5. 38
5. 48
5. 60
5. 51
5.49
5. 71
5. 97
6. 13
6. 18
5. 98

a 43
a 02
7.98
7. 92

a 04
a os
8. 19
8. 41

a 47

8.47
8.56
8.69
8.76
8.88
8.69

4 69
8. 15
9.87
6. 33
5. 35
5. 60
5. 84
6. 17
6.55
6. 59
6. 64
6. 79
6.80
6.80
6.86
7. 11
7.63
7.91
7. 90

Sept
Week ended:
1978: Sept 1...

8

15

22

7.323
7.659

7. 695

8.37
8. 35
8. 34
8.45

8.38
8.34
8. 31
8.46

6.04
6. 00
5. 88
5. 93

7.884
8. 106
29....
1 Rate on new issues within period.
2 Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities
by the Treasury Department.
3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
< Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.

30




8.67
8.67
8. 63
8. 70
6

8.03
8.24
8.43
8. 51

4. 50
6. 45
7. 83
6.25
5.50
5.46
5)4-5%

5%—5%
5%— 6
6-6
6-6

6-6X2
6^—6^2

6/4— 6/4
6^2—6^>

6H-7
7-7
7-7

7H-7%
7%7%—7%
7%-7%
7%—7%
7%-8

8 -

Prime
rate
charged

by

banks *

5. 25
8. 03
10. 81
7.86
6.84
6.83
6%-7
7 -7K
7%—7%

7%—7%
7%— 7%

7%—S

8-8
8-8
8-8

8-8H

8^4—9

9-9
9 -9K

Newhome
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB)^

7. 60
7. 95
8.92
9. 01
8.99
9.01
9.02
9. 04
9.07
9.07
9.09
9. 15
9. 18
9.26
9. 30
9.37
9.46
9.57
9.69

Wr-

9 -9M
9%_9^
9^—91^
9^-9K

9K-

Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting
fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment
at end of 10 years. Bates beginning January 1973 not strictly comparable with
prior rates.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service,
and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices moved erratically in September.
INDEX, DEC 31,1965=50

INDEX, DEC 31,1965=50

COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX
(NYSE)

40

40

30

- .30
1970

PERCENT
20

PERCENT
20
EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS
(S&P)

15

15

10

10

I

I

!

I
1971

1970

1972

1973

t

T

I

'1974

I
1976

1975

1977

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Common s tock 5 yields
(perc ent)

Comilion stock p rices l
2
New York Stock Exch ange indexe s(Dec. 31, 11965 = 50)

Period

TransporComposite Industrial
tation

1972
1973
1974 _ _
1975
1976
1977
1977: Aug.. _ _
Sept... _
Oct
._
Nov
Dec...

_
1978: Jan
Feb
Mar_
Apr
May
June . .
Julv
Aug__
Week ended:
1978: Aug 25
Sept 1
8

15
22

Finance

Utility

Standard
& Poor's
Dowcomposite DividendJones
index
industrial3
ratio
(1941-43 =
average
10)*

60.29
57.42
43.84
45.73
54. 46
53. 69
53. 51
52. 66
51. 37
51. 87
51. 83
49. 89
49. 41
49. 50
51. 75
54.49
54.83
54. 61
58.53

65.73
63.08
48. 08
50. 52
60.44
57. 86
57. 30
56. 41
54. 99
55. 62
53. 55
53. 45
52. 80
52. 77
55. 48
59. 14
59. 63
59. 35
64.07

50. 17
37. 74
31.89
31. 10
39. 57
41. 09
41. 04
39. 99
38. 33
39. 30
39.75
39. 15
38.90
38. 95
41. 19
44.21
44. 19
44. 74
49.45

38.48
37. 69
29. 79
31. 50
36. 97
40. 92
41. 50
40.93
40. 38
40. 33
40. 36
39. 06
39.02
39. 26
39. 69
39. 47
39. 41
39. 28
40.20

78. 35
70. 12
49.67
47. 14
52. 94
55. 25
56. 52
55. 33
53. 24
54. 04
53. 85
50. 91
50. 60
51. 44
55. 04
57. 95
58. 31
57. 97
63.28

950. 71
923. 88
759. 37
802. 49
974. 92
894. 63
872. 26
853. 30
823. 96
828. 51
818. 80
781. 09
763. 57
756. 37
794. 66
838. 56
840. 26
831. 72
887. 93

109. 20
107. 43
82. 85
86. 16
102. 01
98. 20
97.75
96. 23
93. 74
94. 28
93. 82
90. 25
88.98
88. 82
92. 71
97.41
97.66
97. 19
103. 92

2. 84
3.06
4. 47
4.31
3. 77
4. 62
4.72
4. 82
4. 97
5. 02
5. 11
5. 32
5. 49
5. 62
5. 42
5.20
5. 19
5.25
4. 93

59. 98
58. 49
59.52
59. 80
57. 63

64. 63
64. 12
65.44
65. 73
63.07

49. 82
50. 03
51.93
51.80
48.70

40. 27
39. 84
39. 89
40. 07
39. 59

63. 94
63. 11
64. 11
64. 70
62.37

894.
880.
895.
895.
862.

104. 62
103. 56
105. 52
105. 91
102. 25

4.
4.
4.
4.
5.

1
Averages of daily closing prices.
2
3 Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the
Includes 30 stocks.
* Includes 500 stocks.
8

NYSE.

Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing
prices. Earnings-price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.




1978

25
39
96
87
49

Earningsratio

5. 50
7. 12
11. 59
9. 15
8. 90
10. 79
11. 09
11. 45
12. 31

90
97
88
85
07

NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange
(NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Stand"
ard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT
In the first 11 months of fiscal 1978 the budget deficit was $52.4 billion. A year earlier the deficit was $46.6 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BiLUONS OF DOilARS
500

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS

.400

400

OUTLAYS

300

300
RECEIPTS

200

200

50*

50
SURPLUS W OR DEFICIT (-)

-50

-50

I

-100
1970

1971

1972

1973

-100

1974

1976

1975

1977

1978'

1979

FISCAL YEARS
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCISi DEPARTMENT OF THI TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]
Period

Receipts

Fiscal year or period:
1969— .
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974_
1975
1976
.„
Transition quarter
„
1977
„2 .
1978 (estimates) _ _
1979 (estimates):
Mid-Session Review, July 1978 2 _ _„
„ „
Second Concurrent
Resolution. Septem3
ber 1978 - .
Cumulative total first 11 months:
Fiscal year 1977
Fiscal year 1978
1
2 Excludes

„_

non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF.
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the 1979 Budget, Office of Management
and Budget, July 6,1978.
3 Second Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1979, September 21 1978.

32



Outlays

187. 8
193. 7
188. 4
208. 6
232. 2
264. 9
281. 0
300. 0
81. 8
357.8
401.2

184.5
196.6
211.4
232. 0
247. 1
269. 6
326. 1
366. 4
94. 7
402. 8
452. 3

448.2

Surplus or
deficit ( — )

Federal debt ( end of period)
Total l

Held by
the public

-45. 1
-66.4
-13.0
-45. 0
— 51. 1

47

367. 1
382. 6
409. 5
437. 3
468. 4
486. 2
544. 1
631. 9
646. 4
709. 1
776. 0

279.5
284. 9
304.3
323. 8
343. 0
346. 1
396. 9
480. 3
498. 3
551. 8
606.8

496.6

-48.5

853. 9

668. 9

448.7

487.5

— 38. 8

321. 1
359.4

367. 7
411.8

-46.6
-52.4

695. 5
773.3

541.8
608. 1

3.2

-2. 8
-23. 0
-23.4
-14. 8

NOTE.—See Note, p. 33.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget,
except as noted.

FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In *he first 11 months ol fiscal 1978 budget receipts were $38.3 billion higher than a year earlier and expenditures
were $44.1 billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

200

400

400

OUTLAYS

300

300

NONDEFENSE

200

200

100

100

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1978

1977

1979

FISCAL YEARS
SOURCES-. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Rec€jipts

<3utlays

Nationa I defense
Period

Total

Indi- Corpovidual ration Other
income income
taxes
taxes

Total
Total

Department of
Defense,
military

Fiscal year or period:
1969..
187. 8
193. 7
1970_ _
1971188. 4
1972. _
208. 6
232. 2
19731974
264. 9
1975
„
_ . _ _ 281. 0
1976
300. 0
Transition quarter
81.8
1977
357. 8
1
1978 (estimates)1
401. 2
1979 (estimates)
448. 2

87. 2
90. 4
86.2
94. 7
103.2
119. 0
122. 4
131. 6
38.8
157. 6
182. 0
200. 1

36.7
32.8
26.8
32.2
36. 2
38. 6
40. 6
41. 4
8. 5
54. 9
59.0
60.8

63.9
70.5
75. 4
81. 7
92. 8
107. 4
118.0
127. 0
34. 5
145.2
160. 2
187. 2

196. 6
211. 4
232. 0
247. 1
269. 6
326. 1
366. 4
94.7
402. 8
452. 3
496. 6

79.4
78. 6
75. 8
76. 6
74. 5
77.8
85. 6
89. 4
22. 3
97. 5
104. 2
114. 6

77. 9
77. 2
74.5
75. 2
73.3
77.6
85. 0
88. 0
21. 9
95. 7
102. 0
112. 0

Cumulative total first 11 i
months:
Fiscal year 1977___
321. 1
Fiscal year 1978
359.4

140.3
160.1

46. 5
50.2

1343
149. 1

367.7
411.8

89.0
96.2

87. 6
94. 3

1
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the 1979 Budget, Office of Management
and Budget, July 6,1978.
NOTE.—Earned income credit payments in excess of an individual's tax liability
are classified as outlays for all periods.




184.5

Interna- Health
and
Intional income
terest Other
affairs security

4. 6
4. 3
4. 1

7.4

49. 0
56. 1
70. 1
81.4
91. 8
106. 5
136. 3
160. 9
41. 5
176.7
190. 6
209.4

15.8
18.3
19. 6
20. 6
22. 8
28. 1
31. 0
34. 6
7. 2
38. 1
43. 8
49. 0

35. 7
39. 3
41. 8
48. 8
53. 9
51. 7
66. 5
76. 0
21. 5
85. 7
107. 1
116. 3

3.6
5.7

164.3
173.8

35.4
40.7

75. 5
95. 4

4.7
4.0
5.6

6. 9

5.5
2.2

4. 8
6. 5

Source: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
According to revised estimates for the second quarter. Federal receipts rose $28.6 billion (annual rate) and expenditures fell slightly, yielding a deficit of $23.6 billion, less than half the deficit in the first quarter.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

50

50

i111 I ni Hl| 1

SURPLUS

^-1y/A

DEFICIT

V^A uu t^i

r

*""

-50 -

-100
1970

1971

1973

1972

1974
CALENDAR YEARS

V?75

- -50
-100

1978

1977

1976

-

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal (jrovernm ent receip ts
Period

F(sderal G 3vernmeiat expen ditures

Surplus
or
deficit

GrantsSubsidies Less:
Indirect ContriPurin-aid
less
Wage
Personal Corporate business butions
chases Trans- to State t Net current accruals national
tax
and
Total nontax profits tax and
Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less
for
income
tax
nontax social inand
paid Govern- disments local
and
receipts accruals
services
accruals surance
ment en- burse- product
governterprises ments accounts
ments

(-),

Fiscal year;
1974...
271. 8
283. 5
1975
313.9
1976
365. 3
1977
Calendar
year:
1974. _ _
288.6
1975
286. 2
331. 4
1976. _ _
374. 5
1977

122. 6
127. 1
136.9
165.9

43.7
42. 1
51.9
58. 8

21. 4
22.2
24.2
24. 5

84. 2
92. 1
100.9
116. 1

278.8
328.7
371.5
412.0

104. 6
118. 0
126.2
140.7

104. 7
134.3
156.5
169.6

41. 6
48.4
57. 5
66.2

19. 8
21.9
25.2
28.4

8.0
5.7
6.2
7.0

-0.2
— .4
.0
.0

-7.0
-45. 3
-57. 6
-46.7

131. 1
125.4
146.8
169. 4

45. 9
42.8
54.8
61. 3

21.7
23.9
23. 4
25. 0

89.9
94. 2
106. 4
118.7

299. 3
356.8
385.2
422. 6

111. 1
123. 1
129.9
145. 1

117.6
149. 1
161. 6
172. 7

43.9
54. 6
61. 1
67.4

20. 9
23.2
26. 8
29. 1

5.3
6.8
5.8
8.3

—.5
.0
.0
.0

-10.7
-70.6
-53. 8
-48. 1

1977: I
II___
III__
IV...

366. 6
371. 4
374.3
385.5

168.3
167.0
167. 6
174. 8

58.4
61.8
62. 0
62. 9

24. 4
24. 8
25. 4
25. 6

115.5
117. 7
119. 3
122. 2

403.
411.
430.
444.

9
7
7
1

138.3
142.9
146. 8
152. 2

168. 6
168.2
175. 7
178.3

62. 1
65.4
70. 9
71. 1

28. 1
28. 8
28. 9
30.7

6.4
8.4

6. 7

11.8

.0
.0
.0
.0

-37.3
-40.3
-56. 4
-58. 6

1978: I
II

396.2
424. 8

176.8
186.7

59.6
72.6

26. 5
27.9

133. 3 448. 8
137. 6 448. 3

151. 5
147.2

180. 2
180.7

73. 9
75.9

33.2
34.6

10.0
10.0

.0
.0

-52. 6
-23. a

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget.

34




INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
[1967=100]
In dustria produ<;tion (se*isonally adjuste i)
Period

1971
1972
1973_
1974
1975
1976
1977__1977: Nov_
Dee—..
1978: Jan
Feb.—
Mar
Apr--May V.
June "_
July *_
Aug*—

United CanStates ada

109.6
119. 7
129. 8
129. 3
117.8
129.8
137. 0
139. 3
139. 7
138. 8
139.2
140.9
143. 2
143.9
144. 9
145. 9
146.6

Japan

121.5
130.7
143.0
147.5
139. 6
146. 7
152.6
154.7
155. 4
153. 3
156. 7
157.5
158.2
156.7
158. 6
160.4

France

Germany

128
135
145
148
139
149
152
154
149
154
152
156
160
155
154

133.6
13a7
147.7
145.1
137. 1
149. 1
152.7
153
156
157
152
151
152
151
155
160

155. 8
167.2
190. 5
183. 1
163.9
182.0
189. 5
191. 5
193. 3
194.9
195.4
199.5
199.7
200. 3
200.5
199. 7

Con sumer \trices (uiiadjuste< i)

United United CanGer1
Italy King- States
ada Japan France many
dom

117.5
122.7
1346
140. 6
127.6
143. 5
144.8
142. 1
137.3
143. 4
148. 0
146. 6
143. 1
145.1
143.2

110.6
113. 2
122.5
120.3
114. 3
115. 6
117.2
116. 1
117. 2
117.8
118.7
118. 6
121. 5
118.0
119.2
119.5

121.3
125. 3
133. 1
147.7
161.2
170. 5
181. 5
185.4
186. 1
187. 2
188.4
189. 8
191. 5
193.3
195. 3
196. 7
197.8

12&5
132. 3
147.9
184.0
205. 8
224. 9
243.0
245.7
245. 1
246. 1
247. 1
249.4
252. 1
253. 5
252. 1
253. 1

115.6
121. 2
130. 3
144.5
160. 1
172. 1
185. 9
192. 0
193. 3
194.0
195.3
197. 5
197. 9
200. 7
202.4
205.4
205.5

123.5
131.1
140.7
160. 0
178.9
196. 1
213.9
221. 1
221.7
222. 8
224.4
226.4
228.9
231, 1
232. 8
235.7

Italy

112.7
119.0
127.2
136. 1
144 2
150. 7
156.6
157.5
157. 9
158.9
159.7
160. 3
160. 7
161. 1
161.5
161. 5
161.0

114.4
121.0
134. 1
159. 7
186.8
218. 1
257. 6
270. 7
272. 0
274. 6
277.4
280. 3
283. 3
286.4
288. 8
291. 0
292.3

United
Kingdom

128.5
137. 6
150. 3
174.4
216. 5
252. 4
292. 4
301. 0
302. 6
304.4
306.2
308. 1
312. 6
314.4
316.8
318. 2
320.3

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, Bureau
of International Economic Policy and Research, Office of International Economic
Research, in International Economic Indicators.

i Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers.

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Mercttandise exports

Merc landise imports

Domestic3 exports
Period

Total
domestic and
foreign Total * 2
exports

Ge neral im 3orts

Food, Crude
Food, Crude
bever- mate- Manubever- matefac2
rials
rials tured Total
ages,
ages,
and to- and
and to- and
goods
bacco fuels
bacco
fuels

F. a.s. valu e 5

Monthly
average :
1973
1974

balance

ManuTotal
fac(c.i.f. 4
tured value)
goods

Exports
(f.a.s.)
less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports Exports
(f.a.s.) (f.a.s.)
less
less
imimports
ports
(f.a.s.)

Custonis value

5,902
8, 159

5,811
8,045

1, 078
1,269

895
1,317

3,728
5,294

5,790
8,416

1974
8, 159
1975
8, 966
1976
__ 9, 596
1977
10, 096
1977: Aug,__. 9, 683
Sept
11, 039
Oct
9, 357
N o v _ _ - 9,478
Dee___ 10, 999
1978: Jan
10, 014
Feb__- 9, 922
Mar___ 10, 912
Apr_._ 11, 635
May 11, 754
June___ 12, 126
July— 11, 793
Aug>__ 12, 469

8, 045
8,842
9,456
9, 915

1,269
1,399
1,436
1, 332
1, 341
1,466
1, 023
1, 135
1,472
1,281
1,531
1,604
1,693
1,897
1,963
1, 844
2,008

1,317
1, 266
1,341
1, 548
1,307
1,531
1,466
1, 500
1,493
1,402
1, 282
1,483
1,699
1,781
1, 930
1,636
1,758

5, 294
5,913
6,437
6,681
6,469
7,518
6,277
6, 382
7,463
6,739
6,674
7, 145
7,562
7,548
7, 751
7,859
8, 232

8, 354
8, 048
10, 084
12, 307
12, 101
12, 942
12, 587
12, 407
13, 474
12, 381
14, 440
13, 699
14, 496
13, 992
13, 723
14, 779
14, 090

i Total excludes
it ol Defen se shipmen ts of grant-aid militar y supplies and equipment under th e Military jAssistance Program,
28 Total includes commoditu>s and trans actions noi classified a ccording to kind.
Total arrivals ()f imported goods othe r than intninsit shipments.
* C.i.f. (cost, insurance, anc1 freight) iniport value at first po rt of entry n the
United States. Da ta for 1973 iire estimate s.




Mer 3handise trade

3

770
892
F.a.s.
892
827
991
1, 186
1,088
1, 115
998
962
1,442
1,276
1,363
1,370
1,370
1,313
1,135
1,323
1, 141

1,120
2,653
value 5
2, 672
2,718
3,457
4,463
4, 352
4,571
4,680
4,771
3,900
3,912
4,362
3,928
4,139
4,461
4,221
4,147
4,414

3,750
4, 684

6, 131
9,000

4, 602
4,257
5,398
6, 379
6,393
6,844
6,767
6,140
7,556
7,264
8,464
8,043
8, 636
8,247
8, 020
P, 864
8, 195

9,000
8,654
10, 825
13, 130
12, 897
13, 813
13, 432
13, 203
14, 370
13, 157
15, 381
14, 570
15, 436
14, 894
14, 607
15, 748
15, 030

112
-257

-195

—257 —195
853
918
—581 —488
—2, 297 —2, 211
-2, 466 -2, 418
-1,967 -1,903
-3,314 -3, 230
-3,011 -2, 929
-2, 581 -2, 475
-2,455 -2, 367
-4, 649-4, 518
-2, 915 -2,787
-2,983 -2,861
-2,358 -2,238
-1, 702 -1, 597
-3, 082 -2, 987
— 1,706 -1, 621

— 229
-841

—841
312
—1, 229
—3, 034
— 3, 214
—2, 775
-4, 074
-3, 725
-3, 371
— 3, 143
— 5,459
-3, 658
— 3, 801
— 3, 141
-2, 482
— 3, 956
—2, 561

* F.a.s. (fi-ee alongside3 ship) valu e basis: at U.S. port of exportation for exports
and at foreig n port ol 63tportation f or imports.
NOTE.— I>ata beginn ing 1975 no t strictly COBapaxable w th earlier <5lata.
Source: D epartment of Commerce, Bureau oif the Censu,3.
00

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the second quarter, the cvrrewt account deficit fell to $3.3 billion, down from $6.9 billion in the first quarter, as the
merchandise trade deficit fell $3.4 billion to $7.8 billion.
BILLIONS OF .DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BALANCE ON GOODS
AND SERVICES

Tf70

. '1975

1971

1977

I

1978

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC 'ADVISERS

SOURCE: »B?ARTMENT Of COMMERCE

[MilMons of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted]
M erchandise

Period

1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

Exports

Imports

Invc,stment in come3

12

"Miaf
jLNeTJ
K«l
UEU.—

ance

43, 319 -45,579 -2,260
49, 381 -55,797 -6,416
911
71, 410 -70,499
98, 306 - 103, 649 -5,343
9,047
107, 088 -98,041
114, 694 -124,047 -9,353
120, 555 -151,658 -31,103

-36, 496 -7, 017
-37,258 -6, 628
-38,265 -7, 253
-39,639 - 10, 205

Receipts

Payments

12, 688 -5,436
14, 694 -6,544
21, 697 -9,655
27, 541 - 12, 084
25, 359 - 12, 564
29, 244 -13,311
32, 100 -14,593
-3, 197
-3,601
-3,610
-4, 185

1977:1--II—
IIIIV__

29, 479
30, 630
31, 012
29, 434

1978: !_._
II*.

30, 664 -41, 865 -11,201 9,381 -4, 503
35, 067 -42, 869 -7, 802 9,917 -5, 297

21 Excludes military grants.
8 Adjusted from Census data

7,796
8,088
8,220
7,997

for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct
investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and
included in other services, net.

36




"NW
Xi Cu

7,252
8,150
12, 042
15, 457
12, 795
15, 933
17, 507

NetNet
travel
and
military
transtrans- portaactions
tion
receipts

-2,893 — 2, 315
-3,621 -3,028
-2, 287 -3,086
-2, 080 -3, 105
-876 -2, 522
312 -2, 245
1,334 -3,044

Other
services,
net 3

Balance
on
goods
and
serv-l
ices

2,294
2,509
2,789 -2, 125
3, 185 10, 766
3,975
8,905
4,617 23, 060
4,714
9,361
4,749 -10,558
-1,622
-1,434
— 1,594
-5,905

Remittances,
pensions,
and
otner
unilateral
transfers 1

Balance
on
current
account

-3,701 -1,407
-3,854 -5,979
-3,881
6,885
-7, 186
1, 719
-4,615 18, 445
-5,022
4,339
-4, 708 -15,265

4,599
4,487
4,610
3,812

568
295
467
5

-907
— 759
— 677
-701

1,136
1,171
1,260
1, 183

4,878
4,620

210
575

-823
— 630

1,361 -5, 576 — 1,282 — 6, 858
1,329 — 1,908 -1,353 -3, 261

-1,126
-1,243
-1,277
-1,064

NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1977.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

-2, 748
-2, 677
-2, 871
-6, 969

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
Foreign official assets in the U.S. fell by $4.9 billion In the second quarter of 1978, almost offsetting the accumulation of other foreign assets in the U.S.; accumulation of U.S. assets abroad was $5.0 billion, led by only a $4.1 accumulation of U.S. private assets abroad in fhe wake of the declining value of the dollar.
BILLIONS , OF DOLLARS

BHUQNS OF DOLLARS
30 r
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

20

20

%t

CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS
m THE U.S., NET

t
I
t
-I-

10

10

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD, NET

-10

-10

-20

-20

-30

-30
1970"

1978

1977

SOURC6 DBPAKTMe'lf Of' COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/capita 1 outflow (-)]

Foreigrt official
ass>ets

Period
Total

1971.
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

Fore ign assets in the U S., net
[inci"ease/eapilbal inflow (+)]«

Other
U.S.
U.S.
official
U.S.
private
reserve2 Govern- assets2
assets *
ment
assets

1978: I_— -15,036
II »_ —4, 966

Assets of Other
foreign foreign
official
assets
reserve
agencies

26, 895
10, 705
6,299
10, 981
6,907
18, 073
37, 124

27, 405 -3,907
10, 322 10, 991
5, 145 12, 364
10, 257 23, 696
5,259
8,643
13, 080 18, 897
35, 480 13, 746

-388
-949
3 2,490
6
— 795 -11,214 14, 064
151 - 1, 098 -5,668 14, 251
-838 -13,862 20, 065

5,451
7,884
8,246
15, 543

4,946 -2,962
7,467
6, 180
7,914
6,005
15, 153
4,522

246
-896 -14,386 18, 095 15, 760 14, 956
329 -1, 151 -4, 144
229 -4, 924 —4, 614

i Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDR), convertible currencies, and
he U.S. reserve position in the IMF.
f 2 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Total

1,884 - 12, 939 22, 987
-1,568 -12,925 21, 696
-2,644 -20,388 18, 663
366 -33,643 34, 677
-3,470 -35,368 15, 550
-4,213 -43,865 36, 969
-3,679 -30,740 50, 869

-12,475
2,348
- 14, 461
32
_ -22,823
209
-34,712 - 1, 434
-39,444
-607
-50,608 -2,530
-34,650
-231

1977: I
- 1, 334
II
-12,003
III... -6,615
IV
-14,700

Total

2, 336
5, 152

Statistical
discre pancy
Allocations
Of
of
Total
which:
special (sum of Seasonal
drawing
the
adjustrights
items
ment
(SDR) with sign discrepreversed) ancy

717 -9,822
710 — 1, 966
-2,725
-1,684
5,449
9,300
-954

U.S.
official
reserve
assets,
net 1
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

12, 167
13, 151
14, 378
15,883
16, 226
18, 747
19, 312

1,592
131 19, 120
616
-178 19, 156
— 4,766 -2,230 18, 988
1,604
2,276 19, 312
3,798
7,998

160 19, 192
12 18, 864

NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1977.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury.

37

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Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits.
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
•
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits.
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

•

-

«

•
*

•

•

«

*
•
•
•

•
•

—

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
•
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
• >t
Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Productivity and Related Data, Private Business Economy

•
•

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures.
New Construction
..
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders

•

»

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices. .
Changes in Producer Prices
Changes in Consumer Prices
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

•

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock

26

Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors
Consumer Instalment Credit..
Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt
Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

....
»,.

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports.
U.S. International Transactions
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