Full text of Economic Indicators : October 1990
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101st Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators OCTOBER 1990 (Includes data available as of October 31, 1990) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1990 COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan) SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) PETE WILSON (California) CONNIE MACK (Florida) JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy ($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the third quarter of 1990, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 5.3 percent (annual rate) or $71.1 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.8 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 3.4 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES ^ - 5,200 - ^ ^^ r;NP 4,800 IN CURRENT DOLLARS ^ 4,800 ^ - 4,400 4,400 - 4,000 ^^" ^ „„..--''' - \ 3,600 ^r x 3,600 GNP 11--1 1982 DOLLAR S ^v"~~ ^ - 3,200 3,200 - — 2,800 2,800 \ 2,400 \ I 1 \ 1983 1982 \ 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 1 1986 I 1 I I I 1988 1987 I 1 1 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 I 2,400 1990 1989 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Exports and imports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Personal consumption expenditures GroSS private domestic investment 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,014.9 4,231.6 4,515.6 4,873.7 5,200.8 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,009.4 3,238.2 3,450.1 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.5 747.1 771.2 32.1 33.S 26.3 — 6.1 -58.9 -78.0 -97.4 — 114.7 -74.1 -46.1 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 370.9 396.5 449.6 552.0 626.2 318.9 .348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 448.9 493.8 564.3 626.1 672.3 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 820.8 872.2 921.4 962.5 1,025.6 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 355.2 366.5 381.3 380.3 400.0 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.1 277.8 294.6 297.2 301.1 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 96.0 88.7 86.7 83.1 98.9 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,079.1 3,332.6 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 741.4 747.5 14.1 — 25.8 -67.9 -103.2 -108.9 -115.0 -70.3 335.9 364.7 385.7 369.2 402.4 485.8 583.1 321.9 390.5 453.6 472.4 511.3 600.7 653.5 671.8 676.1 764.5 856.7 888.9 942.0 1,000.0 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.2 401.1 205.4 221.5 244.1 268.6 280.7 296.0 299.6 1990- Gross national product Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 . .. Final sales Gross domestic purchases 1 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 465.6 505.7 540.2 582.3 625.6 2,740.3 3,028.8 3,190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,003.6 4,224.8 4,487.3 4,847.5 5,172.5 2,699.8 3,018.7 3,139.7 3,411.8 3,831.1 4,092.8 4,329.0 4,630.3 4,947.8 5,246.9 87.7 54.6 81.9 108.0 88.1 92.2 101.6 378.7 400.0 438.5 480.1 520.1 553.9 598.9 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 4,100.7 4,309.4 4,591.9 4,993.6 3,198.5 3,571.6 3,919.7 4,211.2 4,406.2 4,762.6 5,080.1 Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local 19821983: 1984: 19851986: 1987- IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988: IV 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 4,107.9 4,297.3 4,647.6 5,009.8 1989: I II III IV 5,101.3 5,174.0 5,238.6 5,289.3 3,371.7 3,425.9 3,484.3 3,518.5 769.7 776.7 775.8 762.7 -48.5 -51.3 -49.3 -35.3 609.7 628.8 623.7 642.8 658.2 680.0 673.0 678.1 1,008.5 1,022.7 1,027.8 1,043.3 398.3 402.5 399.2 399.9 298.2 300.6 306.3 299.2 100.1 101.9 93.0 100.7 610.2 620.2 628.6 643.4 5,074.7 5,141.3 5,209.7 5,264.3 5,149.8 5,225.3 5,287.9 5,324.6 5 375 4 5,443.3 5,514.4 3,588.1 3,622.7 3,700.6 747.2 759.0 759.6 -30.0 -24.9 -49.2 661.3 659.7 662.6 691.3 684.6 711.8 1,070.1 1,086.4 1,103.4 410.6 421.9 425.4 307.2 309.6 311.1 103.4 112.3 114.3 659.6 664.6 678.0 5,387.2 5,429.9 5,505.6 5,405.3 5,468.2 5,563.7 1 I 11 Ill " GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Total 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,618.7 3,717.9 3,845.3 4,016.9 4,117.7 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,354.8 2,446.4 2,515.8 2,606.5 2,656.8 509.3 545.5 447.3 504.0 658.4 637.0 639.6 669.0 705.7 716.9 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 453.5 438.4 449.8 487.2 506.1 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 3,662.4 3,733.6 3,920.7 4,059.3 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 2,386.9 2,477.8 2,534.2 2,638.8 408.8 577.2 655.7 648.0 615.2 706.6 696.2 1989- I 4,095.7 4,112.2 4,129.7 4,133.2 2,636.7 2,645.3 2,675.3 2,669.9 1990- I 4,150.6 4,155.1 4,173.6 2,677.3 2,678.8 2,702.7 Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 19831984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV n m rv n m" 1 Gross national product Besidential fixed Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Change in business inventories Government purchases of goods and services Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.4 195.7 196.4 194.9 187.0 -6.9 57.0 23.9 49.4 -24.5 26.3 64 19 9 62.3 -84.0 9.1 -104.3 5.6 -129.7 22.8 -118.5 23.6 -75.9 23.8 -54.1 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 367.2 397.1 451.8 534.7 593.3 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 471.4 526.9 570.3 610.6 647.4 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 731.2 761.6 779.1 780.5 798.1 352.3 390.4 444.4 460.9 435.7 462.3 486.6 115.8 159.9 169.6 179.4 200.3 195.8 195.6 -59.3 11.7 27.0 -46.2 41.7 -94.8 7.7 -125.3 -20.8 -135.4 48.4 -111.3 14.0 -75.7 336.0 355.5 376.6 367.4 406.5 487.0 555.3 324.3 401.6 471.4 492.6 541.9 598.3 631.0 717.0 719.1 722.3 709.1 497.1 505.5 513.3 508.4 193.8 188.1 184.4 181.8 26.1 25.5 24.6 18.9 — 51.1 -53.3 -64.1 -47.9 576.1 593.2 592.5 611.6 700.7 700.7 700.6 514.6 508.4 517.6 188.3 182.8 175.3 -2.2 9.5 7.8 -35.4 —44.6 — 52.5 628.1 620.1 622.0 GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases 1 National defense Nondefense 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 326.0 334.1 339.6 328.1 334.9 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 237.2 252.1 265.1 260.7 256.3 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 88.8 82.0 74.5 67.5 78.7 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 405.2 427.5 439.5 452.4 463.2 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,609.6 3,712.4 3,822.5 3,993.2 4,094.0 3,130.1 3,199.4 3,139.7 3,299.1 3,585.4 3,723.0 3,847.6 3,963.8 4,092.8 4,171.8 660.1 642.2 693.2 752.7 776.0 791.3 799.9 289.5 266.0 300.5 340.6 342.4 347.7 342.3 201.4 211.6 225.3 241.4 255.8 266.0 261.1 88.2 54.4 75.2 99.2 86.6 81.7 81.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 412.1 433.6 443.6 457.5 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 3,654.7 3,754.4 3,872.3 4,045.2 3,147.6 3,411.3 3,630.0 3,787.6 3,869.0 4,032.0 4,134.9 627.3 646.5 656.6 659.4 793.2 801.0 796.2 802.2 334.2 339.9 333.0 332.7 253.7 255.7 260.2 255.5 80.4 84.2 72.8 77.2 459.0 461.1 463.2 469.5 4,069.6 4,086.6 4,105.1 4,114.4 4,146.8 4,165.4 4,193.9 4,181.1 663.5 664.7 674.5 807.9 820.2 822.8 333.0 345.9 345.6 254.4 256.5 256.8 78.6 89.4 88.8 475.0 474.3 477.2 4,152.8 4,145.6 4,165.8 4,185.9 4,199.7 4,226.1 Total Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Personal consumption expenditures Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 19871988: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV 1989: I n in IV 1990: I.. n HI". Gross national product Total Durable goods ble goods Services Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 110.9 113.8 117.4 121.3 126.3 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.6 114.3 119.6 124.2 129.9 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.8 105.6 108.2 109.4 110.9 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.3 112.2 116.6 122.8 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 116.8 122.4 128.7 134.5 141.0 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.7 99.3 98.9 100.2 101.2 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.3 111.1 115.2 119.3 123.5 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.0 99.8 99.5 103.2 105.5 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 102.5 103.8 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.0 109.7 112.3 115.9 119.4 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.2 110.2 111.1 114.0 117.5 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.2 108.1 116.3 123.2 125.8 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 114.9 118.3 122.9 128.7 135.1 101.7 105.4 109.0 112.2 115.1 118.5 123.4 101.8 105.7 109.3 113.1 115.8 121.5 126.3 100.7 103.1 104.1 104.7 106.2 108.9 110.3 101.0 103.1 105.8 108.7 107.8 113.9 118.6 102.7 108.3 113.5 119.0 124.9 130.9 137.0 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.9 100.0 99.0 101.8 99.1 103.1 107.2 109.0 112.4 116.5 120.6 100.0 102.6 102.4 100.5 99.0 99.7 105.0 99.3 97.2 96.2 95.9 94.4 100.4 103.6 101.3 103.8 108.5 110.6 107.7 111.7 117.2 102.0 104.7 108.3 111.3 109.7 111.3 114.7 99.5 100.3 108.9 108.8 101.7 112.8 125.1 102.2 106.3 111.7 116.5 120.0 124.9 130.9 124.6 125.8 126.8 128.0 127.9 129.5 130.2 131.8 110.4 110.6 111.2 111.4 120.5 123.2 123.2 124.5 138.8 140.1 141.6 143.4 101.9 101.2 100.9 100.7 122.1 123.7 124.2 124.3 105.8 106.0 105.3 105.1 104.9 105.2 102.5 102.8 119.2 118.4 119.9 120.2 117.5 117.6 117.7 117.1 124.4 121.0 127.8 130.4 132.9 134.5 135.7 137.1 129.5 131.0 132.1 134.0 135.2 136.9 112.5 112.1 112.4 128.3 129.4 131.5 145.1 146.6 148.4 101.6 101.6 102.4 125.3 125.3 126.0 105.3 106.4 106.5 104.2 103.0 105.5 123.3 122.0 123.1 120.8 120.7 121.2 131.5 125.6 128.7 138.9 140.1 142.1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Gross private domestic investment CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption e? penditures Ore ss national prr duct Period 1980 1081 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1987- I II III IV 1988- I II. Ill IV. 1989: Constant (1.983) dollars Current dollars 89 02 11.7 37 1.9 9.3 9.3 6.2 4.1 3.9 5.4 2.5 4.0 34 2.7 67 34 32 33 35 7.9 67 9.1 4.5 3.3 41 5.2 3.5 3.7 43 4.3 4.2 25 42 31 31 4.4 35 4.1 3.5 3.3 17 31 2.7 2.7 44 4.7 27 47 3.3 42 4.8 44 3.6 3.9 4.7 16 39 44 1.7 3 1.7 4 3.2 38 4.8 3.1 7.4 87 7.8 83 7.4 66 5.1 36 7.5 58 5.1 39 6.7 51 53 1 8 47 34 10.5 71 9.0 8.8 82 Chain price index 107 9.2 57 4.1 10.9 92 3.9 35 2.7 46 fi.4 3.9 28 46 3.6 45 3.8 46 6.4 48 3.5 76 7.6 65 7.3 96 8.9 4.3 4.4 37 47 19 37 — 4 41 39 9.2 6.9 47 74 27 5.5 8.2 3.5 44 4.9 46 41 36 41 6.1 -02 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 3.8 32 2.4 3.1 38 6.6 39 NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding vear and quarterly changes arc from preceding ouar- 106 45 37 Implicit price deflator Fixedweighted price index (lima weights) 90 9.4 6.3 4.1 33 Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 6.4 3.9 3.7 30 2.6 10.8 64 1990: I 11 Ill" 90 9.7 Chain price index 3.6 6.8 34 2.7 -2.5 7.6 I II. Ill IV. Implicit price deflator Kxedwt'ighted price index (1982 weights) 13 2.3 43 4.6 46 5.2 5.1 4.6 22 -8 1.1 5.0 6.8 9 3.6 36 51 81 35 4.8 66 7.0 40 -.3 82 39 89 5.7 4.2 4.0 47 6.2 49 4.3 40 2.5 47 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.3 26 4.9 6.8 3.4 52 10.5 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 35 2.7 4.6 4.1 4.8 6.3 5.1 4.3 4.3 26 4.8 5.1 4.9 5.0 5.7 2.7 4.7 7.4 3.1 5.7 Soura:: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 198419851986: 19871988: 1989' IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I. II Ill IV 1990- I II . . Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,267.1 2,367.1 2,524.8 2,720.7 2,854.5 1,779.4 2,012.5 2,201.8 2,309.4 2,408.7 2,597.4 2,797.3 2,812.8 2,847.5 2,879.1 2,878.5 2 907 5 2,960.0 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,117.4 2,173.9 2,290.2 2,403.7 2,431.2 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 2,137.7 2,198.5 2,339.4 2,428.6 2,427.8 2,431.3 2,443.9 2,421.8 2,423.1 2,440.1 Total cost and profit '* Capital consumption allowances witb capital consumption adjustment Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Indirect business taxes 3 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1 .054 1.071 1.089 1.102 1.132 1.174 1.011 1 .037 1.064 1.080 1.096 1.110 1.152 1.159 1.171 1.178 1.189 1.200 1. 213 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .123 .123 .124 .131 .131 .120 .118 .120 .124 .122 .126 .127 .129 .132 .135 .135 .135 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .10.3 .106 .105 .107 .112 .096 .098 .102 .104 .106 .105 .108 .110 .111 .113 .114 .117 .116 Compensation of employees Net interest 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .704 .721 .726 .750 .782 .685 .680 .694 .713 .727 .734 .763 .774 .780 .782 .795 .803 .812 0.031 .0.37 .043 .037 .039 .038 .041 .041 .041 .050 .042 .037 .042 .037 .042 .040 .042 .046 .049 .051 .052 .052 .053 Total 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .106 .098 .107 .111 .099 .057 .103 .107 .106 .096 .109 .112 .102 .102 .100 .092 .093 .097 Profits tax liability 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .035 .041 .043 .042 .023 .036 .032 .033 .038 .042 .043 .044 .042 .041 .040 .039 .040 Profits after tax 4 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .073 .064 .067 .068 .057 .034 .066 .075 .072 .058 .067 .069 .058 .060 .059 .052 .053 .057 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 18.524 18.643 18.704 19.217 19.682 19.996 20.456 20.968 21.203 20.929 18.771 19.422 19.784 20.117 20.650 21.118 21.173 21.042 20.970 21.011 20.786 20.670 20.755 10.769 11.777 12.635 13.039 13.528 14.069 14.746 15.231 15.892 16.376 12.866 13.208 13.735 14.341 15.008 15.492 16.158 16.288 16.347 16.421 16.517 16.602 16.841 NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm Rental income of persons with capita! consumption adjustment Nonfarm Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits hefore tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,234.0 3,412.6 3,660.3 3,984.9 4,223.3 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,367.5 2,511.4 2,686.4 2,905.1 3,079.0 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 42.8 43.7 48.6 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 280.6 310.5 330.7 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.7 16.3 8.2 150.0 213.7 266.9 282.3 282.1 308.3 337.6 311.6 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 255.9 289.8 286.1 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 275.3 316.7 307.7 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -19.4 -27.0 — 21.7 -9.2 17.0 32.7 59.7 53.8 52.4 47.8 25.5 272.3 281.0 304.8 319.0 325.5 328.6 371.8 445.1 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3,312.8 3,473.1 3,791.5 4,104.1 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,426.7 2,571.2 2,770.3 2,986.7 28.5 19.3 28.1 29.2 37.2 52.3 35.5 159.8 188.6 209.7 235.0 252.0 293.0 321.5 15.8 12.4 5.6 7.8 13.5 14.6 16.8 146.1 248.5 266.9 291.4 275.2 323.1 349.6 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 268.6 308.7 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 289.7 331.1 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -21.1 -22.5 -4.5 25.1 42.3 63.0 49.1 54.5 40.9 266.9 290.2 313.1 322.7 324.0 338.2 394.1 n m .. 4,177.3 4,216.8 4,232.1 4,267.1 3,029.7 3,062.6 3,095.2 3,128.6 59.6 50.5 38.7 45.7 328.2 329.1 329.5 336.0 13.3 9.7 5.8 4.1 327.3 321.4 306.7 290.9 292.1 291.5 285.3 275.3 335.1 314.6 291.4 289.8 -43.0 -23.1 -6.1 - 14.5 35.2 29.9 21.4 15.6 419.2 443.4 456.2 461.7 1990- I II p 43503 4,411.3 3,180.4 3,232.5 3,276.1 57.4 51.0 42.8 346.6 350.8 355.2 5.5 4.3 7.6 296.8 306.6 285.5 298.8 296.9 299.3 -11.4 -.5 -30.6 11.3 7.7 2.3 463.6 466.2 468.9 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 1988- IV IV IV IV .. IV IV IV 1989: I IT m 1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Includes employer contributions (or social insurance. (See also p. 5.) PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nondurable goods Durable goods Period Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furniture and household equipment Other Total nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Other Services Retail sales of ivew passenger cars (millions of units) Domestics Imports 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,009.4 3,238.2 3,450.1 252.7 289.1 335.5 372.2 406.0 423.4 457.5 474.6 108.9 130.4 157.4 179.1 196.2 197.9 212.2 215.5 95.7 107.1 118.8 129.9 139.7 148.8 161.8 171.4 48.1 51.6 59.3 63.2 70.0 76.7 83.5 87.8 771.0 816.7 867.3 911.2 942.0 1,001.3 1,060.0 1,130.0 398.8 421.9 448.5 471.6 500.0 530.7 562.6 595.3 124.4 135.1 146.7 156.4 166.8 178.4 191.1 204.6 89.1 90.2 90.0 90.6 73.5 75.3 77.3 83.8 158.7 169.5 182.1 192.6 201.7 216.9 229.1 246.3 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,345.6 1,449.5 1,584.7 1,720.7 1,845.5 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2,117.0 2 315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,079.1 3 332.6 263.8 310.0 346.7 373.2 422.0 427.4 473.1 115.7 144.4 162.3 173.8 201.1 198.9 217.8 99.1 112.4 122.7 134.7 143.8 151.1 166.8 49.0 53.2 61.8 64.7 77.1 77.4 88.5 786.6 837.9 879.6 932.7 952.1 1,019.9 1,088.0 407.0 430.8 456.1 482.5 511.9 539.0 577.1 126.5 141.1 149.8 160.6 168.7 182.2 198.6 89.8 91.9 89.0 91.0 66.0 77.3 78.5 163.4 1,066.5 174.0 1,167.9 184.7 1,267.1 198.5 1,394.5 205.5 1,494.4 221.5 1,631.8 233.9 1,771.5 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 7.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.0 1989: I II Ill IV 3,371.7 3,425.9 3,484.3 3,518.5 466.4 473.6 487.1 471.2 211.3 216.2 226.9 207.5 170.2 170.7 171.5 173.0 84.9 86.7 88.7 90.7 1,106.7 1,127.1 1,137.3 1,148.8 588.8 592.5 597.6 602.2 199.3 203.4 206.9 208.7 79.0 88.2 84.5 83.5 239.7 243.0 248.3 254.4 1,798.6 1,825.1 1,859.8 1,898.5 7.0 7.3 7.8 6.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.6 1990- I II III". 3,588.1 3,622.7 3,700.6 492.1 478.4 483.1 221.1 212.4 216.8 178.9 176.8 175.9 92.0 89.3 90.3 1,174.7 1,179.0 1,202.8 616.4 623.3 627.9 212.9 212.6 215.8 87.1 84.5 95.4 258.2 258.6 263.6 1,921.3 1,965.3 2,014.7 7.0 6.8 7.2 2.8 2.7 2.5 1982 1983. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 19841985: 1986: 19871988: IV IV ... IV IV IV . IV IV Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SOURCES OF Personal income increased $23.8 billion (annual rate) in September, following an increase of $9.8 billion in August. Wages and salaries rose $17.4 billion in September compared to a rise of $0.6 billion in August. BILLIONS OF DOUARS*(RATiO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) , —' ^ 4000 • 4,000 _———1 -—T\~~~l 3,000 _- " \ -" TOTA L PERSONAL IhCOME 3,000 _ _. • • ~ -• 2,000 . -' 2,000 ' *° """ \ WAGE AN D SALARY DIS3URSEMENTS " "~ "~ 1,400 1 400 r-~ .- "" \ C)THER „_—..'''"' 800 INCOM ^- — ' _- "" , TRANSFER 400 Illllillili Hlillllll! iiinitmi LI! 11 ill 111 imiliini Jllllllllll 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 tuiihnu n t n h i i t i iiiniinii 1989 1988 - SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period personal income 1980 1981 1982 2 2584 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 2 838 6 3 108 7 3 325 3 3 526 2 1989: 2 520 9 ' 6708 3 7664 4070 8 4 384 3 Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May July r. Aug T Sept" 4411 6 4 441 0 44700 4496 7 4 532 2 4 561 6 4594 7 4 6045 4 4 4 4 4 621 4 640 7 663 2 673 0 696 8 Wage and salary disbursements l 1 372 0 1 510 3 1 586 1 1 676 6 1 838 6 1 975 4 Proprietor ' income 3 Other labor income 1 2 Farm income of persons 4 160 1 156 1 150 9 178 4 204 0 225 6 247 2 280 6 3105 330 7 13 6 13 2 85 92 11 6 13 7 16 3 82 52 9 61 3 63 9 68 7 75 5 78 7 85 8 91 8 102 2 114 4 2 249 1 2 431 1 2 573 2 2094 225 5 241 9 2 2 2 2 593 9 611 4 603 8 623 0 244 8 246 1 247 5 248 9 37 8 45 6 45 2 46 4 329 6 331 9 337 4 338 7 7^ 9b 10 1 116 3 11-74 118 4 118 9 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 633 3 652 2 669 2 682 4 695 5 711 1 727 1 727 7 745 1 251 6 252 8 51 1 55 6 65 5 55 0 51 8 46 1 45 7 42 9 39 9 343 3 347 0 349 4 349 2 351 3 351 8 353 3 355 3 356 9 77 45 43 38 42 49 57 82 88 119 7 120 6 121 3 122 3 123 0 125 4 124 3 125 0 125 3 2094 8 2540 255 2 2564 257 6 258 8 2600 261 2 66 13 3 dividend income 20 5 30 7 94 6 12 4 30 5 30 2 34 7 42 8 43 7 48 6 1384 150 3 163 6 173 8 182 9 187 6 199 3 ! The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 2 Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Nonfarm Less: o interest income payments 5 271 9 324 7 3354 368 1 4106 442 6 456 6 489 8 521 5 549 9 587 7 636 9 646 1 389 7 393 1 444 7 4-78 0 493 2 501 3 547 9 643 2 657 6 661 2 6650 668 5 669 5 670 5 671 4 6745 677 9 681 5 684 3 686 6 688 3 6508 6584 658 6 679 8 679 6 683 4 683 5 685 3 691 4 692 1 695 4 700 6 4 contributions for social insurance 88 6 104 5 112 3 120 1 132 7 149 3 161 9 172 9 194 1 212 8 personal income 6 2 215 8 24656 2 618 7 2 7990 3 052 1 3 271 3 3 4694 3 702 2 40060 4 314 6 214 5 215 9 215 3 216 3 4 352 7 4 374 4 223 9 221 2 223 8 221 4 223 9 227 1 228 1 228 2 229 4 44599 44849 44036 4429 2 4 508 1 45282 4 548 3 4 573 2 4 5960 4 608 7 46354 With capital consumption adjustment. Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor inc and agricultural net interest. 5 6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME According to advance estimates, real per capita disposable personal income fell in the third quarter of 1990. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS Of DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 2,000 2,000 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) PFR ("API1A DISPOSABLE PERSONAL It-jrOMF 18,000 18,000 16,000 r-ijpPFWT DOLLARS 14,000 , 1 — — 16,000 "•" 14,000 -V-, r_^^' 12,000 12,000 r~~"". r— ^ 10,000 i ' > 8,000 i 1982 i i 1983 1 \ 10,000 1982 DOLLA !S i i i 1984 i i i i r 1986 1985 i i i i i 1987 i i 1988 i i i 1989 ' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES i i i 8,000 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income Less: Personal tax and Disposable nontax payments income Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Disposable persona! income in 1982 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars 2,258.5 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,766.4 4,070.8 4,384.3 1980 1981 . 1982 1983. . 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 486.6 512.9 571.6 591.6 658.8 1,918.0 2,127.6 2^261.4 2,428.1 2|668.6 2,838.7 3,013.3 3,194.7 3,479.2 3,725.5 1982 dollars Per capita personal consumption expenditures Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,968.1 2,107.5 2,297.4 2,504.5 2,713.3 2,888.5 s',102.2 3,333.6 3^553.7 136.9 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 125.4 124.9 92.5 145.6 171.8 2,214.3 2,248.6 2^261.5 2,331.9 2^469.8 2,542.8 2,635.3 2^670.7 2,800.5 2^869.0 8,421 9,243 9J724 10,340 11^257 11,861 12,469 13^094 14,123 14^973 Saving as percent of disposable personal »t»™ Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 Percent Dollars 1,781.1 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income 9,722 9,769 9J724 9,930 10,419 10,625 10,905 10^946 11,368 11,531 8,320 8^818 9,515 10^253 10,985 11,576 12J335 13,144 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,667 10,909 11,097 11,458 11,553 11,492 11,538 11,541 11,586 11,564 11,511 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,240 11,825 12,572 13,474 13,603 13,790 13,986 14,084 14,330 14,432 14,697 7,607 8,783 8,794 8,818 9,139 9,489 9,839 10,123 10^580 10^678 — 1.1 .5 — .5 2.1 4.9 2.0 2.6 .4 3.9 1.4 7.1 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.4 4.1 2.9 4.2 4.6 227,754 230,182 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,322 241,660 243,982 246,358 248,810 1.2 9.1 1.7 3.3 .3 6.4 1.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.9 3.3 3.9 4.1 3.4 -2.1 1.6 .1 5.2 4.6 4.1 4.6 1.6 -.8 -1.8 4.9 5.0 4.0 233,466 235,707 237,946 240,257 242,579 244,925 247,329 247,863 248,431 249,127 249,818 250,392 251,026 251,785 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: IV IV IV IV IV IT IV I 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 3,399.1 3,597.8 3,890.9 4,186.2 4,302.2 n 4,362.9 HI.... 4,402.8 IV 4,469.2 1990: I 4,562.8 n 4,622.2 m ".. 4,677.7 411.1 413.9 459.7 499.6 534.4 588.6 607.3 640.5 665.5 659.5 669.6 675.1 696.5 709.0 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,899.5 3,063.4 3,302.3 3,578.9 3,661.7 3,697.3 3,743.4 3,799.6 3,887.7 3,925.7 3,968.6 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,787.7 2,961.4 3,172.6 3,430.4 3,472.0 3,528.5 3,588.8 3,625.5 3,696.4 3,730.6 3,809.2 143.1 145.4 157.3 111.7 102.0 129.7 148.5 189.8 168.9 154.5 174.1 191.3 195.1 159.4 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,562.8 2,646.2 2,717.9 2,833.9 2,863.5 2,854.9 2,874.3 2,883.2 2,900.9 2,902.8 2,898.4 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and person1 transfer payments to foreigners (net). 9,929 10,725 11,467 12,068 12,629 13,483 14,470 14,773 14,883 15,026 15,210 15,527 15,639 15,762 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,935 10,214 10,347 10,669 10,638 10,648 10,739 10,687 10,692 10,671 10,734 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the first quarter of 1990, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $0.9 billion (annual rate) and net farm income fell $4.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) ^4U 240 200 *. 160 _/ ^-^ !r • _^ ^^-, r^v^ ' 120 •>nn -"I (60 GROSS FARM INCOME 80 80 6n 60 A 40 \ * \ 20 / \ \ / \ / \_ _/ 10 \ f * jf ' \ t /*' •"^ x \ /v !\/\ \ ,' i \i if\ % ii >i i' \\i' i1 1i \i 40 / V \ NET FARM INCOME 70 * 10 u 1 1 1982 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1983 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 \ 1 1987 1 I 1 1 1988 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE 1 1 1 1989 I ! 1 2 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Biilions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total ' Total Livestock and products Crops Value of inventory changes 2 Production expenses Current dollars 1982 dollars 3 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 .. 149.3 166.4 163.5 152.9 175.0 162.9 156.5 169.0 173.8 189.1 139.7 141.7 142.6 136.5 142.5 144.1 135.2 141.7 150.2 159.2 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 73.0 69.8 71.5 76.0 78.8 83.7 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.5 74.3 63.7 65.6 71.4 75.4 -6.3 6.5 — 1.4 -10.9 6.3 -2.3 -2.4 -2.8 — 4.1 4.4 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 131.7 125.1 127.7 131.8 142.6 16.2 27.0 23.5 12.5 32.3 31.2 31.4 41.2 42.0 46.5 18.8 28.7 23.5 12.0 29.9 28.1 27.6 35.1 34.6 36.8 1988: I II III IV . 169.9 175.2 167.7 182.2 144.4 145.9 154.9 155.5 78.1 76.8 79.2 81.2 66.3 69.2 75.7 74.2 -6.1 -5.3 -3.6 -1.3 125.8 129.2 134.8 137.4 44.1 46.0 33.0 44.7 37.0 38.2 27.0 36.3 1989: I II 192.8 189.3 184.3 189.8 153.7 157.4 163.9 161.7 81.6 80.8 83.6 88.9 72.1 76.5 80.3 72.8 5.8 4.8 3.8 3.3 141.3 144.0 144.3 140.7 51.5 45.3 40.0 49.2 41.4 36.0 31.5 38.4 190.7 159.1 87.3 71.8 2.8 145.5 45.2 34.8 . Ill IV ... 1990: I" 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. 3 Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. CORPORATE In the second quarter of 1990, corporate profits before tax rose $2.4 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits fell $1.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES A S~\ 320 V^ /" ^- /"I 280 > y 320 280 PROFITS BEFORE TAX / 240 240 fA/ f* ^O 200 200 ^,--'" ^ > N PRC)FITS AFTER It / 160 ^ • •V 160 « •i*** •*"*». *'"""" S 120 120 s <-"X._.. ^J- 80 _ ./ s— "~~^~\ 80 TAX LIABILIT Y ~\ f'""\' 40 \. i ! ! 1982 ! 1 1 1983 I 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 i -'' I I 1986 40 UNDISTRIBL TED PROFITS 1 ! ! 1987 i I t 1988 ! 1 t I 1989 i 1 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits after tax Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment * Domestic industries Period Norifmancial Total 2 Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 19821983: 1984: 1985: 19861987: 1988: 1989- 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 255.9 289.8 IV IV .... IV TV TV IV TV I II m IV 1990: I II ' III " 1 2 286.1 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 268.6 308.7 292.1 291.5 285.3 275.3 285.5 298.8 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 191.4 195.2 218.4 246.5 235.2 121.6 190.7 193.9 193.6 193.4 226.2 261.9 241.5 244.9 236.0 218.4 232.6 249.9 Financial 21.0 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 22.8 32.0 20.7 22.4 15.4 18.7 15.5 13.6 26.0 28.6 19.8 24.1 24.0 21.6 9.2 6.9 16.1 18.2 Total 3 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 168.6 163.2 197.8 224.1 219.8 102.9 175.2 180.3 167.6 164.8 206.4 237.8 217.4 223.4 226.9 211.5 216.5 231.7 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately- • Manufacturing 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 79.7 59.5 86.7 106.5 96.1 46.8 88.6 79.8 83.8 64.8 98.2 112.6 102.0 98.9 99.9 83.7 90.1 100.8 Profits I. -tore tax Tax liability 237.1 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.4 106.3 126.9 136.2 135.1 59.8 88.1 87.0 99.8 113.1 132.1 142.1 148.3 140.8 127.8 123.5 129.9 133.1 Wholesale and retail trade 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 44.1 44.1 37.9 37.1 38.7 33.6 43.1 51.8 38.5 41.0 37.8 42.3 33.7 37.6 41.4 41.9 39.2 44.4 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 275.3 316.7 307.7 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 289.7 331.1 335.1 314.6 291.4 289.8 296.9 299.3 Total 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 127.8 115.3 148.4 180.5 172.6 104.3 143.4 139.2 135.2 121.0 157.6 189.1 186.7 173.8 163.6 166.3 167.1 166.1 Dividends 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 83.3 91.3 98.2 110.0 123.5 68.5 73.9 80.8 84.0 93.6 102.2 115.3 119.1 122.1 125.0 127.7 130.3 133.0 135.1 3 Includes industries not shown separately. c r> * B w • Analysis. A i • source: Department of/ n Commerce, Bureau oft Economic Undistributed profits 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 44.6 24.0 50.2 70.5 49.1 35.8 69.5 58.4 51.2 27.4 55.4 73.8 67.6 51.7 38.6 38.6 36.8 33.2 Inventory valuation adjustment -43.1 -24.2 — 10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -1.7 6.7 -19.4 -27.0 -21.7 134 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -21.1 -22.5 43 0 -23.1 -6.1 -14.5 -11.4 -.5 -30.6 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to advance estimates for the third quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment rose $13.6 billion (annual rate) and residential investment fell $8.3 billion. There was an $8.8 billion increase in inventories, following a rise of $13.4 billion in the second quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 700 z 600 500 400 -—\ J r~ r^l " 700 ^O^ r- ONRESIDENTI AL PI XED INVESTME MT - 1 / >f - —^\ ( S~ " . 600 500 *.**' \ - „--"" 400 "*•-.. --' - RESIDENTIAL 300 300 Fl>(ED INVESTMEf vlT - _ \ "— ^-- 200 200 •—" - CHANGE IN BUSINESS *^ 100 - - 100 / \) ''X —„ - ,'-• 0 ^" — " * 1 1 1 -100 1982 \ \ I 1983 ! i 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 1 1 1 1986 I 1 ! 1987 i i i 1988 1 i 1 1989 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 -100 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Change in business inventories Fixed investment Period Gross private domestic investment Nonresidential Total Total Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Total Nonfarm 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 747.1 771.2 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.8 652.5 671.2 720.8 742.9 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.9 435.2 444.9 488.4 511.9 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 153.2 139.0 133.7 139.9 146.2 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 289.7 296.2 311.2 348.4 365.7 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 188.8 217.3 226.3 232.5 231.0 -8.3 24.0 -24.5 71 67.7 11.3 6.9 28.3 26.2 28.3 2.4 18.3 -23.1 .4 60.5 14.6 8.6 32.3 29.8 23.3 IV IV IV IV IV IV IV 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 741.4 747.5 469.5 548.8 616.8 646.8 660.9 685.7 731.3 354.9 383.9 435.0 451.3 435.8 457.5 495.3 137.6 127.4 146.6 155.9 133.7 137.2 141.2 217.3 256.5 288.4 295.5 302.2 320.4 354.0 114.7 164.9 181.8 195.5 225.1 228.1 236.0 -59.9 31.0 45.0 7.2 -12.2 55.7 16.2 -51.1 21.3 41.3 23.7 8.0 59.6 35.0 1989- I II Ill IV 769.7 776.7 775.8 762.7 743.1 744.0 746.9 737.7 506.5 511.4 518.1 511.8 146.5 144.2 147.0 147.1 360.0 367.2 371.0 364.7 236.6 232.7 228.9 225.9 26.6 32.7 28.9 25.0 16.7 26.1 26.2 24.1 1990: I II III" 747.2 759.0 759.6 758.9 745.6 750.9 523.1 516.5 530.1 148.8 147.2 150.2 374.3 369.3 379.9 235.9 229.1 220.8 -11.8 13.4 8.8 -17.0 13.0 7.8 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 19841985: 198619871988: Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department July-August survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 5.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 11.4 percent in 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 60U 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 500 r— ^ ' 400 ^^ 300 ^—^ \ 1 — 500 -1 ^^ 400 - ALL INDLJSTRIES .. • 300 -^-^ .**~~~~~~ ^,--— ~^ f ** 200 ^ '~ NO ^IMANUFACTlJRINGJV ---"~~~ 200 *r ** ,''"~~-* ^ **** \ _„-' MANUFACRJRING **** — 100 TOO 3/ 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1 1 1985 1984 1 1 1 1 1 \ 1 1 1988 1987 1986 1 J/SURVEYED QUARTERLY J/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ! 1 1 1 1 iJ 1 1990 1989 COUNCILOR ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Manufacturing Period All industries Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990" 286.40 324.73 326.19 321.16 373.83 410.12 399.36 410.52 455.49 507.40 534.76 112.60 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.44 1988- I II Ill IV 436.30 452.24 460.33 467.92 1989- I . II III IV 1990- I II 1114 IV4 Nonmanufacturing Total nonfarm business 2 Nonmanufacturing Manufacturing 205.48 230.09 239.11 242.38 278.77 302.05 309.16 320.45 344.77 380.13 173.80 196.06 202 22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 342.31 Mining Transportation Public utilities Commercial and other 54.82 58.93 54.58 51.61 64.57 70.87 65.68 68.03 77.04 82.56 84.69 57.77 69.75 69.39 65.74 75.04 82.01 72.28 73.03 86.41 101.24 107.75 173.80 196.06 202.22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 342.31 12.71 15.81 14.11 10.64 11.86 12.00 8.15 8.28 9.29 9.21 9.96 13.56 12.67 11.75 10.81 13.44 14.57 15.05 15.07 16.63 18.84 21.10 41.32 47.17 53.58 52.95 57.53 59.58 56.61 56.26 60.37 66.28 65.91 106.21 120.41 122.79 129.41 151.39 171.09 181.59 189.84 205.76 229.28 245.34 155.13 160.00 165.99 170.02 73.74 76.13 77.49 79.74 81.39 83.87 88.49 90.28 281.16 292.24 294.35 297.89 9.28 9.62 9.26 9.00 16.11 16.45 16.71 17.15 57.51 58.46 61.00 63.42 198.26 207.71 207.37 208.33 155 13 160.00 165 99 17002 281 16 292.24 29435 297 89 487.43 502.05 514.95 519.58 172.73 180.91 185.99 191.88 80.20 82.44 83.60 83.41 92.53 98.47 102.40 108.47 314.70 321.14 328.96 327.70 8.94 9.24 9.24 9.38 17.84 18.42 21.03 18.25 66.09 68.09 65.19 65.82 221.82 225.39 233.50 234.25 172 73 180.91 185.99 191 88 314 70 321.14 328.96 327 70 532.45 535.49 532.47 538.61 191.36 195.16 192.37 190.88 86.35 84.34 83.63 84.45 105.02 110.82 108.74 106.42 341.09 340.33 340.09 347.74 9.58 9.84 10.23 10.19 22.13 21.86 20.61 19.81 65.72 64.27 66.20 67.46 243.66 244.37 243.05 250.27 191.36 195.16 192 37 190 88 341.09 340.33 340.09 347 74 "All industries" plus the part of nonmanuffieturmg that is surveyed annually. 10 Surveyed quarterly Total > 318.08 358.77 363.08 359.73 418.38 454.93 447.11 461.51 508.22 563.93 112.60 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.44 tate, which, effective with the April-May 2 Total Nondurable goods Durable goods Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Surveyed annually s 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In September, civilian employment rose 240,000 and unemployment rose 66,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS' MILLIONS OF PERSONS' 126 126 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 122 122 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 118 V 114 114 110 110 \ 106 106 — CIVILIAN — EMPLOYMENT 102 102 98 x x- 12 UNEMPLOYMENT 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1989 1988 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986' 1987 1988 1989 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb. Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Resident Armed Forces NSA Labor force including resident Armed Forces 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 102,042 188,428 188,580 188,721 188,865 1,702 1,709 1,704 1,700 125,725 125,857 126,192 126,246 188,990 189,090 189,198 189,326 189,467 189,607 189,763 189,901 190,002 1,697 1,678 1,669 1,657 1,639 1,630 1,627 1,640 1,601 126,094 126,308 126,498 126,543 126,643 126,466 126,394 126,300 126,568 Unemployment Civilian employment Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA Employment including resident Armed Forces Nonagricultural Civilian labor force Total Agricultural Total Part time for economic reasons 1 Total 15 weeks and over Civilian Labor force participation rate (percent) 2 Employment/ population ratio (percent) 2 3,368 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,169 3,199 97,030 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 111,800 114,142 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 4,965 4,657 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 121,669 123,869 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 1,983 1,610 1,375 65.6 65.9 66.5 59.0 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 119,121 119,294 119,540 119,588 124,023 124,148 124,488 124,546 117,419 117,585 117,836 117,888 3,219 3,197 3,160 3,197 114,200 114,388 114,676 114,691 4,605 4,526 4,552 4,554 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 1,359 1,378 1,422 1,362 66.4 66.4 66.6 66.5 62.9 62.9 63.0 63.0 119,560 119,713 120,003 119,773 119,989 120,019 119,580 119,298 119,499 124,397 124,630 124,829 124,886 125,004 124,836 124,767 124,660 124,967 117,863 118,035 118,334 118,116 118,350 118,389 117,953 117,658 117,898 3,134 3,079 3,200 3,133 3,305 3,348 3,085 3,137 3,181 114,728 114,957 115,133 114,983 115,045 115,041 114,867 114,521 114,717 4,729 4,703 4,747 4,630 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 6,447 6,814 7,003 7,069 1,430 1,369 1,333 1,386 1,374 1,406 1,513 1,609 1,620 66.4 66.5 66.6 66.5 66.6 66.4 66.3 66.2 66.3 62.9 63.0 63.1 62.9 63.0 63.0 62.7 62.5 62.6 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 100,397 4,666 4,734 4,710 4,780 5,093 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In September, the overall unemployment rate rose to 5.6 percent and the civilian unemployment rate rose to 5.7 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 TEENAGERS (16-19) V 15 N^AV 10 10 WOMEN 20 YEARS AND OVER MEN 20 YEARS AND OVER 1986 1986 1987 1989 1988 "UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Unemployment rate, all workers 1 All civilian workers 7.6 Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over 6.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 Labor By selected groups By race By sex and age White Black and other Black Experienced wage and salary workers 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.5 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 4.3 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 7.3 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 9.4 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 Both sexes 16-19 years Married men, spouse present Women who maintain families Fulltime workers Parttime workers force time lost (percent) 2 8.5 .... 7.5 9.5 .... 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 15.2 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 11.7 11.7 11.9 11.8 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.0 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 7.7 7.8 8.2 8.1 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June .... July Aug Sept 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.7 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.1 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 14.5 14.8 14.4 14.7 15.5 14.1 16.3 16.7 15.5 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.8 10.1 9.2 9.4 9.1 9.3 9.4 10.3 10.4 10.8 11.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.4 10.4 11.3 11.8 12.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.4 7.5 7.5 8.4 7.5 7.4 8.0 8.5 8.5 8.9 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 7.0 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.4 7.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.3 6.4 . cent of potentially available labor force hours. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labo 12 11.0 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 SELECTED MEASURES OF INSURANCE PROGRAMS UNEMPLOYMENT In September, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and 15-26 weeks rose. Both the mean duration of unemployment and the median rose. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 50 40 40 30 ~ 30 20 20 REENTRANTS -JOB LEAVERS- \ 10 - - 10 1990 1986 1986 1987 1990 1988 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks State programs Number of weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Median Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemplovment, "all regular programs (unadjusted) » Weekly average, thousands 1981 . 1982 1983 . 1984 1985 1986. 1987 1988 1989 1989: Sept... Oct Dec .... 1990: Jan Feb Mar May June July Sept... 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 6,447 6,814 7,003 7,069 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 48.3 48.4 48.8 49.5 47.5 47.8 48.6 47.4 45.6 46.9 45.9 47.6 42.6 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 31.0 30.5 29.8 30.1 30.7 31.5 31.1 32.2 33.7 31.5 31.8 29.3 34.7 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 11.7 11.4 11.5 10.9 11.8 11.1 10.7 10.3 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.2 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 9.0 .9.7 9.8 9.5 9.9 9.7 9.6 10.2 9.2 9.9 10.4 10.9 10.5 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 11.5 11.7 11.6 11.5 12.1 11.7 12.0 12.1 11.6 12.0 12.0 12.3 12.5 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.2 6.2 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.3 48.5 47.1 46.3 46.8 47.4 48.7 45.7 48.7 49.5 11.2 7.9 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 15.8 15.2 15.7 15.8 15.5 15.3 15.5 17.5 15.2 15.4 15.2 14.3 13.2 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 29.4 28.!) 27.6 27.7 26.3 27.4 28.4 26.5 27.2 27.7 29.0 27.2 28.0 11.9 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 9.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 9.7 10.3 9.8 9.2 10.2 8.3 10.2 9.8 9.3 3,047 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,193 2,269 2,208 2,295 2,305 2,373 2,367 2,334 2,349 2,381 2,400 2,442 2,470 2,492 2,602 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 331 366 348 367 359 357 347 360 351 357 354 371 393 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,248 2,324 1,863 1,912 2,146 2,518 3,059 2,992 2,843 2,526 2,268 2,213 2,441 2,293 Source: Department of Lubor (Bureau of Labor Statistics und Employment and Training Adminis- 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey fell 101,000 in September. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MILLIONS Of PERSONS* 110 100 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 90 80 SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 70 18 60 16 50 -MANUFACTURING. 20 \ 40 iimlin 18 6 GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 \ 20 1986 1987 -CONSTRUCTION u. 1 11 1988 1989 1986 1990 1987 1988 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; I enod . i Total nonagricultural employment struction Total Total Durable goo s Nondurable goods 12,085 8,085 7,765 7,726 7,899 7,796 7,'762 7,858 7,969 8,004 65 659 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74^967 77,492 91,156 89',566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,536 108J413 25,497 23',813 23,334 24J727 24,859 24^558 24,708 25,173 25',326 4,188 3' 905 3,948 4',383 4,673 4^816 4,967 5,110 5',200 20,170 18,781 18,434 19',378 19,260 19,024 19,350 19,426 10,708 11 ',479 11,463 11, '203 11,166 11,381 11 '42 2 1989: Sept.... Oct Nov.... Dec 108,868 108,980 109,245 109,383 25,304 25,283 25,280 25,218 5,225 5,239 5,258 5,216 19,370 19,334 19,306 19,284 11,369 11,337 11,314 11,296 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May.... June... July r.. Aug '.. Sept". 109,654 109,958 110,122 110,177 110,617 110,829 110,740 110,657 110,556 25,188 25,339 25,259 25,180 25,191 25,162 25,105 25,013 24,929 5,294 5,368 5,313 5,256 5,286 5,270 5,229 5,194 5,174 19,171 19,244 19,217 19,190 19,167 19,148 19,131 19,083 19,017 11,192 11,278 11,261 11,229 11,217 11,201 11,179 11,130 11,072 Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade trade 5,376 5,296 5,286 5,514 5,736 5,714 5,865 6,055 6,271 15,172 80 363 83,087 5,165 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,255 5,372 5,527 5,648 8,001 7,997 7,992 7,988 83,564 83,697 83,965 84,165 5,656 5,671 5,693 5,776 7,979 7,966 7,956 7,961 7,950 7,947 7,952 7,953 7,945 84,466 84,619 84,863 84,997 85,426 85,667 85,635 85,644 85,627 5,790 5,804 5,808 5,809 5,833 5,846 5,841 5,845 5,859 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagriculturai employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Manufacturing 1981 1982 1983 . 1984 1985 . 1986 1987.. 1988 1989.... 14 1 Goods-producing industries Total 2 1990 1989 Finance, insurance, and real estate Government Services Total Federal 16,031 15',837 15,869 16',024 16,394 16^693 17,010 17,386 17',769 2,772 2 ',7 39 2,774 2',807 2,875 2^899 2,943 2,971 2',988 15,595 ie',526 17,336 5,298 5', 341 5,468 5', 689 5,955 18,462 19,077 19*580 6,547 6,649 6,724 18,619 19,036 19,694 20,797 21,999 23,053 24,235 25^669 27,096 6,303 6,313 6,335 6,344 19,634 19,665 19,714 19,710 6,753 6,756 6,774 6,785 27,335 27,408 27,548 27,623 17,883 17,884 17,901 17,927 2,992 2,986 2,982 2,977 6,356 6,357 6,361 6,363 6,369 6,383 6,374 6,375 6,374 19,807 19,758 19,764 19,778 19,795 19,822 19,851 19,838 19,828 6,794 6,817 6,821 6,823 6,838 6,844 6,842 6,850 6,843 27,721 27,842 27,950 27,969 28,094 28,225 28,287 28,386 28,407 17,998 18,041 18,159 18,255 18,497 18,547 18,440 18,350 18,316 3,000 3,005 3,089 3,151 3,346 3,338 3,164 3,049 3,010 weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports irom employing •establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or n on supervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly earnings Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Total private nonagricultural 1 Period Total Current dollars Total private nonagricultural 1 Manufacturing Total private nonagrieultural 1 Overtime Manufacturing Current dollars 1985 dollars z Manufacturing Retail trade Construc- Percent change from a vear earlier, total private nonagricultural 3 Current dollars 1982 dollars 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.6 39.8 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 $7.25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.28 9.66 $7.99 8.49 8.83 8.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.19 10.49 $255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.02 334.24 $270.63 267.26 272.52 274.73 271.16 271.94 269.16 266.79 264.22 $318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.81 430.09 $399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 495.73 512.41 $157.99 163.83 171.13 174.47 174.81 175.80 178.80 183.62 188.72 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.8 -1.5 -1.2 2.0 .8 -1.3 .3 -1.0 -.9 -1.0 1989- Sept Oct Nov Dec 34.6 34.6 34 5 34.4 40.9 40.8 40.7 40.6 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 9.73 9.78 9.78 9.83 10.55 10.57 10.58 10.62 336.66 338.39 337.41 338.15 264.25 264.57 262.99 262.54 431.50 431.26 430.61 431.17 515.28 519.90 524.54 516.00 189.87 190.74 190.37 191.23 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.5 — .3 -.8 -1.0 -1.0 1990- Jan Feb Mar 34.4 34.6 34.6 34.5 34.5 34.7 34.5 34.5 34.7 40.7 40.8 40.8 40.7 40.9 41.0 40.8 41.0 41.0 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.8 3.8 r 3.7 3.8 3.7 9.82 9.88 9.93 9.96 9.98 10.03 10.07 10.08 10.14 10.57 10.67 10.73 10.75 10.81 10.86 10.89 10.90 10.93 337.81 341.85 343.58 343.62 344.31 348.04 347.42 347.76 351.86 259.45 261.35 261.48 261.31 261.63 262.87 261.61 259.72 260.64 430.20 435.34 437.78 437.53 442.13 445.26 445.40 446.90 448.13 523.03 527.48 523.18 508.03 520.98 531.35 516.00 526.40 541.80 192.38 193.34 195.17 195.46 196.04 196.62 196.23 195.73 197.97 2.7 3.9 3.7 2.8 4.0 4.5 3.4 3.8 4.4 -2.4 -1.2 -1.5 -1.6 -.1 -.0 -1.0 -1.7 -1.5 1981 1982 .... 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1980 .. May July Sept " 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. 2 Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1982=100 base). 3 Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY [Not seasonally adjusted] Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100) 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Period 1981- Dec 1982: Dec 19831984: 1985198619871988: 1989: 1988- Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar Sept Dec 1989- Mar Sept Dec 1990- Mar Sept Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits ' 71.2 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90 1 93.1 97.6 102.3 94.5 95.7 96.6 97.6 98.8 100.0 101.2 102.3 103.9 105.2 106.2 73.0 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 95.0 96.1 97.0 98.0 99.0 100.0 101.2 102.0 103.2 104.5 105.4 66.6 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 93.4 94.7 95.7 96.7 98.4 100.0 101.4 102.6 105.5 106.9 108.3 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. Total compensation Wages and salaries 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 1.0 1.2 3.2 1.4 1.1 1.0 9.9 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.8 4.8 3.8 4.5 4.4 4.8 8.8 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.1 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 1.2 1.3 .9 2.8 1.3 1.3 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.2 4.5 4.2 Total compensation Wages and salaries 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.3 .9 1.0 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 1.0 1.2 .9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 Benefits * Benefits ' 12.1 7.2 7.4 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 5.9 6.4 6.8 6.9 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 7.2 6.9 6.8 Data exehide farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 35-538 - 90 - 2 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Output ' Business sector Compensation per hour 3 Hours of all persons 2 Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1982 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 99.2 100.7 100.0 102.4 105.0 99.9 100.9 100.0 103.0 105.1 101.1 103.2 100.0 104.2 113.0 101.7 103.4 100.0 105.0 113.7 101.9 102.5 100.0 101.8 107.6 101.8 102.5 100.0 102.0 108.1 85.1 93.0 100.0 103.8 108.1 85.1 93.1 100.0 104.0 108.1 99.7 98.8 100.0 100.6 100.4 99.6 98.9 100.0 100.7 100.4 85.8 92.4 100.0 101.4 103.0 85.2 92.3 100.0 101.0 102.8 86.2 94.4 100.0 103.3 106.8 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.5 106.6 1985 107.1 109.5 110.7 113.0 112.8 106.5 108.6 109.8 112.3 111.9 117.7 121.3 126.4 133.0 135.8 118.1 121.6 126.8 134.0 136.7 109.9 110.8 114.1 117.7 120.4 110.9 111.9 115.4 119.3 122.2 112.8 118.6 123.1 129.1 133.1 112.5 118.2 122.5 128.3 132.1 101.2 104.4 104.6 105.3 103.5 100.9 104.1 104.1 104.7 102.8 105.4 108.4 111.2 114.3 118.0 105.6 108.8 111.6 114.3 118.1 109.5 111.8 114.8 118.2 122.8 109.8 112.3 115.3 118.4 123.0 IV I II' 100.6 103.3 105.4 108.1 109.5 112.0 113.1 112.8 113.5 113.1 113.3 113.3 112.8 112.3 111.9 112.3 100.5 103.9 105.5 107.2 108.5 110.9 112.1 111.9 112.7 112.8 112.4 112.2 112.0 111.4 110.8 111.2 99.5 107.6 114.5 119.3 122.2 129.4 131.2 132.6 133.8 134.5 135.6 135.9 136.1 135.5 136.0 136.4 99.3 108.7 115.1 119.6 122.4 129.7 131.6 133.4 134.8 136.0 136.4 136.8 137.1 136.3 136.8 137.3 98.9 104.2 108.6 110.4 111.6 115.5 115.9 117.6 117.9 118.8 119.7 120.0 120.6 120.7 121.5 121.4 98.9 104.7 109.1 111.6 112.8 116.9 117.4 119.2 119.6 120.5 121.4 121.9 122.4 122.4 123.5 123.5 102.1 105.4 109.7 115.3 120.9 125.6 126.9 128.6 130.3 131.5 132.2 133.0 133.4 134.3 135.5 137.5 102.2 105.3 109.7 114.7 120.4 124.9 126.2 127.7 129.4 130.8 131.4 131.9 132.5 133.4 134.4 136.3 100.6 100.6 100.5 102.1 105.6 105.0 105.3 105.5 105.6 105.5 104.6 103.7 103.3 103.0 101.9 102.5 100.7 100.5 100.5 101.6 105.2 104.4 104.7 104.8 104.9 104.9 104.0 102.9 102.6 102.3 101.1 101.6 101.5 102.0 104.0 106.7 110.4 112.1 112.2 114.0 114.8 116.3 116.7 117.4 118.2 119.6 121.1 122.4 101.7 101.3 104.0 107.1 111.0 112.6 112.6 114.1 114.8 115.9 116.9 117.5 118.3 119.8 121.3 122.6 101.4 104.8 107.9 110.5 112.8 115.7 116.2 117.5 118.9 120.3 121.2 122.5 123.3 124.3 125.8 127.1 101.5 104.7 107.9 111.0 113.4 116.2 116.6 117.8 118.8 120.5 121.4 122.7 123.5 124.7 125.8 127.3 -0.4 1.1 -.9 3.0 2.1 1.3 2.0 1.1 2.2 3 IV IV IV IV IV IV I ... II Ill IV I II Ill IV I II* -0.3 1.5 — .1 2.4 2.6 2.0 2.2 1.2 2.0 -.2 2.6 3.3 1.5 1.4 .8 2.7 4.1 -1.2 2.5 -1.2 .5 -.0 -1.5 -2.0 -1.5 1.7 11 2.1 3 I 4.2 8.4 4.2 3.1 4.1 5.3 2.1 -.5 10.4 3.5 3.6 4.0 7.2 5.7 4.6 3.5 2.0 3.5 .9 .6 -1.8 1.4 1.4 -1.2 1.7 -3.3 5.0 8.3 3.9 3.0 4.2 5.7 2.0 -1.2 9.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 6.9 5.9 5.6 4.1 3.6 1.2 1.3 .6 -2.1 1.4 1.5 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988- IV IV IV IV IV IV I n m IV 1989: I n .. m 1990: Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1980. 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988. 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1 2.0 1.6 .9 .7 .3 2.2 4.2 -.6 2.8 .5 -1.7 -.5 -.8 2.2 -1.9 1.5 -0.7 -0.8 .6 .6 -2.4 1.8 5.7 2.2 .8 2.9 3.2 2.3 -3.0 6.8 2.0 2.2 3.2 4.4 1.5 5.9 1.0 3.3 3.0 .9 2.1 .1 2.9 -.3 -2.4 2.0 6.0 2.6 1.0 3.1 3.4 2.4 -3.1 8.1 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.5 1.7 6.2 1.3 3.1 3.0 1.7 1.5 .1 3.4 0 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for sociai insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 2 16 10.5 9.3 1.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 5.1 3.8 4.9 3.0 4.1 5.7 3.6 6.2 5.2 7.0 4.4 5.2 5.6 3.8 2.0 2.4 1.3 2.6 3.8 6.1 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.0 3.9 4.1 5.0 3.6 4.8 3.0 4.6 4.4 3.6 5.7 5.1 6.8 4.3 5.0 5.3 4.2 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.7 3.2 5.8 -2.6 9 1.2 .6 -.2 .8 3.2 .1 .7 17 2.8 1.6 .1 2.0 2.3 3.1 1.0 .7 .6 -.5 -3.3 -3.4 -1.5 — 1.4 -4.0 2.4 -2.6 -.7 1.1 .7 — .4 .5 3.1 0 .6 -1.8 3.3 .3 .1 1.5 2.2 2.9 .8 .6 .4 — .1 -3.3 — 4.2 -1.0 -1.3 -4.5 2.0 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.8 2.6 2.8 3.2 1.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 4.4 4.2 .3 6.5 3.1 5.1 1.5 2.5 2.8 4.6 5.3 4.4 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.0 2.5 2.5 3.3 2.6 2.8 2.6 5.0 4.8 4.4 .1 5.6 2.5 3.6 3.8 2.0 2.7 5.1 5.2 4.3 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 2.5 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.9 2.4 4.8 2.7 2.6 .9 1.2 1.7 4.8 4.7 4.9 3.1 4.3 2.5 3.5 4.6 4.5 9.7 9.7 6.3 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.3 2.7 2.7 3.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.4 1.4 4.1 3.4 5.9 2.8 4.4 2.6 3.9 3.8 4.6 NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the work site rather than hours paid. 'Data do not reflect GNP revisions of September 25, 1990. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production rose in September and capacity utilization was unchanged. INDE X, 1987=1 00' (RATIO SCALE) 115 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 110 _^ y 105 INDE X, 1987=1 00' (RATIO SCALE) 130 FINAL PRODUCTS •" xv P ^s-* 100 95 ^ 1 10 90 Illllllllll Illllllllll 115 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIOhJ^_^_^ 110 DURABLE 105 \£l\ 100 105 ^— 100 '- ,-*,--- s^ \ -" JllllllUIi 95 \' \ 95 IIM1I 85 '^ IIIIlllllllllllllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll |m|| AND MINING PRODI 115 110 UTILITIES 105 \ \ 100 , ,' ,V^^^^-~^- \y * /^S^ \ r" 84 ^^\- 82 Illllllllll 1986 Illllllllll Illllllllll 1987 SEASONALLY ADJt STED OURCE: BOARD O GOVERNORS OF s 1988 1. s'\ \ \ - '•s DEFENSE AND SPACE EQUIPMENT Illllllllll IIIIlllllllllllllllllll ~<'—""" \ 80 P^ 90 .'—*'' Illllllllll 88 - CAPACII"Y UTILIZAT ON RATE MDIJSTRY) 86 - (TOTAL 1 MINING 95 y „ PERC ENT* . 1 •^.-•~^' —^. '•'^J "W^ 90 — NONDUR ABLt 90 BUSINESS /Y * EQUIPMENT^^-' CONSUMER GOODS 115 ^^^ r^~ ' Illllllllll 1989 1990 v~* ^-/ V 78 iniiliifii >— ^-/ ' 76 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1986 1987 1989 1988 HE FEDERAL RESER VE SYSTEM Illllllllll 1990 COUNCIL OF ECC NOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period Index, 1987 = 100 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan . ... Feb Mar Apr May July r .... Aue r . Sept" 1 Output us percent of capacity. Capacity utilization rate, percent * Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100 Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier -1.9 1.9 — 4.4 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 Mining Durable Total Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 78.8 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 75.7 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 83.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 110.0 114.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 95.9 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 82.1 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 80.2 78.8 72.8 74.9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 108,2 107.7 108.1 108.6 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 109.1 108.4 108.9 108.8 111.5 109.4 110.1 110.4 106.0 107.2 107.3 106.7 101.6 100.7 101.2 100.1 105.9 107.4 108.3 116.1 83.9 83.3 83.5 83.7 83.6 82.9 83.0 82.8 107.5 108.5 108.9 108.8 109.4 110.1 110.3 110.4 110.7 -.2 .8 1.1 2 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.2 108.1 109.6 109.8 109.5 110.3 110.8 111.0 111.2 111.4 108.6 110.7 111.9 111.1 112.6 113.4 113.2 113.6 113.8 107.5 108.3 107.2 107.5 107.4 107.6 108.1 108.1 108.3 101.7 101.0 101.1 102.9 102.2 102.2 103.5 101.8 102.1 106.8 104.0 106.2 106.7 107.1 109.7 109.4 110.8 111.8 82.7 83.2 83.4 83.1 83.4 83.7 83.7 83.6 83.6 82.0 83.0 82.9 82.5 82.8 83.0 82.9 82.8 82.8 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Materials Products Intermediate products Final products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total l Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total Energy 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 80.0 82.1 80.8 83.0 91.0 94.2 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 85.3 85.8 84.5 88.8 92.8 93.7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 73.5 74.0 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 89.1 89.6 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 74.6 78.2 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 73.5 76.1 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 57.4 58.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 77.0 77.0 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 80.8 78.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 74.2 75.7 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 91.3 92.8 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 106.2 104.3 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 1989- Sept Oct Nov Dec 109.6 108.5 109.4 110.3 106.3 107.3 107.4 108.3 107.6 106.8 105.7 106.8 106.0 107.4 107.8 108.7 113.8 110.1 112.0 112.9 120.7 116.0 118.7 119.9 98.9 96.6 96.7 96.6 106.3 106.9 107.3 107.9 105.2 106.3 107.0 107.4 107.0 107.3 107.5 108.2 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.9 101.6 101.3 101.9 102.7 1990- Jan Feb Mar 108.5 109.7 110.7 110.4 111.2 111.7 111 5 111.7 112.6 106.0 107.0 107.5 107.2 107.4 107.8 107.3 107.8 109.1 99.4 106.2 -110.8 107.3 109.3 112.1 108.5 108.0 111.5 107.8 107.2 106.6 107.1 106.9 106.6 107.0 107.7 108.5 111.8 113.3 114.9 114.7 116.2 116.8 116.9 116.7 117.1 118.0 120.1 122.2 121.6 123.5 124.4 124.6 124.8 125.6 97.5 97.6 97.5 97.3 97.6 97.6 97.9 97.4 97.0 108.0 108.4 108.2 108.0 108.3 108.3 108.5 108.4 107.9 107.9 108.2 107.3 106.4 105.5 106.0 106.4 105.9 104.9 108.0 108.5 108.9 109.1 110.2 109.8 110.0 110.1 110.0 106.2 107.1 107.1 107.3 107.7 108.8 109.5 109.7 109.4 101.2 101.7 102.0 101.8 101.1 102.1 102.9 102.5 103.2 Mav July ' Sept ".. . 1 Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1987 — 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures Transportation equipment Primary metals Period Total Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products Printing and publishing Chemicals arid products Foods 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 110.8 117.5 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109.2 126.0 135.1 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 109.3 92.5 91.1 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 60.6 65.9 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 73.3 75.4 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 72.3 68.7 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 67.0 64.4 58.8 74.5 90.6 99.0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 76.9 74.7 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 89.2 91.0 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 104.3 70.3 72.1 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 87.8 89.2 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 84.6 86.5 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 1989: Sept Oct 109.9 108.6 104.8 102.6 109.7 109.2 104.1 100.3 106.0 105.9 106.9 106.3 123.4 119.0 122.9 123.8 110.8 110.2 110.1 110.1 108.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 103.2 99.7 99.0 98.7 102.6 103.2 104.8 106.4 104.5 103.9 103.7 102.6 109.4 109.3 109.6 109.6 107.5 109.4 109.8 107.6 105.4 106.8 107.4 108.0 105.0 107.9 105.4 106.4 106.2 109.5 110.2 114.3 112.5 104.6 110.6 106.1 106.7 105.5 110.3 110.6 117.6 115.3 105.1 105.6 105.5 105.0 107.1 106.7 107.9 108.2 107.3 123.7 124.2 125.2 125.7 126.9 127.5 128.3 129.2 128.6 110.1 111.0 112.3 111.3 112.4 112.8 112.1 112.4 112.5 94.7 103.5 107.9 105.1 109.0 111.0 108.3 107.6 110.7 76.8 94.1 103.5 95.8 104.0 108.0 102.7 100.9 108.5 106.0 104.3 105.0 103.3 101.7 102.0 102.1 101.5 99.4 102.4 102.1 99.8 98.7 99.2 99.3 99.3 99.3 99.0 110.7 112.1 111.4 112.0 112.8 112.0 111.8 111.6 111.5 109.9 110.5 109.5 110.3 109.2 1 10.3 110.5 111.2 112.0 106.8 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.8 106.1 106.4 107.0 107.8 Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Apr Mav July ' Sept '' Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Construction contracts 3 Private Period Total new construction expenditures Federal, State, and local Residential Commercial Total New housing units Total ' and Other Total value index (1982 = 100) industrial 2 Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 256.5 267.7 255.7 290.9 340.7 368.7 398.2 410.2 422.1 432.1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 192.8 203.0 192.6 227.5 270.5 290.9 313.6 319.6 327.1 333.5 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 76.5 79.8 85.5 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 139.2 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 196.6 45.7 48.7 49.2 48.1 48.0 49.7 48.5 48.5 49.2 51.5 97 100 100 124 136 150 159 165 166 171 63.6 64.7 63.1 63.5 70.2 77.8 84.6 90.6 95.0 98.6 433.9 433.4 429.3 433.4 432.0 446.0 455.6 457.3 444.7 443.8 441.1 442.4 442.5 Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar Apr ' May ' July r Aue p 1 2 s 335.0 332.1 332.1 329.8 325.0 338.1 343.1 347.4 338.8 334.0 329.6 333.9 327.4 195.6 193.0 192.1 190.9 189.6 200.1 203.0 206.9 200.2 196.1 189.5 189.1 186.9 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 926 Annual rates Annual rates 1989- Aug Sept Oct 904 919 87.3 87.2 88.6 86.8 83.3 85.0 88.2 87.2 85.6 84.5 85.8 89.7 84.9 138.2 135.8 134.8 135.2 135.3 140.0 144.6 145.3 140.0 136.6 130.5 129.3 127.6 52.1 51.9 51.4 52.2 52.0 52.9 51.9 53.3 53.0 53.4 54.3 55.1 55.6 174 186 183 169 166 161 155 161 147 160 159 152 146 147 99.0 101.3 97.1 103.5 107.0 107.9 112.5 109.9 106.0 109.8 111.5 108.5 115.1 805 1,008 892 812 805 883 798 828 745 802 693 618 638 740 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. Includes residential improvements, not shown separately. Includes hotels and motels. F.W. Dodge sen. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1980.... 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985... 1986 1987 1988 1989 ... 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,376.1 1 unit 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,003.3 2-4 units 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 5 or more units 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 Units authorized 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 1,338.4 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period 1 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 366 367 362 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates Sept Nov Dec Mar Apr May July r . Aug T Sept * . 1,325 1,263 1,423 1,347 1,273 987 969 1,023 1,010 931 54 56 60 47 53 284 238 340 290 289 1,334 1,310 1,362 1,364 1,416 1,437 1,366 1,317 1,486 1,302 719 638 636 687 633 364 364 363 363 362 1,568 1,488 1,307 1,216 1,206 1,189 1,153 1,142 1,135 1,099 1,154 996 898 897 889 875 841 887 53 42 35 53 36 42 29 31 36 416 292 276 265 273 258 249 270 222 1,739 1,297 1,232 1,108 1,065 1,108 1,082 1,050 992 1,443 1,351 1,378 1,295 1,363 ' 1,295 1,280 1,262 613 606 558 533 536 r 550 545 535 503 365 366 363 363 r 360 r 354 350 345 337 1 Seasonally adjusted. 2 Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with earlier data. 7.6 7.1 7.5 7.0 7.2 NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In August, manufacturing and trade sales rose 2.1 percent and inventories rose $4.7 billion. In September, according to advance data, retail sales rose 1.1 percent, following a decline of 0.4 percent in August. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" (RATIO SCALE) 800 ' * • 200 r^^~ \ 1 700 RETAIL INVENTORIES MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES 180 - 600 160 - >,--'--• 500 400 140 .*• ** - *"" \ RETAIL SALES -^f — '*-' /-" '"\ M/kNUFACTUR NG Ah•fl) TRADE SAiLES 120 - 100 Illllllllll Illllllllll - - RATIO* 300 1.40 1.20 200 Minium iimlmii umlimi 1987 1986 1988 Illllllllll 1989 miilnm 1,00 1990 1986 1990 •SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE Manufacturing and trade 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Wholesale Sales Inventories a Inventories 3 Sales 2 Period 2 Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Sales 2 Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Manufacturing and trade: Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,220 90,678 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 235,514 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 117,169 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 118,345 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.56 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.50 Nondurable goods stores Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: Aug ' Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar July r Aug pp .. Sept 1 z 3 r 348,754 369,136 408,578 419,283 425,371 451,933 490,309 521,934 574,516 591,265 646,072 657,753 657,482 704,515 754,267 795,415 96,290 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124,254 135,176 145,683 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,819 531,579 527,595 525,160 527,948 526,391 791,363 792,119 794,757 798,104 795,415 146,698 146,981 147,921 148,782 149,584 185,944 185,098 188,103 189,057 188,819 528,549 535,996 538,984 533,603 538,946 542,441 540,368 551,645 797,202 794,016 793,669 796,050 800,399 796,469 802,151 806,850 151,968 151,620 152,383 151,458 152,302 153,549 152,333 156,356 189,375 188,847 189,361 190,903 193,201 191,259 192,466 193,005 See page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. End of period. 20 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,500 144,471 r 146,731 147,052 145,244 146,340 145,804 149,877 149,904 149,302 147,886 147,781 149,432 150,201 r 149,643 151,242 28,013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 53,794 r r 91,125 91,742 91,617 92,572 93,121 233,930 236,131 234,942 236,234 235,514 119,251 121,048 118,450 118,667 117,169 114,679 115,083 116,492 117,567 118,345 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 56,217 55,037 54,663 53,620 53,525 53,841 54,200 r 52,839 53,574 93,660 94,867 94,639 94,266 94,256 95,591 96,001 T 96,804 97,668 233,701 232,000 232,562 232,847 234,814 234,517 236,400 239,547 114,194 113,552 113,951 113,730 114,870 115,128 116,207 119,355 119,507 118,448 118,611 119,117 119,944 119,389 120,193 120,192 1.51 1.48 1.47 1.49 1.49 1.47 1.48 1.46 55,606 55,310 53,627 53,768 52,683 4 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.60 r 1.59 l,61 1.62 1.61 1.62 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.59 1.57 1.57 1.60 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In September, manufacturers' shipments fell, while inventories and new and unfilled orders rose. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 SHIPMENTS 240 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 440 —INVENTORIES. 360 200 160 280 DURABLE GOODS -V 200 120 DURABLE GOODS 160 . NONDURABLE GOODS . 80 120 \ 60 NONDURABLE GOODS Illllllllll 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 NEW ORDERS 240 200 -- ~-^ s^ 60 _ \ TOTAL 160 DURAB E GOODS V - -'•_^*— '—.•'""< 120 "—-... **..**"• /Ww-^. ^_— ».-*" -—1~/v ' _ -- — RATIO* 2.20 INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 2.00 1.80 ~"\' Kint'^DURABLE Gnnns 80 Illllllllll ill ^-^—r-^C^ f\^ 1.60 X/^. V S****^ ^f^ 1.40 ^ 60 Illilllllll Illllllllll 1986 1987 Illllllllll 1988 Illllllllll Illlllillll 1989 1990 1.20 iiiiilinii iiiiiliim n i i i h " !| IB 1986 1987 •SEASONAIIY ADJUSTED u " ni M " ' II 1 1 I 1 i i 1 1989 1988 1990 COUNCIL OF cCCNC.WC ADViSERE SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufacturers' shipments 1 Manufacturers' inventories Manufacturers' new orders 1 2 Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total 79,352 84,956 96,623 99,019 99,989 105,291 115,684 122,668 128,347 124,393 121,840 123,209 121,998 116,716 123,224 125,089 122,031 126,507 127,283 125,090 r 128, 619 124,528 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,996 88,371 93,879 101,948 109,112 311,827 312,647 334,767 327,496 316,182 331,132 354,163 371,082 200,825 200,406 218,771 214,066 208,313 216,598 233,666 246,222 109,803 109,169 110,155 109,617 109,005 371,489 370,890 371,712 372,813 371,082 374,126 373,169 371,746 372,300 372,384 370,693 373,285 374,298 376,530 246,378 245,621 246,427 247,610 246,222 111,002 112,241 115,996 113,430 107,869 114,534 120,497 124,860 125,111 125,269 125,285 125,203 124,860 248,273 247,095 245,435 246,609 246,530 244,902 246,456 246,653 246,937 125,853 126,074 126,311 125,691 125,854 125,791 126,829 127,645 129,593 Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, nondefense Nondurable goods 21,661 22,098 26,243 27,067 26,551 29,707 35,028 38,821 37,130 35,341 35,975 38,901 44,389 38,347 36,094 40,889 36,573 35,928 36,192 39,840 r 35,871 38,367 83,935 86,522 91,209 91,075 88,497 94,197 101,993 109,057 Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989.... 1989: Aug Sept Oct... Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar... May June Julv r Aug" Sept" 1 2 163,350 171,242 187,869 190,016 188,360 199,170 217,632 231,780 238,150 233,562 231,995 232,826 231,003 226,704 234,472 237,299 234,259 238,863 239,460 237,834 245,646 243,844 109,988 111,248 112,210 112,228 112,356 112,177 112,744 117,027 119,316 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments arc the same as sales. End of period. 3 162,273 174,122 189,791 190,918 188,663 201,966 221,627 235,614 236,793 234,354 234,067 239,710 240,752 227,572 231,759 241,071 236,026 241,102 236,578 240,238 244,355 244,514 78,338 87,600 98,581 99,843 100,166 107,770 119,634 126,557 126,766 125,227 124,262 130,175 131,719 117,909 120,782 128,872 123,609 128,737 124,692 128,094 r 126,979 125,210 110,027 109,127 109,805 109,535 109,033 109,663 110,977 112,199 112,417 112,365 111,886 112,144 117,376 119,304 314,270 349,419 372,586 383,181 387,065 421,243 468,860 514,499 495,002 495,794 497,866 504,750 514,499 515,367 512,654 516,426 518,193 520,432 517,550 519,954 518,663 519,333 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.58 1.58 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.65 1.59 1.57 1.59 1.56 1.55 1.57 1.52 1.54 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In September, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 1.6 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.9 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 3.3 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.8 percent. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE) no 100 100 CONSUMER GOODS EXCLUDING FOODS 90 90 1982 1983 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOUDCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1382=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1981 1982 1983. 1984 1985. 1986 1987 . 1988 1989. 1989: 1990: Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May r June July Aug Sept 1 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 114.1 114.7 114.8 115.5 117.7 117.7 117.5 117.3 117.4 117.6 117.5 119.0 120.9 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 118.1 119.7 120.7 121.6 124.4 125.3 124.7 123.6 124.0 123.8 123.8 124.8 123.7 intermediate materials for food mamifiicUiring and feed 22 Total finished consumer goods 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 104.5 105.1 104.4 105.3 109.7 108.5 107.9 107.9 107.9 107.9 107.4 110.5 115.2 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 120.1 120.0 120.4 120.7 120.9 121.4 121.9 122.0 122.1 122.4 122.8 123.2 124.2 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 112.5 113.3 113.3 114.1 117.0 116.8 116.4 116.1 116.2 116.3 116.1 118.0 120.1 Total Total 1980 Nondurable Capital equipment Consumer goods 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 112.8 113.1 112.9 113.5 115.6 115.2 115.2 115.2 115.3 115.6 115.4 117.1 119.9 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 109.7 110.1 109.7 110.4 113.4 112.7 112.4 112.3 112.4 112.7 112.4 114.6 118.4 Durable 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 118.7 118.6 118.7 119.2 118.6 119.0 119.4 119.3 119.5 120.4 120.6 120.8 122.0 Crude materials Total Foods and feeds ' Other Total Foodstuffs and feedstuffs Other 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 112.2 112.4 112.2 112.2 113.6 112.7 112.8 112.9 113.0 112.6 112.6 114.1 116.2 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 112.7 112.5 113.4 113.1 113.3 112.3 112.8 114.0 115.4 114.1 114.7 114.6 112.9 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 112.2 112.4 112.1 112.1 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.8 112.8 112.5 112.4 114.1 116.3 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.7 96.0 103.1 102.3 102.6 103.2 104.7 107.0 107.3 105.9 103.1 103.0 100.1 100.7 110.1 115.2 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.2 109.0 109.0 111.4 113.9 114.7 115.4 116.4 115.7 112.9 112.9 114.0 113.0 111.0 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 93.6 94.1 93.5 94.4 97.5 97.5 94.8 90.9 92.4 87.9 88.1 103.4 112.4 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In September, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.8 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted. The index was 6.2 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SC ALE) 140 INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE) 140 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED S 130 ^-^ 120 CONSUMER PRICES— ALL ITEMS 130 120 •^ 110 110 ^~\-^ 100 100 r^-" ^~~ 90 90 80 80 70 11! Illll 1 II 1982 1983 1984 1985 Minium IIMlllllll IIMlllllll 1987 1988 1986 I I M l l l l l l l 70 1989 ££ NOTE ON TABLE 8 ELOW sOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF LABOR 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All items ' Transportation Housing All Shelter Not seasonally adjusted (NSA) Period Hel. imp. 3 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987.. .. 1988 1989 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr . . May June July Aug Sept Seasonally adjusted Food Total ' Total Fuel Apparel and upkeep Medi- items less food, shelter, and energy Renters' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) 7.9 19.8 0.2 7.5 6.1 17.1 4.2 3.2 6.2 7.4 48.4 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 121.9 127.3 113.9 114.5 114.6 115.0 118.1 118.8 119.8 120.8 87.1 88.4 86.8 86.3 151.9 153.0 154.2 155.1 93.2 94.1 93.8 94.1 128.3 128.8 129.3 129.7 117.4 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.9 120.7 120.5 120.1 120.3 120.1 93.4 93.6 92.2 92.5 91.2 93.2 92.8 100.3 109.8 156.1 1ST .3 158.5 159.8 161.0 162.1 163.5 165.0 166.1 98.9 98.2 97.4 97.0 96.3 96.9 96.2 100.3 105.9 130.4 131.5 132.2 132.6 132.9 133.2 133.8 134.3 134.9 Maintenance and repairs (NSA) 100.0 16.3 42.0 27. 9 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113 6 118.3 124.0 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 81.0 90.5 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133 6 138.9 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131 1 137.3 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114 7 118.0 and other utilities 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 124.8 125.4 125.8 126.3 126.3 126.8 127.4 128.0 123.7 124.2 124.7 125.2 133.7 134.4 135.0 135.6 138.7 139.8 140.5 141.0 138.7 139.4 140.0 140.6 118.6 118.6 119.3 119.5 108.0 108.1 108.7 109.4 118.6 119.4 119.4 119.0 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 129.9 130.4 131.6 132.7 127.7 128.3 128.9 129.1 129.3 130.0 130.5 131.5 132.5 130.5 131.1 131.5 131.2 131.2 132.2 132.7 133.1 133.4 126.1 126.3 126.9 127.0 127.2 128.0 128.6 129.5 130.0 136.3 136.6 137.6 137.9 138.2 139.5 140.7 141.7 141.9 142.3 143.4 143.8 143.9 141.1 141.0 142.4 142.8 143.2 144.8 145.7 146.6 146.9 120.4 120.8 121.2 121.2 122.2 121.8 122.1 121.2 124.6 111.6 110.9 111.0 110.5 110.5 110.3 109.4 110.8 112.2 119.0 122.9 124.9 125.0 124.6 124.5 124.2 124.3 125.2 143^9 144.5 146.6 148.1 148.2 Total ' in.7 117.6 117.7 117.5 118.0 118.3 120.4 123.2 New cars Motor fuel cal care Energy2 NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeo\ and therefore art not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES III PRODUCER FOR GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rale Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Period Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Chang*? from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 -.2 5.7 5.2 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.2 4.0 4.9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 13.4 0.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 14.1 8.6 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 5.3 Change, month to month 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar May ' July Sept 0.7 .5 .1 .6 -0.3 1.4 .8 .7 1.4 .4 -.4 .6 0.7 — .1 .3 .2 0.4 3.9 5.4 5.0 0.7 5.5 7.6 12.4 -1.8 3.3 5.7 2.6 4.4 3.8 3.7 2.0 3.0 2.8 1.6 2.6 -0.8 2.9 3.6 6.4 4.5 2.0 -.5 .4 4.5 4.5 3.9 3.2 4.6 5.0 4.6 4.9 1.9 0 2 2 .1 .2 — .1 1.3 1.6 2.3 .7 -.5 -.9 .3 -.2 0 .8 -.9 2.7 -.6 -.3 -.1 .1 .3 -.3 2.0 3.3 2 .4 .4 .1 .1 .2 .3 .3 .8 10.9 10.5 7.1 -1.4 — 1.0 .3 .7 5.6 11.7 16.7 16.1 10.6 -2.5 -4.1 -2.9 .6 2.6 -.3 12.5 11.4 7.4 -3.8 — 1.1 1.1 .4 8.1 21.8 3.0 3.4 4.0 3.7 2.3 1.7 2.6 3.7 6.0 7.3 7.9 6.0 4.6 4.6 3.7 -.3 2.2 5.9 11.0 11.8 11.5 6.6 5.5 3.7 -1.0 -.8 -1.6 7.8 8.5 5.0 4.0 5.0 4.2 -1.8 3.4 11.0 3.4 3.6 3.0 3.4 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.0 3.8 5.9 5.1 4.5 3.7 3.1 3.1 3.4 5.1 5.9 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Transportation Housing Shelter Period All items 1 Food Total l Total « Eenters1 costs Homeowners' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep New cars Total ' Motor fuel Medical care Energy2 All items less food, shelter, and energy Addendum: All items, percent change (annual rate) From previous quarter 3 From 3 months earlier From 6 months earlier From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 12.5 8.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 10.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 13.7 10.2 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 15.0 9.9 Sept Oct Nov Dee 0.2 .5 .3 .4 0.3 .4 .5 .5 0.2 .4 .4 .4 0.1 .5 .4 Jan Peb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept 1.1 .5 .5 .2 .2 .5 .4 .8 .8 2.0 .5 .3 -.2 0 .8 .4 .3 .2 .2 .5 .1 .2 .6 .5 .7 .4 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 — 5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 18.8 7.4 6.8 9.4 1.5 -6.5 3.4 -1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 2.1 21 6.8 2.3 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 18.0 11.9 1.3 -.5 .2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 4.7 4.1 0.7 .7 .8 .6 -0.6 1.0 -.3 .3 0.4 .4 .4 .3 .6 .8 .8 .8 .8 .7 .9 .9 .7 5.1 -.7 -.8 -.4 — .7 .6 -.7 4.3 5.6 .5 .8 .5 .3 2 .2 .5 .4 .4 13 5 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 Chs nge, month to month 1989: 1990: -0.3 .4 .8 .5 .4 0.4 .5 .4 .4 0.2 .1 .6 .6 1.5 .7 0 -.3 -0.3 .5 .1 .3 -0.3 .6 .8 .8 .5 .2 .7 .2 2 .9 .9 .7 .1 .9 .8 .3 .1 0 .4 1.5 1.0 .1 .4 — .1 1.0 .3 .3 1.1 .6 .6 .2 2.0 -.6 .1 — .5 0 -.2 0 3.3 1.6 .1 -.3 -.1 — .2 .1 .7 2.1 .3 .7 2 __2 -.2 -.2 -.2 -.3 .2 2 1.3 1.3 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc,—and motor fuel. Motor oil. coolant, etc., also included through 1982, 24 .1 9 .4 .3 1.8 2.3 2 1.5 -1.8 -.6 8.2 .2 -1.5 .3 — 1.4 2.2 8.1 9.5 2.9 3.9 8.2 3.8 6.3 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2.3 2.9 4.2 4.9 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.6 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 7.5 8.2 8.5 4.5 3.2 3.5 4.4 7.0 7.9 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.0 5.6 5.9 4.4 5.1 5.7 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.7 4.8 5.6 6.2 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by October were 2.2 farmers in October fell 0.7 percent from their September level. Prices paid by farmers in percent above their July level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDE K, 1977=100(RATIOSCALE) INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE) '' 180 180 — «* _.'--' «.... 160 '"" 160 -V~r t ^ v. 140 —x. PRICES PAID —\ N_ r^ X^ 120 140 ^—^ ^ 120 ^^ \ \ PRICES RECE IVED 100 100 80 80 mnlmii 11 in hiiii imilnm m||| imilnm itiiihiiii mnlmii ninlnn, niiiiiiin RATK^ 140 RATIO-" 140 - 120 RATIO 100 80 — _ .^ ^-—^^—4 ' ~^—r— '"•*^_^- 60 iimlimi 1982 BBHt • •*—*-=g mit iimliim i t m h i m 1983 1985 1984 y RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO NDEX OF PRICES PAIC f " *-»- 80 ^ i minim; imilnm 1987 1986 1988 iimlimi 1989 1 ! M M U II 1 60 1990 . SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices paid by farmers Prices received by farmers Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 All farm products Livestock and products Crops All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates l Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Production items Ratio 2 139 133 135 142 128 123 126 138 147 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 127 134 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 150 159 161 164 162 159 162 169 177 151 158 159 161 156 150 151 160 167 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 157 165 92 84 84 87 79 77 78 82 83 1989: Oct Nov Dec 145 147 149 127 128 127 162 165 169 178 (3) (3) 166 (3) (3) 165 (3) (3) 81 83 84 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May 154 152 150 151 154 151 152 151 148 147 136 133 128 131 134 129 130 126 123 121 172 169 171 170 173 173 173 174 173 171 181 170 (3) (3) 171 (3) (3) 171 (3) (3) 175 168 (3) (3) 169 (3) (3) 170 (3) (3) 174 85 84 83 83 84 83 83 82 80 78 July Aug Sept Get 1 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is "based on latest data available. 3 (3) 3 () 183 (3) (3) 184 (3) (3) 188 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Growth in M2 and M3 slowed in September. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,400 4,000 4,800 4,400 4,000 M3 . 3,600 3,600 3,200 3,200 i 2,800 V 2,800 M2 2,400 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 800 600 600 400 1982 1987 1983 1989 ' AVERAGES OF OAJLV FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 Ml M2 M3 L Debt Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight KPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances M3 plus other liquid assets Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) 1 408.9 436.5 474.5 521.2 552.1 620.1 724.7 750.4 787.5 794.8 1,629.9 1,793.5 1,953.1 2,186.5 2,371.6 2,570.6 2,814.2 2,913.2 3,072.4 3,221.6 1,987.5 2,234.2 2,441.9 2,693.4 2,982.8 3,202.1 3,494.5 3,678.7 3,918.3 4,044.3 2,324.2 2,596.8 2,851.6 3,154.7 3,524.1 3,829.5 4,135.5 4,338.7 '4,676.1 r 4,881.2 3,904.1 4,292.1 4,685.9 5,212.6 5,961.9 6,773.5 7,636.2 8,345.1 9,107.6 9,788.9 6.8 6.7 8.7 9.8 5.9 12.3 16.9 3.5 4.9 .9 8.9 10.0 8.9 12.0 8.5 8.4 9.5 3.5 5.5 4.9 10.2 12.4 9.3 10.3 10.7 7.4 9.1 5.3 6.5 3.2 9.4 9.9 9.2 11.2 14.4 13.6 12.7 9.3 9.1 7.5 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 782.9 788.1 789.4 794.8 3,163.6 3,181.9 3,201.2 3,221.6 4,013.5 4,018.1 4,031.0 4,044.3 '4,831.8 4,841.7 r 4,858.1 r 4,881.2 9,627.8 9,687.4 9,750.2 9,788.9 -.7 1.5 3.4 5.5 5.0 6.0 7.5 7.7 2.9 2.7 3.3 3.0 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.0 1990: Jan . Feb Mar.... 794.8 801.4 804.8 807.3 805.4 809.4 809.2 816.2 822.8 3,231.0 '3,255.6 r 3,270.9 '3,277.3 '3,270.9 '3, 278.6 3,284.0 3,302.0 3,317.7 '4,048.5 T 4,064.3 '4,069.0 r 4,072.9 '4,065.0 4,069.1 4,073.3 4,088.6 4,091.7 ' 4,882.5 ' 4,890.4 r 4,906.6 '4,916.4 '4,887.1 '4,906.8 4,918.4 4,931.3 9,829.3 9,887.1 9,955.1 10,010.6 10,053.6 10,108.7 10,170.1 10,244.0 4.0 5.4 5.6 4.9 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.5 6.7 6.9 6.8 6.0 4.4 '3.5 3.3 2.9 2.9 '2.0 2.6 2.8 '2.7 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 6.8 6.6 6.8 6.7 6.2 6.5 6.9 7.2 Period 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: Dec.... Dec Dec Dec.... Dec Dec Dec.... Dec Dec.... Dec .... May July ' Sept". 1 r Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli- 26 r Ml er at a simple annual rate. NOTE.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. M2 M3 Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Currency Period Demand deposits Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars Money market mutual fund balances 1 General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Money market deposit accounts (HMD As) Savings deposits Small denomination time deposits 2 Large denomination time deposits2 NSA 1990: Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA Savings bonds Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 115.3 122.6 132.5 146.2 156.0 167.8 180.6 196.7 211.8 221.9 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.5 243.9 266.8 302.1 287.0 287.0 279.7 28.0 78.2 103.6 131.6 146.9 179.6 235.5 259.7 281.3 285.7 28.8 36.6 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 83.2 83.3 77.4 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.8 168.2 177.2 208.7 222.0 240.9 312.4 15.2 38.0 51.1 42.8 62.1 63.9 83.8 89.0 87.1 102.3 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.0 571.0 523.8 500.3 483.7 400.1 343.8 356.7 305.4 285.1 301.2 370.1 414.9 427.8 409.0 728.5 823.2 851.0 784.1 886.8 884.0 856.2 917.8 1,031.0 1,142.3 260.4 303.0 327.2 327.6 417.4 437.0 439.8 488.8 541.1 558.3 33.5 35.3 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.5 106.1 121.7 96.9 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 106.0 81.1 72.3 67.8 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.5 91.8 100.6 109.3 117.5 133.5 149.4 183.6 211.9 260.9 298.3 280.8 254.2 272.0 ' 330.3 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 42.1 37.2 44.8 40.6 41.2 98.8 105.3 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.1 260.4 335.6 347.9 Sept Oct Nov Dec 219.3 220.0 220.4 221.9 278.1 280.0 278.8 279.7 278.4 280.8 282.8 285.7 75.1 75.7 75.4 77.4 295.9 302.7 309.0 312.4 101.6 101.1 101.1 102.3 471.9 475.3 480.8 483.7 405.5 406.1 407.9 409.0 1,132.6 1,135.9 1,138.5 1,142.3 565.6 562.7 561.0 558.3 113.9 109.6 108.9 96.9 85.5 80.1 79.3 81.1 115.7 116.2 116.8 117.5 r 311.3 317.4 318.6 ' 330.3 41.0 40.0 40.5 41.2 350.3 350.0 351.3 347.9 Jan Feb Mar 224.6 226.6 228.4 230.1 231.6 233.4 235.4 238.3 241.5 277.3 280.2 279.3 277.8 274.5 274.5 274.8 278.0 279.9 285.4 287.0 289.5 291.8 291.5 293.8 291.3 291.9 293.1 81.5 82.3 r 81.8 r 79.2 r 83.1 '82.2 84.2 83.1 82.1 318.6 325.3 325.9 325.8 320.4 321.9 325.1 333.8 340.1 103.2 103.7 105.4 106.8 107.3 107.3 108.9 114.0 116.1 485.0 489.4 494.9 498.8 500.0 501.2 502.4 505.5 507.1 410.2 413.6 414.6 415.8 415.0 415.8 416.3 416.3 415.8 1,143.0 1,142.6 1,146.4 1,147.7 1,149.0 1,147.1 1,148.2 1,149.5 1,150.4 554.5 550.1 544.1 538.3 ' 535.4 r 532.8 530.5 524.1 516.7 93.6 96.9 95.2 94.8 95.8 98.7 97.1 99.0 95.6 117.7 r332.3 118.2 ' 324.9 119.1 r 338.9 119.9 r330.3 120.7 r316.5 r 121.5 332.2 122.4 341.3 342.2 123.2 40.7 38.3 37.0 35.8 35.3 34.6 32.8 32.2 343.3 344.7 342.7 357.5 349.6 349.4 348.7 345.1 1980- Dec 1981: Dec 1982- Dec 1983- Dec 1984: Dec 1985- Dec 1986: Dec 1987- Dec 1988- Dec 1989: Dec 1989: Term repurchase agreements (KPs) .. . June July ' Aug T. Sepf r r 1 Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted. Small denomination and iarge denomination deposits are thost issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. 2 r 74.0 68.5 '66.8 r 65.6 r 67.4 r 64.6 64.6 66.3 66.2 r r r NOTE.— Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures *; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Reserves of depository institutions Period Total Nonborrowed Nonborrowed plus extended credit Required Monetary base Total Seasonal Extended credit 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 33,401 35,315 37,388 39,184 42,235 48,373 58,023 58,593 60,593 60,033 31,711 34,679 36,754 38,410 39,049 47,055 57,197 57,815 58,877 59,767 31,714 34,827 36,940 38,412 41,653 47,554 57,499 58,298 60,121 59,787 32,887 34,996 36,888 38,623 41,380 47,336 56,653 57,546 59,545 59,110 152,525 160,936 172,947 188,275 201,673 219,350 241,427 258,055 275,238 284,946 1,690 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 3 148 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 1989: Sept Oct Nov Dec 59,289 59,640 59,646 60,033 58,596 59,085 59,297 59,767 58,618 59,106 59,318 59,787 58,351 58,620 58,701 59,110 281,806 282,786 283,222 284,946 693 555 349 265 452 330 134 84 22 21 21 20 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr.... May 59,896 60,215 60,297 60,275 59,783 59,732 59,322 59,746 60,078 59,456 58,768 58,173 58,647 58,448 58,850 58,565 58,819 59,453 59,482 59,302 60,123 60,051 59,324 59,196 58,845 58,947 59,460 58,880 59,227 59,436 59,379 58,820 58,958 58,460 58,879 59,170 287,509 289,714 291,820 293,540 294,401 296,276 297,860 301,121 304,782 440 1,448 2,124 1,628 1,335 881 757 927 624 47 51 78 122 244 311 389 430 418 26 535 1,950 1,403 875 346 280 127 6 July ... Sept" 1 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases fell 0.3 percent in September. Commercial and industrial loans fell 0.2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 120 1990 ' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCil OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted i] All commercial banks Loans and leases Period Total securities 2 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1989: Dec 1,307.3 Dec 1,400.5 Dec 1,552.3 Dec 1,722.5 Dec 1,910.1 Dec 2,094.2 Dec 2,239.5 r 2,422.1 Dec r Dec .... 2,588.8 Aug r.... 2,531.7 Sept r ... 2,546.2 Oct * 2,570.5 Nov r.... 2,585.8 r Dec .... 2,588.8 1990: Jan r .... 2,594.4 Feb r.... 2,614.3 Mar r.... 2,635.6 Apr r .... 2,646.7 May r.... 2,653.8 June r... 2.669.4 July T.... 2,684.7 Aug»... 2,707.8 Sept "... 2,708.5 U.S. Government securities 179.3 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.6 309.3 334.4 r 361.5 396.1 376.2 379.3 390.9 396.0 396.1 404.7 414.5 422.3 427.3 430.6 438.5 440.6 441.3 447.1 Other securities 160.5 164.8 169.2 141.1 179.3 194.2 193.8 192.2 180.8 184.2 183.6 181.4 179.9 180.8 180.4 180.5 180.1 180.0 178.3 177.9 177.8 179.2 179.4 Total 2 967.5 1,034.0 1,123.9 1,321.3 1,460.3 1,590.6 1,711.2 r 1,868.4 2,011.9 1,971.4 1,983.2 1,998.2 2,009.9 2,011.9 2,009.3 2,019.4 2,033.2 2,039.4 2,045.0 2,053.0 2,066.4 2,087.3 2,082.0 Commercial and industrial 355.4 392.5 414.2 473.3 500.5 537.5 567.9 607.0 641.6 636.1 638.2 642.0 645.0 641.6 637.9 638.8 644.4 649.0 648.6 651.6 651.7 653.1 651.6 Nonbank financial institutions Agricultural political subdivisions 284.1 182.5 21.4 299.9 188.2 25.3 330.9 212.9 28.0 376.4 253.8 34.3 426.0 294.7 43.0 494.4 315.3 40.6 587.4 328.4 35.1 671.9 ' 354.9 40.4 761.1 375.8 38.8 730.0 367.9 38.9 739.1 370.8 39.5 746.7 372.4 40.7 754.0 374.4 40.9 761.1 375.8 38.8 765.9 378.3 39.3 774.7 379.5 40.0 781.8 379.9 37.1 786.9 378.8 36.1 794.6 379.8 34.8 800.1 378.4 35.3 808.0 378.3 38.8 811.9 380.1 46.0 814.7 381.1 43.1 29.9 31.2 30.4 31.3 32.4 35.0 31.9 30.1 33.0 31.4 31.7 33.2 33.9 33.0 32.5 32.9 33.8 33.9 33.9 34.4 34.8 35.7 36.2 33.1 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.5 29.4 29.8 30.7 30.4 30.4 30.5 30.5 30.7 30.9 30.8 30.6 30.4 30.0 29.5 29.3 29.2 29.1 0.0 .0 3.3 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks aiid averages of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations 28 State Security Real estate Individual 46.1 56.8 58.5 52.6 45.6 40.1 42.2 41.7 41.3 40.8 40.1 38.6 38.9 38.4 38.2 37.9 37.4 36.6 36.1 35.4 Foreign banks 18.1 14.6 13.4 11.2 9.8 9.9 7.9 8.1 8.9 8.4 8.1 9.1 8.3 8.9 8.1 7.8 8.4 8.8 8.7 7.4 7.0 8.0 7.9 of States and political subdivision are included in loans rather thar 2 Excludes loans to eomme.reia banks in the United States. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Forcign official institutions Lease financing receivables 7.2 12.7 13.3 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.2 31.8 5.9 9.4 7.9 6.0 5.9 5.3 5.0 3.6 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 31.1 31.4 31.9 31.9 31.8 32.1 32.2 32.6 32.3 32.5 32.3 32.6 32.7 32.8 Other 23.1 26.9 31.8 31.0 35.9 ,99.6 40.7 r 46.3 46.5 50.6 48.0 46.6 46.4 46.5 42.5 40.6 43.2 41.8 40.9 43.4 46.1 51.5 47.0 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Uses Sources External Period Total Loans and short-term paper Securities and mortgages Total Total Total Other 2 Increase in financial assets Capital expenditures 3 Credit market funds Internal l Discrepancy (sources less uses) 1982 1983 1984. 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 300.8 416.9 491.4 455.7 524.1 493.7 548.2 515.2 241.9 285.2 335.9 351.8 344.3 372.4 391.4 380.0 58.9 131.7 155.5 103.9 179.8 121.3 156.8 135.2 48.5 76.5 91.9 49.8 124.7 48.2 55.1 35.3 -6.2 41.0 -13.6 -6.2 60.5 18.5 -15.4 -45.1 54.7 35.5 105.5 56.0 64.2 29.7 70.5 80.4 10.4 55.2 63.7 54.1 55.1 73.1 101.6 99.9 303.1 392.6 474.9 425.1 481.2 466,6 494.6 486.5 256.1 270.5 369.7 341.2 330.4 354.1 378.3 382.2 47.0 122.1 105.2 83.9 150.8 112.5 116.3 104.3 -2.3 24.3 16.5 30.6 43.0 27.1 53.5 28.6 1989: I II . Ill IV 511.6 606.9 465.9 476.3 379.9 379.7 385.5 374.9 131.7 227,2 80.4 101.4 18.0 118.7 1.0 3.6 -92.5 3.1 -85.2 -5.8 110.5 115.6 86.2 9.4 113.6 108.4 79.3 97.8 478.6 568.5 446.4 452.8 377.4 388.3 385.1 378.2 101.2 180.2 61.3 74.6 33.0 38.5 19.5 23.4 I IP 491.9 496.9 370.6 377.4 121.3 119.5 92.6 58.4 -3.1 25.5 95.7 32.9 28.5 61.1 467.8 464.0 343.4 372.7 124.4 91.3 24.1 33.0 1990: 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained ah 2°p d " • t r u-r j o v Consists ol tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S. 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory invt stment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding l Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period Total Automobile Revolving Mobile home Other Total Automobile Revolving Mobile home Other Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 2 298,154 311,259 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,701 716,624 111,991 119,008 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,556 290,770 55,111 61,070 66,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,057 197,110 18,736 20,058 22,064 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,201 22,343 112,317 111,124 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,887 206,401 1,671 13,105 14,546 43,161 73,636 75,650 54,765 37,451 54,233 (3) — 484 7,017 6,937 17,615 30,004 36,623 37,241 18,423 18,705 (3) 1,754 5,959 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 20,979 (3) 529 1,322 2,546 958 2,299 989 246 -1,176 -719 (3) -127 -1,193 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 15,267 (3) 1989: Aug 2 Sept Oct Nov Dec 703,518 705,703 710,133 713,903 716,624 289,961 288,839 290,210 290,972 290,770 189,185 190,378 191,734 194,679 197,110 22,734 22,661 22,621 22,197 22,343 201,638 203,825 205,568 206,055 206,401 3,518 2,185 4,430 3,769 2,722 79 -1,122 1,371 761 -202 2,900 1,194 1,356 2,944 2,431 — 506 -73 -40 — 424 146 1,044 2,187 1,743 487 346 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July ' Augp 717,829 717,869 720,445 720,835 724,485 724,601 729,329 731,416 290,904 289,629 290,932 288,936 288,931 287,168 286,791 285,050 199,146 199,927 202,263 203,965 207,153 208,362 212,138 213,916 22,604 22,633 22,708 22,702 22,815 22,733 22,795 23,003 205,175 205,680 204,543 205,232 205,585 206,338 207,605 209,446 1,205 40 2,576 390 3,650 116 4,728 2,087 134 -1,275 1,303 -1,996 -5 -1,764 -377 — 1,741 2,036 781 2,336 1,702 3,188 1,208 3,776 1,778 261 29 74 -6 113 -83 63 208 -1,226 505 — 1,137 689 353 753 1,267 1,841 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. 2 Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988 and subsequent months. 3 Because of breaks in series, net change not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates fell in October. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM SOURCE. S E E T A B I E B ! COUNCIL OF ECOI [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 3-month bills (new issues) 1 Constant maturities 2 3-year 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor's) 3 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody' s) * Prime commercial paper, 6 months l Discount rate (N.Y. P.K. Bank) 5 Prime rate charged by banks 5 New-home mortgage yields (FHFB) 6 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 0.38 9.71 9.26 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 1989: Oct Nov . Dec 7.63 7.65 7.64 8.02 7.80 7.77 8.01 7.87 7.84 7.22 7.13 7.01 8.92 8.89 8.86 8.24 8.00 7.93 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.11 10.09 10.07 1990: Jan Feb Mar 7.64 7.76 7.87 7.78 7.78 7.74 7.66 7.44 7.38 7.19 8.13 8.39 8.63 8.78 8.69 8.40 8.26 8.22 8.27 8.07 8.21 8.47 8.59 8.79 8.76 8.48 8.47 8.75 r 8.89 8.72 7.13 7.21 7.29 7.36 7.34 7.22 7.15 7.31 7.40 8.99 9.22 9.37 0.46 9.47 9.26 9.24 9.41 9.56 9.53 7.96 8.04 8.23 8.29 8.23 8.06 7.90 7.77 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7 00 7 00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10 50 10 00 9.91 9.88 10.03 10.17 10.28 10.13 10.08 10.11 9.90 7.18 7.19 7.18 7.20 7.12 8.07 8.18 8.10 7.99 8.69 8.87 8.74 8.64 7.46 7.50 7.41 7.35 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987. 1988 1989 .. . May July Aug Oct". r 7.83 7.81 10.00-10.00 10 00 10 00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 Week ended: 1990: Oct 6 13. 20 27 Nov 3 ... 1 Bank-discount basis. 2 Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 30 9.54 9.59 0.57 9.45 7.80 7.85 7.86 7.81 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00- 10.00-10.00 10 00 10 00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 6 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices fell in October. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 160 INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 160 COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX (NYSE) 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 i i i i i I i i i i i I 40 1983 1982 1984 1985 1987 1986 1990 1989 1988 PERCENT 20 PERCENT 20 15 15 X. 10 EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS •^~-r , 10 . —--—-~ 5 ^ ! 0 I 1 1982 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1 1984 1 r*i — i i ri i "1 i ^~—I ^ 1 1 1985 1986 1987 1 1 1 1988 ,,, 1989 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD 8. POOR'S CORPORATION F l COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Common stock prices 1 Common stock yields (percent) 5 New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31, 1965 Period Composite 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989- Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar May July Sept ' Oct p Week ended: 1990- Oct 6 13 20 27 1 Industrial Transportation Utility Finance Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143 = 10)4 Dividendprice ratio 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 192.49 188.50 192.67 187.96 182.55 186.26 185.61 191.35 196.68 196.61 181.45 173.22 168.05 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 229.40 224.38 230.12 225.79 220.60 226.14 226.86 234.85 242.42 245.86 226.73 216.81 208.58 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 190.36 174.26 177.25 173.67 166.69 175.08 173.54 173.53 177.37 173.18 147.41 136.95 131.90 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 94.67 94.95 99.73 95.69 92.15 93.00 91.92 93.29 93.65 89.85 85.81 83.30 87.27 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 166.55 160.89 155.63 150.11 142.68 143.14 138.57 142.94 147.93 143.11 128.14 118.59 108.01 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 2,692.01 2,642.49 2,728.47 2,679.24 2,614.18 2,700.13 2,708.26 2,793.81 2,894.82 2,934.23 2,681.89 2,550.69 2,460.54 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 347.40 340.22 348.57 339.97 330.45 338.47 338.18 350.25 360.39 360.03 330.75 315.41 307.12 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 3.29 3.39 3.33 3.41 3.54 3.49 3.51 3.44 3.36 3.37 3.65 3.85 171.53 166.13 166.10 169.77 213.72 206.06 205.57 210.71 134.81 130.61 130.99 133.83 86.53 86.17 87.47 88.42 112.60 107.55 106.35 108.23 2,507.57 2,428.07 2,431.78 2,486.93 313.15 302.89 303.83 310.92 3.94 4.09 4.10 3.91 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. 4 Includes 500 stocks. 5 Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2 3 1 1 1990 Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 7.41 6.47 6.37 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In fiscal year 1990, there was a deficit of $220.4 billion, compared with a deficit of $152.0 billion a year earlier. BIUIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,300 — RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!^ 1,300 1,200 1,200 OUTLAYS^ X ,1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 0 - •\^ / J V\9K1 i l 1983 l 1984 ~"" 1985 ^^^ 1 1986 1987 1 ~~~~^~^ —-~-~ 1 ^~"~~^l I 1988 1989 1990 j\ -200 ?99) N FISCAL YEARS I/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] j• Total Receipts 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ... 1987 1988 1989 1990 ' 1991 (estimates) 2 1 2 298 1 81 2 355 6 3996 463 3 517 1 599 3 617 8 600 6 666 5 734 1 769 1 854 1 909 0 990 7 1 031 5 1 135 4 Outlays 371 8 96 0 409 2 458 7 503 5 5909 678 2 745 7 808 3 851 8 946 3 990 3 1 003 8 1 064 0 1 142 6 1 251 9 1 311 7 On-budget or deficit (-) 73 7 14 7 53 6 59 2 40 2 73 8 789 127 9 207 8 185 3 212 3 221 2 149 7 155 1 152 0 2204 176 3 Receipts 231 7 63 2 '78 7 314 2 365 3 403 9 469 1 474 3 453 2 5004 547 9 568 9 640 7 667 5 727 0 749 8 823 2 Data from Munlhly Treaxuni Slate' Estimates from Mid-Session Revie of lie Budget, Office of Management and Budget, .Iijlv 16, 1!>!)<). 32 Outlays 302 2 76 6 328 5 369 1 403 5 476 6 543 0 594 3 661 2 6860 769 5 806 8 810 0 861 4 931 7 1 026 8 1 076 3 Gross Fe .era! debt Off-budget Surplus or deficit (-) 705 13 3 49 7 54 9 38 2 72 7 73 9 1200 208 0 185 6 221 6 237 9 — 169 3 193 9 204 7 277 0 253 1 Receipts 664 18 0 76 8 85 4 980 113 2 130 2 143 5 147 3 166 1 186 2 200 2 213 4 241 5 263 7 281 7 312 1 Outlays 69 6 194 80 7 89 7 1000 114 3 135 2 151 4 147 1 165 8 176 8 183 5 193 8 202 7 210 9 225 1 2354 or deficit (-) 32 14 —3 9 43 —2 0 11 — 50 79 2 3 94 16 7 19 6 38 8 52 8 56 6 76 8 TotaJ 629 0 643 6 706 4 7766 8289 908 5 9943 1 136 8 1 371 2 1*564 1 1 817 0 2 120 1 2 3456 2 600 8 2 866 2 3 206 3 3 521 5 Held by the public 477 4 495 5 549.1 607 1 639.8 709 3 784.8 919 2 1 131 0 i 'soo o 1 499.4 1 736 2 1 888.1 2 050 2 2 189 3 2 4104 2 573 0 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In fiscal year 1990, receipts were $40.8 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $109.3 billion higher. BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 500 400 400 300 300 ~\ CORPORATION 200 200 OTHER RECEIPTS TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS \__ 100 100 T~ 0 "1 i I i I i i I 0 1,000 1,000 900 900 800 700 __ 600 «» \-----"" --•""' 700 600 „ — — •"""""" 500 500 400 400 NAIIONAL DEFENSE 300 __________ 200 A V I 1982 1 1 1983 300 •— 1984 1 1985 1 1986 1 1987 1 1988 1 1989 I N 200 1991 M 1990 FISCAL YEARS / INCUJDES ON-6UDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCtV. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET rooNOl Vr KXlKKMiK- MWfSEK, [Billions of dollars] Oil-budget and off-budget receipts Fiscal year Total Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.6 93.5 115.1 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 380.0 1976 298.1 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 355.6 399.6 463.3 600.6 666.5 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 '... 734.1 769.1 854.1 334.5 349.0 392.6 1991 (estimates) 2 1 2 517.1 599.3 617.8 909.0 990.7 1,031.5 1,135.4 Social insurance taxes and contributions 401.2 445.7 466.9 508.4 209.0 239.4 418.1 On-budget and off-budget outlays National defense Other Total Total 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 184.Q 157.5 185.3 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130 .9 153.9 180.7 851.8 209.9 227.4 204.4 220.9 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,251.9 1,311.7 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 299.3 303.3 245.2 265.5 274.0 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590,9 678.2 745.7 808.3 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.9 82.0 91.0 93.8 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. See footnote I, page 3-. Department of Defense, military 371.8 281.9 294.9 289.8 292.2 Income security Social security Net interest Other 60.8 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 U8.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 13 U4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 188.6 198.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 151.7 169.1 183.8 193.7 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 158.4 Internationa! affairs Health Medicare 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.1 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2. 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 82 A 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 61.0 61.5 66.4 86,5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 13.8 18.2 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 58.1 66.2 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 97.7 99.6 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 148.3 160.5 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.6 266.9 202.2 203.3 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, fiscal Year 1991, January 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the second quarter of 1990, Federal receipts rose $25.2 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $22.9 billion. In the third quarter, according to advance estimates, Federal expenditures fell $0.5 billion; receipts data are incomplete. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL SATES 1,200 1,200 EXPENDITURES 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-) V -200 1 I I 1982 J I 1983 1 I I I 1984 1985 1986 I I I 1987 I I 1988 1 I I I 1989 -200 I I 1990 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1985 1986 1987 .. 1988 1989 .... Calendar year: 1985 .... 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV .... 1985- IV 1986: IV 1987: IV 1988: IV 1989: I... n. ni IV 1990- I II Ill" Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total 776.8 815.2 899.4 957.6 1,041.9 340.4 357.0 400.8 411.3 457.6 74.6 81.1 99.1 108.1 113.8 55.9 50.9 53.5 55.6 57.8 305.8 412.6 962.3 1,028.0 1,060.0 1,101.8 1,172.2 788.7 827.9 913.8 972.4 1,052.9 633.1 675.5 742.7 805.3 853.8 940.0 997.5 1,045.4 1,062.2 1,048.1 1,055.7 1,080.6 1,105.8 346.4 361.4 405.8 415.1 464.0 303.0 291.9 326.0 355.3 376.2 419.2 424.8 453.1 470.9 462.2 469.6 473.6 492.1 499.7 76.3 83.8 103.2 110.5 110.4 46.4 70.2 69.7 78.8 88.9 107.4 115.4 120.7 115.0 104.7 101.3 106.5 109.2 55.1 50.5 54.0 57.0 58.4 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.5 50.8 55.1 57.8 57.6 58.0 59.3 58.7 60.6 60.5 61.1 310.9 332.1 350.8 389.8 420.1 236.1 259.8 290.7 317.7 337.9 358.4 399.6 413.9 418.4 421.9 426.1 439.9 444.0 450.6 985.6 1,034.8 1,071.9 1,114.2 1,187.2 835.7 844.7 930.2 1,017.5 1,042.8 1,101.7 1,153.8 1,178.0 1,184.9 1,179.8 1,205.8 1,248.8 1,271.7 1,271.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 Indirect business 326.1 345.9 382.6 Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Surplus or deficit Purchases of goods and services Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments 341.5 368.6 375.4 377.8 399.0 374.0 394.6 411.1 433.2 462.0 97.8 107.4 103.1 108.3 115.8 128.3 134.6 139.3 148.8 167.7 20.7 22.8 31.1 33.6 27.7 -0.1 .0 .1 -.1 .0 -185.5 — 212.8 -160.7 -144.1 -130.3 355.2 366.5 381.3 380.3 400.0 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.2 401.1 398.3 402.5 399.2 399.9 410.6 421.9 425.4 380.1 399.9 414.0 438.9 471.9 347.4 352.5 362.1 385.8 405.8 421.4 447.2 460.6 464.7 474.4 487.9 503.4 510.4 510.0 99.7 106.8 102.6 111.1 118.2 84.5 86.0 96.3 103.5 103.0 102.7 112.2 116.7 117.0 117.6 121.5 128.5 131.5 131.7 130.1 135.6 142.3 151.3 172.0 87.2 101.0 125.3 132.7 136.0 147.6 157.9 167.4 173.4 172.1 175.2 178.1 184.3 191.1 20.3 26.0 31.8 32.7 25.0 23.4 29.1 21.0 19.0 29.2 41.5 35.3 35.0 27.3 16.5 21.3 28.3 23.8 12.9 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -196.9 -206.9 -158.2 -141.7 -134.3 -202.6 -169.2 -187.5 -212.2 -189.0 -161.7 -156.3 -132.6 -122.7 -131.7 -150.1 -168.3 -166.0 Net interest paid Less: Wage accruals less disbursements (-), national income and product accounts INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Consumer prices (1982-84 = 100) Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989" 1989- June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar May Japan France Germany Italy United States ' Canada Japan France Germany Italy United Kingdom 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 83.1 84.8 76.5 81.5 91.4 96.5 95.7 100.0 105.0 105.1 81.7 82.6 82.9 85.5 93.4 96.8 96.6 100.0 109.3 115.7 98.9 98.3 97.3 96.5 97.1 97.2 98.0 100.0 104.7 108.9 95.0 93.2 90.3 90.9 93.5 97.7 99.6 100.0 103.9 108.7 96.2 94.8 91.8 88.8 91.8 92.9 96.2 100.0 105.9 109.2 87.5 84.8 86.4 r 89.6 r 89.7 94.6 96.8 100.0 ' 103.7 r 104.2 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 76.1 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 105.7 108.1 72.2 81.8 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 86.8 92.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 ' 104.9 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 105.5 105.2 105.3 105.2 104.0 104.4 104.7 117.1 114.2 117.6 115.8 115.8 116.8 116.9 108.3 109.4 109.4 108.1 108.4 108.9 107.6 108.8 ' 109.9 ' 109.8 r l!0.1 r 110.0 ' 110.3 111.4 108.3 110.7 108.7 110.5 110.8 111.4 114.6 102.6 103.8 105.0 104.8 104.7 ' 104.2 ' 104.7 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 129.6 130.4 130.5 130.7 131.2 131.6 131.5 108.6 108.4 108.3 109.2 110.0 108.9 109.0 128.7 129.0 129.2 129.5 130.1 130.3 130.5 109.4 109.3 109.2 109.4 109.7 109.9 110.2 150.3 150.7 150.9 151.6 153.1 153.7 154.4 135.6 135.7 136.1 137.0 138.1 139.2 139.6 104.0 ' 103.4 105.5 ' 106.2 ' 105.3 '107.3 r 103.7 103.1 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 129.9 130.4 131.6 132.7 132.7 133.4 133.9 133.9 134.6 135.1 135.8 T 135.9 136.3 109.2 109.5 109.9 110.8 111.6 111.0 110.9 111.4 130.8 131.1 131.6 132.1 132.3 132.6 132.9 133.7 110.9 111.3 111.4 111.6 111.8 111.9 111.9 112.2 112.6 155.3 156.5 157.1 157.7 158.0 158.7 159.3 140.4 141.2 142.6 147.0 148.3 148.9 149.0 150.5 151.9 107.5 108.5 108.9 108.8 109.4 r l!0.1 ' 110.3 ' 110.4 1107 July Aug Sepf 1 Canada United Kingdom 102.4 117.2 109.0 102.3 116.5 106.8 107.5 102.6 118.8 ' 102.2 117.9 109.0 ' 102.8 121.0 ' 109.2 103.2 121.1 109.7 r 103.8 !23.2 123.7 r l!1.9 107.3 l!1.3 111.4 l!2.8 110.4 r l!0.2 109.5 r l!3.4 ' 107.2 113.7 108.4 r l!52 115.4 r r Data relate to all urban consumers. Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] General merchandise imports (customs value) 3 Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) l Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987. 1988 1989 1989: Aug Sept .. Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar May r July . 3 1 Foods feeds, and beverages Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other 244.0 258.0 330.7 336.5 365.4 406.2 441.0 473.2 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.1 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 111.0 118.3 132.3 35.4 40.9 59.8 65.1 71.8 84.5 101.4 113.3 33.3 40.8 53.5 66.8 78.2 85.2 87.7 86.1 39.7 44.9 60.0 68.3 79.4 88.7 95.9 102.9 6.5 6.3 7.8 9.4 10.4 12.1 12.8 13.6 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 40.5 38.9 41.6 40.5 38.1 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 11.6 10.5 11.9 11.1 10.4 9.6 9.4 9.9 10.0 9.4 7.2 7.0 7.2 7.0 6.5 8.8 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.4 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.7 41.6 38.7 41.6 39.4 40.5 39.6 41.2 42.0 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 12.9 11.1 11.5 10.5 11.3 10.5 11.0 12.0 9.8 9.1 9.8 9.8 9.5 9.6 10.1 9.8 6.4 6.7 7.9 6.9 7.5 7.3 7.5 7.8 8.9 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.5 9.1 9.1 Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 34.8 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 17.7 23.1 36.4 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 35.9 34.6 43.4 17.2 11.7 12.3 12.3 11.1 12.3 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.4 12.0 12.8 12.8 12.4 12.7 13.5 12.8 12.5 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.5 Foods, feeds, and beverages Capital goods except automotive 216.4 205.6 224.0 5 218.8 5 227.2 254.1 322.4 363.8 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 22.3 24.3 32.3 37.2 61.7 56.7 61.7 58.5 57.3 66.7 85.1 99.3 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 138.8 30.2 30.1 31.4 30.6 31.3 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.0 8.5 8.1 8.4 8.3 7.9 31.4 31.6 33.3 32.1 32.8 34.2 32.1 32.6 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.9 3.4 2.8 3.1 8.6 8.0 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.7 Total 2 Industrial supplies and materials Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Industrial supplies and materials Other 3 Total 2 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grrant-aid shipments. Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988. Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 4 Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. 5 Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical 2 Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category Principal end-use commodity category 4 4 General merchandise imports (e.i.f. value) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs value) Exports (f.a.s) less imports (c.i.f.) 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 459.5 493.2 -27.5 -52.4 106 7 -117.7 -138.3 -152.1 -118.5 1094 -38.4 -64.2 1224 -133.6 -155.1 -170.3 -137.1 -129.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.2 42.3 40.5 43.4 42.3 39.7 -10.3 -8.8 10 2 -9.9 68 -12.1 -10.4 120 -11.7 -8.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 43.4 40.4 43.5 41.1 42.4 41.3 43.1 43.8 10 2 — 7.1 -8.4 73 -7.8 -5.3 91 -9.3 -12.1 -8.8 -10.2 -9.1 -9.6 — 7.1 -11.0 11 2 254.9 month basis. NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the second quarter of 1990, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $22.6 billion from $26.3 billion in the first quarter. The current account deficit rose slightly, to $21.8 billion from $21.7 billion in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLL/kRS* BILLI DNS OF DOLLARS* 10 5 0 10 -*, 5 A 0 V V^ \ /\ " -10 -5 \\ \ ,\--- \ -10 \ 'x- -15 *\ \ \ \ % -15 \ \ \ N \ .,'\\ -20 DAIAMr "\ A SERVICES -25 -20 E ON GOODS , AND INCOME f /^-v '\\./ -30 ITv ^\ ^ -35 AMERCHANDISE TRADE -40 -45 /I F ^ v A**^x>^*^ 1 i i i 1 1982 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 1985 \ -35 BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT ^^ 1 -40 1 1 1 1 i i i i ii 1989 1990 1988 1987 1986 -25 -30 BALANCE I f n •'' -45 ^ SEASONALLY ADJUS ED OURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)] Merchandise 1 2 Exports 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1988: 237 085 211 198 201 820 219 900 215 935 223 367 I II Ill IV 1989: I II Ill IV 1990- I II" 1 2 3 250 266 320 337 360 465 76,497 79,392 80,511 83,937 88,267 91,111 89,349 91,738 96 262 96,741 Imports — 265 063 247 642 268 900 332 422 — 338 083 368 425 409 766 447 323 —475 329 - 109,988 -110,494 — 111,290 -115,551 -116,360 -119,333 -119,152 - 120,484 122 545 -119,316 Net balance Net military transactions 3 844 112 163 67 080 ~2 147 112 522 — 4*096 122 148 145 058 — 4 907 — 27 978 36 444 159 500 126 986 114 864 -33,491 -31,102 -30,779 -31,614 -28,093 -28,222 -29,803 -28,746 26 283 -22,575 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. 36 Investment income 4 Services 3 530 — 5 452 — 6320 -1,075 -1,139 -1,144 -2,094 -1,763 -1,667 -1,114 -1,776 — 1 287 -1,342 Net transportation receipts 144 992 4 227 9 153 10 788 8 939 8 298 4060 659 -1,776 -1,062 -624 -599 -57 39 -192 870 1 075 816 Other services, net 4 12 552 12 981 13 859 14 042 14 008 18 551 18 262 21 032 26 123 4,736 5,079 5,391 5,829 5,899 6,164 7,031 7,030 6 217 6,607 Receipts on U.S. assets abroad 84 975 85 346 81 972 929S5 82 282 80 982 90 536 110 048 127 536 26,980 26,739 27,942 28,386 30,872 31,932 32,102 32,629 31 541 30,927 Payments on foreign assets 3in U.S. Remit- Net — 53,626 31,349 57097 28250 54 549 27423 69542 23 394 — 66,115 16,166 70013 10969 5 326 85 210 1 610 — 108438 — 913 — 128,448 2,400 — 24,580 409 -26,330 — 141 -28,083 -29,445 -1,059 465 -30,407 -33,889 - 1,957 17 -32,085 -32,068 561 1 995 29546 -637 -31,564 See p. 37 for continuation of table. Balance on goods, services, and income pensions, and other unilateral transfers, Balance on current account net ' 15,223 3,907 — 30 188 — 86,385 — 106,859 — 129,384 — 147,739 — 113,857 -95,314 -29,206 -27,815 -27,297 -29,537 -23,549 -25,643 -24,061 -22,061 — 18,283 — 17,131 -8,331 -9,775 — 9,956 — 12,621 -15,473 -16,009 — 14,575 — 15,005 -14,720 -3,476 -3,060 — 3,461 -5,008 -3,555 -3,006 -3,530 -4,631 -3,385 -4,713 6,892 -5,868 -40,143 -99,006 -122,332 -145,393 -162,314 - 128,862 -110,034 -32,682 -30,875 -30,758 — 34,545 — 27,104 -28,649 -27,591 -26,692 -21,668 -21,844 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $12.1 billion in the second quarter of 1990, compared to a decrease of $52.4 billion in the first quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $2.9 billion in the second quarter, compared to a decrease of $32.3 billion in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS 60 - IN THE U.S., NET 40 20 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET -20 -20 -40 -40 -60 -60 1990 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, exeept as noted] Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase /capital inflow ( + )] 3 U.S. assets abroad, net [increase /capital outflow ( — )] Period Total 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987.. 1988 1989 1988: I II Ill IV 1989: I II Ill IV 1990: I IP .... 5 U.S. official reserve assets 3 5 Other U.S. Government assets U.S. private assets Total Other foreign assets 1,093 Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy U.S. official reserve assets, net 5 (unadjusted, end of period) 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 19,934 36,612 11,374 27,456 20,041 15,824 6,790 -8,404 22,443 -110,951 -124,490 -56,100 31 070 -27,721 -92,030 -62,946 -84,176 -127,061 -5,175 -4,965 -1,196 3 131 -3,858 312 9,149 — 3,912 -25,293 100 679 5 097 -6,131 — 113)394 49 898 5 006 5 489 -22,451 -2,821 21 043 2 02' -90,321 997 73 091 83 232 2,969 1,185 - 102,953 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,599 218,470 221,442 214,652 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 1 083 35,588 45,210 39,515 8,823 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 173,260 181,927 205,829 4,569 -19,856 -42,383 -26,508 1,502 39 -7,380 1,925 1 594 4,661 -847 - 19,048 — 36,960 1,957 3,452 -31,885 26,079 65,270 49,797 80,295 24,840 5,970 -2,015 10,720 1,239 59,300 51,812 69,575 2,034 - 14,539 23,344 -19,242 2,970 -2,995 -4,630 4,656 43,186 41,028 47,788 47,802 -32,859 -1,381 -44,076 — 48,745 -4,000 -12,095 -5,996 -3,202 962 -303 574 -47 — 29,821 11,017 — 38,654 -45,496 68,402 2,794 74,136 69,320 7,797 -4,961 13,003 -7,016 60,605 7,755 61,133 76,336 -8,439 27,236 -2,469 6,117 3,093 -1,697 -4,953 3,560 49,854 60,502 68,418 74,609 32,877 — 26,443 -3,177 371 -659 -624 36,713 -26,190 -32,988 21,957 -8,203 6,284 -24,786 15,673 21,780 26,330 2,804 -1,036 76,303 77,298 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign cur nicies, and the U.S. reserve posi11 in thf IMF. Foreign official assets Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDKs) Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign). Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 35-538 (40) : 1990 0—35-538