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101st Congress, 2d Session

Economic Indicators
OCTOBER

1990

(Includes data available as of October 31, 1990)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1990

COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.




Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402

TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the third quarter of 1990, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 5.3
percent (annual rate) or $71.1 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.8 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 3.4 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
5,600
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

^ - 5,200
-

^
^^

r;NP

4,800

IN CURRENT DOLLARS ^

4,800

^

-

4,400

4,400
-

4,000

^^"
^

„„..--'''

-

\

3,600
^r

x

3,600

GNP
11--1 1982 DOLLAR S

^v"~~

^

-

3,200

3,200
-

—

2,800

2,800

\

2,400

\

I

1

\

1983

1982

\

1

1984

1

1
1985

1

1

1986

I

1

I

I

I
1988

1987

I

1

1

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

I

2,400

1990

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Exports and imports of goods
and services

Government purchases of
goods and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

GroSS
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,515.6
4,873.7
5,200.8

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,009.4
3,238.2
3,450.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.5
747.1
771.2

32.1
33.S
26.3
— 6.1
-58.9
-78.0
-97.4
— 114.7
-74.1
-46.1

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
449.6
552.0
626.2

318.9
.348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
564.3
626.1
672.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
921.4
962.5
1,025.6

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.3
380.3
400.0

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.6
297.2
301.1

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.7
83.1
98.9

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,079.1
3,332.6

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
741.4
747.5

14.1
— 25.8
-67.9
-103.2
-108.9
-115.0
-70.3

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4
485.8
583.1

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3
600.7
653.5

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9
942.0
1,000.0

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.2
401.1

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7
296.0
299.6

1990-

Gross
national
product

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

. ..

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
540.2
582.3
625.6

2,740.3
3,028.8
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,487.3
4,847.5
5,172.5

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,630.3
4,947.8
5,246.9

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1
92.2
101.6

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1
553.9
598.9

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4
4,591.9
4,993.6

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2
4,762.6
5,080.1

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

19821983:
1984:
19851986:
1987-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1988:

IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3
4,647.6
5,009.8

1989: I
II
III
IV

5,101.3
5,174.0
5,238.6
5,289.3

3,371.7
3,425.9
3,484.3
3,518.5

769.7
776.7
775.8
762.7

-48.5
-51.3
-49.3
-35.3

609.7
628.8
623.7
642.8

658.2
680.0
673.0
678.1

1,008.5
1,022.7
1,027.8
1,043.3

398.3
402.5
399.2
399.9

298.2
300.6
306.3
299.2

100.1
101.9
93.0
100.7

610.2
620.2
628.6
643.4

5,074.7
5,141.3
5,209.7
5,264.3

5,149.8
5,225.3
5,287.9
5,324.6

5 375 4
5,443.3
5,514.4

3,588.1
3,622.7
3,700.6

747.2
759.0
759.6

-30.0
-24.9
-49.2

661.3
659.7
662.6

691.3
684.6
711.8

1,070.1
1,086.4
1,103.4

410.6
421.9
425.4

307.2
309.6
311.1

103.4
112.3
114.3

659.6
664.6
678.0

5,387.2
5,429.9
5,505.6

5,405.3
5,468.2
5,563.7

1

I
11
Ill "

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross private
domestic investment
Personal
consumption
expenditures

Total

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,845.3
4,016.9
4,117.7

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,515.8
2,606.5
2,656.8

509.3
545.5
447.3
504.0
658.4
637.0
639.6
669.0
705.7
716.9

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
449.8
487.2
506.1

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6
3,920.7
4,059.3

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8
2,534.2
2,638.8

408.8
577.2
655.7
648.0
615.2
706.6
696.2

1989- I

4,095.7
4,112.2
4,129.7
4,133.2

2,636.7
2,645.3
2,675.3
2,669.9

1990- I

4,150.6
4,155.1
4,173.6

2,677.3
2,678.8
2,702.7

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
19831984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

n
m
rv

n
m"

1

Gross
national
product

Besidential
fixed

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services
Change
in
business
inventories

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
196.4
194.9
187.0

-6.9
57.0
23.9
49.4
-24.5
26.3
64
19 9
62.3 -84.0
9.1 -104.3
5.6 -129.7
22.8 -118.5
23.6 -75.9
23.8 -54.1

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
451.8
534.7
593.3

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
570.3
610.6
647.4

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
779.1
780.5
798.1

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7
462.3
486.6

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3
195.8
195.6

-59.3
11.7
27.0 -46.2
41.7 -94.8
7.7 -125.3
-20.8 -135.4
48.4 -111.3
14.0 -75.7

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5
487.0
555.3

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9
598.3
631.0

717.0
719.1
722.3
709.1

497.1
505.5
513.3
508.4

193.8
188.1
184.4
181.8

26.1
25.5
24.6
18.9

— 51.1
-53.3
-64.1
-47.9

576.1
593.2
592.5
611.6

700.7
700.7
700.6

514.6
508.4
517.6

188.3
182.8
175.3

-2.2
9.5
7.8

-35.4
—44.6
— 52.5

628.1
620.1
622.0

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

National
defense

Nondefense

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.1
334.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.1
260.7
256.3

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.5
67.5
78.7

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
439.5
452.4
463.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,822.5
3,993.2
4,094.0

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,963.8
4,092.8
4,171.8

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0
791.3
799.9

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4
347.7
342.3

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8
266.0
261.1

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6
81.7
81.2

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6
443.6
457.5

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4
3,872.3
4,045.2

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0
4,032.0
4,134.9

627.3
646.5
656.6
659.4

793.2
801.0
796.2
802.2

334.2
339.9
333.0
332.7

253.7
255.7
260.2
255.5

80.4
84.2
72.8
77.2

459.0
461.1
463.2
469.5

4,069.6
4,086.6
4,105.1
4,114.4

4,146.8
4,165.4
4,193.9
4,181.1

663.5
664.7
674.5

807.9
820.2
822.8

333.0
345.9
345.6

254.4
256.5
256.8

78.6
89.4
88.8

475.0
474.3
477.2

4,152.8
4,145.6
4,165.8

4,185.9
4,199.7
4,226.1

Total

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1989: I

n
in
IV

1990: I..

n

HI".

Gross
national
product

Total

Durable
goods

ble goods

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3
126.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.6
124.2
129.9

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.2
109.4
110.9

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.2
116.6
122.8

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
128.7
134.5
141.0

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
98.9
100.2
101.2

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
115.2
119.3
123.5

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.2
105.5

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.5
103.8

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.3
115.9
119.4

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0
117.5

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.3
123.2
125.8

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
122.9
128.7
135.1

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1
118.5
123.4

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8
121.5
126.3

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2
108.9
110.3

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
113.9
118.6

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9
130.9
137.0

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0
99.0
101.8

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
116.5
120.6

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0
99.7
105.0

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4
100.4
103.6

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
111.7
117.2

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7
111.3
114.7

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7
112.8
125.1

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0
124.9
130.9

124.6
125.8
126.8
128.0

127.9
129.5
130.2
131.8

110.4
110.6
111.2
111.4

120.5
123.2
123.2
124.5

138.8
140.1
141.6
143.4

101.9
101.2
100.9
100.7

122.1
123.7
124.2
124.3

105.8
106.0
105.3
105.1

104.9
105.2
102.5
102.8

119.2
118.4
119.9
120.2

117.5
117.6
117.7
117.1

124.4
121.0
127.8
130.4

132.9
134.5
135.7
137.1

129.5
131.0
132.1

134.0
135.2
136.9

112.5
112.1
112.4

128.3
129.4
131.5

145.1
146.6
148.4

101.6
101.6
102.4

125.3
125.3
126.0

105.3
106.4
106.5

104.2
103.0
105.5

123.3
122.0
123.1

120.8
120.7
121.2

131.5
125.6
128.7

138.9
140.1
142.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Gross private
domestic investment

CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption e? penditures

Ore ss national prr duct

Period

1980
1081

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1987- I
II
III
IV
1988- I
II.
Ill
IV.
1989:

Constant
(1.983)
dollars

Current
dollars

89

02

11.7
37

1.9

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1

3.9

5.4

2.5

4.0
34
2.7

67

34

32

33

35

7.9
67
9.1

4.5

3.3
41

5.2

3.5

3.7
43
4.3

4.2

25
42

31

31

4.4
35

4.1

3.5

3.3

17

31

2.7

2.7
44
4.7

27

47

3.3
42
4.8
44

3.6

3.9

4.7

16

39

44

1.7
3
1.7
4

3.2
38
4.8

3.1

7.4
87
7.8
83
7.4

66
5.1
36

7.5
58
5.1
39
6.7
51
53

1 8

47
34

10.5
71

9.0
8.8
82

Chain price
index

107
9.2
57
4.1

10.9
92

3.9
35
2.7
46

fi.4

3.9
28

46

3.6
45

3.8
46
6.4
48

3.5

76
7.6
65
7.3
96
8.9

4.3

4.4

37

47

19

37

— 4

41

39

9.2

6.9

47

74

27

5.5

8.2

3.5

44
4.9
46

41

36

41

6.1

-02
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8

3.8
32
2.4

3.1
38
6.6
39

NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding vear and quarterly changes arc from preceding ouar-

106

45

37

Implicit
price
deflator

Fixedweighted
price index

(lima

weights)

90
9.4
6.3
4.1

33

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

6.4
3.9
3.7
30
2.6

10.8
64

1990: I
11
Ill"

90
9.7

Chain price
index

3.6
6.8
34
2.7

-2.5

7.6

I
II.
Ill
IV.

Implicit
price
deflator

Kxedwt'ighted
price index
(1982
weights)

13

2.3
43
4.6
46
5.2
5.1

4.6

22

-8

1.1

5.0
6.8

9

3.6

36

51

81

35

4.8
66
7.0
40

-.3

82

39
89

5.7
4.2

4.0
47

6.2
49
4.3
40
2.5

47
4.8
4.8
5.0

5.3
26
4.9
6.8
3.4
52

10.5

9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0

35
2.7
4.6
4.1
4.8
6.3
5.1
4.3
4.3

26
4.8
5.1
4.9
5.0
5.7
2.7
4.7
7.4
3.1

5.7

Soura:: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
198419851986:
19871988:
1989'

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I.
II
Ill
IV

1990- I
II




.

.

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,524.8
2,720.7
2,854.5
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.4
2,408.7
2,597.4
2,797.3
2,812.8
2,847.5
2,879.1
2,878.5
2 907 5
2,960.0

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,290.2
2,403.7
2,431.2
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,339.4
2,428.6
2,427.8
2,431.3
2,443.9
2,421.8
2,423.1
2,440.1

Total
cost
and
profit '*

Capital
consumption
allowances
witb
capital
consumption
adjustment

Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Indirect
business
taxes 3

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1 .054
1.071
1.089
1.102
1.132
1.174
1.011
1 .037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.110
1.152
1.159
1.171
1.178
1.189
1.200
1. 213

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.124
.131
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.122
.126
.127
.129
.132
.135
.135
.135

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.10.3
.106
.105
.107
.112
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.105
.108
.110
.111
.113
.114
.117
.116

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.726
.750
.782
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.734
.763
.774
.780
.782
.795
.803
.812

0.031
.0.37
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.041
.041
.050
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.040
.042
.046
.049
.051
.052
.052
.053

Total

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.107
.111
.099
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.109
.112
.102
.102
.100
.092
.093
.097

Profits
tax
liability

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.043
.042
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.042
.043
.044
.042
.041
.040
.039
.040

Profits
after
tax 4

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.067
.068
.057
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.067
.069
.058
.060
.059
.052
.053
.057

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.968
21.203
20.929
18.771
19.422
19.784
20.117
20.650
21.118
21.173
21.042
20.970
21.011
20.786
20.670
20.755

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.231
15.892
16.376
12.866
13.208
13.735
14.341
15.008
15.492
16.158
16.288
16.347
16.421
16.517
16.602
16.841

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

Rental
income of
persons
with
capita!
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
hefore tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,660.3
3,984.9
4,223.3

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,686.4
2,905.1
3,079.0

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
42.8
43.7
48.6

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
280.6
310.5
330.7

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.7
16.3
8.2

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
308.3
337.6
311.6

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
255.9
289.8
286.1

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
275.3
316.7
307.7

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-19.4
-27.0
— 21.7

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
52.4
47.8
25.5

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
328.6
371.8
445.1

2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,473.1
3,791.5
4,104.1

1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,770.3
2,986.7

28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
52.3
35.5

159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
293.0
321.5

15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
14.6
16.8

146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
323.1
349.6

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
268.6
308.7

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
289.7
331.1

-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-21.1
-22.5

-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
54.5
40.9

266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
338.2
394.1

n
m ..

4,177.3
4,216.8
4,232.1
4,267.1

3,029.7
3,062.6
3,095.2
3,128.6

59.6
50.5
38.7
45.7

328.2
329.1
329.5
336.0

13.3
9.7
5.8
4.1

327.3
321.4
306.7
290.9

292.1
291.5
285.3
275.3

335.1
314.6
291.4
289.8

-43.0
-23.1
-6.1
- 14.5

35.2
29.9
21.4
15.6

419.2
443.4
456.2
461.7

1990- I
II p

43503
4,411.3

3,180.4
3,232.5
3,276.1

57.4
51.0
42.8

346.6
350.8
355.2

5.5
4.3
7.6

296.8
306.6

285.5
298.8

296.9
299.3

-11.4
-.5
-30.6

11.3
7.7
2.3

463.6
466.2
468.9

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
19841985:
19861987:
1988-

IV
IV
IV
IV ..
IV
IV
IV

1989: I

IT

m

1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Includes employer contributions (or social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
ivew passenger
cars (millions of
units)

Domestics

Imports

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,009.4
3,238.2
3,450.1

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
423.4
457.5
474.6

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
197.9
212.2
215.5

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
148.8
161.8
171.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.7
83.5
87.8

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
1,001.3
1,060.0
1,130.0

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
530.7
562.6
595.3

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
178.4
191.1
204.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.3
77.3
83.8

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.9
229.1
246.3

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,584.7
1,720.7
1,845.5

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
7.1

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.8

2,117.0
2 315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,079.1
3 332.6

263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
427.4
473.1

115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
198.9
217.8

99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.1
166.8

49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
77.4
88.5

786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,019.9
1,088.0

407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
539.0
577.1

126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
182.2
198.6

89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
77.3
78.5

163.4 1,066.5
174.0 1,167.9
184.7 1,267.1
198.5 1,394.5
205.5 1,494.4
221.5 1,631.8
233.9 1,771.5

6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
6.6
7.5

2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3
3.0

1989: I
II
Ill
IV

3,371.7
3,425.9
3,484.3
3,518.5

466.4
473.6
487.1
471.2

211.3
216.2
226.9
207.5

170.2
170.7
171.5
173.0

84.9
86.7
88.7
90.7

1,106.7
1,127.1
1,137.3
1,148.8

588.8
592.5
597.6
602.2

199.3
203.4
206.9
208.7

79.0
88.2
84.5
83.5

239.7
243.0
248.3
254.4

1,798.6
1,825.1
1,859.8
1,898.5

7.0
7.3
7.8
6.2

2.8
3.0
2.9
2.6

1990- I
II
III".

3,588.1
3,622.7
3,700.6

492.1
478.4
483.1

221.1
212.4
216.8

178.9
176.8
175.9

92.0
89.3
90.3

1,174.7
1,179.0
1,202.8

616.4
623.3
627.9

212.9
212.6
215.8

87.1
84.5
95.4

258.2
258.6
263.6

1,921.3
1,965.3
2,014.7

7.0
6.8
7.2

2.8
2.7
2.5

1982
1983.
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
19841985:
1986:
19871988:

IV
IV ...
IV
IV
IV .
IV
IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




SOURCES OF
Personal income increased $23.8 billion (annual rate) in September, following an increase of $9.8 billion in August.
Wages and salaries rose $17.4 billion in September compared to a rise of $0.6 billion in August.
BILLIONS OF DOUARS*(RATiO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

,
—'

^
4000

•
4,000

_———1

-—T\~~~l

3,000
_-

"

\

-"

TOTA L PERSONAL IhCOME

3,000

_

_.

•

•

~

-•

2,000

.

-'

2,000

' *° """

\
WAGE AN D SALARY DIS3URSEMENTS

" "~ "~

1,400

1 400

r-~ .-

""

\

C)THER

„_—..'''"'

800

INCOM

^- — '

_-

""

,
TRANSFER

400

Illllillili

Hlillllll!

iiinitmi

LI! 11 ill 111

imiliini

Jllllllllll

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

tuiihnu n t n h i i t i iiiniinii
1989

1988

- SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

personal
income

1980
1981
1982

2 2584

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

2 838 6
3 108 7
3 325 3
3 526 2

1989:

2 520 9
' 6708

3 7664
4070 8

4 384 3
Sept

Oct

Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar

Apr
May
July r.

Aug T

Sept"

4411 6
4 441 0
44700
4496 7

4 532 2
4 561 6
4594 7
4 6045

4
4
4
4
4

621 4
640 7
663 2
673 0
696 8

Wage and
salary
disbursements l

1 372 0
1 510 3
1 586 1
1 676 6
1 838 6
1 975 4

Proprietor ' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

Farm

income of
persons 4

160 1
156 1
150 9
178 4
204 0
225 6
247 2
280 6
3105
330 7

13 6
13 2
85
92
11 6
13 7
16 3
82

52 9
61 3
63 9
68 7
75 5
78 7
85 8
91 8
102 2
114 4

2 249 1
2 431 1
2 573 2

2094

225 5
241 9

2
2
2
2

593 9
611 4
603 8
623 0

244 8
246 1
247 5
248 9

37 8
45 6
45 2
46 4

329 6
331 9
337 4
338 7

7^
9b
10 1

116 3
11-74
118 4
118 9

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

633 3
652 2
669 2
682 4
695 5
711 1
727 1
727 7
745 1

251 6
252 8

51 1
55 6
65 5
55 0
51 8
46 1
45 7
42 9
39 9

343 3
347 0
349 4
349 2
351 3
351 8
353 3
355 3
356 9

77
45
43
38
42
49
57
82
88

119 7
120 6
121 3
122 3
123 0
125 4
124 3
125 0
125 3

2094 8

2540

255 2
2564

257 6
258 8
2600

261 2

66
13 3

dividend
income

20 5
30 7
94 6
12 4
30 5
30 2
34 7
42 8
43 7
48 6

1384
150 3
163 6
173 8
182 9
187 6
199 3

!
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2
Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Nonfarm

Less:

o

interest
income

payments

5

271 9

324 7

3354

368 1
4106
442 6
456 6
489 8
521 5
549 9
587 7
636 9
646 1

389 7
393 1
444 7
4-78 0
493 2

501 3
547 9
643 2
657 6
661 2
6650

668 5
669 5
670 5
671 4
6745

677 9
681 5
684 3
686 6
688 3

6508
6584

658 6
679 8
679 6
683 4
683 5
685 3
691 4
692 1
695 4
700 6

4

contributions
for social
insurance

88 6
104 5
112 3
120 1
132 7
149 3
161 9
172 9
194 1
212 8

personal
income 6

2 215 8
24656

2 618 7
2 7990

3 052 1
3 271 3
3 4694

3 702 2
40060

4 314 6

214 5
215 9
215 3
216 3

4 352 7
4 374 4

223 9
221 2
223 8
221 4
223 9
227 1
228 1
228 2
229 4

44599
44849

44036
4429 2

4 508 1
45282

4 548 3
4 573 2
4 5960

4 608 7
46354

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor inc
and agricultural net interest.
5
6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
According to advance estimates, real per capita disposable personal income fell in the third quarter of 1990.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS Of DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

2,000

2,000

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

PFR ("API1A DISPOSABLE PERSONAL It-jrOMF

18,000

18,000

16,000
r-ijpPFWT DOLLARS

14,000

,
1

—

—

16,000

"•"

14,000

-V-,

r_^^'

12,000

12,000

r~~"".

r—

^

10,000

i ' >

8,000

i

1982

i

i

1983

1

\

10,000

1982 DOLLA !S

i i i
1984

i

i

i

i

r
1986

1985

i

i

i

i

i

1987

i

i

1988

i

i

i

1989

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

i

i

i

8,000

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Personal
income

Less:
Personal

tax and

Disposable

nontax
payments

income

Less:
Personal
outlays 1

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
persona!
income in

1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

Billions of dollars
2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,766.4
4,070.8
4,384.3

1980

1981 .
1982
1983. .
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.6
591.6
658.8

1,918.0
2,127.6
2^261.4
2,428.1
2|668.6
2,838.7
3,013.3
3,194.7
3,479.2
3,725.5

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures
Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1,968.1
2,107.5
2,297.4
2,504.5
2,713.3
2,888.5
s',102.2
3,333.6
3^553.7

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
92.5
145.6
171.8

2,214.3
2,248.6
2^261.5
2,331.9
2^469.8
2,542.8
2,635.3
2^670.7
2,800.5
2^869.0

8,421
9,243
9J724
10,340
11^257
11,861
12,469
13^094
14,123
14^973

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal

»t»™

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

Dollars
1,781.1

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

9,722
9,769
9J724
9,930
10,419
10,625
10,905
10^946
11,368
11,531

8,320
8^818
9,515
10^253
10,985
11,576
12J335
13,144

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909
11,097
11,458
11,553
11,492
11,538
11,541
11,586
11,564
11,511

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825
12,572
13,474
13,603
13,790
13,986
14,084
14,330
14,432
14,697

7,607

8,783
8,794
8,818
9,139
9,489
9,839
10,123
10^580
10^678

— 1.1
.5
— .5
2.1
4.9
2.0
2.6
.4
3.9
1.4

7.1
7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
2.9
4.2
4.6

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,322
241,660
243,982
246,358
248,810

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3
6.4
1.2

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3
3.9
4.1

3.4
-2.1
1.6
.1

5.2
4.6
4.1
4.6

1.6
-.8
-1.8

4.9
5.0
4.0

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579
244,925
247,329
247,863
248,431
249,127
249,818
250,392
251,026
251,785

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IT
IV
I

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8
3,890.9
4,186.2
4,302.2
n
4,362.9
HI.... 4,402.8
IV
4,469.2
1990: I
4,562.8
n
4,622.2
m ".. 4,677.7

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4
588.6
607.3
640.5
665.5
659.5
669.6
675.1
696.5
709.0

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4
3,302.3
3,578.9
3,661.7
3,697.3
3,743.4
3,799.6
3,887.7
3,925.7
3,968.6

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4
3,172.6
3,430.4
3,472.0
3,528.5
3,588.8
3,625.5
3,696.4
3,730.6
3,809.2

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0
129.7
148.5
189.8
168.9
154.5
174.1
191.3
195.1
159.4

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2
2,717.9
2,833.9
2,863.5
2,854.9
2,874.3
2,883.2
2,900.9
2,902.8
2,898.4

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and person1 transfer payments to foreigners (net).




9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629
13,483
14,470
14,773
14,883
15,026
15,210
15,527
15,639
15,762

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214
10,347
10,669
10,638
10,648
10,739
10,687
10,692
10,671
10,734

Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the first quarter of 1990, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $0.9 billion (annual rate)
and net farm income fell $4.0 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

^4U

240
200
*.

160

_/

^-^

!r

•

_^

^^-,

r^v^

'

120

•>nn
-"I

(60

GROSS FARM INCOME

80

80

6n

60
A

40
\

*

\

20

/ \
\

/

\

/

\_ _/

10

\

f

*

jf

' \

t

/*'

•"^ x
\

/v

!\/\
\ ,'

i
\i if\ % ii
>i i' \\i'
i1 1i
\i

40

/
V

\

NET FARM INCOME

70

*

10

u

1

1

1982

I

1 1 1

1 1 1

1983

1984

1

1

1

1985

1

1 1
1986

\

1
1987

1

I 1 1
1988

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

1

1 1
1989

I

! 1

2

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Biilions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total '
Total

Livestock and
products

Crops

Value of
inventory
changes 2

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

1982 dollars 3

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 .
1988
1989 ..

149.3
166.4
163.5
152.9
175.0
162.9
156.5
169.0
173.8
189.1

139.7
141.7
142.6
136.5
142.5
144.1
135.2
141.7
150.2
159.2

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
76.0
78.8
83.7

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
63.7
65.6
71.4
75.4

-6.3
6.5
— 1.4
-10.9
6.3
-2.3
-2.4
-2.8
— 4.1
4.4

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
131.7
125.1
127.7
131.8
142.6

16.2
27.0
23.5
12.5
32.3
31.2
31.4
41.2
42.0
46.5

18.8
28.7
23.5
12.0
29.9
28.1
27.6
35.1
34.6
36.8

1988:

I
II
III
IV .

169.9
175.2
167.7
182.2

144.4
145.9
154.9
155.5

78.1
76.8
79.2
81.2

66.3
69.2
75.7
74.2

-6.1
-5.3
-3.6
-1.3

125.8
129.2
134.8
137.4

44.1
46.0
33.0
44.7

37.0
38.2
27.0
36.3

1989:

I
II

192.8
189.3
184.3
189.8

153.7
157.4
163.9
161.7

81.6
80.8
83.6
88.9

72.1
76.5
80.3
72.8

5.8
4.8
3.8
3.3

141.3
144.0
144.3
140.7

51.5
45.3
40.0
49.2

41.4
36.0
31.5
38.4

190.7

159.1

87.3

71.8

2.8

145.5

45.2

34.8

.

Ill
IV ...
1990: I"
1

Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




3

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

CORPORATE
In the second quarter of 1990, corporate profits before tax rose $2.4 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits fell
$1.0 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

A

S~\

320

V^

/"

^-

/"I

280

>

y

320

280

PROFITS BEFORE TAX
/

240

240

fA/

f*

^O

200

200

^,--'"
^
> N PRC)FITS AFTER It

/

160

^

•

•V

160

«

•i***

•*"*».

*'""""

S

120

120

s

<-"X._.. ^J-

80

_

./ s—

"~~^~\

80

TAX LIABILIT Y

~\
f'""\'

40
\.
i

! !
1982

!

1 1
1983

I

1 1
1984

1

1 1
1985

i

-''

I I
1986

40

UNDISTRIBL TED PROFITS
1

! !
1987

i

I t
1988

!

1 t

I

1989

i 1
1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits after tax

Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment *
Domestic industries
Period

Norifmancial
Total 2
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1989
19821983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:
1988:
1989-

194.0
202.3

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
255.9
289.8

IV
IV ....
IV
TV
TV
IV
TV
I
II

m
IV

1990: I
II '
III "
1
2

286.1
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4

226.1
268.6
308.7

292.1
291.5
285.3
275.3
285.5
298.8

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3

191.4
195.2
218.4
246.5
235.2

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4
226.2

261.9
241.5
244.9
236.0

218.4
232.6
249.9

Financial

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
20.7
22.4
15.4
18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6
19.8
24.1
24.0
21.6
9.2
6.9
16.1
18.2

Total 3

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
197.8
224.1
219.8
102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8
206.4
237.8

217.4
223.4
226.9

211.5
216.5
231.7

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately-




•

Manufacturing

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
86.7
106.5
96.1
46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
98.2
112.6
102.0
98.9
99.9
83.7
90.1
100.8

Profits
I. -tore tax

Tax
liability

237.1

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
126.9
136.2
135.1
59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
132.1
142.1
148.3
140.8
127.8
123.5
129.9
133.1

Wholesale and
retail
trade

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
37.9
37.1
38.7
33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
37.8
42.3
33.7
37.6
41.4
41.9
39.2
44.4

226.5

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3

221.6
275.3

316.7
307.7

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0

234.1
289.7

331.1
335.1
314.6
291.4
289.8
296.9
299.3

Total

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
148.4
180.5
172.6
104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
157.6
189.1
186.7
173.8
163.6
166.3
167.1
166.1

Dividends

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.2
110.0
123.5
68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
102.2
115.3
119.1
122.1
125.0
127.7
130.3
133.0
135.1

3
Includes industries not shown separately.
c
r>
*
B
w
• Analysis.
A i •
source:
Department
of/ n
Commerce, Bureau
oft Economic

Undistributed
profits

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
50.2
70.5
49.1
35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
55.4
73.8
67.6
51.7
38.6
38.6
36.8
33.2

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

-43.1

-24.2
— 10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-19.4
-27.0
-21.7
134
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-21.1
-22.5
43 0
-23.1
-6.1
-14.5
-11.4
-.5
-30.6

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to advance estimates for the third quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment rose $13.6 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $8.3 billion. There was an $8.8 billion increase in inventories, following
a rise of $13.4 billion in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

900
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

800
GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT

700

z

600

500
400

-—\

J

r~

r^l

"
700

^O^

r- ONRESIDENTI AL
PI XED INVESTME MT

-

1

/

>f

-

—^\

(

S~

"

.

600

500

*.**'

\

-

„--""

400

"*•-..

--'

-

RESIDENTIAL

300

300

Fl>(ED INVESTMEf vlT

-

_

\

"—

^--

200

200

•—"

-

CHANGE IN BUSINESS

*^

100

-

-

100

/

\) ''X

—„

-

,'-•

0

^" — "
*

1 1 1

-100

1982

\

\

I

1983

!

i 1
1984

1

1

1

1985

1 1 1
1986

I

1 !
1987

i i i
1988

1

i

1

1989

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

-100

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

Gross
private
domestic
investment

Nonresidential
Total
Total

Structures

Producers'
durable
equipment

Residential

Total

Nonfarm

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
747.1
771.2

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
671.2
720.8
742.9

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.9
488.4
511.9

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.7
139.9
146.2

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
311.2
348.4
365.7

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.3
232.5
231.0

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
71
67.7
11.3
6.9
28.3
26.2
28.3

2.4
18.3
-23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
32.3
29.8
23.3

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
741.4
747.5

469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9
685.7
731.3

354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8
457.5
495.3

137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7
137.2
141.2

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2
320.4
354.0

114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1
228.1
236.0

-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-12.2
55.7
16.2

-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
8.0
59.6
35.0

1989- I
II
Ill
IV

769.7
776.7
775.8
762.7

743.1
744.0
746.9
737.7

506.5
511.4
518.1
511.8

146.5
144.2
147.0
147.1

360.0
367.2
371.0
364.7

236.6
232.7
228.9
225.9

26.6
32.7
28.9
25.0

16.7
26.1
26.2
24.1

1990: I
II
III"

747.2
759.0
759.6

758.9
745.6
750.9

523.1
516.5
530.1

148.8
147.2
150.2

374.3
369.3
379.9

235.9
229.1
220.8

-11.8
13.4
8.8

-17.0
13.0
7.8

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
19841985:
198619871988:

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department July-August survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 5.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 11.4 percent in 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

60U

600
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

500

r—
^

'

400

^^
300

^—^

\

1

—

500

-1

^^

400
-

ALL INDLJSTRIES

..

•
300

-^-^

.**~~~~~~

^,--—

~^
f

**

200

^ '~

NO ^IMANUFACTlJRINGJV

---"~~~

200

*r **

,''"~~-*

^

****

\

_„-'

MANUFACRJRING

**** —

100

TOO

3/
1

1

1982

1

1

1

1

1

1983

1

1

1

1

1

1985

1984

1

1

1

1

1

\

1

1

1988

1987

1986

1

J/SURVEYED QUARTERLY
J/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

!

1 1

1

1

iJ
1

1990

1989

COUNCILOR ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990"

286.40
324.73
326.19
321.16
373.83
410.12
399.36
410.52
455.49
507.40
534.76

112.60
128.68
123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183.80
192.44

1988- I
II
Ill
IV

436.30
452.24
460.33
467.92

1989- I .
II

III
IV

1990- I
II

1114
IV4

Nonmanufacturing

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing




205.48
230.09
239.11
242.38
278.77
302.05
309.16
320.45
344.77
380.13

173.80
196.06
202 22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
342.31

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

54.82
58.93
54.58
51.61
64.57
70.87
65.68
68.03
77.04
82.56
84.69

57.77
69.75
69.39
65.74
75.04
82.01
72.28
73.03
86.41
101.24
107.75

173.80
196.06
202.22
203.82
234.22
257.24
261.40
269.46
292.04
323.60
342.31

12.71
15.81
14.11
10.64
11.86
12.00
8.15
8.28
9.29
9.21
9.96

13.56
12.67
11.75
10.81
13.44
14.57
15.05
15.07
16.63
18.84
21.10

41.32
47.17
53.58
52.95
57.53
59.58
56.61
56.26
60.37
66.28
65.91

106.21
120.41
122.79
129.41
151.39
171.09
181.59
189.84
205.76
229.28
245.34

155.13
160.00
165.99
170.02

73.74
76.13
77.49
79.74

81.39
83.87
88.49
90.28

281.16
292.24
294.35
297.89

9.28
9.62
9.26
9.00

16.11
16.45
16.71
17.15

57.51
58.46
61.00
63.42

198.26
207.71
207.37
208.33

155 13
160.00
165 99
17002

281 16
292.24
29435
297 89

487.43
502.05
514.95
519.58

172.73
180.91
185.99
191.88

80.20
82.44
83.60
83.41

92.53
98.47
102.40
108.47

314.70
321.14
328.96
327.70

8.94
9.24
9.24
9.38

17.84
18.42
21.03
18.25

66.09
68.09
65.19
65.82

221.82
225.39
233.50
234.25

172 73
180.91
185.99
191 88

314 70
321.14
328.96
327 70

532.45
535.49
532.47
538.61

191.36
195.16
192.37
190.88

86.35
84.34
83.63
84.45

105.02
110.82
108.74
106.42

341.09
340.33
340.09
347.74

9.58
9.84
10.23
10.19

22.13
21.86
20.61
19.81

65.72
64.27
66.20
67.46

243.66
244.37
243.05
250.27

191.36
195.16
192 37
190 88

341.09
340.33
340.09
347 74

"All industries" plus the part of nonmanuffieturmg that is surveyed annually.

10

Surveyed
quarterly

Total >

318.08
358.77
363.08
359.73
418.38
454.93
447.11
461.51
508.22
563.93

112.60
128.68
123.97
117.35
139.61
152.88
137.95
141.06
163.45
183.80
192.44

tate, which, effective with the April-May
2

Total

Nondurable
goods

Durable
goods

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

Surveyed
annually s
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73
56.53

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In September, civilian employment rose 240,000 and unemployment rose 66,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

MILLIONS OF PERSONS'

126

126
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

122

122
CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE

118

V

114

114

110

110

\

106

106

— CIVILIAN —
EMPLOYMENT

102

102

98
x
x-

12

UNEMPLOYMENT

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986'
1987
1988
1989
1989:
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1990:
Jan
Feb.
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept

Resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322
188,081

1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709
1,688

110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378
125,557

102,042

188,428
188,580
188,721
188,865

1,702
1,709
1,704
1,700

125,725
125,857
126,192
126,246

188,990
189,090
189,198
189,326
189,467
189,607
189,763
189,901
190,002

1,697
1,678
1,669
1,657
1,639
1,630
1,627
1,640
1,601

126,094
126,308
126,498
126,543
126,643
126,466
126,394
126,300
126,568




Unemployment

Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

Total

Agricultural

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons 1

Total

15
weeks
and
over

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169
3,199

97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800
114,142

4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965
4,657

8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528

2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232

63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3

121,669
123,869

99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968
117,342

1,983
1,610
1,375

65.6
65.9
66.5

59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3
63.0

119,121
119,294
119,540
119,588

124,023
124,148
124,488
124,546

117,419
117,585
117,836
117,888

3,219
3,197
3,160
3,197

114,200
114,388
114,676
114,691

4,605
4,526
4,552
4,554

6,604

6,563
6,652
6,658

1,359
1,378
1,422
1,362

66.4
66.4
66.6
66.5

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0

119,560
119,713
120,003
119,773
119,989
120,019
119,580
119,298
119,499

124,397
124,630
124,829
124,886
125,004
124,836
124,767
124,660
124,967

117,863
118,035
118,334
118,116
118,350
118,389
117,953
117,658
117,898

3,134
3,079
3,200
3,133
3,305
3,348
3,085
3,137
3,181

114,728
114,957
115,133
114,983
115,045
115,041
114,867
114,521
114,717

4,729
4,703
4,747
4,630

6,535
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653
6,447
6,814
7,003
7,069

1,430
1,369
1,333
1,386
1,374
1,406
1,513
1,609
1,620

66.4
66.5
66.6
66.5
66.6
66.4
66.3
66.2
66.3

62.9
63.0
63.1
62.9
63.0
63.0
62.7
62.5
62.6

101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677
119,030

108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865

100,397

4,666
4,734
4,710
4,780
5,093

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In September, the overall unemployment rate rose to 5.6 percent and the civilian unemployment rate rose to 5.7
percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20
TEENAGERS
(16-19)

V

15

N^AV

10

10

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

1986

1986

1987

1989

1988

"UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

All
civilian
workers

7.6

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8
4.5

6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9
4.7

Labor

By selected groups

By race

By sex and age

White

Black
and
other

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3
15.0

6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7
4.5

14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4
10.0

15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7
11.4

7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
5.0

4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3
3.0

10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1
8.1

7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2
4.9

9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.3

Both
sexes
16-19
years

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

force
time lost
(percent) 2

8.5

....

7.5
9.5

....

9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4
5.2

9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5
5.3

1989: Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

5.3
5.2
5.3
5.3

5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

4.8
4.5
4.6
4.6

4.5
4.8
4.8
4.8

15.0
14.9
15.3
15.2

4.5
4.5
4.5
4.6

10.2
10.2
10.3
10.2

11.7
11.7
11.9
11.8

5.0
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.3
3.0
3.1
3.0

7.7
7.8
8.2
8.1

5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0

7.3
7.1
7.4
7.5

6.0
5.9
5.9
6.0

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....
July
Aug
Sept

5.2
5.2
5.1
5.3
5.3
5.1
5.4
5.5
5.6

5.3
5.3
5.2
5.4
5.3
5.2
5.5
5.6
5.7

4.7
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.9
5.0
5.1

4.6
4.8
4.7
4.8
4.6
4.5
4.7
4.9
5.0

14.5
14.8
14.4
14.7
15.5
14.1
16.3
16.7
15.5

4.5
4.6
4.5
4.8
4.6
4.5
4.6
4.8
4.8

10.1
9.2
9.4
9.1
9.3
9.4
10.3
10.4
10.8

11.3
10.5
10.6
10.4
10.4
10.4
11.3
11.8
12.1

5.1
5.1
5.0
5.2
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.3
5.4

3.4
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.3
3.5
3.4

7.5
7.5
8.4
7.5
7.4
8.0
8.5
8.5
8.9

5.0
4.9
4.9
5.1
4.9
4.8
5.0
5.2
5.4

7.0
7.4
7.2
7.1
7.4
7.6
8.1
7.9
7.1

6.0
5.9
5.9
6.2
6.0
5.9
6.0
6.3
6.4

.

cent of potentially available labor force hours.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labo

12



11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3
5.9

SELECTED MEASURES OF
INSURANCE PROGRAMS

UNEMPLOYMENT

In September, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27
weeks and over fell and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and 15-26 weeks rose. Both the mean duration of
unemployment and the median rose.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

60

50

40

40

30 ~

30

20

20

REENTRANTS

-JOB LEAVERS-

\

10 -

-

10

1990

1986

1986

1987

1990

1988

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Duration of unemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Percent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

State
programs

Number of
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemplovment,
"all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) »

Weekly average, thousands

1981 .
1982
1983 .
1984
1985
1986.
1987
1988
1989
1989: Sept...
Oct
Dec ....
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
May
June
July
Sept...




8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701
6,528
6,604
6,563
6,652
6,658
6,535
6,594
6,495
6,770
6,653
6,447
6,814
7,003
7,069

41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0
48.6
48.3
48.4
48.8
49.5
47.5
47.8
48.6
47.4
45.6
46.9
45.9
47.6
42.6

30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0
30.3
31.0
30.5
29.8
30.1
30.7
31.5
31.1
32.2
33.7
31.5
31.8
29.3
34.7

13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0
11.2
11.7
11.4
11.5
10.9
11.8
11.1
10.7
10.3
11.5
11.7
11.9
12.1
12.2

14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1
9.9
9.0
.9.7
9.8
9.5
9.9
9.7
9.6
10.2
9.2
9.9
10.4
10.9
10.5

13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5
11.9
11.5
11.7
11.6
11.5
12.1
11.7
12.0
12.1
11.6
12.0
12.0
12.3
12.5

6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9
4.8
5.0
5.0
4.8
4.8
5.1
5.4
5.1
5.0
5.4
5.1
5.2
5.2
6.2

51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1
45.7
44.9
45.5
46.3
46.3
48.5
47.1
46.3
46.8
47.4
48.7
45.7
48.7
49.5

11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7
15.7
15.8
15.2
15.7
15.8
15.5
15.3
15.5
17.5
15.2
15.4
15.2
14.3
13.2

25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0
28.2
29.4
28.!)
27.6
27.7
26.3
27.4
28.4
26.5
27.2
27.7
29.0
27.2
28.0

11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2
10.4
9.9
10.5
10.4
10.3
9.7
10.3
9.8
9.2
10.2
8.3
10.2
9.8
9.3

3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,193
2,269
2,208
2,295
2,305
2,373
2,367
2,334
2,349
2,381
2,400
2,442
2,470
2,492
2,602

460
583
438
377
396
378
328
310
330
331
366
348
367
359
357
347
360
351
357
354
371
393

3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,248
2,324
1,863
1,912
2,146
2,518
3,059
2,992
2,843
2,526
2,268
2,213
2,441
2,293

Source: Department of Lubor (Bureau of Labor Statistics und Employment and Training Adminis-

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey fell 101,000 in September.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILLIONS Of PERSONS*

110

100

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

90

80
SERVICE-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

70

18
60
16
50

-MANUFACTURING.

20

\

40

iimlin

18

6

GOODS-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

30

\

20
1986

1987

-CONSTRUCTION

u.

1 11
1988

1989

1986

1990

1987

1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers;

I enod

. i
Total
nonagricultural
employment

struction

Total

Total

Durable
goo s

Nondurable
goods

12,085

8,085
7,765
7,726
7,899
7,796
7,'762
7,858
7,969
8,004

65 659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74^967
77,492

91,156
89',566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,536
108J413

25,497
23',813
23,334
24J727
24,859
24^558
24,708
25,173
25',326

4,188
3' 905
3,948
4',383
4,673
4^816
4,967
5,110
5',200

20,170
18,781
18,434
19',378
19,260
19,024
19,350
19,426

10,708
11 ',479
11,463
11, '203
11,166
11,381
11 '42 2

1989:

Sept....
Oct
Nov....
Dec

108,868
108,980
109,245
109,383

25,304
25,283
25,280
25,218

5,225
5,239
5,258
5,216

19,370
19,334
19,306
19,284

11,369
11,337
11,314
11,296

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May....
June...
July r..
Aug '..
Sept".

109,654
109,958
110,122
110,177
110,617
110,829
110,740
110,657
110,556

25,188
25,339
25,259
25,180
25,191
25,162
25,105
25,013
24,929

5,294
5,368
5,313
5,256
5,286
5,270
5,229
5,194
5,174

19,171
19,244
19,217
19,190
19,167
19,148
19,131
19,083
19,017

11,192
11,278
11,261
11,229
11,217
11,201
11,179
11,130
11,072

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

trade

5,376
5,296
5,286
5,514
5,736
5,714
5,865
6,055
6,271

15,172

80 363
83,087

5,165
5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,255
5,372
5,527
5,648

8,001
7,997
7,992
7,988

83,564
83,697
83,965
84,165

5,656
5,671
5,693
5,776

7,979
7,966
7,956
7,961
7,950
7,947
7,952
7,953
7,945

84,466
84,619
84,863
84,997
85,426
85,667
85,635
85,644
85,627

5,790
5,804
5,808
5,809
5,833
5,846
5,841
5,845
5,859

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagriculturai employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad




seasonally adjusted]
Service-producing industries

Manufacturing

1981
1982
1983 .
1984
1985 .
1986
1987..
1988
1989....

14

1

Goods-producing industries

Total 2

1990

1989

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Government
Services
Total

Federal

16,031
15',837
15,869
16',024
16,394
16^693
17,010
17,386
17',769

2,772
2 ',7 39
2,774
2',807
2,875
2^899
2,943
2,971
2',988

15,595
ie',526
17,336

5,298
5', 341
5,468
5', 689
5,955

18,462
19,077
19*580

6,547
6,649
6,724

18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
21,999
23,053
24,235
25^669
27,096

6,303
6,313
6,335
6,344

19,634
19,665
19,714
19,710

6,753
6,756
6,774
6,785

27,335
27,408
27,548
27,623

17,883
17,884
17,901
17,927

2,992
2,986
2,982
2,977

6,356
6,357
6,361
6,363
6,369
6,383
6,374
6,375
6,374

19,807
19,758
19,764
19,778
19,795
19,822
19,851
19,838
19,828

6,794
6,817
6,821
6,823
6,838
6,844
6,842
6,850
6,843

27,721
27,842
27,950
27,969
28,094
28,225
28,287
28,386
28,407

17,998
18,041
18,159
18,255
18,497
18,547
18,440
18,350
18,316

3,000
3,005
3,089
3,151
3,346
3,338
3,164
3,049
3,010

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports irom employing
•establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or n on supervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Total
private
nonagricultural 1

Period

Total

Current dollars

Total private
nonagricultural 1

Manufacturing
Total
private
nonagrieultural 1

Overtime

Manufacturing

Current
dollars

1985
dollars z

Manufacturing

Retail
trade

Construc-

Percent change from a
vear earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars

1982

dollars

35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.6

39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.0

2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.8

$7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.28
9.66

$7.99
8.49
8.83
8.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.19
10.49

$255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.02
334.24

$270.63
267.26
272.52
274.73
271.16
271.94
269.16
266.79
264.22

$318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.81
430.09

$399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
495.73
512.41

$157.99
163.83
171.13
174.47
174.81
175.80
178.80
183.62
188.72

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.0
3.8

-1.5
-1.2
2.0
.8
-1.3
.3
-1.0
-.9
-1.0

1989- Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

34.6
34.6
34 5
34.4

40.9
40.8
40.7
40.6

3.8
3.7
3.7
3.7

9.73
9.78
9.78
9.83

10.55
10.57
10.58
10.62

336.66
338.39
337.41
338.15

264.25
264.57
262.99
262.54

431.50
431.26
430.61
431.17

515.28
519.90
524.54
516.00

189.87
190.74
190.37
191.23

4.0
3.6
3.5
3.5

— .3
-.8
-1.0
-1.0

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar

34.4
34.6
34.6
34.5
34.5
34.7
34.5
34.5
34.7

40.7
40.8
40.8
40.7
40.9
41.0
40.8
41.0
41.0

3.6
3.6
3.7
3.5
3.8
3.8
r
3.7
3.8
3.7

9.82
9.88
9.93
9.96
9.98
10.03
10.07
10.08
10.14

10.57
10.67
10.73
10.75
10.81
10.86
10.89
10.90
10.93

337.81
341.85
343.58
343.62
344.31
348.04
347.42
347.76
351.86

259.45
261.35
261.48
261.31
261.63
262.87
261.61
259.72
260.64

430.20
435.34
437.78
437.53
442.13
445.26
445.40
446.90
448.13

523.03
527.48
523.18
508.03
520.98
531.35
516.00
526.40
541.80

192.38
193.34
195.17
195.46
196.04
196.62
196.23
195.73
197.97

2.7
3.9
3.7
2.8
4.0
4.5
3.4
3.8
4.4

-2.4
-1.2
-1.5
-1.6
-.1
-.0
-1.0
-1.7
-1.5

1981
1982

....

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1980

..

May

July
Sept "

1
Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
2
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1982=100 base).

3

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1989 = 100)

12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Period

1981- Dec
1982: Dec

19831984:
1985198619871988:
1989:
1988-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Mar

Sept
Dec
1989- Mar
Sept
Dec
1990- Mar
Sept

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Benefits '

71.2
75.8
80.1
84.0
87.3
90 1
93.1
97.6
102.3
94.5
95.7
96.6
97.6
98.8
100.0
101.2
102.3
103.9
105.2
106.2

73.0
77.6
81.4
84.8
88.3
91.1
94.1
98.0
102.0
95.0
96.1
97.0
98.0
99.0
100.0
101.2
102.0
103.2
104.5
105.4

66.6
71.4
76.7
81.7
84.6
87.5
90.5
96.7
102.6
93.4
94.7
95.7
96.7
98.4
100.0
101.4
102.6
105.5
106.9
108.3

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.1
1.4
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
1.2
3.2
1.4
1.1
1.0

9.9
6.5
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.8
4.8
3.8
4.5
4.4
4.8

8.8
6.3
4.9
4.2
4.1
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
3.3
3.8
3.7
4.1

1.0
1.0
1.2
.8

1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2

4.6
4.5
4.8
4.8

4.2
4.1
4.3
4.1

1.2
1.3
.9

2.8
1.3
1.3

5.2
5.2
4.9

4.2
4.5
4.2

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
.6
.7
.6
1.0
1.1
1.5
1.3
.9
1.0

1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.6
.6
1.0
.8
1.0
1.2
.9
1.0

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.6
1.3
1.0

Benefits *

Benefits '

12.1
7.2
7.4
6.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
6.9
6.1
5.9
6.4
6.8
6.9
5.4
5.6
6.0
6.1
7.2
6.9
6.8

Data exehide farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15
35-538 - 90 - 2



PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '
Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of all
persons 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1982 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.2
100.7
100.0
102.4
105.0

99.9
100.9
100.0
103.0
105.1

101.1
103.2
100.0
104.2
113.0

101.7
103.4
100.0
105.0
113.7

101.9
102.5
100.0
101.8
107.6

101.8
102.5
100.0
102.0
108.1

85.1
93.0
100.0
103.8
108.1

85.1
93.1
100.0
104.0
108.1

99.7
98.8
100.0
100.6
100.4

99.6
98.9
100.0
100.7
100.4

85.8
92.4
100.0
101.4
103.0

85.2
92.3
100.0
101.0
102.8

86.2
94.4
100.0
103.3
106.8

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.5
106.6

1985

107.1
109.5
110.7
113.0
112.8

106.5
108.6
109.8
112.3
111.9

117.7
121.3
126.4
133.0
135.8

118.1
121.6
126.8
134.0
136.7

109.9
110.8
114.1
117.7
120.4

110.9
111.9
115.4
119.3
122.2

112.8
118.6
123.1
129.1
133.1

112.5
118.2
122.5
128.3
132.1

101.2
104.4
104.6
105.3
103.5

100.9
104.1
104.1
104.7
102.8

105.4
108.4
111.2
114.3
118.0

105.6
108.8
111.6
114.3
118.1

109.5
111.8
114.8
118.2
122.8

109.8
112.3
115.3
118.4
123.0

IV
I
II'

100.6
103.3
105.4
108.1
109.5
112.0
113.1
112.8
113.5
113.1
113.3
113.3
112.8
112.3
111.9
112.3

100.5
103.9
105.5
107.2
108.5
110.9
112.1
111.9
112.7
112.8
112.4
112.2
112.0
111.4
110.8
111.2

99.5
107.6
114.5
119.3
122.2
129.4
131.2
132.6
133.8
134.5
135.6
135.9
136.1
135.5
136.0
136.4

99.3
108.7
115.1
119.6
122.4
129.7
131.6
133.4
134.8
136.0
136.4
136.8
137.1
136.3
136.8
137.3

98.9
104.2
108.6
110.4
111.6
115.5
115.9
117.6
117.9
118.8
119.7
120.0
120.6
120.7
121.5
121.4

98.9
104.7
109.1
111.6
112.8
116.9
117.4
119.2
119.6
120.5
121.4
121.9
122.4
122.4
123.5
123.5

102.1
105.4
109.7
115.3
120.9
125.6
126.9
128.6
130.3
131.5
132.2
133.0
133.4
134.3
135.5
137.5

102.2
105.3
109.7
114.7
120.4
124.9
126.2
127.7
129.4
130.8
131.4
131.9
132.5
133.4
134.4
136.3

100.6
100.6
100.5
102.1
105.6
105.0
105.3
105.5
105.6
105.5
104.6
103.7
103.3
103.0
101.9
102.5

100.7
100.5
100.5
101.6
105.2
104.4
104.7
104.8
104.9
104.9
104.0
102.9
102.6
102.3
101.1
101.6

101.5
102.0
104.0
106.7
110.4
112.1
112.2
114.0
114.8
116.3
116.7
117.4
118.2
119.6
121.1
122.4

101.7
101.3
104.0
107.1
111.0
112.6
112.6
114.1
114.8
115.9
116.9
117.5
118.3
119.8
121.3
122.6

101.4
104.8
107.9
110.5
112.8
115.7
116.2
117.5
118.9
120.3
121.2
122.5
123.3
124.3
125.8
127.1

101.5
104.7
107.9
111.0
113.4
116.2
116.6
117.8
118.8
120.5
121.4
122.7
123.5
124.7
125.8
127.3

-0.4
1.1
-.9
3.0
2.1
1.3
2.0
1.1
2.2
3

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I ...
II
Ill
IV
I
II
Ill
IV
I
II*

-0.3
1.5
— .1
2.4
2.6
2.0
2.2
1.2
2.0
-.2
2.6
3.3
1.5
1.4
.8
2.7
4.1
-1.2
2.5
-1.2
.5
-.0
-1.5
-2.0
-1.5
1.7

11
2.1
3 I
4.2
8.4
4.2
3.1
4.1
5.3
2.1
-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6
4.0
7.2
5.7
4.6
3.5
2.0
3.5
.9
.6
-1.8
1.4
1.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3
3.9
3.0
4.2
5.7
2.0
-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5
3.7
6.9
5.9
5.6
4.1
3.6
1.2
1.3
.6
-2.1
1.4
1.5

1986
1987
1988
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988-

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I

n
m

IV
1989: I

n ..
m

1990:

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates
1980.
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988.
1989
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

1989:

1990:
1

2.0
1.6
.9
.7
.3
2.2
4.2
-.6
2.8
.5
-1.7
-.5
-.8
2.2

-1.9
1.5

-0.7

-0.8
.6

.6

-2.4
1.8
5.7
2.2
.8
2.9
3.2
2.3
-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.2
3.2
4.4
1.5
5.9
1.0
3.3
3.0
.9
2.1
.1
2.9
-.3

-2.4
2.0
6.0
2.6
1.0
3.1
3.4
2.4
-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.9
3.4
4.5
1.7
6.2
1.3
3.1
3.0
1.7
1.5
.1
3.4
0

Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for sociai insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.
2

16



10.5
9.3
1.5
3.8
4.1
4.4
5.1
3.8
4.9
3.0
4.1
5.7
3.6
6.2
5.2
7.0
4.4
5.2
5.6
3.8
2.0
2.4
1.3
2.6
3.8
6.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9
4.1
5.0
3.6
4.8
3.0
4.6
4.4
3.6
5.7
5.1
6.8
4.3
5.0
5.3
4.2
2.0
1.5
1.8
2.7
3.2
5.8

-2.6
9
1.2
.6
-.2
.8
3.2
.1
.7
17
2.8
1.6
.1
2.0
2.3
3.1
1.0
.7
.6
-.5
-3.3
-3.4
-1.5
— 1.4
-4.0
2.4

-2.6
-.7
1.1
.7
— .4
.5
3.1
0
.6
-1.8
3.3
.3
.1
1.5
2.2
2.9
.8
.6
.4
— .1
-3.3
— 4.2
-1.0
-1.3
-4.5
2.0

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5
2.3
2.8
2.6
2.8
3.2
1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.2
.3
6.5
3.1
5.1
1.5
2.5
2.8
4.6
5.3
4.4

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8
2.8
3.0
2.5
2.5
3.3
2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0
4.8
4.4
.1
5.6
2.5
3.6
3.8
2.0
2.7
5.1
5.2
4.3

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3
2.5
2.1
2.7
3.0
3.9
2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6
.9
1.2
1.7
4.8
4.7
4.9
3.1
4.3
2.5
3.5
4.6
4.5

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.7
2.7
3.9
3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
4.1
3.4
5.9
2.8
4.4
2.6
3.9
3.8
4.6

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the
work site rather than hours paid.
'Data do not reflect GNP revisions of September 25, 1990.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose in September and capacity utilization was unchanged.
INDE X, 1987=1 00' (RATIO SCALE)
115
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
110
_^
y

105

INDE X, 1987=1 00' (RATIO SCALE)
130
FINAL PRODUCTS

•"

xv

P

^s-*

100

95 ^

1 10

90

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

115

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIOhJ^_^_^

110

DURABLE

105

\£l\

100

105

^—

100

'- ,-*,---

s^ \
-"

JllllllUIi

95

\' \

95

IIM1I

85
'^
IIIIlllllllllllllllllll Illllllllll

Illllllllll

|m||

AND MINING PRODI

115
110

UTILITIES

105 \

\

100

,

,'

,V^^^^-~^- \y
*

/^S^

\ r"

84

^^\-

82

Illllllllll
1986

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1987

SEASONALLY ADJt STED
OURCE: BOARD O GOVERNORS OF

s

1988

1.

s'\

\

\

-

'•s

DEFENSE
AND SPACE
EQUIPMENT
Illllllllll IIIIlllllllllllllllllll

~<'—"""
\

80

P^

90

.'—*''

Illllllllll

88 - CAPACII"Y UTILIZAT ON RATE
MDIJSTRY)
86 - (TOTAL 1

MINING

95

y „

PERC ENT*

.

1

•^.-•~^'

—^.
'•'^J

"W^

90

— NONDUR ABLt

90

BUSINESS
/Y
*
EQUIPMENT^^-' CONSUMER
GOODS

115

^^^

r^~
'

Illllllllll

1989

1990

v~*

^-/

V

78

iniiliifii

>—

^-/ '

76 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986

1987

1989

1988

HE FEDERAL RESER VE SYSTEM

Illllllllll
1990

COUNCIL OF ECC NOMIC

ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Total
industrial
production
Period
Index,
1987 = 100

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

1986
1987
1988
1989
1989:

Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan . ...
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
July r ....

Aue r .

Sept"
1

Output us percent of capacity.




Capacity utilization
rate, percent *

Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100
Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

-1.9
1.9
— 4.4
3.7
9.3
1.7
1.0
4.9
5.4
2.6

Mining
Durable

Total

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

78.8
80.3
76.6
80.9
89.3
91.6
94.3
100.0
105.8
108.9

75.7
77.4
72.7
76.8
88.4
91.8
93.9
100.0
107.6
110.9

83.1
84.5
82.5
87.0
90.8
91.5
94.9
100.0
103.6
106.4

110.0
114.3
109.3
104.8
111.9
109.0
101.0
100.0
101.8
100.5

95.9
94.3
91.8
93.6
97.0
99.5
96.3
100.0
104.4
107.1

82.1
80.9
75.0
75.8
81.1
80.3
79.2
81.4
84.0
84.2

80.2
78.8
72.8
74.9
80.4
79.5
79.0
81.4
83.9
83.9

108,2
107.7
108.1
108.6

1.9
1.1
1.1
1.1

109.1
108.4
108.9
108.8

111.5
109.4
110.1
110.4

106.0
107.2
107.3
106.7

101.6
100.7
101.2
100.1

105.9
107.4
108.3
116.1

83.9
83.3
83.5
83.7

83.6
82.9
83.0
82.8

107.5
108.5
108.9
108.8
109.4
110.1
110.3
110.4
110.7

-.2
.8
1.1
2
1.0
1.6
2.3
2.0
2.2

108.1
109.6
109.8
109.5
110.3
110.8
111.0
111.2
111.4

108.6
110.7
111.9
111.1
112.6
113.4
113.2
113.6
113.8

107.5
108.3
107.2
107.5
107.4
107.6
108.1
108.1
108.3

101.7
101.0
101.1
102.9
102.2
102.2
103.5
101.8
102.1

106.8
104.0
106.2
106.7
107.1
109.7
109.4
110.8
111.8

82.7
83.2
83.4
83.1
83.4
83.7
83.7
83.6
83.6

82.0
83.0
82.9
82.5
82.8
83.0
82.9
82.8
82.8

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Materials

Products
Intermediate products

Final products
Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

l

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

80.0
82.1
80.8
83.0
91.0
94.2
95.7
100.0
105.6
109.1

85.3
85.8
84.5
88.8
92.8
93.7
96.8
100.0
104.0
106.7

73.5
74.0
68.7
79.7
91.0
91.6
94.5
100.0
104.9
107.9

89.1
89.6
89.7
91.9
93.4
94.4
97.6
100.0
103.7
106.4

74.6
78.2
77.0
76.8
89.2
94.8
94.5
100.0
107.6
112.3

73.5
76.1
72.9
71.9
85.4
91.1
93.2
100.0
111.8
119.1

57.4
58.5
65.7
71.8
78.9
89.4
96.0
100.0
98.0
97.4

77.0
77.0
75.1
80.3
86.2
88.3
92.0
100.0
104.4
106.8

80.8
78.4
72.2
80.2
86.2
89.1
93.8
100.0
104.4
106.1

74.2
75.7
77.0
80.3
86.2
87.7
90.7
100.0
104.4
107.3

91.3
92.8
85.1
88.3
96.6
96.6
95.9
100.0
105.6
107.4

106.2
104.3
100.7
98.9
103.8
103.4
99.4
100.0
101.8
101.4

1989- Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

109.6
108.5
109.4
110.3

106.3
107.3
107.4
108.3

107.6
106.8
105.7
106.8

106.0
107.4
107.8
108.7

113.8
110.1
112.0
112.9

120.7
116.0
118.7
119.9

98.9
96.6
96.7
96.6

106.3
106.9
107.3
107.9

105.2
106.3
107.0
107.4

107.0
107.3
107.5
108.2

107.4
107.1
107.0
106.9

101.6
101.3
101.9
102.7

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar

108.5
109.7
110.7
110.4
111.2
111.7
111 5
111.7
112.6

106.0
107.0
107.5
107.2
107.4
107.8
107.3
107.8
109.1

99.4
106.2
-110.8
107.3
109.3
112.1
108.5
108.0
111.5

107.8
107.2
106.6
107.1
106.9
106.6
107.0
107.7
108.5

111.8
113.3
114.9
114.7
116.2
116.8
116.9
116.7
117.1

118.0
120.1
122.2
121.6
123.5
124.4
124.6
124.8
125.6

97.5
97.6
97.5
97.3
97.6
97.6
97.9
97.4
97.0

108.0
108.4
108.2
108.0
108.3
108.3
108.5
108.4
107.9

107.9
108.2
107.3
106.4
105.5
106.0
106.4
105.9
104.9

108.0
108.5
108.9
109.1
110.2
109.8
110.0
110.1
110.0

106.2
107.1
107.1
107.3
107.7
108.8
109.5
109.7
109.4

101.2
101.7
102.0
101.8
101.1
102.1
102.9
102.5
103.2

Mav

July '
Sept ".. .
1

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1987 — 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals
Period
Total

Iron
and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber and
products

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
arid
products

Foods

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

110.8
117.5
83.2
91.0
102.4
101.8
93.8
100.0
110.3
109.2

126.0
135.1
86.2
96.1
105.9
104.5
90.8
100.0
113.8
109.3

92.5
91.1
83.2
85.5
93.3
94.5
93.8
100.0
106.2
107.2

60.6
65.9
63.9
64.3
80.8
86.8
90.4
100.0
113.8
121.8

73.3
75.4
75.9
80.3
94.1
93.1
94.3
100.0
106.5
109.5

72.3
68.7
64.8
72.7
83.1
91.8
96.9
100.0
105.0
107.2

67.0
64.4
58.8
74.5
90.6
99.0
98.5
100.0
105.5
104.9

76.9
74.7
67.3
79.9
86.0
88.0
95.1
100.0
104.6
103.0

89.2
91.0
90.1
93.8
95.7
92.6
96.3
100.0
102.2
104.3

70.3
72.1
75.2
79.0
84.5
87.6
90.7
100.0
103.6
108.5

87.8
89.2
81.8
87.5
91.4
91.4
94.6
100.0
105.4
108.5

84.6
86.5
87.7
90.1
92.1
94.9
97.4
100.0
102.8
105.5

1989: Sept
Oct

109.9
108.6
104.8
102.6

109.7
109.2
104.1
100.3

106.0
105.9
106.9
106.3

123.4
119.0
122.9
123.8

110.8
110.2
110.1
110.1

108.0
102.1
102.8
104.4

103.2
99.7
99.0
98.7

102.6
103.2
104.8
106.4

104.5
103.9
103.7
102.6

109.4
109.3
109.6
109.6

107.5
109.4
109.8
107.6

105.4
106.8
107.4
108.0

105.0
107.9
105.4
106.4
106.2
109.5
110.2
114.3
112.5

104.6
110.6
106.1
106.7
105.5
110.3
110.6
117.6
115.3

105.1
105.6
105.5
105.0
107.1
106.7
107.9
108.2
107.3

123.7
124.2
125.2
125.7
126.9
127.5
128.3
129.2
128.6

110.1
111.0
112.3
111.3
112.4
112.8
112.1
112.4
112.5

94.7
103.5
107.9
105.1
109.0
111.0
108.3
107.6
110.7

76.8
94.1
103.5
95.8
104.0
108.0
102.7
100.9
108.5

106.0
104.3
105.0
103.3
101.7
102.0
102.1
101.5
99.4

102.4
102.1
99.8
98.7
99.2
99.3
99.3
99.3
99.0

110.7
112.1
111.4
112.0
112.8
112.0
111.8
111.6
111.5

109.9
110.5
109.5
110.3
109.2
1 10.3
110.5
111.2
112.0

106.8
107.4
107.1
107.0
106.8
106.1
106.4
107.0
107.8

Nov

Dec

1990- Jan
Feb
Apr
Mav

July '
Sept ''
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18



NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Federal,
State, and
local

Residential
Commercial
Total

New housing
units

Total '

and

Other

Total value
index

(1982 = 100)

industrial 2

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
256.5
267.7
255.7
290.9
340.7
368.7
398.2
410.2
422.1
432.1

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

192.8
203.0
192.6
227.5
270.5
290.9
313.6
319.6
327.1
333.5

46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8
85.5

69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9
139.2

100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1
196.6

45.7
48.7
49.2
48.1
48.0
49.7
48.5
48.5
49.2
51.5

97
100
100
124
136
150
159
165
166
171

63.6
64.7
63.1
63.5
70.2
77.8
84.6
90.6
95.0
98.6

433.9
433.4
429.3
433.4
432.0
446.0
455.6
457.3
444.7
443.8
441.1
442.4
442.5

Dec
1990' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr '
May '

July r
Aue p
1
2
s

335.0
332.1
332.1
329.8
325.0
338.1
343.1
347.4
338.8
334.0
329.6
333.9
327.4

195.6
193.0
192.1
190.9
189.6
200.1
203.0
206.9
200.2
196.1
189.5
189.1
186.9

690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
973
926

Annual rates

Annual rates
1989- Aug
Sept
Oct

904
919

87.3
87.2
88.6
86.8
83.3
85.0
88.2
87.2
85.6
84.5
85.8
89.7
84.9

138.2
135.8
134.8
135.2
135.3
140.0
144.6
145.3
140.0
136.6
130.5
129.3
127.6

52.1
51.9
51.4
52.2
52.0
52.9
51.9
53.3
53.0
53.4
54.3
55.1
55.6

174
186
183
169
166
161
155
161
147
160
159
152
146
147

99.0
101.3
97.1
103.5
107.0
107.9
112.5
109.9
106.0
109.8
111.5
108.5
115.1

805
1,008
892
812
805
883
798
828
745
802
693
618
638
740

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.
Includes hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge sen.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units

Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1980....
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985...
1986
1987
1988
1989

...

1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1
1,376.1

1 unit

852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4
1,081.3
1,003.3

2-4 units

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8
55.2

5 or more units

330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0
317.6

Units
authorized

1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6
1,338.4

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1

1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8
1,422.8

545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676
650

337
275
253
301
353
346
357
366
367
362

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.0

5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7
7.1

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
Sept
Nov
Dec

Mar
Apr
May

July r .
Aug T
Sept *

.

1,325
1,263
1,423
1,347
1,273

987
969
1,023
1,010
931

54
56
60
47
53

284
238
340
290
289

1,334
1,310
1,362
1,364
1,416

1,437
1,366
1,317
1,486
1,302

719
638
636
687
633

364
364
363
363
362

1,568
1,488
1,307
1,216
1,206
1,189
1,153
1,142
1,135

1,099
1,154
996
898
897
889
875
841
887

53
42
35
53
36
42
29
31
36

416
292
276
265
273
258
249
270
222

1,739
1,297
1,232
1,108
1,065
1,108
1,082
1,050
992

1,443
1,351
1,378
1,295
1,363
' 1,295
1,280
1,262

613
606
558
533
536
r
550
545
535
503

365
366
363
363
r
360
r
354
350
345
337

1
Seasonally adjusted.
2
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with
earlier data.




7.6
7.1

7.5
7.0
7.2

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In August, manufacturing and trade sales rose 2.1 percent and inventories rose $4.7 billion. In September,
according to advance data, retail sales rose 1.1 percent, following a decline of 0.4 percent in August.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
240
220

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" (RATIO SCALE)

800

' * •

200

r^^~
\ 1

700

RETAIL INVENTORIES

MANUFACTURING AND
TRADE INVENTORIES

180

-

600

160

-

>,--'--•

500

400

140

.*• ** - *""

\
RETAIL SALES

-^f — '*-'

/-"

'"\
M/kNUFACTUR NG
Ah•fl) TRADE SAiLES

120

-

100
Illllllllll Illllllllll

-

-

RATIO*

300

1.40
1.20
200

Minium iimlmii umlimi
1987

1986

1988

Illllllllll
1989

miilnm

1,00
1990

1986

1990

•SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

Manufacturing and
trade 1

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

Sales

Inventories a

Inventories 3

Sales 2

Period
2

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Retail

Sales

2

Inventories 3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade:

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

61,101
64,939
69,377
73,075
75,738
80,457
85,220
90,678

134,493
147,712
167,748
181,773
186,587
208,112
219,791
235,514

61,469
69,025
79,250
88,464
90,197
105,738
112,254
117,169

73,024
78,687
88,498
93,309
96,390
102,374
107,537
118,345

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.56
1.55
1.51
1.49
1.50

Nondurable goods
stores

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

1987
1988
1989
1989: Aug '
Sept
Oct

Nov
Dec
1990- Jan
Feb

Mar

July r
Aug pp ..
Sept
1
z
3

r

348,754
369,136
408,578
419,283
425,371
451,933
490,309
521,934

574,516
591,265
646,072
657,753
657,482
704,515
754,267
795,415

96,290
100,324
113,393
114,626
116,151
124,254
135,176
145,683

128,196
130,906
143,557
148,484
154,713
165,271
180,313
188,819

531,579
527,595
525,160
527,948
526,391

791,363
792,119
794,757
798,104
795,415

146,698
146,981
147,921
148,782
149,584

185,944
185,098
188,103
189,057
188,819

528,549
535,996
538,984
533,603
538,946
542,441
540,368
551,645

797,202
794,016
793,669
796,050
800,399
796,469
802,151
806,850

151,968
151,620
152,383
151,458
152,302
153,549
152,333
156,356

189,375
188,847
189,361
190,903
193,201
191,259
192,466
193,005

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period.

20



89,114
97,570
107,316
114,642
120,860
128,509
137,500
144,471

r

146,731
147,052
145,244
146,340
145,804

149,877
149,904
149,302
147,886
147,781
149,432
150,201
r
149,643
151,242

28,013
32,631
37,938
41,567
45,121
48,051
52,281
53,794
r

r

91,125
91,742
91,617
92,572
93,121

233,930
236,131
234,942
236,234
235,514

119,251
121,048
118,450
118,667
117,169

114,679
115,083
116,492
117,567
118,345

1.49
1.50
1.51
1.51
1.51

56,217
55,037
54,663
53,620
53,525
53,841
54,200
r
52,839
53,574

93,660
94,867
94,639
94,266
94,256
95,591
96,001
T
96,804
97,668

233,701
232,000
232,562
232,847
234,814
234,517
236,400
239,547

114,194
113,552
113,951
113,730
114,870
115,128
116,207
119,355

119,507
118,448
118,611
119,117
119,944
119,389
120,193
120,192

1.51
1.48
1.47
1.49
1.49
1.47
1.48
1.46

55,606
55,310
53,627
53,768
52,683

4

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.52
1.56
1.55
1.55
1.60
r

1.59
l,61
1.62
1.61
1.62
1.56
1.55
1.56
1.57
1.59
1.57
1.57
1.60

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In September, manufacturers' shipments fell, while inventories and new and unfilled orders rose.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
280
SHIPMENTS
240

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

440 —INVENTORIES.
360

200
160

280

DURABLE GOODS

-V

200

120

DURABLE GOODS
160

. NONDURABLE GOODS .

80

120

\

60

NONDURABLE GOODS

Illllllllll

80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
280
NEW ORDERS
240
200 --

~-^ s^

60
_

\
TOTAL

160

DURAB E GOODS

V - -'•_^*— '—.•'""<

120
"—-... **..**"•

/Ww-^.

^_— ».-*" -—1~/v
'
_ -- —

RATIO*
2.20
INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO
2.00
1.80

~"\'

Kint'^DURABLE Gnnns

80

Illllllllll

ill

^-^—r-^C^

f\^

1.60

X/^.

V

S****^ ^f^

1.40 ^

60
Illilllllll

Illllllllll

1986

1987

Illllllllll
1988

Illllllllll

Illlllillll

1989

1990

1.20

iiiiilinii iiiiiliim n i i i h " !| IB
1986

1987

•SEASONAIIY ADJUSTED

u " ni M " '

II 1 1 I 1 i i 1

1989

1988

1990

COUNCIL OF cCCNC.WC ADViSERE

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturers' shipments

1

Manufacturers' inventories

Manufacturers' new orders 1

2

Durable goods
Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
122,668
128,347
124,393
121,840
123,209
121,998
116,716
123,224
125,089
122,031
126,507
127,283
125,090
r
128, 619
124,528

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
109,112

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
371,082

200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
246,222

109,803
109,169
110,155
109,617
109,005

371,489
370,890
371,712
372,813
371,082
374,126
373,169
371,746
372,300
372,384
370,693
373,285
374,298
376,530

246,378
245,621
246,427
247,610
246,222

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
124,860
125,111
125,269
125,285
125,203
124,860

248,273
247,095
245,435
246,609
246,530
244,902
246,456
246,653
246,937

125,853
126,074
126,311
125,691
125,854
125,791
126,829
127,645
129,593

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
38,821
37,130
35,341
35,975
38,901
44,389
38,347
36,094
40,889
36,573
35,928
36,192
39,840
r
35,871
38,367

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
109,057

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989....
1989: Aug
Sept
Oct...
Nov
Dec
1990: Jan
Feb
Mar...
May
June
Julv r
Aug"
Sept"
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
231,780
238,150
233,562
231,995
232,826
231,003
226,704
234,472
237,299
234,259
238,863
239,460
237,834
245,646
243,844

109,988
111,248
112,210
112,228
112,356
112,177
112,744
117,027
119,316

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments arc the same as sales.
End of period.




3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
235,614
236,793
234,354
234,067
239,710
240,752
227,572
231,759
241,071
236,026
241,102
236,578
240,238
244,355
244,514

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
126,557
126,766
125,227
124,262
130,175
131,719
117,909
120,782
128,872
123,609
128,737
124,692
128,094
r
126,979
125,210

110,027
109,127
109,805
109,535
109,033
109,663
110,977
112,199
112,417
112,365
111,886
112,144
117,376
119,304

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
514,499
495,002
495,794
497,866
504,750
514,499
515,367
512,654
516,426
518,193
520,432
517,550
519,954
518,663
519,333

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.58
1.56
1.59
1.60
1.60
1.61
1.65
1.59
1.57
1.59
1.56
1.55
1.57
1.52
1.54

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In September, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 1.6 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods
fell 0.9 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 3.3 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.8
percent.
INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

no

100

100

CONSUMER GOODS
EXCLUDING FOODS

90

90
1982

1983

1989

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOUDCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[1382=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

1981
1982
1983.
1984
1985.
1986
1987 .
1988
1989.
1989:

1990:

Sept
Oct

Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

May r
June
July

Aug
Sept
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
113.6
114.1
114.7
114.8
115.5
117.7
117.7
117.5
117.3
117.4
117.6
117.5
119.0
120.9

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
118.7
118.1
119.7
120.7
121.6
124.4
125.3
124.7
123.6
124.0
123.8
123.8
124.8
123.7

intermediate materials for food mamifiicUiring and feed

22



Total
finished
consumer
goods

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
103.8
104.5
105.1
104.4
105.3
109.7
108.5
107.9
107.9
107.9
107.9
107.4
110.5
115.2

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
118.8
120.1
120.0
120.4
120.7
120.9
121.4
121.9
122.0
122.1
122.4
122.8
123.2
124.2

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
112.1
112.5
113.3
113.3
114.1
117.0
116.8
116.4
116.1
116.2
116.3
116.1
118.0
120.1

Total
Total

1980

Nondurable

Capital
equipment

Consumer goods

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
111.8
112.8
113.1
112.9
113.5
115.6
115.2
115.2
115.2
115.3
115.6
115.4
117.1
119.9

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
108.9
109.7
110.1
109.7
110.4
113.4
112.7
112.4
112.3
112.4
112.7
112.4
114.6
118.4

Durable

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
117.6
118.7
118.6
118.7
119.2
118.6
119.0
119.4
119.3
119.5
120.4
120.6
120.8
122.0

Crude materials

Total

Foods
and
feeds '

Other

Total

Foodstuffs
and
feedstuffs

Other

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
112.0
112.2
112.4
112.2
112.2
113.6
112.7
112.8
112.9
113.0
112.6
112.6
114.1
116.2

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5
113.8
112.7
112.5
113.4
113.1
113.3
112.3
112.8
114.0
115.4
114.1
114.7
114.6
112.9

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
111.9
112.2
112.4
112.1
112.1
113.6
112.8
112.8
112.8
112.8
112.5
112.4
114.1
116.3

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
103.1
102.3
102.6
103.2
104.7
107.0
107.3
105.9
103.1
103.0
100.1
100.7
110.1
115.2

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1
111.2
109.0
109.0
111.4
113.9
114.7
115.4
116.4
115.7
112.9
112.9
114.0
113.0
111.0

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5
93.4
93.6
94.1
93.5
94.4
97.5
97.5
94.8
90.9
92.4
87.9
88.1
103.4
112.4

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In September, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.8

percent,

seasonally adjusted and not

seasonally adjusted. The index was 6.2 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SC ALE)
140

INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)
140
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

S

130

^-^

120
CONSUMER PRICES— ALL ITEMS

130

120

•^
110

110
^~\-^

100

100
r^-"

^~~

90

90

80

80

70

11! Illll 1 II
1982

1983

1984

1985

Minium

IIMlllllll IIMlllllll
1987
1988

1986

I I M l l l l l l l 70

1989

££ NOTE ON TABLE 8 ELOW
sOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF LABOR

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items '

Transportation

Housing

All

Shelter

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Period

Hel. imp. 3
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987..

..

1988
1989
1989:
Sept

Oct

Nov
Dec
1990:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr . .
May
June
July

Aug
Sept




Seasonally
adjusted

Food
Total '
Total

Fuel

Apparel and
upkeep

Medi-

items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

7.9

19.8

0.2

7.5

6.1

17.1

4.2

3.2

6.2

7.4

48.4

75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4
107.8

90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4
118.6

83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7
114.1

88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2

97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9
88.5

74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6
149.3

86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3
94.3

80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9
127.3

113.9
114.5
114.6
115.0

118.1
118.8
119.8
120.8

87.1
88.4
86.8
86.3

151.9
153.0
154.2
155.1

93.2
94.1
93.8
94.1

128.3
128.8
129.3
129.7

117.4

121.6
121.4
121.2
120.9
120.7
120.5
120.1
120.3
120.1

93.4
93.6
92.2
92.5
91.2
93.2
92.8
100.3
109.8

156.1
1ST .3
158.5
159.8
161.0
162.1
163.5
165.0
166.1

98.9
98.2
97.4
97.0
96.3
96.9
96.2
100.3
105.9

130.4
131.5
132.2
132.6
132.9
133.2
133.8
134.3
134.9

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

100.0

16.3

42.0

27. 9

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113 6
118.3
124.0

86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2
125.1

81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5
123.0

81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1
132.8

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133 6
138.9

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131 1
137.3

82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114 7
118.0

and
other
utilities

125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

124.8
125.4
125.8
126.3

126.3
126.8
127.4
128.0

123.7
124.2
124.7
125.2

133.7
134.4
135.0
135.6

138.7
139.8
140.5
141.0

138.7
139.4
140.0
140.6

118.6
118.6
119.3
119.5

108.0
108.1
108.7
109.4

118.6
119.4
119.4
119.0

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2
129.9
130.4
131.6
132.7

127.7
128.3
128.9
129.1
129.3
130.0
130.5
131.5
132.5

130.5
131.1
131.5
131.2
131.2
132.2
132.7
133.1
133.4

126.1
126.3
126.9
127.0
127.2
128.0
128.6
129.5
130.0

136.3
136.6
137.6
137.9
138.2
139.5
140.7
141.7
141.9

142.3
143.4
143.8
143.9

141.1
141.0
142.4
142.8
143.2
144.8
145.7
146.6
146.9

120.4
120.8
121.2
121.2
122.2
121.8
122.1
121.2
124.6

111.6
110.9
111.0
110.5
110.5
110.3
109.4
110.8
112.2

119.0
122.9
124.9
125.0
124.6
124.5
124.2
124.3
125.2

143^9

144.5
146.6
148.1
148.2

Total '

in.7
117.6
117.7
117.5
118.0
118.3
120.4
123.2

New
cars

Motor
fuel

cal
care

Energy2

NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeo\
and therefore art not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES III PRODUCER

FOR

GOODS

[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rale

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Chang*?
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA
7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.2
5.7
5.2

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0
4.9

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

13.4
0.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5
5.2

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6
3.8

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1
5.3

Change, month to month
1989:

Sept

Oct
Nov

Dec
1990:

Jan

Feb
Mar
May '

July
Sept

0.7
.5
.1
.6

-0.3
1.4
.8
.7

1.4
.4
-.4
.6

0.7
— .1
.3
.2

0.4
3.9
5.4
5.0

0.7
5.5
7.6
12.4

-1.8
3.3
5.7
2.6

4.4
3.8
3.7
2.0

3.0
2.8
1.6
2.6

-0.8
2.9
3.6
6.4

4.5
2.0
-.5
.4

4.5
4.5
3.9
3.2

4.6
5.0
4.6
4.9

1.9
0
2
2
.1
.2
— .1
1.3
1.6

2.3
.7
-.5
-.9
.3
-.2
0
.8
-.9

2.7
-.6
-.3
-.1
.1
.3
-.3
2.0
3.3

2
.4
.4
.1
.1
.2
.3
.3
.8

10.9
10.5
7.1
-1.4
— 1.0
.3
.7
5.6
11.7

16.7
16.1
10.6
-2.5
-4.1
-2.9
.6
2.6
-.3

12.5
11.4
7.4
-3.8
— 1.1
1.1
.4
8.1
21.8

3.0
3.4
4.0
3.7
2.3
1.7
2.6
3.7
6.0

7.3
7.9
6.0
4.6
4.6
3.7
-.3
2.2
5.9

11.0
11.8
11.5
6.6
5.5
3.7
-1.0
-.8
-1.6

7.8
8.5
5.0
4.0
5.0
4.2
-1.8
3.4
11.0

3.4
3.6
3.0
3.4
2.8
2.8
3.2
3.0
3.8

5.9
5.1
4.5
3.7
3.1
3.1
3.4
5.1
5.9

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Transportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items 1

Food
Total

l

Total «

Eenters1
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total '

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
4.6

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2
5.6

13.7
10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0
3.9

15.0
9.9

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dee

0.2
.5
.3
.4

0.3
.4
.5
.5

0.2
.4
.4
.4

0.1
.5
.4

Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept

1.1
.5
.5
.2
.2
.5
.4
.8
.8

2.0
.5
.3
-.2
0
.8
.4
.3
.2

.2
.5
.1
.2
.6
.5
.7
.4

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5
4.9

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9
4.5

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7
5.1

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9
3.2

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7
1.0

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
— 5.9
6.1
3.0
4.0

18.8
7.4
6.8
9.4
1.5 -6.5
3.4 -1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8
2.1
21
6.8
2.3

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9
8.5

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5
5.1

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7
4.1

0.7
.7
.8
.6

-0.6
1.0
-.3
.3

0.4
.4
.4
.3

.6
.8
.8
.8
.8
.7
.9
.9
.7

5.1
-.7
-.8
-.4
— .7
.6
-.7
4.3
5.6

.5
.8
.5
.3
2
.2
.5
.4
.4

13 5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1
4.8

Chs nge, month to month
1989:

1990:

-0.3

.4

.8
.5
.4

0.4
.5
.4
.4

0.2
.1
.6
.6

1.5
.7
0
-.3

-0.3
.5
.1
.3

-0.3
.6
.8
.8

.5
.2
.7
.2
2
.9
.9
.7
.1

.9
.8
.3
.1
0
.4
1.5
1.0
.1

.4
— .1
1.0
.3
.3
1.1
.6
.6
.2

2.0
-.6
.1
— .5
0
-.2

0
3.3
1.6
.1
-.3
-.1
— .2
.1
.7

2.1
.3

.7
2
__2
-.2
-.2
-.2
-.3
.2
2

1.3
1.3

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc,—and motor fuel. Motor oil. coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982,

24



.1
9

.4
.3
1.8
2.3
2

1.5
-1.8
-.6
8.2
.2

-1.5
.3
— 1.4
2.2
8.1
9.5

2.9
3.9

8.2
3.8

6.3

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

2.3
2.9
4.2
4.9

3.8
3.4
3.3
3.6

4.3
4.5
4.7
4.6

7.5
8.2
8.5
4.5
3.2
3.5
4.4
7.0
7.9

5.2
6.2
6.7
6.0
5.6
5.9
4.4
5.1
5.7

5.2
5.3
5.2
4.7
4.4
4.7
4.8
5.6
6.2

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices

received

by

October were 2.2

farmers in

October

fell

0.7

percent

from

their

September

level.

Prices

paid

by

farmers in

percent above their July level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)

INDE K, 1977=100(RATIOSCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

''

180

180

— «*

_.'--'

«....

160

'""

160

-V~r

t

^ v.

140

—x.

PRICES PAID

—\ N_

r^

X^

120

140

^—^
^

120

^^

\

\

PRICES RECE IVED

100

100

80

80

mnlmii

11 in hiiii

imilnm

m|||

imilnm

itiiihiiii

mnlmii

ninlnn, niiiiiiin

RATK^

140

RATIO-"

140

-

120
RATIO

100

80

—

_

.^ ^-—^^—4

'

~^—r—

'"•*^_^-

60

iimlimi

1982

BBHt

•

•*—*-=g
mit

iimliim i t m h i m

1983

1985

1984

y RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO NDEX OF PRICES PAIC

f

"

*-»-

80

^

i
minim; imilnm

1987

1986

1988

iimlimi

1989

1 ! M M U II 1 60
1990

.

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates l

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

Production
items

Ratio 2

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
147

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
127
134

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
160

150
159
161
164
162
159
162
169
177

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
167

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
165

92
84
84
87
79
77
78
82
83

1989:

Oct
Nov
Dec

145
147
149

127
128
127

162
165
169

178
(3)
(3)

166
(3)
(3)

165
(3)
(3)

81
83
84

1990:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

154
152
150
151
154
151
152
151
148
147

136
133
128
131
134
129
130
126
123
121

172
169
171
170
173
173
173
174
173
171

181

170
(3)
(3)
171
(3)
(3)
171
(3)
(3)
175

168
(3)
(3)
169
(3)
(3)
170
(3)
(3)
174

85
84
83
83
84
83
83
82
80
78

July

Aug
Sept

Get
1

Includes items not shown separately.
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is "based on latest data available.
3




(3)

3

()

183
(3)
(3)
184
(3)
(3)
188

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Growth in M2 and M3 slowed in September.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000

4,800
4,400
4,000

M3 .

3,600

3,600

3,200

3,200

i

2,800

V

2,800

M2
2,400

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

800

600

600

400

1982

1987

1983

1989

' AVERAGES OF OAJLV FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

M2

M3

L

Debt

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
KPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

408.9
436.5
474.5
521.2
552.1
620.1
724.7
750.4
787.5
794.8

1,629.9
1,793.5
1,953.1
2,186.5
2,371.6
2,570.6
2,814.2
2,913.2
3,072.4
3,221.6

1,987.5
2,234.2
2,441.9
2,693.4
2,982.8
3,202.1
3,494.5
3,678.7
3,918.3
4,044.3

2,324.2
2,596.8
2,851.6
3,154.7
3,524.1
3,829.5
4,135.5
4,338.7
'4,676.1
r
4,881.2

3,904.1
4,292.1
4,685.9
5,212.6
5,961.9
6,773.5
7,636.2
8,345.1
9,107.6
9,788.9

6.8
6.7
8.7
9.8
5.9
12.3
16.9
3.5
4.9
.9

8.9
10.0
8.9
12.0
8.5
8.4
9.5
3.5
5.5
4.9

10.2
12.4
9.3
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.1
5.3
6.5
3.2

9.4
9.9
9.2
11.2
14.4
13.6
12.7
9.3
9.1
7.5

1989: Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

782.9
788.1
789.4
794.8

3,163.6
3,181.9
3,201.2
3,221.6

4,013.5
4,018.1
4,031.0
4,044.3

'4,831.8
4,841.7
r
4,858.1
r
4,881.2

9,627.8
9,687.4
9,750.2
9,788.9

-.7
1.5
3.4
5.5

5.0
6.0
7.5
7.7

2.9
2.7
3.3
3.0

7.5
7.4
7.4
7.0

1990: Jan .
Feb
Mar....

794.8
801.4
804.8
807.3
805.4
809.4
809.2
816.2
822.8

3,231.0
'3,255.6
r
3,270.9
'3,277.3
'3,270.9
'3, 278.6
3,284.0
3,302.0
3,317.7

'4,048.5
T
4,064.3
'4,069.0
r
4,072.9
'4,065.0
4,069.1
4,073.3
4,088.6
4,091.7

' 4,882.5
' 4,890.4
r
4,906.6
'4,916.4
'4,887.1
'4,906.8
4,918.4
4,931.3

9,829.3
9,887.1
9,955.1
10,010.6
10,053.6
10,108.7
10,170.1
10,244.0

4.0
5.4
5.6
4.9
4.1
3.7
3.6
3.7
4.5

6.7
6.9
6.8
6.0
4.4
'3.5
3.3
2.9
2.9

'2.0
2.6
2.8
'2.7
1.7
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.1

6.8
6.6
6.8
6.7
6.2
6.5
6.9
7.2

Period

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:

Dec....
Dec
Dec
Dec....
Dec
Dec
Dec....
Dec
Dec....
Dec ....

May

July '
Sept".
1

r

Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



r

Ml

er at a simple annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Currency

Period

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutual fund
balances 1
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(HMD As)

Savings
deposits

Small
denomination
time
deposits 2

Large
denomination
time
deposits2

NSA

1990:

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

115.3
122.6
132.5
146.2
156.0
167.8
180.6
196.7
211.8
221.9

261.4
231.4
234.1
238.5
243.9
266.8
302.1
287.0
287.0
279.7

28.0
78.2
103.6
131.6
146.9
179.6
235.5
259.7
281.3
285.7

28.8
36.6
39.9
55.6
60.6
73.5
82.3
83.2
83.3
77.4

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.8
168.2
177.2
208.7
222.0
240.9
312.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
42.8
62.1
63.9
83.8
89.0
87.1
102.3

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.8
513.0
571.0
523.8
500.3
483.7

400.1
343.8
356.7
305.4
285.1
301.2
370.1
414.9
427.8
409.0

728.5
823.2
851.0
784.1
886.8
884.0
856.2
917.8
1,031.0
1,142.3

260.4
303.0
327.2
327.6
417.4
437.0
439.8
488.8
541.1
558.3

33.5
35.3
33.4
49.9
57.6
62.4
80.5
106.1
121.7
96.9

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.5
83.8
91.0
106.0
81.1

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.5
91.8
100.6
109.3
117.5

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.9
298.3
280.8
254.2
272.0
' 330.3

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.5
42.1
37.2
44.8
40.6
41.2

98.8
105.3
113.7
133.2
160.8
207.5
231.1
260.4
335.6
347.9

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

219.3
220.0
220.4
221.9

278.1
280.0
278.8
279.7

278.4
280.8
282.8
285.7

75.1
75.7
75.4
77.4

295.9
302.7
309.0
312.4

101.6
101.1
101.1
102.3

471.9
475.3
480.8
483.7

405.5
406.1
407.9
409.0

1,132.6
1,135.9
1,138.5
1,142.3

565.6
562.7
561.0
558.3

113.9
109.6
108.9
96.9

85.5
80.1
79.3
81.1

115.7
116.2
116.8
117.5

r

311.3
317.4
318.6
' 330.3

41.0
40.0
40.5
41.2

350.3
350.0
351.3
347.9

Jan
Feb
Mar

224.6
226.6
228.4
230.1
231.6
233.4
235.4
238.3
241.5

277.3
280.2
279.3
277.8
274.5
274.5
274.8
278.0
279.9

285.4
287.0
289.5
291.8
291.5
293.8
291.3
291.9
293.1

81.5
82.3
r
81.8
r
79.2
r
83.1
'82.2
84.2
83.1
82.1

318.6
325.3
325.9
325.8
320.4
321.9
325.1
333.8
340.1

103.2
103.7
105.4
106.8
107.3
107.3
108.9
114.0
116.1

485.0
489.4
494.9
498.8
500.0
501.2
502.4
505.5
507.1

410.2
413.6
414.6
415.8
415.0
415.8
416.3
416.3
415.8

1,143.0
1,142.6
1,146.4
1,147.7
1,149.0
1,147.1
1,148.2
1,149.5
1,150.4

554.5
550.1
544.1
538.3
' 535.4
r
532.8
530.5
524.1
516.7

93.6
96.9
95.2
94.8
95.8
98.7
97.1
99.0
95.6

117.7 r332.3
118.2 ' 324.9
119.1 r 338.9
119.9 r330.3
120.7 r316.5
r
121.5 332.2
122.4 341.3
342.2
123.2

40.7
38.3
37.0
35.8
35.3
34.6
32.8
32.2

343.3
344.7
342.7
357.5
349.6
349.4
348.7
345.1

1980- Dec
1981: Dec
1982- Dec
1983- Dec
1984: Dec
1985- Dec
1986: Dec
1987- Dec
1988- Dec
1989: Dec
1989:

Term
repurchase
agreements
(KPs)

.. .

June
July '
Aug T.
Sepf

r

r

1

Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted.
Small denomination and iarge denomination deposits are thost issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
2

r

74.0
68.5
'66.8
r
65.6
r
67.4
r
64.6
64.6
66.3
66.2
r

r

r

NOTE.— Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown
here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures *; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

Nonborrowed

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,235
48,373
58,023
58,593
60,593
60,033

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,049
47,055
57,197
57,815
58,877
59,767

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,653
47,554
57,499
58,298
60,121
59,787

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,380
47,336
56,653
57,546
59,545
59,110

152,525
160,936
172,947
188,275
201,673
219,350
241,427
258,055
275,238
284,946

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716
265

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130
84

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244
20

1989:

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

59,289
59,640
59,646
60,033

58,596
59,085
59,297
59,767

58,618
59,106
59,318
59,787

58,351
58,620
58,701
59,110

281,806
282,786
283,222
284,946

693
555
349
265

452
330
134
84

22
21
21
20

1990:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr....
May

59,896
60,215
60,297
60,275
59,783
59,732
59,322
59,746
60,078

59,456
58,768
58,173
58,647
58,448
58,850
58,565
58,819
59,453

59,482
59,302
60,123
60,051
59,324
59,196
58,845
58,947
59,460

58,880
59,227
59,436
59,379
58,820
58,958
58,460
58,879
59,170

287,509
289,714
291,820
293,540
294,401
296,276
297,860
301,121
304,782

440
1,448
2,124
1,628
1,335
881
757
927
624

47
51
78
122
244
311
389
430
418

26
535
1,950
1,403
875
346
280
127
6

July

...

Sept"
1

Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.




Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases fell 0.3 percent in September. Commercial and industrial loans fell 0.2
percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

2,800

120
1990

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCil OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted i]
All commercial banks
Loans and leases
Period

Total
securities 2

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:
1989:

Dec
1,307.3
Dec
1,400.5
Dec
1,552.3
Dec
1,722.5
Dec
1,910.1
Dec
2,094.2
Dec
2,239.5
r
2,422.1
Dec
r
Dec .... 2,588.8
Aug r.... 2,531.7
Sept r ... 2,546.2
Oct *
2,570.5
Nov r.... 2,585.8
r
Dec .... 2,588.8
1990: Jan r .... 2,594.4
Feb r.... 2,614.3
Mar r.... 2,635.6
Apr r .... 2,646.7
May r.... 2,653.8
June r... 2.669.4
July T.... 2,684.7
Aug»... 2,707.8
Sept "... 2,708.5

U.S.
Government
securities

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.6
309.3
334.4
r
361.5
396.1
376.2
379.3
390.9
396.0
396.1
404.7
414.5
422.3
427.3
430.6
438.5
440.6
441.3
447.1

Other
securities

160.5
164.8
169.2
141.1
179.3
194.2
193.8
192.2
180.8
184.2
183.6
181.4
179.9
180.8
180.4
180.5
180.1
180.0
178.3
177.9
177.8
179.2
179.4

Total

2

967.5
1,034.0
1,123.9
1,321.3
1,460.3
1,590.6
1,711.2
r
1,868.4
2,011.9
1,971.4
1,983.2
1,998.2
2,009.9
2,011.9
2,009.3
2,019.4
2,033.2
2,039.4
2,045.0
2,053.0
2,066.4
2,087.3
2,082.0

Commercial
and
industrial

355.4
392.5
414.2
473.3
500.5
537.5
567.9
607.0
641.6

636.1
638.2
642.0
645.0
641.6
637.9
638.8
644.4
649.0
648.6
651.6
651.7
653.1
651.6

Nonbank
financial
institutions

Agricultural

political
subdivisions

284.1
182.5
21.4
299.9 188.2
25.3
330.9 212.9
28.0
376.4 253.8 34.3
426.0 294.7 43.0
494.4 315.3 40.6
587.4 328.4 35.1
671.9 ' 354.9 40.4
761.1
375.8 38.8
730.0 367.9 38.9
739.1
370.8 39.5
746.7 372.4 40.7
754.0 374.4 40.9
761.1 375.8 38.8
765.9 378.3 39.3
774.7 379.5 40.0
781.8
379.9 37.1
786.9 378.8 36.1
794.6 379.8 34.8
800.1 378.4 35.3
808.0 378.3 38.8
811.9 380.1 46.0
814.7
381.1 43.1

29.9
31.2
30.4
31.3
32.4
35.0
31.9
30.1
33.0
31.4
31.7
33.2
33.9
33.0
32.5
32.9
33.8
33.9
33.9
34.4
34.8
35.7
36.2

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.5
29.4
29.8
30.7
30.4
30.4
30.5
30.5
30.7
30.9
30.8
30.6
30.4
30.0
29.5
29.3
29.2
29.1

0.0
.0
3.3

1
Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks aiid averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations

28



State

Security

Real
estate

Individual

46.1
56.8
58.5
52.6
45.6
40.1
42.2
41.7
41.3
40.8
40.1
38.6
38.9
38.4
38.2
37.9
37.4
36.6
36.1
35.4

Foreign
banks

18.1
14.6
13.4
11.2
9.8
9.9
7.9

8.1
8.9
8.4
8.1
9.1
8.3
8.9
8.1
7.8
8.4
8.8
8.7
7.4
7.0
8.0
7.9

of States and political subdivision are included in loans rather thar
2
Excludes loans to eomme.reia banks in the United States.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Forcign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

7.2

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0
22.4
24.6
29.2
31.8

5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0
5.9
5.3
5.0
3.6
4.2
4.2
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2

31.1
31.4

31.9
31.9
31.8
32.1
32.2
32.6
32.3
32.5
32.3
32.6
32.7
32.8

Other

23.1
26.9
31.8
31.0
35.9
,99.6
40.7
r
46.3
46.5
50.6
48.0
46.6
46.4
46.5
42.5
40.6
43.2
41.8
40.9
43.4
46.1
51.5
47.0

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources
External
Period
Total

Loans and
short-term
paper

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total

Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Capital
expenditures 3

Credit market funds

Internal l

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

1982
1983
1984.
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

300.8
416.9
491.4
455.7
524.1
493.7
548.2
515.2

241.9
285.2
335.9
351.8
344.3
372.4
391.4
380.0

58.9
131.7
155.5
103.9
179.8
121.3
156.8
135.2

48.5
76.5
91.9
49.8
124.7
48.2
55.1
35.3

-6.2
41.0
-13.6
-6.2
60.5
18.5
-15.4
-45.1

54.7
35.5
105.5
56.0
64.2
29.7
70.5
80.4

10.4
55.2
63.7
54.1
55.1
73.1
101.6
99.9

303.1
392.6
474.9
425.1
481.2
466,6
494.6
486.5

256.1
270.5
369.7
341.2
330.4
354.1
378.3
382.2

47.0
122.1
105.2
83.9
150.8
112.5
116.3
104.3

-2.3
24.3
16.5
30.6
43.0
27.1
53.5
28.6

1989: I
II .
Ill

IV

511.6
606.9
465.9
476.3

379.9
379.7
385.5
374.9

131.7
227,2
80.4
101.4

18.0
118.7
1.0
3.6

-92.5
3.1
-85.2
-5.8

110.5
115.6
86.2
9.4

113.6
108.4
79.3
97.8

478.6
568.5
446.4
452.8

377.4
388.3
385.1
378.2

101.2
180.2
61.3
74.6

33.0
38.5
19.5
23.4

I
IP

491.9
496.9

370.6
377.4

121.3
119.5

92.6
58.4

-3.1
25.5

95.7
32.9

28.5
61.1

467.8
464.0

343.4
372.7

124.4
91.3

24.1
33.0

1990:

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
ah

2°p d " •
t
r u-r j o v
Consists ol tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory invt stment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding l

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Other

Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Other

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 2

298,154
311,259
325,805
368,966
442,602
518,252
573,017
610,468
664,701
716,624

111,991
119,008
125,945
143,560
173,564
210,187
247,428
265,851
284,556
290,770

55,111
61,070
66,454
79,088
100,280
121,816
135,851
153,078
174,057
197,110

18,736
20,058
22,064
23,562
25,861
26,850
27,096
25,920
25,201
22,343

112,317
111,124
110,802
122,756
142,897
159,400
162,642
165,620
180,887
206,401

1,671
13,105
14,546
43,161
73,636
75,650
54,765
37,451
54,233
(3)

— 484
7,017
6,937
17,615
30,004
36,623
37,241
18,423
18,705
(3)

1,754
5,959
5,384
12,634
21,192
21,536
14,035
17,227
20,979
(3)

529
1,322
2,546
958
2,299
989
246
-1,176
-719
(3)

-127
-1,193
-322
11,954
20,141
16,503
3,242
2,978
15,267
(3)

1989: Aug 2
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

703,518
705,703
710,133
713,903
716,624

289,961
288,839
290,210
290,972
290,770

189,185
190,378
191,734
194,679
197,110

22,734
22,661
22,621
22,197
22,343

201,638
203,825
205,568
206,055
206,401

3,518
2,185
4,430
3,769
2,722

79
-1,122
1,371
761
-202

2,900
1,194
1,356
2,944
2,431

— 506
-73
-40
— 424
146

1,044
2,187
1,743
487
346

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July '
Augp

717,829
717,869
720,445
720,835
724,485
724,601
729,329
731,416

290,904
289,629
290,932
288,936
288,931
287,168
286,791
285,050

199,146
199,927
202,263
203,965
207,153
208,362
212,138
213,916

22,604
22,633
22,708
22,702
22,815
22,733
22,795
23,003

205,175
205,680
204,543
205,232
205,585
206,338
207,605
209,446

1,205
40
2,576
390
3,650
116
4,728
2,087

134
-1,275
1,303
-1,996
-5
-1,764
-377
— 1,741

2,036
781
2,336
1,702
3,188
1,208
3,776
1,778

261
29
74
-6
113
-83
63
208

-1,226
505
— 1,137
689
353
753
1,267
1,841

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1989:

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988
and subsequent months.




3
Because of breaks in series, net change not available.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates fell in October.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

SOURCE. S E E T A B I E B !

COUNCIL OF ECOI

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) 1

Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody' s) *

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months l

Discount rate
(N.Y. P.K.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged by
banks 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHFB) 6

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69
8.12

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26
8.55

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85
8.49

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76
7.24

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
0.38
9.71
9.26

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68
8.80

13.42
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20
6.93

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.21
9.32
10.87

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19
10.13

1989: Oct
Nov .
Dec

7.63
7.65
7.64

8.02
7.80
7.77

8.01
7.87
7.84

7.22
7.13
7.01

8.92
8.89
8.86

8.24
8.00
7.93

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50

10.11
10.09
10.07

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar

7.64
7.76
7.87
7.78
7.78
7.74
7.66
7.44
7.38
7.19

8.13
8.39
8.63
8.78
8.69
8.40
8.26
8.22
8.27
8.07

8.21
8.47
8.59
8.79
8.76
8.48
8.47
8.75
r
8.89
8.72

7.13
7.21
7.29
7.36
7.34
7.22
7.15
7.31
7.40

8.99
9.22
9.37
0.46
9.47
9.26
9.24
9.41
9.56
9.53

7.96
8.04
8.23
8.29
8.23
8.06
7.90
7.77

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7 00 7 00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

10 50 10 00

9.91
9.88
10.03
10.17
10.28
10.13
10.08
10.11
9.90

7.18
7.19
7.18
7.20
7.12

8.07
8.18
8.10
7.99

8.69
8.87
8.74
8.64

7.46
7.50
7.41
7.35

1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987.
1988
1989

..

.

May
July

Aug

Oct".

r

7.83

7.81

10.00-10.00

10 00 10 00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00

Week ended:

1990: Oct 6
13.
20

27
Nov 3

...

1
Bank-discount basis.
2
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

30



9.54
9.59
0.57
9.45

7.80
7.85
7.86
7.81

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.00-10.00

10 00 10 00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00

10.00

5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices fell in October.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180
160

INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180
160

COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX

(NYSE)

140

140

120

120

100

100

80

80

60

60

i i i i i I i i i i i I 40

1983

1982

1984

1985

1987

1986

1990

1989

1988

PERCENT
20

PERCENT
20

15

15
X.

10

EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS
•^~-r

,

10

.

—--—-~

5

^
!

0

I 1
1982

1

1

1983

1

1

1 1
1984

1

r*i —
i i ri i "1
i

^~—I

^
1 1
1985

1986

1987

1

1 1
1988

,,,
1989

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD 8. POOR'S CORPORATION

F

l

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Common stock prices 1

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31, 1965
Period
Composite

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1989- Oct
Nov
Dec
1990' Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July
Sept '
Oct p
Week ended:
1990- Oct 6
13
20
27
1

Industrial

Transportation




Utility

Finance

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index
(194143 = 10)4

Dividendprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91
180.02
192.49
188.50
192.67
187.96
182.55
186.26
185.61
191.35
196.68
196.61
181.45
173.22
168.05

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95
216.23
229.40
224.38
230.12
225.79
220.60
226.14
226.86
234.85
242.42
245.86
226.73
216.81
208.58

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12
175.28
190.36
174.26
177.25
173.67
166.69
175.08
173.54
173.53
177.37
173.18
147.41
136.95
131.90

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77
87.43
94.67
94.95
99.73
95.69
92.15
93.00
91.92
93.29
93.65
89.85
85.81
83.30
87.27

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26
151.88
166.55
160.89
155.63
150.11
142.68
143.14
138.57
142.94
147.93
143.11
128.14
118.59
108.01

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82
2,508.91
2,692.01
2,642.49
2,728.47
2,679.24
2,614.18
2,700.13
2,708.26
2,793.81
2,894.82
2,934.23
2,681.89
2,550.69
2,460.54

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79
322.84
347.40
340.22
348.57
339.97
330.45
338.47
338.18
350.25
360.39
360.03
330.75
315.41
307.12

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64
3.45
3.29
3.39
3.33
3.41
3.54
3.49
3.51
3.44
3.36
3.37
3.65
3.85

171.53
166.13
166.10
169.77

213.72
206.06
205.57
210.71

134.81
130.61
130.99
133.83

86.53
86.17
87.47
88.42

112.60
107.55
106.35
108.23

2,507.57
2,428.07
2,431.78
2,486.93

313.15
302.89
303.83
310.92

3.94
4.09
4.10
3.91

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
4
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2
3

1 1
1990

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01
7.41

6.47
6.37

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In fiscal year 1990, there was a deficit of $220.4 billion, compared with a deficit of $152.0 billion a year earlier.
BIUIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,300 — RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!^

1,300

1,200

1,200

OUTLAYS^
X ,1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

900

900

800

800

700

700

600

600

0
-

•\^

/

J
V\9K1

i

l

1983

l

1984

~""
1985

^^^
1

1986

1987

1

~~~~^~^
—-~-~
1 ^~"~~^l

I
1988

1989

1990

j\

-200

?99) N

FISCAL YEARS
I/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]

j•
Total
Receipts

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 ...
1987
1988
1989
1990 '
1991 (estimates) 2
1
2

298 1
81 2
355 6
3996
463 3
517 1
599 3
617 8
600 6
666 5
734 1
769 1
854 1
909 0
990 7
1 031 5
1 135 4

Outlays

371 8
96 0
409 2
458 7
503 5
5909
678 2
745 7
808 3
851 8
946 3
990 3
1 003 8
1 064 0
1 142 6
1 251 9
1 311 7

On-budget
or deficit
(-)
73 7

14 7
53 6
59 2
40 2
73 8
789
127 9
207 8
185 3
212 3
221 2
149 7
155 1
152 0
2204
176 3

Receipts

231 7
63 2
'78 7
314 2
365 3
403 9
469 1
474 3
453 2
5004
547 9
568 9
640 7
667 5
727 0
749 8
823 2

Data from Munlhly Treaxuni Slate'
Estimates from Mid-Session Revie of lie Budget, Office of Management and Budget, .Iijlv 16,
1!>!)<).

32



Outlays

302 2
76 6
328 5
369 1
403 5
476 6
543 0
594 3
661 2
6860
769 5
806 8
810 0
861 4
931 7
1 026 8
1 076 3

Gross Fe .era! debt

Off-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)
705

13 3
49 7
54 9
38 2
72 7
73 9
1200
208 0
185 6
221 6
237 9
— 169 3
193 9
204 7
277 0
253 1

Receipts

664
18 0
76 8
85 4
980
113 2
130 2
143 5
147 3
166 1
186 2
200 2
213 4
241 5
263 7
281 7
312 1

Outlays

69 6
194

80 7
89 7
1000
114 3
135 2
151 4
147 1
165 8
176 8
183 5
193 8
202 7
210 9
225 1
2354

or deficit
(-)

32
14
—3 9
43
—2 0
11
— 50
79
2

3
94
16 7
19 6
38 8
52 8
56 6
76 8

TotaJ

629 0
643 6
706 4
7766
8289
908 5
9943
1 136 8
1 371 2
1*564 1
1 817 0
2 120 1
2 3456
2 600 8
2 866 2
3 206 3
3 521 5

Held by
the public

477 4
495 5
549.1
607 1
639.8
709 3
784.8
919 2
1 131 0

i 'soo o

1 499.4

1 736 2
1 888.1
2 050 2
2 189 3
2 4104
2 573 0

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In fiscal year 1990, receipts were $40.8 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $109.3 billion higher.
BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

500

500

400

400

300

300
~\

CORPORATION

200

200
OTHER RECEIPTS

TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

\__

100

100

T~

0

"1

i

I

i

I

i

i

I

0

1,000

1,000

900

900

800
700

__

600

«»

\-----""

--•""'

700
600

„ — — •""""""

500

500

400

400

NAIIONAL DEFENSE

300

__________

200
A

V

I

1982

1

1

1983

300

•—

1984

1

1985

1

1986

1

1987

1

1988

1

1989

I

N

200

1991 M

1990

FISCAL YEARS
/ INCUJDES ON-6UDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCtV. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

rooNOl Vr KXlKKMiK- MWfSEK,

[Billions of dollars]
Oil-budget and off-budget receipts

Fiscal year
Total

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.6
93.5
115.1

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
380.0

1976

298.1

1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

355.6
399.6
463.3

600.6
666.5

285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990 '...

734.1
769.1
854.1

334.5
349.0
392.6

1991 (estimates) 2
1
2

517.1
599.3

617.8

909.0
990.7
1,031.5
1,135.4

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

401.2
445.7
466.9
508.4

209.0
239.4

418.1

On-budget and off-budget outlays
National defense
Other

Total
Total

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
184.Q
157.5
185.3

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130 .9
153.9
180.7

851.8

209.9
227.4

204.4
220.9

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.6
1,251.9
1,311.7

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
299.3
303.3

245.2
265.5
274.0

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

409.2
458.7
503.5
590,9
678.2
745.7
808.3

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.0
91.0
93.8

Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
See footnote I, page 3-.

Department of
Defense,
military

371.8

281.9
294.9
289.8
292.2

Income
security

Social
security

Net
interest

Other

60.8

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
U8.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
13 U4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

188.6
198.8

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
183.8
193.7

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.4

Internationa!
affairs

Health

Medicare

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.1
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2.
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
82 A
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

61.0
61.5
66.4
86,5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
13.8
18.2

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
58.1
66.2

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
97.7
99.6

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.0
148.3
160.5

207.4

219.3
232.5
248.6
266.9

202.2
203.3

1990, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, fiscal Year 1991, January




33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the second quarter of 1990, Federal receipts rose $25.2 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose
$22.9 billion. In the third quarter, according to advance estimates, Federal expenditures fell $0.5 billion; receipts
data are incomplete.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL SATES

1,200

1,200
EXPENDITURES

1,000

1,000

800

800

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)

V
-200

1

I

I

1982

J

I
1983

1

I

I

I

1984

1985

1986

I

I

I

1987

I I
1988

1

I

I

I

1989

-200

I I
1990

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987 ..
1988
1989 ....
Calendar year:
1985 ....
1986
1987
1988
1989
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV ....
1985- IV
1986: IV
1987: IV
1988: IV
1989: I...

n.
ni
IV

1990- I
II
Ill"

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals




tax and

nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

776.8
815.2
899.4
957.6
1,041.9

340.4
357.0
400.8
411.3
457.6

74.6
81.1
99.1
108.1
113.8

55.9
50.9
53.5
55.6
57.8

305.8

412.6

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.0
1,101.8
1,172.2

788.7
827.9
913.8
972.4
1,052.9
633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
940.0
997.5
1,045.4
1,062.2
1,048.1
1,055.7
1,080.6
1,105.8

346.4
361.4
405.8
415.1
464.0
303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
419.2
424.8
453.1
470.9
462.2
469.6
473.6
492.1
499.7

76.3
83.8
103.2
110.5
110.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
107.4
115.4
120.7
115.0
104.7
101.3
106.5
109.2

55.1
50.5
54.0
57.0
58.4
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
55.1
57.8
57.6
58.0
59.3
58.7
60.6
60.5
61.1

310.9
332.1
350.8
389.8
420.1
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
358.4
399.6
413.9
418.4
421.9
426.1
439.9
444.0
450.6

985.6
1,034.8
1,071.9
1,114.2
1,187.2
835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,101.7
1,153.8
1,178.0
1,184.9
1,179.8
1,205.8
1,248.8
1,271.7
1,271.2

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34

Indirect
business

326.1

345.9
382.6

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Surplus
or deficit

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

341.5
368.6
375.4
377.8
399.0

374.0
394.6
411.1
433.2
462.0

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.3
115.8

128.3
134.6
139.3
148.8
167.7

20.7
22.8
31.1
33.6
27.7

-0.1
.0
.1
-.1
.0

-185.5
— 212.8
-160.7
-144.1
-130.3

355.2
366.5
381.3
380.3
400.0
293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.2
401.1
398.3
402.5
399.2
399.9
410.6
421.9
425.4

380.1
399.9
414.0
438.9
471.9
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
421.4
447.2
460.6
464.7
474.4
487.9
503.4
510.4
510.0

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.1
118.2
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
102.7
112.2
116.7
117.0
117.6
121.5
128.5
131.5
131.7

130.1
135.6
142.3
151.3
172.0
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
147.6
157.9
167.4
173.4
172.1
175.2
178.1
184.3
191.1

20.3
26.0
31.8
32.7
25.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
41.5
35.3
35.0
27.3
16.5
21.3
28.3
23.8
12.9

-.2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
-.2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

-196.9
-206.9
-158.2
-141.7
-134.3
-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
-212.2
-189.0
-161.7
-156.3
-132.6
-122.7
-131.7
-150.1
-168.3
-166.0

Net

interest

paid

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

(-),

national
income
and

product
accounts

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84 = 100)

Industrial production (1987 = 100; seasonally adjusted)

Period

United
States

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989"
1989- June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1990: Jan
Feb
Mar
May

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
States '

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

84.1
85.7
81.9
84.9
92.8
94.4
95.3
100.0
105.4
108.1

83.1
84.8
76.5
81.5
91.4
96.5
95.7
100.0
105.0
105.1

81.7
82.6
82.9
85.5
93.4
96.8
96.6
100.0
109.3
115.7

98.9
98.3
97.3
96.5
97.1
97.2
98.0
100.0
104.7
108.9

95.0
93.2
90.3
90.9
93.5
97.7
99.6
100.0
103.9
108.7

96.2
94.8
91.8
88.8
91.8
92.9
96.2
100.0
105.9
109.2

87.5
84.8
86.4
r
89.6
r
89.7
94.6
96.8
100.0
' 103.7
r
104.2

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3
124.0

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2
129.3

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7
108.1

72.2
81.8
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.4
128.9

86.8
92.2
97.0
100.3
102.7
' 104.9
104.7
104.9
106.3
109.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.1
128.5
134.4
141.1
150.4

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6
135.4

108.4
107.8
108.2
108.2
107.7
108.1
108.6

105.5
105.2
105.3
105.2
104.0
104.4
104.7

117.1
114.2
117.6
115.8
115.8
116.8
116.9

108.3
109.4
109.4
108.1
108.4
108.9
107.6

108.8
' 109.9
' 109.8
r
l!0.1
r
110.0
' 110.3
111.4

108.3
110.7
108.7
110.5
110.8
111.4
114.6

102.6
103.8
105.0
104.8
104.7
' 104.2
' 104.7

124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9
126.1

129.6
130.4
130.5
130.7
131.2
131.6
131.5

108.6
108.4
108.3
109.2
110.0
108.9
109.0

128.7
129.0
129.2
129.5
130.1
130.3
130.5

109.4
109.3
109.2
109.4
109.7
109.9
110.2

150.3
150.7
150.9
151.6
153.1
153.7
154.4

135.6
135.7
136.1
137.0
138.1
139.2
139.6

104.0
' 103.4
105.5
' 106.2
' 105.3
'107.3
r
103.7
103.1

127.4
128.0
128.7
128.9
129.2
129.9
130.4
131.6
132.7

132.7
133.4
133.9
133.9
134.6
135.1
135.8
T
135.9
136.3

109.2
109.5
109.9
110.8
111.6
111.0
110.9
111.4

130.8
131.1
131.6
132.1
132.3
132.6
132.9
133.7

110.9
111.3
111.4
111.6
111.8
111.9
111.9
112.2
112.6

155.3
156.5
157.1
157.7
158.0
158.7
159.3

140.4
141.2
142.6
147.0
148.3
148.9
149.0
150.5
151.9

107.5
108.5
108.9
108.8
109.4
r
l!0.1
' 110.3
' 110.4
1107

July
Aug
Sepf
1

Canada

United
Kingdom

102.4 117.2 109.0
102.3 116.5 106.8
107.5
102.6 118.8
' 102.2 117.9 109.0
' 102.8 121.0 ' 109.2
103.2 121.1 109.7
r
103.8 !23.2
123.7

r

l!1.9 107.3
l!1.3 111.4
l!2.8 110.4
r
l!0.2 109.5
r
l!3.4 ' 107.2
113.7 108.4
r
l!52
115.4
r
r

Data relate to all urban consumers.

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) l

Period

1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987.
1988
1989
1989: Aug
Sept ..

Oct
Nov
Dec

1990- Jan
Feb
Mar
May
r
July
. 3

1

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

244.0
258.0
330.7
336.5
365.4
406.2
441.0
473.2

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8
25.1

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3
132.3

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4
113.3

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7
86.1

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9
102.9

6.5
6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8
13.6

1.4
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.6

40.5
38.9
41.6
40.5
38.1

2.1
1.9
2.1
2.1
2.0

11.6
10.5
11.9
11.1
10.4

9.6
9.4
9.9
10.0
9.4

7.2
7.0
7.2
7.0
6.5

8.8
8.8
9.1
9.0
8.4

1.8
1.6
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.6
1.8
1.7

41.6
38.7
41.6
39.4
40.5
39.6
41.2
42.0

2.3
2.3
2.5
2.3
2.3
2.1
2.1
2.1

12.9
11.1
11.5
10.5
11.3
10.5
11.0
12.0

9.8
9.1
9.8
9.8
9.5
9.6
10.1
9.8

6.4
6.7
7.9
6.9
7.5
7.3
7.5
7.8

8.9
8.3
8.7
8.7
8.7
8.5
9.1
9.1

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

15.7

16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3
34.8

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1
36.4

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4
17.2

11.7
12.3
12.3
11.1
12.3

2.7
2.6
3.1
3.0
3.1

3.0
2.9
3.0
3.4
3.4

12.0
12.8
12.8
12.4
12.7
13.5
12.8
12.5

2.5
2.8
3.3
3.0
3.5
3.4
3.0
3.1

3.4
3.4
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.9
3.7
3.5

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Capital
goods
except
automotive

216.4
205.6
224.0
5
218.8
5
227.2
254.1
322.4
363.8

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3
37.2

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1
99.3

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2
138.8

30.2
30.1
31.4
30.6
31.3

3.0
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.0

8.5
8.1
8.4
8.3
7.9

31.4
31.6
33.3
32.1
32.8
34.2
32.1
32.6

3.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
2.9
3.4
2.8
3.1

8.6
8.0
8.6
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.1
8.7

Total 2

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Other

3




Total

2

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grrant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988.
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
4
Total includes revisions not reflected in detail.
5
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical
2

Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Principal end-use commodity category

4
4

General
merchandise
imports
(e.i.f.
value)

Exports
(f.a.s) less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5
493.2

-27.5
-52.4
106 7
-117.7
-138.3
-152.1
-118.5
1094

-38.4
-64.2
1224
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1
-129.4

1.2
1.2
1.4
1.3
1.2

42.3
40.5
43.4
42.3
39.7

-10.3
-8.8
10 2
-9.9
68

-12.1
-10.4
120
-11.7
-8.4

1.3
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.3

43.4
40.4
43.5
41.1
42.4
41.3
43.1
43.8

10 2
— 7.1
-8.4
73
-7.8
-5.3
91
-9.3

-12.1
-8.8
-10.2
-9.1
-9.6
— 7.1
-11.0
11 2

254.9

month basis.
NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the second quarter of 1990, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $22.6 billion from $26.3 billion in the first
quarter. The current account deficit rose slightly, to $21.8 billion from $21.7 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLL/kRS*

BILLI DNS OF DOLLARS*
10
5

0

10
-*,

5

A

0

V

V^ \
/\ "
-10

-5

\\

\
,\---

\

-10
\

'x-

-15

*\

\ \
\
%

-15

\
\

\

N

\

.,'\\

-20

DAIAMr

"\

A

SERVICES

-25

-20

E ON GOODS
, AND INCOME
f

/^-v

'\\./
-30

ITv

^\

^

-35

AMERCHANDISE TRADE

-40
-45

/I
F

^ v

A**^x>^*^

1

i i i

1

1982

1983

1

1

1

1984

1

1

1

1

1985

\

-35

BALANCE ON
CURRENT ACCOUNT

^^

1

-40

1

1

1

1

i i i

i ii

1989

1990

1988

1987

1986

-25
-30

BALANCE
I

f

n
•''

-45

^

SEASONALLY ADJUS ED
OURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits ( + ), debits ( —)]
Merchandise 1 2

Exports

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1988:

237 085
211 198
201 820
219 900
215 935
223 367

I
II

Ill
IV
1989: I
II
Ill
IV
1990- I
II"
1
2
3

250 266
320 337
360 465
76,497
79,392
80,511
83,937
88,267
91,111
89,349
91,738
96 262
96,741

Imports

— 265 063

247 642
268 900
332 422
— 338 083
368 425
409 766
447 323
—475 329
- 109,988
-110,494
— 111,290
-115,551
-116,360
-119,333
-119,152
- 120,484
122 545
-119,316

Net balance




Net
military
transactions 3

844
112
163
67 080
~2
147
112 522
—
4*096
122 148
145 058 — 4 907

— 27 978
36 444

159 500
126 986
114 864
-33,491
-31,102
-30,779
-31,614
-28,093
-28,222
-29,803
-28,746
26 283
-22,575

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.

36

Investment income 4

Services

3 530
— 5 452
— 6320
-1,075
-1,139
-1,144
-2,094
-1,763
-1,667
-1,114
-1,776
— 1 287
-1,342

Net

transportation
receipts
144
992
4 227
9 153

10 788
8 939
8 298
4060
659
-1,776
-1,062
-624
-599
-57
39
-192
870
1 075
816

Other
services,
net 4

12 552
12 981
13 859
14 042
14 008
18 551
18 262
21 032
26 123
4,736
5,079

5,391
5,829
5,899
6,164
7,031
7,030
6 217
6,607

Receipts
on U.S.
assets
abroad
84 975
85 346
81 972
929S5

82 282
80 982
90 536
110 048
127 536
26,980
26,739
27,942
28,386
30,872
31,932
32,102
32,629
31 541
30,927

Payments
on foreign
assets 3in
U.S.

Remit-

Net

— 53,626 31,349
57097 28250
54 549 27423
69542 23 394
— 66,115 16,166
70013 10969
5 326
85 210
1 610
— 108438
— 913
— 128,448
2,400
— 24,580
409
-26,330
— 141
-28,083
-29,445 -1,059
465
-30,407
-33,889 - 1,957
17
-32,085
-32,068
561
1 995
29546
-637
-31,564

See p. 37 for continuation of table.

Balance on
goods,
services,
and income

pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers,

Balance
on current
account

net '

15,223
3,907
— 30 188
— 86,385
— 106,859
— 129,384
— 147,739
— 113,857
-95,314
-29,206
-27,815
-27,297
-29,537
-23,549
-25,643
-24,061
-22,061
— 18,283
— 17,131

-8,331
-9,775
— 9,956
— 12,621
-15,473
-16,009
— 14,575
— 15,005
-14,720
-3,476
-3,060
— 3,461
-5,008
-3,555
-3,006
-3,530
-4,631
-3,385
-4,713

6,892
-5,868
-40,143
-99,006
-122,332
-145,393
-162,314
- 128,862
-110,034
-32,682
-30,875
-30,758
— 34,545
— 27,104
-28,649
-27,591
-26,692
-21,668
-21,844

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $12.1 billion in the second quarter
of 1990, compared to a decrease of $52.4 billion in the first quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by
U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $2.9 billion in the second quarter, compared to a decrease of
$32.3 billion in the first quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

80
CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS

60

- IN THE U.S., NET

40

20

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD, NET

-20

-20

-40

-40

-60

-60
1990
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, exeept as noted]
Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase /capital inflow ( + )] 3

U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase /capital outflow ( — )]
Period
Total

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987..

1988
1989
1988: I
II
Ill
IV
1989: I
II
Ill
IV
1990: I
IP ....
5

U.S.
official
reserve
assets 3 5

Other U.S.
Government
assets

U.S.
private
assets

Total

Other
foreign
assets

1,093

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 5
(unadjusted,
end of
period)
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802
74,609

19,934
36,612
11,374
27,456
20,041
15,824
6,790
-8,404
22,443

-110,951
-124,490
-56,100
31 070
-27,721
-92,030
-62,946
-84,176
-127,061

-5,175
-4,965
-1,196
3 131
-3,858
312
9,149
— 3,912
-25,293

100 679
5 097
-6,131 — 113)394
49 898
5 006
5 489 -22,451
-2,821
21 043
2 02' -90,321
997
73 091
83 232
2,969
1,185 - 102,953

83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,599
218,470
221,442
214,652

4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
1 083
35,588
45,210
39,515
8,823

78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
173,260
181,927
205,829

4,569
-19,856
-42,383
-26,508

1,502
39
-7,380
1,925

1 594
4,661
-847
- 19,048
— 36,960
1,957
3,452
-31,885

26,079
65,270
49,797
80,295

24,840
5,970
-2,015
10,720

1,239
59,300
51,812
69,575

2,034
- 14,539
23,344
-19,242

2,970
-2,995
-4,630
4,656

43,186
41,028
47,788
47,802

-32,859
-1,381
-44,076
— 48,745

-4,000
-12,095
-5,996
-3,202

962
-303
574
-47

— 29,821
11,017
— 38,654
-45,496

68,402
2,794
74,136
69,320

7,797
-4,961
13,003
-7,016

60,605
7,755
61,133
76,336

-8,439
27,236
-2,469
6,117

3,093
-1,697
-4,953
3,560

49,854
60,502
68,418
74,609

32,877
— 26,443

-3,177
371

-659
-624

36,713
-26,190

-32,988
21,957

-8,203
6,284

-24,786
15,673

21,780
26,330

2,804
-1,036

76,303
77,298

Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign cur nicies, and the U.S. reserve posi11 in thf IMF.




Foreign
official
assets

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
r
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
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38

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