Full text of Economic Indicators : May 1992
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102d Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators MAY 1992 (Includes data available as of June 3, 1992) LIBRARY JUN 2 6 1992 FEDERAL RESERVE Prepared for the JoinTEcM^ic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1992 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) CONNIE MACK (Florida) ROBERT C. SMITH (New Hampshire) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) KWEISI MFUME (Maryland) RICHARD K. ARMEY (Texas) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) STEVEN QUICK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman DAVID F. BRADFORD, Member PAUL WONNACOTT, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—81ST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts prepared by the Art Production Section, Design and Graphics Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.75 a single copy ($3.44 foreign), or by subscription at $30.00 per year ($37.50 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402 ISBN 0-16-038623-3 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1992, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) rose 5.5 percent (annual rate) or $77.8 billion. Real GDP (GDP in 1987 dollars) rose 2.4 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 3.1 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE] 6,000 S OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNLJAi RATES ' , 5,600 5,600 <^~ x 5,200 GDP IN 1 987 DOLLAR S 4,800 /r 5,200 ^ . _ — — 4,800 / __ „•* jf' \ 4,400 4,400 x """ X x1 """ XI 4,000 X" x _-__ X X \\ /S / 4,000 GDP IN C URRENT DO LLARS 3,600 3,600 / 3,200 2,800 i t l 1982 3,200 i 1984 1983 i I 1985 I I I 1986 I i I I 1987 i i 1988 \ I i 1989 t 1 I 1990 I 199] I t 1992 2,800 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment 3,149.6 3,405.0 3,777.2 4,038.7 4,268.6 4,539.9 4,900.4 5,244.0 5,513.8 5,672.6 2,059.2 2,257.5 2,460.3 2,667.4 2,850.6 3,052.2 3,296.1 3,517.9 3,742.6 3,889.1 503.4 546.7 718.9 714.5 717.6 749.3 793.6 837.6 802.6 726.7 3,195.1 3,547.3 3,869.1 4,140.5 4,336.6 4,683.0 5,044.6 5,340.4 2,128.7 2,346.8 2,526.4 2,739.8 2,923.1 3,124.6 3,398.2 3,592.8 n m 5,422.4 5,504.7 5,570.5 5,557.5 n m Period Gross domestic product 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 . 1990 1991 . 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV 1990- I IV 1991: I IV 1992: I ' . 1 2 Federal Net exports Gross domestic purchases 2 Addendum: Gross national product a Total Nondefense State and local Exports Imports 20 6 -51.4 102 7 -115.6 -132.5 -143.1 - 108.0 -82.9 -74.4 -30.7 282.6 276.7 302.4 302.1 319.2 364.0 444.2 504.9 550.4 591.3 303.2 328.1 405.1 417.6 451.7 507.1 552.2 587.8 624.8 622.0 607.6 652.3 700.8 772.3 833.0 881.5 918.7 971.4 1,042.9 1,087.5 266.6 292.0 310.9 344.3 367.8 384.9 387.0 401.4 424.9 445.1 193.8 214.4 233.1 258.6 276.7 292.1 295.6 300.0 313.4 323.5 72.7 77.5 77.8 85.7 91.1 92.9 91.4 101.5 111.5 121.6 341.1 360.3 389.9 428.1 465.3 496.6 531.7 570.0 618.0 642.4 3,165.5 3,410.6 3,706.1 4,014.1 4,260.0 4,513.7 4,884.2 5,208.1 5,513.8 5,691.1 3,170.2 3,456.5 3,879.9 4,154.3 4,401.2 4,683.0 5,008.4 5,326.9 5,588.1 5,703.3 3,179.8 3,434.4 3,801.5 4,053.6 4,277.7 4,544.5 4,908.2 5,248.2 5,524.5 5,685.8 464.2 614.8 722.8 737.0 697.1 800.2 814.8 834.4 -29.5 -71.8 -107.1 -135.5 -133.2 — 143.2 - 106.0 -77.5 265.6 286.2 308.7 304.7 333.9 392.4 467.0 521.3 295.1 358.0 415.7 440.2 467.1 535.6 573.1 598.8 631.6 657.6 727.0 799.2 849.7 901.4 937.6 990.7 281.4 289.7 324.7 356.9 373.1 392.5 392.0 403.7 205.5 222.8 242.9 268.6 278.6 295.8 296.8 301.6 75.9 66.9 81.9 88.3 94.5 96.7 95.2 102.1 350.3 367.9 402.2 442.4 476.6 509.0 545.7 587.0 3,241.4 3,527.1 3,818.1 4,107.9 4,355.4 4,623.7 5,027.3 5,305.3 3,224.6 3,619.1 3,976.2 4,276.0 4,469.8 4,826.2 5,150.7 5,417.9 3,222.6 3,578.4 3,890.2 4,156.2 4,340.5 4,690.5 5,054.3 5,350.9 3,667.3 3,706.0 3,785.2 3,812.0 812.0 825.9 821.8 750.9 78 0 -60.4 -82.5 -76.6 534.6 545.9 548.7 572.6 612.6 606.3 631.2 649.2 1,021.2 1,033.2 1,046.0 1,071.2 417.2 423.3 424.7 434.5 309.3 312.7 311.1 320.6 107.9 110.7 113.6 113.9 604.0 609.9 621.4 636.7 5,425.7 5,479.1 5,556.5 5,594.0 5,500.5 5,565.1 5,653.0 5,634.0 5,432.7 5,505.5 5,576.8 5,583.2 5,589.0 5,652.6 5,709.2 5,739.7 3,827.7 3,868.5 3,916.4 3,943.7 709.3 708.8 740.9 747.9 -36.8 -17.2 -37.3 -31.4 565.9 589.8 597.0 612.5 602.7 607.0 634.3 643.8 1,088.8 1,092.5 1,089.1 1,079.5 451.5 452.1 444.9 432.0 332.3 328.4 322.3 311.0 119.2 123.7 122.6 121.0 637.3 640.4 644.2 647.5 5,628.2 5,689.6 5,712.8 5,733.8 5,625.8 5,669.8 5,746.5 5,771.1 5,611.7 5,660.6 5,720.1 5,750.7 5,817.5 4,022.6 726.0 -27.5 612.3 639.8 1,096.5 441.2 314.2 127.0 655.3 5,840.9 5,845.0 5,836.5 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Final sales of domestic product Government purchases Exports and imports of goods and services * Total 3 National defense GDP plus net receipts of factor income from rest of the world. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN 1987 DOLLARS [Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Gross domestic product Period 3,760.3 3,906.6 4,148.5 4,279.8 4,404.5 4,540.0 4,718.6 4,836.9 4,884.9 4,848.8 3,759.6 4,012.1 4,194.2 4,333.5 4,427.1 4,625.5 4,779.7 4,859.7 4,880.8 4,900.3 4,903.3 4,855.1 4,824.0 4,840.7 4,862.7 4,868.0 4,896.9 1982 1983 .. 1984 1985 . 1986 1987 . 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: IV 1983' IV 1984: IV 1985' IV 1986: IV 1987: IV 1988: IV 1989: IV 1990' I n in IV 1991: I n m. IV 1992' I r 1 2 Personal consumption expenditures 2,503.7 2,619.4 2,746.1 2,865.8 2,969.1 3,052.2 3,162.4 3,223.1 3,262.6 3,259.0 2,539.3 2,678.2 2,784.8 2,895.3 3,012.5 3,074.7 3,202.9 3,241.6 3,258.8 3,258.6 3,281.2 3,251.8 3,241.1 3,252.4 3,271.2 3,271.1 3,314.2 Exports and imports of goods and services 1 Government purchases Federal Nonresidential filed investment Residential bed investment Change in business inventories Net exports Exports Imports Total 433.9 420.8 490.2 521.8 500.3 497.8 530.8 542.4 548.8 512.4 417.2 449.6 509.6 525.5 495.5 510.6 538.8 541.3 550.7 544.3 555.5 544.5 519.1 514.8 510.0 505.6 507.7 124.1 174.2 199.3 202.0 226.2 225.2 222.7 214.2 195.5 175.2 131.2 190.6 198.8 207.4 230.5 223.3 225.3 207.9 208.2 199.5 190.9 183.3 170.7 172.0 176.5 181.7 185.4 -17.5 4.4 67.9 22.1 8.5 26.3 19.9 32.6 .2 -13.9 -44.9 29.3 47.9 30.2 -20.1 59.9 20.9 30.0 -4.0 22.1 13.9 -31.2 -32.8 30 4 .1 7.6 18 4 -7.4 -56.1 -122.0 -145.3 -155.1 - 143.0 -104.0 -75.7 -51.3 -20.9 -19.0 83 7 -131.4 1554 - 156.0 1360 -102.7 700 560 -52.5 65 7 -31.2 -18.6 12 3 —81.1 21 3 22 3 296.7 285.9 305.7 309.2 329.6 364.0 421.6 469.2 505.7 537.8 280.4 291.5 312.8 312.0 342.9 386.1 438.2 485.8 496.2 502.1 501.6 522.5 512.5 535.7 545.2 558.0 556.7 304.1 342.1 427.7 454.6 484.7 507.1 525.7 544.9 557.0 558.7 299.4 375.1 444.2 467.4 498.9 522.1 540.9 555.7 723.6 743.8 766.9 813.4 855.4 881.5 886.8 900.4 929.1 937.1 735.9 748.1 784.3 830.5 864.8 893.0 894.5 908.9 923.0 928.1 927.5 937.9 944.5 944.3 936.1 923.3 930.4 552.2 554.5 567.4 553.7 531.1 548.0 576.3 579.3 579.0 Total Nondefense National defense 306.0 320.8 331.0 355.2 373.0 384.9 377.3 375.0 380.9 384.9 316.0 322.2 341.7 363.7 377.5 391.6 378.4 373.9 379.3 383.3 378.4 382.6 391.7 392.7 384.5 370.7 372.3 State and local 221.4 234.2 245.8 265.6 280.6 292.1 287.0 280.7 281.3 281.4 229.4 242.9 254.3 272.1 282.2 295.0 285.7 279.9 281.5 283.8 278.0 282.0 289.4 287.0 280.4 268.7 267.1 84.7 86.6 85.1 89.5 92.4 92.9 90.2 94.4 99.6 103.5 86.6 79.3 87.4 91.6 95.3 96.6 92.7 94.0 97.7 99.5 100.4 100.6 102.3 105.7 104.1 102.0 105.2 417.6 423.0 436.0 458.2 482.4 496.6 509.6 525.3 548.2 552.2 419.9 425.9 442.6 466.7 487.3 501.4 516.1 534.9 543.7 544.8 549.1 555.3 552.7 551.7 551.6 552.7 558.0 Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases 2 Addendum: Gross national product 3 3,777.8 3,902.2 4,080.6 4,257.6 4,395.9 4,513.7 4,698.6 4,804.3 4,884.7 4,862.7 3,804.5 3,982.8 4,146.2 4,303.3 4,447.2 4,565.6 4,758.7 4,829.7 4,884.8 4,878.1 4,889.4 4,886.3 4,856.8 4,871.2 4,862.6 4,860.3 3,767.7 3,962.8 4,270.5 4,425.1 4,559.6 4,683.0 4,822.6 4,912.6 4,936.2 4,869.7 3,778.6 4,095.8 4,325.5 4,488.9 4,583.1 4,761.5 4,882.4 4,929.7 4,936.8 4,952.7 4,969.1 4,886.3 4,842.6 4,853.1 4,893.8 4,889.3 4,919.2 3,796.1 3,939.6 4,174.5 4,295.0 4,413.5 4,544.6 4,726.3 4,840.7 4,894.6 4,860.2 3,791.7 4,046.6 4,216.4 4,349.5 4,430.8 4,633.0 4,789.0 4,869.3 4,890.2 4,901.2 4,909.2 4,877.7 4,843.7 4,847.8 4,872.0 4,877.3 4,912.9 4,915.3 3 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. GPP plus net receipts of factor income from rest of the world. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT [1987 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Gross • domestic product Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 . 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984- IV . 1985- IV 1986: IV 1987- IV 1988: IV 1989- IV 1990: I TJ m rv 1991: I n m rv .. 1992: I * 1 83.8 87.2 91.0 94.4 96.9 100.0 103.9 108.4 112.9 117.0 85.0 88.4 92.2 95.5 98.0 101.2 105.5 109.9 111.1 112.3 113.6 114.5 115.9 116.8 117.4 117.9 118.8 Total 82.2 86.2 89.6 93.1 96.0 100.0 104.2 109.1 114.7 119.3 83.8 87.6 90.7 94.6 97.0 101.6 106.1 110.8 112.5 113.7 115.4 117.2 118.1 118.9 119.7 120.6 121.4 Durable goods 90.1 92.4 93.9 95.4 96.9 100.0 102.0 104.3 106.1 107.9 90.6 93.3 94.4 95.9 97.8 101.0 103.1 105.2 106.0 105.9 106.1 106.6 107.3 107.6 108.3 108.5 108.9 Nondurable goods Services 88.6 90.8 93.4 95.9 96.1 100.0 103.7 109.3 115.9 120.0 89.4 91.8 94.1 97.0 96.3 101.5 105.6 110.8 113.3 114.3 116.6 119.3 119.4 119.8 120.2 120.8 121.3 76.7 81.9 86.2 90.8 95.7 100.0 105.1 110.3 116.1 121.5 79.0 83.7 87.7 92.9 97.3 101.9 107.1 112.2 113.7 115.3 116.9 118.5 119.8 121.1 122.1 123.2 124.3 Excludes receipts and payments of factor income from or to rest of the world. Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Nonresidential fixed 95.3 95.1 95.6 96.6 98.4 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.0 107.4 95.3 95.0 96.4 97.3 99.2 100.7 104.0 105.9 106.5 106.5 107.4 107.5 107.9 107.7 107.2 106.6 106.5 Besidential fixed 85.2 87.3 89.7 92.0 95.8 100.0 104.2 107.8 110.4 111.3 86.0 88.0 90.7 93.1 97.3 101.5 105.3 108.7 110.0 110.4 110.7 110.3 110.4 111.2 112.0 111.7 112.6 Government purchases Exports and imports of goods and services * Federal Exports 95.2 96.8 98.9 97.7 96.9 100.0 105.3 107.6 108.9 109.9 94.7 98.2 98.7 97.7 97.4 101.6 106.6 107.3 107.7 108.7 109.4 109.6 110.4 110.1 109.5 109.8 110.0 Imports 99.7 95.9 94.7 91.9 93.2 100.0 105.1 107.9 112.2 111.3 98.5 95.4 93.6 94.2 93.6 102.6 106.0 107.7 110.9 109.3 111.2 117.2 113.5 110.8 110.1 111.1 110.5 Total 87.1 91.0 93.9 96.9 98.6 100.0 102.6 107.0 111.6 115.7 89.0 89.9 95.0 98.1 98.8 100.2 103.6 108.0 110.0 110.4 112.2 113.6 115.3 115.1 115.7 116.5 118.5 National defense 87.6 91.6 94.8 97.3 98.6 100.0 103.0 106.9 111.4 115.0 89.6 91.7 95.5 98.7 98.7 100.3 103.9 107.8 109.9 110.2 111.9 113.7 114.8 114.4 114.9 115.8 117.6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Nondefense 85.9 89.5 91.3 95.7 98.6 100.0 101.4 107.5 112.0 117.5 87.7 84.3 93.7 96.4 99.2 100.1 102.6 108.6 110.4 111.2 113.1 113.2 116.5 117.1 117.9 118.6 120.6 State and local 81.7 85.2 89.4 93.4 96.4 100.0 104.3 108.5 112.7 116.3 83.4 86.4 90.9 94.8 97.8 101.5 105.7 109.7 111.1 111.9 113.2 114.7 115.3 116.1 116.8 117.2 117.4 CHANGES IN GDP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS AND PRICE INDEXES [Percent change from preceding period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal consumption expenditures Gross domestic product Period 11.9 3.9 8.1 10.9 6.9 5.7 6.4 7.9 7.0 5.1 2.9 6.1 9.1 7.6 8.1 7.8 6.3 4.6 4.9 6.3 6.2 4.9 -.9 2.3 4.6 4.1 2.2 5.5 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1988- I n m IV . 1989- I Constant (1987) dollars Current dollars . n m .. . . IV 1990- I n . TTT IV 1991: I. n m rv 1992: I r. NOTE.—Annual changes are from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding quarer. 1.8 — 2.2 3.9 6.2 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.9 2.5 1.0 .7 2.6 4.3 2.5 3.9 2.5 1.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.6 .2 -3.9 -2.5 1.4 1.8 .4 2.4 Implicit price deflator Fixedweighted price index (1987 weights) 10.0 6.2 4.1 4.4 3.7 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.2 3.6 3.6 4.4 5.1 3.9 5.4 4.2 3.4 3.7 4.4 4.4 4.7 3.2 5.0 3.1 2.1 1.7 3.1 Constant (1987) dollars Current dollars 10.2 6.9 9.6 9.0 8.4 6.9 7.1 8.0 6.7 6.4 3.9 9.9 7.9 8.4 8.9 4.6 6.4 7.2 4.7 8.6 4.3 8.8 2.9 1.7 4.3 5.0 2.8 8.2 6.1 3.8 3.3 3.5 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.6 4.5 5.4 3.7 4.8 4.5 3.5 3.7 5.0 4.6 4.8 3.2 5.4 3.3 2.6 2.1 3.4 Implicit price deflator 1.2 1.1 4.6 4.8 4.4 3.6 2.8 3.6 1.9 1.2 .1 7.1 2.5 2.9 4.1 -.2 1.0 4.1 .1 2.1 -.0 2.8 -3.5 -1.3 1.4 2.3 0 5.4 9.0 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.9 3.1 4.2 4.2 4.7 5.1 4.0 2.8 5.2 5.1 4.7 5.0 5.3 3.0 4.5 6.3 4.3 6.1 6.4 3.1 2.7 2.7 3.0 2.7 Fixedweighted price index (1987 weights) 8.6 5.4 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.0 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.2 4.1 2.7 5.2 5.4 4.6 5.0 5.6 3.1 4.6 6.7 4.1 6.1 6.8 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.1 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I . n m rv 1991: I LI m rv 1992- I * 1 Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) * Total cost and profit 2 Consumption of fixed capital Net interest Profits tax liability Profits after tax 4 Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) 1987 dollars 1,749.1 1,803.5 1,937.1 2,167.3 2,295.5 2,391.3 2,544.6 2,762.1 2,910.8 3,008.9 3,054.2 2,035.8 2,002.1 2,113.3 2,285.0 2,366.3 2,444.3 2,544.6 2,682.2 2,715.3 2,717.4 2,691.8 0.859 ,901 .917 .949 .970 .978 1.000 1.030 1.072 1.107 1.135 0.102 0.081 .083 .086 .089 .091 .094 .093 .095 .099 .105 .114 0.573 .606 .604 .619 .638 .650 .659 .676 .708 .745 .763 0.035 .041 .036 .038 .038 .040 .042 .045 .052 .055 .054 0.067 .056 .076 .094 .094 .083 .096 .102 .096 .083 .076 0.031 .115 .115 .109 .109 .111 .111 .111 .116 .120 .127 .023 .028 .032 .030 .031 .037 .038 .037 .035 .031 0.036 .033 .048 .062 .064 .052 .059 .064 .060 .047 .045 20.560 20.827 21.597 21.905 22.144 22.737 23.047 23.472 23.059 23.062 23.396 11.790 12.620 13.037 13.559 14.121 14.770 15.181 15.782 16.330 17.171 17.849 1,807.1 2,038.1 2,230.0 2,341.3 2,428.4 2,625.9 2,840.1 2,943.3 2,974.7 3,025.6 3,021.2 3,014.2 3,011.8 3,043.9 3,070.1 3,091.1 3,117.0 2,000.5 2,205.2 2,330.3 2,399.5 2,469.0 2,602.4 2,717.1 2,715.3 2,720.0 2,741.6 2,710.4 2,697.6 2,668.1 2,682.1 2,699.0 2,717.9 2,735.9 .903 .924 .957 .976 .984 1.009 1.045 1.084 1.094 1.104 1.115 1.117 1.129 1.135 1.138 1.137 1.139 .119 .119 .111 .110 .112 .110 .112 .119 .119 .119 .121 .123 .127 .128 .127 .127 .125 .085 .086 .090 .092 .094 .093 .096 .100 .103 .103 .106 .109 .113 .113 .116 .116 .117 .609 .604 .624 .644 .655 .665 .687 .720 .729 .737 .755 .758 .760 .763 .765 .763 .761 .040 .036 .041 .038 .042 .042 .047 .054 .054 .054 .055 .056 .056 .054 .054 .052 .050 .051 .079 .091 .092 .080 .099 .102 .090 .090 .091 .077 .072 .073 .077 .076 .079 .086 .020 .029 .027 .030 .035 .038 .040 .034 .036 .036 .037 .033 .030 .031 .032 .032 .034 .030 .050 .064 .063 .045 .060 .063 .056 .054 .055 .041 .039 .043 .046 .044 .047 .052 21.103 21.905 22.050 22.340 22.891 23.268 23.423 22.967 22.973 23.181 22.952 23.110 23.188 23.355 23.456 12.842 13.233 13.770 14.395 15.001 15.483 16.005 16.542 16.740 17.092 17.325 17.509 17.625 17.818 17.933 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfmaneial corporate business in 1987 dol- This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. Compensation of employees Output per hour of all employees (1987 dollars) Current dollars lars. 2 Indirect business taxes 3 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Total 3 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. 4 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] National income Period Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: 1988: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 2,720.8 3,058.3 3,268.4 3,437.9 3,692.3 4,002.6 4,244.7 4,459.6 4,542.2 2,551.5 2,834.3 3,134.4 3,341.9 3,486.0 3,828.8 4,127.6 4,300.5 4,395.5 4,461.0 4,475.2 4,506.8 4,489.8 4,530.8 4,559.8 4,588.3 4,652.0 IV IV IV IV IV IV . . IV IV I .. n HE .. IV 1991: I n .. m rv 1992: I ' 1 2,029.4 2,226.9 2,382.8 2,523.8 2,698.7 2,921.3 3,101.3 3,290.3 3,388.2 1,940.4 2,101.2 2,288.1 2,442.5 2,582.5 2,785.1 3,004.9 3,157.4 3,216.1 3,279.9 3,325.3 3,340.0 3,342.9 3,377.4 3,405.3 3,427.4 3,459.2 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Nonfann 22.1 23.3 18.7 8.7 3.2 4.3 -7.9 -12.9 -12.7 24.1 22.2 24.3 14.0 4.7 6.8 2.8 -12.5 -14.2 -17.3 -10.4 -9.5 -11.9 -11.7 -14.2 -13.1 -10.9 184.3 214.7 238.4 261.5 279.0 293.4 305.5 330.7 344.5 169.6 193.8 217.7 250.9 260.9 282.6 302.5 310.2 324.9 328.8 336.5 332.7 331.4 340.4 350.5 355.9 366.2 2.4 21.3 21.5 22.3 31.3 30.9 41.4 42.5 35.1 10.2 6.3 21.9 17.8 23.6 42.4 30.9 41.0 50.9 45.3 32.4 41.2 32.8 39.6 32,0 36.1 36.2 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total 212.7 264.2 280.8 271.6 319.8 365.0 351.7 319.0 306.8 150.3 229.1 261.3 284.9 264.6 343.3 378.3 334.7 340.2 339.8 299.8 296.1 302.1 303.5 306.1 315.6 347.0 202.2 236.4 225.3 227.6 273.4 320.3 327.0 318.2 315.5 160.0 216.2 223.6 228.0 225.0 293.4 340.5 319.2 330.0 335.4 302.4 304.9 315.7 316.1 313.4 316.9 336.9 Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment 210.7 240.5 225.0 217.8 287.9 347.5 344.5 332.3 312.4 168.6 223.8 220.1 231.8 235.7 311.2 372.2 332.8 336.6 331.6 335.1 326.1 309.1 306.2 318.2 316.1 339.8 -8.5 -4.1 .2 9.7 -14.5 273 -17.5 -14.2 3.1 -8.6 -7.6 3.5 -3.8 -10.7 -17.8 31 7 -13.5 -6.6 3.8 -32.6 -21.2 6.7 9.9 -4.8 .7 -2.9 Capital consumption adjustment 10.4 27.8 55.5 44.1 46.4 44.7 24.7 .8 -8.7 -9.6 12.9 37.7 56.9 39.6 49.9 37.9 15.4 10.2 4.4 27 -8.8 -13.6 -12.6 -7.3 13 10.2 Net interest 270.0 307.9 326.2 350.2 360.4 387.7 452.6 490.1 480.2 256.8 281.8 321.1 331.9 349.7 368.6 408.1 469.6 477.5 484.5 491.8 506.4 492.6 481.6 480.1 466.5 454.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN 1987 DOLLARS [Billions of 1987 dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts 138.1 160.3 180.2 193.3 183.5 194.8 196.2 191.4 167.9 123.7 151.6 164.3 173.9 193.6 183.6 197.7 187.8 200.7 192.0 192.9 179.8 166.7 164.2 170.9 169.7 178.0 1983 2,619.4 297.7 1984 1985 1986 1987 .. 1988 1989 ... 1990 1991 2,746.1 2,865.8 2,969.1 3,052.2 3,162.4 3,223.1 3,262.6 3,259.0 2,539.3 2,678.2 2,784.8 2,895.3 3,012.5 3,074.7 3,202.9 3,241.6 3,258.8 3,258.6 3,281.2 3,251.8 3,241.1 3,252.4 3,271.2 3,271.1 3,314.2 338.5 370.1 402.0 403.7 428.7 440.8 438.9 412.5 272.3 319.1 347.7 369.6 415.7 404.7 439.2 435.6 452.7 438.7 440.3 424.0 410.8 408.9 418.3 412.2 430.0 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I n m IV 1991: I n m IV 1992: I r 1 Includes other items, not shown separately. Furniture and household equipment 104.3 115.3 123.8 136.3 144.0 155.4 166.1 170.6 170.5 96.4 109.3 118.7 128.6 141.4 145.9 160.3 167.7 173:i 170.9 170.5 168.0 168.9 171.1 172.5 169.4 176.8 Other 55.3 62.9 66.1 72.4 76.2 78.5 78.5 76.9 74.2 52.3 58.1 64.8 67.1 80.7 75.2 81.2 80.0 78.8 75.8 76.9 76.2 75.1 73.6 74.9 73.1 75.2 Total nondurable goods 900.3 934.6 958.7 991.0 1 011.1 1#35.1 1,049.3 1 050.8 1,043.0 880.7 915.2 942.9 968.7 1,000.9 1,014.6 1,046.8 1,055.3 1,054.4 1,050.3 1,053.7 1,044.7 1,043.9 1,046.2 1,046.1 1,035.8 1,049.6 Food 463.4 472.3 483.0 494.1 500.7 513.4 513.3 515.8 517.2 458.3 467.1 475.1 488.2 496.9 502.4 518.0 511.7 513.9 516.3 517.1 515.9 518.7 517.0 517.4 515.6 521.1 Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 142.4 153.1 158.8 170.3 174.5 178.9 187.9 187.4 182.9 135.7 147.7 154.7 161.7 171.9 174.5 182.8 190.1 190.1 187.2 188.2 184.1 181.7 186.1 184.7 179.0 185.4 75.7 77.9 79.2 82.9 84.7 86.1 86.7 85.0 83.0 73.4 76.9 79.0 79.5 84.6 85.4 87.5 90.2 87.2 84.5 84.4 84.0 81.8 83.0 83.6 83.6 82.1 Retail sales of new Services Nondurable goods passenger cars (milb'ons of units) Fuel oil and coal 11.1 11.2 11.5 12.1 12.0 12.0 11.5 10.0 9.6 10.5 11.4 11.1 11.4 12.4 11.9 12.0 12.3 9.5 10.5 11.0 8.9 9.3 9.8 10.1 9.4 10.1 Other Total services * Housing 207.8 220.0 226.2 231.7 239.1 244.7 250.0 252.6 250.3 202.8 212.2 222.9 228.0 235.2 240.4 246.4 251.0 253.8 251.9 252.9 251.7 252.5 250.3 250.3 248.2 250.9 1,421.4 1,473.0 l'537.0 1,576.1 1^637.4 1,698.5 1,732.9 1,773.0 1,803.4 1,386.2 1,443.9 1,494.2 1,557.1 1,595.8 1,655.5 1,716.9 1,750.7 1,751.8 1,769.6 1,787.3 1,783.1 1,786.3 1,797.2 1,806.8 1,823.1 1,834.5 426.8 435.9 442.1 452.5 461.8 469.0 474.5 478.9 411.0 419.7 431.3 438.1 444.8 457.0 465.6 472.8 472.8 473.0 475.4 476.9 477.3 478.3 479.4 480.7 481.8 415.5 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Medical care 332.6 341.9 353.0 366.2 384.7 399.4 408.5 424.3 439.6 327.8 334.8 344.9 359.1 372.0 390.7 403.0 411.5 417.7 422.4 427.7 429.6 432.9 436.9 441.7 447.0 451:1 Pomestics 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 6.9 6.1 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 7.5 6.2 7.1 6.8 7.1 6.6 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.1 6.0 Imports 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.3 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $2.8 billion (annual rate) in April after rising $22.2 billion in March. Wages and salaries decreased $0.3 billion in April, in contrast to an increase of $9.3 billion in March. Farm proprietors' income rose $0.4 billion in April, following an increase of $9.2 billion in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 BILUONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 800 800 400 400 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr May T s July , ' Sent Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan r Feb ' Mar ' Apr '. 1 personal income 2 6909 2 8625 3 1546 3 379 8 3 5904 3 8020 40759 43802 4679 8 4 834 4 4 7920 4 825 5 48458 4833 1 48542 48728 48830 4877 2 49256 49159 49653 49875 49903 Wage and salary disbursements * 1 593 3 1 684 7 1 849 8 1 986 5 2 105 4 2 261 2 2 443 0 2 585 8 2 738 9 2 808 3 2 779 4 2 799 5 2 822 8 2 808 1 2 8236 2 835 9 2 8302 2 835 0 2 8527 2 837 0 2 8706 2 879 9 2 879 6 Proprietors ' income 3 Other labor income l 2 165 4 174 6 184 7 191 8 200 7 210 4 230 5 253 7 274 0 290 6 287 2 288 6 289 9 291 3 292 7 294 2 2956 297 0 2983 299 7 301 1 302 4 303 8 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. * Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Nonfarm Farm 13 5 24 21 3 21 5 22 3 31 3 30 9 41 4 42 5 35 1 39 4 43 4 36 0 32 0 31 0 33 0 42 4 27 1 389 26 9 363 45 5 459 4 157 3 184 3 214 7 238 4 261 5 279 0 293 4 305 5 330 7 344 5 336 2 340 8 344 3 347 9 350 3 353 3 353 9 355 3 3584 361 7 367 0 370 0 371 0 Less: income of persons 4 21 9 22 1 23 3 18 7 87 32 43 79 12 9 12 7 11 7 11 6 11 6 12 9 14 2 15 5 19 1 11 5 86 94 11 5 11 9 134 dividend income 67 1 77 8 788 87 9 1047 100 4 1084 119 8 124 8 128 5 127 2 127 5 127 6 128 3 128 6 129 1 1293 129 5 1294 129 1 1294 129 7 1308 interest income 3768 397 5 461 9 498 1 531 7 548 1 5832 669 0 721 3 718 6 723 8 721 7 7198 718 1 7166 715 5 7105 705 8 7009 694 3 688 7 684 2 6802 pay- ments 5 408 1 438 9 452 9 485 9 517 8 542 2 576 7 624 4 6849 7595 7465 752 6 7555 758 7 7650 767 4 780 1 779 i 797 1 819 9 829 3 8340 838 7 contributions for social insurance personal income 6 1123 2 6498 1197 1328 149 1 162 1 173 6 1945 211 7 2243 2380 2359 237 0 2383 2383 2394 2402 2398 240 1 241 4 2433 2456 2462 2463 2832 6 3 106 1 3 333 2 3545 6 3 7494 40239 43166 46145 47755 4729 1 47585 47862 4 777 3 4 7993 4815 7 48166 48258 4862 5 48648 49046 4917 7 49199 With capital consumption adjustment. 6 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. 0 Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME According to revised estimates, per capita disposable personal income in 1987 dollars rose in the first quarter of 1992. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE] BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE] 2,000 DOLLARS- (RATIO SCALE] COLLARS' (RATO SCALE] 8,000 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period Personal income Less: Personal tax and payments _ . Disposable personal income Less: Personal Equals: Personal Disposable personal income in 1987 dollars (billions) Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars 1982 1983 1984 1985... 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 2,690.9 2,862.5 3,154.6 s',379.8 3,590.4 3,802.0 4,075.9 4,380.2 4,679.8 4,834.4 371.4 368.8 395.1 436.8 459.0 512.5 527.7 591.7 621.0 616.1 2,319.6 2^493.7 2,759.5 a',943.0 3,131.5 3,289.5 3^548.2 3,788.6 4^058.8 4,218.4 1987 dollars Per capita personal consumption expenditures Percent change in real per capita 1987 dollars personal income Current dollars 2^325.1 2,537.5 2*753.7 2^944.0 3,147.5 3^392.5 3,622.4 3^853.1 3,999.1 199.5 168.7 222.0 189.3 187.5 142.0 155.7 166.1 205.8 219.3 2,820.4 2,893.6 3 080.1 3,162.1 3J261.9 3,289.5 3^404.3 3,471.2 3^538.3 3,534.9 9 989 10,642 11 673 12,339 13,010 13 545 14,477 15 313 16,236 16 695 Population, including Armed Forces income (thousands) ° Percent Dollars 2,120.1 Saving as percent of disposable 12,146 12^349 13,029 13',258 13,552 13,545 13^890 14^030 14,154 13,990 9^634 10,408 11,184 11343 12,568 13^448 14,219 14^971 15,392 12,336 12,568 12^903 13,027 13^051 12,898 12,154 12,591 13,145 13,278 13,522 13,685 13,996 14,063 14,185 14,204 14,168 14,058 13,965 14,022 13,992 13,981 14,073 9,134 9,980 10,649 11,445 12,101 12,819 13,814 14,464 14,731 14,848 15,120 15,183 15,208 15,334 15,481 15,542 15,813 10,895 11,390 11,739 12,095 12,472 12,615 13,020 13,051 13,090 13,056 13,107 12,952 12,877 12,892 12,930 12,891 13,028 8,868 10,782 Il]l79 11,617 ia',015 01 1.7 5.5 1.8 2.2 1 2.5 1.0 .9 — 1.2 6.4 6.0 4.3 4.4 4.4 5.1 5.2 232,201 234,326 236,393 238',510 240,691 242,860 245,093 247,405 249,992 252,676 7.7 6.8 7.9 6.0 4.8 5.0 4.3 4.4 4.9 5.4 4.8 5.2 5.1 5.4 5.0 5.2 4.9 233,060 235,146 237,231 239,387 241,550 243,745 246,004 248,387 248,950 249,594 250,349 251,074 251,689 252,281 252,990 253,742 254,383 8.6 6.8 8.0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I n m.... IV 1991: I n m.... IV 1992: I ' 2,746.8 2,965.8 3,242.5 3,456.7 3,647.8 3,918.5 4,195.2 4,474.4 4,580.6 4,654.7 4,719.3 4,764.7 4,768.0 4,821.1 4,853.3 4,895.3 4,956.2 372.1 371.6 413.4 448.8 478.5 528.6 542.0 602.9 606.6 622.7 627.5 627.2 617.1 613.6 615.1 618.4 611.1 2,374.7 2,594.3 2,829.1 3,007.9 3,169.3 3,389.9 3,653.2 3,871.4 3,974.0 4,032.0 4,091.8 4,137.5 4,151.0 4,207.5 4,238.2 4,276.8 4,345.1 2,190.9 2,417.9 2,606.5 2,828.7 3,018.2 3,220.1 3,496.7 3,701.3 3,777.4 3,816.2 3,896.2 3,922.5 3,938.4 3,978.7 4,025.7 4,053.5 4,132.5 183.8 176.3 222.6 179.2 151.1 169.8 156.4 170.1 196.6 215.9 195.6 215.0 212.6 228.8 212.5 223.4 212.6 2,832.6 2,960.6 3,118.5 3,178.7 3,266.2 3,335.8 3,443.1 3,493.0 3,531.4 3,545.3 3,547.0 3,529.5 3,514.8 3,537.4 3,539.9 3,547.5 3,579.9 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer payments to rest of the world (net). 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. 10,189 11,033 11,925 12,565 13,121 13,907 14,850 15,586 15,963 16,154 16,344 16,479 16,492 16,678 16,752 16,855 17,081 -0.5 7.2 1.0 1.8 -1.7 5.2 3.2 1.9 3.5 .5 -1.0 -3.1 -2.6 1.6 C) -.3 2.7 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1991, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $5.2 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $4.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 240 240 200 200 160 160 120 120 GROSS FARM INCOME 80 60 60 40 -TV 20 20 NET FARM INCOME 10 10 1 1982 1983 1984 1 1 1 1 1985 1986 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 1989 1 1 1990 1991 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from fanning Net farm income Gross farm income Period Cash marketing receipts Total > Total Crops Value of inventory changes 2 Production expenses Current dollars 1987 dollars 3 166.3 164.1 153.9 168.0 161.2 156.1 168.4 174.5 190.3 195.1 187.9 141.6 142.6 136.8 142.8 144.1 135.3 141.8 151.1 160.9 170.0 166.8 69.2 70.3 69.6 72.9 69.8 71.6 76.0 79.4 84.1 89.6 85.8 72.5 72.3 67.2 69.9 74.3 63.7 65.8 71.6 76.8 80.4 81.1 6.5 14 -10.9 6.0 -2.3 22 -2.3 -3.5 4.3 2.9 -.1 139.4 140.3 139.6 141.9 132.4 125.1 128.7 133.9 140.2 144.3 145.7 26.9 23.8 14.2 26.1 28.8 31.0 39.7 40.6 50.1 50.8 42.3 34.1 28.5 16.3 28.7 30.5 32.0 39.7 39.1 46.2 45.0 36.0 n m 199.3 191.5 188.3 201.6 166.0 166.8 173.7 173.4 89.4 87.9 90.7 90.3 76.6 78.9 83.0 83.1 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.2 142.0 143.5 143.8 147.8 57.2 48.0 44.4 53.6 51.6 42.6 39.1 46.9 n m. w 187.2 186.3 186.5 191.7 164.4 163.2 173.1 166.6 86.1 83.7 86.0 87.2 78.3 79.5 87.1 79.4 .6 1 -.5 7 146.0 147.9 144.2 144.6 41.3 38.4 42.4 47.0 35.6 32.9 36.1 39.8 1981 . 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 * 1990: Livestock and products I IV 1991- I 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. 3 Income in current dollars divided by the GDP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 1992, according to preliminary estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $23.7 billion (annual rate) and profits after tax rose $15.2 billion. BILUONS OF DOLLARS BILUONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 350 PROFITS BEFORE TAX 200 200 PROFITS AFTER TAX 150 TAX LIABILITY "\ ' UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS I -50 1982 I I I I I I I I I I I 1988 1983 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Total 2 Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986. 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 19871988: 19891990- IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I . n m .... IV 1991- I n 1992: 1 2 Profits before tax Nonfinancial Period TTT . IV I". Financial Total3 Wholesale and retail trade Total 166.4 202.2 236.4 225.3 227.6 273.4 320.3 327.0 318.2 315.5 138.6 171.9 205.2 194.5 194.6 233.9 271.2 273.1 258.0 249.5 15.6 24.5 20.3 28.7 35.8 36.4 41.8 39.2 39.6 41.7 123.0 147.4 185.0 165.8 158.9 197.5 229.4 233.9 218.3 207.7 63.1 71.4 86.7 80.1 59.0 87.0 117.5 113.6 95.7 81.7 31.9 38.7 49.7 43.1 46.3 39.9 37.1 42.8 39.8 45.8 176.3 210.7 240.5 225.0 217.8 287.9 347.5 344.5 332.3 312.4 63.1 77.2 94.0 96.5 106.5 127.1 137.0 138.0 135.3 124.5 113.2 133.5 146.4 128.5 111.3 160.8 210.5 206.6 197.0 187.9 160.0 216.2 223.6 228.0 225.0 293.4 340.5 319.2 330.0 335.4 302.4 304.9 315.7 316.1 313.4 316.9 336.9 130.8 182.6 192.9 193.5 192.5 246.3 285.9 258.3 271.9 282.1 245.8 232.1 241.2 254.4 250.4 251.9 269.0 23.0 22.1 20.3 29.0 34.7 39.4 46.1 32.4 41.4 41.5 39.3 36.4 40.1 42.1 43.5 41.3 47.2 107.8 160.5 172.6 164.5 157.8 207.0 239.7 225.9 230.5 240.7 206.5 195.7 201.0 212.3 206.9 210.5 221.8 50.1 90.5 79.2 83.3 63.9 98.7 129.3 101.0 102.1 107.1 94.8 78.9 75.0 82.9 84.1 84.7 33.8 40.7 50.8 39.0 43.1 39.3 39.3 45.1 41.6 45.1 34.4 38.2 45.3 46.9 44.6 46.4 168.6 223.8 220.1 231.8 235.7 311.2 372.2 332.8 336.6 331.6 335.1 326.1 309.1 306.2 31B.2 316.1 339.8 58.7 82.2 83.8 97.6 116.6 135.2 146.2 129.8 137.6 137.9 138.8 127.1 119.4 123.5 128.6 126.4 134.9 109.9 141.6 136.3 134.2 119.2 176.0 226.0 203.0 199.1 193.7 196.3 199.0 189.7 182.7 189.6 189.7 204.9 See p, 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. Manufacturing Tax liability Dividends Undistributed profits 70.0 81.2 82.7 92.4 109.8 106.2 115.3 127.9 133.7 137.8 72.5 84.2 83.4 97.4 111.0 106.3 121.0 130.7 132.3 132.5 133.8 136.2 137.8 136.7 138.1 138.5 138.6 43.2 52.3 63.8 36.1 1.6 54.6 95.2 78.7 63.3 50.2 37.5 57.4 52.9 36.9 8.2 69.7 105.0 72.3 66.7 61.2 62.5 62.8 51.9 46.1 51.5 51.2 66.2 3 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Inventory valuation adjustment -9.9 -8.5 -4.1 .2 9.7 -14.5 -27.3 -17.5 -14.2 3.1 -8.6 -7.6 3.5 -3.8 -10.7 -17.8 -31.7 -13.5 -6.6 3.8 -32.6 -21.2 6.7 9.9 -4.8 .7 r -2.9 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN 1987 DOLLARS According to revised estimates for the first quarter of 1992, nonresidential fixed investment in 1987 dollars rose $2.1 billion (annual rate) and residential investment rose $3.7 billion. There was an $18.4 billion decrease in inventories, following an increase of $7.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 1991. BILLOMS OF 1 987 DOLLARS 900 BILLIONS OF 1 987 DC 3LLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 ^/ 700 ^~" ^^ —\\ ^> / I GROSS P RIVATE DOW ESTIC Ih VESTMENT / 600 ^\ 500 / - s 400 "-^ 700 •v ^^ V~'~ 1 "- ^ """ 600 -"~5T 500 -1 NONRESIC ENTIAL FIXED INVE STMENT ._:-^' 400 R ESIDENTIAL FIXE D INVESTME *IT 300 300 200 200 **' -._.- 100 '""""% * 0 -100 1 1 1 / 1 1982 1 v^ 1 t 1983 1 1 1984 i i i 1985 100 \, f ^ ^ 7 \^ -.. — - — " " CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES \ S* 1 1 1 1986 * ~ ^^ f 7 1 1 1 1987 I i i 1988 i i i i 1989 i i \ 1990 1 1991 0 N _ _ f I 1 1 I -100 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of 1987 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Change in business inventories Fixed investment Gross private domestic investment Period 1982 . 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 198219831984198519861987: 19881989: ... IV IV IV IV IV IV IV IV . . . .. 1991- I n TTT IV .. . 1992- I ' Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 540.5 599.5 757.5 745.9 735.1 749.3 773.4 789.2 744.5 673.7 503.5 669.5 756.4 763.1 705.9 793.8 785.0 779.2 . 1990- I n m rv .. 754.9 766.0 760.3 696.6 657.0 656.3 686.5 694.9 674.7 Nonresidential Total Total Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Total Nonfarm 558.0 595.1 689.6 723.8 726.5 723.0 753.4 756.6 744.2 687.6 548.4 640.2 708.4 732.9 725.9 733.9 764.1 749.2 758.9 743.8 746.4 727.8 433.9 420.8 490.2 521.8 500.3 497.8 530.8 542.4 548.8 512.4 417.2 449.6 509.6 525.5 495.5 510.6 538.8 541.3 181.3 160.3 182.8 197.4 176.6 171.3 174.0 177.4 177.9 154.0 252.6 260.5 307.4 324.4 323.7 326.5 356.8 365.0 370.8 358.3 124.1 174.2 199.3 202.0 226.2 225.2 222.7 214.2 195.5 175.2 4.4 67.9 22.1 8.5 26.3 19.9 32.6 .2 -13.9 -20.7 12.8 66.2 19.8 10.6 32.7 26.9 33.3 -1.5 -13.9 173.2 162.6 189.5 198.3 170.4 177.9 175.7 178.6 244.0 287.0 320.1 327.2 325.0 332.7 363.1 362.7 131.2 190.6 198.8 207.4 230.5 223.3 225.3 207.9 —44.9 29.3 47.9 30.2 -20.1 59.9 20.9 30.0 -46.2 32.3 50.8 28.0 -18.6 62.1 30.5 38.1 550.7 544.3 555.5 544.5 182.3 178.9 180.0 170.4 208.2 199.5 190.9 183.3 -4.0 22.1 13.9 -31.2 -5.5 15.5 9.9 -25.7 689.8 686.8 686.5 687.2 693.1 519.1 514.8 510.0 505.6 163.3 158.9 148.4 145.4 170.7 172.0 176.5 181.7 -32.8 30.4 .1 7.6 31.1 -30.8 -2.8 9.2 507.7 144.3 368.4 365.4 375.5 374.0 355.8 355.8 361.6 360.1 363.4 185.4 -18.4 17.5 18.1 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department January-March 1992 survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 4.6 percent in 1992, following a decline of 0.6 percent in 1991. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 500 500 400 400 I \ ALL INDUSTRIES 300 300 NONMANUFACTURING-!-' 200 200 MANUFACTURING 100 L/ I 1983 1984 1986 1985 I I 1987 1989 1988 1990 •SECOND HALF I/SURVEYED QUARTERLY S/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1991 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Manufacturing Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 4 1990: I n 1C ... TV 1991: I n m IV 1992: I 44 n 2nd half 4 All industries Total 324.73 326.19 321.16 373.83 410.12 399.36 410.52 455.49 507.40 532.61 529.20 553.68 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.61 183.61 182.81 532.50 534.55 534.11 530.13 Nonmanufacturing 358.77 363.08 359.73 418.38 454.93 447.11 461.51 508.22 563.93 591.96 588.74 616.25 Nonmanufacturing Total Surveyed quarterly 230.09 239.11 242.38 278.77 302.05 309.16 320.45 344.77 380.13 399.34 405.13 433.43 196.06 202.22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 339.99 345.59 370.86 Nondurable goods Total1 Mining Transportation Public utilities 58.93 54.58 51.61 64.57 70.87 65.68 68.03 77.04 82.56 82.58 77.95 78.18 69.75 69.39 65.74 75.04 82.01 72.28 73.03 86.41 101.24 110.04 105.66 104.63 196.06 202.22 203.82 234.22 257.24 261.40 269.46 292.04 323.60 339.99 345.59 370.86 15.81 14.11 10.64 11.86 12.00 8.15 8.28 9.29 9.21 9.88 10.02 9.12 12.67 11.75 10.81 13.44 14.57 15.05 15.07 16.63 18.84 21.47 22.69 24.44 47.17 53.58 52.95 57.53 59.58 56.61 56.26 60.37 66.28 67.21 66.51 71.31 120.41 122.79 129.41 151.39 171.09 181.59 189.84 205.76 229.28 241.43 246.37 266.00 192.16 195.02 194.05 189.72 86.03 84.15 82.48 79.03 106.14 110.87 111.57 110.69 340.33 339.53 340.06 340.41 9.62 9.77 9.97 10.12 21.84 21.94 21.08 21.18 65.41 64.64 67.68 70.24 243.46 243.18 241.32 238.87 192.16 195.02 194.05 189.72 340.33 339.53 340.06 340.41 535.50 524.57 527.86 528.88 191.13 187.35 177.05 178.90 81.24 79.69 74.51 76.36 109.90 107.66 102.54 102.54 344.37 337.22 350.81 349.98 9.89 10.09 10.09 10.00 23.25 23.05 22.83 21.65 67.04 64.58 66.47 67.96 244.19 239.50 251.42 250.37 191.13 187.35 177.05 178.90 344.37 337.22 350.81 349.98 544.99 557.48 556.12 181.84 186.26 181.57 80.32 79.63 76.38 101.52 106.64 105.19 363.14 371.22 374.55 9.12 9.29 9.04 21.42 23.85 26.24 70.40 72.40 71.21 262.20 265.68 268.05 181.84 186.26 181.57 363.14 371.22 374.55 Durable goods 1 Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May 1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries. 2 "All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually. 10 Total nonfann business2 Commercial and other Manufacturing 128.68 123.97 117.35 139.61 152.88 137.95 141.06 163.45 183.80 192.61 183.61 182.81 Surveyed annually* 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 59.35 59.54 62.57 3 Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1992, corrected for biases. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In April, civilian employment rose 327,000 and unemployment fell 87,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 130 MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 130 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 126 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 122 122 118 118 ~r 114 114 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 110 110 106 106 102 102 12 UNEMPLOYMENT / I IIIII I I I I I II I I I I I I I I I I I I II 1984 1985 I IIIIIIi ii I 1989 1988 1986 1990 1991 1992 *1« YEARS OF AGE AND OVER COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr May June .... July Aug Sept .... Oct Nov Dee 1992: Jan Feb Mar Apr Unemployment Civilian employment Civilian Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA Resident Armed Forces NSA 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 189,686 191,329 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 1,637 1,564 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 126,424 126,867 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 119,550 118,440 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 121,669 123,869 124,787 125,303 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 117,914 116,877 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 3,169 111,800 3,199 114,142 3,186 114,728 3,233 113,644 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 4,965 4,657 4,860 5,767 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,874 8,426 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 1,610 1,375 1,504 2,323 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 66.4 66.0 57.8 57.9 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 62.7 61.6 190,836 190,980 191,173 191,443 191,589 191,746 191,903 192,057 192,209 1,456 ,458 ,505 ,604 ,616 ,624 ,614 ,605 ,604 127,100 126,717 127,029 126,808 126,620 127,214 127,122 126,979 127,223 118,844 118,188 118,414 118,333 118,100 118,713 118,481 118,377 118,332 125,644 125,259 125,524 125,204 125,004 125,590 125,508 125,374 125,619 117,388 116,730 116,909 116,729 116,484 117,089 116,867 116,772 116,728 3,187 3,256 3,286 3,244 3,254 3,283 3,204 3,272 3,183 114,201 113,474 113,623 113,485 113,230 113,806 113,663 113,500 113,545 5,791 5,697 5,469 5,660 5,710 6,040 6,055 6,123 6,084 8,256 8,529 8,615 8,475 8,520 8,501 8,641 8,602 8,891 2,180 2,213 2,488 2,355 2,417 2,422 2,570 2,623 2,843 66.3 66.1 66.2 66.0 65.8 66.1 66.0 65.8 65.9 62.0 61.6 61.6 61.5 61.3 61.6 61.4 61.3 61.2 192,358 192,469 192,607 192,745 1,599 1,585 1,585 1,577 127,645 127,872 128,175 128,407 118,716 118,628 118,933 119,252 126,046 126,287 126,590 126,830 117,117 117,043 117,348 117,675 3,166 3,232 3,194 3,209 113,951 113,811 114,155 114,465 6,429 6,213 6,180 5,910 8,929 9,244 9,242 9,155 3,059 3,204 3,185 3,018 66.1 66.2 66.3 66.3 61.4 61.3 61.4 61.6 Labor force including resident Armed Forces Employment including resident Armed Forces Nonagricultural Civilian labor force 1 Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc. 2 Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninatitutiona! population. Agricultural Total Total Part time for economicl reasons Total 15 weeks and over Labor force participation rate Inor (per-2 cent) Employment/ population ratio (per- cent) 2 'Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in estimation procedures. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In April, the civilian unemployment rate fell to 7.2 percent and the overall unemployment rate fell to 7.1 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 TEENAGERS (16-19) 10 MEN 20 YEARS AND OVER WOMEN 20 YEARS AND OVER 1988 1992 1990 1991 * UNEMPtOYMENI AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Unemployment rate, all workers 1 Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 5.4 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.0 1991: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar Apr .... ... .... .... .... .... 7.0 7.2 7.2 7.1 By sex and age All civilian workers 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.5 6.7 6.6 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.1 7.3 7.3 7.2 Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 4.9 6.3 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 4.8 5.7 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.6 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.7 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.8 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.1 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.3 Both sexes 16-19 years 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 15.5 18.6 18.2 18.9 19.0 19.9 19.0 18.2 18.9 18.7 19.3 18.3 20.0 20.6 19.2 White 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.7 6.0 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.3 1 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. 2 Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours. 12 By selected groups By race Black and other 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 10.1 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.2 10.6 11.1 11.1 11.5 11.0 11.5 12.6 12.2 12.2 12.4 Black 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 11.3 12.4 12.5 12.8 12.7 11.9 12.4 12.3 12.8 12.3 12.7 13.7 13.8 14.1 13.9 Experienced wage and salary workers Married men, spouse present 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 5.3 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 3.4 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.7 6.9 7.1 7.2 6.9 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.7 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 Women who maintain families 11. -7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 8.1 8.1 8.2 9.1 9.6 9.2 9.1 8.5 9.4 9.0 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.2 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Labor force time lost (percent) 2 Pulltime workers Parttime workers 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 5.2 6.5 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 7.4 8.3 11.0 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 6.2 7.6 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.0 7.0 8.2 8.8 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.6 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.9 8.1 9.1 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.1 8.3 8.3 8.3 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In April, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 15-26 weeks fell, and the percentages for 5-14 weeks and for 27 weeks and over rose. The mean duration of unemployment fell to 17.0 weeks and the median duration rose to 8.8 weeks. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION 70 70 DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT LESS THAN 5 WEEKS / - 5-14 WEEKS K IV 1989 1988 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 46.1 40.1 40.2 42.2 39.2 39.8 39.9 39.0 38.2 38.1 37.1 36.8 33.3 36.0 35.9 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 32.0 32.3 33.1 31.8 32.3 32.3 31.6 32.7 32.1 31.5 31.0 29.5 31.7 29.1 30.2 Insured State programs Number of weeks 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Median 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 11.8 14.5 14.5 13.9 15.7 14.6 14.8 14.7 16.4 15.1 15.4 16.1 16.1 15.5 14.4 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 10.1 13.0 12.2 12.0 12.8 13.2 13.7 13.6 13.4 15.3 16.5 17.7 18.9 19.4 19.6 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 12.1 13.8 13.4 13.1 14.0 13.9 14.1 14.2 14.6 14.9 15.3 16.4 17.0 17.1 17.0 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 5.4 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.9 6.8 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.7 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.0 8.8 Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 48.3 54.7 54.0 53.6 54.7 54.7 55.4 56.1 55.1 54.8 56.2 53.7 57.8 57.3 56.5 7.9 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 14.8 11.6 12.0 12.1 12.3 11.6 10.5 11.0 11.4 11.5 10.3 11.0 9.8 9.9 11.3 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 27.4 24.8 25.0 25.3 24.4 24.3 24.9 23.8 24.2 24.6 24.4 26.4 23.5 24.0 23.1 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 9.5 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.5 9.4 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.0 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.8 9.2 Insured unemployment Initial claims ployment, all regular programs (unadjusted) 1 Weekly average, thousands 1982 1983 1984. 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr May y J July . Sept Oct Nov . . Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar . . 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 6,874 8,426 8,256 8,529 8,615 8,475 8,520 8,501 8,641 8,602 8,891 8,929 9,244 9,242 9,155 1 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program. 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,081 2,158 2,522 3,342 3,490 3,475 3,406 3,336 3,283 3,267 3,273 3,313 3,317 3,349 3,324 3,340 3,348 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 388 447 460 433 421 418 415 415 418 448 464 446 452 440 412 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,135 2,205 2,575 3,407 3,864 3,262 3,177 3,270 2,999 2,795 2,795 2,846 3,565 4,197 4,199 r 4,102 3,626 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 126,000 in April. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) 30 , 110 , ^ \ ALLNCDNAGRICULT JRAL ES ABLISHMEN S 100 f^\ 26 +— 80 ' 'SERVICES " 22 SER /ICE-PRODUC:ING INDUSTRIES RET> IL TRADE —\ 20 70 18 60 ,. 16 ^S? \ . GOVERNM :NT Illllllllll Illllllllll ^—-*— • ' -, - INDUSTRIES \ \ ' iiiiiliini ' Illllllllll. \ MANUFACTURING \ 1 1 18 iiimlmii iiiiiliini 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 imll'll ITU ill m 1 1 1 1 1 1 ii 30 20 _i "»•• ^ 90 40 —^-] 28 1988 "^~ Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l 1989 imilnm I l l l l l l l l l l 1991 1990 1992 V Illllllllll Illllllllll " 1988 1989 N r~ 1 -, iiiiiliiiii inn linn 1990 *5EASONAUY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR | 1991 1992 * COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Goods-producing industries r enou T>annd Total nonagricultural employment Manufacturing Total2 pvonrt Btructlon Total 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,536 108,329 109,971 108,981 23,813 23,334 24,727 24^859 24)558 24,708 25473 25,322 24*958 23,819 4)673 4^816 4,967 5410 5,187 5436 4,696 18,781 18434 19,378 19)260 18^965 19,024 19)350 19,442 19411 18,426 1991: Apr 108,736 May.... 108,887 June ... 108,885 July.... 108,859 Aug.... 108,971 Sept ... 109,066 Oct .... 109,073 Nov ... 108,843 Dec .... 108,882 1992: Jan .... 108,760 Feb r... 108,866 Mar r .. 108,905 Apr".. 109,031 23,794 23,847 23,792 23,798 23,826 23,797 23,727 23,595 23,552 23,506 23,486 23,501 23,492 4,688 4,715 4,710 4,695 4,691 4,699 4,671 4,584 4,589 4,602 4,578 4,594 4,583 18,396 18,426 18,378 18,402 18,442 18,414 18,377 18,337 18,293 18,238 18,245 18,246 18,254 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 89,566 90,200 94,496 3,905 3)948 4 383 Durable goods 11,014 10*707 11 479 11,464 ll!203 11,167 11,381 11,420 11,115 10556 7,767 7J26 7 899 7)796 7J61 7,858 7".969 8,022 7)995 7,870 65,753 66)866 69 769 72,660 74)967 77,492 80)363 83 007 85,014 85 163 5,082 4)954 5,159 5)288 5)255 5,372 5)527 5,644 5)826 5,824 10,560 10,575 10,534 10,546 10,553 10,531 10,493 10,457 10,414 10,367 10,380 10,379 10,377 7,836 7,851 7,844 7,856 7,889 7,883 7,884 7,880 7,879 7,871 7,865 7,867 7,877 84,942 85,040 85,093 85,061 85,145 85,269 85,346 85,248 85,330 85,254 85,380 85,404 85,539 5,814 5,819 5,809 5,809 5,820 5,829 5,828 5,816 5,811 5,794 5,801 5,790 5,787 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the moatb. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 Transportation and public utilities Nondurable goods Total Wholesale trade 5,296 5)286 5,574 5)736 5)774 5,865 Untoi] xteuui trade Finance, insurance, and real Government Services Total Federal estate 19,036 19,694 15,837 15,869 16,024 2,739 2,774 15,161 5,341 6,221 6)205 6,072 15,595 16,526 17)336 17,909 18,462 19)077 19,549 19,683 19,346 5)468 5,689 5)955 6,283 6,547 6J649 6,695 6,139 6,708 20,797 21,999 23,053 24,235 25,669 27,120 28,240 28,779 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,386 17,779 18,322 18,433 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 3,085 2,966 6,086 6,085 6,068 6,064 6,050 6,049 6,047 6,034 6,023 6,007 5,997 5,992 5,992 19,324 19,339 19,345 19,347 19,343 19,338 19,288 19,227 19,224 19,168 19,296 19,260 19,306 6,718 6,712 6,703 6,688 6,687 6,692 6,697 6,694 6,701 6,693 6,701 6,704 6,710 28,576 28,645 28,712 28,733 28,831 28,937 29,019 29,008 29,057 29,073 29,075 29,091 29,163 18,424 18,440 18,456 18,420 18,414 18,424 18,467 18,469 18,514 18,519 18,510 18,567 18,581 2,953 2,952 2,971 2,963 2,967 2,979 2,983 2,982 2,986 2,983 2,981 2,989 2,986 e)o55 weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. * Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average weekly hours Average gross hourly earnings Period Total private nonagricultural ' 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- Apr May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan Feb * Mar ' Apr" Total Average gross weekly earnings Total private nonagricultural l Manufacturing Overtime Current dollars Total private nonagricultural * 1982 2 Manufacturing dollars Current dollars Current dollars dollars 2 Manufacturing Construction Retail trade 1982 Percent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultural 3 1982 dollars Current dollars 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.6 34.5 34.3 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 40.8 40.7 2.3 $7.68 $7.68 $8.49 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.6 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.28 9.66 10.02 10.34 7.79 7.80 7.77 7.81 7.73 7.69 7.64 7.53 7.46 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.19 10.48 10.83 11.18 $267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.02 334.24 345.69 354.66 $267.26 272.52 274.73 271.16 271.94 269.16 266.79 264.22 259.72 255.89 $330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.81 429.68 441.86 455.03 $426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 495.73 513.17 526.40 533.78 $163.83 171.13 174.47 174.81 175.80 178.80 183.62 188.72 194.69 200.20 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.8 3.4 2.6 -1.2 2.0 .8 13 .3 -1.0 9 10 j7 -1.5 34.0 34.3 34.6 34.1 34.3 34.5 34.3 34.4 34.5 40.2 40.4 40.8 40.7 41.0 41.0 40.9 41.0 41.1 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 10.28 10.32 10.37 10.36 10.40 10.41 10.40 10.44 10.48 7.46 7.47 7.49 7.47 7.49 7.47 7.45 7.45 7.46 11.12 11.15 11.19 11.22 11.25 11.25 11.26 11.31 11.32 349.52 353.98 358.80 353.28 356.72 359.15 356.72 359.14 361.56 253.64 256.32 259.25 254.89 256.82 257.82 255.53 256.35 257.52 447.02 450.46 456.55 456.65 461.25 461.25 460.53 463.71 465.25 532.50 533.40 532.64 532.38 533.25 537.73 536.97 527.42 537.86 197.95 200.33 202.59 199.65 201.34 203.04 200.50 204.19 203.77 2.5 2.9 3.1 1.9 3.0 2.8 3.3 3.0 3.0 — 2.1 -1.9 — 1.4 -2.3 -.5 -.3 .6 .2 .3 34.2 34.7 34.5 34.4 40.8 41.1 41.1 41.1 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.0 10.47 10.51 10.55 10.54 7.45 7.46 7.46 7.43 11.28 11.33 11.36 11.44 358.07 364.70 363.98 362.58 254.85 259.02 257.23 255.70 460.22 465.66 466.90 470.18 531.62 523.77 532.60 538.12 202.64 207.48 206.64 203.92 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.1 .6 1.1 .9 .1 1 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1982 = 100 base). 3 Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100) Period 12 months earlier 3 months earlier Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits ' Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits I Not seasonally adjusted 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 19901991: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90.1 93.1 97.6 102.3 107.0 111.7 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 106.1 110.0 1989: Mar 98.9 99.9 101.2 102.4 99.1 100.0 101.1 102.2 98.2 99.9 101.5 103.0 103.8 105.0 106.2 107.2 103.3 104.4 105.4 106.2 Dec 108.5 109.7 110.8 111.9 Mar 113.0 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 109.4 116.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 Dee 1990: Mar Sept Dec 1991: Mar June Sept 1992: 1 7.2 7.4 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.6 1.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 105.2 106.7 108.3 109.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 .9 1.1 1.1 1.0 .8 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.0 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.6 107.3 108.4 109.2 110.1 111.4 113.2 115.1 116.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 .7 .8 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.2 111.0 118.4 1.0 .8 1.5 4.2 3.4 6.3 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of iabor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.7 .6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 .9 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 6.6 6.2 Not seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Sept 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 .7 .6 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 .8 .6 Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistic! 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Output 1 Business sector Hours of 2all persons Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Compensation per hour 3 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Keal compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator <• Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 1982 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985... 1986 1987 1988. .. 1989 1990 1991 .. . 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: IV IV IV IV IV IV IV I n m IV 1990: I n m IV 1991: I n m rv 99.9 100.0 102.4 104.5 105.4 107.5 108.3 109.2 108.2 108.1 108.4 102.4 100.0 104.1 112.6 116.7 119.9 124,8 130.1 132.4 132.9 131.0 102.4 100.0 104.4 113.0 116.8 120.1 125.0 130.6 132.8 133.2 131.1 102.5 100.0 101.8 107.6 109.9 110.7 114.1 117.9 120.9 121.2 119.1 102.5 100.0 102.0 108.1 110.8 111.8 115.4 119.5 122.7 123.1 120.9 93.0 100.0 103.7 108.1 113.0 118.6 122.7 128.0 132.5 139.6 145.1 93.0 100.0 103.9 108.1 112.6 118.1 122.1 127.2 131.5 138.3 143.8 98.7 100.0 100.5 100.4 101.3 104.4 104.3 104.4 103.1 103.1 102.8 98.8 100.0 100.7 100.4 101.0 104.0 103.7 103.8 102.3 102.1 101.9 93.1 100.0 101.5 103.3 106.5 109.5 112.2 116.0 121.0 127.2 131.9 93.1 100.0 101.5 103.4 106.8 109.9 112.8 116.4 121.5 127.9 132.6 94.5 100.0 103.4 107.7 111.2 113.6 116.6 120.8 126.0 130.8 135.1 94.2 100.0 104.0 107.6 111.6 114.2 117.2 121.4 126.4 131.3 136.0 101.1 103.0 105.2 106.9 108.0 110.3 110.4 101.0 103.2 105.1 105.8 107.1 109.1 109.6 100.0 107.5 114.4 118.0 120.6 127.4 131.7 100.0 108.1 114.8 118.2 120.8 127.6 132.5 98.9 104.3 108.7 110.4 111.6 115.5 119.3 98.9 104.7 109.2 111.7 112.8 117.0 121.0 102.1 105.2 109.7 115.4 120.6 125.3 130.1 102.1 105.1 109.7 114.8 120.1 124.6 129.3 100.6 100.4 100.6 102.2 105.3 104.8 104.3 100.6 100.3 100.5 101.6 104.9 104.2 103.6 101.0 102.1 104.3 108.0 111.6 113.7 117.8 101.1 101.8 104.4 108.4 112.1 114.3 118.0 101.1 104.8 109.0 112.4 114.6 117.9 122.8 101.4 105.2 109.0 112.9 115.2 118.5 123.4 110.0 109.7 109.2 109.1 108.8 108.2 107.9 107.8 132.6 132.5 132.4 132.2 133.0 132.8 132.8 132.6 120.5 120.7 121.3 121.2 122.2 122.7 123.1 123.0 131.3 131.9 132.6 134.1 130.4 130.7 131.5 133.0 104.0 102.9 102.7 102.7 103.3 102.0 101.8 101.9 119.3 120.2 121.5 122.8 119.8 120.8 121.9 123.4 124.2 125.6 126.4 127.6 124.5 126.0 126.9 128.0 109.6 110.3 109.6 109.4 108.1 108.6 107.9 107.9 133.2 133.9 132.9 131.8 133.5 134.1 133.1 132.0 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.5 123.5 123.4 123.3 122.4 136.2 139.0 140.9 142.3 134.9 137.6 139.5 141.0 102.6 103.6 103.3 102.6 101.7 102.6 102.3 101.7 124.3 126.1 128.5 130.1 124.9 126.7 129.2 130.7 128.8 130.2 131.6 132.5 129.2 130.6 132.2 133.3 109.4 109.9 110.2 110.8 107.9 108.4 108.6 109.1 130.2 130.7 131.3 131.6 130.4 130.9 131.4 131.6 119.1 119.0 119.2 118.7 120.9 120.8 121.0 120.6 143.2 144.8 145.8 146.9 142.0 143.6 144.5 145.5 102.4 103.0 103.0 102.9 101.6 102.1 102.1 101.8 131.0 131.8 132.3 132.6 131.6 132.5 133.0 133.3 134.0 135.0 135.6 135.9 134.9 135.7 136.4 137.0 99.9 100.0 102.2 104.6 106.1 , 108.3 109.4 110.4 109.5 109.7 110.0 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1981 1982 1983. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 . 1989 1990 1991 1989: I . n m IV 1990: I n m IV 1991- I n m rv 1.3 .1 2.2 2.3 1.4 2.0 1.0 .9 7 .2 .2 0.9 .1 2.4 2.1 .8 1.9 .8 .9 -.9 -.1 .3 1.9 -2.3 4.1 8.2 3.6 2.8 4.1 4.3 1.8 .4 -1.5 1.6 -2.4 4.4 8.2 3.4 2.8 4.1 4.4 1.7 .3 16 0.6 25 1.8 5.7 2.1 .7 3.1 3.3 2.6 .2 -1.7 0.7 -2.4 2.0 6.0 2.5 .9 3.3 3.5 2.7 .3 18 9.4 7.6 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.9 3.5 4.3 3.5 5.4 3.9 9.6 7.5 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.9 3.4 4.1 3.4 5.2 4.0 -0.8 1.3 .5 -.1 .9 3.0 -.1 .1 -1.2 -.0 -.3 -0.7 1.2 .7 -.3 .6 3.0 -.2 0 -1.4 2 -.2 8.0 7.4 1.5 1.9 3.0 2.8 2.5 3.3 4.3 5.2 3.7 8.6 7.4 1.5 1.9 3.3 2.9 2.6 3.2 4.3 5.3 3.7 10.1 5.8 3.4 4.1 3.3 2.2 2.6 3.6 4.3 3.8 3.3 10.1 6.1 4.0 3.5 3.7 2.4 2.6 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.5 -1.5 -1.0 -2.0 -.2 -2.8 -2.0 -1.3 -.3 2.6 -.3 — .1 -.6 1.4 -.6 .1 -.7 4.2 .7 2.0 -.4 4.3 1.4 1.4 — .4 3.5 2.0 2.1 4.4 3.4 1.1 2.5 4.5 -1.1 -4.0 -1.0 .3 -1.3 -4.8 -.7 .4 5.1 3.1 4.2 4.6 6.4 3.2 3.8 4.8 4.7 4.4 2.7 3.7 3.9 4.7 3.0 3.5 1.7 2.4 -2.2 -.9 1.0 2.1 -2.5 3 3.0 2.0 -3.0 -3.0 2.7 1.8 -3.0 -3.1 1.2 -.5 -.8 -2.2 1.8 g -.5 -2.8 6.6 8.4 5.7 4.1 6.0 8.1 5.6 4.4 -.4 4.1 -1.3 -2.6 -1.0 3.9 -1.4 -2.3 4.8 5.8 8.1 5.0 5.0 5.9 8.4 4.7 4.0 4.3 4.4 2.8 3.8 4.5 4.8 3.4 — .1 1.9 1.1 2.2 .1 1.9 .9 1.7 49 1.7 1.8 .8 -4.9 1.6 1.6 .6 -4.7 -.3 .7 -1.5 49 -.3 .7 -1.1 2.6 4.6 2.7 3.2 2.7 4.6 2.6 2.7 -.6 2.0 0 -.4 2.7 2.6 1.6 .9 2.7 2.6 1.8 .9 4.5 2.9 1.8 1.1 4.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1987 dollars. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data, 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. * Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dolia/ gross domestic product. NOTE.—Data relate to ail persons engaged in the sector. 16 2.1 -.9^ Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Data reflect the recent comprehensive (benchmark) revision of the national income and product accounts by the Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). BEA data for output and compensation for 1991 incorporate benchmarking to unemployment insurance (UI) records. However, the detailed UI information needed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure employment and hours for 1990 and 1991 is not yet available. Therefore, movements in measures based on hours of labor input should be interpreted with caution for 1990 and 1991. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose again in April. INDE <, 1987 = 100* (RATIO SCALE] INDE)(, 1987 = 100* (RATIO SCALE) 120 130 115 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 110 105 FINAL PRODUCTS —J -•• x—-1 ^ \ 100 u i n l , m, , mlll 105 ||||M IMMlllMI 100 120 MANUFACTURING DURABLE EQUIPMENT f y ^'" \ _,,__ 95 x -~-^^'~f *-~'\ -~/\' CONSUMEI GOODS \., '^l* 115 ~-'^~ ^ 100 95 P yQ*-V .^~— ' ~| / 105 ^ 1 1 , 1 1 inn | Illllllllll PERC ENT* 88 UTILITIES AND MINING (\ \ i 84 r^ .» / "» . , V-' V V V' >^ \r^^> ^^ , 95 1988 V 82 h/" ^~^] y~^~~\ \ \_/ \^ 78 -^^ 76 1991 1990 ~^ 80 MINING 1989 CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE (TOTAL INDUSTRY) 86 A. J 100 ""•> 85 80 UTILITIES 105 '\ r ^ NONDURABLE mnliim , | | M | 110 "'- I^ S* 120 115 "\" DEFENSE AND SPACE E QUIPMENT 90 110 \^^-~^ x r/\ / \ 1 /] ^ V BUSINESS 115 ^/—^ ^ _^ A- 120 110 95 __- 125 , 1 1 H11 ! 1 1I 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1,, 1988 1992 M 1 1 1 1 1 Ii 1 1 1 1 1! 1 1 1 1 1 ,! 1 1 1 1 1 1 , 1 1 1 1 1991 1990 1989 SEASONALLY ADJ USTED OURCE. BOARD O GOVERNORS OF T HE FEDERAL BESER /E SYSTEM 1 1992 COUNCtL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period Index, 1987 = 100 1981 1982 1983 Capacity utilization rate, percent 1 Industry production indexes, 1987 = 100 Manufacturing Percent change from year "earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 109.2 107.1 1.9 — 4.4 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 1.0 -1.9 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 109.9 107.5 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 111.6 107.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 107.8 107.9 114.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 102.6 101.1 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 108.0 109.2 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 83.0 79.4 78.8 72.8 74.9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 82.3 78.2 Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 105.5 106.4 107.3 108.1 108.0 108.4 108.4 108.1 107.4 -3.0 27 -2.5 -2.1 -2.3 -2.0 14 o '.2 105.9 106.6 107.5 108.3 108.4 108.9 109.0 108.6 108.1 106.0 106.7 107.3 108.1 107.8 108.4 108.2 107.8 107.1 105.9 106.5 107.6 108.6 109.0 109.6 110.1 109.6 109.5 100.9 100.2 102.1 102.7 101.3 101.4 100.7 99.6 98.8 105.9 111.4 111.5 110.9 110.7 109.7 109.4 111.0 107.9 78.6 79.1 79.6 80.0 79.8 79.9 79.8 79.3 78.7 77.5 77.8 78.3 78.7 78.6 78.8 78.7 78.2 77.7 1992: Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr" 106.6 107.2 107.6 108.2 .0 1.4 2.5 2.5 107.4 108.1 108.5 109.0 105.8 107.0 107.2 108.0 109.5 109.4 110.1 110.3 97.8 98.3 97.6 98.4 106.8 106.4 108.9 108.7 78.0 78.3 78.4 78.7 77.0 77.3 77.5 77.7 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: 1 Output as percent of capacity. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Materials Products Intermediate products Final products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: . Apr May ... . . July Aue Sept Oct Nov .. .. Dec 1992- Jan ' Feb r Mar r Apr * 1 . Durable goods Nondurable goods Total1 Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total Energy 80.8 83.0 91.0 94.2 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 110.9 109.6 84.5 88.8 92.8 93.7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 107.3 107.5 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 106.2 102.3 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 107.6 109.0 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 115.5 112.2 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 123.1 121.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 97.3 91.1. 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 107.7 103.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 105.2 96.0 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 109.4 108.4 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 107.8 105.5 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 102.1 102.3 108.7 109.3 110.1 110.2 109.8 110.4 110.6 110.6 109.9 105.5 106.6 108.0 108.3 108.4 109.4 109.7 110.0 109.1 99.3 101.1 104.2 105.5 104.0 107.7 107.5 106.0 104.6 107.2 108.1 109.0 109.0 109.6 109.8 110.3 111.1 110.3 112.8 112.7 112.8 112.8 111.6 111.8 111.9 111.4 110.9 121.3 121.7 121.9 122.5 121.3 122.2 122.3 121.8 121.4 92.5 91.5 91.0 90.0 89.8 89.1 89.1 88.8 88.1 101.2 102.7 104.0 104.0 104.4 104.3 104.1 103.9 103.8 94.9 95.8 97.4 96.9 96.7 96.5 95.4 95.9 95.0 105.6 107.5 108.5 109.0 109.7 109.7 110.1 109.4 110.0 103.4 104.5 105.4 107.0 107.2 107.5 107.4 106.6 105.8 101.1 102.4 103.4 104.1 103.3 103.6 103.1 102.2 100.4 108.7 109.5 110.0 110.6 108.1 108.8 109.5 109.9 101.3 105.3 105.9 107.9 110.0 109.8 110.5 110.5 109.4 110.3 110.7 111.5 119.9 121.2 121.8 122.8 86.7 86.2 86.1 86.0 103.9 103.9 104.3 104.5 95.5 95.9 96.1 96.7 109.9 109.5 110.1 110.0 105.2 105.7 106.1 106.7 100.4 100.5 100.5 101.3 Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1987 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Nondurable manufactures Durable manufactures Transportation equipment Primary metals Period Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr .... .. . ... ... . May T* July Sent Oct Noy Dec 1992: Jan '. Feb r Mar r. Apr" .. . Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109.2 108.4 99.5 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 109.3 109.9 98.0 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 105.9 100.4 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 126.5 123.5 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 111.4 110.1 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 105.5 98.6 58.8 74.5 90.6 99,0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 96.8 90.4 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 101.6 94.2 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 10413 98.8 96.2 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 111.9 112.3 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 110.3 110.9 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 107.6 108.6 94.5 96.9 96.4 101.2 102.6 102.3 102.6 103.5 101.3 91.6 94.0 92.9 99.5 100.6 100.8 102.4 105.6 101.7 98.0 99.1 99.8 100.9 101.4 101.9 101.9 101.8 101.2 123.5 123.6 123.4 123.9 123.3 123.1 123.5 122.8 121.9 109.7 110.6 111.5 111.0 111.5 111.0 109.8 110.7 110.6 97.2 98.2 99.7 101.3 99.0 102.2 102.4 99.7 98.0 86.2 89.8 92.5 96.7 91.6 99.5 100.4 95.9 94.6 92.7 92.5 96.7 94.8 95.3 95.2 93.8 96.4 95.2 93.2 95.2 96.2 97.8 98.3 98.1 98.7 98.8 99.0 110.7 110.6 111.2 111.9 112.3 113.3 114.4 114.2 114.5 109.0 109.2 109.6 111.5 112.3 112.6 113.5 113.0 112.6 107.6 107.8 108.6 108.3 108.7 109.5 109.4 110.1 109.6 102.5 102.5 102.3 102.2 105.0 103.6 104.3 103.3 99.7 100.5 100.1 100.7 121.4 122.1 123.2 124.0 110.0 110.8 111.0 111.2 93.8 96.9 97.1 99.4 87.1 93.8 94.3 99.2 97.4 98.5 98.3 97.8 97.5 97.5 97.6 97.0 114.8 114.2 114.4 114.5 112.7 113.3 114.3 114.6 109.2 109.5 110.1 110.4 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally ignited] Construction contracts • Private Period Total new construction expenditures Residential Total New housing units Total1 Commercial and industrial* Other Federal, State, and local Total value indei (1987=100) and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 1988 1984 1985 1986 .. 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 294.9 348.8 377.4 407.7 419.3 432.2 443.7 446.4 404.0 231.5 278.6 299.5 323.1 328.6 337.4 345.4 337.8 295.2 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 196.6 182.9 160.6 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 139.2 128.0 110.8 57.7 74.0 89.8 84.4 84.0 88.0 94.3 96.4 78.0 48.2 50.8 51.3 51.6 50.0 51.4 54.6 58.5 58.6 63.5 70.2 77.8 84.6 90.6 94.8 98.3 108.7 108.8 75 83 91 96 100 101 105 95 88 Annual ratet 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 961 783 545 Annual rates 1991: Am Mav T J July , * Auir Sept Oct Nov Dec 407.1 399.0 398.2 398.4 403.2 407.0 408.8 405.5 400.8 299.0 291.0 290.9 290.3 293.4 296.6 296.3 293.7 291.2 151.8 154.6 158.3 158.0 162.8 166.6 166.9 166.5 165.4 100.6 103.2 106.7 109.9 114.4 118.0 118.2 118.8 119.0 87.0 78.2 73.8 73.4 72.0 71.2 70.7 68.3 67.3 60.2 58.3 58.8 58.9 58.6 58.8 58.7 58.9 58.5 108.0 108.0 107.3 108.1 109.7 110.4 112.5 111.8 109.6 r 95 89 83 88 92 87 96 '82 r 96 624 565 438 469 507 408 625 474 479 1992: Jan . .. Feb 1'. Mar Apr* 409.7 412.4 420.0 418.8 296.2 297.7 302.6 304.4 170.1 170.3 173.8 176.9 120.4 121.9 125.0 127.6 65.8 66.7 67.4 66.5 60.3 60.7 61.4 61.1 113.5 114.8 117.4 114.4 r 472 563 497 499 1 Includes residential improvementa, not shown separately. Includes hotels and motels ' F.W. Dodge series. S4 100 96 93 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. z NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1982. 1983 1984. 1985 1986. 1987 1988. 1989 1990. 1991 1 unit 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,376.1 1,192.7 1,013.9 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,003.3 894.8 840.4 918 978 983 1,036 1,053 1,053 1,020 1,085 1,085 1,118 1,180 1,257 1,344 1,115 751 802 830 870 881 881 864 887 907 972 989 1,109 1,077 963 2-4 units 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 37.5 35.6 5 or more units 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 260.4 137.9 New private homes Units authorized 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1.45S.6 1,338.4 1,110.8 r 948.8 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period1 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 1,308.0 1,090.8 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 534 509 253 301 353 346 357 366 368 365 321 283 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.4 1,188 1,090 1,072 1,104 1,065 1,051 1,193 1,073 1,021 1,021 ' 1,043 1,087 1,104 497 505 511 513 505 522 499 526 578 578 r 667 622 523 530 308 302 298 296 295 292 292 289 286 283 281 269 277 274 7.5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1991: Mar Mav ^ J July . J Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan Feb r Mar ' Apr" 27 32 36 26 46 41 28 49 33 46 28 24 52 29 1 Seasonally adjusted. » Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1889 not comparable with earlier data. NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data 140 144 117 140 126 131 128 149 145 100 163 124 215 123 r 918 913 988 r 956 r 971 r 940 r 974 r 994 r 979 ' 1,073 r l,106 1,146 1,094 1,058 r 7.3 7.6 7.3 7.4 are for 16,000 places. Seasonally adjusted housing units authorized have been revised beginning 1990; unadjusted data • -- • • - — Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In March, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.5 percent and inventories rose $3.1 billion. In April, according to advance data, retail sales rose 0.9 percent, following a decline of 0.9 percent in March. (Retail series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE] 1,000 300 900 250 800 700 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES 200 600 500 150 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE SALES RETAIL SALES 400 100 300 RATIO ' 1.80 INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.70 „ 1.60 N^-A^ 200 1.50 ^^ \^ff \^ r1 \ r /^. MANUFACTURING ~ •v^ ^/ \_ AND IR>\Ub II 1 1 ll 1 1 II 1 M i n i u m 1 1 1 II 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.30 1992 1989 \ k.;.^^ •x \~</y~/v vv / 1.40 1988 .. 1989 1988 1990 1 ! 1 1 I1 1 11 1! 1991 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturing and trade * Sales Period Sales 2 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Inventory-sales ratio 4 .Retail Wholesale Total 2 Durable goods stores Inventories Nondurable goods stores 3 Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 237,599 240,217 243,162 235,626 236,202 235,890 234,736 235,650 236,523 238,842 240,746 240,879 243,162 240,986 241,938 243,987 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 120,138 119,331 117,454 114,943 115,741 115,333 114,017 114,364 115,121 116,582 117,293 116,873 117,454 115,918 117,259 118,816 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 117,461 120,886 125,708 120,683 120,461 120,557 120,719 121,286 121,402 122,260 123,453 124,006 125,708 125,068 124,679 125,171 Manufacturing and trade ' Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 r 1990 r 1991 r 1991- Mar r Apr r May '' June r July r Aug r Sept r . Oct T Nov r Dec T. 1992: Jan r Feb r . .. Mar" Apr p 1 2 3 4 348,755 370,441 411,391 423,806 431,668 459,088 496,330 526,274 544,441 537,165 525,193 532,845 537,853 539,006 542,703 541,237 542,570 545,068 544,344 534,477 539,317 547,004 549,990 574,518 590,968 650,789 665,060 664,031 711,595 767,700 809,697 823,720 815,078 817,637 816,399 811,399 806,743 806,458 806,414 808,890 811,815 812,591 815,078 811,549 812,053 815,142 96,290 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124,254 135,176 144,005 149,193 144,970 142,856 145,019 144,927 145,217 147,635 145,524 146,000 145,365 144,772 144,200 145,142 145,568 147,440 See page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. End of period. Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios. 20 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,273 194,692 196,215 196,029 195,052 193,632 192,039 192,806 192,503 191,211 193,005 193,892 196,215 196,571 197,314 198,393 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,613 145,580 152,126 153,562 153,622 152,940 154,637 154,671 154,875 153,819 154,330 154,569 154,092 154,280 157,808 159,753 r 158,368 159,837 28,013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 54,329 55,065 54,413 54,559 54,159 54,731 55,011 54,819 54,080 55,223 55,450 54,722 55,406 56,919 57,961 r 57,374 58,577 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,332 91,252 97,061 99,149 99,063 98,781 99,906 99,660 100,056 99,739 99,107 99,119 99,370 98,874 100,889 101,792 r 100,994 101,260 1.67 1.55 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.50 1.49 1.51 1.50 1.52 1.56 1.53 1.51 1.50 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.53 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.59 1.57 1.55 1.53 1.54 1.53 1.52 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.53 1.51 1.54 Note.—Retail sales and inventories revised beginning 1989. Total manufacturing and trade series reflect the revisions. Wholesale, manufacturing, and additional retail series will he revised in next month's issue. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In April, manufacturers' shipments and new orders rose, while inventories and unfilled orders fell. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 SHIPMENTS - r\ 240 200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) Jfc-_ 440 360 TOTAL \ ^-——' DUP/kBLE GOODS 160 T"~>TA 280 ... •"" :.— * \ *- — -* ^.•-- — — s ,-- \ 200 DURABLE GOODS NON 3URABLE GO 3DS 160 120 If 1 f 1 1 1 1 1 I! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M ll mnlnm 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 NEW ORDERS 240 ' NCENDURABLE 3OODS M 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 1 III 1 ill li 1! ^_^ 60 ^x~ f \ 200 TOTAL 160 l l l l l l l l l II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 III [ i l l ! Ill 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 DURAB LE GOODS . \ RATIO* 2.20 . 120 INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO ^.^'-•^ ^- — "^ 2.00 \ NONC URABLE GOC3DS !.80 80 1.60 1.40 60 1 f 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l l II 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 III III H I M 1992 1988 1991 1989 1990 1.20 1989 1988 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' shipments 1 Manufacturers' new orders 1 Manufacturers' inventories 2 Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, non-defense Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: Mar May , ' July Sept Oct Noy . Dec 1992- Jan Feb Mar '.. Apr' 1 2 163,351 172,547 190,682 194,538 194,657 206,326 223,541 236,689 243,122 238,634 79,212 85,481 97,940 101,279 103,238 108,128 117,993 124,532 125,388 121,588 84,139 87,066 92,742 93,259 91,419 98,198 105,549 112,156 117,735 117,046 311,829 312,350 339,484 334,803 322,731 338,212 367,596 383,825 388,811 375,701 200,409 199,814 221,284 218,182 212,010 220,790 241,389 253,261 252,836 240,292 111,420 112,536 118,200 116,621 110,721 117,422 126,207 130,564 135,975 135,409 162,140 175,451 192,879 195,706 195,204 209,389 227,025 240,758 243,643 237,288 78,064 88,140 100,164 102,356 103,647 110,809 121,444 128,651 125,958 120,139 19,213 19,624 23,669 24,545 23,983 26,096 30,727 34,816 34,032 31,501 84,077 87,311 92,715 93,351 91,557 98,579 105,581 112,107 117,685 117,149 311,893 347,310 373,607 387,241 393,629 430,589 472,223 520,837 527,195 511,348 1.95 1.78 1.73 1.73 1.68 1.59 1.58 1.61 1.60 1.60 228,715 234,886 238,289 239,118 240,193 241,894 242,240 245,134 245,480 235,997 114,487 119,721 121,024 122,240 122,994 124,459 124,965 126,404 126,547 119,795 114,228 115,165 117,265 116,878 117,199 117,435 117,275 118,730 118,933 116,202 385,982 385,145 381,877 379,968 378,002 377,388 378,837 378,064 377,820 375,701 250,405 249,546 246,964 245,642 244,467 243,616 244,310 242,816 242,290 240,292 135,577 135,599 134,913 134,326 133,535 133,772 134,527 135,248 135,530 135,409 226,431 231,229 236,540 233,725 248,090 243,160 237,624 242,230 243,138 234,102 112,116 116,139 118,434 117,128 130,827 125,482 120,092 123,325 124,046 117,785 31,940 28,748 28,038 29,282 36,689 30,993 30,078 31,098 34,876 28,909 114,315 115,090 118,106 116,597 117,263 117,678 117,532 118,905 119,092 116,317 524,742 521,085 519,336 513,943 521,840 523,106 518,490 515,586 513,243 511,348 1.69 1.64 1.60 1.59 1.57 1.56 1.56 1.54 1.54 1.59 236,367 241,683 244,182 244,743 121,615 125,378 126,639 126,305 114,752 116,305 117,543 118,438 373,992 372,801 372,762 371,547 238,891 237,534 236,898 235,664 135,101 135,267 135,864 135,883 235,188 236,942 241,421 243,850 120,567 120,862 123,623 125,265 31,636 31,186 34,113 31,730 114,621 116,080 117,798 118,585 510,169 505,428 502,667 501,774 1.58 1.54 1.53 1.52 Monthlv average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same s End of period. 3 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In April, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.2 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.3 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.3 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.2 percent. INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE] INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED FINISHED GOODS PRICES 130 130 CONSUMER FOODS 120 120 CAPITAL EQUIPMENT y»' 110 110 TOTAL 100 90 100 • CONSUMER GOODS EXCLUDING FOODS I I!IiM I M 1984 I I1I IIii ii 1985 I II IIIIII 1986 I M I I I I I I II 1987 I II II IIIIi I III II IIIII I III IIIIIII 1989 1991 1990 I III IIIII II 1988 90 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1986 1987 1988 .... 1989 1990 .... 1991 1991- Apr May July Sept Oct Nov Dec r 1992- Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 119.2 121.7 121.4 121.6 121.4 121.2 121.5 121.8 122.1 122.2 122.1 121.7 122.0 122.3 122.5 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 124.4 r 124.2 125.3 125.0 124.7 124.0 123.4 123.3 123.3 123.1 123.0 122.5 123.8 123.2 122.8 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 117.4 120.9 120.1 120.4 120.2 120.1 120.6 121.2 121.7 121.9 121.7 121.4 121.6 122.0 122.2 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 Nondurable Capital equipment 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 120.4 123.9 123.9 123.4 123.3 123.5 123.8 124.3 124.4 124.6 124.7 125.5 125.3 125.6 125.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 111.5 115.0 113.9 114.5 114.2 114.0 114.9 115.3 116.1 116.2 115.8 114.7 114.9 115.5 116.1 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 122.9 126.7 126.2 126.6 126.7 126.8 126.9 127.1 127.3 127.5 127.7 128.0 128.0 128.3 128.5 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 118.2 120.5 120.2 120.4 120.1 119.8 120.2 120.4 120.8 120.9 120.7 120.1 120.5 120.7 121.0 Consumer goods Total Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 Durable Total finished consumer goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 115.3 118.7 117.7 118.1 117.8 117.7 118.3 119.0 119.6 119.8 119.5 118.9 119.0 119.5 119.9 Total 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 114.5 114.4 114.1 114.0 114.2 113.8 114.1 114.3 114.0 114.0 113.9 113.3 113.9 113.9 114.0 Foods and feeds 1 Other 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 113.3 111.1 112.4 110.5 110.2 108.5 110.6 110.8 111.7 112.0 111.9 111.1 112.6 111.6 111.3 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 114.5 114.6 114.2 114.2 114.4 114.1 114.3 114.5 114.2 114.1 114.0 113.4 114.0 114.0 114.1 Crude materials Total Foodstuffs and Other stuffs Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.7 96.0 103.1 108.9 101.2 100.4 100.9 99.3 99.3 99.1 98.4 100.5 100.4 98.3 97.7 99.4 97.9 98.4 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.2 113.1 105.5 108.2 105.6 106.0 104.2 102.6 104.2 104.2 103.5 102.9 105.0 107.3 106.0 104.5 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 101.5 94.6 92.0 94.1 91.5 92.4 93.1 91.1 94.2 94.5 91.6 89.3 90.5 89.1 90.7 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In April, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent seasonally adjusted (0.1 seasonally adjusted). The index was 3.2 percent above its year-earlier level. percent not INDEX, 1982-84 - 100 (RATIO SCALE) 150 INDEX, 1982-84 - 100 (RATIO SCALE) 150 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 140 130 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS 120 I t I I I I I I I I I l I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I t I I I I 1 1 1 n 1 1 1 1 1 1 i H 1 1 1 1 M n H I I I I M I I I 80 1992 1988 1989 1987 80 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] AH items ' Housing Transportation Shelter Peiiod Rel imp3.... 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 ... . 1989 1990 1991 1991: Apr May June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Feb Mar Not seasonally adjusted (NSA) Seasonally adjusted 1000 96.5 996 1039 107.6 1096 113.6 1183 124.0 130.7 136.2 Food Total1 Total Renters' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Homeowners' costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) Maintenance and repairs (NSA) 16.0 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 132.4 136.3 41.5 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 128.5 133.6 27.9 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 140.0 146.3 8.0 19.7 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133.6 138.9 146.7 155.6 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 144.6 150.2 0.2 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114.7 118.0 122.2 126.3 Motor fuel Medical care Ener- All items less food and energy 4.1 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 121.0 125.3 3.3 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 101.2 99.4 6.7 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.3 162.8 177.0 7.4 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 102.1 102.5 76.6 95.8 99.6 104.6 109.1 113.5 118.2 123.4 129.0 135.5 142.1 Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Total1 New cars 7.3 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 111.6 115.3 6.1 9.7.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 124.1 128.7 17.0 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 120.5 123.8 gy* 135.2 135.6 136.0 136.2 136.6 137.2 137.4 137.8 137.9 135.4 135.7 136.1 136.2 136.6 137.1 137.4 137.9 138.2 136.4 136.7 137.3 136.6 136.3 136.5 136.4 137.0 137.4 132.7 133.0 133.2 13-3.6 133.8 134.2 134.6 135.0 135.4 145.1 145.3 145.8 146.1 146.4 146.9 147.4 147.9 148.4 153.9 154.2 154.6 155.0 155.2 155.8 156.3 156.6 157.3 149.2 149.4 149.9 150.2 150.5 151.1 151.6 152.1 152.7 126.1 126.9 126.2 126.9 127.2 126.8 126.6 127.6 128.1 114.1 114.5 114.4 115.0 115.3 115.7 116.2 116.8 116.8 128.6 128.6 127.8 127.7 129.2 130.0 130.3 131.1 129.6 122.7 123.1 123.4 123.6 124.2 124.2 124.0 124.5 124.8 125.0 125.1 125.5 125.7 125.9 126.3 126.2 126.3 126.5 97.9 98.6 98.7 97.1 98.0 97.9 97.3 98.2 98.5 174.5 175.4 176.6 177.7 178.9 180.0 181.1 182.0 183.3 100.9 101.3 101.1 100.6 101.2 101.4 101.4 102.2 102.3 141.3 141.6 142.0 142.4 143.0 143.6 143.9 144.4 144.7 138.1 138.6 139.3 139.5 138.3 138.7 139.4 139.7 136.8 137.2 137.9 137.8 135.7 136.0 136.5 136.7 149.1 149.5 150.0 150.2 158.4 158.9 158.5 158.9 153.2 153.6 154.5 154.6 128.0 128.3 128.4 128.0 116.4 115.9 116.4 116.9 130.0 131.9 132.7 131.8 124.4 124.2 125.1 125.7 126.6 126.7 127.2 127.8 96.3 95.7 96.6 96.8 184.5 186.0 187.0 188.0 100.8 99.9 100.5 100.9 145.1 145.7 146.4 146.8 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1991. NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for bomeownership costs and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods goods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 23 2.2 4.0 4.9 5.7 i 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 . 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 5.3 8.7 r -.7 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 -.2 5.7 5.2 2.6 '-1.5 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 4.9 2.1 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 3.4 2.5 Change, month to month 1991- Apr May July Sent Oct Nov r Dec .. . 1992- Jan T Feb r Mar Apr 0.2 .2 -.2 -.2 .2 .2 .2 .1 — .1 0.3 -.2 -.2 -.6 5 -.1 0 2 -.1 0.1 .3 -.3 — .1 .5 .6 .5 .2 -.3 -.3 .2 .2 .2 ^ 1.1 -.5 2 .1 .4 .3 0 .3 .1 .1 .1 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 0 .2 .2 1.6 .6 -.6 4.1 -5.0 -4.4 22 -1.0 -1.0 26 2.3 .7 1.0 32 0 .7 7 -!s 1.3 3.0 2.3 1.0 -1.3 -.7 .7 2.7 78 -2.0 .7 0 .7 4.1 6.6 5.2 1.7 -2.3 -2.6 0 3.4 1.6 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.6 -5.1 -4.9 -4.0 -4.0 -.7 2.4 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.0 1.2 .8 .5 0.5 0 -.3 -1.3 -2.2 -2.5 -3.2 -3.0 -2.7 -2.4 .6 2 -'.8 -1.3 -1.5 -1.1 -2.0 -.2 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 .8 .8 .8 .7 3.6 3.7 3.4 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.9 3.3 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.0 .8 j -.5 -.1 .4 .9 .9 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Housing Transportation Shelter Period All items1 Food Total1 Total 1 Renters' costs Homeowners' costs Fuel and other utilities Appare] and upkeep Total 1 New cars Motor fuel Medical care Ener- gy" All items less food and energy Addendum: All items, percent change (annual rate) From previous quarter 3 From 3 months earlier From G months earlier From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 6.1 3.1 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 5.3 1.9 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.5 3.4 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.2 3.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 6.7 4.2 0.2 .2 .3 .1 .3 A .2 .4 .2 .1 .3 .5 .2 0.5 .2 .4 -.5 2 .1 0.2 .2 .2 .3 .1 .3 .3 .3 .3 .2 .2 .4 .1 0.3 .1 .3 .2 .2 .3 .3 .3 .3 .5 .3 .3 .1 0.2 .2 .3 .3 .1 .4 .3 .2 .4 .7 .3 -.3 .3 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 4.7 3.7 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 56 1.6 2.9 3.2 4.0 2.9 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 4.7 1.0 5.1 3.4 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 10.4 -1.5 1.5 -6.5 3.4 -1.7 24 2.5 3.4 3.1 5.9 30 7 1.8 18.7 21 2.1 6.8 2.3 1.4 36.5 3.3 -16.0 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 9.6 7.9 0.5 0.1 .1 .7 .1 .3 .2 -1.6 .2 .9 .3 -.1 Q — .1 .1 .9 .2 .3 .1 -2.2 g .1 .4 .9 .2 .5 0.7 .5 .7 .6 .7 .6 .6 .5 .7 .7 .8 .5 .5 1.3 .2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 .5 5.1 18.1 -7.4 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.4 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.3 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.4 5.2 4.4 Change, month to month 1991: Apr fy June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992: Jan Feb Mar Apr 1 2 1 .4 .3 -.4 .3 .5 0.3 -0.5 0.3 .1 .4 0 * -.6 .3 .2 .5 -.1 1.2 .2 .3 .4 .3 .6 .2 .3 .4 .3 .5 .6 — 1.1 .4 0 3 .3 .3 1.5 .3 -.4 .6 .6 .4 7 .1 .4 -0.2 .3 .2 .2 .5 0 -.2 .4 .2 3 -.2 .7 .5 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., also included through 1982. 24 -0.4 .4 -.2 5 .6 .2 0 .8 .1 -1.5 -.9 .6 .4 0.3 .2 .3 .3 .4 .4 .2 .3 .2 .3 .4 .5 .3 2.4 2.7 3.6 2.9 3 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2.1 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.3 3.5 4.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.4 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.4 3.8 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.2 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in May were unchanged from their April level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.1 percent above their January level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDEX, 1977 > 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE] _^-—.—~*~~ 180 180 _^-'~" ~r\ 160 160 s^* PRICES PAID 140 —X X. 120 J "Vi ^^ " —^ —x^\ X / 140 120 J^ \ PRICES RECEIVE D 100 100 i i ii ii ij iii 1 11111j 1111 1 1111111111 140 80 RA TIO-!/ 140 120 120 80 1 M RATIC}-!/ I 1 IM I I 1 t ! 1 f 11 1 I1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 I1 1 1 1 M 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 l! 1 M 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 r 100 100 60 1984 | 1985 | 1986 I 1987 1989 1988 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices paid by farmers Prices received by farmers Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991- May June Sept Get NOT Dec 1992' Jan Feb Mar Apr May .... . 1 All farm products Livestock and products Crops Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Production items Eatio2 133 135 142 128 123 127 138 148 149 146 121 128 138 120 107 106 126 134 127 130 145 141 146 136 138 146 150 160 170 162 159 161 164 162 159 162 170 178 184 189 158 159 161 156 150 152 160 167 171 175 153 152 155 151 144 148 157 165 171 173 84 84 87 79 77 78 81 83 81 77 151 153 149 146 147 142 139 137 137 142 136 133 137 126 124 120 165 163 162 158 157 158 154 154 (3) (3) 189 (3) <3> 189 (3) (3) (s) (3) 174 (3) (3) 173 (3) <3) (3) (3) 173 (3) <3) 172 (3) (3) 80 81 79 77 78 75 74 72 138 142 143 r !41 141 123 128 131 r !26 123 152 156 155 r !55 158 189 (3) (s) 191 (3) 174 (3) (3) 176 (3) 171 (3) (3) 173 (3) 73 75 76 74 74 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by fanners are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. 2 All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates 1 NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by taw. The indexes have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES M2 and M3 fell again in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE| 4,800 BILLION S OF DOLLARS" (RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,400 4,400 4,000 , -— - 3,600 4,000 3,600 _ - —- * _.---- 3,200 3,200 __,- 2,800 v \ 1 •""" _---' 2,800 M2 2,400 2,400 -• "" 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 x~ 800 —-_- M 1985 1987 1986 IGURES; SEASONALLY VERNORS OF THE FEDE 800 600 400 SOURCE' BOARD OF GC ^—^ ^ .—--" 1984 -= Ml - 600 '— = • 1988 1 (1 1 1 1 1 1 1 400 1989 1990 1991 1992 ADJUSTED COUNCIL O f RAL RESERVE SYSTEM ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Period 19821983: 19841985: 19861987: 19881989: 1990: 1991: Dee Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec . Dec Dec ... Dec 1991: Mar May July Sept Oct Nov Dee 1992: Jan Feb Mar . . MS Sura of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight RPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances 474.6 521.4 552.5 620.2 724.6 750.0 786.9 794.1 826.1 ' 898.1 1,951.9 2,186.1 2,374.3 2,569.4 2,811.1 2,910.8 3,071.1 3,227.3 3,339.0 r 3,438.9 2,440.6 2,693.0 2,987.4 3,203.2 3,494.3 3,681.1 3,923.1 4,059.8 4,114.6 '4,170.9 2,850.4 3,154.3 3,528.8 3,830.4 4,134.5 4,339.5 4,677.9 4,891.7 4,966.6 '4,987.7 4,672.7 5,209.4 5,963.3 6,833.9 7,742.5 8,514.4 9,312.6 10,059.6 10,749.9 11,216.2 8.7 9.9 6.0 12.3 16.8 3.5 4.9 .9 4.0 8.7 8.9 12.0 8.6 8.2 9.4 3.5 5.5 5.1 3.5 3.0 9.3 10.3 10.9 7.2 9.1 5.3 6.6 3.5 1.3 1.4 9.3 11.5 14.5 14.6 13.3 10.0 9.4 8.0 6.9 4.3 842.3 842.7 850.9 857.3 860.0 866.5 872.0 880.9 891.4 r 898.1 3,386.9 3,394.8 3,405.6 3,411.8 3,407.4 3,409.5 3,411.5 '3,417.3 ' 3,430.9 '3,438.9 4,165.9 4,168.8 4,170.5 4,167.7 4,157.3 4,156.6 4,152.6 '4,158.7 '4,166.8 '4,170.9 5,004.2 4,978.4 4,958.3 4,986.4 '4,991.5 '4,985.1 4,974.2 '4,977.3 '4,989.8 '4,987.7 10,863.2 10,885.1 10,937.5 10,988.9 11,025,5 11,067.1 11,105.0 11,146.3 11,187.9 11,216.2 4.7 5.0 6.6 7.6 8.2 7.2 7.1 9.1 9.5 9.5 3.4 3.6 4.3 4.4 3.8 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.6 1.5 .2 -.6 g 2 .2 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.1 r '3,447.6 '3,474.7 '3,472.9 3,466.8 '4,174.6 '4,199.5 '4,189.5 4,177.6 '4,982.7 '5,016.6 5,031.5 '11,240.1 '11,279.3 11,335.1 11.7 '14.9 '15.4 14.1 2.4 '3.8 3.6 2.9 '.8 2.1 1.8 .9 3.9 '3.8 4.1 910.4 931.0 ' 939.0 942.9 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate. 26 Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 M2 r L Debt Ml MS plus other liquid assets Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) l Ml NOTE.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. M2 M3 Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Currency Demand deposits Overnight repurchase agreeOther ments check(BPs), able net, deposplus its over(OCDs) night Eurodollars 1 Money market mutual fund balances 2 General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Savings deposits, including money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Small denomination tune deposits 3 Large denomination time deposits 3 Term repur- Term chase Euroagree- dollars ments (net) (RPs) NSA 1982: 19831984: 19851986: 19871988198919901991: 1991- Dec Dec . Dec Dec . Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Mar May T } July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan Feb Mar Apr ... .... 132.5 234.0 103.7 146.2 238.5 131.8 156.1 243.9 147.2 167.9 266.7 179.7 180.8 302.0 235.3 197.0 286.8 259.3 212.3 286.5 280.6 222.6 279.0 285.1 246.8 277.1 293.9 267.3 289.5 333.2 256.0 276.9 301.3 256.3 276.1 302.5 256.6 278.4 307.8 257.6 280.1 311.6 259.3 279.3 313.7 261.3 280.1 317.3 262.9 280.6 320.6 264.8 283.8 324.5 266.0 287.6 329.7 267.3 289.5 333.2 269.4 '293.9 ' 339.0 271.6 '305.1 ' 346.2 r 271.8 ' 309.7 r349.4 273.6 311.3 350.0 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 84.1 83.2 77.6 74.7 r 75.3 69.2 69.6 68.5 67.9 64.9 67.3 66.4 r 69.4 r 73.0 '75.3 r 76.7 '76.5 '73.0 70.7 184.5 138.3 167.1 176.1 208.0 221.7 241.9 316.3 348.9 360.5 365.0 366.6 367.8 368.8 367.9 362.4 359.9 359.3 359.5 360.5 360.0 363.7 358.0 354.2 51.1 42.7 63.7 65.8 86.1 92.1 91.0 107.2 133.7 179.1 148.5 152.9 155.2 155.3 155.4 158.6 162.6 168.2 173.6 179.1 182.4 188.2 185.3 189.2 1 Includes continuing contract RFs. Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted. Small denomination and large denomination deposits are thoi s issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. 2 3 398.5 684.0 704.2 814.4 940.1 937.0 926.2 891.2 920.7 1,042.6 941.7 953.0 966.1 976.8 986.1 994.1 1,002.4 1,015.0 1,028.7 1,042.6 ' 1,061.2 ' 1,083.9 ' 1,098.0 1,111.3 847.2 780.8 884.9 881.7 854.8 917.5 1,032.9 1,148.5 1,168.7 1,063.0 1,165.9 1,159.7 1,150.9 1,140.6 1,129.5 1,120.8 1,111.0 1,095.2 1,079.2 1,063.0 r 1,042.7 1,019.2 1,001.9 984.1 323.3 324.8 415.6 436.1 439.5 489.1 541.2 359.3 494.9 437.1 492.8 487.7 483.5 478.3 471.2 465.5 458.5 450.0 442.3 437.1 r 427.9 r 420.7 413.0 406.2 NSA NSA 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.6 106.0 121.8 99.1 89.6 70.9 83.5 82.2 80.4 78.4 78.8 78.4 76.7 75.5 r 73.6 70.9 r 70.8 '72.0 r 73.7 72.2 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 105.7 79.5 68.7 57.7 68.2 65.2 62.3 61.6 62.7 63.6 61.5 62.8 61.9 57.7 55.7 56.0 r 57.9 56.6 Savings bonds 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.5 91.8 100.6 109.4 117.5 126.0 137.9 129.0 130.1 131.3 132.4 133.5 134.4 135.2 136.1 137.1 137.9 138.9 140.1 141.2 Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 183.6 211.9 260.9 298.2 280.0 253.0 269.6 325.5 332.7 '315.9 323.5 307.3 r 299.5 325.1 r 332.8 '330.6 322.9 '321.1 '323.4 '315.9 '311.2 '326.6 341.6 44.5 45.0 45.4 42.0 37.1 44.3 39.8 40.1 34.0 23.3 32.1 30.6 29.1 28.1 28.1 27.2 25.8 25.3 24.5 23.3 23.2 22.9 21.7 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.2 260.5 336.1 348.6 359.3 339.7 353.8 341.6 327.9 333.0 339.8 336.3 337.7 336.2 337.9 339.7 334.8 327.5 337.5 NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures *; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Reserves of depository institutions Period Total 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991: 1991: 1992: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct.. Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr . .. . . . . . 1 27,835 29,901 31,662 37,061 45,863 45,812 47,596 47,729 49,104 53,752 49,344 50,000 50,345 50,410 50,886 51,147 51,816 52,695 53,752 54,367 56,418 57,331 57,546 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. "Monetary base data have been revised. Revised data prior to 1991 are not yet available. Nonborrowed 27,201 29,127 28,476 35,473 45,037 45,035 45,880 47,464 48,778 53,560 49,112 49,697 50,005 49,804 50,121 50,502 51,556 52,587 53,560 54,133 56,340 57,239 57,456 Nonborrowed plus extended credit 27,387 29,129 31,080 36,242 45,340 45,518 47,124 47,483 48,801 53,561 49,198 49,785 50,013 49,849 50,422 50,804 51,567 52,588 53,561 54,134 56,342 57,241 57,458 Monetary base Required 27,335 29,340 30,807 36,024 44,494 44,766 46,549 46,807 47,440 52,774 48,313 48,970 49,337 49,505 49,800 50,219 50,734 51,802 52,774 53,364 55,353 56,302 56,408 Total 164,276 179,921 191,374 208,619 230,039 246,281 263,459 274,168 299,785 325,222 310,226 311,265 312,470 314,216 316,683 318,496 320,928 323,133 325,222 327,681 '332,152 '333,236 334,596 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 326 192 231 303 340 607 764 645 261 108 192 233 77 91 90 Seasonal 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 76 38 79 151 222 317 331 287 211 86 38 17 22 32 47 Extended credit 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 23 1 86 88 8 46 300 302 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases were about unchanged in April; commercial and industrial loans fell 0.5 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE| 3,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 3,200 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,800 2,800 2,400 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 LOANS AND LEASES 1,200 1,200 800 800 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES OTHER SECURITIES 200 200 160 160 I I I I I I I I I II 1984 I I I i i I I I I Ii I I I Ii I II III I i iI 120 1990 1986 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted *] All commercial banks Loans and leases Period 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991: 1991: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec T .... Apr r .... May r.... June T... July r.... Aug r.... Sept r ... Oct r Nov '.... Dec '.... 1992: Jan r .... Feb r.... Mar r.... Apr Total loans and securities 2 TJ.S. Government securities 1,400.4 1,552.2 1,722.2 1,909.5 2,093.2 2,238.5 2,422.8 2,590.8 2,730.8 2,838.0 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.8 310.0 335.8 363.5 398.2 454.1 562.5 478.1 483.9 493.5 502.4 512.6 523.0 538.7 550.8 562.5 564.7 568.9 576.5 588.1 2,763.5 2,764.8 2,773.1 2,773.7 2,776.7 2,789.0 2,805.4 2,822.6 2,838.0 2,846.0 2,845.9 2,852.2 2,864.0 Other securities 164.8 169.1 140.9 179.0 193.9 193.6 192.4 181.7 177.9 179.5 177.5 176.8 176.3 175.8 174.4 176.3 177.9 178.8 179.5 179.3 179.2 176.9 177.5 Total 2 1,033.9 1,123.9 1,321.1 1,459.8 1,589.4 1,709.1 1,866.9 2,010.9 2,098.8 2,095.9 2,108.0 2,104.0 2,103.4 2,095.4 2,089.8 2,089.6 2,088.7 2,093.0 2,095.9 2,102.1 2,097.8 2,098.7 2,098.4 Commercial and industrial 392.5 414.2 473.1 500.2 537.0 567.1 606.8 640.2 643.2 617.8 635.1 630.5 625.8 623.8 619.5 622.0 623.0 622.1 617.8 615.7 611.3 609.0 605.7 Keal estate Individual 299.9 331.0 376.2 425.8 494.0 586.9 670.1 759.5 843.3 872.9 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.7 315.3 328.3 354.5 374.8 379.6 363.6 374.4 373.8 373.1 370.9 370.3 367.2 364.1 363.0 363.6 363.1 363.5 362.2 361.3 861.5 863.8 868.5 867.3 866.7 868.0 869.5 871.6 872.9 873.3 876.9 877.8 879.1 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities. 28 Security Nonbanslr financial institutions Agricultural State and political subdivisions 25.3 28.0 34.4 43.0 40.3 34.8 41.2 41.5 44.7 54.5 48.5 49.1 49.0 47.4 48.4 50.0 51.1 53.4 54.5 59.4 57.0 60.4 65.0 31.2 30.4 31.3 32.4 35.0 32.0 32.3 34.3 35.7 40.2 35.8 36.1 38.6 37.7 36.9 37.1 37.2 37.8 40.2 39.1 40.1 40.5 40.0 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.5 29.4 28.7 29.8 32.0 33.9 33.6 33.7 33.9 34.0 34.3 34.4 34.1 33.7 33.9 33.6 33.5 34.1 34.1 0.0 .0 46.0 56.7 58.5 52.4 45.1 40.0 33.9 28.9 32.3 31.7 31.3 30.9 30.5 30.1 29.5 29.1 28.9 28.0 28.1 28.1 27.8 ForForeign banks 14.7 13.4 11.6 9.9 10.3 7.8 7.7 8.2 7.5 7.5 7.1 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.8 6.6 6.9 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.5 6.7 2 Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. Note.—Series revised beginning April 1991. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. eign official institutions 5.9 9.4 8.4 6.3 6.3 5.7 5.0 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 Lease financing receivables 13.3 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.3 31.8 32.8 31.6 33.1 33.0 33.2 32.4 31.7 31.7 31.5 31.4 31.6 31.5 31.6 31.5 31.5 Other 26.8 31.8 30.2 35.6 38.8 40.1 46.2 47.1 43.3 42.6 44.1 43.4 41.3 42.4 42.8 39.9 39.8 41.5 42.6 48.9 46.8 46.3 45.2 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Total Securities and mortgages Total Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 ". 1989: I n ... m IV 1990: I n m IV 1991: I n. m IV". Capital expenditures s Credit market funds Internal * Loans and short-term paper Other 2 Total Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 313.7 431.2 491.4 464.3 521.5 545.0 586.7 549.3 470.6 472.5 247.6 292.3 336.4 351.9 336.8 376.1 404.4 404.9 381.5 391.5 66.1 138.9 155.0 112.3 184.7 168.9 182.3 144.4 89.1 81.0 50.7 81.0 92.5 52.4 126.7 63.0 63.0 42.1 16.5 39.7 -4.0 45.5 -13.0 -4.5 60.9 27.5 -13.0 -41.7 -13.4 97.7 54.7 35.5 105.5 56.9 65.8 35.4 76.0 83.8 29.9 -58.0 15.4 57.9 62.5 59.9 58.0 106.0 119.3 102.3 72.6 41.4 337.9 428.9 506.3 458.1 505.1 477.5 558.3 525.3 489.7 452.9 286.1 303.8 399.1 375.3 353.9 365.8 394.5 421.4 403.2 365.6 51.8 125.1 107.2 82.8 151.2 111.7 163.8 103.9 86.5 87.3 24 3 2.3 -14.8 6.2 16.4 67.5 28.4 24.1 19 1 538.3 630.1 473.0 556.1 401.4 404.3 410.5 403.7 136.9 225.8 62.5 152.4 -6.3 129.2 6.6 38.9 -101.8 -.6 85.5 20.7 95.5 129.8 92.1 18.2 143.2 96.6 55.9 113.5 508.9 558.4 484.0 549.5 420.7 419.2 416.4 429.1 88.2 139.2 67.6 120.4 29.4 71.7 -11.0 6.5 542.1 518.1 444.1 378.1 393.8 395.2 361.2 375.9 148.3 122.9 82.9 2.2 54.0 49.8 -1.4 -36.4 -13.6 8.5 -48.5 4. 67.6 41.3 47.1 -36.0 94.3 73.2 84.3 38.6 507.7 523.0 529.4 398.8 402.4 415.9 418.2 376.2 105.3 107.1 111.2 22.6 34.4 4.8 -85.3 -20.7 485.8 480.5 456.5 466.9 390.9 390.7 387.1 397.2 94.9 89.8 69.4 69.7 17.4 57.6 45.5 38.0 70.1 117.2 90.0 113.2 -52.7 -59.6 -44.5 -75.2 77.5 32.3 24.0 31.8 437.9 431.1 472.0 470.3 346.0 350.7 380.7 384.8 91.9 80.4 91.3 85.5 47.9 49.4 15.5 -3.3 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abroad. 2 Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, pension fund liabilities, and direct foreign investment in 19.6 the U.S. 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. ^^^ 3^ Of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding1 Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period Automobile Automobile Revolving Mobile home 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,049 718,863 735,102 729,420 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,214 290,676 284,585 267,909 66,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,104 199,082 220,110 234,504 22,604 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,348 22,471 20,919 19,116 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,383 206,633 209,487 207,891 6,937 14,546 17,615 43,161 30,004 73,636 75,650 36,623 37,241 54,765 18,423 37,451 53,581 18,363 s <3) ( ) 16,239 -6,091 -5,682 - 16,676 1991: Mar. Apr May June July . J Auir Sept Oct Nov Dec .. 732,442 733,621 732,289 730,591 729,962 729,108 729,152 730,317 730,147 729,420 280,689 279,746 276,494 274,496 273,565 271,906 270,219 270,013 268,123 267,909 224,817 225,994 227,301 227,737 228,199 229,453 232,070 233,661 234,666 234,504 20,123 20,098 19,796 19,907 19,615 19,495 18,892 18,943 19,059 19,116 206,813 207,782 208,697 208,451 208,582 208,253 207,971 207,700 208,300 207,891 -320 1,179 -1,331 -1,698 -629 -854 44 1,165 -170 -728 1992: Jan Feb r Mar" 729,473 729,007 727,400 268,256 267,767 267,504 234,816 235,950 236,005 18,649 18,259 18,312 207,752 207,031 205,579 r 52 -465 -1-.607 Total 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: 1991: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec2 Dec Dec Dec .. 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. 2 Data newly available in January 1989 result in breaks in many series between December 1988 and subsequent months. Other Total Revolving Mobile home Other 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 21,026 (3) 21,028 14,394 2,546 958 2,299 989 246 -1,176 -572 <3) -1,552 -1,803 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 14,763 (3) 2,854 1,596 -1,937 -943 -3,252 1,998 -931 -1,659 -1,687 -207 - 1,890 -214 3,261 1,177 1,307 435 462 1,255 2,617 1,591 1,005 -162 78 -24 302 111 -291 -120 -603 51 116 57 1,566 969 915 -246 131 -329 -282 270 599 409 r 346 -489 263 r 311 1,135 55 -467 -390 53 -139 -721 -1,452 a Because of breaks in series, net change not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. r INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates fell in May. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM if 2 1984 1985 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: SEE TABLE BELOW [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 1981 1982 1983. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1991: May July Sept .... Oct Nov .... Dec 1992: Jan.. Feb. Mar .. Apr May Week ended: 1992: May 2 9 16 23 30 3-month bills (new issues) l Constant maturities 2 3-year 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard3 & Poor's) 30 Prime commercial paper, 6 months * •» A na Discount rate (N.Y. F.K. Bank)4 Prime rate charged 4by banks New-home 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 7.51 5.42 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 8.26 6.82 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 8.55 7.86 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 7.25 6.89 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 9.32 8.77 1L89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 7.95 5.85 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 6.98 5.45 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 10.01 8.46 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 10.05 9.32 5.51 5.60 5.58 5.39 5.25 5.03 4.60 4.12 3.84 3.84 4.05 3.81 3.66 7.12 7.39 7.38 6.80 6.50 6.23 5.90 5.39 5.40 5.72 6.18 5.93 5.81 8.07 8.28 8.27 7.90 7.65 7.53 7.42 7.09 7.03 7.34 7.54 7.48 7.39 6.95 7.09 7.03 6.89 6.80 6.59 6.64 6.63 6.41 6.67 6.69 6.64 6.57 8.86 9.01 9.00 8.75 8.61 8.55 8.48 8.31 8.20 8.29 8.35 8.33 8.28 5.94 6.16 6.14 5.76 5.59 5.33 4.93 4.49 4.06 4.13 4.38 4.13 3.97 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.00 5.00-5.00 5.00^.50 4.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 9.00-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.00 8.00-8.00 8.00-7.50 7.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 9.52 9.46 9.43 9.48 9.30 9.04 8.64 8.53 8.49 8.65 8.51 8.58 3.71 3.65 3.64 3.61 3.75 6.02 5.92 5.75 5.73 5.83 7.59 7.50 7.34 7.29 7.40 6.66 6.62 6.56 6.52 6.56 8.37 8.35 8.27 8.23 8.25 4.04 3.99 3.94 3.92 4.03 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 3.50-3.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 6.50-6.50 -6.50-6.50 " •• ' 1 Bank-discount basis. 3 Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures, 4 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) r 6 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices rose in May. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO S(:ALE) 240 220 _ ' 200 >—"ON~^\ f 180 INDE X, DEC. 31, 1965=50 (RATIO SCALE) 240 220 200 180 s~~r\ 160 f 140 V^ S"~ 160 ^"^"^^ 140 \ I COMP<DSITE STOCK P RICE INDEX (NYSE) 120 x—--^•/ 100 VX" ^^^ \ 120 100 ^W 80 80 60 60 40 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 ii i n n III 11 III II 1985 1984 1986 1 ! II i l l I II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II M M 1 1989 1987 1988 Mill 1 INI III 1990 PER<:ENT 20 PERCINT 20 15 tAKNII>•IGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMO N STOCKS 10 IS&P] \ •* => ^-^ 5 1 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 1 ^ 1 1986 1 1 1987 15 10 _ 0 , p^ ^-- ——— " 1 1 1 1988 ! 1 1 1989 "-1^— i 1 1 1 New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 1991: May July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1992- Jan Feb Mar May. . Week ended: 1992: May 2 9 16. . 23 30 1 Average 2 Includes 3 Includes 4 Transportation 0 Common stock yields (percent) 5 2 Utility Finance Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143 = 10)4 Dividendprice ratio Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 7.41 6.47 4.81 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 183.46 206.33 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 225.78 258.14 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 158.62 173.99 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 90.60 92.66 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 133.26 150.82 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 2,678.94 2,929.33 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 334.59 376.18 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 3.61 3.24 206.93 207.32 208.29 213.33 212.55 213.10 213.25 214.26 260.13 261.16 262.48 268.22 266.21 265.68 264.89 266.01 170.77 177.05 177.15 178.52 177.99 187.31 188.52 185.47 90.76 89.01 90.05 92.38 93.72 95.25 96.78 98.08 151.32 152.31 151.60 157.70 157.69 158.94 159.78 159.96 2,928.42 2,968.14 2,978.19 3,006.09 3,010.35 3,019.74 2,986.12 2,958.64 377.99 378.29 380.23 389.40 387.20 386.88 385.92 388.51 3.23 3.23 3.20 3.10 3.15 3.14 3.15 3.11 4.59 229.34 228.12 225.21 224.55 228.55 286.62 286.09 282.36 281.60 285.17 201.55 205.53 204.07 201.28 207.88 99.31 96.18 94.15 94.92 98.24 174.50 174.05 173.49 171.05 175.89 3,227.06 3,257.27 3,247.42 3,294.08 3,376.79 416.08 412.56 407.36 407.41 414.81 2.90 2.94 3.01 3.04 2.99 4.05 226.43 229.35 228.68 228.30 228.03 283.15 286.64 285.02 284.33 284.81 205.34 209.91 209.92 206.48 204.96 97.13 98.14 98.33 98.76 97.80 172.49 175.47 176.76 176.62 175.21 3,328.17 3,367.93 3,379.33 3,386.67 3,382.49 411.41 416.49 414.89 414.24 413.92 3.00 2.98 2.98 2.99 3.01 of daily closing prices. all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. 30 stocks. Includes 500 stocks. 8 Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings- 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period Industrial 1 1992 Common stock prices l Composite 5 ^^_ 1991 1990 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1981.. 1982 1983... 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 . 1991 40 1992 1991 5.23 3.83 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 7 months of fiscal 1992, there was a deficit of $184.7 billion, compared with a deficit of $122.2 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF COLLARS 1,600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,600 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS- 1,500 1,500 1,400 1,400 1,300 1,300 OUTLAYS-^ 1,200 1,200 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 RECEIPTS1' 800 800 700 700 600 V 600 -100 ^^*~~r . _ ""*—^_ 200 ^^^^ A Vl984 i i 1985 i 1986 i 1987 t 1988 i 1989 i 1990 t^i-""""""' 1991 1992 t\ 1993 V FISCAL YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Fiscal year or period Receipts 1976 ... 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 . 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 (estimates) 1993 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 7 months: 1 Fiscal year 1991 Fiscal year 1992 Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Surplus or deficit Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) (-) Total Held by tbe public 629.0 706.4 776.6 828.9 908.5 994.3 1,136.8 1,371.2 1,564.1 477.4 549.1 607.1 639.8 709.3 784.8 919.2 1,131.0 1,300.0 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.8 808.4 851.8 -73.7 -53.7 59 2 -40.2 73 8 -79.0 -128.0 -207.8 -185.4 231.7 278.7 314.2 365.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 302.2 328.5 369.1 403.5 476.6 543.1 594.4 661.3 686.0 -70.5 -49.8 -54.9 -38.2 -72.7 -74.0 120 1 -208.0 185 7 66.4 76.8 85.4 98.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 69.6 80.7 89.7 100.0 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -3.2" -3.9 -4.3 -2.0 1.1 -5.0 79 .2 .3 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,031.3 1,054.3 1,075.7 1,165.4 946.4 990.3 1,003.9 1,064.1 1,144.2 1,251.8 1,323.0 1,475.4 1,515.3 -212.3 -221.2 -149.8 -155.2 - 153.5 -220.5 -268.7 -399.7 -349.9 547.9 568.9 640.7 667.5 727.0 749.7 760.4 774.8 839.6 769.6 806.8 810.1 861.4 933.3 1,026.7 1,081.3 1,223.9 1,251.3 221.7 -238.0 169.3 -194.0 206.2 -277.1 3209 -449.1 -411.7 186.2 200.2 213.4 241.5 263.7 281.7 293.9 300.9 325.8 176.8 183.5 193.8 202.7 210.9 225.1 241.7 251.5 264.0 9.4 16.7 19.6 38.8 52.8 56.6 52.2 49.4 61.8 1,499.4 1,817.0 1,736.2 2,120.1 1,888.1 2,345.6 2,600.8 2,050.3 2,867.5 2,190.3 2,410.4 3,206.3 3,599.0 ' 2,687.9 3,077.3 4,077.5 3,428.0 4,543.0 622.9 632.4 745.1 817.2 -122.2 -184.7 448.0 456.3 606.7 674.5 158.7 -218.2 175.0 176.1 138.4 142.7 36.6 33.4 3,395.5 3,822.2 1 Data front Monthly Treasury Statement. NOTE.—Data (except as noted) are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 32 . Outlays Gross Federal debt (end of period) Off-budget On-budget Total 1993, Supplement, batted February 18, 1992, and are on a cash basis. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 2,540.2 2,867.1 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 7 months of fiscal 1992, receipts were $9.5 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $72.1 billion higher. BULKDNS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DO JARS 600 RECEIPTS ^ 600 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES \ 500 400 500 — r 400 300 300 . 200 CORPORATION IN'-<">MF TAXES \ OTHER RECEIPTS \ 100 1 0 SOCIAL INSURANCE TAWS AN" rnwromi mr»j<; 200 >• 1 1 1 100 1 1 1 1 1 0 1,300 1,300 OUTLAYS-^ 1,200 1,200 -^-"~~~ 1,100 1,100 ^^."'^ 1,000 NONDEFENSE 1,000 ^"^ \ 900 ~~ 900 >---'" 800 _ u— 800 ^.. -•• ™" " 700 700 --^"" 600 600 500 500 NATIONAL DEFENSE 400 200 400 \ 300 A " 1984 1 i 1985 " i 1986 i 1987 i 1988 300 i 1989 i 1990 i 1991 r\ i 1992 1993 200 N FISCAL YEARS -^INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget outlays On-budget and off-budget receipts National defense Social Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.8 808.4 851.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 209.9 227.4 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,031.3 1,054.3 1,075.7 1,165.4 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 466.9 467.8 478.7 515.2 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.3 93.5 98.1 89.0 103.8 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 380.0 396.0 410.9 446.7 946.4 73.0 990.3 73.1 74.3 1,003.9 78.9 1,064.1 82.3 1,144.2 90.9 1,251.8 92.3 1,323.0 97.1 1,475.4 99.7 1,515.3 622.9 632.4 282.3 284.6 57.9 53.2 230.8 236.7 52.0 57.9 745.1 817.2 Fiscal year Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198S 1984 . ... 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990. 1991 1992 (estimates) 1993 (estimates) Cumulative total, first 7 months: * Fiscal year 1991 Fiscal year 1992 ... 1 ance taxes Other and Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. inter- ty ty est 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.5 42.6 52.5 68.8 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 57.7 71.2 94.6 108.2 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 98.1 104.5 118.6 129.3 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 147.3 170.8 198.1 196.7 188.6 198.8 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.6 269.0 286.7 302.3 129.5 136.0 138.7 151.8 169.3 184.2 194.5 198.8 213.7 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 159.8 202.7 223.8 253.4 255.7 38.6 50.2 58.7 67.9 103.1 120.3 152.7 163.8 112.5 117.7 116.8 114.3 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 299.3 273.3 307.3 291.4 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 289.8 262.4 294.6 278.3 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 13.8 15.9 17.8 18.0 152.0 170.8 145.6 163.8 10.9 12.2 Total contributions NOTE.—Data (except as noted) are from Budget of the United States, Government, Fiscal Year Social securi- Healtb Department of Defense, military Net Income securi- International affairs Total Medicare Other 1993, Supplement, issued February 18, 1993, and are on a cash basis. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1992, according to preliminary estimates, Federal receipts rose $5.3 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $46.7 billion. BllilONS OF DOUARS BIUJONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 600 1982 1983 1986 1984 1987 1988 CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1988 1989 1990 1991 Calendar year: 1988 1989 1990 1991 1982- IV 1983: IV 1984- IV 1985- IV 1986- IV 1987- IV 1988- IV 1989- IV 1990: I II in IV 1991- I n m. 1992: IV .... lr Personal tax and nontax receipts Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance 1,098.5 1,162.1 1,245.6 1,310.6 386.3 399.0 416.4 445.9 430.9 459.4 502.0 508.5 108.4 115.8 128.3 147.0 143.8 160.3 175.3 185.2 28.9 27.6 23.7 24.1 -0.1 .0 .0 .0 -143.3 -115.0 -157.8 -196.6 1,109.0 1,179.4 1,270.1 1,321.7 815.7 855.7 926.6 990.8 1,034.3 1,096.3 1,135.5 1,206.0 1,247.6 1,263.2 1,265.1 1,304.4 1,261.6 1,321.0 1,334.8 1,369.3 1,416.0 387.0 401.4 424.9 445.1 281.4 289.7 324.7 356.9 373.1 392.5 392.0 403.7 417.2 423.3 424.7 434.5 451.5 452.1 444.9 432.0 441.2 436.3 469.5 510.8 513.5 346.0 351.1 360.1 383.8 404.2 419.7 444.5 486.4 501.6 507.2 510.7 523.8 457.5 505.1 534.9 556.6 597.9 111.3 118.2 132.2 152.8 84.3 86.9 97.7 104.5 103.8 102.9 113.0 121.9 128.1 132.2 131.2 137.3 143.7 151.0 153.3 163.3 164.5 146.0 164.7 177.5 188.7 86.8 99.2 122.3 129.2 131.1 143.1 151.2 168.8 170.9 177.5 183.7 177.7 185.7 189.7 187.9 191.4 187.6 28.4 25.5 24.7 21.5 17.3 28.8 22.2 16.4 22.1 37.8 34.9 25.1 29.8 23.0 14.8 31.2 23.4 22.7 13.9 26.0 24.9 .0 .0 .1 — .1 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .2 -.4 .0 .0 .0 -136.6 -124.2 -165.3 -201.6 -183.4 -184.6 -186.8 -187.2 -177.5 -152.7 -134.9 -143.3 -160.8 -156.9 -149.7 -193.6 -146.4 -206.7 -210.2 -243.1 -284.5 403.8 455.7 472.2 476.1 107.6 116.7 113,1 103.2 59.6 62.2 63.7 75.6 384.1 412.5 438.9 459.1 972.3 1,055.2 1,104.8 1,120.1 632.3 671.1 739.8 803.6 856.8 943.5 1,000.6 1,062.7 1,086.8 1,106.3 1,115.4 1,110.7 1,115.2 1,114.3 1,124.6 1,126.2 1,131.5 410.1 460.2 482.2 470.4 301.6 290.5 323.5 351.8 371.7 414.8 420.0 467.9 471.2 485.4 486.6 485.5 473.9 468.8 469.9 469.0 461.0 111.0 113.9 112.1 102.9 45.5 65.4 67.0 77.0 91.4 109.7 118.5 107.4 113.7 114.1 115.1 105.7 99.0 102.0 106.2 104.4 110.7 60.9 61.9 65.8 78.8 49.2 55.4 58.2 56.8 54.8 59.5 61.4 62.1 64.6 64.8 65.2 68.5 78.2 77.1 78.7 81.2 79.6 390.4 419.4 444.7 468.0 235.9 259.8 291.1 318.0 338.8 359.4 400.7 425.2 437.2 442.0 448.5 451.1 464.1 466.3 469.9 471.6 480.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Subsidies less current surplus of Government enterprises Corporate profits tax accruals 955.1 1,047.1 1,087.9 1,114.0 34 Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Total Purchases Transfer a P y- ments Net interest paid INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Consumer prices (1982-84=100; NSA) Industrial production (1987—100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States Canada 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 109.2 107.1 76.5 81.5 91.4 96.5 95.4 100.0 105.5 105.3 100.8 96.7 82.9 97.3 85.5 96.5 97.1 93.4 96.8 97.2 96.6 98.0 100.0 100.0 109.2 ' 104.6 115.9 ' 108.8 121.4 ' 110.9 124.1 r111.2 90.3 90.9 93.5 97.7 99.6 100.0 103.9 108.8 114.5 118.0 95.6 95.3 96.4 97.0 97.4 97.7 97.3 Oct . Nov Dec 105.7 105.0 105.5 106.4 107.3 108.1 108.0 108.4 108.4 108.1 107.4 125.7 109.8 123.0 ' 107.1 123.3 109.8 126.0 109.6 122.8 109.7 126.6 110.9 110.9 122.8 123.7 109.6 123.9 111.1 r 123.8 110.3 122.0 '109.2 118.3 118.3 117.8 116.9 121.6 119.5 117.3 117.5 117.5 1992: Jan Feb Mar Apr f ' 106.6 ' 107.2 r !07 6 108 2 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 * 1991: Feb Mar May July Sept 1 r Japan 97.9 '97.1 '96.7 r 95.1 r 95.3 95.5 r 121.5 120.6 117.7 1182 France r 111.1 l!0.2 109.8 Germany United Kingdom Italy United States1 Canada Japan France Germany Italy United Kingdom 91.7 88.9 91.8 92.9 96.2 100.0 105.9 109.2 109.4 107.1 86.4 89.6 89.7 94.6 96.9 100.0 103.6 104.0 103.4 ' 100.3 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 130.7 136.2 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 135.5 143.1 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.1 104.8 104.9 105.7 108.0 111.4 115.0 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 133.2 137.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.8 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 112.1 116.0 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 159.6 169.8 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 119.7 125.6 135.4 148.2 156.9 108.4 108.5 103.5 105.3 110.6 106.5 104.1 107.9 105.8 r l!7.9 111.6 ' 113.4 104.7 ' 101.3 ' 101.3 134.8 135.0 135.2 135.6 136.0 136.2 136.6 137.2 137.4 137.8 137.9 141.7 142.3 142.3 143.0 143.7 143.8 143.9 143.7 143.4 144.0 143.4 113.5 114.0 114.7 115.3 114.8 114.7 114.9 115.1 116.4 116.6 116.0 135.7 135.8 136.3 136.6 136.9 137.4 137.7 138.0 138.6 138.9 139.1 114.3 114.2 114.7 115.2 115.8 116.8 116.8 117.0 117.4 117.9 118.0 167.0 167.4 168.2 168.8 169.7 169.9 170.4 171.1 172.6 173.8 174.2 153.8 154.4 156.4 156.9 157.6 157.2 157.6 158.1 158.7 159.3 159.4 138.1 138.6 139.3 139.5 144.0 144.1 144.6 144.6 115.8 115.7 116.3 139.4 139.8 140.2 118.5 * 175.4 119.2 175.9 119.7 176.6 120.0 177.3 r r 98.6 r r 101.4 r 99.8 100.2 100.7 r 100.4 ' 100.0 119.2 ' 108.5 120.3 110.3 117.1 Data relate to all urban consumers. '98.4 !01.4 r 99.1 ' 100.1 99.1 159.3 160.1 160.6 163.1 Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration, Trade Information and Analysis). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] General merchandise imports (customs value) a Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) * Principal end-use commodity category Period 1982.... 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 . 1990 1991 ' 1991: Mar * Apr ' May r. July ''.. Sept ' Ocf Nov ' Dec r 1992: Jan ' Feb r Mar Foods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other 2 216.4 205.6 224.0 5 218.8 5 227.2 254.1 322.4 363.8 393.6 421.7 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 22.3 24.3 32.3 37.2 35.1 35.7 61.7 56.7 61.7 58.5 57.3 66.7 85.1 99.3 104.4 109.7 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 138.8 152.7 166.7 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 34.8 37.4 40.0 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 17.7 23.1 36.4 43.3 45.9 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 35.9 34.6 43.4 17.2 20.7 23.7 34.2 35.5 35.0 34.7 35.2 34.5 35.3 36.8 37.3 36.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 9.0 9.2 9.4 8.7 9.1 9.1 8.6 9.3 8.9 8.9 13.5 14.3 13.7 14.3 13.7 13.4 14.4 14.4 15.4 14.3 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.1 3.8 35.5 37.7 37.0 3.1 3.6 3.3 9.3 8.9 8.8 13.9 15.3 14.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.0 Total2 1 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid 2 Includes undocumented exports to Canada through 1988. 3 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 4 Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. 5 General merchandise imports (c.i.f. value) Foods feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and engines Consumer goods (nonfood) except automotive Other 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 111.0 118.3 132.3 143.2 131.0 35.4 40.9 59.8 65.1 71.8 84.5 101.4 113.3 116.4 120.7 33.3 40.8 53.5 66.8 78.2 85.2 87.7 86.1 87.3 84.9 39.7 44.9 60.0 68.3 79.4 88.7 95.9 102.9 105.7 108.0 6.5 6.3 7.8 9.4 10.4 12.1 12.8 13.6 16.1 15.9 254.9 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 459.5 493.2 384 27 5 -64.2 -52.4 1224 - 106.7 117 7 133 6 -138.3 -155.1 152 1 -170.3 -118.5 -137.1 1094 1294 517.0 -101.7 -123.4 487.1 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.1 26.6 26.5 508.4 654 866 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 38.5 39.7 40.0 39.4 40.8 41.1 41.8 42.7 41.4 41.7 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 10.1 10.8 11.3 10.6 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.1 10.8 10.8 10.1 10.1 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.0 10.2 10.3 9.9 10.3 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.6 7.4 7.9 7.4 7.7 7.2 7.2 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.4 9.1 8.9 9.4 10.0 9.8 9.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 40.2 41.6 41.8 41.1 42.6 42.8 43.6 44.5 43.1 43.4 -4.3 -4.3 -5.0 -4.7 -5.6 66 -6.5 59 —4.1 -5.6 -6.1 -6.1 -6.8 -6.4 -7.4 -8.4 -8.3 76 -5.8 74 2.0 2.1 2.2 41.3 40.9 42.8 2.3 2.2 2.3 10.6 10.3 10.6 10.3 10.3 10.8 7.3 7.1 7.5 9.5 9.6 9.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 43.0 42.6 44.6 -5.8 -3.3 -5.8 -7.6 50 -7.6 shipments. Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical month basis. Trade balance Principal end-use commodity category Total 244.0 258.0 330.7 4 336.5 365.4 406.2 4 441.0 473.2 495.3 Exports (I.a.sl less imports (customs value) Exports (f.a,s) less imports (c.U.) NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1990; unadjusted data revised beginning 1991. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS The merchandise trade deficit fell to $17.5 billion in the first quarter of 1992. (Data revised for 1990-91.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 IS BALANCE ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND INCOME -40 -45 1992 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (+), debits (—)] Merchandise * 2 Net Period Exports 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 * 1989: m IV 1990- I n m rv 1991: I n m rv".... 1992: 1 2 3 4 I" Imports Net balance 237,085 -265,063 -27,978 211,198 -247,642 -36,444 201,820 -268,900 -67,080 219,900 332 422 112 522 215,935 -338,083 -122,148 223,367 368 425 145 058 250,266 -409,766 - 159,500 320,337 447 323 126 986 361,451 -477,368 -115,917 r r 497 558 r ^Q8 853 388,705 r 415,962 r - 489,398 r - 73,436 90,142 -119,330 -29,188 92,493 -121,104 -28,611 27 379 " 94,981 122 360 ' 96,654 -121,461 -24,807 r 96,544 -125,434 -28,890 r 100,526 -128,303 -27,777 r 100,636 -118,962 -18,326 * 103,324 -119,721 -16,397 r 104,151 -124,325 -20,174 r 107,851 -126,390 -18,539 107,825 -125,293 -17,468 military transactions 3 4 -844 112 -163 2 147 -4,096 -4,907 -3,662 -5,743 -6,204 -7,220 -5,280 -1,161 -1,693 -1,737 -1,558 -1,683 -2,243 -2,329 -1,484 -882 -584 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Includes transfers of goods and services under U.S. military grant programs. 36 Investment income 5 Services Net travel and transportation receipts Other services, net 5 Receipts on U.S. assets abroad 144 992 -4,227 9 153 -10,788 8 939 -8,006 3 844 2,621 4,140 10,327 652 1,265 941 834 479 1,885 2,089 2,553 2,946 2,739 12,552 12,981 13,859 14,042 14,008 18,551 18,012 19,925 25,998 29,456 30,832 6,772 6,911 6,695 7,322 7,607 7,832 7,330 7,893 8,185 7,424 84,975 -53,626 85,346 -57, 097 54 549 81,972 92,935 -69,542 66 115 82,282 80,982 -70,013 82 908 90,536 110,669 -105^3 17 125 963 128,651 130,091 -118,146 105 943 115,306 32,217 -31,718 33,159 -30,687 31,959 -28,957 -31,307 31,314 32,012 -29,210 34,805 -28,672 32,748 -27,846 28,307 -25,942 28,538 -26,675 25,714 -25,480 Payments on foreign assets 3in Net Balance on goods, services, and income Unilateral transfers, net 4 Balance on current account U.S. 15,223 -8,331 31,349 3,907 -9,775 28,250 30 188 -9,956 27,423 23,394 -86,385 -12,621 16,166 - 106,859 -15,473 16 009 129 384 10,969 7,629 - 145,527 - 14,674 111 294 - 14,943 5,353 2,688 -90,814 -15,491 22 329 69 794 11,945 19,728 9,363 -28,344 499 -22,426 -3,794 2,472 - 19,656 -5,044 3,002 -18,635 -4,032 7 -17,485 -4,693 2,802 -19,555 -4,326 — 14,122 -9,280 6,133 16,919 -6,545 4,902 -4,211 7,108 2,365 -8,737 -2,880 1,863 -8,849 -1,417 234 6,892 -5,868 -40,143 -99,006 -122,332 -145,393 - 160,201 -126,236 - 106,305 -92,123 -8,616 -26,220 -24,700 -22,667 -22,178 -23,881 -23,402 10,374 2,897 -11,617 - 10,266 5 Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. See p. 37 for continuation of table. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $20.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1991, in contrast to a decrease of $2.3 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $26.0 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to an increase of $6.5 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 80 CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S., NET / / / . ',, . ' * \ \ I '\ ' ' < 1 \ , I / ,\ / TT/~ f \ I ' / I I A 20 20 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, net [increase /capita Period Total 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 p U.S. official reserve assets 3 8 Other U.S. Government assets Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase /capita! inflow (+)] 3 ] U.S. private assets Foreign official assets Other foreign assets 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,599 229,828 221,534 216,549 86,303 79,503 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 -1,083 35,588 45,343 39,657 8,624 32,425 20,585 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 184,485 181,877 207,925 53,879 58,918 Total Statistical discrepancy Allocations of special drawing rights (SDEs) Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy U.S. official reserve assets, net6 (unadjusted, end of period) 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 83,316 77,719 19,934 36,612 11,374 27,456 20,041 15,824 -6,690 9240 18,366 63,526 -3,139 -110,951 -124,490 -56,100 -31,070 -27,721 -92,030 -62,937 -86,057 -128,610 -57,706 -67,747 5 175 -4,965 1 196 -3,131 3 858 312 9,149 -3,912 -25,293 -2,158 5,763 -45,743 -41,021 -5,996 -3,202 564 i±9 -40,311 -37,938 74,255 70,238 13,053 -7,158 61,202 77,396 -2,292 -4,517 -6,379 3,096 68,418 74,609 n m 37,147 -33,462 -26,689 -34,703 -3,177 669 -800 314 4,759 40,993 -33,033 -28,114 -38,370 33 082 31,257 49,096 39,033 7 022 5,805 13,341 20,301 -26,059 25,452 35,754 18,732 18,601 24,383 1,475 19,072 4,367 105 -6,473 2,007 76,303 77,298 80,024 83,316 n m .... -1,123 -15,181 -11,206 -40,235 353 1,014 1,422 -493 3,197 -553 -2,192 15 702 -18,281 40,908 -729 3,503 26,979 49,751 6,631 -3,105 3,854 13,205 -7,361 6,608 23,125 36,546 -8,522 8,781 -4,156 750 4,322 496 -6,232 1,407 78,002 74,940 74,731 77,719 . 1989: m IV 1990: I IV 1991: I IV"... 371 1,739 -1,091 3,877 1,225 -5,097 -100,679 6 131 -113,394 -49,898 -5,006 22 451 -5,489 -2,821 -21,043 -90,321 -2,022 -73,091 1,006 2,966 -85,111 1,320 - 104,637 -58,524 2,976 3,572 77 082 e Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. 1,093 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. NOTE.—Merchandise data (p. 36) revised for 1990 and l»i/i; other data to be revised in next month's issue. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING p^ Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product in 1987 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product Changes in GDP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Implicit Price Deflators and Price Indexes Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures in 1987 Dollars '. Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment in 1987 Dollars Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets •. Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: ' Preliminary. ' Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.75 (single copy) ($3.44 foreign). Subscription price: $30.00 per year; $37.50 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1992 0—55-014