Full text of Economic Indicators : June 1976
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94th Congress, 2d Session LIBRARY "tis-.c, : \i_ pic,--AMP OF Of Economic Indicators June 1976 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1976 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY, Minnesota, Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, JR. (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) ROBERT TAFT, JR. (Ohio) PAUL J. FANNIN (Arizona) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana) GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana) OTIS G. PIKE (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) GARRY BROWN (Michigan) MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts) JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman PAUL W. MAcAVOY BURTON G. MALKIEL Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT Congress; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 85 cents a single copy or by subscription at $10.10 per year ($2.55 additional for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON D.C 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT According to revised estimates for the first quarter, gross national product rose $47.5 billion or at an annual rate of 1 2.6 percent. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) increased at a rate of 8.7 percent compared with 5.0 percent in the fourth quarter. The inflation rate declined from a 6.8 percent to a 3.6 percent annual rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 1,800 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATiQ SCALE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,600 1,600 1,400 1,400 GNP IN CURRENT DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 IN 1972 DOLLARS 1,000 1,000 800 800 1 I 1 t 1969 1968 1970 ! 1 1971 T 1 1 f t T t 1973 1972 t \ 1975 1974 1976 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Personal consumption expenditures Go^ fernment purchases of goods and Export s and imf >orts of goocIs and services services Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense * Nondefense State and local Final sales 430.2 464. 8 490.4 535.9 579.7 618.8 668.2 733.0 808. 5 885. 9 963.8 907. 7 908.4 926.4 950. 3 977.4 001. 0 112. 0 124. 5 120.8 131. 5 146.2 140.8 160.0 188,3 220. 5 212.2 182.6 207.6 210. 3 168. 7 161. 4 194.9 205.4 7.6 5. 1 4. 9 2. 3 1.8 3.9 1. 6 -3. 3 7.4 7.7 21.3 3.2 8.2 17.3 24.2 22. 1 21.7 39.5 42. 8 45.6 49.9 54.7 62. 5 65. 6 72.7 101. 5 144.2 147.8 148.6 153. 6 148.2 140.7 148. 5 153.8 32. 0 37.7 40,6 47.7 52.9 58. 5 64. 0 75. 9 94.2 136. 5 126. 5 145. 5 145. 3 130.9 116. 4 126.4 132. 1 138.4 158.7 180.2 198.7 207. 9 218.9 233.7 253. 1 269. 9 301. 1 331.2 305.9 314.4 321.2 324. 7 334.1 344.8 67.3 78. 8 90.9 98.0 97. 5 95. 6 96. 2 102. 1 102.0 111. 7 123. 2 113. 6 118.2 119.4 119.2 124.2 129.9 49.4 60. 3 71.5 76. 9 76. 3 73. 5 70. 2 73. 5 73.4 77.4 84.0 78.4 80.5 81.4 82. 1 84.9 87.4 17. 8 18. 5 19, 5 21.2 21. 2 22. 1 26. 0 28. 6 28.6 34.3 39.2 35. 1 37.7 38.0 37. 1 39.3 42.5 71. 1 79. 8 89. 3 100.7 110.4 123.2 137. 5 151.0 168.0 189.4 208.0 192.3 196.3 201.9 205. 5 209. 9 214.8 678.6 738. 7 786. 2 860. 8 926.2 978.6 1, 057. 1 1, 161. 7 1, 288. 8 1, 397. 2 1,513. -5 1, 420. 0 1, 430. 9 1, 458. 4 1, 490. 2 1; 530. 6 1, 574. 9 1, 620. 4 1, 029. 6 232.2 9.3 154.2 144, 9 349.2 131. 1 87. 0 44 1 218. 1 1, 604. 9 1965 688. 1 753.0 1966 1967 796.3 868. 5 1968 935.5 1969 982.4 1970 1, 063. 4 1971 1972 1, 171. 1 1973 1, 306. 3 1974__ 1, 406. 9 1975 . 1, 498. 9 1974: III.. 1, 424. 4 IY_. 1, 441. 3 1975: !_„ 1, 433. 6 II-. 1, 460. 6 III.. 1, 528. 5 IV... 1, 572. 9 1, 1976: I Gross private domestic investment i This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 33. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS [Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Exp orts of go ods Govern] nernt purebases of Gross iprivate do mestie aiad service* goods and semdees iiavestmenib Personal conGross Change national sumpXTrm IN onResi- in busition product State Net resiExports Imports Total Federal expend- dential dential ness in- exports and ventofixed itures local fixed ries Period 925. 9 981.0 1, 007. 7 1, 051. 8 1, 078. 8 1, 075. .3 1, 107. 5 1, 171. 1 1, 233. 4 1, 210. 7 _ 1, 186. 1 558. 1 586. 1 603.2 633.4 655.4 668.9 691.9 733. 0 766.3 759.8 766.9 95.6 106. 1 103.5 108.0 114.3 110.0 108. 0 116.8 131.3 127.5 112.2 43.2 38.5 37.2 42.8 43.2 40.4 52.2 62.0 60. 1 44.7 36.6 11.3 16. 7 12.0 8.7 10. 6 4. 3 6.6 9.4 16.0 7.7 -10.5 8.2 4.3 3.5 -.4 -1.3 1.4 —.6 — 3.3 7.2 16.6 23.4 54.2 58.5 62.2 67. 1 67.9 72.7 87.6 97.6 90.6 1974: III.. 1, 210. 2 IV.. 1, 186. 8 767.2 748.9 125.0 120. 8 44.1 38. 5 4.2 7.6 15.1 17.4 1975: !„.._ 1, 158. 6 II.. _ 1, 168. 1 III.. 1, 201. 5 IV... 1, 216. 2 752.3 764. 1 771.6 779.4 115.2 110.8 110.6 112.3 33.6 34. 0 38. 0 40. 7 -19.0 -20.7 _.g — 1.6 1, 241. 8 794.5 115.5 42. 0 10.7 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970. 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976:1 1Jis_ _t Jinal sales 41.0 47.3 50.7 58.9 63.5 65.7 68.5 75.9 80.4 81.0 67.2 209.6 229.3 248.3 259.2 256.7 250. 2 249.4 253.1 252.5 254.3 257.6 100.5 112.5 125.3 128.3 121.8 110.7 103.9 102.1 96.1 95.0 94.3 109. I 116.8 123.1 130.9 134.9 139.5 145. 5 151.0 156.3 159. 3 163.3 914. 6 964. 3 995.7 1, 043. 1 1, 068. 2 1,071.0 1, 100. 9 1, 161. 7 1,206.7 1,203.3 1, 196. 6 96.9 95.7 81.9 78.3 254.7 253.6 95.7 94.7 159.0 158.9 1, 206. 0 1, 179. 3 21.5 24.9 23.5 23.8 90.7 86.8 90.8 94.0 69.2 62.0 67.3 70.2 255.1 254.9 258.7 261.6 93.7 92.4 94.9 96. 1 161.4 162. 5 163. 8 165.5 1, 177. 6 1, 188. 7 1, 202. 4 1, 217. 8 17.4 93.8 76.4 261. 7 95.8 165.9 1, 231. 1 49. 1 51.6 IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1972=100] Gross national product Period Persona . consumi>tion expcmditures Total Gross private dom estic inves iment Expoi ts and Governnaent purimports of goods chases of goods and s<?rvices and s(srvices Nonres- ResiNonDurable durable State Services idential dential Exports Imports Federal and goods local fixed fixed goods 74. 32 76. 76 79. 02 82. 57 86. 72 91.36 96.02 100. 00 105. 92 116. 20 126. 37 77. 1 79. 3 81. 3 84.6 88.5 92.5 96.6 100.0 105. 5 116.6 125.7 85.6 85. 7 87. 4 90.7 93. 1 95.5 99.0 100.0 101.7 108.4 116.9 77.3 80. 1 81.9 85.3 89.4 93.6 96.6 100.0 108.0 124.0 133. 6 74.3 76.5 78.8 82.0 86. 1 90.5 95.8 100.0 104. 6 112.7 121.5 74. 5 76. 8 79.3 82.6 86.6 91.3 96.4 100. 0 104. 0 116. 0 132.3 72.3 74. 6 77.0 80.7 87.7 90.6 94.9 100.0 110. 6 122. 1 133. 3 80. 5 82.8 840 85.3 87.9 93. 1 96. 6 100.0 116. 0 147. 8 163.2 78.0 79.7 80.1 80.9 83.3 89. 1 93. 5 100. 0 117. 1 168. 6 188.3 67.0 70. 1 72.6 76.4 80. 0 86.4 92.6 100.0 106. 1 117.6 130.6 65. 1 68.4 72,5 76.9 81.9 88.3 94.5 100.0 107.5 118.9 127.4 , 117. 70 . 121. 45 118. 3 121.3 110.4 114.0 126.0 129.5 114.2 116.4 118.5 125.0 124.9 126.7 153.4 160.4 177.7 185. 6 118.6 124.8 121.0 123.6 1975:1 II.......... Ill IV. 123. 74 125. 04 127. 21 129. 33 123.1 124.4 126.7 128.4 114.3 116.3 117.4 119.4 131.0 131.9 135.2 136.4 119. 0 120.2 122.2 124.4 129. 6 131.8 132.6 135.3 131.6 132.3 132. 5 136.1 163.5 162.0 163.6 163.5 189. 1 187.8 187.8 188.2 127.3 128.9 130.9 135.3 125. 1 126. 4 128.2 129.8 1976:1... 130. 49 129.6 120.8 136.5 126.5 136.9 139.7 164.4 189.8 isao 131.5 1965 1966.. 1967... 1968 1969._ 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 . ..... _. . .. _ ..... 1974:111 IV Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES fPercent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross national product Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972. _ 1973 1974 1975-1974: III IV 1975: I II Ill IV... Constant (1972) dollars Current dollars „ , __ _ 1976: I.. Implicit price deflator Gross domestic product Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) Constant (1972) dollars Current dollars Implicit price deflator Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) 8.2 9.4 5.8 9.1 7.7 5.0 8.2 10.1 11.5 7.7 6.5 9.9 4.8 — 2. 1 7.7 19.9 12.1 5.9 5.9 2.7 4.4 2.6 -.3 3.0 5.7 5.3 -1.8 -2.0 -2.3 -7.5 -9.2 3.3 12.0 5.0 2.2 3.3 2.9 4. 5 5.0 5.4 5.1 4. 1 5.9 9.7 8.8 12.5 13.4 7.8 4.3 7. 1 6.8 1.9 3, 1 3.0 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 4. 1 6.0 9.7 8.8 13.3 12.5 8.2 4.3 7.3 6.9 1.8 2.9 3.0 4.3 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.0 6.0 9.7 8.8 13.0 12.5 7.8 4.4 7.3 7.2 8.2 9.6 5.7 9.1 7.8 5.0 8.1 10.1 11.4 7.3 6.9 9. 5 4.6 _. 7 7.7 19.6 12.5 5.9 6.1 2.7 4.4 2.6 -.3 2.8 5.8 5.3 — 1.8 — 1.9 -2.4 -7.8 -8.5 3.2 11.7 5.2 2.2 3.3 3.0 4,5 5. 1 5.3 5.1 4.1 5.8 9.3 8,9 12.2 13.5 8.5 4. 3 7. 1 7.0 1.9 3.1 3. 1 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 4.1 5.9 9.3 8.8 13.0 12.5 8.3 4.3 7.4 6.9 1. 8 3.0 3.0 4.4 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.0 5.9 9.4 8.8 12. 7 12.5 7.9 4.5 7.4 7.2 12.6 8.7 3.6 3.9 3.9 12. 2 8.4 3.5 3.9 3.8 NOTE.—-Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changes from previous quarter. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross d omestic prodinet of nonfir lancial corp orate busi ness (biUi<3ns of doll ars) C urrent doliar cost a nd profit per unit of outpu t (dollars]) i Total cost and profit 2 Capital consumption CompenallowNet ances Indirect sation with business of in3 employ- terest capital taxes conees sumption adjustment Current dollars 1972 dollars 1965. 1966. 19671968. 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973_ 1974 1975 1974:111.. rV-_ 1975:1 II-.. III__ IV— 392. 1 430.7 452.9 498.4 541. 8 560.6 602.5 671.0 751.9 808. 7 864. 1 820.3 821.8 816.4 845. 1 886.2 908. 5 494.6 532.9 545.8 581.6 607. 3 600. 6 619.3 671. 0 717.7 697.6 680. 4 696. 1 676.3 654.0 671.8 695. 0 700. 8 0.793 .808 .830 .857 .892 .933 .973 1.000 1.048 1. 159 1.270 1. 178 1.215 1.248 1.258 1. 275 1.296 0.066 .067 .072 .074 .079 .088 .094 .093 .096 .112 .131 . 114 . 123 . 130 .130 . 131 . 133 0.083 .080 .084 .089 .094 . 103 . 110 . 110 . 112 . 123 . 137 . 126 . 129 . 135 .136 . 137 . 139 1976: I »._ 938, 7 716. 1 1. 311 . 133 . 134 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate Biness in 1972 dollars. This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corwate business with the decimal point shifted 2 places to the left. * Also includes transfer payments less subsidies. 0.497 .513 .535 .553 .589 .628 .645 .661 .700 .788 .836 .803 .831 ,848 .829 .824 .843 . 852 Corpc>rate profi ts with invent ory valualbion and capii ,al consuniption £idjustmen ts CompenOutput per sation hour per of aU hour employ- of all employees (1972 ees (doldollars) lars) Profits tax liability Profits after tax* 0. 134 .134 . 123 .051 . 124 . 109 . 086 .095 . 107 .106 .091 . 116 .088 .081 . 085 . 113 . 133 . 131 0.055 .055 .051 .058 .055 .045 .048 .050 .055 .061 .053 .070 .058 .041 .048 . 060 .061 0 079 078 072 066 055 041 046 057 051 029 063 018 023 043 065 073 070 6. 6252 6. 7773 6. 8731 7. 1406 7. 2109 7. 2423 7. 5311 7. 7981 7. 9549 7. 7303 8. 0104 7. 6841 7. 6241 7. 6883 8. 0026 8. 1943 8. 1514 3. 2957 3. 4781 3. 6761 3. 9483 4. 2401 4. 5468 4. 8579 5. 1579 5. 5663 6. 0895 6. 6962 6. 1709 6. 3392 6. 5184 6. 6342 6. 7527 6. 8732 .052 . 140 .065 . 075 8. 2129 6. 9964 0 012 014 016 017 022 028 029 028 034 045 050 047 050 051 050 050 Total * With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] National income Period Propri etors' incom*3 with inventor y valuation anc capital eonsunaption adjust ments Compensation of employees * 0.^0, 1 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 „• 1975 1974: III... IV 1975: I. II. Ill IV... 1976: I 566. 0 622.2 655. 8 714.4 767.9 798.4 _ 858. 1 _ 951.9 _- 1, 067. 3 1, 141. 1 1, 207. 8 1, 151. 3 -.- 1, 161. 3 1, 155. 2 ... 1, 180. 8 ... 1, 232. 5 1, 262. 6 - 1, 303. 3 — Farm 396. 5 439. 3 471. 9 519. 8 571. 4 609.2 650.3 715.1 797.7 873.0 921.4 886.3 898. 1 897. 1 905. 4 928. 2 955.1 982.6 12.6 13.6 12. 1 12. 0 13.9 13.9 14.3 18.0 32.4 25.6 24.6 21.9 24.6 21. 0 20. 1 29.3 28. 2 25.3 Nonfarm 44.1 46.7 48. 9 51.4 52. 3 51. 2 53.4 58. 1 59.3 59.5 58.7 60.2 59.0 58.6 58.5 58. 7 58.9 59.7 Rental income of persons with capital con- Corpor ate profitsi with inv entory va uation and capital consumptioii adjustm ents Profits with inv<2ntory valuai ,ion adjus tment and ^without ca pital consum ption adjiistment Total tion adjustment 17.1 18.2 19. 4 18.6 18. 1 18. 6 20. 1 21.5 21. 3 21. 0 21, 1 20.9 20.9 20.8 20.5 20.9 22. 0 22.7 i Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 6.) Total 77.1 82. 5 79.3 85.8 81.4 67.9 77.2 92.1 100.2 91.3 100.3 89.2 82.0 78.9 96.6 113. 1 112.7 123.9 73.3 78. 6 75. 6 82. 1 77. 9 66.4 76.9 89.6 98.6 93.6 106.0 92.0 86. 1 83.4 101. 6 119. 6 119.3 131. 4 Profits before tax 75.2 80.7 77.3 85.6 83.4 71.5 82.0 96.2 117. 0 132. 1 116.8 146.7 123.9 97.1 108.2 129.5 132.4 142,8 Capital consump- Net interest Inven•Hrm tory adjustvalua- . ment tion adjustment -1.9 -2.1 -1.7 —3.4 — 5.5 — 5. 1 — 5.0 -6. 6 -18.4 -38.5 -10.8 -54.7 -37.7 -13.7 — 6.6 -9.9 -13. 1 -11.4 3.8 3.9 3. 7 3.7 3.5 1.5 .3 2.5 1.6 -2.3 -5.7 -2,7 -4.2 -4.5 -5.0 -6.5 -6.6 -7.6 18.5 21.9 24,3 26.8 30.8 37.5 42.8 47.0 56.3 70.7 81.6 72.7 76. 7 78.7 79.7 82.2 85.7 89.2 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total personal consumption expenditures 430.2 1965. 1966. 464.8 490.4 1967 1968_ 535.9 1969 579.7 1970 618.8 1971668.2 1972 733.0 1973 808. 5 1974___ 885. 9 1975 963. 8 1974: III..... 907.7 908.4 IV.... 1975:1 926.4 II 950.3 III_._. 977.4 IV 1, 001. 0 1976: I. 1, 029. 6 1 FurniTotal durablel goods Motor vehicles and parts 62.8 67.7 69. 6 80. 0 85. 5 84.9 97. 1 111. 2 122. 9 121.9 128. 1 128.9 117. 3 118. 9 123.8 131. 8 137.6 145.9 29.8 30. 1 29. 7 35.8 37.7 34.9 43. 8 50.6 54.4 48.0 49.5 53.5 43.6 44.6 46.1 52. 1 55. 1 62. 1 Total includes other items not shown separately. Retail sales of new pa ssenger cars (nlillions of uiaits) Nondurable goods D urable goo ds and household equipment 24.7 27.7 29. 5 32, 6 35. 0 36. 7 39.4 44.8 50.7 54.7 57.4 55.9 54. 3 54. 1 57.0 58.3 60.4 61.3 Services Total nondurable goods 1 188.6 204. 7 212.6 230.4 247. 0 264. 7 277.7 299.3 334.4 375.7 409.8 383.9 387.1 394. 1 404.8 416.4 423.7 430.8 Food 98.9 106.6 109.6 118. 3 126. 1 136. 3 140. 6 150.4 168.0 189. 4 209. 1 193. 2 197.4 202.8 206.6 211.4 215.6 219. 3 Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 33. 5 36. 6 38. 2 41.8 45. 1 46.6 50.5 55. 1 61.4 65.2 69.9 66.5 64.8 66.7 69.0 71.3 72.5 73.5 14.7 16. 0 17.0 18.4 20.4 22. 0 23.4 24.9 28.3 36.4 40.3 38.2 38.8 38. 1 39.6 41.2 42. 1 42.2 Domestics 178.7 192.4 208.1 225. 6 247.2 269. 1 293.4 322.4 351. 3 388.3 426. 0 394.9 404.0 413.4 421.6 429.2 439.7 452.9 8.8 8.4 7.6 8.6 8.5 7.1 8.7 9.3 9. 7 7.5 7. 1 8.3 5.8 6.7 6. 3 7. 5 7.7 8.9 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Imports 0.7 .8 1.0 1. 1 1. 3 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.6 1. 5 1. 3 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.4 1. 3 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $11.1 billion (annual rate) in May, following a revised increase of $10.1 billion in April.; Wage and salary disbursements rose $7.4 billion and farm proprietors-income $2.5 billion. All other major types of income also rose, except for transfer payments, which fell slightly. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALi WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 40 1976 1968 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Rental Other Propriet<3rs' incomes income Total Transfer and Divi- Personal personal salary labor 12 payinterest dends of income disburseincome income ments5 Nonfarm persons 4 Farm 1 ments 685.2 1968 745,8 1969 801.3 1970 1971 859.1 1972 942.5 1, 054. 3 1973 1, 154. 7 1974 1, 245. 9 1975 1975: May... 1, 217. 2 1, 245. 2 June July.... 1, 244. 0 1, 262. 4 Aug 1, 278. 7 Sept 1, 287. 4 Oct Nov 1, 295. 9 Dec 1, 300. 2 1, 313. 6 1976: Jan 1, 325. 9 Feb 1, 336. 0 Mar 1, 346. 2 Apr May *__ 1, 357. 2 469.5 514.6 546.5 579.4 633. 8 701. 0 763.6 801.6 787.4 792. 7 797.4 808. 8 815.6 824.1 831.2 836.8 846.0 851.6 856.8 864. 1 871.5 25. 1 28.2 32.0 36.2 42. 0 47.5 54.5 61.3 60.3 60.8 61. 4 62. 0 62. 6 63.2 63.8 64.4 65.2 66. 1 67.0 67. 8 68. 6 12.0 13.9 13.9 14.3 18.0 32.4 25.6 246 20.1 21. 7 25.8 29.3 32.7 30.5 28. 3 25.8 25.6 25.3 25. 0 26. 9 29.4 51.4 52.3 51.2 53.4 sa i 59.3 59.5 58.7 58.6 58.6 58.7 58.7 58.8 sa9 58.8 58.9 59. 1 59. 7 60.3 60. 3 60.4 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contribujions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 2 Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; workmen's compensation; directors' fees; and a few other minor items. »With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 18.6 18. 1 18. 6 20. 1 21. 5 21. 3 21. 0 21. 1 20.5 20.2 20.5 21. 0 21. 3 21.8 22.0 22.2 22.5 22. 7 22.9 23. 1 23. 2 21.9 22.6 22.9 23.0 24.6 27.8 31.1 32.8 32.6 32.9 33.2 33.5 33.9 33.8 33.8 31. 7 33.4 33. 3 33.2 33. 8 33. 9 49.6 55.9 64.3 69.3 74.6 88.4 106.5 120.5 117.5 118. 6 119. 7 121.2 122.9 125. 1 127. 9 129. 0 130.4 131.8 133.6 134.8 135.8 59.9 66.5 79.9 94. 1 104.1 118.6 140.4 175.0 169.3 189.0 176.8 178. 1 181.3 180. 6 181.4 182. 9 184.7 18&9 190.8 189. 2 188.6 Less: PerNonsonal confarm tributions personal 8 for social insurance income 22.8 26. 3 28.0 30.8 34.2 42. 2 47.4 49.8 49. 1 49.3 49.5 50.0 50.4 50. 7 51.2 51.6 53.3 53.4 53.6 54.0 54.3 667.5 725.8 780.7 838.0 917.3 1, 013. 5 1, 119. 1 1, 210. 2 1, 186. 2 1, 212. 5 1, 207. 2 1, 222. 1 1, 234. 8 1, 245. 6 1, 256. 3 1, 262. 9 1, 276. 3 1, 288. 9 1, 299. 2 1, 307. 4 1, 315. 8 «With capital consumption adjustment. 6 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. 6 Personal income exclusive of net Income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, and agricultural net interest. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable income rose at an annual rate of 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 1976 bringing the increase over the past 4 quarters to 5.$ percent. BBilOHS OF DOLLARS* [RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) -PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PBiSQNAL INCOME 2,000 2,000 1968 1976 1969 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNOL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOVRC£i DEPARTMENT Of Period Less: Personal Pertax sonal and income nontax payments , Equals: Disposable personal income Less: Personal outlays1 Equals: Per. eonal saving Per capita disp aaable persona1 income Current dollars 626.6 685.2 745.8 801.3 859. 1 942. 5 , 054. 3 ., 154. 7 1, 245. 9 Current dollars 1972 dollars Percent change Saving in real as perper cent of Populacapita dispostion able dispos(thouperable sands) * sonal perincome Bil lions of. d ollars 1967. 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1972 dollars Per caijita, personal c onsumption expenditures 544.5 82.1 97. 1 588. 1 115. 4 630.4 115. 3 685. 9 742.8 116. 3 141.2 801.3 151.2 903. 1 171.2 983.6 169.2 1, 076. 7 D.ollars 503.7 550. 1 595.3 635.4 685. 5 751. 9 830. 4 909. 5 987.8 40.9 38. 1 35.1 50.6 57.3 49.4 72. 7 74.0 88.9 2,740 2,930 3, 111 3,348 3,588 3,837 4,292 4, 642 5,040 3,371 3,464 3, 515 3,619 3,714 3,837 4,068 3,981 4,010 2,468 2,670 2,860 3,020 3,227 3, 510 3,843 4, 181 4, 512 3,035 3, 156 3, 234 3, 265 3,342 3, 510 3,642 3,586 3,590 3.0 2.8 1.5 3.0 2.6 3.3 6.0 — 2. 1 .7 7.5 198, 712 6. 5 200, 706 5.6 202, 677 7.4 204, 878 7. 7 207, 053 6.2 208, 846 8.0 210, 410 7. 5 211, 894 8.3 213, 631 —0.7 -2.9 — 3.5 18.8 -6.2 3.5 6.5 8.2 7.2 9.9 7. 9 7.9 212, 212, 212, 213, 213, 214, 5.3 7.6 214, 692 Seas onaHy ad; usted ann ual rates 1974: III.. 1 IV.. 1 1975: I 1 II._. III.. IV— 1 1976:1 171. 6 194. 8 203.6 223. 8 261. 7 294.5 175.3 178.9 179.6 142. 1 174. 6 180.5 996.3 931. 7 932. 4 1, 015. 9 1, 024. 0 950.4 1, 081. 7 974.2 1, 087. 1 1, 001. 3 1, 114. 0 1, 025. 4 64. 6 83.6 73.6 107.5 85.9 88.6 4,697 4,779 4,808 5,070 5, 083 5, 197 3,969 3,940 3,905 4,077 4, 012 4,047 4,279 4,273 4,350 4, 454 4, 569 4,670 3, 617 1 3, 523 3, 533 3, 581 3, 607 3, 636 , 325. 2 184.4 1, 140. 7 1, 054 5 86. 2 5, 313 4,100 4, 796 3,701 1 Includes personal consumption expend!lures, interest paid, by consumers to3business, and personal transfer payments.to foreigners (net). Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 3; quarterly data are (or middle of period, interpolated from monthly data* 123 585 962 362 897 339 Source: Department oi Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureai of the Census). FARM INCOME Farm income including inventory change declined $3.0 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter; excluding inventory change the decline was $1.5 billion. B1LUONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALq BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALQ 120 120 100 80 80 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 60 60 40 40 \ t "NET TARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE j \ J 20 t 20 ••» ++* 10 1969 1970 1972 1971 1974 1973 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Period 1968 J 1969 J 1970 1971 1972 1973..... _. 1974 . 1975 1975 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates'] Personail incomereceived Income r«seeived f r<>m f armii*g by total farm population Realiz ed gross Net income per Nett o farm farm incl uding net3 •ators opei Casla receipts from inventor y change marketing58 From Rrom From Produc- Exclud- Includ1 all farm nonfarm Total tion ex- ing net ing net Livesources sources sources penses inven- inven- Current 1967 stock Total Crops tory tory 2 dollars dollars * and change change products Do] lars Billioias of dollsirs 12. 7 23.9 11.3 12.2 51.7 44.2 3,858 4,013 25.5 12.3 18.7 39.5 12.9 26.6 13. 7 4,372 56.3 48.2 14.2 4,766 42.1 28.6 14.3 19. 6 14.2 27. 1 13.0 4,202 58.6 14.2 14.2 4,790 50.5 29.5 21.0 44.4 13.4 15.0 28.5 60. 6 13.2 4,263 5,030 52.9 30.6 22.3 47.4 14.6 34.1 16.7 17. 4 6,504 61.2 70. 1 5,288 35.7 17.8 18.7 25.5 52.3 48.4 19. 2 29. 1 95. 3 8, 891 41. 1 30.0 33. 6 11, 825 86. 9 45.8 65.3 44.8 23.6 21.2 101. 1 52. 1 28.2 41.4 6,231 26. 6 9,409 93.5 72.9 99.2 45.5 23.3 22. 2 5, 578 9, 260 26. 0 90.6 23.7 43.3 47.3 75.5 1974: -III... IV... 99.2 101. 9 91.5 94. 1 39.3 39.5 52.2 54.6 73.3 73.5 25.9 28.4 22. 8 25.5 8, 060 9,010 5,230 5, 700 1975: I II.... III... IV .. 91. 1 101. 1 104. 1 100. 4 82.7 92.6 95.4 91.6 38.4 42. 5 44. 5 47.8 44.3 50. 1 50. 9 43. 8 73.5 74. 9 76.5 76.9 17.6 26.2 27.6 23.5 17.1 27.2 30.6 29.0 6, 090 9, 680 10, 900 10, 330 3, 760 5, 900 6, 450 6, 040 1976: I 100. 0 90.9 46.6 44. 3 78.0 22. 0 26.0 9,330 5,420 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmohey income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. s Based on Census of Agriculture definition oi a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. 73—380« 4 Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture; CORPORATE PROFITS Profits before tax rose $10.4 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter, according to revised estimates, while protits with inventory valuation adjustment rose $12.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 t968 1976 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1974: III IY_ 1975: I II III IV 1976: L [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally Profit ,s (before tax) wit!i invent< :>ry valuiition adjustn lent l Dome*stie industries N onfinanc tal 2 Total WholeManu- sale Total Finanfaecial Total 3 and turretail ing trade 73.3 70. 1 62.5 7.5 38.3 7.9 75.9 8.5 67.4 41.6 78.6 8.0 75.6 72.6 9.0 63.6 37.9 8.9 82. 1 41.2 10.4 68.5 78.9 10.1 74.2 77.9 62. 9 11. 3 36.8 10.1 66.4 62.6 50. 1 27. 1 12.6 9.4 58.2 72.4 14. 1 76.9 32.4 11.7 84.7 15.4 89.6 69. 3 40.6 13.3 91. 7 74. 3 98. 6 17. 4 43.8 14.4 82. 5 93.6 17.3 65.3 37.4 13.4 16.2 106.0 100.1 83.9 45. 2 21.9 92.0 82.0 18.3 63.7 37.0 11.7 75. 1 86. 1 16. 5 58.6 31.9 11.9 83.4 77.6 18.3 59.3 30.0 16.3 95.7 80.2 101.6 15. 5 43. 5 21.0 113.4 119. 6 14.9 98. 6 54. 6 25. 1 119. 3 113.6 97.4 16. 1 52. 8 25.4 131.4 124.4 17.4 107. 1 59. 5 30.4 1 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. s Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. 1 s Includes industries not shown separately. 8 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS adjusted annual rates] Pro fits after tax TT Profits before tax Tax liability Total Dividends Undistributed profits 75.2 80.7 77.3 85. 6 83.4 71.5 82.0 96.2 117.0 132. 1 116. 8 146. 7 123.9 97. 1 108.2 129.5 132.4 142.8 30.9 33.7 32. 5 39.4 39.7 34.5 37.7 41.5 48.2 52.6 45.6 59. 3 49.2 37.5 41.6 50.7 52. 5 57. 1 44.3 47.1 44. 9 46.2 43.8 37.0 44. 3 54. 6 68. 8 79. 5 71.2 87.4 74.7 59.6 66. 6 78.8 79.9 85.7 19.1 19.4 20.1 21.9 22. 6 22.9 23.0 24.6 27.8 31. 1 32.8 31.7 31.7 32. 1 32. 6 33.5 33. 1 33.3 25.2 27.6 24. 7 24.2 21.2 14. 1 21. 3 30. 0 40. 9 48.4 38.4 55.7 43. 0 27.5 34. 0 45. 3 46. 8 52. 4 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Inventory valuation adjustment — 1.9 — 2. 1 -1.7 -3.4 -5.5 -5. 1 — 5. 0 -6.6 -18.4 -38.5 -10.8 -54.7 -37. 7 -13.7 -6.6 -9.9 -13. 1 -11.4 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Business fixed investment rose at an annual rate of $6.2 billion in the first quarter. Inventory investment rose sharply, by $17.5 billion, from —$2.0 billion in the fourth quarter to $15.5 billion in the first quarter. Residential outlays also increased but by less than in the preceding quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) BltUONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 300 -GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT- ,NONRESIDENT1AL FIXED INVESTMENT 240 220 180 140 . I .1, 1., JL_L 40 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS" 40 -CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES -20 -40 1976 •SEASONAUT ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCEi DEMStMENI OF COMMERCE COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS I iillions of dollars; quarter!y data at seasonsilly adju sted ann ual ratesJ Nwiresidenl ial fixed investm snt Gross private domes- Period tic invest- 1965 1966 1967— 1968 1969 1970 1971— - 1972 1973 1974 1975 1974: III. — -- 1975: I- — rv II III IV 1Q76: I 112.0 124. 5 120. 8 131. 5 146. 2 140. 8 160.0 188. 3 220. 5 212.2 182.6 207.6 Stru(•tures Total 71.3 81.4 82. 1 89. 3 98. 9 100. 5 104. 1 116. 8 136.5 147.9 148. 5 148. 1 Nonfarm 26.1 29.2 25.1 28. 1 45.1 52. 2 41.2 47.9 31.2 28.7 31.6 35.7 37.7 39.3 30. 4 34.3 36. 1 37. 8 57.7 63. 3 59. 9 69. 1 54.4 52.1 34. 5 37.9 36.6 49.6 62.0 66.5 54.6 48. 7 29. 5 42. 5 49.0 52. 7 54.0 56. 1 28.2 41. 1 46. 8 50. 5 51. 7 54.9 51. 1 205.4 232.2 151.9 158.1 53.6 55.5 51. 5 53.2 51.2 49. 0 Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analyst*. 52. 6 62. 8 64. 7 74.3 87. 5 93.5 95.8 94. 1 95.0 94.4 95.0 95.6 98.3 102.6 48.0 53.4 58. 9 58. 1 80. 7 86.0 88. 2 86. 6 86. 7 86. 7 87. 2 88.6 90.4 94.7 farm Farm struc- tures Total 168.7 161.4 146. 7 NonTotal Nonfarm 53. 7 52. 6 48.8 194. 9 PTA- Total 151. 1 149.3 146. 1 210.3 Prod ucers' dur able equijanent Resic ential fis ed investment 28.6 55.0 29.9 27.4 27.2 33. 1 36.3 35. 1 47.9 60.3 64.7 52.2 46.8 52. 7 .6 .9 1.2 48.2 .4 .5 .8 .7 48.7 44.2 45.0 46.3 42. 6 43.1 55.4 58.6 53.3 56.5 50.4 ducers' durequipment 0.6 .7 .7 .6 .7 .6 .7 .7 .6 1.0 .7 Change in business m\ entories 0.7 .7 .7 .8 .9 .9 1.0 1. 1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 L5 Total 9.5 14.3 10.1 7.7 9.4 3. 8 6.4 9.4 17.5 9.7 — 14.6 4.4 10.4 — 24. 8 — 29.6 — 2. 1 -2.0 15.5 Nonfarm 8.5 14.5 9.4 7.6 9.2 3.7 5.1 8. 8 14. 1 11.6 -16.5 7. 6 13.7 -23.3 -29. 6 — 5.7 -7.5 11.3 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND Business plans to increase capital spending nearly 71/3 percent in 1976, according to the survey conducted in late April and May, or slightly more than the expected increase reported in March, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE} BILLIONS OF DOLURS {RATIO SCALE) 180 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUM HATS 160 160 140 140 120 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMB^T 100 100 80 80 ,„,.,,,«»•«"- NONMANUFACTURtNG 60 60 40 40 MANUFACTURING \ 20 \ 1968 t \ 1970 1969 1 f .! •1973 1972 1971 I 1974 1 1975 J/ J/ i 20 1976 l J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Starts c)f plant E spenditunss for plaiit and eqilipment and equ ipment 3 projcjets M anufactur fog Period Total * Total 1969. 1970 1971_ . 1972__ 1973.. 1974__ 1975 1976 * 75.56 79.71 81. 21 88.44 99. 74 112. 40 112. 78 31.68 31. 95 29.99 31. 35 38. 01 46.01 121. 03 47.95 52.52 _ 114. 57 112. 46 III.... 112. 16 IV 111.80 Dur- Non- able goods durable goods 15.96 15.80 14 15 15.64 19. 25 15. 72 16. 15 15.84 15. 72 18. 76 21.84 26.11 22.62 23.39 Nonmanul acturing Total Mining 47. 76 51. 22 57. 09 61. 73 66. 39 64. 82 1.86 1.89 2, 16 2.42 2. 74 3. 18 3.79 43.88 Com- Transportation Public utilities munication 6.05 6.04 11.61 13. 14 15. 30 17. 00 18. 71 20. 55 20.14 8.30 10. 10 10.77 11.89 12.85 13.96 12.74 493 5. 72 6.03 6.66 7.57 Commercial and Manufactur- ing other 2 16. 05 16. 59 iaos 20. 07 21. 40 22. 05 20. 60 3407 29, 18 28. 00 35. 21 47. 57 52. 49 48. 24 15. 16 17. 20 22. 22 28. 60 38. 13 45. 74 34. 50 5 34 9 19 14 82 5,84 1.30 22. 74 29. 78 68.50 3.81 6.51 23.07 13.83 48.78 47.39 46.82 22. 86 22. 59 21. 01 21.07 26. 20 26. 19 26.38 25.75 65. 52 63. 68 64. 76 64.98 3. 76 3. 78 3.82 3.82 7.30 7.05 7.86 7.60 20. 28 19. 52 19. 79 20.91 13. 36 12. 50 12. 95 12.22 20.44 12. 12 12. 80 11. 29 12. 16 49. 21 21.63 27. 58 65.51 3.83 6. 55 21. 91 12. 54 20. 68 11.64 52.28 29.60 22.68 68.86 54. 06 23.42 30.64 68. 93 5^.06 28.12 30.95 70.34 1 Excludes agrieiiltural business; real estatte operators medical, le l&l, educational, and cultureil service; an d nonprofit organization 5. These flgures do not agree precisely wit ti the nonresldentialfixe< i investmen i data in gro ss national product estimates, mainly bee wise those d ata include i nvestment b y farmers, professionals, instit•utions, and real estate ftrms, and certain outlays charged to current account. 3 Includes trade, service, consi ruction, finance,andinsuranee, * Starts are estinaated by addling changes in carryover to expenditiires during 3.68 3.85 6.95 6. 78 •22. 81 22.90 1975: I II 1976: I 114.72 II 4 __ 121. 14 III *._ •123. 00 IV 4 __ 124. 40 10 49. 05 Public utilities 21.28 20.82 20.83 20. 34 35. 42 35. 41 given period. < Expenc itures estiiiaates based on expectec1 capital exi>enditures as reported by business in late April and May 1976. NO*E.— Annual tot al is the suni of unadjusted quarter ly totals, Esttmati3S (as noted1 in footnot B 4) include adjustmen ts when necessaryforsj tematic bisises in expectations da ta. Source: Departmen t of Commerce, Bures u of Econo mic Analysis EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT,AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Seasonally adjusted civilian employment increased by nearly 300,000 in May to 87.7 million. This is 3.2 million greater than employment in May a year ago* Nonfarm employment increased by 386,000 in May. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* TOO 100 1975 1968 *J6 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADMSERS n thousands of personis 16 years5 of Period 1971 1972* 1973* 1974 1975 1975: May June July— Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Noninstitutional population 1976 Civilian Unememploy- ployment ment 142, 596 79, 120 145, 775 81, 702 148, 263 84, 409 150,827 85, 936 153, 449 84, 783 U nad justed Total labor Civilian force (includ- labor ing force Armed Forces) age £md over] ivilian e mploymerit Unempl oyment Nonagri cultural TV»f aT JL (Jttll Agricultural Part-time TA otai t 1 for economic reasons 1 Tnf al J. Olcti 15 weeks and over Labor force participation rate (per-2 cent) 4, 993 4, 840 4,304 5, 076 7, 830 86y 929 88, 991 91, 040 93, 240 94, 793 84, 113 86, 542 88, 714 91, Oil 92, 613 79, 120 81, 702 84, 409 85, 936 84, 783 3, 387 75, 732 2, 440 3,472 78, 230 2,408 3,452 80, 957 2, 311 3,492 82, 443 2, 709 3, 380 81, 403 3, 490 Seas<mally adj usted 4, 993 4,840 4,304 5, 076 7,830 1, 182 1, 158 812 937 2, 483 61.0 61. 0 61. 4 61. 8 61. 8 153, 051 153, 278 153, 585 153, 824 154, 052, 154, 256 154, 476 154, 700 84, 146 85, 444 86, 650 86, 612 85, 274 86, 023 85, 556 85, 536 7,623 8,569 8,209 7,696 7,522 7, 244 7, 231 7, 195 94, 950 94, 747 95, 249 95, 397 95, 298 95, 377 95, 272 95, 286 92, 769 92, 569 93, 063 93, 212 93, 128 93, 213 93, 117 93, 129 84, 519 84, 498 84, 967 85, 288 85, 158 85, 151 85, 178 85, 394 3r528 3,350 3,439 3, 464 3, 512 3,408 3,301 3, 236 80, 991 81, 148 81, 528 81, 824 81, 646 81, 743 81, 877 82, 158 3,750 3,422 3, 277 3,234 3,291 3, 361 3, 353 3,243 8,250 8,071 8,096 7, 924 7, 970 8,062 7,939 7, 735 2,529 2, 751 2, 954 2, 878 2, 934 2,719 3, 004 3, 080 62.0 61.8 62. 0 62. 0 61. 9 61. 8 61.7 61. 6 154, 915 155, 106 155, 325 155, 516 155, 711 84, 491 84, 764 85, 588 86, 584 87, 278 8, 174 8,033 7, 525 6,890 6,304 95, 624 95, 601 95, 866 96, 583 96, 699 93, 484 93, 455 93, 719 94, 439 94, 557 86, 194 86, 319 86, 692 87, 399 87,697 3,343 3r 170 3, 179 3,417 3,329 82, 851 83, 149 83, 513 83, 982 84, 368 3,482 3, 262 3,266 3,248 3, 382 7,290 7, 136 7, 027 7,040 6,860 2, 785 2, 515 2,294 2,035 1, 998 61. 7 61. 6 61. 7 62. 1 62. 1 'Data beginn ing January 1 J72 not strict y eomparal:>le with prJoi• date because adjustment" Ed 1970 Censu s data, wnic i added about 800,000 t o the civilia n *M>ninstItiition£ 1 .population. 33J,OQQ to 11le civilian abor force, 2ind 301,000 to ^civilian employ ment. A tellaer adjustme nt in Marc h 1973 added 60,000 to th6 "labor force and to employme nt. i Persons at wor k in nonagric ultural indu stries. 2 Toted labor foree as percent of noninstitutional popula tion 16 yeai s over. Source: Departatent of Labor , Bureau of Ivabor Statist!cs. of age and 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point in May to 7.3 percent. The unemployment rate declined for most demographic groups but increased for men age 20 qnd over. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) •PERCENT* (SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED) 10 ou. 1972 1975 *UNEMPtOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR POKE IN GROUP SPECIFIED, SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF UBOR 1976 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unernployme nt rate ( percent t)f civiliaii labor f 3rce in g roup) Total (all civilian workers) Period 1971-.1972 1973 . -_ 1974.. 1975 1975: May June July_ Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb ... Mar Apr May 1 .- 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 8. 9 8. 7 8. 7 8. 5 ._ 8.6 8.6 ... ... ... 8. 5 8.3 .7.8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7. 3 By s ex and iige Men Women Both 20 20 sexes years years 16-19 and and years 4.4 4.0 3.2 3.8 6.7 7.2 7.0 7. 1 6.8 7.2 7. 2 7. 1 6.6 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.4 4.8 5.5 8.0 8.4 8.2 . 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.0 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.3 6.8 16.9 16.2 14.5 16.0 19.9 20.3 20.7 20.5 20.7 19. 4 19. 8 19.0 19.6 19.9 19.2 19. 1 19. 2 18.5 Aggregate hours lost by the unemplojea and pe sons on pa rt-tlme for economic reasons as percent of potentially ay liable labo force hour a. 12 3By select ed grouj>S By color White 5.4 5.0 4.3 5.0 7.8 8.3 8.0 8.1 7.8 7.8 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.1 6.8 6. 8 6,7 6.6 ExpeFullBlack rienced time wage Houseand hold and heads workother salary ers workers 9.9 10.0 8.9 9.9 13.9 14.2 14.0 13.4 14.3 14.4 14.3 13.9 13. 8 13.2 13.7 12.5 13.0 12.2 £ ource: Pep artmentof 5.7 5.3 4.5 5.3 8.2 8.9 8. 6 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.3 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.3 5.8 6. 1 6. 1 6.1 5.7 6.0 6.0 5.8 8. 1 5. 7 7.4 7.4 5.1 7. 1 7.2 7.2 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.8 5. 5 5. 1 4.3 5. 1 8.1 as 8.4 8.5 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.3 7.9 7.3 7. 1 7.0 7.0 as Labor, Bui eau of Lab IT Statisticst. Parttime workers a? 8.6 7.9 8.6 10.3 10.7 10. 1 9.9 10.3 9.9 10.4 10.2 10. 5 10.5 10. 4 10. 3 10.7 10.2 force time lost (percent) ' 6.4 6.0 5.2 6. 1 9.1 9.7 8.9 8.9 9. 1 9.4 9.3 8.4 ai 8.2 ai SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Long-duration unemployment has continued to decline in absolute and relative terms. Those unemployed 15 weeks or longer as a percent or the labor force declined from 3.3 percent in December to 2.1 percent in May. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 JOB LOSERS 40 REENTRANTS 20 JOB LEAVERS NEW ENTRANTS 0 I m H 1 1 1 m m M t i t ii i,, n n 1 1 1 ! i M .? n t 1 T 1 1 1 1 \ — -^ | | 1975 1 197$ 1973 1974 1976 *5EASONALtY ADJUSTED COUNCK. OF ECONOMIC ADVISiRS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT Of IABOR TTnom— \J U,tJlH~ ploy- Period ment (thousands) 1971 1972 1973__ 1974 1975....... 1975: Apr.. May. June,, July.. Aug., Sept. Oct__ Nov.. Dec.. 1976: Jan... Feb_ Mar 9 Apr *» May * 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7, 830 7,941 8,250 8, 071 8, 096 7, 924 7,970 8, 062 7,939 7,735 7, 290 7, 136 7,027 7, 040 6,860 [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Perceiit distrifc ution of unemPerceiit distrib ution of unemState programs Insured pi oyment by reasoia 1 pic yment by durati on 1 unem- Special ployunemployment, all ment 27 Insured New Less Reen5-14 Job Job 15-26 weeks unem- Initial regular benefit3 enthan 5 weeks proclaims losers leavers trants trants weeks and ploy- claims weeks grams 2 (unadover ment (unad- justed) justed) 46.3 43.2 38.7 43.4 55. 4 56. 1 56.4 58. 5 57.7 56.2 58.2 56.0 55.6 51.7 48.3 49. 1 50. 2 49. 6 49. 6 11.8 13. 1 15. 7 14. 9 10. 4 10.2 10. 3 9.7 10.0 9. 7 10.0 10. 2 10. 9 11.3 11.8 12. 1 10. 9 11.8 12. 6 | 29.4 29.8 30.7 28.4 23.8 24. 1 23. 5 23. 0 22. 1 22. 9 21.9 23.4 23. 1 25.8 27.6 26. 6 26.6 26. 0 25. 5 12.6 13.9 14. 9 13.3 10. 4 9. 6 9.8 8. 9 10.2 11. 1 9.9 10.4 10.5 11.3 12.3 12. 1 12. 2 12.7 12. 3 44,7 45.9 51. 0 50. 6 37. 0 37. 6 37. 6 34.2 36. 0 34. 1 34.4 36.9 32.5 33.2 35.7 38. 1 38. 3 43.2 42. 0 2 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Kico), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (.UCFB), and railroad (BE) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal Supplemental Benefits) and SUA (Special Unemployment Assistance). 31.6 30. 1 30. 1 31. 0 31.3 33.2 31. 6 31.4 26. 9 30. 3 29. 8 29.9 30,4 28. 1 27. 6 26. 3 28. 0 27. 3 28. 6 13. 3 12. 3 11.0 11. 1 16.5 17.2 18. 0 18. 5 20. 1 17.7 16. 5 15. 1 15. 8 17.7 15. 2 13. 6 13. 3 9. 7 12. 2 10.4 11.6 7.8 7.3 15.2 12.0 12.8 15.9 17.0 17.9 19.3 18. 1 21.2 20.9 21.5 22. 1 20. 4 19.8 17.2 We<skly avei•age, thou sands 2, 150 295 2,608 261 2, 192 1, 848 1, 632 246 1, 793 2,262 363 2,558 3,973 472 4,942 4,298 5, 647 506 743 4,464 497 5, 202 868 4, 343 501 4,892 1,177 4, 187 446 4,979 1,489 4, 108 460 4, 576 1,502 4,087 454 4,238 1,312 3,918 460 4,039 1,284 3, 587 4, 120 410 1, 340 3, 199 1,411 390 4,- 461 2,938 4,962 346 1,482 2,807 322 4, 721 1,428 2,742 349 4, 366 1,339 2,721 358 3,917 1, 125 2,841 395 3,563 993 FSB and SUA. These programs started January 1975 and regular repofting began March 1975. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Nonfarm payroll employment (seasonally adjusted) increased by 57,000 in May, the smallest monthly increase since November. Most of the decline in employment in nondurable manufacturing may be attributed to the strike of 6Q,QQQ rubber workers. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 90 MILLIONS OF PERSONS' '(ENLARGED SCALE) ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 70 14 SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 12 LI I I III I 1 I I IMI I MMI II MI !IMI ! 1 1 1 ! \\ I I I I t M MI I I MI 22 * 50 jMANUFACTU RING " 20 i ;>.-""' 40 Ill ! M 1 t M 1 1 ^ \ i.ij.ij 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M Ll 1 M I i 1 ~ s»+ 1 1 j 1 1 1 1 u 1 1 I 1 1 M 1 I M I [V * GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES- \ 30 i ^ '"" 1 CON TRACT CONS1'RUCTION N ,««•••• 20 /MM 1 ! 1 1 M 1 1972 1973 1974 1975 * 1976 1 I 1 t .1 I 1 1 M I M M , ! , MM IIMI-llNII 19/3 1974 )975 1972 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR M M 1 1 1 I M ,J 1976 A COUNOtOF t COHOMJC ADVISERS l [Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted] G oods-prc)ducing industries5 Period Total nonagrieultural employ- Total 2 ment 71, 222 73, 714 76, 896 78, 413 76, 985 76, 462 76,510 76, 343 76, 679 77, 023 77, 310 77, 555 77, 574 77, 796 78, 179 78, 368 78, 630 78, 942 May. 78, 999 1971 1972 1973 1974 19751975: Apr... May.. JuneJuly.. Aug.— Sept.. Oct... Nov.. Dec... 1976: Jan... Feb... Mar.. Apr*_ 22, 820 23, 546 24, 727 24, 697 22, 549 22, 328 22, 339 22, 233 22, 222 22, 418 22, 601 22, 669 22, 657 22, 743 22, 914 22, 901 23, 013 23, 134 23, 101 Contract construction 3, 639 3,831 4,015 3,957 3,457 3, 441 3,439 3,392 3,395 3,415 3,432 3,402 3,409 3,406 3, 428 3,375 3,366 3,392 3,402 Ser%dce-pr oducing IndustrieJS Gover nment Trans- Whole- Finance, insurporta- sale tion ance, Services Total and NonState and and Durable retail Total goods durable Federal and real public trade local goods estate utilities Ma nufactm ing 18, 572 19, 090 20, 068 20, 046 18, 347 18> 155 18, 162 18, 100 18, 084 18, 254 18, 417 18, 493 18, 482 18, 568 18, 722 18, 763 18, 877 18, 969 18, 928 10, 597 11, 006 11, 839 11, 895 10, 679 10, 637 10, 595 10, 527 10, 465 10, 563 10, 650 10, 661 10, 653 10, 717 10, 820 10, 846 10, 937 10, 996 11, 028 7,975 8,084 8,229 8,151 7,668 7,518 7, 567 7,573 7,619 7,691 7,767 7,832 7,829 7,851 7,902 7,917 7,940 7,973 7,900 * Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces.rT^Qtel dejrlyM/Eem . • ,thi§,,table not comparable with-estimates ol iioja|i|^ieiiliujal ^ layman labor force, shown on p. if, which include pseprieiors, self?Kcaployed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they 14 48, 401 50, 167 52, 169 53, 715 54, 436 54, 134 54, 171 54, 110 54, 457 54, 605 54, 709 54, 886 54> 917 55, 053 55, 265 55, 467 55, 617 55, 808 55, 898 4,457 4,517 4,644 4,696 4,498 4,508 4, 491 4,469 4,464 4,466 4,467 4,476 4,496 4,477 4,494 4,517 4,498 4,512 4,497 15, 352 15, 975 16, 674 17, 017 16, 947 16, 847 16, 857 16, 877 16, 984 17, 016 17, 045 17, 043 17, 010 17, 080 17, 233 17, 326 17, 386 17, 444 17, 457 3,802 3,943 4, 091 4,208 4, 223 4, 209 4,208 4,202 4,203 4,218 4,239 4,246 4,248 4,264 4, 266 4,266 4,276 4,290 4,285 11, 903 12, 392 13, 021 13, 617 13, 995 13, 878. 13, 889 13, 871 13, 990 14, 050 14, 113 14, 157 14, 188 14, 229 14, 307 14, 360 14, 422 14, 488 14, 559 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 2,731 2,732 2,738 2,745 2,756 2,765 2,767 2,761 2, 755 2,746 2,740 2,732 2,730 2,729 10, 192 10, 656 11, 075 11, 453 12, 025 11, 961 11, 994 11,953 12, 071 12, 099 12, 080 12, 197 12, 214 12, 248 12, 219 12, 258 12, 303 12, 344 12, 371 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and.wliicli are based on a sample ofjbe working-age popujatjon, whereas the eitiin^jt^in this, table are based OB reports from employing establishments. "*"Includes mining, riot shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURMi INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Averag e gross hourly eearnings Aver age weekly \ lours Manufsicturing Total private nonagricultural l Period Total Overtime Total private nonagncultural l Manufacturing 38.0 37. 8 37. 7 37. 1 37. 0 37. 1 37. 1 36. 6 36. 1 40. 6 40.7 40. 6 39. 8 39. 9 40. 6 40. 7 40. 0 39. 4 3.4 3.6 3. 6 3.0 2.9 3. 5 3. 8 3. 2 2. 6 $2. 68 2. 85 3.04 3.22 3. 44 3. 67 3. 92 4. 22 4. 54- 1975: Mar Apr May.June 35.9 35.9 35.9 36. 0 36. 0 36. 2 36. 1 36. 2 36. 3 36. 4 38. 9 39. 1 39. 0 39. 3 39. 4 39. 7 39. 8 39. 8 39. 9 40. 3 2. 3 2. 3 '2. 4 2 4 2.6 2. 8 2. 8 2. 8 2. 8 3. 0 4. 46 4.47 4. 49 4. 51 4. 54 4. 57 4. 60 4. 63 4. 68 4. 68 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 36.5 36.4 36. 2 36. 0 36. 3 40.5 40. 3 40. 2 39. 4 40. 3 3. 0 3. 1 3. 2 2.5 3. 3 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. Aug Sept __ _ _ Oct Nov Dec___ 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr * May v AVERAGE 73 75 77 78 84 Percent cttange from a year sarlier 4 Index, 1 367=100 Current dollars $2. 83 3. 01 3. 19 3.36 3. 57 3. 81 4. 08 4. 41 4. 81 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 July Adjusted h ourly earnin gs index2 —tc)tal private nonagricultural 1967 dollars 3 Current dollars 1967 dollars 100. 0 106. 3 113.3 120. 8 129. 4 137. 8 146. 6 158. 6 172.7 100. 0 102. 0 103. 2 103.9 106.7 110. 0 110. 1 107.4 107. 1 4.8 6.3 6.6 6. 6 7. 1 6. 5 6. 4 8. 2 8.9 72 73 75 78 82 86 88 90 93 96 169. 1 169. 4 170. 6 172. 2 173. 1 174. 6 175. 2 176. 7 178. 2 178. 6 107. 1 106. 8 107. 0 107. 2 106. 7 107.3 107. 2 107. 4 107. 6 107. 3 9.9 9. 5 9.0 8. 7 8. 8 8. 8 8. 1 8. 2 8.5 7.9 -. 6 —.8 .1 00 04 08 06 14 179. 6 180. 8 181. 4 182. 3 183. 6 107. 5 108. 1 108. 2 108. 3 108. 5 8.0 7.8 7. 3 7.6 7. 7 1.2 1.3 1. 1 1. 5 L4 1. 9 2. 0 1. 2 .7 2,7 3. 1 .1 -2. 5 —.3 -.4 -. 6 o .5 1. 1 .8 — [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Average gross weekly earnings Total pri vate nonagncu Itural 1 Period Current dollars 1967__ 1968_ 1969 1970 1971 1972__ 1973 1974__ 1975__ 1975: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb___ Mar Apr v May v • _ . - $101. 84 107. 73 114. 61 119. 46 127. 28 136. 16 145. 43 • 154. 45 163. 89 Manufacturing 1967 dollars 3 • 101. 101. 101. 100. 101. 101. 101. 102. 102. 12 06 10 76 62 57 89 65 37 172. 65 172. 90 172. 67 172. 08 175. 69 103. 103. 103. 102. 103. 32 35 03 25 77 Current dollars . 1987 dollars' $114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 44 154. 69 166. 06 176. 40 189. 51 $154. 164. 181. 195. 211. 222. 235. 249. 265. 95 49 54 45 67 51 69 08 35 $70. 95 74. 95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 90. 99 95. 57 101. 04 108. 22 3. 1 5. 8 6. 4 4. 2 6. 5 7.0 6. 8 6. 2 6. 1 184. 94 185. 25 187. 85 189. 91 192. 94 194. 22 195. 02 196. 71 199. 89 264. 264. 259. 265. 267. 268. 267. 272. 278. 22 20 54 35 91 64 91 69 26 106. 107. 107. 107. 108. 108. 110. 110. 110. 27 58 57 55 85 84 14 83 81 7. 0 5. 3 5. 4 5.0 5.9 5. 6 5. 8 7. 9 7. 1 — 3. 7 — 4. 2 — 2. 6 -2. 2 — 1. 7 .5 .1 202. 203. 204. 199. 207. 281. 282. 272. 284. 285. 24 73 48 25 74 112.45 112. 08 112. 06 113. 43 113. 40 8. 1 8. 1 7. 8 7.2 9.0 1. 3 1. 7 1. 6 1. 1 2. 7 1 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing. 8 Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index. Retail trade 5 Current dollars3 $101. 84 103. 39 104. 38 102. 72 104. 93 108. 67 109. 26 104. 57 101. 67 160. 47 161. 19 162. 36 163. 44 165. 43 166. 06 167. 61 169. 88 170. 35 Contract construction Percent chimge from a vear e arlier, total pri1/ate n onagnciilturai 50 11 22 36 14 0. 2 1. 5 1. 0 -1. 6 9 9J 3. 6 .5 — 4. 3 2.8 -2. 9 __a 9 4 Monthly changes based on indexes to 2 decimal places. * Includes eating and drinking places. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY RND RELATED DATA, PRIVATE ECONOMY Period Output ] uer hour of all p ersons Hours of all pers ons 2 Outinit1 Total Private nonprivate farm Total private Private nonfarm Total private Private nonfarm Compe nsation per ] lour 3 Total private Private nonfarm Unit labor CO sts Total private Implici t price defla tor * Private nonfarm Total private Private nonfarm 1967 = 100; quai-terly dat<a seasonsilly adjust,ed 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 92. 3 97.8 100. 0 104.5 107.2 92. 0 97.8 100. 0 104.7 107.5 97.5 99. 8 100. 0 101. 7 104. 4 96. 4 99.5 100.0 102. 0 105. 2 94. 6 98.0 100.0 102. 7 102. 7 95. 4 98. 3 100. 0 102. 6 102.2 88. 5 94.7 100. 0 107. 7 115.3 89. 1 94. 6 100. 0 107. 4 114.6 93. 5 96.7 100. 0 104.8 112.2 93.4 96.3 100.0 104.7 112. 1 94.4 97.3 100. 0 104. 1 109. 2 94 3 97. 0 100. 0 104 1 109. 1 1970_ 1971 1972 1973 1974 106. 110. 117. 124. 121. 8 2 4 3 5 106.9 110. 2 117.7 124.7 122. 0 102. 8 102.4 105. 6 109. 3 109. 6 104. 0 103. 6 107. 0 111. 1 111. 5 103. 9 107. 7 111. 1 113. 7 110.8 102. 8 106.4 110. 0 112. 2 109. 5 123. 6 132. 1 140. 0 151. 4 165.7 122.4 130.7 138. 8 149. 6 163. 9 119.0 122. 6 126. 0 133. 2 149.6 119. 0 122. 9 126. 2 133.4 149.7 114 3 119.6 123.8 130.8 143.4 1144 119.8 123.5 128.6 141.6 1975 118.5 118. 5 105. 6 107.3 112. 2 110. 4 180. 8 178.6 161. 1 161.7 156.7 155. 7 113. 3 113.2 112.0 111. 6 152.0 155.5 150. 4 153.8 134. 2 137. 4 134. 2 137.8 131.8 134. 6 129. 1 132. 0 1973: III IV 124.6 125. 0 125. 3 125.3 110. 1 110.5 111.8 112. 4 1974: I II 123. 122. 121. 118. 3 5 6 7 123.9 123.0 122.2 119. 1 110.4 110.3 110. 0 108. 4 111. 9 112. 2 112. 1 110.3 111. 7 111. 0 110. 5 109. 5 110. 7 109. 7 109. 0 108.0 158.4 163. 3 168. 3 172. 2 157. 0 161. 5 165. 9 170.2 141. 8 147. 1 152. 3 157. 3 141. 9 147. 2 152. 2 157.6 137. 5 141.0 145.4 150. 1 1347 139. 6 144 0 148.6 1975: I II III IV 115. 6 116.5 120. 1 121.8 115. 5 116. 7 120. 0 121.7 105. 3 104. 6 105. 3 106.6 107. 106. 106. 108. 109.8 111. 4 114. 0 114. 2 107, 7 109. 8 112. 3 112. 1 176. 6 179. 3 182. 2 185,7 173.9 176. 8 180. 5 183.4 160.9 161. 0 159.8 162. 6 161. 5 i 153. 5 161.0 155. 1 160. 8 157.8 163. 6 160.4 152.8 154 1 156.4 159.2 1976: I 9 124.5 124.4 107.5 109.6 115. 9 113.4 189.6 186.9 163.6 164.8 161.7 161.0 2.0 1.7 2.8 3. 1 41 47 Ill IV 2. 3T 8 5 Perceiit change ; quarterlyr data at seasonal]j adjuste d annual rates 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 6. 3 6.4 2.2 4.7 2.7 3.1 2.3 .2 1.7 2.6 3. 6 -. 4 3.2 6. 5 5.9 -2. 2 -.5 3.1 6.8 5.9 -2. 1 -1.5 —.5 3.2 3.5 .3 -1.1 .3 -2. 5 -2. 9 -3. 8 -3.8 1973: III IV 3.0 1.3 3.7 .1 2.8 1.6 1974: I II III IV -5.6 -2.5 —2.9 -9. 1 -4.7 -2.6 -2.7 -9.7 -.5 —.1 -1.0 -5.7 -6. 1 1975: I_ II III IV -10.2 3.2 13. 1 5.6 -11.7 44 11.7 5.7 -11.2 -2.6 2. 9 1976: I 9 9.4 9.3 1970__ 1971 1972 1973 1974 6.2 5. 9 2.3 4.5 2.6 - 1975 1 Output 8 3.3 2.6 2.7 .0 1.8 2.6 —.4 2. 1 .5 2. 0 3. 1 -.3 3.3 3.8 3.0 3.5 1. 1 3.7 3.2 2.3 .6 3.4 3.4 2.0 4.0 7. 1 5. 6 7. 7 3.6 6.2 5. 7 7.1 7.4 6.7 7.2 6.8 6.0 6.8 6.8 6.2 7.8 7.1 49 6. 1 47 4.6 3.3 4. 1 49 47 3. 1 42 10. 1 7.7 8. 1 9.3 9. 9 7.3 9.3 6. 5 6.2 9.8 11.2 7.6 5. 1 9.3 8.8 13.6 15.7 14.8 8.9 ia9 12. 3 15.9 14. 3 15. 0 10.6 13. 1 13.8 8.5 15.2 13.2 13.4 9.3 ;4 10.0 -1. 1 42 7.4 9. 1 6. 6 11.9 3. 5 6. 2 7.3 3.2 45 9. 1 2.6 1.8 —.3 o , 1.1 -1. 7 6.8 9.4 -1.6 -5. 1 -2.4 -1.9 -3.6 -3. 1 -3.6 -2. 4 -3.8 12. 9 12.7 9.8 11.8 11.6 10.7 -10.9 -3.3 2. 1 1.1 5.9 —.8 10.5 9. 1 4,9 6.4 ;6 9.4 -.6 6.4 6.7 7.8 3.2 4.3 6.1 4.8 8.7 9. 9 2.8 12. 3 .9 8. 0 3. 1 3.9 4. 7 9.0 1.3 7.8 6.0 3. 1 9. 5 -2. 5 1.0 -.3 7. 1 1. 0 3. 1 2. 7 5. 7 12. 2 8. 1 9. 5 ,_. 1.0 3.4 3.4 4.8 2.7 5.7 -2.4 refers to gross domestic product originatingin the in 1972 do Hours of all persons in private industry engageiOOTplMuction, includjhg hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primaifly on8 establishment data. Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, £ and supplemental payments for the self-employed. 16 3. 0 6.8 8.7 6.5 -2.9 7.1 -.7 7.2 7.9 2.5 3.0 3. 5 5.6 9.7 8. 6 * Current dollar gross domestic divided by constant dollar gross domes" ' product """. NOTE.—jfercent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production rose 0.7 percent in May, following a downward-revised increase of 0.5 percent in April* The May increase again reflected widespread1 gains among the product groupings. INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) 180 UTILITIES AND MINING PRODU CTION INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 140 160 120 140 100 *s\-^rf^ i -•- - "-' ^* UT LITIES 120 MIN NG 1972 1973 1975 1974 ^^^ .**..«»*"* 1976 100 n 1 1 ill n 1 1 1972 ^v\ *-• i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I t 1 1 1 ! 1 I! M 1 1 1 1 1 1 t I! 1973 11 1974 I 1975 1 1 1 n 11 1 1 11 1976 L MANUFACTURING CAPACITY 100 1972 1976 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE* BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1967 proportion 1969. 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr v May v Total iridustrial prodiiction Percent Index, change 1967= from 100 year earlier 100. 00 110. 7 106.6 106.8 115.2 125.6 124. 8 1.13. 8 110. 1 111. 1 112.2 114. 2 116. 2 116. 7 117.6 118.4 119.5 120.8 121. 7 122. 3 123.2 4.7 -3.7 .2 7.9 9. 0 —.6 -8.8 -12. 4 -11.7 -10.6 -8.8 -7. 5 -6.5 -3.4 .9 5. 1 8.6 10.6 11.3 11.9 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Seasonally adjusted] Indusl,ry produ ction ind exes, 196"r=ioo M anufactun ng Total Durable Nondurable 88.55 110. 5 105.2 105. 2 114. 0 125. 1 124. 4 112.2 108.2 109.5 110. 6 112.8 114. 7 115. 8 116. 3 117.0 118. 1 119.9 120. 3 121. 1 122. 0 62. 55 110. 0 101.4 99.4 108.4 122. 0 120. 7 105. 8 102. 5 103. 2 103. 4 105.4 107.0 107. 6 107.8 108. 1 109.0 111.3 111.4 112. 9 114. 3 36. 28 111. 1 110.6 113.5 122. 1 129. 7 129. 7 121.4 116. 2 118. 6 120. 8 123. 4 125. 7 127. 2 128. 7 130. 0 131.4 132.3 133. 2 132. 9 133.2 * Output as percent of capacity. s Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages of quarterly data. Mining Utilities 6.88 5.07 107. 2 109. 7 107. 0 108.8 110. 3 109.3 106. 6 105. 9 106. 3 106. 4 105. 0 105. 3 106. 4 106. 9 105. 4 105. 5 104.8 108. 7 106. 8 107.9 119. 5 128. 3 133. 9 143.4 152.6 149.9 153.7 152. 3 152.6 153. 9 154. 6 156. 1 152. 9 153. 9 155. 7 159.2 159.9 160. 9 162. 1 162. 7 iitilization Manuf acturing (capacity rate, p<srcent 1 Federal Reserve serici S 2 ComWharTotal merce3 ton 2 Major manuseries series matefacturrials ing 86.5 78.3 75.0 78. 6 83.0 78. 9 68. 7 90. 0 86.2 85.3 89.6 93.0 87. 0 74.9 85 81 80 83 86 83 77 95.6 87. 9 85. 3 89.6 95.8 91.3 79.3 67. 0 70. 9 75 77.2 69.0 78. 1 79 79.8 70. 7 80.4 79 81.9 71. 8 81.1 82 83.7 2 Quarterly data are for last month in quarter. Annual data are averages of four monthly indexes. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), and Wharton School of Finance. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Prod ucts Final p roducts Coiisumer go ods Period Total NonDurable durable goods goods 20. 66 7. 86 105. 0 110. 9 110. 1 113. 7 112. 4 104. 8 115. 9 115. 1 122. 8 125. 7 129. 0 138. 9 129.2 127. 9 128.4 112.5 125. 3 110.5 127.2 113.2 129. 0 115.9 129. 4 116. 1 130. 1 118.3 130. 5 118.2 132.7 118.8 134. 4 119. 5 134.6 120. 9 135.4 123. 1 134. 4 124. 9 135. 1 126. 5 136. 3 127. 7 Total 1967 proportion 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: May June July Aug Sept: Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar_ Apr *p May 48. 94 105.8 109. 0 104. 5 104. 7 111. 9 121. 3 121, 7 115. 5 113.7 114.5 115.7 115. 9 — 116. 9 117. 0 117. 9 119. 0 119. 6 120. 7 _ _ _ 120. 7 121.4 122. 6 28. 53 106. 6 111. 1 110. 3 115.7 123. 6 131. 7 128.8 124. 0 121. 2 123. 3 125. 5 125. 7 126. 8 127. 0 128.9 130. 2 130. 9 132.0 131.8 132.8 133. 9 Equi|>ment Internlediate proc ucts Total Business Total 20. 42 104.7 106. 1 96.3 89.4 95.5 106.7 111.7 103. 6 102.9 102. 2 102. 2 102. 3 102. 8 102. 6 102. 5 103. 5 103.8 104.8 105. 0 105. 4 106. 9 12. 74 103.4 107. 9 101.4 96.8 106. 1 122. 6 129. 4 116.7 115. 0 113. 9 113. 9 114. 9 115. 6 115. 7 116. 5 118. 2 118.4 120.4 120. 9 121. 8 123. 8 13. 27 105.7 112.0 111.7 112. 5 121. 1 131. 0 128. 3 116. 3 112.4 112.8 114. 3 115. 4 116. 6 117. 0 118. 5 120.3 122.4 123. 5 124. 0 124. 1 123.5 Construction 5.93 106. 2 113. 0 110. 0 112. 6 120.8 133. 8 129. 6 112.4 107. 6 106.8 108.0 109. 3 112. 0 112. 5 112. 5 114.2 116. 9 117. 6 118.4 118. 7 118.2 . Materials 37. 79 105.7 112. 4 107. 7 107.4 117.4 129. 3 127.4 110.6 104.9 106. 0 106. 8 111.5 115. 1 116.5 116.8 116. 8 118.3 120.0 122. 2 122. 7 123. 8 Supplementary group: Energy total 11. 21 -- 130. 7 127. 3 127.9 126. 6 128.2 129.0 128. 2 129. 1 127. 9 127.8 127.8 128.7 129.7 131. 8 131. 9 133. 1 [1967= 100, seasonally adjusted] Primary metals Period Total 1967 proportion 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: May June July Aug. Sept Oct__ Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr * May * 6. 61 103. 2 114. 1 106. 9 100. 9 113. 1 127. 0 124. 1 97.2 89. 9 91.8 92.8 _ _ 96. 5 97.2 97. 0 98. 1 95. 1 100.0 104.7 102. 8 106. 3 110. 8 Iron and steel 4.23 103.6 113.0 105.3 96.6 107. 1 121. 7 119. 9 96.1 90. 1 88. 7 87. 0 90. 4 91. 3 93.2 96.0 92. 2 96.2 101.4 98.4 102.5 106.5 Durab le manufabctures Transp Drtation equip>ment FabriMacated Motor chinmetal Total vehicles ery products and parts 5.93 9.29 4.66 17.40 117.7 106. 3 101. 9 109.7 115.4 113. 6 106.8 107. 6 109. 4 96.9 100. 3 90.4 107.4 114. 1 96. 2 92. 9 114. 8 123. 1 107. 5 99. 0 130. 5 125. 8 138. 1 109. 1 113.2 131.4 128. 1 96. 9 112. 8 98.1 114.8 88.4 110. 9 109. 0 95. 0 87. 6 108.2 110.9 100. 0 90. 5 108.4 109. 7 103. 2 91. 0 112. 7 92. 9 110. 0 107. 2 94. 3 116. 1 110. 1 111. 7 112. 9 115.9 111. 0 94. 7 114.2 109.4 117. 3 94. 1 115. 1 110.4 117.3 95.5 94.4 115.3 117. 8 110.0 96.3 114. 3 117.3 120.0 120. 0 118.3 97.4 118. 1 121. 5 122. 2 119. 7 98.8 121. 1 120. 8 101. 1 123.5 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 18 Nondurable naanufacti ires TexLumber tiles, and apparel, products and leather 1.65 104.8 108. 6 106. 3 113. 9 122. 4 127. 9 120. 1 109.7 108.0 110. 3 112. 0 114. 5 115. 5 116.8 115.0 116. 1 121.8 121.5 119.2 120.8 6. 90 104.9 105.9 100. 2 100. 7 108. 1 115. 0 108. 9 98.0 93.2 94. 9 97.4 100.2 104. 0 106. 0 108.4 109.7 111.3 109.4 110. 0 111. 1 112.4 Paper and printing 7. 92 104. 2 109. 1 107. 8 107.8 116. 1 122. 2 121. 0 109.6 103.9 107.3 107.4 110.8 113.9 114.8 114.7 116. 8 119.6 120. 0 121. 2 121. 0 121.4 Chemiicals, Foods petroand leum, tobacco and rubber 11.92 9. 48 109. 6 103. 6 118. 4 107. 5 118. 2 110.8 124. 7 113. 7 137.8 117. 6 149. 3 121. 9 151. 7 124. 8 140.3 124. 5 132.4 122.4 136. 2 123. 5 140. 1 124. 8 143. 6 125. 2 146. 2 126. 0 148.5 126. 3 150.2 128.0 151. 1 129.4 151. 6 130.4 155.6 129.6 158. 3 128. 6 155.6 130. 0 154. 5 131. 5 NEW CONSTRUCTION Constructio n contracts2 Private Total new construction expenditures Period Resic .ential Total Total * Commercial and industrial New housing units Other Federal, State, and local CommerTotal value cial and index industrial (1967= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) Bi] lions of doll ars 1969 1970 1971 1972__ 1973 1974 1975 _ 93.9 94 9 110.0 124. 1 136. 0 135.5 130. 8 66.0 66.8 80. 1 93.9 103.4 97. 1 90. 0 33.2 31. 9 43. 3 54. 3 57. 6 47.0 43. 0 16.2 16. 3 17.0 18. 1 21. 7 23.8 20.7 25. 9 24. 3 35. 1 44. 9 47. 9 37.3 31. 3 16.6 18. 6 19.8 21.5 24. 1 26.2 26. 3 ' 28.0 28. 1 29.9 30.2 32. 5 38.4 40. 7 Seasonally adjusted Seasonally / adjusted atinual rates 1975: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar p_ Apr » 121. 0 121. 7 126.9 129. 0 132. 1 137. 6 135. 8 138.0 138. 0 134. 3 134. 1 139. 5 138. 3 84.7 84. 3 85.0 88.3 90. 6 93. 0 93.4 96. 0 96. 5 97. 0 99. 3 101. 8 99. 8 37.6 38.5 40.4 43. 3 45. 3 46. 1 47. 1 48. 3 49. 1 49. 0 49. 5 51. 8 52.4 20.3 20. 3 19. 4 19.7 20. 2 20. 3 20.0 20.4 19,9 19. 3 21. 3 20. 8 18. 9 26. 8 27. 6 28.9 30.6 32. 1 33.2 34.9 36.7 37.6 37. 5 38. 2 40. 4 41. 0 1 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 2 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 123. 7 123. 1 145. 4 165. 3 179. 5 169.7 166. 0 26.9 25. 4 25. 1 25.4 25.2 26.5 26.4 27.3 27.4 28. 8 28. 5 29. 1 28. 6 36. 3 37. 4 41. 9 40. 6 41. 5 44.6 42.4 42. 0 41. 5 37. 3 34. 8 37. 7 38.4 186 202 201 165 208 157 166 148 137 183 170 185 189 . 883 743 727 854 1,010 840 569 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 683 537 606 631 519 601 649 504 609 462 496 653 648 Note.—New construction expenditures series beginning 1076 not strictly comparable with earlier data. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes Isfew private housing uni ts Period 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Units started, by type of striicture Total 1 unit 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 2, 052. 2 2, 356. 6 2, 045. 3 1, 337. 7 1, 160. 4 810. 6 812. 9 1, 151. 0 1, 309. 2 1, 132. 0 888. 1 892. 2 2-4 units 85.0 84.8 120. 3 141.3 118.3 68. 1 64.0 Units 5 or more units 571. 2 535. 9 780.9 906. 2 795. 0 381. 6 204. 3 Homes sold Vacancy rate for Homes for rental sale at housing end of units period 1 (percent) 2 ized Units completed 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 924. 6 2, 218. 9 1, 819. 5 1, 074. 4 924. 4 1, 399. 0 1, 418. 4 1, 706. 1 1, 971. 5 2, 013. 8 1, 691. 7 1, 296. 8 448 485 656 718 620 501 544 222 220 287 409 450 402 378 1,269 1,202 1, 261 1,267 1, 315 1, 115 1,386 1,329 1,213 1,299 1, 393 1,262 554 551 548 573 571 610 660 641 573 677 583 613 383 379 381 378 384 389 381 378 379 385 389 393 5. 5 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.2 6.0 Seasonally adjusted armual rates 1975: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar * Apr » May p 1 2 Seasonally 1,085 1,080 1,207 1,264 1,304 1,431 1,381 1,283 1,236 1,547 1,417 1,381 1,415 853 874 916 979 966 1,093 1,048 962 957 1,295 1,110 1,063 1,057 adjusted. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. 53 56 76 67 76 103 79 77 70 62 80 79 89 179 150 215 218 262 235 254 244 209 190 227 239 269 912 949 1,042 995 1,095 1,079 1,085 1,028 1, 120 1, 134 1, 134 1,095 1, 158 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 6.3 6.2 5.4 5. 5 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE Business inventories increased $0.8 billion in April, with retail and wholesale stocks accounting for all of the increase. Business sales rose 0.6 percent. According to preliminary estimates, retail sales fell in May following a slight decline,) overall, in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 80 RETAIL INVENTORIES 70 60 RETAIL SALES 50 40 .X*s* 30 RATIO* I II IIM 15>72 1974 1973 II I I I 1 I I 1 1975 1976 1975 1976 M 1.80 -INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.70 100 1.40 1972 1972 1976 1973 1974 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE. DfPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total b\isiness l Iletail Wholesale 2 Sales Period 1970 1971_ 1972__ 1973 1974 1975 1975: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb.... Mar Apr »» May v Q_ 1 _ 22 Sales 104, 736 112, 315 124, 289 143, 823 163, 991 168, 009 162, 744 163, 349 165, 803 169, 251 172, 301 173, 353 175, 017 173, 826 176, 966 179, 027 182, 329 185, 488 186, 576 Inventories8 175, 561 184, 711 197, 692 224, 401 271, 050 264, 770 266, 970 264, 335 263, 749 263, 345 264, 662 265, 087 266, 867 266, 064 264, 770 266, 285 267, 979 269, 637 270, 433 QJ 1 Inven-3 bales *g tories TVvfol Millions of dollars, seassonally iidjus ted 20, 583 27, 290 31, 294 9,524 21, 770 22, 327 29, 695 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086 24, 862 32, 817 37, 365 12, 472 24, 893 30, 400 38, 302 41, 943 14, 190 27, 754 37, 344 46, 564 44, 815 13, 943 30, 872 36, 583 45, 115 48, 702 15, 060 33, 642 35, 228 45, 303 46, 813 14, 165 32, 648 35, 442 44, 558 48, 173 14, 703 33, 470 36, 186 44, 850 48, 578 14, 965 33, 613 36, 567 44, 653 49, 655 15, 432 34, 223 37, 166 45, 501 49, 925 15, 506 34, 419 37, 604 45, 625 49, 549 15, 440 34, 109 37, 449 45, 715 50, 165 15, 775 34, 390 37, 018 45, 554 50, 293 15, 763 34, 530 37, 360 45, 115 51, 990 16, 877 35, 113 38, 159 45, 645 51, 592 16, 730 34, 862 38, 816 46, 307 52, 601 17, 397 35, 204 39, 094 46, 398 53, 344 17, 403 35, 941 39, 428 46, 660 53, 300 17, 874 35, 426 52, 644 17, 344 35, 300 1 The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 21). *BMonthly average lor year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly sales; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to sales for month. 20 NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Inventories3 3 TVital 46, 626 52, 571 57, 156 65, 229 74, 082 73, 081 71, 483 70, 826 70, 840 71, 503 72, 578 73, 049 74, 642 73, 839 73, 081 73, 610 74, 344 75, 089 75, 652 Inventc>ry-sales ratio4 DurNonTotal able durable busigoods goods ness1 stores stores 20, 345 23, 864 26, 056 29, 593 34, 649 33, 592 32, 375 32, 086 31, 909 32, 270 33, 324 33, 471 33, 813 33, 712 33, 592 33, 510 33, 490 33, 920 33, 994 26, 281 28, 707 31, 100 35, 636 39, 433 39, 489 39, 108 38, 740 38, 931 39, 233 39, 254 39, 578 40, 829 40, 127 39, 489 40, 100 40, 854 41, 169 41, 658 1.64 1.61 1. 53 1.46 1.50 1.59 1. 64 1. 62 1. 59 1. 56 1. 54 1. 53 1. 52 1.53 1. 50 1.49 1.47 1.45 1.45 Retail 1.47 1.47 1.46 1.46 1.54 1.49 1.53 1.47 1.46 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.47 1.41 1.43 1.41 1.41 1.42 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Burea of the Census). MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers* new orders increased 0.8 percent in April following a 3.5 percent increase in March. Shipments rose 0.9 percent and inventories were virtually unchanged from their March level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 20 1976 1972 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS l r Total 1970_ 52, 859 1971 55, 917 1972 62, 062 1973 _. 71, 480 1974 _ 81, 832 1975 82, 724 1975: Apr- 80, 703 May.- 79, 734 June__ 81, 039 July-. 83, 029 Aug_._ 85, 210 Sept-_ 86, 200 Oct-- 87, 403 Nov__ 86, 515 Dec-. 87, 616 1976: Jan___ 89, 276 Feb -. 90, 912 Mar>. 93, 050 pr 93, 848 ^ May **_ NonDurable durable goods goods 28, 229 29, 948 33, 489 38, 806 42, 744 41, 527 41, 221 40, 494 40, 757 41, 354 42, 444 43, 192 43, 607 42, 352 43, 681 44, 570 45, 700 47, 546 47, 741 48, 412 24, 629 25, 969 28, 573 32, 674 39, 089 41, 197 39, 482 39, 240 40, 282 41, 675 42, 766 43, 008 43, 796 44, 163 43, 935 44, 706 45, 212 45,504 46, 107 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. 2 Book value, end of period. * End of period. «For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly l Mailufacturc >rs* new 01rders Durab le goods Capital NonNongoods durable Total Total Durable goods durable Total indusgoods goods tries, nondefense Millie>ns of dollars, seaso dally adj usted 101, 645 66, 768 34, 877 52, 146 27, 514 7,055 24, 632 102, 445 66, 050 36, 395 55, 754 29, 773 7,324 25, 981 107, 719 70, 218 37, 501 63, 015 34, 368 8,487 28, 648 120, 870 79, 441 41, 429 73, 992 41, 253 10, 310 32, 738 150, 404 97, 967 52, 437 83, 511 44, 502 11, 494 39, 009 146, 574 95, 754 50, 820 81, 351 40, 048 10, 261 41, 302 150, 184 99, 803 50, 381 78, 008 38, 391 10, 309 39, 617 148, 951 99, 378 49, 573 78, 900 39, 575 10, 302 39, 325 148, 059 98, 796 49, 263 79, 789 39, 282 10, 138 40, 507 147, 189 98, 189 49, 000 83, 304 41, 435 10, 728 41, 869 146, 583 97, 199 49, 384 85, 137 42, 176 10, 392 42, 961 146, 413 96, 640 49, 773 85, 482 42, 256 10, 214 43, 226 146, 510 96, 215 50, 295 86, 336 42, 307 10, 689 44, 029 146, 671 95, 953 50, 718 86, 351 41, 988 10, 690 44, 363 146, 574 95, 754 50, 820 86, 754 42, 837 10, 156 43, 917 147, 030 95, 664 51, 366 88, 083 43, 177 10, 351 44, 906 147, 328 95, 696 51, 632 90, 201 44, 975 10, 710 45, 226 148, 150 96, 193 51, 957 93, 389 47, 895 10, 984 45, 494 148, 121 96, 133 51, 988 94, 141 47, 841 11, 530 46, 300 49, 815 11, 802 Manufa eturers* shilpments Manufacl burers' in\ entories Period 2 Manufacturers' unfilled3 orders Manu- ' f ac— turers' inventory—* shipments ratio 4 77, 093 75, 081 86, 608 117, 034 137, 328 120, 659 125, 347 124, 513 123, 271 123, 545 123, 477 122, 761 121, 697 121, 530 120, 659 119, 468 118, 757 119, 093 119, 390 1.89 1.82 1.69 1.58 1.64 1.80 1.86 1.87 1.83 1.77 1.72 1.70 1.68 1.70 1.67 1.65 1.62 1.59 1.58 shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 WHOLESALE PRICES PRICES In May, the wholesale price index rose 0.3 percent (also 0.3 percent after seasonal adjustment). Prices of farm products and processed foods and feeds increased 0.7 percent (1.0 percent seasonally adjusted). Industrial commodity prices were up 0.2 percent (0.1 percent seasonally adjusted). INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) 220 220 200 200 180 180 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS i 160 140 120 120 100 100 1968 1976 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] Period All commodities 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 102. 5 106. 5 110.4 113.9 119. 1 134. 7 160. 1 174. 9 1975: May June July _ . . _ _ _ Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr__ -„ May-. _ 173.2 173. 7 175. 7 176. 7 177. 7 178.9 178. 2 178. 7 179.3 179. 3 179. 6 181.3 181. 8 Farm products Indusand trial processed commodfoods ities and feeds 102.4 102. 5 108. 0 106. 0 111. 7 110. 0 114. 0 113. 8 122. 4 117. 9 159. 1 125.9 177. 4 153. 8 184. 2 171. 5 Unadjusted 181. 2 170. 3 182.3 170. 7 188.2 171. 2 172. 2 189.0 190.4 173. 1 190.5 174 7 175.4 186. 1 186.0 176. 1 184. 6 177.3 182. 0 178.0 180.3 178.9 183.7 180. 0 180.4 184.9 Special §groupings Farm products Processed foods and feeds 102. 5 109. 1 111. 0 112. 9 125. 0 176. 3 187. 7 186. 7 102. 2 107. 3 112. 1 114. 3 120.8 148. 1 170. 9 182. 6 186. 0 184. 5 189. 9 192. 7 196. 9 199. 9 196. 1 197. 2 192. 6 187. 7 185. 9 193.8 194.9 181. 0 180.4 182. 5 184. 8 185. 3 186. 6 184. 3 181. 8 178. 3 175. 5 175. 9 179.3 181. 6 1 Excludes crude foodstuffs and feedstufls, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco. 22 Crude materials 1 Inter- Producmediate er finmate-2 ished rials goods 102. 0 102. 6 103. 5 106. 1 110. 6 106. 9 110. 0 111. 9 118. 8 122. 7 114. 3 116. 6 131. 1 118. 9 119. 5 155. 2 128. 1 123. 5 219. 1 141. 0 159. 5 178. 6 162. 5 225. 1 Seas onally ad. listed 222. 5 176. 5 161. 3 224. 1 176. 9 161.8 224. 5 177. 1 162. 6 178. 2 226. 5 163. 1 232. 9 179.4 164.3 231. 4 181. 6 166.3 183. 3 227. 4 167. 1 184. 6 235. 4 167.9 236. 0 185. 2 169. 1 230. 0 185. 7 170.0 236. 5 186. 3 170. 7 242. 6 186. 7 171. 3 242. 6 186. 5 171.4 Consun ler finishe d goods ex<3luding fo ads Total 102. 1 104. 6 107. 7 111. 2 113. 5 118. 6 138. 6 153. 1 150. 8 151. 5 152. 6 153. 9 155. 4 157. 0 158. 2 158. 9 159. 1 159.4 159. 1 159. 0 159. 0 NonDurable durable 102, 2 102. 2 104. 0 105. 0 107. 0 108. 3 110.9 111. 3 113. 2 113.6 115. 8 120. 5 126, 3 146.8 138. 2 163.0 137. 0 137. 3 137.4 137. 8 138. 8 140. 7 141. 8 141. 9 142. 5 142. 8 143. 1 142,9 142. 9 159. 9 160. 8 162. 4 164. 4 166. 3 167. 9 169. 0 170. 1 170.2 170. 4 169. 7 169. 9 169. G 2 Includes supplies and components; excludes intermediate materials for foot manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES In May, the consumer price index rose 0.6 percent (also 0.6 percent seasonally adjusted). Food pricey increased 0.4 percent (1.0 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 0.8 percent; (0.6 percent seasonally adjusted) and services prices were up 0.4 percent (also 0.4 percent seasonally adjusted). 1NPEX, 1?67« 100 (RATIO SCALE) 1967*? 100 (RATOSGMQ 120 100 1968 1976 COUNCIL, OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE! DEPARTA^NT OF LABOR [1967=100] All items Food 104. 2 _ 109.8 116. 3 121. 3 125, 3 133. 1 _ 147. 7 161. 2 103.6 108. 9 114.9 Period 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 118, 4 123.5 141. 4 161. 7 175.4 Commodities less food 103.7 108, i 112. 5 116.8 119* 4 123* 5 136. 6 149. 1 Comnaodities le ss food Food Services commodities All Food at home Food away from home 105. 2 112.5 121. 6 128.4 133. 3 139. 1 152. 1 166. 6 103. 7 108.4 113. 5 117. 4 120. 9 129. 9 145.5 158.4 103.6 108. 9 114 9 118. 4 123. 5 141. 4 161. 7 175.4 103. 2 108. 2 113. 7 116. 4 121. 6 141. 4 162. 4 175. 8 105. 2 111. 6 119. 9 126. 1 131. 1 141. 4 159. 4 1743 All 103. 7 108. 1 112. 5 116. 8 119. 4 123. 5 136. 6 149. 1 Services Durable Nondurable 103. 1 107. 0 111.8 116.5 118.9 121.9 130.6 145.5 104 1 108.8 113. 1 117.0 119.8 1248 140.9 151. 7 105.2112. 5 121. 6 128. 4 133. 3 139. 1 152. 1 166. 6 Seasonal y adjust ed Unac justed 1975: May__ June^ July___ Aug Sept... Oct Nov_._ Dec 159. 3 160. 6 162. 3 162.8 163. 6 1646 165.6 166.3 171.8 174. 4 178.6 178. 1 177.8 17f. 0 179. 8 180. 7 148. 1 148. 9 149,9 150. 7 151.4 152.2 152.6 152.8 1645 165.7 166, 6 167, 4 169. 1 170. 1 172. 0 173. 1 156. 5 157.6 159. 6 160. 1 160. 6 161. 5 162.2 162.9 172. 5 1746 177.8 177. 5 178. 0 179.6 180.6 181. 6 172.3 1749 178.6 178. 1 178.4 180. 2 181. 2 182. 1 173. 1 173.4 174 5 175.3 176.4 177. 5 178. 6 179. 5 147. 9 148. 5 149.8 150.7 151.2 151.7 152.2 152.8 1448 145.4 146.2 147.0 147.6 148. 1 148.5 149.2 150. 0 150. 7 152.4 153.4 153. 7 1544 154.8 155.3 164 9 166. 0 166.9 167. 6 169. 0 170. 0 171.7 172. 8 1976: Jan Feb___ Mar Apr May 166.7 167. 1 167.5 168. 2 169.% 180.8 180. 0 178. 7 179, 2-, 179. 9 152. 3 152. 7 153. 3 154.2 155.5 174,9 176. 1 177.2 163. 1 162.7 162.4 163.1 164 3 181.2 179. 4 177. 9 178. 9 180.6 181. 4 178. 6 176. 5 177.7 179.5 180. 9 182.4 183.4 184.0 185.0 153. 1 153.5 153. 9 1544 155. 3 149. 7 150.6 151.7 152.7 153. 6 155.6 155.7 155.6 155.7 156. 6 1747 176. 0 177.2 178. 0 178. 8 177; 7 i7a4 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN WHOLESALE PRICES Pereen t change from preceding perio d; seasontally adjussted l Period 1967... 1968 1969. 1970... 1971 1972.. 1973. 1974... 1975 Percent c lange from 3 mont]as earlier; Percent c hange from 6 mont is earlier; season ally adjusted annua1 rates . season?illy adjussted annujil rates Industrial commodities All commodities Farm products Processed foods and feeds 1.0 2.8 4.8 2,2 4.0 6.5 15.4 .20. 9 42 -2.7 4.4 8.4 -4.7 8.1 18.7 36.1 -1.9 5.5 — 12 3.0 6.8 .8 4.7 11.6 20.3 20.9 .6 .0 .8 .9 .9 1. 1 i1 .3 4.4 -.8 2.9 1. 5 2.2 1. 5 -1.9 ;6 ;2 — ^? 1.2 1.3 .3 , ;7 -1.2 -1.4 1976: Jan, ,_ Feb... Mar.. Apr — • May.. —'.2 -.4 2 .8 ,3 -2.3 -2.5 -1.0 4.2 .6 -1.9 -1.6 .2 1.9 1.3 Farm products Processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities All commodities Farm products Processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities 1.9 2.7 3.9 3.6 3.2 3.6 10.7 25. 6 -as 1975: May_ JuneJuly.. Aug.. Sept-. Oct_. No v.Dec.. All commodities 6.0 ' ''•';.2 37.7 39.7 29.3 15.2 29.7 22. 8 7.2 .6 -1. 3 6.7 4.0 8.7 11.3 9.3 -1. 1 -7.3 1.7 2.1 2.9 5.1 8.0 11.8 11.9 10.8 -0.1 ;5 2.5 5.7 8.6 9.0 7.9 8.6 -5.9 -1.7 12.8 26.0 346 26.0 11.2 142 .9 -13.8 -1. 1 -16.1 -1,8 -21.0 2.5 2.5 ia2 5.5 -16.6 -17.8 -12.4 2.3 146 7.3 44 3. 2 2.9 2.9 6.4 3.8 2. 3 1.7 2. 1 2.9 -5.1 -10.9 -6.0 -1.2 4.5 6.5 5.9 6.9 10.8 12.2 8.9 6.5 ;2 ;4 :7 ;9 1.2 ;7 ;6 :4 .1 .3 .3 .1 -9.6 -ao ae 9.0 6.6 3.7 1.6 3. 4 3.0 2. 1 3.3 5.0 7.2 8.4 9.4 -45 -9.8 -9.9 -7.7 -2.9 9.5 8.1 6.9 5. 1 3.7 -2.8 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. i Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES Pereen t change from preceding perio d; seasortally adju.3tedl Period All items 1967 1968 1969.__ 1970 1971 1972___ 1973___ 1974 1975. Food Commodities less food Percent c lange fro m 3 mont hs earlier; Percent c hange f re>m 6 mont hs earlier; season*illy adju sted annu al rates seasonsilly adjujsted annu aJ rates Services All items Food . Commodities less food 3.0 47 6.1 5.5 3.4 3.4 8.8 12.2 7.0 1.2 43 7.2 2.2 43 47 20. 1 12.2 6. 5 3. 1 3.7 45 48 2.3 2.5 5.0 13.2 a2 40 6. 1 7.4 8.2 41 3.6 6.2 11.3 8. 1 1975 :May.. June.. July... Aug... Sept... Oct... Nov... Dec... 5 7 10 4 4 6 6 5 .9 1,2 18 -2 3 9 6 6 .3 .4 .9 .6 .3 .3 .3 .4 .4 .7 .5 .4 .8 .6 1. 0 .6 5.7 7.0 9. 1 8. 5 7.4 5.8 6.8 7.3 3.3 9.7 16.9 12. 1 8.0 41 7.2 8.3 6.2 5.3 6.7 7.8 7. 5 5.2 40 43 1976: Jan,.. Feb... Mar Apr May 4 1 2 4 6 -2 -1 0 — 8 6 1.0 .2 .3 1.1 .7 :7 .5 .4 6.5 44 2.9 2.9 49 3. 6 -2.6 -7.9 -5.0 2.7 3.7 3.5 2.9 3.4 48 1 ;3 .3 .6 Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). 24 ~ ~ Services 6.3 as 6.5 6.7 7.4 7.6 10.2 9.3 11.5 10.4 10.6 7.8 as All items Food 7.0 6.8 7.4 7. 1 7.2 7.4 7.7 7.4 46 5.0 7.7 7.6 8.9 10,3 9.6 8.2 ai 3.9 2. 2 -. 1 -.8 .0 5.6 5.1 47 46 Commodities less food Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Services 7.2 7.0 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 8.4 8.0 7.3 6.5 7. 1 7.1 8.4 8.4 45 3.8 3.6 3.6 41 9.6 10.3 9.9 9.6 &4 7.1 a6 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers rose 12^ percent in the month ended May 1 5. Contributing most to the increase were higher prices for corn, cotton, and soybeans. Partially offsetting were lower prices for cattle and milk. Prices paid were unchanged. Both the actual and the adjusted parity ratios were up 1 point. INDIX, 1967- (RATIO SCALE) PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) PRICES PAID (ALL ITEMS/INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES) 1968 19$9 ' 1970 1 1971 1972 J '1973 1974 1975 ' 1976 J/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices paid by far mers All items, Family ProducLivestock interest, tion living and taxes, and items products wage rates items Index, 1 967=100 Prices jreceived by ifarmers Period AD farm products Crops ! 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 _ „ • „ .. 1975: Apr 15 May 15 . . Jume 15 ;.. July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15.. Oct 15 Novl5 Dec 15 1976: Jan 15 Feb 15. Mar 15..-..Apr 15 May 15 Actual Adjusted 2 102 107 110 113 125 179 192 185 100 97 100 108 114 175 224 201 104 117 118 118 136 183 165 172 103 108 112 120 125 144 164 180 104 109 114 118 123 133 151 166 100 104 108 113 121 146 166 182 73 73 72 69 74 91 86 76 79 79 77 73 79 94 87 76 178 183 186 191 194 198 195 184 186 201 198 198 203 212 210 203 189 188 158 171 176 181 180 189 189 181 184 178 180 182 182 183 185 183 183 184 163 164 166 168 169 169 170 171 171 181 183 186 184 186 189 186 184 186 73 75 75 77 78 79 78 74 74 74 75 76 78 79 79 79 75 75 186 187 185 189 192 190 192 194 193 200 183 183 178 186 185 190 191 192 193 193 172 172 173 174 174 191 193 194 197 196 72 72 71 72 73 72 72 71 72 73 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 8 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers. Parity ratio l NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1965. Source: Department of .Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MONEY STOCK Over the last 3 months (February to May)-Mi grew at a 9.5 percent annual rate, up sharply from the 2.3 percent annual rate of the previous 6 months. BHJJONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OP DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 200 200 1 I M I I ! » M » > I I• M I I I I I II I I f 1 I » 'II t I I t I M i l 1968 If I I I I I I 1 1 1 T976 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC AQVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Ovei•all meas tires l Deposits at coicnmercia banks Period M, 1971: Dec.. 1972: Dec_. 1973: Dec__ 1974: Dec_> 1975: Dee__ 1975: May _ June _ July__ Aug__ Sept__ Oct__ Nov__ Dec._ 1976:Jan___ Feb.Mar__ Apr _ May»_ 233. 8 255. 3 270. 5 283. 1 294.8 287.6 291.0 291. 9 293. 2 293. 6 293.4 295. 6 294. 8 295. 1 296. 5 298.0 301. 7 303. 3 1 M3 471. 7 525.3 571.4 612.4 664 3 633.7 642. 4 647. 5 650. 6 652. 9 655.8 662. 1 664.3 670.2 678. 5 683. 4 691. 9 697. 2 M3 745.1 844.9 919.5 981.6 1,092.9 1,025.3 1,040.2 1,051.6 1,060.6 1,068.1 1,075.8 1,086.5 1,092.9 1,103.7 1,117.2 1,127.3 1,141.1 1,151.1 Currency 52.6 56.9 61.5 67.8 73.7 70.2 71. 0 71.3 71. 9 72.0 72.6 73.4 73.7 74. 2 75. 1 75.7 76.7 77.4 Total Large CD's Other Deposits at nonbank thrift institutions 271.2 313.6 364.4 419. 1 452.4 431, 2 435. 5 437.6 436.2 438. 3 443. 3 448. 3 452.4 454.4 457. 3 458. 5 461.6 462. 0 33,3 43.6 63. 5 237. 8 270. 0 300. 9 329. 3 369.6 346. 1 351.4 355.5 357. 4 359. 2 362. 4 366. 5 369. 6 375.2 381. 9 385.4 390.2 393.9 273.4 319.6 348.0 369.2 42R6 391.6 397. 8 404. 1 410.0 415.2 420.0 424.4 428.6 433. 5 438.8 444. 0 449.2 453.9 Tim e and sa vings Demand 181. 3 198. 4 209. 0 215.3 221.0 217. 4 220. 0 220. 6 221. 3 221.6 220.8 222.1 221.0 220.8 221. 5 222. 3 225.0 226.0 Mi is currency plus demand deposits; Ms is MI plus tfme deposits afc commercial banks other than large certificates of deposit (CD's); and Ms is M2 plus deposits at nonbank thrift institutions. 26 Per cent chaiige 2 Compoitents ancI related iterns 89. a 82.9 85. 1 84. 1 82. 1 78.8 79. 1 80. 9 81. 8 82.9 79.2 75.4 73. 2 71.4 68.2 2 U.S. Government demand deposits (unadjust- 6.9 7.4 6.3 4.9 M, M2 ed) 4. 1 4. 1 4.2 3.4 2.7 3.9 3.4 3.5 4. 1 3.8 4. 5 3.9 3.8 3.7 6.5 9.2 6. 0 4. 7 4.1 3.6 5.7 7.2 8.2 6. 8 6. 1 5.6 2.6 2.2 2. 3 3. 0 5. 7 5.3 11. 4 11.4 8. 8 7.2 8.5 7.7 10. 0 11.0 10.8 9.8 9. 5 9.2 6.9 7. 1 8.8 9. 6 11.3 10.9 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOIiDINGS— HONFINANCIAL INVESTORS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Cumjney and <deposits Total liquid assets Period 1969: 1970: 1971: 1972: 1973: 1974: 1975: Dec.. Dec Dec Dec.. Dee... Dec Dec .'" ._. 19?5: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec.. 1976: Jan Feb Mar Apr.May* . U.S. G overnment se curities Time dleposits Total 583. 1 737.0 632.5 784.8 866.3 719. 9 979.2 816. 1 885.4 1, 092. 3 940.9 1, 183. 4 1, 301. 6 1, 052. 6 Currency Demand deposits Short/Nonbank Comterm Savings marketthrift mercial bonds able seinstitubanks tions curities 52.6 56.9 61. 5 67.8 73.7 144.8 151. 4 160. 3 174.9 180.9 182.1 189. 0 177. B 199.3 233.7 264.7 294. 9 321.9 361.3 214.9 232.7 273.4 319. 6 34$. 0 369.2 428. 6 51.7 52.0 54.3 57.6 6a4 63. 3 e7,2 64.0 52. 6 37. 8 38.3 50.3 57.8 67.3 46.1 4:9.1 Negotiable certificates of deposit 9.0 23.0 m2 39.7 57.9 79.6 72. 9 1, 216. 2 1, 225. 1 1, 239. 4 1, 251. 4 '*• 1, 258. 6 1, 264. 4 1, 275. 4 1, 291. 6 1, 301. 6 971. 4 983.9 999.2 1, Oil. 1 1,020. 3 1, 027. 4 1, 035. 6 1, 046. 7 1, 052. 6 69.5 70.2 71.0 71. 3 71.9 72.0 72.6 73.4 73.7 183. 3 185.2 187.8 188.7 189. 6 189.7 189. 0 190. 7 189.0 3S2.4 336.9 342.6 347. 0 348. 8 350.5 354.0 358. 2 361.3 386. 0 391. 6 397. 8 404. 1 410. 0 415. 2 4m 0 424.4 428.6 64.5 64.8 65.1 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.6 66. 9 67.2 57. 2 57.1 58.2 60.8 62.2 61.0 62. 1 65. 4 67.3 78. 7 75.3 73.7 71.9 69.1 69.3 1, 310. 5 1, 320. 7 1, 329. 5 1, 343. 7 1, 352, 7 1,063. 9 1, 078. 1 1, 088. 1 1, 102. 2 1, 112. 1 74.2 75.1 75. 7 76. 7 77.3 189. 1 190.0 190. 2 192. 5 193.1 367. 1 374. 3 378.2 383. 8 387.6 433. 5 438. 8 444.0 449. 2 454.0 67. 6 68.0 68.3 68.6 69.0 67. 5 66.4 66. 7 67. 9 68.8 69. 6 66. 1 64.0 62-0 58.9 Note.—Data revised beginning October 1975. 7ae 71.5 72.9 Commercial paper 29. 1 24.7 24.0 27.5 38.3 41.8 41.6 •11.4 43.9 43.0 42.1 41. 1 40.4 40.5 41. 1 41.6 41. 9 42. 1 KJ3. 0 4lT 6 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal E«serve System; CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT {[Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Instalm ent credit e?ctended \ Period Total i 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .- ... .... ........ . 1975: Apr May. June JulyAug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb.. Mar Apr . _ _ _ Automobile Total * Automobile Bank credit cards Net change in amount outstanding Total1 Automobile Bank credit cards 786 199 087 078 701 346 113 29, 974 30, 137 31, 418 34, 955 39, 506 42, 496 45, 110 3, 066 5,615 7,679 9,471 12, 434 15, 656 18, 769 9, 360 4,959 9, 599 15, 784 20, 826 9,824 3, 719 2,579 -343 3, 618 5,492 6,980 935 1,420 1,332 1, 153 697 919 1, 428 1, 442 798 1, 554 1,517 1,606 1,618 1,689 1,737 1, 698 1,752 1,719 13, 409 13, 359 13, 412 13, 436 13, 790 13, 795 14, 002 14, 072 14, 401 3,746 3,718 3,751 3, 741 3,818 3,849 3,800 3,814 3,865 1,512 1,508 1,504 1,548 1,576 1,631 1, 619 1, 723 1,768 — 242 -366 208 886 637 759 830 805 894 -270 -164 2 383 213 385 389 404 540 43 9 102 69 113 106 78 29 -49 1, 840 1,931 2, 046 1,907 14, 910 14, 656 14,805 14, 339 4,023 3,746 3, 883 3,728 1,733 1,798 1, 822 1,773 1,295 1, 169 1, 513 1,436 488 632 654 710 107 133 224 134 109, 146 112, 158 124, 686 142, 862 164, 527 166, 170 166,833 32, 553 29, 794 35, 036 40, 447 46, 486 43, 431 46, 530 4, 398 6, 768 8, 376 10, 390 13, 862 17, 098 19, 567 13, 168 12, 993 13, 620 14, 322 14, 427 14, 555 14, 832 14, 877 15, 295 3, 477 3,554 3,753 4, 124 4,032 4, 235 4, 189 4, 218 4,405 16, 205 15, 824 16, 318 15, 775 4, 511 4,378 4,537 4,438 * Includes some items not shown separately. Bank credit cards Instalme nt credit lieluidated 99, 107, 115, 127, 143, 156, 163, Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System. 27 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Bank holdings of U.S. Government securities continued to increase rapidly in Mayf while commercial and industrial loans were roughly unchanged from April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAU} BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALQ 1,000 1,000 "ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS" 800 800 600 600 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS 400 400 200 200 „,„„.*«««''•*«*" WVKTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES ,„,»*«*" 100 100 80 80 INVESTMENT IN US, GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 60 60 40 40 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 •"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM T>__* _ J jreriod Total loans and investments 1969 1970...... 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1976: Jan »p Feb Mar ^ Apr » May * 401. 7 435. 5 485. 7 558. 0 633.4 5 690. 4 721. 1 700.6 705. 0 705. 8 709. 3 712. 7 716. 3 722. 2 721. 1 723. 3 726. 7 731. 2 734. 5 737.6 21 Data are for end of period. Averages of dally figures. Annual 8 1974 1975 1976 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Allcommercial fc All me mber ban ks >anks * Borrowi]ags (milL<:>ans Ileserves 2 3 Investnlents lions of dollars, unadju isted) 2 Total ex- Commer- U.S. Gov- Other cluding Avail-4 SeaNoncial and Total Total secuernment inter- industrial borrowed able sonal securities rities bank 279.4 105.7 51.2 27.93 26.81 25.46 71. 1 1, 086 292. 0 321 110.0 28.77 26.81 85. 7 29. 11 57.8 31.24 31. 12 104. 2 320.9 116. 1 60. 6 28.78 107 31.44 62. 6 30.39 378.9 130. 2 29.00 1,049 116. 5 34. 98 156.4 33.69 54. 5 41 449. 0 32.78 1,298 129.9 36.63 34.42 500. 2 35.90 32 183.3 50. 4 703 139.8 34.62 34.75 32.44 79.4 496.9 175.6 13 144.8 127 492. 2 34.74 34.67 178. 7 141. 0 32.77 60 9 67.4 34. 85 32. 90 142. 7 35. 07 176.7 271 11 490. 8 71.5 34. 68 32. 89 34. 98 176.7 489. 9 261 17 72.3 143.6 34. 67 32. 77 211 34. 88 490. 2 144. 1 176. 5 75. 0 38 34. 99 34. 59 32. 77 175. 3 491. 5 396 61 76.7 144.5 32. 61 34. 79 34. 60 495. 0 191 145. 3 65 176. 1 76.0 34. 73 32.43 61 498. 5 34.67 28 176. 8 76.8 146.9 34. 75 34. 62 32. 44 175. 6 13 79.4 144. 8 127 496. 9 34. 32 34. 24 32. 17 176.2 9 79 497. 3 81.0 145.0 34. 05 33. 97 174. 7 11 497. 8 84. 4 144. 5 31. 85 76 6 33. 95 8 499.7 34.00 31. 75 58 171. 0 88.2 143.3 34. 02 33. 98 31.87 44 11 144. 0 500. 5 170.1 90. 0 121 34. 13 170.3 144. 0 31.94 11 500.6 34.01 93.0 data are for December. Member bank reserves series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjustment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M. * Reserves available to support private nonbank deposits are defined as (1) required reserves for (a) private demand deposits, (b) total time and savings deposits, and (c) nondeposit sources subject to reserve requirements and (2) 28 1973 excess reserves. This series excludes required reserves for new interbank and U.S. Government demand deposits. 6 During 1974, total loans and investments were increased $0.6 billion due t® a bank merger and were reduced $1.5 billion due to liquidation of a large ban& • Loan reclassifications reduced these loans by $1.2 billion as of March 31,1976. Note.—Commercial bank series revised beginning 1959. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONJETURM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Total 1966 1967 — 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: I II III IV __ 1976: I» ....... _ _ Internal i Credit market funds Total 96. 7 93.9 114.3 119.2 102.9 120. 5 149. 5 175.4 179. 5 143. 9 86.5 133.6 163.4 192.0 60.6 61.4 62.4 61. 8 58.7 68.0 80.2 83.8 77.7 103.8 85.9 103,0 113.7 112.8 36. 1 32. 5 51. 9 57.4 44.2 52.5 69.3 91. 6 101. 8 40. 1 189. 0 120.0 TVvfnl Longterm 2 Short-3 term Other Total 30.6 49.7 79.2 25.3 29.6 31. 5 38.9 39.5 46.8 55.3 67.2 77.1 35. 8 30. 9 36.4 31.5 44,7 15.7 21. 6 18.4 20.0 30.7 41.8 39. 3 34. 5 36. 3 49.8 56. 1 55.8 35.0 52.4 9. 6 8.0 13.2 18. 9 8.8 5.0 16. 0 32. 7 40. 8 -14. 0 -25. 3 -19.6 -3.3 -7.9 10. 9 3. 0 20.4 18.5 4.8 5.7 14. 0 24. 5 24. 7 4. 3 — 30. 2 -5.8 18. 1 34.5 69.0 32.3 3a9 -6. 5 36.7 .6 (after *TR8&5§n9onos, and mortgages. 8 Bank loans, commercial paper, finance company loans, bankers' acceptance^ and Government loans. Purchase of physical assets 4 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 88.6 90.2 105.7 113. 7 95.0 111.0 134. 8 164. 1 167. 8 , 135. 2 72.8 125. 4 155.7 186.8 76.0 73.4 76.7 85.3 82. 1 87. 9 104. 0 123. 2 124.0 96.7 90.7 81.2 106.0 108. 9 12. 6 16.8 29. 0 28.4 12. 9 23. 1 30.8 40.9 43.8 38. 5 -17.9 44.2 49. 7 77.9 8. 1 3.7 8.6 5.4 8.0 9.5 14.7 11.2 11.8 8.7 13.8 8.2 7.7< 5,2 181. 3 129. 0 52.3 7.8 * Plant and equipment, residential structures, and inventory Investment. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars] Cunrent liabiilities dirrent assc3tS Total Cash on aand and in banks 1 1966. 364.0 386.2 1967 426.5 1968 1969 473.6 492. 3 1970 1971 529. 6 1972 573.5 1973 643.3 712.2 1974 1975 731. 6 1974: III.. 708. 6 IV.. 712. 2 1975: !___. 698.4 II___ 703.2 III_. 716. 5 41.9 45.5 4R2 47.9 50. 2 53. 3 57.5 61.6 62.7 68. 1 60.3 62.7 60.6 63.7 65.6 68.1 End of period IV___ 731. 6 ; ** 1 1 U.S. Receivables Govfrom ernU.S. ment Govsecuriernties 2 ment 3 13.0 10.3 11.5 10.6 7.7 11.0 9.3 11.0 11.7 19.4 11.0 11.7 12. 1 12.7 14.3 19.4 4.5 5. 1 5.1 4.8 4.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 as 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.6 Notes and accounts receivable 142. 1 150. 2 168.8 192.2 201.9 217.6 240.0 266. 1 289.7 294.6 295. 5 289.7 281.9 284.8 294.7 294.6 Other Incurvenrent tories assets 4 142.8 153. 1 166.0 186.4 193.3 200.4 215. 2 246. 7 288. 0 285. 8 282. 1 288.0 285.2 281. 4 279.6 285.8 Receivables from and payables to the U.S. Government do not nelude amounts offset against each other on corporations' books or amounts arising from Tibeontracting which are not directly due from or to the U.S; Government; 19.7 22.0 26. 9 31. 6 35. 0 43. 8 48. 1 54.4 56.6 60. 0 56. 1 56.6 55.4 57.3 59.0 60.0 Total 199.4 211.3 244. 1 287.8 304.9 326.0 352.2 401.0 450.6 457.5 449.1 450. 6 438. 0 434.2 444. 7 457. 5 Advances and Notes and preacpayments, counts U.S. payGovable ernment 3 4.4 5.8 6.4 7.3 6.6 4.9 4.0 isai 141.3 162.4 191.9 204.7 215. 6 230.4 4, 3 261.6 5.2 287.5 6.4 281.6 5.1 287.0 5.2 287.5 5.3 271.2 5.8 270. 1 6.2 273. 4 6.4 281. 6 Federal income tax liabilities Other current liabilities 17.4 13.2 14.3 12.6 10. 0 13. 1 15.1 18. 1 23.2 20.7 22.7 23.2 21.8 17. 7 19.4 20.7 44.5 51.0 61. 0 76.0 83.6 92.4 102.6 117.0 134.8 148.8 134.3 134. 8 139.8 140.6 145. 6 148.8 Net working capital 164.6 174. 9 182.4 185.' 7 187. 4 203. 6 221. 3 242.3 261. 5 274. 1 259. 5 261. 5 260.4 269.0 271; 8 274. 1 Wherever possible, adjustments have been made to Include U.S; Government advances offset against inventories on corporations' books. * Includes marketable investments (other than Government securities and tone certificates of deposit) as well as sundry current assets; Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates rose throughout May but since mid-June have remained essentially unchanged or have declined slightly. PERCB4T PER ANNUM PR ANNUM CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MCCOY'S) *> *•%. A XA DISCOUNT RATE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK TREASURY BILLS J V 11 11 f 1 1 1 t i t ( l i l t f t f 1 1 1 \ f 11 11111 f i i i f 11 It t i \ i j_i i ii i i1ii 1968 1969 1971 1970 1973 1972 1974 1975 SOURCE: Sf E TABLE BELOW 1976 COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] U.S. Government seen rity yields Period 1970 1971 1972 -.: 1973___. 1974 1975 1975: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov_ Dec....... 1976: Jan.... Feb Mar.. Apr. May June Week ended: 1976: June 4 11 18 25* Highgrade Corporate municipal Aaa bonds bonds (Standard (Moody's) & Poor's)4 3-month Treasury bills * 3-5 year issues 2 6. 458 4.348 4. 071 7.041 7.886 5.838 5. 193 6. 164 6.463 6. 383 6. 081 5. 468 5.504 4. 961 4. 852 5. 047 4.878 5. 185 5. 443 7. 37 5.77 5.85 6.92 7.81 7.55 7.26 7. 72 8. 12 8. 22 7.80 7. 51 7. 50 7. 18 7. 18 7.25 6.99 7. 35 6.59 5.74 5.63 6.30 6.99 6. 98 6. 86 6. 89 7.06 7.29 7. 29 7. 21 7. 17 6.94 6. 92 6.87 6.73 6. 99 6.51 5.70 5. 27 5. 18 6.09 6. 89 6. 7i 6. 94 7. 02 7. 23 7. 22 7.21 7.06 6. 80 : 6. 91 6. 86 6.62 6.87 5. 578 5.459 5. 380 5.356 7. 52 7.42 7.38 7.33 6.98 6. 92 6. 91 6.91 6. 87 6. 87 6. 84 6.84 Taxable bonds 5 1 2 Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. * April 1953 to date, twangs due or cjrlilftfele 10 years and after. * Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 66 Beginning BpffirminEf November Novfimbfir 1971, 1071 several SAirpral banks hanks adopted arlnntAd a A floating flnfttincf prime nritriA rate rate keyed trAVArl 30 8.04 7.39 7.21 7.44 8.57 8. 83 8.77 8.84 8.95 8.95 8.86 8.78 8.79 8.60 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank)5 8.52 8.40 8.58 7. 72 5. 11 4.69 8. 15 9.87 6. 33 5. 79 6.44 6.70 6.86 6.48 5.91 5.97 5.27 5.23 5.37 5.23 5.54 5.95 4.88 4.50 6. 44 7.83 6.25 6 -6 6 -6 6 -6 6 -6 6 -6 6 -6 6 -6 6 -5^ 5W-5H 8. 63 8.63 8. 62 8.60 6.00 6. 00 6. 00 5.94 5/2-5X2 5K-5K SVo-S1^ 8.55 Stt-VA 5y2-sy2 5/2-5^ 5/2-5/2 Prime rate charged by banks 5 6 7.91 5.70 5.25 8.02 10.80 7. 86 m-7 * 7 -7% 7^-7% 7%-8 8 -7% 7%-7H7%-7^[ 7K-6% 63/i-6M 6%-6% %%-m $%-m Newhome mortgage yields (FHLBB)7 8.45 7.74 7.60 7.95 8.92 9. 01 8.96 8.89 8.89 8.94 9.01 9.01 9.01 8.99 8. 93 8.93 8.92 8.98 6%-7 7-7K 7K-7K 7^-7K to money market variables. Beginning April 16,1973, with the adoption of the "dual prime rate", this table shows only the rate charged for large business loans. ^ Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment aYend~bf IFyears. Rates D^rnMng"January"l973'not'strictly comparable'wiff prior rates. ' Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices retreated somewhat in late May and the first 2 weeks of June but bounded back in the third week of June. INDEX,DEC 31,1965-50 80 40 30 - - 30 1968 1970 1976 PER CENT 20 15 PERC ENT 20 y^x. /f ^SV ARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMWON STOCKS ! (S&P) \ _ lO i r- i 1968 1. 1 J 1969 r^ ! 1 I 1970 \^- \ •—"1^ 5 n .. 15 ., 1 1 1971 1 I ! 1 1 1972 1 f I 5 I 1974 1973 ! I I I 1975 SOURCI& NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1970 1971... 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct_ Nov Dec 1976: Jan Feb. Mar Apr May Week ended: 1976: June 4 11 18.,.. 25.... I 1 1976 Common s bock5yields (perc<ant) Standard New York Stock Exchange indexe s (Dec. 31, 1 965=50) 2 Dow& Poor's composite Dividend- EarningsJones • index ratio Finance industrial ratio Composite Industrial TransporUtility tation average 3 (1941-43= 10) * 45.72 48.03 32. 14 37. 24 83,22 60. 00 753. 20 6.46 3.83 54. 22 57.92 5.41 884. 76 44. 35 3.14 39.53 70.38 98.29 60. 29 65.73 2.84 5.50 50.17 38.48 78.35 950. 71 109. 20 57.42 63.08 7.12 37.74 37.69 70. 12 923. 88 3.06 107. 43 43.84 48.08 31.89 11.60 29.79 49.67 759. 37 82.85 4.47 50.52 45.73 802. 49 31. 10 47. 14 31. 50 4.31 9.03 86. 16 49.74 44.91 31.70 47. 35 790. 93 84. 72 4.34 30.01 53. 22 47.76 32.28 31. 02 836. 56 90. 10 4.08 50.06 49.22 54.61 845. 70 4.02 32.38 32.79 52.20 92.40 8.29 49.54 54.96 4.02 856. 28 32.90 32.98 52.51 92.49 50. 71 45.71 31.02 815. 51 30.08 46.55 85.71 4.36 44.97 50.05 818. 28 4.39 29.46 43.38 84. 67 30. 65 9. 12 46.87 52.26 4.22 30.79 31.87 44.36 831. 26 88.57 47.64 52.91 32. 09 45. 10 845. 51 90. 07 32.99 4. 07 51.89 46.78 31. 61 32.75 840. 80 4. 14 43.86 88.70 8.61 51.31 57.00 35. 78 48.83 929. 34 96.86 35.23 3.80 53. 73 59.79 36. 12 38,53 52.06 971. 70 100. 64 3.67 60.30 54.01 52. 61 988. 55 39. 17 35.43 3.65 101. 08 60.62 992. 51 54.28 52. 71 38. 66 101. 93 3. 66 35. 69 60.22 53.87 39. 71 50. 99 988. 82 35. 40 3.76 101. 16 53. 14 52.91 54 62 55. 28 59. 45 59. 13 61. 20 61. 94 39. 64 39.48 40. 47 41. 15 34. 75 34. 69 35. 22 33. 53 * Averages of daily closing prices. 2 Includes all the stocks (more than 1,475) listed on the N YSE. * Includes 30 stocks. « Includes 500 stocks. ' Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. I COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC-ADVISERS Comrnon stock piices 1 Period 10 50. 03 50.28 52.36 53. 20 971. 963. 994. 1, 001. 69 87 17 05 99.84 99.33 102. 56 103. 70 3. 79 3.86 3. 74 3.70 NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NY8E). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. Q| FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT The budget deficits for fiscal 1976 and 1977 are currently estimated at $72.6 billion and $45.7 billion/ respectively. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 450 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 450 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 400 400 350 350 300 300 OUTLAYS 250 250 200 200 150 150 50 50 SURPLUS M OR DEFICIT (-) 0 -50 -50 -100 1969 1968 1970 1972 1973 FISCAL YEARS 1971 1975 1974 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 1976 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Federal debt ( end of period) Period Fiscal year: 1967 1968 1969 Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Total i Held by the public 149.6 153.7 187.8 15&3 178.8 184.5 -8.7 -25.2 3.2 341. 3 369.8 367.1 267. 5 290.6 279.5 193. 7 188.4 208.6 232.2 264 9 196.6 211.4 231.9 246. 5 268. 4 -2.8 -23.0 -23.2 -14.3 -a 5 382.6 409. 5 437.3 468.4 486. 2 284.9 304. 3 323.8 343.0 346. 1 1975 2 1976 Transition2 quarter 2 1977 281. 0 299.6 81.9 351.5 324.6 372.2 99.5 397.2 -43.6 — 72. 6 — 17. 6 -45. 7 544. 1 633.9 652. 8 719.5 396. 9 484. 4 504.4 558.2 Cumulative totals for first 11 months: Fiscgl year 1975 Fiscal year 1976 _ 249.0 262.4 294. 1 335.0 —45. 1 -72.7 539.2 621.5 396.3 475.9 ___ 1970 1971 1972. 1973 1974 21 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. Estimates from Office of Management gnd Budget statement of June 24,1976. Federal debt figures are as transmitted in January 1976; they will be revised later. 32 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION Fiscal 1976 budget receipts are currently estimated at $299.6 billion and budget outlays at $372*2 billion The corresponding figures for fiscal 1977 are $351.5 billion and $397.2 billion, respectively. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 300 OUTLAYS 300 250 250 200 200 NONDEFENSE 150 150 NATIONAL DEFENSE 100 100 JL JL 50 1968 1969 1970 1971 50 1973 1972 1974 1975 1976 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES* DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] cOutlays Receij3ts Period Total Fiscal years 19671968_ 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974_ 1975 1 1976 Transition1 quarter 1977 _ 1 Cumulative totals for first 11 months: Fiscal year 1975 Fiscal year 1976— Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes Other Total 149. 6 153. 7 187.8 61.5 68.7 87.2 34.0 28.7 36.7 54.1 56.3 63.9 158. 3 178. 8 184. 5 69. 1 79.4 80.2 67.5 77.4 77.9 4.7 4. 6 3.8 37.6 43.4 49. 0 12.5 13. 8 15. 8 34.3 37.7 35.7 193.7 188.4 208. 6 232.2 264.9 90.4 86.2 94.7 103. 2 119. 0 32.8 26.8 32.2 36. 2 38.6 70.5 75.4 81.7 92.8 107.4 196. 6 211.4 231.9 246. 5 268.4 79.3 76.8 77.4 75. 1 78.6 77.2 74.5 75.2 73.3 77.6 3.6 3. 1 3.7 3.0 3.6 56. 1 70. 1 81. 4 91. 8 106.5 18. 3 19. 6 20. 6 22. 8 28. 1 39. 3 41. 8 48. 8 53. 9 51.7 281.0 297. 5 81.9 351.3 122.4 130.8 40.0 153.7 40.6 40. 1 8.4 49.4 118.0 126. 7 33.5 148.2 324.6 374. 4 98.5 395.8 86.6 92. 8 25.0 101. 1 85.0 89.7 245 99.6 4.4 5. 7 1.4 6.9 136. 3 161.7 41.5 172.6 31.0 34.5 9.8 41. 3 66.4 79.7 20.9 73.8 249.0 262.4 109.3 115. 6 31.0 31.4 108.7 115,4 294. 1 335.0 80.3 82.1 77.8 80.4 3.6 3.4 122. 5 147.0 28.5 32.8 59. 2 69.7 * Estimates shown here are from the Spriing Update— 1977 Budget tran,smitted to the Congress March 25, 1976. Estimates iii subtitle above are from sta tement of June 24, 1976 (see also p. 32) aiid are not sh own here inasmuch as detail ed corni ponents are not yet available. National defense Health Depart- Internaand Intional ment of income terest Other Total Defense, affairs security military Sources Department of the Treasury and Off Ice of Manag ement an<1 Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS According to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $10.6 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter and expenditures $7.1 billion, yielding a deficit of $68.6 billion, $3.5 billion less than in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS Of DOLLARS 440 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 440 SEASONALLY ADJUSTS) ANNUAL RATES 400 360 320 -EXPENDITURES 280 280 240 240 RECEIPTS 200 200 1 1 1 SURPLUS ! • mm I I I I i I I f ! ! t f t f \ \ f HI m _ • •i• Hit»I»-i """""1 -40 DEFICIT 1968 1969 1970 197! 1972 1973 T f f 1 1 ii n I \I I I II m -80 -120 \ -80' -120 19? 5 1974 -40 1976 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE CQVNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal C•rovernm<mt receip fcs Period I"ederal C•rovernm ent expe aditures GrantsIndirect Contriin-aid PurPersonal Corporate business butions chases to State Net Transand profits tax and Total tax for Total of goods fer payand interest nontax tax nontax social inand ments local paid receipts accruals governaccruals surance services ments Surplus or deficit Subsidies Less: Wage less current accruals national surplus of less income Govern- disand ment en- burse- product terprises ments accounts (-), Fiscal year: 1973 240.0 1974 271,6 1975 281. 5 1976 * 307. 4 1977 i 364.7 Calendar year: 1972 227. 5 1973 257.9 1974 288. 4 1975 282. 3 107. 3 122. 9 126. 4 136.4 160.4 40.5 43.6 40.6 47.5 58.2 20.7 21.4 22.4 24.0 24.3 71.5 83.7 92.0 99.5 121.8 256.1 278. 7 328.7 378.7 404.5 101.5 104. 5 117. 6 130. 0 139.4 89.7 104. 7 134. 8 158. 7 168.2 40.4 41. 6 48.3 57.8 59.3 15.9 19.8 22.0 26.0 32.0 9.1 7.9 5.7 6.2 5.6 0. 5 -. 1 -.4 .0 .0 -16. 1 -7. 1 -47.2 -71.3 -39.8 108. 2 114.7 131. 4 125.6 36.6 42.5 45.9 39.0 20.0 21.2 21.7 24.2 62.8 79.4 89.4 93.5 244.7 264.8 300. 1 356.9 102. 1 102. 0 111. 7 123.2 83.2 95.8 117.7 149.2 37.5 40.6 43.9 54.3 14.6 18. 2 21. 0 23.4 7.8 8.2 5.2 6.8 .5 .0 —.5 .0 -17.3 -6.9 -11. 7 -74.6 1974: III_. 299. 2 IV... 293. 1 134.6 137.4 51.8 42. 9 22. 1 21.7 90.8 307. 2 91.1 318. 6 113. 6 118. 2 121. 2 127. 8 44.0 45.4 21.4 22,0 5. 5 5. 1 -1.5 .0 -8. 0 -25. 5 1975: !___. 283. 6 II__. 250. 1 m__ 293.3 IV... 302. 1 137.6 99. 3 130. 5 135.2 32. 1 35. 5 43.4 45. 0 22. 3 23. 5 25. 5 25.4 91.7 91.9 93.9 96.4 337.4 352.3 363.8 374. 2 119.4 119.2 124.2 129. 9 139.2 150. 5 152. 5 154. 5 50. 1 52.8 56. 8 57. 4 22.4 22. 6 23. 4 25. 3 6. 3 7. 1 6. 9 7.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -53. 7 — 102. 2 — 70. 5 -72. 1 1976: !.._ 312.7 137.8 49. 1 23.0 102.8 381. 3 131. 1 160.2 58.7 26. 1 5.1 .0 -68.6 1 Estimates from The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1977, transmitted to the Congress January 1976. 34 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget. INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES 11967=100] Coiisumer prices (unadjusted) Iiidustrial produetion (seatonally iidjustec0 Period United States 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: I_— II III IV__ 1976: I—Jan. Feb. Mar Apr_ May Canada 111 107 107 115 126 125 114 112 110 114 118 121 120 121 122 111 114 123 131 143 146 139 139 139 138 140 144 143 144 145 122 123 146 Japan GerFrance many Italy 127 135 137 142 153 150 142 143 139 138 146 150 148 153 148 111 118 115 119 134 141 128 130 133 152 156 167 197 189 168 162 167 170 172 181 177 181 186 118 124 132 142 150 154 140 141 137 137 143 149 149 148 151 United United King- States dom 126 125 131 130 138 109 111 111 113 122 120 114 118 112 112 112 114 113 114 114 Canada GerJapan France many Italy United Kingdom • •-. 105 109 115 121 130 139 147 144 147 148 150 152 151 152 153 104 109 114 121 134 160 187 180 185 188 194 202 198 202 206 110 118 128 138 150 174 217 196 214 224 232 241 240 240 242 154 212 246 110 116 121 125 133 148 161 157 160 163 166 167 167 167 168 109 112 116 121 130 145 160 154 157 163 166 168 168 168 169 111 120 127 133 149 183 205 197 204 207 211 217 215 217 218 168 169 170 224 111 117 124 131 141 160 179 173 177 181 185 188 1§!) Sources: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, in Business Conditions Digest. U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Mereh andise e xports Mere!landise i mports Domestic3 exports Gen eral imp orts 3 Period Total domestic and foreign Total 1 2 exports Monthly average: 1973 ---- 5, 902 1974 ... 8, 159 8, 159 1974 1975..--. ... 8,933 1975: May... 8,222 June... 8,716 July... 8,894 Aug_._ 8,979 Sept... 9, 146 Oct.... 9,225 Nov... 9,409 Dec... 9,250 9, 103 1976: Jan Feb.... 8,800 Mar. . _ 8, 956 9,394 Apr Food, Crude bever- mate- Manufac- Total 2 ages, rials tured and to- and bacco fuels goods F. a.s. valu e 5 Custom s value 895 5,811 8,045 1,078 1,269 1,317 3,728 5,294 8,045 8,808 1,269 1,400 1, 174 1,215 1,295 1,380 1,367 1,501 1,493 1,404 1,510 1, 337 1,305 1,521 1,317 1,^66 1,217 1,145 1,248 1,299 1,242 1,199 1,342 1, 186 1,223 1,138 1,165 1,284 5,294 8,354 5,917 8,012 5,591 7,266 5,991 7,104 6,063 7,832 5,983 7,877 6,063 8,205 6,267 8,170 6, 168 8,204 6, 296 8,526 5,971 9,176 6,035 8, 941 6,088 9,607 6,191 9,596 5,790 8,416 1 Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 2 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. *Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. Food, Crude bever- mate- Manu- Total facrials ages, tured value) 4 and to- and bacco fuels goods Menjhandise trade balance Exports Ex(f.a.s.) ports Exports less (f.a.s.) (f.a.s.) less ports im- imports (cus- ports toms (f.a.s.) value) 770 1,120 3,750 892 2,653 4,684 F.a.s. i/alue 5 892 2,672 4,602 827 2,716 4,257 742 2,489 3,894 858 1,976 3,990 819 2,706 4,129 777 2,715 4,178 1,020 3,005 4,060 855 2,912 4,289 867 2,896 4,365 825 2, 852 4,582 872 3,233 4,714 889 2, 913 4,782 1,053 896 2, BS5 3,492 5,183 5,307 6,131 9, 000 9,000 8,618 7,817 7,652 8,413 8,479 8,830 8, 795 8,830 9, 166 9,880 9, 593 10, 301 10, 302 -25? -195 -229 -841 -257 -195 -841 1,524 1,001 1, 053 1,613 1,062 1,102 1,064 1,132 1,054 1,206 — 132 — 213 -734 -302 -141 -651 —202 112 854 869 874 978 667 921 955 941 724 -73 315 405 481 500 316 429 580 84 -776 -793 -1,345 -008 * CJ.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in the United States. Data for 1973 are estimates. 6 F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis: at U.S. port of exportation for exports and at foreign port of exportation for imports. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the first quarter, the balance on current account was in small deficit, compared with a $3.1 billion surplus in the fourth quarter of 1975, mainly because of a swing into deficit on trade account. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 6 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 6 1976 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted] Merchandise Milit*iry transactions 12 Period Exports 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1975: I II III... IV___ Imports Net balance Direct expenditures 36, 414 -35,807 607 -4, 856 42, 469 -39,866 2,603 -4, 855 43, 319 -45, 579 -2, 260 -4, 819 49, 381 -55, 797-6,416 -4, 784 71, 410 -70,499 911 -4, 629 98, 310 -103,679 -5,369 -5, 035 107, 133 -98, 150 8,983 -4, 780 27, 25, 26, 27, 020 848 610 655 -25, 585 -22, 598 -24, 511 -25, 456 Sales 1,528 1,501 1, 926 1,163 2,342 2,952 3,897 Net balance 915 807 978 1,197 -402 -378 -115 12 1976: !»___ 26, 939 -28, 447-1,508 -1,162 1,158 —4 Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. * Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from net investment income and included in other services, net. 36 Private 3 U.S. Government Net travel Other and trans- servporta- ices,3 tion net expenditures Balance on goods and serv-1 ices -3, 328 3,471 156 -1,763 1,833 977 -3, 354 3,631 -112 -2, 023 2, 190 2,938 -2, 893 5,659 -956 -2, 315 2,509 -256 -3, 621 6,208 - 1, 888 -3, 028 2, 789 -5,954 -2, 287 8,188 -3, 010 -3, 086 3, 188 3,905 -2, 083 13, 461 -3,234 -3, 107 3,919 3,586 -883 9,430 -3, 423 -2, 503 4,666 16, 269 1,435 -1,317 3,250 -1, 185 2,099 - 1, 093 2, 199 -1,185 1 Excludes military grants. 2 Netiinvestment i ncome 2, 109 2,349 2,487 2,485 -985 -818 -805 — 815 -687 -498 -568 -750 2,916 — 787 -772 1,213 1, 125 1, 146 1, 187 1,205 2, 595 5, 051 4,285 4,336 RemitBaltances, penance sions, on curand other rent uniaclateral count transfers * -2, 994-2, 017 -3, 294 -356 -3, 701 -3,957 -3,848 -9,802 -3, 883 22 -7, 184 -3, 598 -4, 620 11, 650 -1, 179 - 1, 146 — 1,044 -1,251 1,058 -1,138 Note.—Series revised beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 1,416 3, 905 3,241 3, 085 -80 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the first quarter, total financing flows were little changed from the fourth quarter, with both recorded outflows and inflows of capital at lower levels. Inflows on unrecorded transactions, however, rose. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 10 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS' ABROAD, NET -15 1968 1975 1969 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1976 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] TJ.£5. assets abroad, n et [increaise/capital outflow (-)] Period Total U.S. official reserve1 assets (+)i Other U.S. U.S. govern- private Total ment assets assets 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 -8,823 -1, 187 -2, 200-5,436 -6, 032 2,477 -1,589 -6,920 -9, 596 2,348 - 1, 884-10, 060 32 -1, 568 -8,708 -10,245 -16,434 209 -2, 645-13, 998 365 -32, 323 -33, 392 - 1, 434 -31, 131 -607 -3,463 27, 061 1975:1 II III__ IV____ -8,001 -7,943 -4,223 — 10, 964 -325 -29 -342 89 -899 -840 -772 -952 -9, 512 -773 -674 -8,065 1976:1" Forei|gn assets in the U. 3., net [incr<?ase/capitjil inflow -6,777 -7,074 -3, 109 -10, 101 AllocaForeign official tions of assets nrVvfai special (sum of Foreign drawing the Assets of private rights items (SDR) with foreign assets sign Total official changed) reserve agencies 12, 270 -1,301 -1, 552 13, 571 7, 362 — 984 5,923 6,907 22, 445 26, 895 27, 405 -4, 450 21, 127 10, 705 10, 322 10, 422 5, 145 12, 220 18, 519 6,299 32, 433 10, 981 10, 257 21, 452 8, 544 4,603 14, 879 6,336 3,402 2, 958 2,837 1, 913 3,907 2,331 2,400 -1,985 -2, 356 2,088 5, 736 2,587 — 565 1,576 4,384 3, 148 3,325 1,693 5,018 i Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDR), convertible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. Note.—Series revised beginning 1960. Stati stieal discrepancy 1, 856 -1,430 —402 867 717 — 9, 609 710 -1,790 -2, 107 4,557 4,602 U.S. official reserve Of assets, which: net 1 Seasonal (unadadjust- justed, ment end of discrep- period) ancy 16, 964 14, 487 12, 167 13, 151 14, 378 15, 883 16, 226 3,748 1,330 16, 256 131 -37 16, 242 -1,417 -2,565 16, 291 2,143 1,275 16, 226 4,574 1,357 16, 941 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND PEES PAID [U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 37S DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON. D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars...... Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures _.-..Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits.. National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures .. ^ ._. -. ^...... Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income ..... Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment. . .. M . _•.-.. Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment _ _. _ 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 .-.. . .._....... ....... ,... EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES I Status of the Labor Force... •. _ Selected Unemployment Rates..— . Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment .-. Ayerage Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries productivity and Related Data, Private Economy 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization .-. _........ Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures. New Construction. _ New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers* Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders. 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Wholesale Prices. Consumer Prices Changes in Wholesale Prices Changes in Consumer Prices . „, ~ _ Prices Received and Paid oy Farmers.._ . . .... „ .— . 22 23 24 24 25 - ,_ _ MONEY, CREDIT?, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock .... . . _. _ Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Consumer Instalment Credit. _ . , __..-._ . . Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves....... _ ... _. _* ~ ._, . . _ _ . Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfann Nonfinancial Corporate Business Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations Interest Rates and Bond Yields. _ , „ ..., Common Stock Prices and Yields. , _ ., , .... -.-..-..... _ _. _., . -. ^....... * . . _ . , 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt....... « _..-., , _M Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function^. _ _. -. _., Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis. ~ .—. ~ -*......... . . . .......... ^....... ._ . 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries........ _ ...-. ~ -....-..-..... ..... -. U.S; Merchandise Exports and Imports.... _. ^ _. ^ _._ ^ ....... . .. , .„. ^.. _., _ ... M U;iS: International Transactions ._. ^.._ .-. _ .-. M M M ^. ^. M .-..................... _....... -. ^.. ^. ^.. _ ^. ^..... M M M M »^ For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, XJ.S. 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