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94th Congress, 2d Session
LIBRARY

"tis-.c, : \i_ pic,--AMP OF Of

Economic Indicators
June 1976

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1976

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
HUBERT H. HUMPHREY, Minnesota, Chairman
RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Vice Chairman
SENATE
JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama)
WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)
ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut)
LLOYD M. BENTSEN, JR. (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JACOB K. JAVITS (New York)
CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois)
ROBERT TAFT, JR. (Ohio)
PAUL J. FANNIN (Arizona)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin)
WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania)
LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana)
GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana)
OTIS G. PIKE (New York)
CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio)
GARRY BROWN (Michigan)
MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts)
JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California)

JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman
PAUL W. MAcAVOY
BURTON G. MALKIEL
Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES

[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT Congress; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint
Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a
sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at
Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to
the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic
Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository
libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.




Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 85 cents a single copy
or by subscription at $10.10 per year ($2.55 additional for foreign mailing) from:

SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON D.C 20402
Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription
price is $3.60 additional per year.

TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
According to revised estimates for the first quarter, gross national product rose $47.5 billion or at an annual rate
of 1 2.6 percent. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) increased at a rate of 8.7 percent compared with
5.0 percent in the fourth quarter. The inflation rate declined from a 6.8 percent to a 3.6 percent annual rate.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
1,800

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATiQ SCALE)
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1,600

1,600

1,400

1,400
GNP
IN CURRENT DOLLARS

1,200

1,200
IN 1972 DOLLARS

1,000

1,000

800

800

1

I 1

t
1969

1968

1970

! 1
1971

T

1

1

f

t

T

t

1973

1972

t

\

1975

1974

1976

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Go^ fernment purchases of goods and

Export s and imf >orts of
goocIs and services

services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

Total

National
defense *

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

430.2
464. 8
490.4
535.9
579.7
618.8
668.2
733.0
808. 5
885. 9
963.8
907. 7
908.4
926.4
950. 3
977.4
001. 0

112. 0
124. 5
120.8
131. 5
146.2
140.8
160.0
188,3
220. 5
212.2
182.6
207.6
210. 3
168. 7
161. 4
194.9
205.4

7.6
5. 1
4. 9
2. 3
1.8
3.9
1. 6
-3. 3
7.4
7.7
21.3
3.2
8.2
17.3
24.2
22. 1
21.7

39.5
42. 8
45.6
49.9
54.7
62. 5
65. 6
72.7
101. 5
144.2
147.8
148.6
153. 6
148.2
140.7
148. 5
153.8

32. 0
37.7
40,6
47.7
52.9
58. 5
64. 0
75. 9
94.2
136. 5
126. 5
145. 5
145. 3
130.9
116. 4
126.4
132. 1

138.4
158.7
180.2
198.7
207. 9
218.9
233.7
253. 1
269. 9
301. 1
331.2
305.9
314.4
321.2
324. 7
334.1
344.8

67.3
78. 8
90.9
98.0
97. 5
95. 6
96. 2
102. 1
102.0
111. 7
123. 2
113. 6
118.2
119.4
119.2
124.2
129.9

49.4
60. 3
71.5
76. 9
76. 3
73. 5
70. 2
73. 5
73.4
77.4
84.0
78.4
80.5
81.4
82. 1
84.9
87.4

17. 8
18. 5
19, 5
21.2
21. 2
22. 1
26. 0
28. 6
28.6
34.3
39.2
35. 1
37.7
38.0
37. 1
39.3
42.5

71. 1
79. 8
89. 3
100.7
110.4
123.2
137. 5
151.0
168.0
189.4
208.0
192.3
196.3
201.9
205. 5
209. 9
214.8

678.6
738. 7
786. 2
860. 8
926.2
978.6
1, 057. 1
1, 161. 7
1, 288. 8
1, 397. 2
1,513. -5
1, 420. 0
1, 430. 9
1, 458. 4
1, 490. 2
1; 530. 6
1, 574. 9

1, 620. 4 1, 029. 6

232.2

9.3

154.2

144, 9

349.2

131. 1

87. 0

44 1

218. 1

1, 604. 9

1965
688. 1
753.0
1966
1967
796.3
868. 5
1968
935.5
1969
982.4
1970
1, 063. 4
1971
1972
1, 171. 1
1973
1, 306. 3
1974__
1, 406. 9
1975
. 1, 498. 9
1974: III.. 1, 424. 4
IY_. 1, 441. 3
1975: !_„ 1, 433. 6
II-. 1, 460. 6
III.. 1, 528. 5
IV... 1, 572. 9 1,
1976: I

Gross
private
domestic
investment

i This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense,
shown on p. 33.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Exp orts of go ods
Govern] nernt purebases of
Gross iprivate do mestie
aiad service*
goods and semdees
iiavestmenib
Personal
conGross
Change
national sumpXTrm
IN onResi- in busition
product
State
Net
resiExports Imports Total Federal
expend- dential dential ness in- exports
and
ventofixed
itures
local
fixed
ries

Period

925. 9
981.0
1, 007. 7
1, 051. 8
1, 078. 8
1, 075. .3
1, 107. 5
1, 171. 1
1, 233. 4
1, 210. 7
_ 1, 186. 1

558. 1
586. 1
603.2
633.4
655.4
668.9
691.9
733. 0
766.3
759.8
766.9

95.6
106. 1
103.5
108.0
114.3
110.0
108. 0
116.8
131.3
127.5
112.2

43.2
38.5
37.2
42.8
43.2
40.4
52.2
62.0
60. 1
44.7
36.6

11.3
16. 7
12.0
8.7
10. 6
4. 3
6.6
9.4
16.0
7.7
-10.5

8.2
4.3
3.5
-.4
-1.3
1.4
—.6
— 3.3
7.2
16.6
23.4

54.2
58.5
62.2
67. 1
67.9
72.7
87.6
97.6
90.6

1974: III.. 1, 210. 2
IV.. 1, 186. 8

767.2
748.9

125.0
120. 8

44.1
38. 5

4.2
7.6

15.1
17.4

1975: !„.._ 1, 158. 6
II.. _ 1, 168. 1
III.. 1, 201. 5
IV... 1, 216. 2

752.3
764. 1
771.6
779.4

115.2
110.8
110.6
112.3

33.6
34. 0
38. 0
40. 7

-19.0
-20.7
_.g
— 1.6

1, 241. 8

794.5

115.5

42. 0

10.7

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970.
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

1976:1

1Jis_ _t

Jinal
sales

41.0
47.3
50.7
58.9
63.5
65.7
68.5
75.9
80.4
81.0
67.2

209.6
229.3
248.3
259.2
256.7
250. 2
249.4
253.1
252.5
254.3
257.6

100.5
112.5
125.3
128.3
121.8
110.7
103.9
102.1
96.1
95.0
94.3

109. I
116.8
123.1
130.9
134.9
139.5
145. 5
151.0
156.3
159. 3
163.3

914. 6
964. 3
995.7
1, 043. 1
1, 068. 2
1,071.0
1, 100. 9
1, 161. 7
1,206.7
1,203.3
1, 196. 6

96.9
95.7

81.9
78.3

254.7
253.6

95.7
94.7

159.0
158.9

1, 206. 0
1, 179. 3

21.5
24.9
23.5
23.8

90.7
86.8
90.8
94.0

69.2
62.0
67.3
70.2

255.1
254.9
258.7
261.6

93.7
92.4
94.9
96. 1

161.4
162. 5
163. 8
165.5

1, 177. 6
1, 188. 7
1, 202. 4
1, 217. 8

17.4

93.8

76.4

261. 7

95.8

165.9

1, 231. 1

49. 1
51.6

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1972=100]

Gross
national
product

Period

Persona . consumi>tion expcmditures

Total

Gross private
dom estic
inves iment

Expoi ts and
Governnaent purimports of goods chases of goods
and s<?rvices
and s(srvices

Nonres- ResiNonDurable durable
State
Services idential dential Exports Imports Federal and
goods
local
fixed
fixed
goods

74. 32
76. 76
79. 02
82. 57
86. 72
91.36
96.02
100. 00
105. 92
116. 20
126. 37

77. 1
79. 3
81. 3
84.6
88.5
92.5
96.6
100.0
105. 5
116.6
125.7

85.6
85. 7
87. 4
90.7
93. 1
95.5
99.0
100.0
101.7
108.4
116.9

77.3
80. 1
81.9
85.3
89.4
93.6
96.6
100.0
108.0
124.0
133. 6

74.3
76.5
78.8
82.0
86. 1
90.5
95.8
100.0
104. 6
112.7
121.5

74. 5
76. 8
79.3
82.6
86.6
91.3
96.4
100. 0
104. 0
116. 0
132.3

72.3
74. 6
77.0
80.7
87.7
90.6
94.9
100.0
110. 6
122. 1
133. 3

80. 5
82.8
840
85.3
87.9
93. 1
96. 6
100.0
116. 0
147. 8
163.2

78.0
79.7
80.1
80.9
83.3
89. 1
93. 5
100. 0
117. 1
168. 6
188.3

67.0
70. 1
72.6
76.4
80. 0
86.4
92.6
100.0
106. 1
117.6
130.6

65. 1
68.4
72,5
76.9
81.9
88.3
94.5
100.0
107.5
118.9
127.4

, 117. 70
. 121. 45

118. 3
121.3

110.4
114.0

126.0
129.5

114.2
116.4

118.5
125.0

124.9
126.7

153.4
160.4

177.7
185. 6

118.6
124.8

121.0
123.6

1975:1
II..........
Ill
IV.

123. 74
125. 04
127. 21
129. 33

123.1
124.4
126.7
128.4

114.3
116.3
117.4
119.4

131.0
131.9
135.2
136.4

119. 0
120.2
122.2
124.4

129. 6
131.8
132.6
135.3

131.6
132.3
132. 5
136.1

163.5
162.0
163.6
163.5

189. 1
187.8
187.8
188.2

127.3
128.9
130.9
135.3

125. 1
126. 4
128.2
129.8

1976:1...

130. 49

129.6

120.8

136.5

126.5

136.9

139.7

164.4

189.8

isao

131.5

1965
1966..
1967...
1968
1969._
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

.

.....
_.
.
..
_

.....

1974:111
IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES
fPercent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gross national product

Period

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972.
_
1973
1974
1975-1974: III
IV
1975: I
II
Ill
IV...

Constant
(1972)
dollars

Current
dollars

„
,
__

_

1976: I..

Implicit
price
deflator

Gross domestic product

Chain
price
index

Fixedweighted
price
index
(1972
weights)

Constant
(1972)
dollars

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain
price
index

Fixedweighted
price
index
(1972
weights)

8.2

9.4
5.8
9.1
7.7
5.0
8.2
10.1
11.5
7.7
6.5
9.9
4.8
— 2. 1
7.7
19.9
12.1

5.9
5.9
2.7
4.4
2.6
-.3
3.0
5.7
5.3
-1.8
-2.0
-2.3
-7.5
-9.2
3.3
12.0
5.0

2.2
3.3
2.9
4. 5
5.0
5.4
5.1
4. 1
5.9
9.7
8.8
12.5
13.4
7.8
4.3
7. 1
6.8

1.9
3, 1
3.0
4.4
5.0
5.3
5.0
4. 1
6.0
9.7
8.8
13.3
12.5
8.2
4.3
7.3
6.9

1.8
2.9
3.0
4.3
5.0
5.2
4.9
4.0
6.0
9.7
8.8
13.0
12.5
7.8
4.4
7.3
7.2

8.2
9.6
5.7
9.1
7.8
5.0
8.1
10.1
11.4
7.3
6.9
9. 5
4.6
_. 7
7.7
19.6
12.5

5.9
6.1
2.7
4.4
2.6
-.3
2.8
5.8
5.3
— 1.8
— 1.9
-2.4
-7.8
-8.5
3.2
11.7
5.2

2.2
3.3
3.0
4,5
5. 1
5.3
5.1
4.1
5.8
9.3
8,9
12.2
13.5
8.5
4. 3
7. 1
7.0

1.9
3.1
3. 1
4.4
5.0
5.3
5.0
4.1
5.9
9.3
8.8
13.0
12.5
8.3
4.3
7.4
6.9

1. 8
3.0
3.0
4.4
5.0
5.2
4.9
4.0
5.9
9.4
8.8
12. 7
12.5
7.9
4.5
7.4
7.2

12.6

8.7

3.6

3.9

3.9

12. 2

8.4

3.5

3.9

3.8

NOTE.—-Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changes from previous quarter.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross d omestic
prodinet of
nonfir lancial
corp orate
busi ness
(biUi<3ns of
doll ars)

C urrent doliar cost a nd profit per unit of outpu t (dollars]) i

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
CompenallowNet
ances Indirect sation
with business
of
in3
employ- terest
capital taxes
conees
sumption
adjustment

Current
dollars

1972
dollars

1965.
1966.
19671968.
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973_
1974
1975
1974:111..
rV-_
1975:1
II-..
III__
IV—

392. 1
430.7
452.9
498.4
541. 8
560.6
602.5
671.0
751.9
808. 7
864. 1
820.3
821.8
816.4
845. 1
886.2
908. 5

494.6
532.9
545.8
581.6
607. 3
600. 6
619.3
671. 0
717.7
697.6
680. 4
696. 1
676.3
654.0
671.8
695. 0
700. 8

0.793
.808
.830
.857
.892
.933
.973
1.000
1.048
1. 159
1.270
1. 178
1.215
1.248
1.258
1. 275
1.296

0.066
.067
.072
.074
.079
.088
.094
.093
.096
.112
.131
. 114
. 123
. 130
.130
. 131
. 133

0.083
.080
.084
.089
.094
. 103
. 110
. 110
. 112
. 123
. 137
. 126
. 129
. 135
.136
. 137
. 139

1976: I »._

938, 7

716. 1

1. 311

. 133

. 134

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate
Biness in 1972 dollars.
This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corwate business with the decimal point shifted 2 places to the left.
* Also includes transfer payments less subsidies.




0.497
.513
.535
.553
.589
.628
.645
.661
.700
.788
.836
.803
.831
,848
.829
.824
.843
. 852

Corpc>rate profi ts with
invent ory valualbion and
capii ,al consuniption
£idjustmen ts

CompenOutput
per
sation
hour
per
of aU
hour
employ- of all
employees
(1972
ees
(doldollars)
lars)

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax*

0. 134
.134
. 123

.051

. 124
. 109
. 086
.095
. 107
.106
.091
. 116
.088
.081
. 085
. 113
. 133
. 131

0.055
.055
.051
.058
.055
.045
.048
.050
.055
.061
.053
.070
.058
.041
.048
. 060
.061

0 079
078
072
066
055
041
046
057
051
029
063
018
023
043
065
073
070

6. 6252
6. 7773
6. 8731
7. 1406
7. 2109
7. 2423
7. 5311
7. 7981
7. 9549
7. 7303
8. 0104
7. 6841
7. 6241
7. 6883
8. 0026
8. 1943
8. 1514

3. 2957
3. 4781
3. 6761
3. 9483
4. 2401
4. 5468
4. 8579
5. 1579
5. 5663
6. 0895
6. 6962
6. 1709
6. 3392
6. 5184
6. 6342
6. 7527
6. 8732

.052

. 140

.065

. 075

8. 2129

6. 9964

0 012

014
016
017
022
028
029
028
034
045
050
047
050
051
050
050

Total

* With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

National
income

Period

Propri etors'
incom*3 with
inventor y valuation anc capital
eonsunaption
adjust ments

Compensation of
employees *
0.^0, 1

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
„•
1975
1974: III...
IV
1975: I.
II.

Ill
IV...
1976: I

566. 0
622.2
655. 8
714.4
767.9
798.4
_ 858. 1
_ 951.9
_- 1, 067. 3
1, 141. 1
1, 207. 8
1, 151. 3
-.- 1, 161. 3
1, 155. 2
... 1, 180. 8
... 1, 232. 5
1, 262. 6
- 1, 303. 3
—

Farm

396. 5
439. 3
471. 9
519. 8
571. 4
609.2
650.3
715.1
797.7
873.0
921.4
886.3
898. 1
897. 1
905. 4
928. 2
955.1
982.6

12.6
13.6
12. 1
12. 0
13.9
13.9
14.3
18.0
32.4
25.6
24.6
21.9
24.6
21. 0
20. 1
29.3
28. 2
25.3

Nonfarm

44.1
46.7
48. 9
51.4
52. 3
51. 2
53.4
58. 1
59.3
59.5
58.7
60.2
59.0
58.6
58.5
58. 7
58.9
59.7

Rental
income
of persons
with
capital
con-

Corpor ate profitsi with inv entory va uation
and capital consumptioii adjustm ents
Profits with inv<2ntory
valuai ,ion adjus tment
and ^without ca pital
consum ption adjiistment
Total

tion
adjustment

17.1
18.2
19. 4
18.6
18. 1
18. 6
20. 1
21.5
21. 3
21. 0
21, 1
20.9
20.9
20.8
20.5
20.9
22. 0
22.7

i Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 6.)

Total

77.1
82. 5
79.3
85.8
81.4
67.9
77.2
92.1
100.2
91.3
100.3
89.2
82.0
78.9
96.6
113. 1
112.7
123.9

73.3
78. 6
75. 6
82. 1
77. 9
66.4
76.9
89.6
98.6
93.6
106.0
92.0
86. 1
83.4
101. 6
119. 6
119.3
131. 4

Profits
before
tax

75.2
80.7
77.3
85.6
83.4
71.5
82.0
96.2
117. 0
132. 1
116.8
146.7
123.9
97.1
108.2
129.5
132.4
142,8

Capital
consump-

Net
interest

Inven•Hrm
tory
adjustvalua- . ment
tion
adjustment

-1.9
-2.1
-1.7
—3.4
— 5.5
— 5. 1
— 5.0
-6. 6
-18.4
-38.5
-10.8
-54.7
-37.7
-13.7
— 6.6
-9.9
-13. 1
-11.4

3.8
3.9

3. 7

3.7
3.5
1.5
.3
2.5
1.6

-2.3
-5.7
-2,7
-4.2
-4.5
-5.0
-6.5
-6.6
-7.6

18.5
21.9
24,3
26.8
30.8
37.5
42.8
47.0
56.3
70.7
81.6
72.7
76. 7
78.7
79.7
82.2
85.7
89.2

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

430.2
1965.
1966.
464.8
490.4
1967
1968_
535.9
1969
579.7
1970
618.8
1971668.2
1972
733.0
1973
808. 5
1974___
885. 9
1975
963. 8
1974: III.....
907.7
908.4
IV....
1975:1
926.4
II
950.3
III_._.
977.4
IV
1, 001. 0
1976: I.
1, 029. 6
1

FurniTotal
durablel
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

62.8
67.7
69. 6
80. 0
85. 5
84.9
97. 1
111. 2
122. 9
121.9
128. 1
128.9
117. 3
118. 9
123.8
131. 8
137.6
145.9

29.8
30. 1
29. 7
35.8
37.7
34.9
43. 8
50.6
54.4
48.0
49.5
53.5
43.6
44.6
46.1
52. 1
55. 1
62. 1

Total includes other items not shown separately.




Retail sales of
new pa ssenger
cars (nlillions
of uiaits)

Nondurable goods

D urable goo ds

and
household
equipment

24.7
27.7
29. 5
32, 6
35. 0
36. 7
39.4
44.8
50.7
54.7
57.4
55.9
54. 3
54. 1
57.0
58.3
60.4
61.3

Services
Total
nondurable
goods 1

188.6
204. 7
212.6
230.4
247. 0
264. 7
277.7
299.3
334.4
375.7
409.8
383.9
387.1
394. 1
404.8
416.4
423.7
430.8

Food

98.9
106.6
109.6
118. 3
126. 1
136. 3
140. 6
150.4
168.0
189. 4
209. 1
193. 2
197.4
202.8
206.6
211.4
215.6
219. 3

Clothing
and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

33. 5
36. 6
38. 2
41.8
45. 1
46.6
50.5
55. 1
61.4
65.2
69.9
66.5
64.8
66.7
69.0
71.3
72.5
73.5

14.7
16. 0
17.0
18.4
20.4
22. 0
23.4
24.9
28.3
36.4
40.3
38.2
38.8
38. 1
39.6
41.2
42. 1
42.2

Domestics

178.7
192.4
208.1
225. 6
247.2
269. 1
293.4
322.4
351. 3
388.3
426. 0
394.9
404.0
413.4
421.6
429.2
439.7
452.9

8.8
8.4
7.6
8.6
8.5
7.1
8.7
9.3
9. 7
7.5
7. 1
8.3
5.8
6.7
6. 3
7. 5
7.7
8.9

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Imports

0.7
.8
1.0
1. 1
1. 3
1.6
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.6
1. 5
1. 3
1.7
1.6
1.7
1.4
1. 3

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $11.1 billion (annual rate) in May, following a revised increase of $10.1 billion in April.;
Wage and salary disbursements rose $7.4 billion and farm proprietors-income $2.5 billion. All other major types of
income also rose, except for transfer payments, which fell slightly.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALi

WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

40
1976

1968
*SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Wage
Rental
Other Propriet<3rs' incomes income
Total
Transfer
and
Divi- Personal
personal salary
labor 12
payinterest
dends
of
income disburseincome
income ments5
Nonfarm persons 4
Farm
1
ments

685.2
1968
745,8
1969
801.3
1970
1971
859.1
1972
942.5
1, 054. 3
1973
1, 154. 7
1974
1, 245. 9
1975
1975: May... 1, 217. 2
1, 245. 2
June
July.... 1, 244. 0
1, 262. 4
Aug
1, 278. 7
Sept
1, 287. 4
Oct
Nov
1, 295. 9
Dec
1, 300. 2
1, 313. 6
1976: Jan
1, 325. 9
Feb
1, 336. 0
Mar
1, 346. 2
Apr
May *__ 1, 357. 2

469.5
514.6
546.5
579.4
633. 8
701. 0
763.6
801.6
787.4
792. 7
797.4
808. 8
815.6
824.1
831.2
836.8
846.0
851.6
856.8
864. 1
871.5

25. 1
28.2
32.0
36.2
42. 0
47.5
54.5
61.3
60.3
60.8
61. 4
62. 0
62. 6
63.2
63.8
64.4
65.2
66. 1
67.0
67. 8
68. 6

12.0
13.9
13.9
14.3
18.0
32.4
25.6

246

20.1
21. 7
25.8
29.3
32.7
30.5
28. 3
25.8
25.6
25.3
25. 0
26. 9
29.4

51.4
52.3
51.2
53.4

sa i

59.3
59.5
58.7
58.6
58.6
58.7
58.7
58.8

sa9

58.8
58.9
59. 1
59. 7
60.3
60. 3
60.4

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs
from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contribujions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements.
2 Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare
funds; workmen's compensation; directors' fees; and a few other minor items.
»With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




18.6
18. 1
18. 6
20. 1
21. 5
21. 3
21. 0
21. 1
20.5
20.2
20.5
21. 0
21. 3
21.8
22.0
22.2
22.5
22. 7
22.9
23. 1
23. 2

21.9
22.6
22.9
23.0
24.6
27.8
31.1
32.8
32.6
32.9
33.2
33.5
33.9
33.8
33.8
31. 7
33.4
33. 3
33.2
33. 8
33. 9

49.6
55.9
64.3
69.3
74.6
88.4
106.5
120.5
117.5
118. 6
119. 7
121.2
122.9
125. 1
127. 9
129. 0
130.4
131.8
133.6
134.8
135.8

59.9
66.5
79.9
94. 1
104.1
118.6
140.4
175.0
169.3
189.0
176.8
178. 1
181.3
180. 6
181.4
182. 9
184.7
18&9
190.8
189. 2
188.6

Less: PerNonsonal confarm
tributions personal
8
for social
insurance income

22.8
26. 3
28.0
30.8
34.2
42. 2
47.4
49.8
49. 1
49.3
49.5
50.0
50.4
50. 7
51.2
51.6
53.3
53.4
53.6
54.0
54.3

667.5
725.8
780.7
838.0
917.3
1, 013. 5
1, 119. 1
1, 210. 2
1, 186. 2
1, 212. 5
1, 207. 2
1, 222. 1
1, 234. 8
1, 245. 6
1, 256. 3
1, 262. 9
1, 276. 3
1, 288. 9
1, 299. 2
1, 307. 4
1, 315. 8

«With
capital consumption adjustment.
6
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
6
Personal income exclusive of net Income of unincorporated farm enterprises,
farm wages, and agricultural net interest.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable income rose at an annual rate of 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 1976 bringing the increase over the past 4 quarters to 5.$ percent.
BBilOHS OF DOLLARS* [RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

-PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PBiSQNAL INCOME

2,000

2,000
1968

1976

1969

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
COUNOL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOVRC£i DEPARTMENT Of

Period

Less:
Personal
Pertax
sonal
and
income nontax
payments

,
Equals:
Disposable
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays1

Equals:
Per.
eonal

saving

Per capita
disp aaable
persona1 income
Current
dollars

626.6
685.2
745.8
801.3
859. 1
942. 5
, 054. 3
., 154. 7
1, 245. 9

Current
dollars

1972
dollars

Percent
change Saving
in real as perper
cent of Populacapita dispostion
able
dispos(thouperable
sands) *
sonal
perincome

Bil lions of. d ollars

1967.
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

1972
dollars

Per caijita, personal c onsumption expenditures

544.5
82.1
97. 1
588. 1
115. 4
630.4
115. 3
685. 9
742.8
116. 3
141.2
801.3
151.2
903. 1
171.2
983.6
169.2 1, 076. 7

D.ollars

503.7
550. 1
595.3
635.4
685. 5
751. 9
830. 4
909. 5
987.8

40.9

38. 1
35.1
50.6
57.3
49.4
72. 7
74.0
88.9

2,740
2,930
3, 111
3,348
3,588
3,837
4,292
4, 642
5,040

3,371
3,464
3, 515
3,619
3,714
3,837
4,068
3,981
4,010

2,468
2,670
2,860
3,020
3,227
3, 510
3,843
4, 181
4, 512

3,035
3, 156
3, 234
3, 265
3,342
3, 510
3,642
3,586
3,590

3.0
2.8
1.5
3.0
2.6
3.3
6.0
— 2. 1
.7

7.5 198, 712
6. 5 200, 706
5.6 202, 677
7.4 204, 878
7. 7 207, 053
6.2 208, 846
8.0 210, 410
7. 5 211, 894
8.3 213, 631

—0.7
-2.9
— 3.5
18.8
-6.2
3.5

6.5
8.2
7.2
9.9
7. 9
7.9

212,
212,
212,
213,
213,
214,

5.3

7.6

214, 692

Seas onaHy ad; usted ann ual rates

1974: III.. 1
IV.. 1
1975: I
1
II._.
III..
IV— 1
1976:1

171. 6
194. 8
203.6
223. 8
261. 7
294.5

175.3
178.9
179.6
142. 1
174. 6
180.5

996.3
931. 7
932. 4
1, 015. 9
1, 024. 0
950.4
1, 081. 7
974.2
1, 087. 1 1, 001. 3
1, 114. 0 1, 025. 4

64. 6
83.6
73.6
107.5
85.9
88.6

4,697
4,779
4,808
5,070
5, 083
5, 197

3,969
3,940
3,905
4,077
4, 012
4,047

4,279
4,273
4,350
4, 454
4, 569
4,670

3, 617 1
3, 523
3, 533
3, 581
3, 607
3, 636

, 325. 2 184.4 1, 140. 7 1, 054 5

86. 2

5, 313

4,100

4, 796

3,701

1

Includes personal consumption expend!lures, interest paid, by consumers
to3business, and personal transfer payments.to foreigners (net).
Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 3; quarterly data
are (or middle of period, interpolated from monthly data*




123
585
962
362
897
339

Source: Department oi Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureai
of the Census).

FARM INCOME
Farm income including inventory change declined $3.0 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter; excluding inventory
change the decline was $1.5 billion.
B1LUONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALq

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALQ

120

120
100

80

80

REALIZED GROSS
FARM INCOME

60

60

40

40

\
t
"NET TARM INCOME
INCLUDING NET INVENTORY
CHANGE
j
\
J

20

t

20

••» ++*
10
1969

1970

1972

1971

1974

1973

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Period

1968
J
1969
J
1970
1971
1972
1973..... _.
1974
.
1975

1975
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates']
Personail incomereceived
Income r«seeived f r<>m f armii*g
by total farm population
Realiz ed gross
Net income per
Nett o farm
farm incl uding net3
•ators
opei
Casla receipts from
inventor y change
marketing58
From
Rrom From
Produc- Exclud- Includ1
all
farm nonfarm Total
tion ex- ing net ing net
Livesources sources sources
penses inven- inven- Current
1967
stock
Total
Crops
tory
tory 2 dollars dollars *
and
change change
products
Do] lars
Billioias of dollsirs
12. 7
23.9
11.3
12.2
51.7
44.2
3,858
4,013
25.5
12.3
18.7
39.5
12.9
26.6
13. 7
4,372
56.3
48.2
14.2
4,766
42.1
28.6
14.3
19. 6
14.2
27. 1 13.0
4,202
58.6
14.2
14.2
4,790
50.5
29.5
21.0
44.4
13.4
15.0
28.5
60. 6
13.2
4,263
5,030
52.9
30.6
22.3
47.4
14.6
34.1 16.7
17. 4
6,504
61.2
70. 1
5,288
35.7
17.8
18.7
25.5
52.3
48.4
19. 2
29. 1
95. 3
8, 891
41. 1
30.0
33. 6 11, 825
86. 9
45.8
65.3
44.8 23.6 21.2
101. 1
52. 1
28.2
41.4
6,231
26. 6
9,409
93.5
72.9
99.2
45.5 23.3 22. 2
5, 578
9, 260
26. 0
90.6
23.7
43.3
47.3
75.5

1974: -III...
IV...

99.2
101. 9

91.5
94. 1

39.3
39.5

52.2
54.6

73.3
73.5

25.9
28.4

22. 8
25.5

8, 060
9,010

5,230
5, 700

1975: I
II....
III...
IV ..

91. 1
101. 1
104. 1
100. 4

82.7
92.6
95.4
91.6

38.4
42. 5
44. 5
47.8

44.3
50. 1
50. 9
43. 8

73.5
74. 9
76.5
76.9

17.6
26.2
27.6
23.5

17.1
27.2
30.6
29.0

6, 090
9, 680
10, 900
10, 330

3, 760
5, 900
6, 450
6, 040

1976: I

100. 0

90.9

46.6

44. 3

78.0

22. 0

26.0

9,330

5,420

1
Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmohey income
furnished by farms.
2
Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year.
s Based on Census of Agriculture definition oi a farm. The number of farms is
held constant within a year.

73—380«




4
Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for
family living items on a 1967 base.

Source: Department of Agriculture;

CORPORATE PROFITS
Profits before tax rose $10.4 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter, according to revised estimates, while protits
with inventory valuation adjustment rose $12.1 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

40

t968

1976

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1974: III

IY_

1975: I
II
III
IV
1976: L

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally
Profit ,s (before tax) wit!i invent<
:>ry valuiition
adjustn lent l
Dome*stie industries
N onfinanc tal
2
Total
WholeManu- sale
Total Finanfaecial Total 3
and
turretail
ing
trade
73.3
70. 1
62.5
7.5
38.3
7.9
75.9
8.5
67.4
41.6
78.6
8.0
75.6
72.6
9.0
63.6
37.9
8.9
82. 1
41.2
10.4
68.5
78.9
10.1
74.2
77.9
62. 9
11. 3
36.8
10.1
66.4
62.6
50. 1
27. 1
12.6
9.4
58.2
72.4
14. 1
76.9
32.4
11.7
84.7
15.4
89.6
69. 3
40.6
13.3
91. 7
74. 3
98. 6
17. 4
43.8
14.4
82. 5
93.6
17.3
65.3
37.4
13.4
16.2
106.0
100.1
83.9
45. 2
21.9
92.0
82.0
18.3
63.7
37.0
11.7
75. 1
86. 1
16. 5
58.6
31.9
11.9
83.4
77.6
18.3
59.3
30.0
16.3
95.7
80.2
101.6
15. 5
43. 5
21.0
113.4
119. 6
14.9
98. 6
54. 6
25. 1
119. 3
113.6
97.4
16. 1
52. 8
25.4
131.4
124.4
17.4 107. 1
59. 5
30.4

1
See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
s Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.
1
s
Includes industries not shown separately.

8



COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

adjusted annual rates]
Pro fits after tax
TT

Profits
before
tax

Tax
liability

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

75.2
80.7
77.3
85. 6
83.4
71.5
82.0
96.2
117.0
132. 1
116. 8
146. 7
123.9
97. 1
108.2
129.5
132.4
142.8

30.9
33.7
32. 5
39.4
39.7
34.5
37.7
41.5
48.2
52.6
45.6
59. 3
49.2
37.5
41.6
50.7
52. 5
57. 1

44.3
47.1
44. 9
46.2
43.8
37.0
44. 3
54. 6
68. 8
79. 5
71.2
87.4
74.7
59.6
66. 6
78.8
79.9
85.7

19.1
19.4
20.1
21.9
22. 6
22.9
23.0
24.6
27.8
31. 1
32.8
31.7
31.7
32. 1
32. 6
33.5
33. 1
33.3

25.2
27.6
24. 7
24.2
21.2
14. 1
21. 3
30. 0
40. 9
48.4
38.4
55.7
43. 0
27.5
34. 0
45. 3
46. 8
52. 4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

— 1.9
— 2. 1
-1.7
-3.4
-5.5
-5. 1
— 5. 0
-6.6
-18.4
-38.5
-10.8
-54.7
-37. 7
-13.7
-6.6
-9.9
-13. 1
-11.4

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
Business fixed investment rose at an annual rate of $6.2 billion in the first quarter. Inventory investment rose sharply,
by $17.5 billion, from —$2.0 billion in the fourth quarter to $15.5 billion in the first quarter. Residential outlays
also increased but by less than in the preceding quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

BltUONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
300 -GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT-

,NONRESIDENT1AL FIXED INVESTMENT

240

220

180

140

. I .1, 1.,

JL_L

40
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)
80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS"
40 -CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES

-20 -40

1976
•SEASONAUT ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCEi DEMStMENI OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

I iillions of dollars; quarter!y data at seasonsilly adju sted ann ual ratesJ
Nwiresidenl ial fixed investm snt
Gross
private
domes-

Period

tic

invest-

1965
1966
1967—
1968
1969
1970
1971—

-

1972
1973
1974
1975
1974: III.

—
--

1975: I-

—

rv

II

III
IV
1Q76: I

112.0
124. 5
120. 8
131. 5
146. 2
140. 8
160.0
188. 3

220. 5
212.2

182.6
207.6

Stru(•tures
Total

71.3
81.4
82. 1
89. 3
98. 9
100. 5
104. 1
116. 8
136.5
147.9
148. 5

148. 1

Nonfarm

26.1
29.2

25.1
28. 1

45.1
52. 2

41.2
47.9

31.2
28.7

31.6
35.7
37.7
39.3

30. 4
34.3
36. 1
37. 8

57.7
63. 3

59. 9
69. 1

54.4

52.1

34. 5
37.9
36.6
49.6
62.0
66.5
54.6
48. 7

29. 5

42. 5
49.0

52. 7
54.0
56. 1

28.2

41. 1
46. 8
50. 5
51. 7

54.9
51. 1

205.4
232.2

151.9
158.1

53.6
55.5

51. 5
53.2

51.2

49. 0

Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analyst*.




52. 6

62. 8
64. 7
74.3
87. 5
93.5
95.8

94. 1

95.0
94.4
95.0
95.6
98.3
102.6

48.0
53.4
58. 9
58. 1
80. 7

86.0

88. 2
86. 6

86. 7
86. 7
87. 2
88.6
90.4
94.7

farm

Farm
struc-

tures

Total

168.7
161.4

146. 7

NonTotal

Nonfarm

53. 7
52. 6
48.8

194. 9

PTA-

Total

151. 1
149.3
146. 1

210.3

Prod ucers'
dur able
equijanent

Resic ential fis ed investment

28.6

55.0

29.9
27.4
27.2
33. 1
36.3
35. 1
47.9

60.3
64.7
52.2

46.8

52. 7

.6
.9
1.2

48.2

.4
.5
.8
.7

48.7
44.2
45.0

46.3
42. 6
43.1

55.4
58.6

53.3
56.5

50.4

ducers'
durequipment

0.6
.7
.7
.6
.7
.6
.7
.7
.6
1.0

.7

Change in business m\ entories

0.7
.7
.7
.8

.9
.9
1.0

1. 1

1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4

1.3
1.2
1.3
1.4

1.4
L5

Total

9.5
14.3
10.1
7.7
9.4

3. 8
6.4

9.4

17.5
9.7
— 14.6
4.4

10.4
— 24. 8
— 29.6
— 2. 1
-2.0
15.5

Nonfarm
8.5
14.5
9.4
7.6
9.2
3.7

5.1
8. 8

14. 1
11.6
-16.5
7. 6
13.7
-23.3

-29. 6
— 5.7
-7.5
11.3

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND
Business plans to increase capital spending nearly 71/3 percent in 1976, according to the survey conducted in late
April and May, or slightly more than the expected increase reported in March,
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE}

BILLIONS OF DOLURS {RATIO SCALE)

180

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUM HATS

160

160

140

140
120
TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMB^T

100

100

80

80
,„,.,,,«»•«"-

NONMANUFACTURtNG

60

60

40

40
MANUFACTURING

\

20

\
1968

t

\
1970

1969

1

f .!

•1973

1972

1971

I

1974

1

1975

J/ J/
i
20
1976
l

J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW.
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Starts c)f plant

E spenditunss for plaiit and eqilipment

and equ ipment
3
projcjets

M anufactur fog

Period
Total *

Total

1969.
1970
1971_

.

1972__
1973..
1974__

1975
1976 *

75.56

79.71
81. 21
88.44

99. 74
112. 40
112. 78

31.68
31. 95
29.99

31. 35
38. 01
46.01

121. 03

47.95
52.52

_ 114. 57
112. 46
III.... 112. 16
IV
111.80

Dur-

Non-

able
goods

durable
goods

15.96
15.80
14 15
15.64
19. 25

15. 72
16. 15
15.84
15. 72
18. 76

21.84

26.11

22.62

23.39

Nonmanul acturing
Total

Mining

47. 76
51. 22
57. 09
61. 73
66. 39
64. 82

1.86
1.89
2, 16
2.42
2. 74
3. 18
3.79

43.88

Com-

Transportation

Public
utilities

munication

6.05
6.04

11.61
13. 14
15. 30
17. 00
18. 71
20. 55
20.14

8.30
10. 10
10.77
11.89
12.85
13.96
12.74

493

5. 72
6.03
6.66
7.57

Commercial

and

Manufactur-

ing

other 2

16. 05
16. 59

iaos

20. 07
21. 40
22. 05
20. 60

3407

29, 18
28. 00
35. 21
47. 57
52. 49
48. 24

15. 16
17. 20
22. 22
28. 60
38. 13
45. 74
34. 50
5 34
9 19
14 82
5,84

1.30

22. 74

29. 78

68.50

3.81

6.51

23.07

13.83

48.78
47.39
46.82

22. 86
22. 59
21. 01
21.07

26. 20
26. 19
26.38
25.75

65. 52
63. 68
64. 76
64.98

3. 76
3. 78
3.82
3.82

7.30
7.05
7.86
7.60

20. 28
19. 52
19. 79
20.91

13. 36
12. 50
12. 95
12.22

20.44

12. 12
12. 80
11. 29
12. 16

49. 21

21.63

27. 58

65.51

3.83

6. 55

21. 91

12. 54

20. 68

11.64

52.28
29.60
22.68
68.86
54. 06
23.42
30.64
68. 93
5^.06
28.12
30.95
70.34
1
Excludes agrieiiltural business; real estatte operators medical, le l&l, educational, and cultureil service; an d nonprofit organization 5. These flgures do not
agree precisely wit ti the nonresldentialfixe< i investmen i data in gro ss national
product estimates, mainly bee wise those d ata include i nvestment b y farmers,
professionals, instit•utions, and real estate ftrms, and certain outlays charged to
current
account.
3
Includes trade, service, consi ruction, finance,andinsuranee,
* Starts are estinaated by addling changes in carryover to expenditiires during

3.68
3.85

6.95
6. 78

•22. 81
22.90

1975: I
II
1976: I

114.72

II 4 __ 121. 14
III *._ •123. 00
IV 4 __ 124. 40

10



49. 05

Public
utilities

21.28

20.82
20.83

20. 34

35. 42
35. 41

given period.
< Expenc itures estiiiaates based on expectec1 capital exi>enditures as reported by
business in late April and May 1976.
NO*E.— Annual tot al is the suni of unadjusted quarter ly totals,
Esttmati3S (as noted1 in footnot B 4) include adjustmen ts when necessaryforsj
tematic bisises in expectations da ta.
Source: Departmen t of Commerce, Bures u of Econo mic Analysis

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT,AND WAGES

STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE

Seasonally adjusted civilian employment increased by nearly 300,000 in May to 87.7 million. This is 3.2 million
greater than employment in May a year ago* Nonfarm employment increased by 386,000 in May.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

TOO

100

1975

1968
*J6 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADMSERS

n thousands of personis 16 years5 of
Period

1971
1972*
1973*
1974
1975
1975:
May
June
July— Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

Noninstitutional
population

1976

Civilian Unememploy- ployment
ment

142, 596 79, 120
145, 775 81, 702
148, 263 84, 409
150,827 85, 936
153, 449 84, 783
U nad justed

Total
labor
Civilian
force
(includ- labor
ing
force
Armed
Forces)

age £md over]

ivilian e mploymerit

Unempl oyment

Nonagri cultural
TV»f
aT
JL (Jttll

Agricultural

Part-time
TA otai
t 1 for economic
reasons 1

Tnf
al
J. Olcti

15
weeks
and
over

Labor
force
participation
rate
(per-2
cent)

4, 993
4, 840
4,304
5, 076
7, 830

86y 929
88, 991
91, 040
93, 240
94, 793

84, 113
86, 542
88, 714
91, Oil
92, 613

79, 120
81, 702
84, 409
85, 936
84, 783

3, 387 75, 732
2, 440
3,472 78, 230
2,408
3,452 80, 957
2, 311
3,492 82, 443
2, 709
3, 380 81, 403
3, 490
Seas<mally adj usted

4, 993
4,840
4,304
5, 076
7,830

1, 182
1, 158
812
937
2, 483

61.0
61. 0
61. 4
61. 8
61. 8

153, 051
153, 278
153, 585
153, 824
154, 052,
154, 256
154, 476
154, 700

84, 146
85, 444
86, 650
86, 612
85, 274
86, 023
85, 556
85, 536

7,623
8,569
8,209
7,696
7,522
7, 244
7, 231
7, 195

94, 950
94, 747
95, 249
95, 397
95, 298
95, 377
95, 272
95, 286

92, 769
92, 569
93, 063
93, 212
93, 128
93, 213
93, 117
93, 129

84, 519
84, 498
84, 967
85, 288
85, 158
85, 151
85, 178
85, 394

3r528
3,350
3,439
3, 464
3, 512
3,408
3,301
3, 236

80, 991
81, 148
81, 528
81, 824
81, 646
81, 743
81, 877
82, 158

3,750
3,422
3, 277
3,234
3,291
3, 361
3, 353
3,243

8,250
8,071
8,096
7, 924
7, 970
8,062
7,939
7, 735

2,529
2, 751
2, 954
2, 878
2, 934
2,719
3, 004
3, 080

62.0
61.8
62. 0
62. 0
61. 9
61. 8
61.7
61. 6

154, 915
155, 106
155, 325
155, 516
155, 711

84, 491
84, 764
85, 588
86, 584
87, 278

8, 174
8,033
7, 525
6,890
6,304

95, 624
95, 601
95, 866
96, 583
96, 699

93, 484
93, 455
93, 719
94, 439
94, 557

86, 194
86, 319
86, 692
87, 399
87,697

3,343
3r 170
3, 179
3,417
3,329

82, 851
83, 149
83, 513
83, 982
84, 368

3,482
3, 262
3,266
3,248
3, 382

7,290
7, 136
7, 027
7,040
6,860

2, 785
2, 515
2,294
2,035
1, 998

61. 7
61. 6
61. 7
62. 1
62. 1

'Data beginn ing January 1 J72 not strict y eomparal:>le with prJoi• date because
adjustment" Ed 1970 Censu s data, wnic i added about 800,000 t o the civilia n
*M>ninstItiition£ 1 .population. 33J,OQQ to 11le civilian abor force, 2ind 301,000 to
^civilian employ ment. A tellaer adjustme nt in Marc h 1973 added 60,000 to th6
"labor force and to employme nt.




i Persons at wor k in nonagric ultural indu stries.
2 Toted labor foree as percent of noninstitutional popula tion 16 yeai s
over.
Source: Departatent of Labor , Bureau of Ivabor Statist!cs.

of age and

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point in May to 7.3 percent. The unemployment rate declined for most demographic groups but increased for men age 20 qnd over.

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

•PERCENT* (SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED)

10

ou.
1972

1975

*UNEMPtOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR POKE IN GROUP SPECIFIED,
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF UBOR

1976

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unernployme nt rate ( percent t)f civiliaii labor f 3rce in g roup)
Total
(all
civilian
workers)

Period

1971-.1972
1973
.

-_

1974..
1975

1975:

May
June
July_
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb ...
Mar
Apr
May
1

.-

5.9
5.6
4.9
5.6
8.5

8. 9
8. 7
8. 7
8. 5

._

8.6
8.6

...
...

...

8. 5

8.3

.7.8
7.6
7.5

7.5

7. 3

By s ex and iige
Men Women Both
20
20
sexes
years years 16-19
and
and
years
4.4
4.0
3.2
3.8
6.7
7.2
7.0

7. 1

6.8
7.2

7. 2
7. 1

6.6
5.8
5.7
5.6
5.4
5.6

5.7
5.4
4.8
5.5
8.0
8.4
8.2

. 8.0
7.9
7.8
7.9
7.9
8.0
7.5
7.5
7.3
7.3
6.8

16.9

16.2
14.5
16.0
19.9
20.3

20.7
20.5
20.7
19. 4
19. 8
19.0
19.6
19.9
19.2
19. 1
19. 2
18.5

Aggregate hours lost by the unemplojea and pe sons on pa rt-tlme for economic reasons as percent of potentially ay liable labo force hour a.

12




3By select ed grouj>S

By color

White

5.4
5.0
4.3
5.0
7.8
8.3
8.0
8.1
7.8
7.8
8.0
7.8
7.6
7.1
6.8

6. 8

6,7
6.6

ExpeFullBlack rienced
time
wage Houseand
hold
and heads workother salary
ers
workers
9.9

10.0
8.9
9.9

13.9
14.2
14.0
13.4
14.3
14.4
14.3
13.9
13. 8
13.2
13.7
12.5
13.0
12.2

£ ource: Pep artmentof

5.7
5.3
4.5
5.3
8.2
8.9

8. 6

8.4
8.3
8.3
8.4
8.3

3.6
3.3
2.9
3.3
5.8

6. 1
6. 1
6.1
5.7
6.0

6.0
5.8

8. 1

5. 7

7.4
7.4

5.1

7. 1

7.2
7.2

4.9
5.0
4.8
4.8

5. 5
5. 1

4.3

5. 1
8.1

as

8.4
8.5
8.1
8.4
8.5
8.3
7.9
7.3

7. 1
7.0
7.0

as

Labor, Bui eau of Lab IT Statisticst.

Parttime
workers

a?

8.6
7.9
8.6

10.3
10.7
10. 1
9.9

10.3
9.9

10.4
10.2
10. 5
10.5
10. 4
10. 3
10.7
10.2

force
time
lost
(percent) '

6.4
6.0
5.2

6. 1

9.1
9.7

8.9
8.9

9. 1

9.4
9.3
8.4

ai

8.2

ai

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS
Long-duration unemployment has continued to decline in absolute and relative terms. Those unemployed 15 weeks
or longer as a percent or the labor force declined from 3.3 percent in December to 2.1 percent in May.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

60
JOB LOSERS

40

REENTRANTS

20
JOB LEAVERS

NEW ENTRANTS

0 I m H 1 1 1 m m M t i t ii i,, n n 1 1 1 ! i M .? n t 1 T 1 1 1 1 \
—

-^

|

|

1975 1

197$

1973

1974

1976

*5EASONALtY ADJUSTED
COUNCK. OF ECONOMIC ADVISiRS

SOURCE. DEPARTMENT Of IABOR

TTnom—
\J U,tJlH~

ploy-

Period

ment
(thousands)

1971
1972
1973__
1974
1975.......
1975: Apr..
May.
June,,
July..
Aug.,
Sept.
Oct__
Nov..
Dec..
1976: Jan...
Feb_
Mar 9
Apr *»
May *

4,993
4,840
4,304
5,076
7, 830
7,941
8,250
8, 071
8, 096
7, 924
7,970
8, 062
7,939
7,735
7, 290
7, 136
7,027
7, 040
6,860

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Perceiit distrifc ution of unemPerceiit distrib ution of unemState programs Insured
pi oyment by reasoia 1
pic yment by durati on 1
unem- Special
ployunemployment,
all
ment
27
Insured
New
Less
Reen5-14
Job
Job
15-26 weeks unem- Initial regular benefit3
enthan 5 weeks
proclaims
losers leavers trants trants
weeks
and
ploy- claims
weeks
grams 2 (unadover
ment
(unad- justed)
justed)

46.3
43.2
38.7
43.4
55. 4
56. 1
56.4
58. 5
57.7
56.2
58.2
56.0
55.6
51.7
48.3
49. 1
50. 2
49. 6
49. 6

11.8
13. 1
15. 7
14. 9
10. 4
10.2
10. 3
9.7
10.0
9. 7
10.0
10. 2
10. 9
11.3
11.8
12. 1
10. 9
11.8
12. 6 |

29.4
29.8
30.7
28.4
23.8
24. 1
23. 5
23. 0
22. 1
22. 9
21.9
23.4
23. 1
25.8
27.6
26. 6
26.6
26. 0
25. 5

12.6
13.9
14. 9
13.3
10. 4
9. 6
9.8
8. 9
10.2
11. 1
9.9
10.4
10.5
11.3
12.3
12. 1
12. 2
12.7
12. 3

44,7
45.9
51. 0
50. 6
37. 0
37. 6
37. 6
34.2
36. 0
34. 1
34.4
36.9
32.5
33.2
35.7
38. 1
38. 3
43.2
42. 0

2
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Kico), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (.UCFB), and railroad (BE) programs. Also includes
Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal
Supplemental Benefits) and SUA (Special Unemployment Assistance).




31.6
30. 1
30. 1
31. 0
31.3
33.2
31. 6
31.4
26. 9
30. 3
29. 8
29.9
30,4
28. 1
27. 6
26. 3
28. 0
27. 3
28. 6

13. 3
12. 3
11.0
11. 1
16.5
17.2
18. 0
18. 5
20. 1
17.7
16. 5
15. 1
15. 8
17.7
15. 2
13. 6
13. 3
9. 7
12. 2

10.4
11.6
7.8
7.3
15.2
12.0
12.8
15.9
17.0
17.9
19.3
18. 1
21.2
20.9
21.5
22. 1
20. 4
19.8
17.2

We<skly avei•age, thou sands
2, 150
295
2,608
261
2, 192
1, 848
1, 632
246
1, 793
2,262
363
2,558
3,973
472
4,942
4,298
5, 647
506
743
4,464
497
5, 202
868
4, 343
501
4,892
1,177
4, 187
446
4,979
1,489
4, 108
460
4, 576
1,502
4,087
454
4,238
1,312
3,918
460
4,039
1,284
3, 587
4, 120
410
1, 340
3, 199
1,411
390
4,- 461
2,938
4,962
346
1,482
2,807
322
4, 721
1,428
2,742
349
4, 366
1,339
2,721
358
3,917
1, 125
2,841
395
3,563
993

FSB and SUA. These programs started January 1975 and regular repofting
began March 1975.
Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment
and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Nonfarm payroll employment (seasonally adjusted) increased by 57,000 in May, the smallest monthly increase
since November. Most of the decline in employment in nondurable manufacturing may be attributed to the strike
of 6Q,QQQ rubber workers.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
90

MILLIONS OF PERSONS' '(ENLARGED SCALE)

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE

70

14
SERVICE-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

12
LI I I III I 1 I

I IMI I MMI

II MI !IMI !

1 1 1 ! \\ I I I I t

M MI I I MI

22

*

50

jMANUFACTU RING

"

20
i

;>.-""'

40

Ill ! M 1 t M 1 1

^

\

i.ij.ij 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 M Ll 1 M I i 1

~

s»+

1 1 j 1 1 1 1 u 1 1 I 1 1 M 1 I M I [V
*

GOODS-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES-

\

30

i ^

'""

1

CON TRACT CONS1'RUCTION

N

,««••••

20
/MM 1 ! 1 1 M 1

1972

1973

1974

1975

*

1976

1 I 1 t .1 I 1 1 M I

M M , ! , MM

IIMI-llNII

19/3

1974

)975

1972

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

M M 1 1 1 I M ,J

1976

A

COUNOtOF t COHOMJC ADVISERS

l

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted]
G oods-prc)ducing industries5

Period

Total
nonagrieultural
employ- Total 2
ment

71, 222
73, 714
76, 896
78, 413
76, 985
76, 462
76,510
76, 343
76, 679
77, 023
77, 310
77, 555
77, 574
77, 796
78, 179
78, 368
78, 630
78, 942
May. 78, 999

1971
1972
1973
1974
19751975: Apr...
May..
JuneJuly..
Aug.—
Sept..
Oct...
Nov..
Dec...
1976: Jan...
Feb...
Mar..
Apr*_

22, 820
23, 546
24, 727
24, 697
22, 549
22, 328
22, 339
22, 233
22, 222
22, 418
22, 601
22, 669
22, 657
22, 743
22, 914
22, 901
23, 013
23, 134
23, 101

Contract
construction
3, 639
3,831
4,015
3,957
3,457
3, 441
3,439
3,392
3,395
3,415
3,432
3,402
3,409
3,406
3, 428
3,375
3,366
3,392
3,402

Ser%dce-pr oducing IndustrieJS

Gover nment
Trans- Whole- Finance,
insurporta- sale
tion
ance, Services
Total
and
NonState
and
and
Durable
retail
Total goods durable
Federal and
real
public trade
local
goods
estate
utilities
Ma nufactm ing

18, 572
19, 090
20, 068
20, 046
18, 347
18> 155
18, 162
18, 100
18, 084
18, 254
18, 417
18, 493
18, 482
18, 568
18, 722
18, 763
18, 877
18, 969
18, 928

10, 597
11, 006
11, 839
11, 895
10, 679
10, 637
10, 595
10, 527
10, 465
10, 563
10, 650
10, 661
10, 653
10, 717
10, 820
10, 846
10, 937
10, 996
11, 028

7,975
8,084
8,229
8,151
7,668
7,518
7, 567
7,573
7,619
7,691
7,767
7,832
7,829
7,851
7,902
7,917
7,940
7,973
7,900

* Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural
establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period
which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces.rT^Qtel dejrlyM/Eem . •
,thi§,,table not comparable with-estimates ol iioja|i|^ieiiliujal ^
layman labor force, shown on p. if, which include pseprieiors, self?Kcaployed
persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they

14



48, 401
50, 167
52, 169
53, 715
54, 436
54, 134
54, 171
54, 110
54, 457
54, 605
54, 709
54, 886
54> 917
55, 053
55, 265
55, 467
55, 617
55, 808
55, 898

4,457
4,517
4,644
4,696
4,498
4,508
4, 491
4,469
4,464
4,466
4,467
4,476
4,496
4,477
4,494
4,517
4,498
4,512
4,497

15, 352
15, 975
16, 674
17, 017
16, 947
16, 847
16, 857
16, 877
16, 984
17, 016
17, 045
17, 043
17, 010
17, 080
17, 233
17, 326
17, 386
17, 444
17, 457

3,802
3,943
4, 091
4,208
4, 223
4, 209
4,208
4,202
4,203
4,218
4,239
4,246
4,248
4,264
4, 266
4,266
4,276
4,290
4,285

11, 903
12, 392
13, 021
13, 617
13, 995
13, 878.
13, 889
13, 871
13, 990
14, 050
14, 113
14, 157
14, 188
14, 229
14, 307
14, 360
14, 422
14, 488
14, 559

2,696
2,684
2,663
2,724
2,748
2,731
2,732
2,738
2,745
2,756
2,765
2,767
2,761
2, 755
2,746
2,740
2,732
2,730
2,729

10, 192
10, 656
11, 075
11, 453
12, 025
11, 961
11, 994
11,953
12, 071
12, 099
12, 080
12, 197
12, 214
12, 248
12, 219
12, 258
12, 303
12, 344
12, 371

are not at work because of industrial disputes; and.wliicli are based on a sample
ofjbe working-age popujatjon, whereas the eitiin^jt^in this, table are based OB
reports from employing establishments.
"*"Includes mining, riot shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURMi INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Averag e gross
hourly eearnings

Aver age weekly \ lours
Manufsicturing

Total
private
nonagricultural l

Period

Total

Overtime

Total
private
nonagncultural l

Manufacturing

38.0
37. 8
37. 7
37. 1
37. 0
37. 1
37. 1
36. 6
36. 1

40. 6
40.7
40. 6
39. 8
39. 9
40. 6
40. 7
40. 0
39. 4

3.4
3.6
3. 6
3.0
2.9
3. 5
3. 8
3. 2
2. 6

$2. 68
2. 85
3.04
3.22
3. 44
3. 67
3. 92
4. 22
4. 54-

1975: Mar
Apr
May.June

35.9
35.9
35.9
36. 0
36. 0
36. 2
36. 1
36. 2
36. 3
36. 4

38. 9
39. 1
39. 0
39. 3
39. 4
39. 7
39. 8
39. 8
39. 9
40. 3

2. 3
2. 3
'2. 4
2 4
2.6
2. 8
2. 8
2. 8
2. 8
3. 0

4. 46
4.47
4. 49
4. 51
4. 54
4. 57
4. 60
4. 63
4. 68
4. 68

4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.

36.5
36.4
36. 2
36. 0
36. 3

40.5
40. 3
40. 2
39. 4
40. 3

3. 0
3. 1
3. 2
2.5
3. 3

4.
4.
4.
4.
4.

5.
5.
5.
5.
5.

Aug
Sept __ _ _
Oct
Nov
Dec___

1976: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr *
May v

AVERAGE

73
75
77
78
84

Percent cttange from
a year sarlier 4

Index, 1 367=100
Current
dollars

$2. 83
3. 01
3. 19
3.36
3. 57
3. 81
4. 08
4. 41
4. 81

1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

July

Adjusted h ourly earnin gs index2 —tc)tal private
nonagricultural

1967
dollars 3

Current
dollars

1967
dollars

100. 0
106. 3
113.3
120. 8
129. 4
137. 8
146. 6
158. 6
172.7

100. 0
102. 0
103. 2
103.9
106.7
110. 0
110. 1
107.4
107. 1

4.8
6.3
6.6
6. 6
7. 1
6. 5
6. 4
8. 2
8.9

72
73
75
78
82
86
88
90
93
96

169. 1
169. 4
170. 6
172. 2
173. 1
174. 6
175. 2
176. 7
178. 2
178. 6

107. 1
106. 8
107. 0
107. 2
106. 7
107.3
107. 2
107. 4
107. 6
107. 3

9.9
9. 5
9.0
8. 7
8. 8
8. 8
8. 1
8. 2
8.5
7.9

-. 6
—.8
.1

00
04
08
06
14

179. 6
180. 8
181. 4
182. 3
183. 6

107. 5
108. 1
108. 2
108. 3
108. 5

8.0
7.8
7. 3
7.6
7. 7

1.2
1.3
1. 1
1. 5
L4

1. 9
2. 0
1. 2
.7
2,7
3. 1
.1
-2. 5
—.3
-.4
-. 6

o

.5
1. 1
.8

—

[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Average gross weekly earnings
Total pri vate nonagncu Itural 1

Period

Current
dollars
1967__
1968_
1969
1970
1971
1972__
1973
1974__
1975__

1975: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb___
Mar
Apr v
May v

•
_

.

-

$101. 84
107. 73
114. 61
119. 46
127. 28
136. 16
145. 43
• 154. 45
163. 89

Manufacturing

1967
dollars 3

•

101.
101.
101.
100.
101.
101.
101.
102.
102.

12
06
10
76
62
57
89
65
37

172. 65
172. 90
172. 67
172. 08
175. 69

103.
103.
103.
102.
103.

32
35
03
25
77

Current
dollars

.

1987
dollars'

$114. 90
122. 51
129. 51
133. 73
142. 44
154. 69
166. 06
176. 40
189. 51

$154.
164.
181.
195.
211.
222.
235.
249.
265.

95
49
54
45
67
51
69
08
35

$70. 95
74. 95
78. 66
82. 47
86. 61
90. 99
95. 57
101. 04
108. 22

3. 1
5. 8
6. 4
4. 2
6. 5
7.0
6. 8
6. 2
6. 1

184. 94
185. 25
187. 85
189. 91
192. 94
194. 22
195. 02
196. 71
199. 89

264.
264.
259.
265.
267.
268.
267.
272.
278.

22
20
54
35
91
64
91
69
26

106.
107.
107.
107.
108.
108.
110.
110.
110.

27
58
57
55
85
84
14
83
81

7. 0
5. 3
5. 4
5.0
5.9
5. 6
5. 8
7. 9
7. 1

— 3. 7
— 4. 2
— 2. 6
-2. 2
— 1. 7
.5
.1

202.
203.
204.
199.
207.

281.
282.
272.
284.
285.

24
73
48
25
74

112.45
112. 08
112. 06
113. 43
113. 40

8. 1
8. 1
7. 8
7.2
9.0

1. 3
1. 7
1. 6
1. 1
2. 7

1
2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing.
8
Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index.




Retail
trade 5

Current dollars3

$101. 84
103. 39
104. 38
102. 72
104. 93
108. 67
109. 26
104. 57
101. 67

160. 47
161. 19
162. 36
163. 44
165. 43
166. 06
167. 61
169. 88
170. 35

Contract
construction

Percent chimge from a
vear e arlier,
total pri1/ate n onagnciilturai

50
11
22
36
14

0. 2
1. 5
1. 0
-1. 6
9 9J

3. 6
.5
— 4. 3
2.8
-2. 9

__a 9

4 Monthly changes based on indexes to 2 decimal places.
* Includes eating and drinking places.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY RND RELATED DATA, PRIVATE ECONOMY

Period

Output ] uer hour
of all p ersons

Hours of all
pers ons 2

Outinit1
Total Private
nonprivate
farm

Total
private

Private
nonfarm

Total
private

Private
nonfarm

Compe nsation
per ] lour 3
Total
private

Private
nonfarm

Unit labor
CO sts
Total
private

Implici t price
defla tor *

Private
nonfarm

Total
private

Private
nonfarm

1967 = 100; quai-terly dat<a seasonsilly adjust,ed

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

92. 3
97.8
100. 0
104.5
107.2

92. 0
97.8
100. 0
104.7
107.5

97.5
99. 8
100. 0
101. 7
104. 4

96. 4
99.5
100.0
102. 0
105. 2

94. 6
98.0
100.0
102. 7
102. 7

95. 4
98. 3
100. 0
102. 6
102.2

88. 5
94.7
100. 0
107. 7
115.3

89. 1
94. 6
100. 0
107. 4
114.6

93. 5
96.7
100. 0
104.8
112.2

93.4
96.3
100.0
104.7
112. 1

94.4
97.3
100. 0
104. 1
109. 2

94 3
97. 0
100. 0
104 1
109. 1

1970_
1971
1972
1973
1974

106.
110.
117.
124.
121.

8
2
4
3
5

106.9
110. 2
117.7
124.7
122. 0

102. 8
102.4
105. 6
109. 3
109. 6

104. 0
103. 6
107. 0
111. 1
111. 5

103. 9
107. 7
111. 1
113. 7
110.8

102. 8
106.4
110. 0
112. 2
109. 5

123. 6
132. 1
140. 0
151. 4
165.7

122.4
130.7
138. 8
149. 6
163. 9

119.0
122. 6
126. 0
133. 2
149.6

119. 0
122. 9
126. 2
133.4
149.7

114 3
119.6
123.8
130.8
143.4

1144
119.8
123.5
128.6
141.6

1975

118.5

118. 5

105. 6

107.3

112. 2

110. 4

180. 8

178.6

161. 1

161.7

156.7

155. 7

113. 3
113.2

112.0
111. 6

152.0
155.5

150. 4
153.8

134. 2
137. 4

134. 2
137.8

131.8
134. 6

129. 1
132. 0

1973: III
IV

124.6
125. 0

125. 3
125.3

110. 1
110.5

111.8
112. 4

1974: I
II

123.
122.
121.
118.

3
5
6
7

123.9
123.0
122.2
119. 1

110.4
110.3
110. 0
108. 4

111. 9
112. 2
112. 1
110.3

111. 7
111. 0
110. 5
109. 5

110. 7
109. 7
109. 0
108.0

158.4
163. 3
168. 3
172. 2

157. 0
161. 5
165. 9
170.2

141. 8
147. 1
152. 3
157. 3

141. 9
147. 2
152. 2
157.6

137. 5
141.0
145.4
150. 1

1347
139. 6
144 0
148.6

1975: I
II
III
IV

115. 6
116.5
120. 1
121.8

115. 5
116. 7
120. 0
121.7

105. 3
104. 6
105. 3
106.6

107.
106.
106.
108.

109.8
111. 4
114. 0
114. 2

107, 7
109. 8
112. 3
112. 1

176. 6
179. 3
182. 2
185,7

173.9
176. 8
180. 5
183.4

160.9
161. 0
159.8
162. 6

161. 5 i 153. 5
161.0 155. 1
160. 8 157.8
163. 6 160.4

152.8
154 1
156.4
159.2

1976: I 9

124.5

124.4

107.5

109.6

115. 9

113.4

189.6

186.9

163.6

164.8

161.7

161.0

2.0

1.7
2.8
3. 1
41
47

Ill
IV

2.
3T
8
5

Perceiit change ; quarterlyr data at seasonal]j adjuste d annual rates
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969

6. 3
6.4
2.2
4.7
2.7

3.1
2.3
.2
1.7
2.6

3. 6

-. 4
3.2
6. 5
5.9
-2. 2

-.5
3.1
6.8
5.9
-2. 1

-1.5
—.5
3.2
3.5
.3

-1.1

.3

-2. 5

-2. 9

-3. 8

-3.8

1973: III
IV

3.0
1.3

3.7
.1

2.8
1.6

1974: I
II
III
IV

-5.6
-2.5
—2.9
-9. 1

-4.7
-2.6
-2.7
-9.7

-.5
—.1
-1.0

-5.7

-6. 1

1975: I_
II
III
IV

-10.2
3.2
13. 1
5.6

-11.7
44
11.7
5.7

-11.2
-2.6
2. 9

1976: I 9

9.4

9.3

1970__

1971
1972
1973
1974

6.2
5. 9
2.3
4.5
2.6

-

1975

1
Output
8

3.3

2.6

2.7
.0

1.8
2.6
—.4

2. 1

.5
2. 0
3. 1
-.3
3.3
3.8

3.0
3.5

1. 1

3.7
3.2
2.3




.6
3.4
3.4
2.0

4.0

7. 1
5. 6
7. 7

3.6
6.2

5. 7

7.1

7.4
6.7

7.2
6.8
6.0

6.8
6.8
6.2
7.8

7.1

49

6. 1

47
4.6

3.3

4. 1

49
47
3. 1
42
10. 1

7.7

8. 1

9.3

9. 9

7.3
9.3

6. 5

6.2

9.8

11.2

7.6

5. 1
9.3

8.8

13.6
15.7
14.8

8.9

ia9

12. 3
15.9
14. 3
15. 0

10.6
13. 1
13.8

8.5
15.2
13.2
13.4

9.3
;4

10.0
-1. 1

42
7.4

9. 1

6. 6

11.9
3. 5
6. 2
7.3

3.2

45

9. 1

2.6
1.8

—.3
o

, 1.1
-1. 7

6.8
9.4

-1.6

-5. 1
-2.4
-1.9
-3.6

-3. 1
-3.6
-2. 4
-3.8

12. 9
12.7
9.8

11.8
11.6
10.7

-10.9
-3.3
2. 1

1.1
5.9

—.8

10.5

9. 1

4,9

6.4

;6

9.4
-.6

6.4
6.7
7.8

3.2

4.3

6.1

4.8

8.7

9. 9

2.8

12. 3

.9

8. 0

3. 1

3.9

4. 7

9.0

1.3

7.8

6.0

3. 1

9. 5

-2. 5

1.0
-.3

7. 1

1. 0
3. 1

2. 7
5. 7
12. 2

8. 1
9. 5

,_.

1.0
3.4
3.4
4.8

2.7
5.7

-2.4

refers to gross domestic product originatingin the
in 1972 do
Hours of all persons in private industry engageiOOTplMuction, includjhg
hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primaifly
on8 establishment data.
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for
insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, £
and supplemental payments for the self-employed.

16

3. 0

6.8
8.7
6.5

-2.9

7.1

-.7
7.2

7.9

2.5

3.0

3. 5

5.6
9.7

8. 6

* Current dollar gross domestic
divided by constant dollar gross domes" ' product
""".
NOTE.—jfercent changes are from preceding period and are based on original
data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes
shown here.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION

Industrial production rose 0.7 percent in May, following a downward-revised increase of 0.5 percent in April*
The May increase again reflected widespread1 gains among the product groupings.
INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE)
180
UTILITIES AND MINING PRODU CTION

INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE)

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
140

160
120

140

100

*s\-^rf^
i -•- - "-'

^*

UT LITIES

120
MIN NG

1972

1973

1975

1974

^^^ .**..«»*"*

1976

100 n 1 1 ill n 1 1
1972

^v\
*-• i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

I t 1 1 1 ! 1 I! M 1 1 1 1 1 1 t I!

1973

11

1974

I

1975

1 1 1 n 11 1 1 11
1976

L MANUFACTURING CAPACITY

100

1972

1976

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE* BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Period

1967 proportion
1969.
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr v
May v

Total iridustrial
prodiiction
Percent
Index, change
1967=
from
100
year
earlier

100. 00
110. 7
106.6
106.8
115.2
125.6
124. 8
1.13. 8
110. 1
111. 1
112.2
114. 2
116. 2
116. 7
117.6
118.4
119.5
120.8
121. 7
122. 3
123.2

4.7
-3.7
.2
7.9
9. 0
—.6
-8.8
-12. 4
-11.7
-10.6
-8.8
-7. 5
-6.5
-3.4
.9
5. 1
8.6
10.6
11.3
11.9

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Seasonally adjusted]
Indusl,ry produ ction ind exes, 196"r=ioo
M anufactun ng
Total

Durable

Nondurable

88.55
110. 5
105.2
105. 2
114. 0
125. 1
124. 4
112.2
108.2
109.5
110. 6
112.8
114. 7
115. 8
116. 3
117.0
118. 1
119.9
120. 3
121. 1
122. 0

62. 55
110. 0
101.4
99.4
108.4
122. 0
120. 7
105. 8
102. 5
103. 2
103. 4
105.4
107.0
107. 6
107.8
108. 1
109.0
111.3
111.4
112. 9
114. 3

36. 28
111. 1
110.6
113.5
122. 1
129. 7
129. 7
121.4
116. 2
118. 6
120. 8
123. 4
125. 7
127. 2
128. 7
130. 0
131.4
132.3
133. 2
132. 9
133.2

* Output as percent of capacity.
s Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages of
quarterly data.




Mining

Utilities

6.88

5.07

107. 2
109. 7
107. 0
108.8
110. 3
109.3
106. 6
105. 9
106. 3
106. 4
105. 0
105. 3
106. 4
106. 9
105. 4
105. 5
104.8
108. 7
106. 8
107.9

119. 5
128. 3
133. 9
143.4
152.6
149.9
153.7
152. 3
152.6
153. 9
154. 6
156. 1
152. 9
153. 9
155. 7
159.2
159.9
160. 9
162. 1
162. 7

iitilization
Manuf acturing (capacity
rate, p<srcent 1
Federal Reserve
serici S 2
ComWharTotal
merce3
ton 2
Major
manuseries
series
matefacturrials
ing

86.5
78.3
75.0
78. 6
83.0
78. 9
68. 7

90. 0
86.2
85.3
89.6
93.0
87. 0
74.9

85
81
80
83
86
83
77

95.6
87. 9
85. 3
89.6
95.8
91.3
79.3

67. 0

70. 9

75

77.2

69.0

78. 1

79

79.8

70. 7

80.4

79

81.9

71. 8

81.1

82

83.7

2 Quarterly data are for last month in quarter. Annual data are averages of four
monthly indexes.
Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System, Department of
Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), and Wharton School of Finance.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1967=100, seasonally adjusted]
Prod ucts
Final p roducts
Coiisumer go ods

Period
Total

NonDurable durable
goods
goods
20. 66
7. 86
105. 0
110. 9
110. 1
113. 7
112. 4
104. 8
115. 9
115. 1
122. 8
125. 7
129. 0
138. 9
129.2
127. 9
128.4
112.5
125. 3
110.5
127.2
113.2
129. 0
115.9
129. 4
116. 1
130. 1
118.3
130. 5
118.2
132.7
118.8
134. 4
119. 5
134.6
120. 9
135.4
123. 1
134. 4
124. 9
135. 1
126. 5
136. 3
127. 7

Total
1967 proportion
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: May
June
July
Aug
Sept:
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb
Mar_
Apr *p
May

48. 94
105.8
109. 0
104. 5
104. 7
111. 9
121. 3
121, 7
115. 5
113.7
114.5
115.7
115. 9
— 116. 9
117. 0
117. 9
119. 0
119. 6
120. 7
_ _ _ 120. 7
121.4
122. 6

28. 53
106. 6
111. 1
110. 3
115.7
123. 6
131. 7
128.8
124. 0
121. 2
123. 3
125. 5
125. 7
126. 8
127. 0
128.9
130. 2
130. 9
132.0
131.8
132.8
133. 9

Equi|>ment

Internlediate
proc ucts

Total

Business

Total

20. 42
104.7
106. 1
96.3
89.4
95.5
106.7
111.7
103. 6
102.9
102. 2
102. 2
102. 3
102. 8
102. 6
102. 5
103. 5
103.8
104.8
105. 0
105. 4
106. 9

12. 74
103.4
107. 9
101.4
96.8
106. 1
122. 6
129. 4
116.7
115. 0
113. 9
113. 9
114. 9
115. 6
115. 7
116. 5
118. 2
118.4
120.4
120. 9
121. 8
123. 8

13. 27
105.7
112.0
111.7
112. 5
121. 1
131. 0
128. 3
116. 3
112.4
112.8
114. 3
115. 4
116. 6
117. 0
118. 5
120.3
122.4
123. 5
124. 0
124. 1
123.5

Construction
5.93
106. 2
113. 0
110. 0
112. 6
120.8
133. 8
129. 6
112.4
107. 6
106.8
108.0
109. 3
112. 0
112. 5
112. 5
114.2
116. 9
117. 6
118.4
118. 7
118.2

.

Materials

37. 79
105.7
112. 4
107. 7
107.4
117.4
129. 3
127.4
110.6
104.9
106. 0
106. 8
111.5
115. 1
116.5
116.8
116. 8
118.3
120.0
122. 2
122. 7
123. 8

Supplementary
group:
Energy
total
11. 21
--

130. 7
127. 3
127.9
126. 6
128.2
129.0
128. 2
129. 1
127. 9
127.8
127.8
128.7
129.7
131. 8
131. 9
133. 1

[1967= 100, seasonally adjusted]

Primary metals
Period
Total
1967 proportion
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: May
June
July
Aug.
Sept
Oct__
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr *
May *

6. 61
103. 2
114. 1
106. 9
100. 9
113. 1
127. 0
124. 1
97.2
89. 9
91.8
92.8
_ _ 96. 5
97.2
97. 0
98. 1
95. 1
100.0
104.7
102. 8
106. 3
110. 8

Iron
and
steel

4.23
103.6
113.0
105.3
96.6
107. 1
121. 7
119. 9
96.1
90. 1
88. 7
87. 0
90. 4
91. 3
93.2
96.0
92. 2
96.2
101.4
98.4
102.5
106.5

Durab le manufabctures
Transp Drtation
equip>ment
FabriMacated
Motor
chinmetal
Total vehicles
ery
products
and
parts
5.93
9.29
4.66
17.40
117.7
106. 3
101. 9
109.7
115.4
113. 6
106.8
107. 6
109. 4
96.9
100. 3
90.4
107.4
114. 1
96. 2
92. 9
114. 8
123. 1
107. 5
99. 0
130. 5
125. 8
138. 1
109. 1
113.2
131.4
128. 1
96. 9
112. 8
98.1
114.8
88.4
110. 9
109. 0
95. 0
87. 6
108.2
110.9
100. 0
90. 5
108.4
109. 7
103. 2
91. 0
112. 7
92. 9
110. 0
107. 2
94. 3
116. 1
110. 1
111. 7
112. 9
115.9
111. 0
94. 7
114.2
109.4
117. 3
94. 1
115. 1
110.4
117.3
95.5
94.4
115.3
117. 8
110.0
96.3
114. 3
117.3
120.0
120. 0
118.3
97.4
118. 1
121. 5
122. 2
119. 7
98.8
121. 1
120. 8
101. 1
123.5

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System.

18




Nondurable naanufacti ires

TexLumber tiles,
and
apparel,
products
and
leather
1.65
104.8
108. 6
106. 3
113. 9
122. 4
127. 9
120. 1
109.7
108.0
110. 3
112. 0
114. 5
115. 5
116.8
115.0
116. 1
121.8
121.5
119.2
120.8

6. 90
104.9
105.9
100. 2
100. 7
108. 1
115. 0
108. 9
98.0
93.2
94. 9
97.4
100.2
104. 0
106. 0
108.4
109.7
111.3
109.4
110. 0
111. 1
112.4

Paper
and
printing

7. 92
104. 2
109. 1
107. 8
107.8
116. 1
122. 2
121. 0
109.6
103.9
107.3
107.4
110.8
113.9
114.8
114.7
116. 8
119.6
120. 0
121. 2
121. 0
121.4

Chemiicals,
Foods
petroand
leum, tobacco
and
rubber
11.92
9. 48
109. 6
103. 6
118. 4
107. 5
118. 2
110.8
124. 7
113. 7
137.8
117. 6
149. 3
121. 9
151. 7
124. 8
140.3
124. 5
132.4
122.4
136. 2
123. 5
140. 1
124. 8
143. 6
125. 2
146. 2
126. 0
148.5
126. 3
150.2
128.0
151. 1
129.4
151. 6
130.4
155.6
129.6
158. 3
128. 6
155.6
130. 0
154. 5
131. 5

NEW CONSTRUCTION
Constructio n contracts2

Private
Total new
construction
expenditures

Period

Resic .ential
Total

Total *

Commercial and
industrial

New
housing
units

Other

Federal,
State,
and
local

CommerTotal value cial and
index
industrial
(1967= floor space
100)
(millions of
square feet)

Bi] lions of doll ars

1969
1970
1971
1972__
1973
1974
1975

_

93.9
94 9
110.0
124. 1
136. 0
135.5
130. 8

66.0
66.8
80. 1
93.9
103.4
97. 1
90. 0

33.2
31. 9
43. 3
54. 3
57. 6
47.0
43. 0

16.2
16. 3
17.0
18. 1
21. 7
23.8
20.7

25. 9
24. 3
35. 1
44. 9
47. 9
37.3
31. 3

16.6
18. 6
19.8
21.5
24. 1
26.2
26. 3

'

28.0
28. 1
29.9
30.2
32. 5
38.4
40. 7

Seasonally
adjusted

Seasonally / adjusted atinual rates

1975: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb

Mar p_
Apr »

121. 0
121. 7
126.9
129. 0
132. 1
137. 6
135. 8
138.0
138. 0
134. 3
134. 1
139. 5
138. 3

84.7
84. 3
85.0
88.3
90. 6
93. 0
93.4
96. 0
96. 5
97. 0
99. 3
101. 8
99. 8

37.6
38.5
40.4
43. 3
45. 3
46. 1
47. 1
48. 3
49. 1
49. 0
49. 5
51. 8
52.4

20.3
20. 3
19. 4
19.7
20. 2
20. 3
20.0
20.4
19,9
19. 3
21. 3
20. 8
18. 9

26. 8
27. 6
28.9
30.6
32. 1
33.2
34.9
36.7
37.6
37. 5
38. 2
40. 4
41. 0

1
Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations,
not shown separately.
2
F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value index and
beginning 1971 for floor space.

123. 7
123. 1
145. 4
165. 3
179. 5
169.7
166. 0

26.9
25. 4
25. 1
25.4
25.2
26.5
26.4
27.3
27.4
28. 8
28. 5
29. 1
28. 6

36. 3
37. 4
41. 9
40. 6
41. 5
44.6
42.4
42. 0
41. 5
37. 3
34. 8
37. 7
38.4

186
202
201
165
208
157
166
148
137
183
170
185
189

.

883

743

727
854

1,010
840
569

Seasonally
adjusted
annual
rates
683
537
606
631
519
601
649
504
609
462
496
653
648

Note.—New construction expenditures series beginning 1076 not strictly
comparable with earlier data.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill
Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

Isfew private housing uni ts

Period

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

Units started, by type of striicture
Total

1 unit

1, 466. 8
1, 433. 6
2, 052. 2
2, 356. 6
2, 045. 3
1, 337. 7
1, 160. 4

810. 6
812. 9
1, 151. 0
1, 309. 2
1, 132. 0
888. 1
892. 2

2-4
units

85.0
84.8
120. 3
141.3
118.3
68. 1
64.0

Units

5 or more
units

571. 2
535. 9
780.9
906. 2
795. 0
381. 6
204. 3

Homes
sold

Vacancy
rate for
Homes for
rental
sale at
housing
end of
units
period 1 (percent) 2

ized

Units
completed

1, 323. 7
1, 351. 5
1, 924. 6
2, 218. 9
1, 819. 5
1, 074. 4
924. 4

1, 399. 0
1, 418. 4
1, 706. 1
1, 971. 5
2, 013. 8
1, 691. 7
1, 296. 8

448
485
656
718
620
501
544

222
220
287
409
450
402
378

1,269
1,202
1, 261
1,267
1, 315
1, 115
1,386
1,329
1,213
1,299
1, 393
1,262

554
551
548
573
571
610
660
641
573
677
583
613

383
379
381
378
384
389
381
378
379
385
389
393

5. 5

5.3
5.4
5.6
5.8
6.2
6.0

Seasonally adjusted armual rates

1975: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb
Mar *
Apr »
May p
1
2 Seasonally

1,085
1,080
1,207
1,264
1,304
1,431
1,381
1,283
1,236
1,547
1,417
1,381
1,415

853
874
916
979
966

1,093
1,048
962
957

1,295
1,110
1,063
1,057

adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter.




53
56
76
67
76
103
79
77
70
62
80
79
89

179
150
215
218
262
235
254
244
209
190
227
239
269

912
949

1,042

995

1,095
1,079
1,085
1,028
1, 120
1, 134
1, 134
1,095
1, 158

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

6.3
6.2
5.4

5. 5

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE
Business inventories increased $0.8 billion in April, with retail and wholesale stocks accounting for all of the increase.
Business sales rose 0.6 percent. According to preliminary estimates, retail sales fell in May following a slight decline,)
overall, in April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

80

RETAIL INVENTORIES

70

60
RETAIL SALES

50

40

.X*s*
30
RATIO*

I II IIM
15>72

1974

1973

II I I I 1 I I 1

1975

1976

1975

1976

M

1.80 -INVENTORY-SALES RATIO
1.70

100

1.40
1972

1972

1976

1973

1974

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE. DfPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Total b\isiness

l

Iletail

Wholesale
2

Sales
Period

1970
1971_
1972__
1973
1974
1975
1975: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb....
Mar

Apr »»
May v

Q_ 1 _ 22
Sales

104, 736
112, 315
124, 289
143, 823
163, 991
168, 009
162, 744
163, 349
165, 803
169, 251
172, 301
173, 353
175, 017
173, 826
176, 966
179, 027
182, 329
185, 488
186, 576

Inventories8

175, 561
184, 711
197, 692
224, 401
271, 050
264, 770
266, 970
264, 335
263, 749
263, 345
264, 662
265, 087
266, 867
266, 064
264, 770
266, 285
267, 979
269, 637
270, 433

QJ 1
Inven-3
bales
*g tories

TVvfol

Millions of dollars, seassonally iidjus ted
20, 583 27, 290 31, 294 9,524 21, 770
22, 327 29, 695 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086
24, 862 32, 817 37, 365 12, 472 24, 893
30, 400 38, 302 41, 943 14, 190 27, 754
37, 344 46, 564 44, 815 13, 943 30, 872
36, 583 45, 115 48, 702 15, 060 33, 642
35, 228 45, 303 46, 813 14, 165 32, 648
35, 442 44, 558 48, 173 14, 703 33, 470
36, 186 44, 850 48, 578 14, 965 33, 613
36, 567 44, 653 49, 655 15, 432 34, 223
37, 166 45, 501 49, 925 15, 506 34, 419
37, 604 45, 625 49, 549 15, 440 34, 109
37, 449 45, 715 50, 165 15, 775 34, 390
37, 018 45, 554 50, 293 15, 763 34, 530
37, 360 45, 115 51, 990 16, 877 35, 113
38, 159 45, 645 51, 592 16, 730 34, 862
38, 816 46, 307 52, 601 17, 397 35, 204
39, 094 46, 398 53, 344 17, 403 35, 941
39, 428 46, 660 53, 300 17, 874 35, 426
52, 644 17, 344 35, 300

1
The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 21).
*BMonthly average lor year and total for month.
Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted.
* For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly
sales; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to sales for month.

20




NonDurable durable
goods goods
stores stores

Inventories3 3
TVital

46, 626
52, 571
57, 156
65, 229
74, 082
73, 081
71, 483
70, 826
70, 840
71, 503
72, 578
73, 049
74, 642
73, 839
73, 081
73, 610
74, 344
75, 089
75, 652

Inventc>ry-sales
ratio4

DurNonTotal
able durable busigoods goods ness1
stores stores
20, 345
23, 864
26, 056
29, 593
34, 649
33, 592
32, 375
32, 086
31, 909
32, 270
33, 324
33, 471
33, 813
33, 712
33, 592
33, 510
33, 490
33, 920
33, 994

26, 281
28, 707
31, 100
35, 636
39, 433
39, 489
39, 108
38, 740
38, 931
39, 233
39, 254
39, 578
40, 829
40, 127
39, 489
40, 100
40, 854
41, 169
41, 658

1.64
1.61
1. 53
1.46
1.50
1.59
1. 64
1. 62
1. 59
1. 56
1. 54
1. 53
1. 52
1.53
1. 50
1.49
1.47
1.45
1.45

Retail

1.47
1.47
1.46
1.46
1.54
1.49
1.53
1.47
1.46
1.44
1.45
1.47
1.49
1.47
1.41
1.43
1.41
1.41
1.42

Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Burea
of the Census).

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS
Manufacturers* new orders increased 0.8 percent in April following a 3.5 percent increase in March. Shipments rose
0.9 percent and inventories were virtually unchanged from their March level.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

20
1976

1972
*SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

l

r

Total

1970_ 52, 859
1971
55, 917
1972
62, 062
1973
_. 71, 480
1974
_ 81, 832
1975
82, 724
1975: Apr- 80, 703
May.- 79, 734
June__ 81, 039
July-. 83, 029
Aug_._ 85, 210
Sept-_ 86, 200
Oct-- 87, 403
Nov__ 86, 515
Dec-. 87, 616
1976: Jan___ 89, 276
Feb -. 90, 912
Mar>. 93, 050
pr
93, 848
^
May **_

NonDurable durable
goods
goods

28, 229
29, 948
33, 489
38, 806
42, 744
41, 527
41, 221
40, 494
40, 757
41, 354
42, 444
43, 192
43, 607
42, 352
43, 681
44, 570
45, 700
47, 546
47, 741
48, 412

24, 629
25, 969
28, 573
32, 674
39, 089
41, 197
39, 482
39, 240
40, 282
41, 675
42, 766
43, 008
43, 796
44, 163
43, 935
44, 706
45, 212
45,504
46, 107

1 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
2 Book value, end of period.
* End of period.
«For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly




l

Mailufacturc >rs* new 01rders
Durab le goods
Capital
NonNongoods durable
Total
Total Durable
goods durable
Total indusgoods
goods
tries,
nondefense
Millie>ns of dollars, seaso dally adj usted
101, 645 66, 768 34, 877 52, 146 27, 514
7,055 24, 632
102, 445 66, 050 36, 395 55, 754 29, 773
7,324 25, 981
107, 719 70, 218 37, 501 63, 015 34, 368
8,487 28, 648
120, 870 79, 441 41, 429 73, 992 41, 253 10, 310 32, 738
150, 404 97, 967 52, 437 83, 511 44, 502 11, 494 39, 009
146, 574 95, 754 50, 820 81, 351 40, 048 10, 261 41, 302
150, 184 99, 803 50, 381 78, 008 38, 391 10, 309 39, 617
148, 951 99, 378 49, 573 78, 900 39, 575 10, 302 39, 325
148, 059 98, 796 49, 263 79, 789 39, 282 10, 138 40, 507
147, 189 98, 189 49, 000 83, 304 41, 435 10, 728 41, 869
146, 583 97, 199 49, 384 85, 137 42, 176 10, 392 42, 961
146, 413 96, 640 49, 773 85, 482 42, 256 10, 214 43, 226
146, 510 96, 215 50, 295 86, 336 42, 307 10, 689 44, 029
146, 671 95, 953 50, 718 86, 351 41, 988 10, 690 44, 363
146, 574 95, 754 50, 820 86, 754 42, 837 10, 156 43, 917
147, 030 95, 664 51, 366 88, 083 43, 177 10, 351 44, 906
147, 328 95, 696 51, 632 90, 201 44, 975 10, 710 45, 226
148, 150 96, 193 51, 957 93, 389 47, 895 10, 984 45, 494
148, 121 96, 133 51, 988 94, 141 47, 841 11, 530 46, 300
49, 815 11, 802

Manufa eturers* shilpments Manufacl burers' in\ entories
Period

2

Manufacturers'
unfilled3
orders

Manu- '
f ac—
turers'
inventory—*
shipments
ratio 4

77, 093
75, 081
86, 608
117, 034
137, 328
120, 659
125, 347
124, 513
123, 271
123, 545
123, 477
122, 761
121, 697
121, 530
120, 659
119, 468
118, 757
119, 093
119, 390

1.89
1.82
1.69
1.58
1.64
1.80
1.86
1.87
1.83
1.77
1.72
1.70
1.68
1.70
1.67
1.65
1.62
1.59
1.58

shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for
month.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

WHOLESALE PRICES

PRICES

In May, the wholesale price index rose 0.3 percent (also 0.3 percent after seasonal adjustment). Prices of farm products
and processed foods and feeds increased 0.7 percent (1.0 percent seasonally adjusted). Industrial commodity prices
were up 0.2 percent (0.1 percent seasonally adjusted).
INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE)

220

220

200

200

180

180
FARM PRODUCTS AND
PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS i

160

140

120

120

100

100

1968

1976

1969

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1967=100]

Period

All
commodities

1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

102. 5
106. 5
110.4
113.9
119. 1
134. 7
160. 1
174. 9

1975: May
June
July _ . . _ _ _
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr__ -„
May-. _

173.2
173. 7
175. 7
176. 7
177. 7
178.9
178. 2
178. 7
179.3
179. 3
179. 6
181.3
181. 8

Farm
products
Indusand
trial
processed commodfoods
ities
and
feeds
102.4
102. 5
108. 0
106. 0
111. 7
110. 0
114. 0
113. 8
122. 4
117. 9
159. 1
125.9
177. 4
153. 8
184. 2
171. 5
Unadjusted
181. 2
170. 3
182.3
170. 7
188.2
171. 2
172. 2
189.0
190.4
173. 1
190.5
174 7
175.4
186. 1
186.0
176. 1
184. 6
177.3
182. 0
178.0
180.3
178.9
183.7
180. 0
180.4
184.9

Special §groupings
Farm
products

Processed
foods
and
feeds

102. 5
109. 1
111. 0
112. 9
125. 0
176. 3
187. 7
186. 7

102. 2
107. 3
112. 1
114. 3
120.8
148. 1
170. 9
182. 6

186. 0
184. 5
189. 9
192. 7
196. 9
199. 9
196. 1
197. 2
192. 6
187. 7
185. 9
193.8
194.9

181. 0
180.4
182. 5
184. 8
185. 3
186. 6
184. 3
181. 8
178. 3
175. 5
175. 9
179.3
181. 6

1
Excludes crude foodstuffs and feedstufls, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and
leaf tobacco.

22




Crude
materials 1

Inter- Producmediate er finmate-2
ished
rials
goods

102. 0
102. 6
103. 5
106. 1
110. 6
106. 9
110. 0
111. 9
118. 8
122. 7
114. 3
116. 6
131. 1
118. 9
119. 5
155. 2
128. 1
123. 5
219. 1
141. 0
159. 5
178. 6
162. 5
225. 1
Seas onally ad. listed
222. 5
176. 5
161. 3
224. 1
176. 9
161.8
224. 5
177. 1
162. 6
178. 2
226. 5
163. 1
232. 9
179.4
164.3
231. 4
181. 6
166.3
183. 3
227. 4
167. 1
184. 6
235. 4
167.9
236. 0
185. 2
169. 1
230. 0
185. 7
170.0
236. 5
186. 3
170. 7
242. 6
186. 7
171. 3
242. 6
186. 5
171.4

Consun ler finishe d goods
ex<3luding fo ads
Total

102. 1
104. 6
107. 7
111. 2
113. 5
118. 6
138. 6
153. 1
150. 8
151. 5
152. 6
153. 9
155. 4
157. 0
158. 2
158. 9
159. 1
159.4
159. 1
159. 0
159. 0

NonDurable durable
102, 2
102. 2
104. 0
105. 0
107. 0
108. 3
110.9
111. 3
113. 2
113.6
115. 8
120. 5
126, 3
146.8
138. 2
163.0
137. 0
137. 3
137.4
137. 8
138. 8
140. 7
141. 8
141. 9
142. 5
142. 8
143. 1
142,9
142. 9

159. 9
160. 8
162. 4
164. 4
166. 3
167. 9
169. 0
170. 1
170.2
170. 4
169. 7
169. 9
169. G

2 Includes supplies and components; excludes intermediate materials for foot
manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES
In May, the consumer price index rose 0.6 percent (also 0.6 percent seasonally adjusted). Food pricey increased 0.4
percent (1.0 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 0.8 percent; (0.6 percent seasonally
adjusted) and services prices were up 0.4 percent (also 0.4 percent seasonally adjusted).
1NPEX, 1?67« 100 (RATIO SCALE)

1967*? 100 (RATOSGMQ

120

100

1968

1976
COUNCIL, OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE! DEPARTA^NT OF LABOR

[1967=100]
All
items

Food

104. 2
_ 109.8
116. 3
121. 3
125, 3
133. 1
_ 147. 7
161. 2

103.6
108. 9
114.9

Period

1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

118, 4

123.5
141. 4
161. 7
175.4

Commodities
less
food
103.7

108, i

112. 5
116.8
119* 4
123* 5
136. 6
149. 1

Comnaodities le ss food

Food
Services

commodities

All

Food
at
home

Food
away
from
home

105. 2
112.5
121. 6
128.4
133. 3
139. 1
152. 1
166. 6

103. 7
108.4
113. 5
117. 4
120. 9
129. 9
145.5
158.4

103.6
108. 9
114 9
118. 4
123. 5
141. 4
161. 7
175.4

103. 2
108. 2
113. 7
116. 4
121. 6
141. 4
162. 4
175. 8

105. 2
111. 6
119. 9
126. 1
131. 1
141. 4
159. 4
1743

All

103. 7
108. 1
112. 5
116. 8
119. 4
123. 5
136. 6
149. 1

Services

Durable

Nondurable

103. 1
107. 0
111.8
116.5
118.9
121.9
130.6
145.5

104 1
108.8
113. 1
117.0
119.8
1248
140.9
151. 7

105.2112. 5
121. 6
128. 4
133. 3
139. 1
152. 1
166. 6

Seasonal y adjust ed

Unac justed
1975: May__
June^
July___
Aug
Sept...
Oct
Nov_._
Dec

159. 3
160. 6
162. 3
162.8
163. 6
1646
165.6
166.3

171.8
174. 4
178.6
178. 1
177.8
17f. 0
179. 8
180. 7

148. 1
148. 9
149,9
150. 7
151.4
152.2
152.6
152.8

1645
165.7
166, 6
167, 4
169. 1
170. 1
172. 0
173. 1

156. 5
157.6
159. 6
160. 1
160. 6
161. 5
162.2
162.9

172. 5
1746
177.8
177. 5
178. 0
179.6
180.6
181. 6

172.3
1749
178.6
178. 1
178.4
180. 2
181. 2
182. 1

173. 1
173.4
174 5
175.3
176.4
177. 5
178. 6
179. 5

147. 9
148. 5
149.8
150.7
151.2
151.7
152.2
152.8

1448
145.4
146.2
147.0
147.6
148. 1
148.5
149.2

150. 0
150. 7
152.4
153.4
153. 7
1544
154.8
155.3

164 9
166. 0
166.9
167. 6
169. 0
170. 0
171.7
172. 8

1976: Jan
Feb___
Mar
Apr
May

166.7
167. 1
167.5
168. 2
169.%

180.8
180. 0
178. 7
179, 2-,
179. 9

152. 3
152. 7
153. 3
154.2
155.5

174,9
176. 1
177.2

163. 1
162.7
162.4
163.1
164 3

181.2
179. 4
177. 9
178. 9
180.6

181. 4
178. 6
176. 5
177.7
179.5

180. 9
182.4
183.4
184.0
185.0

153. 1
153.5
153. 9
1544
155. 3

149. 7
150.6
151.7
152.7
153. 6

155.6
155.7
155.6
155.7
156. 6

1747
176. 0
177.2
178. 0
178. 8

177; 7

i7a4

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.




CHANGES IN WHOLESALE PRICES
Pereen t change from preceding
perio d; seasontally adjussted l
Period

1967...
1968
1969.
1970...
1971
1972..
1973.
1974...
1975

Percent c lange from 3 mont]as earlier; Percent c hange from 6 mont is earlier;
season ally adjusted annua1 rates .
season?illy adjussted annujil rates

Industrial
commodities

All
commodities

Farm
products

Processed
foods
and
feeds

1.0
2.8
4.8
2,2
4.0
6.5
15.4
.20. 9
42

-2.7
4.4
8.4
-4.7
8.1
18.7
36.1
-1.9
5.5

— 12
3.0
6.8
.8
4.7
11.6
20.3
20.9

.6
.0
.8
.9
.9
1. 1
i1
.3

4.4
-.8
2.9
1. 5
2.2
1. 5
-1.9
;6

;2
— ^?
1.2
1.3
.3
, ;7
-1.2
-1.4

1976: Jan, ,_
Feb...
Mar..
Apr —
• May..

—'.2
-.4
2
.8
,3

-2.3
-2.5
-1.0
4.2
.6

-1.9
-1.6
.2
1.9
1.3

Farm
products

Processed
foods
and
feeds

Industrial
commodities

All
commodities

Farm
products

Processed
foods
and
feeds

Industrial
commodities

1.9
2.7
3.9
3.6
3.2
3.6

10.7
25. 6

-as

1975: May_
JuneJuly..
Aug..
Sept-.
Oct_.
No v.Dec..

All
commodities

6.0

'

''•';.2

37.7
39.7
29.3
15.2
29.7
22. 8
7.2
.6

-1. 3
6.7
4.0
8.7
11.3
9.3
-1. 1
-7.3

1.7
2.1
2.9
5.1
8.0
11.8
11.9
10.8

-0.1
;5
2.5
5.7
8.6
9.0
7.9
8.6

-5.9
-1.7
12.8
26.0
346
26.0
11.2
142

.9 -13.8
-1. 1 -16.1
-1,8 -21.0
2.5
2.5
ia2
5.5

-16.6
-17.8
-12.4
2.3
146

7.3
44
3. 2
2.9
2.9

6.4
3.8
2. 3
1.7
2. 1

2.9
-5.1
-10.9
-6.0
-1.2

4.5
6.5
5.9
6.9
10.8
12.2
8.9
6.5

;2

;4

:7
;9
1.2
;7
;6

:4
.1
.3
.3
.1

-9.6

-ao
ae
9.0
6.6
3.7
1.6

3. 4
3.0
2. 1
3.3
5.0
7.2
8.4
9.4

-45
-9.8
-9.9
-7.7
-2.9

9.5
8.1
6.9
5. 1
3.7

-2.8

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

i Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted).

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES
Pereen t change from preceding
perio d; seasortally adju.3tedl
Period
All
items

1967
1968
1969.__
1970
1971
1972___
1973___
1974
1975.

Food

Commodities
less
food

Percent c lange fro m 3 mont hs earlier; Percent c hange f re>m 6 mont hs earlier;
season*illy adju sted annu al rates
seasonsilly adjujsted annu aJ rates

Services

All
items

Food

. Commodities
less
food

3.0
47
6.1
5.5
3.4
3.4
8.8
12.2
7.0

1.2
43
7.2
2.2
43
47
20. 1
12.2
6. 5

3. 1
3.7
45
48
2.3
2.5
5.0
13.2
a2

40
6. 1
7.4
8.2
41
3.6
6.2
11.3
8. 1

1975 :May..
June..
July...
Aug...
Sept...
Oct...
Nov...
Dec...

5
7
10
4
4
6
6
5

.9
1,2
18
-2
3
9
6
6

.3
.4
.9
.6
.3
.3
.3
.4

.4
.7
.5
.4
.8
.6
1. 0
.6

5.7
7.0
9. 1
8. 5
7.4
5.8
6.8
7.3

3.3
9.7
16.9
12. 1
8.0
41
7.2
8.3

6.2
5.3
6.7
7.8
7. 5
5.2
40
43

1976: Jan,..
Feb...
Mar
Apr
May

4
1
2
4
6

-2
-1 0
— 8
6
1.0

.2
.3

1.1
.7
:7
.5
.4

6.5
44
2.9
2.9
49

3. 6
-2.6
-7.9
-5.0
2.7

3.7
3.5
2.9
3.4
48

1

;3
.3
.6

Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted).

24




~

~

Services

6.3

as

6.5
6.7
7.4
7.6
10.2
9.3

11.5
10.4
10.6
7.8

as

All
items

Food

7.0
6.8
7.4
7. 1
7.2
7.4
7.7
7.4

46
5.0
7.7
7.6
8.9
10,3
9.6
8.2

ai

3.9
2. 2
-. 1
-.8
.0

5.6
5.1
47
46

Commodities
less
food

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Services

7.2
7.0
6.4
5.9
5.9
5.9

8.4
8.0
7.3
6.5
7. 1
7.1
8.4
8.4

45
3.8
3.6
3.6
41

9.6
10.3
9.9
9.6
&4

7.1

a6

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers rose 12^ percent in the month ended May 1 5. Contributing most to the increase were higher
prices for corn, cotton, and soybeans. Partially offsetting were lower prices for cattle and milk. Prices paid were unchanged. Both the actual and the adjusted parity ratios were up 1 point.
INDIX, 1967-

(RATIO SCALE)

PRICES RECEIVED
(ALL FARM PRODUCTS)

PRICES PAID
(ALL ITEMS/INTEREST,
TAXES, AND WAGE RATES)

1968

19$9

'

1970

1

1971

1972

J

'1973

1974

1975

'

1976

J/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE.
SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Prices paid by far mers
All
items,
Family
ProducLivestock interest,
tion
living
and
taxes,
and
items
products wage rates
items
Index, 1 967=100

Prices jreceived by ifarmers

Period

AD farm
products

Crops

!

1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

_
„
•

„
..

1975: Apr 15
May 15 .

.

Jume 15

;..

July 15
Aug 15
Sept 15..
Oct 15
Novl5
Dec 15
1976: Jan 15
Feb 15.
Mar 15..-..Apr 15
May 15

Actual

Adjusted 2

102
107
110
113
125
179
192
185

100
97
100
108
114
175
224
201

104
117
118
118
136
183
165
172

103
108
112
120
125
144
164
180

104
109
114
118
123
133
151
166

100
104
108
113
121
146
166
182

73
73
72
69
74
91
86
76

79
79
77
73
79
94
87
76

178
183
186
191
194
198
195
184
186

201
198
198
203
212
210
203
189
188

158
171
176
181
180
189
189
181
184

178
180
182
182
183
185
183
183
184

163
164
166
168
169
169
170
171
171

181
183
186
184
186
189
186
184
186

73
75
75
77
78
79
78
74
74

74
75
76
78
79
79
79
75
75

186
187
185
189
192

190
192
194
193
200

183
183
178
186
185

190
191
192
193
193

172
172
173
174
174

191
193
194
197
196

72
72
71
72
73

72
72
71
72
73

1
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid,
interest,
taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base.
8
The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to
farmers.




Parity ratio l

NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1965.
Source: Department of .Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY

MONEY STOCK

Over the last 3 months (February to May)-Mi grew at a 9.5 percent annual rate, up sharply from the 2.3 percent
annual rate of the previous 6 months.
BHJJONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OP DOLLARS*

(RATIO SCALE)

200

200

1 I M I I !

» M » > I I• M I I

I I I II I I f 1 I »

'II t I I t I M i l

1968

If I I I I I I 1 1 1

T976

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC AQVISERS

[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Ovei•all meas tires l

Deposits at coicnmercia banks
Period
M,

1971: Dec..
1972: Dec_.
1973: Dec__
1974: Dec_>
1975: Dee__
1975: May _
June _
July__
Aug__
Sept__
Oct__
Nov__
Dec._
1976:Jan___
Feb.Mar__
Apr _
May»_

233. 8
255. 3
270. 5
283. 1
294.8
287.6
291.0
291. 9
293. 2
293. 6
293.4
295. 6
294. 8
295. 1
296. 5
298.0
301. 7
303. 3

1

M3

471. 7
525.3
571.4
612.4
664 3
633.7
642. 4
647. 5
650. 6
652. 9
655.8
662. 1
664.3
670.2
678. 5
683. 4
691. 9
697. 2

M3

745.1
844.9
919.5
981.6
1,092.9
1,025.3
1,040.2
1,051.6
1,060.6
1,068.1
1,075.8
1,086.5
1,092.9
1,103.7
1,117.2
1,127.3
1,141.1
1,151.1

Currency

52.6
56.9
61.5
67.8
73.7
70.2
71. 0
71.3
71. 9
72.0
72.6
73.4
73.7
74. 2
75. 1
75.7
76.7
77.4

Total

Large
CD's

Other

Deposits
at
nonbank
thrift
institutions

271.2
313.6
364.4
419. 1
452.4
431, 2
435. 5
437.6
436.2
438. 3
443. 3
448. 3
452.4
454.4
457. 3
458. 5
461.6
462. 0

33,3
43.6
63. 5

237. 8
270. 0
300. 9
329. 3
369.6
346. 1
351.4
355.5
357. 4
359. 2
362. 4
366. 5
369. 6
375.2
381. 9
385.4
390.2
393.9

273.4
319.6
348.0
369.2
42R6
391.6
397. 8
404. 1
410.0
415.2
420.0
424.4
428.6
433. 5
438.8
444. 0
449.2
453.9

Tim e and sa vings

Demand

181. 3
198. 4
209. 0
215.3
221.0
217. 4
220. 0
220. 6
221. 3
221.6
220.8
222.1
221.0
220.8
221. 5
222. 3
225.0
226.0

Mi is currency plus demand deposits; Ms is MI plus tfme deposits afc commercial banks other than large certificates of deposit (CD's); and Ms is M2 plus
deposits at nonbank thrift institutions.

26



Per cent
chaiige 2

Compoitents ancI related iterns

89. a

82.9
85. 1
84. 1
82. 1
78.8
79. 1
80. 9
81. 8
82.9
79.2
75.4
73. 2
71.4
68.2
2

U.S. Government
demand
deposits
(unadjust-

6.9
7.4
6.3
4.9

M,

M2

ed)

4. 1
4. 1

4.2
3.4
2.7
3.9
3.4
3.5

4. 1
3.8

4. 5
3.9
3.8
3.7

6.5
9.2

6. 0
4. 7

4.1
3.6
5.7
7.2
8.2

6. 8
6. 1

5.6
2.6
2.2

2. 3
3. 0
5. 7

5.3

11. 4
11.4
8. 8

7.2
8.5
7.7

10. 0
11.0
10.8
9.8

9. 5
9.2
6.9

7. 1

8.8

9. 6
11.3
10.9

Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are
from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System.

PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOIiDINGS— HONFINANCIAL INVESTORS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Cumjney and <deposits
Total
liquid
assets

Period

1969:
1970:
1971:
1972:
1973:
1974:
1975:

Dec..
Dec
Dec
Dec..
Dee...
Dec
Dec

.'"
._.

19?5: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec..
1976:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr.May*

.

U.S. G overnment se curities

Time dleposits
Total

583. 1
737.0
632.5
784.8
866.3
719. 9
979.2
816. 1
885.4
1, 092. 3
940.9
1, 183. 4
1, 301. 6 1, 052. 6

Currency

Demand
deposits

Short/Nonbank
Comterm
Savings marketthrift
mercial
bonds able seinstitubanks
tions
curities

52.6
56.9
61. 5
67.8
73.7

144.8
151. 4
160. 3
174.9
180.9
182.1
189. 0

177. B
199.3
233.7
264.7
294. 9
321.9
361.3

214.9
232.7
273.4
319. 6
34$. 0
369.2
428. 6

51.7
52.0
54.3
57.6
6a4
63. 3
e7,2

64.0
52. 6
37. 8
38.3
50.3
57.8
67.3

46.1
4:9.1

Negotiable
certificates of
deposit

9.0
23.0

m2

39.7
57.9
79.6
72. 9

1, 216. 2
1, 225. 1
1, 239. 4
1, 251. 4
'*• 1, 258. 6
1, 264. 4
1, 275. 4
1, 291. 6
1, 301. 6

971. 4
983.9
999.2
1, Oil. 1
1,020. 3
1, 027. 4
1, 035. 6
1, 046. 7
1, 052. 6

69.5
70.2
71.0
71. 3
71.9
72.0
72.6
73.4
73.7

183. 3
185.2
187.8
188.7
189. 6
189.7
189. 0
190. 7
189.0

3S2.4
336.9
342.6
347. 0
348. 8
350.5
354.0
358. 2
361.3

386. 0
391. 6
397. 8
404. 1
410. 0
415. 2
4m 0
424.4
428.6

64.5
64.8
65.1
65.6
65.9
66.2
66.6
66. 9
67.2

57. 2
57.1
58.2
60.8
62.2
61.0
62. 1
65. 4
67.3

78. 7
75.3
73.7
71.9
69.1
69.3

1, 310. 5
1, 320. 7
1, 329. 5
1, 343. 7
1, 352, 7

1,063. 9
1, 078. 1
1, 088. 1
1, 102. 2
1, 112. 1

74.2
75.1
75. 7
76. 7
77.3

189. 1
190.0
190. 2
192. 5
193.1

367. 1
374. 3
378.2
383. 8
387.6

433. 5
438. 8
444.0
449. 2
454.0

67. 6
68.0
68.3
68.6
69.0

67. 5
66.4
66. 7
67. 9
68.8

69. 6
66. 1
64.0
62-0
58.9

Note.—Data revised beginning October 1975.

7ae

71.5
72.9

Commercial
paper

29. 1
24.7
24.0
27.5
38.3
41.8
41.6

•11.4
43.9
43.0
42.1
41. 1
40.4
40.5
41. 1
41.6
41. 9
42. 1

KJ3. 0
4lT 6

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal E«serve System;

CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT
{[Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Instalm ent credit e?ctended
\

Period
Total i

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

.- ...
....

........
.

1975: Apr
May.
June
JulyAug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976:

Jan
Feb..
Mar
Apr

.
_
_
_

Automobile

Total *

Automobile

Bank
credit
cards

Net change in amount outstanding
Total1

Automobile

Bank
credit
cards

786
199
087
078
701
346
113

29, 974
30, 137
31, 418
34, 955
39, 506
42, 496
45, 110

3, 066
5,615
7,679
9,471
12, 434
15, 656
18, 769

9, 360
4,959
9, 599
15, 784
20, 826
9,824
3, 719

2,579
-343
3, 618
5,492
6,980
935
1,420

1,332
1, 153
697
919
1, 428
1, 442
798

1, 554
1,517
1,606
1,618
1,689
1,737
1, 698
1,752
1,719

13, 409
13, 359
13, 412
13, 436
13, 790
13, 795
14, 002
14, 072
14, 401

3,746
3,718
3,751
3, 741
3,818
3,849
3,800
3,814
3,865

1,512
1,508
1,504
1,548
1,576
1,631
1, 619
1, 723
1,768

— 242
-366
208
886
637
759
830
805
894

-270
-164
2
383
213
385
389
404
540

43
9
102
69
113
106
78
29
-49

1, 840
1,931
2, 046
1,907

14, 910
14, 656
14,805
14, 339

4,023
3,746
3, 883
3,728

1,733
1,798
1, 822
1,773

1,295
1, 169
1, 513
1,436

488
632
654
710

107
133
224
134

109, 146
112, 158
124, 686
142, 862
164, 527
166, 170
166,833

32, 553
29, 794
35, 036
40, 447
46, 486
43, 431
46, 530

4, 398
6, 768
8, 376
10, 390
13, 862
17, 098
19, 567

13, 168
12, 993
13, 620
14, 322
14, 427
14, 555
14, 832
14, 877
15, 295

3, 477
3,554
3,753
4, 124
4,032
4, 235
4, 189
4, 218
4,405

16, 205
15, 824
16, 318
15, 775

4, 511
4,378
4,537
4,438

* Includes some items not shown separately.




Bank
credit
cards

Instalme nt credit lieluidated

99,
107,
115,
127,
143,
156,
163,

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System.

27

BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES
Bank holdings of U.S. Government securities continued to increase rapidly in Mayf while commercial and industrial
loans were roughly unchanged from April.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAU}

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALQ
1,000

1,000

"ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS"

800

800

600

600

TOTAL
LOANS AND INVESTMENTS

400

400

200

200

„,„„.*«««''•*«*"

WVKTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES
,„,»*«*"

100

100

80

80

INVESTMENT IN
US, GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

60

60

40

40

1968

1969

1970

1971

1972

•"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

T>__* _ J
jreriod

Total
loans
and
investments

1969
1970......
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan »p
Feb
Mar ^
Apr »
May *

401. 7
435. 5
485. 7
558. 0
633.4
5
690. 4
721. 1
700.6
705. 0
705. 8
709. 3
712. 7
716. 3
722. 2
721. 1
723. 3
726. 7
731. 2
734. 5
737.6

21 Data are for end of period.
Averages of dally figures. Annual
8




1974

1975

1976

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Allcommercial fc
All me mber ban ks
>anks *
Borrowi]ags (milL<:>ans
Ileserves 2 3
Investnlents
lions of dollars,
unadju isted) 2
Total ex- Commer- U.S. Gov- Other
cluding
Avail-4
SeaNoncial and
Total
Total
secuernment
inter- industrial
borrowed
able
sonal
securities
rities
bank
279.4
105.7
51.2
27.93
26.81
25.46
71. 1
1, 086
292. 0
321
110.0
28.77
26.81
85. 7
29. 11
57.8
31.24
31. 12
104. 2
320.9
116. 1
60. 6
28.78
107
31.44
62. 6
30.39
378.9
130. 2
29.00
1,049
116. 5
34. 98
156.4
33.69
54. 5
41
449. 0
32.78
1,298
129.9
36.63
34.42
500. 2
35.90
32
183.3
50. 4
703
139.8
34.62
34.75
32.44
79.4
496.9
175.6
13
144.8
127
492. 2
34.74
34.67
178. 7
141. 0
32.77
60
9
67.4
34. 85
32. 90
142. 7
35. 07
176.7
271
11
490. 8
71.5
34. 68
32. 89
34. 98
176.7
489. 9
261
17
72.3
143.6
34. 67
32. 77
211
34. 88
490. 2
144. 1
176. 5
75. 0
38
34. 99
34. 59
32. 77
175. 3
491. 5
396
61
76.7
144.5
32. 61
34. 79
34. 60
495. 0
191
145. 3
65
176. 1
76.0
34.
73
32.43
61
498. 5
34.67
28
176. 8
76.8
146.9
34. 75
34. 62
32. 44
175. 6
13
79.4
144. 8
127
496. 9
34. 32
34. 24
32. 17
176.2
9
79
497. 3
81.0
145.0
34. 05
33. 97
174. 7
11
497. 8
84. 4
144. 5
31. 85
76
6
33. 95
8
499.7
34.00
31. 75
58
171. 0
88.2
143.3
34. 02
33. 98
31.87
44
11
144. 0
500. 5
170.1
90. 0
121
34.
13
170.3
144.
0
31.94
11
500.6
34.01
93.0

data are for December.
Member bank reserves series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages
with no adjustment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M.
* Reserves available to support private nonbank deposits are defined as (1)
required reserves for (a) private demand deposits, (b) total time and savings
deposits, and (c) nondeposit sources subject to reserve requirements and (2)

28

1973

excess reserves. This series excludes required reserves for new interbank and
U.S.
Government demand deposits.
6
During 1974, total loans and investments were increased $0.6 billion due t®
a bank merger and were reduced $1.5 billion due to liquidation of a large ban&
• Loan reclassifications reduced these loans by $1.2 billion as of March 31,1976.
Note.—Commercial bank series revised beginning 1959.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONJETURM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE
BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses
External

Period

Total

1966
1967 —
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: I
II
III
IV

__

1976: I» ....... _ _

Internal i

Credit market funds
Total

96. 7
93.9
114.3
119.2
102.9
120. 5
149. 5
175.4
179. 5
143. 9
86.5
133.6
163.4
192.0

60.6
61.4
62.4
61. 8
58.7
68.0
80.2
83.8
77.7
103.8
85.9
103,0
113.7
112.8

36. 1
32. 5
51. 9
57.4
44.2
52.5
69.3
91. 6
101. 8
40. 1

189. 0

120.0

TVvfnl

Longterm 2

Short-3
term

Other

Total

30.6
49.7
79.2

25.3
29.6
31. 5
38.9
39.5
46.8
55.3
67.2
77.1
35. 8
30. 9
36.4
31.5
44,7

15.7
21. 6
18.4
20.0
30.7
41.8
39. 3
34. 5
36. 3
49.8
56. 1
55.8
35.0
52.4

9. 6
8.0
13.2
18. 9
8.8
5.0
16. 0
32. 7
40. 8
-14. 0
-25. 3
-19.6
-3.3
-7.9

10. 9
3. 0
20.4
18.5
4.8
5.7
14. 0
24. 5
24. 7
4. 3
— 30. 2
-5.8
18. 1
34.5

69.0

32.3

3a9

-6. 5

36.7

.6

(after
*TR8&5§n9onos,
and mortgages.
8
Bank loans, commercial paper, finance company loans, bankers' acceptance^
and Government loans.

Purchase
of
physical
assets 4

Increase
in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources
less
uses)

88.6
90.2
105.7
113. 7
95.0
111.0
134. 8
164. 1
167. 8 ,
135. 2
72.8
125. 4
155.7
186.8

76.0
73.4
76.7
85.3
82. 1
87. 9
104. 0
123. 2
124.0
96.7
90.7
81.2
106.0
108. 9

12. 6
16.8
29. 0
28.4
12. 9
23. 1
30.8
40.9
43.8
38. 5
-17.9
44.2
49. 7
77.9

8. 1
3.7
8.6
5.4
8.0
9.5
14.7
11.2
11.8
8.7
13.8
8.2
7.7<
5,2

181. 3

129. 0

52.3

7.8

* Plant and equipment, residential structures, and inventory Investment.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System.

CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS
[Billions of dollars]
Cunrent liabiilities

dirrent assc3tS

Total

Cash
on
aand
and
in
banks 1

1966.
364.0
386.2
1967
426.5
1968
1969
473.6
492. 3
1970
1971
529. 6
1972
573.5
1973
643.3
712.2
1974
1975
731. 6
1974: III.. 708. 6
IV.. 712. 2
1975: !___. 698.4
II___ 703.2
III_. 716. 5

41.9
45.5
4R2
47.9
50. 2
53. 3
57.5
61.6
62.7
68. 1
60.3
62.7
60.6
63.7
65.6
68.1

End of
period

IV___ 731. 6

;

**

1

1

U.S. Receivables
Govfrom
ernU.S.
ment
Govsecuriernties 2
ment 3
13.0

10.3
11.5
10.6
7.7

11.0

9.3

11.0
11.7
19.4
11.0
11.7
12. 1
12.7
14.3
19.4

4.5

5. 1

5.1
4.8
4.2
3.5
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.6
3.5

as

3.2
3.3
3.3
3.6

Notes
and
accounts
receivable

142. 1
150. 2
168.8
192.2
201.9
217.6
240.0
266. 1
289.7
294.6
295. 5
289.7
281.9
284.8
294.7
294.6

Other
Incurvenrent
tories
assets 4

142.8
153. 1
166.0
186.4
193.3
200.4
215. 2
246. 7
288. 0
285. 8
282. 1
288.0
285.2
281. 4
279.6
285.8

Receivables from and payables to the U.S. Government do not nelude
amounts offset against each other on corporations' books or amounts arising from
Tibeontracting which are not directly due from or to the U.S; Government;




19.7
22.0
26. 9
31. 6
35. 0
43. 8
48. 1
54.4
56.6
60. 0
56. 1
56.6
55.4
57.3
59.0
60.0

Total

199.4
211.3
244. 1
287.8
304.9
326.0
352.2
401.0
450.6
457.5
449.1
450. 6
438. 0
434.2
444. 7
457. 5

Advances
and
Notes
and
preacpayments, counts
U.S.
payGovable
ernment 3
4.4
5.8
6.4
7.3
6.6
4.9
4.0

isai

141.3
162.4
191.9
204.7
215. 6
230.4
4, 3 261.6
5.2 287.5
6.4 281.6
5.1 287.0
5.2 287.5
5.3 271.2
5.8 270. 1
6.2 273. 4
6.4 281. 6

Federal
income
tax
liabilities

Other
current
liabilities

17.4
13.2
14.3
12.6
10. 0
13. 1
15.1
18. 1
23.2
20.7
22.7
23.2
21.8
17. 7
19.4
20.7

44.5
51.0
61. 0
76.0
83.6
92.4
102.6
117.0
134.8
148.8
134.3
134. 8
139.8
140.6
145. 6
148.8

Net
working
capital

164.6
174. 9
182.4
185.' 7
187. 4
203. 6
221. 3
242.3
261. 5
274. 1
259. 5
261. 5
260.4
269.0
271; 8
274. 1

Wherever possible, adjustments have been made to Include U.S; Government
advances offset against inventories on corporations' books.
* Includes marketable investments (other than Government securities and
tone certificates of deposit) as well as sundry current assets;
Source: Securities and Exchange Commission,

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose throughout May but since mid-June have remained essentially unchanged or have declined slightly.
PERCB4T PER ANNUM

PR ANNUM

CORPORATE Aaa BONDS
(MCCOY'S)

*>

*•%.

A XA

DISCOUNT
RATE
FEDERAL
RESERVE
BANK OF
NEW YORK

TREASURY BILLS
J

V
11 11 f 1 1 1 t i t ( l i l t f t f 1 1 1 \ f 11 11111 f i i i f 11 It t i \ i j_i

i ii i i1ii
1968

1969

1971

1970

1973

1972

1974

1975

SOURCE: Sf E TABLE BELOW

1976

COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Government seen rity yields
Period

1970
1971
1972

-.:

1973___.
1974
1975
1975: June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov_
Dec.......
1976: Jan....
Feb
Mar..
Apr.
May
June
Week ended:
1976: June 4
11
18
25*

Highgrade
Corporate
municipal
Aaa
bonds
bonds
(Standard (Moody's)
& Poor's)4

3-month
Treasury
bills *

3-5 year
issues 2

6. 458
4.348
4. 071
7.041
7.886
5.838
5. 193
6. 164
6.463
6. 383
6. 081
5. 468
5.504
4. 961
4. 852
5. 047
4.878
5. 185
5. 443

7. 37
5.77
5.85
6.92
7.81
7.55
7.26
7. 72
8. 12
8. 22
7.80
7. 51
7. 50
7. 18
7. 18
7.25
6.99
7. 35

6.59
5.74
5.63
6.30
6.99
6. 98
6. 86
6. 89
7.06
7.29
7. 29
7. 21
7. 17
6.94
6. 92
6.87
6.73
6. 99

6.51
5.70
5. 27
5. 18
6.09
6. 89
6. 7i
6. 94
7. 02
7. 23
7. 22
7.21
7.06
6. 80 :
6. 91
6. 86
6.62
6.87

5. 578
5.459
5. 380
5.356

7. 52
7.42
7.38
7.33

6.98
6. 92
6. 91
6.91

6. 87
6. 87
6. 84
6.84

Taxable
bonds 5

1
2

Rate on new issues within period.
Selected note and bond issues.
* April 1953 to date, twangs due or cjrlilftfele 10 years and after.
* Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
66 Beginning
BpffirminEf November
Novfimbfir 1971,
1071 several
SAirpral banks
hanks adopted
arlnntAd a
A floating
flnfttincf prime
nritriA rate
rate keyed
trAVArl

30




8.04
7.39
7.21
7.44
8.57
8. 83
8.77
8.84
8.95
8.95
8.86
8.78
8.79
8.60

Prime
commercial
paper,
4-6
months

Discount
rate
(N.Y.
F.R.
Bank)5

8.52
8.40
8.58

7. 72
5. 11
4.69
8. 15
9.87
6. 33
5. 79
6.44
6.70
6.86
6.48
5.91
5.97
5.27
5.23
5.37
5.23
5.54

5.95
4.88
4.50
6. 44
7.83
6.25
6 -6
6 -6
6 -6
6 -6
6 -6
6 -6
6 -6
6 -5^
5W-5H

8. 63
8.63
8. 62
8.60

6.00
6. 00
6. 00
5.94

5/2-5X2
5K-5K
SVo-S1^

8.55

Stt-VA

5y2-sy2
5/2-5^

5/2-5/2

Prime
rate
charged
by
banks 5 6

7.91
5.70
5.25
8.02
10.80
7. 86
m-7 *
7 -7%
7^-7%
7%-8
8 -7%
7%-7H7%-7^[
7K-6%

63/i-6M
6%-6%

%%-m
$%-m

Newhome
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB)7
8.45
7.74
7.60
7.95
8.92
9. 01
8.96
8.89
8.89
8.94
9.01
9.01
9.01
8.99
8. 93
8.93
8.92
8.98

6%-7
7-7K
7K-7K
7^-7K

to money market variables. Beginning April 16,1973, with the adoption of the
"dual prime rate", this table shows only the rate charged for large business loans.
^ Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting
fees and charges as well as contract
rate and assumed, on the average, repayment
aYend~bf IFyears. Rates D^rnMng"January"l973'not'strictly comparable'wiff
prior rates.

'

Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home
Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's
Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices retreated somewhat in late May and the first 2 weeks of June but bounded back in the third week of June.
INDEX,DEC 31,1965-50
80

40
30 -

- 30
1968

1970

1976

PER CENT
20
15

PERC ENT
20

y^x.
/f ^SV

ARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMWON STOCKS
!
(S&P)
\

_
lO

i

r- i
1968

1.

1

J

1969

r^
! 1 I
1970

\^-

\ •—"1^

5

n

.. 15

.,

1

1
1971

1

I

! 1

1

1972

1

f

I

5
I

1974

1973

!

I

I I
1975

SOURCI& NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION

1970
1971...
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct_
Nov
Dec
1976: Jan
Feb.
Mar
Apr
May
Week ended:
1976: June 4
11
18.,..
25....

I

1

1976

Common s bock5yields
(perc<ant)

Standard
New York Stock Exchange indexe s (Dec. 31, 1 965=50) 2
Dow& Poor's
composite Dividend- EarningsJones
•
index
ratio
Finance industrial
ratio
Composite Industrial TransporUtility
tation
average 3 (1941-43=
10) *
45.72
48.03
32. 14
37. 24
83,22
60. 00
753. 20
6.46
3.83
54. 22
57.92
5.41
884. 76
44. 35
3.14
39.53
70.38
98.29
60. 29
65.73
2.84
5.50
50.17
38.48
78.35
950. 71
109. 20
57.42
63.08
7.12
37.74
37.69
70. 12
923. 88
3.06
107. 43
43.84
48.08
31.89
11.60
29.79
49.67
759. 37
82.85
4.47
50.52
45.73
802. 49
31. 10
47. 14
31. 50
4.31
9.03
86. 16
49.74
44.91
31.70
47. 35
790. 93
84. 72
4.34
30.01
53. 22
47.76
32.28
31. 02
836. 56
90. 10
4.08
50.06
49.22
54.61
845. 70
4.02
32.38
32.79
52.20
92.40
8.29
49.54
54.96
4.02
856. 28
32.90
32.98
52.51
92.49
50. 71
45.71
31.02
815. 51
30.08
46.55
85.71
4.36
44.97
50.05
818. 28
4.39
29.46
43.38
84. 67
30. 65
9. 12
46.87
52.26
4.22
30.79
31.87
44.36
831. 26
88.57
47.64
52.91
32. 09
45. 10
845. 51
90. 07
32.99
4. 07
51.89
46.78
31. 61
32.75
840. 80
4. 14
43.86
88.70
8.61
51.31
57.00
35. 78
48.83
929. 34
96.86
35.23
3.80
53. 73
59.79
36. 12
38,53
52.06
971. 70
100. 64
3.67
60.30
54.01
52. 61
988. 55
39. 17
35.43
3.65
101. 08
60.62
992. 51
54.28
52. 71
38. 66
101. 93
3. 66
35. 69
60.22
53.87
39. 71
50. 99
988. 82
35. 40
3.76
101. 16

53. 14
52.91
54 62
55. 28

59. 45
59. 13
61. 20
61. 94

39. 64
39.48
40. 47
41. 15

34. 75
34. 69
35. 22
33. 53

* Averages of daily closing prices.
2 Includes all the stocks (more than 1,475) listed on the N YSE.
* Includes 30 stocks.
« Includes 500 stocks.
' Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing
prices. Earnings-price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.




I

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC-ADVISERS

Comrnon stock piices 1
Period

10

50. 03
50.28
52.36
53. 20

971.
963.
994.
1, 001.

69
87
17
05

99.84
99.33
102. 56
103. 70

3. 79
3.86
3. 74
3.70

NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange
(NY8E).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Q|

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT
The budget deficits for fiscal 1976 and 1977 are currently estimated at $72.6 billion and $45.7 billion/ respectively.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
450

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
450
RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS
400

400

350

350

300

300
OUTLAYS

250

250

200

200

150

150

50

50
SURPLUS M OR DEFICIT (-)

0
-50

-50
-100
1969

1968

1970

1972
1973
FISCAL YEARS

1971

1975

1974

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

1976

1977

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Federal debt ( end of period)
Period

Fiscal year:
1967
1968
1969

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus or
deficit (-)

Total i

Held by
the public

149.6
153.7
187.8

15&3
178.8
184.5

-8.7
-25.2
3.2

341. 3
369.8
367.1

267. 5
290.6
279.5

193. 7
188.4
208.6
232.2
264 9

196.6
211.4
231.9
246. 5
268. 4

-2.8
-23.0
-23.2
-14.3

-a 5

382.6
409. 5
437.3
468.4
486. 2

284.9
304. 3
323.8
343.0
346. 1

1975 2
1976
Transition2 quarter 2
1977

281. 0
299.6
81.9
351.5

324.6
372.2
99.5
397.2

-43.6
— 72. 6
— 17. 6
-45. 7

544. 1
633.9
652. 8
719.5

396. 9
484. 4
504.4
558.2

Cumulative totals for first 11 months:
Fiscgl year 1975
Fiscal year 1976
_

249.0
262.4

294. 1
335.0

—45. 1
-72.7

539.2
621.5

396.3
475.9

___

1970
1971
1972.
1973
1974

21 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF.
Estimates from Office of Management gnd Budget statement of June 24,1976.
Federal debt figures are as transmitted in January 1976; they will be revised later.

32




Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget

FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
Fiscal 1976 budget receipts are currently estimated at $299.6 billion and budget outlays at $372*2 billion The
corresponding figures for fiscal 1977 are $351.5 billion and $397.2 billion, respectively.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

50

300

OUTLAYS

300

250

250

200

200
NONDEFENSE

150

150
NATIONAL DEFENSE

100

100

JL

JL

50
1968

1969

1970

1971

50

1973

1972

1974

1975

1976

1977

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES* DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]

cOutlays

Receij3ts
Period

Total

Fiscal years
19671968_
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974_
1975 1
1976
Transition1 quarter
1977

_

1

Cumulative totals for
first 11 months:
Fiscal year 1975
Fiscal year 1976—

Individual Corporation
income
income
taxes
taxes

Other

Total

149. 6
153. 7
187.8

61.5
68.7
87.2

34.0
28.7
36.7

54.1
56.3
63.9

158. 3
178. 8
184. 5

69. 1
79.4
80.2

67.5
77.4
77.9

4.7
4. 6
3.8

37.6
43.4
49. 0

12.5
13. 8
15. 8

34.3
37.7
35.7

193.7
188.4
208. 6
232.2
264.9

90.4
86.2
94.7
103. 2
119. 0

32.8
26.8
32.2
36. 2
38.6

70.5
75.4
81.7
92.8
107.4

196. 6
211.4
231.9
246. 5
268.4

79.3
76.8
77.4
75. 1
78.6

77.2
74.5
75.2
73.3
77.6

3.6
3. 1
3.7
3.0
3.6

56. 1
70. 1
81. 4
91. 8
106.5

18. 3
19. 6
20. 6
22. 8
28. 1

39. 3
41. 8
48. 8
53. 9
51.7

281.0
297. 5
81.9
351.3

122.4
130.8
40.0
153.7

40.6
40. 1
8.4
49.4

118.0
126. 7
33.5
148.2

324.6
374. 4
98.5
395.8

86.6
92. 8
25.0
101. 1

85.0
89.7
245
99.6

4.4
5. 7
1.4
6.9

136. 3
161.7
41.5
172.6

31.0
34.5
9.8
41. 3

66.4
79.7
20.9
73.8

249.0
262.4

109.3
115. 6

31.0
31.4

108.7
115,4

294. 1
335.0

80.3
82.1

77.8
80.4

3.6
3.4

122. 5
147.0

28.5
32.8

59. 2
69.7

* Estimates shown here are from the Spriing Update— 1977 Budget tran,smitted
to the Congress March 25, 1976. Estimates iii subtitle above are from sta tement
of June 24, 1976 (see also p. 32) aiid are not sh own here inasmuch as detail ed corni ponents are not yet available.




National defense
Health
Depart- Internaand
Intional
ment of
income terest Other
Total Defense,
affairs security
military

Sources Department of the Treasury and Off Ice of Manag ement an<1 Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
According to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $10.6 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter and expenditures
$7.1 billion, yielding a deficit of $68.6 billion, $3.5 billion less than in the fourth quarter.
BILLIONS Of DOLLARS
440

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
440
SEASONALLY ADJUSTS) ANNUAL RATES

400
360
320

-EXPENDITURES

280

280

240

240

RECEIPTS

200

200

1

1

1

SURPLUS

!
•

mm

I

I

I

I

i

I

I

f

!

!

t

f

t

f

\

\

f

HI m _

• •i•

Hit»I»-i

"""""1

-40

DEFICIT
1968

1969

1970

197!

1972

1973

T

f

f

1

1

ii
n

I \I I
I II

m

-80
-120

\

-80'
-120

19? 5

1974

-40

1976

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

CQVNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal C•rovernm<mt receip fcs
Period

I"ederal C•rovernm ent expe aditures

GrantsIndirect Contriin-aid
PurPersonal Corporate
business
butions
chases
to
State Net
Transand profits tax and
Total tax
for
Total
of
goods
fer
payand interest
nontax
tax
nontax social inand
ments local
paid
receipts accruals
governaccruals surance
services
ments

Surplus
or
deficit

Subsidies Less:
Wage
less
current accruals national
surplus of less
income
Govern- disand
ment en- burse- product
terprises ments accounts

(-),

Fiscal year:
1973
240.0
1974
271,6
1975
281. 5
1976 *
307. 4
1977 i
364.7
Calendar
year:
1972
227. 5
1973
257.9
1974
288. 4
1975
282. 3

107. 3
122. 9
126. 4
136.4
160.4

40.5
43.6
40.6
47.5
58.2

20.7
21.4
22.4
24.0
24.3

71.5
83.7
92.0
99.5
121.8

256.1
278. 7
328.7
378.7
404.5

101.5
104. 5
117. 6
130. 0
139.4

89.7
104. 7
134. 8
158. 7
168.2

40.4
41. 6
48.3
57.8
59.3

15.9
19.8
22.0
26.0
32.0

9.1
7.9
5.7
6.2
5.6

0. 5
-. 1
-.4
.0
.0

-16. 1
-7. 1
-47.2
-71.3
-39.8

108. 2
114.7
131. 4
125.6

36.6
42.5
45.9
39.0

20.0
21.2
21.7
24.2

62.8
79.4
89.4
93.5

244.7
264.8
300. 1
356.9

102. 1
102. 0
111. 7
123.2

83.2
95.8
117.7
149.2

37.5
40.6
43.9
54.3

14.6
18. 2
21. 0
23.4

7.8
8.2
5.2
6.8

.5
.0
—.5
.0

-17.3
-6.9
-11. 7
-74.6

1974: III_. 299. 2
IV... 293. 1

134.6
137.4

51.8
42. 9

22. 1
21.7

90.8 307. 2
91.1 318. 6

113. 6
118. 2

121. 2
127. 8

44.0
45.4

21.4
22,0

5. 5
5. 1

-1.5
.0

-8. 0
-25. 5

1975: !___. 283. 6
II__. 250. 1
m__ 293.3
IV... 302. 1

137.6
99. 3
130. 5
135.2

32. 1
35. 5
43.4
45. 0

22. 3
23. 5
25. 5
25.4

91.7
91.9
93.9
96.4

337.4
352.3
363.8
374. 2

119.4
119.2
124.2
129. 9

139.2
150. 5
152. 5
154. 5

50. 1
52.8
56. 8
57. 4

22.4
22. 6
23. 4
25. 3

6. 3
7. 1
6. 9
7.0

.0
.0
.0
.0

-53. 7
— 102. 2
— 70. 5
-72. 1

1976: !.._ 312.7

137.8

49. 1

23.0

102.8 381. 3

131. 1

160.2

58.7

26. 1

5.1

.0

-68.6

1

Estimates from The Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1977,
transmitted to the Congress January 1976.

34




Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget.

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
11967=100]

Coiisumer prices (unadjusted)

Iiidustrial produetion (seatonally iidjustec0

Period
United
States
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: I_—
II
III
IV__
1976: I—Jan.
Feb.

Mar
Apr_

May

Canada

111
107
107
115
126
125
114
112
110
114
118
121
120
121
122

111
114
123
131
143
146
139
139
139
138
140
144
143
144
145

122
123

146

Japan

GerFrance many

Italy

127
135
137
142
153
150
142
143
139
138
146
150
148
153
148

111
118
115
119
134
141
128
130

133
152
156
167
197
189
168
162
167
170
172
181
177
181
186

118
124
132
142
150
154
140
141
137
137
143
149
149
148
151

United United
King- States
dom

126
125
131
130
138

109
111
111
113
122
120
114
118
112
112
112
114
113
114
114

Canada

GerJapan France many

Italy

United
Kingdom
• •-.

105
109
115
121
130
139
147
144
147
148
150
152
151
152
153

104
109
114
121
134
160
187
180
185
188
194
202
198
202
206

110
118
128
138
150
174
217
196
214
224
232
241
240
240
242

154

212

246

110
116
121
125
133
148
161
157
160
163
166
167
167
167
168

109
112
116
121
130
145
160
154
157
163
166
168
168
168
169

111
120
127
133
149
183
205
197
204
207
211
217
215
217
218

168
169

170

224

111
117
124
131
141
160
179
173
177
181
185
188
1§!)

Sources: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, Bureau
of Economic Analysis, in Business Conditions Digest.

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Mereh andise e xports
Mere!landise i mports
Domestic3 exports
Gen eral imp orts 3
Period

Total
domestic and
foreign Total 1 2
exports

Monthly
average:
1973
---- 5, 902
1974
... 8, 159
8, 159
1974
1975..--. ... 8,933
1975: May... 8,222
June... 8,716
July... 8,894
Aug_._ 8,979
Sept... 9, 146
Oct.... 9,225
Nov... 9,409
Dec... 9,250
9, 103
1976: Jan
Feb.... 8,800
Mar. . _ 8, 956
9,394
Apr

Food, Crude
bever- mate- Manufac- Total 2
ages,
rials
tured
and to- and
bacco fuels goods

F. a.s. valu e 5

Custom s value

895

5,811
8,045

1,078
1,269

1,317

3,728
5,294

8,045
8,808

1,269
1,400
1, 174
1,215
1,295
1,380
1,367
1,501
1,493
1,404
1,510
1, 337
1,305
1,521

1,317
1,^66
1,217
1,145
1,248
1,299
1,242
1,199
1,342
1, 186
1,223
1,138
1,165
1,284

5,294 8,354
5,917 8,012
5,591 7,266
5,991 7,104
6,063 7,832
5,983 7,877
6,063 8,205
6,267 8,170
6, 168 8,204
6, 296 8,526
5,971 9,176
6,035 8, 941
6,088 9,607
6,191 9,596

5,790
8,416

1 Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program.
2 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind.
*Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.




Food, Crude
bever- mate- Manu- Total
facrials
ages,
tured value) 4
and to- and
bacco fuels goods

Menjhandise trade
balance
Exports
Ex(f.a.s.) ports Exports
less
(f.a.s.) (f.a.s.)
less
ports
im- imports
(cus- ports
toms (f.a.s.)
value)

770 1,120 3,750
892 2,653 4,684
F.a.s. i/alue 5
892 2,672 4,602
827 2,716 4,257
742 2,489 3,894
858 1,976 3,990
819 2,706 4,129
777 2,715 4,178
1,020 3,005 4,060
855 2,912 4,289
867 2,896 4,365
825 2, 852 4,582
872 3,233 4,714
889 2, 913 4,782

1,053

896

2, BS5
3,492

5,183
5,307

6,131
9, 000

9,000
8,618
7,817
7,652
8,413
8,479
8,830
8, 795
8,830
9, 166
9,880
9, 593
10, 301
10, 302

-25?

-195

-229
-841

-257

-195

-841

1,524
1,001
1, 053

1,613
1,062
1,102

1,064

1,132

1,054
1,206

— 132
— 213
-734
-302

-141
-651
—202

112

854
869

874
978

667

921
955
941

724
-73

315
405
481
500
316
429
580
84

-776
-793
-1,345
-008

* CJ.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in the
United
States. Data for 1973 are estimates.
6
F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis: at U.S. port of exportation for exports
and at foreign port of exportation for imports.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the first quarter, the balance on current account was in small deficit, compared with a $3.1 billion surplus in the fourth
quarter of 1975, mainly because of a swing into deficit on trade account.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
6

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
6

1976

1968

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted]

Merchandise

Milit*iry transactions

12

Period

Exports

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1975: I
II
III...
IV___

Imports

Net
balance

Direct
expenditures

36, 414 -35,807
607 -4, 856
42, 469 -39,866 2,603 -4, 855
43, 319 -45, 579 -2, 260 -4, 819
49, 381 -55, 797-6,416 -4, 784
71, 410 -70,499
911 -4, 629
98, 310 -103,679 -5,369 -5, 035
107, 133 -98, 150 8,983 -4, 780
27,
25,
26,
27,

020
848
610
655

-25, 585
-22, 598
-24, 511
-25, 456

Sales

1,528
1,501
1, 926
1,163
2,342
2,952
3,897

Net
balance

915
807
978
1,197

-402
-378
-115
12

1976: !»___ 26, 939 -28, 447-1,508 -1,162

1,158

—4

Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
* Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct
investments in the United States are excluded from net investment income and
included in other services, net.

36




Private 3

U.S.
Government

Net
travel
Other
and
trans- servporta- ices,3
tion
net
expenditures

Balance
on
goods
and
serv-1
ices

-3, 328 3,471
156 -1,763 1,833
977
-3, 354 3,631 -112 -2, 023 2, 190 2,938
-2, 893 5,659 -956 -2, 315 2,509 -256
-3, 621 6,208 - 1, 888 -3, 028 2, 789 -5,954
-2, 287 8,188 -3, 010 -3, 086 3, 188 3,905
-2, 083 13, 461 -3,234 -3, 107 3,919 3,586
-883 9,430 -3, 423 -2, 503 4,666 16, 269

1,435 -1,317
3,250 -1, 185
2,099 - 1, 093
2, 199 -1,185

1
Excludes military grants.
2

Netiinvestment i ncome

2, 109
2,349
2,487
2,485

-985
-818
-805
— 815

-687
-498
-568
-750

2,916

— 787

-772 1,213

1, 125
1, 146
1, 187
1,205

2, 595
5, 051
4,285
4,336

RemitBaltances,
penance
sions,
on
curand
other
rent
uniaclateral count
transfers *
-2, 994-2, 017
-3, 294 -356
-3, 701 -3,957
-3,848 -9,802
-3, 883
22
-7, 184 -3, 598
-4, 620 11, 650
-1, 179
- 1, 146
— 1,044
-1,251

1,058 -1,138

Note.—Series revised beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

1,416
3, 905
3,241
3, 085
-80

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the first quarter, total financing flows were little changed from the fourth quarter, with both recorded outflows and
inflows of capital at lower levels. Inflows on unrecorded transactions, however, rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
15

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
15

10

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS'
ABROAD, NET

-15

1968

1975

1969

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1976

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

TJ.£5. assets abroad, n et
[increaise/capital outflow (-)]

Period

Total

U.S.
official
reserve1
assets

(+)i

Other
U.S.
U.S.
govern- private Total
ment
assets
assets

1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975

-8,823 -1, 187 -2, 200-5,436
-6, 032 2,477 -1,589 -6,920
-9, 596 2,348 - 1, 884-10, 060
32 -1, 568 -8,708
-10,245
-16,434
209 -2, 645-13, 998
365 -32, 323
-33, 392 - 1, 434
-31, 131
-607 -3,463 27, 061

1975:1
II
III__
IV____

-8,001
-7,943
-4,223
— 10, 964

-325
-29
-342
89

-899
-840
-772
-952

-9, 512

-773

-674 -8,065

1976:1"

Forei|gn assets in the U. 3., net
[incr<?ase/capitjil inflow

-6,777
-7,074
-3, 109
-10, 101

AllocaForeign official
tions
of
assets
nrVvfai
special (sum of
Foreign drawing
the
Assets of private rights
items
(SDR) with
foreign
assets
sign
Total
official
changed)
reserve
agencies

12, 270 -1,301 -1, 552 13, 571
7, 362
— 984
5,923
6,907
22, 445 26, 895 27, 405 -4, 450
21, 127 10, 705 10, 322 10, 422
5, 145 12, 220
18, 519
6,299
32, 433 10, 981 10, 257 21, 452
8, 544
4,603
14, 879
6,336

3,402
2, 958
2,837
1, 913
3,907
2,331
2,400 -1,985 -2, 356
2,088
5, 736
2,587

— 565
1,576
4,384
3, 148

3,325

1,693

5,018

i Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDR), convertible currencies, and
the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF.
Note.—Series revised beginning 1960.




Stati stieal
discrepancy

1, 856

-1,430
—402
867
717 — 9, 609
710 -1,790
-2, 107
4,557
4,602

U.S.
official
reserve
Of
assets,
which:
net 1
Seasonal (unadadjust- justed,
ment
end of
discrep- period)
ancy

16, 964
14, 487
12, 167
13, 151
14, 378
15, 883
16, 226

3,748
1,330 16, 256
131
-37 16, 242
-1,417 -2,565 16, 291
2,143
1,275 16, 226
4,574

1,357 16, 941

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury.

37

UNITED STATES
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POSTAGE AND PEES PAID
[U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
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Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars......
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures
_.-..Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits..
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
.. ^ ._. -. ^......
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
.....
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment. . .. M .
_•.-..
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment
_ _.

_

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

.-..
.
.._.......

.......

,...

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
I

Status of the Labor Force... •. _
Selected Unemployment Rates..—
.
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
.-.
Ayerage Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
productivity and Related Data, Private Economy

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
.-. _........
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures.
New Construction. _
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade
Manufacturers* Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders.

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Wholesale Prices.
Consumer Prices
Changes in Wholesale Prices
Changes in Consumer Prices
. „, ~ _
Prices Received and Paid oy Farmers.._

.
.
.... „

.—

.

22
23
24
24
25

-

,_ _

MONEY, CREDIT?, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock
....
.
.
_. _
Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors
Consumer Instalment Credit.
_ . , __..-._ . .
Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves....... _ ... _. _* ~ ._, . . _ _ .
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfann Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations
Interest Rates and Bond Yields.
_
, „ ...,
Common Stock Prices and Yields.
,
_ .,
,

....
-.-..-..... _ _.
_.,

.
-. ^....... *
.

.

_

.

,

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt....... « _..-.,
,
_M
Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function^. _ _. -. _.,
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis. ~ .—. ~ -*.........

.

.

.
..........

^....... ._ .

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries........ _ ...-. ~ -....-..-.....
.....
-.
U.S; Merchandise Exports and Imports....
_. ^ _. ^ _._ ^ .......
.
.. , .„. ^..
_.,
_ ... M
U;iS: International Transactions
._. ^.._ .-. _ .-. M M M ^. ^. M .-..................... _....... -. ^.. ^. ^.. _ ^. ^..... M M M M »^




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