Full text of Economic Indicators : July 1990
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101st Congress, 2d Session AUG 16 1990' Cl ,.:rML KtSERVE BANK OF CHICAGO Economic Indicators JULY 1990 (Includes data available as of July 31, 1990) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1990 * (Star print) JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan) SENATE LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee) RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) PETE WILSON (California) CONNIE MACK (Florida) JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy ($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the second quarter of 1990, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 5.8 percent (annual rate) or $76.2 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.2 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 4.4 percent. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 5,600 5,600 SEASONAUY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 5,200 5,200 GNP IN CURRENT DOLLARS" 4,800 4,800 4,400 4,400 4,000 4,000 GNP IN 1982 DOLLARS 3,600 3,600 3,200 3,200 2,800 2,800 i 2,400 1984 1983 1982 1985 1987 1986 I, I 2,400 1989 1988 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Personal consumption tures 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1988 T 1989 ' 19891983' 19841985' 1986: 1987' 1988: 1989- IV IV IV IV IV IV r IV '. IT II * m r' IV 1990- I r UP 1 Exports and imports of goods and services Gross private domestic investment Net exports Exports Federal Imports National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases 1 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 355.2 366.5 381.3 380.3 400.0 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.1 277.8 294.6 297.2 301.1 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 96.0 88.7 86.7 83.1 98.9 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 465.6 505.7 540.2 582.3 625.6 2,740.3 3,028.6 3.190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,003.6 4,224.8 4,487.3 4,847.5 5,172.5 2,699.8 3,018.7 3,139.7 3,411.8 3,831.1 4,092.8 4,329.0 4,630.3 4,947.8 5,246.9 321.9 390.5 453.6 472.4 511.3 600.7 653.5 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 820.8 872.2 921.4 962.5 1,025.6 671.8 676.1 764.5 856.7 888.9 942.0 1,000.0 293.2 276.1 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.2 401.1 205.4 221.5 244.1 268.6 280.7 296.0 299.6 87.7 54.6 81.9 108.0 88.1 92.2 101.6 658.2 680.0 673.0 678.1 1,008.5 1,022.7 1,027.8 1,043.3 298.2 300.6 306.3 299.2 100.1 101.9 93.0 100.7 661.3 661.7 691.3 688.7 1,070.1 1,086.7 398.3 402.5 399.2 399.9 410.6 420.7 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 4,100.7 4,309.4 4,591.9 4,993.6 5,074.7 5,141.3 5,209.7 5,264.3 3,198.5 3,571.6 3,919.7 4,211.2 4,406.2 4,762.6 5,080.1 609.7 628.8 623.7 642.8 378.7 400.0 438.5 480.1 520.1 553.9 598.9 610.2 620.2 628.6 643.4 307.2 309.5 103.4 111.2 659.6 666.0 5,387.2 5,420.5 5,405.3 5,478.6 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,009.4 3,238.2 3,450.1 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.5 747.1 771.2 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 -58.9 -78.0 -97.4 -114.7 -74.1 -46.1 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 370.9 396.5 449.6 552.0 626.2 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 448.9 493.8 564.3 626.1 672.3 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 4,107.9 4,297.3 4,647.6 5,009.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,079.1 3,332.6 409.6 579.8 661.8 654.1 648.8 741.4 747.5 14.1 -25.8 -67.9 — 103.2 -108.9 — 115.0 -70.3 335.9 364.7 385.7 369.2 402.4 485.8 583.1 5,101.3 5,174.0 5,238.6 5,289.3 5,375.4 5,451.6 3,371.7 3,425.9 3,484.3 3,518.5 769.7 776.7 775.8 762.7 -48.5 — 51.3 -49.3 -35.3 3,588.1 3,619.5 747.2 772.4 -30.0 -27.0 GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Total Total 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,014.9 4,231.6 4515 6 4,873.7 5,200.8 NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Business, July 1990. Government purchases of goods and services Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 5,149.8 5,225.3 5,287.9 5,324.6 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross private domestic investment Period Gross national product Persona! consumption expenditures Total Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services Change in business inventories Government purchases of goods and services Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales Gross domestic purchases * 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,618.7 3,717.9 3,845.3 4,016.9 4,117.7 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,354.8 2,446.4 2,515.8 2,606.5 2,656.8 509.3 545.5 447.3 504.0 658.4 637.0 639.6 669.0 705.7 716.9 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 453.5 438.4 449.8 487.2 506.1 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.4 195.7 196.4 194.9 187.0 -6.9 57.0 23.9 49.4 -24.5 26.3 -8.4 -19.9 62.3 -84.0 9.1 -104.3 5.6 -129.7 22.8 -118.5 23.6 -75.9 23.8 -54.1 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 367.2 397.1 451.8 534.7 593.3 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 471.4 526.9 570.3 610.6 647.4 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 731.2 761.6 779.1 780.5 798.1 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 326.0 334.1 339.6 328.1 334.9 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 237.2 252.1 265.1 260.7 256.3 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 88.8 82.0 74.5 67.5 78.7 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 405.2 427.5 439.5 452.4 463.2 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,609.6 3,712.4 3,822.5 3,993.2 4,094.0 3,130.1 3,199.4 3,139.7 3,299.1 3,585.4 3,723.0 3,847.6 3.963.8 4,092.8 4,171.8 IV. IV IT IV IV IV ', IV ' 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 3,662.4 3,733.6 3,920.7 4,059.3 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 2,386.9 2,477.8 2,534.2 2,638.8 408.8 577.2 655.7 648.0 615.2 706.6 696.2 352.3 390.4 444.4 460.9 435.7 462.3 486.6 115.8 159.9 169.6 179.4 200.3 195.8 195.6 11.7 -59.3 27.0 -46.2 41.7 -94.8 7.7 — 125.3 -20.8 -135.4 48.4 — 111.3 14.0 -75.7 336.0 355.5 376.6 367.4 406.5 487.0 555.3 324.3 401.6 471 .4 492.6 541.9 598.3 631.0 660.1 642.2 693.2 752.7 776.0 791.3 799.9 289.5 266.0 300.5 340.6 342.4 347.7 342.3 201.4 211.6 225.3 241.4 255.8 266.0 261.1 88.2 54.4 75.2 99.2 86.6 81.7 81.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 412.1 433.6 443.6 457.5 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 3,654.7 3,754.4 3,872.3 4,045.2 3,147.6 3,411.3 3,630.0 3,787.6 3,869.0 4,032.0 4,134.9 1989- I r II r HI * IV 4,095.7 4,112.2 4,129.7 4,133.2 2,636.7 2,645.3 2,675.3 2,669.9 717.0 719.1 722.3 709.1 497.1 505.5 513.3 508.4 193.8 188.1 184.4 181.8 26.1 25.5 24.6 18.9 -51.1 -53.3 -64.1 -47.9 576.1 593.2 592.5 611.6 627.3 646.5 656.6 659.4 793.2 801.0 796.2 802.2 334.? 339.9 333.0 332.7 253.7 255.7 260.2 255.5 80.4 84.2 72.8 77.2 459.0 461.1 463.2 469.5 4,069.6 4,086.6 4,105.1 4,114.4 4,146.8 4,165.4 4,193.9 4,181.1 4,150.6 4,163.2 2,677.3 2,675.2 700.7 714.3 514.6 506.5 188.3 181.6 -2.2 26.2 -35.4 -46.5 628.1 622.2 663.5 668.7 807.9 820.2 333.0 345.0 254.4 256.5 78.6 88.5 475.0 475.2 4,152.8 4,137.0 4,185.9 4,209.7 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 1988 r 1989 T 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1990: I * np 1 GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Note. — Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Business, July 1990. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Gross private domestic investment Personal consumption expenditures Period Gross national product 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1988 * 1989 ' 19821983: 1984: 19851986: 19871988: IV IV IV IV IV IV r IV r 1989: I ' II r in ' IV 1990- I * 11" Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Government purchases of goods and services Federal Residential fixed Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense State and local 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 110.9 113.8 117.4 121.3 126.3 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.6 114.3 119.6 124.2 129.9 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.8 105.6 108.2 109.4 110.9 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.3 112.2 116.6 122.8 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 116.8 122.4 128.7 134.5 141.0 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.7 99.3 98.9 100.2 101.2 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.3 111.1 115.2 119.3 123.5 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.0 99.8 99.5 103.2 105.5 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 95.2 93.7 99.0 102.5 103.8 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.0 109.7 112.3 115.9 119.4 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.2 110.2 111.1 114.0 117.5 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.2 108.1 116.3 123.2 125.8 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 114.9 118.3 122.9 128.7 135.1 101.7 105.4 109.0 112.2 115.1 118.5 123.4 101.8 105.7 109.3 113.1 115.8 121.5 126.3 100.7 103.1 104.1 104.7 106.2 108.9 110.3 101.0 103.1 105.8 108.7 107.8 113.9 118.6 102.7 108.3 113.5 119.0 124.9 130.9 137.0 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.9 100.0 99.0 101.8 99.1 103.1 107.2 109.0 112.4 116.5 120.6 100.0 102.6 102.4 100.5 99.0 99.7 105.0 99.3 97.2 96.2 95.9 94.4 100.4 103.6 101.3 103.8 108.5 110.6 107.7 111.7 117.2 102.0 104.7 108.3 111.3 109.7 111.3 114.7 99.5 100.3 108.9 108.8 101.7 112.8 125.1 102.2 106.3 111.7 116.5 120.0 124.9 130.9 124.6 125.8 126.8 128.0 127.9 129.5 130.2 131.8 110.4 110.6 111.2 111.4 120.5 123.2 123.2 124.5 138.8 140.1 141.6 143.4 101.9 101.2 100.9 100.7 122.1 123.7 124.2 124.3 105.8 106.0 105.3 105.1 104.9 105.2 102.5 102.8 119.2 118.4 119.9 120.2 117.5 117.6 117.7 117.1 124.4 121.0 127.8 130.4 132.9 134.5 135.7 137.1 129.5 130.9 134.0 135.3 112.5 112.1 128.3 129.4 145.1 146.7 101.6 101.4 125.3 125.4 105.3 106.3 104.2 103.0 123.3 121.9 120.8 120.6 131.5 125.7 138.9 140.2 Note.—Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Bu. Nonresidential fixed Exports and imports of goods and services , July 1990. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES price deflator 3.6 6.8 3.4 3.4 4.5 2.5 5.2 4.2 4.1 6.6 5.1 3.6 2.7 2.7 3.6 1.6 1.7 .3 1.7 1.2 II r. III ' IV 1988: 1989: I r.. II r. III ' IV ' I'.. II'. Ill' IV ' 1990: I'.. II * 9.0 9.7 6.4 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.3 4.1 3.5 3.1 3.5 1.7 —.7 4.4 4.7 4.7 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.8 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.4 4.6 3.8 4.6 6.4 4.8 4.4 4.1 2.3 4.3 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.5 4.4 4.9 4.6 3.1 3.8 6.6 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.7 4.6 4.0 4.7 6.2 4.9 4.3 4.0 2.5 4.7 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.3 2.6 4.9 6.8 3.7 NOTE.—Annual changes arc from preceding year and quarterly changes are from preceding qnar- NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) Gross domestic produet of noni'inaneial corporate business (billions of dollars) Period Current dollars 1980.. 1981.. 1982.. 1983.. 1984.. 1985.. 1986.. 1987 ' 1988 ' 1989 ' 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: IV. IV. IV. IV. IV. IV. IV ' I'.. II'. Ill' IV ' I'.. 2,201.8 2,309.4 2,408.7 2,597.4 2,797.3 2,812.8 2,847.5 2,879.1 2,878.5 2,907.5 1982 dollars Total eost and profit z Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .123 .123 .124 .131 .131 .120 .118 . 20 24 ] Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Indirect business taxes 3 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .106 .105 '.107 .112 .096 .098 .102 .104 .106 .105 .108 .110 .111 .113 .114 .117 Compensation of employ- Profits tax liability Profits after tax 4 Output per hour of all employees (1982 dollars)' Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars)" NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employees1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Farm 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 1988 r 1989 ' 198219831984198519861987: 1988- IV IV IV IV IV IV ' IV " 1989- I ' Ill ' IV ' 1990- I r II" 1 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Nonfarm Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits before tax Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment Net interest 272.3 281.0 304.8 319.0 325.5 328.6 371.8 445.1 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,234.0 3,412.6 3,660.3 3 984 9 4,223.3 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,367.5 2,511.4 2,686.4 2,905.1 3,079.0 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 42.8 43.7 48.6 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 280.6 310.5 330.7 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.7 16.3 8.2 150.0 213.7 266.9 282.3 282.1 308.3 337.6 311.6 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 255.9 289.8 286.1 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 275.3 316.7 307.7 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 6.7 -19.4 -27.0 -21.7 -9.2 17.0 32.7 59.7 53.8 52.4 47.8 25.5 2,548.2 2851 5 3,096.1 3,312.8 3,473.1 3,791.5 4,104.1 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,426.7 2,571.2 2,770.3 2,986.7 28.5 19.3 28.1 29.2 37.2 52.3 35.5 159.8 188.6 209.7 235.0 252.0 293.0 321.5 15.8 12.4 5.6 7.8 13.5 14.6 16.8 146.1 248.5 266.9 291.4 275.2 323.1 349.6 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 268.6 308.7 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 289.7 331.1 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -21.1 -22.5 — 4.5 25.1 42.3 63.0 49.1 54.5 40.9 266.9 290.2 313.1 322.7 324.0 338.2 394.1 4,177.3 4,216.8 4,232.1 4,267.1 3,029.7 3,062.6 3,095.2 3,128.6 59.6 50.5 38.7 45.7 328.2 329.1 329.5 336.0 13.3 9.7 5.8 4.1 327.3 321.4 306.7 290.9 292.1 291.5 285.3 275.3 335.1 314.6 291.4 289.8 -43.0 -23.1 -6.1 -14.5 35.2 29.9 21.4 15.6 419.2 443.4 456.2 461.7 4 3503 3,180.4 3,229.1 57.4 50.7 346.6 352.1 5.5 4.4 296.8 285.5 296.9 -11.4 1.8 11.3 7.9 463.6 470.0 Includes employer contributions tor social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Note. — Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Business, July 1990. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Durable goods Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1988 ' 1989 r 198219831984' 19851986' 19871988' IV IV IV IV IV IV ' IV r 1989' I r II ' Ill ' IV ' 1990- I ' II " Total personal consumption expenditures Total durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Other Total nondurable goods Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Services Other Retail sales of new passenger cars (millions of units) Domestics Imports 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.0 2,797.4 3,009.4 3,238.2 3,450.1 252.7 289.1 335.5 372.2 406.0 423.4 457.5 474.6 108.9 130.4 157.4 179.1 196.2 197.9 212.2 215.5 95.7 107.1 118.8 129.9 139.7 148.8 161.8 171.4 48.1 51.6 59.3 63.2 70.0 76.7 83.5 87.8 771.0 816.7 867.3 911.2 942.0 1,001.3 1,060.0 1,130.0 398.8 421.9 448.5 471.6 500.0 530.7 562.6 595.3 124.4 135.1 146.7 156.4 166.8 178.4 191.1 204.6 89.1 90.2 90.0 90.6 73.5 75.3 77.3 83.8 158.7 169.5 182.1 192.6 201.7 216.9 229.1 246.3 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,345.6 1,449.5 1,584.7 1,720.7 1,845.5 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 7.5 7.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,700.4 2,868.5 3,079.1 3,332.6 263.8 310.0 346.7 373.2 422.0 427.4 473.1 115.7 144.4 162.3 173.8 201.1 198.9 217.8 99.1 112.4 122.7 134.7 143.8 151.1 166.8 49.0 53.2 61.8 64.7 77.1 77.4 88.5 786.6 837.9 879.6 932.7 952.1 1,019.9 1,088.0 407.0 430.8 456.1 482.5 511.9 539.0 577.1 126.5 141.1 149.8 160.6 168.7 182.2 198.6 89.8 91.9 89.0 91.0 66.0 77.3 78.5 163.4 174.0 184.7 198.5 205.5 221.5 233.9 1,066.5 1,167.9 1,267.1 1,394.5 1,494.4 1,631.8 1,771.5 6.0 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.7 6.6 7.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.0 3,371.7 3,425.9 3,484.3 3,518.5 466.4 473.6 487.1 471.2 211.3 216.2 226.9 207.5 170.2 170.7 171.5 173.0 84.9 86.7 88.7 90.7 1,106.7 1,127.1 1,137.3 1,148.8 588.8 592.5 597.6 602.2 199.3 203.4 206.9 208.7 79.0 88.2 84.5 83.5 239.7 243.0 248.3 254.4 1,798.6 1,825.1 1,859.8 1,898.5 7.0 7.3 7.8 6.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.6 3,588.1 3,619.5 492.1 479.6 221.1 213.2 178.9 176.6 92.0 89.8 1,174.7 1,171.5 616.4 618.5 212.9 211.5 87.1 83.7 258.2 257.9 1,921.3 1,968.4 7.0 6.8 2.8 2.7 Note. — Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Business, July 1990. Furniture and household equipment Nondurable goods Source: Department of Commerce. Bureau of Economic Analysis. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income increased $16.6 billion (annual rate) in June, following an increase of $15.2 billion in May. Wages and salaries rose $13.0 billion in June compared to a rise of $10.1 billion in May. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 5,000 __ 5,000 • ^_____^ ^ 4,000 "I ^~ __ 4,000 r^ \ 'r- 3,000 — 3,000 r rOTAL PERSOr- AL INCOME • \"~" 2,000 .— ~"~ f 2,000 \ WAGE/ VND SALARY D SBURSEMENT: . — -—" 1,400 1,400 „'*•-" --' ^" \ 1 :OME OTHER INC -'"' 800 800 _. ' —x---- ,— 400 TRANSFER PAYMENTS -x 400 imilmu mnliim 1982 _—— - Illllllllll miilitm llllll|llll 1984 1985 1986 1983 imiliim imilimi miilmn mnliim 1987 1988 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTME •tf OF COMMERCE 1990 1989 COUNCIL OF E CONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data _at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 .... 1987 r 1988 ' 1989 r 1989: June r July Tr . Aue Sept r r r Oct Nov Dec r 1990: Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr ' May r June " 1 personal income 2,2584 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,766 4 4,070.8 4,384 3 4,372.5 4,398.2 43987 4,411.6 4 441 0 4,470.0 4,496.7 4,532.2 4,561 6 4,594.7 4,607.7 4,622.9 4,639.5 Wage and salary disbursements 1 1,372.0 1,510.3 1,586.1 1,676.6 1,838.6 1,975.4 2,094.8 2,249.7 2,431.1 2,573.2 2,566.3 2,587.7 2,578.1 2,593.9 2 611 4 2,603.8 2,623.0 2,633.3 2,652.2 2,669.2 2,682.2 2,692.3 2,705.3 Proprietor ' income 3 Other labor income * 2 138.4 150.3 163.6 173.6 182.9 187.6 199.3 209.4 225.5 241.9 Farm 20.5 30.7 24.6 12.4 30.5 30.2 34.7 241.1 242.3 243.5 244.8 246 1 247.5 248.9 42.8 43.7 48.6 41.7 39.4 38.8 37.8 45 6 45.2 46.4 251.6 252.8 254.0 255.2 256.4 257.6 51.1 55.6 65.5 54.5 51.5 46.0 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of ployees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of age accruals over wage disbursements. ^ Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare fund 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 4 With capital consumption adjustment. Nonfarm 160.1 156.1 150.9 178.4 204.0 225.6 247.2 280.6 310.5 330.7 328.6 329.0 329.8 329.6 331 9 337.4 338.7 343.3 347.0 349.4 351.4 352.6 352.2 income of persons 4 6.6 13.3 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.2 11.6 13.7 16.3 8.2 9.0 8.7 8.7 .0 74 9.6 10.1 7.7 4.5 4.3 3.7 4.4 5.3 dividend income 529 61.3 63.9 68.7 75.5 78.7 85.8 91.8 102.2 114.4 113.8 115.1 115.9 116.3 117 4 118.4 118.9 119.7 120.6 121.3 122.3 123.0 123.4 interest income Transfer PM'ments 5 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 271 9 335.4 369.7 393.1 444.7 478.0 493.2 501.3 547.9 643 2 324 7 368 1 410.6 442 6 4566 489 8 521 5 549 9 587 7 636 9 88 6 104 5 112 3 120 1 132 7 149 3 161 9 172 9 194 1 212 8 649.9 652.7 655.3 657.6 661 2 665.0 668.5 669.5 670.5 671.4 676.2 681.2 686.4 634.6 6374 642 1 646 1 650 8 6584 658.6 212.5 2140 213 4 214 5 215 9 215 3 216.3 679.8 679 6 683.4 683.5 6852 689.9 223.9 221 2 223 8 221.4 223 6 226.6 5 Nonfarm personal income 6 2 215 8 2 465 6 2 618 7 2 799 0 3 052 1 3 271 3 3 469 4 3 702 2 40060 4 314 6 4,309.8 4 337 8 4 3389 4 352 7 4 374 4 4403 6 4429 2 4,459.9 4 484 9 4508 1 4531 9 4 550 1 4 572 1 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other iabor income, and agricultural net interest. 6 NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1987. See Survey of Current Business, July 1990. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income fell in the second quarter of 1990. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 18,000 18,000 16,000 16,000 _. -, r 14,000 CURRENT DOLLARS 12,000 14,000 ^1 r V—-—1 .—^ ~~— 12,000 r _— - \ 10,000 \ 10,000 ' 1982 DOLLA RS i 8,000 i i i i i i i i 1984 1983 1982 i i I I i 1986 1985 i 1 1 1 ! 1987 I 1 1988 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES i i i 1989 1 1 1 8,000 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE 1 . Period Personal income 1 Less: Personal Disposable persona! income tax and nontax payments Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in 1982 dollars (billions) i Per capita disposable personal income Current dollars Billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1988 r. 1989 r. 2,258.5 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,325.3 3,526.2 3,766.4 4,070.8 4,384.3 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 486.6 512.9 571.6 591.6 658.8 Per eapita personal consumption expenditures 1982 dollars i Current dollars 1982 dollars Dollars 1,918.0 1,781.1 2,127.6 2,261.4 2,428.1 2^668.6 2,838.7 3,013.3 3,194.7 3',479.2 3,725.5 1,968.1 2,107.5 2,297.4 2^504.5 2,713.3 2,888.5 3,102.2 3^333.6 3,553.7 136.9 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 125.4 124.9 92.5 145.6 171.8 2,214.3 2^248.6 2,261.5 2,331.9 2^469.8 2^542.8 2,635.3 2,670.7 2^800.5 2,869.0 8,421 9^243 9,724 10,340 11*257 nisei 12.469 13,094 14,123 14^973 Percent change in real per capita disposable 1 , personal income Saving as percent of disposable persona! income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands) 2 Percent 9,722 9,769 9,724 9,930 10,419 10,625 10,905 10,946 11^368 11,531 7,607 8,783 — 1.1 7.1 8,320 8,818 9,515 10^253 10,985 11,576 12,335 13^144 13,866 8,794 8,818 9,139 9^489 9^839 10,123 10,311 10^580 10,678 .5 -.5 2.1 4.9 2.0 2.6 .4 3.9 1.4 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.4 4.1 2.9 4.2 4.6 227,754 230,182 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,322 241,660 243,982 246,358 248,810 1.2 9.1 1.7 3.3 .3 6.4 1.2 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.9 3.3 3.9 4.1 233,466 235,707 237,946 240,257 242,579 244,925 247,329 3.4 1.6 .1 5.2 4.6 4.1 4.6 247,863 248,431 249,127 249,818 1.6 -.5 4.9 5.1 250,392 251,009 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: IV 2,729.2 IV 2,941.8 IV 3,188.3 IV 3,399.1 IV 3,597.8 IV.. 3,890.9 IV.. 4,186.2 1989: I r 411.1 413.9 459.7 499.6 534.4 588.6 607.3 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,899.5 3,063.4 3,302.3 3,578.9 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,787.7 2,961.4 3,172.6 3,430.4 143.1 145.4 157.3 111.7 102.0 129.7 148.5 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,562.8 2,646.2 2,717.9 2,833.9 9,929 10,725 11,467 12,068 12,629 13,483 14,470 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,667 10,909 11,097 11,458 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,240 11,825 12,572 13,474 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,935 10,214 10,347 10,669 3,661.7 3,697.3 3,743.4 3,799.6 3,472.0 3,528.5 3,588.8 3,625.5 189.8 168.9 154.5 174.1 2,863.5 2,854.9 2,874.3 2,883.2 14.773 14,883 15,026 15,210 11,553 11,492 11,538 11,541 13,603 13,790 13,986 14,084 10,638 10,648 10,739 10,687 3,887.7 3,929.6 3,696.4 3,728.5 191.3 201.2 2,900.9 2,904.4 15,527 15,655 11,586 11,571 14,330 14,420 10,692 10,658 II T.... 4,302.2 4,362.9 IV r... 4,469.2 640.5 665.5 659.5 669.6 1990: I r 4,562.8 II"... 4,623.4 675.1 693.7 Ill r.. 4,402.8 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and per? .1 transfer payments to foreigners (net). 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. — 2.1 FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1989, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $0.2 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $5.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO S CALE) 240 200 , _^-i ^ ' 160 BILLIC)NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 240 200 I—v^ 160 S -- ' ' 1 - ^—" \ ~— 120 120 80 80 An 60 40 40 20 20 10 10 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Gross farm income Period Total ' Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 " 1987- TTT IV 1988- I n TTT IV 1989- I n TTT jy p 149.3 166.4 163.5 152.9 175.0 166.3 160.3 171.7 177.6 190.6 167.8 175.9 174.7 182.0 175.0 178.6 195.0 194.7 186.1 186.3 139.7 141.7 142.6 136.5 142.5 144.1 135.5 139.5 151.5 157.9 144.8 138.1 144.4 148.8 160.4 152.2 153.1 160.5 163.5 154.6 Livestock and products Crops 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 73.0 69.8 71.5 75.7 78.9 83.8 77.8 75.8 81.8 75.3 78.3 80.3 84.2 81.5 81.5 88.0 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. Net farm income Cash marketing receipts 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.5 74.3 64.0 63.8 72.6 74.1 66.9 62.2 62.6 73.5 82.1 71.9 68.9 79.0 82.0 66.6 3 Production expenses Value of inventory changes 2 -6.3 6.5 14 -10.9 6.3 -2.4 27 4 -4.3 5.8 2 -1.7 -4.0 -4.4 47 — 4.1 7.0 5.8 4.8 5.5 Current dollars 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 134.0 122.4 128.0 135.0 142.0 131.3 131.7 130.2 133.7 138.2 137.8 141.7 144.1 143.6 138.7 1982 dollars 3 16.2 27.0 23.5 12.5 32.3 32.3 37.9 43.5 42.6 48.6 36.3 44.1 44.5 48.3 36.8 40.8 53.3 50.6 42.5 47.6 Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. 18.8 28.7 23.5 12.0 29.9 29.1 33.4 37.1 35.2 38.4 30.9 37.2 37.4 40.0 30.2 33.1 42.8 40.2 33.5 37.2 CORPORATE PROFITS In the first quarter of 1990, according to current estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $7.1 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits rose $0.8 billion. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 360 BIlLIOuS OF DOLLARS 36U SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 320 A ^1 /" 280 320 V r280 ^ / ' 240 v \ PROFITS BEFORE TAX \ r^\ y f 200 160 / 240 v^ 200 __.,-••• X S . -N 160 PRDFITS AFTER T AX .' — """"" S S S 120 ~x_ ^ 120 .—x --y 80 TAX LIABIL TY ,. — ' / „-"•"* *""" j' 40 0 ' ! 1 \ 1 1982 I 1 1983 i 1 1 1 1984 1 ! I ! s'-\ UNDISTRIBLJTED PROFITS : i i 1 1987 1986 1985 80 •\ ! 1 1 1988 40 i i i 1989 1 i 1 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment: Profils after tax Domestic industries Nonfinancia Period Total 2 Total Financial Total 3 Manufacturing Profits before tax Tax liability Wholesale and retail trade Total Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 222.6 228.3 255.9 289.8 286.1 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 191.4 195.2 218.4 246.5 235.2 21.0 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 22.8 32.0 20.7 22.4 15.4 138.6 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 168.6 163.2 197.8 224.1 219.8 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 79.7 59.5 86.7 106.5 96.1 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 44.1 44.1 37.9 37.1 38.7 237.1 226.5 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.3 221.6 275.3 316.7 307.7 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.4 106.3 126.9 136.2 135.1 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 127.8 115.3 148.4 180.5 172.6 54.7 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 83.3 91.3 98.2 110.0 123.5 97.6 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 44.6 24.0 50.2 70.5 49.1 6.7 — 19.4 -27.0 -21.7 IV IV IV IV IV IV IV r 150.7 223.4 224.6 228.4 226.1 268.6 308.7 121.6 190.7 193.9 193.6 193.4 226.2 261.9 18.7 15.5 13.6 26.0 28.6 19.8 24.1 102.9 175.2 180.3 167.6 164.8 206.4 237.8 46.8 88.6 79.8 83.8 64.8 98.2 112.6 33.6 43.1 51.8 38.5 41.0 37.8 42.3 164.1 231.5 226.1 235.0 234.1 289.7 381.1 59.8 88.1 87.0 99.8 113.1 132.1 142.1 104.3 143.4 139.2 135.2 121.0 157.6 189.1 68.5 73.9 80.8 84.0 93.6 102.2 115.3 35.8 69.5 58.4 512 27^4 55.4 73.8 — 13.4 -8.1 -1.6 -6.6 -8.0 -21.1 -22.5 1989- I r r II r 292.1 291.5 285.3 275.3 241.5 244.9 236.0 218.4 24.0 21.6 9.2 6.9 217.4 223.4 226.9 211.5 102.0 98.9 99.9 83.7 33.7 37.6 41.4 41.9 148.3 140.8 127.8 123.5 186.7 173.8 163.6 166.3 119.1 122.1 125.0 127.7 67.6 51.7 38.6 38.6 -43.0 — 23.1 — 6.1 — 14.5 285.5 232.6 16.1 216.5 90.1 39.2 335.1 314.6 291.4 289.8 296.9 129.9 167.1 130.3 133.0 36.8 -11.4 1.8 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 r r 1989 r 1982198319841985: 1986' 1987: 1988- in IV 1990- I ' HP -43.1 -24.2 — 10.4 -10.9 -5.8 i n GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to advance estimates for the second quarter of 1990, nonresidential fixed investment fell $9.6 billion (annual rate) and residential investment fell $8.2 billion. There was a $31.2 billion increase in inventories, following a decrease of $11.8 billion in the first quarter. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOL LARS 900 BILLIC )NS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 _ GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 700 i 600 400 —^P^h / -—x _ ~~ . "~ ^|K 700 600 NONI ESIDENTIAL mfo NVESTMENT \ / r^^l ^ 1 / 500 /~~ --*--" '"' 500 -.--•" 400 --' RE 5IDENTIAL 300 300 \ _.~-- 200 — .. 200 - - ^-'"' 100 ' "% - ^ CHANGE IN EBUSINESS INVENTO RIES 100 /' ,_ ^""""**"'*^ 0 ** /* — — *''' 0 _•'' 1 1 1 -100 1982 OURCE: DEPARTMEN i 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1985 ! 1 ! 1986 1 1 1 1987 1 1988 OF COMMERCE 1 1 1989 1 1 1 100 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed investment Period Gross private domestie investment Change in business inventories Nonresidential Total Total Structures Producers' durable eqiLipment Residential Total Nonfarm 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1988 r 1989 r 437.0 515.5 447.3 502 3 664.8 643.1 659.4 699.9 747.1 771.2 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.8 652.5 671.2 720.8 742.9 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.9 435.2 444.9 488.4 511.9 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 153.2 139.0 133. -7 139.9 146.2 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 289.7 296.2 311.2 348.4 365.7 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 188.8 217.3 226.3 232.5 231.0 -8.3 24.0 -24.5 -7.1 67.7 11.3 6.9 28.3 26.2 28.3 -2.4 18.3 -23.1 198')- IV 1983- IV 1984' IV 1985- IV 1986' IV 1987- IV T 1988- IV ' 409.6 579.8 661.8 654. 1 648.8 741.4 747.5 469.5 548.8 616.8 646.8 660.9 685.7 731.3 354.9 383.9 435.0 451.3 435.8 457.5 495.3 137.6 127.4 146.6 155.9 133.7 137.2 141.2 217.3 256.5 288.4 295.5 302.2 320.4 354.0 114.7 164.9 181.8 195.5 225.1 228.1 236.0 — 59.9 31.0 45.0 7.2 -12.2 55.7 16.2 — 51.1 21.3 41.3 23.7 -8.0 59.6 35.0 1989- 1 r II r Ill r IV T 769.7 776.7 775.8 762.7 743.1 744.0 746.9 737.7 506.5 511.4 518.1 511.8 146.5 144.2 147.0 147.1 360.0 367.2 371.0 364.7 236.6 232.7 228.9 225.9 26.6 32.7 28.9 25.0 16.7 26.1 26.2 24.1 747.2 772.4 758.9 741.2 523.1 513.5 148.8 146.9 374.3 366.6 235.9 227.7 -11.8 31.2 -17.0 30.1 1990- Ir 11 p <nd beginning I9H7. Spi> .Simvr/ of I'u, 60.5 14.6 8.6 32.3 29.8 23.3 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 6.7 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.4 percent in 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 600 600 .— 500 ^ 400 r 300 -~~. r—" /-I ^ 400 " \^~^ ALL INDlJSTRIES 300 ^— ^ ,"" 200 ' —•••" -— ' T~- -^ 500 ^ \ ,**' 200 NONM/MMUFACTURIN GJV ** «! N -''" •--.._ \ MANUFACT JRING 100 100 1 1 1 \ \ i 1982 1983 1 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1987 1986 1985 1 1 1 1 1988 U SURVEYED QUARTERLY ^SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1 1 1 1989 1 Si -il ll 1 1 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Industries surveyed quarterly Nonmanufacturing Manufacturing All industries Total 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 389.67 430.76 475.52 507.23 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 190.89 1988: I 413.34 427.54 435.61 442.11 1989- I Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 4 1990 n m rv n m rv 1990- I 4 n TTT4 rv 4 Total nonfarm business 2 Nonmanufacturing Nondurable goods Total ' Mining Transportation Public utilities Commercial and other 55.36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 71.01 78.30 83.68 85.71 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.88 88.01 100.86 105.18 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 316.34 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.39 12.66 12.52 13.40 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.34 24.59 28.21 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 47.48 48.81 46.38 44.88 46.67 50.72 52.51 100.14 110.24 109.63 114.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.65 183.76 203.14 222.22 157.97 162.62 168.76 173.32 75.28 77.38 79.15 80.56 82.69 85.24 89.62 92.76 255.37 264.92 266.85 268.79 12.61 13.15 12.53 12.38 20.35 20.95 22.02 22.04 45.05 45.60 46.69 48.73 177.37 185.21 185.61 185.65 157.97 162.62 168.76 173.32 255.37 26492 266.85 268.79 459.47 470.86 484.93 486.80 175.22 181.53 187.66 193.76 81.26 82.97 85.66 84.84 93.96 98.57 102.00 108.92 284.24 289.33 297.28 293.04 12.15 12.70 12.59 12.65 23.13 24.26 28.53 22.43 50.81 52.01 49.57 50.50 198.15 200.36 206.59 207.46 175.22 181.53 187.66 193.76 284.24 289.33 297.28 293.04 500.29 506.84 511.59 510.21 192.36 189.53 190.32 191.35 88.04 83.97 84.99 85.86 104.32 105.56 105.33 105.49 307.93 317.31 321.28 318.86 12.86 13.77 14.02 12.95 28.07 27.11 30.48 27.17 49.53 54.54 53.97 52.01 217.46 221.89 222.82 226.73 192.36 189.53 190.32 191.35 307.93 317.31 321 28 318.86 Durable goods 1 Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May 1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufaeturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries. 2 "All industries" plus the part of nonmanufaeturing that is surveyed annually. Addenda 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 440.66 483.48 532.04 Manufacturing 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.90 166.32 184.54 190.89 Total 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 294.77 317.17 347.50 Surveyed quarterly 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.78 264.44 290.97 316.34 Surveyed annually 3 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 50.99 52.73 56.53 3 Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in April-May 1990, corrected for biases. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES in June, civilian employment rose 39,000 and unemployment fell 206,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS' MILLIONS OF PERSONS' 126 126 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 122 122 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 118 118 \ 114 114 110 110 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 106 106 102 102 98 98 >v X 12 8 \ UNEMPLOYMENT 4 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1989 1988 • ] 6 YEARS Of AGE AND OVER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1988 1989 1989: June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1990: Jan Peb Mar Apr May June Civilian employment Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA Resident Armed Forces NSA 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 186,322 188,081 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,709 1,688 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 123,378 125,557 108,856 111,303 114,177 116,677 119,030 187,995 188,149 188,286 188,428 188,580 188,721 188,865 1,666 1,666 1,688 1,702 1,709 1,704 1,700 125,777 125,679 125,758 125,725 125,857 126,192 126,246 188,990 189,090 189,198 189,326 189,467 189,607 1,697 1,678 1,669 1,657 1,639 1,630 126,094 126,308 126,498 126,543 126,643 126,466 Labor force including resident Armed Forces Employment including resident Armed forces 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 Civilian labor force 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 Agricultural Total 100,397 99,526 100,834 Total Part time for economic reasons 1 3,368 97,030 3,401 96,125 3,383 97,450 3,321 101,685 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 Total 15 weeks and over Civilian Labor force participation (percent) 2 Employment/ population ratio (percent) 2 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 1,610 1,375 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.5 59.0 57.8 57.9 8,273 10,678 2,285 3,485 119,865 121,669 123,869 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 114,968 117,342 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,169 3,199 103,971 106,434 109,232 111,800 114,142 5,334 5,345 5,122 4,965 4,657 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 6,701 6,528 119,208 119,102 119,238 119,121 119,294 119,540 119,588 124,111 124,013 124,070 124,023 124,148 124,488 124,546 117,542 117,436 117,550 117,419 117,585 117,836 117,888 3,138 3,217 3,275 3,219 3,197 3,160 3,197 114,404 114,219 114.275 114,200 114,388 114,676 114,691 4,738 4,583 4,567 4,605 4,526 4,552 4,554 6,569 6,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 1,295 1,461 1,338 1,359 1,378 1,422 1,362 66.6 66.5 66.5 66.4 66.4 66.6 66.5 63.1 63.0 63.0 62.9 62.9 63.0 63.0 119,560 119,713 120,003 119,773 119,989 120,019 124,397 124,630 124,829 124,886 125,004 124,836 117,863 118,035 118,334 118,116 118,350 118,389 3,134 3,079 3,200 3,133 3,305 3,348 114,728 114,957 115,133 114,983 115,045 115,041 4,729 4,703 4,747 4,630 4,666 4,734 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 6,447 1,430 1,369 1,333 1,386 1,374 1,406 66.4 66.5 66.6 66.5 66.6 66.4 62.9 63.0 63.1 62.9 63.0 63.0 1 Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc. 2 Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population. Unemployment Nonagricultural 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.5 62.3 63.0 'Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in estimation procedures. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In June, the overall unemployment rate and the civilian unemployment rate fell slightly, to 5.1 percent and 5.2 percent, respectively. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 'A/vHv •s\« TEENAGERS (16-19) ./ V X r% 5 v y \ ^ \ / •* v"\,' \ V 0 WOME N 20 YEARS At- DOVER <fH>"*«a«^ *^c^*»^ 5 f^-nfftf^f \ M EN 20 YEARS ^ND OVER 0 1990 1986 Illllllllll 1986 MplllilM 1988 1987 •UNEMPLOYMENT As PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1989 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: June.... July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June .... 1 2 Unemployment rate, all workers ' By race By sex and age All civilian workers Men 20 years and over Women 20 years and over 7.5 9.5 9.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 5.4 5.2 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5 5.3 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.5 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.4 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.5 7.6 9.7 9.6 6.3 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.7 Both sexes 16-19 vears 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 15.3 15.0 15.4 15.1 14.8 15.0 14.9 15.3 15.2 14,5 14.8 14.4 14.7 15.5 14.1 White 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.5 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. Aggregate hours lost bv the unemployed and persons oil part time for economic reasons as per66 to • 12 Black and other 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 10.4 10.0 10.2 9.6 9.7 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.1 9.2 9.4 9.1 9.3 9.4 By selected groups Black 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 11.4 11.8 11.0 11.2 11.7 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.4 10.4 Experienced wage and salary workers 7.3 9.3 9.2 Married men, spouse present 4.3 Women who maintain families 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 Fulltime workers Parttime workers Labor iorce time lost (percent) 2 8.5 7.3 9.4 10.5 10.4 8.1 8.1 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.3 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.9 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.2 5.0 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.0 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 7.9 8.5 8.0 7.7 7.8 8.2 8.1 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 7.7 7.2 7.1 7.3 7.1 7.4 7.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.0 5.0 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 7.5 7.5 8.4 7.5 7.4 8.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 7.0 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.4 7.6 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.9 9.8 9.2 cent of potentially available labor force hours. . source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor statistics. 11.0 10.9 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In June, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks, for 15-26 weeks, and for 27 weeks and over rose and the percentage for 5-14 weeks fell. The mean duration of unemployment rose and the median fell. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* 70 70 REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 60 - 50 - 50 JOB LOSERS 40 — 30 20 - 10 NEW ENTRANTS iiiii1i11ti 1990 1986 1986 1111111111 1988 1987 1989 1990 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Duration of unemployment Unemployment (thousands) Period ercent d stributio Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks Keason for .unemployment: pereent distribution State programs Number of weeks weeks and over Average (mean) Median Job Sosers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants Insured unemployment Initial claims Insured unemployment, "all regular programs (unadjusted) l Weekly average, thousands 1989 1989' June July Sept Get No D e 1990- .Jai Peb Ma AD Ma 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 30.0 30.3 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.2 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 12.1 9.9 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 5.9 4.8 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 46.1 45.7 "I 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 14.7 15.7 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 27.0 28.2 11.9 11. 1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.2 10.4 3,047 4-.061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 2,193 2,269 0,569 8,577 6,520 6,604 6,563 6,652 6,658 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 46.0 48.6 49.8 47.9 48.3 48.3 48.4 48.8 49.5 30.5 29.9 31.0 31.0 30.5 29.8 30.1 10.4 12.7 11.7 11.7 11.4 11.5 10.9 9.3 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.7 9.8 9.5 11.2 11.9 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.6 11.5 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 43.0 44.5 46.2 44.9 45.5 46.3 46.3 15.6 15.5 16.1 15.8 15.2 15.7 15.8 30.4 29.0 27.6 29.4 28.9 27.6 27.7 11.1 11.0 10.0 9.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 6,535 6,594 6,495 6,770 6,653 6,447 47.5 47.8 48.6 47.4 45.6 46.9 30.7 31.5 31.1 32.2 33.7 31.5 11.8 11.1 10.7 10.3 11.5 11.7 9.9 9.7 9.6 10.2 9.2 9.9 12.1 11.7 12.0 12.1 11.6 12.0 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.1 48.5 47.1 46.3 46.8 47.4 48.7 15.5 15.3 15.5 17,5 15.2 15.4 26.3 27.4 28.4 26.5 27.2 27.7 9.7 10.3 9.8 9.2 10.2 8.3 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,435 6,701 6,528 1981 1982 1983 1084 1 985 1986 1987 1988 . . .. . ... . . . ! Include State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rieo, am Virgin Is uncts), ex-servicemen (tlCX), Federal (UOFK), and railroad (RR) programs. Also ine ides Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal siippkznenlal compensation program. 2,133 2,194 2,169 2,208 2,295 2,305 2,373 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 310 330 331 3.34 323 331 366 348 367 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 2,248 2,324 1,936 2,108 2,007 1,863 1,912 2,146 2,518 2,367 2,334 2.349 2,381 2,400 2,442 359 357 347 360 351 357 3,05,9 2,992 2^843 2,526 2,268 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Umplovment ami Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 40,000 in June. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) 110 28 100 26 _ ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS SERVICES — _„. __.,- - ^,-* - 24 90 - ——•''""'" 22 \ 80 — SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 70 - RET/ UL TRADE 20 r 18 60 16 • • "• GOVERNME NT X" \ - __ ijuTiTmn miilim) iiiulimi Illllllllll n i n 1 1 1 1 in 50 40 (Illlfllli! (illlllllll iilllllllli GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 20 illi 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1986 1987 1989 1988 1990 1986 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted] Service-producing industries Goods-producing industries Period Total nonagricultural employment Total 2 ~ (Construction Manufacturing Total Durable goo s Nondurable goods Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Government Total Federal 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 91,156 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,525 102,200 105,584 108,581 25,497 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 24,558 24,708 25,249 25,634 4,188 3,905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,816 4,967 5,125 5,300 20,170 18,781 18,434 19,378 19,260 18,965 19,024 19,403 19,612 12,109 11,039 10,732 11,505 11,490 11,230 11,194 11,437 11,536 8,061 7,741 7,702 7,873 7,770 7,734 7,830 7,967 8,076 65,659 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74,967 77,492 80,335 82,947 5,165 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,255 5,372 5,548 5,705 5,358 5,278 5,268 5,555 5,717 5,753 5,844 6,029 6,234 15,189 15,179 15,613 16,545 17,356 17,930 18,483 19,110 19,575 5,298 5,341 5,468 5,689 5,955 6,283 6,547 6,676 6,814 18,619 19,036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,053 24,236 25,600 26,892 16,031 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,693 17,010 17,372 17,727 2,772 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 2,971 2,988 1989: June... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Get Nov.... Dec 108,607 108,767 108,887 109,096 109,171 109,452 109,570 25,648 25,669 25,694 25,614 25,603 25,609 25,532 5,283 5,314 5,321 5,325 5,335 5,355 5,304 19,650 19,649 19,644 19,559 19,537 19,517 19,489 11,567 11,549 11,551 11,480 11,457 11,439 11,409 8,083 8,100 8,093 8,079 8,080 8,078 8,080 82,959 83,098 83,193 83,482 83,568 83,843 84,038 5,716 5,736 5,618 5,709 5,729 5,753 5,834 6,230 6,237 6,256 6,264 6,278 6,300 6,311 19,551 19,586 19,621 19,632 19,679 19,744 19,718 6,808 6,815 6,836 6,852 6,851 6,871 6,885 26,931 26,973 27,058 27,159 27,188 27,345 27,419 17,723 17,751 17,804 17,866 17,843 17,830 17,871 2,995 3,000 2,999 2,996 2,984 2,982 2,974 109,931 110,304 110,427 Apr r... 110,401 May r.. 110,757 June " 110,797 25,518 25,686 25,606 25,481 25,440 25,397 5,418 5,485 5,432 5,323 5,306 5,292 19,355 19,452 19,423 19,403 19,376 19,345 11,287 11,398 11,385 11,350 11,340 11,322 8,068 8,054 8,038 8,053 8,036 8,023 84,413 84,618 84,821 84,920 85,317 85,400 5,850 5,865 5,875 5,875 5,894 5,909 6,332 6,332 6,342 6,335 6,346 6,353 19,822 19,794 19,785 19,812 19,825 19,818 6,896 6,916 6,922 6,921 6,929 6,933 27,557 27,709 27,783 27,763 27,847 27,963 17,956 18,002 18,114 18,214 18,476 18,424 2,998 3,006 3,088 3,155 3,345 3,264 1990: Jan Feb Mar 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table- not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are b ised on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAli INDUSTRIES [For production or noiisupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] _ Average gross hourly earnings Average weekly hours Average gross weeklv earnings Total private nonagricultura] l Manufacturing Total private iionagricultural: Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989' June July Oct Nov 1990- Jan Feb Mar . June * Total Total private nonagricultural l Overtime Manufacturing Current dollars 1877 dollars 2 h Current dollars Manufacturing Construction Retail trade 1'ercent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultura! a Current dollars 1977 dollars 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.1 41.0 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.8 $7.25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 9.29 9.66 $7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 10.18 10.47 $255.20 267.26 280.70 282.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 322.36 335.20 $170.13 168.09 171.26 172.78 170.42 171.07 169.28 167.81 166.52 $318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 418.40 429.27 $399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.75 480.44 493.08 506.72 $158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 178.70 183.62 189.01 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.0 -1.5 — 1.2 1.9 .9 -1.4 .4 -1.0 -.9 — .8 34.6 34.8 34.6 34.7 34.7 34.6 34 5 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.8 40.7 40.6 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 9.62 9.69 9.69 9.74 9.78 9.78 9.83 10.45 10.48 10.52 10.55 10.55 10.57 10.61 332.85 337.21 335.27 337.98 339.37 338.39 339.14 165.10 166.85 165.98 166.74 166.85 165.80 165.51 428.45 429.68 431.32 432.55 430.44 430.20 430.77 498.17 511.30 510.73 510.16 5)4.75 521.87 508.64 188.43 190.97 189.22 189.50 191.69 190.37 190.86 3.5 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.4 -1.6 — .,9 -.9 -.7 -.9 — 1.4 -1.1 345 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.6 34.7 40.7 40.7 40.8 40.6 41.0 41.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.8 9.83 9.88 9.92 9.95 9.98 10.01 10.55 10.65 10.71 10.73 10.81 10.83 339.14 341.85 343.23 344.27 345.31 347.35 163.68 164.11 164.22 164.57 164.90 164.86 429.39 433.46 436.97 435.64 443.21 444.03 518.93 521.08 514.55 499.82 512.79 523.22 192.67 193.92 195.08 196.04 196.91 197.20 2.7 3.8 3.8 2.3 4.0 4.0 -2.4 -1.3 -1.3 -2.1 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.!) 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 39.8 38.9 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical workers (on a 1977 = 100 base). 2 3 9 — .5 Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of E-iabor Statistics. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY [Not seasonally adjusted] Percent change from Index (June 1989 = 100} 3 months earlier Period 1981' Dec 198219831984' 1985' 1986' 1987198819891987' Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Sept Dec 1988- Mar . .. Dec 1989- Mar Dec 1990- Mar . ... Total compensation Wages and salaries 71.2 75.8 80.1 84.0 87.3 90.1 93.1 97.6 102.3 92.5 93.1 94.5 95.7 96.6 97.6 98.8 100.0 101.2 102.3 103.9 105.2 73.0 77.6 81.4 84.8 88.3 91.1 94.1 98.0 102.0 93.5 94.1 95.0 96.1 97.0 98.0 99.0 100.0 101.2 102.0 103.2 104.5 Benefits ' 66.6 71.4 76.7 81.7 84.6 87.5 90.5 96.7 102.6 89.6 90.5 93.4 94.7 95.7 96.7 98.4 100.0 101.4 102.6 105.5 106.9 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence oi employment shifts among occupations and industries. 12 months earlier Total compensation Wages and salaries 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 .6 .7 .6 1.0 1.1 1.0 .6 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 .6 .6 .6 1.0 .8 1.0 .6 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 .5 .6 1.0 3.0 1.2 .7 1.0 9.9 6.5 5.7 4.9 3.9 3.2 3.3 4.8 4.8 3.4 3.3 8.8 6.3 4.9 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.1 3.2 3.3 12.1 7.2 7.4 6.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 6.9 6.1 3.0 3.4 1.5 1.3 .9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 .9 1.0 3.2 1.4 1.1 1.0 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.1 5.9 6.4 6.8 6.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 .8 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.8 1.3 3.8 4.5 4.4 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.8 5.2 5.2 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.2 4.5 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.1 7.2 6.9 Benefits l Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits l Data exclude farm and household workers. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Compensation per hour 3 Hours of all persons 2 Output * Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price 1 deflator 5 " Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfan busiriesi sector 1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988- I II in IV 1989- I II HI IV 1990: I 99.4 101.0 100.2 102.6 105.2 107.3 109.8 111.1 113.0 114.2 100.9 103.5 105.7 108.3 109.8 112.5 113.2 112.6 113.4 113.5 113.8 114.2 114.7 114.8 114.1 99.0 100.0 99.1 102.0 104.2 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 107.3 107.9 105.3 107.2 113.3 107.8 108.5 105.9 108.0 114.4 131.8 144.1 154.9 160.8 167.4 105.6 107.7 108.9 111.1 112.1 124.2 128.0 133.4 140.0 144.8 *23.9 127.6 133.1 140.3 145.0 115.7 116.6 120.1 123.9 126.8 117.4 118.4 122.2 126.3 129.4 174.8 183.8 191.0 99.5 103.0 104.5 106.2 107.6 110.2 105.0 113.6 120.8 125.9 128.9 136.7 104.2 114.1 120.7 125.5 128.4 136.4 104.1 109.7 114.3 116.2 117.4 121.5 104.7 110.8 115.5 118.1 119.3 123.7 111.0 110.5 111.5 112.0 138.2 139.3 140.7 141.9 138.0 139.5 141.1 142.8 122.1 123.8 124.0 125.0 124.3 126.2 126.6 127.5 111.6 111.9 112.6 112.7 143.6 144.4 145.6 145.7 143.6 144.6 145.9 146.0 126.2 126.4 127.0 127.0 128.6 129.2 129.6 129.5 112.0 146.1 146.4 128.0 130.8 200.2 211.2 158.2 163.2 169.9 178.6 187.4 195.1 196.4 199.1 201.9 204.5 206.9 210.4 212.8 215.7 218.2 131.6 144.0 154.7 160.8 167.2 174.0 182.9 189.8 198.7 209.5 158.0 162.9 169.6 177.5 186.4 193.8 195.0 197.5 200.2 203.0 205.5 208.3 211.0 214.1 216.3 97.0 96.1 97.3 97.8 97.6 96.7 96.0 97.1 97.8 97.5 132.6 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 132.9 144.0 156.1 157.6 160.4 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 154.3 159.0 98.4 101.7 101.9 102.5 103.2 98.0 101.1 101.2 101.8 102.4 162.8 167,5 171.9 177.1 184.9 164.9 169.8 174.2 178.8 186.9 162.2 165.6 170.0 174.9 181.7 163.8 167.6 172.0 176.5 183.3 97.9 97.8 97.8 99.3 102.8 102.5 97.8 97.6 97.6 98.7 102.3 101.8 156.8 157.7 160.7 164.9 170.6 173.5 158.7 158.2 162.3 167.1 173.2 175.8 150.2 155.2 159.8 163.7 167.1 171.3 151.4 156.2 161.0 165.5 169.2 173.4 102.3 102.6 102.8 103.0 101.5 101.8 101.9 102.3 173.5 176.9 178.0 180.2 175.7 178.7 179.6 181.3 171.9 174.1 175.8 177.9 173.8 175.6 177.0 179.6 102.8 103.0 103.5 103.9 102.1 102.0 102.6 103.1 181.9 184.1 185.6 187.9 184.1 186.1 187 A 189.9 179.4 181.4 182.4 183.7 180.8 182.8 184.0 185.6 103.0 102.2 191.1 193.2 186.1 187.7 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: -1.1 2.1 31 4^2 8.4 -1.2 1.7 -3.3 5.0 8.3 08 .6 24 1.8 5.7 07 2.4 2.6 -0.4 1.1 9 3.0 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.1 2.0 .9 4.2 3.1 4.2 4.9 3.4 3.9 3.0 4.4 5.4 3.3 2.2 .8 3.0 3.2 2.3 2.6 .9 3.2 3.4 2.4 2.6 3.3 1.5 1.5 .8 2.8 2.0 1.6 .9 .8 .4 2.5 -.5 10.4 3.5 3.6 4.0 7.1 -1.2 9.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 7.0 -3.0 6.8 2.0 2.1 3.2 4.2 -3.1 8.1 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.3 2.5 2 j 3.1 .2 2.8 -1.6 3.3 1.9 4.4 3.3 4.0 3.4 4.8 4.4 4.6 4.8 1.9 5.5 .9 3.2 2.0 6.1 1.2 2.8 10.5 9.3 7.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 5.2 3.9 4.8 5.5 4.1 5.7 3.5 6.3 5.1 7.2 2.6 5.7 5.8 5.2 1.1 1.6 1.5 .4 -1.3 1.1 2.4 .5 4.8 2.3 3.5 .3 2.4 2.8 3.7 .3 3.7 .6 1.9 .0 3.7 1.7 1.3 -.2 4.8 6.8 4.7 5.6 -2.7 1.1 1.0 3.4 3.9 4.7 -0.3 1.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Y IV IV IV IV IV IV 1988- I n m IV 1989- I n m IV 1990- I -2.1 .6 24 2.0 6.0 1 Output refers to gross domestic- product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 5 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. 16 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.0 3.9 4.1 5.1 3.7 4.7 5.5 4.6 4.4 3.5 5.8 5.1 7.1 2.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 4.9 5.6 5.3 6.0 4.1 -2.6 g 1.2 .6 -.2 -2.6 — .7 1.1 .7 -.4 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 9.0 9.6 5.9 33 3.3 .8 3.3 ,2 .6 .7 .5 3.2 .1 .5 .6 2.3 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.7 4.5 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.9 3.0 2.3 2,6 2.7 3.8 2.8 1.6 .0 2.1 2.2 3.3 3.3 .3 .0 1.6 2.2 3.2 1.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 4.2 4.3 2.6 2.8 2.6 5.0 4.7 4.5 2.4 4.8 2.7 2.6 1.0 1.4 3.0 3.1 3.3 2.1 1.0 1.7 -.8 1.2 .7 .8 -.9 .9 .5 1.5 .1 8.0 2.6 5.0 -.3 7.1 2.0 3.8 1.5 5.1 4.1 4.8 1.0 4.3 3.2 5.9 -.6 .8 1.9 1.5 -.5 -.4 2.4 1.9 3.7 5.1 3.2 5.2 6.2 4.5 2.3 5.5 3.3 4.6 2.2 2.9 2.8 4.4 2.7 3.4 7.0 7.0 5.4 4.6 -3.2 -3.7 9 -'l 9.7> 6.3 3.5 3.0 NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the work site rather than hours paid. Data do not reflect revisions beginning 1987 of GNP and related items published July 27, 1990. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in June. INDE X, 1987=100' (RATIO SCALE] INDE X, 1987=100' (RATIO SCALE) 115 130 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 110 -"^ 105 ^r^ 100 90 115 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIOJN^^ DURABLE j^'\.~ iiiuiiini iiiuiiini 85 95 iifimmilmiilirm imilimi miilmu mrilimi 90 \ 100 -V^ VX^^- 88 90 CAPACITY UTILIZA 'ION RATE . (TOTAI INniJSTRY) 86 r- 84 /-* k /^/^ ^/\ yH1—' 82 vy •x ^yi^ MINING iiliiluni iiiuiiini Illllllllll Illllllllll lilllllllLl 95 Illllllllll PERCTNT* ^ 115 -UTILITIES AND MINING PRODU CTION A 1 110 \ UTILITIES , ,-. _,' \ 105 .'-'' -S ^-^t — — .DEFENSE AND SPACE - EQUIPMENT ^/^ 90 JRABLE GOODS x 95 -"~"'"\l NOND r' . fj / -£. 100 ^- /] V *—/ / CONSUMER y 105 /^- 110 100 BUSINESS tUUIPMENI 110 iiniiiiiii Illllllllll Illllllllll ^ 105 A_ 120 115 95 - FINAL PRODUCTS 125 1K^ ^—-1 [—~^ 1 —^ ^^ \ /"^ ^-~^~s^f 80 78 76 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll IIIMllllll muliim 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (Monthlv data seasonally adjusted] Industry production indexes, 1987=100 Total industrial production Period Index, 1987 = 100 1980 1981 1182 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1089- June July Sept Oct Isov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar r Apr r May r June p Capacity utilization rate, percent l Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 — 1.9 1.9 -4.4 3.7 9.3 1.7 1.0 4.9 5.4 2.6 78.8 80.3 76.6 80.9 89.3 91.6 94.3 100.0 105.8 108.9 75.7 77.4 72.7 76.8 88.4 91.8 93.9 100.0 107.6 110.9 83.1 84.5 82.5 87.0 90.8 91.5 94.9 100.0 103.6 106.4 110.0 1 14.3 109.3 104.8 111.9 109.0 101.0 100.0 101.8 100.5 95.9 94.3 91.8 93.6 97.0 99.5 96.3 100.0 104.4 107.1 82.1 80.9 75.0 75.8 81.1 80.3 79.2 81.4 84.0 84.2 80.2 78.8 72.8 74.. 9 80.4 79.5 79.0 81.4 83.9 83.9 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 3.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 109.3 108.6 109.1 109.1 108.4 108.9 108.8 111.8 110.6 111.3 111.5 109.4 1 1 0. 1 110.4 106.2 106.1 106.2 106.0 107.2 107.3 106.7 100.4 100.0 100.7 101.6 100.7 101.2 100.1 106.3 106.6 106.2 105.9 107.4 108.3 116.1 84.6 83.9 84.0 83.9 83.3 S3./5 83.7 84.4 83.6 83.8 83.6 82 9 83.0 82.8 107.5 108.5 108.9 108.7 109.3 109.8 <> .8 1.1 108.1 109.6 109.8 109.3 110.2 110.7 108.6 110.7 111.9 110.9 112.4 113.0 107.5 108.3 107.2 107.3 107.4 107.8 101.7 101.0 101.1 103.3 102.6 101.0 106,8 104.0 106.2 106.2 106.9 109,2 82.7 83.2 83.4 83.0 83.3 83.5 82.0 83.0 82.9 82.3 82.7 82.9 o 1 ij 1? INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1987=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Products Materials Final products Intermediate products Consumer goods Equipment Period Total Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 .... ... ... . July Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar T Mav ' June " 1 .... Durable goods Nondurable goods Total ' Business Defense and space equipment Total Construction supplies Business supplies Total Energy 80.0 82.1 80.8 83.0 91.0 942 95.7 100.0 105.6 109.1 85.3 85.8 84.5 88.8 92.8 93 7 96.8 100.0 104.0 106.7 73.5 74.0 68.7 79.7 91.0 91.6 94.5 100.0 104.9 107.9 89.1 89.6 89.7 91.9 93.4 94.4 97.6 100.0 103.7 106.4 74.6 78.2 77.0 76.8 89.2 94.8 94.5 100.0 107.6 112.3 73.5 76.1 72.9 71.9 85.4 91.1 93.2 100.0 111.8 119.1 57.4 58.5 65.7 71.8 78.9 89.4 96.0 100.0 98.0 97.4 77.0 77.0 75.1 80.3 86.2 88.3 92.0 100.0 104.4 106.8 80.8 78.4 72.2 80.2 86.2 89.1 93.8 100.0 104.4 106.1 74.2 75.7 77.0 80.3 86.2 87.7 90.7 100.0 104.4 107.3 91.3 92.8 85.1 88.3 96.6 96.6 95.9 100.0 105.6 107.4 106.2 104.3 100.7 98.9 103.8 103.4 99.4 100.0 101.8 101.4 1C9 8 108.7 109.1 109.6 1085 109.4 110.3 106.3 105.2 105.6 106.3 107.3 107.4 108.3 108.4 105.6 105.8 107.6 106.8 105.7 106.8 105.8 105.1 105.6 106.0 107.4 107.8 108.7 1 14.3 113.2 113.6 113.8 110.1 112.0 112.9 121.4 119.9 120.4 120.7 116.0 118.7 119.9 98.3 98.7 98.9 98.9 96.6 96.7 96.6 106.7 106.7 106.4 106.3 106.9 107.3 107.9 106.2 106.5 105.5 105.2 106.3 107.0 107.4 107.0 106.8 106.9 107.0 107.3 107.5 108.2 107.6 107.3 107.8 107.4 107.1 107.0 106.9 101.0 100.1 101.7 101.6 101.3 101.9 102.7 108.5 109.7 110.7 110.2 111.2 112.0 106.0 107.0 107.5 106.9 107.5 108.2 99.4 106.2 110.8 107.1 109.8 112.1 107.8 107.2 106.6 106.9 106.8 107.2 111.8 113.3 114.9 114.5 116.1 116.9 118.0 120.1 122.2 121.4 123.4 124.6 97.5 97.6 97.5 97.2 97.5 97.4 108.0 108.4 108.2 107.8 108.0 108.0 107.9 108.2 107.3 106.5 106.0 105.5 108.0 108.5 108.9 108.6 109.3 109.7 106.2 107.1 107.1 107.2 107.6 107.8 101.2 101.7 102.0 102.2 101.8 101.2 Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately. [1987 — 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Primary metals Period Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 ... 1989- June July Sept Oct Nov Dec . . - - 1990- Jan Feb Mar ' MP • * June p Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nondurable manufactures Transportation equipment Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Total Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Foods 110.8 117.5 83.2 91.0 102.4 101.8 93.8 100.0 110.3 109.2 126.0 135.1 86.2 96.1 105.9 104.5 90.8 100.0 113.8 109.3 92.5 91.1 83.2 85.5 93.3 94.5 93.8 100.0 106.2 107.2 60.6 65.9 63.9 64.3 80.8 86.8 90.4 100.0 113.8 121.8 73.3 75.4 75.9 80.3 94.1 93.1 94.3 100.0 106.5 109.5 72.3 68.7 64.8 72.7 83.1 91.8 96.9 100.0 105.0 107.2 67.0 64.4 58.8 74.5 90.6 99.0 98.5 100.0 105.5 104.9 76.9 74.7 67.3 79.9 86.0 88.0 95.1 100.0 104.6 103.0 89.2 91.0 90.1 93.8 95.7 92.6 96.3 100.0 102.2 104.3 70.3 72.1 75.2 79.0 84.5 87.6 90.7 100.0 103.6 108.5 87.8 89.2 81.8 87.5 91.4 91.4 94.6 100.0 105.4 108.5 84.6 86.5 87.7 90.1 92.1 94.9 97.4 100.0 102.8 105.5 108.7 108.8 111.7 109.9 108.6 104.8 102.6 107.1 107.5 109.8 109.7 109.2 104.1 100.3 108.3 107.6 106.5 106.0105.9 106.9 106.3 123.4 121.6 121.8 123.4 119.0 122.9 123.8 109.1 108.6 110.6 110.8 110.2 110.1 110.1 109.0 106.6 107.8 108.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 105.0 99.6 102.7 103.2 99.7 99.0 98.7 103.5 102.8 102.4 102.6 103.2 104.8 106.4 105.2 104.4 104.7 104.5 103.9 103.7 102.6 108.6 106.6 107.8 109.4 109.3 109.6 109.6 109.1 109.7 109.6 107.5 109.4 109.8 107.6 104.2 104.0 104.8 105.4 106.8 107.4 108.0 105.0 107.9 105.4 106.4 105.4 106.4 104.6 110.6 106.1 106.7 104.5 105.1 105.1 105.6 105.5 105.0 106.9 106.7 123.7 124.2 125.2 125.4 126.4 126.6 110.1 111.0 112.3 111.1 111.6 111.9 94.7 103.5 107.9 105.1 109.1 111.4 76.8 94.1 103.5 95.8 103.8 108.2 106.0 104.3 105.0 103.3 102.9 101.1 102.4 102.1 99.8 98.8 99.2 99.1 110.7 112.1 111.4 111.1 112.4 113.0 109.9 110.5 109.5 110.3 109.5 110.5 106.8 107.4 107.1 106.8 106.7 106.5 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Construction contracts 3 Private Total new construction expenditures Period Residential Total New housing units Total ' Commercial and industrial z Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982=100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) Billions of dollars 256.5 267.7 255.7 290.9 340.7 368.7 398.2 1980 ' 1981 r 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 * ' r . ' ' ' ' .... 410.2 422.1 432.1 r 192.8 203.0 192.6 227.5 270.5 290.9 313.6 319.6 327.1 333.5 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 194.7 198.1 196.6 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.9 138.9 139.2 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 76.5 79.8 85.5 45.7 48.7 49.2 48.1 48.0 49.7 48.5 48.5 49.2 51.5 63.6 64.7 63.1 63.5 70.2 77.8 84.6 90.6 95.0 98.6 97 100 100 124 136 150 159 165 166 170 83.2 85.8 85.2 87.3 87.2 88.6 86.8 83.3 85.0 88.2 87.2 85.3 83.4 51.2 51.0 51.3 52.1 51.9 51.4 52.2 52.0 52.9 51.9 53.3 53.4 53.4 100.9 97.8 95.7 99.0 101.3 97.1 103.5 107.0 107.9 112.5 109.9 104.5 109.1 167 172 171 169 186 180 167 166 160 156 160 148 156 153 Annual rates Annual rates 1989- May r 434.7 431.8 July r Sept r 429.0 433.9 433.4 429.3 433.4 432.0 Oct r Nov ' Dec " 1990- Jan T Feb ' Mar ' Apr r May" June 1 2 3 446.0 455.6 457.3 447.2 445.6 333.8 333.8 333.3 335.0 332.1 332.1 329.8 325.0 338.1 343.1 347.4 342.7 336.6 199.4 197.1 196.8 195.6 193.0 192.1 190.9 189.6 200.1 203.0 206.9 204.1 199.7 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,019 973 926 140.7 139.6 139.6 138.2 135.8 134.8 135.2 135.3 140.0 144.6 145.3 140.9 136.4 p 909 916 915 805 1,008 892 812 805 883 798 828 745 802 693 Includes residential improvements Includes hotels and motets. F.W. Dodge series. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New private homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1980 1981 1982. 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ... 1988 1989 1 749 5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1,488.1 1,376.1 1 unit 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 1,081.3 1,003.3 2-4 units 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 58.8 55.2 5 or more units 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 348.0 317.6 Units authorized 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,534.8 1,455.6 1,338.4 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period 1 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 1,668.8 1,529.8 1,422.8 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 676 650 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 366 367 362 Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 2 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.7 7.1 Seasonal y adjusted annual rates 1989" May July Sept Oet Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb Mar Anr r May ' June p 1,308 1,414 1,424 1,325 1,263 1,423 1,347 1,273 977 971 1,029 987 969 1,023 1,010 931 43 55 58 54 56 60 47 53 288 388 337 284 238 340 290 289 1,352 1,323 1,281 1,334 1,310 1,362 1.364 1,416 1,444 1,355 1,375 1,437 1,366 1,317 1,486 1,302 651 646 741 719 638 636 687 633 379 376 369 364 364 363 363 362 1,568 1,488 1,307 1,216 1,205 1,177 1,099 1,154 '996 898 893 892 53 42 35 53 39 41 416 292 276 265 273 244 1,739 1,297 1,232 1,108 1,065 1,108 1,443 1,351 r 1,378 1,293 1,353 613 606 365 366 363 363 358 852 ' Seasonally adjusted. 2 Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1989 not comparable with earlier data. r 558 526 538 581 7.4 7.6 7.1 7.5 T.O NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In May, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.9 percent and inventories rose $3.5 billion. In June, according to advance data, retail sales rose 0.5 percent, following a decline of 0.6 percent in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) -^n ,^^\ j^ ' ^ ' 2W 800 220 - ^T 700 •^~~^\ f MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES 600 200 180 - RETAIL INVENTORIES 160 >- .- •** -.,--'"*• 500 f'~ 'f'\ /-"" *•„• — '"" 400 -~v RETAIL SA LES A/ f 120 - MANUFACTUF(ING A ND TRADE S ALES '~*-~f »x""*' ~ 140 100 nii'ilnm iiiulinn - - mnlmn mn'mn IMillliiil RATIO* 1.80 - INVENTORY-SALES RATIO RETAIL: 300 1.60 1.40 •^y\ - '\^^. mulmn mnliim mnlmn Hiiiliini iimSnm 198A 1987 1989 1988 1.00 1990 ii U'l" 1 1 ' 1986 '"-i 1 unI ' 1 1 H I t 1 1 1 1 | | f!111 U11I1 1987 Sales * Inventories 3 I !1 | 1 111111 1 i i 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Sales 2 Inventory-sales ratio 4 Retail Who esale Sales Period - 1989 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufacturing and trade ' *' MANUFACTURING AND TRADE 1.20 200 f Inventories 3 Total z Durable goods stores Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores 61,101 64,939 69,377 73,075 75,738 80,457 85,220 90,678 134,493 147,712 167,748 181,773 186,587 208,112 219,791 235,514 61,469 69,025 79,250 88,464 90,197 105,738 112,254 117,169 90,614 90,646 91,111 91,128 91,727 91,617 92,572 93,121 229,805 231,059 232,127 234,579 236,131 234,942 236,234 235,514 93,660 94,867 94,639 94,266 ''93,601 94,454 233,701 232,000 232,562 232,847 233,701 Nondurable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Manufaeturing and trade ' Retail Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 .. 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 .. 1989: May r 574,516 591,265 646,072 657,753 657,482 704,515 754,267 795,415 96,290 100,324 113,393 114,626 116,151 124.254 135,176 145,683 128,196 130,906 143,557 148,484 154,713 165,271 180,313 188,819 523,520 521,163 516,216 531,599 527,778 525,160 527,948 526,391 779,084 782,288 789,043 791,798 792,119 794,757 798,104 795,415 145,823 145,512 144,856 146,800 146,981 147,921 148,782 149,584 184,224 184,737 186,113 185,730 185,098 188,103 189,057 188,819 528,549 535,996 538,984 533,603 538,270 797,202 794,016 793,669 7,96,050 799,500 151,968 151,620 152,383 151,458 152,390 . 149,877 189,375 149,904 188,847 149,302 189,361 147,886 190,903 193,279 ''147,040 147,824 r July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr r. Mav p June p 20 28.013 32,631 37,938 41,567 45,121 48,051 52,281 53,794 89,114 97,570 107,316 114,642 120,860 128,509 137,500 144,471 .. 348,754 369,136 408,578 419,283 .. 425,371 451,933 490,309 521,934 r 144,626 144,415 145,438 146,649 147,235 145,244 146,340 145,804 r 54,012 53,769 54,327 55,521 55,508 53,627 53,768 52,683 56,217 55,037 54,663 53,620 r 53,439 53,370 r 1 73,024 78,687 88,498 93,309 96,390 102,374 107,537 118,345 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.56 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.50 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.60 117,228 117,826 118,248 119,925 121,048 118,450 118,667 117,169 112,577 113,233 113,879 114,654 115,083 116,492 117,567 118,345 1.49 1.50 1.53 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.62 1.61 1.62 114,194 113,552 113,951 113,730 114,024 119,507 118,448 118,611 119,117 119,677 1.51 1.48 1.47 1.49 1.49 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.59 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In May, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders rose. In June, according to advance data, durable goods shipments rose and new orders fell. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 — SHIPMEh IT^ 200 ~^ —- " 160 --r-^ TOTAL DURABLE G DODS •' _~^* ~* "" 60 DURABLE GOODS rr- 120 \ iimlmu ninliiiii . KIFW ni?nFi?c. 200 ^~ 160 _~—i—'^\ \ 60 r .-— j**.*^ t- *- *'" 2.2Q INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO GOODS V.,/ •"•» •_^*~. ~.^" /\.-s L----\ 2.00 1.80 NONDURAtiLE GOODS 80 Illllllllll RA TIO' TOTAL DURA!iLE 120 ~- ^— • \ | NONDURABLE GOODS niiiltnii uiiiliiin Illllllilll BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 -V 200 160 DURABLE GC 80 440 —INVENTORIES360 280 _ „- -_,.— ."•— - 120 Xx- s—• °*s~~ 1.40 60 iiniliiin limliini niniiiin iiinlnni iiinluin 1986 1987 1988 [\ 1.60 1989 1.20 ^ Ilillllllll 1990 uinhnii miiltnii 1986 1987 Illllllllll IIIIlIlHU 1989 1988 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' shipments l Manufacturers' inventories 2 Manufacturers' ne\v orders l Durable goods Period Total Durable goods 1990 Nondurable goods Durable goods Total Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 2 11011- Manufacturers' inventory — shipments ratio 3 deiense Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar Apr r May" June p J 2 163,350 171,242 187,869 190,016 188,360 199,170 217,632 231,780 233,071 231,236 225,922 238,150 233,562 231,995 232,826 231,003 226,704 234,472 237,299 234,259 238,840 79,352 84,956 96,623 99,019 99,989 103,291 115,684 122,668 122,962 121,720 117,114 128,347 124,393 121,840 123,209 121,998 116,716 123,224 125,089 122,031 r !26,571 127,258 248,273 247,095 245,435 246,609 246,592 125,853 126,074 126,311 125,691 125,928 227,572 231,759 241,071 236,026 241,169 311,827 312,647 334,767 327,496 316,182 331,132 354,163 371,082 200,825 200,406 218,771 214,066 208,313 216,598 233,666 246,222 110,109 109,516 108,808 109,803 109,169 110,155 109,617 109,005 365,055 366,492 370,803 371,489 370,890 371,712 372,813 371,082 109,988 111,248 112,210 112,228 112,269 374,126 373,169 371,746 372,300 372,520 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments art' the End of period. 162,273 174,122 189,791 190,918 188,663 201,966 221,627 235,614 241,689 242,295 245,813 246,378 245,621 246,427 247,610 246,222 111,002 112,241 115,996 1 13,430 107,869 114,534 120,497 124,860 123,366 124,197 124,990 125,111 125,269 125,285 125,203 124,860 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,996 88,371 93,879 101,948 109,112 3 233,753 235,157 230,447 236,793 234,354 234,067 239,710 240,752 78,338 87,600 98,581 99,843 100,166 107,770 119,634 126,557 123,524 125,137 122,031 126,766 125,227 124,262 130,175 131,719 117,909 120,782 128,872 123,609 r 128,827 124,690 Annual data aro averages of i Source: Department of Commer 21,661 22,098 26,243 27,067 26,551 29,707 35,028 38,821 37,290 39,146 41,445 37,130 35,341 35,975 38,901 44,389 38,347 36,094 40,889 36,573 r 36,056 36,158 83,935 86,522 91,209 91,075 88,497 94,197 101,993 109,057 110,229 110,020 108,416 110,027 109,127 109,805 109,535 109,033 109,663 110,977 112,199 112,417 112,342 314,270 349,419 372,586 383,181 387,065 421,243 468,860 514,499 487,913 491,834 496,359 495,002 495,794 497,866 504,750 514,499 515,367 512,654 516,426 518,193 520,522 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.58 1.58 1.57 1.58 1.64 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.65 1.59 1.57 1.59 1.56 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In June, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.2 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.4 percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.4 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.4 percent. INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 FINISHED GOODS PRICES SEASONAL AD.USTED CONSUMER FOODS \%v , » - / 120 120 /,-'"" I -— fs' CAPITAL EQUIPMENT i" '"" 110 /•*"" r — " / / ' * X * ' N 110 V ^/" S,*-*!"*"-** ~*~~" ' 100 S\f^ &$ -Sz^y-' '^^/ — -./""^ TOTAL ^/ \ ^ —*" .'""•" 100 \ ' \.Xa)NSUMER GOC)DS EX CLUDING FOO DS — 90 i.i.iliiiii Mlllllllll 1982 1983 iiinhiin iiinlnin iiiiiluni 1985 1984 — I l l l l i n i i ! Illllllllll 1987 1986 iiinhiin Illllllllll 1989 1990 1988 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 90 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Intermediate materials Finished goods Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period Total finished goods Consumer foods 1989: June July Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb r. Mar . May 1 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 108.0 113.6 114.0 113.6 113.3 114.1 114.7 114.8 115.5 117.7 117.7 117.4 117.1 117.4 117.6 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 112.6 118.7 117.9 118.1 118.5 118.1 119.7 120.7 121.6 124.4 125.3 124.4 123.6 124.3 123.8 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 106.5 111.8 112.7 112.1 111.5 112.8 113.1 112.9 113.5 115.6 115.2 115.1 115.0 115.1 115.6 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.9 97.3 103.8 105.6 104.3 102.7 104.5 105.1 104.4 105.3 109.7 108.5 107.8 107.6 107.7 107.9 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 114.3 118.8 118.8 118.9 119.3 120.1 120.0 120.4 120.7 120.9 121.4 121.7 121.9 121.9 122.4 Total Total 1980 1981 . 1982 1983. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Nondurable Capital equipment Consumer goods 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 103.1 108.9 110.2 109.2 108.2 109.7 110.1 109.7 110.4 113.4 112.7 112.3 112.1 112.2 112.7 Durable 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 113.8 117.6 117.7 117.4 117.8 118.7 118.6 118.7 119.2 118.6 119.0 119.4 119.2 119.3 120.4 Total finished consumer goods 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 106.2 112.1 112.8 112.1 111.6 112.5 113.3 113.3 114.1 117.0 116.8 116.3 115.9 116.2 116.3 Crude materials Foodstuffs Foods Total and Other Total feeds l 90.3 98.6 100.0 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 107.1 112.0 112.3 112.1 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.2 112.2 113.6 112.7 112.8 112.9 112.8 112.6 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 109.5 113.8 111.6 113.2 112.8 112.7 112.5 113.4 113.1 113.3 112.3 112.8 114.2 115.6 114.1 and Other feedstuffs 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 103.0 99.3 101.7 106.9 111.9 112.4 112.0 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.1 112.1 113.6 112.8 112.8 112.8 112.7 112.5 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87,7 93.7 96.0 103.1 103.3 103.5 101.1 102.3 102.6 103.2 104.7 107.0 107.3 106.0 102.7 102.6 100.1 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 106.1 111.2 109.6 108.9 109.7 109.0 109.0 111.4 113.9 114.7 115.4 116.3 115.4 112.5 112.9 84.6 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 85.5 93.4 94.7 95.5 91.3 93.6 94.1 93.5 94.4 97.5 97.5 94.9 90.3 91.9 87.9 CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In June, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.5 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted. The index was 4.7 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 140 140 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 130 130 ^ ^-^ 120 CONSUMER PRICES— ALL ITEMS 120 -^" 110 110 f^~ ^-^ 100 100 ^~ ^^ 90 90 80 80 70 Miiiliiiit Illllllllll 1982 1983 nmlmi! miilnm 1984 I I I I l l l l l U Illllllllll 1985 1986 imilmii iimhim iimlnm 1987 1988 1989 iEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE; DEPARTMEN OF LABOR 70 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Housing All items ' Transportation All Shelter Not Period seasonally adjust- ed (NSA) 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989: July Aue Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Feb Mar May 1 Season- Rent- Food ers' Total ' ally adjust- Total ed 100.0 82.4 909 96 5 996 103.9 107 6 109.6 113.6 1183 124.0 costs (Dec. 1982 = 100) owners' Maintenance costs and (Dec. 1982 = 100) repairs 19.8 42.0 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 118.5 123.0 27.9 81.0 90.5 969 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 127.1 132.8 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 133.6 138.9 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 131.1 137.3 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 114.7 118.0 7.9 Appar- Medi- Ener- and el and other utilities upkeep 7.5 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 104.4 107.8 6.1 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 115.4 118.6 17.1 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 108.7 114.1 4.2 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 116.9 119.2 3.2 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 80.9 88.5 6.2 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 138.6 149.S 7.4 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 89.3 94.3 48.4 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 121.9 127.3 Total ' New cars Motor fuel cal care gy 2 ter, and energy (NSA) 16.3 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 118.2 125.1 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 124.1 124.5 124.5 124.8 125.4 125.8 126.3 125.2 125.6 125.9 126.3 126.8 127.4 128.0 122.6 123.3 123.5 123.7 124.2 124.7 125.2 132.3 133.2 133.5 133.7 134.4 135.0 135.6 138.0 139.6 139.1 138.7 139.8 140.5 141.0 136.9 137.6 138.2 138.7 139.4 140.0 140.6 118.3 118.4 118.5 118.6 118.6 119.3 119.5 107.3 107.8 107.8 108.0 108.1 108.7 109.4 118.9 118.3 116.9 118.6 119.4 119.4 119.0 115.7 115.3 114.2 113.9 114:5 114.6 115.0 119.3 118.8 118.5 118.1 118.8 119.8 120.8 94.6 92.9 88.4 87.1 88.4 86.8 86.3 148.7 149.6 150.8 151.9 153.0 154.2 155.1 96.4 95.9 93.8 93.2 94.1 93.8 94.1 127.4 127.7 127.8 128.3 128.8 129.3 129.7 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 129.9 127.7 128.3 128.9 129.1 129.3 130.0 130.5 131.1 131.5 131.2 131.2 132.2 126.1 126.3 126.9 127.0 127.2 128.0 136.3 136.6 137.6 137.9 138.2 139.5 142.3 143.4 143.8 143.9 143.9 144.5 141.1 141.0 142.4 142.8 143.2 144.8 120.4 120.8 121.2 121.2 122.2 121.8 111.6 110.9 111.0 110.5 110.5 110.3 119.0 122.9 124.9 125.0 124.6 124.5 117.4 117.7 117.6 117.7 117.5 118.0 121.6 121.4 121.2 120.9 120.7 120.5 93.4 93.6 92.2 92.5 91.2 93.2 156.1 157.3 158.5 159.8 161.0 162.1 98.9 98.2 97.4 97.0 96.3 96.9 130.4 131.5 132.2 132.6 132.9 133.2 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.-—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1989. 2 Fuel Home- items less iood, shel- NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeov, and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Change from preceding period . Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Period Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1988 1989 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1,8 -2.3 2,2 4.0 4,9 , _ 11.4 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 14.1 8.6 4.2 Q '.» 2.1 -6.6 4.1 3.1 5.3 O 5.7 5.2 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 2.5 5.2 Change, month to month 0.2 .9 -.9 1.4 .4 4 .6 0.6 .1 .3 .7 — .1 .3 2 5.8 1.8 -2.1 .4 3.9 5.4 5.0 -2.3 11.3 4.5 .7 .5 .1 .6 -0.6 .2 .3 -.3 1.4 .8 .7 -.3 .7 5.5 7.6 12.4 .7 -6.4 -1.8 3.3 5.7 2.6 5.2 4.1 4.4 3.8 3.7 2.0 7.4 4.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 1.6 2.6 4.2 1.9 1.0 -.8 2.9 3.6 6.4 1.9 0 3 -.3 .3 2 2.3 .7 -.7 -.6 .6 -.4 2.7 -.6 -.4 2 .1 .4 .2 .4 2 .2 0 .4 10.9 10.5 6.7 -2.0 -1,0 .7 16.7 16.1 9.5 — 2.5 -3.2 -1.9 12.5 11.4 7.1 -4.5 -1.8 1.4 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 1.7 2.3 7.3 7.9 5.9 4.2 4.6 3.7 11.0 11.8 11.0 6.6 6.1 3.7 0.1 -A 1989' June July o Oct Nov Dec 1990' Jan Feb r Mar r .3 6.1 2.4 4.5 2.0 -.5 .4 4.5 3.6 3.4 4.5 4.5 3.9 3.2 6.1 5.1 4.3 4.6 5.0 4.6 4.9 7.8 8.5 4.8 3.7 4.6 4.2 3.4 3.6 2.7 3.2 2.5 2.8 5.9 5.1 4.4 3.5 3.1 3.1 10.6 lartment of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Transportat on Housing Period All items! Food Total ' h Shelter Total ' Homeowners' costs Renters' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and upkeep Newears Total ' Motor fuel Medical care Ener- gy2 All items less food, shelter, and energy Addendum: All items, percent change (annua rate) From previous quarter 3 From 3 months earlier From 6 months earlier From year earlier NSA Change, December to December, NSA 12.5 8.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 1981 1983 1984 1985 1987 1989 10.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 5.2 5.6 13.7 10.2 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 15.0 9.9 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 3.9 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.9 4.6 5.3 4.7 5.1 13.8 14.4 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 2.9 3.2 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .8 4.8 4.7 1.0 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 3.0 4.0 7.4 18.8 6.8 9.4 1.0 -6.5 3.4 — 1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 2.1 -2.1 2.3 6.8 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.8 7.7 5.8 6.9 8.5 18.0 11.9 1.3 9.8 9.4 6 1 — .5 2 1.8 -19.7 8.2 5 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 5.1 4.1 13.5 10.3 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 47 Change, month to month 1989: 1990: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June 0.2 .3 0 2 .5 .3 .4 1.1 .5 .5 .2 .2 .5 1 2 0.2 .3 _2 .3 .4 .5 .5 2.0 .5 .3 9 0 .8 0.3 .8 2 .2 .4 .4 .4 .2 .5 .1 .2 .6 0.5 .7 .1 .5 .4 .4 0.4 1.2 — .4 -.3 .8 .5 .4 .5 _2 .7 .9 .8 .3 .1 .2 .9 0 .4 0.4 .5 .4 .4 .5 A .4 -0.2 .5 0 2 .1 .6 .6 -0.5 — .5 -1.2 1.5 .7 0 -.3 -0.1 -.3 — 1.0 -.3 .5 .1 .3 -0.2 -.4 -.3 -.3 .6 .8 .8 -0.7 -1.8 -4.8 -1.5 1.5 — 1.8 -.6 0.7 .6 .8 .7 .7 .8 .6 -0.6 — .5 — 2.2 -.6 1.0 — .3 .3 0.2 2 .1 .4 .4 .4 .3 4 — .1 1.0 .3 .3 1.1 2.0 -.6 .1 -.5 0 -.2 0 3.3 1.8 .1 -.3 -.1 2.1 .3 -.1 .1 __2 .4 .7 g g __2 -.2 -.2 8.2 2 -1.5 .3 -1.4 22 .6 .8 .8 .8 .8 .7 5.1 .5 .8 .5 .3 _2 2 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., also included through 1982. 9A 3 -.8 — .4 -.7 -.6 8.0 2.9 3'.9" 8.2 3.8 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5.3 4.0 •> 3 2.3 2.9 4.2 4.9 5.7 5.2 4.3 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.6 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 7.5 8.2 8.5 4.5 3.2 3.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.0 5.6 5.9 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.7 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in July were unchanged from their June level. Prices paid by farmers in July were percent above their April level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) INDEX, 1977 =100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 100 100 80 80 RATION 140 120 RATIO^ 140 - 120 - RATIO 100 80 60 ^————^_^—-^-——1 f L1 1 1 11 1 11 1 1 1 1982 . __ 100 \ ^-^r^—^-r—— ~ 80 - [ 1 1 j j 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 j ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! II 1984 1985 1983 imilitm 1986 1 1! ! 1 1 1 M 1 1 1987 mimim 1988 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 60 1989 1990 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEES [1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted] p Pr Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989- July Sept Oct Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar July Al! farm products Livestock and products Crops All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates l 139 133 135 142 128 123 126 138 147 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 127 134 143 145 141 148 136 138 146 150 160 147 145 143 145 147 149 137 128 126 127 128 127 157 161 160 162 165 169 178 (3) 154 152 150 151 154 151 151 136 133 128 131 134 129 131 172 169 171 Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates 150 159 161 164 162 153 162 169 177 (31 Ratio 2 Production items 151 158 159 161 156 150 151 160 167 148 ego 153 152 155 151 144 147 157 165 84 84 87 79 77 78 82 83 168 166 83 81 80 81 83 84 3 178 ( ) 166 ( ) 165 (3) (3) <3) 181 170 168 3 no ( ) 183 173 173 171 (3) 184 3 ( ) ni3 (3 ) () 171 3 3 ( ) 169 (3) 170 85 84 83 83 84 83 82 Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES M2 rose slightly in June and M3 fell slightly. Both aggregates had declined in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILUONS OF DOIURS*{RATIO SCALE) 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 4,800 4,400 4,000 3,600 M3 3,200 3,200 2,800 2,800 •M2\ 2,400 2,400 2,000 2000 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 800 800 600 400 I n i i i l i n n iimlimi imilmn imihim imilimi mnlmii 400 1988 1985 1983 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS • AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE- BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Period 1980' 1981' 1982' 1983' Dec Dec Dec Dec 1985' 1986' 1987" 1988' 1989- Dec Dec Dec Dec Pec 1989' June July Oct Dec 1990' Jan r Feb ' Mar r May r Tune p Ml M2 M3 Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight RPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances {general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-onlv MMMF balances 408.9 436.5 474.5 521.2 552.1 620.1 724.7 750.4 787.5 794.8 1,629.9 1,793.5 1,953.1 2,186.5 2,371.6 2,570.6 2,814.2 2,913.2 3,072.4 3,221.0 1,987.5 2,234.2 2,441.9 2,693.4 2,982.8 3,202.1 3,494.5 3,678.7 3,918.4 r 4,042.0 2,324.2 a!.596.8 2,851.6 3,154.7 3,524.1 3,829.5 4,135.5 4,338.7 4,676.0 '4,879.2 3,873.2 4,260.3 4,651.3 5,176.7 5,924.0 6,732.8 7,588.3 8,307.5 9,062.0 9,777.6 6.8 6.7 8.7 9.8 5.9 12.3 16.9 3.5 4.9 .9 8.9 10.0 8.9 12.0 8.5 8.4 9.5 3.5 5.5 4.8 10.2 12.4 9.3 10.3 10.7 7.4 9.1 5.3 6.5 r 3.2 9.5 10.0 9.2 11.3 14.4 13.7 12.7 9.5 9.1 7.9 773.7 779.1 780.4 782.9 788.1 789.4 794.8 3,101.6 3,127.0 3,146.7 3,163.3 3,181.4 3,200.6 3,221.0 3,984.9 4,007.2 '4,012.2 r 4,012.3 r 4,016.5 '4,029.0 r 4,04:2.0 '4,784.4 '4,810.1 '4,824.5 '4,830.7 '4,840.2 '4,856.4 '4,879.2 9,414.9 9,465.6 9,529.1 9,585.2 9,654.8 9,732.4 9,777.6 -3.5 -1.7 -1.6 1.5 3.4 5.5 1.9 3.5 4.5 4.9 6.0 7.5 7.7 3.4 4.1 3.8 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.7 8.0 7.7 794.8 801.4 804.8 807.4 805.5 809.6 3,229.3 3,252.4 3,266.2 3,271.8 3,264.6 3,269.9 4,044.6 4,058.6 4,061.5 4,065.1 4,055.7 4,055.0 4,880.7 4,890.2 4,908.3 4,917.9 4,889,3 9,825.9 9,889.9 9,953.0 10,005.3 10,057.4 4.0 5.4 5.6 4.9 4.1 3.7 6.5 6.7 6.5 5.7 4.0 3.0 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.3 .6 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.3 6.7 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli- 26 L M3 plus other liquid assets Debt Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors (monthly average) 1 Percent change from year or 6 months earlier 2 Ml er at a simple annual rate. NOTE.—See p, 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Systerr M2 M3 Debt COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Currency Demand deposits Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars Money market mutual fund balances l General purpose and broker/ dealer Institution only Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Savings deposits Small denomination time deposits 2 Large denomination time deposits 2 NSA Term repurchase agreements (EPs) Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA Savings bonds Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances Commercial paper 1980: Dec 1981- Dee 1982: Dec 1983- Dec 1984: Dec 1985: Dec 1986: Dec 1987: Dec. 1988: Dec 1989: Dec 115.3 122.6 132.5 146.2 156.0 167.8 180.6 196.7 211.8 221.9 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.5 243.9 266.8 302.1 287.0 287.0 279.7 28.0 78.2 103.6 131.6 146.9 179.6 235.5 259.7 281.3 285.7 28.8 36.6 39.9 55.6 60.6 73.5 82.3 83.2 83.3 76.8 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.8 168.2 177.2 208.7 222.0 240.9 312.4 15.2 38.0 51.1 42.8 62.1 63.9 83.8 89.0 87.1 102.3 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.0 571.0 523.8 500.3 483.7 400.1 343.8 356.7 305.4 285.1 301.2 370.1 414.9 427.8 409.0 728.5 823.2 851.0 784.1 886.8 884.0 856.2 917.8 1,031.0 1,142.3 260.4 303.0 327.2 327.6 417.4 437.0 439.8 488.8 541.1 558.3 33.5 35.3 33.4 49.9 57.6 62.4 80.5 106.1 121.7 94.9 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.5 83.8 91.0 106.0 '81.4 72.3 67.8 68.0 71.1 74.2 79.5 91.8 100.6 109.3 117.5 133.5 149.4 183.6 211.9 260.9 298.3 280.8 254.2 272.0 r 330.6 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 42.1 37.2 44.8 40.6 41.2 98.8 105.3 113.7 133.2 160.8 207.5 231.1 260.4 335.6 347.9 1989: June July 217.2 217.8 218.6 219.3 220.0 220.4 221.9 276.3 279.6 278.5 278.1 280.0 278.8 279.7 273.0 274.5 276.0 278.4 280.8 282.8 285.7 79.6 80.9 78.3 74.8 75.3 74.9 76.8 268.3 277.7 287.8 295.9 302.7 309.0 312.4 96.3 99.0 101.4 101.6 101.1 101.1 102.3 460.9 463.9 468.2 471.9 475.3 480.8 483.7 403.4 403.3 404.0 405.5 406.1 407.9 409.0 1,114.0 1,122.4 1,130.0 1,132.6 1,135.9 1,138.5 1,142.3 574.9 574.7 570.5 565.6 562.7 561.0 558.3 128.4 123.8 116.9 112.9 108.3 107.2 94.9 93.4 91.8 '89.8 r 85.6 r 80.2 '79.5 '81.4 113.6 114.3 115.0 115.7 116.2 116.8 117.5 '295.2 '297.2 r 300.3 '311.5 '317.6 r 318.8 r 330.6 41.2 41.9 42.6 41.0 40.0 40.5 41.2 349.4 349.5 354.3 350.3 350.0 351.3 347.9 224.6 226.6 228.4 230.1 231.6 233.4 277.3 280.2 279.3 277.8 274.6 274.5 285.4 287.0 289.5 291.8 291.6 294.0 80.7 81.3 80.7 '78.1 81.0 77.3 318.1 324.5 325.0 324.8 319.4 321.0 103.2 103.7 105.4 106.8 107.3 107.3 485.0 489.4 494.9 498.9 500.2 501.4 410.2 413.6 414.6 415.8 415.1 415.9 1,142.5 1,141.2 1,143.8 1,144.1 1,145.2 1,143.5 554.2 '549.6 543.6 537.6 534.6 531.7 91.5 94.9 93.1 92.7 93.0 94.6 '74.3 '68.5 '66.5 '65.9 68.1 64.5 117.7 '334.3 118.2 '330.3 119.1 '348.0 119.9 339.7 120.7 327.7 40.7 38.3 37.0 '35.7 35.2 343.3 344.7 342.7 '357.5 349.9 Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar May ' June p 1 Data prior to 1983 are not seasonally adjusted. Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. 2 thecks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown NOTE.—Travi here. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE [Averages of daily figures 1 ; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (NSA) Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements Reserves of depository institutions Period Total 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 19851986: 1987: 1988: 1989: Nonborrowed Nonborrowed plus extended credit Required Monetary base Total Seasonal Extended credit Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 33,401 35,315 37,388 39,184 42,235 48,373 58,023 58,593 60,593 60,033 31,711 34,679 36,754 38,410 39,049 47,055 57,197 57,815 58,877 59,767 31,714 34,827 36,940 38,412 41,653 47,554 57,499 58,298 60,121 59,787 32,887 34,996 36,888 38,623 41,380 47,336 56,653 57,546 59,545 59,110 152,525 160,936 172,947 188,275 201,673 219,350 241,427 258,055 275,238 284,946 1,690 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 1,716 265 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 130 84 3 148 186 2 2,604 499 303 483 1,244 20 1989: June July 58,597 58,867 58,906 59,289 59,640 59,646 60,033 57,107 58,173 58,231 58,596 59,085 59,297 59,767 58,024 58,279 58,272 58,618 59,106 59,318 59,787 57,692 57,901 58,021 58,351 58,620 58,701 59,110 279,020 279,957 280,756 281,806 282,786 283,222 284,946 1,490 694 675 693 555 349 265 431 497 490 452 330 134 84 917 106 41 22 21 21 20 59,896 60,215 60,297 60,275 59,783 59,732 59,456 58,768 58,173 58,647 58,448 58,851 59,482 59,302 60,123 60,051 59,324 59,196 58,880 59,227 59,436 59,379 58,820 58,958 287,509 289,714 291,820 293,540 294,401 296,270 440 1,448 2,124 1,628 1,335 881 47 51 78 122 244 311 26 535 1,950 1,403 875 346 Sept Oct.. . Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar May ' June p 1 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Rest e System BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.4 percent in June. Commercial and industrial loans rose 0.5 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,800 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,400 2,800 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 ' \ LOANS AND LEASES 1,700 1,200 800 'iOO 400 400 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES \ .—- 200 200 T 160 160 "OTHER SECURITIES' iimhmi LLLL 12C 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1988 1987 1989 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 120 1990 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted M All commercial banks Loans and leases Total Period securities 2 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1989: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1990: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav June " .. 1,307.3 1,400.5 1,552.3 1,722.5 1,910.1 2,094.2 2,239.5 2,422.2 2,582.6 2,496.0 2,512.4 2,527.4 2,538.9 2,563.3 2,579.0 2,582.6 2,585.8 2,603.8 2,623.8 2,635.0 2,644.1 2,662.0 U.S. Government securities 179.3 201.7 259.2 260.2 270.6 309.3 334.4 361.4 394.5 373.7 374.0 375.5 378.1 389.9 394.8 394.5 402.4 412.2 418.9 422.7 427.9 438.8 Other securities 160.5 164.8 169.2 141.1 179.3 194.2 193.8 192.2 180.3 187.3 186.3 183.8 183.1 180.9 179.3 180.3 180.2 180.1 180.2 180.8 179.2 178.5 Total z 967.5 1,034.0 1,123.9 1,321.3 1,460.3 1,590.6 1,711.2 1,868.6 2,007.9 1,935.0 1,952.1 1,968.2 1,977.7 1,992.5 2,004.9 2,007.9 2,003.2 2,011.6 2,024.7 2,031.6 2,037.0 2,044.7 Commercial and industrial 355.4 392.5 414.2 473.3 500.5 537.5 567.9 607.0 642.9 627.1 631.8 636.1 637.7 641.9 645.9 642.9 639.0 637.9 642.8 648.2 647.9 651.2 included* in loans nither than in other securities. 28 Real estate Individual Security Nonbank financial Agricultural subdivisions institutions 284.1 299.9 330.9 376.4 426.0 494.4 587.4 671.9 756.4 713.0 720.1 727.7 735.8 742.6 749.2 756.4 759.6 768.1 774.4 779.4 787.5 793.7 182.5 188.2 212.9 253.8 294.7 315.3 328.4 355.0 375.9 363.8 365.8 367.5 370.3 372.6 374.6 375.9 377.9 378.9 379.2 377.8 379.2 377.9 21.4 25.3 28.0 34.3 43.0 40.6 35.1 40.4 39.6 40.6 40.1 39.0 39.7 41.2 41.5 39.6 40.1 41.1 38.3 37.0 35.7 36.1 29.9 31.2 30.4 31.3 32.4 35.0 31.9 30.1 32.7 30.5 31.3 31.5 31.8 33.2 33.7 32.7 32.3 33.0 r 34.2 r 34.3 ' 33.8 33.6 State and political 33.1 36.2 39.2 40.1 36.1 31.5 29.4 29.8 30.3 30.0 30.0 29.9 29.6 | 29.6 29.9 30.3 | 30.9 31.0 r 31.2 r ,31.4 31.2 32.0 0.0 .0 3.3 46.1 56.8 58.5 52.6 45.6 40.1 42.8 42.5 42.2 41.7 41.3 40.8 40.1 38.6 38.9 38.4 38.2 37.9 37.4 Foreign official institutions Lease financing receivables 18.1 7.2 14.6 13.4 11.2 9.8 9.9 7.9 8.1 8.6 7.9 7.9 8.1 7.5 8.5 8.0 8.6 7.9 7.8 8.4 9.0 8.8 7.5 5.9 12.7 13.3 13.7 16.0 19.0 22.4 24.6 29.2 31.4 30.2 30.7 31.0 31.3 31.7 31.6 31.4 31.6 31.6 31.8 31.6 31.8 31.5 Foreign banks 9.4 7.9 6.0 5.9 5.3 5.0 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.1 Other 23.1 26.9 31.8 31.0 35.9 39.6 40.7 46.4 46.4 44.8 47.7 51.0 48.0 46.0 46.0 46.4 42.1 40.2 42.9 r 41.6 r 40.0 40.7 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Uses Sources lixternal Period Securities and mortgages Total Total 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Increase in Capital C edit market fu nds Loans and short-term paper Other 2 tures 3 (sources less assets 323 7 323 3 377.4 303 0 419.2 495.0 457.3 510 7 486.3 498.4 516 2 197 6 200 1 2395 242 3 285 7 336.3 352.3 344 9 352 6 372 5 369 7 126 1 123 1 137.9 60 7 133 5 158.7 105.0 165 8 133 6 1259 146 5 60 3 70 7 91.8 50 3 78 3 95.1 50.9 123 0 690 67.0 65 3 90 30 5 25.4 — 17 44.6 — 9.1 -3.0 58 9 38 1 — 2.3 — 13 0 51 3 65 8 40 2 66.4 520 33.7 104.2 53.9 640 309 69.3 78 3 52 5 46.0 10 4 55.2 63.6 54.1 42 9 64.6 58.9 81 2 368 3 341 6 382.9 302 7 392.0 473.0 422.9 448 2 453.9 473.4 479.1 238 6 243 2 285.9 255.7 269.9 367.9 339.9 32« 8 348.3 380.4 384 7 129 8 98 4 97.0 47 0 122.1 105.1 83.0 119 3 105.6 92.9 94.4 — 44 6 18 3 -5.6 .3 27.2 22.0 34.4 62 6 32.4 25.0 37.2 III IV 523 5 482.3 372 3 381 6 151 2 100 7 77 0 14.4 33 7 — 80.9 43 3 95.3 74 2 86.2 500.8 447.7 390 1 391.8 110.8 55.9 22.7 34.6 1989: I II III IV 489.5 573 8 481.3 520.4 361.9 364 8 376 1 376 2 127.6 209 0 105 2 144.2 8.2 144 9 29 9 78.0 — 68.4 31 4 43 5 28.2 76.6 1135 734 49.8 119.3 640 75.2 66.2 457.8 535 6 4385 484.2 376.0 388 8 388.6 385.3 81.8 146 8 49.9 98.9 31.7 38 1 42.7 36.2 1990: I " 504.7 364 1 1406 78 8 66.4 61.8 478.1 351.8 126.3 26.6 1988- 12.4 jid minnral rights from (LS. CONSUMER [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in installment credit outstanding l Installment credit outstanding (end of period) Period Total Automobile Revolving Mobile home Other Total Automobile Revolving Mobile home Other Dec Dec Dec Dec . . Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 2 298,154 311,259 325,805 368,966 442,602 518,252 573,017 610,468 664,701 716,624 111,991 119,008 125,945 143,560 173,564 210,187 247,428 265,851 284,556 290,770 55,111 61,070 66,454 79,088 100,280 121,816 135,851 153,078 174,057 197,110 18,736 20,058 22,064 23,562 25,861 26,850 27,096 25,920 25,201 22,343 112,317 111,124 110,802 122,756 142,897 159,400 162,642 165,620 180,887 206,401 1,671 13,105 14,546 43,161 73,636 75,650 54,765 37,451 54,233 (3) -484 7,017 6,937 17,615 30,004 36,623 37,241 18,423 18,705 (3) 1,754 5,959 5,384 12,634 21,192 21,536 14,035 17,227 20,979 (3) 529 1,322 2,546 958 2,299 989 246 -1,176 -719 (3) -127 -1,193 -322 11,954 20,141 16,503 3,242 2,978 15,267 (3) 1989: May2 June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 695,627 697,262 700,000 703,518 705,703 710,133 713,903 716,624 290,954 290,583 289,882 289,961 288,839 290,210 290,972 290,770 182,847 184,239 186,284 189,185 190,378 191,734 194,679 197,110 23,505 23,309 23,240 22,734 22,661 22,621 22,197 22,343 198,320 199,130 200,594 201,638 203,825 205,568 206,055 206,401 4,195 1,635 2,739 3,518 2,185 4,430 3,769 2,722 941 -371 -701 79 -1,122 1,371 761 -202 1,749 1,392 2,045 2,900 1,194 1,356 2,944 2,431 98 -196 -69 -506 -73 -40 — 424 146 1,406 810 1 .463 1,044 2,187 1,743 487 346 1990: 717,829 717,869 720,445 720,835 724,745 290,904 289,629 290,932 288,936 288,849 199,146 199,927 202,263 203,965 207,104 22,604 22,633 22,708 22,702 23,027 205,175 205,680 204,543 205,232 205,765 1,205 40 2,576 390 3,910 134 — 1,275 1,303 -1,996 -87 2,036 781 2,336 1,702 3,138 261 29 74 -6 325 — 1,226 505 -1,137 689 533 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1988: 1989- Jan Feb Mar r Apr T May p jiy series between December 1988 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates fell in July. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM SOURCE SEE TABLE BELOW [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 3-month bills (new issues) 1 Constant maturities 2 •3-year 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor's) 3 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) " Prime commercial paper, 6 months * Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 5 Prime rate charged by banks 5 New-home mortgage yields (FIIFB) e 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 6.69 8.12 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 8.26 8.55 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 8.85 8.49 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 9.18 7.38 7.73 7.76 7.24 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 9.71 9.26 14.76 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 7.68 8.80 13.42 11.02 8.50 8.80 7.69 6.33 5.66 6.20 6.93 18.87 14,86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.21 9.32 10.87 14.70 15.14 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.19 10.13 7.92 7.91 7.72 7.63 7.65 7.64 7.83 8.13 8.26 8.02 7.80 7.77 8.02 8.11 8.19 8.01 7.87 7.84 6.97 7.08 7.27 7.22 7.13 7.01 8.93 8.96 9.01 8.92 8.89 8.86 8.35 8.32 8.50 8.24 8.00 7.93 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 11.00-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.50-10.50 10.48 10.22 10.24 10.11 10.09 10.07 1990- Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July p 7.64 7.76 7.87 7.78 7.78 7.74 7.66 8.13 8.39 8.63 8.78 8.69 8.40 8.26 8.21 8.47 8.59 8.79 8.76 8.48 8.47 7.13 7.21 7.29 7.36 7.34 7.22 7.15 8.99 9.22 9.37 9.46 9.47 9.26 9.24 7.96 8.04 8.23 8.29 8.23 8.06 7.90 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 10.50-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.10 9.91 9.88 10.03 10.17 10.28 10.13 Week ended: 1990: July 7 14 21 28 Aug 4 7.73 7.81 7.62 7.49 7.50 8.33 8.39 8.23 8.21 8.44 8.53 8.47 8.48 7.18 7.16 7.13 7.14 9.23 9.26 9.24 9.26 8.03 8.03 7.85 7.78 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00-7.00 7.00- 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00-10.00 10.00- 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989- July Autr Sept Oct Dec 1 Bank-discount basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Series "excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 2 30 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and cl ing rate for month and week, Effective rate (in the primary market) on conve tional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as rell as contract rate and assumed, on the average -ment at end of 10 years. 6 Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of I overnors of the Federal Reserve System, Feder,! Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Ser e, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices rose sharply in the first 3 weeks of July and then declined. INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE) CALE INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS 240 220 200 180 160 24C 22C COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX /~-S \ (NYSE) 140 18( ., ^ \ 16C S~^~^~^ W 14C 12C r-s^/ 100 / 80 40 f y"~ ~ 120 60 20( •/ —~~~l^r-/~ 1 IOC N-W— 80 ^J 60 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 i 11 I I ! II t I I 1 I 1 1982 t 1 1 1 1 t ! 1 I 1 M I 1 1 1 I 1 I 1 1! [ f 1 1 1 ! 1 I t 1 ! 1 1 I! 1 I I 1 I1 1 1983 1985 1984 1986 1987 1988 1 11 1 11 1 1 1 11 1989 T 1 1 1 1 11 1 | \ | PERCENT PERCENT 20 20 15 15 ' ^^ EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS 10 10 ^ 5 1 0 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1983 I i 1 1984 SOURCES, NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE A ND STANDARD & POC _^ —^T-^^—^ i i i i l l 1985 ri i ^ i 1986 1987 Period Composite 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1989- July Aug Oct Nov Dec 1990- Jan Feb Mar July" Week ended: 1990: June 30 July 7 14 21 28 1 3 4 5 1 1 1988 1 1 1 1989 1 1 1 1990 0 Transportation Utility Finance Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143 = 1 0) 4 Common stock5 vields (percent) Dividendprice ratio 74.02 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 149.91 180.02 85.44 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 180.95 216.23 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 134.12 175.28 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 71.77 87.43 73.52 71.99 95.34 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 127.26 151.88 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 2,060.82 2,508.91 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 3.64 3.45 185.15 192.94 193.02 192.49 188.50 192.67 221.74 231.32 230.86 229.40 224.38 230.12 179.32 197.52 202.02 190.36 174.26 177.25 90.40 92.91 93.44 94.67 94.95 99.73 157.78 164.86 165.51 166.55 160.89 155.63 2,554.03 2,691.11 2,693.41 2,692.01 2,642.49 2,728.47 331.93 346.61 347.33 347.40 340.22 348.57 3.38 3.28 3.29 3.29 3.39 3.33 187.96 182.55 186.26 185.61 191.35 196.68 196.60 225.79 220.60 226.14 226.86 234.85 242.42 245.86 173.67 166.69 175.08 173.54 173.53 177.37 173.18 95.69 92.15 93.00 91.92 93.29 93.65 89.85 150.11 142.68 143.14 138.57 142.94 147.93 143.11 2,679.24 2,614.18 2,700.13 2,708.26 2,793.81 2,894.82 2,934.24 339.97 330.45 338.47 338.18 350.25 360.39 360.03 3.41 3.54 3.49 3.51 3.44 3.36 3 37 193.92 195.77 197.55 199.50 194.33 240.15 243.17 246.93 250.30 243.54 171.86 172.20 175.02 176.97 170.84 91.50 91.46 90.30 89.65 88.30 143.76 144.43 144.06 145.17 140.59 2,861.78 2,898.76 2,937.52 2,987.23 2,915.49 355.03 358.45 362.00 365.52 355.51 3.42 3.37 3.36 3.34 3.41 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the" stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. Includes 500 stocks. Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wedne; 5 1 J »2 New York Stock Exchange indexes (J Industrial •^__1 R'S CORPORATION Common stock prices 2 40 1990 Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.48 8.01 r 7.41 6.79 r 6.47 6.37 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 9 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $163.1 billion, compared with a deficit of $105.4 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,300 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!' 1,300 1,200 1,200 OUTLAYS.!/ 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 RECEIPTS!' 800 800 700 700 600 600 SURPLUS OR DEFICIT Ml/ - -100 -100 - \^ ___ A 1/1982 i i 1983 ' ^•^ -200 i ~' 1984 1 1985 i "" i 1986 1987 --^^ i 1988 .-- i " 1989 i 1990 IS -200 199lN FISCAL YEARS V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total Fiscal year or period Receipts Outlays Receipts Outlays Gross Federal debt (end of period) Off-budget On-budget Surplus or deficit (-) Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Total Held by the public 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 .. 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984. 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 73 7 -14.7 53 6 -59.2 402 -73.8 78 9 -127.9 207 8 - 185.3 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 -70.5 -13.3 -49.7 -54.9 -38.2 72 7 -73.9 120 0 -208.0 185 6 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 98.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -1.4 -3.9 -4.3 20 — 1.1 -5.0 -7.9 .2 .3 629.0 643.6 706.4 776.6 828.9 908.5 994.3 1,136.8 1,371.2 1,564.1 477.4 495.5 549.1 607.1 639.8 709.3 784.8 919.2 1,131.0 1,300.0 1985... . 1986 1987.. . 1988 1989 1990 (estimates) 1 1991 (estimates) 1 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,044.2 1,135.4 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,264.3 1,311.7 -212.3 — 221.2 -149.7 -155.1 152 0 -220.1 176 3 547.9 568.9 640.7 667.5 727.0 762.8 823.2 769.5 806.8 810.0 861.4 931.7 1,038.8 1,076.3 221 6 -237.9 169 3 -193.9 204 7 -276.0 253 1 186.2 200.2 213.4 241.5 263.7 281.5 312.1 176.8 183.5 193.8 202.7 210.9 225.5 235.4 9.4 16.7 19.6 38.8 52.8 56.0 76.8 1,817.0 2,120.1 2,345.6 2,600.8 2,866.2 3,206.1 3,521.5 1,499.4 1,736.2 1,888.1 2,050.2 2,189.3 2,399.0 2,573.0 749.1 777.7 854.5 940.8 1054 -163.1 548.5 564.5 701.2 777.1 -152.7 212 6 200.6 213.2 153.3 163.7 47.3 49.5 2,809.1 3,121.1 2,150.8 2,346.0 32 Cumulative total, first 9 months: 2 Fiscal year 1989 Fiscal year 1990.... 1 Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget July 16, 1990. 2 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. 32 NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 9 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $28.6 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $86.3 billion higher. BILLIO NS OF DOLLARS 500 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS'' 400 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES 300 _^.._.. _ _ —— ""' ~- - .«•— •—— 500 ...—**-- 400 .. — •-"""* x. 300 SOCIAL INSURANCE TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 200 —• CORPORATION INCOME TAXES \ OTHER RECEIPTS 200 100 100 i 0 r i i i i i i i 0 1,000 1,000 ^p** *" 900 NONDEFEMSE 800 \ -~ "" ~* 800 „———"" 700 „----•"'" 600 600 — ••»"""""" 500 500 400 400 NATIONAL DbhtNbb 300 300 • ___ 200 A T V 1982 1 1983 ' 1 1984 I 1985 1 1986 1 1987 1 1988 1 1989 1 1990 N 200 1991 ~^l FISCAL YEARS / INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT Of THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget outlays On-budget and off-budget receipts Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 131.6 157.6 181.0 217.8 244.1 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 41.4 54.9 60.0 65.7 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 157.8 182.7 201.5 209.0 239.4 34.3 36.6 37.7 40.8 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 371.8 409.2 458.7 503.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 134.0 157.5 185.3 209.9 227.4 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.0 990.7 1,044.2 1,135.4 334.5 349.0 392.6 401.2 445.7 476.1 508.4 61.3 63.1 83.9 94.5 103.6 98.2 115.1 265.2 283.9 303.3 334.3 359.4 380.2 418.1 73.0 73.1 74.3 78'.9 82.0 89.7 93.8 946.3 990.3 1,003.8 1,064.0 1,142.6 1,264.3 1,311.7 749.1 777.7 334.4 350.3 79.9 72.5 273.7 287.4 61.2 67.6 854.5 940.8 Fiscal year Total 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Cumulative total, first 9 months: 2 Fiscal year 1989 *See footnote 1, page 32. 2 Data from Monthly Treasury Statement. Nationa defense Other Income security Social security Net interest Other 15.8 19.3 22.8 26.5 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 26.7 29.9 35.4 42.6 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 82.8 93.0 114.7 119.6 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 48.4 58.2 66.2 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 85.0 96.9 99.6 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.3 136.0 148.5 160.5 188.6 198.8 207.4 219.3 232.5 248.7 266.9 129.4 136.0 138.6 151.7 169.1 181.4 193.7 131.8 142.1 125.9 139.4 158.4 215.3 203.3 36.6 42.6 62.2 71.6 103.2 112.8 174.2 186.0 125.6 135.4 117.6 155.2 International affairs Health 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 130.9 153.9 180.7 204.4 220.9 6.4 6.4 7.5 7.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 15.7 17.3 18.5 20.5 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 252.7 273.4 282.0 290.4 303.6 299.8 303.3 245.2 265.5 274.0 281.9 294.9 290.2 292.2 16.2 14.2 11.6 10.5 9.6 15.5 18.2 227.7 226.5 221.3 219.4 7.5 10.7 Total Total Department of Defense, military Medicare NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1991, January 1990, except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter of 1990, Federal receipts rose $24.9 billion (annual rate) and expenditures rose $43.0 billion. In the second quarter, according to advance estimates, expenditures rose $8.3 billion; receipts data are incomplete. (Series revised.) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 - 600 -200 -200 1982 1990 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government expenditures Federal Governmen receipts Period Total Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Total Purchases of goods and services Transfer payments Grantsin-aid to State and local governments Subsidies less Net current intersurplus of est Governpaid ment | enterprises Less: Wage accruals less disbursements Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Fiscal vear: 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 r r r Calendar year: 1985...". 1986 1987 T 1988 r 1989 r 1982: IV 1983- IV 1984- IV.... 19851986: 1987: 1988: 1989: 1990: IV IV IV r IV r IT II r Ill r IV Ir II * 776.8 815.2 899.4 957.6 1,041.9 340.4 357.0 400.8 411.3 457.6 74.6 81.1 99.1 108.1 113.8 55.9 50.9 53.5 55.6 57.8 305.8 326.1 345.9 382.6 412.6 962.3 1,028.0 1,060.0 1,101.8 1,172.2 341.5 788.7 827.9 346.4 361.4 405.8 415.1 464.0 303.0 291.9 326.0 355.3 376.2 419.2 424.8 453.1 470.9 462.2 469.6 473.6 489.4 76.3 83.8 103.2 110.5 110.4 46.4 70.2 69.7 78.8 88.9 107.4 115.4 120.7 115.0 104.7 101.3 106.5 55.1 50.5 54.0 57.0 58.4 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.5 50.8 55.1 57.8 57.6 58.0 59.3 58.7 60.6 60.7 310.9 332.1 350.8 389.8 420.1 236.1 259.8 290.7 317.7 337.9 358.4 399.6 413.9 418.4 421.9 426.1 439.9 443.5 985.6 1,034.8 1,071.9 1,114.2 1,187.2 835.7 844.7 930.2 1,017.5 1,042.8 1,101.7 1,153.8 355.2 366.5 399.9 381.3 414.0 380.3 400.0 293.2 438.9 326.0 376.6 368.8 388.2 385.8 405.8 401.1 447.2 1,178.0 1,184.9 1,179.8 1,205.8 398.3 402.5 399.2 399.9 1,248.8 1,257.1 420.7 460.6 464.7 474.4 487.9 503.4 503.4 913.8 972.4 1,052.9 633.1 675.5 742.7 805.3 853.8 940.0 997.5 1,045.4 1,062.2 1,048.1 1,055.7 1,080.6 niruj 1WS7. See Surrey of Currriil liu. 34 368.6 375.4 377.8 399.0 276.1 410.6 374.0 394.6 411.1 433.2 462.0 380.1 471.9 347.4 352.5 362.1 421.4 97.8 107.4 103.1 108.3 115.8 128.3 134.6 139.3 148.8 167.7 20.7 22.8 31.1 33.6 27.7 99.7 106.8 102.6 111.1 118.2 84.5 86.0 96.3 103.5 103.0 102.7 112.2 116.7 117.0 117.6 121.5 128.5 126.5 130.1 135.6 142.3 151.3 172.0 87.2 101.0 125.3 132.7 136.0 147.6 157.9 167.4 173.4 172.1 175.2 178.1 182.7 20.3 26.0 31.8 32.7 25.0 23.4 29.1 21.0 19.0 29.2 41.5 35.3 35.0 27.3 16.5 21.3 28.3 23.7 •e, Bureau of Kconomi. -0.1 .0 .1 — .1 .0 9 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 _9 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 — 185.5 — 212.8 — 160.7 — 144.1 — 130.3 — 196.9 — 206.9 -158.2 — 141.7 -134.3 -202.6 — 169.2 — 187.5 212.2 -189.0 -161.7 — 156.3 -132.6 -122.7 -131.7 -150.1 -168.3 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Industrial production 1987=100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 . 1987 1988.. . 1989" 1989- Mar Apr Mav Sept Oct Nov . Dec 1 Japan France Germany 84.1 85.7 81.9 84.9 92.8 94.4 95.3 100.0 105.4 108.1 81.6 83.3 75.2 80.0 89.7 94.7 94.7 100.0 106.2 107.4 81.7 82.6 82.9 85.5 93.4 96.8 96.6 100.0 109.3 115.7 98.0 97.0 96.0 96.0 97.0 97.0 98.0 100.0 104.5 109.0 95.0 93.2 90.3 90.9 93.5 97.7 99.6 100.0 r 103.6 108.7 96.2 94.8 91.8 88.8 91.8 92.9 96.2 100.0 105.9 109.0 107 7 106 9 107.8 107 9 107.5 107.1 107.5 107.8 106.4 107.0 107.5 118.4 114.1 114.8 117.1 114.2 117.6 115.8 1 15.8 116.8 116.9 10(5.6 1 10.0 108.5 109.7 110.4 110.4 108.1 109.3 110.5 108.6 106.7 109.2 104.6 108.8 110.0 110.2 110.0 110.0 110.1 111.4 105.8 105.7 105.8 105.4 117.2 116.5 118.8 r l!7.9 120 8 1 10.2 108.3 109.0 112.6 111.1 112.6 ' 109.9 1120 108.6 108 3 108.4 107.8 108.2 108.2 107.7 108.1 108.6 Julv 1990- Canada Jan Feb Mar Apr May June" r 107.5 108.5 r !08 9 r !08.7 r 109 3 109.8 r Italy Data relate to all i _^!1™ United Kingdom United States ' Canada prices (! 882-84=100) France Germany Italy United Kingdom 87.5 84.8 86.4 89.6 89.8 94.6 96.8 100.0 103.8 104.3 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 76.1 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 123.2 129.3 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 105.7 108.1 72.2 81.8 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 124.4 128.9 86.8 92.2 97.0 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.7 104.9 106.3 109.2 63.2 75.4 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.1 128.5 134.4 141.1 150.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.1 114.9 1 19.7 125.6 135.4 106.9 107.7 105.8 108.6 109.7 108.2 108.1 109.7 110.5 115.5 ' 104.2 r !05.7 r 102.5 ' 102.7 ' 103.8 ' 105.1 r 104.9 ' 104.8 r 104.4 T 104.9 122.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 i26.1 127.2 127.6 128.9 129.6 130.4 1 30.5 130.7 131.2 131.6 131.5 106.2 108.1 108.7 108.6 108.4 108.3 109.2 110.0 108.9 109.0 127.2 128.0 28.5 28.7 29.0 29.2 29.5 130.1 130.3 130.5 108.5 109.1 109.3 109.4 109.3 109.2 109.4 109.7 109.9 110.2 148.0 149.0 149.6 150.3 150.7 150.9 151.6 153.1 153.7 154.4 131.9 134.3 135.1 135.6 135.7 136.1 137.0 138.1 139.2 139.6 108.8 110.1 110.8 110.1 r 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 129.9 132.7 133.4 133.9 133.9 134.6 135.1 109.2 109.5 109.9 110.8 111.6 130.8 131.1 131.6 132.1 132.3 110.9 155.3 111.3 T 156.5 r !57.1 111.4 111.6 r !57.7 111.8 158.0 1 1 1 .9 158.7 140.4 141.2 142.6 147.0 148.3 148.9 r r 82.4 104.4 !03.7 105.8 106.3 Source: National sources as reported by Depann •nt of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) l General merchandise imports customs value) 3 Principal end-use c >mmoditv category Period Total 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986.... 1987 1988 1989 ' 5 5 1989: Apr r May r. June r. July ' T 1990: 2 216.4 205.6 224.0 218.8 227 2 254. 1 322.4 363.8 30.4 30.7 31.6 29.9 30.2 Floods, feeds, and beverages Industrial supplies and materials 31.3 30.9 31.5 24.0 61.7 56.7 22.3 24.3 32.3 37.2 57.3 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.0 3.0 2.8 61.7 58.5 66.7 85.1 99.3 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.4 8.5 8.1 8.4 Sept Oct ' Nov ' Dec' 30. 1 31.4 30.6 31.3 3.2 3.0 8.3 7.9 Jan r Feb r Mar r Apr r May 31.4 31.6 33.3 32.1 32.8 3.1 8.6 3.1 3.2 3.0 8.0 8.6 1 3.0 2.9 8.4 8.4 Capital goods except automotive Automotive vehicles, parts, and gines 72.7 67.2 72.0 73.9 75.8 86.2 109.2 138.8 11.7 11.4 11.8 11.8 11.7 12.3 12.3 11.1 12.3 12.0 12.8 12.8 12.4 12.7 15.7 16.8 20.6 22.9 21.7 24.6 29.3 34.8 14.3 13.4 13.3 12.6 14.2 Other Total 2 20.7 20.5 24.0 27.3 17.7 23.1 36.4 43.4 17.2 1.3 1.5 4 4 244.0 258.0 330.7 336.5 365.4 406.2 441.0 473.2 38.7 40.9 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.4 1.8 16 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.4 18 41.6 38.7 41.6 3.5 3.6 1.7 1.7 39.4 40.5 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.4 Foods feeds, beverages 35.9 34.6 Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments Includes undocumented exports to Oanada through 1988. Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 4 Total includes revisions not reflected in detail. 5 Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are < month basis. 2 Principal end-use commodity category Congoods (nonfood) except automotive Trade balance 1.5 39.5 1.3 39.0 40.5 38.9 41.6 40.5 38.1 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 Industrial supplies materials Capital goods except automotive 35.4 40.9 59.8 17.1 18.2 21.0 21.9 24.4 24.8 24.8 25.1 112.0 107.0 123.7 113.9 101.3 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 11.0 11.8 2.3 12.9 11.1 9.8 11.5 9.8 9.8 9.5 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.3 65.1 71.8 1 1 1 .0 84.5 118.3 101.4 113.3 132.3 11.3 1 1.2 11.6 10.5 11.9 11.1 10.4 10.5 11.3 NOTE.—Data shir 9.0 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.9 10.0 9.4 9.1 Automotive vehicies, parts, and engines 33.3 40.8 53.5 66.8 78.2 85.2 87.7 86.1 Consumer goods (nonOther food) except ! auto- j motive 39.7 44.9 60.0 68.3 79.4 88.7 95.9 102.9 7.3 7.3 8.3 8.7 6.9 6.8 7.2 8.5 8.6 8.8 8.8 6.5 8.3 7.8 9.4 13.6 493.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 40.3 42.6 41.1 40.7 42.3 40.5 43.4 42.3 6.4 6.7 7.9 6.9 8.9 8.3 8.7 1.3 1.2 1.3 8.7 1.3 7.5 8.7 1.3 6.5 9.1 269.9 346.4 352.5 382.3 424.4 9.0 8.4 7.0 254.9 10.4 12.1 12.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.2 7.2 7.0 General merchandise imports (e.i.f. value) 459.5 39.7 43.4 40.4 43.5 41.1 42.3 Exports (f.a.s) less imports (customs value) — 27.5 -52.4 — 106.7 -117.7 -138.3 — 152.1 -118.5 - 109.4 -8.3 -10.3 -8.0 -9.1 -10.3 -8.8 -10.2 -9.9 -6.8 -10.2 — 7.1 — 8.4 -7.3 — 7.7 Bxports (f.a.s) less imports (e.i.l.) -38.4 -64.2 -122.4 - 133.6 -155.1 — 170.3 -137.1 -129.4 -9.9 -11.9 -9.6 -10.8 -12.1 -10.4 -12.0 -11.7 -8.4 -12.1 -8.8 -10.2 -9.1 -9.6 ndudi; trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. 3 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the first quarter of 1990, the current account deficit fell to $22.9 billion from $26.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 10 10 5 0 -5 -5 H^ \\ -10 -10 -15 -15 t \ v\ -20 BALANCE ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND INCOME -20 -25 -25 -30 -30 -35 -40 -45 1982 1983 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted. Credits (+), debits (—)] Merchandise l z Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1988: I n m IV 1989- I n m TV 1990: I" 1 2 3 Exports Imports Net balance 237 085 211,198 201 820 219,900 265 063 -247,642 — 27 978 -36,444 67 080 -112,522 122 148 — 145 058 159 500 — 126986 — 114,864 -33,491 -31,102 -30,779 -31,614 — 28,093 -28,222 -29,803 -28,746 -26,371 215 935 223 367 250 266 320 337 360,465 76,497 79,392 80,511 83,937 88267 91,111 89,349 91,738 96,044 268 900 — 332,422 338 083 — 368425 409 766 447 323 —475,329 -109,988 — 110,494 -111,290 -115,551 — 116,360 -119,333 -119,152 -120,484 -122,415 Excludes military. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. 36 Investment income 4 Services Net military transae- 844 112 163 -2,147 —4096 4907 — 3 530 5452 -6,320 -1,075 -1,139 — 1,144 -2,094 -1,763 -1,667 -1,114 -1,776 -1,370 Net travel and transportation receipts 144 -992 4227 -9,153 10 788 — 8939 8298 — 4060 659 -1,776 -1,062 -624 -599 -57 39 -192 870 1,213 Other services, net" 12552 12,981 13 859 14,042 14008 18,551 18262 21,032 26,123 4,736 5,079 5,391 5,829 5,899 6,164 7,031 7,030 6,468 Receipts on U.S. assets Payments on foreign assets in US 3 Net 84975 — 53 626 31 349 85,346 -57,097 28,250 81 972 — 54549 27 423 92,935 -69,542 23394 82282 66 115 16 166 80,982 — 70013 10 969 90536 85 210 5 326 110,048 — 108 438 1 610 127,536 -128,448 — 912 26,980 -24,580 2,400 26,739 -26,330 409 27,942 -28,083 -141 28,386 -29,445 -1,059 30,872 — 30,407 465 31,932 -33,889 -1,957 32,102 -32,085 17 32,629 -32,068 561 31,057 -30,449 608 Balance on goods, services, and income 15 223 3,907 30 188 Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers, net 1 8 331 — 9 775 Balance on current account 6 892 — 5 868 40 143 9 956 — 86,385 — 12 621 — 99 006 106 859 15 473 122 332 16 009 129 384 145 393 147 739 14 575 162 314 113 857 128 862 15 005 — 95,314 — 14720 — 110034 — 29,206 — 3,476 — 32682 -27,815 -3,060 -30,875 -27,297 -3,461 -30,758 -29,537 -5,008 -34,545 — 23 549 — 3 555 — 27 104 -25,643 -3,006 -28,649 -24,061 -3,530 -27,591 -22,061 -4,631 -26,692 -19,452 -3,489 -22,941 4 Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. See p. 37 for continuation of table. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks decreased $45.7 billion in the first quarter of 1990, compared to an increase of $32.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 1989. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, decreased $28.1 billion in the first quarter, compared to an increase of $36.7 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 CHANGE IN . FOREIGN ASSETS 60 IN THE U.S., NET 40 20 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD, NET -20 -20 -40 -40 -60 -60 1990 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Foreign assets in the U.S., net [increase/capital inflow ( + )] 3 U.S. assets abroad, net [increase /capital outflow ( — )] Period Total 1981.. 1982 1983 1984 1985.. 1986 1987. 1988 1989 U.S. official reserve assets 3 5 -110,951 -124,490 -56,100 -31,070 -27,721 -92,030 -62,946 — 84,176 -127,061 — 5,175 -4,965 -1,196 -3,131 -3,858 312 9,149 -3,912 -25,293 Other U.S. Government assets U.S. private assets -5,097 - 100,679 -6,131 -113,394 -5,006 -49,898 -5,489 -22,451 -2,821 -21,043 — 2,022 -90,321 997 -73,091 -83,232 2,969 1,185 -102,953 Foreign official assets Other foreign assets 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,621 130,012 221,599 218,470 221,442 214,652 4,960 3,593 5,845 3,140 -1,083 35,588 45,210 39,515 8,823 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,096 186,011 173,260 181,927 205,829 Total Allocations of special drawing rights (SDKs) 1,093 Statistical d screpancy Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy 19,934 36,612 11,374 27,456 20,041 15,824 6,790 -8,404 22,443 U.S. official reserve assets, net 5 (unadjusted, end of period) 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 48,511 45,798 47,802 74,609 1988: I II Ill IV 4,569 -19,856 -42,383 -26,508 1,502 39 -7,380 1,925 -1,594 -847 1,957 3,452 4,661 - 19,048 -36,960 -31,885 26,079 65,270 49,797 80,295 24,840 5,970 -2,015 10,720 1,239 59,300 51,812 69,575 2,034 - 14,539 23,344 — 19,242 2,970 -2,995 -4,630 4,656 43,186 41,028 47,788 47,802 1989: I II Ill IV -32,859 -1,381 -44,076 -48,745 — 4,000 -12,095 -5,996 -3,202 962 -303 574 — 47 — 29,821 c ll,017 -38,654 — 45,496 68,402 2,794 74,136 69,320 7,797 — 4,961 13,003 -7,016 60,605 7,755 61,133 76,336 -8,439 27,236 -2,469 6,117 1990: I" 29,509 -3,177 -486 33,172 -27,489 -8,825 -18,665 20,922 3,093 -1,697 — 4,953 3,560 3,116 49,854 60,502 68,418 74,609 76,303 of Current Business, June 1990. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base Bank Loans and Securities Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Consumer Installment Credit Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. T Revised. e Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign). Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1990 0—32-881