Full text of Economic Indicators : July 1977
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95th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators July 1977 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1977 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Chairman HUBERT H. HUMPHREY, Minnesota, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana) GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana) OTIS G. PIKE (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) GARRY BROWN (Michigan) MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts) JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California) SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, JR. (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) JAMES A. McCLURE (Idaho) ORRIN G. HATCH (Utah) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS CHARLES L. SCHULTZE, Chairman LYLE E. GRAMLEY WILLIAM D. NORDHAUS [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx Congress; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 85 cents a single copy or by subscription at $10.10 per year ($2.55 additional for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON D.C. 20402 II TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT According to preliminary estimates for the second quarter, gross national product rose $58.2 billion or 13.5 percent/ both at annual rates. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) increased at an annual rate of 6.4 percent and the implicit price deflator rose at a 6.6 percent annual rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALQ BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES .1,800 1,800 1,600 1,600 GNP IN CURRENT DOLLARS 1,400 1,400 1,200 1,200 GNP NP / IN 1972 DOLLARS 1,000 1,000 800 1974 1973 1969 1975 1976 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross na- Period tional product Personal Gross conprivate sump- domestion tic exinvestpendment itures Export s and imp)orts of gooc s and serdees Net exports 42.8 45. 6 49. 9 54.7 62. 5 65. 6 72.7 101. 6 137.9 147. 3 162. 9 37.7 40.6 47. 7 52.9 58.5 64.0 75.9 94.4 131.9 126. 9 155. 1 158.7 180.2 198. 7 207.9 218.9 233.7 253. 1 269.5 302.7 338.9 261.4 78.8 90. 9 98. 0 97. 5 95.6 96.2 102.1 102.2 111. 1 123.3 130. 1 60. 3 71. 5 76.9 76.3 73. 5 70.2 73. 5 73. 5 77.0 83. 9 86. 8 18.5 19.5 21. 2 21.2 22. 1 26.0 28.6 28.7 34. 1 39.4 43. 3 79.8 89.3 100. 7 110.4 123.2 137. 5 151.0 167. 3 191. 5 215. 6 231.2 738. 7 786. 2 860.8 926.2 978.6 1, 057. 1 1, 161. 7 1, 288. 6 1, 404. 0 1, 540. 3 1, 693. 1 143.7 150.4 160. 6 165. 6 353. 6 358. 9 363. 0 370.0 127. 6 128. 5 130. 2 134.2 86.3 86.0 86. 4 88. 4 41.3 42.5 43. 8 45. 8 225.9 230.4 232. 7 235. 8 1, 636. 7 1, 673. 7 1, 705. 8 1, 756. 3 178.6 183.5 374. 9 390. 1 136. 3 143. 3 89. 7 94.2 46.7 49. 1 238.5 246. 7 1, 797. 0 1, 849. 3 III__ 1, 727. 3 1, 102. 2 IV— 1, 755. 4 1, 139. 0 231. 3 244.4 254.3 243.4 10.2 10.2 7.9 3.0 153.9 160.6 168.4 168. 5 1977: I 1, 810. 8 1, 172. 4 !!>__ 1, 869. 0 1, 194. 0 271. 8 293. 0 -8.2 -8. 1 170.4 175.4 6.0 20.4 7.8 i This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 33. Final sales Total 1976:1 1, 651. 2 1, 056. 0 II- — 1, 691. 9 1, 078. 5 -3.3 7. 1 State and local Imports 124. 5 120. 8 131. 5 146.2 140.8 160.0 188.3 220.0 214.6 189. 1 243. 3 4.9 2.3 1.8 3.9 1.6 services Federal National defense l Exports 753.0 464. 8 1966 796. 3 490.4 1967 868.5 535.9 1968 935.5 579.7 1969 1970___ .. 982.4 618.8 1, 063. 4 668.2 1971 1972 1, 171. 1 733.0 1973 1, 306. 6 809.9 1, 412. 9 889.6 1974 1, 528. 8 980.4 1975. 1976_ _ 1, 706. 5 1, 094. 0 5. 1 Go^^ernment purchases of goods and Total Nondefense NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Source; Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS [Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] ! Gross i>rivate domestic iiivestmenl Governinent pure hases of good s and services Exp orts of gc ods aiad service,s Personal conGross national sumption product expenditures Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed 981. 0 1, 007. 7 1 051. 8 1 078. 8 1 075. 3 1 107. 5 1, 171. 1 1 235. 0 1 217. 8 1 202. 1 1, 274. 7 586. 1 603. 2 633. 4 655. 4 668. 9 691. 9 733. 0 767. 7 760. 7 775. 1 821. 3 106. 1 103.5 108. 0 114. 3 110. 0 108. 0 116. 8 131. 0 130.6 112.7 116.8 38.5 37.2 42. 8 43. 2 40. 4 52. 2 62.0 59. 7 45.0 38.8 47.7 16.7 12.0 8.7 10. 6 4. 3 6. 6 9,4 16. 5 8.0 -9. 9 8.5 4. 3 3. 5 —.4 -1.3 1.4 -.6 -3.3 7.6 15.9 22. 5 16.0 51. 6 54. 2 58. 5 62. 2 67. 1 67.9 72.7 87.4 93. 0 89.9 95.8 47.3 50. 7 58.9 63. 5 65. 7 68. 5 75.9 79. 9 77. 1 67. 4 79.8 229. 3 248.3 259. 2 256. 7 250. 2 249. 4 253. 1 252. 5 257.7 263. 0 264. 4 112.5 125. 3 128. 3 121. 8 110. 7 103. 9 102. 1 96. 6 95.8 96. 7 96. 5 116.8 123. 1 130.9 134.9 139. 5 145.5 151.0 155. 9 161.8 166. 3 167.9 964.3 995. 7 1, 043. 1 1, 068. 2 1, 071. 0 1, 100. 9 1, 161. 7 1, 218. 5 1, 209. 9 1, 212. 0 1, 266. 2 1, 256. 0 1976* I 1, 271. 5 II III _ 1, 283. 7 IV_ _ 1, 287. 4 807.2 815. 5 822. 7 839.8 113.7 115.9 118. 5 119.0 44.8 47. 1 47. 1 52. 0 9.7 12. 1 13. 8 -1.8 16.8 16. 4 17.0 13. 8 93. 1 95.2 97.9 96. 9 76. 3 78. 9 80.9 83. 1 263.9 264.4 264.6 264.6 96.4 96. 1 96.7 97. 1 167. 5 168.4 168. 0 167. 5 1, 246. 3 1, 259. 4 1, 269. 8 1, 289. 2 1977: I 1, 311. 0 II»_. 1, 331. 6 850.4 854. 6 124. 3 127. 0 52. 7 57. 5 9.7 12.5 10. 6 10. 0 96. 9 97. 0 86. 3 86.9 263. 3 269.8 97. 0 101.0 166. 4 168.8 1, 301. 2 1, 319. 0 Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Change in busiNet Exports Imports ness in- exports ventories Total Federal State and local Final sales IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1972 = 100] j | Persona' consump tion expeiiditures Period Gross national product Total 1976: I II III IV II* Exports Imports Federal State and local 91. 36 96. 02 100. 00 105. 80 116. 02 127. 18 _ 133. 88 80. 1 81.9 85. 3 89. 4 93. 6 96.6 100. 0 107, 9 123. 8 133. 1 137. 7 76. 5 78.8 82.0 86. 1 90. 5 95. 8 100. 0 104. 7 113. 6 123. 5 132. 3 76. 8 79. 3 82. 6 86. 6 91. 3 96. 4 100. 0 103.8 115. 3 132. 3 138.7 74. 6 77. 0 80. 7 87. 7 90.6 94. 9 100. 0 110.8 122. 3 132.8 142. 5 82. 8 84. 0 85.3 87.9 93. 1 96. 6 100. 0 116.2 148.3 163.8 170. 0 79. 7 80. 1 80.9 83.3 89. 1 93.5 100. 0 118.2 171. 0 188.2 194.3 70. 1 72. 6 76.4 80.0 86.4 92. 6 100. 0 105. 8 115.9 127. 5 134. 8 68.4 72. 5 76.9 81. 9 88.3 94. 5 100.0 107.3 118. 4 129. 7 137. 7 _ 131. 133. 134. 136. 47 06 56 35 130.8 132. 3 134. 0 135. 6 122.2 123.8 125. 3 127.2 136. 2 136.9 138. 3 139. 3 129. 2 131. 1 133. 2 135.4 136. 8 137. 8 139.2 140. 9 137. 1 140. 7 144. 1 147.5 165. 3 168. 6 172. 0 174.0 188. 2 190. 7 198. 4 199.3 132.4 133.7 134. 7 138.2 134,9 136.8 138. 6 140. 7 138. 13 140. 36 137.9 139. 7 129. 3 129.6 141. 5 143. 7 137. 8 139. 9 142. 5 144. 3 153.7 156. 5 175.9 180. 9 207. 0 211. 1 140. 6 141. 9 143.4 146. 1 NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Residential fixed Governnlent purchases c)f goods and se rvices 85.7 87. 4 90. 7 93. 1 95. 5 99.0 100. 0 101. 6 108. 4 117. 9 124. 7 82.57 86.72 1977:1 NonresNonDurable j durable Services idential goods fixed goods Expor bs and imports of goods and services 79. 3 81. 3 84. 6 88. 5 92.5 96. 6 100. 0 105. 5 116. 9 126. 5 133. 2 76. 76 79. 02 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Gross i)rivate dom<sstic invest ment Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross iaational p roduct Constant (1972) dollars Current dollars Period Implicit price deflator Gross c iomestic i>roduct Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) Chain price index Constant (1972) dollars Current dollars Implicit price deflator Chain price index Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) 9.4 5.8 9. 1 7.7 5.0 8.2 10.1 11.6 8. 1 8.2 11.6 5.9 2.7 4. 4 2. 6 — .3 3.0 5.7 5. 5 — 1.4 — 1. 3 6.0 3.3 2.9 4. 5 5.0 5.4 5. 1 4. 1 5. 8 9.7 9. 6 5.3 3. 1 3.0 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 4. 1 6. 0 9. 9 9. 5 5.6 2.9 3.0 4,3 5. 0 5.2 4.9 4.0 6. 0 10. 2 9.4 5.6 9.6 5.7 9. 1 7.8 5.0 8.1 10.1 11.5 7.9 8.5 11.4 6. 1 2. 7 4. 4 2.6 -.3 2.8 5.8 5.4 — 1. 3 — 1. 1 5.9 3.3 3.0 4.5 5.1 5.3 5.1 4.1 5.7 9.3 9.7 5.2 3. 1 3. 1 4.4 5.0 5.3 5. 0 4. 1 5.9 9. 6 9.5 5. 6 3.0 3.0 4. 4 5. 0 5. 2 4. 9 4.0 5. 9 9. 9 9.4 5.6 1976:1 II Ill IV 13.2 10.2 8.6 6.7 8.8 5. 1 3. 9 1.2 4. 1 4. 9 4. 6 5.4 4.9 5. 3 4. 6 5.9 4. 6 5. 2 4. 8 6.0 12.4 10.5 8. 2 6.9 8. 3 5. 2 3. 7 1.3 3.8 5.0 4.4 5.5 4.8 5. 4 4. 5 6.0 4.6 5. 2 4. 6 6. 1 1977:1 II v __ 13.2 13.5 7.5 6.4 5.3 6. 6 6.9 6.7 7. 1 6. 6 12. 6 13. 9 7.2 6. 7 5.0 6.7 6. 7 6. 7 7.0 6. 6 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 . _ __ - NOTE.—Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changer from previous quarter. Data revised beginning 1974. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross d omestic prodt ict of nonfin ancial corp<srate business (billk>ns of doll ars) C urrent-do liar cost abnd profit per unit of outpu t (dollars Total cost and profit 2 Capital consumption Comallowpenances Indirect sation with business of capital taxes 3 employconees sumption adjustment Net interest Corpc>rate profits with invent Dry valua Dion and capil,al consuniption £s-djustmen ts Total Profits tax liability 0. 513 0.014 0. 134 .535 . 016 . 123 . 553 . 017 . 124 . 022 . 109 . 589 . 628 . 028 . 086 . 645 . 029 . 095 .028 . 107 .661 . 699 . 032 . 105 . 796 . 043 .086 .849 . 045 . 115 . 044 . 139 .890 0. 055 . 051 .058 . 055 . 045 . 048 .050 . 055 . 061 . 060 . 073 Current dollars 1972 dollars 430. 7 452.9 498.4 541.8 560. 6 602. 5 671.0 752. 0 808.8 875. 2 991. 0 532. 9 545. 8 581.6 607.3 600. 6 619. 3 671. 0 720.4 695. 0 678.9 731. 0 0. 808 . 830 .857 .892 . 933 . 973 1.000 1. 044 1. 164 1. 289 1.356 0. 067 . 072 . 074 . 079 . 088 .094 . 093 . 095 . 116 . 143 . 146 0. 080 . 084 . 089 . 094 . 103 . 110 . 110 . 112 . 123 . 136 . 136 958. 4 1976:1 983.6 II._ III— 1, 004. 7 IV__ 1, 017. 2 719.4 731. 3 736.6 736. 5 1.332 1. 345 1. 364 1. 381 . 145 . 144 . 147 . 150 . 134 . 135 . 136 . 139 .870 . 880 . 892 . 916 . 044 . 044 . 044 . 045 . 139 . 142 -. 145 . 132 1977: I *__ 1, 049. 3 753.3 1. 393 . 149 . 140 . 930 . 046 . 128 19661967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972_ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1 Output is measured by gross domestic product of iionfinancial corporate business in 1972 dollars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. » Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. 1 Profits after4 tax ComOutput penper sation hour per of all hour employof all ees employ(1972 ees dollars) (dollars) 0. 078 . 072 .066 . 055 . 041 . 046 .057 . 050 . 024 . 055 . 066 6. 777 6. 873 7. 105 7. 139 7. 132 7.374 7. 595 7. 781 7. 545 7. 742 8. 002 3. 3. 3. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 7. 478 676 929 198 478 757 024 441 990 602 069 .072 . 075 . 074 . 072 .067 . 066 . 071 . 060 7.926 8. 005 8. 053 8. 028 6. 7. 7. 7. 887 009 121 257 . 070 . 058 8. 080 7. 457 * With inventory valuation and capitalconsuniption adjustments. NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974 except for output and compensation per hour, which will appear next month. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Propri etors' incom 3 with inventor y valuation and capital consuloption adjust ments Compensation of employeesl Farm Nonfarm Rental with capital consumption adjustment Corpor ate profits with inv entory va uation and capital co nsumptioii adjustments Profits with inv<3ntory valuat ion adjus tment and \without ca^pital consum ption adjiistment Total Total Profits before Inventory valuation adjustment tax Capital Net coninterest sumption adjustment -2. 1 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 439.3 622.2 471.9 655. 8 519.8 714.4 571.4 767.9 609.2 798.4 650. 3 858. 1 951.9 715.1 799.2 1, 064. 6 875.8 1, 136. 0 930.3 1, 217. 0 1, 364. 1 1, 036. 3 13. 6 12. 1 12. 0 13.9 13.9 14.3 18.0 32.0 25.4 23.2 18.6 46. 7 48.9 51.4 52. 3 51.2 53.4 58. 1 60.4 60. 9 62. 8 69.4 18.2 19.4 18.6 18. 1 18.6 20. 1 21.5 21.6 21.4 22.3 23. 3 82. 5 79.3 85.8 81.4 67.9 77.2 92. 1 99. 1 83.6 99. 3 128. 1 78. 6 75.6 82. 1 77.9 66.4 76.9 89.6 97.2 86. 5 111. 5 142. 7 80. 7 77. 3 85.6 83.4 71.5 82.0 96. 2 115.8 126. 9 123.5 156.9 — 1. 7 —3.4 -5.5 -5. 1 — 5. 0 — 6.6 -18.6 -40. 4 -12.0 -14. 1 -2.9 -12. 2 -14.7 21.9 24.3 26.8 30.8 37.5 42.8 47.0 52.3 69.0 79.1 88.4 1976:1 II III IV 999.6 1, 321. 0 1, 353. 9 1, 024. 9 1, 379. 6 1, 046. 5 1, 402. 1 1} 074. 2 20. 0 21. 6 16.2 16.6 66.9 68.8 70. 0 72. 0 23.0 22.9 23.3 24. 1 126.5 129.2 133.5 123. 1 141. 1 143.7 148.2 137.9 153.5 159.2 159.9 154.8 -12.4 -15. 5 -11.7 -16. 9 -14. 6 -14.6 -14. 7 -14.8 85.0 86. 5 90. 1 92. 0 1977:1 II" 1, 450. 2 1, 109. 9 1, 144. 8 20.7 21.2 74.3 77.4 24.5 25. 3 125.4 141. 0 161.7 -20.6 -17.8 -15.6 -15. 9 95.3 98.7 3. 9 3.7 3. 7 3. 5 1. 5 .3 2.5 1.9 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. iIncludes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Retail sales of new passenger cars (nlilliona of uilite) Nondurable goods D urable goo ds Tntfl.] personal consumption expenditures Total durablel goods Motor vehicles and parts 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 464. 8 490.4 535. 9 579.7 618.8 668. 2 733.0 809.9 889. 6 980.4 1, 094. 0 67. 7 69.6 80.0 85. 5 84. 9 97.1 111. 2 123. 7 122.0 132. 9 158. 9 30. 1 29. 7 35.8 37.7 34.9 43.8 50.6 55.2 48.0 53.9 71.9 27. 7 29. 5 32.6 35.0 36.7 39.4 44.8 50. 7 54. 9 58. 0 63. 9 204.7 212. 6 230. 4 247. 0 264. 7 277. 7 299. 3 333. 8 376.3 409. 3 442. 7 1976:1 II III.... IV.. __ 1, 056. 0 1, 078. 5 1, 102. 2 1, 139. 0 153. 3 156. 7 159. 3 166.3 68.8 71.0 72. 1 75.7 61.9 63.0 63.9 66. 5 1977:1 II * 1, 172. 4 1, 194. 0 177. 0 179. 1 85.3 84.5 67.4 69.6 Period * Total includes other items not shown separately. NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Furniture and household equipment Total nondurable1 goods Services Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil 106. 6 109.6 118. 3 126. 1 136. 3 140. 6 150.4 168. 1 189.8 209. 5 225. 5 36.6 38.2 41.8 45. 1 46.6 50. 5 55. 1 61. 3 65.3 70.2 76. 3 16. 0 17.0 18. 4 20. 4 22. 0 23.4 24.9 27. 8 36.4 39. 1 41.4 192.4 208. 1 225. 6 247. 2 269. 1 293.4 322.4 352. 3 391. 3 438. 2 492. 3 8.4 7.6 8.6 8.5 7.1 8.7 9.3 9.7 7.5 430.4 437. 1 444. 7 458. 8 219. 3 223. 8 227. 0 232. 0 74.2 74. 3 76.9 79.9 40.6 40.3 41.2 43. 5 472.4 484. 6 498. 2 513.9 8. 8 466.6 475.3 237.9 245.0 79. 3 80.6 44. 1 44.4 528. 8 539. 6 Food Domestics 7. 1 8. 6 8.7 8.6 8.5 9.4 9. 3 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Imports 0.7 .8 1.0 1. 1 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.4 1. 0 1.5 1. 3 1.4 1. 5 1. 7 1. 8 2.4 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $10.4 billion (annual rate) in June, compared with an increase of $8.6 billion (revised) in May. Wage and salary disbursements were up $4.8 billion in June following a $7.8 billion rise in May. Dividends rose $2.3 billion in June due to an extra payment by a large automobile manufacturer. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 1,600 T,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 600 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 400 400 OTHER INCOME „,««•««•"" U- " 200 200 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 100 100 80 80 60 60 I I ( 1 I ( I I I ; 111111111 40 1971 1970 1969 1972 ...I M t I.I 1973 111 1 1 1 1 1 \ \ 1974 f f f M I I I t iI i 1 1 1 1 1 f t f 11 f ( f 11 f f i t f \ 1975 1976 .40 1977 "SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Wage >rsf income3 Rental Total and Other Proprietc income personal salary labor of income disburse- income12 Farm Nonfarm persons 4 ments l Dividends Persona] Transfer interest payincome ments5 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance Nonfarm personal6 income 52. 3 18. 1 22.6 55. 9 66.5 26.3 725.8 51. 2 18.6 22.9 79.9 64.3 780.7 53.4 20. 1 23. 0 69.3 94 1 838.0 30.8 58. 1 21.5 24.6 104.1 34.2 74.6 917. 3 60. 4 21. 6 27.8 84. 1 118.9 42.2 1, Oil. 9 60.9 21.4 140.8 31. 0 103.0 47.7 1, 119. 3 62. 8 32.4 22.3 176.8 115.6 50. 4 1, 218. 8 69. 4 23.3 35.8 192.8 130.3 55.2 1, 351. 3 68.8 22. 5 36. 6 128.8 188.5 54.9 1, 338. 5 69.4 23.2 35.8 130.4 193.7 55.4 1, 355. 1 70. 1 23. 3 36. 0 132. 2 194.9 55.6 1, 365. 0 70. 5 23.4 36.3 134. 1 194.5 55. 9 1, 374 0 70. 8 23. 9 36.7 135.2 195.5 56. 1 1, 385. 5 72. 1 24. 1 37.2 136.4 198.4 56. 7 1, 402. 1 73.2 24.4 41.2 137.6 200.0 57.0 1, 418. 5 24. 4 72.5 37.9 139.0 200. 5 59.0 1, 421. 1 24. 6 74.4 38.5 140. 3 203.0 59. 6 1, 442. 4 24. 6 76. 0 39.0 141. 8 206.9 60.2 1, 463. 7 76. 9 24. 6 39.3 143. 5 206.0 60. 6 1, 475. 6 77.4 25. 3 39. 6 145. 2 202.9 60. 9 1, 484 2 77.9 25.9 41. 9 147. 1 202.3 61.0 1, 494. 6 1 6 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contribu- labor income, and agricultural net interest. tions 2 for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. funds; workmen's compensation; directors' fees; and a few other minor items. * With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. *With capital consumption adjustment. 6 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: June__ July____ Aug Sept... Oct Nov Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar____ Apr May__ June*... 745.8 801.3 859. 1 942.5 1, 052. 4 1, 154. 9 1, 253. 4 1, 382. 7 1, 372. 7 1, 386. 2 1, 393. 7 1, 401. 8 1, 414. 2 1, 432. 1 1, 450. 2 1, 454. 3 1, 477. 0 1, 499. 1 1, 510. 9 1, 519. 5 1, 529. 9 514. 6 546. 5 579.4 633.8 701.3 764.6 805.7 891.8 885.5 894. 5 899. 8 906. 1 914. 0 923. 9 931. 7 937. 3 951. 7 964.9 974. 1 982.0 986. 8 28.2 32. 0 36.2 42. 0 48. 7 55. 6 64.9 75.9 75.5 76.4 77.3 78. 1 79. 1 80. 0 81. 0 82. 1 83.2 84. 4 85.5 86.7 87. 9 13. 9 13. 9 14.3 18.0 32. 0 25. 4 23.2 18. 6 21.4 18.2 15. 6 14. 6 15.3 16.4 18. 1 19.6 21. 0 21.7 21. 4 21.2 21. 0 2ao DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable income rose again in the second quarter. BILUONS Of-DOLLARS.* (RATIQSCAL^ B1LUONS OF DOLLARS*. (RATIO SCALQ 400 DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 400 DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 6,000 6,000 —PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME- 5,000 5,000 CURRENT DOLLARS 4,000 4,000 1972 DOLLARS, 3,000 3,000 i 2,000 i '1969 i 1970 2,000 1972 1971 1973 1975 1977 1976 *~SEASQNALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less: Personal Pertax sonal and income nontax payments Equals : Disposable personal income Less :Personal outlays 1 Per <capita disp<)sable persona I income Equals : Personal saving Current dollars Billions of d ollars 1968 1969 1970__ 1971 1972 1973... 1974_ 1975 1976 685. 2 745. 8 801. 3 859. 1 942.5 1, 052. 4 1, 154. 9 1, 253. 4 1, 382. 7 1972 dollars Per cap>ita personal c<jnsumption exp enditures Current dollars 1972 dollars Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population (thou-2 sands) Dollars 588. 1 550. 1 97. 1 630. 4 595. 3 115. 4 685.9 115.3 635.4 116.3 742.8 685.5 141. 2 801.3 751.9 150.8 901. 7 831. 3 984. 6 913. 0 170. 3 169.0 1, 084. 4 1, 004. 2 196. 9 1, 185. 8 1, 119. 9 38. 1 35. 1 50. 6 57. 3 49.4 70.3 71.7 80. 2 65. 9 2, 930 3, 111 3,348 3, 588 3, 837 4, 285 4, 646 5, 077 5, 511 3,464 3, 515 3,619 3, 714 3,837 4, 062 3, 973 4, 014 4, 137 2,670 2,860 3,020 3,227 3,510 3, 849 4, 197 4,591 5, 084 3,156 3,234 3 f 265 3,342 3,510 3,648 3,589 3, 629 3,817 4, 921 5, 017 5, 117 5, 277 5,423 5, 513 3, 761 3,794 3,820 3,891 3,933 3,946 2.8 1. 5 3.0 2.6 3.3 5.9 -2.2 1.0 3. 1 6.5 5.6 7.4 7.7 6.2 7.8 7.3 7.4 5.6 200, 706 202, 677 204, 878 207, 053 208, 846 210, 410 211, 945 213, 566 215, 191 6. 3 6. 0 5. 4 214, 608 214, 948 215, 380 215, 827 216, 206 216, 596 Seas onally ad] usted ann ual rates 184. 8 192. 6 200. 6 209. 5 224.4 II'- 1, 520. 1 224. 9 1976: ! - _ _ 1, 338. 1 II... 1, 366. 7 • III.. 1, 393. 9 IV__ 1, 432. 2 1977: !____ 1, 476. 8 1, 153. 3 1, 174. 1 1, 193. 3 1, 222. 6 1, 252. 4 1, 295. 2 1, 080. 9 1, 103. 8 1, 128. 5 1, 166. 3 1, 201. 0 1, 223. 6 72. 4 70. 3 64. 8 56.3 51.4 71.6 5, 374 5, 462 5,540 5, 665 5,793 5,980 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to2 business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net). Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1 through 1973 and are averages of quarterly data beginning 1974. Quarterly data are for middle of period. 4, 107 4, 130 4, 135 4, 177 4,202 4,280 4. 5 2. 3 .5 4. 1 2.4 7. 6 . 4.6 4. 1 5. 5 NOTE.?—Data revised beginning 1974. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the second quarter, farm income excluding inventory change rose $0.7 billion (annual rate). Including inventory change the rise was $0.5 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALQ (RATIO SCAI4 120 100 80 60 NTT FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE - 40 40 \ \ 20 20 10 10 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 *SIASONALIY ADJUSTED ANNUAL HATES SOURCE* DEPARTMENT Of A 1976 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persona.1 incomereceived [ncome re ceived from f armin g by total farm po pulation Realizt?d gross Net inc ome per Net t<> farm farm incl uding net3 oper ators Casti receipts from inventor: f change Period imarketings From From From Produc- Exclud- Includ1 all farm nonfarm Total tion ex- ing net ing net Livesources sources sources penses inven- inven- Current 1967 4 stock Total Crops tory 2 dollars dollars and tory change change products Dol lars Billioris of dollars 1969 26.9 12. 9 13. 9 56.3 14.2 14. 3 48. 2 28. 6 42. 1 19. 6 4,766 4,372 1970 27. 4 14.4 13.0 58.6 14.2 50. 5 29.6 14, 1 21. 0 44. 4 4,790 4,202 1971 28. 7 . 13.4 15.3 60. 6 13.2 52. 9 22. 3 14. 6 30. 6 5,030 47.4 4,263 1972 34. 4 17.6 16.8 70. 1 6, 504 61. 2 35. 7 25. 5 17.8 18. 7 52. 3 5,288 1973 48. 6 19.5 29.0 95. 5 45. 9 41. 1 87. 1 29.9 33. 3 11, 727 65. 6 8,817 1974 44. 7 21. 6 23. 1 99. 9 92.4 41.3 27.7 51. 1 26. 1 9,232 72. 2 6, 114 1975 44. 3 21.5 22.8 96. 7 43. 0 88. 1 45. 1 20.8 24.3 8,637 75.9 5, 203 1976. „ _ 42. 0 24.2 17.8 103.6 46.4 94.3 47.9 21.9 20. 0 7,203 81. 7 4,093 1976: I 102. 1 93. 0 46. 3 46.7 21. 5 23. 0 79. 1 7,740 4, 500 II 109. 6 100.4 52. 1 48. 3 842 25.4 23.2 8, 350 4,800 IIL... 100.9 45.5 91. 5 46. 0 82. 3 18. 6 17. 6 6,330 3,580 IV 101. 9 45.4 92.4 47.0 81. 2 20. 7 18.0 6,480 3,600 1977:1 105. 6 95. 9 45.3 50. 6 22. 5 83. 1 22. 0 7, 990 4, 370 II p 110. 3 52. 4 100.5 48. 1 87. 1 22. 5 23. 2 8,180 4,370 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney inome furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. s Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is leld constant within a year. * Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by fanners for 93-688°—77- family living items on a 1967 base. As of January 1977 movement is based on the overall change in the consumer price index. NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS According to revised estimates, profits before tax rose $6.9 billion (annual rate) in the first quarter, while profits with inventory valuation adjustment rose $3.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS. 40 40 1969 1976 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profit & (before tax) wit i invent(>ry valu£ttion Pro fits after adjustn lent > Domesstic indu stries Profits Tax N onfinanc lal Period before liaDivitax bility Total dends Total * WholeManuTotal Finansale cial Total 3 facand turretail mg trade 19. 4 47. 1 67.4 1966 75.9 41.6 8.0 80. 7 78.6 8.5 33.7 20. 1 44.9 1967 37. 9 32. 5 63.6 8.9 77.3 75.6 72.6 9.0 21. 9 46. 2 41. 2 1968 82. 1 68.5 85. 6 78.9 10.4 10. 1 39. 4 22. 6 43. 8 74.2 62. 9 1969 36. 8 10. 1 83. 4 77.9 11.3 39. 7 22. 9 37. 0 1970 62. 6 12. 6 66.4 50. 1 27. 1 9. 4 71. 5 34. 5 44. 3 23. 0 58.2 32. 4 1971 72.4 14. 1 11. 7 76.9 82.0 37. 7 54. 6 24. 6 1972 40. 6 41. 5 84. 7 15.4 13. 3 96.2 89.6 69. 3 27.8 67. 1 74. 1 44. 1 14. 7 1973. _ 115.8 97. 2 90. 4 16. 2 48. 7 74. 5 31. 0 62. 5 12. 9 52. 4 1974. _ __ __ 14.4 36. 6 126. 9 86.5 76. 9 73.4 32.4 105.4 22. 1 123. 5 111. 5 15. 0 90. 3 47. 9 1975_ _ _ 50. 2 92. 1 35. 8 142. 7 64. 7 18.2 116. 4 66. 3 27. 1 156. 9 134.6 1976 33.6 90. 4 65.3 153. 5 141. 1 132.4 26.5 63. 1 17.8 114.6 1976: I _-_ 93. 1 35. 0 159.2 25.5 68.7 143. 7 136. 1 18. 1 118.0 66. 1 !!___ 94. 0 36. 0 Ill 68.4 159. 9 18.4 121. 3 65. 9 148. 2 29. 1 139. 8 154. 8 38.4 90.9 130.2 62. 9 27.4 63. 9 137. 9 18.4 111.8 IV 38.5 97. 2 65.2 161. 7 64.4 141. 0 19.2 111.8 131.0 24.0 1977: I 40. 3 II » 1 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2s Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. Includes industries not shown separately. 8 1977 tax Undistributed profits 27. 6 24.7 24.2 21. 2 14. 1 21. 3 30.0 39.3 43. 6 41.0 56.4 56.8 58. 1 58. 0 52.5 58.8 NOTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau ol Economic Analysis. Inventory valuation adjustment -2. 1 -1.7 -3.4 — 5.5 -5. 1 -5.0 -6.6 -18.6 -40.4 — 12. 0 -14. 1 -12.4 -15. 5 -11.7 -16.9 -20.6 — 17.8 IBROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Business fixed investment rose $6.3 billion (annual rate) in the second quarter as purchases of producers* durable equipment increased $3.9 billion and investment in structures rose $2.3 billion. Residential investment increased $9.0 billion. Inventory investment amounted to $19.7 billion, up $5.9 billion from the first quarter level. 300 -GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT- BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 120 _NONRESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT 260 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCAL^ 220 .PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 80 180 60 140 STRUCTURES I t 1 I 1 I 1 1 f 1 1 1 1 1 1 40 I 1 1 I I I I I f 1 1 1 I I I BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 40 -CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES- 20 v -20 40 I i i i i ! 1973 1 1974 1 1 1975 1 1 1 1976 1973 1977 1977 *SEASONAUY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISIRS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Noriresident ial fixed investmejnt Gross private domestic investment Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: I II III _ __ IV 1977: I II" _._ 124.5 120.8 131.5 146.2 140.8 160.0 188.3 220.0 214.6 189. 1 243.3 231.3 244.4 254. 3 243.4 271.8 293.0 ?OTE.—Data revised beginning 1974. Struc tures Total 81.4 82. 1 89.3 98.9 100.5 104. 1 116. 8 136. 0 150.6 149. 1 161.9 155.4 159.8 164. 9 167. 6 177. 0 183.3 Prodiicers' dur able equip ment Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm 29.2 29.5 31.6 35.7 37.7 39.3 42.5 49. 0 54.5 52.9 55. 8 54. 7 55.8 56.0 57. 0 57.9 60.2 28. 1 28. 2 30.4 34. 3 36. 1 37.8 41. 1 46. 9 51. 8 50.4 53.4 52. 1 53.4 53.6 54.4 55. 1 57.4 52.2 52.6 57.7 63.3 62. 8 64. 7 74. 3 87. 0 96. 2 96. 3 106. 1 100. 8 104. 0 109.0 110.6 119.2 123. 1 47.9 48.0 53.4 58.9 58. 1 59. 9 69. 1 80. 1 88.2 87. 1 95. 9 90. 5 93. 8 98. 4 100.7 107.8 111.4 Resid ential fixed investment Total Nonfarm tures 28.7 28.6 34.5 37.9 36.6 49.6 62. 0 66. 1 55. 1 51. 5 68.0 61.4 66. 3 67. 8 76. 7 81.0 90.0 27.4 27.2 33. 1 36.3 35.1 47.9 60. 3 64. 3 52. 7 49.5 65.7 58. 9 64. 1 65.7 74.3 78.5 87.6 Pfrt Farm ducers struc- durtures equipment 0.7 .7 .6 .7 .6 .7 .7 .6 1.2 .9 1.0 1. 2 1. 0 .9 1. 1 1. 1 1.1 0.7 .7 .8 .9 .9 1.0 1. 1 1.2 1.2 1. 1 1. 3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 Change in business in\ entories Total 14.3 10.1 7.7 9.4 3.8 6.4 9.4 17.9 8.9 -11.5 13. 3 14.5 18.3 21. 5 -.9 13.8 19.7 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Nonfarm 14. 5 9. 4 7. 6 9. 2 3. 7 5. 1 8. 8 14. 7 10. 8 -15. 1 14. 9 15. 9 20. 4 22. 0 1.4 14. 1 20.4 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Business plans to increase capital spending 12.3 percent in 1977, according to the Commerce April-May survey, slightly more than the expected increase reported in March. BHJJONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) rOTAL N£W PLANT AND EOAflPMENl 40 20 20 1949 V 1970 SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE fBillic ns of dol are; quanterly data at seasor ally adj jsted an nual rate s] Starts c f plant and eqilipment I projesets • E spenditur<3S for plarit and equ ipiaent M umfactur ng Period Total ' 1970.1971. 79. 71 81. 21 88.44 1973 99. 74 1974 112. 40 1975 112. 78 1976 120. 49 1977 « .. 135. 84 1976: I. 114. 72 II 118. 12 III, 122. 55 IV... 125. 22 1977: I 130. 16 II*—. IS/f. 46 III' - 136. 91 IV* . 139. 08 1972 Total 31. 95 29. 99 31. 35 38. 01 46. 01 47. 95 52. 48 69.91 49. 21 50.64 54. 78 54.44 56. 43 SB. en 61. 77 6%. 3f, Durable goods 15. 80 14. 15 15. 64 19. 25 22. 62 21. 84 23. 68 27.44 21. 63 22. 54 24. 59 25. 50 26. 30 86. 4% S8.SO S8. 59 N onmanul aoturing Nondurable goods 16. 15 15. 84 15. 72 IS. 75 23. 39 26. 11 28.81 SS. 47 27.58 28.09 30.20 28. 93 30. 13 SS. SO S3. 48 S3. 74 Total 47. 76 51. 22 57.09 61.73 66. 39 64,82 68. 01 76.48 65. 51 67.48 67. 76 70. 78 73.74 75. 84 75. 14 76. 75 tional, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. These figures do not agree precisely with the no 11 residential fixed investment data in gross national product estimates, mainly because those data include investment by farmers, professionals, nonprofit institutions, and real estate firms, and. certain outlays charged to current account. 1 Includes trade, service, construction, f nance, and Insurance. 10 Trans- Public Mining porta- utilities tion 1. 89 2. 16 2.42 2.74 3. 18 3.79 4.00 4.41 3.83 3.83 4.21 4.13 4.24 4.48 4.54 6. 04 4, 93 5. 72 6. 03 6.66 7. 57 7. 45 6. 83 6. 55 8. 24 7. 25 7. 53 7.29 6. 60 8. 74 13. 14 15. 30 17. 00 18. 71 20. 55 20. 14 22. 28 S6. 11 21. 91 21. 85 21. 67 23.46 25.35 $5. 66 SS. 73 Communication 10. 10 10. 77 11. 89 12. 85 13. 96 12.74 13. 30 IB. 34 12. 54 12. 62 13. 64 14.30 14. 19 39. 38. Commercial and 2 other Manufacturing 16. 59 18. 05 20. 07 21. 40 22. 05 20. 60 20. 99 SS. 75 20. 68 20. 94 20. 99 21.36 22.67 16 14 29. 18 28. 00 35. 21 47. 57 52. 49 48. 24 51 05 11. 64 12 77 13 22 12. 88 10. 26 Public utilities 17 20 22 22 28 60 38 13 45 74 34 50 29 66 3 43 8 56 7 54 10 22 9.76 3 Starts are estimated by adding cbanf es In carryover to expenditures durtns given period. ' Expenditures estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business in late April and May 1977. N OTE.—Annual total,is the sum of unadjusted quarterly totals. Estimates (as noted in footnote 4) include adjustments when necessary for sys tematic biases in expectations data. Source: Department of Commerce,Bureau of Economic Analysis. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Seasonally adjusted civilian employment increased by 271,000 in June and untmployment rose by 21 2,000. Since October 1976, civilian employment has increased by 2.9 million and the civilian labor force has increased by 2.3 million. M1L1ONS OF PERSONS* 100 MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 100 0 L ! I I...I.I. i . t . l .I..I I I I I I'I I I I I I I ILI... I. I I | I I I I... 1971 1970 19.69 1 II III III I1 J?74 1973 1972 1975 1976 *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNOL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS n thousands of Period Noninstitutional population Civilian Unememploy- ployment ment 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 145, 148, 150, 153, 156, 775 263 827 449 048 1976: June. July. Aug_ Sept_ Oct.. Nov. Dec. 155, 156, 156, 156, 156, 157, 157, 925 142 367 595 788 006 176 88, 460 89, 608 89, 367 87, 949 88, 697 88, 542 88, 494 1977: Jan.. Feb__ Mar. Apr__ May_ June.1 157, 157, 157, 157, 158, 158, 381 584 782 986 228 456 86, 856 87, 231 88, 215 89, 258 90, 042 91, 682 1 2 Persons 81, 702 84, 409 85, 935 84, 783 87, 485 u nadjusted 4, 4, 5, 7, 7, 840 304 076 830 288 person s 16 years of age a nd over] Total labor Civilian force (includ- labor ing force Armed Forces) Unempl<Dyment Civilian e mploymeELt Nonagri cultural T°t 1 Agricultural Tntal Part-time for economic reasons l Tnt fll Labor 1 rorce partici15 | weeks I pation and ! rate over I (per-2 cent) 3, 472 78, 230 2, 408 3, 452 80, 957 2,311 3,492 82, 443 2, 709 3, 380 81, 403 3, 490 3, 272 3,297 84, 188 Seas(anally adjusted 4, 4, 5, 7, 7, 840 304 076 830 288 1, 158 812 937 2,483 2,339 1 61. 0 61. 4 61. 8 61. 8 62. 1 87, 533 87, 783 87, 834 87, 794 87, 738 88, 220 88, 441 3, 313 3,333 3, 372 3, 278 3, 310 3,248 3,257 84, 220 84, 450 84, 462 84, 516 84, 428 84, 972 85, 184 3, 150 3, 136 3, 178 3, 376 3,448 3, 545 3,454 7, 171 7, 406 7,517 7, 448 7, 564 7, 651 7, 519 2, 173 2, 247 2, 341 ' 2,311 2,360 2, 517 2,514 62. 1 62. 3 62. 4 62. 2 62. 2 62. 4 62. 4 88? 558 88, 962 89, 475 90, 023 90, 408 90, 679 3,090 3, 090 3, 116 3, 260 3, 386 3, 338 85, 468 85, 872 86, 359 86, 763 87, 022 87, 341 3, 320 3,438 3,276 3, 174 3, 290 3, 368 6, 958 7, 183 7,064 6, 737 6, 750 6,962 2,283 2, 182 1,923 i 1, 816 ; 1, 836 1, 737 62. 0 62. 4 62. 5 62. 6 62. 7 63. 0 88, 991 91, 040 93, 240 94, 793 96, 917 86, 542 88, 714 91, Oil 92, 613 94, 773 81, 84, 85, 84, 87, 7, 655 7, 577 7,323 7, 026 6, 833 7, 095 7, 022 96, 97, 97, 97, 97, 98, 98, 841 329 498 387 449 020 106 94, 95, 95, 95, 95, 95, 95, 704 189 351 242 302 871 960 7,848 8, 109 7, 556 6, 568 6, 151 7,453 97, 649 98, 282 98, 677 98, 892 99, 286 99, 770 95, 96, 96, 96, 97, 97, 516 145 539 760 158 641 at work in nonagricultural industries. Total labor force as percent of noiiinstitutional population 16 years of age and over. 1977 702 409 935 783 485 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES The unemployment rate rose in June by 0.2 percentage point to 7.1 percent. Most of the increase took place amons adult women, but the teenage unemployment rate also rose. The rate for adult males fell. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)- PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 1976 * UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Uneniploymeiit rate ({percent of civilianL labor fo rce in gr oup) By s ex and a ge Total (all civilian workers) Period 1972 1973____ 1974 1975 1976 1976: June July Aug Sept Oct... Nov___ Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr May___ June . _ _ 5. 6 4.9 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.6 7. 8 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.0 7.8 7. 3 7. 5 7. 3 7. 0 6. 9 7. 1 Men Women Both 20 20 sexes years years 16-19 and and years over over 4.0 3.2 3.8 6.7 5.9 5.9 6. 1 5.9 6. 1 6.2 6. 3 6.2 5.6 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.0 5.4 4. 8 5.5 8.0 7.4 7.2 7.6 7. 8 7. 6 7. 6 7. 6 7.4 6.9 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.6 7.2 16.2 14.5 16. 0 19. 9 19.0 18.4 18.2 19. 6 18. 8 19. 0 19. 2 19.0 18.7 IS. 5 18. 8 17. 8 17. 9 18, 6 1 Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours. 12 I5y select ed group s B y (x>lor White 5.0 4.3 5.0 7.8 7.0 6.8 7. 1 7. 1 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.3 6. 2 6.3 ExpeBlack rienced House- Fullwage time and hold and other salary heads workers workers 10. 0 8. 9 9.9 13.9 13. 1 13.4 12. 9 13. 6 12. 8 13.4 13. 5 13.4 12.5 13. 1 12. 7 12. 3 12. 9 13. 2 5.3 4.5 5.3 8.2 7.3 7. 2 7.4 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.4 7. 0 7. 1 6.9 6. 5 6.7 6.5 3.3 2.9 3.3 5.8 5.1 5. 1 5.3 5. 2 5.4 5.4 5.3 5. 1 4,8 4. 9 4.6 4. 4 4. 5 4. 3 5. 1 4.3 5. 1 8. 1 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.5 7. 5 7. 6 7. 6 7. 5 6.7 6.9 6.7 6. 5 6. 5 6. 5 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Parttime workers 8.6 7.9 8. 6 10. 3 10. 1 9.2 10. 6 10. 0 9. 6 10. 3 10. 5 9.8 10.2 10.7 11. 1 9. 9 9. 9 10.7 Labor force time lost (percent) * 6.0 5.2 6. 1 9. 1 8.3 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.4 8. 6 8.6 8.4 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.4 7 5 7.5 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS The rise In seasonally adjusted unemployment of 212,000 in June was accompanied by an increase in the proportion of newly unemployed (less than 5 weeks) and a decrease in the proportion unemployed more than 15 weeks. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 $0 JOB LOSERS r~K 40 40 REENTRANTS X. 20 20 JOB LEAVERS 15-26 WEEKS \ NEW ENTRANTS I I! 1I M 1974 1975 |1 1 ! I IIII M 1976 1977 1974 1 11 1975 1976 I! I | 1977 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Pereer it distribution of unemPerceiit distribution of uneml 1 State p rograms Insured plo yment by durati on unem- Special ployment 3y reasoii unemployUnemment, ployployall ment Period 27 Insured ment Less Reen- New Job 15-26 weeks unem- Initial regular benefit3 (thou- Job enthan 5 5-14 proclaims ploy- claims sands) losers leavers trants trants weeks weeks weeks and grams 2 (unadover ment (unad- justed) justed) Weejkly aver age, thou sands 1972 43.2 4r 840 13.1 29.8 13.9 45.9 11.6 1,848 12.3 30. 1 2, 192 261 1973 4,304 38. 7 15.7 30.7 14.9 51.0 7.8 1,632 30.1 11.0 246 1,793 1974 43.4 28.4 5,076 14.9 13. 3 7. 3 2,262 50.6 31.0 11.1 363 2,558 1975 7,830 55. 4 10.4 23.8 10.4 15.2 37. 0 31.3 3,992 16.5 478 4,943 1,173 1976 7,288 49.8 12.2 12. 1 26. 0 38. 3 18.3 2,968 29.6 13. 8 382 3,822 1, 152 50.3 1976: June. 7,171 12.6 25. 5 11. 7 38.4 31. 1 17.9 2,916 12.7 402 1, 145 3,457 July__ 7,406 50.9 13. 0 25. 4 10.7 40.3 28. 8 16. 4 3,045 14.6 3,642 411 1,379 Aug__ 7,517 49. 3 12. 9 25. 3 12.4 37.5 31. 8 15. 9 3, 183 147 3,446 416 1,327 Sept.. 7,448 12. 5 49. 7 25.5 12.3 37. 6 15.7 3,260 32.0 14.7 421 3,235 986 Oct___ 7, 564 12. 5 50. 0 25.6 11. 9 16.5 3,263 38.4 30.8 142 421 3,217 853 Nov__ 7, 651 11.2 49. 8 27. 0 12. 0 35.5 32. 1 17. 1 3, 160 15. 3 388 3,453 862 Dec._ 7,519 50.0 11. 1 26.2 12. 6 36.4 18.2 2,969 30. 5 14.9 361 3,884 903 1977: Jan... 6,958 45.6 13.2 28.3 12. 9 38.7 29.2 17.5 2,781 14. 6 409 4,442 823 Feb.. 7,183 47. 5 11.9 27.5 13. 1 39. 5 29.7 17.4 2,774 13. 4 419 4,448 911 Mar.. 7,064 44.4 28.4 13.0 14.2 42.8 11. 1 29.9 16. 3 2,564 335 3,972 901 Apr 6, 737 43. 6 12.5 29. 5 14.4 45.8 27.4 10. 6 16. 3 2,489 363 3,506 784 May44.2 6,750 13.7 29. 0 13. 0 41.5 31. 2 15.4 11.9 2,515 381 3, 105 538 31 June . 6,962 42. 7 13.9 27.6 15.7 44.9 29. 7 11.7 13.8 2,541 373 2,938 484 1 Detail 3 may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (EB) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal supplemental benefits) and SUA (special unemployment assistance). 3 FSB and SUA. These programs started January 1975 and regular reporting began March 1975. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration); "I O lo NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricuitural payroll employment rose by 135/000 in June as most major Industries showed inoraases. The largest rise (76,000) was in services. Manufacturing employment was down for the first time since October. MHUQNS Of PERSONS* fcNLARGID SCALE) MM.UONS OF PERSONS* n\ WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ALL NONAGR1CULTURAJ. ESTABLISHMENTS 70 14 12 -SERVIGE-^ODUGNG INDUSTRIES UHwuaiiMKa I |.j I { I .LL1.J } U 1 I i ft I t I J'l Lt 1 I \ t M V 1 I.T. 11.1 • • -l.H • - • • • I L » f 1 1 ? lit M ^, I \ ^.*«*"'**"*""**'* *.*•**""*" " " " ""* 22 - I ii MANUFACTURING 50 r / »«**! 20 V - r"*'" i**'^* 1 * 40 18 frn M h fin 30 M. M i l . Ill I n , M l . . , ! , ,,,,,„ ,,,,,, -GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION ''"*<Mif»jlin 20 I I 1! I I I I 1973 1974 1975 1977 1976 1973 1 1 ill i 11 i LI 1974 ( M M f i t 1..IJ 1975 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1976 1977 COUNCH. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers;l seasonally adjusted ] Groods-prc >ducing i ndustriesi Period 1972 _._1973 1974. _ _ _ _ 197S_».. _ 1976 1976: June™ July.. Aug.. Sept_^ Oct.Nov__ Dec.. 1977: Jan._ Feb»_ Mar»_ Apr__ May p. June*1. Total nonagricuitural employ- Total 2 ment 73, 714 76, 896 78, 413 77, 051 79, 443 79, 368 79, 513 79, 618 79, 918 79, 819 80, 106 80, 344 80, 561 80, 824 81, 395 81, 686 81, 921 82, 056 23, 546 24, 727 24, 697 22, 603 23, 332 23, 357 23, 344 23, 310 23, 463 23, 323 23, 489 23, 508 23, 589 23, 701 24, 005 24, 217 24, 310 24, 332 Contract construction 3,831 4,015 3,957 3,512 3,594 3, 592 3, 608 3,579 3, 565 3, 582 3,619 3,605 3,561 3, 645 3, 759 3, 842 3, 867 3,898 Serviee-pr oducing Industrie s Trans- Whole- Finance, Gover nment portainsursale tion ance, Services Total and NonState and and retail Total Durable durable Federal and public real goods goods trade local utilities estate Ma nufactur ing 19, 090 20, 068 20, 046 18, 347 18, 956 18, 984 18, 945 18, 979 19, 100 18, 941 19, 065 19, 095 19, 211 19, 233 19, 404 19, 528 19, 599 19, 575 11,006 11,839 11, 895 10, 679 11, 026 11, 059 11, 034 11, 083 11, 146 11, 018 11, 128 11, 158 11, 236 11, 230 11, 370 Hi 423 11, 473 11, 483 8,084 8, 229 8, 151 7,668 7, 930 7,925 7, 911 7,896 7,954 7, 923 7, 937 7, 937 7,975 8,003 8, 034 8, 105 8, 126 8, 092 i Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagriculturai establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, sell-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel oi the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricuitural employment ol the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, end domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they 14 50, 167 52, 169 53, 715 54, 448 56, 111 56, Oil 56, 169 56, 308 56, 455 56, 496 56, 617 56, 836 56, 972 57, 123 57, 390 57, 469 57, 611 57, 724 4,517 4,644 4,696 4,498 4, 509 4,482 4, 508 4, 501 4, 528 4, 506 4,519 4, 553 4, 549 4,553 4, 568 4, 575 4, 585 4, 574 15, 975 16, 674 17, 017 17, 000 17, 694 17, 664 17, 737 17, 764 17, 839 17, 824 17, 808 17, 898 17, 981 18, 067 18, 189 18, 203 18, 226 13, 237 3,943 4, 091 4,208 4,223 4, 316 4,301 4, 312 4, 312 4, 338 4, 359 4,381 4,403 4,423 4, 431 4, 453 4, 463 4,481 4, 493 12, 392 13, 021 13, 617 14, 006 14, 644 14, 610 14, 664 14, 751 14, 798 14, 819 14, 873 14, 936 15, 010 15, 068 15, 149 15, 182 15, 205 15, 281 2,684 2, 663 2, 724 2,748 2,733 2, 728 2,723 2, 732 2, 728 2,730 2,734 2,720 2,721 2, 721 2, 725 2,719 2,723 2, 729 10, 656 11, 075 11, 453 11, 973 12, 215 12, 226 12, 225 12, 248 12, 224 12, 258 12, 302 12, 326 12, 288 12, 283 12, 306 12,327 12, 391 12, 410 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on a sample of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. J Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department oi Labcr, Bureau of Labor Statistics, AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total private nonagricultural * Period 1968 1969, 1970 1971 1972_._ 1973 1974 1975 1976 _ Overtime Total private nonagncultural 1 Manufacturing Manufa cturing Total Adjusted h ourly earnin gs index2 —tc>tal private nonagricultural Averag e gross hourly eearnings Aver age weekly ]lours Percent ehtange from a year <earlier 4 Index, 11)67=100 1967 dollars 3 Current dollars Current dollars 37. 8 37.7 37.1 37.0 37. 1 37.1 36.6 36. 1 36.2 40. 7 40.6 39.8 39. 9 40.6 40.7 40.0 39.4 40.0 3.6 3.6 3. 0 2.9 3. 5 3.8 3.2 2.6 3.1 $2. 85 3.04 3.22 3.44 3.67 3.92 4.22 4. 54 4.87 $3. 01 3. 19 3. 36 3.57 3.81 4. 08 4. 41 4. 81 5.19 106.2 113.2 120.7 129.2 137.7 146.5 158. 5 172.5 185.0 101.9 103. 1 1967 dollars 106. 6 109.9 110.0 107.3 107.0 108.5 6.2 6. 6 6. 6 7. 1 6. 5 6.4 8.2 8.8 7.3 1.9 1.2 .7 2.7 3. 1 .2 -2.5 -.3 1.4 103. n 1976: June July...... Aug Sept Oct Nov. Dec.- 36.1 36.1 36. 1 36. 0 36. 1 36.2 36.2 40.2 40. 1 40.0 39.7 39.9 40. 1 40.0 3.2 3. 1 3.0 3.0 2.9 3. 1 3.2 4.85 4.88 4.91 4. 92 4. 95 5.00 5.02 5.16 5.21 5.25 5.29 5. 29 5. 34 5. 38 184.3 185.6 186.8 187.5 188. 4 189. 7 190. 6 108.3 108.5 108.7 108.7 108.9 109. 3 109.4 7.2 7.3 7. 1 7. 1 6.8 6.7 6.9 1.2 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.9 1977: Jan Feb. Mar Apr May » June* 35.8 36.3 36.3 36.2 36.3 36.2 39.5 40.3 40.4 40.3 40.4 40.5 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 5. 07 5.09 5. 12 5. 17 5.20 5.21 5. 43 5.43 5.49 5. 53 5. 57 5.60 192.7 193.2 194. 1 195.3 196. 3 196.9 109.7 109.0 108.8 108. 6 108. 5 108.2 7.3 7.0 7.0 7.1 6.9 6.8 2. 1 1.0 .6 .3 .1 — .0 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS—PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURMJ INDUSTRIES [For production or nensupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly earnings Total prrvate nonagricu tural l Period Current dollars 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: 1977: __ June July Aug Sept Oct Nov. Dec —. Jan Feb Mar Apr May* June* Manufacturing 1967 dollars 3 3 Retail trade 5 Current dollars (Current dollars3 1967 dollars $107. 73 114. 61 119. 46 127. 28 136. 16 145. 43 154. 45 163. 89 176. 29 $103. 39 104. 38 102. 72 104.93 108. 67 109. 26 104. 57 101. 67 103. 40 $122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 44 154. 69 166. 06 176. 40 189. 51 207. 60 $164. 49 181. 54 195. 45 211. 67 222. 51 235. 69 249. 08 265. 35 284.93 $74. 95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 90. 99 95. 57 101. 04 108. 22 113. 96 5.8 6.4 4.2 6. 5 7.0 6. 8 6. 2 6. 1 7.6 175. 09 176. 17 177. 25 177. 12 178. 70 181. 00 181. 72 102. 87 103. 02 103. 17 102. 74 103. 29 104. 32 104.32 207. 43 208. 92 210. 00 210. 01 211. 07 214. 13 215. 20 286. 46 286. 71 284. 83 276. 79 289. 45 292. 09 291. 69 112. 29 113. 60 114. 24 115. 56 115. 84 116. 75 118. 50 7. 8 7.9 7.0 6.6 6.9 6.5 =••'•! : 6. 7 1.8 2. 3 1.3 1.0 1.5 Is 5 1.8 181. 51 184. 77 185. 86 187. 15 188. 76 188. 60 103. 37 104.21 104.18 10409 104.34 103. 68 214. 218. 221. 222. 225. 226. 281. 08 297. 86 293. 09 296. 54 297. 33 294. 70 117. 55 119. 25 119. 94 (7) (77) () 5.6 7. 1 7.7 8.3 7.5 7.2 .4 1.0 1.2 1.5 .7 .3 i Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. ' 2 Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing. 8 Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index; < Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places. 93~688e—77^ Contract construction Percent ohtmge from a year e arlier, total pri^/ate nonagricuiltural5 49 83 80 86 03 80 6 6 Includes eating and drinking Based on unadjusted data. 7 •/, 1. 5 1. a — 1. 6 2. 2 3.6 .5 -4.3 -2.8 1.7 ,,- places. Data no longer available. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; 15 PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, PRIVATE BUSINESS ECONOMY Hours of all pers ons2 Outp lit1 Output i>er hour of all persons Compe nsation per h our 3 Unit labor COJ3tS Implieit price defla tor* Total Private Total Private Total Private Total Private Total Private Total Private nonprinonprinonnonprinonnonprivate private private farm vate farm vate farm vate farm farm business farm business business business business business business business business business business business Period 1967= 100; quai terly datei seasons lly adjust ed 98.0 100. 0 105. 1 108.3 98. 1 100. 0 105.4 108.6 100.3 100. 0 101.7 104. 5 100. 0 100. 0 102. 1 105. 3 97.8 100. 0 103.3 103.7 98. 1 100. 0 103.2 103.1 100. 0 107.6 115.1 100. 0 107.3 1143 96.8 100. 0 104 1 111.0 96.4 100. 0 103.9 110.9 97.2 100.0 103.9 108.8 96.8 100.0 1040 108.7 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 107.4 110.3 117. 6 124. 5 120.8 107.4 110.3 117.9 125.0 121. 1 102. 8 102. 3 106.0 110. 1 110. 6 104. 0 103.7 107. 6 112. 2 112.7 104.5 107.8 111.0 113. 1 109.2 103.3 106.3 109. 5 111.4 107.5 123.3 131.5 138. 9 150. 3 1643 121.9 129.9 137.4 148. 1 162.0 118. 1 121.9 125.2 132. 9 150.4 113.9 118.9 123.2 130.3 143. 8 1140 119.2 122.9 128.0 142.0 1975 1976___. 118.1 126. 1 118.0 126.2 106. 1 108.9 108.0 111.4 111.3 115.7 109.2 113.2 179.9 193.7 177.4 190.5 161.6 167.4 118. 1 122.2 125.5 133.0 150.8 162.4 168.2 157.5 1646 156.4 163.9 1975: I II III IV 114. 2 116. 7 120. 1 121.2 114.4 116. 6 119. 9 121. 3 105.7 104.9 105.9 107.5 107.8 106.9 107.7 109.7 108.1 111.2 113. 4 112.8 176. 1 178.7 180.8 1842 173. 1 176.1 178.9 181. 4 162.9 160.7 159.5 163. 3 163.3 161.5 160.6 164 1 1545 155. 9 158.4 160. 9 1540 155.0 157.0 159. 3 1976: III III IV 124.2 125. 8 126. 8 127.5 124.3 126. 0 126. 9 127.5 108.2 108.9 108.9 109.5 111. 0 111.2 111.3 112.2 114.7 115.5 116.3 116.4 106. 0 109.0 111. 4 110.6 112.0 113.2 114. 0 113.6 188. 8 191.8 195.3 199.2 185. 4 188.9 192. 1 195.4 1646 166.0 167.8 171. 1 165.4 166.8 168. 5 171.9 161.7 163. 8 165. 4 167.4 161.0 162. 5 164.8 167.2 1977: I 130.0 130.1 110. 4 113.3 117.8 114.8 204 4 200. 2 173.6 1744 169.4 168. 6 1966 1967 1968_ 1969_ -_. 947 945 Perceiit change ; quarterlyy data at seasonal y adjuste d annual rates 2.5 1.9 3.2 -.2 7.0 5.6 7.6 7.0 6. 1 5.8 7.3 6.5 3.7 3.3 41 6.6 3.4 3.8 3.9 6.6 3.2 2.9 3.9 47 2.9 3.3 40 45 1. 9 -3.4 ;2 2.9 3.0 1.7 -3.5 7.2 6.6 5.7 8.2 9.3 6.7 6. 6 5.8 7.8 9.4 6.4 3.2 2.7 6.2 13.2 6.5 3.5 2.7 6.0 13.4 47 44 3.6 5.8 10.3 4.9 45 3.1 41 11.0 -4.1 3.1 1.9 4.0 1.6 3.7 7.7 9. 5 9.5 7.4 7.5 3.6 7.7 3.6 9.5 45 10.1 48 — 12. 5 -2.7 3.9 5.9 -12.3 -3.5 1.4 1. 1 11. 8 12. 9 6. 1 11.3 3. 5 -2.8 11. 3 -5.2 -3.1 10.0 -42 -2. 1 11.6 7.1 6.4 5.8 10.4 2.9 7.6 12.0 13. 5 2.6 5.3 6.2 10.5 5.4 3.0 1.9 2.9 2.6 .1 2.1 4.8 1.0 .4 3.2 7.0 2.9 2.9 .3 5.4 44 2.6 9.0 7.7 7.1 7.0 3.1 3.5 45 8.0 2. 1 -1.2 6.5 7.5 8.2 43 8.3 5.2 3.9 5.0 43 3. 6 5. 8 5.9 8.3 3.2 41 47 41 10. 9 10. 3 5.9 6.0 48 3.5 1966 1967___ 1968 1969 5.5 2.0 5. 1 3.0 6.0 1.9 5.4 3.0 2.3 —.3 1.7 2.7 3.3 -.0 2.1 3.2 1970_ 1971 1972 1973___ 1974___ —.9 2.8 6.6 5. 9 — 3. 0 -1.1 2.7 6.9 6.0 -3. 1 -1.6 —.4 3.6 3.9 .4 1.2 —.3 4.3 ;4 1975___ 1976 -2.3 6.8 -2.6 6.9 -4.1 2.7 1975: I II III IV -11.2 8.9 12. 3 3.6 -11.3 7.9 12. 1 4.5 1976: I_ II III IV 10.2 5.5 2.9 2.3 8.0 1977: I 1 2 3. 7 3.2 2. 3 3.3 .3 ;7 3.2 2.9 8.1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1972 dollars. Hours of all persons in private industry engaged in production, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 8 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the self-employed. 16 8.9 48 7.6 10. 4 -2.3 8.9 3.4 3.2 6.6 6.6 * Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. NOTE.—Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Bevised data consistent with revisions in GNP estimates beginning 1974 will appear next month. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production rose 0.7 percent in June, following a 1.0 percent increase in May. Contributing substantially to the June advance were automotive products, business equipment, and durable goods materials. INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1967=100* (RATIO SCALE) 160 UTILITIES AND MINING PRODIICTION TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION ' , i. - A.- 140 ~^-N^T^\ ^\AVf V •; rl . u UTILIT1ES > 120 1 v «*^*** -v'^ i M Mi ! I ' 11* 160 \ 1 1 1 I1 1 M I I 1 1 1 1 1 !1 1 1 1 1 H M 1 1 M 1 f JJ : MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION PERCENT (RATIO SCALE) 100 MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE 140 90 80 120 70 100 1973 1974 1975 •1976 1977 .1973 1977 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total iiidustrial prodiiction Percent Period Index, change 1967= from 100 year earlier . 1967 proportion 100. 00 1.7 1971 109.6 9.2 1972 119. 7 8.4 1973 129. 8 —.4 1974 129. 3 -8.9 1975 _. 117.8 10.2 1976 129.8 130. 1 11.8 1976: June 10.4 130.7 July.. 8.5 Aug 131.3 7. 1 Sept ..... 130.8 6. 6 Oct. 130.3 6.8 Nov 131.9 6.9 133. 0 Dec 132. 1 5.1 1977:Jan___ 4.6 133.2 Feb Mar 135.2 5.5 Apr __ 6. 1 136. 2 6.2 May » 137.6 6.5 138. 6 June * _ 1 [Seasc>nally adjiisted] Indusibry produ ction ind exes, 196 7=100 M mufactun ng Total Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 87.96 108.2 118.9 129.8 129. 4 116. 3 129.4 130.2 131. 0 131.6 130.7 129. 8 132.0 132.8 131.5 132.9 135.2 136. 3 137.9 138. 7 51.98 102. 4 113.7 127. 1 125.7 109.3 121. 4 122.3 124.2 125. 1 122.4 121. 5 123.8 125.2 123.0 124.0 126.8 128.0 130.0 131.2 S5.97 116.6 126.5 133.8 134.6 126.4 141.0 141.3 141. 1 140.9 142. 6 142.0 143.6 143.7 143.7 145.7 147.0 148. 1 149.4 149.5 6.86 109.8 113.1 114.7 115.3 112.8 114. 1 114.4 112.5 114.4 115.7 116. 7 116. 2 116.2 113. 2 116.5 120. 2 118.7 119. 5 122. 3 6. 69 130. 5 139.4 145.4 143.7 146. 0 151. 7 151.2 150.8 151. 3 150. 1 151.2 154 0 155.5 161.5 158. 8 154.2 152.4 154.0 153.9 Output as percent of capacity. 28 Annual data are averages of four monthly index* Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages of quarterly data. Manuf acturing <capacity iitilization rate, p ercent * Federal Reserve sen es ComWharTotal merce2 ton Mate- series manuseries 3 rials facturing 78.0 83. 1 87.5 84.2 73.6 80. 1 80. 5 80. 9 81. 1 80.4 79.7 80.8 81.2 80.2 80.8 82.1 82. 5 83.3 83.5 83. 1 88.0 92.4 87.7 73. 6 80.3 80.8 81. 2 81.6 81.0 80.3 80.3 80. 1 79.1 80.0 81.6 82.1 82.8 83.2 80 83 86 83 77 81 82 86.4 91.8 97. 1 93.0 80.4 87.4 87.6 80 88. 1 81 87.7 83 88.3 90.7 Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), and Wharton School of Finance. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Prod ucts Final piroduets Total Total 1967 proportion 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr 9 May June > Equip ment Corisumer go ods Period . --- 47.82 109.6 105. 3 106.3 115. 7 124. 4 125. 1 118. 2 127.3 127.6 127. 6 128. 3 127.3 127.3 129.9 131.9 130.8 131.8 133.0 134. 4 135.3 136. 3 27. 68 109.8 109.0 114.7 124.4 131.5 128. 9 124. 0 136.8 137.8 136.8 137. 5 136.1 136.6 139.3 141.7 140.2 141.0 142.8 143. 6 143.9 144. 7 InternoLediate prod ucts NonDurable durable goods goods 19.79 7.89 107.7 115.0 110. 1 106.1 118.8 113. 1 120. 6 133. 8 125.6 146. 2 126.3 135. 3 125. 1 121. 4 134.9 141.5 144.2 135. 1 134. 8 141. 8 134.9 143. 7 138.4 135.1 135.5 139. 4 137.4 143.7 151.2 138. 0 145. 1 138.3 138, 9 146.1 139.0 152.4 152.0 140. 3 152.6 140. 4 140. 7 155.2 Total Business Total so. 14 12.63 112. 5 107.0 104. 1 118. 0 134. 2 142. 4 128. 2 136. 1 135. 0 136. 9 137. 7 137.5 136.0 140.2 142.9 142. 0 143. 1 144.5 147.0 149. 3 151.6 12.89 112.9 112.9 116. 7 126. 5 137.2 135. 3 123. 1 136.8 135.9 137. 6 137. 8 138.7 138.3 138.8 139.8 141.8 141. 8 141. 9 142. 8 144.6 145.8 109.3 100.1 94.7 103.8 114.5 120. 0 110. 2 114.3 113.8 114 9 115. 7 115.2 114.4 116.9 118.4 117. 8 119.0 119.7 121.8 123.3 124. 9 Construction supplies 6. 42 112.3 111. 0 116. 8 128. 4 139.8 134. 5 116. 3 132. 0 131.8 133. 1 134. 1 134. 3 134.0 135. 7 135.5 136. 1 135. 7 136. 4 137. 4 139. 6 141. 1 Materials S9. 29 112.5 109. 2 111. 3 122. 3 133.9 132.4 115. 5 130. 5 131. 1 132. 2 133. 0 132. 5 131.6 132.0 131. 9 130.7 132. 4 135.5 136.4 137.9 138. 9 Supplementary group: Energy total 12. 2S 111. 1 117.0 119. 5 125. 2 128.3 125.5 125.5 129. 0 129.7 128.4 129.0 128.6 128.6 130.7 132.2 133.0 132. 4 132.0 131.3 131. 6 132. 3 [1967 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Diirable miinufactu res Primarjr metals Period Total 1 967 proportion 1969_._ 1970 1971 1972 1973. 1974_,_ 1975 1976 _ 1976: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr May » June * Iron and steel 4.21 Fabricated metal products chinery Electrical machinery Transp<Drtation equip ment Total Motor vehicles and Lumber and products Print- ChemAping icals parel and and Foods prod- pubproducts lishing ucts parts 6.57 113.8 106.6 100.2 112. 1 126. 7 123. 1 96.4 108.0 5.9S 107.9 102.4 103. 5 112. 1 124.7 124.2 109.9 123.3 9. 15 109.3 104.4 100.2 116.0 133.7 140. 1 125. 1 134.7 8.06 111.9 108,1 107.7 122.2 143. 1 143.8 116. 5 131. 7 9.27 108.4 89. 5 97. 9 108.2 118.3 108.7 97.4 110. 6 4.50 116.5 92. 3 118.6 135. 8 148.8 128.2 111. 1 140.7 1.64 107. 9 105.6 113. 8 120.8 126. 0 116.2 107.6 125. 1 S.S1 106. 7 101.4 104.7 109. 4 117.3 114.3 107.6 126. 1 4*72 7.74 112.6 104.7 96. 1 107. 1 122.3 119.8 95. 8 104.4 107.4 107.0 107. 1 112. 7 118.2 118.2 113.3 120.7 118.4 120.4 125. 9 143.6 154.5 159.4 147.3 169.4 8. 75 106. 1 108.9 112.8 116.8 120.9 124.0 123.4 132. 0 111. 5 116. 9 118. 6 114. 1 109.9 107.3 102. 7 110.0 115. 3 116.2 110. 3 105. 1 103. 1 95.6 124.0 124. 6 125. 8 126. 6 123.5 126. 7 128.2 133.5 135. 0 136. 4 136. 8 134. 1 137.5 141. 2 132.0 131. 0 135. 3 133.7 135.0 135.8 135. 6 112.6 113. 3 115. 0 104.4 104.7 112.7 118. 2 146. 5 ' 148. 5 150.6 130.2 129. 3 145. 8 156. 4 120. 3 124. 6 128. 1 128. 7 130.7 129.0 127. 5 126.8 125.6 123. 7 122. 5 124.2 127. 4 128.8 119.7 122. 0 120. 6 120.6 119.2 119. 3 123. 1 170.0 167. 6 170.4 170.5 170.6 174.2 173. 5 130. 5 131. 8 133. 4 135.7 134.7 134.7 134.3 ._ 100.0 _.. 100. 4 108.3 112.3 117.0 118. 0 89. 8 91. 3 97.9 104.0 111.2 112.5 125. 7 126.0 127.5 128. 6 130. 1 131. 1 139. 5 139.4 140. 4 142.9 145.5 147.5 134.0 137.6 137.6 139. 6 142.0 143.0 113. 5 113. 4 120.5 119. 7 120.1 122. 7 145.5 145. 4 161.2 157.8 158.0 162. 7 132.7 132. 2 132. 1 131.6 132.2 123. 6 125. 2 123.5 124.2 124. 3 122. 4 124.3 123. 4 123.9 124. 0 172.0 175. 1 179.0 180. 6 181. 6 135. 5 137. 1 138.5 140. 6 140. 1 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 18 Nonelectrical Non durable manufacl iures NEW CONSTRUCTION Construction contracts 2 Private Total new construction expenditures Period Resic [ential Total Total 1 Commercial and industrial New housing units Other Federal, State, and local CommerTotal value cial and index industrial (1967= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) Bil lions of dollars 1970____ 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 94. 9 110.0 124. 1 137.9 138,5 134. 3 147.5 __ 66.8 80.1 93.9 105.4 100.2 93.6 109.5 31.9 43. 3 54.3 59.7 50.4 46.5 60.5 24,3 35. 1 44.9 50. 1 40. 6 34.4 47.3 16. 3 17.0 18.1 21. 7 23.8 20.8 19. 9 18. 6 19,8 21.5 24.0 25.9 26.3 29.0 2ai 29.9 30.2 32.5 38.3 40. 7 38.0 29.0 28.9 28. 3 29. 0 29.7 29.7 30. 1 30.7 30.9 31. 5 30. 9 30. 9 30. 3 39. 6 39.9 38. 7 38. 2 37. 9 35. 3 34. 9 34.3 32.0 34. 5 35. 4 36.2 38.0 Seasonally / adjusted arinual rates 1976: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec— 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr » May » 147.8 149.6 145. 8 141. 8 145. 2 150. 1 153. 8 155.4 148.4 157. 1 163. 3 166.3 169.6 108.2 109. 7 107. 1 103.6 107.4 114. 8 119. 0 121. 2 116. 4 122. 6 127. 9 130. 1 131.5 45.4 45.8 46. 3 47. 1 48.7 50. 9 52. 7 54. 8 52. 1 58.3 62.2 63. 7 66.2 59. 2 61, 0 59. 2 54. 5 57.7 65.5 69. 6 71. 1 66.8 72.4 76. 2 78. 1 80.4 1 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 2 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 60 States beginning 1969 for value index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 20. 0 19.8 19. 6 20. 1 20. 0 19.6 19. 3 19. 4 18.7 18.8 20. 8 21. 1 20. 9 123. 1 145.4 165.3 179. 5 169.7 167.9 194. 1 743 727 854 I, 010 840 555 602 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 205 632 196 646 217 627 189 609 203 582 240 618 186 631 183 658 203 643 207 615 207 809 250 671 317 758 Note.—New construction expenditures data prior to 1973 not comparable with later data. Series revised beginning 1974. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] Itfew privatehousing units Units started, by type of striicture Period 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 _ . Total 1 unit 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 2, 052. 2 2, 356. 6 2, 045. 3 1, 337. 7 1, 160. 4 1, 537. 5 810.6 812. 9 1, 151. 0 1, 309. 2 1, 132. 0 888. 1 892.2 1, 162. 4 2-4 units 85. 0 84.8 120. 3 141. 3 118. 3 68. 1 64.0 85.9 5 or more units 571. 2 535.9 780.9 906. 2 795. 0 381. 6 204. 3 289. 2 New private homes Vacancy rate for Homes for rental sale at housing end of units period l (percent) 2 Units authorized Units completed 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 924. 6 2, 218. 9 1, 819. 5 1, 074. 4 939. 2 1, 280. 0 1, 399. 0 1, 418. 4 1, 706. 1 1, 971. 5 2, 013. 8 1, 691. 7 1, 296. 8 1, 362. 1 448 485 656 718 620 501 544 639 222 220 287 409 450 403 380 431 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.8 6.2 6.0 5. 6 1, 373 1,317 1,380 1,402 1,339 1,399 1,444 1,416 1, 637 1,707 1,532 1,485 595 606 656 714 728 694 808 827 893 854 746 720 406 410 410 415 420 429 431 431 434 435 442 441 5.8 Homes sold Seasonally adjusted arinual rates 1976: June July Aug Sept... Oct... Nov . Dec.. 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr * May » June » 1 1,494 1,413 1, 530 1,768 1, 715 1, 706 1,889 1,384 1, 802 2, 089 1,880 1,954 1, 833 1, 122 1, 129 1, 172 1, 254 1, 269 1,236 1, 324 1, 006 1,424 1,503 1,413 1,467 1,383 Seasonally adjusted. * Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. 75 72 83 106 98 98 120 103 120 113 116 120 91 297 212 275 408 348 372 445 275 258 473 351 367 359 1, 170 1,229 1, 308 1, 481 1, 481 1, 583 1,532 1, 333 1, 526 1,687 1, 605 1, 615 1, 602 NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted units authorized revised beginning 1975. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 5.7 5.3 5. 1 5.3 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE Business inventories rose $3.1 billion in May and business sales were about unchanged. According to the advance survey, retail sales showed virtually no change in June, following a slight decline in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS? (RATIO SCALfi) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 100 90 1977 *SfASPNALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total biisiness l Wholesale Re tail Sales 2 Period C5_1__ 2 bales Inventories 3 C5_1_._ » Invenbales * tories 3 Tnfn.1 DurNonable durable goods goods stores stores In ventories TVitnl DurNonable durable goods goods stores stores Millions of doll ars, seas onally aAdjusted 1971 _... 112,323 184, 756 22, 327 29, 695 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086 52, 571 23, 864 1972... 125, 269 198, 045 24, 862 32, 817 37, 365 12, 472 24, 893 57, 156 26, 056 1973.. _ 145, 297 227, 926 30, 400 38, 302 41, 943 14, 190 27, 754 65, 229 29, 593 1974._ __ 166, 771 278, 386 37, 344 46, 564 44, 815 13, 943 30, 872 73, 851 34, 301 1975 172, 511 275, 484 36, 583 45, 115 48, 702 15, 060 33, 642 74, 676 34, 474 1976 192, 704 299, 123 40, 212 50, 131 54, 324 17, 847 36, 476 82, 405 38,224 1976: May... 190, 445 285, 693 39, 386 47, 799 52, 868 17, 419 35, 449 78, 406 35, 547 June 193, 360 289, 138 40, 780 48, 645 53, 983 17, 803 36, 180 79, 375 35, 863 July 193, 302 290, 866 40, 616 48, 805 53, 754 17, 699 36, 055 79, 917 36, 523 Aug 194, 302 293, 308 40, 581 49, 006 54, 643 18, 208 36, 435 81, 118 37, 515 Sept 193, 868 296, 537 41, 381 49, 723 54, 100 17, 481 36, 619 81, 848 37, 822 Oct 192, 353 298, 179 40, 676 49, 847 54, 634 17, 559 37, 075 81, 658 37, 518 Nov 196, 288 298, 941 40, 796 50, 167 55, 573 18, 157 37, 416 81, 660 37, 933 Dec__ 204, 140 299, 123 41, 767 50, 131 57, 898 19, 730 38, 168 82, 405 38, 224 1977: Jan 202, 160 301, 970 41, 931 50, 872 56, 660 19, 024 37, 636 83, 616 38, 931 Feb 207, 541 303, 985 43, 233 51, 658 58, 175 19, 764 38, 411 83, 878 38, 912 Mar 214, 642 307, 325 43, 879 52, 549 59, 522 20, 687 38, 835 85, 397 39, 613 Apr 213, 596 309, 847 44, 491 53, 067 59, 465 20, 333 39, 132 86, 033 39, 581 May* 213, 916 312, 931 45, 211 53, 196 59, 247 20, 073 39, 174 87, 106 40, 167 June* 59, 233 20, 033 39, 200 i 1 The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 21). * Monthly average for year and total for month. *Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. < For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly sales; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to sales for month. 20 3 28, 707 31, 100 35, 636 39, 550 40, 202 44, 181 42, 859 43, 512 43, 394 43, 603 44, 026 44, 140 43, 727 44, 181 44, 685 44, 966 45, 784 46, 452 46, 939 InventcDry-sales rat io 4 Total business 1 1,61 1.52 1.46 1.51 1.60 1. 50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.53 1.55 1. 52 1.47 1.49 1.46 1.43 1.45 1.46 Retail 1.47 1.46 1.46 1.53 1.51 1.46 1.48 1.47 1.49 1.48 1.51 1.49 1.47 1. 42 1.48 1.44 1.43 1.45 1.47 NOTE.—Total (and manufacturing) sales revised beginning October 1976. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). MANUFACTURERS1 SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS In May, manufacturers' shipments and new orders were little changed overall and inventories rose again. According to preliminary June estimates, durable manufacturers* shipments rose 1.5 percent and orders fell 1.1 percent while orders in nondefense capital goods industries rose 5.0 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) INVENTORIES 240 200 160 120 100 80 DURABLE GOODS __„,, 60 '., BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) NONDURABLE GOODS 40 RATIO* 220 INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO 2.00 40 1.20 1973 1975 1974 1976 1973 1977 1977 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ECONOMIC ADVlSiRS Manufac,turers' shipments1 Manufadburers' in\rentories2 Manufacturers ' new orelers * Durab le goods Period Total 1971 55, 925 1972 63, 042 1973 72, 954 1974 84, 612 1975 87, 226 1976 98, 168 1976: May- 98, 191 June.. 98, 597 July.. 98, 932 Aug.. 99, 078 Sept.. 98, 387 Oct... 97, 043 Nov.. 99, 919 Dec 104, 475 1977: Jan... 103, 569 Feb... 106, 133 Mar.. 111, 241 Apr 109, 640 May.. 109, 458 June*. NonDurable durable goods goods 29, 973 25, 953 34, 042 28, 999 39, 704 33, 250 44, 043 40, 569 43, 912 43, 313 50, 376 47, 792 50, 558 47, 634 50, 606 47, 990 51, 090 47, 842 51, 648 47, 430 50, 060 48, 328 49, 029 48, 014 51, 238 48, 681 55, 295 49, 180 53, 341 50, 228 54, 703 51, 430 58, 849 52, 392 56, 764 52, 876 56, 717 52, 741 57, 575 Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total Millie>ns of doll ars, seasoilaHy adju sted 102, 490 66, 149 36, 341 55, 937 29, 951 7,575 108, 072 70, 098 37, 974 64, 246 35, 142 8,947 124, 395 81, 218 43, 177 76, 217 42, 888 11, 169 157, 971 101, 780 56, 191 86, 988 46, 570 12, 656 155, 693 100, 310 55, 382 85, 659 42, 164 10, 899 166, 587 105, 729 60, 858 98, 497 50, 681 12, 820 159, 488 101, 502 57, 986 99, 025 51, 354 12, 666 161, 118 102, 429 58, 689 99, 135 51, 249 12, 607 162, 144 102, 856 59, 288 98, 811 51, 180 13, 778 163, 184 103, 282 59, 902 97, 554 50, 380 12, 690 164, 966 104, 117 60, 850 98, 476 50, 068 13, 468 166, 674 105, 589 61, 085 99, 006 50, 754 14, 124 167, 114 106, 128 60, 986 100, 784 52, 235 12, 734 166, 587 105, 729 60, 858 106, 600 57, 040 13, 835 167, 482 106, 562 60, 920 105, 288 55, 037 14, 621 168, 449 107, 222 61, 227 106, 575 55, 133 14, 252 169, 379 107, 685 61, 694 111, 788 59, 160 14, 561 170, 747 108, 190 62, 557 111, 547 58, 652 14, 679 172, 629 109, 154 63, 475 111, 693 59, 176 15, 000 58, 522 15, 751 2 Book vSue 'encfo?* ^f'ifnd total for month- Shipments are the same as sales. 3 End of period. * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. * Total ManufacCapital Nongoods durable turers' indus- goods unfilled3 orders tries, nondefense 25, 986 29, 104 33, 329 40, 418 43, 495 47, 816 47, 670 47, 886 47, 631 47, 174 48, 409 48, 252 48, 549 49, 560 50, 251 51, 442 52, 628 52, 895 52, 517 107, 656 122, 362 161, 766 190, 271 171, 438 175, 453 171, 520 172, 059 171, 938 170, 414 170, 503 172, 468 173, 333 175, 453 177, 179 177, 623 178, 167 180, 065 182, 301 Manufacturers' inventory— shipments ratio * 1. 83 1. 67 1. 58 1. 66 1. 80 1. 64 1. 62 1. 63 1. 64 1.65 1. 68 1. 72 1. 67 1.59 1. 62 1. 59 1. 52 1.56 1.58 Note.—Total and durable shipments and new orders revised beginning OoSource: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES WHOLESALE PRICES In June, the wholesale price index fell 0.4 percent (0,7 percent seasonally adjusted). Prices of farm products and processed foods and feeds declined 2.7 percent (3.6 percent seasonally adjusted). Industrial commodities prices were up 0.2 percent (0.3 percent seasonally adjusted). INDEX, 1967«100 {RATIO SCALE) 1220 INDEX, 1967=100 (RAT1O.SCALE) 220 UNADJUSTED 200 200 ISO 180 FARM PRODUCTS AND I PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS J 160 160 ALL COMMODITIES j 140 140 INDUSTRIALCOMMODITIES 120 120 100 100 i i(1 1969 1970 i f iMt t 1971 1972 t f..f M t t 1973 11 1 1 1 1 1.974 J. i t i.r.lVt i f t 1975 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1976 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] All commodities Period 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov. Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June .. ... 106.5 110.4 114.0 119. 1 134.7 160. 1 174.9 183. 0 183.2 184.4 183. 8 184. 8 185.3 185.6 187. 1 188.0 190.0 191.9 194.3 195.2 194.4 Farm products Industrial and processed commodfoods ities and feeds 108. 0 106. 0 111. 7 110. 0 113.9 114. 1 122.4 117.9 159. 1 125.9 177.4 153.8 184.2 171.5 182. 4 183.1 Unadjusted 187.4 181. 5 188.1 182.7 181.7 183.8 182. 9 184.8 179. 5 186. 3 178.3 187.1 183.9 187.4 184.8 188.4 188.4 189.9 190.9 191.6 193.2 195.9 194.2 196. 8 194.6 191. 5 Farm products T>__ JrrOcessed foods and feeds 109.1 111.0 112.9 125.0 176.3 187. 7 186.7 191.0 107.3 112. 1 114.5 120.8 148. 1 170.9 182.6 178. 0 195. 3 194.2 187. 7 189.2 188.2 187. 1 191.9 194.0 198.3 203.3 210.2 205.3 191.3 181.6 180. 5 175.9 176.0 174.9 175.6 178.8 178.6 181.9 185.4 190. 1 193. 5 190.2 - ^A.VJ.U.U.C£» ui u.u.c iuuuatu.u.5 aim ieeustujus, piani anu animal nuers. onseeas, ana leaf tobacco. 2 Includes supplies and components; excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. 22 Special gproupings Crude materials l Inter- Producmediate er finmate-2 ished rials goods 106. 1 110.6 106.9 109.9 118. 9 112.0 122.7 114.3 116.6 131. 1 119. 5 118. 9 155. 2 128. 1 123. 5 219. 1 159. 5 141. 0 225. 1 178.6 162.5 173.2 249.9 189.5 Seasonally ad; usted 188.2 246.8 172.5 252.7 189. 1 173.1 254.4 190.3 173.6 253. 1 192.0 174.5 262.4 193.3 176.3 271.6 194.3 177.0 195. 5 265.9 178.4 196. 3 179.2 262.6 273.0 197.4 180.1 279.3 199.1 180.8 280. 1 200.3 181.8 282.4 200.9 182.8 277.9 201.4 183.6 Consunaer finishe d goods ex<sluding fo ods NonTotal Durable durable 104.6 1040 105.0 107.7 106.9 108.3 111.2 110.8 111.7 113. 5 113. 2 113.6 115.8 118. 6 120. 5 138. 6 126.3 146.8 138.2 153. 1 163.0 161.8 144.4 173.3 160. 7 161.5 162.5 163.7 164.6 165.5 165.8 167. 4 167.9 169.2 170.4 171.2 171.9 143.9 144.2 144.9 145.7 146. 5 146.8 146. 9 148.0 148.8 149. 4 150.5 151. 1 151.6 NOTE.—Data for December and year 1976 revised. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; 171.8 173. 1 174.2 175.6 176. 7 178.0 178.4 180. 3 180.7 182. 5 183. 7 184.6 185.6 CONSUMER PRICES In June, the consumer price Index rose 0.7 percent (0.6 percent seasonally adjusted). Food prices increased 1.0 percent (0.8 percent seasonally adjusted). Nonfood commodity prices rose 0.4 percent (0.2 percent seasonally adjusted) and services prices were up 0.7 percent (0.8 percent seasonally adjusted). INDIX, 1W7»100 (RATIO $C*Ut INDEX, 1967=* 100 fRATSO 3CA14 220: 22© 200 180 FOOD '"COMMODITIES LESS FOOD 120 100 100 1969 I 1971 1970 1973 1972 1974 1975 1976 SOURCE.- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1977 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] Period AI! Items Food Commodities less food 1969- -----. 1970. 1971 1972 1973 ._.. 1974. _ 1975 _ 1976 109. 8 116. 3 121.3 125.3 133. 1 147. 7 161. 2 170.5 108.9 114. 9 118. 4 123. 5 141. 4 161. 7 175. 4 180. 8 108. 112. 116. 119. 123. 136. 149. 156. ! . 1 5 8 4 5 6 1 6 Food All Cornnnodities leSB food Services commodities All Food at home Food away from home All 112. 121. 128. 133. 139. 152. 166. 180. 108.4 113. 5 117. 4 120. 9 129. 9 145. 5 158.4 165. 2 108. 9 114. 9 118. 4 123.5 141. 4 161. 7 175. 4 180. 8 108. 2 113. 7 116. 4 121. 6 141. 4 162. 4 175.8 179.5 111. 6 119. 9 126. 1 131. 1 141.4 159. 4 174. 3 186. 1 108. 1 112. 5 116.8 119. 4 123. 5 136. 6 149. 1 156. 6 5 6 4 3 1 1 6 4 Unadjusted I Durable S: ! -' able j 107. 0 111.8 116.5 118. .9 121. 9 130. 6 145. 5 154. 3 108. 113. 117. 119. 124. 140. 151. 158. 8 I 0 8 8 9 7 3 i 1 : i ! I i i 112. 5 121. 6 128.4 133. 3 139. 1 152. 1 166. 6 180. 4 Seasonally adjusted 1976: June— . 170. 1 July— 171. 1 Aug... 171. 9 172. 6 Sept Get 173. 3 Nov~__ 173. 8 174. 3 Dec_.». 180. 9 182. 1 182. 4 181. 6 181. 6 181. 1 181. 7 156. 5 157. 1 158.0 158. 9 159. 6 160. 3 160.6 179.5 180.7 181.8 183. 2 184. 1 185. 1 185. 8 165.0 165. 5 166. 2 166.6 167. 1 167. 4 168. 0 181.2 181.4 181.8 181. 9 182. 2 181. 7 181. 9 179.9 179.9 180.2 180. 1 180. 3 179. 6 179. 7 186. 1 187.2 188. 0 188. 7 189. 0 189. 5 190. 4 156.2 156.9 157. 8 158. 3 159. 0 159. 6 160.5 154.2 155. 0 155. 6 156. 1 156. 6 157. 3 158. 4 157.6 158. 4 159. 3 159. 9 160. 6 161. 3 162. 0 179.9 181. 1 182. 2 183.2 184. 0 184. 8 185. 5 175. 3 177. 1 178.2 179. 6 180. 6 181. 8 183.4 187. 7 188. 6 190. 9 191. 7 193. 6 160. 6 161. 6 162. 6 163. 6 164. 7 165. 4 187. 5 169. 4 188, 7 171. 4 172. 2 190. 0 191. 3 173. 6 192, 3 | 174. 5 193. 7 175. 3 183. 5 187. 1 188. 2 191. 0 192.4 193. 9 181. 3 185. 4 186. 4 189. 3 190. 7 192. 1 192. 0 194. 0 195. 4 197. 5 199. 5 201. 2 161.6 162. 7 163.4 164. 0 164. 7 165. 1 159. 9 161.4 162. 4 163, 2 163. 5 163.4 162. 8 163.7 164.2 164. 7 165.6 166. 3 187. 2 188.4 189. 9 191. 4 192. 7 194. 2 1977: Jan Fob Mar—. Apr May... June Source; Department of Later, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN WHOLESALE PRICES Percent cllange from 3 montlis earlier; Percent c hange from 6 mont as earlier; seasonsilly adjussted annulJ rates season ally adjusted annua 1 rates Percen t change from pre ceding perio< i; season ally adjus>ted l All Period Farm products commodities 1968 1969 1970 19711972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: June. July. Aug.Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec.. 1977: Jan.. Feb.. Mar. Apr.. May. June, 4.4 8.4 2.8 4.8 2.2 -4.7 4. 1 8.1 15.4 20.9 4.2 4.7 -1.1 .5 -.6 .3 -.6 5.5 .5 .4 -.2 .7 .5 .6 .6 .5 .9 -3.3 .8 -.5 —.6 2.6 1. 1 1. 1 1. 1 .4 _ 7 -2.5 .1 _. 6 .4 1. 8 2. 5 -2. 3 -6.8 -1.7 3.4 Processed foods and feeds Farm products Industrial commodities All commodities Farm products Processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities 10.7 25.6 -.1 1.8 1.9 2.2 All commodities 2.7 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.0 6.8 .8 4.7 11.6 20.3 20.9 -3.8 -1.1 18.7 36.1 — 1.9 6.3 Industrial commodities Processed foods and feeds 2. 5 1.8 6.0 6.4 .6 .6 .6 .8 .9 .6 .3 .5 .6 .8 .6 .4 .3 18.2 -1.6 2.9 -12.9 3.5 -11.9 4.0 -11.8 10.3 2.2 -11.0 -11.8 -11.8 -.7 6.5 8.7 15.1 15.6 28.4 28.1 10.8 6.6 4. 5 7.2 7. 1 7.1 8.4 10.2 13. 1 10.9 3.6 — 1. 3 5. 8 12.9 26. 2 26.0 37.8 14.9 -21. 6 1 4.8 5.4 7.3 8.0 9.3 9. 5 7.6 5.9 5.9 7.9 8.5 7.6 5.3 3.9 42 4.2 5. 1 4.2 5.0 5.3 5.5 7.8 8.6 10. 1 9.7 6.8 1.1 .9 -2.2 2.0 — 6.9 — 7.3 -3.5 — 2 11.6 15.5 24. 7 20.4 _. Q 0.8 2.0 -. 7 -1.3 — 5. 1 -6.0 -3. 1 -2. 1 6. 9 11.0 18. 1 21.4 13.2 5.0 4.8 5.6 6.4 7.4 8.4 7.8 7.6 7. 7 7. 7 7.2 6.7 6.6 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). NOTE.—Data for December 1976 revised. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES Percen t change from preceding perio d; seasontally adju sted l Period All items ._ _ 4.7 6. 1 5. 5 3.4 3.4 8.8 12.2 7.0 4.8 1976: June... July... Aug... Sept Oct... Nov._Dec. 4 5 5 3 3 3 4 1977: Jan_ Feb_... Mar. Apr May... June. _ 8 10 6 8 6 6 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1 — — Food Commodities less food Services All items Food Commodities less food Services All items Food Commodities less food Services 3.7 4.5 4.8 2.3 2. 5 5. 0 13.2 6.2 5. 1 6. 1 7.4 8.2 4. 1 3.6 6.2 11. 3 8. 1 7.3 .2 .1 .2 .1 .2 -.3 .1 4 4 6 3 4 4 6 .6 .7 .6 .5 .4 .4 .4 6. 1 6. 3 5.5 5.3 4.8 4. 0 4. 2 6.2 4. 5 2.2 1. 6 1. 8 —.2 .0 5.6 6. 1 5.8 5.5 5. 5 4.6 5.7 6.5 7.4 7.6 7. 5 6.6 5.8 5. 1 5.0 4,7 5.5 5.7 5. 5 4.8 4,8 0.2 .3 2.6 3.8 3. 1 1.0 .8 4.8 4. 9 5.4 5.5 5.8 5. 2 5.6 8.5 7.6 7.4 7.0 7. 0 6. 7 6.3 .9 2.0 .6 1.5 .7 .8 7 7 4 4 4 2 .9 .6 .8 .8 .7 .8 6. 1 9. 1 10.0 9. 9 8.4 8. 1 2.9 12.4 14. 6 17.4 11. 8 12.7 6. 7 8. 0 7.4 6, 1 5.0 4,2 7. 1 8.0 9,8 9.3 9.4 9.4 5.5 6.5 7.1 8.0 8.7 9.0 2. 3 5.9 7.0 9. 9 12. 1 13. 6 6. 1 6. 3 6. 5 6.4 6. 5 5.8 6. 9 6.9 7.4 8.2 8.7 9.6 4.3 7. 2 2.2 4.3 4.7 20. 1 12.2 6. 5 .6 Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). 24 Percent c lange frc>m 3 mont is earlier; Percent c lange fro m 6 mont is earlier; seasonsklly adjussted annu al rates seasonsilly adju sted annu al rates Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers fell 5 percent in the month ended June 1 5. Contributing most to the decline were lower prices for soybeans, cattle, corn, wheat, vegetables, and fruit. Partially offsetting were higher prices for hogs and dairy products. Prices paid by farmers were % percent lower than their May 1 5 level. INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) PRICES PAID (ALL ITEMS, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES) 1969 1970 1971 1972 I ' 1973 1974 1975 1977 1976 I/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices iDeceived by farmers Period All farm products Crops Prices paid by farmers items, Family Livestock All Producinterest, and tion living taxes, and products wage rates items items Index, li)67=100 Parity ratio l Actual Adjusted2 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 107 110 113 125 179 192 185 186 97 100 108 114 175 224 201 197 117 118 118 136 183 165 172 177 108 112 118 125 144 164 180 192 109 114 118 123 133 151 166 176 104 108 113 121 146 166 182 193 73 72 71 74 91 86 76 71 79 77 75 79 94 87 76 72 1976: June 15 July 15 Augl5 Sept 15 195 194 186 186 178 173 178 209 214 201 204 195 186 190 184 179 175 172 165 162 169 ±93 194 193 193 192 192 193 175 177 177 178 179 180 181 196 196 194 194 192 191 193 74 74 71 71 68 66 68 75 74 72 72 69 67 68 183 187 190 191 194 184 198 203 211 214 214 198 170 174 171 172 176 173 198 200 201 204 204 203 182 P) (3) (33) () (3) 196 199 201 204 205 203 68 69 69 69 70 67 69 70 70 70 70 67 Oct 15___ Nov 15 ._ Dec 15 1977: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15___ Apr 15 __ _ May 15 June 15__ 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. * The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers. s Index discontinued. Consumer price index (Department of Labor) substituted in calculating total prices paid beginning January 1977. NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1965. Source: Department of Agriculture. OC MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK MI grew at an annual rate of 5.0 percent i» June aft®* growing at a rate ol 0.8 percent in May. BILLIONS OP DQLLASS* IKATIQ SCALI) •JUJQNS OF DOLLARS* ^ATIO SOU! 200 200 1969 ^SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOAID OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL USSEKVE SYSTEM COUNCM. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Deposi }s at coinmereiai banks Period M, M2 M3 Currency 255. 3 270. 5 283. 1 294. 8 312. 4 303. 2 305.0 306.5 306. 9 310.4 310. 4 312. 4 313. 8 314. 0 315. 4 320. 5 May__ 320. 7 June". 322. 0 1 525. 3 571. 4 612. 4 664. 3 740. 3 698. 2 705.2 710.4 716.3 725. 9 732. 3 740. 3 746.3 750. 7 756. 1 764. 6 767. 6 772. 9 844. 5 919. 6 981. 5 1, 092. 6 1, 237. 1 1, 156. 5 1, 168. 8 1, 180. 8 1, 193. 9 1, 210. 7 1, 223. 4 1, 237. 1 1, 248, 9 1, 258. 2 1, 268. 1 1, 281. 2 1, 289. 0 1, 299. 4 56.9 61. 5 67.8 73.7 80. 5 77.5 78. 1 78. 6 79. 2 79. 8 80. 2 80. 5 81. 1 81. 8 82. 2 83. 1 83.6 84. 0 Tim e and savings Demand 198.4 209. 0 215; 3 221. 0 231. 9 225. 6 226. 9 227. 9 227. 7 230. 6 230. 2 231. 9 232. 7 232. 1 233. 2 237. 4 237. 1 238. 0 Large CDs 43. 5 63. 0 89.0 82. 1 63. 3 70. 2 68. 9 65.0 63. 1 62.3 62.2 63. 3 63. 1 63.3 62. 2 61.6 62.3 63. 9 313. 5 363. 9 418. 3 451. 7 491. 1 465.3 469. 0 468. 9 472. 5 477.8 484. 2 491. 1 495. 6 500. 0 502. 8 505. 7 509. 2 514. 8 MI is currency plus demand deposits; Ms is MI plus time deposits at commercial banks other than large certificates of deposit (CDs); and Mz is M 2 plus deposits at non'bank thrift institutions. 26 Deposits at Total 1972: Dec... 1973: Dec___ 1974: Dec .. 1975: Dec... 1976: Dec___ 1976: JuneJuly.. Aug___ Sept.. Oct__. Nov.. Dec___ 1977: Jan... Feb___ Mar.. Apr___ Perc3ent chaiige 2 Compon ents and related i1:ems Over.ill measiires * J Other 270.0 300. 9 329. 3 369. 6 427.9 395. 1 400. 1 403. 9 409.4 415. 5 422. 0 427.9 432. 5 436. 7 440. 6 444. 1 446.9 450. 9 nonbank thrift institutions 319. 3 348. 1 369. 1 428. 3 496. 8 458. 2 463. 6 470.5 477. 6 484. 8 491. 0 496. 8 502. 6 507.5 512. 1 516. 6 521. 4 526.5 U.S. Government demand deposits (unadiust- M! M2 ed) 7.4 6.3 4.9 9.2 6.0 4.7 4.7 6.2 4. 8 3. 5 6.7 4. 1 4. 1 5. 8 3.7 6. 6 4.0 6.0 5.8 5. 0 4. 2 4. 7 4. 2 4.4 4. 5 5.6 3.8 5.2 4. 6 6. 2 5.9 5. 0 5. 6 6. 6 6.7 6. 2 11.4 8. 8 7. 2 8. 5 12.4 10.5 10. 7 9. 7 10. 1 10. 5 10. 8 12.4 12. 0 11.7 11.4 10. 9 9.9 9.0 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Eource; Board of GoTerrors of the Federal Beserve system.- PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS— NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Curre ncy and <leposits 1970: 1971: 1972: 1973: 1974: 1975: 1976: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Currency Demand deposits 190. 7 196.8 232. 7 271. 1 319. 3 34a 1 369.1 428. 3 496. 8 52. 0 54. 3 57.5 60.4 63.3 67.3 71.9 41. 9 31.7 34. 5 43. 2 47.4 66. 3 66.9 21. 8 27.6 36.2 54.0 70.7 60. 0 44.9 21. 4 20.2 22. 7 345 40.4 42. 8 49.7 77.5 78. 1 78. 6 79.2 79.8 80. 2 80.5 194.7 195. 6 196. 3 195.5 197.8 196.2 196.8 386.7 391.8 305. 9 401. 0 406.5 412.6 418. 1 458. 2 463. 6 470. 5 477. 6 484.8 491.0 496.8 69.4 69.7 70. 2 70.8 71. 1 71.5 71.9 69.7 71.4 71.4 69.7 69.7 69.5 66.9 51. 2 50. 3 46. 7 45. 3 44.8 44, 3 44.9 47. 4 48. 2 48,8 49.2 49.5 49. 5 43. 7 81. 1 81.8 82.2 83. 1 83. 6 84.0 198.9 197.8 198.5 203. 3 202. 4 202.4 422.9 427. 1 430.7 434. 1 436. § 440. 1 502. 6 507.5 512. 1 516. 6 521. 4 526. 3 72.3 72.7 73.0 73.4 73. S 74. 2 67.9 71.8 72.1 72.3 72.9 73. 6 44. % 43.2 42.4 42.8 44.4 44.3 50.2 51. 1 52 3 53.1 53.8 54. 3 151.8 161.5 176.5 183.3 1, 354. 9 1, 368. 8 1, 378. 5 1, 388. 2 1, 404. 0 1, 414. 8 1, 425. 5 1, 117. 1 1, 129. 1 1, 141. 3 1, 153. 2 1, 168. 9 1, 180. 0 1, 192. 1 ,._ 1, 440. 2 1, 454. 5 __ _ 1, 464. 3 1, 478. 3 1, 487. 3 1, 499. 4 1, 205. 5 1, 214. 3 1, 223. 6 1, 237. 1 1, 244. 0 1, 252. 8 Oct Commercial banks Other private money market instruments 198. 9 233. 6 264.4 2944 321.1 360. 6 418. 1 49. 1 52. 6 56. 9 61. 5 67. 8 73. 7 80. 5 Nrv Dec 1977: Jan _. Feb Mar Apr May • June » Total 632.4 769. 5 852.5 718. 7 967.9 817. 0 887.4 1, 079, 5 . . 1, 166. 2 944. 5 . __ 1, 289. 7 1, 053. 3 1, 425. 5 1, 192. 1 1976: June July Aug Sept Negotiable certifiShortNonbank cates of term Savings marketthrift deposit institu- bonds able setions curities Time d epoaits Total liquid assets Period U.S. TJreasury sectiiities isas Source: B»ard of Governors •£ tke Federal Reserve System. NOTE.—Data rcTised besiiaiing October 1976. CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Instalm ent credit e:^tended Period Total * Automobile 109, 112, 123, 140, 160, 160, 163, 186, 146 175 086 072 228 008 483 221 1976: May. June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 15, 15, 15, 15, 15, 16, 15, 16, 041 592 240 685 775 055 763 702 4,471 4, 600 4,477 4, 712 4,769 4,587 4, 632 5, 263 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr May 16, 870 17, 186 18, 253 18, 077 17, 902 4, 940 5,205 5, 654 5,474 5,445 1969— — 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 _ 32, 29, 34, 40, 46, 43, 48, 55, »Includes some items not shown separately. 553 965 778 266 105 209 103 807 Bank credit cards Instalmc;nt credit liejuidated Total l Bank credit cards Total l Automobile Bank credit cards 786 385 788 513 552 056 640 682 29, 974 30, 432 31, 303 34, 705 40, 137 42, 883 45, 472 48, 337 3,066 5,615 7,679 9,472 12, 433 15, 655 19, 208 23, 905 9,360 4, 790 9,299 15, 559 19, 676 8, 952 6, 843 16, 539 2,579 — 468 3, 476 5,561 5, 968 327 2,631 7,470 1, 332 1,153 699 918 1,430 1,443 1,220 1,576 2, 103 2, 088 2, 152 2, 183 2, 165 2, 198 2, 181 2,217 13, 566 14, 261 13, 937 14, 282 14, 294 14, 491 14, 520 14, 879 3,819 4, 074 3,922 4, 090 4,165 4,059 4, 155 4,250 1, 911 1,990 1,981 2, 097 2,000 2, 074 2, 110 2,250 1,474 1, 330 1,303 1,403 1,481 1, 564 1,243 1, 823 652 526 556 621 605 528 477 1, 013 193 98 171 86 166 123 71 -33 2,117 2, 332 2,434 2, 509 2,521 14, 952 15, 164 15, 536 15, 418 15, 376 4, 183 4, 320 4,453 4, 300 4,354 2,089 2, 161 2, 141 2,264 2,345 1, 918 2, 022 2, 717 2, 660 2,526 758 884 1,201 1, 174 1,091 28 170 293 246 176 4, 6, 8, 10, 13, 17, 20, 25, 398 768 377 390 863 098 428 481 99, 107, 113, 124, 140, 151, 156, 169, Automobile Net change in amount Dutstanding Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Business loans at commercial banks rose at an annual rate of 16.6 percent in June after increases at a rate of 6.7 percent in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS INVESTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES 40 1969 1977 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total loans Period investments 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 401.7 435. 5 485. 7 4 558.0 633.4 690. 4 721. 1 784,4 1976: June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1977: Jan' Feb » Mar v Apr *__ May" June* _ __ 748. 8 751. 4 758. 0 762.9 771.6 778.8 7844 786. 6 796. 4 803.0 812.4 819. 4 825. 5 1 Data are for end of period. 2 Averages of daily figures. Annual 8 [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Allcommercial b anks l Allni€jmber ban ks Borrowi ngs (milL<Dans Investnaents ]Reserves 2 3 lions of dollars, unadji isted) 3 Total ex- Commer- U.S. Gov- Other cluding cial and ReNonSeaernment secuTotal Total inter- industrial securities borrowed quired sonal rities bank 51.2 279. 4 105.7 27. 94 26. 82 71. 1 27. 66 1,086 292. 0 110.0 57.8 29. 12 85. 7 28. 79 321 28. 87 320.9 116. 1 104.2 31. 22 60.6 31. 10 31. 04 107 130.2 378.9 31. 41 62.6 30. 36 116.5 31. 12 1,049 449.0 156.4 54.5 34. 94 33. 64 129.9 34. 64 1,298 41 500.2 183.3 50.4 36. 60 139.8 35.87 36. 34 703 32 176.0 79.4 496.9 34. 60 34.73 144.8 34. 46 127 13 5 538.9 179. 5 97.3 148.2 34.95 34.90 34. 68 ! 62 12 509.3 172.1 94.7 144.8 34.29 34. 16 34.07 120 20 512. 1 172.8 93.2 34.34 34.21 146. 1 34. 11 123 24 173. 1 516. 0 95.6 146. 4 34. 41 34.51 34. 31 104 28 520. 8 174. 1 94.9 147.2 34. 34 34. 14 34.27 75 31 176.8 529. 6 94.4 34. 51 34.41 147.6 34. 29 66 32 179.0 533. 1 95.4 34. 85 150.3 34. 78 34. 59 84 21 538.9 179.5 97. 3 34. 95 US. 2 34. 90 62 34.68 12 540.9 179.8 96.9 148.8 34. 78 34. 71 34. 51 61 8 545.4 181.2 101. 5 149. 5 34.40 34.33 34.20 79 12 182.9 551.0 103.6 148.4 34. 31 34.20 34. 09 110 13 557.7 102.8 184.9 34. 68 151.9 34. 61 34.49 73 14 562. 1 185. 9 104. 6 34. 72 152. 7 34. 52 34. 51 200 31 567.0 188.3 105.3 153.2 34.86 34. 60 34. 71 261 54 data are for December. Member bank reserves series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjustment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M. * During 1974, total loans and investments were increased $0.6 billion due to 28 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS i bank merger and were reduced $1.5 billion due to liquidation of a large bank4 Loan ^classifications reduced these loans by $1.2 billion as of March 31,1976Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Eeserve System. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses Pur- External Period Total 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1975: I II 105.1 129.0 154.0 181.7 183. 0 145. 5 211. 5 83.5 130. 7 171. 0 196.7 199.3 ! 205. 5 204. 8 236. 6 232. 6 III IV 1976: I II_ III IV 1977: I* Internal1 58.9 68.6 80.8 83.8 77.6 103. 4 121. 8 83.5 101. 5 113. 6 114 9 120. 6 121. 3 126.0 119. 5 118. 6 Credit Total Tntal 46.2 60.4 73.2 97.8 105. 4 42. 1 89. 7 .0 29. 2 57.4 81. 8 78. 7 84. 2 78.8 117. 1 114.0 chase market funds Longterm 2 46. 4 58. 8 72.9 83. 1 37. 1 56. 6 35. 0 32. 1 31. 1 50. 0 46. 8 51. 9 50.7 77.2 80. 6 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits. 2 Stocks, bonds, and mortgages. 3 Bank loans, commercial paper, finance company loans, bankers' acceptances, and Government loans. Other Shortterm s 8.9 4.7 17. 3 35. 5 43.5 -12.8 9. 9 -18. 0 -22. 2 -6.8 -4.0 -1. 4 10. 8 3. 5 26. 9 42. 8 32.6 41. 6 41. 4 37. 4 39.6 49. 8 46.6 52. 9 54. 4 37. 9 54.0 48.2 41. 0 47. 2 50. 2 37.9 41. 5 Total of physi- cal assets 4 4.8 14 0 14 4 25. 0 22. 2 5.0 33. 2 -35. 0 — 2. 9 26.3 31.7 31. 9 32. 4 28. 1 40. 0 33.4 96. 1 115. 1 137. 5 165. 5 169.9 130. 9 196. 6 68. 6 115. 3 157.9 182.2 187.4 190. 4 188. 7 219. 5 216. 1 80.6 86.2 101. 0 124 4 134 6 95. 7 137. 6 89.8 80.9 106.8 105. 5 129. 5 139. 1 145. 0 136.9 142.9 Increase in financial assets 15.4 2as 36. 5 41. 1 35. 3 35.2 59.0 -21.2 34 4 51. 1 76.7 57.9 51. 3 43.7 82.6 73.2 Discrepancy (sources less uses) 9.0 13.9 16. 4 16. 1 13. 1 14 5 15. 0 149 15.4 13.2 14 6 11.9 15. 1 16.0 17. 1 16.5 * Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars] Cur rent liabilities Ciirrent ass<sts Ad- period U.S. Govern- Cash End of on Total hand and in banks l ment securities 2 Receivables from U.S. Government 3 vances Notes and accounts receivable Other Inventories current assets Total 4 and prepay- Notes ments, counts U.S. Govern- pay- and acable Federal income tax liabilities Other Net cur- work- rent capi- liabilities 5 ing tal ment s 492. 3 6. 6 49 40 43 5. 2 6. 4 7.0 204 7 215. 6 5.3 5.8 6. 2 6. 4 271. 2 270. 1 573. 5 643. 3 712. 2 731. 6 816.8 50. 2 53. 3 57. 5 61.6 62.7 68. 1 77. 0 7.7 11. 0 9.3 11. 0 11.7 19.4 26.4 42 3.5 3. 4 3.5 3.5 3. 6 43 201.9 217. 6 240. 0 266. 1 3 4 2 7 0 8 4 35. 0 43. 8 48. 1 54 4 56.6 60. 0 69. 8 1975: I II__. III_. 716. 5 IV.__ 731. 6 60.6 63.7 65.6 68. 1 12. 1 12.7 14 3 19. 4 3.2 3.3 3.3 3. 6 281. 9 285. 2 284 8 281. 4 2947 279. 6 294 6 285.8 55. 4 57. 3 59. 0 60. 0 444 7 457. 5 1976: I— - 753. 5 68. 4 70.8 71. 1 77. 0 21. 7 23. 3 23.9 26.4 3.6 3. 7 43 43 307.3 288. 8 !!___ 775. 4 III.. 791.8 IV___ 816. 8 318. 1 295. 6 324 2 302. 1 323.9 315.4 63. 6 63. 9 66. 3 69. 8 484 1 499. 9 6.4 6.8 7. 0 7.0 1977: I—- 845.3 75. 0 27. 3 46 342.0 322. 1 743 516. 6 6. 8 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 529.6 1975___ 1976 698.4 703.2 193. 200. 215. 246. 289.7 288. 294 6 285. 323. 9 315. 3049 326. 0 352. 2 401. 0 450.6 457. 5 499.9 438.0 4342 465. 9 475.9 10.0 13. 1 15. 1 18. 1 23. 2 20. 7 26.8 83.6 92. 4 102. 6 117. 0 134 8 148.8 170. 2 187.4 203. 6 221. 3 242. 3 261. 5 274 1 316. 9 21. 8 17.7 19. 4 20. 7 139.8 140. 6 145. 6 148.8 260. 4 269. 0 271.8 274 1 284. 7 295. 9 23. 9 22. 0 24 9 26. 8 155. 0 160. 1 167.5 170.2 287. 6 299. 4 302. 2 28. 6 179. 0 i 328. 7 230.4 261.6 287. 5 281. 6 295.9 273.4 281. 6 280. 5 287.0 307.7 316.9 4 Includes marketable investments (other than Government securities and time certificates of deposit. time Includes Federal agency issues. fi certificates of deposit) as well as sundry current assets. Includes commercial paper outstanding, the portion of long-term debt due | * Receivables from and payables to the U.S. Government do not include in less than 1 year, and miscellaneous current liabilities not elsewhere classified. amounts offset against each other on corporations' books or amounts arising from subcontracting which are not directly due from or to the U.S. Government. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Wherever possible, adjustments have been made to include U.S. Government advances offset against inventories on corporations' books. 1 2 Includes INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Short-term interest rates have remained steady since May. mem PER ANNUM PERCENT PHI ANNUM 1977 1969 SOURCE: see. TAHE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISiiS [Percent per annum] U.S. Gove rnment sectirity yields Period 1971.. 1972 ... 1973 1974 1975 1976_ 1976: July Aug.. Sept...... Oct Nov Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr... __ May June July Week ended: 1977: July 1 8 15 22 29 Highgrade Corporate municipal Aaa bonds bonds (Standard4 (Moody's) & Poor's) 3-month Treasury bills * 3-5 year issues 2 Taxable bonds * 4. 348 4. 071 7.041 7.886 5. 838 4. 989 5.278 5. 153 5. 075 4. 930 4. 810 4. 354 4.597 4.662 4. 613 4. 540 4. 942 5. 004 5. 146 5.77 5.85 6.92 7.81 7. 55 6.94 7.24 7. 04 6. 84 6. 50 6.35 5.96 6.49 6.69 6.73 6.58 6. 76 6. 58 5.74 5. 63 6.30 6.99 6.98 6.78 6.85 6.79 6.70 6.65 6. 62 6. 39 6. 68 7. 15 7.20 7. 14 7. 17 6.99 5. 70 5. 27 5. 18 6.09 6.89 6.49 6.64 6.28 6.20 6. 06 6. 05 5. 69 5.70 5. 75 5. 76 5. 61 5. 64 5.53 7. 39 7. 21 7.44 8.57 8.83 8.43 8.56 8. 45 8.38 8.32 8. 25 7. 98 7.96 8.04 8. 10 8. 04 8. 05 7.95 5. 11 4.69 8.15 9.87 6.33 5.35 5.67 5.47 5.45 5.22 5.05 4.70 4. 74 4.82 4. 87 4.87 5. 35 5.49 4. 5. 5. 5. 5. 6.49 6. 60 6. 62 6. 69 6. 90 6. 94 6.96 6.99 5. 50 5.51 5. 50 5. 50 7. 91 7.93 7.94 7. 94 5.44 5.43 5. 41 5.40 965 044 163 214 163 1 2 Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. 8 April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. * Weekty data are Wednesday figures. 1 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 30 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. 5 Bank) 4.88 4.50 6.45 7.83 6.25 5.50 51/2-51/2 5/^—5/^ 1 S/ ^— 5/4 5*4-5^ 5^2~ 5/4 5%~5/4 514-5K 514—514 514—514 5%—5% KL/_K1/ 514_514 514_514 5J4_514 Prime rate charged by banks 5 5.72 5.25 8. 03 10. 81 7.86 6.84 7J4-7H 7^-7 7 -7 7 -6% (514— §y2 §1/2-614 6l4-6^ %y±— 6M 6%—6H gL/_gl.^ &/4— 6% 6%— 6% Newhome mortgage yields (FHLBB)8 7. 74 7. 60 7. 95 8.92 9.01 a 99 8.97 9.02 9.08 9.07 9.05 9. 10 9.05 8. 99 8. 95 8. 94 8. 96 8.98 8 6%-6 4 634-6% 514_514 6%_ga/ , 514—514 6%-6% i « Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Rates beginning January 1973 not strictly comparable with prior rates. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices continued to edge up slightly in July. INDEX, DEC 31,1965=50 INDEX, DEC 31,1965= 40 30 1969 1970 1971 1974 1973 1972 1975 1976 1977 PERCENT PERCENT 120 20 15 15 EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS (S&P) 10 10 0 1969 1970 1971 1974 1972 1975 1976 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Common s tock5yields (perc ent) Comrnon stock pirices 1 New York Stock Exeh ange indexe 3 (Dec. 31, 11965 = 50) 2 Period Composite Industrial Transportation 1971 1972 _ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1976: June.. — July Aug. ' Sept_.__.__ Oct _ - _ _ Nov Dec 1977: Jan Feb Mar _ Apr Mav June_ Week ended: 1977: June 24 July !____ 8 15 22 1 Finance Utility 54.22 60. 29 57.42 43.84 45. 73 54.46 54. 23 55. 68 55. 18 56. 29 54.43 54. 17 56. 34 56.28 54. 93 54. 67 53. 92 53. 96 54.30 57.92 65.73 63.08 48. 08 50. 52 60.44 60. 70 62. 11 61. 14 62.35 60.07 59.45 61. 54 81. 26 59.65 59. 56 58.47 58. 13 58.44 44. 35 50.17 37.74 31. 89 31. 10 39.57 • 40. 41 42. 12 40. 63 40. 36 ' 38. 37 39. 28 41.77 41. 93 40. 59 40. 52 41. 51 43. 25 43.29 39. 53 38.48 37. 69 29.79 31. 50 36. 97 35. 16 36.49 37. 56 38. 77 38. 33 38. 85 40.61 41. 13 40. 86 40. 18 40.24 41. 14 41. 59 70. 38 78. 35 70. 12 49. 67 47. 14 52. 94 51. 82 54. 06 54. 22 54. 52 52. 74 53. 25 57. 45 57.86 55. 65 54. 84 54. 30 54. 80 55.29 55. 10 55. 04 54. 81 54. 74 55. 63 59.35 59. 21 58. 88 58. 66 59. 69 43. 77 43. 68 43. 54 43. 44 44. 16 42.05 42. 17 42. 15 42.41 42. 76 56.25 56. 42 56. 49 56. 88 58. 28 Averages oi daily closing prices. 2 Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the N YSE. * Includes 30stocks. * Includes500stocks. «Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-price ratios based on pricer at end of quarter. 1977 Standard Dow& Poor's composite Dividend- EarningsJones industrial3 index ratio ratio average (1941-43= 10) * 5.41 98. 29 884.76 3. 14 2. 84 5.50 950. 71 109. 20 7. 12 923. 88 107. 43 3.06 11.59 759. 37 82.85 4.47 802. 49 9. 15 86. 16 4.31 8.90 974. 92 102. 01 3. 77 985. 59 8.87 3.75 101. 77 993. 20 104.20 3.64 981. 63 103. 29 3. 74 994. 37 105. 45 3. 71 9.07 3. 85 951. 95 101. 89 944. 58 4. 04 101. 19 9.22 104. 66 3. 93 976. 86 970. 62 103. 81 3. 99 4.21 941. 77 100. 96 4. 37 100. 57 946. 11 99. 05 929. 10 4. 47 926. 31 98. 76 4.57 4. 60 99.29 916. 56 926. 916. 909. 904. 919. 85 40 71 47 11 100. 69 100. 36 99. 85 99. 69 101. 55 4.54 4.56 4. 59 4. 59 4. 50 JSOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. o "I RECEIPTS OUTLAYS AND In the first 9 months of fiscal 1977 (October 1976-June 1977), there was a budget deficit of $32.9 billion. A year earlier the deficit was $47.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 BttllONS OF DOLLARS 500 RECEIPTS AND OUTIAYS .400 400 OUTLAYS 300 300 200 200 50 50' SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) 0 0 -50 -50 I I -100 1969 1970 1971 -TOO 1973 1972 1974 1975 1977' 1976 1978 FISCAL YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES, DEPARTMENT Of THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] Federal debt (end of period) Receipts Period Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) HPrtfal 1 Fiscal year or period: 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 _ .. Transition quarter 1977 (estimates): Estimates, July 1977 2 Third Concurrent Resolution3 1978 (estimates) : Estimates, July 1977 2 ___ First Concurrent Resolution 4 October 1975-June 1976 5 October 1976-June 1977 _ 1 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. 2 Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget, July 1,1977. 3 Third Concurrent Eesolution on the Budget-—Fiscal Year 1977, revised May 17,1977. 32 Held by the public 187.8 193. 7 188.4 208. 6 232.2 264. 9 281. 0 299. 2 81.7 184.5 196.6 211.4 232.0 247.1 269. 6 326. 1 365. 7 94. 6 -2.8 -23. 0 -23.4 -14.8 -4.7 -45. 1 -66. 5 -13.0 3.2 367. 1 382.6 409.5 437.3 468.4 486. 2 544. 1 631.9 646.4 279.5 284.9 304. 3 323.8 343.0 346. 1 396.9 480. 3 498.3 358. 3 356.6 406. 4 409.2 -48. 1 -52.6 727.0 571.3 401.4 396. 3 462.9 461. 0 274. 6 298.4 — 61. 5 -64.7 802. 4 637.1 -47. 7 -32.9 631.3 685.2 479.7 532.2 226. 9 265. 6 * First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1978, May 17,1977. * First 9 months of fiscal year 1977. Note.—See Note, p. 33. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget, except as noted. FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY In the first 9 months of fiscal 1977 (October 1976-June 1977), budget receipts were $38.7 billion higher than a year earlier and budget outlays, $23.8 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 -RECEIPTS- 200 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES 100 100 400 400 OUTLAYS - .^* 300 300 - +* 200s NONDEFENSE 100 .— - —,-«•"-*"*1"*"* NATIONAL DEFENSE _ / —t A v 200 „.—'-*.--*"* 1 1969 I 1970 ! 1971 1 1972 I 1973 1 1974 ****** -......l—. •« —— ! 1975 1 197.7 1976 100 -«•••'*••' 1 1978 N h FISCAL YEARS SOURCiS: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Outlays Receipts Nationa defense Period Total Fiscal year or period: 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975__ 1976 Transition quarter 1977 i_ 1978 i Indi- Corpovidual ration Other income income taxes taxes 187.8 193,7 188. 4 208. 6 232. 2 264. 9 281. 0 299.2 81.7 358.3 401.4 87.2 90. 4 86.2 94.7 103.2 119. 0 122. 4 130.8 38.7 158. 3 178. 2 October 1975-June 1976 2 226.9 October 1976-June 1977 _ 265.6 97.2 114.2 Total Total Department of Defense, military tional affairs 184.5 196. 6 211. 4 232. 0 247. 1 269.6 326. 1 365. 7 94. 6 406.4 462.9 80.2 79.3 76.8 77.4 75. 1 78.6 86.6 90. 0 22. 5 96. 9 113.0 77.9 77.2 74. 5 75. 2 73.3 77.6 85. 0 88. 0 21. 9 96.0 109.3 3. 5 4. 8 54. 6 59.7 63.9 70.5 75. 4 81. 7 92. 8 107, 4 118. 0 127. 0 34. 5 145.4 163.5 33. 4 44. 2 96. 3 107. 2 274. 6 298. 4 67.8 71. 3 66. 6 71. 5 4.1 36.7 32. 8 26. 8 32. 2 36.2 38.6 40. 6 41. 4 8.5 3.8 3.6 3. 1 3.9 5.9 5. 1 2.0 6.5 7. 1 3. 8 Health Inand income terest Other security 49.0 56. 1 70. 1 81.4 91. 8 106.5 136. 3 160. 0 41.4 176.5 191. 1 15.8 18.3 19. 6 20.6 22.8 28. 1 31. 0 34. 6 7. 2 38. 0 41.7 35.7 39.3 41.8 48.8 53.9 51.7 66.4 76. 0 21. 5 88.5 110.0 122.1 131. 5 28. 3 30. 0 52. 3 61.7 income credit payments in excess of an individual's tax liability, formerly treated > Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the 1978 Budget, July 1,1977. * First 9 months of fiscal year 1977. as outlays, now classified as income tax refunds. Deficit figures are not affected. Note.—Figures "beginning 1976 reflect recent definitional change: Earned Source: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS According to'revised estimates for the first quarter, Federal receipts rose $20.4 billion (annual rate) and expenditures $3.3 billion, yielding a deficit of $38.8 billion, $17.1 billion less than the deficit in the fourth quarter of 1976. In the second quarter, expenditures rose $9.5 billion/ receipts data are incomplete. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 440 40 440 40 SURPLUS ~m~ -40 fyfyVM WA wa ! DEFICIT -40 -80 =-80 -120 -120 1969 1970 1972 1971 1974 1973 1976 1975 1977 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCH OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal (jrovernm ent receipts Period Indirect Personal Corporate business Total nontax profits tax and tax nontax receipts accruals accruals I^ederal (>overnm ent expe nditures GrantsSubsidies Less: ContriPurin-aid less Wage butions chases Trans- to State Net current accruals for Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less social inand ments local paid Govern- dissurance services government en- bursements terprises ments Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Fiscal year: 1974 271.8 1975 _ _ 283. 6 1976__ 314, 1 Calendar year : 1972 227. 5 1973 _ 258. 3 1974 288. 6 1975 286. 9 1976- _ 332. 3 122. 6 127.3 137. 2 43. 7 42. 1 52.2 21.4 22. 1 24.2 842 278.8 92. 1 328. 7 100. 5 372. 3 104 6 117. 9 126. 5 104 7 1342 156. 8 41. 6 48. 4 57. 5 19. 8 21. 9 25. 4 8. 0 5. 7 6. 1 -0.2 —.4 .0 — 7. 0 45. 0 — 58. 2 108.2 1146 131. 1 125. 6 147. 3 36.6 43. 0 45. 9 43. 1 55.9 20.0 21.2 21. 7 24.0 23.4 62. 8 2447 79.4 265. 0 89.9 299. 3 942 357. 1 105. 7 386. 3 102. 1 102. 2 111. 1 123. 3 130. 1 83. 2 95. 8 117. 6 149. 1 162. 0 37.5 40. 6 43. 9 54 6 61. 0 146 18.2 20.9 23. 3 27.2 7. 8 8. 2 5. 3 6. 7 5. 9 .5 .0 —. 5 .0 .0 — 17. 3 6 7 10. 7 — 70 2 — 54 0 1976: I !!___ III__ IV___ 318. 329. 337. 344. 138. 143. 150. 157. 0 9 3 1 54 4 57. 0 56.9 55. 1 22. 7 23. 2 23. 7 23. 8 103. 2 105. 0 106. 2 108.4 378.7 375.3 390. 6 400.4 127. 6 128. 5 130.2 1342 160.2 157.8 163. 9 166. 3 58.5 56. 8 63. 1 65.5 26.2 26. 7 27. 3 28. 5 6. 2 5. 5 6. 1 6. 0 .0 .0 .0 .0 — 60 — 46 — 53 -55. 1977: I II p 364. 9 170. 0 168.7 55.4 24.2 24.7 115.4 403. 7 118. 0 413,2 136. 3 143. 3 170. 7 170.4 62. 0 63. 6 28. 6 29.4 6. 1 6.5 .0 .0 — 38 8 4 1 1 5 1 NOTE.—Data revised beginning 197^L Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget. 34 3 2 5 9 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES [1967=1001 Industria producrtion (seiasonally ad justed) Period United CanStates ada 107. 8 109. 6 119.7 129.8 129. 3 117.8 129. 8 131.9 133. 0 132. 1 133. 2 135.2 136.2 137. 6 138. 6 1970— 1971— ___ 1972__ 1973 1974 1975__ 1976 1976: Nov... Dec... 1977: Jan Feb.— Mar.. Apr May_. June 114. 1 122. 0 130. 6 142.4 146.6 139. 7 146. 3 147. 0 148.4 152. 0 151. 0 151.3 150. 9 152. 4 Japan France Germany 123 127 137 147 151 138 152 157 154 159 156 159 156 131.3 133. 3 139. 0 149. 1 146.9 137. 9 147.8 149. 1 147. 3 157. 7 152. 3 152.4 156. 2 151.6 155.8 167. 0 193. 1 187. 6 167. 4 190. 0 197.9 197.7 198.3 194. 8 199. 1 200.8 Con sumer j>riees (uiiadjuste< i) United Italy King- United States dom 116.9 116. 8 121.8 133. 7 139.7 126.8 142. 5 150.4 154.7 152. 2 152. 9 153.2 143.3 111 111 114 122 120 113 116 118 118 119 119 119 116.3 121. 3 125. 3 133. 1 147.7 161.2 170. 5 173.8 174.3 175.3 177. 1 178. 2 179.6 180. t> 181. 8 Can- Japan France ada 112.4 115.6 121. 1 130.3 1445 160. 0 172. 0 175.7 176.3 177.9 179.4 181. 3 182.4 183. 8 185. 1 119.6 127. 1 133. 2 148.9 182.6 204. 7 224. 4 231. 2 233.7 236. 6 237.8 238.9 242. 7 245. 0 242. 9 117. 1 123. 3 130. 8 140.4 159.6 178. 2 195.4 202. 8 203. 5 204. 1 205.5 207. 4 210. 1 212. 1 Germany 107. 1 112. 7 118.9 127.2 136. 1 144. 2 150.8 151.8 152. 6 154.0 154.9 155. 5 156. 2 156.9 157.6 Italy 109. 1 114.4 121.0 134. 1 159. 6 186. 8 218. 1 235. 5 238. 6 241. 3 243. 4 246. 5 249.6 252.6 United Kingdom 117. 5 128. 6 137. 7 150.4 174. 4 216. 7 252.9 266. 5 270. 0 277. 1 279. 9 282. 6 289.8 292. 1 Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, in Business Conditions Digest. U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merc" landise i mports Merch andise e:cports Period [ i 1Domesticj | Total 1 Food, domes- 1 bevertic and 12 foreign Total ages, and toexbacco ports Ge neral im 3orts exports Crude Food, Crude mate- Manubever- mate2 rials rials facTotal ages, and and to- and tured fuels fuels goods bacco F. a.s. valu e 5 Monthly average : 1973 1974 Total (c.i.f. value) 4 3, 750 4, 684 6, 131 9, 000 4,602 4,257 5, 398 5,355 5,617 5, 546 5, 665 5, 509 5,724 5, 832 9,000 -257 -195 852 8,616 918 -582 -490 10, 797 10, 954 -571 -432 11, 508 -850 -761 11, 253 -835 -744 11, 449 -965 -855 11,308 -925 -857 11, 381 -1, 124 - 1, 029 — 720 -623 11, 789 3,946 4, 111 4,964 4, 572 3, 974 4, 829 5,861 5, 920 6,069 6, 244 6, 313 6,629 12, 059 12, 463 13, 283 13, 419 12, 404 13, 810 Custom s value 5,811 8, 045 1, 078 1,269 895 1,317 3, 728 5, 294 5, 790 8,416 1974 1975 1976 1976: June... Julv... Aug Sept.— Oct Nov__ Dec____ 8, 159 8,928 9, 567 9, 722 9, 956 9, 733 9, 796 9,698 9, 594 10, 397 8,045 8,803 9,427 1,269 1,399 1,436 1,387 1,459 1, 476 1,442 1, 639 1, 398 | 1, 379 1,317 1,266 1,341 1,350 1,363 1,283 1,490 1,469 1,482 1,475 5,294 5,913 6,437 6,552 6, 629 6, 549 6,440 6,285 6,457 7,337 8,354 8,010 10, 056 10, 154 10, 717 10, 477 10, 651 10, 555 10, 623 11, 020 770 1, 120 892 2, 653 F.a.s. ^value 5 892 2,672 827 2,716 991 3,456 1,041 3,432 1,036 3,817 972 3,761 998 3,747 986 3, 788 1,030 3,905 1, 142 3,808 1977: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June 9,599 9,808 10, 072 9, 970 10, 395 10, 112 1 1, 250 1.265 1, 451 1, 350 1, 376 i 1, 315 1,409 1,574 1,482 1,684 1, 789 1, 575 6,459 6,483 6, 745 6, 479 6, 794 6,700 11, 269 11, 674 12, 459 12, 593 11, 616 12, 932 1,150 1,261 1,291 1,468 1, 354 1, 170 1 Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supdies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 2 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. 8 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. * C.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in the United States. Data for 1973 are estimates. Mei-ehandise5 trade balance Exports Ex(f.a.s.) perts Exports less (f.a.s.) (f.a.s.) im1®SS less ports imimports (cusports (c.i.f.) toms (f.a.s.) value) Manufactured goods 5, 902 8, 159 1 1 ' 3 112 -257 -195 -229 -841 -841 312 -1,230 -1,232 - 1, 552 -1, 520 -1, 653 — 1, 611 -1,787 - 1, 392 -1, 758 - 1, 670 -2, 460 — 1, 956 -1, 866 -2, 655 -2, 484-2, 387 -3, 212 -2,707 — 2, 623 -3,449 -1, 326-1, 221 -2,009 -2, 934 -2, 820 -3, 698 6 F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis: at U.S. port of exportation for exports and at foreign port of exportation for imports. Note.—Data revised for 1976, except detail for exports and imports, not yet available. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS The U.S. merchandise trade balance fell in the second quarter to a defict of $7.8 billion from $7.0 billion in the first quarter. Although exports rose modestly, imports registered a larger increase, primarily due to a rise in oil imports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BIIUONS OF DOLLARS 10 1969 1976 1970 I 1977 COUNCIL OF ICONOM1C ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted] Mejrchandise Period Exports Imports 12 Net balance Militstry trans actions Direct expenditures 1970 42, 469 -39,866 2, 603 -4, 855 1971 43, 319 -45, 579 -2,260 -4,819 1972 49, 381 -55,797 -6,416 -4, 784 1973 911 -4, 629 71, 410 -70,499 1974 98, 306 -103,673 -5, 367 -5, 035 1975 107, 088 -98, 043 9,045 -4, 795 1976 114, 695 -123,918 — 9, 223 -4, 847 1975: III___ 26, 562 -24,483 2, 079 -1, 096 IV.. _ 27, 657 -25,431 2, 226 -1, 198 1976: I 26, 999 -28, 324 - 1, 325-1, 160 II—. 28, 379 -29, 914 -1, 535- 1, 228 III___ 29, 607 -32, 387 -2, 780-1, 237 I V _ _ _ 29, 710 -33,293 -3, 583 -1,222 1977: T * 29, 476 -36,456 -6, 980-1, 350 II *>___ 30, 521 -38, 315 -7, 794 Sales 1, 501 1,926 1,163 2, 342 2,952 3, 919 5,213 957 1, 164 1, 095 1, 189 1,472 1, 457 1,432 Net balance Private 3 U.S. Government -3,355 3,605 -112 -2,893 5, 575 -956 -3, 621 6, 074 -1,888 -2,287 7, 806 -3, 010 -2, 083 11, 978 -3, 234 -876 9,377 -3, 423 366 13, 041 -3, 233 -139 2,435 -816 -34 2, 404 -807 -65 3, 210 -773 -39 3, 025 -745 235 3,455 -788 235 3, 351 -927 82 4,042 -872 *2 Excludes military grants. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. 3 Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States are excluded from net investment income and included in other services, net. 36 Net iiavestment i ncome Nettravel Other and trans- servporta- ices, net 3 tion receipts -2,023 -2, 315 -3, 028 -3, 086 -3, 105 -2, 552 — 2, 145 -604 -684 -669 -337 -458 -681 -863 Balance on goods and serv-l ices 2, 190 2,912 2, 509 -340 2, 789 -6, 088 3, 185 3, 520 3,970 2, 160 4, 594 16, 164 4,888 3, 699 1, 180 4, 135 1, 184 4, 289 1, 192 1, 569 1, 176 1, 545 1, 239 899 1,279 -315 1,419 -3, 172 Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers 1 Balance on current account -3, 294 -382 -3,701 -4, 041 -3,854 — 9, 942 — 3, 887 -367 -7, 188 -5, 028 -4, 612 11, 552 -5,023 -1, 324 - 1, 070 3, 065 -1, 238 3, 051 - 1, 029 540 -1,015 530 -1, 936-1,037 - 1, 045 -1, 360 -1, 145, -4, 317 Note.—Merchandise trade data revised for 1976. Other data to be revised late Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued U.S. assets abroad fell in the first quarter and foreign assets in the United States grew much more slowly than in 1976 as year-end window-dressing and movements of funds in response to temporary interest rate incentives were reversed. Foreign official assets in the United States continued to expand strongly. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 30 30 I SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 20 20 CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S., NET 10 10 -10 -10 -20 -20 -30 -30 1977 1969 SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] UJ3. assets abroad, rlet [mere*ise/capita outflow (-)] Period Total 1970___ 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 U.S. official reserve assets 1 z Other U.S. U.S. Govern- private2 ment assets assets Forei gn assets in the U. S., net [inert?ase/eapit*il inflow (-HP Foreign official assets Total Total -6, 164 2,477 - 1, 589- 7, 052 5,923 2,348 -1, 884 - 9, 76322, 445 -9,299 32 -1, 568 - 8, 39221, 127 -9, 929 - 14, 666 209 -2, 645-12,230 17, 753 -27, 029 - 1, 434 365 — 25,960 33, 612 -31, 548 -607 -3,463 -27,478 14, 336 -42, 959 -2,530 -4, 213 -36,216 34, 520 1975: I I I _ _ _ -3,081 IV.___ -11, 836 -342 89 451 -388 -895 1,734 856 385 201 079 3,067 1 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDH), convertible currencies, and voe U.S. reserve position in the IMF. 2 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. 7,362 -984 27, 405 -4,450 10, 322 10, 422 5, 145 11, 454 10, 257 22, 631 5, 259 7,376 13, 007 16, 575 -745 - 1, 994 2,416 -1,603 -1,977 2,832 -977 10,948 5,814 2, 328 1976: I -773 -10, 751 -723 - 9, 254 6, II -9,779 -1,578 -944 - 7, 257 7, -407 I I I _ _ _ -8,409 - 1, 405 - 6, 597 8, IV - 14, 022 228 -1, 142 -13,108 12, 1977: !*____ 6, 907 26, 895 10, 705 6,299 10, 981 6,960 17, 945 Other Assets of foreign foreign assets official reserve agencies 3, 4, 3, 6, 847 051 070 977 5, 852 2,323 3, 308 1, 251 6, 125 4, 019 2, 982 3,009 3, 333 5, 131 5, 102 4,847 -2, 785 Statistical discre pancy U.S. Allocaofficial tions reserve of Of assets, Total which : special (sum net 1 of drawing Seasonal (unadthe rights adjust- justed, items (SDR) with end of ment sign discrepperiod) reversed) -244 867 717 -9,822 710 -1,966 -2, 720 -1, 555 5, 660 9, 763 14, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 18, -2,400 -2,475 2, 971 1, 316 3,355 717 1,865 129 1, 244 -2, 622 3, 303 1,780 799 470 487 167 151 378 883 226 747 16, 291 16, 226 16, 941 18, 477 18, 945 18, 747 19, 120 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 379 DIVISION OP PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product. . . . Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars .-,..., Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits. National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment ...., Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment . ,... _. _ M _ M .., ^ « „ ~. ^ ^ _ „.. M . _ _ ... « ^ M M M M . ^ _ ^ M ^ M M M .. _,... M _ »-. _. _. _.. ^ _. _ « —. ... M ^ .... ^ « « ^ M ^ . « ^ « ^ ^ M ^ . ^ ^ ^ , « ^ . „.....__..-.,~. -..*-..-..,-, ~-. -. ^ _ — . ...... — ... ~ .......... _ »-............ « ... — „ _. *. _ _.._ ._ _. _. _, ^. ^.._. _. _. _.. _. _ ^ .~. M ^ ...,._..,. .. -*. ..* ...-,„......._. _........_.......-_.._ _. _. ^....... — ......-...._ ....-.........................-..-..-. _._ _ - ~^.....-. _ ~ M .-. ._ ..............-. *--..-. -. ^ M ~. -..~. _ »~..-. .-._—. ..... ^...._._ ....,..... .......-. .... M 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Status of the Labor Force. . , ..,...'._.-._.-. -'. -,. Selected Unemployment Rates .-. ....... M ... ^. M _.. -. « « « ^ Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs.. ^ _..M__M__.^_.^ Nonagricultural Employment M .^ „ ^. ^.. .^ _. .^ M « ...... ^. Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries -...-.....- .... M M .^^.^^, M ^.. Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries » . . . . . . . . . ^. ^, .^. _. ^. M .-. ^.. ^.-«-^. M Productivity and Related Data, Private Business Economy ^. ^......... -. 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction ^.. New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders _.....-....-«.....-..-..-......-...-..-..-._ _. _ .^ _. _ ^.. ^. ^. M ^, ^. ^ ^ M ^. M .... _...... _. ^ « ».. « M _ ^. M .-. M « ^. ^. .^. _.....-.... M ...... .^ ... ^ *.. M *.. _ M .-,... ^. , _. ^ -. „ „. M -. _ _ M _. ^. ^ M . .-.»........ -., ^.._....-. ^........ -.... M « ^,...... 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Wholesale Prices Consumer Prices Changes in Wholesale Prices Changes in Consumer Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers _. *..„... .. .. ^ _ M M _ _ _ M _ _ _ ^. _ _ .. -. ^ . ,. ^. ^. ^ .-. ^ ^ ^. *- M ~ ^. ^ ^..-. — « . . ^. ^.. -, « ~ M _ -. _ , -. M ^-.^.^,««^, M M « ^...... -, .-. M M .-..-. « ^. M ... ^. ^. M ^ M ^, ^ ^ ^ « ....... M „ »... 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock _, _.... ,. „ _.. M Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors MM««^.MM^.«MMMM Consumer Instalment Credit ........-....._ ............. ^.. _. ~.. ^.. ^, ^-. _, ^ ^. ^ ^, ^.. ^. ^ ^,... ^ Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves ^. -..... ^. ^. ^ « ^ M ^ ^. ^ _, ^ M ^. ^ Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business ._ ....... M _ M M M M M ..^ M ... Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations ._. _...«........ ^............. .^.._ ^....... M ^.. . Interest Rates and Bond Yields ..„..._ M .^ _ ^ ... _. ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ M _ _ „ _. Common Stock Prices and Yields _ M ... _,...... ^.. ^ ^ ^.. ^.. ^ _ ^ ^. M M ^ w ^ »... 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt „. _ , .„ _ _ _ _ _ MM^.^M«^MMM Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function........ _ ^. M ^.... ^.... M M ^ . M M M M M M ^ . ^ , « ^ . ^ . ^ , M ^ . Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis -.....,. M _. „.. ^.. .^, ^ ^ ^.. ^. „ M « ^. ^. „ ^. 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries.... ». ^. ^. *.. ^.. ^.. ^. _ ^.. ^ ^. ».. ^ ^ ^, ^. ^ _ ^.. ^, U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports ^-. ^.»........ _. ^.. ^. ^. _. ^... ^. ^ ^. M ^. ^ M ^ _ ^. ^ ^, ^ ^ ^.. ^, U.S. International Transactions. „ .. ^. ^.... ^.... ^ M _ ^ ^. ^.. ^.. M ^ „ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 85 cents (single copy). Subscription price: $10.30 per year; $2.55 additional for foreign mailing. 38 35 35 36