Full text of Economic Indicators : January 2014
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113th Congress, 2nd Session Economic Indicators JANUARY 2014 (Includes data available as of February 7, 2014) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 2014 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) K B, Texas, Chairman A K, Minnesota, Vice Chairman H R J C, California S P. D, Wisconsin J A, Michigan E P, Minnesota R L. H, New York C B. M, New York L S, California E E. C, Maryland J D, Maryland S R P. C, J., Pennsylvania M R. W, Virginia B S, Vermont C M, Connecticut M H, New Mexico D C, Indiana M L, Utah R F. W, Mississippi P T, Pennsylvania R P. O’Q, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS J F, Chairman B S, Member J S, Member [P L 120—81 C; C 237—1 S] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. R eS. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled “Economic Indicators” Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled “Economic Indicators,” and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts prepared under the direction of the Mail and Multimedia Division, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Monthly issues of Economic Indicators in PDF form, and tables in Excel, are available online at: www.gpo.gov/economicindicators To subscribe to the print edition, $58.00 per year ($81.20 outside the United States), contact the U.S. Government Printing Office at 202-512-1800, www.gpo.gov/economicindicators, or: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE MAIL STOP: IDCC WASHINGTON, DC 204029328 ii TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Gross Domestic Product In the fourth quarter of 2013, according to advance estimates, current dollar gross domestic product (GDP) rose 4.6 percent (annual rate), real GDP in chained (2009) dollars rose 3.2 percent, and the chained price index rose 1.3 percent. [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV p ........... Gross domestic product 12,277.0 13,095.4 13,857.9 14,480.3 14,720.3 14,417.9 14,958.3 15,533.8 16,244.6 16,803.0 14,672.5 14,879.2 15,049.8 15,231.7 15,242.9 15,461.9 15,611.8 15,818.7 16,041.6 16,160.4 16,356.0 16,420.3 16,535.3 16,661.0 16,912.9 17,102.5 Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment 8,257.8 8,790.3 9,297.5 9,744.4 10,005.5 9,842.9 10,201.9 10,711.8 11,149.6 11,499.3 10,042.3 10,134.7 10,234.3 10,396.3 10,527.1 10,662.6 10,778.6 10,878.9 11,019.1 11,100.2 11,193.6 11,285.5 11,379.2 11,427.1 11,537.7 11,653.1 2,276.7 2,527.1 2,680.6 2,643.7 2,424.8 1,878.1 2,100.8 2,232.1 2,475.2 2,672.0 1,989.5 2,092.7 2,164.6 2,156.5 2,120.4 2,199.9 2,222.2 2,385.7 2,453.6 2,454.0 2,493.3 2,499.9 2,555.1 2,621.0 2,738.0 2,773.7 Exports and imports of goods and services Net exports –614.8 –715.7 –762.4 –709.8 –713.2 –392.2 –518.5 –568.7 –547.2 –493.8 –495.1 –529.7 –543.8 –505.3 –554.7 –572.2 –553.7 –594.4 –590.8 –557.9 –524.4 –515.8 –523.1 –509.0 –500.2 –442.8 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal Exports 1,183.1 1,310.4 1,478.5 1,665.7 1,843.1 1,583.8 1,843.5 2,101.2 2,195.9 2,262.2 1,746.4 1,807.0 1,860.3 1,960.4 2,029.5 2,095.5 2,143.4 2,136.2 2,173.4 2,197.4 2,199.2 2,213.7 2,214.2 2,238.9 2,265.8 2,329.7 1 GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. Imports 1,797.9 2,026.1 2,240.9 2,375.5 2,556.4 1,976.0 2,362.0 2,669.9 2,743.1 2,755.9 2,241.4 2,336.7 2,404.0 2,465.7 2,584.1 2,667.7 2,697.1 2,730.7 2,764.2 2,755.3 2,723.5 2,729.5 2,737.3 2,747.9 2,766.0 2,772.5 Total 2,357.4 2,493.7 2,642.2 2,801.9 3,003.2 3,089.1 3,174.0 3,158.7 3,167.0 3,125.5 3,135.7 3,181.5 3,194.7 3,184.2 3,150.0 3,171.7 3,164.6 3,148.5 3,159.7 3,164.1 3,193.5 3,150.7 3,124.1 3,121.9 3,137.5 3,118.6 Total 892.4 946.3 1,002.0 1,049.8 1,155.6 1,217.7 1,303.9 1,304.1 1,295.7 1,246.2 1,269.2 1,304.6 1,321.6 1,320.1 1,297.4 1,315.4 1,308.5 1,294.9 1,291.8 1,293.8 1,322.1 1,275.2 1,255.0 1,252.6 1,251.2 1,225.8 National defense Nondefense 570.2 608.3 642.4 678.7 754.1 788.3 832.8 835.8 817.1 771.0 811.9 829.3 846.3 843.5 822.0 844.2 851.6 825.6 816.3 816.7 841.9 793.7 775.8 776.3 777.3 754.7 322.1 338.1 359.6 371.0 401.5 429.4 471.1 468.2 478.6 475.1 457.3 475.2 475.3 476.6 475.4 471.2 456.9 469.3 475.5 477.1 480.2 481.5 479.2 476.3 473.9 471.1 State and local 1,465.0 1,547.4 1,640.2 1,752.2 1,847.6 1,871.4 1,870.2 1,854.7 1,871.3 1,879.4 1,866.5 1,876.9 1,873.1 1,864.2 1,852.6 1,856.3 1,856.1 1,853.6 1,867.9 1,870.3 1,871.4 1,875.4 1,869.1 1,869.3 1,886.3 1,892.7 Final Addendum: Gross sales of Gross domestic domestic purchases 1 national product product 12,213.2 13,035.8 13,790.9 14,445.9 14,752.3 14,565.5 14,896.7 15,497.4 16,178.5 16,692.4 14,660.4 14,829.0 14,928.2 15,169.3 15,221.4 15,416.2 15,625.3 15,726.8 15,938.7 16,093.6 16,274.4 16,407.3 16,471.9 16,583.8 16,768.1 16,945.7 12,891.8 12,367.1 13,811.1 13,189.0 14,620.3 13,926.3 15,190.1 14,606.8 15,433.5 14,893.2 14,810.1 14,565.1 15,476.7 15,164.2 16,102.6 15,794.6 16,791.8 16,497.4 17,296.7 .................. 15,167.5 14,875.9 15,408.9 15,084.3 15,593.5 15,249.5 15,737.0 15,447.2 15,797.6 15,491.2 16,034.1 15,712.1 16,165.5 15,884.0 16,413.1 16,091.0 16,632.4 16,289.6 16,718.3 16,419.2 16,880.4 16,603.7 16,936.1 16,677.3 17,058.4 16,772.7 17,170.0 16,907.9 17,413.2 17,175.9 17,545.3 .................. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 1 Real Gross Domestic Product [Billions of chained (2009) dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV p ........... Gross private domestic investment Personal Gross conChange domestic sumption Nonresi- Resiin product expendi- dential dential fixed fixed private tures investinvestinvenment ment tories 13,774.0 14,235.6 14,615.2 14,876.8 14,833.6 14,417.9 14,779.4 15,052.4 15,470.7 15,767.1 14,597.7 14,738.0 14,839.3 14,942.4 14,894.0 15,011.3 15,062.1 15,242.1 15,381.6 15,427.7 15,534.0 15,539.6 15,583.9 15,679.7 15,839.3 15,965.6 9,205.6 9,527.8 9,814.9 10,035.5 9,999.2 9,842.9 10,035.9 10,291.3 10,517.6 10,728.2 9,915.4 9,995.3 10,063.7 10,169.0 10,221.3 10,258.9 10,311.9 10,373.1 10,447.8 10,496.8 10,541.0 10,584.8 10,644.0 10,691.9 10,744.2 10,832.8 1,605.4 1,717.4 1,839.6 1,948.4 1,934.4 1,633.4 1,673.8 1,800.5 1,931.8 1,982.1 1,615.0 1,659.3 1,692.8 1,728.1 1,724.1 1,765.3 1,835.0 1,877.3 1,903.8 1,925.0 1,926.4 1,971.9 1,949.0 1,971.3 1,994.7 2,013.5 818.9 872.6 806.6 654.8 497.7 392.2 382.4 384.3 433.7 486.0 383.0 403.5 368.1 375.1 376.7 379.2 384.9 396.2 417.2 423.0 437.3 457.5 471.2 487.1 499.2 486.5 Exports and imports of goods and services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total –731.9 –777.1 –786.2 –703.6 –546.9 –392.2 –462.6 –445.9 –430.8 –409.1 –413.6 –474.3 –504.9 –457.5 –456.5 –438.3 –433.9 –454.7 –439.2 –435.3 –436.5 –412.1 –422.3 –424.4 –419.8 –370.1 1,309.3 1,388.4 1,512.4 1,647.3 1,741.8 1,583.8 1,765.6 1,890.5 1,957.4 2,012.4 1,700.4 1,739.3 1,784.9 1,837.7 1,854.7 1,876.9 1,908.9 1,921.7 1,941.4 1,959.8 1,961.6 1,967.0 1,960.5 1,998.4 2,017.6 2,073.0 2,041.2 2,165.5 2,298.6 2,350.9 2,288.7 1,976.0 2,228.1 2,336.4 2,388.2 2,421.5 2,113.9 2,213.6 2,289.8 2,295.2 2,311.3 2,315.2 2,342.8 2,376.4 2,380.6 2,395.1 2,398.0 2,379.1 2,382.7 2,422.9 2,437.3 2,443.1 2,808.2 2,826.2 2,869.3 2,914.4 2,994.8 3,089.1 3,091.4 2,992.3 2,963.1 2,897.6 3,084.3 3,106.2 3,103.5 3,071.5 3,012.0 3,002.4 2,983.2 2,971.7 2,961.3 2,963.5 2,988.8 2,938.8 2,907.4 2,904.5 2,907.4 2,871.0 71.4 64.3 71.6 35.5 –33.7 –147.6 58.2 33.6 57.6 85.4 9.8 48.8 116.2 58.1 22.0 42.9 –11.0 80.6 89.2 56.8 77.2 7.3 42.2 56.6 115.7 127.2 1 GDP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services. National Nondefense defense Total 1,017.1 1,034.8 1,060.9 1,078.7 1,152.3 1,217.7 1,270.7 1,237.9 1,220.3 1,157.5 1,247.8 1,273.4 1,285.0 1,276.4 1,241.6 1,247.0 1,236.4 1,226.7 1,219.1 1,218.5 1,244.6 1,198.9 1,172.8 1,168.2 1,163.9 1,125.2 652.7 665.5 678.8 695.6 748.1 788.3 813.5 794.6 769.1 715.2 798.6 811.0 825.9 818.6 787.8 800.8 805.6 784.2 770.7 768.8 791.8 745.0 723.1 722.0 721.2 694.5 364.5 369.4 382.1 383.1 404.2 429.4 457.1 443.3 451.2 442.4 449.2 462.4 459.1 457.7 453.7 446.2 430.8 442.5 448.3 449.7 452.8 453.9 449.8 446.2 442.7 430.8 AddenFinal Gross dum: sales of domestic Gross domestic purchases 1 national product product State and local 1,792.8 1,792.3 1,808.8 1,836.1 1,842.4 1,871.4 1,820.8 1,754.5 1,742.8 1,739.7 1,836.5 1,832.8 1,818.5 1,795.2 1,770.5 1,755.5 1,746.9 1,745.0 1,742.2 1,745.0 1,744.3 1,739.8 1,734.3 1,736.0 1,743.2 1,745.4 13,702.7 14,170.1 14,543.6 14,839.2 14,868.9 14,565.5 14,717.7 15,014.4 15,403.2 15,671.2 14,584.3 14,686.3 14,718.3 14,881.8 14,871.9 14,961.8 15,072.7 15,151.3 15,278.9 15,360.8 15,444.9 15,528.3 15,536.4 15,616.2 15,711.1 15,821.1 14,529.1 13,879.0 15,036.2 14,340.8 15,424.8 14,690.9 15,600.8 15,009.7 15,392.0 15,009.0 14,810.1 14,565.1 15,244.5 14,966.5 15,501.1 15,286.7 15,902.3 15,693.1 16,175.2 ............... 15,011.5 14,782.7 15,215.4 14,925.1 15,348.5 15,020.5 15,402.5 15,137.8 15,354.0 15,119.2 15,451.6 15,235.6 15,498.4 15,306.4 15,700.5 15,485.7 15,822.4 15,600.2 15,864.4 15,656.2 15,971.4 15,751.1 15,950.8 15,764.8 16,005.8 15,789.7 16,104.1 15,893.9 16,258.5 16,067.4 16,332.3 ............... Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Note: Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (2009) dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates. Chained Price Indexes For Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 2009=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV p ........... Gross domestic product 89.130 91.989 94.816 97.338 99.208 100.000 101.215 103.203 105.008 106.467 100.509 100.972 101.432 101.948 102.354 103.024 103.651 103.782 104.296 104.751 105.345 105.640 105.994 106.165 106.685 107.024 Personal consumption expenditures Total 89.703 92.260 94.728 97.099 100.063 100.000 101.654 104.086 106.009 107.187 101.282 101.398 101.698 102.239 102.996 103.938 104.529 104.880 105.471 105.750 106.193 106.622 106.909 106.878 107.387 107.573 Goods 95.030 96.951 98.277 99.403 102.362 100.000 101.637 105.345 106.666 106.140 101.786 101.147 101.307 102.308 103.804 105.395 106.068 106.112 106.681 106.366 106.718 106.900 106.641 105.740 106.326 105.853 Gross private domestic investment Services 87.056 89.930 92.974 95.977 98.943 100.000 101.663 103.463 105.689 107.740 101.038 101.521 101.890 102.204 102.596 103.217 103.768 104.271 104.872 105.450 105.939 106.493 107.060 107.477 107.946 108.477 Nonresidential fixed 91.141 93.830 96.561 98.574 100.337 100.000 99.070 100.524 101.977 103.168 98.735 98.953 99.095 99.496 99.875 100.456 100.774 100.990 101.506 101.897 102.157 102.350 102.692 103.008 103.303 103.669 Residential fixed 91.546 98.103 103.821 105.176 103.647 100.000 99.645 100.392 101.246 106.277 100.027 99.328 99.325 99.898 100.108 100.461 100.489 100.509 100.315 100.664 101.505 102.500 104.088 105.396 106.739 108.886 Exports and imports of goods and services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal Exports 90.364 94.379 97.759 101.119 105.815 100.000 104.415 111.140 112.185 112.415 102.749 103.940 104.261 106.710 109.444 111.659 112.293 111.165 111.955 112.127 112.114 112.543 112.944 112.034 112.303 112.381 Imports 88.084 93.560 97.491 101.050 111.695 100.000 106.008 114.273 114.862 113.810 106.052 105.567 104.985 107.426 111.811 115.233 115.132 114.915 116.117 115.038 113.570 114.725 114.873 113.411 113.480 113.476 Total 87.736 91.449 94.448 97.319 100.286 100.000 102.614 105.344 106.184 107.669 101.719 102.452 102.855 103.429 104.499 105.483 105.835 105.560 105.959 106.182 106.224 106.370 107.007 107.229 107.504 108.938 National defense 87.371 91.395 94.633 97.572 100.809 100.000 102.365 105.191 106.252 107.812 101.671 102.266 102.480 103.043 104.346 105.416 105.718 105.283 105.914 106.229 106.322 106.542 107.283 107.512 107.784 108.668 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 2 Nondefense 88.377 91.529 94.101 96.849 99.321 100.000 103.064 105.624 106.077 107.428 101.811 102.792 103.530 104.123 104.779 105.608 106.049 106.061 106.051 106.112 106.065 106.081 106.549 106.760 107.040 109.365 State and local 81.719 86.333 90.677 95.426 100.279 100.000 102.714 105.710 107.371 108.026 101.629 102.399 102.991 103.836 104.633 105.740 106.248 106.220 107.214 107.183 107.288 107.798 107.775 107.676 108.213 108.441 Gross Domestic Product and Related Price Measures: Indexes and Percent Changes [Quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Percent change from preceding period 1 Index numbers, 2009=100 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) Gross domestic product (GDP) Period 2004 ...................... 2005 ...................... 2006 ...................... 2007 ...................... 2008 ...................... 2009 ...................... 2010 ...................... 2011 ...................... 2012 ...................... 2013 p .................... 2010: I .................. II ................. III ................ IV ................ 2011: I .................. II ................. III ................ IV ................ 2012: I .................. II ................. III ................ IV ................ 2013: I .................. II ................. III ................ IV p ............. Real GDP (chain-type quantity index) 95.534 98.735 101.368 103.182 102.883 100.000 102.507 104.400 107.302 109.358 101.247 102.220 102.923 103.638 103.302 104.115 104.468 105.716 106.683 107.003 107.741 107.780 108.087 108.751 109.859 110.734 GDP chain-type price index 89.130 91.989 94.816 97.338 99.208 100.000 101.215 103.203 105.008 106.467 100.509 100.972 101.432 101.948 102.354 103.024 103.651 103.782 104.296 104.751 105.345 105.640 105.994 106.165 106.685 107.024 GDP implicit price deflator 89.132 91.991 94.818 97.335 99.236 100.000 101.211 103.199 105.002 106.570 100.513 100.958 101.418 101.936 102.343 103.002 103.650 103.783 104.291 104.750 105.292 105.667 106.105 106.259 106.778 107.121 PCE (chain-type price index) 89.703 92.260 94.728 97.099 100.063 100.000 101.654 104.086 106.009 107.187 101.282 101.398 101.698 102.239 102.996 103.938 104.529 104.880 105.471 105.750 106.193 106.622 106.909 106.878 107.387 107.573 PCE less food and energy price index 90.751 92.710 94.785 96.829 98.824 100.000 101.287 102.743 104.632 105.926 100.911 101.179 101.427 101.632 101.959 102.522 103.039 103.452 104.010 104.482 104.849 105.187 105.542 105.711 106.077 106.372 1 Quarterly percent changes are at annual rates. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) Gross domestic product (GDP) GDP (current dollars) Real GDP (chain-type quantity index) 6.6 6.7 5.8 4.5 1.7 –2.1 3.7 3.8 4.6 3.4 3.0 5.8 4.7 4.9 .3 5.9 3.9 5.4 5.8 3.0 4.9 1.6 2.8 3.1 6.2 4.6 3.8 3.4 2.7 1.8 –.3 –2.8 2.5 1.8 2.8 1.9 1.6 3.9 2.8 2.8 –1.3 3.2 1.4 4.9 3.7 1.2 2.8 .1 1.1 2.5 4.1 3.2 GDP chain-type price index GDP implicit price deflator 2.7 3.2 3.1 2.7 1.9 .8 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.8 2.1 1.6 2.6 2.5 .5 2.0 1.8 2.3 1.1 1.3 .6 2.0 1.3 PCE (chain-type price index) 2.7 3.2 3.1 2.7 2.0 .8 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.1 1.6 2.6 2.5 .5 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.4 1.7 .6 2.0 1.3 PCE less food and energy price index 2.4 2.9 2.7 2.5 3.1 –.1 1.7 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.4 .5 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.7 2.3 1.3 2.3 1.1 1.7 1.6 1.1 –.1 1.9 .7 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 .8 1.3 2.2 2.0 1.6 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.4 .6 1.4 1.1 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Nonfinancial Corporate Business— Gross Value Added and Price, Costs, and Profits [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Current dollars 2003 .................... 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III ............. Price per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business (dollars) 1, 2 Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business (billions of dollars) 1 5,724.4 6,107.9 6,532.1 6,988.0 7,203.9 7,258.1 6,861.4 7,243.1 7,636.4 8,030.8 7,076.1 7,193.8 7,346.8 7,355.8 7,464.4 7,638.0 7,715.6 7,727.5 7,949.7 8,007.0 8,002.9 8,163.8 8,163.4 8,256.5 8,336.1 Chained (2009) dollars 6,606.8 6,904.1 7,131.7 7,406.3 7,480.5 7,385.3 6,861.4 7,244.4 7,464.6 7,743.2 7,178.5 7,227.4 7,314.7 7,257.2 7,365.1 7,479.5 7,465.6 7,548.1 7,710.0 7,740.1 7,701.5 7,821.0 7,795.6 7,889.9 7,924.2 Total 0.866 .885 .916 .944 .963 .983 1.000 1.000 1.023 1.037 .986 .995 1.004 1.014 1.013 1.021 1.033 1.024 1.031 1.034 1.039 1.044 1.047 1.046 1.052 Compensation of employees (unit labor cost) 0.544 .545 .551 .558 .576 .590 .596 .575 .586 .594 .569 .575 .574 .583 .589 .583 .590 .581 .590 .590 .596 .600 .597 .598 .600 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 4 Unit nonlabor cost Total 0.234 .232 .243 .249 .265 .283 .299 .290 .291 .291 .289 .290 .288 .292 .291 .290 .293 .292 .292 .292 .294 .291 .297 .293 .296 Consumption of fixed capital 0.124 .123 .128 .132 .139 .148 .159 .151 .152 .153 .152 .151 .150 .152 .151 .151 .153 .153 .152 .153 .155 .154 .156 .156 .157 Net interest Taxes on and production miscellaneous and imports 3 payments 0.084 .086 .091 .092 .093 .093 .099 .099 .101 .100 .098 .099 .099 .100 .101 .101 .101 .101 .102 .101 .100 .099 .100 .099 .099 0.026 .023 .024 .025 .033 .042 .041 .040 .038 .038 .039 .040 .039 .040 .039 .038 .039 .038 .038 .038 .039 .038 .041 .038 .040 Total 0.088 .107 .122 .137 .122 .110 .105 .135 .145 .151 .127 .131 .143 .139 .133 .148 .150 .151 .150 .152 .149 .153 .153 .156 .157 Taxes on corporate income 0.020 .027 .038 .042 .039 .031 .026 .030 .030 .033 .029 .030 .031 .031 .029 .030 .031 .029 .033 .033 .032 .034 .034 .033 .033 Profits after tax 5 0.068 .080 .084 .096 .083 .079 .079 .105 .116 .118 .098 .100 .111 .108 .103 .118 .120 .122 .117 .119 .117 .118 .118 .122 .123 1 Estimates for nonfinancial corporate business are based on the North American Industry Clas4 Unit profits from current production. 5 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. sification System (NAICS). 2 The implicit price deflator for gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business divided by 100. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 3 Less subsidies plus business current transfer payments. 3 National Income [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Proprietors’ income 1 Period ComNational pensation of income employees 2004 .................... 10,541.9 2005 .................... 11,240.8 2006 .................... 12,005.6 2007 .................... 12,322.3 2008 .................... 12,430.8 2009 .................... 12,124.5 2010 .................... 12,739.5 2011 .................... 13,395.7 2012 .................... 13,971.6 2013 p .................. ............... 2010: I ................ 12,461.0 II ............... 12,624.0 III .............. 12,867.8 IV .............. 13,005.4 2011: I ................ 13,156.7 II ............... 13,320.4 III .............. 13,502.0 IV .............. 13,603.6 2012: I ................ 13,845.0 II ............... 13,875.3 III .............. 13,962.1 IV .............. 14,204.0 2013: I ................ 14,324.5 II ............... 14,462.7 III .............. 14,608.9 IV p ........... ............... 6,740.5 7,087.8 7,503.2 7,899.1 8,079.2 7,787.8 7,967.3 8,278.5 8,611.6 8,859.4 7,804.3 7,952.7 8,026.5 8,085.7 8,207.4 8,256.3 8,343.3 8,306.9 8,514.3 8,553.8 8,591.0 8,787.4 8,748.3 8,835.5 8,889.3 8,964.7 Rental income of persons with capital conNonfarm sumption adjustment Farm 50.4 46.4 36.0 38.1 47.0 35.5 46.0 72.6 75.4 126.8 39.2 43.2 48.4 53.2 71.7 67.5 74.1 76.9 74.6 77.0 75.3 74.5 137.0 129.0 131.7 109.4 911.6 932.6 1,017.7 941.1 979.5 937.5 986.7 1,082.6 1,149.6 1,220.4 978.5 981.5 980.8 1,006.0 1,044.9 1,073.2 1,101.2 1,111.1 1,139.7 1,140.8 1,144.7 1,173.0 1,197.6 1,212.5 1,229.0 1,242.6 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Net interest and Capital miscelconsumption laneous Inventory adjust- payments valuation ment adjustment Taxes on production and imports Profits with inventory valuation adjustment and without capital consumption adjustment Total Total Profits before tax 255.4 1,283.3 1,215.2 1,254.6 –39.5 238.4 1,477.7 1,621.2 1,653.3 –32.1 207.5 1,646.5 1,815.7 1,851.4 –35.7 189.4 1,529.0 1,708.9 1,748.4 –39.5 262.1 1,285.1 1,345.5 1,382.4 –37.0 333.7 1,392.6 1,474.8 1,468.2 6.7 402.8 1,740.6 1,793.8 1,834.8 –41.0 484.4 1,877.7 1,791.3 1,847.4 –56.0 541.2 2,009.5 2,180.0 2,190.0 –10.0 590.3 ............... ............... ............... ............... 380.5 1,655.2 1,751.6 1,791.7 –40.1 397.3 1,660.8 1,762.2 1,782.8 –20.6 408.3 1,807.0 1,861.5 1,879.5 –18.1 425.0 1,839.2 1,800.0 1,885.2 –85.3 458.5 1,755.0 1,672.2 1,792.3 –120.1 475.5 1,868.7 1,782.3 1,850.4 –68.2 489.9 1,893.8 1,805.4 1,833.1 –27.7 513.5 1,993.4 1,905.4 1,913.6 –8.2 524.8 1,979.9 2,142.5 2,162.1 –19.5 537.8 1,998.4 2,169.8 2,160.0 9.8 546.7 2,012.3 2,186.6 2,208.5 –22.0 555.4 2,047.2 2,221.1 2,229.5 –8.4 574.9 2,020.6 2,180.0 2,193.1 –13.0 587.7 2,087.4 2,248.6 2,239.7 8.9 596.6 2,126.6 2,288.2 2,286.6 1.7 602.2 ............... ............... ............... ............... 1 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 68.2 –143.5 –169.2 –179.9 –60.4 –82.2 –53.3 86.4 –170.5 –161.3 –96.4 –101.4 –54.4 39.2 82.9 86.4 88.4 88.0 –162.7 –171.4 –174.2 –173.9 –159.5 –161.1 –161.6 –163.0 403.5 496.8 580.9 663.4 693.4 563.1 489.4 456.9 439.6 468.3 508.0 485.8 482.2 481.6 473.8 436.7 459.7 457.5 453.9 419.0 455.3 430.3 477.0 444.0 467.2 485.0 Business Less: current Subsidies transfer payments 863.9 934.5 991.9 1,034.6 1,041.9 1,026.1 1,057.1 1,097.1 1,122.9 1,147.5 1,042.2 1,054.2 1,063.1 1,069.0 1,085.2 1,099.9 1,095.9 1,107.5 1,124.4 1,122.2 1,118.8 1,126.3 1,140.7 1,138.8 1,149.0 1,161.6 46.4 60.9 51.5 54.6 52.6 58.3 55.9 60.0 57.3 58.8 54.9 55.5 56.2 56.9 58.7 59.9 60.5 60.6 57.8 57.6 56.0 57.7 58.0 58.9 59.1 59.3 81.4 93.9 82.6 98.6 116.4 127.2 128.5 129.6 106.9 124.1 129.3 126.5 131.1 127.0 142.6 125.6 128.3 121.8 115.7 110.0 102.6 99.5 121.9 125.8 120.1 128.8 Current surplus of government enterprises –1.8 –6.4 –9.3 –16.4 –21.2 –20.6 –22.9 –23.8 –27.7 –39.8 –21.2 –22.6 –23.5 –24.3 –23.8 –23.1 –23.7 –24.4 –24.5 –26.1 –28.5 –31.8 –35.5 –39.0 –41.4 –43.2 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Real Personal Consumption Expenditures [Billions of chained (2009) dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Goods Period Total personal consumption expenditures 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV p ........... 9,205.6 9,527.8 9,814.9 10,035.5 9,999.2 9,842.9 10,035.9 10,291.3 10,517.6 10,728.2 9,915.4 9,995.3 10,063.7 10,169.0 10,221.3 10,258.9 10,311.9 10,373.1 10,447.8 10,496.8 10,541.0 10,584.8 10,644.0 10,691.9 10,744.2 10,832.8 Services Durable Total goods 3,051.9 3,177.2 3,292.5 3,381.8 3,297.8 3,198.4 3,308.7 3,419.9 3,534.1 3,664.0 3,247.0 3,288.0 3,319.1 3,380.5 3,402.8 3,404.6 3,415.2 3,457.0 3,495.8 3,514.7 3,546.7 3,579.2 3,611.9 3,639.6 3,680.0 3,724.5 Total durable goods 1 992.9 1,046.9 1,091.5 1,141.7 1,083.2 1,023.3 1,085.7 1,157.1 1,246.7 1,335.8 1,045.2 1,076.3 1,093.8 1,127.4 1,142.3 1,140.0 1,154.4 1,191.7 1,219.7 1,228.6 1,253.4 1,285.2 1,303.5 1,323.2 1,348.6 1,368.1 Nondurable Motor vehicles and parts 405.5 400.0 385.1 392.8 340.8 317.1 323.4 339.4 364.0 382.4 306.2 319.7 325.7 342.0 345.2 330.0 331.3 351.1 360.3 356.3 363.5 375.8 380.6 379.7 384.3 385.1 Total nondurable goods 1 2,063.7 2,132.3 2,202.2 2,239.3 2,214.7 2,175.1 2,223.5 2,266.0 2,296.8 2,344.2 2,201.6 2,212.1 2,226.0 2,254.5 2,262.6 2,266.5 2,263.8 2,271.0 2,283.6 2,293.9 2,303.0 2,306.7 2,322.2 2,331.7 2,348.6 2,374.2 Food and beverages purchased for offpremises consumption Gasoline and other energy goods Total services 1 Household consumption expenditures 729.8 757.6 780.8 791.3 781.9 770.0 786.5 798.8 809.4 820.5 786.1 780.6 783.8 795.4 797.8 800.7 798.8 798.1 803.8 808.4 811.7 813.5 817.6 815.3 820.8 828.1 299.3 298.0 297.4 296.8 283.4 284.5 282.2 275.2 271.5 272.6 279.3 282.5 284.2 282.8 280.4 273.8 273.6 273.0 269.9 274.7 272.5 268.8 271.7 271.1 273.2 274.3 6,154.1 6,349.4 6,519.8 6,650.4 6,700.6 6,644.5 6,727.2 6,871.1 6,982.7 7,063.6 6,668.3 6,707.2 6,744.6 6,788.5 6,818.2 6,854.1 6,896.6 6,915.5 6,951.2 6,981.4 6,993.4 7,004.7 7,031.1 7,051.5 7,063.6 7,108.2 5,946.7 6,143.4 6,285.0 6,409.2 6,427.1 6,368.5 6,448.9 6,592.0 6,689.4 6,775.6 6,389.2 6,425.6 6,467.1 6,513.5 6,544.5 6,578.8 6,610.1 6,634.7 6,668.0 6,688.3 6,698.0 6,703.2 6,743.2 6,766.1 6,775.2 6,817.8 1 Includes other items, not shown separately. 2 Food consists of food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption; food services, which include purchased meals and beverages, are not classified as food. 4 Housing and utilities 1,717.9 1,788.4 1,823.2 1,840.8 1,860.1 1,881.0 1,904.3 1,928.4 1,943.6 1,960.0 1,897.2 1,896.5 1,906.5 1,916.8 1,918.9 1,925.1 1,937.3 1,932.4 1,927.8 1,949.2 1,955.5 1,941.9 1,964.5 1,964.8 1,952.6 1,958.0 Health care Financial services and insurance 1,442.3 1,490.4 1,525.2 1,563.2 1,598.8 1,627.4 1,649.2 1,693.3 1,738.4 1,775.8 1,626.0 1,640.9 1,657.1 1,672.8 1,681.7 1,692.7 1,689.2 1,709.6 1,730.1 1,731.4 1,741.1 1,750.9 1,756.5 1,771.9 1,783.9 1,790.8 668.7 704.1 720.1 742.5 737.4 719.0 733.9 756.0 746.0 757.1 721.5 736.1 735.4 742.7 750.7 751.4 762.8 759.0 757.2 751.1 738.1 737.7 747.6 754.9 758.3 767.4 Addendum: Personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy 2 Retail sales of new passenger cars and light trucks (millions of units) 7,960.6 8,249.9 8,521.2 8,728.1 8,722.5 8,573.3 8,745.6 9,004.1 9,233.5 9,424.0 8,629.4 8,714.7 8,773.0 8,865.4 8,925.1 8,971.7 9,022.7 9,096.8 9,181.3 9,203.2 9,243.7 9,305.9 9,336.0 9,388.8 9,446.9 9,524.3 16.9 16.9 16.5 16.1 13.2 10.4 11.6 12.7 14.4 15.5 10.8 11.5 11.7 12.2 12.7 12.3 12.6 13.4 14.2 14.2 14.4 14.9 15.3 15.5 15.7 15.6 Note: Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (2009) dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Sources of Personal Income Personal income rose $2.3 billion (annual rate) in December, following an increase of $29.8 billion in November. Wages and salaries rose $1.6 billion in December, following an increase of $36.4 billion in November. [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Compensation of employees Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ Total personal income 10,049.2 10,610.3 11,389.8 11,995.7 12,430.6 12,082.1 12,435.2 13,191.3 13,743.8 14,133.5 14,420.2 13,791.7 13,969.3 14,016.8 14,031.9 14,088.3 14,138.4 14,157.8 14,228.8 14,291.9 14,275.0 14,304.8 14,307.1 Total 6,740.5 7,087.8 7,503.2 7,899.1 8,079.2 7,787.8 7,967.3 8,278.5 8,611.6 8,859.4 8,910.3 8,705.8 8,762.6 8,776.4 8,803.2 8,830.4 8,872.9 8,848.9 8,894.5 8,924.5 8,936.5 8,977.1 8,980.5 Wages and salaries 5,422.9 5,692.9 6,058.2 6,396.0 6,532.8 6,252.2 6,377.5 6,638.7 6,926.8 7,137.8 7,200.8 7,001.5 7,053.7 7,065.9 7,088.6 7,112.9 7,151.4 7,127.6 7,168.7 7,194.9 7,204.6 7,241.0 7,242.6 1 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2 With capital consumption adjustment. 3 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits to persons. Supplements to wages and salaries 1,317.6 1,394.8 1,444.9 1,503.1 1,546.4 1,535.6 1,589.8 1,639.8 1,684.9 1,721.7 1,709.5 1,704.3 1,708.9 1,710.6 1,714.5 1,717.5 1,721.4 1,721.3 1,725.8 1,729.6 1,731.9 1,736.2 1,737.9 Proprietors’ income 1 Farm 50.4 46.4 36.0 38.1 47.0 35.5 46.0 72.6 75.4 126.8 73.4 105.2 137.0 168.9 148.9 129.0 109.0 118.7 128.3 148.1 123.7 109.4 95.1 Nonfarm 911.6 932.6 1,017.7 941.1 979.5 937.5 986.7 1,082.6 1,149.6 1,220.4 1,183.5 1,188.7 1,202.3 1,201.7 1,206.8 1,213.9 1,216.8 1,222.7 1,230.3 1,234.1 1,236.6 1,242.6 1,248.6 Personal income receipts on assets Rental income of persons 2 255.4 238.4 207.5 189.4 262.1 333.7 402.8 484.4 541.2 590.3 556.9 565.6 574.9 584.2 585.1 587.7 590.2 592.5 596.0 601.2 601.0 601.8 603.9 Total 1,503.7 1,666.5 1,938.4 2,166.6 2,167.1 1,811.8 1,739.6 1,884.6 1,958.5 1,997.6 2,269.0 1,895.9 1,960.0 1,951.5 1,971.5 1,995.2 2,015.2 2,031.3 2,028.7 2,032.2 2,028.1 2,029.4 2,032.5 Personal interest income 941.7 1,088.1 1,214.7 1,350.1 1,361.6 1,263.9 1,195.0 1,204.1 1,211.6 1,228.3 1,239.1 1,227.4 1,215.8 1,204.1 1,214.9 1,225.6 1,236.3 1,235.2 1,234.2 1,233.1 1,235.4 1,237.7 1,240.0 Personal dividend income 562.1 578.3 723.7 816.5 805.4 547.9 544.6 680.5 746.9 769.3 1,029.9 668.5 744.2 747.4 756.6 769.6 779.0 796.0 794.6 799.0 792.7 791.7 792.5 Personal current transfer receipts 3 1,416.7 1,512.0 1,609.6 1,722.8 1,884.0 2,140.2 2,276.9 2,306.9 2,358.3 2,444.9 2,408.8 2,419.4 2,427.8 2,430.9 2,416.1 2,434.9 2,441.8 2,448.3 2,460.6 2,465.1 2,463.8 2,463.9 2,466.8 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic 829.2 873.3 922.6 961.4 988.2 964.4 984.1 918.2 950.7 1,106.0 981.6 1,088.9 1,095.4 1,096.8 1,099.7 1,102.6 1,107.5 1,104.5 1,109.6 1,113.2 1,114.7 1,119.4 1,120.1 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 5 Disposition of Personal Income According to advance estimates, per capita disposable personal income in chained (2009) dollars remained unchanged in the fourth quarter of 2013. Period Personal income Less: Personal current taxes Equals: Disposable personal income Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Disposable personal income in billions of chained (2009) dollars Current dollars Billions of dollars 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 10,049.2 10,610.3 11,389.8 11,995.7 12,430.6 12,082.1 12,435.2 13,191.3 13,743.8 14,133.5 1,046.0 1,208.5 1,352.1 1,487.9 1,435.2 1,144.9 1,191.5 1,404.0 1,498.0 1,659.3 9,003.2 9,401.8 10,037.7 10,507.9 10,995.4 10,937.2 11,243.7 11,787.4 12,245.8 12,474.2 Per capita personal consumption expenditures Per capita disposable personal income Chained (2009) dollars Current dollars Chained (2009) dollars Dollars 8,590.0 9,159.1 9,700.8 10,190.6 10,444.0 10,266.5 10,609.5 11,119.1 11,558.4 11,912.8 413.2 242.7 336.9 317.2 551.3 670.7 634.2 668.2 687.4 561.4 10,036.7 10,190.5 10,596.4 10,821.8 10,988.4 10,937.2 11,060.8 11,324.6 11,551.6 11,637.8 30,700 31,763 33,591 34,829 36,104 35,598 36,296 37,776 38,965 39,410 Percent Saving change as in real percent per capita of disposable disposable personal personal income income Population, including Armed Forces overseas (thousands) 2 Percent 34,224 34,428 35,461 35,870 36,082 35,598 35,706 36,293 36,756 36,767 28,158 29,698 31,114 32,299 32,854 32,037 32,933 34,329 35,477 36,330 31,391 32,189 32,846 33,264 32,834 32,037 32,397 32,981 33,466 33,894 2.6 .6 3.0 1.2 .6 –1.3 .3 1.6 1.3 .0 4.6 2.6 3.4 3.0 5.0 6.1 5.6 5.7 5.6 4.5 293,262 295,993 298,818 301,696 304,543 307,240 309,776 312,036 314,278 316,524 35,316 35,715 35,813 35,977 36,361 36,263 36,336 36,215 36,561 36,661 36,538 37,260 36,438 36,743 36,943 36,943 32,510 32,750 33,007 33,463 33,828 34,206 34,512 34,766 35,157 35,355 35,585 35,809 36,048 36,138 36,418 36,713 32,099 32,299 32,457 32,731 32,846 32,911 33,017 33,150 33,334 33,434 33,510 33,585 33,719 33,813 33,914 34,129 –0.5 4.6 1.1 1.8 4.3 –1.1 .8 –1.3 3.9 1.1 –1.3 8.1 –8.5 3.4 2.2 .0 5.3 5.9 5.8 5.5 6.2 5.8 5.7 5.0 5.4 5.5 4.9 6.6 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.3 308,900 309,457 310,067 310,679 311,192 311,718 312,319 312,917 313,425 313,960 314,564 315,162 315,671 316,206 316,810 317,409 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV p ........... 12,194.3 12,374.3 12,502.1 12,670.0 13,029.9 13,148.5 13,283.6 13,303.2 13,548.6 13,651.8 13,701.6 14,073.1 13,925.9 14,086.2 14,226.2 14,295.6 1,145.6 1,167.9 1,209.4 1,242.9 1,376.0 1,399.9 1,421.6 1,418.4 1,462.8 1,480.0 1,496.4 1,552.8 1,629.0 1,668.8 1,657.8 1,681.5 11,048.7 11,206.4 11,292.6 11,427.1 11,653.9 11,748.6 11,862.1 11,884.8 12,085.7 12,171.9 12,205.1 12,520.4 12,296.9 12,417.4 12,568.4 12,614.1 10,459.9 10,542.4 10,637.5 10,798.4 10,936.0 11,069.5 11,185.8 11,285.2 11,428.4 11,507.9 11,601.0 11,696.2 11,794.9 11,837.0 11,950.4 12,069.0 588.9 664.0 655.2 628.7 717.9 679.1 676.2 599.6 657.3 663.9 604.1 824.1 502.0 580.4 618.0 545.1 10,909.1 11,052.2 11,104.4 11,177.3 11,315.4 11,303.9 11,348.4 11,332.3 11,459.2 11,510.2 11,493.6 11,743.0 11,502.4 11,618.5 11,704.1 11,726.2 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments (nonmortgage), and personal current transfer payments. 2 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. 6 35,768 36,213 36,420 36,781 37,449 37,690 37,981 37,981 38,560 38,769 38,800 39,727 38,955 39,270 39,672 39,741 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). Real Farm Income According to the current forecast for 2013, gross farm income in chained (2009) dollars is forecast to be $453.1 billion and net farm income to be $122.9 billion. [Billions of chained (2009) dollars] Income of farm operators from farming 1 Gross farm income Year Value of farm sector production Total 2 1990 ................................................... 1991 ................................................... 1992 ................................................... 1993 ................................................... 1994 ................................................... 1995 ................................................... 1996 ................................................... 1997 ................................................... 1998 ................................................... 1999 ................................................... 2000 ................................................... 2001 ................................................... 2002 ................................................... 2003 ................................................... 2004 ................................................... 2005 ................................................... 2006 ................................................... 2007 ................................................... 2008 ................................................... 2009 ................................................... 2010 ................................................... 2011 ................................................... 2012 ................................................... 2013 ................................................... 295.9 278.1 283.9 283.5 292.6 279.6 307.1 304.8 294.6 293.4 295.1 298.3 271.1 298.2 330.8 324.5 306.0 348.8 380.7 343.3 361.1 417.1 433.2 453.1 Crops 3, 4 Total 282.0 266.2 270.9 265.0 281.9 270.0 297.6 295.2 278.9 266.5 266.7 271.5 256.5 279.2 316.3 298.0 289.4 336.6 368.3 331.2 348.9 407.0 423.1 442.4 124.5 117.6 126.1 114.3 136.0 127.2 150.7 144.1 129.3 115.9 116.0 113.4 115.1 125.2 140.4 124.3 125.2 155.2 184.5 168.6 170.7 200.5 206.6 216.1 1 The GDP chain-type price index is used to convert the current-dollar statistics to 2009=100 equivalents. 2 Value of production, Government payments, other farm-related cash income, and nonmoney income produced by farms including imputed rent of farm dwellings. 3 Crop receipts include proceeds received from commodities placed under Commodity Credit Corporation loans. Livestock 4 134.7 126.3 123.4 127.2 121.5 116.4 119.9 123.3 119.3 118.9 121.0 127.0 109.9 121.0 139.4 137.5 125.8 142.2 141.5 119.8 139.1 159.5 162.3 169.4 Forestry and services 22.8 22.3 21.5 23.5 24.4 26.4 27.0 27.8 30.3 31.8 29.8 31.1 31.5 33.0 36.5 36.1 38.3 39.2 42.3 42.7 39.0 47.1 54.2 56.8 Direct Government payments Production expenses 13.9 11.9 13.0 18.5 10.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 15.7 26.9 28.4 26.8 14.6 19.0 14.6 26.5 16.7 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.2 10.1 10.1 10.7 226.7 219.8 212.9 218.9 221.4 226.9 230.4 239.1 234.9 233.8 233.2 232.8 225.1 227.9 232.8 238.9 245.5 276.9 296.3 283.0 284.0 302.8 324.8 330.2 Net farm income 69.2 58.3 71.0 64.6 71.2 52.7 76.8 65.7 59.7 59.6 61.9 65.5 46.0 70.3 98.1 85.6 60.6 71.9 84.3 60.4 77.1 114.3 108.4 122.9 4 The value of production equates to the sum of cash receipts, home consumption, and the value of the change in inventories. Note: Data for 2013 are forecasts. Source: Department of Agriculture (Economic Research Service). 7 Corporate Profits In the third quarter of 2013, according to current estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $46.9 billion (annual rate) and profits after tax rose $47.3 billion. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1 Profits after tax Domestic industries Period Total 2 Profits before tax Nonfinancial Total Financial Total 3 Manufacturing Utilities Wholesale Taxes on corporate income Total Retail 2003 .................... 959.9 793.3 306.5 486.7 125.3 13.5 59.3 90.5 969.4 243.8 725.7 2004 .................... 1,215.2 1,010.1 349.4 660.7 182.7 20.5 74.7 93.2 1,254.6 306.1 948.5 2005 .................... 1,621.2 1,382.1 409.7 972.4 277.7 30.8 96.2 121.7 1,653.3 412.4 1,240.9 2006 .................... 1,815.7 1,559.6 415.1 1,144.4 349.7 55.1 105.9 132.5 1,851.4 473.4 1,378.1 2007 .................... 1,708.9 1,355.5 301.5 1,054.0 321.9 49.5 103.2 119.0 1,748.4 445.5 1,302.9 2008 .................... 1,345.5 938.8 95.4 843.4 240.6 30.1 90.6 80.3 1,382.4 309.1 1,073.3 2009 .................... 1,474.8 1,122.0 362.9 759.2 171.4 23.8 89.3 108.7 1,468.2 269.4 1,198.7 2010 .................... 1,793.8 1,398.6 405.3 993.3 284.9 29.8 102.2 118.3 1,834.8 370.6 1,464.3 2011 .................... 1,791.3 1,354.8 384.1 970.7 303.9 11.1 96.3 116.1 1,847.4 374.2 1,473.1 2012 .................... 2,180.0 1,761.1 477.4 1,283.7 404.3 37.1 137.8 149.2 2,190.0 434.8 1,755.2 2013 p .................. ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 2010: I ................ 1,751.6 1,354.1 387.1 967.0 228.4 44.6 99.2 120.9 1,791.7 344.8 1,446.9 II ............... 1,762.2 1,367.8 362.6 1,005.2 283.9 14.5 118.0 119.0 1,782.8 351.7 1,431.2 III .............. 1,861.5 1,476.8 415.6 1,061.2 324.3 35.3 114.5 118.0 1,879.5 387.5 1,492.1 IV .............. 1,800.0 1,395.9 456.0 939.9 303.0 24.8 77.2 115.4 1,885.2 398.3 1,486.9 2011: I ................ 1,672.2 1,244.3 377.8 866.5 278.1 3.9 74.4 112.2 1,792.3 393.0 1,399.2 II ............... 1,782.3 1,354.9 364.6 990.3 291.5 29.7 94.7 109.1 1,850.4 384.3 1,466.1 III .............. 1,805.4 1,354.6 348.8 1,005.8 314.5 3.2 110.3 114.9 1,833.1 351.0 1,482.1 IV .............. 1,905.4 1,465.2 445.1 1,020.1 331.7 7.9 105.9 128.2 1,913.6 368.6 1,545.1 2012: I ................ 2,142.5 1,726.7 462.5 1,264.2 408.7 34.5 128.8 149.9 2,162.1 437.2 1,724.9 II ............... 2,169.8 1,740.5 447.7 1,292.8 410.5 39.4 146.5 145.3 2,160.0 429.7 1,730.3 III .............. 2,186.6 1,774.0 507.2 1,266.8 387.8 40.8 131.6 142.5 2,208.5 439.1 1,769.4 IV .............. 2,221.1 1,803.0 492.1 1,310.9 410.1 33.6 144.4 159.0 2,229.5 433.2 1,796.4 2013: I ................ 2,180.0 1,781.5 486.9 1,294.6 389.7 38.3 150.2 148.9 2,193.1 408.2 1,784.8 II ............... 2,248.6 1,845.5 511.9 1,333.6 381.8 47.2 151.1 169.9 2,239.7 418.2 1,821.4 III .............. 2,288.2 1,868.4 521.6 1,346.8 392.4 50.2 154.7 166.0 2,286.6 417.8 1,868.7 IV p ........... ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 1 See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2 Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. 8 Net dividends Inventory Undistrib- valuation adjustment uted profits 434.0 291.7 –9.6 564.1 384.4 –39.5 580.5 660.4 –32.1 726.0 652.1 –35.7 818.9 484.0 –39.5 808.6 264.7 –37.0 568.7 630.0 6.7 563.9 900.3 –41.0 701.6 771.6 –56.0 770.3 984.9 –10.0 902.8 ................ .................. 521.8 925.1 –40.1 542.8 888.4 –20.6 576.0 916.0 –18.1 615.2 871.7 –85.3 668.3 731.0 –120.1 692.9 773.2 –68.2 717.5 764.6 –27.7 727.6 817.5 –8.2 727.4 997.5 –19.5 739.6 990.7 9.8 746.7 1,022.7 –22.0 867.6 928.7 –8.4 763.8 1,021.0 –13.0 1,037.3 784.2 8.9 858.3 1,010.4 1.7 951.9 ................ .................. Note: Data by industry are based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Real Gross Private Domestic Investment In the fourth quarter of 2013, according to advance estimates, nonresidential fixed investment in chained (2009) dollars rose $18.8 billion (annual rate) and residential investment fell $12.7 billion. Inventories rose $127.2 billion, following an increase of $115.7 billion in the third quarter. [Billions of chained (2009) dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed investment Period 2004 ................................................... 2005 ................................................... 2006 ................................................... 2007 ................................................... 2008 ................................................... 2009 ................................................... 2010 ................................................... 2011 ................................................... 2012 ................................................... 2013 p ................................................. 2010: I ............................................... II .............................................. III ............................................. IV ............................................. 2011: I ............................................... II .............................................. III ............................................. IV ............................................. 2012: I ............................................... II .............................................. III ............................................. IV ............................................. 2013: I ............................................... II .............................................. III ............................................. IV p .......................................... Gross private domestic investment 2,511.3 2,672.6 2,730.0 2,644.1 2,396.0 1,878.1 2,120.4 2,224.6 2,436.0 2,567.9 2,012.9 2,116.9 2,185.7 2,166.1 2,124.3 2,196.1 2,209.9 2,368.2 2,427.8 2,418.0 2,456.5 2,441.8 2,470.1 2,524.9 2,627.2 2,649.4 Change in private inventories Nonresidential Total 2,443.9 2,611.0 2,662.5 2,609.6 2,432.6 2,025.7 2,056.2 2,184.6 2,365.3 2,468.0 1,997.9 2,062.8 2,060.8 2,103.1 2,100.7 2,144.4 2,219.8 2,273.4 2,320.8 2,347.9 2,363.5 2,429.1 2,420.0 2,458.4 2,494.0 2,499.6 Total 1,605.4 1,717.4 1,839.6 1,948.4 1,934.4 1,633.4 1,673.8 1,800.5 1,931.8 1,982.1 1,615.0 1,659.3 1,692.8 1,728.1 1,724.1 1,765.3 1,835.0 1,877.3 1,903.8 1,925.0 1,926.4 1,971.9 1,949.0 1,971.3 1,994.7 2,013.5 Note: See p. 10 for further detail on fixed investment by type. Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (2009) dollar estimates for the detailed components do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates. Structures 414.1 421.2 451.5 509.0 540.2 438.2 366.3 374.1 421.6 427.0 359.7 369.8 364.4 371.2 339.8 365.3 388.9 402.2 409.0 416.0 422.0 439.4 407.9 424.8 438.4 437.0 Equipment 731.2 801.6 870.8 898.3 836.1 644.3 746.7 841.7 905.9 932.2 697.7 735.2 766.2 787.8 810.6 819.2 858.0 879.1 896.9 908.5 899.5 918.8 922.5 929.9 930.4 946.1 Intellectual property products 464.9 495.0 517.5 542.4 558.8 550.9 561.3 586.1 605.8 624.5 557.6 554.7 563.0 570.0 575.2 582.0 589.6 597.6 599.6 602.3 606.4 614.9 620.6 618.3 627.0 632.0 Residential 818.9 872.6 806.6 654.8 497.7 392.2 382.4 384.3 433.7 486.0 383.0 403.5 368.1 375.1 376.7 379.2 384.9 396.2 417.2 423.0 437.3 457.5 471.2 487.1 499.2 486.5 Total 71.4 64.3 71.6 35.5 –33.7 –147.6 58.2 33.6 57.6 85.4 9.8 48.8 116.2 58.1 22.0 42.9 –11.0 80.6 89.2 56.8 77.2 7.3 42.2 56.6 115.7 127.2 Nonfarm 62.4 63.9 75.4 36.5 –35.0 –146.0 65.9 39.7 68.7 62.0 12.9 54.6 126.8 69.1 28.7 51.1 –6.6 85.5 92.5 64.7 97.3 20.3 22.2 32.7 89.2 103.8 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). 9 Real Private Fixed Investment by Type [Billions of chained (2009) dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nonresidential Equipment Total fixed investment Period 2004 ............ 2005 ............ 2006 ............ 2007 ............ 2008 ............ 2009 ............ 2010 ............ 2011 ............ 2012 ............ 2013 p .......... 2010: I ........ II ....... III ...... IV ...... 2011: I ........ II ....... III ...... IV ...... 2012: I ........ II ....... III ...... IV ...... 2013: I ........ II ....... III ...... IV p ... Residential Total nonresidential 2,443.9 2,611.0 2,662.5 2,609.6 2,432.6 2,025.7 2,056.2 2,184.6 2,365.3 2,468.0 1,997.9 2,062.8 2,060.8 2,103.1 2,100.7 2,144.4 2,219.8 2,273.4 2,320.8 2,347.9 2,363.5 2,429.1 2,420.0 2,458.4 2,494.0 2,499.6 1,605.4 1,717.4 1,839.6 1,948.4 1,934.4 1,633.4 1,673.8 1,800.5 1,931.8 1,982.1 1,615.0 1,659.3 1,692.8 1,728.1 1,724.1 1,765.3 1,835.0 1,877.3 1,903.8 1,925.0 1,926.4 1,971.9 1,949.0 1,971.3 1,994.7 2,013.5 Information processing equipment Structures 414.1 421.2 451.5 509.0 540.2 438.2 366.3 374.1 421.6 427.0 359.7 369.8 364.4 371.2 339.8 365.3 388.9 402.2 409.0 416.0 422.0 439.4 407.9 424.8 438.4 437.0 Total 2 731.2 801.6 870.8 898.3 836.1 644.3 746.7 841.7 905.9 932.2 697.7 735.2 766.2 787.8 810.6 819.2 858.0 879.1 896.9 908.5 899.5 918.8 922.5 929.9 930.4 946.1 Computers and peripheral equipment 1 Total 204.5 222.2 250.9 279.9 281.0 256.1 281.4 287.9 295.7 304.6 276.0 277.8 282.5 289.5 283.6 289.0 288.6 290.4 300.0 292.0 288.6 302.1 300.0 306.8 308.3 303.4 ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... Structures Intellectual property products Other 160.7 172.6 187.5 207.9 204.2 179.3 196.8 204.3 207.8 217.5 188.5 191.5 199.5 207.7 205.2 205.1 203.8 203.2 208.0 204.1 208.7 210.3 211.8 221.6 222.7 213.9 Industrial Transportation equipequipment ment 169.1 183.6 199.1 205.3 195.5 152.1 151.3 175.0 184.6 190.6 143.0 151.1 152.8 158.3 166.7 166.8 179.0 187.7 180.5 184.9 185.0 187.8 188.0 187.5 194.4 192.5 176.5 197.9 212.6 203.6 156.9 70.6 136.9 181.0 221.0 221.0 109.7 130.9 152.0 155.1 166.0 167.7 185.5 204.6 217.0 229.1 218.8 219.4 215.1 218.5 220.1 230.2 Total 2 Software Research and development 3 207.9 221.2 230.3 244.2 256.2 256.8 254.2 269.8 285.9 299.0 256.0 250.9 253.3 256.7 261.8 266.7 272.2 278.6 279.7 284.0 286.6 293.1 298.6 294.1 300.2 302.9 191.0 202.3 215.0 227.9 235.5 229.0 234.4 241.8 245.7 250.5 232.7 231.5 235.6 237.8 239.0 241.2 242.9 244.1 245.3 244.1 245.7 247.6 247.4 248.8 251.9 254.0 464.9 495.0 517.5 542.4 558.8 550.9 561.3 586.1 605.8 624.5 557.6 554.7 563.0 570.0 575.2 582.0 589.6 597.6 599.6 602.3 606.4 614.9 620.6 618.3 627.0 632.0 Total residential 2 818.9 872.6 806.6 654.8 497.7 392.2 382.4 384.3 433.7 486.0 383.0 403.5 368.1 375.1 376.7 379.2 384.9 396.2 417.2 423.0 437.3 457.5 471.2 487.1 499.2 486.5 Total 2 809.2 862.5 796.3 644.9 488.4 383.9 373.6 375.1 424.2 475.7 374.4 394.6 359.3 366.2 367.7 370.1 375.7 386.8 407.8 413.7 427.7 447.8 461.2 476.9 488.7 476.1 Single family 405.7 433.0 390.7 283.7 178.2 105.3 114.4 109.2 132.1 159.6 115.7 121.7 112.6 107.7 108.2 107.2 109.5 111.7 120.8 126.6 134.6 146.4 155.8 160.5 162.0 160.0 1 Because computers exhibit rapid changes in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the 2 Includes other items, not shown separately. 3 Research and development investment excludes expenditures for software development. chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component’s relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. The quantity index for computers can be Note: Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (2009) dollar estimates used to accurately measure the real growth rate of this series. For information on this component, for the detailed components do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate see Survey of Current Business Table 5.3.1 (for growth rates), Table 5.3.2 (for contributions), and aggregates. Table 5.3.3 (for quantity indexes). Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Business Investment [Billions of dollars] Capital expenditures By industry Period Total capital expenditures Forestry, Total fishing, by and agri- Mining industry cultural services ConUtilities struction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation Informa- Finance and and tion insurwareance housing ProfesReal sional, estate scienand tific, rental and and technical leasing services Health care and social assistance Other 1 For companies without employees For companies with employees 1996 ........ 1997 ........ 1998 ........ 1999 ........ 2000 ........ 2001 ........ 2002 ........ 2003 ........ 2004 ........ 2005 ........ 2006 ........ 2007 ........ 2008 ........ 2009 ........ 2010 ........ 2011 ......... 807.1 ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............... 871.8 ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............. ............... 970.9 896.5 0.9 40.4 36.0 26.9 203.6 29.2 57.3 51.3 96.5 118.2 85.2 22.3 47.1 81.7 74.4 1,047.0 974.6 1.7 30.6 42.8 23.1 196.4 32.4 64.1 57.3 122.8 130.1 100.6 29.5 51.3 91.8 72.3 1,161.0 1,089.9 1.5 42.5 61.3 25.0 214.8 33.6 69.8 59.9 160.2 133.7 92.5 34.1 52.2 108.9 71.2 1,109.0 1,052.3 1.5 51.3 82.8 24.8 192.8 30.0 66.9 57.8 144.8 131.1 82.7 30.5 52.9 102.5 56.7 997.9 917.5 1.9 42.5 65.5 24.8 157.2 26.8 59.3 47.1 88.2 128.4 94.5 25.9 59.3 96.1 80.4 975.0 886.8 1.9 50.5 54.6 23.2 149.1 26.0 65.9 44.5 80.5 120.8 88.0 24.7 61.2 96.2 88.2 1,042.1 953.2 2.1 51.3 50.4 28.6 156.7 32.3 72.2 46.1 83.5 153.6 91.6 26.7 64.6 93.6 88.9 1,144.8 1,062.5 2.7 66.7 58.0 30.1 165.6 40.6 73.5 56.9 91.4 161.4 103.0 33.1 73.8 105.6 82.2 1,309.9 1,217.1 2.7 99.3 69.8 30.3 192.4 36.6 86.7 68.0 104.4 163.1 132.1 30.3 75.3 126.3 92.8 1,354.7 1,270.5 2.1 120.7 85.4 36.7 197.3 30.8 82.5 67.4 106.1 173.4 117.5 31.8 84.2 134.8 84.2 1,374.2 1,294.5 2.3 149.3 98.7 40.8 213.1 32.4 73.2 79.6 103.3 132.9 106.9 33.0 90.2 138.7 79.7 1,090.7 1,015.3 2.2 100.6 103.0 19.8 155.2 25.3 58.4 55.7 88.4 99.5 72.9 28.2 79.4 127.0 75.4 1,105.7 1,036.2 3.3 115.7 94.5 17.9 160.8 31.1 65.3 59.0 97.2 103.1 81.3 28.2 78.4 100.6 69.5 1,225.6 1,152.2 3.1 149.5 98.0 21.8 193.4 35.5 67.4 72.3 99.7 109.6 91.1 28.2 83.2 99.6 73.4 1 Includes the following industries: Management of companies and enterprises; administrative Note: Data from Annual Capital Expenditures. Industry data are based on the North American and support and waste management; educational services; arts, entertainment, and recreation; Industry Classification System (NAICS). accommodation and food services; and other services (except public administration). Also includes Data shown in this table are capital expenditures for both new and used structures and an item for structure and equipment expenditures serving multiple industry categories. equipment. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census). 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force In January, employment as measured by the household survey was 145.2 million and unemployment was 10.2 million. [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 2004 2 .................. 2005 2 .................. 2006 2 .................. 2007 2 .................. 2008 2 .................. 2009 2 .................. 2010 2 .................. 2011 2 .................. 2012 2 .................. 2013 2 .................. 2013: Jan 2 ......... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... 2014: Jan 2 ......... Civilian noninstitutional population (NSA) 223,357 226,082 228,815 231,867 233,788 235,801 237,830 239,618 243,284 245,679 244,663 244,828 244,995 245,175 245,363 245,552 245,756 245,959 246,168 246,381 246,567 246,745 246,915 Civilian employment Civilian labor force Total 147,401 149,320 151,428 153,124 154,287 154,142 153,889 153,617 154,975 155,389 155,699 155,511 155,099 155,359 155,609 155,822 155,693 155,435 155,473 154,625 155,284 154,937 155,460 139,252 141,730 144,427 146,047 145,362 139,877 139,064 139,869 142,469 143,929 143,384 143,464 143,393 143,676 143,919 144,075 144,285 144,179 144,270 143,485 144,443 144,586 145,224 Men 20 years and over 71,572 73,050 74,431 75,337 74,750 71,341 71,230 72,182 73,403 74,176 74,084 74,183 74,190 74,161 74,137 74,265 74,301 74,015 74,151 73,808 74,373 74,467 74,916 Women 20 years and over 61,773 62,702 63,834 64,799 65,039 63,699 63,456 63,360 64,640 65,295 64,790 64,911 64,838 65,148 65,323 65,340 65,514 65,743 65,539 65,229 65,547 65,617 65,909 Percent 1 Unemployment Both sexes 16–19 years 5,907 5,978 6,162 5,911 5,573 4,837 4,378 4,327 4,426 4,458 4,510 4,370 4,365 4,368 4,459 4,470 4,470 4,421 4,580 4,448 4,523 4,502 4,399 1 Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population; and unemployment as percent of civilian labor force. 2 Not strictly comparable with earlier data. Total 8,149 7,591 7,001 7,078 8,924 14,265 14,825 13,747 12,506 11,460 12,315 12,047 11,706 11,683 11,690 11,747 11,408 11,256 11,203 11,140 10,841 10,351 10,236 Men 20 years and over 3,791 3,392 3,131 3,259 4,297 7,555 7,763 6,898 5,984 5,568 5,900 5,714 5,541 5,707 5,729 5,590 5,570 5,595 5,605 5,459 5,328 4,997 4,975 Women 20 years and over 3,150 3,013 2,751 2,718 3,342 5,157 5,534 5,450 5,125 4,565 5,027 4,859 4,791 4,616 4,548 4,760 4,473 4,372 4,359 4,423 4,323 4,214 4,114 Both sexes 16–19 years 1,208 1,186 1,119 1,101 1,285 1,552 1,528 1,400 1,397 1,327 1,388 1,474 1,374 1,360 1,413 1,398 1,365 1,289 1,239 1,258 1,190 1,140 1,147 Not in labor force 75,956 76,762 77,387 78,743 79,501 81,659 83,941 86,001 88,310 90,290 88,963 89,317 89,896 89,815 89,754 89,730 90,062 90,524 90,695 91,756 91,283 91,808 91,455 Labor force participation rate 66.0 66.0 66.2 66.0 66.0 65.4 64.7 64.1 63.7 63.2 63.6 63.5 63.3 63.4 63.4 63.5 63.4 63.2 63.2 62.8 63.0 62.8 63.0 Employment/ population ratio Unemployment rate 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.0 62.2 59.3 58.5 58.4 58.6 58.6 58.6 58.6 58.5 58.6 58.7 58.7 58.7 58.6 58.6 58.2 58.6 58.6 58.8 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6 5.8 9.3 9.6 8.9 8.1 7.4 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.6 Note: Beginning January 2014, data reflect revised population controls and are not strictly comparable with earlier data. See Employment and Earnings for details on breaks in series. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). 11 Selected Unemployment Rates In January, the unemployment rate fell to 6.6 percent. [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) By race or ethnicity 1 By sex and age Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... 2014: Jan ........... All civilian workers 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6 5.8 9.3 9.6 8.9 8.1 7.4 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.6 Men 20 years and over 5.0 4.4 4.0 4.1 5.4 9.6 9.8 8.7 7.5 7.0 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.2 Women 20 years and over 4.9 4.6 4.1 4.0 4.9 7.5 8.0 7.9 7.3 6.5 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.9 Both sexes 16–19 years 17.0 16.6 15.4 15.7 18.7 24.3 25.9 24.4 24.0 22.9 23.5 25.2 23.9 23.7 24.1 23.8 23.4 22.6 21.3 22.0 20.8 20.2 20.7 White 4.8 4.4 4.0 4.1 5.2 8.5 8.7 7.9 7.2 6.5 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.7 1 Beginning in 2003, persons who selected this race group only. Prior to 2003, persons who reported more than one race were included in the group they identified as the main race. Persons whose ethnicity is identified as Hispanic or Latino may be of any race. 12 Black or African American 10.4 10.0 8.9 8.3 10.1 14.8 16.0 15.8 13.8 13.1 13.8 13.8 13.2 13.1 13.5 13.5 12.6 12.9 13.0 13.0 12.4 11.9 12.1 By selected groups Hispanic or Latino ethnicity Asian (NSA) 4.4 4.0 3.0 3.2 4.0 7.3 7.5 7.0 5.9 5.2 6.5 6.1 5.0 5.1 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.3 4.1 4.8 7.0 6.0 5.2 5.6 7.6 12.1 12.5 11.5 10.3 9.1 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.5 9.3 8.9 9.0 8.7 8.3 8.4 Married men, spouse present Women who maintain families (NSA) 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.5 3.4 6.6 6.8 5.8 4.9 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.8 Note: Data relate to persons age 16 years and over. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). 8.0 7.8 7.1 6.5 8.0 11.5 12.3 12.4 11.4 10.2 11.3 11.0 10.7 10.3 9.9 10.7 10.5 11.0 8.8 9.5 9.7 8.7 9.1 Full-time workers 5.6 5.0 4.5 4.6 5.8 10.0 10.4 9.6 8.5 7.7 8.4 8.1 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.3 6.8 6.9 Part-time workers 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.9 5.5 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.1 6.2 5.8 6.0 5.9 6.1 6.2 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.6 5.9 5.1 Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs In January, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for 5-14 weeks and 27 weeks and over weeks fell, while the percentages for less than 5 weeks and 15-26 weeks rose. The mean duration of unemployment fell to 35.4 weeks and the median duration fell to 16.0 weeks. [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Duration of unemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) Percent distribution Less than 5 weeks 5–14 weeks 15–26 weeks Reason for unemployment: percent distribution Number of weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) 1 Median Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants State programs Insured unemployment (NSA) Initial claims (NSA) Insured unemployment, all programs (NSA) 2 Weekly average, thousands 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... 2014: Jan ........... 8,149 7,591 7,001 7,078 8,924 14,265 14,825 13,747 12,506 11,460 12,315 12,047 11,706 11,683 11,690 11,747 11,408 11,256 11,203 11,140 10,841 10,351 10,236 33.1 35.1 37.3 35.9 32.8 22.2 18.7 19.5 21.1 22.5 22.2 22.4 21.4 21.4 23.2 22.7 22.3 22.5 23.0 24.8 22.6 21.9 23.9 29.2 30.4 30.3 31.5 31.4 26.8 22.0 21.8 22.9 24.1 24.8 23.3 24.3 24.4 22.7 24.3 24.8 24.4 24.0 23.4 23.9 24.4 23.8 15.9 14.9 14.7 15.0 16.0 19.5 16.0 15.0 14.9 15.8 15.0 14.5 15.2 16.9 16.6 16.1 15.7 15.2 16.1 15.8 16.1 16.0 16.6 21.8 19.6 17.6 17.6 19.7 31.5 43.3 43.8 41.1 37.6 37.9 39.7 39.1 37.4 37.4 36.9 37.2 38.0 36.9 36.0 37.4 37.7 35.8 19.6 18.4 16.8 16.8 17.9 24.4 33.0 39.3 39.4 36.5 35.4 36.9 37.0 36.6 36.9 35.7 36.7 37.0 36.8 36.0 37.1 37.1 35.4 1 Beginning January 2011, includes unemployment durations of up to 5 years; prior data are for up to 2 years. 2 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands), Federal (UCFE), ex-service members (UCX), and Federal and State extended benefit programs. Also includes Temporary Extended Unemployment Compensation (2002-2004), Emergency Unemployment Compensation (2008-2013), and Federal Additional Compensation (2009-2010). 9.8 8.9 8.3 8.5 9.4 15.1 21.4 21.4 19.3 17.0 16.0 17.7 18.1 17.3 16.9 16.2 15.8 16.5 16.4 16.5 17.0 17.1 16.0 51.5 48.3 47.4 49.7 53.7 64.2 62.4 59.0 55.0 53.0 53.6 53.9 53.6 54.8 52.4 52.4 52.0 52.6 52.0 54.4 52.8 51.3 52.3 10.5 11.5 11.8 11.2 10.0 6.2 6.0 7.0 7.7 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.3 7.4 8.1 8.9 8.5 8.0 8.8 7.4 8.2 8.2 7.9 29.5 31.4 32.0 30.3 27.7 22.3 23.4 24.7 26.7 28.0 28.3 27.6 27.0 26.9 28.6 27.9 28.5 27.9 28.4 27.4 28.2 29.0 28.4 8.4 2,950 345 3,103 8.8 2,661 328 2,709 8.8 2,476 313 2,521 8.9 2,572 324 2,612 8.6 3,306 424 3,899 7.3 5,724 568 9,123 8.2 4,487 454 9,732 9.3 3,679 406 7,630 10.5 3,297 374 6,048 p 2,948 p 343 p 4,606 10.9 r 4,007 r 6,201 10.2 520 r 3,572 r 5,512 10.6 341 r 3,655 r 5,682 11.1 333 r 10.9 3,413 361 5,452 r 10.8 2,933 346 4,829 r 2,955 r 4,816 10.8 341 r 3,358 r 5,183 11.0 391 11.6 2,878 305 4,446 r 2,811 r 269 r 4,423 10.9 10.7 2,609 378 4,141 10.8 2,550 358 3,953 p p p 11.5 3,461 496 5,115 11.4 ................ ................ .................. Note: Data relate to persons age 16 years and over (except for insured unemployment and initial claims). Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 Nonagricultural Employment Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose by 113,000 in January. [Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 monthly data seasonally adjusted] Private industries Period 2004 r .................. 2005 r .................. 2006 r .................. 2007 r .................. 2008 r .................. 2009 r .................. 2010 r .................. 2011 r .................. 2012 r .................. 2013 r .................. 2013: Jan r ......... Feb r ......... Mar r ........ Apr r ......... May r ........ June r ....... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec r ......... 2014: Jan p ......... Total nonagricultural employment 131,749 134,005 136,398 137,936 137,170 131,233 130,275 131,842 134,104 136,368 135,261 135,541 135,682 135,885 136,084 136,285 136,434 136,636 136,800 137,037 137,311 137,386 137,499 Goods-producing industries Total private 110,128 112,201 114,424 115,718 114,661 108,678 107,785 109,756 112,184 114,503 113,395 113,658 113,822 114,010 114,232 114,433 114,603 114,783 114,936 115,183 115,455 115,544 115,686 Total 2 21,882 22,190 22,530 22,233 21,335 18,558 17,751 18,047 18,420 18,700 18,579 18,651 18,680 18,669 18,671 18,684 18,679 18,696 18,718 18,756 18,824 18,811 18,887 Construc- Manufaction turing 6,976 7,336 7,691 7,630 7,162 6,016 5,518 5,533 5,646 5,827 5,743 5,789 5,813 5,811 5,816 5,829 5,830 5,836 5,849 5,864 5,896 5,874 5,922 14,315 14,227 14,155 13,879 13,406 11,847 11,528 11,726 11,927 12,005 11,982 12,004 12,007 12,001 11,994 11,991 11,982 11,990 11,993 12,011 12,046 12,054 12,075 Private service-providing industries Total Trade, transportation, and utilities Total 3 88,246 90,010 91,894 93,485 93,326 90,121 90,034 91,708 93,763 95,804 94,816 95,007 95,142 95,341 95,561 95,749 95,924 96,087 96,218 96,427 96,631 96,733 96,799 25,533 25,959 26,276 26,630 26,293 24,906 24,636 25,065 25,476 25,871 25,691 25,691 25,683 25,718 25,760 25,811 25,862 25,911 25,973 26,017 26,090 26,172 26,182 1 Data from the establishment survey. Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who received pay for any part of the pay period that includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, unpaid family workers, and private household workers. Data from the household survey shown on p. 11 include those workers and also count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off. In the series shown here, persons who work at more than one job are counted each time they appear on a payroll, in contrast to the series shown on p. 11 where persons are counted only once—as employed, unemployed, or not in the labor force. See Employment and Earnings for details. 14 Retail trade 15,058 15,280 15,353 15,520 15,283 14,522 14,440 14,668 14,841 15,077 14,944 14,953 14,944 14,967 15,002 15,040 15,089 15,118 15,146 15,187 15,210 15,272 15,260 Information Financial activities 3,118 3,061 3,038 3,032 2,984 2,804 2,707 2,674 2,676 2,685 2,673 2,692 2,694 2,688 2,686 2,685 2,697 2,669 2,682 2,688 2,689 2,679 2,679 8,105 8,197 8,367 8,348 8,206 7,838 7,695 7,697 7,784 7,880 7,835 7,847 7,853 7,863 7,872 7,885 7,901 7,897 7,896 7,903 7,899 7,902 7,900 Profes- Education Leisure sional and and and health hospitalbusiness services ity services 16,394 16,954 17,566 17,942 17,735 16,579 16,728 17,332 17,932 18,560 18,210 18,295 18,362 18,434 18,511 18,570 18,621 18,663 18,700 18,753 18,826 18,830 18,866 17,192 17,630 18,099 18,613 19,156 19,550 19,889 20,228 20,698 21,102 20,921 20,948 20,989 21,040 21,069 21,084 21,108 21,172 21,181 21,212 21,237 21,233 21,227 12,493 12,816 13,110 13,427 13,436 13,077 13,049 13,353 13,768 14,242 14,028 14,078 14,112 14,145 14,198 14,249 14,272 14,306 14,315 14,380 14,417 14,437 14,461 Other services 5,409 5,395 5,438 5,494 5,515 5,367 5,331 5,360 5,430 5,464 5,458 5,456 5,449 5,453 5,465 5,465 5,463 5,469 5,471 5,474 5,473 5,480 5,484 Government 21,621 21,804 21,974 22,218 22,509 22,555 22,490 22,086 21,920 21,864 21,866 21,883 21,860 21,875 21,852 21,852 21,831 21,853 21,864 21,854 21,856 21,842 21,813 2 Includes mining and logging, not shown separately. 3 Includes wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, and utilities, not shown separately. Note: Data classified by industry based on the 2012 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). For details see Employment and Earnings. Data reflect annual revisions released February 7, 2014. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings— Private Nonagricultural Industries [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Average weekly hours Total private nonagricultural 1 Period 2004 r .................. 2005 r .................. 2006 r .................. 2007 r .................. 2008 r .................. 2009 r .................. 2010 r .................. 2011 r .................. 2012 r .................. 2013 r .................. 2012: Dec r ......... 2013: Jan r ......... Feb r ......... Mar r ........ Apr r ......... May r ........ June r ....... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec r ......... 2014: Jan p ......... 33.7 33.8 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.1 33.4 33.6 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.6 33.8 33.8 33.7 33.7 33.7 33.5 33.7 33.6 33.6 33.7 33.5 33.5 Average gross hourly earnings Total private nonagricultural 1 Manufacturing Total Overtime 40.8 40.7 41.1 41.2 40.8 39.8 41.1 41.4 41.7 41.9 41.7 41.6 41.9 41.9 41.8 41.8 41.9 41.7 41.9 41.9 41.9 42.0 41.9 41.7 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.2 3.7 2.9 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.3 Current dollars Average gross weekly earnings Total private nonagricultural 1 Manufacturing 1982-84 dollars 2 $15.69 $8.50 16.12 8.44 16.75 8.50 17.42 8.59 18.07 8.56 18.61 8.88 19.05 8.90 19.44 8.77 19.74 8.73 20.13 8.78 19.89 8.74 19.95 8.77 20.00 8.72 20.02 8.75 20.04 8.80 20.06 8.80 20.12 8.77 20.15 8.77 20.17 8.77 20.21 8.77 20.25 8.80 20.30 8.82 20.33 8.80 20.39 .................. Current dollars $16.14 16.56 16.81 17.26 17.75 18.24 18.61 18.93 19.08 19.30 19.14 19.15 19.22 19.22 19.21 19.25 19.28 19.27 19.33 19.35 19.37 19.42 19.46 19.47 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. 2 Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and cleri- cal workers (CPI–W) (on a 1982-84=100 base). Percent change from a year earlier, total private nonagricultural Current dollars 1982-84 dollars 2 $528.89 $286.66 544.05 284.84 567.39 287.87 589.27 290.61 607.53 287.86 616.01 293.86 636.25 297.36 653.19 294.79 665.82 294.31 677.67 295.51 670.29 294.48 670.32 294.60 676.00 294.70 676.68 295.74 675.35 296.61 676.02 296.44 678.04 295.64 675.03 293.78 679.73 295.57 679.06 294.75 680.40 295.66 684.11 297.30 681.06 294.96 683.07 .................. Manufacturing Construction $658.52 673.30 690.88 711.53 724.46 726.12 765.15 784.29 794.63 807.67 798.14 796.64 805.32 805.32 802.98 804.65 807.83 803.56 809.93 810.77 811.60 815.64 815.37 811.90 $735.55 750.37 781.59 816.23 842.61 851.76 891.83 921.84 942.14 958.47 955.15 949.88 957.13 960.74 959.90 966.78 959.51 957.48 959.55 958.36 956.69 962.33 948.48 946.83 Retail trade Current dollars $371.13 377.58 383.12 385.00 386.21 388.57 400.07 412.09 422.10 422.97 421.65 417.30 422.08 424.99 419.59 422.86 423.10 420.60 426.82 424.41 424.41 424.80 423.90 421.44 1982-84 dollars 2 2.1 –0.5 2.9 –.6 4.3 1.1 3.9 1.0 3.1 –.9 1.4 2.1 3.3 1.2 2.7 –.9 1.9 –.2 1.8 .4 1.6 –.1 1.3 –.2 2.3 .4 2.2 .8 1.7 .8 2.2 .9 2.0 .3 1.4 –.6 2.4 1.0 2.2 1.1 2.3 1.5 2.3 1.2 1.6 .2 1.9 .................... Note: See Note, p. 14. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Employment Cost Index—Private Industry Index (December 2005 = 100) Period Total compensation Wages and salaries Percent change from 3 months earlier Benefits 1 Total compensation 12 months earlier Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Total compensation Wages and salaries Benefits 1 Not seasonally adjusted 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... 97.2 100.0 103.2 106.3 108.9 110.2 112.5 115.0 117.1 119.4 97.6 100.0 103.2 106.6 109.4 110.8 112.8 114.6 116.6 119.0 96.2 100.0 103.1 105.6 107.7 108.7 111.9 115.9 118.2 120.5 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 3.8 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.4 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.8 2.0 Seasonally adjusted 2010: Mar ......................................... June ........................................ Sept ........................................ Dec .......................................... 2011: Mar ......................................... June ........................................ Sept ........................................ Dec .......................................... 2012: Mar ......................................... June ........................................ Sept ........................................ Dec .......................................... 2013: Mar ......................................... June ........................................ Sept ........................................ Dec .......................................... 111.1 111.6 112.1 112.7 113.3 114.2 114.6 115.1 115.7 116.3 116.8 117.3 117.8 118.5 119.0 119.6 111.4 111.9 112.3 112.8 113.2 113.8 114.2 114.7 115.3 115.8 116.3 116.7 117.3 118.0 118.4 119.1 110.3 110.9 111.7 112.2 113.6 115.2 115.4 116.2 116.7 117.4 117.9 118.6 119.1 119.6 120.3 120.9 1 Employer costs for employee benefits. 2.6 2.5 3.2 3.3 2.6 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.1 6.7 4.0 3.1 2.4 2.0 0.9 2.9 3.6 2.0 1.9 Not seasonally adjusted 0.6 .5 .4 .5 .5 .8 .4 .4 .5 .5 .4 .4 .4 .6 .4 .5 0.5 .4 .4 .4 .4 .5 .4 .4 .5 .4 .4 .3 .5 .6 .3 .6 1.2 .5 .7 .4 1.2 1.4 .2 .7 .4 .6 .4 .6 .4 .4 .6 .5 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.0 4.0 3.3 3.6 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Note: The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost of labor, free from the influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries. Data exclude farm and household workers. 15 Productivity and Related Data, Business and Nonfarm Business Sectors Output per hour of all persons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Hours of all persons 2 Output 1 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Compensation per hour 3 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real compensation per hour 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labor costs Implicit price deflator 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector 93.4 94.8 97.5 100.4 102.2 100.0 98.8 100.8 102.0 102.7 100.2 100.7 99.8 99.2 98.2 99.0 98.9 99.0 101.4 100.8 101.5 99.5 101.3 101.4 101.1 104.0 102.7 103.2 102.7 102.3 93.3 94.7 97.5 100.1 102.0 100.0 98.8 100.8 102.0 103.0 100.2 100.6 99.9 99.3 98.2 99.1 99.0 99.0 101.5 100.7 101.5 99.6 101.3 101.5 101.1 103.9 103.0 103.5 103.0 102.6 90.7 93.5 96.1 98.2 99.7 100.0 101.1 103.3 105.1 106.7 100.3 99.9 99.8 100.1 100.5 100.9 101.3 101.9 102.4 103.0 103.8 103.9 104.4 104.9 105.5 105.8 106.3 106.4 106.9 107.1 90.3 93.4 96.0 97.9 99.4 100.0 101.0 102.7 104.6 105.9 100.3 99.9 99.9 100.0 100.4 100.8 101.2 101.6 101.9 102.5 103.2 103.4 103.8 104.4 105.0 105.2 105.4 105.6 106.2 106.5 1.4 1.5 2.9 2.9 1.8 –2.2 –1.2 2.0 1.2 .8 –12.2 1.7 –3.3 –2.4 –4.2 3.2 –.1 .1 10.0 –2.3 2.8 –7.6 7.4 .6 –1.3 12.2 –4.9 1.9 –2.1 –1.3 1.4 1.5 3.0 2.6 2.0 –2.0 –1.2 2.0 1.2 1.0 –12.3 1.9 –2.9 –2.2 –4.4 3.5 –.1 –.1 10.2 –2.9 3.0 –7.3 7.4 .7 –1.8 11.8 –3.5 2.0 –2.0 –1.6 2.3 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.5 .3 1.1 2.1 1.8 1.5 .8 –1.6 –.4 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.6 2.7 2.9 .7 1.6 2.0 2.5 1.2 1.8 .3 2.1 .6 2.1 3.4 2.8 2.0 1.5 .6 1.0 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.4 –1.6 –.1 .5 1.6 1.6 1.5 2.0 .9 2.4 2.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.2 .8 .7 .8 2.4 1.1 Indexes, 2009=100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2009: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III r ............ IV p * ........ 91.8 93.7 94.6 96.0 96.8 100.0 103.3 103.6 105.1 106.2 97.5 99.4 101.0 102.2 102.5 102.9 103.6 104.0 103.1 103.6 103.5 104.4 104.7 105.0 105.6 105.1 105.2 105.7 106.6 107.3 91.9 93.8 94.6 96.2 96.9 100.0 103.3 103.8 105.3 105.9 97.6 99.5 100.9 102.1 102.6 102.9 103.5 104.1 103.2 103.7 103.7 104.5 104.8 105.2 105.8 105.4 104.9 105.4 106.3 107.1 96.5 100.2 103.3 105.5 104.3 100.0 103.1 105.6 109.5 112.2 99.7 99.5 99.8 101.0 101.5 102.7 103.7 104.7 104.2 105.2 105.7 107.3 108.6 109.1 110.0 110.1 110.5 111.4 112.9 114.1 96.6 100.3 103.5 105.8 104.5 100.0 103.2 105.7 109.7 112.1 99.8 99.5 99.7 101.0 101.5 102.7 103.7 104.8 104.2 105.4 105.9 107.4 108.7 109.2 110.3 110.5 110.4 111.3 112.8 114.1 105.2 106.9 109.2 109.9 107.7 100.0 99.9 101.9 104.1 105.7 102.3 100.1 98.8 98.8 98.9 99.8 100.2 100.7 101.0 101.6 102.1 102.9 103.7 103.8 104.2 104.7 105.0 105.4 105.9 106.4 105.2 106.9 109.3 110.0 107.8 100.0 99.9 101.9 104.1 105.9 102.3 100.0 98.8 98.9 98.9 99.7 100.2 100.7 101.0 101.7 102.1 102.8 103.7 103.8 104.2 104.8 105.2 105.6 106.1 106.5 85.7 88.8 92.3 96.4 99.0 100.0 102.0 104.4 107.2 109.1 97.7 100.1 100.8 101.4 100.7 101.9 102.5 102.9 104.5 104.4 105.0 103.8 106.0 106.5 106.7 109.4 108.1 109.1 109.4 109.8 85.7 88.8 92.3 96.3 98.9 100.0 102.1 104.6 107.4 109.1 97.7 100.1 100.8 101.4 100.7 102.0 102.5 103.1 104.7 104.4 105.2 104.0 106.3 106.8 106.9 109.5 108.0 109.1 109.5 109.9 97.3 97.6 98.2 99.7 98.6 100.0 100.3 99.6 100.1 100.4 98.7 100.6 100.5 100.3 99.3 100.6 100.8 100.5 101.0 99.7 99.6 98.1 99.6 99.9 99.5 101.4 99.9 100.8 100.5 100.6 97.3 97.6 98.2 99.6 98.5 100.0 100.4 99.7 100.3 100.5 98.7 100.6 100.4 100.2 99.4 100.7 100.9 100.6 101.2 99.8 99.8 98.3 99.8 100.1 99.7 101.5 99.8 100.8 100.5 100.7 Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2009: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2010: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III r ............ IV p * ........ 3.2 2.1 1.0 1.5 .8 3.3 3.3 .4 1.4 1.0 3.1 8.2 6.5 4.8 1.3 1.5 2.6 1.7 –3.3 1.6 –.1 3.3 1.3 1.3 2.1 –1.9 .4 2.0 3.4 2.6 3.1 2.1 .9 1.6 .8 3.2 3.3 .5 1.5 .6 3.2 8.2 5.9 4.7 1.9 1.5 2.4 2.1 –3.2 1.9 .0 2.9 1.5 1.2 2.5 –1.7 –1.7 1.8 3.6 3.2 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.1 –1.2 –4.1 3.1 2.4 3.6 2.5 –7.2 –1.0 1.4 4.8 1.8 5.0 4.2 3.7 –1.9 4.1 1.8 6.4 4.9 1.6 3.6 .2 1.4 3.4 5.6 4.4 4.5 3.8 3.2 2.3 –1.3 –4.3 3.2 2.5 3.7 2.3 –7.3 –1.0 .9 5.0 2.0 4.7 4.2 4.2 –2.1 4.7 1.7 5.9 5.0 1.6 4.2 .7 –.3 3.3 5.4 4.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 .6 –2.0 –7.1 –.1 2.0 2.2 1.5 –10.0 –8.5 –4.8 .0 .5 3.4 1.6 2.0 1.4 2.4 1.9 2.9 3.5 .3 1.4 2.1 1.0 1.3 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.7 2.2 .7 –2.0 –7.2 –.1 2.0 2.2 1.6 –10.2 –8.5 –4.7 .3 .2 3.2 1.8 2.0 1.2 2.8 1.7 2.9 3.4 .4 1.6 2.4 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.7 1 Output refers to real gross domestic product originating in the sector. 2 Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the self-employed. 4 Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI–U) for recent quarters. The trend from 1978–2012 is based on the consumer price index research series (CPI–U–RS). 5 Current dollar gross domestic output divided by the output index. 16 4.7 3.6 3.9 4.4 2.7 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.6 1.8 –9.4 10.1 3.1 2.3 –2.9 4.7 2.5 1.8 6.3 –.7 2.6 –4.5 8.8 1.9 .8 10.2 –4.6 3.9 1.2 1.3 4.5 3.6 3.9 4.3 2.7 1.1 2.1 2.5 2.6 1.6 –9.5 10.2 2.8 2.4 –2.6 5.0 2.3 2.0 6.6 –1.1 3.0 –4.6 9.0 1.9 .7 9.9 –5.2 3.8 1.6 1.5 1.9 .3 .6 1.6 –1.1 1.4 .3 –.7 .5 .3 –7.0 8.0 –.5 –.8 –3.6 5.0 1.1 –1.2 1.8 –5.1 –.3 –5.9 6.3 .9 –1.2 7.8 –6.0 4.0 –1.4 .4 1.8 .3 .6 1.4 –1.1 1.5 .4 –.7 .5 .2 –7.1 8.2 –.8 –.8 –3.3 5.3 .9 –1.0 2.1 –5.4 .0 –5.9 6.5 .9 –1.3 7.5 –6.6 3.9 –1.0 .6 Note: Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. * Data based on GDP data released on January 30, 2014. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production and capacity utilization rose in December. [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production 1 Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ Industry production indexes, 2007=100 Percent change 2 Index, 2007=100 92.5 95.5 97.6 100.0 96.6 85.7 90.6 93.6 97.0 99.6 98.2 98.2 98.8 99.1 98.8 99.0 99.2 99.0 99.5 100.1 100.4 101.5 101.8 From preceding month ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... ...................... 0.0 .0 .7 .3 –.3 .2 .2 –.2 .5 .6 .3 1.0 .3 Capacity utilization rate (output as percent of capacity) 1 Manufacturing From year earlier 2.3 3.2 2.2 2.5 –3.4 –11.3 5.7 3.4 3.6 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.2 3.1 2.0 1.9 2.1 1.5 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.7 Total 1 Durable 91.4 95.0 97.4 100.0 95.3 82.4 87.4 90.3 93.9 96.1 95.3 95.2 95.7 95.5 95.2 95.5 95.8 95.3 96.0 96.2 96.8 97.3 97.8 1 Total industry and total manufacturing series include manufacturing as defined in the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) plus those industries—logging and newspaper, periodical, book and directory-publishing—that have traditionally been included in manufacturing. 2 Percent changes based on unrounded indexes. 86.2 91.2 95.4 100.0 96.6 78.6 87.3 93.2 99.9 103.7 102.0 101.7 102.9 102.7 102.5 102.7 103.2 102.6 103.9 104.4 105.3 106.1 106.2 Nondurable 95.9 98.3 98.8 100.0 94.1 86.9 88.7 88.9 90.0 91.0 91.1 91.2 91.2 91.0 90.5 90.9 91.1 90.7 90.7 90.6 91.0 91.5 92.3 Other (non-NAICS) 1 107.7 107.3 106.1 100.0 93.5 80.7 76.4 74.8 72.1 68.2 69.3 68.9 68.2 67.4 67.5 67.7 67.0 67.9 68.6 69.7 68.3 67.5 67.9 Mining 98.2 97.0 99.3 100.0 101.2 95.7 100.7 106.8 113.6 119.2 115.9 115.0 116.1 115.8 116.8 117.6 118.9 120.7 121.2 122.3 120.5 122.7 123.6 Utilities 95.3 97.3 96.7 100.0 99.9 97.5 101.0 100.8 98.7 100.4 95.6 97.9 98.9 103.8 102.1 100.3 98.3 98.2 97.2 100.4 101.4 104.4 102.9 Total industry 77.9 79.8 80.2 80.5 77.5 68.7 74.0 76.5 77.6 78.2 77.8 77.7 78.1 78.2 77.9 77.9 77.9 77.7 78.0 78.3 78.4 79.1 79.2 Total manufacturing 76.2 78.1 78.4 78.6 74.5 65.7 71.3 74.0 75.8 76.3 76.4 76.2 76.5 76.3 75.9 76.1 76.2 75.7 76.2 76.2 76.6 76.9 77.2 Note: Data based on NAICS except series as defined in footnote 1. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 Industrial Production— Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures [2007=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Products and nonindustrial supplies Materials Final products Consumer goods Period Total 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ Nonindustrial supplies Total 91.7 95.4 97.9 100.0 96.4 86.6 89.6 91.8 94.9 97.2 96.0 95.7 96.7 97.2 96.8 96.6 97.0 96.1 96.7 97.7 98.0 98.7 98.9 96.4 99.0 99.5 100.0 95.1 88.6 89.6 90.9 92.4 94.5 93.1 93.3 94.1 94.8 94.2 93.9 94.3 93.2 93.7 94.6 94.9 96.0 96.5 Durable goods 97.0 98.0 98.3 100.0 88.8 74.0 79.4 83.3 90.3 96.9 93.9 93.3 94.9 95.6 95.4 95.6 96.9 94.7 97.2 97.7 98.2 100.2 101.3 Equipment Nondurable goods 96.1 99.3 99.9 100.0 97.2 93.4 92.9 93.5 93.3 94.2 93.3 93.7 94.2 95.0 94.3 93.8 93.9 93.2 93.1 94.1 94.4 95.2 95.6 Total 1 81.3 87.3 94.3 100.0 99.3 82.2 89.6 93.7 100.7 103.6 102.6 101.4 102.9 102.9 102.9 102.7 103.5 102.8 103.9 105.0 105.2 105.0 104.6 Business 82.1 87.7 95.8 100.0 97.7 80.1 86.7 91.6 99.2 102.9 101.7 100.5 102.3 102.4 102.3 102.2 102.9 102.1 102.9 104.1 104.4 104.1 103.5 Defense and space Total 77.2 84.9 84.0 100.0 107.0 102.4 110.1 106.1 111.9 114.3 114.1 112.7 112.7 112.6 112.6 112.6 113.7 112.7 115.1 116.4 117.1 116.7 116.7 94.8 98.3 99.8 100.0 94.3 80.7 82.9 84.3 86.4 88.7 87.1 87.5 88.3 88.3 87.9 88.0 88.1 88.3 88.5 89.2 89.5 90.0 90.3 Construction Business 94.2 98.7 101.1 100.0 90.7 69.9 72.5 74.6 78.5 82.0 80.1 80.9 82.8 81.9 81.0 80.6 81.1 81.5 81.6 82.5 82.9 83.3 83.7 95.1 98.2 99.2 100.0 96.0 86.0 88.1 89.0 90.3 91.9 90.4 90.7 90.9 91.4 91.2 91.6 91.5 91.6 91.8 92.4 92.7 93.3 93.5 Total 1 92.4 94.6 96.5 100.0 97.6 86.6 94.2 98.7 102.8 105.7 104.1 104.2 104.5 104.6 104.5 105.0 105.0 105.5 106.0 106.2 106.5 108.0 108.4 Energy 97.9 96.9 98.0 100.0 100.9 98.4 102.5 106.4 110.9 115.4 111.6 111.7 112.7 113.9 114.1 114.5 114.7 116.1 116.2 117.3 116.3 119.1 119.2 1 Includes other items, not shown separately. [2007=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Computer and electronic products Primary metals Period Total 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ 97.7 95.2 98.0 100.0 100.0 74.0 91.1 97.4 99.4 98.7 99.1 100.2 99.4 97.3 97.6 98.1 95.6 99.1 98.0 97.8 101.3 99.8 101.2 Iron and steel products 101.7 94.3 98.4 100.0 106.4 68.5 89.4 97.5 101.1 100.5 99.4 101.8 99.5 96.5 98.2 98.5 96.7 103.9 100.0 99.5 105.7 103.3 104.1 Fabricated metal products 86.9 90.9 95.9 100.0 96.4 74.2 79.0 85.3 91.4 95.3 92.9 93.6 95.5 94.8 94.4 94.0 94.5 94.5 95.2 95.6 96.3 97.6 97.1 Machinery Total 86.3 91.6 95.9 100.0 97.3 75.7 84.6 95.6 102.2 103.7 101.5 101.4 104.3 104.0 103.4 102.4 104.1 102.7 104.1 104.8 105.3 105.6 103.6 68.3 76.9 87.4 100.0 108.1 97.0 111.6 122.5 130.2 136.1 133.5 133.2 133.0 133.1 134.5 135.9 135.4 135.9 137.2 137.2 138.7 138.7 139.3 1 Computers and peripheral equipment, communications equipment, and semiconductors and related electronic components. 18 Nondurable manufactures Selected high-technology 1 60.6 71.1 84.9 100.0 115.6 103.1 128.2 147.4 153.0 160.2 153.5 154.5 153.3 154.1 157.4 159.3 159.8 161.8 162.4 160.5 163.1 165.8 168.7 Transportation equipment Total 89.3 93.0 94.2 100.0 89.6 73.4 85.0 89.0 100.3 105.6 103.9 102.4 103.5 104.3 104.5 104.8 105.6 102.3 105.7 106.9 106.8 108.7 109.6 Motor vehicles and parts 101.7 102.3 100.8 100.0 80.0 58.6 77.8 84.8 99.6 106.9 105.3 102.6 104.0 105.4 105.0 105.7 107.0 101.4 106.9 108.7 107.2 111.1 112.9 Apparel Printing and support 134.5 128.8 125.2 100.0 77.7 55.7 54.3 51.0 49.2 51.0 48.7 50.6 51.0 49.6 47.7 49.5 50.5 49.9 50.5 52.2 51.9 53.3 54.3 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 98.5 98.6 97.8 100.0 93.8 78.8 78.8 78.0 76.9 76.5 76.4 76.4 75.8 76.6 76.2 76.7 76.6 76.0 76.2 75.2 77.0 76.5 78.0 Chemical 90.0 92.9 95.2 100.0 92.5 83.5 86.3 86.3 86.4 87.5 88.3 87.5 86.6 86.7 87.3 87.8 87.7 87.4 87.3 86.8 87.3 88.2 89.0 Food 95.6 98.6 99.5 100.0 98.7 98.2 98.6 98.5 102.1 103.2 102.9 103.2 103.2 102.8 103.4 102.8 103.2 103.7 103.4 102.0 103.0 103.5 105.4 New Construction [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Private Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr .......... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ Total new construction expenditures 991.4 1,104.1 1,167.2 1,152.4 1,067.6 903.2 804.6 788.0 857.0 898.4 883.6 863.1 869.9 869.2 878.4 896.1 897.1 902.9 903.8 916.5 922.9 929.9 930.5 Residential Total New housing Total 1 771.2 870.0 911.8 863.3 758.8 588.3 500.6 501.6 577.9 627.2 615.0 597.4 601.6 604.0 614.6 627.0 624.2 627.0 626.4 644.7 646.3 657.1 663.9 Federal and State and local Nonresidential 532.9 611.9 613.7 493.2 350.3 245.9 238.8 244.1 280.3 330.7 298.2 314.0 317.4 318.7 323.0 331.3 335.0 324.1 323.2 340.6 340.2 343.8 352.6 Total 417.5 480.8 468.8 354.1 230.1 133.9 127.3 123.2 154.2 200.8 177.4 182.0 190.2 193.5 196.3 198.9 199.8 199.8 203.9 206.2 207.2 211.2 217.4 Lodging 238.3 258.1 298.1 370.0 408.6 342.4 261.8 257.5 297.7 296.5 316.8 283.4 284.2 285.3 291.6 295.7 289.2 302.9 303.2 304.1 306.1 313.4 311.3 1 Includes residential improvements, not shown separately. 2 Includes health care, educational, communication, and power, among other categories not Commercial (including farm) Office 12.0 12.7 17.6 27.5 35.4 25.4 11.2 8.4 10.8 13.9 12.3 10.9 12.0 12.5 13.3 13.8 13.2 14.0 14.0 14.3 15.8 16.3 16.3 32.9 37.3 45.7 53.8 55.5 37.3 24.4 23.7 28.0 30.6 29.6 29.1 29.0 30.0 28.7 29.0 28.6 30.4 30.7 30.9 32.6 33.7 34.1 Manufacturing 63.2 66.6 73.4 85.9 82.7 50.5 36.5 38.9 43.2 46.9 42.9 43.4 45.3 44.4 44.5 45.9 44.1 46.2 46.1 47.3 50.3 53.2 52.6 Other 2 23.2 28.4 32.3 40.2 52.8 56.3 39.8 38.9 45.8 48.6 49.5 47.3 47.2 48.2 46.7 44.8 43.3 49.7 50.5 52.4 50.6 51.5 48.9 107.0 113.1 129.2 162.7 182.3 173.0 149.9 147.6 169.9 156.4 182.5 152.5 150.8 150.2 158.3 162.2 159.9 162.6 161.8 159.3 156.8 158.7 159.4 220.2 234.2 255.4 289.1 308.7 314.9 304.0 286.4 279.0 271.2 268.5 265.7 268.3 265.1 263.8 269.2 273.0 275.8 277.4 271.8 276.6 272.8 266.6 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census). shown separately. New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates [Thousands of units or houses, except as noted] New private housing units Units started, by type of structure Period Total 2004 .................... 2005 r .................. 2006 .................... 2007 r .................. 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. New private houses 2–4 units 1 1 unit 1,955.8 2,068.3 1,800.9 1,355.0 905.5 554.0 586.9 608.8 780.6 923.4 1,610.5 1,715.8 1,465.4 1,046.0 622.0 445.1 471.2 430.6 535.3 617.8 Units authorized 5 units or more 42.3 41.1 42.7 31.7 17.5 11.6 11.4 10.9 11.4 13.7 303.0 311.4 292.8 277.3 266.0 97.3 104.3 167.3 233.9 291.9 Units completed Houses for sale at end of period 2 Houses sold Vacancy rate for rental housing units (percent) 3 4 2,070.1 2,155.3 1,838.9 1,398.4 905.4 583.0 604.6 624.1 829.7 976.4 1,841.9 1,931.4 1,979.4 1,502.8 1,119.7 794.4 651.7 584.9 649.2 762.2 1,203 1,283 1,051 776 485 375 323 306 368 428 422 511 536 497 353 234 190 151 150 171 10.2 9.9 9.7 9.8 10.0 10.6 10.2 9.5 8.7 8.3 943 915 952 890 1,005 985 918 954 926 974 1,039 1,017 991 672 720 727 810 698 711 759 783 765 762 814 834 744 396 458 445 443 446 429 450 373 388 403 463 445 414 150 149 152 154 161 162 163 171 175 181 179 176 171 8.7 ............................ ............................ 8.6 ............................ ............................ 8.2 ............................ ............................ 8.3 ............................ ............................ 8.2 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr .......... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ 983 898 969 1,005 852 919 835 891 883 873 899 1,107 999 620 614 652 623 593 597 605 587 620 580 600 717 667 .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... .......................... 1 Monthly data do not meet publication standards because tests for identifiable and stable seasonality do not meet reliability standards. 2 Seasonally adjusted. 3 Revised series. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. 4 Based on 20,000 permit-issuing places. Based on 19,000 places, the total for 2004 is 2,052.1 thousand units. 345 273 307 356 244 311 219 285 251 283 289 380 312 Note: Beginning 2004, units authorized are for 20,000 permit-issuing places. For other data shown, units authorized are for 19,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census). 19 Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade In November, according to preliminary estimates, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.7 percent, while inventories rose $7.7 billion. According to advance estimates, retail sales rose 0.2 percent in December. Retail and food services sales also rose 0.2 percent. [Millions of dollars, except ratios; seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Manufacturing and trade 1 Period Sales 2 Inventories 3 Inventory/sales ratio 4 Wholesale Sales 2 Inventories 3 Retail Inventory/sales ratio 4 2004 .................... 925,638 1,241,315 1.30 277,093 340,069 1.18 2005 .................... 1,005,130 1,314,162 1.27 302,444 368,603 1.17 2006 .................... 1,068,012 1,409,855 1.28 327,209 400,349 1.18 2007 .................... 1,126,709 1,489,689 1.29 350,149 426,745 1.18 2008 .................... 1,156,187 1,465,652 1.32 371,646 444,487 1.21 2009 .................... 981,328 1,327,190 1.39 310,502 391,899 1.31 2010 .................... 1,077,363 1,444,424 1.28 348,455 433,014 1.17 2011 .................... 1,194,744 1,558,285 1.27 391,831 472,792 1.17 2012 .................... 1,250,097 1,637,362 1.29 409,800 498,766 1.19 p 2013 .................. ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 2012: Nov r ......... 1,267,892 1,634,563 1.29 417,169 499,785 1.20 Dec r ......... 1,270,737 1,637,362 1.29 418,869 498,766 1.19 2013: Jan ........... 1,267,994 1,653,121 1.30 415,266 504,091 1.21 Feb ........... 1,284,444 1,653,728 1.29 420,711 502,103 1.19 Mar .......... 1,269,469 1,652,745 1.30 414,668 503,825 1.22 Apr ........... 1,269,586 1,655,626 1.30 417,765 503,450 1.21 May .......... 1,283,251 1,654,766 1.29 424,181 500,485 1.18 June ......... 1,286,417 1,655,702 1.29 425,746 499,450 1.17 July .......... 1,293,495 1,662,329 1.29 425,902 500,252 1.17 Aug .......... 1,296,929 1,669,681 1.29 427,782 504,271 1.18 Sept ......... 1,300,799 1,679,359 1.29 431,033 506,984 1.18 Oct r .......... 1,307,809 1,692,441 1.29 435,846 513,785 1.18 Nov p ........ 1,317,481 1,700,189 1.29 440,078 516,403 1.17 Dec p ........ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 1 See page 21 for manufacturing. 2 Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month. 20 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Inventory/sales ratio 4 289,464 460,510 1.56 307,514 472,075 1.51 322,840 487,380 1.50 333,271 501,959 1.49 328,867 480,050 1.52 302,534 433,271 1.47 320,121 460,062 1.40 344,696 477,993 1.36 362,523 516,297 1.38 377,906 ........................ ........................ 368,482 512,838 1.39 369,390 516,297 1.40 369,684 523,912 1.42 374,263 525,087 1.40 372,591 522,082 1.40 372,874 524,653 1.41 375,249 527,345 1.41 378,363 528,074 1.40 379,764 532,166 1.40 380,565 534,087 1.40 380,748 539,338 1.42 382,229 545,519 1.43 r 383,529 550,119 1.43 384,308 ........................ ........................ 3 Seasonally adjusted, end of period. 4 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census). Retail and food services sales 2 320,594 340,552 358,073 370,317 366,876 340,174 358,996 385,927 406,782 423,963 413,444 414,880 415,125 419,507 418,226 418,973 421,020 423,842 425,472 426,355 426,799 429,004 r 430,881 431,879 Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders In December, manufacturers’ inventories and unfilled orders rose, while shipments and new orders fell. Manufacturers’ shipments 1 Manufacturers’ inventories 2 Manufacturers’ new orders 1 Durable goods Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Total Capital goods industries, nondefense Manufacturers’ unfilled orders 2 Manufacturers’ inventory/ shipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr .......... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov r ......... Dec p ........ 359,081 395,173 417,963 443,288 455,675 368,292 408,787 458,217 477,774 486,259 482,478 483,044 489,470 482,210 478,947 483,821 482,308 487,829 488,582 489,018 489,734 493,874 492,702 188,722 202,070 213,516 223,919 218,328 171,886 190,900 208,551 222,630 230,261 226,396 224,682 226,278 228,342 226,915 229,878 229,600 229,401 231,596 232,854 234,238 237,475 233,518 170,359 193,103 204,447 219,369 237,347 196,406 217,887 249,666 255,144 255,998 256,082 258,362 263,192 253,868 252,032 253,943 252,708 258,428 256,986 256,164 255,496 256,399 259,184 440,736 473,484 522,126 560,985 541,115 502,020 551,348 607,500 622,299 636,575 622,299 625,118 626,538 626,838 627,523 626,936 628,178 629,911 631,323 633,037 633,137 633,667 636,575 1 Annual data are averages of monthly not seasonally adjusted figures; monthly data are seasonally adjusted totals for month. Shipments are the same as sales. 2 Seasonally adjusted, end of period. 3 Annual data are averages of seasonally adjusted monthly ratios. 264,952 283,619 317,416 334,648 330,233 295,259 323,100 358,139 374,147 387,904 374,147 375,292 376,787 376,534 377,362 377,093 377,602 378,829 379,164 382,308 383,463 384,656 387,904 175,784 189,865 204,710 226,337 210,882 206,761 228,248 249,361 248,152 248,671 248,152 249,826 249,751 250,304 250,161 249,843 250,576 251,082 252,159 250,729 249,674 249,011 248,671 357,414 397,014 424,146 449,788 453,937 349,252 406,310 458,717 473,455 485,075 485,183 473,430 492,026 469,135 475,035 489,105 497,059 483,048 482,672 491,343 489,061 496,380 489,171 187,055 203,911 219,699 230,419 216,590 152,846 188,423 209,050 218,311 229,078 229,101 215,068 228,834 215,267 223,003 235,162 244,351 224,620 225,686 235,179 233,565 239,981 229,987 57,403 67,863 74,123 79,822 73,146 48,418 61,867 71,353 74,253 80,513 74,146 74,132 80,973 73,795 76,374 86,132 92,049 75,946 75,867 81,178 80,524 87,158 83,310 558,692 654,513 798,177 947,437 996,261 825,269 869,481 956,812 992,007 1,061,701 992,007 989,589 998,960 993,372 996,628 1,008,418 1,029,877 1,031,955 1,032,915 1,042,079 1,048,037 1,057,827 1,061,701 1.19 1.17 1.20 1.22 1.26 1.39 1.28 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.30 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.29 Note: Manufacturers’ nondurable new orders (not shown) are the same as nondurable shipments. Also, there are no unfilled nondurable orders; data shown for total unfilled orders are durable unfilled orders. Total and durable shipments and inventories include data on semiconductors; new and unfilled orders do not. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census). 21 PRICES Producer Prices The producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.4 percent in December. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.6 percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.9 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.1 percent. [1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Finished goods Intermediate materials Finished goods excluding consumer foods Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug r ......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... Total finished goods 148.5 155.7 160.4 166.6 177.1 172.5 179.8 190.5 194.2 196.6 195.8 196.1 197.4 196.2 194.8 195.7 196.9 197.2 197.7 197.8 197.5 197.4 198.2 Consumer foods 152.7 155.7 156.7 167.0 178.3 175.5 182.4 193.9 199.0 203.3 202.6 204.1 202.6 204.4 202.3 203.7 203.5 204.1 205.1 203.5 205.1 205.1 203.9 Consumer goods Total 147.2 155.5 161.0 166.2 176.6 171.1 178.3 188.9 192.2 194.2 193.4 193.4 195.3 193.5 192.2 193.0 194.5 194.8 195.1 195.6 194.9 194.8 196.1 1 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 Total 150.9 161.9 169.2 175.6 189.1 179.4 190.4 205.5 209.1 211.4 210.2 210.2 213.1 210.1 208.0 209.1 211.5 211.9 212.5 213.0 211.8 211.6 213.5 Durable 135.0 136.6 136.9 138.3 141.2 144.3 144.9 147.4 151.0 152.3 152.2 151.8 151.9 152.2 152.2 152.2 152.3 152.3 152.2 152.7 152.9 153.0 153.2 Nondurable 156.6 172.0 182.6 191.7 210.5 194.1 210.1 231.5 235.0 237.8 235.6 235.7 240.0 235.4 232.3 233.9 237.4 238.1 239.0 239.4 237.6 237.1 239.9 Capital equipment 141.4 144.6 146.9 149.5 153.8 156.7 157.3 159.7 162.8 164.2 163.6 163.6 163.8 164.0 164.1 164.3 164.4 164.5 164.4 164.8 165.0 165.1 165.3 Total finished consumer goods 151.7 160.4 166.0 173.5 186.3 179.1 189.1 203.3 207.3 210.2 209.1 209.4 211.2 209.5 207.4 208.6 210.3 210.8 211.4 211.4 210.9 210.7 211.8 Total 142.6 154.0 164.0 170.7 188.3 172.5 183.4 199.8 200.7 200.8 200.6 201.1 203.5 201.1 199.8 199.8 200.5 200.7 200.9 201.3 200.5 199.5 200.6 Foods and feeds 1 137.1 133.8 135.2 154.4 181.6 166.0 171.7 192.3 201.5 204.2 208.5 206.0 205.8 206.3 204.0 206.3 206.8 210.2 205.0 205.9 202.9 201.0 201.9 Crude materials Other 143.0 155.1 165.4 171.5 188.7 173.0 184.4 200.4 200.6 200.4 200.0 200.7 203.3 200.7 199.5 199.3 200.0 200.0 200.6 200.9 200.3 199.4 200.6 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Total 159.0 182.2 184.8 207.1 251.8 175.2 212.2 249.4 241.3 246.5 250.4 250.5 250.7 246.4 244.3 249.7 249.3 251.6 247.0 247.6 245.4 239.1 244.9 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs 127.0 122.7 119.3 146.7 163.4 134.5 152.4 188.4 196.3 200.1 207.4 206.7 202.4 206.1 200.9 204.7 204.1 201.8 193.9 192.9 195.2 194.7 194.1 Other 179.2 223.4 230.6 246.3 313.9 197.5 249.3 284.0 263.1 269.0 269.5 270.1 274.0 263.6 264.0 270.4 270.2 276.1 274.5 276.4 270.6 260.0 270.7 Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers In December, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.3 percent; it remained roughly unchanged before seasonal adjustment. The index was 1.5 percent above its year earlier level. [1982–84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] All items 1 Housing Transportation Shelter Period Rel. imp. 4 ........... 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... Not seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted (NSA) 100.0 188.9 195.3 201.6 207.342 215.303 214.537 218.056 224.939 229.594 232.957 229.601 230.280 232.166 232.773 232.531 232.945 233.504 233.596 233.877 234.149 233.546 233.069 233.049 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 231.137 231.198 232.770 232.340 231.485 231.831 232.944 233.318 233.526 233.947 233.808 233.887 234.582 Food 14.2 186.2 190.7 195.2 202.916 214.106 217.955 219.625 227.842 233.777 237.037 235.740 235.854 236.084 236.196 236.663 236.412 236.840 237.193 237.497 237.585 237.844 238.096 238.220 Total 1 41.2 189.5 195.7 203.2 209.586 216.264 217.057 216.256 219.102 222.715 227.351 224.674 225.136 225.673 225.859 226.389 227.065 227.419 227.471 227.740 228.322 228.531 229.026 229.544 Total 1 31.9 218.8 224.4 232.1 240.611 246.666 249.354 248.396 251.646 257.083 263.056 259.618 260.167 260.730 261.189 261.635 262.303 262.740 263.199 263.835 264.367 264.714 265.553 266.198 Owners’ Rent equivalent of rent primary residence (Dec. 1982 =100) 2 6.6 211.0 217.3 225.1 234.679 243.271 248.812 249.385 253.638 260.367 267.725 263.629 264.206 264.872 265.529 265.929 266.762 267.322 267.956 268.959 269.493 269.973 270.471 271.206 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Beginning January 2010, includes expenditure weight for second homes. Prior data are for primary residence only. 3 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. 24.2 224.9 230.2 238.2 246.235 252.426 256.610 256.584 259.570 264.838 270.685 267.347 267.824 268.338 268.737 269.243 269.796 270.302 270.702 271.374 271.980 272.587 273.317 273.998 Fuels and utilities 5.3 161.9 179.0 194.7 200.632 220.018 210.696 214.187 220.367 218.986 225.207 221.135 222.098 223.331 223.005 224.902 226.578 226.783 225.459 224.519 226.168 226.248 226.165 227.151 Apparel 3.6 120.4 119.5 119.5 118.998 118.907 120.078 119.503 122.111 126.265 127.411 126.986 127.990 127.889 126.571 126.144 126.446 127.576 128.339 128.464 127.823 127.243 126.741 127.829 Total 1 Motor fuel 16.7 163.1 173.9 180.9 184.682 195.549 179.252 193.396 212.366 217.337 217.412 217.545 215.571 222.082 219.240 213.256 213.498 217.636 218.618 218.193 219.088 217.542 216.503 218.546 5.3 160.4 195.7 221.0 239.070 279.652 201.978 239.178 302.619 312.660 303.850 309.767 299.725 326.597 312.785 287.329 287.363 304.967 308.063 307.775 310.274 301.553 296.529 306.573 Medical care 7.2 310.1 323.2 336.2 351.054 364.065 375.613 388.436 400.258 414.924 425.134 420.308 420.937 421.582 422.796 422.702 422.152 424.034 424.892 427.513 428.660 428.804 428.709 428.774 Energy 3 9.4 151.4 177.1 196.9 207.723 236.666 193.126 211.449 243.909 246.080 244.409 245.315 241.119 254.242 247.527 236.767 237.691 245.866 246.426 245.781 247.828 243.640 241.179 246.336 All items less food and energy 76.4 196.6 200.9 205.9 210.729 215.572 219.235 221.337 225.008 229.755 233.806 231.526 232.108 232.512 232.758 232.879 233.267 233.643 234.004 234.302 234.589 234.877 235.240 235.496 4 Relative importance, November 2013. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). 23 Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Change from preceding period Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate Consumer goods Consumer goods Consumer goods Total finished goods Foods Total finished goods Foods Excluding foods 2.4 1.2 2.3 1.4 4.3 –.1 .4 2.3 1.3 1.1 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 0.1 .0 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 –.1 r .2 .1 .1 .1 –2.8 –1.6 2.9 .8 –2.6 –3.4 1.4 5.0 4.2 1.8 .6 r –.6 .8 4.3 5.1 –2.3 3.6 –3.5 2.2 –1.7 3.6 2.8 .0 2.0 r0 .8 Capital equipment Excluding foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods (NSA) Capital equipment Total finished goods Foods Excluding foods .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 3.6 4.8 3.0 3.9 6.3 –2.6 4.2 6.0 1.9 1.2 –6.4 –5.0 5.4 –.2 –4.1 –7.3 2.7 7.7 6.7 2.9 –.2 r –1.7 .9 0.5 .5 .7 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 .2 1.0 1.2 r 1.7 1.2 3.5 3.0 2.3 –1.0 –2.1 –.3 1.1 1.1 .3 1.6 2.8 1.7 1.3 4.2 5.3 2.3 3.9 .7 –.1 .9 .0 2.5 –.9 2.8 1.4 .4 4.5 3.7 3.0 –3.3 –4.6 –1.1 1.2 1.6 –.6 2.8 3.7 2.4 1.9 0.7 .1 .5 .7 .9 1.0 1.0 1.1 .7 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.1 .5 1.6 2.3 2.1 1.3 .3 .3 .7 1.2 Capital equipment Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 p .................. 4.2 5.4 1.1 6.2 –.9 4.3 3.8 4.7 1.4 1.2 3.1 1.7 1.7 7.6 3.2 1.2 3.4 6.0 2.5 .6 5.5 8.8 .4 7.7 –4.8 7.4 5.4 5.3 1.1 1.5 Change, month to month 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug r ......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... –0.1 .2 .7 –.6 –.7 .5 .6 .2 .3 r .1 –.2 –.1 .4 –0.6 .7 –.7 .9 –1.0 .7 –.1 .3 .5 r –.8 .8 .0 –.6 0.0 .0 1.4 –1.4 –1.0 .5 1.1 .2 .3 r .2 –.6 –.1 .9 Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Housing Period All items 1 Shelter Food Total 1 Total 1 Addendum: All items, percent change (annual rate) Transportation Fuels Rent Ownand of ers’ primary equiva- utilities resilent dence rent Apparel Total 1 New cars Motor fuel Medical care Energy 2 All items less food and energy From previous quarter 3 From From 3 6 months months earlier earlier From year earlier (NSA) Change, December to December, NSA 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 3.3 3.4 2.5 4.1 .1 2.7 1.5 3.0 1.7 1.5 2.7 2.3 2.1 4.9 5.9 –.5 1.5 4.7 1.8 1.1 3.0 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.4 –.3 .3 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.6 4.2 3.1 1.9 .3 .4 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.1 4.3 4.0 3.4 .7 .8 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.5 4.3 2.8 2.1 .7 .3 1.8 2.1 2.5 7.9 15.6 .5 5.4 6.0 –3.0 1.8 2.4 .4 2.7 –0.2 –1.1 .9 –.3 –1.0 1.9 –1.1 4.6 1.8 .6 6.5 4.8 1.6 8.3 –13.3 14.4 5.3 5.2 1.6 .5 0.5 .8 .2 –.4 –1.1 3.6 –1.1 4.0 1.1 –.6 26.1 16.2 6.4 29.5 –42.2 50.7 13.9 10.3 1.7 –1.0 4.2 4.3 3.6 5.2 2.6 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.2 2.0 16.6 17.1 2.9 17.4 –21.3 18.2 7.7 6.6 .5 .5 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.4 1.8 1.8 .8 2.2 1.9 1.7 ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ 2.7 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.8 –.4 1.6 3.2 2.1 1.5 –0.4 –.9 3.0 –1.3 –2.7 .1 1.9 .5 –.2 .4 –.7 –.5 .9 0.2 .4 –.3 .1 .2 –.2 –.1 .0 .0 –.1 –.3 –.2 –.1 –1.6 –3.2 9.0 –4.2 –8.1 .0 6.1 1.0 –.1 .8 –2.8 –1.7 3.4 0.2 .1 .2 .3 .0 –.1 .4 .2 .6 .3 .0 .0 .0 –0.8 –1.7 5.4 –2.6 –4.3 .4 3.4 .2 –.3 .8 –1.7 –1.0 2.1 0.1 .3 .2 .1 .1 .2 .2 .2 .1 .1 .1 .2 .1 2.2 ............ ............ 1.4 ............ ............ .0 ............ ............ 2.6 ............ ............ .9 –0.2 –.7 3.0 2.1 .5 –1.6 1.0 3.2 3.0 1.7 .8 .6 1.1 1.9 2.1 2.4 1.0 –.1 .7 1.6 1.8 .7 1.4 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.5 Change, month to month 2012: Dec ........... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... 0.0 .0 .7 –.2 –.4 .1 .5 .2 .1 .2 –.1 .0 .3 0.2 .0 .1 .0 .2 –.1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .1 .1 .1 0.1 .2 .2 .1 .2 .3 .2 .0 .1 .3 .1 .2 .2 0.1 .2 .2 .2 .2 .3 .2 .2 .2 .2 .1 .3 .2 0.2 .2 .3 .2 .2 .3 .2 .2 .4 .2 .2 .2 .3 0.1 .2 .2 .1 .2 .2 .2 .1 .2 .2 .2 .3 .2 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. 24 0.3 .4 .6 –.1 .9 .7 .1 –.6 –.4 .7 .0 .0 .4 0.1 .8 –.1 –1.0 –.3 .2 .9 .6 .1 –.5 –.5 –.4 .9 3 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Prices Received and Paid by Farmers In December, prices paid by farmers fell 0.5 percent and prices received by farmers fell 2.2 percent. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) [1990–92=100; not seasonally adjusted] Prices received by farmers Period 2004 ................................................... 2005 ................................................... 2006 ................................................... 2007 ................................................... 2008 ................................................... 2009 ................................................... 2010 ................................................... 2011 ................................................... 2012 ................................................... 2013 ................................................... 2012: Dec .......................................... 2013: Jan .......................................... Feb .......................................... Mar ......................................... Apr .......................................... May ......................................... June ........................................ July ......................................... Aug ......................................... Sept ........................................ Oct .......................................... Nov ......................................... Dec .......................................... All farm products 115 110 120 142 169 151 153 203 222 219 226 250 234 238 222 224 233 230 214 206 203 192 186 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates 1 Livestock and products Crops 118 114 115 136 149 131 141 178 191 194 199 217 199 201 192 196 200 200 189 186 189 184 180 Prices paid by farmers 122 119 111 130 130 112 130 152 157 166 165 166 162 164 164 170 167 164 163 163 167 173 172 Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates 134 142 150 161 183 178 183 203 215 218 217 219 220 220 219 219 219 219 216 217 215 214 213 133 141 150 162 188 181 187 210 222 225 225 227 228 228 227 228 227 227 224 224 222 221 220 Ratio 2 Production items 132 140 148 160 190 182 188 215 228 231 231 233 234 234 233 233 232 233 229 230 227 225 224 88 80 77 84 81 74 77 88 89 89 92 99 90 91 88 89 91 91 88 86 88 86 85 Note: The official indexes are published on a 1910–14 base as required by law. The indexes have been converted to a 1990–92=100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock and Debt Measures In December, M2 rose. [Averages of daily figures, except debt end-of-period basis; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] M1 Period 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: 2012: 2013: Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Dec r ........................................ Jan r ........................................ Feb r ........................................ Mar r ....................................... Apr r ........................................ May r ....................................... June r ...................................... July r ....................................... Aug r ........................................ Sept r ....................................... Oct r ......................................... Nov r ........................................ Dec .......................................... M2 Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) 1,376.0 1,374.8 1,367.5 1,375.0 1,603.8 1,694.2 1,836.2 2,159.9 2,447.2 2,648.3 2,447.2 2,464.5 2,473.5 2,476.4 2,517.8 2,525.8 2,529.1 2,558.3 2,560.3 2,587.0 2,625.8 2,612.3 2,648.3 Debt M1 plus retail MMMF balances, savings deposits (including MMDAs), and small time deposits 6,388.6 6,651.5 7,040.6 7,444.0 8,166.2 8,463.8 8,766.0 9,620.2 10,406.8 10,958.8 10,406.8 10,442.6 10,454.7 10,519.8 10,553.7 10,590.8 10,639.0 10,702.2 10,756.2 10,802.2 10,900.1 10,908.9 10,958.8 1 Quarterly data; shown in last month of quarter. End-of-year data are for fourth quarter. Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a simple annual rate. 3 Annual changes are from fourth quarter to fourth quarter. Quarterly changes are from previous quarter at an annual rate. 26 Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors 1 25,349.1 27,696.1 30,174.2 32,765.2 34,724.9 35,667.3 37,039.9 38,421.4 40,286.2 .............................................. 40,286.2 .............................................. .............................................. 40,731.2 .............................................. .............................................. 41,074.1 .............................................. .............................................. 41,431.9 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. Percent change From year or 6 months earlier 2 M1 From previous period 3 M2 5.4 –0.1 –0.5 0.5 16.6 5.6 8.4 17.6 13.3 8.2 15.7 12.3 10.8 7.8 8.5 9.8 6.7 7.6 7.0 8.9 8.6 6.8 9.4 Debt 5.8 4.1 5.8 5.7 9.7 3.6 3.6 9.7 8.2 5.3 9.2 8.4 7.3 7.1 6.6 6.0 4.5 5.0 5.8 5.4 6.6 6.0 6.0 9.3 9.3 8.7 8.6 6.0 3.1 4.0 3.7 4.9 ................................ 6.2 ................................ ................................ 4.4 ................................ ................................ 3.4 ................................ ................................ 3.5 ................................ ................................ ................................ Note: The Federal Reserve no longer publishes the M3 monetary aggregate and most of its components. Institutional money market mutual funds continue to be published as a memorandum item in the H.6 release, and the component on large-denomination time deposits is published in other Federal Reserve Board releases. For details, see H.6 release of March 23, 2006. See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Components of Money Stock [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Period 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: 2012: 2013: Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Dec r ......... Jan r ......... Feb r ......... Mar r ........ Apr r ......... May r ........ June r ....... July r ........ Aug r ......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec ........... Currency 697.8 724.6 750.2 760.6 816.2 863.7 918.7 1,001.2 1,090.0 1,159.8 1,090.0 1,096.7 1,099.8 1,104.6 1,110.5 1,117.4 1,123.8 1,131.3 1,137.7 1,144.6 1,150.5 1,153.4 1,159.8 Nonbank travelers checks Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Demand deposits 7.6 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 At commercial banks Total 342.8 324.4 305.2 302.4 471.0 442.4 512.3 741.8 908.9 1,016.0 908.9 913.0 918.5 916.2 947.3 947.9 946.0 961.5 959.1 973.0 1,006.5 990.4 1,016.0 327.8 318.6 305.4 305.7 311.0 383.0 400.5 412.7 444.4 468.9 444.4 451.0 451.4 451.8 456.3 456.7 455.6 462.0 459.9 465.9 465.3 465.0 468.9 Savings deposits 1 At thrift institutions 187.0 180.7 176.5 172.4 177.8 232.8 237.4 235.6 246.5 256.3 246.5 253.1 250.5 248.5 252.2 252.5 249.8 253.3 251.0 255.8 254.8 253.0 256.3 140.8 137.9 128.8 133.3 133.2 150.2 163.1 177.1 197.9 212.6 197.9 197.9 200.9 203.3 204.0 204.3 205.8 208.7 208.8 210.0 210.5 212.0 212.6 1 Savings deposits including money market deposit accounts (MMDAs). 2 Small-denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. 3 Institutional money funds are not part of non-M1 M2. Total 3,506.5 3,601.6 3,691.8 3,864.1 4,085.6 4,809.3 5,329.6 6,032.8 6,687.9 7,133.2 6,687.9 6,703.3 6,727.2 6,792.8 6,793.3 6,837.1 6,883.8 6,920.9 6,982.5 7,006.8 7,071.9 7,111.9 7,133.2 At commercial banks 2,630.9 2,773.2 2,908.9 3,037.8 3,317.5 3,974.2 4,406.8 5,034.0 5,728.8 6,108.3 5,728.8 5,727.5 5,740.3 5,796.6 5,794.3 5,825.8 5,869.8 5,905.2 5,962.4 5,986.8 6,048.1 6,088.3 6,108.3 Small-denomination time deposits 2 At thrift institutions 875.6 828.5 782.9 826.3 768.1 835.1 922.8 998.9 959.1 1,024.9 959.1 975.8 986.9 996.2 999.0 1,011.3 1,014.1 1,015.7 1,020.1 1,020.0 1,023.8 1,023.6 1,024.9 At commercial banks Total 828.4 993.7 1,206.0 1,276.0 1,457.1 1,182.7 927.7 766.8 632.6 544.9 632.6 624.0 615.5 612.5 605.5 596.1 583.1 573.6 567.7 560.9 554.7 547.6 544.9 551.9 646.7 780.7 858.8 1,078.3 863.1 656.9 537.9 455.8 403.2 455.8 448.3 442.3 443.3 439.7 433.8 424.3 419.3 417.3 412.2 408.4 403.9 403.2 Retail money funds At thrift institutions 276.5 347.0 425.4 417.2 378.8 319.6 270.9 228.9 176.8 141.7 176.8 175.7 173.3 169.2 165.7 162.3 158.9 154.3 150.4 148.6 146.3 143.7 141.7 677.7 681.3 775.2 929.0 1,019.7 777.6 672.5 660.7 639.1 632.4 639.1 650.8 638.4 638.2 637.1 631.8 642.8 649.4 645.8 647.5 647.7 637.1 632.4 Institutional money funds 3 1,106.0 1,176.6 1,391.0 1,960.8 2,458.4 2,254.2 1,894.3 1,763.4 1,743.0 1,779.8 1,743.0 1,765.6 1,765.1 1,756.4 1,758.4 1,753.5 1,757.3 1,765.0 1,764.3 1,787.5 1,785.4 1,789.5 1,779.8 Note: See Note, p. 26. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base [Averages of daily figures 1; millions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted] Borrowings from the Federal Reserve Reserves of depository institutions Reserve balances maintained Period Total 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: 2013: Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Dec ............ Jan ............ Feb ............ Mar ........... Apr ........... May ........... June .......... July ........... Aug ........... Sept .......... Oct ............ Nov ........... Dec r .......... 2014: Jan ............ 12,045 10,046 8,479 8,098 783,631 1,099,831 1,035,074 1,550,043 1,517,425 2,485,248 1,582,524 1,680,086 1,760,359 1,832,952 1,930,723 2,010,604 2,094,225 2,199,056 2,281,080 2,374,958 2,463,012 2,485,248 2,498,153 To satisfy reserve balance requirements 2 That exceed the top of the penalty-free band ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 75,714 ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 69,338 71,408 73,695 73,111 77,246 75,714 83,188 ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 2,409,534 ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 2,024,886 2,127,647 2,207,385 2,301,847 2,385,767 2,409,534 2,414,965 Reserve balance requirements 3 10,137 8,146 6,616 6,314 16,312 24,632 28,438 47,838 58,673 69,029 63,065 63,298 62,205 64,118 67,375 63,667 63,296 65,189 67,208 66,713 70,483 69,029 75,901 Vault cash used to satisfy required reserves 4 34,802 35,337 34,803 35,365 37,245 40,619 42,927 48,672 52,959 55,771 54,410 53,308 50,941 51,737 51,262 52,302 53,481 53,575 52,771 52,839 54,040 55,771 58,248 1 Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures. 2 Equals the sum of balances maintained up to the top of each institution’s penalty-free band. 3 Excludes vault cash used to satisfy required reserves. 4 The amount of vault cash held by institutions whose required reserves exceed their vault Nonborrowed 5 46,784 45,214 43,091 28,033 167,311 970,523 1,032,512 1,589,189 1,569,589 2,540,848 1,636,369 1,732,928 1,810,906 1,884,288 1,981,574 2,062,555 2,147,346 2,252,314 2,333,577 2,427,559 2,516,872 2,540,848 2,556,273 Monetary base 6 776,279 803,124 826,731 837,192 1,666,365 2,026,220 2,017,000 2,619,586 2,675,945 3,717,466 2,741,743 2,845,251 2,935,036 3,011,737 3,116,932 3,201,472 3,290,898 3,398,930 3,486,917 3,589,503 3,684,554 3,717,466 3,728,498 Total 7 63 169 191 15,430 653,565 169,927 45,488 9,526 795 170 565 465 394 401 410 351 359 317 274 238 180 170 127 Primary Secondary 11 97 111 3,787 88,245 19,025 41 103 12 13 11 10 8 9 12 19 15 17 21 13 8 13 9 0 0 0 1 52 518 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Seasonal 52 72 80 30 3 37 26 23 23 59 7 1 0 11 42 65 109 142 151 124 72 59 22 Term assetbacked securities loan facility 8 ..................... ..................... ..................... ..................... ..................... 46,310 25,025 9,400 760 98 548 454 386 380 356 267 235 158 102 101 99 98 97 7 Includes term auction credit (December 2007 to April 2010), primary dealer and other brokerdealer credit (March 2008 to February 2010), credit extended to American International Group, Inc. (September 2008 to January 2011), asset-backed commercial paper money market mutual fund liquidity facility (September 2008 to February 2010), and other credit extensions, not shown separately. 8 Includes credit extended by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to eligible borrowers through the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility. cash plus the amount of vault cash applied during the maintenance period to satisfy current reserve requirements by institutions whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves. 5 Total reserve balances maintained plus vault cash used to satisfy required reserves less total Note: Data on reserve balances maintained reflect the creation of a penalty-free band acround borrowings from the Federal Reserve. reserve balance requirements, which took effect on June 27, 2013. For more information on table 6 Equals total balances maintained plus currency in circulation (not shown). changes, see H.3 release of July 11, 2013. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 Bank Credit at All Commercial Banks Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.2 percent in December. [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1] Securities in bank credit 2 Period 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: 2012: 2013: Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Dec ........... Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr .......... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept r ........ Oct r .......... Nov r ......... Dec r ......... Total bank credit 6,583.8 7,305.2 8,092.6 8,895.1 9,344.7 8,989.2 9,186.9 9,405.8 9,957.9 10,079.6 9,957.9 9,983.4 9,990.1 9,995.6 10,057.4 10,051.1 10,052.0 10,042.0 10,014.1 10,004.9 10,030.2 10,037.7 10,079.6 Total securities 1,741.3 1,854.2 1,987.4 2,102.7 2,096.4 2,329.1 2,431.4 2,498.9 2,741.3 2,716.6 2,741.3 2,733.7 2,723.5 2,718.9 2,750.5 2,745.9 2,731.4 2,706.8 2,689.1 2,673.9 2,680.4 2,690.5 2,716.6 U.S. Treasury and agency securities 1,170.3 1,158.5 1,216.5 1,136.4 1,253.5 1,451.8 1,642.3 1,701.1 1,879.7 1,805.9 1,879.7 1,864.3 1,854.6 1,845.2 1,864.3 1,852.4 1,841.5 1,814.1 1,791.4 1,783.0 1,784.9 1,792.5 1,805.9 Loans and leases in bank credit Real estate loans Other securities 571.0 695.7 770.9 966.4 842.9 877.3 789.1 797.8 861.6 910.7 861.6 869.5 868.9 873.7 886.2 893.5 889.9 892.7 897.6 890.9 895.5 898.0 910.7 Total loans and leases 3 4,842.5 5,451.0 6,105.2 6,792.3 7,248.3 6,660.2 6,755.5 6,906.9 7,216.6 7,363.0 7,216.6 7,249.7 7,266.6 7,276.7 7,306.9 7,305.2 7,320.5 7,335.3 7,325.0 7,331.0 7,349.8 7,347.3 7,363.0 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday values for domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks, and Edge Act and agreement corporations. 2 Includes securities held in trading accounts, held-to-maturity, and available-for-sale. Excludes all non-security trading assets, such as derivatives with a positive fair value or loans held in trading accounts. 3 Excludes unearned income. Includes the allowance for loan and lease losses. Excludes Federal funds sold to, reverse repurchase agreements (RPs) with, and loans to commercial banks in the United States. Includes all loans held in trading accounts under a fair value option. 28 Commercial and industrial loans 913.6 1,044.0 1,191.8 1,431.1 1,572.3 1,278.7 1,208.9 1,321.8 1,493.2 1,603.3 1,493.2 1,505.7 1,512.5 1,523.9 1,533.5 1,536.1 1,550.5 1,564.5 1,564.9 1,570.1 1,583.0 1,584.5 1,603.3 Total 4 2,552.3 2,923.6 3,366.3 3,593.7 3,816.9 3,773.6 3,608.9 3,490.2 3,543.6 3,514.8 3,543.6 3,552.4 3,549.3 3,545.7 3,550.9 3,542.6 3,544.2 3,539.8 3,528.5 3,525.0 3,517.0 3,513.4 3,514.8 Revolving home equity loans 395.3 443.2 467.8 484.6 588.0 602.8 581.4 549.1 514.9 473.8 514.9 511.1 507.8 504.2 499.5 494.9 491.5 488.2 485.6 482.6 479.6 475.7 473.8 Commercial loans 1,081.8 1,272.4 1,460.0 1,584.1 1,727.2 1,638.4 1,496.6 1,414.8 1,423.5 1,487.4 1,423.5 1,428.8 1,429.7 1,431.9 1,437.0 1,443.1 1,448.3 1,455.2 1,462.9 1,468.5 1,475.4 1,481.5 1,487.4 4 Includes closed-end residential loans, not shown separately. 5 Includes credit cards and other consumer loans. 6 Includes other items, not shown separately. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Consumer loans 5 691.5 703.1 736.9 798.4 875.2 835.2 1,113.4 1,089.8 1,115.8 1,142.6 1,115.8 1,116.2 1,119.0 1,122.8 1,128.1 1,133.1 1,138.5 1,138.9 1,142.1 1,144.6 1,148.8 1,143.5 1,142.6 Other loans and leases 6 685.0 780.4 810.4 969.2 984.0 772.7 824.3 1,005.2 1,064.0 1,102.4 1,064.0 1,075.4 1,085.8 1,084.3 1,094.5 1,093.4 1,087.3 1,092.1 1,089.6 1,091.3 1,100.9 1,105.8 1,102.4 Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External (Net increase in liabilities) Funds raised in markets Period Total 2003 .................... 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III p ............ Internal 1 1,103.2 1,780.7 2,301.0 2,202.4 2,633.6 1,732.2 1,186.4 2,159.6 2,684.3 2,517.1 2,476.9 2,644.0 2,704.4 2,912.0 2,576.3 2,471.1 2,549.8 2,471.3 2,505.3 2,593.0 2,763.0 1,089.7 1,166.5 1,335.4 1,363.1 1,352.5 1,393.1 1,434.9 1,671.8 1,790.0 1,850.3 1,685.0 1,799.3 1,824.1 1,851.5 1,830.6 1,865.1 1,840.3 1,865.2 1,872.8 1,934.8 1,915.7 Total net funds raised Total 13.5 614.2 965.6 839.3 1,281.1 339.1 –248.5 487.8 894.3 666.8 791.9 844.7 880.3 1,060.5 745.7 606.0 709.5 606.1 632.5 658.2 847.3 48.8 126.6 30.0 –33.3 68.8 36.9 –209.1 –74.5 54.7 246.4 141.8 129.5 –142.4 89.9 222.0 20.4 161.4 581.7 370.5 349.7 460.6 Net new equity issues –39.6 –122.7 –341.8 –565.7 –786.8 –334.3 –62.1 –277.5 –472.3 –399.7 –324.9 –510.1 –616.6 –437.6 –291.4 –507.9 –395.6 –404.0 –256.3 –424.1 –369.2 Credit market instruments Total Securities and mortgages Loans and short-term paper 209.7 178.9 296.5 360.0 460.5 231.4 320.9 352.4 361.2 582.4 379.1 411.0 287.7 367.2 510.6 429.7 563.6 825.9 554.4 613.7 795.1 –121.4 70.4 75.4 172.4 395.2 139.8 –467.9 –149.4 165.8 63.6 87.6 228.6 186.6 160.3 2.9 98.6 –6.6 159.7 72.5 160.1 34.7 88.4 249.3 371.9 532.4 855.6 371.2 –147.0 203.0 527.0 646.1 466.7 639.7 474.2 527.5 513.4 528.3 557.0 985.6 626.8 773.8 829.8 1 Profits before tax (book) less taxes on corporate income, less net dividends, plus capital consumption allowance (consumption of fixed capital plus capital consumption adjustment), foreign earnings retained abroad, inventory valuation adjustment, and net capital transfers. 2 Includes trade payables, taxes payable, and miscellaneous liabilities (foreign direct investment in the U.S., pension fund contributions payable, and other). Other 2 –35.3 487.6 935.5 872.5 1,212.3 302.1 –39.5 562.2 839.6 420.4 650.1 715.2 1,022.7 970.5 523.7 585.6 548.1 24.5 262.0 308.5 386.6 Total Capital expenditures 3 1,064.0 1,836.8 2,134.0 2,037.0 2,465.7 754.4 1,311.7 1,872.1 1,831.3 2,394.3 1,608.6 1,746.8 1,915.2 2,054.6 2,455.2 2,418.8 2,412.0 2,291.5 2,423.6 2,420.6 2,565.4 976.4 1,056.6 1,188.3 1,336.3 1,391.1 1,358.6 1,009.3 1,238.9 1,337.2 1,504.1 1,261.5 1,323.6 1,315.4 1,448.5 1,500.5 1,493.0 1,527.9 1,495.1 1,496.3 1,545.9 1,607.3 Increase in financial assets 87.6 780.2 945.7 700.7 1,074.6 –604.2 302.4 633.2 494.1 890.2 347.1 423.2 599.8 606.1 954.7 925.8 884.1 796.4 927.3 874.7 958.1 Discrepancy (sources less uses) 39.2 –56.2 166.9 165.5 167.9 977.8 –125.4 287.4 853.0 122.7 868.3 897.2 789.1 857.4 121.2 52.3 137.7 179.7 81.7 172.4 197.5 3 Nonresidential fixed investment plus residential fixed investment, inventory change with inventory valuation adjustment, and nonproduced nonfinancial assets. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Consumer Credit [Billions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in consumer credit outstanding 1 Consumer credit outstanding (end of period) Period Total 2004: 2005: 2006: 2007: 2008: 2009: 2010: 2011: 2012: 2013: 2012: 2013: Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec .......................................... Dec p ....................................... Dec .......................................... Jan .......................................... Feb .......................................... Mar ......................................... Apr .......................................... May ......................................... June ........................................ July ......................................... Aug ......................................... Sept ........................................ Oct r ......................................... Nov ......................................... Dec p ....................................... Nonrevolving 2 Revolving 2,192.2 2,290.9 2,462.8 2,616.6 2,651.4 2,553.5 2,648.1 2,757.0 2,924.3 3,106.0 2,924.3 2,940.5 2,963.5 2,969.5 2,980.1 2,998.4 3,012.3 3,025.4 3,041.2 3,057.1 3,074.9 3,087.3 3,106.0 799.6 829.5 924.9 1,002.9 1,005.2 917.2 840.7 842.5 845.8 861.9 845.8 848.6 850.0 849.1 849.2 855.3 851.6 851.9 853.3 852.4 856.4 856.9 861.9 1,392.7 1,461.4 1,537.9 1,613.6 1,646.2 1,636.3 1,807.4 1,914.5 2,078.5 2,244.1 2,078.5 2,091.9 2,113.4 2,120.4 2,130.8 2,143.1 2,160.6 2,173.5 2,187.9 2,204.6 2,218.4 2,230.4 2,244.1 Total Nonrevolving 2 Revolving 114.8 98.7 171.9 153.8 34.8 –97.9 94.6 108.9 167.3 181.7 14.7 16.2 23.0 6.0 10.6 18.3 13.9 13.1 15.8 15.9 17.8 12.4 18.7 31.3 29.9 95.4 78.0 2.3 –88.0 –76.5 1.8 3.3 16.1 –2.1 2.8 1.4 –.9 .1 6.1 –3.7 .3 1.4 –.9 4.0 .5 5.0 83.6 68.7 76.5 75.7 32.6 –9.9 171.1 107.1 164.0 165.6 16.8 13.4 21.5 7.0 10.4 12.3 17.5 12.9 14.4 16.7 13.8 12.0 13.7 1 Change based on data in billions of dollars as shown here. For year-end data, change from Note: Data include student loans extended by the Federal Government and by SLM Holding preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. Corporation. 2 Includes automobile loans and all other loans not included in revolving credit, such as loans for Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. mobile homes, education, boats, trailers, or vacations. These loans may be secured or unsecured. 29 Interest Rates and Bond Yields Interest rates were mixed in January. [Percent per annum] U.S. Treasury security yields Period 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2013 .................... 2013: Jan ........... Feb ........... Mar .......... Apr ........... May .......... June ......... July .......... Aug .......... Sept ......... Oct ........... Nov .......... Dec ........... 2014: Jan ........... Week ended: 2014: Jan 11 ...... 18 ...... 25 ...... Feb 1 ...... 8 ...... 3-month bills (at auction) 1 Constant maturities 2 3-year 10-year 30-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor’s) 3 Discount window (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 4, 5 Primary credit Prime rate charged by banks 5 Discount rate 1.38 3.16 4.73 4.41 1.48 .16 .14 .06 .09 .06 .07 .10 .09 .06 .05 .05 .04 .04 .02 .05 .07 .07 .05 2.78 3.93 4.77 4.35 2.24 1.43 1.11 .75 .38 .54 .39 .40 .39 .34 .40 .58 .64 .70 .78 .63 .58 .69 .78 4.27 4.29 4.80 4.63 3.66 3.26 3.22 2.78 1.80 2.35 1.91 1.98 1.96 1.76 1.93 2.30 2.58 2.74 2.81 2.62 2.72 2.90 2.86 * * 4.91 4.84 4.28 4.08 4.25 3.91 2.92 3.45 3.08 3.17 3.16 2.93 3.11 3.40 3.61 3.76 3.79 3.68 3.80 3.89 3.77 4.63 4.29 4.42 4.42 4.80 4.64 4.16 4.29 3.14 3.96 2.93 3.09 3.27 3.22 3.39 4.02 4.51 4.77 4.74 4.50 4.51 4.55 4.38 5.63 5.24 5.59 5.56 5.63 5.31 4.94 4.64 3.67 4.24 3.80 3.90 3.93 3.73 3.89 4.27 4.34 4.54 4.64 4.53 4.63 4.62 4.49 2.34 4.19 5.96 5.86 2.39 .50 .72 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 4.34 6.19 7.96 8.05 5.09 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 .06 .04 .04 .06 .04 .82 .78 .80 .73 .66 2.96 2.86 2.82 2.73 2.68 3.87 3.78 3.70 3.65 3.63 4.50 4.39 4.32 4.27 4.27 4.53 4.48 4.46 4.45 4.45 .75 .75 .75 .75 .75 * * * * * 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 1 High bill rate at auction, issue date within period, bank-discount basis. Data are stop yields from uniform-price auctions. 2 Yields on actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Discount window borrowing for primary credit and discount rate (adjustment credit). The rate for primary credit replaced the rate for adjustment credit. 5 Average effective rate for year; rate in effect at end of month or week. 30 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody’s) New-home mortgage yields (FHFA) 7 Federal funds rate 6 1.35 5.77 3.22 5.94 4.97 6.63 5.02 6.41 1.92 6.05 .16 5.14 .18 4.80 .10 4.56 .14 3.69 .11 4.00 .14 3.41 .15 3.49 .14 3.61 .15 3.66 .11 3.55 .09 3.64 .09 4.07 .08 4.33 .08 4.44 .09 4.47 .08 4.39 .09 4.37 .07 ........................ .08 .07 .07 .07 .07 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ 6 Daily effective rate; weighted average of rates on brokered trades. 7 Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. * Discount rate (adjustment credit) series was discontinued after January 8, 2003. Series for 30-year constant maturity was discontinued on February 18, 2002, and reintroduced on February 9, 2006. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Moody’s Investors Service, and Standard & Poor’s. Common Stock Prices and Yields Stock prices were mixed in January. Common stock yields (percent) 7 Common stock prices 1 New York Stock Exchange indexes (December 31, 2002=5,000) 2, 3 Period Composite 2004 ..................... 2005 ..................... 2006 ..................... 2007 ..................... 2008 ..................... 2009 ..................... 2010 ..................... 2011 ..................... 2012 ..................... 2013 ..................... 2013: Jan ............ Feb ............ Mar ........... Apr ............ May ........... June .......... July ........... Aug ........... Sept .......... Oct ............ Nov ........... Dec ............ 2014: Jan ............ Week ended: 2014: Jan 11 ....... 18 ....... 25 ....... Feb 1 ....... 8 ....... Financial Energy Health Care Dow Jones industrial average 4 Standard & Poor’s composite index (1941–43=10) 5 Nasdaq composite index (Feb. 5, 1971=100) 6 Dividend/price ratio Earnings/price ratio 6,612.62 7,349.00 8,357.99 9,648.82 8,036.88 6,091.02 7,230.43 7,871.41 8,011.65 c 9,426.77 8,759.89 8,896.97 9,038.29 9,092.21 9,440.35 9,204.10 9,463.58 9,496.64 9,639.34 9,840.99 10,102.04 c 10,146.82 10,236.46 6,822.18 7,383.70 8,654.40 9,321.39 6,278.38 3,987.04 4,744.05 4,641.01 4,616.63 c 5,805.53 5,334.30 5,428.85 5,500.12 5,526.59 5,842.60 5,697.29 5,908.95 5,897.94 5,988.45 6,124.54 6,204.36 c 6,212.41 6,287.83 6,952.36 9,377.84 11,206.94 13,339.99 13,258.42 10,020.30 10,943.85 12,880.35 12,512.31 c 13,490.88 13,126.08 13,172.85 13,166.60 12,917.17 13,456.16 13,064.60 13,394.54 13,404.11 13,715.91 13,990.65 14,292.65 c 14,189.23 14,135.73 5,924.80 6,283.96 6,685.06 7,191.79 6,171.19 5,456.63 6,230.62 6,847.80 7,503.05 c 9,250.02 8,271.48 8,466.93 8,665.01 9,090.44 9,271.60 9,199.64 9,394.52 9,466.69 9,473.99 9,647.71 9,987.18 c 10,065.11 10,334.13 10,317.39 10,547.67 11,408.67 13,169.98 11,252.62 8,876.15 10,662.80 11,966.36 12,967.08 c 14,999.67 13,615.32 13,967.33 14,418.26 14,675.91 15,172.18 15,035.75 15,390.21 c 15,195.35 15,269.84 15,289.29 15,870.83 c 16,095.77 16,243.72 1,130.65 1,207.23 1,310.46 1,477.19 1,220.04 948.05 1,139.97 1,267.64 1,379.35 c 1,642.51 1,480.40 1,512.31 1,550.83 1,570.70 1,639.84 1,618.77 1,668.68 1,670.09 1,687.17 1,720.03 1,783.54 c 1,807.78 1,822.36 1,986.53 2,099.32 2,263.41 2,578.47 2,161.65 1,845.38 2,349.89 2,677.44 2,965.56 c 3,537.69 3,125.91 3,169.21 3,236.17 3,251.35 3,440.38 3,416.74 3,559.71 3,639.93 3,731.26 3,848.20 c 3,957.53 c 4,075.88 4,154.36 1.72 1.83 1.87 1.86 2.37 2.40 1.98 2.05 2.24 2.14 2.24 2.21 2.19 2.16 2.12 2.18 2.14 2.15 2.13 2.10 2.03 2.04 2.02 4.89 5.36 5.78 5.29 3.54 1.86 6.04 6.77 6.20 ............................. ............................. ............................. 5.59 ............................. ............................. 5.66 ............................. ............................. 5.65 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 10,323.03 10,340.86 10,259.67 10,005.49 9,872.64 6,360.63 6,372.96 6,298.87 6,114.61 6,031.48 14,317.29 14,177.55 14,168.07 13,809.07 13,549.04 10,327.86 10,478.35 10,412.52 10,202.02 10,153.27 16,460.12 16,397.86 16,216.06 15,810.54 15,536.18 1,836.53 1,838.21 1,826.85 1,785.01 1,763.84 4,152.66 4,185.49 4,203.95 4,092.00 4,044.60 2.00 2.01 2.01 2.07 2.12 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 1 Average of daily closing prices. 2 Includes all the stocks (in 2012, over 2,900) listed on the NYSE. 3 Effective January 9, 2003, the NYSE relaunched the composite index with changes in meth- odology, definitions, and based on Dec. 31, 2002=5,000. Effective January 8, 2004 new indexes for Financial, Energy, and Health Care were introduced by the NYSE. Previous indexes shown for Industrial, Transportation, Utility, and Finance were discontinued. 4 Includes 30 stocks. 5 Includes 500 stocks. 6 Includes over 2,400 stocks in 2012. 7 Standard & Poor’s series. Dividend/price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings/ price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones & Company, Inc., Standard & Poor’s, and Nasdaq Stock Market. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt In the third month of fiscal year 2014, the deficit was $173.6 billion, compared with a deficit of $293.3 billion a year earlier. [Billions of dollars] Total Fiscal year or period Receipts 1995 .................................................... 1996 .................................................... 1997 .................................................... 1998 .................................................... 1999 .................................................... 2000 .................................................... 2001 .................................................... 2002 .................................................... 2003 .................................................... 2004 .................................................... 2005 .................................................... 2006 .................................................... 2007 .................................................... 2008 .................................................... 2009 .................................................... 2010 .................................................... 2011 .................................................... 2012 .................................................... 2013 1 .................................................. Cumulative total, first 3 months: 2 Fiscal year 2013 .................................. Fiscal year 2014 .................................. Outlays On-budget Surplus or deficit (–) Receipts Outlays Federal debt (end of period) Off-budget Surplus or deficit (–) Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (–) Gross Federal 1,351.8 1,453.1 1,579.2 1,721.7 1,827.5 2,025.2 1,991.1 1,853.1 1,782.3 1,880.1 2,153.6 2,406.9 2,568.0 2,524.0 2,105.0 2,162.7 2,303.5 2,450.2 2,774.0 1,515.7 1,560.5 1,601.1 1,652.5 1,701.8 1,789.0 1,862.8 2,010.9 2,159.9 2,292.8 2,472.0 2,655.1 2,728.7 2,982.5 3,517.7 3,457.1 3,603.1 3,537.1 3,454.3 –164.0 –107.4 –21.9 69.3 125.6 236.2 128.2 –157.8 –377.6 –412.7 –318.3 –248.2 –160.7 –458.6 –1,412.7 –1,294.4 –1,299.6 –1,087.0 –680.3 1,000.7 1,085.6 1,187.2 1,305.9 1,383.0 1,544.6 1,483.6 1,337.8 1,258.5 1,345.4 1,576.1 1,798.5 1,932.9 1,865.9 1,451.0 1,531.0 1,737.7 1,880.7 2,100.7 1,227.1 1,259.6 1,290.5 1,335.9 1,381.1 1,458.2 1,516.0 1,655.2 1,796.9 1,913.3 2,069.7 2,233.0 2,275.0 2,507.8 3,000.7 2,902.4 3,104.5 3,029.5 2,820.4 –226.4 –174.0 –103.2 –29.9 1.9 86.4 –32.4 –317.4 –538.4 –568.0 –493.6 –434.5 –342.2 –641.8 –1,549.7 –1,371.4 –1,366.8 –1,148.9 –719.7 351.1 367.5 392.0 415.8 444.5 480.6 507.5 515.3 523.8 534.7 577.5 608.4 635.1 658.0 654.0 631.7 565.8 569.5 673.3 288.7 300.9 310.6 316.6 320.8 330.8 346.8 355.7 363.0 379.5 402.2 422.1 453.6 474.8 517.0 554.7 498.6 507.6 633.8 62.4 66.6 81.4 99.2 123.7 149.8 160.7 159.7 160.8 155.2 175.3 186.3 181.5 183.3 137.0 77.0 67.2 61.9 39.5 4,920.6 5,181.5 5,369.2 5,478.2 5,605.5 5,628.7 5,769.9 6,198.4 6,760.0 7,354.7 7,905.3 8,451.4 8,950.7 9,986.1 11,875.9 13,528.8 14,764.2 16,050.9 16,716.8 3,604.4 3,734.1 3,772.3 3,721.1 3,632.4 3,409.8 3,319.6 3,540.4 3,913.4 4,295.5 4,592.2 4,829.0 5,035.1 5,803.1 7,544.7 9,018.9 10,128.2 11,281.1 11,981.9 615.6 664.6 908.9 838.2 –293.3 –173.6 492.8 505.8 802.7 689.7 –309.9 –184.0 122.8 158.8 106.2 148.5 16.6 10.4 16,416.9 17,322.0 11,593.7 12,352.8 1 Data for fiscal year 2013 are from Final Monthly Treasury Statement issued October 30, 2013. 2 Data from current issue Monthly Treasury Statement. Note: Data (except as noted) are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2014, issued April 10, 2013. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 32 Held by the public Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function In the third month of fiscal year 2014, receipts were $49.0 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $70.7 billion lower. [Billions of dollars] On-budget and off-budget receipts Fiscal year or period 1995 .................................................... 1996 .................................................... 1997 .................................................... 1998 .................................................... 1999 .................................................... 2000 .................................................... 2001 .................................................... 2002 .................................................... 2003 .................................................... 2004 .................................................... 2005 .................................................... 2006 .................................................... 2007 .................................................... 2008 .................................................... 2009 .................................................... 2010 .................................................... 2011 .................................................... 2012 .................................................... 2013 1 .................................................. Cumulative total, first 3 months: 2 Fiscal year 2013 .................................. Fiscal year 2014 .................................. Total Indi- Corporavidual tion income income taxes taxes Social insurance and retirement receipts On-budget and off-budget outlays National defense Other Total Total Depart- Internament tional of affairs Defense, military Health Medicare Income Social Net security security interest Other 1,351.8 1,453.1 1,579.2 1,721.7 1,827.5 2,025.2 1,991.1 1,853.1 1,782.3 1,880.1 2,153.6 2,406.9 2,568.0 2,524.0 2,105.0 2,162.7 2,303.5 2,450.2 2,774.0 590.2 656.4 737.5 828.6 879.5 1,004.5 994.3 858.3 793.7 809.0 927.2 1,043.9 1,163.5 1,145.7 915.3 898.5 1,091.5 1,132.2 1,316.4 157.0 171.8 182.3 188.7 184.7 207.3 151.1 148.0 131.8 189.4 278.3 353.9 370.2 304.3 138.2 191.4 181.1 242.3 273.5 484.5 509.4 539.4 571.8 611.8 652.9 694.0 700.8 713.0 733.4 794.1 837.8 869.6 900.2 890.9 864.8 818.8 845.3 947.8 120.1 115.4 120.1 132.6 151.5 160.6 151.7 146.0 143.9 148.4 154.0 171.2 164.7 173.7 160.5 207.9 212.1 230.4 236.2 1,515.7 1,560.5 1,601.1 1,652.5 1,701.8 1,789.0 1,862.8 2,010.9 2,159.9 2,292.8 2,472.0 2,655.1 2,728.7 2,982.5 3,517.7 3,457.1 3,603.1 3,537.1 3,454.3 272.1 265.7 270.5 268.2 274.8 294.4 304.7 348.5 404.7 455.8 495.3 521.8 551.3 616.1 661.0 693.5 705.6 677.9 635.2 259.4 253.1 258.3 255.8 261.2 281.0 290.2 331.8 387.1 436.4 474.1 499.3 528.5 594.6 636.7 666.7 678.1 650.9 607.8 16.4 13.5 15.2 13.1 15.2 17.2 16.5 22.3 21.2 26.9 34.6 29.5 28.5 28.9 37.5 45.2 45.7 47.2 46.4 115.4 119.4 123.8 131.4 141.0 154.5 172.2 196.5 219.5 240.1 250.5 252.7 266.4 280.6 334.3 369.1 372.5 346.7 357.3 159.9 174.2 190.0 192.8 190.4 197.1 217.4 230.9 249.4 269.4 298.6 329.9 375.4 390.8 430.1 451.6 485.7 471.8 497.8 223.8 229.7 235.0 237.8 242.5 253.7 269.8 312.7 334.6 333.1 345.8 352.5 366.0 431.3 533.2 622.2 597.4 541.3 537.3 335.8 349.7 365.3 379.2 390.0 409.4 433.0 456.0 474.7 495.5 523.3 548.5 586.2 617.0 683.0 706.7 730.8 773.3 813.6 232.1 241.1 244.0 241.1 229.8 222.9 206.2 170.9 153.1 160.2 184.0 226.6 237.1 252.8 186.9 196.2 230.0 220.4 221.3 160.2 167.2 157.3 188.9 218.1 239.7 243.1 273.1 302.6 311.8 339.8 393.5 317.9 365.2 651.6 372.5 435.5 458.5 345.4 615.6 664.6 312.4 306.4 62.5 69.3 181.3 225.5 59.4 63.5 908.9 838.2 173.3 161.1 166.5 154.5 11.8 11.7 89.5 93.5 124.9 124.3 125.6 120.5 197.3 206.8 66.9 57.2 119.5 63.1 1 Data for fiscal year 2013 are from Final Monthly Treasury Statement issued October 30, 2013. 2 Data from current issue Monthly Treasury Statement. Data for Department of Defense, military, include a small amount that is classified and listed under international affairs, and not included in national defense. Note: Data (except as noted) are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2014, issued April 10, 2013. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis In the fourth quarter of 2013, according to advance estimates, Federal current expenditures fell $50.9 billion (annual rate); receipts data are incomplete. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government current receipts Current tax receipts Period Total Total 1 Calendar year: 2004 ............. 2,022.2 1,154.0 2005 ............. 2,298.1 1,384.5 2006 ............. 2,531.7 1,558.5 2007 ............. 2,660.8 1,637.1 2008 ............. 2,505.7 1,448.1 2009 ............. 2,230.1 1,163.7 2010 ............. 2,391.7 1,305.0 2011 ............. 2,516.7 1,496.1 2012 ............. 2,663.0 1,636.0 2013 p ........... ............. ............... 2010: I ............... 2,309.0 1,238.1 II .............. 2,363.1 1,279.8 III ............. 2,429.9 1,334.9 IV ............. 2,465.0 1,367.1 2011: I ............... 2,506.3 1,486.7 II .............. 2,523.1 1,503.1 III ............. 2,515.7 1,488.2 IV ............. 2,521.6 1,506.6 2012: I ............... 2,645.4 1,611.7 II .............. 2,641.1 1,614.0 III ............. 2,656.6 1,638.6 IV ............. 2,709.0 1,679.8 2013: I ............... 2,900.1 1,711.0 II .............. 3,166.9 1,742.5 III ............. 2,976.1 1,760.7 p IV .......... ............. ............... Personal current taxes 798.5 932.1 1,049.6 1,164.4 1,101.7 857.2 893.8 1,077.0 1,149.2 1,282.7 854.2 885.8 908.7 926.7 1,055.5 1,072.2 1,091.5 1,088.7 1,122.4 1,133.1 1,147.2 1,194.0 1,252.0 1,275.7 1,292.2 1,310.8 Taxes on production and imports Contributions Income for Taxes govern- receipts on on ment assets corporate social income insurance 95.2 250.3 99.4 341.0 99.2 395.0 94.6 362.8 94.0 233.7 91.4 200.4 96.8 298.7 108.6 294.2 118.0 351.0 120.4 ............... 93.1 276.8 96.3 282.4 98.9 312.8 98.7 322.7 102.9 313.8 108.5 307.3 109.2 270.2 113.9 285.7 117.2 355.3 118.6 344.9 118.2 356.1 118.0 347.9 118.8 321.0 118.6 328.7 119.3 329.3 124.8 ............... 808.9 853.4 905.7 947.2 974.4 950.8 970.9 904.3 937.8 1,093.8 958.7 970.9 975.2 978.8 898.7 902.5 910.8 905.4 929.2 932.1 934.6 955.3 1,081.7 1,091.2 1,096.9 1,105.6 1 Includes taxes from the rest of the world, not shown separately. 2 Includes an item for the difference between wage accruals and disbursements, not shown separately. 34 Federal Government current expenditures 25.3 27.3 29.0 33.4 33.9 48.5 54.6 57.4 52.9 164.6 48.9 53.0 57.8 58.7 59.3 58.2 57.5 54.8 53.9 52.2 52.2 53.3 74.1 299.6 93.4 191.3 Current transfer receipts 29.0 32.0 36.8 41.0 48.6 66.2 64.4 66.1 49.7 55.4 63.8 61.7 66.0 66.1 68.0 65.6 66.8 63.8 60.3 54.6 45.6 38.4 53.9 57.4 51.0 59.3 Current surplus of government enterprises 4.9 .9 1.8 2.0 .8 .8 –3.1 –7.3 –13.4 –24.4 –.4 –2.4 –3.9 –5.6 –6.2 –6.4 –7.6 –8.9 –9.7 –11.8 –14.4 –17.8 –20.6 –23.8 –25.9 –27.3 Total 2 2,422.0 2,603.5 2,759.8 2,927.5 3,140.8 3,479.9 3,721.3 3,764.9 3,772.7 3,793.4 3,661.3 3,703.1 3,750.0 3,770.6 3,751.3 3,836.4 3,747.4 3,724.6 3,739.4 3,787.9 3,775.8 3,787.5 3,753.2 3,820.1 3,825.7 3,774.8 ConCurrent sumption transfer Interest Subsidies expendipaypayments tures ments 3 681.4 723.4 763.9 798.4 879.8 933.7 1,003.9 1,008.7 1,011.7 971.3 979.1 1,005.1 1,018.8 1,012.7 1,001.1 1,017.4 1,013.4 1,002.7 1,009.3 1,007.4 1,036.1 993.9 982.3 976.0 972.4 954.6 1,388.5 1,475.1 1,572.4 1,673.5 1,823.5 2,135.6 2,282.5 2,274.3 2,283.6 2,349.4 2,268.2 2,259.4 2,295.4 2,307.0 2,284.6 2,306.0 2,256.8 2,249.8 2,266.3 2,273.3 2,293.1 2,301.7 2,327.2 2,347.1 2,372.0 2,351.2 306.1 344.4 372.3 408.2 388.0 353.6 380.6 422.6 420.6 414.3 360.8 385.2 381.2 395.1 407.6 453.5 417.2 411.9 406.4 450.1 391.1 434.7 386.1 438.4 422.7 410.1 46.0 –399.8 60.5 –305.4 51.1 –228.1 47.5 –266.7 49.6 –635.1 56.9 –1,249.8 54.3 –1,329.5 59.4 –1,248.3 56.8 –1,109.7 58.4 ................. 53.2 –1,352.3 53.4 –1,340.0 54.6 –1,320.1 55.9 –1,305.7 57.9 –1,244.9 59.5 –1,313.4 60.1 –1,231.7 60.2 –1,203.0 57.3 –1,094.0 57.2 –1,146.9 55.6 –1,119.3 57.3 –1,078.5 57.5 –853.1 58.5 –653.1 58.6 –849.7 58.8 ................. 3 Includes Federal grants-in-aid to State and local governments, not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis). Net Federal Government saving INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries Industrial production (2007=100; seasonally adjusted) Period United States Canada Japan France Germany Consumer prices (1982–84=100; NSA) United Kingdom Italy United States 1 Canada Japan France Germany 2004 ............... 92.5 99.9 91.8 97.8 86.2 95.2 100.1 188.9 181.0 118.7 170.4 2005 ............... 95.5 101.8 93.3 98.0 89.2 94.6 99.3 195.3 185.0 118.4 173.4 2006 ............... 97.6 101.1 97.2 99.0 94.3 98.2 99.6 201.6 188.7 118.6 176.3 2007 ............... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 207.342 192.7 118.7 178.9 2008 ............... 96.6 97.2 96.5 96.8 100.0 96.2 97.1 215.303 197.3 120.3 184.0 2009 ............... 85.7 86.5 75.6 83.3 83.6 78.3 87.8 214.537 197.9 118.7 184.1 2010 ............... 90.6 90.7 87.4 87.4 92.7 83.8 90.3 218.056 201.4 117.9 186.9 2011 r ............. 93.6 94.2 85.1 89.3 99.5 84.8 89.2 224.939 207.2 117.5 190.9 r 2012 ............. 97.0 95.1 85.2 87.1 99.1 79.4 87.0 229.594 210.4 117.5 194.6 2013 p ............. 99.6 ................ 84.7 ................ 99.1 ................ 86.7 232.957 212.4 117.9 196.3 r 2012: Nov .... 98.1 95.3 81.5 85.6 97.1 76.8 85.4 230.221 210.8 116.9 195.0 Dec r .... 98.2 94.5 82.7 86.2 97.7 77.2 86.2 229.601 209.6 117.0 195.6 2013: Jan r .... 98.2 95.2 82.1 85.8 97.0 78.0 85.3 230.280 209.7 117.0 194.6 Feb r .... 98.8 96.2 82.8 86.7 97.7 77.4 86.2 232.166 212.2 116.9 195.2 r Mar ... 99.1 96.4 82.9 86.0 98.7 76.9 86.2 232.773 212.5 117.2 196.7 Apr r .... 98.8 95.8 83.7 88.0 99.2 76.8 86.2 232.531 212.2 117.5 196.4 May r ... 99.0 95.1 85.3 87.7 97.8 76.9 86.2 232.945 212.7 117.6 196.5 June r .. 99.2 95.0 82.7 86.6 100.0 77.3 87.3 233.504 212.7 117.6 196.8 July r ... 99.0 95.5 85.5 86.0 98.7 76.6 87.3 233.596 212.8 117.9 196.2 Aug r .... 99.5 95.8 84.7 86.6 100.4 76.6 86.5 233.877 212.8 118.2 197.1 Sept r ... 100.1 96.3 85.8 86.2 99.7 76.8 87.1 234.149 213.2 118.6 196.7 Oct r ..... 100.4 97.0 86.7 85.8 98.6 77.3 87.4 233.546 212.7 118.7 196.4 r Nov .... 101.5 97.5 86.6 86.9 101.1 77.5 87.2 233.069 212.7 118.8 196.3 Dec p ... 101.8 ................ 87.6 ................ 100.3 ................ 87.7 233.049 212.2 118.9 197.0 p 2014: Jan .... ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 1 Data relate to all urban consumers. 151.4 153.7 156.2 159.7 163.9 164.5 166.3 169.7 173.1 175.7 174.1 174.6 173.8 174.8 175.6 174.8 175.4 175.6 176.4 176.4 176.4 176.1 176.4 177.1 176.1 United Kingdom Italy 255.6 219.3 260.6 225.6 266.1 232.8 270.9 242.7 280.0 252.4 282.2 251.1 286.5 262.7 294.5 276.3 303.4 285.2 307.1 293.9 304.7 288.6 305.2 290.0 305.8 288.8 306.1 290.9 306.7 292.2 306.7 293.1 306.7 293.7 307.5 293.4 307.8 293.4 309.0 294.9 308.1 296.0 307.5 296.0 306.7 296.2 307.2 297.7 307.8 .................. Sources: As reported by each country, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Note: See Note, p. 17, for information on U.S. industrial production series. U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services [Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Goods: Exports (f.a.s. value) Census basis (by end-use category) Period 2004 ............... 2005 ............... 2006 ............... 2007 ............... 2008 ............... 2009 ............... 2010 ............... 2011 ............... 2012 ............... 2013 p ............. 2012: Dec ...... 2013: Jan r .... Feb r .... Mar r ... Apr r .... May r ... June r .. July r ... Aug r .... Sept r ... Oct r ..... Nov r .... Dec p ... BOP basis 822.0 911.7 1,039.4 1,163.6 1,307.3 1,069.5 1,288.8 1,495.9 1,561.2 1,590.4 132.7 130.8 131.2 129.3 131.0 130.2 134.0 133.0 132.7 132.5 135.8 137.0 132.8 IndusFoods, trial Total, feeds, supCensus and plies basis 1 bever- and ages materials 814.9 901.1 1,026.0 1,148.2 1,287.4 1,056.0 1,278.5 1,480.3 1,545.7 1,578.9 131.5 129.6 130.7 128.5 130.2 129.3 133.4 132.0 131.5 131.2 135.0 135.8 131.6 56.6 59.0 66.0 84.3 108.3 93.9 107.7 126.2 132.8 136.0 11.0 11.7 11.8 10.6 10.3 10.1 10.5 10.9 10.5 11.9 12.5 12.4 12.8 203.9 233.0 276.0 316.4 388.0 296.5 391.7 500.5 501.1 508.2 43.9 41.3 42.8 42.5 41.7 40.7 42.3 43.9 42.6 41.3 43.0 43.5 42.4 89.2 98.4 107.3 121.3 121.5 81.7 112.0 132.8 146.1 152.1 12.1 12.1 12.4 12.2 12.7 13.1 12.6 12.5 13.1 13.1 13.0 13.1 12.3 Balance of trade (exports minus imports) Census basis (by end-use category) Auto- Consumer Capital motive vegoods goods hicles, except parts (nonfood) autoexcept motive and enautogines motive 327.5 358.4 404.0 433.0 457.7 391.2 447.5 493.0 527.4 534.1 43.8 44.3 43.4 43.1 43.9 44.7 46.2 44.6 44.8 44.7 45.0 45.3 44.2 Services (BOP basis) Goods: Imports (customs value) 103.2 115.3 129.1 146.0 161.3 149.5 165.2 175.0 181.7 188.5 15.2 15.6 15.1 14.9 16.8 15.6 16.6 15.3 15.6 15.4 16.4 15.9 15.2 BOP basis 1,488.3 1,695.8 1,878.2 1,986.3 2,141.3 1,580.0 1,939.0 2,240.0 2,302.7 2,293.5 189.9 192.0 193.3 184.6 189.4 193.0 187.8 190.8 190.6 194.7 194.4 191.3 191.6 IndusFoods, trial Total, feeds, supCensus and plies basis 1 bever- and ages materials 1,469.7 1,673.5 1,853.9 1,957.0 2,103.6 1,559.6 1,913.9 2,208.1 2,275.3 2,267.6 187.7 189.9 190.9 182.4 187.3 191.0 185.6 188.7 188.5 192.6 192.3 189.1 189.3 1 Total includes ‘‘other’’ exports or imports, not shown separately. 62.1 68.1 74.9 81.7 89.0 81.6 91.7 107.5 110.3 115.2 9.3 9.2 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.9 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.5 412.8 523.8 602.0 634.7 779.5 462.4 603.1 755.8 730.4 681.4 57.3 61.0 58.8 56.5 56.2 57.1 54.8 56.6 56.5 57.5 58.1 53.9 54.4 BOP basis Auto- Consumer Capital motive vegoods goods hicles, except parts (nonfood) autoexcept motive and enautogines motive 343.6 379.3 418.3 444.5 453.7 370.5 449.4 510.9 548.6 553.8 45.8 46.0 46.2 44.2 45.3 45.5 45.7 45.3 46.2 47.2 46.9 47.8 47.4 228.2 239.4 256.6 256.7 231.2 157.7 225.1 254.6 297.8 308.8 24.9 23.6 24.9 24.2 25.2 25.9 25.7 26.5 26.2 27.1 26.1 27.2 26.3 372.9 407.2 442.6 474.6 481.6 427.3 483.2 514.1 516.3 533.2 44.7 44.0 45.6 41.4 44.5 45.4 43.8 44.4 43.6 45.0 44.9 45.0 45.7 Exports Imports Goods, Census basis Goods Ser- Goods and vices services 341.7 376.6 421.4 489.3 533.0 508.7 555.7 617.0 649.3 682.0 56.0 56.0 55.7 55.5 56.3 56.7 57.1 56.8 57.1 57.0 57.5 57.7 58.5 280.3 300.4 335.0 365.6 401.3 381.8 404.9 429.7 442.5 450.3 37.1 36.9 36.8 36.7 37.3 37.5 37.7 37.6 37.8 37.6 38.0 38.1 38.4 –654.8 –772.4 –828.0 –808.8 –816.2 –503.6 –635.4 –727.8 –729.6 –688.7 –56.2 –60.3 –60.2 –53.9 –57.0 –61.8 –52.2 –56.7 –56.9 –61.4 –57.3 –53.3 –57.6 –666.4 –784.1 –838.8 –822.7 –834.0 –510.6 –650.2 –744.1 –741.5 –703.2 –57.2 –61.2 –62.1 –55.4 –58.3 –62.9 –53.8 –57.8 –57.9 –62.2 –58.6 –54.2 –58.8 61.5 76.2 86.4 123.7 131.7 126.9 150.8 187.3 206.8 231.6 18.9 19.1 18.9 18.8 19.0 19.2 19.4 19.2 19.2 19.4 19.5 19.7 20.1 –604.9 –707.9 –752.4 –699.1 –702.3 –383.7 –499.4 –556.8 –534.7 –471.5 –38.3 –42.1 –43.2 –36.5 –39.3 –43.6 –34.4 –38.6 –38.7 –42.7 –39.1 –34.6 –38.7 Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis). Note: BOP refers to balance of payments on international transactions basis. BOP data shown here are consistent with figures shown on pp. 36 and 37. 35 U.S. International Transactions In the third quarter of 2013, the goods deficit increased to $178.6 billion from $175.7 billion in the second quarter. The current account deficit fell to $94.8 billion in the third quarter from $96.6 billion in the second quarter. [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (–)] Goods 1 Period 2003 .................... 2004 .................... 2005 .................... 2006 .................... 2007 .................... 2008 .................... 2009 .................... 2010 .................... 2011 .................... 2012 .................... 2011: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2012: I ................ II ............... III .............. IV .............. 2013: I ................ II ............... III p ............ Exports 729,816 821,986 911,686 1,039,406 1,163,605 1,307,329 1,069,475 1,288,795 1,495,853 1,561,239 360,094 371,315 381,584 382,860 387,559 391,867 391,474 390,339 390,705 394,653 397,602 Imports –1,272,089 –1,488,349 –1,695,820 –1,878,194 –1,986,347 –2,141,287 –1,580,025 –1,938,950 –2,239,991 –2,302,714 –541,789 –558,987 –565,472 –573,745 –581,163 –578,355 –570,454 –572,742 –570,162 –570,390 –576,232 Services Balance on goods –542,273 –666,364 –784,133 –838,788 –822,743 –833,957 –510,550 –650,156 –744,139 –741,475 –181,694 –187,672 –183,888 –190,885 –193,604 –186,487 –178,980 –182,403 –179,457 –175,736 –178,630 Net military transactions 2 –15,964 –15,374 –13,118 –9,535 –8,406 –11,294 –12,054 –13,520 –8,931 –6,214 –2,628 –2,125 –1,994 –2,184 –1,901 –1,824 –1,591 –898 –826 –902 –617 Net travel and transportation –12,451 –16,225 –14,549 –11,276 2,599 16,365 14,527 21,156 31,444 35,879 6,472 7,628 9,001 8,343 7,883 8,759 9,359 9,878 10,957 10,908 10,760 Other services, net 80,142 93,065 103,885 107,199 129,486 126,585 124,419 143,140 164,789 177,154 41,467 41,617 42,192 39,513 44,675 44,252 42,183 46,046 46,694 47,608 47,748 Balance on goods and services –490,545 –604,897 –707,914 –752,399 –699,065 –702,302 –383,657 –499,379 –556,838 –534,656 –136,385 –140,551 –134,689 –145,214 –142,947 –135,302 –129,029 –127,378 –122,633 –118,122 –120,738 Income receipts and payments Receipts 322,411 415,793 537,339 684,677 833,951 814,086 606,599 678,051 760,829 776,364 182,980 190,583 195,041 192,225 194,071 193,097 192,327 196,869 191,610 195,443 196,588 Payments –279,651 –351,664 –469,709 –641,338 –733,345 –667,941 –483,019 –500,392 –528,181 –552,437 –127,895 –135,148 –133,973 –131,165 –139,195 –135,639 –137,697 –139,905 –140,730 –139,445 –136,590 Balance on income 42,760 64,129 67,630 43,338 100,606 146,144 123,580 177,659 232,648 223,928 55,085 55,435 61,068 61,061 54,876 57,457 54,630 56,965 50,881 55,997 59,998 Unilateral current transfers, net 3 –70,873 –88,559 –99,512 –89,417 –114,929 –125,185 –121,559 –127,751 –133,535 –129,688 –35,343 –33,788 –32,005 –32,401 –32,771 –32,668 –32,343 –31,906 –33,143 –34,488 –34,100 Balance on current account –518,657 –629,327 –739,796 –798,478 –713,389 –681,343 –381,636 –449,471 –457,725 –440,416 –116,643 –118,903 –105,626 –116,554 –120,842 –110,513 –106,742 –102,320 –104,895 –96,613 –94,840 2 Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts (exports) minus direct defense expendi1 Adjusted from Census data to align with concepts and definitions used to prepare the international and national economic accounts. The adjustments are necessary to supplement coverage tures (imports). 3 Includes transfers of goods and services under U.S. military grant programs. of Census data, to eliminate duplication of transactions recorded elsewhere in the international accounts, to value transactions according to a standard definition, and for earlier years, to record See p. 37 for continuation of table. transactions in the appropriate period. 36 U.S. International Transactions—Continued In the financial account, U.S.-owned assets abroad increased $74.3 billion in the third quarter of 2013, following an increase of $106.2 billion in the second quarter. Foreign-owned assets in the United States increased $148.2 billion in the third quarter, following an increase of $168.2 billion in the second quarter. [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (–)] Financial account Period U.S.-owned assets abroad, excluding financial derivatives [increase/financial outflow (–)] Capital account transactions, net Total 2003 .................... –1,821 2004 .................... 3,049 2005 .................... 13,116 2006 .................... –1,788 2007 .................... 384 2008 .................... 6,010 2009 .................... –140 2010 .................... –157 2011 .................... –1,212 2012 .................... 6,956 2011: I ................ –29 II ............... –829 III .............. –300 IV .............. –55 2012: I ................ –1 II ............... –241 III .............. –470 IV .............. 7,668 2013: I ................ –40 II ............... –227 III p ............ ................... –325,424 –1,000,870 –546,631 –1,285,729 –1,453,604 332,109 –128,860 –909,953 –452,304 –97,469 –355,433 20,385 –84,425 –32,831 93,519 192,062 –267,054 –115,996 –229,070 –106,201 –74,295 U.S. official reserve assets 4 1,523 2,805 14,096 2,374 –122 –4,848 –52,256 –1,834 –15,877 –4,460 –3,619 –6,267 –4,079 –1,912 –1,233 –3,289 –833 895 –876 191 1,001 Other U.S. Government assets 537 1,710 5,539 5,346 –22,273 –529,615 541,342 7,540 –103,666 85,331 –547 –1,358 –1,137 –100,624 51,087 16,650 15,206 2,388 –446 3,115 850 Statistical discrepancy Foreign-owned assets in the U.S., excluding financial derivatives [increase/financial inflow (+)] U.S. Private assets –327,484 –1,005,385 –566,266 –1,293,449 –1,431,209 866,571 –617,946 –915,659 –332,761 –178,341 –351,267 28,009 –79,209 69,705 43,665 178,701 –281,428 –119,279 –227,748 –109,507 –76,146 4 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), foreign currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Total 858,303 1,533,201 1,247,347 2,065,169 2,064,642 431,406 315,063 1,333,921 969,006 543,884 560,627 112,919 256,164 39,296 177,381 –176,468 300,570 242,401 265,544 168,191 148,154 Foreign official assets 278,069 397,755 259,268 487,939 481,043 554,634 480,286 398,309 253,816 393,922 72,443 121,361 53,851 6,161 144,468 57,374 107,684 84,396 126,871 –6,577 68,514 Other foreign assets Financial derivatives, net 580,234 ................... 1,135,446 ................... 988,079 ................... 1,577,230 29,710 1,583,599 6,222 –123,228 –32,947 –165,223 44,816 935,612 14,076 715,190 35,006 149,962 –7,064 488,184 2,952 –8,442 9,806 202,313 –1,617 33,135 23,865 32,913 –7,339 –233,842 2,419 192,886 –5,129 158,005 2,985 138,673 3,948 174,768 3,511 79,640 –6,569 Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) –12,401 93,947 25,964 –8,884 95,745 –55,235 150,757 11,585 –92,771 –5,891 –91,475 –23,377 –64,196 86,279 –142,718 92,741 78,825 –34,738 64,513 31,339 27,550 Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... ................... 13,068 –15,466 –24,180 26,580 13,576 –16,117 –21,229 23,771 15,089 –12,827 –14,302 U.S. official reserve assets, net (unadjusted, end of period) 4 85,938 86,824 65,127 65,895 70,565 77,648 130,760 132,433 147,953 150,175 139,315 147,660 148,487 147,953 149,078 149,830 153,075 150,175 146,329 145,703 147,747 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 CONTENTS TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross Domestic Product ....................................................................................................................................................... 1 Real Gross Domestic Product ............................................................................................................................................... 2 Chained Price Indexes For Gross Domestic Product ........................................................................................................... 2 Gross Domestic Product and Related Price Measures: Indexes and Percent Changes .......................................................... 3 Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Gross Value Added and Price, Costs, and Profits ......................................................... 3 National Income ................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Real Personal Consumption Expenditures ........................................................................................................................... 4 Sources of Personal Income .................................................................................................................................................. 5 Disposition of Personal Income ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Real Farm Income ................................................................................................................................................................ 7 Corporate Profits .................................................................................................................................................................. 8 Real Gross Private Domestic Investment .............................................................................................................................. 9 Real Private Fixed Investment by Type ................................................................................................................................. 10 Business Investment .............................................................................................................................................................. 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force ...................................................................................................................................................... Selected Unemployment Rates .............................................................................................................................................. Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs .................................................................. Nonagricultural Employment ............................................................................................................................................... Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries ............................... Employment Cost Index—Private Industry ......................................................................................................................... Productivity and Related Data, Business and Nonfarm Business Sectors ............................................................................. 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization ................................................................................................................... 17 Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures ......................................................................... 18 New Construction ................................................................................................................................................................ 19 New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates ............................................................................................................................. 19 Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade ................................................................................................. 20 Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders ............................................................................................................. 21 PRICES Producer Prices ..................................................................................................................................................................... Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers ............................................................................................................................ Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods ................................................................................................................... Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers ......................................................................................................... Prices Received and Paid by Farmers .................................................................................................................................... 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock and Debt Measures ......................................................................................................................................... Components of Money Stock ............................................................................................................................................... Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base ................................................................................................................................ Bank Credit at All Commercial Banks ................................................................................................................................. Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business ............................................................................. Consumer Credit .................................................................................................................................................................. Interest Rates and Bond Yields ............................................................................................................................................. Common Stock Prices and Yields ......................................................................................................................................... 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt .................................................................................................................................... 32 Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function ........................................................................................................... 33 Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis .................................................................................................................. 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries .......................................................................... 35 U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services ................................................................................................................... 35 U.S. International Transactions ............................................................................................................................................ 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. r Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA Not seasonally adjusted. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 2014 86-538