Full text of Economic Indicators : January 1981
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97th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators JANUARY 1981 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1981 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) HENRY S. REUSS, Wisconsin, Chairman ROGER W. JEPSEN, Iowa, Vke Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) LEE H. HAMILTON (Indiana) JAMES ABDNOR (South Dakota) STEVEN D. SYMMS (Idaho) GILLIS W. LONG (Louisiana) PAULA HAWKINS (Florida) PARREN J. MITCHELL (Maryland) MACK MATTINGLY (Georgia) FREDERICK W. RICHMOND (New York) LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) MARGARET M. HECKLER (Massachusetts) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JOHN H. ROUSSELOT (California) PAUL S. SARBANES (Maryland) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) JAMES K. GALBRAITH, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS MURRAY L. WEIDENBAUM, Chairman-Designate [PUBLIC LAW 120—Slsx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.00 a single copy or by subscription at $17.00 per year ($21.25 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 The 1980 Supplement fo Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at $5.00 a copy from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office. It should be noted that many of the series have undergone major revisions since the Supplement was published in the fall of 1980. TOTAL OUTPUT, AND GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT According to preliminary estimates for the fourth quarter, gross national product rose $104.1 billion or 16.7 percent, both at annual rates. Real output (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 5.0 percent from the third quarter level and the implicit price deflator rose at an 11.2 percent annual rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 3,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 3,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 2,800 2,900 2,600 2,400 2,400 2,200 2,000 GNP IN! CURRENT DOLLARS, \ 1,800 1,800 1,60) 1,600 t,400 1,40) GNP IN 1972 DOLLW^ 1,200 I I I 1973 \ \ t974 i i 1 1975 1 i 1973 1 1 1 1 i 1 197S I I I 197$ (SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ' 1 1 1 1 I98f 1980 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross national product Period 1970. 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975. 1976 1977 1978 1979 _ 1980 9. Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment Exporl:s and imj:>orts of gooc1s and serdees Federal Net exports 992.7 621.7 1, 077. 6 672.2 1, 185. 9 737. 1 1, 326. 4 812. 0 1, 434. 2 888. 1 1, 549. 2 976.4 1, 718. 0 1? 084. 3 1, 918. 0 1, 205. 5 2, 156. 1 l} 348. 7 _ 2, 413. 9 1, 510. 9 2, 628. 8 1, 671. 1 144.2 166.4 195.0 229. 8 228.7 206. 1 257.9 322.3 375.3 415.8 396.8 I.... 2, 340. 6 1, 454. 1 !!___ 2, 374. 6 1, 478. 0 III__ 2, 444. 1 1, 529. 1 IV__ 2, 496. 3 1, 582. 3 408.3 423.2 421.7 410.0 17.9 1980: !__._ 2? 571. 7 1, 631. 0 II... 2, 564. 8 1, 626. 8 III.. 2, 637. 3 1, 682. 2 IV*>_ 2, 741. 4 1, 744. 4 415.6 390.9 377. 1 403.7 17.1 44.5 34.5 1979: 6.7 4. 1 .7 14.2 13.4 26.8 13.8 —4. 2 -.6 13.4 26. 1 19.9 8.2 7.6 8.2 Exports Imports Total 65.7 68.8 77.5 109.6 146.2 154.9 170.9 183.3 219.8 281.3 340.6 59.0 64.7 76.7 95.4 132.8 128. 1 157. 1 187.5 220.4 267. 9 314.5 259. 1 266.8 293. 1 306.3 State and local Final sales Total National defense 220.1 234.9 253.1 270.4 304. 1 339.9 362. 1 394.5 432.6 473.8 534.8 95.7 96.2 101.7 102.0 111.0 122.7 129.2 143. 9 153.4 167.9 199.2 73.6 70.2 73.1 72.8 77.0 83.0 86.0 93.3 100.0 111.2 131.9 22.2 26. 0 28.5 29.1 33.9 39.7 43.2 50.6 53.4 56.7 67.3 1244 138.7 151.4 168.5 193. 1 217.2 232. 9 250.6 279.2 305.9 335.6 989.5 1, 070. 0 1, 175. 7 1, 307. 9 1, 420. 1 1? 556. 1 1, 706. 2 1, 897. 0 2, 133. 9 2, 396. 4 2; 631. 8 239.2 258.6 275.2 298. 7 458.2 465. 1 475.4 496.4 164.8 163.6 165. 1 178. 1 106.0 108. 1 112.0 118.7 58.8 55.5 53. 1 59.4 293.4 301.6 310.4 318. 3 2, 316. 2 2, 341. 5 2, 430. 8 2, 497. 1 337. 3 329. 1 333. '3 • 316. 2 342. 4 "•297. '9 '*349.'2 ' 314. 7 516.8 530.0 533.5 558.8 190.0 198.7 194.9 213.3 125.0 128.7 131.4 142.7 64.9 70.0 63.5 70.6 326.8 331.3 338.6 345.5 2, 569. 1 2, 557. 4 2, 653. 4 2, 747. 1 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the nationalincome and product accounts. For see Survey of Current December-1980. Goi/eminent purchases of goods and services Nondefense Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1972 DOLLARS [Billions of 1972 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gross ]private dc mestic iiivestment Exijorts of gc>ods and service5S Governrnent pure bases of good s and seryiees Personal conGross national sumption product expenditures w«_. jw onresidential fixed Residential fixed 1970 _ _ 1, 085. 6 1, 122. 4 1971__ 1, 185. 9 1972 1973_ _ _ 1, 255. 0 1, 248. 0 1974 1975. _ . I, 233. 9 1, 300. 4 1976 1, 371. 7 1977 1, 436. 9 1978 1, 483. 0 1979 1? 481. 8 1980 ». 672. 1 696.8 737. 1 768.5 763.6 780.2 823.7 863.9 904.8 930. 9 934.2 113.8 112.2 121.0 138. 1 135.7 119.3 125.6 140.6 153.4 163.3 157.7 41.0 53.7 63.8 62.3 48.2 42.2 51.2 60. 6 62.4 59.1 47.9 3.8 8. 1 10.2 17.2 11.6 -6.7 7.8 12.3 14.0 10.2 -1.2 3.9 1.6 .7 15.5 27.8 32.2 25.4 21.9 24. 6 37.7 53. 1 70.5 71.0 77.5 97.3 108.5 103.6 110. 1 113.2 127.5 146.9 161.6 66. 6 69.3 76.7 81.8 80.7 71.4 84. 7 91.3 103.0 109.2 108.5 251. 1 250. 1 253. 1 253.5 261.2 266.7 266.8 272.3 277.8 281.8 290. 1 110.6 103.7 101.7 95.9 96.6 97.4 96.8 100.7 99.8 101.7 108.4 140.5 146.4 151.4 157.6 164.5 169.3 170.0 171.6 178.0 180. 1 181.7 1, 081. 8 1, 114. 3 1, 175. 7 1, 237. 8 1, 236. 4 1, 240. 6 1, 292. 7 1, 359. 3 1, 423. 0 1,472.9 1, 483. 0 1, 479. 9 1979: 1 !!___ 1, 473. 4 Ill— 1, 48a 2 IV_. 1, 490. 6 925.5 922.8 933.4 941.6 161.4 161.3 166.4 164.1 60.8 59.1 58.6 58.1 15.4 18.4 7.6 -.7 36.0 31.6 41. 1 42.2 141. 1 140.5 151.3 154.8 105. 1 108.8 110.2 112. 6 280.6 280.3 281. 1 285.3 102.9 100.8 99.9 103. 1 177.7 179.4 181.2 182.2 1, 464. 4 1, 455. 0 1, 480. 6 1, 491. 3 1980: 1-_- 1, 501. 9 II.._ 1, 463. 3 III- 1, 471. 9 IV *_ 1, 490. 1 943.4 919.3 930.8 943.0 165.0 156. 1 155.5 154.3 54.2 43.1 44.7 49.8 Q 50. 1 51.7 57.6 52.9 165.9 160.5 160.5 159.5 115.8 L3 -5.0 -.2 290. 1 291.9 288.2 290.2 107.6 110.7 106.9 108.6 182.5 181.2 181. 3 181.6 1, 502. 8 1, 462. 0 1, 476. 9 1, 490. 3 Period Change in busi•Kf-x iNet Exports Imports ness in- exports ventories Total ioa9 102.8 106.6 Federal State and local Final sales IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1972=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Persona1 consumpition expenditures Gross national product Period Total 1970 1971 _ 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 19771978_ 1979 _ _ 9 1980: !___ II III IV »„ Exports Imports Federal State and local 93.6 96.6 100.0 108.3 123. 1 132. 1 137.0 143.4 153. 2 169.8 188.6 90.5 95.6 100.0 104.7 113.0 121. 6 129.6 139.9 150. 1 162. 1 178. 1 91.3 96.2 100. 0 103.8 115.4 132.2 138.6 146.2 157.7 171. 3 186.9 90.5 94.8 100.0 109. 1 120.3 131. 0 140.7 158.0 178.3 200.5 219. 1 93.2 97.0 100.0 112.7 134.7 149.6 155.2 161.9 172.4 191.5 210. 7 88.6 93.3 100.0 116. 7 164.6 179.5 185.5 205.4 214.0 245.4 289. 8 86.6 92.7 100.0 106.3 114.9 126.0 133.5 142.9 153.7 165. 1 183.7 88. 6 94.7 100.0 106.9 117.4 128. 3 137.0 146. 0 156.9 169.8 184.7 16 17 23 47 157. 1 160.2 163.8 168.0 142.0 143.9 145.4 148.0 162.9 167.3 172. 1 176.9 157. 7 159.9 163. 3 167.4 165. 5 169.2 173.4 176.8 191.9 198.4 204.6 207.7 183.7 189.9 193.7 197.9 227.7 237.6 249.8 265.2 160. 1 162.2 165.2 172.8 165. 1 168. 1 171.3 174.7 __ 171. 23 175. 28 179. 18 183. 98 172.9 177.0 180.7 185.0 151.9 154. 1 157.5 160.6 182.9 186.2 190.0 195. 2 171.6 176.0 180. 3 184.3 180.5 185.7 189. 1 192.6 212. 6 217.4 221. 9 225.3 203.4 207.6 213.4 218.9 284.2 290.4 289.7 295.2 176.5 179.5 182.4 196. 3 179. 1 182. 8 186.7 190.2 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Governnaent purchases <jf goods and scjrvices 95.7 99.0 100. 0 101.7 108.2 117. 3 123.9 129.2 136.2 144.8 156.0 158. 161. 164. 167. _ Nonres- ResiNonT\ t^t Durable Services idential dential goods durable fixed fixed goods Exports and imports of goods and stjrvices 92.5 96.5 100.0 105.7 116.3 125.2 131.6 139.5 149. 1 162.3 178.9 91.45 96.01 _ 100. 00 . _ 105. 69 114. 92 125. 56 132. 11 139. 83 150. 05 162. 77 177. 40 1979: 1 _ II III_ IV Gross private dom estic invesibment Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP AND GNP PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted rates] Gross <domestic \jroduct Gross national pproduct C0a* s tan t (1972) dollars Current dol- Period 1a*e 1969 1970 1971 1972. 1973.1974 - ...... .. . 1975.— . ;....-. 1976 ....•^.*..t 1977 ™.... 1978 1979 1980 9 . 1979: 1 II . III.™ IV . 1980: L... — — II III IV* §. i 5.2 8.6 10.1 11.8 8.1 S.0 m» -lie.12.4 12.0 a9 12.7 &t 12. 2 8.8 12.6 -1.1 1L 8 16.7 Implicit price deflator 2.8 —.2 3.4 5*7 5.8 -.6 — 1. 1 &4 5, 5 4.8 3.2 —. 1 3.9 -1.7 4.1 .6 3.1 —9.9 2.4 5.0 Chain price index 5.1 5.4 5.0 4.2 5.7 8.7 9.3 5.2 5.8 7.3 8.5 9.0 8.4 7.8 7.8 8.1 9.3 9.8 9.2 11.2 NOTE.—Annual changes from previous year and quarterly changes from previous quarter. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) 5.1 5.4 4.9 4. 1 5.8 9.0 9.1 5.7 6. 1 7.5 8.6 8.5 8.8 ao 7.4 8.5 8.3 as 9.4 11.0 5.1 5.2 4.8 40 5.8 9.3 9.0 5.7 6.3 7.6 9.2 9.4 9.1 8.5 8.9 9.7 9.8 9.1 9.2 10.7 Current dollora 8.1 5.2 8.4 10.0 11.5 7.9 8.3 10.8 11.6 12.2 11.5 as 12.1 5.8 11.1 9.3 12.0 -.6 11.6 17.1 Constant (1972) dollars 2.8 —.2 3.3 5.6 5.5 -.7 -.9 5.3 5.4 4.6 2.8 -.2 3.4 -1.9 3.0 1.0 2.5 -9.4 2.2 5.4 Implicit price deflator 5.2 5.4 5.0 4.2 5,7 8.7 9.3 5.2 5.8 7.3 8.5 9.0 8.4 7.8 7.8 8.1 9.3 9.8 9.2 11.1 Chain price index 5.1 5.4 4.9 4.1 5.8 9.0 9.1 5.7 6.2 7.5 8.7 8.5 8.8 ao 7.4 as a2 8.5 9.4 10.9 Fixedweighted price index (1972 weights) 5.1 5.2 4.8 4.0 5.8 9.3 9.0 5.7 6.3 7.6 9.2 9.4 9.2 8.5 a9 9.7 9.8 9.1 9.2 10.7 Date reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Data for chain price and fixed-weighted indexes are subject to further revision. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS—OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS Gross c omestic prodi ict of nonfin ancial corp<srate bus!ness (billic>ns of doll ars) Period Current dollars 1972 dollars 544. 1 563.7 609.9 678. 0 759.4 818.9 890.0 1, 001. 3 1, 129. 5 1, 270. 7 1, 417. 0 1, 535. 1 1, 378. 7 1, 399. 5 III.. 1, 432. 1 !¥___ 1, 457. 7 1980: !____ 1,502.1 !!___ 1, 496. 3 Ill ^. 1, 537. 7 604.0 599. 6 626. 8 678.0 731.9 708.2 694.2 745.5 799.0 845. 1 873.3 866.8 8747 870.8 874.3 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 9_ 1979: 1 EL__ 873. 4 878.2 853.2 860.4 [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) i Total cost and profit 2 0.901 .940 .973 1.000 1.038 L156 1.282 1.343 1.414 1.504 1.623 1.771 1.576 1.607 1.638 1.669 1.710 1.754 1.787 Capital consumption Compenallowances Indirect sation business of with capital taxes * employees consumption adjustment Net interest 0.594 .631 .641 .659 .692 .786 .837 .878 .924 .996 1.092 1. 197 1.052 1.079 1. 104 1. 135 1. 158 1. 193 1.203 0.022 .028 .029 .028 .031 .042 .044 .040 .042 .044 .052 .065 .047 .050 .053 .056 .060 .064 .067 0. 078 .087 .091 .092 .093 . 112 . 137 . 141 .146 .153 . 169 .191 .161 . 168 .172 .175 . 180 . 192 . 196 0.096 . 106 .113 .113 . 114 .127 .140 . 141 .144 .148 .153 .176 .150 .151 . 154 .157 . 161 .173 I 181 »Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business in 1972 dollars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinaneial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 3 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. Corpcirate profi ts with invent ory valualbion and capii ;al consul) iption jidjustmec ts Total 0. 112 .088 .099 .107 .107 .090 .124 .144 .158 . 163 . 157 . 142 .167 . 159 . 154 .146 .151 . 132 . 141 Profits tax liability 0.055 .045 .047 .049 .055 .059 .059 .071 .074 .080 .080 .072 .081 .079 .081 .078 .085 .061 . 070 Profits after4 tax 0.057 .043 .052 .058 .053 .030 .065 .073 .084 .083 .077 .071 .086 .080 .074 .067 .066 .071 .071 ComOutput penper sation hour per of all hour employ- of all employees /I Af O (1972 ees dollars) (dollars) 7.098 7. 126 7.467 7.688 7.891 7.622 7.881 8. 132 8.348 8.384 8.368 4213 4.498 4788 5.068 5.458 5.989 6.596 7.138 7.713 8.347 9.142 8.390 8. 392 8. 368 8. 316 8. 345 8.335 8.474 8.825 9.057 9.238 9.436 9. 667 9.945 10. 192 * With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For detail?, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] National income Period Compensation of employ-1 ees Propnietors1 mcom e with inventor y valuation anc capital consulnption adjust ments Farm 612.0 652. 2 718.0 801.3 877.5 931.4 1, 036. 3 1, 152. 3 1, 299. 7 1, 460. 9 1, 596. 7 1, 409. 9 1, 439. 0 1, 476. 7 1, 518. 1 2, osa 5 1, 558. 0 2, 070. 0 1, 569. 0 _. 2, 122. 4 1, 597. 4 1, 662. 4 810.7 871.5 963. 6 1, 086. 2 1, 160. 7 1, 239. 4 1, 379. 2 1, 546. 5 1, 745. 4 1, 963. 3 2, 121. 4 1, 903. 6 1, 932. 0 1, 986. 2 2,031.3 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 » 1979: I II III IV 1980: I II HI. IVX— ' 14.3 15.0 18.7 32.8 26.5 24.6 19. 1 18.4 26. 1 30.8 23.4 30.9 32.6 30.2 29.5 25.7 23.3 22.1 22.5 Nonfarm Rental income of perwith capital consumption adjustment 51.9 54.4 58. 1 61.0 62.2 65.4 75.0 85. 1 91.0 100.7 107.2 96.8 96.8 102.7 106.8 107.9 101.6 107.6 111.7 19.7 20.2 21.0 22.6 23.5 23.0 23.5 25. 1 27.4 30.5 31.9 30.7 30. 1 30.3 31.0 31.2 31.5 32.0 32.6 »Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Corpor ate profitss with inventory va luation and capital co nsumptio n adjustm ents Profits » with inv entory valualdon adjustment and '\vithout 02ipital consum ption adjiistment Total Total 71.4 83.2 96. 6 108.3 949 110.5 138. 1 164.7 185.5 196.8 182. 1 201.9 196.6 199.5 189.4 200.2 169.3 177. 9 68.9 82.0 94.0 105.6 96.7 120.6 151.6 176.7 199.0 212.7 199.4 217.8 213.0 215.6 204.5 215.6 186.9 195.9 Profits before tax Inven+/%_«? tory valua•f ion Capital Net coninterest sumption adjustment adjustment 75.4 86.6 100. 6 125.6 136.7 132. 1 166.3 192.6 223.3 255.4 242.7 253.1 250.9 262. 0 255.4 277.1 217.9 237.6 -6.6 -46 -6.6 -20.0 -40.0 -11.6 -147 -15.8 -243 -42.6 -43. 3 -35.3 -37.9 -46. 5 -50.8 -61.4 -31.1 -41.7 -38.9 2.5 1.3 2.7 2.7 -1.8 -10.1 -13.5 -12.0 -13.5 -15.9 -17.2 -15.9 -16.4 -16.1 -15. 1 "~*~" JL-O. 4c -17.6 -17.9 -ia i 41.4 46.5 51.2 60.2 76. 1 845 87.2 100.9 115.8 143. 4 180. 1 133.4 136.9 146.8 156.5 165.4 175.3 185.3 1943 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nondura ale goods Durable goo<is Total personal consumption Total expendi- durable goods l tures Motor vehicles and parts 1970 1971 1972.. 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978. 1979 1980'. 621.7 672.2 737. 1 812. 0 888.1 976.4 1, 084 3 1, 205. 5 1, 348. 7 1, 510. 9 1, 671. 1 85.2 97.2 111. 1 123.3 121.5 132.2 156.8 178.8 199.3 212.3 211.6 36.2 45.4 52.4 57.1 50.4 55.8 72.6 85.0 943 95.5 89.8 Furniture and household equipment 35.2 37.2 41.7 47.1 50.6 53.5 59. 1 65.8 72.9 81.1 846 1979: I II 1, 454 1 1, 478. 0 1, 529. 1 1, 582. 3 212.5 207.4 213.3 216.1 100.1 91.7 947 95. 4 1, 631. 0 1,626.8 1, 682. 2 IV*... 1,7444 220.9 1944 208.8 222.1 100. 6 77.5 87.0 93.9 Period m— IV. 1S§0: I n.™ iii. .. Total nondurable goods 1 Clothing Gasoline Services and and oil shoes 265.7 278.8 300.6 333. 4 373.4 407.3 441.7 479.0 529.8 602.2 6743 138.9 144.2 1549 172. 1 193.7 213.6 230.6 250.3 276.4 312. 1 3447 46.8 50.6 55.4 61.4 648 69.6 75.3 82. 1 91.9 98.9 1046 22.4 23.9 25.4 28.6 36.6 40.4 78.0 80.1 82.4 83.8 571.8 586.4 611.5 639.2 299.1 306.0 3143 329.0 83.6 81. 3 846 88.8 661. 1 6640 6742 697.8 336.2 338. 4 347.7 356.5 i Total includes other items not shown separately. NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national ineomeand product accounts. For details, see Survey ttf Current Buftoea, December 1980. 4 Food Retail sales of new passenger cars(nlillions of u]tuts) Do- Immes- ports tics 48.2 52.7 68.4 89.1 270.8 296.2 325.3 355. 2 393.2 437.0 485 7 547.7 619.6 696.3 785.3 7.1 8.7 9.3 9.6 7.4 7.0 8.5 9.0 9.2 8.2 6.6 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.6 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.4 95.8 97.0 100.3 102.5 60.6 63.2 72.1 77.6 669.9 6842 7043 727.0 9.1 7.9 &5 7.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.4 102.2 102.3 105.3 89.4 90.9 85.3 90.7 749.0 768.4 799.2 8245 7.9 5.5 6.5 6.7 2.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 ioa7 440 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic'Analysis. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $21.0 billion (annual rate) in December following a rise of $25.2 billion in November. Wages and salaries were up $12.9 billion in December compared with an increase of $18.4 billion in November. OF DOLLARS*{RAT1O SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 2,800 2,400 2,400 2,000 2,000 1,600 1,600 WOO: 1,400 1,200 1,200 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 1,000 1,000 ~*m^*^ 800 . i^——™*^ BOO 600 600 OTHER |NCOME 400 400 TRANSFER PAYMENTS ' \ 200 200 160 160 120 120 100 100 i IN i h n M 80 1974 1973 1975 1977 1976 1979 1978 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOWCfe DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Dec COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVJSPS- [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage ? Rental Personal Personal Transfer Total Other Propriety>rs income s income and personal salary labor 12 dividend interest pay- 5 of income disburseincome Farm Nonfarm persons 4 income income ments l ments 1973 _ 1, 065. 2 702.7 1974 „ 1, 16& 6 765.7 1975 __ 1, 265. 0 806.4 1976 1, 391. 2 889.9 1977___ _ _ 1, 538. 0 983.8 1978 _ 1, 721. 8 1, 105. 2 1979 1, 943. 8 1, 236. 1 1980 » 2, 161. 0 1, 343. 8 2, 051. 8 1, 293. 1 Jan 2, 077. 2 Feb 2, 086. 4 Mar. _ _ 2, 101. 0 Apr 2, 102. 1 2, 114. 1 May June. I. 2, 127. 1 July___ 2, 161. 2 Aug 2, 179. 4 Sept___ 2, 205. 7 Oct 2? 235. 3 Nov *__ 2, 260, 4 Dec 2*_ .2, 281. 5 1, 306. 1 1, 315. 0 1, 322. 9 1, 317. 8 1, 320. 1 1, 323. 2 1, 326. 3 1, 342. 4 1, 356. 8 1? 381. 7 1, 400. 2 1, 413. 1 Less: PerNonsonal confarm tributions personal for social income 6 insurance 48.8 55.8 64.5 75.9 89.0 102.2 118.6 137. 1 32.8 26.5 24.6 19. 1 18.4 26. 1 30.8 23.4 61.0 62.2 65.4 75.0 85. 1 91.0 100.7 107.2 22. 6 23.5 23.0 23.5 25. 1 27.4 30.5 31.9 26.5 29. 1 29.9 36.5 38.7 43. 1 48.6 544 93.9 112.4 123.2 132. 5 151.6 173.2 209. 6 256.6 119.5 141.2 178.3 194.3 207.5 223.3 249.4 294.4 42.6 47.9 50.4 55.5 61. 1 69.6 80.6 87.9 1, 023. 7 1, 131. 8 1, 229. 1 1, 359. 3 1, 505. 0 1, 679. 2 1, 892. 9 2, 113. 3 127.5 29.6 107.6 31.2 50.9 229.5 265.1 82.9 2, 000. 7 129. 1 130.8 132.6 133.8 135.0 136.3 137.7 139.1 140.4 141.9 143.5 145.0 27. 6 25.2 24.4 23.8 23.3 22.8 22.4 22.0 21.9 22. 1 22.3 23. 1 109.5 108.2 106. 1 102.7 101.0 101.0 105. 1 106.3 111.4 111. 5 112.0 111. 6 31.4 30.8 31.4 31.6 31.3 31. 6 31. 8 32.0 32.2 32.4 32.6 32,8 51.6 52.4 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.7 54. 7 55.2 55.4 55. 5 55.9 56.7 235.2 240.0 244.5 248.3 253.7 258.9 260. 4 261. 7 263.2 266. 6 271.3 275.9 272.7 270.4 271.9 275.9 281.4 284.6 309.7 309.0 313.4 313.8 314.1 315. 3 86. 1 86.4 86.2 85.6 85.8 86.2 87.0 88.3 89. 1 90.4 91.4 92.0 2, 027. 4 2, 038. 3 2, 053. 1 2, 054. 7 2, 067. 0 2, 080. 3 2, 114. 5 2, 132. 7 2, 15& 7 2, 187. 9 2? 212. 7 2, 232. 7 1 The of wage and disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contribufor insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. 8 of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare workmen's compensation; directors' fees; a few other minor items. 8 inventory valuation capital consumption adjustments. 4 consumption adjustment. BO 1980 5 Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veteran payments. 6 Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Bumnms, December Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Eeonomie Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable income rose again in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,200 2,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 1981 1973 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less: Personal Pertax sonal and Income nontax payments Equals: Disposable personal income COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal outlays1 Per c:apita dispcisable persona . income Equals : Personal saving Current dollars Billions of d ollars 1972 951.4 1973 _ 1, 065. 2 1974__ 1,168.6 1975 __ 1, 265. 0 1976_ 1, 391. 2 1977__ l} 538. 0 1978_ 1, 721. 8 1979__ _ 1, 943. 8 1980* 2, 161. 0 141. 0 150.7 170.2 168.9 196.8 226. 5 258.8 302.0 338.7 810.3 914. 5 998.3 1, 096. 1 1, 194. 4 1, 311. 5 1, 462. 9 1, 641. 7 1, 822. 2 1972 dollars Per cap>ita personal ccmsumption exp enditures Current dollars 1972 dollars Percent change in real per capita disposable sonal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population (thou-2 sands) Dollars 757.7 835.5 913.2 1, 001. 8 1, 111. 9 1, 237. 5 1, 386. 6 1, 555. 5 1, 718. 7 52.6 79.0 85. 1 94. 3 82.5 74.1 76.3 86.2 103.6 3,880 4,346 4,710 5,132 5,550 6, 046 6,688 7,441 8,178 3,880 4, 112 4,050 4, 101 4,216 4,332 4,487 4, 584 4,571 3, 529 3,858 4, 190 4,572 5,038 5,557 6, 166 6,848 7,500 3.529 3,652 3,603 3,653 3,828 3,982 4, 136 4,219 4, 193 3. 1 6. 0 -1.5 1.3 2.8 2.8 3.6 2.2 g 8.6 6.9 5.6 5.2 5.2 5.7 6,613 6,708 6,923 7, 145 7,349 7,313 7,539 7,797 4,209 4, 188 4,226 4,252 2.4 -.3 2.5 -.2 5.3 5.6 5.4 47 4,251 4, 133 4, 172 4,215 -5.8 .3 4.9 6.2 2. 1 5.6 6.5 8.6 8. 5 208, 873 210, 440 211, 945 213, 566 215, 203 216, 928 218, 749 220, 643 222, 810 Seas onally ad; usted ann ual rates 1979: !____ 1, 864. 6 284.4 !!___ 1, 906. 3 293. 5 III__ 1, 972. 3 308.4 IV. _ 2, 032. 0 321.8 1980: !____ 2, 088. 2 323. 1 !!„__ 2, 114. 5 330.3 III__ 2, 182. 1 341. 5 IV »_ 2, 259. 1 360.0 1, 580. 2 1, 496. 3 1, 612. 8 1, 521. 9 1, 663. 8 1, 574. 5 1, 710. 1 1, 629. 4 I, 765. 1 1, 678. 7 1, 784. 1 1, 674. 1 1, 840. 6 1, 729. 2 1, 899. 1 1, 792. 5 83.8 90.9 89.3 80.7 86.4 110. 0 111.4 106.6 7, 186 7,320 7,533 7,722 7,953 8,020 8,249 8,488 »Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net). 2 Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. Since data based on the 1980 census are now fZ^H6 only to April-December 1980, estimates here continue to be based on the 1970 census. 4,574 4,570 4,598 4,596 4,600 4,532 4,565 4,589 2.9 6. 1 219, 896 220, 335 220, 884 221, 455 221, 938 222, 447 223, 126 223, 730 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter, according to preliminary estimates, gross farm income rose $3.7 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $0.3 billion from third quarter levels. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) I 200 200 100 100 GROSS FARM INCOME 80 80 60 60 40 40 NET FARM INCOME 20 20 10 I 10 L. 1973 1974 1975 1976 1978 1977 1979 1980 1981 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Income of farm operators from farming Grc»ss farm incc>me Period Total i 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 " 1979: I II III IV 1980: I II III IV ^ L .. Total Livestock and products Crops Value of inventory2 changes Production expenses Current dollars 1967 dollars 3 33.3 26.1 24.5 18.7 17.8 26. 1 31.0 23. 1 25.1 17.7 15.2 11.0 4. 1 -1.2 65.6 72.2 75.9 83.1 90.3 100.8 118.6 131.6 59.2 62.7 63.7 65.7 3.2 3.9 5.4 3.9 114.2 116.3 119.6 124. 2 31.3 32.8 30.3 29.9 15.1 15.3 13.7 13.1 69.0 70.3 72.3 73.3 1.0 1.5 127.2 129.9 132.9 136.4 25.7 22.9 21.8 22. 1 10.8 98.9 98.3 100.3 101.8 108. 1 126.9 149.6 154.7 87. 1 92.4 88.2 94.8 95.8 112.5 131.5 140.3 45.9 41.4 43.0 46. 1 47.4 59.0 68.6 68.9 41. 1 51. 1 45. 1 48.7 48.3 53.5 62.8 71.4 145.5 149.1 149.9 154. 1 128.9 130.9 130.6 135.4 69.7 68.2 66.9 69.7 152.9 152.8 154.7 158.4 137.0 135.9 142.8 145.7 67.9 65.6 70.5 72.4 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. Net farni income Cash]marketing rejceipts 3.4 -1.6 3.4 -2.4 .6 .4 -3.9 -3.6 9.8 13.3 14.2 9.4 9.4 8.8 8.6 s Income in current dollars divided by the consumer price index (Department of Labor). NOTE.—Data revised for 1980. Source: Department of Agriculture, except as noted. CORPORATE PROFITS In the third quarter, according to current estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $19.7 billion (annual rate) while after-tax profits rose $12.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS WLUONS OF DOLLARS 320 320 280 280 80 ^«.-,—*- 40 40 1973 1981 \SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Profits after tax Dry valmition Profi bs (before tax) wit i invents adjustn lent l Dome ptie indu stries 1^onfinan Dial Period Total * 1970. 1971___ _ _ _ 1972__ 1973 _ 1974 __ 1975 1976_ _ 1977__ 1978 1979_ 1980*___ _ _ 1979: !____ II _ III__ _ _ IV 1980: I II . III... IV» 68.9 82.0 94. 0 105.6 96.7 120.6 151.6 176. 7 199.0 212. 7 199.4 217.8 213. 0 215.6 204.5 215. 6 186.9 195.9 Total 62.4 74.9 85. 3 92.0 80.4 107.6 137.4 161. 2 179.3 182.4 167.7 191.7 184. 4 180.5 172.9 179.0 157. 5 165.0 ManuFinancial Total1 facturing 12. 1 14. 1 15.3 15. 9 15.0 11. 8 17. 1 23.5 29. 3 31.6 30. 0 31.3 31.0 31. 5 32.6 33.3 30. 1 28.7 50.2 60.8 70. 0 76.0 65.4 95. 8 120. 3 137.7 150. 0 150. 8 137. 7 160. 4 153.4 149. 0 140.3 145.7 127. 5 136.2 26.6 34. 1 40.7 45. 5 39.0 52.6 69.2 76.2 85.3 88.9 72. 6 99.4 91.5 84. 4 80.2 92. 1 61. 3 68.5 ' See p. 4 for Inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. § of the world, not shown 8 not 8 Wholesale and retail trade 9. 5 11.7 13.4 13.9 12. 5 21.3 22. 4 27.0 24. 5 23.0 21. 0 22. 9 25.6 22. 6 14.8 25.9 20. 4 Profits before tax Tax liability 75.4 86.6 100.6 125.6 136.7 132. 1 166. 3 192.6 223.3 255.4 242. 7 253. 1 250.9 262. 0 255.4 277. 1 217. 9 237.6 34.2 37.5 41. 6 49.0 51.6 50. 6 63.8 72.6 83.0 87.6 80.8 88.5 86.4 88.4 87.2 94.2 71.5 78.5 Total Dividends Undistributed profits 41.3 49.0 58.9 76. 6 85. 1 81. 5 102.5 120.0 140. 3 167.8 161.9 164.6 164. 6 173.6 168.2 182. 9 146.5 159. 1 22. 5 22.9 24.4 27.0 29.9 30. 8 37.4 39.9 44. 6 50.2 56. 0 49.0 49.8 50.2 51. 6 53.9 55.7 56.7 57. 7 18.8 26. 1 34.5 49.6 55.2 50.7 65. 1 80. 1 95. 7 117.6 105.9 115. 5 114.8 123.5 116.6 128.9 90.7 102.4 Inventory valuation adjustment -6.6 -4.6 -6.6 —20.0 -40.0 -11.6 -14.7 -15.8 — 24. 3 -42.6 -43.3 -35.3 -37.9 -46.5 -50.8 -61.4 -31. 1 -41.7 -38.9 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current 1980. of of $16.0 billion reduction in the third quarter. (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS; 500 NONRES1DENTIAI FIXED INVESTMENT 1973 SOUiCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Nonresidential fixed investment Period 1970 1971 ___ 1972 1973 1974___ 1975 _ _ 1976—.-. 1977____ _ __ 1978 1979 „ 1980 *. 1979: I II III IV___ _ . 1980:1 II III. IV 9 Gross private domestic investment 144.2 166.4 195. 0 229.8 228.7 206. 1 257.9 322. 3 375.3 415.8 396. 8 408.3 423.2 421.7 410.0 415.6 390.9 377. 1 403.7 Total 103.9 107.9 121.0 143.3 156.6 157.7 174. 1 205.5 242.0 279.7 294.7 267.3 272.9 288.5 290.2 297.8 289.8 294.0 297.3 Structures 38.7 40.5 44. 1 51.0 55.9 55.4 58.8 64.6 78.7 96.3 108.3 87.3 93.2 99.6 105. 1 108. 2 108.4 107.3 109.3 Producers1 durable equipment 65.2 67.4 76.9 92.3 100.7 102. 3 115.3 140.9 163.3 183.4 186.5 179.9 179.7 189.0 185. 1 189.7 181.4 186. 8 188.0 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. Resddential fix.ed investnclent Total 37.1 50.9 63.8 68.0 57.9 55.3 72.0 95.8 111.2 118.6 105.1 116.7 117.2 119.8 120.6 115.2 93.6 99.2 112.2 Nonfarm structures 35.4 48.9 61.5 65.6 54.8 52.4 68.8 91.9 106, 9 113.9 100. 1 112.5 112.9 114.9 115.4 110.1 88.9 94.5 106. 9 Farm structures 0.6 .7 .7 .7 1.3 1.0 1. 1 1. 5 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.7 2.2 Producers' durable equipment 1. 1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2. 1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 3. 1 Change in busiimrentories Total Nonfarm 3.2 7.7 10.2 18.5 141 -6.9 11.8 21.0 22.2 17,5 -3.0 24.3 33. 1 13.3 -.8 2.5 7.4 -16.0 -5.7 3. 1 6.4 9.6 15.2 16.0 -10.5 13.9 20.2 21.8 13.4 — 1.7 20.8 29.2 7.8 -44 1.5 6.1 -12.3 -2.0 of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 9 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT—NONFARM BUSINESS Nonfarm business spending for new plant and equipment for the year 1981 is expected to be 10.8 percent above 1980, according to the Commerce Department annual November-December survey. Expenditures in 1980 were 8.8 percent higher than in 1979, according to preliminary figures released in December. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 500 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 500 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 400 400 300 300 200 200 TOTAL NEW RANT AND EQUIPMENT 100 100 80 80 MANUFACTURING 60 60 40 40 I 30 1973 30 1974 1977 1976 1975 1979 1978 1980 1981 J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW. SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Plant and equipment Period 1973___ 1974___ 1975. _ _ 1976___ 1977 1978___ 1979 _ _ 1980*4 1981 __ 1979: IIIIV__ !._„ II_. IIL. IV «. 1981: I «._ II*. 1 * "Other" Total 137. 70 156. 98 157. 71 171. 45 198. 08 231. 24 270. 46 294. 30 326. 13 273. 15 284. 30 291. 89 294. 36 296. 23 294. 95 310. 59 323. 84 Plant Equipment. 56.66 64.29 65.21 71.20 80.31 92.70 105. 73 81.04 92.69 92.50 100. 25 117. 77 138. 54 164. 73 106. 108. 115. 116. 117. 166. 56 175. 70 175. 93 177. 86 178. 64 58 60 96 50 59 I^onmaniifaeturin g Ma nufactui ing Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 42.37 53.21 54.92 59. 95 69.22 79.72 98. 68 114. 90 131. 12 100. 11 106. 57 111. 77 115. 69 116. 40 115. 37 122. 69 130. 57 22.75 27.44 26.33 28.47 34.04 40.43 51.07 58.25 66.00 52. 13 55.03 58.28 59.38 58. 19 57.42 60.23 65.36 19.62 25.76 28.59 31.47 35. 18 39.29 47. 61 56.65 65. 12 47.97 51.55 53.49 56.32 58.21 57.96 62.46 65.21 trade; real services. of construction; social services membership agricultural services. Total Mining 95.33 103. 78 102. 79 111. 50 128. 87 151. 52 171. 77 179. 40 195. 00 173. 04 177. 73 180. 13 178. 66 179. 83 179. 58 187. 90 193. 27 3 * Source: 10 3.31 4.62 6. 10 7.44 9.24 10.21 11.38 13.50 16.04 11.40 11.86 11.89 12.81 13.86 15.25 16.07 18.02 are Trans- Public porta- utilities tion Trade and services * Communication and other 2 7.41 8.23 8.68 8.89 9.40 10.68 12. 35 11.98 12.96 12.67 13.20 12.47 12.09 12.23 11.25 11.50 11.60 45.53 47.79 46.23 49.30 56. 54 68.66 79.26 82.28 87.83 78.86 82. 69 82. 17 81.07 81. 19 84. 87 84. 09 87.43 21. 12 23. 30 21.80 23.51 26.90 32. 02 34. 83 37.02 40.54 35. 05 35.90 37.34 37.66 36. 97 36.26 39.48 40. 01 17. 97 19.83 19.98 22. 37 26.79 29.95 33. 96 34.62 37.64 35. 05 34.08 36.26 35.03 35. 58 31.95 36.78 36.21 by Starts of plant and equipment projects, manufacturing 3 53. 21 61.24 56. 51 59.38 77.40 88. 16 112. 98 26.82 32. 53 32. 43 29.41 27. 74 In carryover to expenditures during as by business in late October-Defor biases. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Seasonally adjusted employment rose 414,000 in January while unemployment was up 62fOOO. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 110 MILLIONS OF PERSONS 110 5 - 1981 1973 *16 Y E A R S OF AGE AND OVER. , SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCJL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of persons 16 years of and over, except as noted] Civilian eiaaploymeiit rri A | lotal Noninlabor stituCivilian Unem- force Civilian tional employ- ploy- (includ- labor populament force ment ing Armed tion Forces) Period 1975___ 1976 1977— 1978* 1979 1980 _ 153, 449 156, 048 158, 559 161, 058 163, 620 _ 166, 246 84, 783 87, 485 90, 546 94, 373 96, 945 97, 270 7,830 94, 793 92, 613 7,288 96, 917 94, 773 6,855 99, 534 97, 401 6,047 102, 537 100, 420 5,963 104, 996 102, 908 7,448 106, 821 104, 719 Total Agricultural Nonagricultural Part-time ecoTotal for nomic 1 reasons 84, 783 87, 485 90, 546 94, 373 96, 945 97, 270 3,380 3,297 3,244 3,342 3,297 3,310 81, 403 84, 188 87, 302 91, 031 93, 648 93, 960 104, 208 104, 271 104, 171 104, 427 105, 060 104, 591 105, 020 104, 945 104, 980 105, 167 105, 285 105, 067 97, 708 97, 817 97, 628 97, 225 97, 116 96, 780 96, 999 97, 003 97, 180 97, 206 97, 339 97, 282 165, 101 165, 298 165, 506 165, 693 165, 886 166, 105 166, 391 166, 578 166, 789 167, 005 167, 201 167, 396 96, 145 96, 264 96, 546 96, 566 96, 709 97, 776 98, 587 98, 115 97, 256 97, 933 97, 801 97, 545 7,043 6,993 6,805 6,846 7,318 8,291 8,410 8,011 7,464 7,482 7,486 7,233 1981: Jan. _ 167, 585 96, 128 8,543 107, 668 105, 543 "97, 696 106, 289 106, 357 106, 261 106, 519 107, 148 106, 683 107, 119 107, 059 107, 101 107, 288 107, 404 107, 191 i'Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find full-time work, etc. 2 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population 16 of age and over. *Data beginning 1978 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of Labor force participation rate (per-2 cent) Total 15 weeks and over 7,830 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7,448 2,483 2,340 1,911 1,379 1,202 1,829 61.8 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.2 64.3 Seas*mally adjusted U nadjusted 1980: Jan__ Feb__ Mar__ Apr MayJuneJuly _ Aug__ Sept _ Oct__ Nov _ Dee— 3,490 3,272 3,297 3,216 3,281 3,965 Unemp!<syment 94, 421 94, 488 94, 291 93, 963 93, 764 93, 548 93, 732 93, 793 93, 781 93, 887 93, 999 93, 888 3,549 3,454 3,470 3,803 4,276 3,969 4,086 4, 143 4,183 4,220 4,176 4,218 6,500 6,454 6,543 7,202 7,944 7,811 8,021 7,942 7,800 7,961 7,946 7,785 1,319 1,299 1,391 1,599 1,686 1,777 1,935 2, 150 2,295 2,292 2,329 2,378 64.4 64.3 64.2 64.3 64.6 64.2 64.4 64.3 64.2 64.2 64.2 64.0 3,403 ^94, 294 4,474 7,847 2,358 64.2 3,287 3,329 3,337 3,262 3,352 3,232 3,267 3,210 3,399 3,319 3,340 3,394 revisions in the household survey, which added about 250,000 to labor force and to employment. NOTE.—Seasonally 1976, ' Department of Labor, Bureau of-Labor 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In January the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 7.4 percent, the same as in December. (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED}! 1977 1981 * UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF KONOMIC ADVISERS Unernployment Total (ail civilian workers) Period • 8.5 1075. _ 1976. _ Men 20 years and ' '6.7 £ige Women Both 20 sexes years 16-19 and years ao 19.9 19.0 17.7 16.3 16,1 17.7 [ White 42 41 43 48 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 o« o 5.2 5.2 5. 1 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.3 9. 1 6,6 6.5 5. 9 5.9 6.0 6.6 7.4 . 7.3 7.4 7.4 7. 2 7.3 7.2 .7. 1 8.6 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 6.7 12,9 | 7. 1 5. 1 7.1 9.2 8.2 16.5 16.6 16,2 16.4 18.9 18.3 18.7 18.8 17.8 6.8 6,7 6.8 6.7 6.5 Get Nov 7.6 | 7.4 1 7.6 i 7. 5 7.4, 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.7 6.7 6.8 18.6 17.8 Jan 7.4 6.0 6.7 19.0 _ _ July— Aug as lost toy the of 12 . on for ias 10.3 10. 1 11.9 11.7 11.9 12.6 13.6 13.5 13.9 13.7 14.1 14.2 14.0 14.0 48 4.7 5.0 5.8 6.4 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.2 7. 1 ers (per- cent)! 13. ,2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.9 7.6 7.5 7.6 Feb_ Mar_ Apr _ 'ai 5.8 5. 1 • 7.3' ' 4 5 - K-6. 5 '"5.5 3.7 3.6 5.3 6.8 4.9 Parttime work- 8.2 7.3 §.6 5,6 5.4 6.8 7.4 7.0 6.0 5.7 6.3 „ Experienced House- Fulltime wage hold and and heads workother salary ers workers Black Labor force time lost 13.9 13. 1 13.1 11.9 11.3 7.8 7.0 6.2 5.2 5.9 5.2 4.2 41 5.9 _ _._ ___ By select ed group s By race 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.8 1978__ 1979__ » ' Byi?ex <>f civiilaia labor f orce in g1roup) ( 5. 1 6.3 5.5 5. 4 5.5 6. 1 6. 6 adjusted of of 1976. Statistics. 9.8 9.0 ' 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.4 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 9.1 8.3 7.6 6.5 6.3 7.9 6.7 6.6 6.8 7.6 8.6 8. 1 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In January the percentage of unemployed persons who were job losers fell, while the percentage who were job leavers, reentrants, and new entrants rose. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT 60 60 50 - 50 40 40 REENTRANTS 30 30 - 20 20 \ NEW ENTRANTS \ 10 15-26 WEEKS 10 JOB LEAVERS 27 WEEKS AND OVER 1977 1978 1979 1980 1977 1981 1978 1979 1980 1981 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Percen t distribiution of unempl<Dyment 1>y reasori i Period Unemployment (thousands) Job losers Job Reenleavers trants Percen t distribiution of iunemplo yment b^jr duratic n 1 Less New 5-14 than 5 weeks entrants weeks 15-26 weeks State pi ograms Insured unemployment, all 27 Insured weeks unem- Initial regular proand ploy- claims grams 2 over ment (unadjusted) • 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1980: Jan_ _ Feb.. Mar__ Apr__ May_ JuneJulyAug-_ Sept.. Oet__ Nov.. Dee... 1981: Jan.. 1 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7,448 6,500 6,454 6,543 7,202 7,944 7,811 8,021 7,942 7,800 7,961 7,946 7,785 7,847 49.7 45.3 41.6 42.8 51.9 47.0 46.3 47.5 50.1 52.4 55.4 54.6 54.2 55.2 53.0 53.5 54.3 49.4 12.2 13.0 14.1 14.3 11.6 12.5 12.9 12.3 12.7 11.7 11.0 10.8 11.2 10.8 10.9 11.3 10.5 11.6 Wee kly average, thoussands 26.0 28. 1 30.0 29.5 25.2 28.0 27.9 27.7 26.7 24.9 22.8 23.4 23.6 23.2 25.2 24.0 24.0 26.2 12.1 13.7 14.3 13.4 11.4 12.6 12.8 12.5 10.5 11.0 10.8 11.2 10.9 10.8 11.0 11.2 11.2 12.8 38.3 41.7 46.2 48.1 43. 1 48.8 47.0 45.5 45. 1 46.5 41.7 42.0 41.0 38.4 39.9 39.0 40.4 41.3 Detail may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. s Includes State (50 Slates. District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (EB) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include FSB (Federal supplemental benefits) and SUA (special unemployment assistance). Special unemployment benefits claims (unadjusted) 29.6 30.5 31.0 31.7 32.4 30.8 32.9 33.4 32.8 32.4 35.7 33.5 31.9 32.6 31.3 31.7 28.8 28.7 13.8 13.1 12.3 11.5 13.8 12.0 12.2 12. 1 12.9 12.3 13.0 13.8 15.6 17.2 15.7 15.2 16.0 13.7 18.3 14.8 10.5 8.7 10.8 8.4 7.8 9.0 9.2 8.8 9.6 10.7 11.5 11.7 13.0 14.0 14.9 16.2 2,991 2,655 2,359 2,434 386 375 346 388 3,846 3,308 2,645 2,592 2,740 2,712 2,890 3,202 3,658 3,962 3,810 3,748 3,782 3,602 3,367 3,083 414 397 464 549 631 591 514 503 495 458 424 415 3,740 3,730 3,652 3,629 3,680 3,790 4, 140 3,911 3,961 3,661 3, 726 4,085 1,152 572 be aif Ma^h 19^-A* TheS6 programs staned January 1975 and regular reporting NOTE.— Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1976. 6 / Pepartment of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRIOULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 374,000 in January. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 22 90 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 80 70 60 SERVICE-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 50 40 GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES 30 .1..... """**»„..«»'" 20 i I i i 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1977 1978 1979 1980 1977 1981 1980 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1981 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISiRS [Thousands of wage and salary workers;l seasonally adjusted] Groods-pro ducing i ttdustriesi P<»rir»H A enou Total nonagricultural employ- Total 2 ment Construction Serviee-pi•odueing Industrie58 Trans- Whole- Finance, Ma nufactui ing Gover nment portainsursale tion ance, Services and Non- Total State and and retail Total Durable durable Federal and public trade real goods goods local utilities estate 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 9 76, 945 79, 382 82, 471 86, 697 89, 886 90, 656 22, 600 23, 352 24, 346 25, 585 26, 504 25, 856 3,525 3, 576 3,851 4,229 4,483 4,469 18, 323 18, 997 19, 682 20, 505 21, 062 20, 363 10, 688 11, 077 11, 597 12, 274 12, 772 12, 216 7,635 7,920 8,086 8,231 8, 290 8,147 54, 345 56, 030 58, 125 61, 113 63, 382 64, 800 4,542 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,141 5,155 17, 060 17, 755 18, 516 19, 542 20, 269 20, 573 4,165 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,974 5, 162 13, 892 14, 551 15, 303 16, 252 17, 078 17, 740 2,748 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,867 11, 937 12, 138 12, 399 12, 919 13, 147 13, 304 1980: Jan— Feb.Mar__ AprMay. _ June__ July.. Aug__ Sept-_ Oct___ Nov__ Dec *_ 91, 031 91, 186 91, 144 90, 951 90, 468 90, 047 89, 867 90, 142 90, 384 90, 710 90, 961 91, 116 26, 715 26, 623 26, 476 26,121 25, 745 25, 422 25, 163 25, 312 25, 476 25, 636 25, 811 25, 904 4,745 4,659 4,529 4,467 4,436 4,379 4,322 4,359 4,404 4,442 4,475 4,507 20, 971 20, 957 20, 938 20, 642 20, 286 20, 014 19, 828 19, 940 20, 044 20, 157 20, 282 20, 328 12, 681 12, 715 12, 707 12, 442 12, 140 11, 947 11, 819 11, 860 11, 955 12, 043 12, 146 12, 169 8,290 8,242 8,231 8,200 8,146 8,067 8,009 8,080 8,089 8, 114 8, 136 8,159 64, 316 64, 563 64, 668 64, 830 64, 723 64, 625 64, 704 64, 830 64, 908 65, 074 65, 150 65, 212 5,202 5, 198 5,202 5, 178 5, 167 5,134 5,114 5,129 5, 124 5, 147 5, 132 5, 130 20, 529 20, 637 20, 610 20, 531 20, 487 20, 459 20, 506 20, 589 20, 620 20, 641 20, 660 20, 638 5,091 5,101 5, 115 5, 119 5, 137 5, 150 5,167 5,180 5,194 5,214 5,225 5,243 17, 462 17, 540 17, 580 17, 618 17, 659 17, 652 17, 760 17, 788 17, 861 17, 913 17, 969 18, 052 2,791 2,826 2,886 3, 115 2,960 2,951 2,893 2,828 2,765 2,788 2,790 2,796 13, 241 13, 261 13, 275 13, 269 13, 313 13, 279 13, 264 13, 316 13, 344 13, 371 13, 374 13, 353 1981: Jan»__ 91, 490 26, 051 4,612 20, 357 12, 202 5,265 18, 123 2,800 13, 345 1 8,155 65, 439 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable of employment of the civilian labor force, on p. 11, as they 14 5,149 20, 757 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on a samplt of the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from 1 Includes mining, not of of AVERAGE HOURS AND HOURLY PRIVATE NONAGRICUIiTURMi [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonaEy adjusted] Averag e gross hourly cjarnings Aver age weekly 1lours Total private nonagrieultural 1 Period Overtime Total private nonagricultural l Manufacturing Manufa eturing Total Adjusted h ourly earnin gs index2 —to tal private nonagricultural Percent cli ange from a year csarfier 4 Index, 1!)67=100 Current dollars 1967 dollars s Current dollars 1972 1973 1974. 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 » 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.6 35.3 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 3.5 3.8 3.3 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.3 2.8 $3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 $3. 82 4.09 4.42 4.83 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.69 7.27 137.5 146.0 157. 5 170.6 183.0 196.8 212.9 229.8 250.7 109.7 109.7 106.7 105.9 107.3 108.4 109.0 105.6 101.5 6.4 6.2 7.9 8.3 7.3 7.5 8.2 7.9 1980: Jan Feb MarApr May. June. July...Aug Sept Oct ... Nov Dee* 35.6 35.5 35.4 35.3 35. 1 35.0 34.9 35.1 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.4 40.3 40.1 39.8 39.8 39.3 39.1 39.0 39.4 39.6 39.7 39.9 40.1 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 6.41 6.45 6.51 6.54 6.57 6.62 6.67 6.71 6.77 6.83 6.91 6.94 6.93 6.99 7.06 7.11 7.15 7.22 7.30 7.36 7.42 7.49 7.58 7.63 240.3 242.4 245.2 246.2 248.3 250.9 252. 1 2540 255.4 257.9 260.9 261.6 102.7 102.2 102.0 101.4 101.4 101.5 102.0 102.0 101.5 101.5 101.7 100.8 7.9 8.2 8.9 8.6 9.1 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.0 9.7 9.9 9.3 1981: Jan* 35.5 40.4 3. 1 7.02 7.69 264.3 9. 1 1967 dollars 3.0 0 -2.7 -.7 1.3 1.0 .6 -3.1 -3.9 -5.3 -5.2 -5.0 -5.2 -46 -42 -3.4 -3.0 -3.2 -2.5 -2.4 -2.8 10.0 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS—PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURMI INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gross weekly earnings Total pri vate nonagrieuItural * Period Current dollars 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977.— 1978 1979 1980*..--1980: Jan.. Feb. Mar Apr May June July... Aug Sept - _ __ . „_______ .... Oct Nov Dee » 1981: Jan* 1 Also Includes 1 . .— . $136. 90 145. 39 154 76 163. 53 175. 45 189. 00 203.70 219. 30 235. 10 228. 20 228. 98 230. 45 230. 86 230. 61 231. 70 232. 78 235.52 238. 30 241. 10 24461 245. 68 249. 21 Manufacturing 1967 dollars 3 $109. 26 109. 23 10478 101. 45 102. 90 104 13 104 30 100. 73 95.18 97.52 96.53 95.82 95.08 94.16 93.77 94 17 9462 9475 9492 95.33 9471 $154 71 166. 46 176. 80 190. 79 209. 32 228. 90 249. 27 268. 94 288. 62 279. 28 280. 30 280. 99 282. 98 281. 00 282. 30 28470 289. 98 293. 83 297. 35 302.44 305. 96 310. 68 $221. 19 235. 89 249. 25 266. 08 283. 73 295. 65 318. 69 342.99 367. 78 352. 86 357. 64 356.85 359. 29 361. 74 366. 92 365. 79 366. 46 375. 87 375. 18 379. 81 383. 90 399. 74 Percent chirage from a year €»arlier, total prrrate nonagrieu Itural s Current dollars iCurrent dollars3 other private industry groups shown on p. 14. Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing. 3 Current dollar index Cor earnings) divided oy the consumer price index. R evised index for urban wage earners and clerical workers beginning 1911. 73-635 0 - 8 1 - 2 Construction Wholesale and retail trade 45 111.76 119.02 126. 45 133. 79 142. 52 153. 64 16496 175. 91 172. 13 172. 04 173. 45 172. 16 173. 98 173. 86 17490 176. 96 178. 48 180. 00 182. 25 181. 69 18476 7.5 6.2 6.4 5.7 7.3 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.6 8.2 6.5 6.4 5.7 6.6 6.4 7.5 8.4 7.7 9.2 1967 dollars 41 -. 0 —4 1 —3.2 1.4 1.2 .2 -3.4 -5.5 -6.2 -6.5 -7.0 -5.6 -6.9 -6.9 -6.5 -5.4 -5.5 -46 -3.8 -42 * Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places. ' Based on data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor IS PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, PRIVATE BUSINESS SECTOR Hours of 2all persems Outirat1 Output i >er hour of ail p ersons Compensation per 1lour 3 Unit labor cossts Impliciit price deflat tor 4 PriNonNonPriPriNonNonPrivate Private NonPrivate Nonvate farm farm farm business vate farm business farm vate farm business business business business business business business business sector business sector business sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector sector Period 1977== 100; quarterly dat a season:illy adjust;ed 1968 1969 1970 1971. 1972 1973 1974 — 76.9 79.2 76.7 78.9 90.3 92.7 88.5 91.3 85.2 85.4 86.7 86.4 50.6 542 51.4 548 59.5 63.5 59.3 63.4 60.3 63.3 60.5 63.4 78.5 80.9 86.2 92.0 90.2 80.4 85.9 91.9 90.1 7ai 91.2 90.7 93.4 97.0 97.4 90.0 89.7 92.5 96.4 96.8 86.1 89.2 92.4 948 92.7 86.7 89.6 93.0 95.3 93. 1 58.2 62.0 66.0 71.3 78.0 58.6 62.5 66.6 71.7 78.4 67.6 69.5 71.5 75.2 842 67.6 69.7 71.7 75.2 843 66.2 69. 1 71.5 75.3 82.4 66.4 69.4 71.4 74 1 81.6 sai 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 88.5 94.1 100.0 104.7 107.7 940 100.0 1049 107.7 93.4 96. 1 100.0 1049 108.4 92.7 95.9 100. 0 105.1 108.8 948 97.9 100.0 99.8 99.4 95.0 98. 1 100.0 99.8 99.0 85.5 92.9 100.0 108.4 119.2 86.0 93.0 100.0 ioas nas 90.2 948 100.0 108.6 119.9 90.5 948 100.0 108.7 120.0 90.4 94.7 100.0 107.4 116.9 89.9 945 100.0 107.0 116.2 1980*. 106.8 106.7 107.8 108.3 99.0 98.5 131. 1 130.4 132.4 132.4 127.6 127.5 1979: I II III____ IV 107.7 107.1 107.7 ioa2 107.9 107.1 107.8 108.2 108.1 107.5 108.6 109.3 108.4 108.1 109.2 109.7 99.7 99.6 99.2 99.0 99.5 99.1 98.7 98.6 115.0 118.0 120. 5 123.0 1149 117.6 119. 9 122.7 115.4 118.5 121.4 1242 115.4 118.7 121.5 1244 113.4 115.8 118. 1 120.2 112.6 115.1 117.4 119.7 1980: I II III IV »„ 108.7 105.4 105.7 107.3 108.5 105.1 105.8 107.5 109.5 106.7 106.5 108.7 110.0 107.3 107.1 109.1 99.3 98.8 99.2 98.7 98.6 97.9 98.8 98.5 126.0 129.7 132.8 135.5 125.6 129.0 131.9 135.0 127.0 131.3 133.9 137.3 127.4 131.8 133.5 137.0 123.0 126. 1 129. 1 132.4 122.9 126.3 128.8 132.1 Perceiat change ; quarter!]r data at seasonal] y adjustec1 annual rates 1968 1969 1970— 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977— 1978 1979 . _ _ 1980*— 5.1 2.9 5.3 2.9 1.7 2.6 2.0 3.2 3.3 .2 3.3 .3 7.7 7.0 7.4 6.5 42 6.7 3.9 6.8 40 49 40 47 -.8 3.0 6.6 6.6 -1.9 -1.0 2.9 6.9 6.9 -1.9 -1.7 -.5 3.0 3.9 .4 -1.4 —.4 3.1 42 .4 .9 3.6 3.5 2.7 -2.3 .3 3.3 3.7 2.5 -2.4 7.4 6.6 6.5 8.0 9.4 7.0 6.6 6.7 7.6 9.4 6.4 2.9 2.9 5.2 11.9 6.6 3. 1 2.8 49 12.1 4.5 44 3.4 5.4 9.4 48 45 3.0 3.7 10. 1 -1.9 6.3 6.3 4.7 2.8 -2.2 6.7 6.4 49 2.7 -41 2.9 40 49 3.3 -42 3.4 43 5.1 3.5 2.3 3.3 2.1 2 —.4 2.1 3.2 2.0 —.2 -.8 9.6 8. 6 7.7 8.4 9.9 9.6 8. 1 7.6 8.5 9.6 7.2 5. 1 5.5 8.6 10.4 7.4 47 5.5 8.7 10.4 9.7 47 5.6 7.4 8.8 10.3 5. 1 5.8 7.0 8.6 -.9 g -.5 -.4 -.3 -.5 10.0 9.8 10.4 10.3 9.2 9.7 Q 40 -2.2 2.4 1.7 41 -3.0 2.6 1.5 48 -2.0 40 2.8 5.0 -1. 1 41 1.8 -.8 —.2 -1.5 -1. 1 -1.9 — 1.4 -.3 11.6 10.9 8.5 8.6 10.9 10.0 8.1 9.6 12.4 11.2 10. 1 9.8 11.9 12. 1 9.7 9.9 8.8 8.4 8.2 7.4 ai 1.8 I_ -11.5 II 1.1 III.— 6.3 IV»-.. 1.4 -12.1 2.9 6.5 .5 -9.9 -.4 8.4 1.4 -9.4 -.9 7.7 1.3 -1.9 1.5 -1.9 .0 -3.0 3.7 -1.1 10.4 12.2 9.7 8.5 9.9 11.2 9.2 9.6 9.0 14.4 9.9 146 5.3 10.9 9.7 10.5 9.8 10.4 11.3 11.3 8.2 10.7 1979: I. !!___ III____ IV » to 2 Hours of all hours of * * tie 16 product in the sector In 1972 dollars. in private industry engaged in the sector, inclpding family Estimates based primarily on . . , _ for . ,social .i of employers* contributions Also an estimate of wages, salaries, for the self-employed. product by constant dollar gross domes- ai 10.6 8.9 8.5 7.8 NOTE.—Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts by the Department of Commerce. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UTILIZATION Industrial production rose 1.0 percent in December following revised increases of 1.6 percent in November and 1.9 percent in October. 1NDBC, 11967= 100 * (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1967=10)* (RATIO SCALE) CTION 180 -UTILITIES AND MINI!MG -TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION / \^~- un ~- ' ^x^-^ ^^ ' 'UTILITIES 1201 *^ •—v/ i*?fi *"»*/ X^' 100i 180 MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION 100 ..,..h.,M 1976 NONDURABLE 160i , _ ^"i A >**% v f - i *~*^ t •/\v MINING 1 1 1 11 1 1 111 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1977 1978 1 !! 1 !I| i 1 M 1 111 1 i ! | I fi 1979 1980 PERCENT* (RATIO SCALE) 100 MANUFACTURING 'CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE 140)r 90 80 120) 70 100, I M I I I I II ii 1976 1980 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total in dustrial produ ction Percent Period Index, 1967= change from 100 year earlier 1967 proportion^ ... 100. 00 1973 8.4 129.8 1974 .___ 129.3 .4 1975 117.8 -8.9 1976 10.8 130.5 1977 138.2 5.9 1978 . 5.7 146. 1 1979. _ 152.5 4.4 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Seasonally adjusted] Indu,stry prodiiction ind<3xes, 1967 = 100 Msanufacturi ng Utilities Capacit y utilizati cm rate, p ercent l Mamufaeturi]ttg Materials (Federal WharReserve Federal Comton series) Reserve merce2 series 3 series series Total Durable Nondurable 87.95 129.8 129.4 116.3 130.3 138.4 146.8 153.6 51.98 127. 1 125. 7 109.3 122.3 130.0 139.7 146.4 S5.97 133.8 134 6 126.4 141.8 150. 5 156.9 1640 1147 115.3 112.8 1142 118.2 1240 125.5 5.69 145.4 143. 7 146.0 151.7 156.5 161.4 166.0 91.8 87.1 73.4 81.1 82.7 85.6 87.4 87.6 83.8 72.9 79.5 81. 9 Mining 6.36 85.7 86 83 77 81 83 84 83 92.9 90.2 79.4 85.5 88. 1 90.9 92.6 81 91.8 80 91.3 76 85.7 76 83.5 844 1979: Dec 152.5 .5 153.2 144.8 165.3 131.4 166.9 86. 1 84 1 1980: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June__ JulyAug Sept Oet Nov 9 Dec v 152.7 152.6 152. 1 148. 3 144.0 141.5 140.4 141.8 144. 1 146.8 149. 2 150.7 .5 .1 153.4 153.0 152. 1 147.9 143.4 140.3 139. 1 140.6 143.4 146.4 148.9 150.3 1447 144 1 143. 4 138.4 133.3 129.9 128.3 129.4 131.7 135.6 138.8 139. 9 166.0 165.9 1647 161. 6 158.0 155,3 1547 156.9 160.3 161.9 163.6 165.2 133.5 132.9 133.0 164.8 167. 1 172.0 169. 1 167.7 169.3 171.8 173.8 172.7 169.9 170.7 173. 4 86. 1 85.6 83.9 83.5 82.8 80.3 77.6 75.7 74.9 75.5 76.6 78. 1 79.3 79.8 . -.9 -1.9 -5.7 -7.5 -8.2 -6.8 -5.6 -3.9 -2.0 -1.2 * Output as percent of capacity. Annual data are averages of four monthly indexes. Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Annual data are averages of quarterly data. 2 3 133. 1 133.4 132.9 130.6 129.6 130.5 132.0 1349 137.4 847 82. 1 78.3 75.7 73.7 746 76.3 78.4 80.2 81.2 Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), and Wharton School of Finance. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Prod ucts Final 1Products Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total .. . 1971.——- . — 1972.— .. —— 1973— . —— 1974— - — — — — 1975 .. . .^— . 1976...... -- — 1977 .. _ — 1978. — .. — . _„ . Dec—.— Jan.— — - _ Feb.— — . May June. __ July.... Aug... ' Get »„ —- _ A Equipjment Coiisumer goods Period _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . 47.82 105.3 106.3 115.7 124.4 125.1 118.2 127.6 135.9 142.2 147.2 147.2 147.0 147.7 147.7 145.4 143.1 142.3 142.4 142.8 143.9 145.7 147.2 148.0 7.89 106.1 118.8 133.8 146. 2 135.3 121.4 141.9 154.0 159.2 155.8 146.7 142.3 144.5 144. 1 136.3 128.8 128.2 128.3 128.6 132. 7 139.6 142.4 140.5 $7.68 109.0 114.7 1244 131.5 128.9 124.0 137.1 145.3 149. 1 150.8 148.6 147.9 148.4 148.6 145.3 142.4 142.1 142.0 142.7 144.3 146.6 148. 1 148.4 Intern]tediate prod ucts 19.79 110. 1 113. 1 120.6 125.6 126.3 125. 1 135.2 141.9 145. 1 148.8 149.3 150. 1 150.0 150.3 148.8 147.7 147.6 147.4 148.3 148.9 149.4 150. 3 151.6 Total Business Total 20.14 100. 1 94.7 103. 8 114. 5 120.0 110.2 114.6 123. 0 132.8 142. 2 145.2 145.8 146.6 146.6 145.6 144.0 142.6 142.9 142.9 143.2 144.5 146. 1 147.4 12.63 107.0 104 1 118.0 1342 142.4 128. 2 135.4 147.8 160.3 171.3 174 1 1749 176.0 176. 1 1742 171.9 169.8 170. 1 170.3 170.5 171.8 173.4 1749 12.89 112. 9 116.7 126.5 137. 2 135.3 123. 1 137.2 145. 1 154 1 160. 5 159. 6 160.8 159.2 158.3 150. 8 146.2 143. 5 144. 5 147.6 150. 6 152.4 1540 155.4 Materials Construction supplies 6.48 111.0 116.8 128.4 139.8 134.5 116.3 132. 6 140.6 151.7 158.0 155.7 156.4 153.8 152.3 139.4 133.0 128.5 128.6 133. 1 137.4 140.5 143. 1 1444 39,29 109.2 111.3 122.3 133. 9 132. 4 115.5 131.7 138.6 148. 3 156.4 156.6 157.0 156.5 155.3 151.0 144 3 140.0 136.5 138.6 142.4 146.4 150. 0 152.4 Supplementary group: Energy total 12. 2S 117.0 119.5 125.2 128. 3 125.5 125.5 129. 1 132.9 135.4 137.9 138.4 138.6 139.4 139.6 139. 1 137.9 138.4 139.2 139.2 138.2 136.8 138.7 140. 5 [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable m anufactu res Primarjr Period 1967 proportion . 1970 —— 1971 .. 1972 . „. . _ 1973.- ... 1974. __ 1975 1976 1977... 1978 — 1979— _ _ Dec____ 1980: Feb _ „ _ Apr May__ July .__ _ _ Sept. Oct . ». _ ». of Total Iron and steel 6.57 106.6 100.2 112.1 126.7 123.1 96.4 109.7 111.1 119.9 121.3 115.3 116.4 111.9 113.7 106.4 96. 1 90.4 81.7 86.0 90. 1 100.8 112.4 116.7 1047 96.1 107. 1 122.3 119.8 95.8 1048 103.8 113.2 113.2 106.6 107.2 103.4 105.9 §7.4 844 75,4 68.1 75.3 79.8 93.3 107. 1 of the 4. 21 Non- Fabricated metal products trical machinery Electrical machinery 5.9S 102.4 103.5 112.1 1247 1242 109.9 123.9 131.0 141.6 148.5 146.2 145.0 145.7 145.5 141.4 133.2 126. 1 123.8 125.8 129.0 132.8 1343 135.7 9.15 1044 100.2 116.0 133.7 140. 1 125. 1 1345 143.6 153.6 163.7 163.0 167. 1 167.0 166.5 163.2 162. 1 158.3 158.5 158.8 159. 1 160.5 161. 7 162. 1 8.05 108. 1 107.7 122.2 143. 1 143.8 116.5 1348 145.4 159.4 175.0 181.6 181.7 179.2 179,2 177.0 171.4 166.6 165.0 166.7 167.5 170.0 172. 3 1742 Non<durable rnanufact ures Transpt3rtation equip ment Total Motor vehicles and parts 9.27 89.5 97.9 108.2 118.3 108.7 97.4 111. 1 122.2 132. 5 135.4 127.3 122. 1 125.7 123.8 115. 1 109.8 110.0 110.7 108.3 112.9 118.8 121.8 120.6 4.50 92.3 118.6 135.8 148.8 128.2 111. 1 142. 0 161. 1 169.9 159.9 137. 1 126. 2 133. 9 130. 1 1147 105. 9 106.7 107.9 1044 113.4 1242 129.2 126.7 Lumber and products 1.64 105.6 113.8 120.8 126.0 116.2 107.6 123. 2 131.2 136.3 136.9 132.4 131.6 130. 2 125.3 105.2 104 5 109.7 112. 8 121.7 122.6 122. 2 125.4 F Apparel products S.S1 101.4 1047 109.4 117. 3 114.3 107.6 125.7 1342 1342 1344 131. 1 131.5 133.8 136. 1 131.3 128.6 127.2 121.5 123.8 126.7 128. 1 Print- Cheming icals and and pubprodlishing ucts 4. 72 107. 0 107. 1 112.7 118.2 118.2 113.3 122.5 127.6 131. 5 136.9 137.8 138.9 139.9 139. 2 136. 5 135.5 135. 4 138.6 140.3 140. 3 141.5 143.2 145. 1 7.74 120.4 125. 9 143.6 1545 159.4 147.2 170.9 185.7 197.4 211. 8 216.8 218.0 217.4 213.6 209. 1 199.2 191. 1 190,3 197.8 206. 8 209. 2 212.7 Foods 8.75 108.9 112.8 116.8 120. 9 1240 123.4 133.0 138.8 142.7 147.5 148.4 148.5 149.0 149.3 147.8 149.5 149. 0 148.9 148.3 148. 6 149.4 149. 5 NEW CONSTRUCTION Construct!©]a contracts1 Private Total construction expenditures Period Resid ential Total Total1 Commercial and industrial New housing units Federal, State, and local Other Total value index (1972= 100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of feet) 103.0 101.9 121.0 153.6 174 1 185.6 161.8 840 555 592 739 977 1,059 898 Bil lions of doll ars 1974... 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979...... 1980* 100.2 93,7 111.9 135.8 159.6 179.9 172.7 138.5 1345 151. 1 174.0 205.5 229.0 227.7 _— .. 23.8 20.8 19.9 22.5 29.6 39.9 43.3 40.6 50.4 46.5 60.5 81.0 93.4 99.0 86.3 344 47.3 65.7 75.8 78.6 62.9 25.9 26.4 31.5 32.4 36.6 41.0 43. 1 38.3 40.9 39. 1 38.2 45.9 49.0 55. 1 Seasonally adjusted SeGScnalh/ adjusted atinual rates 191.2 198.1 191.7 180.6 171.5 164.8 161.3 158.6 162. 1 167.9 171. 1 177.8 2440 259.6 248.8 237. 1 225.8 218.9 215.0 214 3 215. 1 223.7 226. 1 231.6 241. 6 1979: Dec 1980: Jan. .. Feb Mar . Apr. May Julie w July "J Aug Sept Get . Nov p __ __ Dee* 1845 102.1 105.8 101.5 45.3 47.4 46.4 43.8 78.5 80.7 75.1 68.4 60.7 55.2 51.9 52.2 56. 1 60.8 63. 5 69.2 72. 1 940 83.5 77.0 73.4 743 78.6 844 87.4 93.7 97.0 »Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 3 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 445 443 44.6 41.3 41.0 40.5 41. 4 42.3 447 43.8 449 43.8 42.8 43.5 43.5 43.4 43.0 42.4 43.0 42.3 41.9 42.8 52.9 61.5 57.0 56,5 183 190 171 155 130 125 145 148 192 163 167 210 193 543 541 53.7 55.7 53. 1 55.8 55. 1 53.7 57.1 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 969 1,253 1,026 994 875 753 854 867 792 797 857 1,081 1,162 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] !^ 'ew private housing unilbs Units started, by type of stnicture Period 1973 1974... 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980» .-.—- Total 1 unit 2, 045. 3 1, 337. 7 1, 160. 4 1, 537. 5 1, 987. 1 2, 020. 3 1, 745. 1 1, 291. 0 1, 132. 0 888.1 892.2 1, 162. 4 1, 450. 9 1, 433. 3 1, 194. 1 850.3 2-4 units 118.3 68.1 64.0 85.9 121.7 125.0 122.0 109.7 5 or more units 795.0 381.6 204.3 289.2 414.4 462.0 429.0 331.0 New priv ate homes Homes for sale at end ofl period Yacaney rate for rental housing units (percent)1 Units authorized Units completed 1, 819. 5 1, 074. 4 939.2 1, 296. 2 1, 690. 0 1, 800. 5 1, 551. 8 1, 170. 8 2, 100. 5 1, 72a 5 1, 317. 2 1, 377. 2 1, 657. 1 1, 867. 5 1, 870. 8 1, 498. 5 634 519 549 646 819 817 709 531 418 346 313 353 402 414 3 398 338 5.8 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.2 5.0 5.3 1,880 1,787 1,832 1,669 1,897 1,536 1,469 1,502 1,405 1,256 1,285 1,269 1,380 571 584 548 458 345 458 544 646 632 571 540 564 545 398 396 384 377 364 351 340 333 330 335 334 338 338 5.2 Homes sold Seasonally adjusted aiinual rates New 786 617 628 628 757 869 906 1,223 1,265 1,429 1,541 1,557 1,563 1,548 Oct»— -— Nov^ Dec* 1 2 8 1,055 1,002 1,548 1,419 1,330 1,041 1,030 1979: Dec 1980: Jan.... Feb Mar Apr May — -.. June July Aug...-..- in 1970. 1,003 1,059 1?030 1,012 947 of 110 127 101 91 100 80 75 80 136 142 120 155 129 383 290 443 333 302 198 391 316 290 340 407 396 472 1,247 1,271 1,168 968 789 825 1,078 1,236 1,361 1,564 1, 333 1,355 1,233 NOTE.—Units for 1973-77 are of tor places. to 5.0 5.4 5.5 48 IN¥QfTORIES—TOTAL UND TRADE Business sales rose 1 percent in December while inventories fell $1 billion. According to the advance survey, retail sales rose 2 percent in January following a slight increase in December. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* fRAUO SCALE) | 600 (RATIO SCALE) 550 500 TOTAL BUSINESS INVENTORIES 4501 400 j 350 300 /• \ 250 TOTAL BUSINESS SALES 50i — 200 \ 40 1976 RATIO* 1.80 INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.70 1.60 150 1980 TOTAL BUSINESS 150 1.40 RETAIL 1.30 ill 19771 100: 1.20 J. 19ff 1977 1976 Wholesale R<Jtail 2 Q_i _ n Inventories3 CJ 1 ~,29 Sales n Inventories3 TVd- al Inventoij- sales IiiventorieS 3 Sales bales * 1980 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total business * Period 1979 1978 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Dur- Non- able goods stores durable goods stores DurTVvf ol Non- able durable goods goods stores stores ratio * Total business l Retail Millions of d ollars, seasonally adjustec 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 19781979 1980 »_ 152, 237 175, 741 180, 263 202, 001 224, 786 254, 297 288, 388 310. 787 234, 162 285, 518 285, 035 310, 736 337, 432 380, 643 426, 796 457, 023 36, 822 45, 836 44, 633 48, 408 53, 509 62, 842 73, 551 82, 280 46, 254 56, 537 55, 113 61, 307 67, 998 80, 771 89, 676 99, 541 42, 461 45, 083 49, 013 54, 784 60, 435 66, 741 73, 837 78, 694 14. 409 14, 118 15, 247 18, 150 20, 724 23, 458 25, 680 25, 032 28, 052 63, 237 28, 418 30, 965 71, 067 32, 861 33, 766 71, 744 33, 356 36, 633 79, 273 37, 841 39, 711 89, 210 42, 970 43, 283 101, 538 50, 100 48, 158 108, 862 53, 087 53, 662 112, 288 51, 856 34, 819 38, 206 38, 388 41, 432 46, 240 51, 438 55, 775 60, 432 1.43 1.47 1. 58 1.48 1.44 1. 41 1.41 1.44 1.40 1.48 1.44 1.38 1.39 1.43 1.45 1.41 302, 117 312, 458 310, 181 305, 165 294, 998 292, 478 June 294, 203 July__ _._ 304, 154 Aug 308, 019 Sept 318, 321 Oct 325, 838 Nov. _ _ _ 328, 983 5 Dec _ 332, 212 426, 796 431, 420 435, 155 439, 114 445, 170 445, 801 447, 031 449, 510 451, 951 454, 566 456, 532 457, 986 457, 023 78, 678 80, 906 79, 299 78, 550 76, 391 76, 376 76, 629 80, 189 82, 606 85, 470 88, 532 89, 136 91, 333 89, 676 90, 690 91, 342 91, 497 92, 378 92, 562 93, 633 94, 619 97, 111 98, 111 99, 275 99, 956 99, 541 77, 150 79, 464 77, 993 76, 534 75, Oil 74, 587 76, 001 78, 287 78, 770 80, 087 80, 609 82, 125 82, 362 25, 943 27, 268 26, 369 24, 296 22, 821 22, 537 23, 212 25, 076 24, 821 25, 868 25, 591 26, 524 26, 185 51, 207 52, 196 51, 624 52, 238 52, 190 52, 050 52, 789 53, 211 53, 949 54, 219 55, 018 55, 601 56, 177 55,775 56, 306 56, 485 56, 819 57, 762 58, 045 58, 123 59, 255 58, 940 60, 602 61, 694 61, 136 60, 432 1.41 1.38 1. 40 1. 44 1.51 1. 52 1.52 1. 48 1.47 1.43 1.40 1.39 1.38 1.41 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.47 1.47 1.44 1.42 1.41 1.41 1.42 1.39 1.36 1979: Dec 1980: Jan Feb Mar., Apr.. May 1981: Jan * 1 The term "business" also includes manufacturing 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. 3 84, 009 26, 936 57, 073 (see page 21). Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average Inventories to average monthly sales; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of to for month. 108,862 53, 087 108, 436 52, 130 108, 717 52, 232 109, 095 52, 276 110, 252 52, 490 109, 837 51, 792 109, 768 51, 645 110, 786 51, 531 111, 323 52, 383 112,840 52, 238 114, 381 52, 687 113, 940 52, 804 112, 288 51, 856 «Preliminary; not charted. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS Manufacturers* orders, shipments, and inventories rose in December. BILLI DNS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO S CALE) 180 160 " SHIPMENTS 140 BULK}NS OF DOLb\RS * (RATIO SCALE) 280 TOTAL — 120 — — .A"*"'"*"" pX""*" ~s—•— -—-i ^X1 100 ^/~ ^f^^f*****"***^1- —^*+tf*""^ ^«»»«»** s £^^p>-->^ " 100 80 NONDURA 3LE GOODS 40 „„-.- — .+** 120 __X"—"•^^ 100! ^~~~- ^1 \ ^/^^ ^^ .-——--—• _ f\,—^—^~\^S- ^x—«v/ _ ^^S^ *" -c-r.:^- „.- >^-—"'""" k j*2 *</ 1976 1977 iiniliiiii 1 1 1 1 1 Ii 1 1 it 1977 1978 IIIIlllMM iiiiihiin 1979 1980 INVENT(DRY-SHIPI\/IENTS RA~no 2.0 _ 1.8 ^-\. mm*""" "*" \ NONDURABL E GOODS , ,, , , i ~ 1 1 1 1 1 I! 1 1 11 RAT 0* 2.2 40! ,,,,,1 1976 | \ NONDURA^BLE GOODS — \ 60" _ —.*********"* „.—- m.*--~"~~~""~"~ DURABLE C OODS ~* \ 40 80' ~ - .•*•*** x"—' TOTAL ~ 140 ^^*""M"*— " ,»»«•—"•* - 1 i i i 1 1 i i i i i 1 1 i i ii 1 ,, , , , BULKDNS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO S<IALE), 180 —NEW OFRDERS _ —•—•-—"i .^—~-— 60 160 ^_~^-**~**'"^ DURABLE GCK)DS •" ~\ 1 , , , , , ii . , , h , ,. , *^*^*^*~ —\ 120 yv*"**""' 60 ---*-*" iOTAL _ - _ H^-vi „•-•*•*' 200 ~ - INVENTDRIES 160 DURABLE GODDS 80 240 , , , , , 1 , i i i . ii , , , 1 1979, 1978 , mult..., 1980 1.6 -^ 1.4 - 1.2 r/V ^ x/^^^^—^ ^A^-^ ^—^ . i MI h i M i M i n i i n n 1976 1977, II II 1 h ! 1 II ,1978 itiiihiiM 1 111 1 1111 11 1979 1980 •*SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufac /turers' sh ipments 1 Manufad iurers' inv entories 2 Period Total NonDurable durable goods goods Durab le goods ManufacCapital NonNonturers' goods Total durable durable Total Durable unfilled indusgoods Total goods goods orders 3 tries, nondefense Millions of dolhirs, seasonlally adjus ted 84, 821 86, 617 98, 810 110, 842 124, 714 141, 000 149, 813 44, 253 43, 678 50, 697 58, 010 66, 505 73, 981 75, 182 40, 568 42, 939 48, 113 52, 832 58, 210 67, 019 74, 632 1979: Dec___ 146? 289 74, 191 72, 098 228, 258 151, 689 152, 088 152, 889 150, 081 143, 596 141, 515 141, 573 145, 678 146, 643 152, 764 156, 697 157, 722 158, 517 77, 948 79, 159 75, 925 72, 207 69, 443 69, 056 72, 544 72, 057 76, 571 79, 497 79, 741 79, 461 74, 140 73, 730 74, 156 71, 389 72, 072 72, 517 73, 134 74, 586 76, 193 77, 200 77, 981 79, 056 1974___ 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980* _ 1980: Jan___ Feb__. Mar__ Apr___ May__ June__ July__ Aug_._ Sept.Oct___ Nov Dec *>__ 157, 158, 170, 180, 198, 228, 245, 915 178 156 224 334 258 194 232, 294 235, 096 238, 522 242, 540 243, 402 243, 630 244, 105 243, 517 243, 615 242, 876 244, 090 245, 194 101, 101, 109, 115, 129, 151, 161, 866 766 095 751 456 689 918 154, 043 155, 314 157, 127 159, 877 160, 607 160, 404 160, 875 161, 081 160, 691 160, 137 160, 977 161, 918 ' Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. 23 Book value, end of period. End of period. 4 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly Manu facturen ?J new ord ers1 56, 048 56, 412 61, 061 64, 472 68, 878 76, 569 83, 276 87, 157 85, 082 99, 184 112, 451 128, 488 144, 335 150, 786 46, 740 41, 957 51, 047 59, 562 70, 145 77, 215 76, 212 76, 569 149, 232 77, 199 78, 251 79, 782 81, 395 82, 663 82, 795 83, 226 83, 230 82, 436 82, 924 82? 739 83, 113 83, 276 155, 588 154, 603 152, 065 143, 313 138, 920 138, 582 147, 104 147, 180 155, 262 158, 054 158, 775 161,811 81, 467 81, 021 77, 546 72,416 67, 328 66, 454 74, 228 72, 229 78, 960 80, 693 81, 047 82, 471 12, 737 10, 772 12, 501 15, 084 18, 308 21, 643 21, 299 Manufacturers* inventory — shipments ratio * 187, 574 169, 126 173, 646 193, 561 239, 321 279, 710 291, 202 1.65 1.83 1.66 1.59 1.52 1.52 1.61 22, 285 72, 033 279, 710 1.56 283, 211 284, 924 286, 907 286, 629 284, 033 281, 044 282, 463 282, 997 285, 497 286, 849 287, 907 291, 202 1.53 1.54 1.59 1.69 L72 1. 72 1.68 1.66 1.59 1.55 1. 55 1.55 23, 859 21, 480 22, 590 22, 162 19, 589 19, 954 21, 608 19, 371 20, 860 20, 618 21, 849 21, 628 40, 417 43, 125 48, 137 52, 889 58, 344 67, 120 74, 573 74, 121 73, 582 74, 519 70, 897 71, 592 72, 128 72, 876 74, 951 76, 302 77, 361 77, 728 79, 340 shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In December the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.4 percent and prices of other finished consumer goods were up 0.9 percent. Prices of capital equipment rose 1.0 percent. INDEX, 1967=100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1967= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 260 —-' 120! 120 100 100 1980 1972 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967 = 100; raonthl. Y data sseasonally adjus ted] J Finishec I goods In termedi ate Crud e mateilals rnaterial s lotai finFoodished Cons umer goods Capistuffs conFoods sumer Total and 1 Other Total and Other Non- tal Tins* feedTotal aKlo dur- equip- goods feeds stuffs able ment 118.5 115.8 120.5 123. 5 129.2 131.6 168.4 128.1 174.0 180.0 162.5 138.6 126.3 146,8 141.0 149.3 162.9 200.2 159.5 196. 1 189.4 208.9 153.1 138.2 163.0 162.5 163.6 180.0 195. 3 178.6 196.9 191.8 206.9 161.8 144.4 173.3 173.2 169.0 189.3 186.6 189.5 205. 1 190. 1 233.6 172.1 152.2 185.4 1845 178.9 201.7 191.0 202.4 2143 190.9 258.4 183.7 165.8 195.4 199. 1 192.6 215.5 201.0 216.4 240.1 215.3 286.7 208.2 181.9 225.9 216.7 215.7 242.8 223.2 2440 282.2 247.2 348.3 24E5 204.9 278.2 239.5 246.7 279.6 252.3 281.3 316. 1 258. 9 4245 225.5 191.6 248.4 2248 229. 9 260.2 231. 1 262.0 301.7 255.8 388.5 232.0 19ai 255.0 228.4 233.6 267.3 225.1 269.9 299.5 246.0 400.9 238.6 202. 1 263.2 230.0 237.6 272.6 237.6 2747 307.5 251.3 4142 243.0 200.5 272.0 232.0 241.4 273.9 230.2 276.5 300.9 2444 408.2 246.7 201.2 277.7 236.2 241.7 2743 223.9 277.4 290. 4 229.5 406.2 248.0 201.0 280.2 236.6 242.6 275.4 237.6 277.7 294 1 235. 1 40a2 249.6 203.7 281.0 238.3 2443 277.6 237.7 280.0 295.2 237.7 4042 251.7 207.0 282.4 241.6 248.7 280.0 247.6 282.0 313.9 259.2 417.5 252.7 208.0 283.3 243.4 252.8 283.2 271.0 2840 333. 1 282.4 429.0 252. 3 207.0 283.3 243.2 252.3 283.7 271.6 2844 335.8 281.4 439.0 253.9 209.5 284.0 246.6 253.8 286.3 288.0 286.2 342.3 285.5 449.9 255.7 210.0 287.0 248.0 255.5 289. 1 292.8 288.9 346.2 287. 1 458.2 257.9 211.5 289.7 250.5 256.7 292.9 270.9 2943 341.6 277.6 462.9 F inished goods exeludin g consumer f c>ods Period 1973....... .. 1974 ... 1975 1976 1977 . 1978 1979..... 1980 „ 1979: Dec 1980: Jan._ Feb Mar, Apr May.-.,, June July A.ug _ Sept Oct ___„ Nov Dec Total Confinished sumer goods foods Total 127.9 147.5 163.4 170.3 180.6 194.6 216.1 244.7 228.5 232.2 235.5 238.8 240.3 241.0 242.7 246.8 250.3 249.8 251.9 253.5 255. 1 146.4 166.9 181.0 180.2 189. 1 206.7 226.3 238.0 234. 1 232.0 231.0 233.4 226.9 227.0 228,7 237.6 247.9 247.4 248.7 250.0 249. 1 120.1 139.3 156.2 165.5 176.2 188.9 210.8 244.4 224.6 230.0 2346 238.2 242.0 243.0 244.6 247.2 248. 5 248. 1 250.4 252. 1 254.4 » Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. 22 rp 4. i NOTE.—Data revised for August 1980. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES In December, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 1.1 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.9 percent unadjusted). Food prices rose 1.1 percent (0.7 percent unadjusted) and nonfood commodity prices were up 0.6 percent (0.4 percent unadjusted). Services prices were up 1.5 percent (1.4 percent unadjusted). INDBC, 1967= 100 (RATIO SCA14 300 INDEX, 1967= 100 (RATIO SCALE). 300 140 120 110 1972 1980 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of IAKM [1967=100] Period 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977_. 1978 1979 1980 All Food items 133.1 141.4 147.7 161.7 161.2 175.4 170.5 180.8 181.5 192.2 195.4 211.4 217. 4 234.5 246.8 254.6 Services 123.5 136.6 149.1 156.6 165.1 174.7 195. 1 222.0 139. 1 152.1 166.6 180.4 1943 210.9 234.2 270.3 commodities All 129.9 145. 5 158.4 165.2 1747 187.1 208.4 233.9 141.4 161.7 175.4 180.8 192.2 211.4 2345 2546 Food at home 141.4 162.4 175.8 179.5 190.2 210.2 232.9 251.5 229.9 233.2 236.4 239.8 242.5 May 244.9 June 247.6 July___ 247.8 Aug 249. 4 Sept... 251.7 Oct 253.9 Nov 256.2 Dec_ __ 258.4 NOTE.—Data bej to 241.7 207.2 249.3 243.8 244.9 247.3 210.4 213.8 216.7 218.6 220.2 221.4 222.2 2242 226. 6 228.3 230.0 231.0 253.1 256.8 261.3 265. 3 269.2 2742 272.4 272.5 2748 277.9 280.9 284 7 249.1 250.4 252. 0 2548 258.7 261.1 262.4 264.5 266.4 Jai vets 1978 cle to all Food away from home All 123.5 136. 6 149. 1 156. 6 165.1 141.4 159.4 1743 186.1 200.3 218.4 242.9 267.0 1747 195. 1 222. 0 Durable Nondur- 121.9 130. 6 145.5 1543 163.2 173.9 191. 1 210.4 1248 140.9 151.7 158.3 166.5 Services able 1743 198.7 235.2 139.1 152.1 166.6 180.4 1943 210.9 2342 270.3 Seasonal]iy adjusted Unacljusted 1979: Dec. 1980: Jan Feb__. Mar.__ Apr ComDaodities less food Food Commodities less food 220.4 2448 242.3 2544 207.3 200.3 223.5 226.1 228.8 230.0 230.8 231.6 233.0 235.8 238. 7 240. 7 243.0 2448 2448 2447 247.1 248.4 249.2 250.5 252.9 257.5 261.6 263.6 266.6 269. 4 241.8 256.9 258.6 260.6 262.5 263.8 266. 1 267.3 269.0 271.4 273.4 276. 1 278.8 211.5 215.2 217.9 219.0 219.8 220. 4 221.4 202.5 203.5 2040 205. 1 206.3 207.4 208.5 211.8 215. 1 217.7 220.6 r Source: 240.9 243.5 2445 245. 1 246.0 248.9 254 7 259.6 261.7 264 8 267.7 of 223.5 226. 0 227.8 229.8 231. 2 % 221. 8 • 0 f 215.0 221.8 228.4 233.8 235. 1 235. 5 235. 8 236.6 237. 6 238. 1 238.4 239.5 241. 8 249.5 252.9 256.8 261. 6 265.6 269.8 2747 272.5 272.3 2743 277.6 280.4 2847 sties. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS Period 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Percenl change from pre ceding period ; season!dly adju,sted1 * ^fp8« • Percent* change from 3 nicnths earlie r; seasonally adji:isted annual rates Percem ', change from 6 nmonths earlier; season ally adjuisted annual rates Consume;r goods Consume;r goods Consumejr goods Total finished goods _ - 1979: Dec 1980: Jan Feb Mar Apr May.June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec — Capital Total equipfinExclud- ment ished ing Foods goods foods Capital equipExclud- ment Foods ing foods as iaa 6.6 3.3 6.6 9.2 12.6 11.7 8.0 22.5 13.0 5.5 -2.5 6.6 11.9 7.6 6.5 2.0 7.4 20.5 6.7 4.9 6.1 8.4 18.0 14.3 2.0 5.3 22.6 8.2 6.4 7.2 8.0 8.8 11.5 .8 .3 1.2 .9 13.3 8.6 17.9 10.0 147 11.9 20.6 7.9 1.6 1.4 1.4 .6 .3 .7 1.7 1.4 -.2 .8 .6 .6 -.9 -.4 1.0 -2.8 .0 .7 3.9 43 -.2 .5 .5 -.4 2.9 2.8 1.8 1.5 .5 .6 .8 .4 -.2 .6 .7 .9 1.6 .7 .9 1.8 .2 .7 1.4 .7 -. 1 1.4 .6 1.0 15.7 16.7 19.3 14.7 9.7 6.7 11.3 16.4 12.2 8.5 5.2 8.8 5.2 -4.2 -1.2 -8.5 22.8 31.3 348 27.9 16.7 11.3 8.4 7.8 44 3.5 48 9.2 ias 15.7 16.4 16.2 15.2 13. 1 12.8 13.0 13.0 9.4 9.9 10.6 10.5 8.4 4.3 3.6 -1.9 5.5 -46 49 15.2 12.4 20.1 21.3 18.6 23.6 26.3 26.1 25.3 23.8 22.5 17.7 12.2 7.8 5.9 6.3 6.8 9.6 11.4 11.7 13.8 12.7 12.4 11.9 12.0 9.9 9.0 9.9 10.5 11.8 —— Capital Total finequipExclud- ment ished goods ing Foods foods -a 7 -7.8 20.2 42.2 36.9 20.0 3.4 2.8 13.4 13.4 144 12.0 11.3 9.5 12.0 8.5 8.5 7.8 12.6 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. » Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). NOTE.—Based on revised data for August 1080. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES Percen t change from preceding perio d; season ally ad jussted1 - 3.4 8.8 12.2 7.0 4.8 6.8 9.0 13.3 12.4 4.7 20.1 12.2 6.5 .6 8.0 11.8 10.2 10.2 Commodities less food 2.5 5.0 13.2 6.2 5.1 4.9 7.7 14.3 11.5 1979: Dee— 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.4 0 -.0 1.0 .5 .3 .5 1.0 1.8 1.6 .8 1.1 1.1 2.0 1.7 1.3 .5 .4 .3 .5 .9 1.1 .8 .9 .6 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.8 -.8 —.1 .7 1.2 1.0 1.5 Period 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 All items 1980: Jan Feb Mar... Apr May.. June_July— Aug... Sept Oct... Nov.Dec... 1.4 1.4 1.4 .9 .9 1.0 0 .7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 Food Services Percent c lange frc•m 3 mont tis earlier; Percent e tiange f ro m 6 mont]is earlier; seasonsilly adjujsted annuld rates seasonsilly adjusited annul3,1 rates All items Services All items Food Commodities less food Services 3.6 6.2 11.3 8.1 7.3 7.9 9.3 13.7 14.2 13.7 12.1 15.6 17.2 18.1 15.9 13.6 11.6 7.6 6.9 7.0 11.3 12. 6 12.8 8.6 5.6 3.8 6.0 7.6 5.6 7.4 140 1R9 18.0 14.9 12.5 »Annual changes are from December to December (unadjusted). NOTE.—Data beginning January 1978 relate to all urban consumers. Earlier data relate to urban wage earners and clerical workers. 24 Food Commodities less food 12.7 15.8 18.1 21.2 22.1 15.0 8.8 4.7 4.5 6.9 10.6 12.1 11.8 9.5 16.4 18.6 20.9 21.7 21.8 21.6 10.8 3.8 -.6 7.7 12.4 16. 1 13.8 9.3 145 15.1 14.5 15.3 15.9 15.7 15.4 14.8 11.7 10.2 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.9 8.2 16.2 17*3 17.3 16.5 148 13.0 9.6 7.9 7.6 8.2 9.3 10.0 15.7 16.7 18.3 19.0 20.2 21.2 16.1 12.4 9.9 9.2 8.0 7.4 ao 7.9 7.3 6.6 4.7 6.7 10.7 12.1 12.6 14.5 15.7 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers fell 0.8 percent in January January 1 5. INDEX, 1967=100 by 2.4 in the -•••; SCALE) INDEX, 1967=100 SCALE) 320 1973 1974 1981 1975 I/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] Prices received by fas,rmers Period All farm products Crops Livestock and products by fanners Prices Production All items, ties, interest^ Production interest, items taxes, 2 1 rates 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979_-__ 1980 1980: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July____ Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec__ 1981: Jan 1 2 __ . „ _ _ „___.____ 179 192 185 186 183 210 241 246 175 224 201 197 192 203 223 241 183 165 172 177 175 217 257 251 144 164 180 192 202 219 250 281 149 169 186 198 208 227 261 293 146 166 182 193 200 217 249 277 124 117 103 97 91 96 96 88 237 239 234 225 228 233 247 257 261 261 264 265 220 221 220 218 224 228 242 252 260 259 271 272 252 255 247232 232 237 252 262 263 263 260 25i 270 272 276 276 276 279 281 284 287 289 291 2§2 283 285 288 287 287 289 291 295 299 300 303 303 265 268 272 270 270 273 275 280 284 286 289 2iO 88 88 85 82 83 84 88 90 91 90 91 91 263 275 253 299 312 294 88 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of recei¥ed by farmers to index of prices interest, taxes, wage rates. NOTE.—The law. The son are to a for on a to as by 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITYMARKETS MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETS The narrow measures of money declined in December, while growth in M-2 and M-3 slowed. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS'(RATIO SCALE) H 2,400 BHUONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) COUNCtl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Ml-A Period Currency plus demandl deposits 1974: Dec 1975: Dec 1976: Dec _ 1977: Dec 1978: Dec __ 1979: Dec. .. 1980: Dec* 1979: Dec Jan __ Feb Mar_ _ Apr_ _ „ May _ _„ June July Aug-__ Sept _ Oct „_ Nov _ Dec 9 _ _ _ 275.3 287.9 305.0 328.4 351.6 369.8 384.8 369.8 370.6 373.5 372.9 366.7 367. 1 370.9 373.5 379. 5 383.4 386.3 388.4 384.8 Ml-B Ml-A plus other checkable deposits at banks and thrift institutions 275.7 289.0 307.7 332. 6 360. 1 386.9 411. 9 386.9 388.3 391.4 391.4 386. 3 386. 1 391.3 395.5 402.7 408. 0 412.0 415.0 411.9 M2 Ml-B plus overnight RPs and Eurodollars, MMMF shares, and savings and small time deposits at commercial banks and thrift institutions 2 906.2 1, 022. 4 1, 166. 7 1, 294. 1 1, 401. 5 1, 526. 0 1, 673. 6 1, 526. 0 1, 534. 7 1, 547. 6 1, 554. 6 1, 550. 4 1, 563. 7 1, 587. 6 1? 612. 5 1, 632. 5 1, 644. 4 1, 656. 5 1, 670. 8 1, 673. 6 * Net cf demand deposits due to foreign commercial banks and official institutions. 2 Total M2 excludes demand deposits held by thrift institutions at commercial banks, not shown separately in components. 3 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted rate. 26 M3 M2 plus large time deposits and term RPs at commercial banks and thrift institutions 1} 058. 6 1, 161. 0 1, 299. 7 1, 460. 3 1, 623. 6 1, 775. 5 1, 958. 1 1, 775. 5 1, 786. 6 1, 805. 4 1, 813. 0 1,811.9 1, 825. 7 1, 846. 2 1, 867. 7 1, 889. 5 1, 904. 6 1, 921. 8 1, 946. 1 1, 958. 1 I3ercent change 3 L M3 plus other liquid Ml-A Ml-B assets 1, 244. 1 1, 371. 4 1, 526. 1 1, 720. 2 1, 934. 9 2, 151. 8 4.2 4. 6 5.9 7.7 7.1 5.2 4. 1 2, 151. 8 5.9 2, 166. 0 1 4.8 2, 188. 5 1 5.3 2, 203. 8 3.9 2, 213. 3 .2 2, 229. 8 *~~» o 2, 242. 7 .6 2} 258. 2 1.6 2, 282. 7 3.2 2, 306. 5 5.7 2, 318. 8 11.0 2, 346. 5 11.9 7.6 M2 8. 1 5. 6 12.8 14. 1 10.9 2. 3 9.7 8.4 7.7 7.6 7.0 5.4 6.3 8.2 4.3 4.8 6.5 8.3 7.4 6.5 6.9 5.7 6.0 4.7 1.7 .8 3.7 5.9 8.7 13.7 15. 5 10.8 8.3 8. 9 10.4 11.3 11.9 14.2 14.2 11.1 M3 8.5 9.7 11.9 12.4 11.2 9.4 10.3 9.7 9.2 9.4 7.9 6.2 6.9 8. 1 9.3 9.5 10.4 12.5 13.6 12. 5 NOTE,—Data reflect benchmark and other revisions; see Federal Reserve Bulletin for January 1981. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System. COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Overnight Small Money Over- market deSavDe- Other repurnight chase checkmutual ings nomiCur- mand Euroagreeable de- nation fund Period rency dedollars shares posits time posits * deposits ments (RPs) defn&+\ ^net; posits 2 NSA NSA NSA NSA Dec: 1974. 67.8 1975_ 73.8 1976. 80.7 1977. 88.7 1978. 97.6 1979. 106.3 1980" 116.4 207.4 214. 1 224.4 239.7 253.9 263.5 268.4 Large denomination time deposits 2 Term Shortrepur- Term term chase Euro- Sav- Treas- Bank- Comagree- dollars ings ury ers' merments (net) bonds secu- accept- cial (RPs) rities ances paper NSA NSA 2.7 4.2 8. 6 17.0 27. 1 7.2 7.5 13.6 17.6 21. 9 21.7 27.6 0.0 .0 .0 1.0 2.0 3.6 4.6 2.3 3.6 3.4 3.8 10.3 43.6 75.8 333.9 383.9 447.7 486.4 475.8 417.0 394.2 288.9 340.4 396.6 454.9 533.8 656.2 762.8 1440 129.6 118.0 145.2 1947 219.0 247.9 8.4 9.0 15.0 21.0 27.3 30.5 36.5 8. 1 9.8 13.0 18. 4 30.0 43. 1 63.2 67.2 71.8 76.6 80. 6 80.0 53.4 76.8 80.7 89.5 98.7 127.5 10.7 8.5 9.0 12.3 22.6 28.4 50.2 48.1 51.8 63. 1 79.4 97.3 1979: Dec.. 106.3 263.5 17.0 21.7 3.6 43.6 417.0 656.2 219.0 30.5 43. 1 80.0 127.5 28.4 97.3 1980: Jan.. 107.3 Feb_. 108. 1 Mar- 108.9 Apr.. 109. 0 May- 110.2 June. 111.0 July. 112. 1 Aug.. 113. 5 Sept. 113.9 Oct.. 115. 1 Nov. 115.8 Dee*. 116.4 17.7 17.9 18.4 19.5 19.0 20.4 22.0 23.2 24.6 25.7 26.6 27. 1 23.0 24.2 22. 7 19.4 20.5 21. 7 25.5 27.9 29.2 28. 1 27.9 27.6 4. 1 4. 1 3.6 2.7 2. 8 2.9 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.4 4.7 4.6 49. 1 56.7 60. 9 60.4 66.8 74.2 80.6 80.7 78.2 77.4 77.0 75.8 412. 4 404.0 393.3 379.4 375.2 384.6 398.0 408. 1 412. 1 414.2 407.9 3942 660.9 670.2 §85.7 705.3 715. 3 715.8 712.4 712.6 716.4 723.6 741.6 762.8 221.6 227. 4 22i. 5 232.4 233. 1 228.6 2240 223.3 226.8 229.8 238.8 247.9 30.3 30.3 28.9 29. 1 28.9 30.0 31.1 33.8 33.5 35. 5 36.5 36.5 45.6 49.5 49.2 49.9 50.3 48.9 48.4 48.4 45.2 43.6 46. 1 79.2 78. 1 76.8 75.2 740 73.3 72.8 72.6 73.2 74.6 72.9 127.8 129.3 137. 2 147.2 152. 1 148.7 144.7 147.2 1548 148.8 149.7 27.7 99.0 26.9 99.3 27.9 99.8 28.5 100.6 28.3 99.5 29. 1 96.5 28.9 95.8 28.5 96.6 30.0 98.7 31.0 99.0 32. 5 99.2 263. 3 265.4 264. 0 257.7 256.9 259.9 261.4 266. 0 269.5 271.2 272.6 268.4 0.4 1. 1 * Net of demand deposits due to foreign commercial banks and official insti- tutions. 2 Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. NOTE.—NSA indicates data are not seasonally adjusted. Data see NOTE page 28. Source: of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; monthly data Installirlent credit e xtended adjusted] Net change* in amount outstanding Installrrlent credit liquidated "O • j Feriod Total l 1973 1974_ 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Automobile Revolving Total » Automobile Revolving Total * -35 2,033 1,014 401 2,727 2,403 654 -1,671 —2, 677 -2, 045 -1, 199 489 1,055 702 839 1,619 1,538 529 722 261 49, 606 46, 514 52, 420 63, 743 75, 641 87, 981 93, 901 83, 002 28, 702 33, 213 36, 956 43, 934 87, 596 105, 125 120, 174 129, 580 152, 817 163, 276 172, 675 18% 179 222, 138 254, 589 286, 396 304, 477 43, 696 46, 019 49,444 53, 278 60, 437 69, 245 79, 186 83, §37 26, 699 31, 243 35, 616 41, 764 81, 348 96, OiO 111, 546 126, 655 20, 218 9,489 7,408 21, 561 35, 462 43, 079 38, 381 1,410 1979: Dec 26, 638 7,735 10, 146 24, 605 6,721 9,745 1980: Jan Feb Mar_ Apr May June July. Aug__ Sept Get Nov. Dec 27, 923 27, 581 25, 881 23, 220 22, 093 22, 349 23, 997 26, 176 27, 064 27, 365 25, 991 27, 149 8,441 7 S 973 7,372 5,922 5, 533 5,550 6,068 7,400 7,518 7,544 7, 117 7,234 10, 500 10, 756 10, 634 10, 347 10, 302 10, 341 10, §79 10, 700 11, 143 11, 124 10, 953 11, 614 25, 196 25, 178 25, 227 24, 891 24, 770 24, 394 25, 196 25, §87 26, 009 26, 6§3 25, 152 25, 53§ 6, §03 §,971 10, §34 li, 373 10, 677 10, 589 10, 436 10, 641 10, 419 10, 665 10, 851 10, §88 10, 998 „__ ,__ 'Includes "mobile home" "other," separately. 6, 565 §,574 6, 785 7,045 7,434 7,343 6,872 — 1 of 9 7 5 of the Revolving 2,003 1,970 1,340 2,170 6,248 9,035 8,628 2,925 173, 035 172, 765 180, 083 210, 740 257, 600 297, 668 324, 777 305, 887 6, iil 6,859 Automobile . 5,910 495 2,976 10, 465 15, 204 18, 736 14, 715 982 513 -643 — 1, 041 -1,026 -717 355 84 201 245 302 -330 -287 -95 38 281 478 273 265 616 BANK LOANS AND INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Bank credit growth slowed in December. Total reserves declined, reflecting the drop in required reserves. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 1,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 1,400 1200 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 AND LEASES 400 400 200 INVESTMENT IN 180 160 200 180 160 OTHER SECURITIES A 140 140 120 120 INVESTMENT IN -U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 1972 1973 1974 1977 1976 1975 1978 1979 1980 *SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, AVERAGES OF WEDNESDAY FIGURES SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVEiNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period Total loans and investments 1974: Dec 713.6 1975: Dec 7446 1976: Dec 804.3 1977: Dec 891.1 1978: Dec _ _ _ 1, 014. 3 1979: Dec 4 1, 132. 5 1980: Deo .-. 1, 234 1 1979: Dec-. 1, 132. 5 1980: Jan Feb.. Mar Apr May June July— Aug.__ 1, 144 8 1, 162. 7 1, 165, 2 _ _ 1, 161. 0 . 1, 154 9 1, 152. 0 1, 160. 0 . 1, 177. 2 ..... 1, 191. 0 Oct 1, 204 5Nov 4 1, 221. 2 Dec . 1, 234 1 » ! COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Depositc»ry instituitions 3 Allcjommercial k>anks l Borrowiiigs (milReserves lions of dollars, Loans and leases Investnaents unadji listed) CommerCJ f\4-1*f\ U ,b. Utner NonSeaRecial and Treasury Total Total Total 2 industrial secuborrowed quired sonal securities rities loans 519.9 516.9 5548 632. 1 747.8 847.2 910.2 197.3 189.8 191.2 211.2 246.5 290.5 323.3 53.7 82. 1 100.6 99. 5 93.4 93.8 109.6 140.0 145.7 149.0 159.6 173. 1 191.5 2143 36.66 3467 3490 36. 00 41. 16 43.46 40.13 35.94 3454 3485 35.43 40.29 41.98 38.44 36.41 3440 3463 35.81 40.93 43. 13 39.58 703 127 62 558 874 1,473 1,617 32 13 12 54 134 82 116 847,2 290.5 93.8 191.5 43.46 41.98 43. 13 1,473 82 858.5 872.7 8747 871.6 860.6 ' 853. 5 855.0 865.8 876.4 886.2 899.4 910.2 295.6 301.1 302.8 301.2 297.7 295.4 296.2 301.4 306.0 312.0 318.4 323.3 93.2 193. 1 195.2 196.0 196.2 199.7 201.5 2042 207. 0 208.0 210.3 212.5 2143 43.44 43,35 43.67 4485 4445 43.96 42.78 40.75 41.52 41.73 41.23 40. 13 42.20 41.70 40.85 42.39 43.43 43.58 42.39 40,09 40.21 40.42 39.17 38.44 43. 19 43. 14 43.48 4465 4427 43.76 42.50 40.45 41.26 41.52 40.73 39. 58 1,241 1,655 2,824 2, 455 1,018 75 96 150 155 63 12 7 10 26 67 99 116 948 945 93.2 94 6 97.0 100.9 104 4 106.6 107.9 109.3 109.6 are of figures. Eieludes loans to in the United States. Data are averages of daily figures. Reserves actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjustment to the effect of in Regulations D and M. Prior to November 13,1980, the date of implementation of the Monetary Control Act, data only to member banks. 8 3 28 * Data for loans and investments are Source: Board of Governors of the 380 395 659 1,311 1,335 2,156 1,617 Reserve System. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Credil: market funds Period Total Internal1 Total Total 104.4 127.8 161.6 200.0 191.3 150.0 209.7 242.3 295.7 341.3 350.2 323.3 377.3 3149 315.4 204.9 258.7 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1979:1 II III IV 1980: I II III*. 58.9 68.6 80.8 83.8 75.7 106. 8 125.3 139.9 148.8 158.3 1544 159.0 161.6 158.2 153.7 160.1 165.7 45.5 59.3 80.8 116.2 115.6 43.2 84.4 102.3 146.9 183.0 195.8 1643 215. 7 156.7 161.7 44.9 93. 1 Securities and mortgages 32. 1 41. 1 40. 6 37.0 39. 1 49. 3 48.8 46. 1 49.2 52.4 48.9 55.2 56.2 49.2 56.2 59. 1 61.8 40.7 45.2 58.2 73.0 82. 1 37.9 60.7 79.9 947 1143 113.4 123.9 126.7 93.0 123.8 64.3 102.0 » Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits. 3 Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and miscellaneous liabilities. Loans and shortterm paper 8.5 41 17.6 36. 1 43.0 -11.4 11.9 33.8 45.6 61.9 64 5 68.7 70.5 43.8 67.7 5.2 40.3 Other2 4.9 14. 1 22. 6 43. 1 33.4 5.3 23.8 22.4 52.2 68.7 82.4 40.4 89.0 63.7 37.9 -19.4 -9.0 Total 95.9 119. 6 145.8 185.6 179.0 133.0 183.3 216.8 2743 319.4 3248 2946 360.5 298.3 294.9 109. 0 240.7 Purchase of physical assets 8 80.3 86.0 100.3 123.3 134.7 99.9 139.0 169.9 195.9 221. 3 213.0 228.6 226. 6 216.9 226.0 220.0 209. 1 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 15.6 33.5 45.6 62.3 444 33.2 443 46.9 78.3 98.2 111.8 66. 1 133.9 81.4 68.9 -30.0 31.6 8.5 8.2 15.8 144 12.2 16.9 26.4 25.5 21.4 21.9 25.5 28.7 16.8 16.6 20.6 149 18.0 s Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars, except as noted] Curre nt assets End of period Total Cash Current liabilities Notes U.S. governand Invenment actories securi- counts ties receivable Other current assets Total Notes and accounts payable Other current liabilities Net working capital Current ratio l SEC series:2 492.3 1970 529.6 1971 599.3 1972 697.8 1973 790.7 1974 3 FTC-FRB series: 735.4 1974 759.0 1975 826.8 1976 902. 1 1977. __ _ 1, 030. 0 1978. _ 1, 200. 9 1979.___ 50.2 53.3 59.0 66.3 71. 1 7.7 11.0 10.6 12.8 12.3 206. 1 221. 1 248.2 288.5 322. 1 193.3 200.4 225.7 263.9 313.6 35.0 43.8 55.8 66.4 71.7 3049 326. 0 375.6 450.9 530.4 211.3 220.5 282. 9 340.3 402.3 93.6 105.5 92.7 110.7 128. 1 187.4 203.6 223. 7 246.9 260.3 1.615 1.625 1.595 1.548 1.491 73.2 82. 1 88.2 95.8 1045 116. 1 11. 1 19.0 23.4 17.6 16.3 15.6 265.8 272. 1 292. 8 324.7 383.8 456.8 319.5 315.9 342.4 374.8 426.9 501.7 65.9 69.9 80. 1 89.2 98.5 110.8 453.4 451. 6 494.7 549.4 665.5 809. 1 269.8 2642 281.9 313.2 373.7 456.3 183.6 187.4 212.8 236.2 291.7 352. 8 282.0 307.4 332.2 352.7 364.6 391.8 1.622 1. 681 1.672 1.642 1.548 1.484 1, 081. 0 1, 108. 2 _ 1, 169. 5 1, 200. 9 102.7 100. 1 103.7 116. 1 17.4 18.6 15.8 15. 6 408. 1 421. 1 453.0 456.8 451.4 465.2 489.4 501. 7 101.4 103.2 107.7 110.8 705.4 7247 777.8 809. 1 391.3 406.4 438.8 456.3 314. 1 318.3 339.0 352.8 375.6 383.5 391.7 391.8 1. 532 1.529 1. 504 1.484 1, 235. 2 I, 233. 8 110.2 111.4 15.1 13.9 471.2 4642 519.5 525.7 119.3 118.7 838.3 828. 1 467.9 463. 1 370.4 364 9 397.0 405.7 1.474 1.490 1979: I II III___ IV 1980: I II * Total current assets divided by total current liabilities. on data from Statistics of Income, Department of the Treasury. Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report fo? Manufacturing, Mining, and s Based 1 See Federal Reserve Bulletin, July 1978, for details regarding the series. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Commission, Securities Exchange not 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Short-term interest rates came down somewhat in January and early February from their December peaks, but longerterm bond yields registered smaller declines. PERCENT PER ANNUM 16 PERCENT PER ANNUM SOURCE: SEE TABLE BELOW (COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] Period 1975. 1976 1977 1978 -__. 1979 1980 1980: Jan.._ Feb Mar_ Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1981: Jan Week ended: 1981: Jan 10 17 24 31 Feb 7 Feb 14 U.S. Tre asury securiiby yields Constant Daaturities 2 3-month 1 bills 10-year 3-year 5.838 4.989 5.265 7.221 10. 041 11. 506 12. 036 12. 814 15. 526 14. 003 9. 150 6.995 8. 126 9.259 10. 321 11. 580 13. 888 15. 661 14.724 7.49 6.77 6.69 8.29 9.71 11.55 10.88 12.84 14.05 12.02 9.44 8.91 9. 27 . 10. 63 11.57 12.01 13.31 13.65 13.01 7.99 7.61 7.42 8.41 9.44 11.46 10.80 12.41 12.75 11.47 10. 18 9.78 10.25 11. 10 11. 51 11.75 12.68 12.84 12.57 13. 601 15. 318 15. 595 15. 199 14. 657 15, 397 12.72 12.91 13.32. 13. 13 13.41 12. 31 12.53 12. 72 12.74 12. 95 Prime NewHigh-grade Corporate Prime com- Discount home rate municipal mercial rate Aaa charged (N.Y. mortgage bonds paper, bonds by 5 yields (Standard3 (Moody's) F.R. 4-6 4 (FHLBB)« banks Bank) • & Poor's) months 9.01 7.86 6. 89 6.25 8.83 6.33 8.99 6. 84 5.50 6.49 5.35 8.43 9.01 6.83 5.56 5.46 8.02 5.60 9.54 9.06 5.90 7.46 a 73 4 7.99 10.77 12.67 6.39 10.28 9.63 10. 91 12.65 8.51 15.27 11.94 11.77 12.29 11.87 7.21 12-12 15)4—15/4 11.09 12.66 11.93 15&-16% 8.04 12-13 12. 38 13.60 12.62 9.09 16.50 13-13 16%— 19K 12.96 13.03 8.40 13-13 12.04 14.93 19H-19K 13.68 13-12 * 18!4-14 7.37 10.99 9.29 14-12 12.66 7.60 12-11 10.58 8.03 12.48 12-11 8.08 11-10 11.07 8.29 12.25 8.62 10-10 11.64 11-11H 9.61 12.35 8.95 12. 02 10-11 11 j^— 13 11. 04 12.61 9. 11 11-11 13/4— 14J4 12. 32 12.31 13.04 11-12 14/2-17% 9.55 14.73 12.97 13.28 17%—21% 12-13 10.09 13.21 16.49 13.28 9.65 13-13 21jHr-20 12.81 15. 10 -' 20^-20 9.57 13-13 14.66 12.59 20-^20 • • 9.47 13-13 15.35 12.76 20-20 13-13 9.66 15.40 12.91 20-20 13-13 9.89 15.02 12.98 9.85 13-13 13.07 20— 19J4 14.90 19}f13- J Rate on new issues within period; bank-discount basis. * Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. * Weekly data are Wednesday figures. * Beginning November 1,1979, data are for 6 months paper. * Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week^ OA s Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Rates beginning January 1973 not strictly comparable with prior rates. * Range of 18J3-19. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices continued to back off a bit in January and early February. INDEX, DEC 31,1965=50 INDEX, DEC 3\ 1965=50 80 80 70 - - 70 5 - - 5 1981 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD, & POOR'S CORPORATION COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Common s tock 5yields (perc ent) Cominon stock piices l Period Composite Industrial Transportation 1975 1976 1977— 1978 .... 1979 1980 _ _ 1980: Jan Feb Mar Apr. May June._ July Aug__ Sept Oct Nov. Dec 1981: Jan Week ended: 1980: Dec 27 1981: Jan 3 10 17_ 24 31 Feb 7 Utility 45.73 54.46 53. 69 53.70 58.32 68. 10 63.74 66.06 59.52 58.47 61.38 65.43 68.56 70.87 73. 12 75. 17 78. 15 76.69 76.24 50. 52 60.44 57. 86 58.23 64.76 78.70 72.67 76.42 68.71 66.31 69.39 74.47 78.67 82. 15 84.92 88.00 92.32 90.37 89.23 31. 10 39.57 41. 09 43.50 47.34 60.61 52.61 57.92 51.77 48.62 51. 07 54.04 59. 14 62.48 65. 89 70.76 77.23 75.74 74. 43 31.50 36.97 40. 92 39.22 38.21 37.35 37.08 36.22 33.38 35.29 37.31 38.53 38.77 38. 18 38.77 38.44 38.35 37. 84 38.53 77. 95 77.79 77. 63 76.75 75.52 74.68 73.79 91.38 91,40 90. 92 89.91 88.31 87.25 85.97 76.04 75.92 74. 85 74.46 74.27 73. 66 74.36 39.26 38. 60 39.01 38. 57 38.39 38.08 37.84 * Average of daily closing prices. a Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. s Includes 30 stocks. «Includes 500 stocks. Standard & Poor's Dowcomposite Dividend- EarningsJones index ratio Finance industrial ratio average 3 (1941-43= 10) 4 47.14 9.15 4.31 802. 49 86.16 52.94 8.90 974.92 102. 01 3.77 4.62 10. 79 55.25 98.20 894.63 12.03 56.65 96.02 5.28 820. 23 13.46 61.42 5.47 103. 01 844.40 5.26 6425 118.78 891. 41 5.41 64.22 110. 87 860. 74 5.24 61.84 115. 34 878. 22 1498 5.87 54.71 104.69 803. 56 6.05 57.32 102. 97 786. 33 5.77 61.47 107. 69 828. 19 5.39 13.08 114.55 65. 16 869. 86 5.20 66.76 119. 83 909. 79 5.06 67.22 123. 50 947. 33 11.78 490 69.33 126. 51 946. 67 480 130. 22 68.29 949. 17 4.63 67.21 135. 65 971. 08 474 133. 48 67.46 945. 96 480 132. 97 962. 13 70. 04 New York Stock Exch ange indexe s(Dec. 31, 1 965=50) 2 70.67 70.55 71.86 70. 62 69.03 68.43 68.63 961. 63 964. 85 982. 53 968. 72 949. 71 945. 43 942. 93 135.88 135. 62 135. 54 133. 85 131. 57 130. 22 128. 84 466 467 4 70 476 483 489 497 NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Stand- FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT In the first 3 months of fiscal 1981, there was a budget deficit of $33.6 billion, compared to a deficit of $24.5 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 RECEIPTS AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 OUTLAYS f 700 700 600 600 500' 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 50 SO SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) 0 -50 -50 -100 -100 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1979 1978 1980 •1982 1981 FISCAL YEARS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period Fiscal year or period : 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 1980_— 1981 l 1982i____ Receipts . ........ . _ .. . . .. .. Cumulative total? first 3 months: Fiscal year 1980 Fiscal year 1981 „ i Estimates January 15, Budget of the Untied States Government, Fiscal Year 1982, 32 Outlays 188.4 208.6 232.2 264.9 281.0 300.0 81.8 357.8 402.0 465.9 520.0 607.5 711.8 232. 0 247. 1 269.6 326. 2 366.4 94.7 402.7 450.8 493.6 579.6 662.7 739.3 1140 127.0 138.5 160.6 211.4 Surplus or deficit ( — ) Federal debt ( end of period) Gross Held by the public -45.2 -66.4 -13.0 -45. 0 -48.8 -27.7 -59.6 -55.2 -27.5 409. 5 437.3 468.4 486.2 544 1 631.9 646.4 709. 1 780.4 833.8 9143 992.4 1, 057. 7 3043 323.8 343.0 346.1 396.9 480.3 498.3 551.8 610.9 6446 715. 1 787.1 832.1 -245 -33.6 852.2 936.7 663.6 742.8 -23.0 -23.4 -14.8 -47 Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 3 months of fiscal 1981, budget receipts were $13.0 billion higher than a year earlier and budget outlays were $22.1 billion higher. . '" . BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 RECEIPTS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES .1 600 600 OUTLAYS 500 500 400 400 NONDEFENSE 300 300 200 200 NATIONAL DEFENSE 100 100 J_ 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 FISCAL YEARS 1979 1980 1981 1982 V COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] ()utlays Rece ipts Nationa , defense Period Total Indi- Corpovidual ration Other income income taxes taxes Fiscal year or period: 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1 19821 188.4 208.6 232.2 264.9 281.0 300.0 81.8 357. 8 402. 0 465.9 520.0 607.5 711.8 86.2 94.7 103.2 119.0 122.4 131.6 38.8 157.6 181.0 217.8 244. 1 2840 331.7 Cumulative total, first 3 months: Fiscal year 1980 Fiscal year 1981 114.0 127.0 57.8 65.7 Total 646 145.2 161.1 182.4 211.4 257.5 315.5 211.4 232.0 247.1 269. 6 326.2 366.4 947 402.7 450.8 493.6 579.6 662.7 739.3 12.9 11.7 43.3 49.6 138.5 160.6 26.8 32.2 36.2 38.6 40.6 41.4 8.5 549 60.0 65.7 646 66.0 75.4 81.7 92.8 107.4 118.0 127.0 345 * Estimates from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 198S, January 15,1981. Total 75.8 76.6 Interna- Health and In- Other Depart- tional income ment of affairs security terest Defense, military 1844 745 75.1 73.2 77.6 849 87.9 21.9 95.6 103.0 115. 0 132.8 157.6 180.0 41 47 41 5.7 6.9 5.6 2.2 48 5.9 6.1 10.7 11.3 12.2 70.1 81.4 91.8 106.5 136.2 160.8 41.5 176.7 189.9 209.8 251.3 297.7 329.6 19.6 20.6 22.8 28.0 30.9 345 7.2 38.0 440 52.6 645 80.4 89.9 41.8 48.8 53.9 51.6 66.5 76. 1 21.5 85.7 105. 9 107.5 117.3 112.3 123.2 31.7 37.5 31.1 36.6 3.2 2.9 57.8 70.6 17.5 21.5 2R3 745 77.8 85.6 89.4 22.3 97.5 105.2 117.7 135.9 161. 1 2ai Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office oi Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the third quarter, according to current estimates, Federal receipts rose $19.9 billion (annual rate) and expenditures rose $27,7 fcillion, yielding a deficit of $74.2 billion, $7.7 billion higher than in the second quarter. In the fourth quarter, according to preliminary estimates, expenditures rose $23.3 billion/ receipts data are incomplete. BILUONS OF DOLLARS 700 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 600 500 500 EXPENDITURES 400 00 RECEIPTS 300 300 200 M 50 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I • I I I | I I I I I I I I I I I i I I I I N 200 50 SURPLUS DEFICIT -50 -50 -100 -100 1973 1975 1974; 1978 1977 1976 1981 1979 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCi COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal <jovernm ent receipts Period Indirect Persona] Corporate business tax and Total nlAvPAl profits tax and ft n't"Litfix A tax nontax receipts accruals accruals F<jderal G<svernmeiat expen<iitures Subsidies Less: GrantsContriWage Purless in-aid butions chases Trans- to State Net current accruals for Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less social inand ments local paid Govern- dissurance services ment en- bursegovernments terprises ments Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts Fiscal year: 1977 365.9 414. 2 1978 1979 408.7 527.3 1980 166.4 186.4 223. 1 249.7 58.8 67.2 75.8 70.6 245 27.2 29. 1 35.7 116.2 133.4 152.7 171.3 411.7 450.5 494.7 57R2 140. 3 150.7 163.4 190.2 169.8 182.2 201. 8 239.3 66.3 747 79. 1 86.7 28.4 33.5 40.6 51.2 7.0 9.6 9.8 10.8 0.0 -.0 .0 .0 -45.8 -36.3 -14.0 -50.9 Calendar year: 375. 1 1977 1978 431. 5 494.4 1979 1980" 539.7 477.0 1979:1 II. __ 485.9 III__ 500.6 IV. __ 5140 1980: I 528.4 II. __ 520.9 III__ 540.8 IV *_ 170. 1 1949 231. 4 258.0 216.7 225. 7 236.2 247. 1 246. 9 252.0 259. 4 273. 6 61.6 71.2 74.6 68.8 75.3 73.5 75. 3 743 80.5 60.9 66.7 25. 0 28. 1 29.4 40.7 29.4 29.4 29.3 29. 6 31.9 38.7 42.9 49.5 118. 5 137. 2 159.0 172. 2 155.5 157. 4 159. 9 163.0 169. 2 169.3 171.8 178. 7 421.5 460.7 509. 2 601. 3 488.4 494 0 515.8 538.6 564 7 587.3 615.0 638.3 143.9 153. 4 167.9 199. 2 1648 163.6 165. 1 178. 1 190.0 198. 7 1949 213.3 172. 8 185. 6 209. 1 249.6 196. 8 201.4 216. 6 221. 7 228.9 236.0 265.3 268.1 67.5 77.3 80.4 87.3 78. 2 77. 8 80.8 849 85.5 87.2 87.7 88.9 29. 1 35.2 42.3 53.4 40.0 42.0 42.9 444 50.3 54.4 53.5 55.5 8.2 9.3 9.4 11.8 8.5 9.2 10.5 9.5 10. 1 11.0 13.7 12. 5 .0 .0 -.0 .0 -.0 .0 .0 0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -46.4 -29. 2 -148 -61. 6 -11.5 NOTE.—Data reflect the recent benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. For details, see Survey of Current Business, December 1980. 34 0$ 1 _ Q J_ -15.2 —24 5 -36.3 -66.5 -742 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis), Department of the Treasury, and Office of Management and Budget. INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES [1967=100] In dustrial produc tion (seaisonally adjuste< i) Period 1974 1975 1976 -1977 1978 1979 1980 » 1980: Feb Mar Apr Mav June July-... Aug__-_ Sept »__ Oct *— Nov *»__ Dec" United United CanGerKing- States1 ada Japan France many dom France Germany Italy 183. 1 163.9 182.0 189.7 201. 1 217.7 148 139 149 152 155 161 145. 1 137. 1 149. 1 152.7 155.3 163.2 140.6 127.6 143.5 145.1 147.9 157.6 120.0 114.3 117.4 123.0 126.8 131.4 241.3 233.1 236.9 234.4 232.1 233.1 222. 1 231.3 233. 3 231.0 166 166 166 160 160 165 165 156 160 169 169 168 164 163 164 161 160 161 174.9 174.2 176.6 162. 5 167.1 165.2 142.7 160.9 163.4 169.9 127.2 125.8 124.0 123.7 123.9 123.0 United States Canada Japan 129.3 117.8 130.5 138.2 146. 1 152.5 147. 5 139.6 147.3 150. 5 156.7 164. 0 152.6 152. 1 148.3 144.0 141.5 140.4 141. 8 144. 1 146.8 149.2 150.7 162.9 166.0 162.3 158.9 157.6 157.2 158.9 162.0 162.8 Coasumer f >rices (uimdjustec I) 119.3 117.6 118.2 » Beginning January 1978 data relate to all urban consumers. 147. 7 144.5 184.0 ieo;o 161.2 160.1 205.8 m.9 170.5 172.1 224.9 196. 1 181.5 185.9 243.0 214.5 195.4 202.4 252.3 23a9 217.4 221.0 261.3 259.1 246.8 236.4 239.8 242.5 244.9 247.6 247. 8 249. 4 251.7 253.9 256.2 258.4 243.5 233.3 235.8 237.2 240.0 242.7 244.5 273.3 280.2 275.5 283.4 280.2 286.7 282. 7 289.3 283.5 291.1 284.2 295.5 246. 8 283.7 298.4 249.0 288.1 301.0 251.2 288.5 304.3 254.3 289.1 306.4 255.8 136.1 144.2 150.4 155.9 160.2 166. g 175.9 172.8 173.8 174.9 175.6 176.5 176.8 177.0 177.0 177.3 178.3 179.^ Italy 159.7 186.8 218. 1 255.2 286.2 328.5 397.8 374.3 37&2 3843 388.2 391.7 398.4 402.4 410.1 417.9 426.7 432.2 United King- dom 174.: 216.1 252.^ 292.^ 316.1 359. ( 423. i 399. \ 405.] 419. C 422. f 426. i 430.; 431.1 434.1 436.! 440.1 442.' Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, Office of Planning and Research, in International Economic Indicators. U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Merchtandise esports l Mercllandise imports Domesti(3 exports Period Total domestic and foreign Total exports 3 Ge neral im ports* Food, Crude Food, Crude bever- mate- Manubever- mate2 facrials ages, rials ages, tured Total and and to- and to- and goods bacco fuels bacco fuels F. a.s. valu<3 * Monthly average: 1973 1974 5,902 8,167 5,811 8,053 1,078 1,269 1974.. 8,167 1975 .... 8,966 1976 9,596 1977 10, 096 1978 11,965 1979 15, 138 1980 18, 379 1979: Dee___ 16, 742 1980: Jan 17, 348 Feb.__ 17, 233 Mar 18, 534 Apr 18, 468 May 17, 678 June 18, 642 July... 18, 075 Aug 19, 103 Sept... 18, 701 Oct.... 19, 089 Nov 18, 634 Dec 19, 118 8,053 8, 842 9,456 9,912 11, 753 14, 869 18, 036 16, 419 17, 018 16, 950 18, 165 18, 137 17, 303 18, 267 17, 765 18, 788 18, 400 18, 660 18, 268 18, 790 1,269 1,399 1,436 1,330 1,717 2,049 2,534 2,413 2,331 2,296 2,538 2,410 2,190 2,366 2,471 2,489 2,779 2,690 2,825 2,968 895 1,317 Customis value 3,728 5,294 5,790 8,450 770 892 F.a.s. 1,317 5,294 8,387 892 1,266 5,913 8,048 827 1,341 6,437 10, 084 991 1,548 6,679 12, 307 1,186 1,746 7,873 14, 332 1,312 2,352 9,716 17, 188 1,478 2,810 11, 991 20, 070 1,545 2,732 10, 720 19, 612 1,712 2,854 11, 173 20, 938 . 1,652 2,826 11, 373 21, 640 1,406 2,991 11, 802 20, 589 1,544 2,867 11, 745 19, 257 1,503 2,816 11, 612 20, 439 1,531 2,921 12, 277 19, 893 1,584 2,821 12, 015 18, 995 1,600 3,181 12, 477 19, 236 1,468 2,782 12, 277 19, 465 1,402 2,506 12, 609 20, 061 1,592 2,452 12, 243 19, 422 1,677 2,750 12, 368 21, 174 1,588 1 Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program are excluded from totals for all periods and from monthly detail beginning January 1978. Is Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. T qtal arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. * C.i.f. (cost, insurance, and freight) import value at first port of entry in tht united States. Data for 1973 are estimates. Manufactured goods Men*handise trade balance ExExports (f.n.s.) ports Exports (f.a.s.) (f.a,s.) less Total imless less (e.Lf. imports imvalue) * ports (c.i.f.) ports (customs (f.a,s.) value) 1,120 2,653 value * 2,672 2,716 3,457 4,463 4,325 5,949 7,507 7,722 7,590 8,788 8,421 7,284 7,774 7,834 6,655 7,043 6,667 7, 120 6,806 8,147 3,750 4,684 4,602 4,257 5f 398 6f379 8,360 9,357 10, 419 9,632 11, 176 10f 829 10, 157 9,918 10, 539 9,951 10? 187 10, 192 10, 485 10, 611 10, 391 10, 814 6,131 9,033 112 -283 -221 —229 -866 —866 9,033 —283 —221 8,654 312 853 918 10f 825 —581 —488 —1, 229 13, 130 —2, 297 —2,211 —3, 034 15, 258 -2, 473-2, 367 -3, 293 18, 238 -2, 117 -2, 050 -3, 101 21, 067 -1,691 -2, 688 -2, 871 -4f 015 20, 756 22, 100 -3, 590 -4, 752 22, 806 -4,407 -5,573 -2, 054 -3,138 21, 673 20, 284 -789 -1,816 -2, 762 -3,852 21,530 -1,251 -2, 280 20, 922 -920 -1,852 19, 927 -132 -1,061 20, 165 -764 -1,644 20, 345 -972 -1,861 20, 949 -788 -1,633 20, 297 -2, 056 -2,977 22,094 s F.a.s. (free alongside ship) value basis: at U.S. of exportation for exports and at foreign port of exportation for imports. NOTE.—Data beginning 1975 not strictly comparable with earlier data. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Although the merchandise trade deficit rose in the fourth quarter of 1980, the deficit for the year as a whole ($26.7 billion) was $2.6 billion lower than in 1979. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, 101 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT /*% ^ VX \ BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES N -5 -10 -10 -15 1972 1980 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted] Invcjstment iricorne 3 Merehandise 12 Period Exports 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980* Imports Wat iNeb Knl Mctl— ance Receipts Payments 911 21, 808 -9, 655 71, 410 — 70, 499 98, 306 -103,649 -5,343 27, 587 -12,084 107, 088 —98, 041 9,047 25, 351 -12,564 114, 745 -124,051 -9, 306 29, 286 -13,311 120, 816 -151,689 -30,873 32, 587 -14,598 142, 054 -175,813 -33, 759 42, 972 -22, 073 182, 069 -211, 453 -29, 384 65, 970 -33,460 221, 974 -248, 709 -26, 735 7,038 7,270 9,319 8,883 -29 -102 -443 -700 -611 -637 -834 — 613 1,448 1,428 1,524 1,405 -65, 452-10,849 20, 846 -10,752 10, 094 -62, 108 -7,502 16, 641 -10,508 6,133 -59, 009 -2, 825 19, 113 -10, 646 8,467 — 62, 140 -5, 559 —922 -944 -632 -690 -296 -248 1,570 -798 -1,812 -2, 610 1,557 -1,105 — 1, 326 -2, 431 4,900 1,618 6,377 -1,477 -46, 922 -50,876 -54, 259 -59, 396 1980: !.__„ 54, 603 54, 606 56, 184 56, 581 -5, 115 14, 263 -8, 059 15, 250 -7, 053 18, 050 -9, 157 18, 407 -7,225 -7,980 -8, 731 -9,524 military grants. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. * Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United are excluded from investment income and in other services, nit. 3, 184 11, 021 -3,881 7,140 2, 124 9,309 -7, 186 3,986 -4, 613 18, 280 4,598 22, 893 4,384 9,382 -4, 998 4, 711 5,086 - 9, 464 -4, 605 - 14, 068 5,959 -9,204 -5,055 -14,259 -788 4,878 -5,666 5,806 1,506 -1,933 - 1, 233 -3, 166 -820 493 -1,313 1,571 41, 807 42, 817 47, 206 50, 239 36 Balance on current account — 910 -774 1979 :!_.,_ !!___ III- 1 Excludes 2 RemittanceSy pensions, and otner unilateral transfers 1 139 3 36, 828 -44, 336 -7, 508 10, 557 -5, 717 38, 900 -45, 715 -6, 815 12, 851 -6, 343 II— III*. IV»~ 12, 153 -2, 070 -3,158 15, 503 -1,653 -3,188 12, 787 -746 -2,792 15, 975 559 -2,558 17, 989 1,628 -3,293 20, 899 886 -3, 188 32, 510 -1,275 -2,695 Other services, net 3 Balance on goods and serv-1 ices 4,840 6,508 1978: III__ IV— iv__ "NF#»t -Li cli Net military transactions Nettravel and transportation receipts 2,732 -110 2,506 -250 -1,324 1,408 -1,383 -1,493 1,099 -1,407 -1,552 — 1?802 NOTE.—Merchandise data revised for 1979 and 1980; other data to be later. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the third quarter, capital outflows (ell by $5.5 billion, to a rate of $20.2 billion. Recorded capital inflows increased by $3.1 billion, to a rate of $11.0 billion. The statistical discrepancy, which had soared to over $20 billion in the second quarter, was sharply reduced. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 40 -10 -30 -30 -40 -40 1980 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] U.S. assets abroad, ne t [increase/capit al outflow (-)] Period Total 1073 -22, 874 1974 -34, 745 1975 -39, 703 1976 -51, 269 1977 -35, 793 1978 -61, 191 1979 -61, 774 1978: III... -9, 977 IV -30, 418 1979: I -7, 768 n... -15,300 in... -25, 215 IV -13,492 1980: I -12,711 II -25, 712 III*. -20, 196 U.S. official reserve assets *2 Other U.S. Government assets U.S. private assets Foreigii assets in the U.S., net [inerease/c apital inflow / 1 \1 9 ( + )P Total Other foreign assets -2, 644 -20, 388 18, 388 12, 362 6,026 366 -33, 643 34, 241 23, 696 10, 546 -3, 474 -35, 380 15, 670 7,027 8,643 —4, 214 -44, 498 36, 518 17, 693 18, 826 -3, 693 -31, 725 50, 741 14, 167 36, 575 732 -4,644 -57, 279 64, 096 33, 293 30, 804 -1,133 -3,783 -56, 858 37, 575 -14,271 51,845 115 -1,386 -8, 706 17, 069 12, 292 4,777 182 -991 -29, 609 28,048 18, 368 9,680 -3, 585 -1,102 -3, 081 2, 201 -8,744 10,945 322 -991 -14,631 6,407 -10,095 16, 502 -766 -27, 228 24, 941 5,789 2,779 19, 152 -649 -925 -11,918 4,025 -1,221 5,246 14, 409 -3, 268 -1,467 -7, 976 7,194 -7, 215 502 -1,191 -25, 023 7,949 7,775 174 8,025 . 2,978 -1,109 -1,320 -17,767 11, 003 Allocations of Total special of drawing (sum the rights items (SDR) with sign reversed) 158 -1,467 -849 -2, 558 -375 > Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDR), convertible currencies, and the1 U.S. reserve position in the IMF. Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Foreign official assets Statisstieal discre]3ancy 1,139 1, 139 1,152 U.S. official reserve assets, Of net1 which: (unadSeasonal justed, adjust- end of ment discrep- period) ancy -2, 654 -1,620 5,753 10, 367 -880 11, 354 23,848 -3, 926 -2, 850 1,998 3,190 74 3,020 1,167 10, 385 -825 -3, 641 2,400 11, 269 -99 6,975 1,460 20, 194 4,293 -4, 022 14, 378 15, 883 16, 226 18, 747 19, 312 18, 650 18, 956 18, 850 18, 650 21, 655 21, 268 18, 557 18, 956 21, 491 21, 943 22, 994 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Gross National Product.., Gross National Product in 1972 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP and GNP Price Measures Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income. Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income ^.. Disposition of Personal Income. Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment. Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment—Nonfarm Business Page . , .. 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 . ., * .,... ...*...* ....*....*...........» ,., —.....' EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries. — Productivity and Related Data, Private Business Sector . , . 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates. Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers* Shipments, Inventories, and Orders ......... 17 18 19 19 20 21 , 22 23 24 24 25 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices Changes in Producer Prices.. Changes in Consumer Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock Measures and Liquid Assets Components of Money Stock Measures and Liquid Assets Consumer Installment Credit Bank Loans and Investments, and Reserves. Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations Interest Rates and Bond Yields. Common Stock Prices and Yields . „.... 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlaws by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports. 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