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100th Congress, 2d Session

Economic Indicators
FEBRUARY

1988

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1988

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman
SENATE
WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JOHN MELCHER (Montana)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
ALFONSE M. D'AMATO (New York)
PETE WILSON (California)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
J. ALEX McMILLAN (North Carolina)

JUDITH DAVISON, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
BERYL W. SPRINKEL, Chairman
THOMAS G. MOORE, Member
MICHAEL L. MUSSA, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—S!ST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.50 a single copy
($3.13 foreign), or by subscription at $27.00 per year ($33.75 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




This issue includes data available as of March 2, 1988.

TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 7.3
percent (annual rate) or $80.0 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 4.5 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 2.7 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
4,800

4,800

SEA ONA LLY A DJUSTED A NNU At RA TE5

,-^
^^

„
^^.

c NP

cu }RE sITC)OL LAR S -

IN

4,000

4 ..000

,—-^
>
X'

3,600

X
„-

3,200

^*-^r

"-- ~ —

,—***

x

f^\

X^..^
~\

4 400

^-—^\
^"^

--- —
- - -. - -

"'

—

G^ p

^^

>OLLAR
IN 19 82 :

/

X
^

"

—

^xX^

2 400

—

_

2 000

\
19 79

1

(

i
19 81

19 80

,

,

1982

1983

\
19 84

I 1 I

\

1986

1985

19 87

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

Exports ind imports of goods
ind service

Government purch ases of
goo .s and serv ices
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

National
defense

Nondefense

and

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,010.3
4,235.0
4,487.7

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.4
2,799.8
2,967.0

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
641.6
671.0
716.7

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
— 58.9
-79.2
-105.5
-120.3

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
369.9
376.2
427.4

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
449.2
481.7
547.7

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
818.6
869.7
924.3

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
353.9
366.2
380.9

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.3
277.8
295.2

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
94.6
88.4
85.7

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
464.7
503.5
543.4

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,000.3
4,219.3
4,442.3

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4

409.6
579.8
661.8

14.1
-25.8
-67.9

335.9
364.7
385.7

321.9
390.5
453.6

671.8
676.1
764.5

293.2
276.1
326.0

205.4
221.5
244.1

87.7
54.6
81.9

378.7
400.0
438.5

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8

1985: I

n
m

3,921.1
3,973.6
4,042.0
4,104.4

2,549.9
2,602.0
2,665.4
2,700.1

638.6
648.4
628.6
650.8

-51.5
-77.3
-84.7
- 103.5

376.3
370.6
364.2
368.7

427.7
447.8
448.9
472.2

784.1
800.5
832.8
857.0

336.3
339.4
361.9
378.0

250.2
253.7
265.1
268.2

86.1
85.7
96.8
109.8

447.8
461.1
470.9
479.0

3,899.8
3,955.1
4,044.4
4,101.9

n
m

4,174.4
4,211.6
4,265.9
4,288.1

2,737.9
2,765.8
2,837.1
2,858.6

683.4
679.4
660.8
660.2

-93.8
- 100.8
-110.5
-116.9

373.5
371.3
376.6
383.3

467.3
472.1
487.1
500.2

846.9
867.2
878.5
886.3

356.7
368.4
371.2
368.6

266.6
278.2
287.6
279.0

90.1
90.2
83.6
89.6

490.2
498.8
507.3
517.7

4,136.1
4,184.0
4,262.4
4,294.6

4,377.7
4,445.1
4,524.0
4,604.0

2,893.8
2,943.7
3,011.3
3,019.2

699.9
702.6
707.4
756.8

-112.2
-118.4
-123.7
-126.9

397.3
416.5
439.2
456.8

509.5
534.8
562.9
583.7

896.2
917.1
929.0
954.8

366.9
379.6
382.1
395.1

287.5
294.5
299.0
299.9

79.4
85.1
83.0
95.2

529.3
537.6
546.9
559.7

4,326.0
4,404.8
4,501.1
4,537.3

IT
1986: I
IV

1987: I

n
mr
IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis




GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

2,000.4

G ross privat e
dome stic invest nent

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.6
196.4
196.5

Expor s and imports of
gOO( s and sen ices

Change
in
business
inventories

Govern ment pure] ases
gooc s and sen ices

of

Federal
State
and

Final
sales

Net
exports

Exports

13.8
42.0

57.0
49.4
26.3
-19.9
-84.0
-108.2
-145.8
-135.7

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
365.3
377.4
425.6

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
473.6
523.2
561.3

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
726.9
754.5
773.6

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
324.2
332.5
337.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
236.7
250.7
264.1

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
87.5
81.8
73.7

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
402.7
422.1
435.7

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,600.1
3,699.5
3,778.3

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '.

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,607.5
3,713.3
3,820.3

2,249.3
2,352.6
2,450.5
2,496.3

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
454.1
443.8
447.7

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1

352.3
390.4
444.4

115.8
159.9
169.6

-59.3
27.0
41.7

11.7
-46.2
-94.8

336.0
355.5
376.6

324.3
401.6
471.4

660.1
642.2
693.2

289.5
266.0
300.5

201.4
211.6
225.3

88.2
54.4
75.2

370.6
376.2
392.7

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5

1985: I

n
m

3,568.7
3,587.1
3,623.0
3,650.9

2,314.1
2,337.0
2,376.1
2,383.2

440.0
457.2
454.1
465.2

172.6
171.2
174.9
179.7

19.5
17.3
-5.7
-1.6

-81.0
-107.7
— 114.9
-129.3

369.7
364.7
360.5
366.5

450.7
472.4
475.4
495.8

703.4
712.1
738.6
753.7

308.4
310.7
332.5
345.3

229.8
232.8
243.3
241.1

78.6
77.8
89.3
104.2

395.0
401.4
406.1

3,549.2
3,569.9
3,628.7
3,652.5

1986: I
II
HI

3,698.8
3,704.7
3,718.0
3,731.5

2,409.7
2,434.3
2,477.5
2,480.5

453.2
441.0
437.7
443.2

185.9
196.5
201.1
202.2

35.3
28.1
6.1

-123.0
-146.8
-161.6
-151.8

371.5
370.2
379.6
388.3

494.4
517.0
541.2
540.1

737.6
751.6
757.2
771.8

322.1
330.6
332.6
344.6

240.0
250.1
259.8
252.7

82.0
80.4
72.8
91.9

415.5
421.0
424.6

1987: I

3,772.2

2,475.9
2,487.5

426.0
437.9
463.8
463.2

198.2
196.8
193.5
197.3

-135.2
-132.7
- 138.4
-136.4

397.8
414.5
437.1
452.7

533.0
547.2
575.6
589.1

759.6
766.7
771.7
796.3

327.3
332.6
336.3
355.2

257.4
263.5
268.3
267.3

69.9
69.1
67.9
87.9

432.3

IV

iv

n
mr

IV .

3,795.3
3,835.9
3,877.9

2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0

2,520.7

2,500.9

-6.9
23.9
-24.5
-6.4

62.3
7.4

-14.4

47.6
39.0
24.6
56.7

408.4

427.1
434.1

435.4
441.1

3,663.4
3,676.7
3,711.9
3,745.8
3,724.5
3,756.3
3,811.4
3,821.3

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982=100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Gross private
domestic i ivestment

Personal c onsumption
expen ditures
Period

national
product

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
111.2

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.5
104.9
106.6

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.1
111.9

Exports an [ imports of
goods an 1 services

Gove rnment pure lases of goc ds and
ser <nces
Federal

Nonresidential
ixe

Residential fixed

117.1
122.5
127.6

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.5
98.5
98.9

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.2
111.1
116.2

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.3
99.7
100.4

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
94.8
92.1
97.6

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.2
110.2
112.7

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.5
110.8
111.8

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.1
108.1
116.2

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
115.4
119.3
124.7

Services

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '

117.5

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.8
114.3
118.9

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: TV

101.7
105.4
109.0

101.8
105.7
109.3

100.7
103.1
104.1

101.0
103.1
105.8

102.7
108.3
113.5

100.7
98.3
97.9

99.1
103.1
107.2

100.0
102.6
102.4

99.3
97.2
96.2

101.3
103.8
108.5

102.0
104.7
108.3

99.5
100.3
108.9

102.2
106.3
111.7

1985: I
II
HI

109.9
110.8
111.6
112.4

110.2
111.3
112.2
113.3

104.6
104.5
104.6
104.3

106.3
107.4
107.6
108.6

114.8
116.3
118.0
119.4

98.0
97.5
97.3
97.1

107.6
107.6
108.0
109.5

101.8
101.6
101.0
100.6

94.9
94.8
94.4
95.2

109.0
109.3
108.8
109.5

108.9
109.0
109.0
111.2

109.5
110.1
108.4
105.4

113.4
114.9
116.0
117.3

1986: I

112.9
113.7
114.7
114.9

113.6
113.6
114.5
115.2

104.5
104.6
105.4
105.2

107.8
106.2
106.8
107.5

120.7

110.0
111.0
111.3

124.3

97.2
98.4
99.0
99.2

112.2

100.6
100.3
99.2
98.7

94.5
91.3
90.0
92.6

110.7
111.4
111.6
107.0

111.1
111.2
110.7
110.4

109.8
112.2
115.0
97.5

118.0
118.5
119.5
121.2

116.1
117.1
117.9
118.7

116.9
118.3
119.5
120.7

105.4
106.1
107.4
107.5

109.8
111.7
112.6
113.6

125.5
126.9
128.3
129.8

99.3
99.2
98.4
98.8

113.7
115.7
117.8
117.7

99.9
100.5
100.5
100.9

95.6
97.7
97.8

112.1
114.1
113.6
111.2

111.7
111.8
111.4

113.6
123.1

122.4
123.8
125.6
126.9

114.1

rv

n
m
rv

1987: I

n
in

IV

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6

122.0

123.3

99.1

112.2

122.2
108.3

CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Ore ss national pr duct
Period

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

IV

n

Ill
IV
1987: I

n
in

IV '.

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

4.1
4.0
3.6
2.7
3.4

1.9

9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.4
2.2
4.0

4.1
3.9
3.1

4.0
4.0
3.2

10.3
9.7
7.2

5.3
5.5
4.3

4.4
4.3
3.0

4.8
4.1
3.1

4.8

3.3
3.3
2.9
2.9

4.0
3.8
2.8
3.4

4.1
3.7
2.9

5.9
4.0
6.9
1.2

3.3
4.1
3.3
4.0

3.5
4.4
3.2

3.4

9.4
8.4
10.1
5.3

3.4
4.5
3.3
4.2

5.4
.6
1.4
1.5

1.8
2.9
3.6
.7

1.7
1.9
2.6
2.0

2.2
2.2
2.6
2.3

5.7
4.1
10.7
3.1

4.5

1.5
.3

7.3
.5

1.1
.0
3.2
2.5

4.4
2.5
4.3
4.5

4.2
3.5
2.8
2.7

4.2
3.7
3.3
3.2

4.5
4.1
3.4
3.7

5.0
7.1
9.5
1.1

-.7
1.9
5.4
-3.1

6.0
4.9
4.1
4.1

3.6
6.8
3.0
2.9
2.9

4.2
12.4
4.7

.6
7.3
1.7

3.6
4.7
3.0

7.4
5.5
7.1
6.3

3.8
2.1
4.1
3.1

7.0
3.6
5.3
2.1
8.6
6.3
7.3
7.3

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

1986: I

Implicit
price
deflator

-0.2
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.6
4.2

1984
1985
1986
1987 T.

n
in

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.5
6.0

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.5
2.4
3.2

— 0.2
1.9
-2.5

1985: I

Chain price
index

9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.2
2.6
3.0

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.3
5.6
6.0

1980
1981
1982
1983

Implicit
price
deflator

Personal consumption e* penditures
Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

9.0

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

9.3
9.3
6.2

4.1

10.7

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.7
2.6

10.9
9.2

5.7
4.2
3.9
3.6
2.5
4.1

4.2

4.1
3.2

4.2

1.7
.3
3.6
3.0

3.6
3.0
5.5
5.2
4.0

5.7
5.2
4.0
4.2

4.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Curren t-dollar cos t and profit per unit o output (do liars) l

Gross ( omestic
prodi ct of
nonfin ancial
corporate business
(billions c f dollars)
Period
Current

1982

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Corpc rate profits with
inventory valuation a nd capital
consunr ption adjustments
Indirect
business
taxes 3

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest
Total

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax 4

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '.

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,282.8
2,376.1
2,496.9

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,127.1
2,182.2
2,241.7

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.073
1.089
1.114

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.121
.123

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.104
.106

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.702
.715
.727

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.043
.045
.047

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.107
.103
.110

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.036
.049

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.074
.068
.061

17.096
17.194
17.318
17.867
18.288
18.674
18.969

9.939
10.861
11.699
12.124
12.570
13.103
13.566

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8

1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5

1.011
1.037
1.064

.131
.120
.118

.096
.098
.102

.685
.680
.694

.042
.037
.042

.057
.103
.107

.023
.036
.032

.034
.066
.075

17.382
18.029
18.359

11.914
12.261
12.746

1985: I

2,230.9
2,266.2
2,312.4
2,321.8

2,091.1
2,115.1
2,148.7
2,153.5

1.067
1.071
1.076
1.078

.119
.119
.118
.120

.102
.104
.102
.103

.698
.701
.699
.709

.043
.043
.043
.044

.106
.106
.114
.103

.033
.031
.034
.033

.072
.075
.080
.070

18.458
18.588
18.849
18.787

12.883
13.022
13.173
13.324

2,353.3
2,358.6
2,387.7
2,404.7

2,176.7
2,171.9
2,180.8
2,199.3

1.081
1.086
1.095
1.093

.119
.121
.122
.123

.104
.101
.106
.104

.709
.714
.717
.720

.045
.046
.046
.045

.104
.104
.104
.102

.033
.034
.037
.040

.071
.069
.068
.062

18.941
18.930
18.974
19.073

13.437
13.525
13.608
13.724

2,434.8
2,465.4
2,521.1

2,207.6
2,219.9
2,254.4

1.103
1.111
1.118

.123
.124
.123

.105
.107
.107

.724
.728
.727

.045
.046
.048

.106
.106
.114

.045
.047
.051

.061
.059
.063

n

Ill
IV
1986: I

n
in
rv

1987:

1

I

n
m

18.933
18.964
!9.119

r

r

13.708
13.798
13. 897

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

lars.2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employ-

Proprieto s' income
with in ventory
valuation md capital
consulnption
adjust ments

Farm

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,229.9
3,422.0
3,637.7
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,156.5
3,204.4
3,254.4
3,304.4
3,364.2
3,414.1
3,438.7
3,471.0
3,548.3
3,593.3
3,659.0

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: I
II

ra

IV
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
m
IV

1

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,370.8
2,504.9
2,647.5
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,314.9
2,351.5
2,386.3
2,430.5
2,464.8
2,487.6
2,515.1
2,552.0
2,589.9
2,623.4
2,663.5
2,713.4

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital

Nonfarm

24.6
12.4
30.5
29.7
37.2
48.8
28.5
19.3
28.1
31.7
32.2
22.9
31.7
28.0
48.1
36.3
36.6
51.3
47.3
40.6
56.1

tion
adjustment

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.0
16.7
19.1
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.3
9.1
9.3
10.1
14.0
17.4
17.2
18.4
20.0
18.9
17.3
20.1

150.9
178.4
204.0
227.6
252.6
279.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
220.4
224.2
229.5
236.3
242.8
250.1
256.2
261.2
269.7
275.8
282.1
288.4

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Corpora te profits wit h inventory valuation an I capital
consulnption adjus ments
Profits Wl th inventory valuation
adjustme it and witho ut capital
consu mption adjus ;ment
Total
Profits
before tax

150.0
213.7
266.9
277.6
284.4
306.5
146.1
248.5
266.9
265.6
274.2
292.8
277.8
288.0
282.3
286.4
281.1
294.0
296.8
314.9

159.2
196.7
234.2
224.1
238.4
258.4
150.7
223.4
224.6
216.1
219.8
236.8
223.7
236.7
235.6
242.4
239.0
245.7
248.8
267.3

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.8
231.9
275.7
164.1
231.5
226.1
217.6
218.0
230.2
233.5
218.9
224.4
236.3
247.9
257.0
268.7
284.9

Capital
consumption

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-.7
6.5
-17.3
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-1.5
1.8
6.5
-9.8
17.8
11.3
6.0
-8.9
-11.3
-20.0
— 17.6
-20.4

-9.2
17.0
32.7
53.5
46.0
48.2
-4.5
25.1
42.3
49.5
54.4
56.0
54.2
51.3
46.7
44.0
42.1
48.2
48.0
47.7
48.7

Net
interest

272.3
281.0
304.8
315.3
326.1
336.7
266.9
290.2
313.1
316.5
313.2
313.7
317.9
326.6
328.7
327.5
321.7
323.6
331.1
340.6
351.6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 T.
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: I

n
m

IV
1986: I

n
m
rv

1987: I

n
ra
rv.

expendi-

Total
durable
goods

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.4
2,799.8
2,967.0
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,549.9
2,602.0
2,665.4
2,700.1
2,737.9
2,765.8
2,837.1
2,858.6
2,893.8
2,943.7
3,011.3
3,019.2

252.7
289.1
335.5
368.7
402.4
413.8
263.8
310.0
346.7
358.2
362.4
383.7
370.5
375.9
386.4
427.6
419.8
396.1
409.0
436.8
413.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Motor
vehicles
and
parts

108.9
130.4
157.4
177.6
194.9
194.0
115.7
144.4
162.3
171.1
173.3
191.9
174.1
177.4
184.2
217.0
201.2
177.6
189.6
215.2
193.5

Furniture
and
household
equipment

95.7
107.1
118.8
128.7
139.9
146.6
99.1
112.4
122.7
125.0
127.0
129.5
133.5
134.7
138.3
142.9
143.8
146.0
146.0
147.9
146.6

Retail ales of
new pa ssenger
cars (mi lions of
un ts)

Non durable g )ods

Durabl goods

Other

48.1
51.6
59.3
62.4
67.6
73.2
49.0
53.2
61.8
62.1
62.1
62.4
62.9
63.8
64.0
67.8
74.8
72.5
73.5
73.7
73.0

durable

771.0
816.7
867.3
913.1
939.4
981.6
786.6
837.9
879.6
894.4
910.4
918.4
929.3
936.8
934.3
940.0
946.3
969.9
982.1
986.4
988.1

Food

398.8
421.9
448.5
472.8
497.8
514.7
407.0
430.8
456.1
463.5
471.2
474.9
481.7
489.4
494.7
499.6
507.5
514.8
515.0
514.0
514.9

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

124.4
135.1
146.7
157.2
167.5
177.1
126.5
141.1
149.8
153.2
155.8
158.8
160.9
163.4
167.2
169.8
169.6
174.0
175.8
178.7
179.9

89.1
90.2
90.0
92.6
75.3
80.1
89.8
91.9
89.0
90.6
94.3
93.5
92.1
87.7
74.4
70.6
68.4
75.8
80.6
82.7
81.4

Other
Domestics

158.7
169.5
182.1
190.5
198.8
209.7
163.4
174.0
184.7
187.2
189.1
191.2
194.5
196.3
198.0
200.0
200.8
205.3
210.7
211.0
211.9

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,347.5
1,458.0
1,571.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,297.3
1,329.2
1,363.3
1,400.3
1,425.2
1,445.1
1,469.5
1,492.4
1,527.7
1,552.6
1,588.1
1,617.9

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
6.0
7.4
7.7
8.3
8.1
9.3
7.1
7.7
7.9
9.5
7.8
6.7
7.0
8.0
6.7

Imports

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.5
2.7

3.0
3.2
2.9

3.1
3.5
3.5
2.8
3.0
3.6
3.3

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $12.2 billion (annual rate) in January, following a rise of $27.1 billion in December. The
changes reflected several special factors: A pay raise for Federal Government employees, cost-of-living and other
adjustments to several Federal transfer payments programs, and changes in social security contributions affected
the January change, while subsidy payments to farmers and retroactive payment to Postal Service employees
affected both the January and December changes. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased
$20.5 billion in January and $13.9 billion in December.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

4,200

4,200

•

3,200

__-

^-1

'-—"""

T"
A

—

1

TOTAL PERSONAL INC:OME

.

___---""

1,600

•""V"""

\
1,600

WAGE AN 3 SALARY DISB JRSEMENTS

... — -•""

,_

1'
'

800

-

\

0THER INCOME
..«••*

,_. _..

,--

400

\

400

_.--/
200

**"

...

_

.-—

TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

- —''

, 1 , 1 , 1 . ! , , ! ....Illllll

.,...l....i M U l l l l l l l

iiinliiiii III.H..III

1983

1982

1981

1980

1984

1985

iniiliiiii

iiinliiiii H i l l l l l l l i
1987

1986

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

200

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Proprietor ' income 3
Period

Total
personal
income

1980
1981

2,258.4
2,520.9

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Ocf
Nov r
Dec r
1988: Jan"

2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,327.0
3,534.3
3,746.3
3,631.5
3,671.2
3,683.4
3,701.9
3,708.5
3,715.3
3,739.2
3,760.6
3,783.2
3,855.2
3,839.3
3,866.4
3,878.6

income
ments

1,372.0
1,510.3
1,586.1
1,676.6
1,838.6
1,974.9
2,089.1
2,212.7
2,150.2
2,166.4
2,173.1
2,181.5
2,193.7
2,198.9
2,209.7
2,228.8
2,239.8
2,257.6
2,271.9
2,281.0
2,296.1

138.4

150.3
163.6
173.6
182.9
192.3
201.1
210.2
205.9
206.7
207.4
210.0
209.0
209.6
210.4
211.1
211.9
212.7
213.5
214.4
215.2

Farm

20.5
30.7
24.6
12.4

30.5
29.7
37.2
48.8
42.0
56.2
55.6
58.0
41.6
42.3
43.9
37.7
40.2
79.3
39.3
49.7
39.2

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Nonfarm

160.1
156.1
150.9
178.4
204.0
227.6

252.6
279.0
265.6
270.2
273.2
274.1
275.8
277.7
279.9
282.8
283.6
286.0
289.0
290.2
292.7

Bental
income of
4

Personal
dividend
income

6.6
13.3

52.9
61.3
63.9

persons

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.0
16.7
19.1
19.5
20.0
20.4
19.7
18.9
18.2
17.8
17.3
16.7
18.9
20.6
20.7
21.1

68.7
75.5
76.3
81.2
87.5
83.9
84.4
85.0
85.3
86.5
87.0
87.9
88.8
89.4
90.0
90.5
91.0
91.4

Personal
interest
income

271.9
335.4
369.7
393.1
444.7
476.5
497.6
515.8
498.1
499.8
501.6
503.8
506.3
508.8
514.0
519.8
526.2
532.1
537.2
542.3
547.1

Transfer
Payments 5

324.7
368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.7
518.3
543.0
532.2
534.5
534.3
537.3
545.4
541.7
545.2
545.2
547.0
551.4
550.8
551.3
564.2

4

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
148.9
159.6
169.8
165.9
167.0
167.3
167.7
168.6
168.9
169.6
170.8
171.6
172.8
173.7
174.2
188.4

Nonfarm
personal
income 6

2,215.8
2,465.6

2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,273.5
3,475.2
3,675.9
3,568.4
3,594.1
3,607.2
3,622.8
3,645.1
3,651.2
3,673.5
3,701.1
3,721.1
3,753.9
3,778.0
3,794.6
3,817.3

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
5

6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the fourth quarter of 1987.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

8,000

6,000

6,000
1979

1987

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

1 ersonal
income

Less:
Personal
tax and
nontax
payments

tquals:
Imposab
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays 1

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in
1982
dollars
(billions)

Per c ipita
disposable personal
met me

Current
dollars

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,327.0
3,534.3
3,746.3

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
485.9
512.2
564.8

1,917.9
2,127.6
2,261.4
2,428.1
2,668.6
2,841.1
3,022.1
3,181.5

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1,781.1
1,968.1
2,107.5
2,297.4
2,504.5
2,714.1
2,891.5
3,061.9

136.8
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
127.1
130.6
119.6

2,214.3
2,248.6
2,261.5
2,331.9
2,469.8
2,542.2
2,645.1
2,676.7

8,421
9,243
9,724
10,340
11,257
11,872
12,508
13,049

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) a

PerceiIt

Dolla 'S

Billio ns of dollar i

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r.

1982
dollars

Per capit personal
consulnption
expen itures

9,722
9,769
9,724
9,930
10,419
10,622
10,947
10,979

7,607
8,320
8,818
9,515
10,253
10,987
11,588
12,169

8,783

— 1.1

7.1

8,794
8,818
9,139
9,489
9,830
10,142
10,239

.5
-.5
2.1
4.9
1.9
3.1
.3

7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.5
4.3
3.8

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,323
241,620
243,812

Seasonally idjusted ann ual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3

I

3,259.2
3,304.4
3,338.2
3,406.4

n
in....
IV

1986: I

n
m....
IV

1987: I

n
m....
r
IV ...

3,463.4
3,526.6
3,553.6
3,593.6
3,662.0
3,708.6
3,761.0
3,853.6

411.1
413.9
459.7
497.0
455.9
491.0
499.7
497.4
504.2
515.3
532.0
536.1
578.0
565.7
579.4

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3

2,762.2
2,848.4
2,847.2
2,906.6

2,631.0
2,685.6
2,751.5
2,788.1

2,966.0
3,022.4
3,038.2
3,061.6

2,827.6
2,856.4
2,929.4
2,952.6

3,125.9
3,130.6
3,195.3
3,274.2

2,987.5
3,037.4
3,106.5
3,116.4

143.1
145.4
157.3
131.2
162.8
95.7
118.5
138.4
166.0
108.9
109.0
138.4
93.2
88.8
157.9

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3

9,929
10,725
11,467

9,749
10,151
10,491

9,068
9,825
10,479

8,904
9,299
9,587

1.2
9.1
1.7

6.2
5.8
5.8

233,466
235,707
237,946

2,506.8
2,558.4
2,538.2
2,565.5

11,584
11,919
11,882
12,099

10,513
10,705
10,592
10,679

10,694
10,888
11,124
11,239

9,705
9,779
9,916
9,920

.8
7.5

4.8
5.7
3.4
4.1

238,452
238,977
239,618
240,246

2,610.5
2,660.2
2,653.2
2,656.7

12,318
12,525
12,560
12,626

10,842
11,024
10,968
10,956

11,371
11,461
11,729
11,789

10,008
10,088
10,242
10,229

4.7
5.5
3.6
3.6

240,782
241,313
241,896
242,489

2,674.6
2,645.5
2,674.7
2,712.1

12,865
12,858
13,090
13,381

11,008
10,865
10,958
11,083

11,910
12,090
12,337
12,338

10,190
10,216
10,327
10,220

4.4
3.0
2.8
4.8

242,971
243,480
244,094
244,701

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).




-4.2

3.3
6.2
6.9
-2.0
— .4

1.9
-5.1

3.5
4.6

2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the third quarter of 1987, according to current estimates, gross farm income rose $4.0 billion (annual rate) and
net farm income rose $2.7 billion.
BILL ONS OF DOLL/!^RS * (RATIO S CALE)

BILLIC NS OF DOLLA iS* (RATIO SOM.E)

240
200

240
200
160 .

s

(

^—

\

~~-—~*s

\

120

"—'——-^^f^

—-

• 160

•"-•

V

GROS S FARM INCO ME

80
60
40

40

20

20

10

10

- SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

In come
(jross
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982

149.3
166.3
163.5

1983
1984
1985
1986
1984: I
II

153.1
174.7
166.0
159.5
176.8
169.8
176.6
175.8
168.5
164.0
159.5
172.1
149.8
168.8
154.7
164.8
167.3
153.7
157.7

IV
1985: I
U
Ill
IV
1986: I
II
Ill
IV
1987: I
II
TH"

Livestock and
products

139.7
141.6
142.6
136.6
142.3
144.2
135.2

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
72.9
69.8
71.6

137.8
142.2
147.0
142.3

75.8
72.0
72.0
71.8

137.9
138.0
144.8

69.9
69.0
68.9
71.4

156.1
134.4
130.6
135.0
140.7
130.0
128.1
137.3

68.3
66.8
77.8

73.3
72.6
72.0
78.7

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Net farni income

Cas h marketing reee pts
Total l

in

of farm ope rators from farmi ng

farm incom

Crops

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.4
74.4
63.6
62.0
70.1
74.9
70.4
68.0
68.9
76.0
84.7
66.0
63.8
57.2
67.4
57.4
56.1
58.6

Value of
inventory
changes 2

Production
expenses

-6.3
6.5
— 1.4
-10.9
6.2
-2.7
-3.3

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
133.7
122.1

2.1
7.3
8.8

143.1
143.6
142.9
141.1

6.6
1.1
24
-4.2
-5.1

138.3
135.3
132.2
129.0

-4.2
-3.5
-3.0
2.4

125.7
122.9
120.6
119.0

-2.0
-1.7
.9

117.9
117.0
118.5

Current
dollars

.

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.0
32.3
37.5
33.6
26.3
33.7
34.5
30.2
28.7
27.3
43.1
24.1
45.9
34.2
45.8
49.4
36.6
39.3

3
Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.
NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

1982 dollars 3

18.8
28.6
23.5
12.2
29.7
29.0
32.9
31.6
24.4
31.2
31.8
27.5
25.9
24.5
38.4
21.4
40.3
29.8
39.9
42.5
31.2
33.3

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the third quarter of 1987, according to current estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $16.2 billion (annual
rate) and after-tax profits rose $7.4 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

320

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320 P

280

280
PROFITS BEFORE TAX

240

240

200

200

160

160

120

120
S—x.

TAX LIABILITY,

-V

80

80

40

40
UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS

I
1979

I

I

1980

I

I

I

I

1981

I

I

I

1982

I

I

I

I

I

1984

1983

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

1987

1986

1985

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Prc fits (before t ix) with inve ntory valuati on adjustmen t 1

Profits after ta X

Dmnestic indust •ies

Total

2

Total

Financial
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
224.1
238.4
258.4
IV
IV
IV
I

n
m
rv

1986:

I
II
Ill
IV

1987: I

n
m

IV P
1
2

150.7
223.4
224.6
216.1
219.8
236.8
223.7
236.7
235.6
242.4
239.0
245.7
248.8
267.3

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
193.6
207.2
226.3
121.6
190.7
193.9
187.1
189.2
208.3
189.7
202.3
207.0
210.2
209.3
213.1
215.8
235.4

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
18.4
26.1
27.5
18.7
15.5
13.6
15.3
19.1
18.4
20.8
26.2
26.9
25.2
26.1
27.6
27.8
27.0

3

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
175.2
181.1
198.8
102.9
175.2
180.3
171.8
170.1
189.9
168.9
176.2
180.0
185.1
183.2
185.5
188.0
208.4

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




Profits
before tax

Nonfmancial

Period

Manufacturing

sale and
retail
trade

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2

88.8
72.2
69.4
91.4
46.8
88.6
79.8
67.8
68.4
80.1
72.4
61.9
72.5
68.0
75.4
75.4
85.5
100.7

51.4
52.1
52.0
33.6
43.1
51.8
52.0
52.8
55.7
45.0
55.8
48.2
54.6
49.7
56.2
45.2
52.1
3

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.8
231.9
275.7
164.1
231.5
226.1
217.6
218.0
230.2
233.5
218.9
224.4
236.3
247.9
257.0
268.7
284.9

Tax
liability

T

Total

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.7
105.0
138.2
59.8
88.1
87.0
94.0
93.2
100.5
99.1
98.1
102.1
106.1
113.9
128.0
134.2
143.0

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
128.1
126.8
137.6
104.3
143.4
139.2
123.6
124.8
129.7
134.4
120.9
122.3
130.2
134.0
129.0
134.5
141.9

Dividends

54.7

63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
81.3
86.8
93.8
68.5
73.9
80.8
81.2
81.3
81.2
81.7
84.3
86.6
87.7
88.6
90.3
92.4
95.2
97.3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Econom : Analysis.

Undistributed
profits

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
46.8
40.0
43.8
35.8
69.5
58.4
42.4
43.5
48.5
52.7
36.6
35.7
42.5
45.4
38.7
42.1
46.7

tor

valuation
adjustment

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-.7
6.5

-17.3
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-1.5
1.8
6.5

-9.8
17.8
11.3
6.0

-8.9
-11.3
-20.0
-17.6
r
-20.4

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the fourth quarter of 1987, nonresidential fixed investment rose $1.2 billion
(annual rate) while residential investment rose $4.4 billion. There was a $66.7 billion increase in inventories
following an increase of $22.9 billion in the third quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
800

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
800

SEASON* LLY ADJUSTED ANNU AL KATES

—

_/700

700
.

—

^^/
GROSS F'RIVATE DOME STIC
ItsJVESTMENT

600

.^-—

400

/

/

.---'

—
600

/

y

\
\_

r
.

^1
""*- — ..

---'"'

500

/

^

"^^X

-

\_x

/

Y-^^X
500

-

^...._
400

NONRESIDENT AL
F XED INVESTM ENT

7=+^

---''

—
300

300

—

—

RESIDENTIAL
Fl> ED INVESTME^ IT

200

200

— - — • — •""""

—

—

^,

~x

100

100

s

_

--'" Xss

CHANGE IN BUSINESS i
INVE STORIES /

v

•--.---•

V

\

-""

1

-100
1979

i i

i

1981

1980

I

I I
1982

y
111
1983

,----x
--^

i

I

!

1984

i

1

1

1985

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

!

1

i

1986

r^s_
\ \ \ -100
1987

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

1''ixed investmen t

~

UTOSS

investment

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r.
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: I

.,.

n
m

IV
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
mr
iv .

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
641.6
671.0
716.7
409.6
579.8
661.8
638.6
648.4
628.6
650.8
683.4
679.4
660.8
660.2
699.9
702.6
707.4
756.8

Change iii business
mven tones

Nonresidential

Total
Total
445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.6
655.2
671.3
469.5
548.8
616.8
617.3
629.9
631.0
648.3
645.1
651.9
657.3
666.6
648.2
662.3
684.5
690.1

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.6
436.9
442.9
354.9
383.9
435.0
431.5
445.6
442.0
451.5
440.7
433.8
433.5
439.7
422.8
434.6
456.6
457.8

Structures

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
152.5
137.4
133.9
137.6
127.4
146.6
150.6
154.4
152.9
152.1
149.6
135.9
131.1
132.9
128.7
129.7
137.1
140.1

Producers'
durable
equipment

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
290.1
299.5
309.0
217.3
256.5
288.4
280.8
291.3
289.1
299.3
291.0
297.9
302.4
306.7
294.1
304.9
319.5
317.6

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1

189.0
218.3
228.4
114.7
164.9
181.8
185.8
184.3
189.0
196.8
204.4
218.1
223.8
226.9
225.4
227.7
227.9
232.3

Total

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
-7.1
67.7
10.0

15.7
45.4
59.9
31.0
45.0
21.4
18.5
2.4
2.5
38.3
27.5
3.5
6.4
51.6
40.3
22.9
66.7

Nonfarm

-2.4
18.3
-23.1
.4

60.5
13.6
16.8
36.6
-51.1
21.3
41.3
17.7
13.7
5.2
17.8
38.5
24.5
.9
5.1
48.7
27.3
11.1
59.3

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department October-November 1987 survey, business spending for new plant and
equipment is expected to rise 7.3 percent in 1988, following an estimated rise of 2.9 percent in 1987.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

500

500

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

400

400

_ALL INDUSTRIES

300

300

200

200
NONMANUFACTURING -^

-'

MANUFACTURING

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40

I

I

1980

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

1982

1981

1984

1983

I

I

I

1985

I I
1986

1987

_>/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
2/SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
M inufacturir g

Period

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
19874
19884
1986: I
11

m

IV

1987: I
II
Ill
IV

1988: I 4
II4

Nor manufactui ing

All
industries

Total

254.96
282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
390.57
419.00

95.92
112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
147.86
159.85

48.50
55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.85
73.98

47.42
56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
76.01
85.87

380.04
376.21
375.50
386.09

145.11
142.19
139.43
144.07

68.71
68.56
69.42
69.87

374.23
377.65
393.13
417.25

140.65
140.79
147.56
162.45

427.97
429.07

164.68
165.94




Non manufactu ring

Surveyed
quarterly

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

159.04
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
242.71
259.15

12.81
15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.18
11.85

16.05
16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
19.10
20.63

35.63
37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.53
45.04

94.56
100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
167.89
181.63

76.39
73.62
70.01
74.20

234.93
234.03
236.07
242.02

13.13
11.29
10.14
10.31

18.50
18.40
18.81
19.50

47.17
46.43
45.81
46.12

156.14
157.91
161.31
166.08

145.11
142.19
139.43
144.07

234.93
234.03
236.07
242.02

70.47
68.76
71.78
76.40

70.18
72.03
75.78
86.05

233.58
236.87
245.58
254.80

10.31
11.02
11.64
11.74

18.98
17.67
19.17
20.60

43.60
43.48
44.90
46.16

160.70
164.69
169.87
176.29

140.65
140.79
147.56
162.45

233.58
236.87
245.58
254.80

78.41
77.70

86.27
88.23

263.29
263.14

11.86
12.04

22.92
20.53

45.36
46.56

183.15
184.01

164.68
165.94

263.29
263.14

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total l

1
Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and rea! estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.

10

Total
nonfarm
business 2
284.94
314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23

Manufacturing

95.92
112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
147.86
159.85

Total

189.02
202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54

159.04
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
242.71
259.15

Surveyed
annually 3
29.98
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75

3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in October-November 1987, corrected for
biases.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In January, seasonally adjusted civilian employment rose 385,000 and unemployment rose 68,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
124

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
124

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

116

116

112

112

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
108

108

104

104

CIVILIAN
. EMPLOYMENT -

100

100

96

96

^

12

12

UNEMPLOYMENT

umluiu ,ini|nm
1980

1982

1981

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

* 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Noninstitutional
TJ

•

i

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986*
1987
1987: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan
1

population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
183,575
183,738
183,915
184,079
184,259
184,421
184,605
184,738
184,904
185,052
185,225
185,370
185,571

Resident
Armed
f orces
NSA

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,748
1,740
1,736
1,735
1,726
1,718
1,720
1,736
1,743
1,741
1,755
1,750
1,749

-. ,

including
resident

Armed
Forces

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagticultural
Civilian
labor force

Total

Agricultural

Total

Part-time
for
economic
reasons l

99,303
100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208

95,938
97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232

4,064
4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512

111,303
114,177

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865

120,726
120,970
120,982
121,098
121,633
121,326
121,610
122,042
121,706
122,128
122,349
122,472

112,762
113,084
113,191
113,541
114,060
114,018
114,359
114,786
114,615
114,951
115,259
115,494

118,978
119,230
119,246
119,363
119,907
119,608
119,890
120,306
119,963
120,387
120,594
120,722

111,014
111,344
111,455
111,806
112,334
112,300
112,639
113,050
112,872
113,210
113,504
113,744

107,840
108,119
108,218
108,556
109.065
109,108
109,427
109,907
109,688
109,961
110,332
110,529

122,924

115,878

121,175

114,129

3,174
3,225
3,237
3,250
3,269
3,192
3,212
3,143
3,184
3,249
3,172
3,215
3,293

5,211
5,458
5,180
5,104
5,058
4,979
5,154
5,016
4,986
5,067
5,241
5,004
5,145

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241

117,167
119,540
121,602

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856

Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc.
2
Labor force as percent of noninstitutional population (both including resident Armed Forces).
3
Civilian labor force as percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unempl jyment

Civilian e mployment
f

110,836

5,334
5,345
5,122

Total

Labor force
partici] ation
rate (pe rcetvt)

15
weeks
and

over

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983

7,964
7,886
7,791
7,557
7,573
7,308
7,251
7,256
7,091
7,177
7,090
6,978

2,187
2,129
2,055
2,060
2,067
2,029
1,920
1,896
1,904
1,801
1,834
1,791

7,046

1,733

Total

64.1
64.2
64.3

64.4
64.7
65.1
65.6
65.9
65.8
65.8
65.8
65.8
66.0
65.8
65.9
66.1
65.8
66.0
66.1
66.1
66.2

Civilian 3

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.4
65.5
65.5
65.5
65.7
65.5
65.6
65.7
65.5
65.7
65.7
65.7
65.9

* Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
estimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In January, the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate was unchanged, at 5.7 percent; the civilian
unemployment rate was also unchanged, at 5.8 percent.
PERC:ENT*

;ENT* (SEASCDNALLY ADJUSTED)

(SEASC3NALLY ADJlJSTED)

PER(

25

25

20

20

A

V A -/i v
V

V

v\ .^

BLACK

jv
A

' "rv"

15
•v

_A

V

' 'V'

BLACK
AND OTHER

10

'"'—N

[
f

""

10

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS
/

^X^__

I/
5

*~~>*<ys '^r~r-^jJ/~---^^J_^

^"""^---^^^^
5

WHITE

0 Illllllllll
1984

t

TEENAGERS
(16-19)
.

A

15

-A

*

Illllllllll

1985

iiiiihiiii miihim i i i i i l i n i i
1 986

1 987

\
MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

niiilinn

0

1984

1 988

1

'^^^^

Illllllllll Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l
1987
1985
1986

mnlimi
1988

"UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF Cl\ IUAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
COUNCIL OF EC ONOMiC ADVISER

SOURCE: DEPARTM ENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unempi oyment ra te (percen of civilia n labor force in group)

Period

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

B y sex and age
All
civilian
workers

Both
sexes
16-19
years

White

Black
and
other

Black

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3

13.1
14.2
17.3

14.3
15.6
18.9

6.2

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4

17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6

6.6
6.5
6.4
6.2
6.2
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.8
5.9
5.8
5.7

6.7
6.6
6.5
6.3
6.3
6.1
6.0
6.0
5.9
6.0
5.9
5.8

6.0
5.8
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.2
5.0
5.1
5.0
4.9

5.9
5.8
5.7
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.2
5.2
5.2

17.7
17.9
17.8
17.3
17.6
16.0
15.8
16.2
16.4
17.2
16.6
16.1

5.8
5.7
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.2
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.1
4.9

5.7

5.8

5.1

5.1

16.0

5.0

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0

1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988:

Jan

Women
20 years
and
over

5.9
6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1980

Men
20 years
and over

By s elected grou] s

By race
Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

7.9

10.5
10.4

11.0
10.9

9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4

8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1

9.5
9.5
9.3
9.0
8.8
8.9
8.5
8.4

6.3
6.2
6.1
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.7
5.6
5.5
5.6
5.5
5.4

8.9
8.8
9.1
8.6
8.7
7.3
8.1
8.2
8.4
8.3
8.2
8.0

7.6
7.5
7.4
7.3
7.2
7.1
6.9
6.9
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.6

8.9

5.4

8.3

6.6

4.2
4.3

19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0

12.5
12.6
12.4
11.8
12.1
11.5
11.4
11.3
10.9
10.8
11.0
10.9

14.1
14.0
13.9
13.0
13.7
12.8
12.7
12.4
12.3
12.1
12.2
12.2

6.3
6.2
6.1
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.4

4.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
4.0
4.0
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.5
3.4

9.8
9.6
9.7
9.4

10.9

12.2

5.5

3.6

9.2

10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

12



Parttime
workers

8.8
9.4

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8

6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9

Fulltime
workers

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

6.9
7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8

8.5

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In January, based on seasonally adjusted data, the percentages of unemployed persons who had been out of work
for less than 5 weeks, for 15-26 weeks, and for 27 weeks and over fell, while the percentage out of work for 514 weeks rose. Both the mean and the median duration of unemployment rose.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION'

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

REASOI-J FOR LINE WPLOYMENT

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

60

60

-\-~. ^
50

,A r^-

50

LESS THAN
5 WEEKS

\

V

N

'"\^'\

JOB LOSERS

40

40
5-14

WEEKS
REENTRANTS

30

30

.,- \j - -

.S-S"'
27 WEEKS
AND OVER

20

S EW ENTRAN 'S

>/~^_
~^ ,\ VT~
10 —.'—"
\

15-26

J OB LEAVERS

WEEKS

iiiiilniii
1984

1986

1985

^---J~

20

^'

10

-X

1984

1988

1987

lllllllllll l l l l l l l l l l l lllllllllll lllllllllll
1985

1986

l"987

1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

F ercent di stributio i

Medi-

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

Newentrants

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4

14.5
14.2
14.2
14.3
14.5
14.4
13.4
14.7
14.0
13.4
13.2
12.9

15.0
14.8
14.9
14.8
14.8
14.7
14.2
14.3
14.2
14.1
14.0
14.2

7.0
6.7
6.7
6.9
6.6
6.6
6.6
6.4
5.8
6.2
6.1
6.0

49.7
48.5
48.5
49.1
47.9
48.4
48.4
47.0
46.8
47.7
46.8
45.7

11.4
13.1
12.7
12.7
12.4
13.1
13.6
13.8
13.8
13.5
13.1
13.5

25.8
25.8
26.6
26.1
26.5
26.9
26.5
27.3
26.9
26.0
28.0
27.8

13.1
12.7
12.2
12.2
13.3
11.6
11.6
11.9
12.5
12.9
12.1
13.0

12.6

14.4

6.4

45.2

15.S

21.0

12.5

15-26
weeks

Average
(mean)

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0

41.8
42.2
42.9
42.5
43.9
42.9
43.9
44.2
45.5
45.3
45.4
46.2

31.0
30.9
30.8
30.0
28.7
29.4
29.6
20.6
27.6
29.4
28.7
28.2

12.7
12.7
12.1
13.1
12.9
13.3
13.0
11.5
13.0
11.9
12.7
12.8

43.6

31.9

11.8

5-14
weeks

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7

7,964
7,886
7,791
7,557
7,573
7,308
7,251
7,256
7,091
7,177
7,090
6,978
7,046

Insured
unemployment,

Numb er of

27
weeks
and
over

Less
than
5
weeks

Stat e
progra ms

fie as on for jnemplo} ment:
percent distributi )n

Dur ition of i nempfoy •ment

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

regular
programs
(unadjusted) 1

Weekly a^rerage, t lousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988:

Jan

1

,

Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




488
460
58S
438
377
396
378

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746

2,523
2,470
' 2,439
' 2,367
r
2,321
r
2,297
r
2,273
'2,223
r
2,I02
'2,035
' 2,037
""2,090

363
361
342
r
334
r
333
r
331
r
329
r
307
r
289
r
293
r
303
r
317

3,276
3,155
2,933
2,526
2,216
2,108
2,210
2,030
1,800
1,759
1,931
2,322

2,242

356

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
r

r

r

r

r

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 107,000 in January.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MIUIONS OF PERSONS*
^,-100

—

•

—

—"]
ALLN DNAGRICUL TURAL

"^"^

90

ES FABLISHMEN TS

80
"

"T"

70

60

SERV ICE-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

—

—

50

40

16 r=

20

—

—

18

GOC3DS-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

30

\

20

minium
i 1984

lilllllllil Illllllllll
1985

imilnm nmlimii\
1987

1986

1988

1984

1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; 1 seasonally adjusted]
Goods-] reducing industries
Period

Se rvice-produ sing industr es

y anufacturin g
Total

2

Construction

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

Retail
trade

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services

Gover nment
Total

Federal

90,406
91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,610
102,110

25,658
25,497
23,813
23,334
24,727
24,859
24,681
24,884

4,346
4,188
3,905
3,948
4,383
4,673
4,904
5,031

20,285
20,170
18,781
18,434
19,378
19,260
18,994
19,112

12,187
12,109
11,039
10,732
11,505
11,490
11,244
11,236

8,098
8,061
7,741
7,702
7,873
7,770
7,750
7,875

64,748
65,659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74,930
77,226

5,146
5,165
5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,244
5,377

5,275
5,358
5,278
5,268
5,555
5,717
5,735
5,797

15,035
15,189
15,179
15,613
16,545
17,356
17,845
18,262

5,160
5,298
5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,297
6,589

17,890
18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
22,000
23,099
24,138

16,241
16,031
15,837
15,869
16,024
16,394
16,711
17,063

2,866
2,772
2,739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943

100,919
101,150
101,329
101,598
101,708
101,818
102,126
102,275
102,434
102,983
103,285
10,3,596

24,708
24,743
24,749
24,759
24,752
24,761
24,850
24.886
24,917
25,064
25,169
25,258

5,034
5,038
5,032
5,019
4,999
5,008
5,002
5,006
4,989
5,053
5,074
5,122

18,956
18,986
18,995
19,011
19,018
19,015
19,104
19,129
19,169
19,247
19,336
19,377

11,157
11,179
11,176
11,175
11,175
11,176
11,195
11,248
11,268
11,319
11,367
11,401

7,799
7,807
7,819
7,836
7,843
7,839
7,909
7,881
7,901
7,928
7,969
7,976

76,211
76,407
76,580
76,839
76,956
77,057
77,276
77,389
77,517
77,919
78,116
78,338

5,304
5,315
5,333
5,348
5,344
5,350
5,363
5,377
5,416
5,436
5,459
5,468

5,741
5,757
5,766
5,772
5,775
5,781
5,797
5,807
5,815
5,831
5,851
5,873

18,080
18,140
18,136
18,197
18,205
18,226
18,274
18,256
18,314
18,408
18,443
18,433

6,480
6,501
6,526
6,558
6,576
6,586
6,608
6,624
6,629
c
6,650
6,657
6,667

23,670
23,759
23,842
23,926
24,025
24,083
24,214
24,279
24,295
24,406
24,493
24,623

16,936
16,935
16,977
17,038
17,031
17,031
17,020
17,046
17,048
17,188
17,213
17,274

2,912
2,916
2,922
2,933
2,935
2,935
2,936
2,940
2,962
2,965
2,977
2,979

Jan".. 103,703

25,219

5,072

19,402

11,413

7,989

78,484

5,476

5,892

18,587

6,671

24,651

17,207

2,981

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May....
June...
July....
Aug....
Sept....

Oct
Nov r..
Dec r..
1988:

Total
nonagricultural
employment

1

Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gi oas hourly
earn ings

Average weekl\
hours
Period

Manufa cturing

Total
private
nonagncultural '

Total
private
nonagricultural 1

Overtime

Total

34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4

Oct
Nov
Dec r

34.7
34.9
34.8
34.7
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.9
34.6
34.9
34.9
34.7

1988: Jan p

34.7

35.3
35.2

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987"
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Manufacturing

Adjust* d hourly earnin Era index — total private
nonagric ultural 2
Percent chang e from a year
earlic r 4 5

Ind ex,
1977 -100

Current
dollars •

1977
dollars 3

$7.27

3.3
3.4
3.7

7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98

7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91

40.9
41.1
40.9
40.6
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.6
41.3
41.2
41.0

3.6
3.6
3.6
3.5
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.8
3.6
4.0
3.9
3.9

8.86
8.88
8.91
8.91
8.95
8.94
8.96
9.02
9.02
9.08
r
9.12
9.10

9.79
9.81
9.83
9.86
9.88
9.88
9.87
9.93
10.02
10.00
10.01
10.02

171.2
171.8
172.2
172.6
172.9
172.9
173.2
174.1
174.6
174.9
175.8
175.4

9.0
9.1
6.9
4.6
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.5

-4.0
-1.0
.9
1.6
-.3

94.6

1.1
.3
-.6

93.8
93.5

2.2
2.1
2.2
2.5
2.4
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.6

41.1

3.9

9.14

10.04

176.3

93.6

2.9

155.4
160.3
165.2
169.3
173.5
r

1977 dollars

93.5
92.6
93.4
94.9
94.6
94.1
95.0
94.0

127.3
138.9
148.5

$6.66

Current
dollars

r

94.6
94.4
94.2
94.0
93.8
93.7
93.7
93.8
93.6

__ K

1.0
^ |

-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
— 1.4
-1.5
— 1.4
-1.7
-1.8
-1.8
J

|

AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Percent el ange from
a year earlier,
total private n onagricultural 5

Avera ge gross weekly ea rnings
Period

Current dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987"

Manufacturing

Total private
nonagric ultural l

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50

Construction

Retail trade
Current dollars

1977 dollars 3
$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
r

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31

$367.78
399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.38
r
477.28

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
r
179.02

6.9

-5.8

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5

-1.5

Novr
Dec r .

307.44
309.91
310.07
309.18
312.36
311.11
311.81
314.80
312.09
316.89
318.29
315.77

169.95
170.66
r
169.99
* 168.67
r
169.85
' 168.71
r
168.64
r
169.43
r
167.61
r
169.55
169.94
168.32

400.41
403.19
402.05
400.32
405.08
405.08
404.67
407.13
406.81
413.00
412.41
410.82

476.63
474.24
478.30
471.61
481.97
478.27
478.93
480.44
449.79
485.64
487.92
483.23

175.45
176.97
177.27
179.36
179.05
178.12
179.02
181.45
183.22
180.49
180.16
178.27

1.2
2.4
1.8
1.8
2.6
2.6
3.0
3.3
2.4
3.7
3.2
3.2

1988: Jan".

317.16

168.43

412.64

472.51

178.89

3.1

1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct

r

1

4

2

5

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime in manufacturing.
Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners
ind clerical workers (on a 1977 — 100 base). Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1983.

1977 dollars

Current dollars

1.2
1.9
.9
— 1.4
.4
-1.0
.1
.5
-1.0

^g
-1.1
-1.0
-.9
-.9
-1.8
-.9
-1.3
-1.2
-.9

Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places.
Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

3




Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output p< r hour of
allpe rsons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Outf ut '
Business
sector

Compens ation per
hou r 3

Hours of all
pers<>ns 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit lab or costs
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Implic t price
defla tor 5
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

19rF7 = 100; |uarterly ( ata seasoilally adjus ted

1979

99.6

99.3

107.9

107.9

108.3

108.7

119.1

118.9

99.4

99.2

119.5

119.7

117.0

116.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.3
100.7
100.3
103.0
105.6

98.8
99.8
99.2
102.5
104.6

106.7
108.9
105.5

106.7

108.0
108.7

96.7
95.7
97.3
98.2
98.0

95.7
97.2
98.2
97.9

132.5
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0

127.8
140.3
149.2

109.9
119.2

131.3
143.6
154.8
161.5
167.8

96.6

108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.5
108.2
105.2

1985
1986
1987 "*

107.5
109.5
110.5

105.8
107.5
108.4

123.9
128.0
132.3

1982: IV

101.0

99.7

1983: IV

103.7

1984: IV

105.9

1985: I

106.5
107.2
108.2
107.9

1986: I
II

n
m
rv
in
IV

1987: I
II r

m ....
IV"*..

106.7
112.9

105.7
107.5
114.0

131.5
143.7
154.9
161.5
168.0

123.6
127.5
131.9

115.2
116.9
119.7

116.8
118.6
121.6

175.9
182.8
188.2

175.2
182.0
187.1

99.1
101.0
100.3

98.7
100.6
99.8

163.6
166.9
170.2

105.0

104.2

103.9

104.5

158.3

158.2

98.0

97.9

103.3

113.6

114.1

109.4

110.4

163.6

163.4

98.0

104.8

120.8

120.7

114.0

115.2

170.3

170.2

98.1

105.2
105.7
106.4
105.9

122.2
123.3
124.7
125.3

122.0
123.1
124.3
124.9

114.7
115.0
115.2
116.1

115.9
116.4
116.9
117.9

172.4
174.6
177.0
179.3

172.2
174.1
176.2
178.3

109.5
109.7
109.6
109.6

107.7
107.7
107.5
107.5

127.3
127.5
128.1
129.0

126.9
127.1
127.6
128.5

116.3
116.3
116.9
117.8

117.9
118.0
118.7
119.6

180.7
182.2
183.6
185.2

109.7
110.1
111.3
111.1

107.6
108.0
109.1
109.0

130.2
131.1
133.1
134.7

129.7
130.7
132.7
134.4

118.7
119.1
119.6
121.2

120.6
121.1
121.7
123.2

185.8
187.3
189.1
190.5

-1.2

-1.6

2.0

1.9

3.2

3.5

9.7

9.5

-1.4
-2.7
-1.0

156.0
157.6
160.4

158.2

154.3
159.0

165.6
169.3
172.6

162.4
165.8
170.0

164.1
167.8
171.8

156.8

158.7

150.2

151.4

97.9

157.7

158.2

155.2

156.2

98.0

160.8

162.4

159.8

161.0

98.5
98.6
99.4
99.7

98.4
98.3
98.9
99.2

161.9
162.8
163.6
166.1

163.6
164.7
165.7
168.3

160.8
162.0
163.0
164.0

162.2
163.6
164.9
165.7

180.0
181.3
182.6
184.4

100.1
101.3
101.4
101.6

99.7
100.8
100.9
101.2

165.0
166.2
167.5
169.0

167.2
168.4
169.8
171.5

164.3
165.4
166.9
166.7

166.4
167.3
168.8
168.8

184.9
186.3
187.9
189.5

100.7
100.3
100.3
100.2

100.2
99.7
99.6
99.6

169.4
170.2
169.8
171.4

171.8
172.5
172.2
173.8

168.2
169.6
170.7
171.3

170.3
171.4
172.5
173.1

-1.6

11.1

11.2

9.0

8.9

-2.7
-.9
1.5
1.1
-.3

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

2.8
2.0
2.0

3.2
2.2
2.0

2.7
2.1
2.5

3.2
2.3
2.4

Pe cent change; quarte rly data at seasonal] y adjusted annual ra ;es

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

-.3
1.4
-.4
2.7
2.5

.4
1.0
-.6
3.3
2.1

-1.1
2.1
3.1
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
3.3
5.0
8.3

-.8
.7
-2.8
1.5
5.7

-.7
.7
-2.7
1.6
6.0

10.5
9.2
7.8
4.2
4.1

10.5
9.4
7.8
4.3
3.9

1985
1986
1987"*

1.8
1.9
.9

1.2
1.6
.8

4.0
3.3
3.4

3.6
3.2
3.4

2.1
1.4
2.4

2.5
1.6
2.6

4.7
3.9
2.9

4.4
3.9
2.8

— .7

.8
1.9
-.8

1982: IV

3.0

2.4

-.5

— 1.2

4.5

5.0

3.2

3.7

1.5

2.6

2.4

3.0

1983: IV

3.0

1.4

10.4

9.8

7.2

8.3

5.4

4.3

1.5

.4

2.4

2.9

4.8

3.1

1984: IV

-3.4

-3.5

1.6
1.0
-.2
1.1
2.0

1.5

1.0

3.5

3.1

2.1

2.1

3.8

3.9

.4

.6

2.3

2.9

2.7

3.3

1985: I

2.2
2.9
3.7
-1.0

1.5
1.7
2.6
-1.6

4.8
3.8
4.4
2.2

4.3
3.4
4.1
2.0

2.5
1.0
.7
3.2

2.8
1.7
1.5
3.6

5.1
5.1
5.7
5.1

4.8
4.5
4.9
4.9

1.7
.6
3.3
1.2

1.4
— .1
2.5
.9

2.8
2.2
1.9
6.2

3.2
2.7
2.2
6.6

2.5
3.0
2.5
2.5

3.0
3.5
3.2
2.0

1986: I

5.8
.6
-.3
-.1

6.6
.1
-.6
.0

6.4
.7
1.8
3.0

6.4
.6
1.7
2.9

.5
.1
2.1
3.1

2
.6
2.3
2.9

3.2
3.5
3.0
3.6

3.9
2.9
2.8
4.0

1.6
4.8
.5
.9

2.3
4.2
.4
1.3

-2.5
2.8
3.3
3.7

-2.6
2.8
3.5
4.0

.9
2.6
3.7
-.5

1.6
2.3
3.7
.0

1987: I

.5
1.4
4.7
-.7

.4
1.4
4.2
-.2

3.5
3.0
6.3
4.8

3.8
3.2
6.3
5.1

3.0
1.6
1.5
5.6

3.4
1.7
2.0
5.3

1.4
3.3
3.8
3.1

1.1
3.0
3.6
3.4

-3.9
-1.8
-.3
— .1

.9
1.8
-.9
3.9

.8
1.5
-.6
3.7

3.7
3.4
2.5
1.6

3.4
2.6
2.7
1.5

n
in
rv
n
m
rv
n r
m ....

IV "* ..

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



-3.7
-1.6

-.1
-.5

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
* Data do not reflect revisions of GNP and related items published February 25.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose 0.2 percent in January, following a rise of 0.4 percent in December. The index for
January was 6.0 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)

160

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240
FINAL P 5ODUCTS
220
DEI ENSE AND
200
SPACE
EC3UIPMENT
180
^

TOTAL If-4DUSTRIAL PRODUCTI ON

140
"

r^^

Illllllllll Illllllllll

niiiliiin

•>

120

100
160

160

.^""
BUS NESS
3
EQUI MENT

/

Illltllllll

h-^—

140
^~~

DU *ABLE
X

_

120

-^^—/~

r^l

100 Illllllllll

iiinlniu

Illllllllll Illllllllll

HUlllllil

~-^~

— ^ — " ~^-'-'-

120 .--••---•

NONDU [ABLE

100

1

5

MANUF/VCTURING PRODUCTKDN

140

_. —I

Illllllllll

CONSUMER
GOODS
Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

PERCENT*

Illlllllll!

100
CAPACrFYUTILIZAT ION RATE (TOTAL INC USTRY)

140

UTILITIES ANDMIN NG PRODIJCTION

120

»_*
s~^O\> A
—voti^^
100

— MINING-

Illllllllll
1984

Illllllllll
1985

90

UTILITIES

Vs.--.V~

S

f

80

**

-—•—-—1 -~

:,n n r^

_^

~>~

F~^~H

/"
^v_x-

imilimi
1986

70
Illllllllll Illllllllll
1987
1988

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1984

1985

Illllllllll
1986

"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE; BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Illllllllll
1987

Illllllllll
1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER?

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Industry pro [uction indexe , 1977 = 100

To tal
indu strial
prodi ction

Capacity utilization
rate, p< rcent l

Manufacturing

Period
1
1977 = 100

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

49.10

35.11

9.83

5.96

1.9
1.1
3.8

108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.6

109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1

107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.7

112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
T
100.5

107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7

70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.0

Novr
Dec r

126.2
127.1
127.4
127.4
128.2
129.1
130.6
131.2
131.0
132.5
133.0
133.6

-.1
1.3
2.9
2.1
3.1
4.1
4.6
5.1
5.2
5.8
5.8
5.4

130.7
131.6
132.4
132.4
133.2
134.0
135.6
135.9
135.7
137.3
137.9
138.5

129.3
130.8
131.5
130.9
131.4
132.0
133.5
133.8
133.7
136.8
136.7
137.1

132.7
132.9
133.7
134.6
135.7
136.9
138.5
138.8
138.6
138.1
139.4
140.6

99.4
98.8
98.3
98.6
99.2
99.2
99.2
100.9
101.9
103.6
104.2
103.2

108.0
108.5
107.9
106.0
109.6
109.4
111.2
112.9
111.2
112.1
112.9
112.6

79.2
79.7
79.7
79.6
79.9
80.3
81.1
81.4
81.1
81.9
82.0
82.2

79.6
80.0
80.3
80.2
80.4
80.8
81.5
81.5
81.3
82.0
82.2
82.4

Jan *

133.8

6.0

138.9

137.2

141.2

102.6

114.0

82.2

82.4

100.0

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987"

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8

1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Ocf.

1

Durable

Total

84.21

1977 proportion

1988:

Mining
from year
earlier

Output as percent of capacity.




-1.9
2.2

-7.1

5.9
11.2

79.3
78.2

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Produc ts

Mate rials

Final produc s

Intern lediate proc ucts

C onsumer go ods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

1977 proportion

44.77

25.52

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
133.3
134.8
135.1
134.5
135.5
136.2
137.9
138.4
137.8
139.3
139.1
139.2
139.5

102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.7
125.5
126.4
126.7
125.5
127.3
127.2
128.9
129.4
127.7
129.0
129.1
129.3
129.8

June
July

Aug
Sept
Oet r
Nov r
Dec r

1988:
1

Jan"

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
118.8
121.0
119.8
116.7
120.1
117.4
120.4
121.2
118.6
124.3
123.7
120.3
120.8

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.5
128.0
128.4
129.3
128.7
130.0
130.9
132.1
132.5
131.0
130.8
131.1
132.6

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.8

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.4

143.5
146.0
146.2
146.4
146.3
148.1
149.7
150.2
151.2
153.0
152.4
152.4

138.6
141.7
141.9
142.1
141.7
144.2
145.6
145.6
146.3
148.7
148.3
148.7

133.1

152.4

148.6

Total '

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
189.1
187.3
188.9
188.6
189.2
189.3
188.6
188.7
189.1
189.8
190.3
189.8
189.7
190.2

Total

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.5
138.8
139.9
140.9
140.3
141.8
143.3
145.0
145.3
144.9
146.1
147.2
147.7

148.2

Construction
supplies

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.6
130.3
130.0
130.4
128.2
129.1
131.5
133.1
132.5
132.3
133.3
134.0
134.6
134.6

Business
supplies

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.6
146.0
148.4
149.9
150.6
152.6
153.4
155.2
156.3
155.6
157.1
158.5
158.8

Total

Energy

42.28

11.69

105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
114.9
114.9
115.2
115.9
116.3
117.2
118.5
119.4
119.7
121.2
122.2
123.3
123.4

105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.7
99.3
98.6
97.2
97.8
98.7
99.4
99.0
100.9
100.2
101.8
102.4
101.3
101.6

Includes rigs and prefabs, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Nc ndurable manufactu res

Durable m anufactures
Transp ortation
equi] ment

Primary metals
Period
Total

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct r

Nov r
Dec r

1988: Jan "

5.33
90.4

95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.5
72.8
75.1
77.0
76.1
77.0
78.8
81.4
85.1
84.5
90.6
90.0
92.6
91.0

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18




Iron and
steel

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.8
59.5
62.3
65.4
65.0
65.7
68.3
70.9
76.0
74.6
82.0
79.7
85.0

Fabricated
metal
products

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
108.4
108.3
110.5
109.9
108.5
111.1
111.1
110.1
111.1
113.5
113.8
115.5
116.0

Nonelectrical
machinery

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.5
143.4
145.5
148.5
150.4
149.7
151.8
155.3
154.3
156.6
158.0
157.3
158.6
159.2

Electrical
machinery

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.2
170.4
171.0
168.5
168.4
171.1
170.5
172.5
174.3
173.4
175.5
175.7
175.3
176.3

Total

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
129.0
132.7
132.2
127.8
129.4
126.5
127.6
128.1
125.5
132.0
130.4
128.4
128.0

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
112.0
117.7
116.5
109.8
112.0
107.4
109.4
109.1
105.6
116.0
114.0
110.5
109.0

Lumber
and
products

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.5
128.5
129.6
128.9
127.8
130.3
131.1
132.8
131.1
126.9
129.8
134.0
135.8

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

Poods

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.0
166.3
164.4
167.6
169.2
171.4
174.1
174.0
174.7
174.9
175.2
175.6
175.9
178.0

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.1
136.4
135.7
135.3
137.3
138.1
139.3
140.8
142.3
142.4
141.5
144.2
146.8

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.7
134.6
136.4
137.3
136.0
137.4
137.7
138.5
138.8
139.5
138.0
138.4
139.4

106.1
106.5
105.4
105.3
106.4
107.7
109.7
108.4
107.6
108.0
109.3

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Constructio n contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Resi ential
Total

New housing

Total '

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(19*2 = 100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(mmions oi
square feet)

I illions of dollars

1979

252.4

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

251.7

193.3

260.2
246.6

203.6

281.3

227.5

328.6
356.0
388.8
398.9

271.0
291.7
316.6

r

200.7

192.9

323.6

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
197.3

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.7

55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
73.5

42.3
46.2
49.4
49.5
48.1
48.5
50.5
51.5
52.8

51.7
58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.3
72.2
75.3

70.4
72.8
71.3
69.8
73.8
72.0
72.6
75.2
74.1
74.2
79.1
75.7

52.0
50.5
50.1
51.1
51.7
51.4
53.2
54.4
53.8
53.7
54.8
56.5

74.5
75.2
76.1
75.7
75.3
72.9
74.6
73.0
77.9
76.8
77.4
78.1

r
!58
r
!59
r
!67
r
!57
r
!57
r
!67
r
!65
r
!74
r
!60
r

157
157

911
1,012

74.5

55.1

74.3

145

833

42.0
46.7

100
100
124
M36
r

!50
!58

r

162

Annual rates

1987:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

310.2

401.6

326.5

388.3
396.2
396.7
397.2
398.5
402.9
402.8
403.5

312.2
320.5

321.4

Novr
Dec r

405.1
406.8

324.3
323.8
329.8
324.9
326.7
327.7
328.7

Jan "

395.2

321.0

June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct

1988:

384.7

187.8
203.1
190.8
199.5
195.9
200.9

197.0
198.8
193.9
196.5

137.3
137.0
139.5
139.7
139.4
138.2
137.9
138.2
140.0
141.0
142.4
143.4

191.3

139.1

198.0
200.2

1

Includes the following categories of private construction not shown separately: residential
improvements, railroads, electric light and power, gas, petroleum pipelines, and farm nonresidential.
2
Includes hotels and motels.
3
F.W. Dodge series.

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,004

109
97

Annual rates

!64

r

969
885
926
r
938
r

r

r
921
' 1,011
r

r

l,017
l,016

' 1,032
r

987

NOTE.—F.W. Dodge construction contracts series revised.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information System
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New prh ate homes

New private housing units
Units started, irv type of structure

Period
Total
1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,149.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.8

1979

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

1987r

1 unit
1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.6

2-4 units

5 or more units

122.0
109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3

429.0
330.5
287.7

319.6
522.0
544.0

576.1
542.0
408.9

Units
authorized
1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,539.0

Units
compieted

Homes sold

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,664.1

709
545

1,956
1,726
1,689
1,830
1,621
1,601
1,698
1,666
1,581
1,549
1,562
1,635

'719

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1
3

398
336
272
251
300
353
346
357
364

r

357

436
412

623
639
688
750
672

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3

Seasona .y adjusted annu al rates

1987:

Dec '

1,245
1,285
1,206
1,201
1,125
1,086
1,142
1,109
1,211
1,105
1,129
1,041

79
74
85
r
66
r
65
85
59
r
58
r
49
67
51
49

Jan »

1,377

1,011

51

June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct

r

Novr

1988:

r

1,804
r
1,809
r
1,723
' 1,635
' 1,599
' 1,583
r
1,594
r
1,583
' 1,679
1,538
1,661
1,404

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

1
2

r

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.




r

416
r
419
366
481
314

1,652
1,676
1,719
1,598
1,493
1,517
1,487
1,502
1,502
1,463
1,469
1,361

315

1,250

480
450
r
432
r

368
409
r
412
r

r

393

r

r

r

738

720
728

649

r

358
358
359
356

644
653
631
588

359
359
361
361
360
361
364

535

369

640
672
r
673
r

7.4
7.5
8.1
7.8

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places and for 1978-83
data are for 16,000 places.
Seasonally adjusted housing starts and sales revised beginning 1985.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In December, manufacturing and trade sales rose 1.2 percent, while inventories rose $5.9 billion. In January,
according to advance data, retail sales rose 0.5 percent, following a rise of 1.2 percent in December.
BILLI DNS OF DOL LARS* (RATIC3 SCALE)

BILLIC)NS OF DOLL ARS* (RATIC) SCALE)

800

220

X

200

—

,<"

700
.—— "

^~~~

600

_

180

\

1
MANU FACTURING AND
TRAC E INVENTOR IES

r

-

160

^|

,—^v

==
r^
^—- ^
TAIL INVENT ORIES

—

x^

—

_

140

500

f \ ""
** ^ •- -v/ "
A
M ^UFACTUR NG
k\•JD TRADE St ^LES

-•-"*

120

/""

400 —*±.———

—

-—

-—-•'"

•"

*• — * *"*

~

A_/". , _ _ - * - -

""A

(ETAIL SALES

—

iiiiiliini

lllllllllll

80

300

lllllllllll lllllllllll

imiliim

RATIC)*

1 80
1.60

200

_

_ INVENTCDRY-SALES RATIO

—

-^***^»y /•» (p^n

1.40

MANUF ACTURING
ANC) TRADE

-

RETAI

1.20

lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll lllllllllll
1984

1985

1987

1986

1 1 1 \ 1 1 1 p 1 1 ,,,,,),,,,, 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1.00

1984

1988

1985

1986

1987

SEASONALLY ADJU STED
OURCE; DEPARTME NT OF COMMERCE

s

Man uf act uring and
trac e 1

M M 1 1n i u
1988

COUNCIL OF ECO ^OMiC ADVISERS

Sales
Inven-

Inventories 3

Sales 2

348,746
369,266
408,721
419,459
425,752

574,126
589,280

641,328
650,695
652,624

96,290
100,424
113,404
114,563
115,109

129,803
140,865
144,244
147,352

443,623

652,624

118,462

147,352

Inventory- ales ratio 4

He tail

Who esale

Total

2

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories
Nondurable goods
stores

Total

Durable
goods
stores

3

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally idjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 '
1986: Dec
1987:

T

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov r
Dec p

1988: Jan p
1

r

424,236 * 658,570
660,470
443,169
663,010
445,032
444,357
665,877
671,609
446,282
451,734 674,753
452,652
677,743
678,442
457,499
462,434
682,323
462,411 689,926
696,416
460,616
466,234
702,303

116,545
123,281
123,009
123,439
124,486
124,836
126,196
128,164
129,912
130,384
127,400
127,419

28,169
33,161
38,948
43,165
47,338

60,937
64,438
68,499
71,803
73,863

134,509
147,325
166,300
179,671
187,034

52,523

75,164

187,034

118,049
124,280
124,593
124,960
124,867
126,307
127,061
128,931
126,790
125,631
125,990
r
127,459

43,481
47,365
47,942
48,135
47,783
48,981
49,735
51,143
49,706
48,660
48,786
r
49,692

" 74,568
76,915
76,651
76,825
77,084
77,326
77,326
77,788
77,084
76,971
77,204
' 77,767

189,000
190,527
193,355
195,042
197,088
200,039
201,762
201,826
202,408
204,740
207,317
210,464

128,078

50,319

77,759

89,107
97,599
107,448
114,968
121,201

128,196

149,347
149,408
149,565
150,050
152,673
153,093
152,648
151,222
153,245
156,632
157,287
158,183

127,687
T

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period. Data are on a current-cost basis beginning December 1980 for wholesale and
retail and beginning January 1982 for manufacturing; not comparable with data for prior periods.
2

3

20




r

4

61,911
70,092
80,737
90,791
94,930

72,598
77,233
85,563
88,880
92,104

1.67
1.56
1.52
1.54
1.54

94,930

92,104

1.47

96,606
97,831
99,293
99,767
101,876
103,541
104,385
104,044
104,445
106,473
108,252
110,003

92,394
92,696
94,062
95,275
95,212
96,498
97,377
97,782
97,963
98,267
99,065
100,461

1.55
1.49
1.49
1.50
1.50
1.49
1.50
1.48
1.48
1.49
1.51
1.51

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

1.49
1.44
1.48
1.50
1.54
1.46
r

1.60
1.53

1.55
1.56
1.58
1.58
1.59
1.57
1.60
1.63
1.65
1.65

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In January, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell; inventories and unfilled orders rose.
BILLIC)NS OF DOL ARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIC3NS OF DOL LARS* (RATIC3 SCALE)

280
240

440

200

SHIPME NTS

1—r"1

'

•

160

1
DURABLE GOODS-

_^

200

—-Li-..-.* '•~~~-'J^.
80

~*~

280

— TOTAL-

120

— INVENT ORIES

360

—^—

\
TOTAL
.--•—

120

\

60

!•• ONDURABLE GOODS

miiliiin n u i l n m

1 1 1 ' 1 1f 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 f 1 1 j f [ 1 1 1 11

80

BILLIC)NS OF DOL ARS* (RATIO SCALE)

2BU
240

. —-"

DURABLE C OODS

160

I
\
NONDURABLE C oops

.

Y-

60

— NEWO *DERS

?nn -_——_-- _—~160

r

h-_^~-TOTAL —

—-—--"""^

RATIO »
2.20

'

INVENTO RY-SHIPME NTS RATIC
2.00

120

DU! iABLE

GOOD)S

—-

1.80

—

-•c

'

80

1.60

-

^"--^^_

L—1

NONDURA 3LE GOODS
1.40

60

1 1 II till 1 1 1
1984

1 1 1 1 j 1 11 1 1 1

1 1 1M 111 M 1

1985

1 11M 1 1111 1

1987

1986

1.20

Minium
1988

iniiiti in
1984

l|MllllllI

1985

1986

1987

1988

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

ftManufacturers new orders i

Manufa cturers' inver tories 2

Manufa cturers' shipinents l

Durabl 2 goods
Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Total
Total

Capital
goods
industries,

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 3

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 4

defense

Millions
1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987"
1986: Decr
1987: Jan r
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov '
Dee"
1988: Jan"
1

154,391
168,129
163,350
171,242
187,869
189,928
189,442
200,695
197,474
189,642
195,608
197,430
195,958
196,929
200,591
199,395
200,404
205,732
206,396
207,226
211,356
207,691

77,550
83,872
79,352
84,956
96,623
98,930
100,142
105,300
106,394
99,255
103,601
104,750
102,747
102,477
104,476
103,032
104,135
108,433
108,251
108,378
r
113,026
109,100

76,841
84,257

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,997
89,300
95,395
91,080
90,387
92,007
92,680
93,211
94,452
96,115
96,363
96,269
97,299
98,145
98,848
98,330
98,591

264,281
282,645
311,421
312,152
334,163
326,780
r
318,238
333,656
318,238
320,223
320,535
320,090
320,785
321,848
321,621
323,333
325,394
326,670
328,554
331,812
333,656
336,340
2

of do Jars,

174,620
186,347
200,711
200,220
218,524
213,750
r
207,854
216,753
207,854

2

208,935
208,644
207,987
208,683
209,096
208,654
209,951
210,921
211,680
213,436
215,931
216,753
218,773

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period. Data beginning 1982 are on a current-cost basis, and are not comparable with
data for prior periods.
3
End of period.
2




seasoilally adjust 3d

89,661
96,298
110,710
111,932
115,639
113,030
r
110,384
116,903
110,384
111,288
111,891
112,103
112,102
112,752
112,967
113,382
114,473
114,990
115,118
115,881
116,903
117,567
2

156,161
167,752
161,600
173,915
190,065
190,631
189,482
203,196
196,894
187,629
r
194,485
199,399
200,624
201,397
205,454
206,065
203,157
206,719
209,399
209,626
213,822
212,571

79,360

83,553
77,676
87,485
98,875
99,600
100,131
107,601
105,681
96,913
101,932
106,213
106,977
106,992
109,181
109,213
106,678
109,345
111,095
110,949
r
115,620
113,861

23,259
24,050
21,469
22,143
26,714
26,970

26,671
29,632
29,142
26,771
26,856
27,396
28,310
30,031
29,987
31,982
29,540
29,753
30,416
30,085
' 33,879
34,746

76,801
84,199
83,924
86,431

91,189
91,030
89,351
95,595
91,213
90,716
r
92,553
93,186
93,647
94,405
96,273
96,852
96,479
97,374
98,304
98,677
98,202
98,710

323,393
319,094
306,302
338,849
365,177
373,495
* 372,974
403,496
372,974
370,961
369,251
371,220
375,886
380,354
385,217
391,887
394,640
395,627
398,630
401,030
403,496
408,376

1.67
1.65

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.61
1.69
1.64
1.62
1.64
1.63
1.60
1.62
1.62
1.59
1.59
1.60
1.58
1.62

4
Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Data beginning 3982 are not comparable with data
for prior periods (see footnote 2 regarding inventories).
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In January, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished
consumer foods rose 1.7 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods fell 0.4 percent. Capital equipment
prices rose 0.2 percent. (Series revised.)
INDE X, 1982=100 RATIO SCALE)
120

s EASONALLY

INDEX, 1982 == 100 (RATIO SC-ALE)
120

ADJUSTE D

FINISHED) GOODS PRI CES
CON,5UMER
FO ODS
CAPITA L

110

\
/^>c/--S.-»'

_-- -*~Tj s^
— "^

100

'j}*^~~

••' \ s

rVvC" . ,
__/
"

110

^/-~^~~\

\\r-^s'
•
\

~*

crONSUMER

GC ODS
E XCLUDING FO ODS

^/
/
;
i

N

i

/^~"V

y

r^r—L™-*"^^^^7^ 4t-

. -1I—'*" /*'

^>~~~^/f* \-J'

= __^

* ^^*

*--

EQUIPMENT

X

/—'

/ —~

TOTAL
- FINISHED
• - GOODS - 100

^^'
f/

j
/.<

d

/

f/
t

fjf's'

"

i-

jT

/

'

''

Illllilllll

Illllllllll

Illllllllll

1980

1981

1982

imilmi! imiiimi Illllilllll urn inn mil urn imilmii
1985

1984

1983

1986

1987

>OURCE: DEPARTMEN OF LABOR

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Fim shed goods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer

foods

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 "
1987: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan

96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0

103.9
104.1
104.5
105.1
105.3
105.4
105.7
106.0
106.4
106.2
106.1
105.7

108.0
108.2
108.2
109.6
110.8
110.7
110.3
109.5
110.2
109.8
110.1
108.6

102.5
102.7
103.3
103.6
103.5
103.6
104.2
104.8
105.2
105.0
104.8
104.8

96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
98.8
99.1
99.9
100.2
100.1
100.3
101.0
101.7
102.0
101.9
101.7
101.6

106.1

110.5

104.6

101.2

88.0

87.1

Durable




85.8

88.6

94.0
94.3
94.1
94.4
95.3
96.3
96.4
96.2
96.0
96.0

94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
111.2
111.0
111.1
111.4
111.5
111.4
111.6
111.9
112.5
112.2
112.1
112.3

96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
101.8
102.1
102.6
103.3
103.6
103.7
104.1
104.3
104.7
104.5
104.4
103.9

95.3

112.5

104.3

Nondurable

91.0
96.4
100.0

102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
111.4
110.4
110.8
111.3
111.2
111.3
111.5
111.5
112.2
112.4
112.0
111.8
112.2

1
Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.
Note.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967 — 100
to 1982—100, and new seasonal factors were calculated.

22

Capital
equipment

finished
consumer
goods

Consumer gc ods

Total

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.8
92.3
93.1

In term ediate ma aerials

Cnide maten als

Foods
and
feeds '

Foodstuffs
and
feedstuffs

Total

F nished goc ds excluding consumer foocIs

Total

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5

105.5

99.0
99.6
99.8
100.2
100.8
101.3
101.9
102.4
102.7
103.2
103.6
103.9

104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
95.5
96.3
95.7
97.3
100.2
100.6
100.2
100.0
101.0
100.9
101.0
101.3

104.2

102.6

Other

Total

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0

103.0
99.3
101.7
99.2
99.8
100.1
100.4
100.9
101.4
102.0
102.6
102.8
103.3
103.8
104.0

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.6
89.1
89.9
90.6
92.3
94.3
94.6
95.6
96.7
96.0
96.1
94.8
94.6

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2

92.7
93.3
96.8
100.4
98.7
97.3
97.5
97.5
98.0
95.4
96.2

102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
83.3
84.1
84.8
85.4
86.3
87.9
90.3
91.8
90.8
90.6
90.1
89.3

104.3

93.6

97.1

87.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

92.0

Other

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In January,

the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.3

percent, seasonally adjusted and not

seasonally adjusted. The index was 4.0 percent above its year-earlier level. (Series revised.)
INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

110

110

- CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS -

\

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

60
1980

1982

1981

1984

1983

1985

1 1 1 1 ll I
1986

60

1988

1987

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[1982-84—100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

All it .ms 1

T ansportat on

Housing

All

She Her
Period

Not
seasonally
ed
(NSA)

Eel. imp.3....
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987: Jan
Feb....
Mar....
Apr....
May ...
June ..
July...
Aug ...
Sept...
Oct
Nov....
Dec....
1988: Jan
1

100.0
82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
111.2
111.6
112.1
112.7
113.1
113.5
113.8
114.4
115.0
115.3
115.4
115.4
115.7

Seasonally
adust-

Food
Total

Total

ed

111.4
111.8
112.3
112.8
113.2
113.5
113.8
114.3
114.6
115.0
115.3
115.5
115.9

16.1
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
111.9
112.1
112.3
112.7
113.3
113.9
113.8
113.9
114.5
114.7
114.8
115.3
115.6

42.5
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
112.2
112.7
113.0
113.4
113.7
114.0
114.2
114.8
115.0
115.3
115.5
115.9
116.4

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

7.9

19.7

Renters'

1

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
118.5
119.1
119.7
120.2
120.6
120.8
121.2
121.9
122.2
122.8
123.1
123.8
124.5

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
125.4
125.9
126.5
126.8
127.1
127.5
128.5
128.9
128.8
128.6
128.8
129.5
130.9

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4

124.8
121.9
122.5
123.1
123.7
124.2
124.4
124.5
125.4
125.9
126.9
127.2
127.9
128.4

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1987.
NOTE.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967— 100
2




Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

0.2
82.4

90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
110.3
110.2
110.7
110.3
110.2
111.1
113.2
112.9
112.7
112.8
113.5
113.3
113.7

Fuel
and
other
utilities

7.7

75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
101.9
102.3
102.3
102.4
102.6
103.0
103.1
103.6
103.3
103.0
103.4
103.3
103.2

Apparel and
upkeep

6.3
90.9

95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
107.3
107.9
109.6
111.0
111.4
110.8
109.9
110.3
111.3
112.7
113.1
112.2
112.3

Total !

New

Motor
fuel

17.5
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
102.8
103.4
104.0
104.6
104.8
105.3
105.9
106.7
106.8
107.2
107.7
107.4
107.3

4.4
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
114.2
113.0
113.3
113.9
114.1
114.4
114.8
115.0
115.2
115.5
115.7
115.7
115.5

3.3
97.4
108.5
102.8

99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
73.4
76.7
78.3
79.1
79.2
80.1
81.1
83.8
83.2
83.0
83.0
81.6
80.4

Medical
care

Energy 2

5.8
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
126.8
127.3
127.8
128.6
129.3
130.0
130.7
131.3
131.9
132.4
133.0
133.5
134.6

86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
84.7
86.4
87.1
87.5
87.6
88.5
88.7
90.2
89.8
89.3
89.6
88.9
88.3

7.6

less
food,
shelter
and
energy

48.5
80.6

88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
115.1
115.3
115.8
116.4
116.7
116.9
117.3
117.6
117.9
118.5
118.9
118.9
119.5

to 1982-84=100, and new seasonal factors were calculated.
Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs and
therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Ck nge from pr eceding perk d

Change from 3 month s earlier, aim lal rate

Change from 6 month s earlier, aim lal rate

Consum ;r goods

Consum r goods

Consum r goods

Total
finished
goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Excluding
foods

Poods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Poods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Oha nge, Dec. to Dec., N 3A

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.1

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.3

14.1
8.6
4.2
.9
.8

11.4

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1

9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3

2.1

-6.6
3.9

Or ange, month to mont h

1987:

1988:

Jan r
Feb '
Mar '.
Apr r.
May'
June T
July '
Aug '
Sept '
Oct '
Nov r
Deo '.

,

Jan

0.5
.2
.4
.6
.2
.1
.3
.3
.4
-.2
-.1
-.4

— 1.4

.4

1.7

-0.8
.2
0
1.3
1.1
— .1
-.4

-.7
.6
4
.3

1.1
.3
.8
.3
— .1
.2
.7
.7
.3
-.1
-.2

1.9
2.3
4.3
4.7
4.7
3.5
2.3
2.7
3.8
1.9

0.4
2
.1
.3
.1
— .1

1

0.7
— 2.2

4.8
5.7

-1.3

6.5
7.0
3.6
0
-1.6

2.9
3.3
3.5
3.S
3.5
3.7
3.7
2.1
1.5
.6

3.3
4.3
2.4
3.7
.4
-1.3
-3.8

5.6
5.8
5.4
5.4
4.5
5.3
4.2
3.4
3.2
2.6

2.4
2.0
1.6
1.3
1.1
.7
1.6
2.5
1.4
1.1
1.6

-2.7

1.1

.8

.4

.4

1.6

6.7
9.3
5.8
4.1
1.6

.3
.0
-.3
— .1
2

.4
-2.6

.2

— .4

2.6

A

3.2
2.7

5.9

-4.7
-2.5
6.1
10.0
9.6
2.6
-4.6
-1.8
1.8
2.2
-5.7

.2

2.6
.7
1.1
.7
1.8
1.1
.7
1.4
4.0
2.2
.7
-.7

-6.4

NOTE.—See note page 22.

3.2

-.4
2.4

2.8

1.4
.1
1.7
2.7
2.4
2.3
3.4
3.1
3.2
2.6
2.5
2,1

2.1

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Housing

All
items J

Period

Pood
Total '

Adden dum: All ite ins, percent shange
(annu£ rate)

Tr ansportat on

Shelter
Rent-

Home-

costs

costs

Total >

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
up-

Total '

New

Motor

Medical
care

gy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,

Prom
previ-

energy

From
3

Prom
6

earlier

earlier

From
year
NSA

c liange, D ecember
1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4

10.2

13.7

15.0

4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5

10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7

9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6

0.7
.4
.4
.4

0.4
.4
.3
.4
.3
- .3

0.4
.5

.3
.3
.2

0.5
.2
.2
.4
.5
.5
-.1
.1
.5
.2
.1
.4

.5
.2
.3
2
.3

.2
.6

.3
.8
.3
-.1
-.2
.2
.5

.3

.3

.4

.6

1.1

4.8

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3

0.7
.4
.5

0.3
.5
.5
.5
.4
_2
.1

0.3
.4
0
.1

.7
.4

.5
-.3
-.3

to Dec 3mber, IS SA
6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1

7.4

18.8

9.4
6.8
1.5 -6.5
3.4 -1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.7
7.7
5.8

18.0
11.9
1.3
5
.2
1.8
-19.7
8.2

2.9
2.0

.1
1.0
.2
1.7
-.4
-.6
.3
-.8

0.5
2
.4
.5
.3
.2
.3
.3
.3
.5
.3
0

-.7

.5

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
S.6

9.8

9.4
6.1
5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
S.8

Chiinge, mt nth to nlonth

1987: Jan r
Feb '
Mar '
Apr '
May '.....
June r....
July '....
Aug '.....

.4

.3
.3
.4
.3

Sept r....

Oct '.
Nov '.....

1988:

Dec

T

Jan

r

1
2

2

.5
.4
.3
.2
.3
.6
2

.5

.2
2

2
.4
.1

0.3
.6
1.6
1.3
.4
-.5
-.8




2

.8
.2
.6

.4
-.1

.9
1.3
.4
-.8

.5
.6
.8
.1
.4
.5
-.3

.4

.1

.1

— .1

.4

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also3 included through 1982.
Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

24

1.6
.6
.6
.6

0.5
-1.1
.3
.5
.2
.3
.3
.2
.2
.3
.2
0

6.7
4.5
2.1
1.0
.1
1.1
1.2
3.3
-.7

-1.7

0.5
.4
.4
.6
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
.4
.5
.4

— .2

— 1.5

.8

-.2
0

.8

.5

NOTE.—See note page 23.
Source: Department ol Labor, Bureau of Lafeor Statistics.

5.2
6.3
5.1
5.1
4.3
3.6
3.9
3.9
4.3
3.5
3.2

5.0
5.1
5.3
4.4
4.5
4.1
3.9
3.7
3.6

1.5
2.1
3.0
3.8
3.9
3.7
3.9
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.5
4.4

3.2

3.7

4.0

4.8
5.2

5.1

3.6
3.9

3.7
4.1
4.4

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in February were 0.8 percent below their January level. Prices paid by farmers in
January were unchanged from their October level.
INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SC ALE)

INDE)(, 1977= 100 (FtATIO SCALE)

180

180

PRICES PAID

\

160
„--"""""

--——N

140

120

""*

160

—

-rx

--^v

*C/

f

.— - —

/'

140

~~N r

PRI CES RECEIVED

~s

/^
"*••''

—

X

120

—

—
100

100

—

—

80

80

—
mnliim mil inn

60
RATI 0^

140

100

-

IL^

RATIO

.
11

60

imiiiiiii
1980

-—

N^_

_.

.— •—
1

1 I i 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 I I 1 1

5981

1982

./RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO HDEX OF PRICES PA

1J 11! 1 1 1 III 60
RA
140
120
—
100

1 i 1 1 1 i 1 i 11

tmimm

!983

1984

80

--

-

iiniliiin mm inn

mm in n

1

?988

1986

1985

!987

D.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

5OURCE: DEPARTMEN OF AGRICULTURE

>

[1977-100]

Pri 3es
Period

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987: Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan
Peb
1

AH farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

134
139
133
135
142
128
123
127
122
121
125
128
130
129

127
129
127
132
127
r
!31
130

F rices paid by farme s

received by farm ers

125
134
121
128
138
120
107
106
99

100
101
108
110
108
103
104
106
120
113
r
l!5

no

Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
' 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




144
143
145
141
146
136
138
146
144
142
147
148
150
149
151
152
147
143
141
r
!47
150

All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

138
150
159
161
165

163
159
162
(3)
(3)
162
(3)
(3)
164
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)
165
(3)

139
151
159
159
162
157
150
152
(3)
(3)
152
(3)
(3)
154
(3)
(3)
155
(3)
(3)
155
(3)

Production
items

138
148
153
152
155
151
144
147
(3)
(3)
147
(3)
(3)
148
(3)
(3)
r
!50
(3)
(3)
152
(3)

Ratio

2

97
92
84
84
86
79
77
78
77
77
77
79
80
79
77
79
77
80
77
79
79

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture,

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Ml rose in January after declining in December; growth in M2 and M3 accelerated. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
3,800
3,600

.

M3

3,200
2800

1

I-'-"""

3,20

2 80

Ji

^\

,400

2,000

2.4C

r^

600

2,00

—j

M2

^=-j

r^

1 60

1 20

-

800

—

700 —
^— -"""

- -^

700

^

^>~'

500

^

300

_—^-~
__— —-

iimlmii

iiiiiliini

iinilnni

1980

1981

1982

^--—

-T-"

500

Ml

M M l l l I I l l IIHlllllll
1983
1984

uiiiliiin
1985

IIIIlllllII

mnliim

1986

1987

" AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

IIHlllllll 300
1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
M2

Ml

M3

L

Debt

Perct nt change from yea or 6
months earlier 2

Ml plus overnight
Period

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OODs)

Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term BPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMT balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

Ml

3.5

3.3

4.9

9.6
9.8
9.0
11.5
14.5
13.8
12.7
9.1

18.9
15.5
14.1
14.8
11.7
4.7
3.4
4.2
3.7
3.1
1.7
2.4

9.5
7.8
6.7
6.0
4.8
3.1
2.1
2.8
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.5

8.3
7.2
6.1
6.0
5.9
5.3
4.2
4.7
5.1
5.4
5.3
4.6

13.8
12.2
10.8
10.7
10.1
9.1
8.3
8.7
9.1
9.2
9.4
9.2

4.8

5.7

1,633.1
1,795.5
1,953.8
2,184.6
2,369.1
2,569.5
2,807.8
2,901.3

1,990.9
2,236.4
2,443.1
2,692.8
2,985.4
3,205.2
3,490.4
3,663.0

2,327.6
2,598.9
2,853.0
3,154.6
3,529.3
3,838.6
4,134.1
4,332.8

3,880.9
4,262.1
4,645.5
5,181.7
5,932.6
6,749.4
7,606.1
8,299.0

6.5
6.4
8.6
9.5
5.8
12.5

1987: Jan "
Peb r
Mar r
Apr r
May r .
June r
July'.
Aug r
Sept '
Ocf
Nov '
Dec r

731.4
731.3
734.2
744.7
746.5
742.1
743.6
746.5
747.5
756.2
752.7
750.8

2,827.8
2,829.3
2,834.3
2,847.3
2,848.9
2,851.3
2,857.6
2,869.0
2,880.3
2,894.6
2,897.0
2,901.3

3,515.1
3,523.8
3,532.5
3,549.7
3,564.6
3,581.9
3,588.8
3,605.9
3,621.0
3,643.5
3,658.5
3,663.0

4,162.9
4,175.2
4,173.9
4,189.5
4,217.9
4,234.2
4,236.2
4,257.2
4,282.0
4,312.0
4,326.0
4,332.8

7,673.6
7,710.9
7,754.3
7,815.6
7,882.8
7,943.2
7,985.9
8,037.5
8,098.0
8,166.2
8,243.4
8,299.0

1988: Jan "

758.9

2,925.0

3,689.1

4.2

NOTE.—Money stock series have been revised to incorporate annual benchmark and seasonal ad-

26



Debt

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.2
10.9
7.4

416.6
443.2
481.3
526.9
557.5
627.0
725.4
750.8

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.

M3

8.9
9.9
8.8
11.8
8.4
8.5

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec '
Dec r

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

M2

justments as well as certain technical redefinitions affecting Ml. Data prior to February 1986 are
not yet available.
See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Other
Period

Demand
deposits

Currency

checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net, plus
overnight
Eurodollars

NSA

1980: Dec
1981: Dec
1982: Dec
1983: Dec
1984: Dec
1985: Dec
1986: Dec r ..
1987: Dec
1987:
Jan r
Feb r
Mar r
Aprr
May r
June T
July r
Aug '
Sept r
Oct r
Nov r
Dec r
1988:
Jan"

Money market
mutua fund
bala ices
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

Institution
only

NSA

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Savings
depos-

its

Small
denomination
time
deposits1

Large
denomination
time
deposits '

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(KPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

237.9
242.3
248.3
170.6 272.2
180.4 303.3
196.5 288.0

145.5
178.3
235.2
259.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.4
77.0

299.7
295.9
295.0
299.3
298.9
293.3
292.3
292.1
290.5
295.9
291.3
288.0

243.0
245.1
248.0
253.1
253.9
254.3
255.6
257.2
258.6
260.3
259.4
259.3

84.7
80.1
76.9
76.9
76.0
74.5
75.1
79.2
82.8
85.4
79.0
77.0

209.5
211.5
212.5
212.1
209.9
210.6
210.6
213.1
216.3
218.8
220.9
222.2

84.4
85.1
85.4
83.5
82.1
81.7
83.8
84.0
81.3
82.5
89.5
89.6

575.4
572.0
571.8
566.8
558.6
555.1
549.4
545.0
540.5
533.9
527.7
525.2

380.6
389.7
396.3
404.1
409.5
413.1
415.5
417.8
418.6
417.0
415.0
414.3

850.6
848.1
847.0
845.1
845.9
852.1
859.1
865.9
872.1
883.3
901.7
913.1

440.4
443.1
445.6
448.9
454.0
458.6
460.2
462.4
465.3
472.3
480.5
484.7

83.6
87.2
87.2
94.5
102.8
107.8
107.5
108.0
109.7
106.9
109.7
106.7

85.4
88.0
88.4
83.8
87.0
89.7
85.7
90.5
94.8
93.7
93.1
91.3

198.4 289.9

263.3

81.3

226.2

94.4

524.0

414.4

924.9

482.8

107.1

86.1

116.7
124.1
134.3
148.3
158.5

182.2
183.6
184.4
185.6
187.0
187.8
189.0
190.2
191.4
193.1
195.0
196.5

265.2
234.6

30.5
80.2
104.7
131.4

oavings
s

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

p
ijommereial
paper

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
222.2

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
65.1
84.4
89.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.0
417.4
513.2
572.5
525.2

400.8
344.3
357.3
306.2
288.8
303.6
370.7
414.3

823.3
851.0
783.8
885.3
884.2
853.2
913.1

259.8
302.1
326.2
326.2
417.0
436.1
439.2
484.7

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.7
84.0
106.7

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.6
83.8
91.3

67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.6
100.2

133.4
149.4
183.7
212.6
263.5
304.6
284.4
266.7

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.1
45.7
42.4

45.7

98.9
105.3
113.6
133.0
160.3
206.6
229.9
257.3

92.5
93.3
94.2
95.1
95.9
96.6
97.5
98.1
98.4
98.8
99.3
100.2

280.9
280.1
267.8
257.6
261.6
259.7
254.7
257.9
261.8
271.0
272.1
266.7

38.0
38.9
39.6
40.9
42.1
43.1
43.4
43.5
44.3
44.5
45.0
45.7

236.3
239.0
239.9
246.3
253.7
252.8
251.8
251.8
256.6
254.2
251.1
257.3

1
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.

NOTE.—Money stock series have been revised to incorporate annual benchmark and seasonal adjustments as well as certain technical redefinitions affecting Ml. Data prior to February 1986 are

728.7

72.3

37.8

not yet available.
Travelers cheeks of nonhank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown here.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]

Net change in in stallment ere dit outstandiiig 1

Ins tallment credit outstanding end of period)
Period
Total

1978:
1979:
1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1987:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Decr
Dec"
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr r
May r.
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov r
Dec"

261,976
296,483

295,763
310,965
325,136
373,048
446,183
522,805
577,784
612,571
578,578
579,591
579,913
583,595
583,276
587,821
591,175
596,182
602,607
r
605,488
608,122
612,571

Automobile

Revolving

98,739
112,475
111,936

45,202
53,357
54,894
60,750

119,610
125,440
145,874
172,352
208,057
245,055
261,654
T
245,472
246,064
246,290
247,663
247,578
250,130
r
250,980
254,013
257,470
258,710
259,134
261,654

66,007
78,369
99,620
122,021
134,938
145,940
134,916
135,663
135,166
136,706
136,869
137,401
138,741
139,837
141,704
143,142
143,620
145,940

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.




Mobile
home

16,921
18,207
18,264
19,308
21,728
22,919
24,710
25,488
25,710
25,612
25,852
25,789
25,614
25,626
25,542
25,685
25,860
25,695
25,699
25,677
25,731
25,612

Other
101,114
112,444
110,669
111,297
111,961
125,886
149,501
167,239
172,081
179,365
172,338
r
172,076
172,844
173,600
173,287
174,605
r
175,594
176,637
177,733
177,959
179,637
179,365

Total

40,501
34,507
720
15,202
14,171
47,912

73,135
76,622
54,979
34,787
789
1,013
322
3,682
-319
4,545
3,354
5,006
6,425
2,881
2,634
4,450

Automobile
17,791
13,736
-539
7,674

5,830
20,434
26,478
35,705
36,998
16,599
r
417
592
226
1,373
-85
2,553
850
3,033
3,457
1,240
424
2,520

Revolving

8,513
8,155
1,537
5,856
5,257
12,362
21,251
22,401
12,917
11,002
23
746
-496
1,540
163
532
1,340
1,096
1,867
1,438
477
2,321

Mobile
home

Other

559
1,286

57
1,044
2,420
1,191
1,791

778
222
-98
141
63
-175

12
-84
143
175
-165

4
— 22

54
-118

13,638
11,330

-1,775
628
664
13,925
23,615
17,738
4,842
7,284
255
r
-262
768
756
-313
1,318
989
1,043
1,097
225
1,679
-273

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

27

LOANS AND SECURITIES, AND
Commercia! and industrial loans rose 0.5 percent in January. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,400
TOTAL

-

—

•

2,000

-—

—

—

1,600

— —"
—
_.-—-——"""-

1,200

-i

_

— ALL COMM ERCIAL BANKS
2,000

_.

'

__

—

—

-

\'
LOANS AND LEASES

_ — — ~~"
__----'

—

- — — — '"'
800

—

-•

400
U.S. GC WERNMENT SE CURITIES

.A---

— -•^

^-200

. — --^

__
-

^.

' °* ~, — •••

—

s

"" \
\

160

f

s-

OTHE R SECURITIES

—

120

miiimii imiiiim
1980

nmimii
1982

1981

nmimii

liiniiiiii

1984

1985

1983

j ,, ,, 1

llilliiliil

Minimi!

1987

1986

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE; BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

Al 1 commercial banks >
Loans a nd leases
Period

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1987:

Feb
Mar
4pr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1988: Jan"
1

Total loans
and
securities 2

T

Total 2

Commercial
and industrial
loans

Depo sitory institutic ns 3

913.9
967.3
* 1,033.9
r
l, 123.7
' 1,320.4
r
1,456.9
r
1,584.5
1,701.4

325.7
355.4
r
392.6
414.1
r
472.8
r
499.4
r
535.6
565.5

170.6
179.3
r
201.7

r

r

r

1,239.1

r

r




33.69
35.33
36.72
44.74
55.34
56.66

192.0
r
!93.1
r
194.4
' 195.5
' 195.9
' 194.3
r
193.7
r
193.7
r
194.2
r
196.2
196.0

56.87
56.85
57.95
58.35
57.71
57.60
57.88
57.83
58.50
57.99
57.44

56.32
56.33
56.96
57.32
56.93
56.93
57.23
56.89
57.55
57.36
56.66

194.0

58.32

57.24

T

r

r

r

548.0
r
546.2
r
549.1
r
551.9
r
554.4
r
553.6
r
554.0
r
559.0
r
562.8
r
563.1
565.5

314.7
r
315.4
r
318.1
r
321.3
r
321.3
r
322.9
r
328.5
r
331.3
r
331.7
r
331.1
333.2

2,242.0

1,713.9

568.5

334.1

154.7
160.9

165.7
170.6
142.6
r
!81.2
r
196.1
196.0

259.1
260.0
T
270.5
' 309.3
333.2

1,613.5
r
1,622.3
r
1,639.6
r
1,649.3
r
1,659.6
r
1,664.1
r
1,676.8
r
1,689.8
r
l,701.7
r
1,704.8
1,701.4

3

borrowed

30.81
32.08
34.32
36.11
36.91
46.06
56.17
57.44

r

r

Data arc prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.
2
Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

28

r

r

r

2,120.1
r
2,130.7
r
2,152.0
r
2,166.0
r
2,176.7
r
2,181.3
r
2,199.0
r
2,214.7
r
2,227.6
r
'2,232.1
2,230.6

Borr swings
(millions of dollars,
unad usted)

securities
Total

1,307.5
r
1,401.3
r
1,553.4
' 1,722.9
' 1,908.6
r
2,089.9
2,230.6

r

Reserves adjust ed
for changes i n
res erve reqmrem ents

U.S.
Government
securities

Required

29.12
31.44

Data are averages of daily figures.

NOTE.—Scries for all commercial banks revised.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Syste

30.29
31.76
33.82
35.55
39.06
45.00
54.80

Total

Seasonal

56.41

634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93

55.66
55.94
57.13
57.27
56.52
56.84
56.84
57.03
57.37
57.06
56.41

556
527
993
1,035
776
672
647
940
943
625
777

71
91
120
196
259
283
279
231
189
126
93

57.02

1,082

59

1,690
636

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses
External

Period
Total

0 edit market fu nds

Internal 1
Total
Total

1983
1984
1985
1986
1986: H

m
TV

1987: I

n
m''

Other 2

Securities
and
mortgages

Loans and
short-term
paper

33.3
21.0
53.1

61.2
67.3
53.2
49.3
4.7
58.0
60.7
51.7
30.4

309.7
370.6
352.1
368.6
303.5
399.8
488.0
442.4
438.3

Capital
expenditures 3

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

345.9
383.3
327.5
432.3
518.5
492.3
491.3

285.7
336.3
355.4
351.5

146.3
155.1
145.8
143.9
85.1
146.6
182.2
136.9
139.9

499.9
442.0
597.1

350.9
352.2
342.2

149.0
89.8
254.9

117.6
64.1
201.9

52.2
31.8
12.2

65.3
32.4
214.1

31.4
25.7
53.0

426.3
398.4
540.4

340.5
321.5
330.2

85.8
76.9
210.1

73.6
43.6
56.8

439.3
491.1
487.4

343.2
340.8
351.7

96.1
150.3
135.7

30.8
113.8
77.6

92.3
22.3
58.0

-61.5
91.4
19.5

65.3
36.5
58.1

379.3
423.8
433.9

354.6
346.0
347.8

24.7
77.8
86.1

60.0
67.3
53.5

328.5
352.6

1978
1979
1980
1981
1982

Total

182.3
197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3

85.0

87.8
92.7
94.5
80.4
88.6
121.6
85.2
109.5

22.8
44.0
57.3
-7.5
15.3
33.3

51.8
66.9
39.5
71.7
36.4
31.3
129.0
69.9
76.1

1
Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

217.0
238.3
243.7
286.5

256.5
274.7
370.9
342.8
339.2

92.7
132.3
108.4
82.0
47.0
125.1
117.1
99.7
99.1

18.9
-17.9
-6.2
14.8
24.0
32.5

30.5
49.9
53.0

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
rnors of the Federal Reserve System.

CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATIONS
[Billions of dollars, except as noted]
Current habilitif s

Curren assets

End of period

QFR-FRB series: 2
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

Total

Cash

Government
securities

Notes and
accounts
receivable

Inventories

Other
current
assets

Total

Notes and
accounts
payable

Other
current
liabilities

515.8
550.9

1.559
1.505
1.492
1.462
1.458
1.487
1.464
1.447

595.7

463.9

516.3

1.487

1,093.1
1,126.3
1,155.0
1,163.6

601.9
623.4
642.2
647.8

491.2
502.9
512.9
515.8

526.5
523.7
530.8
539.5

1.482
1.465
1.460
1.464

203.5
211.2
218.2
224.9

1,174.1
1,182.9
1,211.9
1,233.6

636.9
651.7
670.4
682.7

537.1
531.2
541.5
550.9

548.6
551.7
551.1
551.0

1.467
1.466
1.455
1.447

226.3

1,222.3

668.4

553.9

573.4

1.469

383.0
460.8
514.4
547.1
550.7
595.7
647.8
682.7

286.5
346.5
376.2
424.1
435.3
463.9

633.1
671.5

584.0
579.0
603.4
656.9
666.0

669.5
807.3
890.6
971.3
986.0
1,059.6
1,163.6
1,233.6

31.0

583.0

603.4

186.7

1,059.6

167.6
164.9
161.3
173.6

35.4
37.2
33.0
36.2

606.4
622.6
639.1
633.1

622.2
632.5
659.3
656.9

187.9
192.9
193.2
203.2

TV

1,722.7
1,734.6
1,763.0
1,784.6

167.5
167.1
176.3
189.2

35.7
35.4
32.6
33.0

650.3
654.1
661.0
671.5

665.7
666.7
675.0
666.0

1986: I"

1,795.7

195.3

31.0

663.4

679.6

105.5
118.0
127.0
135.6
147.8
171.8
173.6
189.2

18.7
17.7
23.0
31.0
36.2
33.0

1983: IV

1,575.9

171.8

1984: I

1,619.5
1,650.0
1,685.9
1,703.0

n
in
IV

1985: I

n
m




17.2
16.7

388.0
459.0
507.5
532.5
517.4
583.0

431.8
505.1
543.0

ratio *

374.3
407.5
437.8
448.3
451.1
516.3
539.5
551.0

101.1
116.0
132.1
149.7
169.8
186.7
203.2
224.9

1,043.7
1,214.8
1,328.3
1,419.6
1,437.1
1,575.9
1,703.0
1,784.6

Net
working
capital

• (Ban

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates fel! in February.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNU

[Percent per annum]

U.S. 1 reasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) *

Constant nlaturities
3-year

2

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) 4

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37

7.38
7.73

9.02
9.38

10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85

Oct
Nov
Dec

5.59
5.56
5.76
5.75
5.69
5.78
6.00
6.32
6.40
5.81
5.80

6.56
6.58
7.32
8.02
7.82
7.74
8.03
8.67
8.75
7.99
8.13

7.25
7.25
8.02
8.61
8.40
8.45
8.76
9.42
9.52
8.86
8.99

6.66
6.71
7.62
8.10
7.89
7.83
7.90
8.36
8.84
8.09
8.07

8.38
8.36
8.85
9.33
9.32
9.42
9.67
10.18
10.52
10.01
10.11

1988: Jan
Feb

5.90
5.69

7.87
7.38

8.67
8.21

7.81
7.55

5.85
5.74
5.63
5.73
5.64
5.62

7.63
7.42
7.34
7.42
7.35

8.39
8.20
8.18
8.29
8.20

7.58
7.53
7.45
7.61
7.60

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

14.029
10.686

1986
1987
1987: Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

14.76
11.89
8.89

Discount rate
(N.Y. P.E.
Bank) 5

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80

Prime rate
charged by
banks 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(PHLBB) 6

7.69
6.33
5.66

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22

11.55
10.17
9.31

5.99
6.10
6.50
7.04
7.00
6.72
6.81
7.55
7.96
7.17
7.49

5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

7.50-7.50
7.50-7.50
7.75-7.75
8.00-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.75
8.75-9.00
9.00^8.75
8.75-8.75

9.23
9.14
9.21
9.37
9.45
9.41
9.38
9.37
9.25
9.30
9.15

9.88
9.40

6.92
6.58

6.00-6.00

8.75-8.75
8.75-8.50

9.13

9.64
9.46
9.42
9.41
9.33

6.78
6.61
6.49
6.64
6.60

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00^-6.00
6.00-6.00

6.00 6.00

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38

Week ended:

1988: Jan 30
Feb 6
13
20
27
Mar 5
1

Bank-discount basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.
2

30



6.00 6.00
6.00

8.75-8.75
8.75-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-

5

Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation,

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in February.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

240
220
200
180

240
220
200
180

160

160

TT

140

140

COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX
(NYSE)

120

120

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40
1980

1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1987

1986

1988

PERCENT

PERCENT

20

20

15

EAR MINGS-PRICE R ATIO ON COW MON STOCKS
(S&P)

\^

10

^

I 1 1

15

r-\x

1

1980

1
1981

^-

1

1

I !
1982

10
[

""

1

1

1

1983

^^

^
1

1

1

1

1

1

1985

1984

. ^_

1

1

I

1986

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE AND STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION

1

1

1

1987

Co mmon stock price s '
2

Period
Composite

Industrial

Finance

Utility

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31

89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39

160.23
166.43
163.88
163.00
169.58
174.28
184.18
178.39
157.13
137.21
134.88

189.17
198.95
199.03
198.78
206.61
214.12
226.49
219.52
189.86
163.42
162.19

135.49
138.55
137.91
141.30
150.39
157.48
164.02
158.58
140.95
117.57
115.85

1988: Jan
Feb

140.55
145.13

168.47
173.44

121.20
126.09

71.36
74.30
78.19
77.15
72.74
71.64
74.25
74.18
78.20
76.13
73.27
69.86
67.39
70.01
72.89

Week ended:
1988: Jan 30
Feb 6
13
20
27

141.67
142.43
143.01
145.95
148.25

168.56
168.90
170.28
175.09
178.23

121.94
121.91
122.60
127.58
131.08

72.41
73.21
72.97
72.46
72.81

1985
1986
1987
1987:

1
a
3
4
5

Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Get
Nov
Dec

72.61
60.41

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
Includes 500 stocks.
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings-




1

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (19414

Common st ock 5yields
(perce nt)
Dividendprice ratio

Earningsprice ratio

43 = 10)

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70

1981
1982
1983
1984

1
1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Nev ' York Stock Bx( hange indexes {I ec. 31, 1965-5O)

Transportation

1

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
268.83

158.41
162.41
150.52
145.97
152.73
152.25
160.94
154.08
137.35
118.30
111.47

2,202.34
2,292.61
2,302.64
2,291.11
2,384.02
2,481.72
2,655.01
2,570.80
2,224.59
1,931.86
1,910.07

280.93
292.47
289.32
289.12
301.38
310.09
329.36
318.66
280.16
245.01
240.96

119.40
124.36

1,947.35
1,980.65

250.48
258.13

5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.02
2.93
2.99
3.02
2.92
2.83
2.69
2.78
3.25
3.66
3.71
3.66
3.56

122.21
124.96
123.16
123.46
125.19

1,933.29
1,931.23
1,943.40
2,001.99
2,032.03

252.30
253.20
254.21
259.64
263.83

3.66
3.63
3.57
3.55
3.48

5.20

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09

5.18
4.75
r

4.92

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 4 months of fiscal 1988, there was a deficit of $65.8 billion compared with a deficit of $66.3 billion a
year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,100

,

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYSiV

1,100

1,000

1,000

OUTLAYS!/

900

900

800

800

700

700

RECEIPTS.!/

600

600

500

500

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)i/_

-100

-100

-200

-200
1980

1982

1981

1983

1986

1985

1984

1987

1989

1988

FISCAL YEARS
V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]

On-budget

Total
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Fiscal year or period

Receipts

Outlays

Transition quarter
1977
1978
1979

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

1985
1986
1987 r
1988 1
1989 1

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.2
964.7

946.3
990.3
1,004.6
1,055.9
1,094.2

Cumulative total, first 4
months: 2
Fiscal year 1987
Fiscal year 1988

271.8
286.7

338.1
352.5

1976

1
2

r




Receipts

Outlays

(-)

or deficit
(-)

Held by
the public

-53.6
59.2
-40.2

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5

70.5
-13.3
49.7
-54.9
-38.2

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0

-3.2
-1.4
-3.9
4.3
-2.0

631.9
646.4
709.1
780.4
833.8

480.3
498.3
551.8
610.9
644.6

-73.8
78.9
-127.9
207.8
185.3

403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

-72.7
-73.9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

-1.1
5.0
7.9
.2
.3

914.3
1,003.9
1,147.0
1,381.9
1,576.7

715.1
794.4
929.4
1,141.8
1,312.6

212.3
-221.2
150.4
-146.7
-129.5

547.9
568.9
640.7
669.3
706.2

-221.6
-237.9
-170.0
-183.5
-174.7

186.2
200.2
213.4
239.9
258.5

176.8
183.5
193.8
203.1
213.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
36.8
45.1

1,827.5
2,130.0
2,355.3
2,581.6
2,825.3

1,509.9
1,746.1
1,897.8
2,025.1
2,152.1

-66.3

205.7
214.9

-70.3
-73.5

66.1
71.7

62.1
64.1

4.0
7.7

2,225.8
2,456.3

1,819.1
1,966.7

-65.8

Estimates from Budget of the United Stales Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988.
Prom Monthly Treasury Statement for January 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly

32

Outlays

Surplus

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3

-73.7
-14.7

r

Receipts

Gross Fe leral debt
(end of period)

Off-budget
Surplus
or deficit

r

769.5
806.8
810.8
852.8
880.9

276.0
288.4

r

p

comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 4 months of fiscal 1988, receipts were $14.9 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $14.4
biiiion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

400

RECEIPTS-/

J

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

OTHER RECEIPTS

100
~

"""

|

|

]

400
~

•

200

800

^=

"

"

L--

300

0

______

INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES

•

~~]

"V CORPORATION If^ICOME TAXES |

|

100

|

0

-OUTLAYS V .

800
NONDEFENSE

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400
NATIONAL DEFENSE

300

300
200

200

100

100
1980

1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

FISCAL YEARS
_!/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]

On-biidjjet ; iid off-bu( got receip ts

Fiscal year
Total

Individual

Corporation

On-bud E;et and of -budget o itlays
Nations I defense

Social
insurance
Other

Total
Total

and

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3

131.6

157.6
181.0
217.8

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

517.1

244.1

599.3

285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

1985
1986
1987 '
1988 '
1989 '

734.1
769.1
854.1

Cumulative total, first 4 months: 2
Fiscal year 1987
Fiscal year 1988
1
2

617.8
600.6
666.5

909.2
964.7

271.8
286.7

41.4
54.9

60.0
65.7

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9

64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

157.8
182.7
201.5

265.2
283.9
303.3

412.4

61.3
63.1
83.9
105.6
117.7

135.3
138.0

21.4
24.9

334.5
349.0
392.6
393.4

209.0
239.4

331.5
354.6

90.9
97.5

34.3

36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5

590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3

851.8

946.3
73.0
73.1 r 990.3
74.3 1,004.6
78.7 1,055.9
80.1 1,094.2

24.2
26.3

Estimates from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988.
From Monthly Treasury Statement for January 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly
comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989.




InterHealth
affairs

Medicare

Income

Social

Net

ty

t.v

est

Other

military

hutions

1976
1977
1978
1979

Department of

338.1
352.5

r

93.0
114.7
119.6

23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

16.2
14.2
11.6
9.9
13.3

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
47.8

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
84.0

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.6
135.6

188.8
198.8
207.4
233.8

129.4
136.0
138.6
147.9
151.8

4.7
2.7

12.6
14.1

24.8
24.9

42.4
41.5

67.1
70.1

45.9
50.4

18.5
20.5

204.4
220.fl

12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

'245.1
265.5
274.0
277.3
285.5

134.0
157.5
185.3

r

90.6
96.3

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6

7.5
7.5

95.1
102.3

116.3

252.7
273.4
282.0
285.4
294.0

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1

15.7
17.3

87.9

r

r

209.9
227.4

26.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4

6.4
6.4

89.6
97.2
104.5

r

113.6

130.9
153.8
180.7

T

87.8
93.5

15.8
19.3
22.8

219.7

82.8

r

131.8
142.1
126.7
140.1
133.9

50.0
52.4

NOTE,—Data shown here exclude the transition quarter.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, Federal expenditures rose $44.3 billion (annual rate);
receipts data are incomplete.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

' 1,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1,000

1,000

EXPENDITURES
800

800

600

600

" RECEIPTS"

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)
-200

-200

I

I
1979

I

I

1983

1982

1981

1980

I

I

I

1985

1984

I I
1986

1987

CALENDAR YEARS
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal C overnment expenditure s

Federa Governme nt receipts

Period
Total

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Total

Purchases
of goods
and

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local

Net
interest
paid

ments
Fiscal year:
1984
1985
1986
1987
Calendar year:
1984
1985
1986
1987 T

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
I

n
in
IV

1986:

I

n
in
IV

1987:

I

n
m

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

or deficit
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

711.9
776.4
814.2
905.6

302.5
340.6
358.0
401.9

75.3
74.3
80.3
104.0

54.9
56.0
51.7
54.1

279.2
305.6
324.1
345.6

873.0
961.0
1,027.8
1,055.1

297.2
340.4
368.4
374.9

352.2
374.0
394.8
410.1

90.7
97.8
107.4
103.1

109.7
128.0
134.3
139.6

23.3
20.7
22.9
27.5

726.0
788.6
827.4
917.0
633.1

310.3
346.6
363.0
403.7
303.0
291.9
326.0
361.2
317.5
351.0
356.7
352.8
357.6
365.2
376.4

75.2

55.7

895.6
984.6
1,032.0
1,068.4

310.5
353.9
366.2
380.9

354.9
380.1
399.9
413.2

115.6

55.2
50.9
54.1

284.7
310.6
329.8
348.4

93.6

76.1
83.7
110.8
46.4
70.2
69.7
74.2
73.5
79.1
77.8
78.7
81.3
84.3
90.5

47.6
53.6
56.2
55.0
59.2
53.1
53.7
50.4
49.9
52.1
51.1

236.1
259.8
290.7
304.9
308.8
311.7
316.9
325.8
328.1
330.7
334.5

835.7

347.4
352.5

958.2
969.4
990.8
1,020.2
1,003.7
1,047.1
1,036.1
1,041.2

293.2
276.1
326.0
336.3
339.4
361.9
378.0
356.7
368.4
371.2
368.6

389.9
398.3
405.9
405.7

99.7
106.9
103.3
84.5
86.0
96.3
95.9
98.9
100.2
103.7
105.4
109.6
109.5
102.8

130.2
135.7
142.7
87.2
101.0
125.3
127.7
130.4
129.7
133.0
134.9
135.9
134.2
137.8

21.2
20.5
23.3
28.4
23.4
29.1
21.0
24.5
22.6
15.3
19.7
16.8
34.9
15.3
26.3

.2
2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.1
-1.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

53.3
54.2
53.9
54.9

341.5
345.2
350.3
356.7

1,049.8
1,062.1
1,058.8
1,103.1

366.9
379.6
382.1
395.1

406.7
412.0
413.4
420.6

102.2
106.0
103.5
101.3

139.5
139.8
142.9
148.4

34.3
24.8
17.2
37.2

.0
.0
.3
-.3

675.5
742.7
795.3
759.0
794.9
805.1
807.6
816.9
832.4
852.5
879.3
922.9
923.0

IV

381.5
415.6
404.3
413.5

103.0
107.9
114.5

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis,

34




844.7
930.2

362.1
373.9
377.0
383.7
385.8

0.1
— .1

.0

.1

national
income
and

product
accounts

-161.0
-184.5
-213.6
-149.5
-169.6
- 196.0
-204.7
— 151.4
-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
-162.9
-210.3
-195.8
-215.0
-196.1
-230.2
-203.7
-188.7
-170.5
-139.2
-135.8

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES

1980

r

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

'
'

Canada

Japan

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8

108.1

119.2

108.6
97.9
104.3
119.0
125.2
126.8

120.4
120.9
125.1
138.9
145.1
144.6

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June r
July '.
Aug r
Sepf
Oct r
Novr
Dec '

126.2
127.1
127.4
127.4
128.2
129.1
130.6
131.2
131.0
132.5
133.0
133.6

127.9
129.3
130.0
130.2
130.8
132.4
132.3
134.4
136.0
136.3
137.3

145.9

Jan?

133.8

r

'
'

r

»

1987:

1988:
1

United
States

(jonsumer prices (19f 2-84=100)

reduction 1977 = 1 '0; seasonal] ' adjusted

Industrial
Period

144.9

147.4
145.4
143.7
149.3
151.0
149.3
153.9
157.0
156.9

France

Germany

106
106
104
105
105
106
106

108.0

104
107
108
107
109
110
109
109
110
110
110

112.3
115.0
114.5
115.8
116.6
115.1
113.7
118.5
116.3
116.7
116.8
117.5

106.2
103.1
104.1
107.6
112.9
115.1

Italy

United
Kingdom

United
States 1

114.4
112.6

99.8
96.4
98.2
101.7
103.1
107.9
109.6
113.0

82.4

109.8
111.7
111.9
111.6
112.4
111.6
113.1
114.6
113.7
115.0
115.0
115.7

108.5
105.8
109.4
110.9
114.4
113.5
117.0
119.5
117.3
121.5
118.0
117.4
112.5
116.7
121.9
119.8

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0

72.2
81.9
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1

86.7
92.2
97.1

100.3
104.6
105.0

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.0
128.5
134.4

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.2
114.9
119.7

111.2
111.6
112.1
112.7
113.1
113.5
113.8
114.4
115.0
115.3
115.4
llfl.4

115.8
116.3
116.8
117.3
118.0
118.3
119.2
119.3
119.3
119.7
120.2
120.3

103.9
103.9
104.3
105.2
105.4
105.2
104.7
104.8
105.7
105.7
105.2
105.1

119.6
119.8
120.0
120.6
120.9
121.1
121.4
121.7
121.7
122.0
122.2
122.2

104.6
104.7
104.7
104.9
105.0
105.2
105.2
105.1
104.9
105.0
105.0
105.2

131.6
132.1
132.6
132.9
133.4
133.9
134.3
134.6
135.6
136.8
137.2
137.4

117.5
118.0
118.2
119.6
119.7
119.7
119.6
120.0
120.3
120.9
121.5
121.4

115.7

1205

105.5

138.1

121.4

102.7
104.9

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

Data relate to ail urban consumers.

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data not seasonally adjusted]
Merch andise ini ports

Mercht ndise exp orts '
Tola domestic and
foreign
Period

1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted2

Statistical
month

Total

3

F a.s. valu e
1
1
228.9
238.7
233.7
21 2.3
216.4
207.1
195.9
20 0.5
205.6
224.0 218.7
217.9 212.0
206.9
218.8 212.8
213.1
206.4
226.8 216.6 217.3
243.9
252.9 246.4

1986:
Dec
1987:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

Revised
statistical
month

mon W

Tol a l 3

Crude
materials
and
fuels

Manufactured
goods

Revised
statistical
month

33.2
27.0
27.0
27.3
22.2
20.2
22.8

33.0
33.5
29.6
31.5
28.3
26.5
29.1

154.3

26 1.0
24 4.0
25 i.O

139.7
132.4
143.1
145.4
148.7
171.5

405.9

366.1

1.9

2.4

12.6

29.9

16.2
18.7

21.1
20.1
20.4
20.5
20.1
20.0
21.0
21.0
23.3
23.9

11.0
13.2
15.0
14.2

27.5
32.3
33.2

19.8
20.0
20.3
20.3
19.5
20.2
21.0
23.0
23.9

1.6
1.6
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.8

2.1

18.7

14.5
14.5

33.3
35.3
35.8
34.3
33.6
37.7
35.5
35.4

16.4

18.4

21.1

2.1
2.0

2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2

2.2
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.3

2.5
2.4
2.5
2.8
3.1

13.9
13.7
14.8
14.4
16.2
16.1

32.0

1
Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments are excluded through
1984 and for revised statistical month data for 1985-86; they are included for statistical month data
for 1985-86 and for 1987.
2
Adjusted to include undocumented exports to Canada.
3
Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. For exports data
beginning 1987, these include undocumented exports to Canada.
4
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.




Statistical
month

Food,
beverages,
and
tobacco

Crude
materials
and
fuels

Total (c.i.f.
val ue)
Manufactured
goods

Revised
statistical
month

Statistical
month

Exports (f.a.s.) less
import (customs
v aiue)
Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted2

Revised
statistical
month

Exports ( .a.s.) less
imports (c i.f. value)
Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted2

Revised
statistical
month

Gusto tns value

17.8

18.5
16.8
19.4
21.8
20.5
20.8
21.1
21.0
20.2
21.0
21.8
23.8
24.8

Food,
beverages,
and
tobacco

Merchandise tr <lde balance

Ge neral imp orts 4 (sta :istical ir onth exc ept as nol ed)

Domi stic expor ts (statis ical

325.7
345.3
370.0

27.8

18.4
17.8
18.8
21.6
22.4
24.7
24.7

92.9

142.5
144.0
163.4
72.8 221.5
65.0 246.8
48.3 282.1
56.3 312.6
74.4
68.0

27 3.4
254.9

26 9.9
346.4 341.2
352.5 361.6
383.0 387.1
424.1

3.4

21.4

31.3

1.8

3.4

2.1
2.3
2.1
2.0
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.9

4.4
4.2
3.9
4.4
4.9

21.3
24.8
25.7
25.1
25.8
27.2
27.2
25.8
25.6
28.8

28.7
33.7
34.7
33.5
34.8
36.8
37.5
35.9
35.1
39.4
37.0
37.0

1.9

2.2
2.1
2.0

5.6
5.6
4.9
5.3
5.0
4.7

27.4
27.8

-22.3

-27.5
-52.4
-101.7
-126.5
- 139.3
-153.0

29.1

5
5

-27.3
-31.8
-57.6
-107.0
-132.5
- 149.4
- 159.5

--34.6
-38.4
-64.2

-122.4 -127.6

-133.6 -139.7
- 156.2 - 166.3
-171.2 -177.6

-12.7

-11.3
-10.7
-12.9
-11.4
-11.5
-12.5
-14.1
-14.8
-14.1
-12.6

-16.0
-11.7
-10.6

-11.0
-13.6
-12.1
-11.8
-12.9
— 14.7
-15.8
-14.3
-12.6
-16.8
-12.1
-11.6

-39.7
-42.6
-69.3

-11.9
-14.4
-12.9
-13.0
-14.0
-15.7
- 16.5
-15.7
-14.1
-17.6
-13.2
-12.2

-12.3
-15.1
-13.6
- 13.3
-14.4
- 16.3
-17.4
- 15.9
— 14.1
-18.4

-13.7
-13.1

5
Revised statistical month exports less statistical month customs value imports.
NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Statistical month and revised statistical month refer only to data for 1984-86. Data for 1987 are
roughly equivalent to revised statistical month data.
For mrther { n f ormat j oni see Bureau of the Census release FT900, April and August 1987.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL

TRANSACTIONS

In the fourth quarter of 1987, the merchandise trade deficit fell to $40.2 billion; the deficit for the year 1987 was
$159.2 billion. (Data revised.)
BILL) ONS OF DOLL/ *RS*

BILL

ONS OF DOLL,URS*

10

10

-x

5
N \/ f^

N*^

-5

5

/^^1

s

"-1
Av.-'Vt~- —----__ //
^•\

,

"^

BA LANCE ON
CURRE NT ACCOUNT
x
"~' s \
/

\\

J

\
^••^

\^-S

A\

-5

\\
\

.''

/

\

\\

\

'
\

\

\\

^ '

f
N
\
ME! CHANDISE TR/ J\
BALANCE

-15

\

_

\

BALANCE ON GOODS
ANDSERV ICES

=sX

V

-20

l\

\

\\
\

-25

-20

/

\\

.

\\

A

^,
^, •' *

^fl

**

-35

—

A\/\

A

\
.. N.
\*^ \
-^ \
\ '~
\
\

X.

v

30

\
\_

•---.

*' \

-35

->-'

40

i i i

!

1979
SEASONALLY ADJUS

1

1

1

1980

1

1

1981

1

!

1

1 1 1
1983

1982

:'\
-X.X

\s

I

! I
1984

-25

\

s;

-45

-15

!

1
1 1
.1985

1 1
1986

1 1 1

40
-45

1987

reo

>OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits { + ), debits ( —)]

Merchandise 1

Inv estment incom e 3

2

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

Period

Exports

184,473
224,269
237,085
1982
211,198
201,820
1983
219,900
1984
215,935
1985
224,361
1986
250,814
1987"
53,614
1984: I
n
54,590
55,691
m
IV
56,005
55,064
1985: I
54,040
II
53,367
m
53,464
TV
53,878
1986: I
II
56,928
56,534
HI
57,021
n
r
56,769
1987: I
r
59,875
n
r
65,110
in
TV ".... 69,060
1979
1980
1981

1
2
3

Imports

Net balance

Receipts

Payments

-212,009
-249,749

-27,536
-25,480
-27,978
— 36,444
-67,080
-112,522
-122,148
-144,339
-159,201
-25,801
-29,094
-28,453
-29,174
-24,882
-29,946
-31,206
-36,114
-34,978
-33,651
-37,115
-38,595
r
- 38,920
r
- 39,742
r
- 40,365
-40,174

64,132
72,506
86,411
83,549
77,251
85,910
88,299
88,209

-32,960
-42,120
-52,329

22,831
21,052
21,515
20,512
18,530
21,931
24,174
23,665
24,076
22,013
21,333
20,787
24,950
22,452
22,580

-265,063
-247,642
-268,900
-332,422
-338,083
-368,700
-410,015
-79,415
-83,684
— 84,144
-85,179
-79,946
-83,986
-84,573
-89,578
-88,856
-90,579
-93,649
-95,616
r
- 95,689
r
-99,617
r
- 105,475
-109,234

-54,883
-52,376
-67,419
-62,901
67,365

31,172
30,386
34,082
28,666
24,875
18,491
25,398
20,844

-1,778 -2,935
-997
-2,237
144
-1,183
-992
-274
-243 -4,227
-1,942 -8,604
-3,339 -10,866
-3,662 -9,903

- 15,435
-17,196
-17,978
- 16,809
-16,359
-16,670
-16,055
-13,818
-17,651
-17,426
-15,994
-16,295
-19,450
-20,875
-22,847

7,396
3,856
3,537
3,703
2,171
5,261
8,119
9,847
6,425
4,587
5,339
4,492
5,500
1,577
-267

-273
-615
-255
-798
-242
-782
-794
-1,519
-1,298
-1,054
-815
-495
-37
29
-443

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36



Net

-1,874
-2,039
-2,310
-2,381
-2,261
-2,849
-2,892
-2,862
-2,786
-2,278
-2,442
-2,397
-3,219
-2,779
-2,922

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

6,214
7,793
9,278
9,320

5,138
9,466
14,344
278

9,908 -36,766
9,741 -94,835
9,861 -101,093
11,368 -125,694
2,629
2,513
2,436
2,164
2,296
2,458
2,403
2,704
2,618
2,808
2,784
3,156
2,832
2,633
3,017

-17,923
-25,379
-25,045
-26,486
-22,918
-25,858
-24,370
-27,944
-30,019
-29,588
-32,249
-33,839
-33,681
-38,098
-40,447

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers 1

Balance
on current
account

-991
-6,128
1,873
-7,593
6,884
-7,460
-8,679
-8,956
-9,480 — 46,246
-12,178 -107,013
-15,301 -116,393
-15,658 -141,352

-2,362
-2,461
-3,112
-4,243
-3,296
-3,517
—4,169
-4,321
-3,021
-4,167
-4,334
-4,138
-3,103
-3,092
-2,931

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Note: Merchandise trade data revised; other data to be revised later.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

-20,285
-27,840
-28,157
-30,729
-26,214
-29,375
-28,539
-32,265
-33,040
-33,755
-36,583
-37,977
-36,784
-41,190
-43,378

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $21.2 billion in the third quarter of
1987 compared with an increase of $15.7 billion in the second quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners and
international financial institutions reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $48.9 billion in
the third quarter compared to an increase of $14.8 billion in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*
80

CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS
IN THE U.S..NET

60

60

40

40

20

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

-60

-60

1979

1987

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

U.S. assets abroad, net

Foreign assets in the 1 I.S., net
[increase /capita! inflov' ( + )]2

t ncrease/capitsd outflow ( — )
Period

Total

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1984: I

n
in
rv

1985:

I

n
m

IV
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
ni"

-64,331
-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
— 22,291
-31,399
-95,982
-3,602
- 19,395
17,421
-16,712
-1,745
-1,551
-6,936
-21,167
-13,770
-25,529
-24,478
-32,204
15,533
-14,895
— 29,203

U.S.
official
reserve
assets l 2

-1,133
-8,155
-5,175
4,965
-1,196
3,131
-3,858
312
-657
566
-799
-1,110
-233
-356
-121
-3,148
-115
16
280
132
1,956
3,419
32

Other U.S.
Government
assets

U.S.
private
assets

59,453
3,746
-5,162 -72,802
-5,097 - 100,679
-6,131 -110,058
-5,006 -43,576
-5,476 -13,685
-2,831 -24,711
-1,920 -94,374
-916
2,029
-1,340 -17,490
19,608
1,388
-14,886
-717
-730
-782
-128
-1,067
-6,380
435
-547
-17,473
-240
13,415
-25,303
-242
-1,454 -23,304
15 -32,351
13,352
225
-18,137
-177
29,467
232

Total

38,752
58,112
83,032

93,746
84,869
102,467
129,872
213,386
22,120
41,862
2,392
36,094
16,423
25,202
35,020
53,227
36,322
49,042
69,591
58,431
26,754
49,564
68,009

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Foreign
official
assets

-13,665
15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
2,987
-1,140
34,698
-2,953
-149
-963
7,052
11,060
8,606
2,426
-1,111
2,576
15,568
15,551
1,003
13,953
10,070
359

Other
foreign
assets
52,416
42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,012
178,689
25,073
42,011
3,355
29,042
27,484
16,596
32,594
54,338
33,746
33,475
54,040
57,428
12,802
39,494
67,650

Statistical d iscrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

1,139
1,152
1,093

25,431
24,982
19,942

36,085
11,154
26,837
17,920
23,947
1,767
5,373
8,344
11,347
11,535
5,724
455
205
10,488
10,241
-8,530
11,750
-5,504
6,521
4,572

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

1,417
1,381
-3,851
3,809
1,725

1,712
-3,781
3,766
2,294
-2,044
-4,153
3,904
2,652
-2,009
-5,177

U S official
assets, net l
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

18,956
26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,517
34,975
34,547
34,306
34,934
35,493
36,088
38,295
43,186
44,919
46,595
48,087
48,517
48,824
45,140
45,070

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

pag^

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Consumer Installment Credit
Bank Loans and Securities, and Reserves
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

,

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
r
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.50 (single copy) ($3.13 foreign).
Subscription price: $27.00 per year; $33.75 for foreign mailing.
38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1988

0—82-679