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101st Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
DECEMBER 1989
(Includes data available as of December 28, 1989)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1989

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res, 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the third quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 6.2
percent (annual rate) or $79.3 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 3.0 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 3.2 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

5,600

5,600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

—

5,200
4,800

4,400

5,200

^i

r
-

^^

_

4,800
—

GNP
1 vl CURRENT DOLLA R S ^ - ^

4,400
^

~~

_--

4,000

4,000
"

3,600

- ^/~-^
.^-~
111

,''*'

—

3,600

GNP
lr>1 1982 DOLLARS

3,200

2,800

2,400

1

1981

1

1

1

1

1

1983

1982

1

1

1984

—

3,200
—

2,800

1

1

1985

1

1

\

1986

\ \
1987

1

1

1988

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

2,400

1

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

1

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
tures

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
198219831984198519861987:

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases -1

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1988- I

n
UI
IV

1989- I

n r
m

1

Gross
private
domestic
investment

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
-58.9
78 0
-97.4
-112.6
-73.7

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
561.2
621.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.8
83.3

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
544.5
587.6

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,636.8
4,954.3

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3
4,665.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8
749.7

14.1
— 25.8
-67.9
-103.2
- 108.9
— 114.6

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4
482.6

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3
597.2

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9
947.5

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
388.1

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7
296.8

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1
91.3

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1
559.4

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4
4,602.5

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2
4,780.4

4,739.8
4,838.5
4,926.9
5,017.3

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

-82.8
74 9
-66.2
70 8

521.6
532.5
556.8
579.7

604.3
607.5
623.0
650.5

945.7
960.1
958.6
1,011.4

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

297.4
298.0
296.1
300.5

76.7
79.1
71.4
105.9

571.6
583.0
591.0
604.9

4,709.8
4,809.2
4,882.3
4,998.7

4,822.5
4,913.4
4,993.1
5,088.1

5,113.1
5,201.7
5,281.0

3,381.4
3,444.1
3,508.1

769.6
775.0
779.1

-54.0
-50.6
-45.1

605.6
626.1
628.5

659.6
676.6
673.6

1,016.0
1,033.2
1,038.9

399.0
406.0
402.7

298.7
301.3
307.8

100.4
104.7
94.9

617.0
627.2
636.2

5,085.4
5,174.3
5,253.6

5,167.1
5,252.3
5,326.1

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Exports and imports of
goods and services

Gross private
domestic investment
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

Change
in
business
inventories

Government purchases of
goods and services
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gioss
domestic
purchases 1

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1

-6.9
57.0
49.4
23.9
26.3
-24.5
-6.4
-19.9
840
62.3
9.1 -104.3
5.6 -129.7
23.7 -115.7
27.9
-74.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.-8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.2
261.5

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.4
67.4

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6
3,935.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8
2,532.3

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7
472.7

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3
191.9

-59.3
11.7
27.0 -46.2
41.7
-94.8
7.7 -125.3
-20.8 -135.4
56.6 -109.8

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5
484.1

324.3
401.6
471.4
492.6
541.9
593.9

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0
792.1

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4
344.9

201.4
211.6
225.3
241 .4
255.8
266.7

88.2
54.4
75.2
99.2
86.6
78.2

370.6
376.2
392.7
412.1
433.6
447.2

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4
3,879.0

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0
4,045.5

n
in

19821983:
19841985:
19861987:

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4

3,974.8
4,010.7
4,162.9
4,069.4

2,570.8
2,586.8
2,690.1
2,627.7

483.6
497.8
417.9
492.7

189.1
194.2
184.8
198.1

34.3
21.5
21.9
18.3

-78.2
-72.6
57 1
-73.8

517.4
519.7
593.1
551 .4

595.6
592.3
650.2
625.2

775.1
783.0
805.3
806.4

323.8
327.9
336.1
343.9

263.0
262.5
260.1
261.6

60.8
65.4
76.0
82.3

451.3
455.1
469.2
462.5

3,940.5
3,989.2
4,141.0
4,051.0

4,052.9
4,083.3
4,220.0
4,143.2

n....
mr

4,106.8
4,132.5
4,162.9

2,641.0
2,653.7
2,690.1

501.0
511.4
517.9

195.8
189.3
184.8

24.5
19.1
21.9

-55.0
-51.2
-57.1

569.7
587.5
593.1

624.6
638.7
650.2

799.7
810.3
805.3

335.5
343.6
336.1

254.4
255.8
260.1

81.1
87.8
76.0

464.2
466.7
469.2

4,082.3
4,113.5
4,141.0

4,161.8
4,183.7
4,220.0

IV
FV
IV
IV
IV.
IV

1988- I

1989:

1

IV
I

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

Gross
national
product

Total

Gross private
domestic investment

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984 .
1985
1986 ....
1987
1988

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
110.1

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
128.8

1982:
19831984:
19851986:
1987-

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1
118.6

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8
121.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2
109.0

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8
113.7

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9
131.5

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0
97.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4
118.7

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0
99.7

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4
100.6

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7
112.5

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7
111.3

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7
116.8

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0
125.1

n....
m

119.2
120.6
121.9
123.3

122.5
123.9
125.1
126.5

109.3
109.6
110.2
111.2

114.0
115.9
117.1
118.2

132.7
134.2
135.6
137.3

97.7
97.8
98.4
100.6

119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4

100.8
102.5
104.7
105.1

101.5
102.6
102.7
104.0

115.5
115.0
114.9
118.2

113.1
113.5
114.4
114.9

126.2
121.0
117.1
128.7

126.7
128.1
129.6
130.8

n r
ni

124.5
125.9
126.9

128.0
129.8
130.4

111.2
110.8
111.4

120.0
123.3
122.9

139.0
140.4
141.8

100.4
100.2
100.3

122.1
124.2
125.6

106.3
106.6
106.0

105.6
105.9
103.6

118.9
118.2
119.8

117.4
117.8
118.3

123.8
119.2
125.0

132.9
134.4
135.6

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV.

1988: I

IV
1989- I

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Persona! consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:
1988:

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
9.0
6.5
8.6
7.5
7.5
7.9
7.1
6.2

...

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
I
II

m
rv
1989: I
II

m *

-0.2

1.9
— 2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
6.6
4.0
3.7
3.2
2.7
3.7
2.5
3.0

Implicit
price
deflator

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.3
3.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
4.9

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.4
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.6
3.2

6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
3.8
4.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.0
2.9

NOTE. — Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Implicit
price
deflator

-0.2
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4
5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
2.2
7
6.2
2.5
3.3
3.0
2.0
1.9
5.6

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
3.6
8.7
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.1
7.6
7.6

9.3
9.3

2.8

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

10.9
9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.1
4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9
4.3
2.6
5.0
4.3
4.8
4.7
5.8
2.1

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9
4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9
4.4
2.3
4.7
3.9
4.6
4.8
5.7
1.9

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3
4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9
4.5
2.6
5.1
4.6
4.9
4.8
6.3
2.2

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) 1

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capita!
consumption adjustments

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Indirect
business
taxes 3

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax 4

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

Current
dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985 ..
1986
1987 ....
1988
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: IV
1986: IV
1987: IV
1988: I
II

m
IV

1989: I
11

III '
1

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,520.7
2,731.3
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
2,309.4
2.408.7
2^598.4
2,648.1
2,705.9
2,754.9
2,816.4

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,282.6
2,419.5
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,343.3
2,381.8
2,408.9
2,434.1
2,453.2

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.109
1.112
1.123
1.132
1.148

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123
.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.122
.122
.122
.122
.124

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.106
.106
.107
.108
.108

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.734
.732
.740
.746
.756

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.050
.050
.051
.053
.055

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096
.098
.102
.103
.102
.105

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.041
.041
.044
.044
.045

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.057
.060
.059
.058
.061

18.524
18.643
18.704
19.217
19.682
19.996
20.456
20.908
21.393
18.770
19.423
19.784
20.116
20.650
21.176
21.382
21.401
21.469
21.446

10.769
11.777
12.635
13.039
13.528
14.069
14.746
15.252
15.907
12.865
13.209
13.735
14.341
15.008
15.535
15.645
15.833
16.024
16.213

2,842.7
2,887.2
2,936.2

2,459.1
2,471.3
2,497.2

1.156
1.168
1.176

.125
.126
.129

.110
.111
.112

.768
.778
.783

.057
.060
.061

.096
.093
.091

.045
.041
.038

.051
.053
.053

21.356
21.364
21.516

16.407
16.625
16.842

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancia) corporate business in 1982 del-

lara.
2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




a
4

Total

Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies,
With inventory valuation and capita! consumption adjustments.

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Nonfarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,473.1
3,799.9

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,778.7

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
48.4

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
280.3

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
14.3

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
308.2

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
276.2

— 10.4
— 10.9
-5.8
— 1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-20.4

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
52.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
370.0

1988: I

3,853.6
3,933.6
4,005.7
4,097.4

2.819.4
2,878.9
2,935.1
2,997.2

44.0
45.4
37.7
32.0

279.9
286.5
289.3
296.3

15.6
14.6
16.3
16.1

318.1
325.3
330.9
340.2

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

49.9
48.9
46.9
41.5

376.6
383.0
396.4
415.7

1989- I

4.185.2
4,249.6
4,287.3

3,061.7
3,118.2
3,171.9

59.0
51.3
36.1

300.3
304.2
307.2

11.8
9.8
5.4

316.3
307.8
295.2

279.7
275.5
268.7

318.0
296.0
275.0

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3

36.6
32.3
26.5

436.1
458.4
471.5

1982
1983
1984...
1985
1986..
1987
1988..
1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IT
1985: IV
1986: IV
1987: IV

. . . .

n
m
rv
n r
m

1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Other

Services

Retail sales of
new passenger
cars (millions of
units)

Domestics

Imports

IV
IV
IT
IV
IV
IV

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,083.3

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
424.5

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
196.3

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
76.7

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,015.4

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
536.8

124,4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
!68.7
180.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.7

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
221.3

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,643.3

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
6.6

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.3

1988- I
11
Ill
IV

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

446.4
454.6
452.5
467.4

210.3
212.5
208.4
215.3

156.9
162.2
162.7
166.1

79.2
79.9
81.4
86.0

1,022.2
1,042.4
1,066.2
1,078.4

542.5
554.5
567.8
574.1

180.8
183.6
188.9
193.9

74.3
76.9
78.3
77.6

224.5
227.5
231.2
232.8

1,679.5
1,707.9
1,744.7
1,778.2

7.7
7.5
7.4
7.5

3.2
3.2
3.0
3.0

1989- I

3,381.4
3,444.1
3,508.1

466.4
471.0
486.1

211.7
212.9
225.6

172.1
173.5
173.9

82.6
84.6
86.7

1,098.3
1,121.5
1,131.4

587.3
592.2
598.1

195.0
198.9
202.2

77.9
89.5
85.2

238.1
241.0
245.9

1,816.7
1,851.7
1,890.6

7.0
7.3
7.9

2.8
3.0
2.9

1982.
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
19841985:
1986:
1987-

n
ni '

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis




SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $37.8 billion (annual rate) in November following an increase of $36.1

billion in October.

The increases were affected by several special factors: The Loma Prieta earthquake in October, Hurricane Hugo in
September, as well as a large increase in subsidy payments to farm proprietors and bonus payments to employees
in the motor vehicle industry in October. Excluding the impact of the special factors, personal income rose about
$24 billion in November, and about $28 billion in October.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOILARS*(RATIO SCALE)

o.uuu
^

4,000
p——

'

4,000

—

r—"^

r-r~"

1

3,000
_

3,000

TOTA L PERSONAL lt>4COME

_-

___-----

—

.------•

2,000

2,000
WAGE AS D SALARY DISf1URSEMENTS

._----'"

1,400

1,400

.---"
.-_

(DTHER INCOME

800

800

.

•
^

400

/

,_

.

_

-

TRANSFER
^
PAYMENTS

""

""

IIIIlllllll

IIIIlllllll

IIIIlllllll

1981

1982

1983

400

imilimi IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll IIIIlllllll
1985
1987
1984
1986

SEASONALLY ADJUS TED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE; DEPARTME •JT OF COMMERCE

iiiiiiiini

IIIIlllllll

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF t CONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981

Proprietors ' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

2 2584
2 5209
26708
2 838 6
3 108 7
3 325 3
35262
3 777 6
4 064.5

June
July r

Aug r

r

Oct r
NovP
1

20948
2 2494
24290

1384
150 3
163 6
173 6
1829
187 6
199 3
212 8
228.9

4 1689
42063

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May

Sept

personal
income

Wage and
salary
disbursements '

2 501 6
2 5167

236 5
238.2

4 273 1
4 3195
4 360 7
4387 1
4 396 3
4417.5
4443 7
4,456.9
4467 1
4 503 2
4541 0

2 5454
2'557 3

239 7
241 3
242 9
244.4
246 0
247.5
249 1
250.7
2522
253 8
255.3

1 372 0

1 510 3
1 586 1
1 676 6
1 838 6
1 975 4

2 579 4
2 601 3
2 603 5
2 621 7
2 644 7
2 651.0
26684

2 697 8
2 6995

Farm

205
30 7
24 6
12 4
305
30 2
347

160 1
156 1
1509
1784
2040

225 6
247 2

41 6
39.8

2700
2880

19 5
29 4
480
659
63 0
564
54 3
43.2
38 8
36.5
329
400
403

295 7
297 4
299 6

The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contrihutions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
4
With capital consumption adjustment.




Nonfarm

3006

300 8
3046

303 5
3046

306 3

Less:
income of
persons *

66
13 3
13 6
13 2
85
92
11 6
13 4
15 7
16 1
160
13 8
11 8
99
98
98
97
93
84

308.0
3074

—16

306 5
313 6

15
10 2

dividend
income

52.9
61 3

63.9
68 7
75.5
78 7
85.8
920

102.2
1065
106.9
1084
109.4
1103
111.0
111 4
111.8
112 8
113.3
1136
114 8
115.8

interest
income

271.9
335 4
369.7

393 1
444.7
4780
493.2
5232

payments 5

324.7

368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.8

contributions
for social
insurance

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
149.3

571.1

548.2
584.7

5986
606.4

593.5
595.6

161.9
172.9
194.9
199.1
200.1

6165

610.7
614.2

209.0
209.8

624.2
623.9
625.5
630.9
632.6
636.4
640.2
643.5
650.4

211.3
212.6
212.7
213.8
214.8
215.2
216.3
218.1
218.2

628.9

641 5
648.4

655 2
661.8
6650
667.9
670.4

672 4
674.0

521.5

5

personal
income 6

2,215.8
2,465.6
2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,271.3
3,469.4
3,714.7
4,003.7
4,128.4
4,155.9
4,204.0
4,232.4
4,276.5
4,309.4
4,320.5
4,352.6
4,383.1
4,398.6
4,432.4
4,441 3
4,478.8

Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
6
Persona! income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the third quarter of 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

6,000

6,000
1989
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE. DtPARTMENT OH COMMERCE

Period

Personal
income

Less:
Personal
nontax
payments

p

t

Disposable
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays '

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in
1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

Billions of dollars

1980
1981
1982
1983..
1984
1985... .
1986
1987.
1988

2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.7
586.6

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars

1,918.0

1,781.1

2J27.6
2,261.4
2428.1
2 ',668. 6
2,838.7

1,968.1
2,107.5
2,297.4
o',504.5
2,713.3
2J888.5
3,104.1
3^333.1

3,205.9
3^77.8

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
101.8
144.7

2 214.3
2,248.6
2,261.5
2 331.9
2,469.8
2,542.8
2,635.3
2 676.6
2J793.2

8,421
9,243
9 724
10,340
11,257
11 861
12,469
13 140

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

9 722
9 769
9 724
9 930
10 419
10 625
10,905
10 970
11^337

7,607
8,320
8 818
9,515
10,253
10,985
11,576
12 340
13,131

8 818
9 139
9,489
9 839
10 123
10 303
10^546

.5
5
21
4.9
20
2.6
.6
3.3

7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
3.2
4.2

227,754
230,182
232,549
234,829
237 ',051
239,322
241^660
243,985
246^378

8 783
§'794

7.1

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV... .
IV

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8
3,908.7

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4
589.2

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4
3,319.4

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4
3,177.6

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0
141.8

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2
2,726.2

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629
13,552

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909
11,130

9,068
9,825
10,479
1 1 ,240
11,825
12,588

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214
10,339

12
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3
6.6

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3
4.3

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579
244,936

1988:

I
II
III....
IV

3,948.5
4,026.6
4,097.6
4,185.2

572.2
590.7
585.9
597.8

3,376.4
3,435.9
3,511.7
3,587.4

3.244.4
3,301.9
3,362.1
3,424.0

131.9
134.0
149.6
163.4

2,757.2
2,773.3
2,806.4
2,835.9

13,754
13,966
14,235
14,504

11,232
11,273
11,377
1 1 ,466

12.824
13,028
13,229
13,439

10,473
10,515
10,573
10,624

3.7
1.5
3.7
3.2

3.9
3.9
4.3
4.6

245,476
246,008
246,685
247,343

1989:

I
11
ILT...

4,317.8
4,400.3
4,455.9

628.3
652.6
649.1

3,689.5
3,747.7
3,806.8

3,483.8
3,547.0
3,611.7

205.7
200.7
195.1

2,881.7
2,887.6
2,919.2

14,884
15,084
15,280

11,625
11,622
11,717

13,641
13,862
14,081

10,654
10,681
10,797

5.7
— .1
33

5.6
5.4
5.1

247,890
248,456
249,143




•s to business, and person-

Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the second quarter of

1989, according to revised estimates, gross farm income fell $4.9

net farm income fell $6.4

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

240
200

^—•

160

billion (annual rate) and

billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

s

1i—-^

X

•

1

!

24
20

~~

1

I6(

—
120

12

OR 5SS FARM INC OMt

80

SO

60

1

1\

4

40

1
<. 1
\l

f

1 "••»- "\

\

*"Y

A

\ 1

20

-

\

/

s

'""•x

/

-"\

^"'

^^

*^

**

20

Nb T FARM INCOAAt

\
I

.

1

I

H

1

'. i\;
I

10

'

M

1

1

10

\t

I/

1

1 1
1981

i

i i

1

1

1983

1982

I

1

1

1

1 1
1985

1984

1
1986

1

1

1

1

1

1

1987

1

1

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

1

1

?989

T988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from farming
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total >
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1987: I

n
m
IV

1988: I

n.
m

IV
1989: I r .
r

n

149.3
166,4
163.5
' 152.9
r
175.0
r
166.3
r
160.3
r

!71.7

177.6
r

139.7
141.7
142.6
r
136.5
r
142.5
144.1
135.5
139.5
151.5

Livestock and
products

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.3
64.0
63.8
72.6
58.6
67.4
66.9
62.2
62.6
73.5
82.1
71.9
71.4
79.7

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
75.7
78.9

170.4
172.4
r
167.8
r
175.9
174.7
182.0
175.0
178.6

131.3
143.8
144.8
138.1
144.4
148.8
160.4
152.2

72.8
76.4
77.8
75.8
81.8
75.3
78.3
80.3

199.0
194.1

155.7
161.1

84.3
81.4

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

3

Production
expenses

Value of
inventory
changes 2

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
10 9

6.3
-2.4
-2.7
-.4
-4.3
J

.3
-.2
17
— 4.0
-4.4
-4.7
41
6.7
5.5

Current
dollars

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.4
r
128.0
r
135.0
r
r

120.4
128.7

r

!31.3
!31.7

1982 dollars 3

r

27.0

23.5
!2.5

r
r

32.3

32.3
r

37.9
43.5
r
42.6
r

r

50.0
r
43.7
r
36.3

r

r

T

r

130.2
* 133.7
' 138.2
r
137.8
138.9
140.4

44.1

44.5
r
48.3
r
36.8
r
40.8

60.1
53.7

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8

!6.2

r

r

28.7

23.5
!2.0
29.9
29.1
33.4
r
37.1

r

r

35.2

r

43.1

r

37.3
30.9
r
37.2

r

r
r
r

37.4
40.0
30.2

r

33.1
48.2
42.6

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the third quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $21.0 billion (annual
rate) and after-tax profits fell $8.7 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

360

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

320

/^

\

280

\

A/

\

^

PROFITS BEFORE TAX

^y^

/"

\

s

s

s~

^ S

'

x^

*N.

*.-'"'

N.
N

160

•X^

s

-"•s.

_/

-'" ,^~^~..

V_>^

"X s

^-

v

••/"'"""

\
I

200

PR
OFITS AFTER If X.

s—' '"~\
'""~\__

-Vr_.

240

h-"/

s

\

/

^

J

\

X__-_\

\

120

"•'.'-

. ^ "
-

80

TAX LIABILITY
**\

\ ,
\

X

"~'\

40

\.

UNDISTI IBUTED PROFHk---"

i

i i

1

1

1

1982

1981

1 1 1
1983

1

1 1
1984

1

1

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

1

1

1 1 1

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

1 1 1

1988

1

1987

1989

COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits {before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment 1

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Period

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1988- I
II

ni
IV

1989- I

n r
rn

1
2

Total

Financial

Total 3

Manufacturing

Tax
liability

Wholesale and
retail
trade

Total

Dividends

uted
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
198219831984198519861987-

Profits
before tax

Nonfinancial
Total 2

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
208.7
238.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1

237.1
226.5
169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
17
6.7
-18.9
-25.0

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
255.8

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4
211.8

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6
29.9

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8
181.9

46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
84.5

33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
41.2

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
276.2

59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
127.3

104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
148.9

68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
102.8

35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
46.1

-13.4
-8.1
16
-6.6
-8.0
-20.4

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

225.7
235.8
239.0
252.2

27.7
29.7
31.6
30.1

198.0
206.1
207.3
222.1

94.6
98.2
95.1
105.5

42.2
37.3
39.2
41.8

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

129.0
138.4
141.2
143.2

159.9
166.9
173.2
175.6

105.7
108.6
112.2
115.2

54.2
58.3
61.1
60.4

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

279.7
275.5
268.7

233.1
231.8
223.0

29.3
28.6
17.8

203.9
203.2
205.2

96.5
90.3
86.6

34.1
36.9
41.9

318.0
296.0
275.0

144.4
134.9
122.6

173.6
161.1
152.4

118.5
120.9
123.3

55.1
40.2
29.1

-38.3
-20.5
-6.3

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption £
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3

Includes industries not shown separately.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to revised estimates for the third quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment rose $7.1 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $3.0 billion. There was a $27.4 billion increase in inventories, the same
as the increase in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

900

900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

800

—
700

500

400

300

200

100

-100

700

" " '
" "

—
600

-

--~
/**.
/ ^^\

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT

•^\
—
--'
—
"-"-—._
—
111
1981

7

y

—

" ~ 1
" ~

600

^^

(

—

NONR ESIDENTIAL

500
^

/

-~~

—

^--""

400

*• — * . _ _ _

—

RESIDENTIAL

^

300

FIX ED INVESTMEN T

_
'

200
•-"

—

MGE IN BUSINE
NVENTORIES

V

"

--v

100

.
^^

—

/

/

1

1

1

1

1

1

1 1 1
1984

1983

1982

1

1

1

1985

1

1

1

1986

1

1

1

1987

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1

1

1

1988

1

1

1

-100

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change i i business

1
^ixed investmen t

Gross
private
domestic
investment

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 . .
1988
19821983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:

TV
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

437 0
515 5
447 3

.

. .

1988- I
II

ni
IT

1989- I

n r
rn

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




502 3
664 8
643 1
659 4
699 9
750 3
•409 6
579 8
661 8
654 1
648 8
749 7
728 8
748 4
771 1
752 8
769 6
775 0
779 1

Total
Total

445 3
491 5
471 8
509 4
597 t
631 8
652 5
6706
719 6
469 5
548 8
616 8
6468
6609
6863

322 8
369 2
366 7
356 9
4160
442 9
435 2
444 3
487 2
354 9
383 9
435 0
451 3
435 8
458 6

698 7
719 1
726 5
734 1
742 0
747 6
751 7

472 7
487 1
493 2
495 8
503 1
512 5
519 6

Structures

113 9
138 5
143 3
1240
141 1
153 2

1390
133 8
140 3
137 6
127 4
146 6
1559
133 7
1389
137 1
1399
142 0
142 5
144 7
142 4
146 2

Producers'
durable
equipment
2089
230 7
223 4
232 8
2749
289 7
296 2
310 5
346 8
217 3
2565
2884
295 5
302 2
319 7

335 6
347 2
351 3
353 3
358 5
370 1
373 4

Residential

122 5
122 3
105 1
152 5
181 1
188 8
217.3
2264
232.4
114 7
164 9
181 8
1955
225 1
227 7
226 1
232 1
233 2
2384
238 8
235 1
232 1

Nonfarm

Total

306

— 2.4
18 3
— 23.1
4
60.5
14 6
8.6
305
34.2

59 9
31 0
45 0
72
12 2
63 3

51 1
21.3
41 3
23.7
80
61.3

300
293
187

24 2
30.4
41 5
40.8

27 7
27 4
27 4

19 1
23.6
19 8

83

24 0
-24 5
71
67 7
11 3
69

29 3

44 6

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department October-November survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 6.4 percent in 1990, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1989.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

600

600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

500

500

—
400

r^

^

300

^
^•^.

i

-^

r^^\

~~*—

1
,LL INDUSTRIE!

r----'
^

__

200

,_-'

A lANUFACTURII IG

^

100

i

I I
1982

\

1

\ \
1983

1

1

i

1

1

1985

1984

\

1

1 1
1986

400

—
300

.— *

—

"

NMANUFACT

—

r""^

—

200

—

100

, i i-*

1 1
1987

1988

1989

_!/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
2J SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1990

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Industries surveyed quarterly
Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

Durable
goods

Addenda

Nonmanufacturing

Nondurable
goods

Total '

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
business 2

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
430.76
475.18
505.49

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
183.16
190.16

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.30
83.05
83.22

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
88.01
100.11
106.94

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
292.02
315.33

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.66
12.50
12.01

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.34
25.24
26.41

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.67
50.06
50.14

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.76
204.22
226.78

413.34
427.54
435.61
442.11

157.97
162.62
168.76
173.32

75.28
77.38
79.15
80.56

82.69
85.24
89.62
92.76

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

12.61
13.15
12.53
12.38

20.35
20.95
22.02
22.04

45.05
45.60
46.69
48.73

177.37
185.21
185.61
185.65

157.97
162.62
168.76
173.32

255.37
264.92
266.85
268.79

n r
m

459.47
470.86
484.93
485.45

175.22
181.53
187.66
188.21

81.26
82.97
85.66
82.30

93.96
98.57
102.00
105.90

284.24
289.33
297.28
297.25

12.15
12.70
12.59
12.58

23.13
24.26
28.53
25.04

50.81
52.01
49.57
47.86

198.15
200.36
206.59
211.76

175.22
181.53
187.66
188.21

284.24
289.33
297.28
29" -

1990- I 44

503.46
518.27

193.76
198.70

86.84
88.43

106.92
110.27

309.70
319.57

12.23
12.83

26.61
27.56

51.89
53.11

218.97
226.07

193.76
198.70

309.70
319.57

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 4
1989
1990 4
1988- I

n
TTT

IV

1989- I

IV <

n

1
Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly- See last column ("nomnanufacturing surveyed annually"} for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.

10



314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
483.48

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
166.32
183.16
190.16

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
317.17

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
264.44
292.02
315.33

Surveyed
annual1V3

31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In November, civilian employment rose 241,000 and unemployment rose 168,000.
MILL: ONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS Of PERSONS*

126

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

122
118

r

CIVILIAN LABOR FORC E ^ x—'

—

126

^ —'

'

122

..... _------"

158

114
110
106

114

;>^/~r^^r^~^

^

_

— -•—.

98

12

^

8

\\\\\\\\\\\

~

102

.._.*"

98

^^ ^
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .,i,,i..,,.
1982

1981

110
106

^
1

1983

..

1

-^

JNEMPLOYMEr-IT
niiiliiii. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Minium

1 \ \ \ \ 11 \ \ \ \

M l . .1.1,1.

1988

1987

1986

1985

8
4

\ \ \ \ \ \ I 11 1 1

1984

12

>»^—.—•

I

4
0

—

^ — '"

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

f

f^

102

„-•'"'

^'

0

1989

*16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNOi OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986*
1987
1988
1988:
Nov
Dec
1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov

Noninstitutionai
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Kesident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241

186,949
187,098
187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854
187,995
188,149
188,286
188,428
188,580
188,721

including
resident
Armed
Forces

117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677

1,705
1,696

124,215
124,259

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673
1,666
1,666
1,688
1,702
1,709
1,704

125,124
124,865
124,948
125,343
125,283
125,768
125,622
125,706
125,742
125,814
126,219

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550

Agricultural

Total

99,303
100,397

3,364
3,368

113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669

99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968

3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169

117,652
117,705

122,510
122,563

115,947
116,009

118,407
118,537
118,820
118,797
118,888
119,207
119,125
119,285
119,158
119,254
119,490

123,428
123,181
123,264
123,659
123,610
124,102
123,956
124,018
124,040
124,105
124,515

116,711
116,853
117,136
117,113
117,215
117,541
117,459
117,597
117,456
117,545
117,786

3,300
3,223
3,206
3,104
3,112
3,096
3,219
3,307
3,257
3,217
3,141

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find ftiJltime work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unemployment

Civilian employment

Employment

Total

95,938
97,030
96,125

Part time
for
economic
reasons 1

4,064
4,499
5,852
5,997

Total

7,637
8,273

5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965

10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

3,238 112,709
3,193 112,816

4,819
5,033

6,563
6,554

113,411
113,630
113,930
114,009
114,102
114,445
114,240
114,290
114,199
114,327
114,644

4,837
4,697
4,709
4,930
4,609
4,801
4,505
4,553
4,612
4,466
4,556

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561
6,497
6,421
6,584
6,561
6,729

97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800

15
weeks
and
over

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) 2

65.3
65.6
65.9

59.2
59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3

1,502
1,495

66.1
66.1

62.6
62.6

1,512
1,304
1,310
1,426
1,313
1,258
1,472
1,305
1,370
1,374
1,445

66.5
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4
66.6
66.5
66.5
66.4
66.4
66.6

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.1
63.0
63.0
62.9
62.9
63.0

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737

2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8

"Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable witb earlier data because of change in
istimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In November, both the overall unemployment rate and the civilian unemployment rate rose slightly, to 5.3 percent
and 5.4 percent, respectively.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

10

1985
'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9

By sex and age
All
civilian
workers

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

Both
sexes
16-19
years

8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8

6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3

5.9
6.3

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1

By selected groups

By race

White

Black
and
other

Black

Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

14.3
15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

4.2
4.3
6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4

8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4

6.3
6.7
8.6

1985
1986
1987
1988

6.1
5.4

7.0
6.2
5.5

1988: Nov
Dec

5.3
5.3

5.4
5.3

4.8
4.7

4.7
4.7

14.1
14.8

4.6
4.6

10.0
10.0

11.2
11.6

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov

5.4
5.1
4.9
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.2
5.3

5.4
5.1
5.0
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.3
5.4

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3
4.3
4.3
4.4
4.8
4.5
4.7

4.7
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.7
4.7

16.4
14.8
13.7
14.4
15.2
15.6
14.7
14.5
15.1
14.9
15.5

4.6
4.3
4.2
4.6
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.5
4.5
4.4
4.6

10.6
10.6
9.8
9.6
9.5
10.3
9.6
9.5
10.1
10.3
10.5

12.0
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
11.9
10.9
11.1
11.6
11.8
12.1

1

Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
;ate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as per-

12



Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families
9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

6.9
7.3

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3

7.9

9.3
9.1
8.4
7.6

8.5
11.0
10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3

5.0
5.1

7.1
7.0

6.2
6.3

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.9
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0

7.9
7.3
6.2
7.2
6.9
7.7
7.2
6.9
7.3
7.1
7.5

6.2
5.9
5.8
6.0
5.9
6.1
6.0
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.9

3.9
3.3

9.8
9.2
8.1

9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

5.1
5.0

3.3
3.1

7.7
8.2

5.2
4.8
4.7
5.1
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.1

3.1
3.1
2.9
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.9
3.1
3.4
3.0
3.1

8.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
8.3
7.9
8.7
8.0
7.6
7.6
8.3

cent of potentially available labor force hours.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In November, the percentages of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks, for 15-26
weeks, and for 27 weeks and over rose, while the percentage for 5-14 weeks fell. Both the mean duration of
unemployment and the median fell.

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

60

—

50
JOB LOSERS

REENTRANTS

30 —

20

20
JOB LEAVERS

•
10

—

10
NEW ENTRANTS

0

iniili

1985

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment
Unemployment
(thousands)

Period

Number of
weeks

Percent distribution

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5

47.6
46.2

29.5
31.1

12.0
11.5

10.9
11.2

47.0
50.6
49.4
47.2
47.7
50.4
48.1
48.1
48.)
48.4
48.8

30.7
29.1
29.4
31. £
31.7
30.4
29.4
31.5
31.0
30.4
29.6

11.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
11.0
10.0
12.9
11.5
12.0
11.2
11.5

11.1
10.0
10.7
11.3
9.6
9.1
9.6
8.8
8.8
10.0
10.1

Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0

1988- Nov
Deo

6,563
6.554

1989' Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

6,716
6,328
6,128
fi,546
6.395
6,561
6,497
6.421
6,584
6,561
6,729

B,eason for unemployment:
percent distribution
-

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0

11.4

12.6
12.8

5.6
5.8

46.2
46.5

14.7
15.1

26.9

12.7
12.1
12.4
12.7
11.8
11.1
12.0
11.3
11.4
11.8
11.7

5.7
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.5
5.6
5.0
5.0
4.9
4.8

46.4
45.2
46.0
45.7
42.7
42.0
44.3
46.5
44.6
45.1
46.8

14.7
15.5
14.4
15.C
17.5
15.5
15.3
16.2
15.9
15.1
15.6

State
programs
Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Insured
unemployment,
"all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) 1

Weekly average, thousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
]988

May

July
Sept
Oct
Nov

.

' Includes Siata {-?0 States, District oi Columbia, Puerto Rico, ami Virgin Islands), ex-servicemeu (UC'X), Federal (UO.FE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also Incudes I'ederal ami State ex•supplemental compensation program.




"
27.3
27.3
28.1
29.0
29.1
31.2
29.4
27.5

IS:S
27,

11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2^650
2,332
2,056

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125

12.2
12.1

1,989
2,032

301
309

1,857
2,205

11.8
12.0
11.6
10.3
10.7 i
11.3
11.0
9.8 1
9.6
10.6
10.5

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063
2,134
2^216
2,177
2,187
2,257
2,287

293
309
323
300
317
335
339
319
323
360
344

2,685
2,695
2,567
S,221
1,957
1,936
2,168
2,006
1,860

Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training AdniinisJration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 210,000 in November.
MILL IONS OF PERSONS*

MIL LIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

no

28
—
-

100

—

""

^'"'—

26

SERVICES

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS 1
^
^
^

--'

24

90

—

-"""*'

22
80 -

-

""T"

—
20

SERV ICE-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

70

FiETAIL TRADE
—
18

60 -

-

_- •—" ——

•

\^r--^
GOVERNMEN

^—"

16

HfH-ririTfi iTrnlimi
1

Jz=—
Illilllllll

Illilllllll Illllllllll

X

50
20
40 -

GOC3DS-PRODUC ING
INDUSTRIES

30

18

JFACTURING
\

illinium luiihiiiiliiiiiliiiii

1

iniilmiik
i

Illilllllll

V

'

6

4

—
Illinium
' 1985

20 11' ' H 1 1) ' ' ' 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 n iniiliiui 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 iiiiiliinl)
1989
1986
1987
1988
1985

r
i— m

i

1

1
c DNSTRUCTIC
1986

iiiiiliinl
1987

SEASONALLY AOJ USTED
SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

_

i n I ill! Mif
1988

1989

M

COUNCIL OF EC DNOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted]
Service-producing industries

Groods-producing industries
Period

Total
nonagricultural
employment

Manufacturing
Total 2

Construction

Total

Durable
goods

12,187
12,109
Il|o39
10,732
11 '505
11,490
11,230
11,194
11,437

8,098
8,061
7J41

4,346
4,188

90.200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,584

25,658
25,497
23,813
23,334
24^727
24,859
24,558
24,708
25,249

3J905
3,948
4383
4,673
4,816
4,967
5,125

20,285
20,170
18^781
18,434
19^378
19^260
18,965
19J024
19,403

1988: Nov.... 106,824
Dec
107,097

25,460
25,513

5,191
5,213

19,557
19,589

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May....
June...
July....
Aug....
Sept T..
Oct r...
Nov "..

25,626
25,629
25,646
25,671
25,672
25,648
25,669
25,694
25,614
25,607
25,604

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,279
5,283
5,283
5,314
5,321
5,325
5,333
5,350

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,672
19,667
19,650
19,649
19,644
19,559
19,543
19,516

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984 .. .
1985
1986 ...
1987
1988 ....

90,406
91,156
89,566

107,442
107,711
107,888
108,101
108,310
108,607
108,767
108,887
109,096
109,189
109,399

Nondurable
goods




Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

5,146
5,165
5,082
4,954
5459
5^238
5,255
5^372
5,548

5,275
5,358

7,702
7^873
7J770
7,734
7J830
7,967

65,659
65^753
66,866
69^769
72^660
74,967
77J492
80,335

5^278
5,268
5^555
5^717
5,753
5344
6,029

11,545
11,565

8,012
8,024

81,364
81,584

5,616
5,634

11,605
11,594
11,604
11,600
11,594
11,567
11,549
11,551
11,480
11,454
11,430

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,072
8,073
8,083
8,100
8,093
8,079
8,089
8,086

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,638
82,959
83,098
83,193
83,482
83,582
83,795

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,700
5,716
5,736
5,618
5,709
5,733
5,744

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, aeif-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total-derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagrieultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14

Total

64,748

Retail
trade

15,035
15,189
15^179

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Government
Services

Total

Federal

20J797
22*000
23,053
24J236
f!5,600

16,241
16,031
15J837
15,869
16^024
16,394
16,693
17,010
17,372

2,866
2,772
2J739
2,774
2J807
2,875
2,899
2,943
2,971

6,726
6,744

26,111
26,230

17,525
17,523

2,983
2,981

6,746
. 6,763
6,774
6,776
6,790
6,808
6,815
6,836
6,852
6,849
6,864

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,651
26,711
26,931
26,973
27,058
27,159
27,195
27,320

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,626
17,687
17,723
17,751
17,804
17,866
17,853
17,864

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,982
2,999
2,995
3,000
2,999
2,996
2,985
2,990

5,160

15,613
16^545
17,356
17,930
18,483
19,110

5,298
5^341
5,468
5^689
5^955
6,283
6^547
6,676

6,104
6,125

19,282
19,328

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,206
6,222
6,230
6,237
6,256
6,264
6,275
6,293

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,489
19,528
19,551
19,586
19,621
19,632
19,677
19,710

17,890
18'619
19^036
19,694

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source; Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Total
private
nonagricultural l

Period

Total

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6
34.6
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.7
34.6

1980.
1981

1982.
1983
1984,
1985
1986
1987
1988.
1988: Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Peb
Mar
May

July
Sept
Oct T
N 0 y"

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.2
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.3
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
r
41.0
40.8
40.7

Current dollars

Total private
nonagrieultural *

Manufacturing

Overtime

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7

Total
private
nonagricultural '

Manufacturing

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.30
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.42
10.45
10.48
10.52
10.55
10.55
10.57

$6.66
7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.42
9.45
9.49
9.52
9.54
9.61
9.60
9.62
9.69
9.69
9.74
9.78
9.77

1

3

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1977 = 100 base).
2

Current
dollars

1977
dollars 2

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
326.87
327.92
330.25
329.39
331.04
335.39
332.16
332.85
337.21
335.27
337.98
339.37
338.04

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
167.28
167.39
167.55
166.44
166.44
167.53
165.01
165.10
166.85
165.89
166.90
166.85
165.62

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
424.36
422.71
424.56
426.21
426.40
429.52
427.22
428.45
429.68
431.32
'432.55
430.44
430.20

$367.78
399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
503.04
497.07
496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
494.17
498.17
511.30
510.73
r
510.16
514.37
521.49

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
185.60
187.11
187.40
186.41
186.98
189.44
187.56
188.43
190.97
189.22
189.50
191.69
190.37

Percent change from a
year earlier, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars

6.9
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
3.3
3.9
4.2
3.5
4.1
4.5
3.3
3.5
4.2
3.7
r
3.6
3.5
3.0

1977
dollars
-5.8
-1.5
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
10
-.9
9
3
-1.2
8
-.7
20
-1.6
9
-.9
' 1
-.9
15

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1981 = 100)

Period

19801981:
19821983:
19841985:
1986198719881986-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Sept
Dec

1987: Mar
Sept
Dec
1988- Mar
Sept
Dec
1989- Mar
June
Sept

Total
compensation

94.7
104.0
110.7
117.0
122.7
127.5
131.6
136.0
142.6

130.8
131.6
132.9
133.8
135.1
136.0
138.1
139.8
141.2
142.6
144.4
146.1
147.9

Wages and
salaries

95.4
103.8
110.3
115.8
120.6
125.6
129.5
133.8
139.3
128.8
129.5
130.8
131.7
133.0
133.8
135.1
136.6
137.9
139.3
140.8
142.2
143.9

Benefits

1

93.0
104.3
111.7
120.0
127.9
132.4
136.9
141.7
151.3
136.1
136.9
138.1
139.3
140.3
141.7
146.1
148.2
149.7
151.3
154.0
156.5
158.7

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.--The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the cost o! labor, free from the
influence of employment shuts among occupations and industries.




12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Benefits'-1

2.1
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
.6
.6
.7
1.0
.7
.6
1.0
.7
1.0
.7

2.0
1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.5
.6
1.0

2.2
2.3
1.5
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.1

.7
.5
1.0
.7
1.0
.6

1.0
.6

1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0

1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.0
1.2

Total
compensation

1.3
1.2
1.2

.9
.9
.7
1.0
3.1
1.4
1.0
1.1
1.8
1.6
1.4

9.8

as

6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.9
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.3
3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9
4.6
4.5
4.7

Wages and
salaries

9.0
8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.3
4.1
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1
4.2
4.1
4.4

Benefits 1

11.8
12.2
7.1
7.4
6.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
6.8
3.3
3.4
2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8
5.4
5.6
6.0

Data exclude farm and household workers.
gource. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons

Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '
Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Hours of all
persons 2

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs

Implicit price
deflator 5

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted
1980..
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.4
101.0
100.2
102.6
105.2

99.0
100.0
99.1
102.0
104.2

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.3
107.9
105.3
107.2
113.3

107.8
108.5
105.9
108.0
114.4

131.8
144.1
154.9
160.8
167.4

131.6
144.0
154.7
160.8
167.2

97.0
96.1
97.3
97.8
97.6

96.7
96.0
97.1
97.8
97.5

132.6
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.1
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

1985
1986...
1987
1988.

107.3
109.8
111.1
113.0

105.6
107.7
108.9
111.1

124.2
128.0
133.4
140.0

123.9
127.6
133.1
140.3

115.7
116.6
120.1
123.9

117.4
118.4
122.2
126.3

174.8
183.8
191.0
200.2

174.0
182.9
189.8
198.7

98.4
101.7
101.9
102.5

98.0
101.1
101.2
101.8

162.8
167.5
171.9
177.1

164.9
169.8
174.2
178.8

162.2
165.6
170.0
174.9

163.8
167.6
172.0
176.5

100.9
103.5
105.7
108.3
109.8

99.5
103.0
104.5
106.2
107.6

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9
128.9

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5
128.4

104.1
109.7
114.3
116.2
117.4

104.7
110.8
115.5
118.1
119.3

158.2
163.2
169.9
178.6
187.4

158.0
162.9
169.6
177.5
186.4

97.9
97.8
97.8
99.3
102.8

97.8
97.6
97.6
98.7
102.3

156.8
157.7
160.7
164.9
170.6

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1
173.2

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7
167.1

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5
169.2

110.0
110.7
111.7
112.5

107.7
108.6
109.5
110.2

130.4
132.2
134.4
136.7

130.0
132.0
134.1
136.4

118.6
119.5
120.3
121.5

120.7
121.5
122.4
123.7

188.3
189.5
191.8
195.1

187.1
188.3
190.5
193.8

101.9
101.4
101.7
102.5

101.3
100.7
101.0
101.8

171.2
171.3
171.6
173.5

173.6
173.4
173.9
175.8

168.2
169.6
170.7
171.3

170.3
171.4
172.6
173.4

1988: I

113.2
112.6
113.4
113.5

111.0
110.5
111.5
112.0

138.2
139.3
140.7
141.9

138.0
139.5
141.1
142.8

122.1
123.8
124.0
125.0

124.3
126.2
126.6
127.5

196.4
199.1
201.9
204.5

195.0
197.5
200.2
203.0

102.3
102.5
102.8
103.0

101.5
101.7
101.9
102.3

173.5
176.9
178.0
180.2

175.7
178.7
179.6
181.3

171.9
174.1
175.8
177.9

173.8
175.6
177.0
179.6

1989: I..

113.8
114.2
114.7

111.6
111.9
112.6

143.6
144.4
145.6

143.6
144.6
145.9

126.2
126.4
127.0

128.6
129.2
129.6

206.9
210.4
212.8

205.5
208.3
211.0

102.8
102.9
103.5

102.1
101.9
102.7

181.9
184.1
185.5

184.1
186.1
187.4

179.4
181.4
182.4

180.8
182.8
184.1

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1987: I
H

in
IV

n
m
rv

n
nir....

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

9
1.2
.6
-.2

-2.6
-.7
1.1
.7
-.4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.1
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

4.1
5.1
3.7
4.7

.8
3.3
.2
.6

.5
3.2
.1
.5

2.3
2.8
2.6
3.0

2.8
3.0
2.6
2.7

2.5
2.1
2.6
2.9

3.0
2.3
2.6
2.7

4.1
5.7
3.5
6.3
5.1

4.6
4.4
3.5
5.8
5.1

2.8
1.6
.0
2.1
2.2

3.3
.3
.0
1.6
2.2

1.5
2.3
2.0
4.8
4.2

2.6
2.8
2.6
5.0
4.7

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6
1.0

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0

4.8
2.8
3.0
4.3

1.9
2.7
4.8
7.2

1.5
2.6
4.7
7.1

-3.3
-2.0
1.0
3.4

-3.8
-2.1
1.0
3.4

1.4
.1
.9
4.3

1.1
-.6
1.2
4.5

2.5
3A
2.6
1.4

2.8
2.5
3.0
1.7

1.9
5.5
.9
3.2

2.0
6.1
1.2
2.8

2.6
5.7
5.8
5.2

2.5
5.4
5.4
5.9

-1.0
1.1
1.0
.7

-1.1

.1
8.0
2.6
5.0

-.3
7.1
2.0
3.8

1.5
5.1
4.1
4.8

1.0
4.3
3.2
5.9

3.7
.6
1.9

3.7
1.7
1.3

4.8
6.8
4.7

4.9
5.6
5.3

-.6
.4
2.3

3.7
5.1
3.0

6.2
4.5
2.8

3.3
4.6
2.4

2.8
4.4
2.9

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984.. .

-0.3
1.5
7
2.4
2.6

-0.4
1.1
9
3.0
2.1

— 1.1
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.6
24
1.8
5.7

07
.6
-2.4
2.0
6.0

10.5
9.3
7.5
3.8
4.1

10.5
9.5
7.4
4.0
3.9

1985...
1986
1987.
1988

2.0
2.3
1.2
1.7

1.3
2.0
1.1
2.0

4.2
3.1
4.2
4.9

3.9
3.0
4.4
5.4

2.2
.8
3.0
3.2

2.6
.9
3.2
3.4

4.4
5.2
3.9
4.8

2.6
3.3
1.5
1.5
.8

2.0
1.6
.9
.8
.4

-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6
4.0

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5
3.7

-3.0
6.8
2.0
2.1
3.2

-3.1
8.1
2.2
2.7
3.3

.5
2.6
3.8
2.8

.4
3.2
3.5
2.5

4.7
5.6
6.7
7.1

5.2
6.1
6.6
7.0

4.2
2.9
2.8
4.2

2.5
-2.1
3.1
.2

2.8
-1.6
3.3
1.9

4.4
3.3
4.0
3.4

4.8
4.4
4.6
4.8

1.1
1.6
1.7

13
1.1
2.5

4.8
2.3
3.6

2.4
2.8
3.7

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV

1987: I

n

m
rv

1988:

I

n
m
IV

1989- I

nr
ni ....

1

Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars,
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.
5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.

16



-2.6

.8
.7
1.4
K

.

7
2.8

NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Beginning with data released August 3, 1989, hours of labor input are defined as hours at the
work site rather than hours paid.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PEODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATIOM
Industrial production rose slightly in November and capacity utilization fell slightly.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
?60

INK X, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240
FINAL PRODUCTS
220

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

140

ENSE
AND SPACE
EQU PMENT

200
120

--—1 "

180

"

r^—-

\

,--,

BUSINESS
100

mni.Min

160

160

liiiilinii

umlnm

'40

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

J^~-

"*w

140

-*s— -**-•

!20

""T"""

__---'

CONSUMER
GOODS

120
100

-UiiiLiuii Hllihllll! iniiliiiil imilmn

PER CENT*
100
140

CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION
90

120

UTILITIES
^

80

-.—•—1

-

100

70

-

iillliLjim iiJiLiiim
1985

1989

1986

IlllllUlil
1987

miilmii
1988

IlllllUlil
1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTtD
SOURCE: SOARD OF GOVERNORS OF TH£ FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Total
industrial
production
Period
Index,
1977=100

Capacity utilization
rate, p< rcent *

Percent
change
from year
earlier

..
Mining

Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137 2

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
•

1988- Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

Aue r
Sept r
Oct r
NOV p
1

Industry production indexes, 1977 = 100
Manufacturing

-1.9
2.2
-7.1
5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7

84.21
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7

49.10
109.1
111.1
98.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9

35.11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.8
130.1
136.8
143.9

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4

5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5

139.9
140.4

5.1
4.9

145.8
146.3

145.2
145.7

146.7
147.1

104.7
104.9

113.7
115.4

84.1
84.3

84.4
84.4

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.7
141.6
142.0
141.9
142.5
142.1
141.3
141.5

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.7
4.1
4.0
2.8
2.9
2.6
1.4
1.2

147.2
146.8
147.0
148.0
148.1
148.7
148.5
149.2
148.7
147.5
147.8

146.2
145.9
145.8
146.9
147.1
147.4
146.8
147.8
146.9
144.3
14:11

148.5
148.1
148.6
149.6
149.5
150.5
150.8
151.1
151.2

103.0
100.9
101.5
102.4
102.0
101.5
102.1
J02.4
'03.1
103.6
103.7

114.0
116.5
117.5
117.1
115.6
114.3
114.0
113.3
114.3
115.1
i 14.8

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.2
84.0
84.0
8o.7
83.9
83.4
82.8
82.7

84.7
84.3
84.1
84.5
84.3
84.4
84.0
84.2
83.7
82.8
82.7

ir/2.'!

.!5i.7

Output a-i percent of capacity.




17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977 — 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Products

Materials

Final products

Intermediate products

Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total

l

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

Total

Construction
supplies

Business
supplies

Total

EnerKJ

1977 proportion
1980
1981 .
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

44.77
112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144.3

25.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5

42.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.&
103.3
99.T
99.8
101.5

1988:

Nov
Dec

146.8
147.7

136.8
138.2

129.2
131.9

139.7
140.5

159.9
160.4

161.2
162.6

182.2
180.5

154.2
155.0

140.7
141.4

165.7
166.7

128.3
128.3

102.3
102.6

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug r
Sept r
Oct T.
Novp

148.2
148.6
148.9
150.2
150.4
151.2
150.2
151.1
150.5
148.8
149.4

138.5
138.7
138.4
139.5
139.2
139.9
138.7
139.3
138.9
139.5
139.2

131.5
131.6
130.1
132.2
131.2
130.8
127.3
128.7
127.7
126.4
125.7

141.1
141.4
141.4
142.2
142.1
143.3
142.8
143.2
143.1
144.3
144.2

161.1
161.6
162.8
164.3
165.4
166.1
165.5
166.8
165.9
161.1
163.1

163.8
165.0
166.3
167.8
169.1
169.6
168.5
169.9
168.7
164.1
166.2

180.0
179.3
178.7
179.9
180.7
181.1
182.0
182.7
182.1
175.7
177.1

156.6
155.1
156.1
156.5
156.3
157.0
157.5
157.5
157.7
158.4
158.5

142.3
139.5
139.3
140.2
140.2
141.2
142.2
141.5
140.7
141.4
142.0

168.8
168.4
170.4
170.4
170.0
170.4
170.6
171.2
172.2
172.9

128.1
127.4
127.3
128.2
127.9
127.7
128.3
128.8
128.5
128.2
128.0

100.5
100.5
101.0
101.7
101.1
99.1
99.1
99.5
100.5
100.9
100.7

1

Includes oil and gas well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977=100; monthly data seasonally i Ijusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals
Iron and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Electrical
machinery

Period
Total

Total

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber
and
products

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

cals
and
products

Foods

1977 proportion
1980.
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 ...
1987
1988.. .

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89.2

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1

6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7
170.8

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7

1988:

Nov
Dec

92.7
90.0

80.8
77.6

124.6
125.1

175.4
177.8

182.2
180.9

135.2
136.8

122.9
125.5

139.4
143.0

110.1
108.8

188.5
188.0

157.5
158.1

145.7
145.8

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Augr
Sept T
Oct r
Nov"..

93.2
91.1
88.4
90.1
87.2
87.3
89.2
90.3
89.2
88.5
86 2

82.2
79.1
75.9
77.0
73.2
72.9
75.4
75.9
75.4
75.7

124.5
124.5
123.8
123.1
124.8
125.2
125.4
125.5
124.7
123.9
124.1

178.7
180.8
183.0
184.7
186.5
187.5
186.7
187.8
186.8
183.2
187.3

180.9
181.7
181.6
182.2
181.6
181.9
181.4
183.7
182.8
181.5
181.0

136.7
136.4
134.8
136.4
135.5
134.2
131.3
133.2
131.8
123.3
124.3

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.0
119.7
116.4
110.4
114.2
112.7
110.1
109.6

1S9.8
132.8
133.4
135.1
135.5
137.2
136.9
136.5
135.3
136.2

110.2
110.2
109.9
111.3
111.5
111.9
111.4
111.1
111.0
110.0

193.0
194.6
198.5
200.1
199.0
200.5
199.9
200.6
202.7
202.8
203.0

159.0
158.5
159.2
159.3
158.2
159.9
162.2
161.5
159.6
161.8

146.6
146.3
145.4
146.6
147.2
147.9
147.3
148.3
148.8
150.0

iource: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Svstem.

18



NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

New housing
units

Total '-

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1982 = 100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions 01 dollars
1979..
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

253.0
252.8
261 3
248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7

.

201.3
194.3
204.7
194.3
228.7
271.9
292.6
315.3
320.1
328.7

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9

42.8
47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8

109
97
100
100
124
136
150
159
165
166

51.7
58.5

56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9

411.1
415.4
425.0

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July
Sepf
Oct » ..
Nov "
1
2
3

331.4
332.8
336.3

200.8
202.0
202.5

139.8
141.9
143.3

79.1
78.8
80.6

51.5
51.9
53.2

337.7
333.2
338.1
332.5
330.6
329.0
328.0
331.5
329.4
332.0

202.9
200.5
202.1
200.7
197.0
194.2
194.3
193.6
191.8
193.6

145.6
145.3
143.2
141.8
138.2
136.5
136.fi
135.8
134.0
135.2

82.5
81.1
84.2
79.3
80.1
81.6
80.7
83.4
83.4
84.5

52.2
51.6
51.8
52.5
53.5
53.2
53.1
54.6
54.2
53.9

r

!72
163
175
171
r
!60
r
!58
173
r
!66
r
!65
'169
r
!66
r
!80
r
!71
160

79.7
82.6
88.8

423.0
416.6
416.8
411.9
416.5
412.5
409.6
415.8
415.9
420.1

..

919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
942

Annual rates

Annual rates
1988: Get
Nov
Dec

1,059
904

85.3
83.4
78.7
79.4
85.9
83.5
81.6
84.2
86.5
88.0

841
839
942
943
850
858
836
905
938
933
803
1,026
897
769

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) s <] McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

Includes residential improvements, not shown separately.
Includes hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Units started, by type of structure

Period
Total

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1

1979

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1 unit

1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1.146.4
1,081.3

2-4 units

122.0
109.5
91.1
80.0
1 1 3.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8

5 or more units

429.0
330.5
287.7
319.6
522.0
544.0
576.1
542.0
408.7
348.0

Units
aiithori/.ed

1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,534.8
1,455.6

Onits
completed

Homes sold

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
1,668.8
1,529.8

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1
3

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671
676

Vacancy rate
for mital
housing units
(percent) 2

397
337
275
253
301
353
346
357
365
366

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7
7.7

7.3

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
1988- Nov
Dec

1,567
1,577

1,138
1,141

68
65

361
371

1,508
1,518

1,429
1,539

650
669

364
366

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

1,678
1,465
1,409
1,343
1,308
1,406
1,420
1,329
1,264
1,428
1,361

1,199
1,029
981
1,029
977
972
1,026
990
971
1,024
1,015

66
62
50
62
42
55
57
56
57
61
51

413
374
378
252
289
379
337
283
236
343
295

1,486
1 ,403
1,230
1,334
1,347
1,308
1,281
1,328
1,319
1,356
1 342

1,537
1,610
1,459
1,552
1,442
1,355
1,372
1,439
1,360
1,312

700
621
555
607
653
647
r
738
726
652
649

369
375
377
377
380
377
r
369
365
366
364

May

July
Sept r
Oct r
Nov p

7.3
7.3
7.3

....
1

Seasonally adjusted.
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.
2




NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1971
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

AMD INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In October, manufacturing and trade sales fell 0.7 percent and inventories rose $3.3 biflion. In November,,
according to advance date, ratai! sales rose 0.8 percent, following a decline of 1.3 percent in October.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS' (RATIO SCALE)

800

240

^r~^~-\

220
200
180

—

^~-^
^^^

Kt

S\ JRItS
AIL INVENTC

—
—

160
,-^T

140
X-»_"

—

r'\
iV ""RETAIL SA LES

120
X *""*"

—

100

UliUI imiiiiHiimnhmi MillJmil [iillllllli
ili I

200

1939

1985
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARlV-tNT OF COMMERCE

MarraS'ficturing and
trudft ]

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

I

Sales
Inventories 3

in yen U'ly-saie ratio '
Inventory-sales

Retail

Wholesale
Who!

Total

2

Durable
I goods
1 stores

Inventories
j Nonduraj bie goods :
stores [

3

Durable
goods
stores

Tola

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade 3

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
:

348,747 I 574,491

.96,290
100.244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361

1
i
!
j

140.356
139.547
139.991
142,290
142,474
141.959 |
141,667
143,280
143.905
143.691

20



128,196
8.9,107
130,334
97,328
142,380 106,805
146,745 113,821
] 52,447 119,663
162,648 j 126,785 !
178,313 135,763 j

140,040
139,428
139,516
141,413
142,543
142,500
143,555
144,860
145,293
r
143,358
144,557

28,03 3
32,574
37,819
41,387
44,861
47,707
52.379

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57

25
24
81
42

88,608
90,477
106,271
1 14,994

100.710
106,248

j.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50

34
93
42

1381'

111,504
112,904
114,994

104,930
105,189
106,248

1.49
1.49
1.49

1.57
1.56
1.59

84
85
93
56
23
62
31
50
91
47

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,093
118,835
119.542
11.9,864
121,782
123.030
12l',274

106.880
108.016
108,700 ||
109,563
111,588
112,220
132,967
113,568
113,761
114,773

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.54
1.50
1.51

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.62
1.63
1.62
1.62
1.63
1.65

68
63,469
77 ! 68,984 !
59 ! 79,257

72,909
78,393
87,902
92,217
94.747

L53

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In October, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell, while inventories and unfilled orders rose. In November,
according to advance data, durable goods shipments and new orders rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
280

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
480
440
!WVFNT'"xmc:c
400
360
"
~~—i~~\
280
IOIAL
• ^ •
^ ^ B ^ S
^ ^
:

i

r—"—"
—S.

200

D JRABLE GOC)DS

160
_ „_ -

120

•

—X
\
NONDURABLE C5OODS

80
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2VU
NEW ORDERS
240

60

•~-

.
~^f ^
1 TOTAL

A .

imilimi

r-^"

miRAH E GOODS _i

200

RATIO "
2.20

160
120

/

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

2.00
*—•*%—

t— *

1.80

— — —"

k-^~- 1
NC NDURABLE CjOODS

80

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

1.60

r~^

f-v

^
1

" ^ U
• >

f
c

A
v^SX*^ \^

1.40

60
Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986
1985
1987
1988
1989

1.20

iMiiiiiui

,,,,,!
1985

\\

1 1 \ \ f f t \\

iiiiiliiin

1987

1986

1988

UMlllllM

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments l

Manufacturers' inventories

Manufacturers' new orders 1

2

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders z

Manufacturers'
inventory—
shipments
ratio 3

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
104,304
105,118
106,737
107,596
107,199
107,634
110,535
110,229
110,020
108,416
110,027
109,127
109,874

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
457,281
460,802
468,860
473,450
476,403
481,386
487,231
487,913
491.834
496,359
495,002
495,794
498,046

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.53
1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55
1.57
1.58
1.64
1.56
1.59
1.60

Durable goods
Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
118,439
119,874
124,175
123,578
120,924
120,432
123,331
122,962
121,720
117,114
128,347
124,393
121,906
123,701

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
104,478
104,758
106,652
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,711
110,109
109,516
108,808
109,803
109,169
110,064

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
349,412
351,603
354,163
357,458
359,056
361,130
363,458
365,055
366,492
370,803
371,489
370,890
371,813

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
122,791
123,035
132,149
128,479
124,107
125,377
129,372
123,524
125,137
122,031
126,766
125,227
r
124,348
130,683

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
34,623
35,825
39,432
40,352
37,189
38,137
40,389
37,290
39,146
41,445
37,130
35,341
r
35,986
38,987

Total

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986 ..
1987
1988
1988: Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar...
May
July
Auff .
Sept r
Oct ".. .
Nov p
1
2

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
222,917
224,632
230,827
231,485
228,353
228,048
234,042
233,071
231,236
225,922
238,150
233,562
231,970

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period.




200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
229,735
231,766
233,666
236,810
238,165
239,330
240,486
241,689
242,295
245,813
246,378
245,621
246,431

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
119,677
119,837
120,497
120,648
120,891
121,800
122,972
123,366
124,197
124,990
125,111
125,269
125,382
3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
227,095
228,153
238,886
236,075
231,306
233,011
239,907
233,753
235,157
230,447
236,793
234,354
234,222

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In November, the producer price index for all finished goods fell 0.1 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods
rose 0.8 percent, while prices of other finished consumer goods fell 0.6 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.3
percent.
INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

100

100

90

90
1981

1982

1988

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Consumer goods
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May

July r.
Aue
Sept
Oct
1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0
109.5
109.9
111.1
112.1
112.6
113.1
114.1
114.2
113.6
113.1
114.1
114.6
114.5

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6
115.1
115.2
116.7
117.8
118.8
118.1
119.1
118.4
118.3
118.7
118.0
119.6
120.5

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5
107.7
108.2
109.3
110.1
110.5
111.4
112.5
112.7
112.1
111.3
112.9
112.9
112.6

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22



Durable

Nondurable

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3

104.1
104.7

115.0
115.4

98.3
98.9

106.0
107.1
107.5
109.0
110.1
110.2
109.2
108.0
109.7
110.0
109.3

116.3
116.9
117.0
116.3
117.2
117.7
117.3
117.5
119.1
118.7
118.5

100.4
101.6
102.2
104.4
105.7
105.6
104.4
102.6
104.4
105.0
104.0

Foods
and
feeds l

Foodstuffs
and
feedstuffs

Other

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5

108.8
110.8

82.1
85.6

113.3
111.7
115.2
112.1
112.1
109.7
108.7
110.0
109.1
108.4
110.2

90.2
90.7
92.1
95.1
95.8
94.7
95.5
91.3
93.5
94.0
93.4

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
consumer
goods

Total

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
115.8
116.2
116.9
117.4
117.5
117.4
118.2
118.8
118.8
119.0
120.2
119.8
120.2

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2
107.8
108.2
109.5
110.6
111.2
112.0
113.1
112.9
112.2
111.5
112.5
113.2
113.0

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1
109.0
109.5
110.8
111.3
111.9
112.5
112.7
112.4
112.2
111.9
112.3
112.3
112.2

Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Crude materials

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5

113.2
112.3
115.2
114.8
116.7
114.9
113.6
112.0
113.8
113.4
113.6
112.7
113.2

Other

Total

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9
108.8
109.4
110.5
111.1
111.7
112.4
112.6
112.5
112.1
111.8
112.2
112.3
112.2

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0
94.8
97.8
101.8
101.5
103.7
104.5
104.9
103.2
103.4
101.2
102.3
102.3
102.7

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In November, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.2 percent
not seasonally adjusted). The index was 4.7 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

- CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS -

110

110

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

Illllllllll
1985

60
1981

1983

1982

1984

60

1986

1987

1989

1988

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84=100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items '

Transportation

Housing

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total '

New
cars

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

7.6
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4

6.4
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4

17.2
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7

4.3
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9

3.1
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9

6.0
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6

7.3
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3

48.7
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9

Shelter
Period

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Ret. imp.3 ....
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:
Nov
Dec

Seasonally
adjusted

Food
Total i
Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

16.2
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2

1000
82.4
909
96.5
996
103 9
107 6
1096
113 6
118.3

42.3
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1

7.9

19.7

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7

120.3
120.5

120.3
120.7

120.8
121.2

120.1
120.6

128.9
129.4

134.2
134.9

133.5
133.9

115.4
115.8

105.5
106.3

117.4
117.7

110.4
110.4

117.9
118.1

81.1
79.7

142.2
142.9

89.5
89.2

124.2
124.6

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
124.0
124.2
124.5
124.5
124.7
125.3
125.8

122.1
122.6
123.6
124.2
125.0
125.3
125.7
125.9
126.2
126.7
127.4

120.9
121.3
121.7
121.8
122.3
122.6
123.3
123.5
123.6
124.1
124.7

129.7
130.3
131.1
131.2
131.8
132.3
133.2
133.5
133.7
134.4
135.0

135.2
136.4
138.2
137.3
137.3
138.1
140.2
139.6
138.5
139.3
140.1

134.2
134.7
135.1
135.6
136.5
136.9
137.5
138.1
138.8
139.4
140.1

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4
118.3
118.4
118.5
118.6
118.6
119.3

106.9
106.7
106.9
107.4
107.6
107.1
107.6
107.5
107.6
107.7
108,7

117.7
117.5
119.1
119.4
120.4
119.1
118.1
116.3
118.3
119.5
119.6

111.2
111.9
112.6
115.0
116.1
115.9
115.2
114.3
113.7
114.5
114.7

118.9
119.3
119.7
119.8
119.6
119.3
118.8
118.5
118.0
118.7
119.6

80.5
81.8
83.6
93.0
96.6
95.4
93.3
89.5
87.6
88.6
86.7

144.0
145.2
145.9
146.6
147.6
148.7
149.8
150.8
152.0
153.0
154.2

89.9
90.4
91.4
96.1
97.6
96.6
95.9
94.0
93.2
93.8
93.7

125.4
125.8
126.3
126.6
127.2
127.4
127.6
127.7
128.2
128.8
129.3

1989:
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July Sept
Get
Nov

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.- and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1988.




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
;e: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly datsi seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Change from preceding per od

Change from 3 months earfier, annual" rate

Consumer goods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

(

Change from 5 months ear.'ier, ammiil rats

h

Consumer goods
Tula]
finished
goods

Consumer goods
Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Kmage
tan,
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA
1980..
1981

1982.
1983
1984.
1985
1986.
1987
1988

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.2
5.7

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
23
2.2
4.0

11.4
9.2
39

::t:r""

2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6

:::::::::::::::.:::::::::::::::.'.

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5

Change, month to month
1988- Nov
Dec
1989:

0.3
.4
1.1
.9
.4
.4
.9
.1
-.5
4
.9
.4
-.1

Jan
Feb

Mar
May

July r
Sept
Oct '
Nov

0.3

'5
.8
-.6
.8
-.6
— .1
.3
-.6
1.4
.8

0.2
.3

3.7
3.0

5.4
2.1

2.3
3.9

3.9
1.7

3.9
4.3

7.1
5.6

2.3
3.9

3.7
3.9

3.3
4.0

1.2
1.0
.4
1.4
1.0
.1
-.9
— 1.1
1.6
.3
-.6

0.3
.1

.6
.4
.1

7.1
9.8
10.2
7.4
7.3
5.8
1.8
-3.5
-.3
3.6
5.0

7.2
9.7
13.1
4.9
4.5
-1.3
.7
-1.3
-1.3
4.5
6.2

8.8
12.0
11.1
11.8
11.7
10.4
.7
-7.4
-1.8
3.0
4.9

4.6
5.6
4.6
1.7
2.8
4.5
4.9
2.7
4.8
3.4
4.1

5.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
8.6
8.0
4.6
1.8
2.7
2.7

6.8
7.5
7.5
6.0
7.1
5.6
2.8
1.5
-1.3
2.6
2.4

5.3
7.1
7.5
10.3
11.9
10.8
6.1
1.7
4.1
1.8
-1.4

4.6
4.8
3.1
3.1
4.2
4.5
3.3
2.7
4.6
4.1
3.4

4.5
5.3
5.5
5.6
6.2
6.1
5.1
4.2
4.5
4.9
4.6

.7
0
.2
1.0
-.3
.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]
Transportation

Hosting
Shelter
Period

All
items

1

Total '

12P
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4
_,

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

Food

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2

::::

Rosters'
costs

Homeowners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total '

Motor
fuel

Medical
care

Energy 2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)
From
previous
quarter 3

From
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9

13.7
10.2
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0

35.0
9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9

" '4.5

„

0,5

0.1

0.6
.3

0.4
.8

0

2
.4
.3
.4
.7
.3
.4
.4
.5
.4
.5

.6
-.2
2

0
-.2
1.4
.3
_g
— 1.1
-.8
— 1.5
1.7

5.1
5.9
4,6
5.3
4.7

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7

7.4
18.8
6.8
9.4
1.5 -6.5
3.4 — 1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
1.8
18.7
2.1 — 2.1

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9

0.1
.2

-0.2
-1.7

.7

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0

1.0
1.6

18.0
11.9
1.3
— .5

2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5

--i 3
3.7
33
3.8
4.7

0.4
.5

0.3

0.3
.3

.8
.8
.5
.5

.8
.6
1.1
5.1
1.6
-1.0

13.5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
19
3.6
4.1

9.8
9.4
6.1
5.0

;•;•'"

Change, month to month
1988:
1989:

Nov
Dec

0.3
.3

0.2
.3

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

.6
.4
.5

.7

.6

.3
.2
.3
.2
2
.4
.6

Au2

Sept
Get
Noy

.2
0
.5
.4

1

.2
.3

.8
2
.6
2
.1
.4
.5

.2
.5
.6
.1
.5
.4
,7
.2
.1
.5
.4

.2
.9
1.3
-.7
0
.6

-!1
— .8
.6
.6

i
.i
,'•'

.3

L

?

Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, tc.—ami motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.

24



0.3
0

ii.'

.8
21
1.0
-.2
— .6
-.8
-.5

-.2
3

.6
.8

2
3

11.2
3.9
-1.2
-4.1
-2.1
1.1
-2.1

.7
.7
.8
.7
.8

^

-2.0
— .9
.6
— .1

.6
.3
A
.2
.5
.2
.2
.1
.4
.5
.4

5.4
6.4
2.6"

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

4.4
4.1

4.5
4.5

4.2
4.4

47

4.4

48
4.9
5.1
5.6
6.2
5.9
5.2
4.3
3.6
3.3
2.9

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.2
5.0
4.7
4.3
4.5
4.7

5.4
6.1
6.4
7.1
5.7
4.0
1.6
1.6
2.6
4.2

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in November were 1.4 percent above their October level. Prices paid by farmers in
October were unchanged from their July level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)

:ALE)

INDE X, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SC

180

180
r

160

1

-

V

r-

160

^ X/™~

\
"Vi ^-x

120

~~^r

PRICES PAID

> —V

—

.. j —

\

140

_

^™ '"""""""

*—«—*_.,„„

•

s^ ^^

120

PRICES REC :IVED

—

140

—
—

100

100

—

—
80

80

—

niiitniii iiinliim imilmii

imilmii

60.

MMlllllll

iiiiihnii

60
RA TIQJ>
140

RATK3^

140

120 _

120
100

100

80
60

-

\__

-^
-— ^=p =
^
1 1 n 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II

^ v _ _ ^ - —-X^__—'

IIIIIIIIIM

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1

1981

1982

1983

_ /'RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO

NDEX OF PRICES PA!

^———•

"

1985

1984

.,..-

IIIIIIIIIM

1 | \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \\

Illllllllll

1987

1988

80
60

1989

1 1986

j.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

!
OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:
1989:

Nov ....
Dee
Jan
Feb
Mar....

Apr
May
June ....
July....

Aug
Sept....

Oct
Nov ....

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
144
145
149
148
149
147
149
147
146
144
143
145
147

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
126
136
136
140
138
136
140
141
138
134
126
126
128
129

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
151
154

150
159
161
164
162
159
161
170

158
158
161
154
156
157
157
161
160
162
163

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

175
(3)
(3)
177
(3)
f3)
178
(3)
(3)
178
(3)

(3)
(3)

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)
167
(3)

Production
items

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)
164
(3)

Ratio 2

92
84
84
87
79
77
79
81
83
84
85
85
85
83
84
83
82
81
80
81
83

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977 = 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
In November, growth slowed in Ml and accelerated in M2 and M3.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
4,800
4,400
4,000
3,600

4,800
4.400
4,000
3,600

Ml —

_

M3
\

3,200

•

~~

'

•

3,200

'

.—

2,800

2,800
---—

2,000

--'""'

'

---1

2,400

_.

•"

\"~
.- — •""""" *"

'""

2,400

M2
2,000

^ _,»• ** ""

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

_.

800
•

_

800

•

'

600

^
^

,„«!.,«,

400 -TtTTTlTiTiT

1981

Ml
^

^—

1983

1982

1984

600

^ll||lllllll
Illllllllll
1986

1985

1987

Illllllllll
1988

400

Illllllllll

1989

COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVJSEHS

AVERAGES OF DAIIY FIGURES; SEASONALL f ADJUSTED
SOURCE, 8OARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
EPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMP balances

Dec
Dec
Dec ...
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec...
Dec

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3
790.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9
3,069.6

1,991.1
1,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.6
3,915.4

2,327.8
2,599.4
2,853.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
4,137.1
4,336.7
4,672.2

3,881.9
4,269.0
4,660.0
5,185.4
5,932.7
6,741.5
7,597.0
8,316.1
'9,082.2

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6
5.1

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5
5.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2
6.5

9.5
10.0
9.2
11.3
14.4
13.8
12.7
9.5
9.2

1988- Nov...
Dec

786.6
790.3

3,059.5
3,069.6

3,898.1
3,915.4

4,635.5
4,672.2

'9,018.7
'9,082.2

'4.0
3.6

4.0
3.8

'5.4
5.2

'9.2
'9.0

786.3
'787.5
786.3
'783.2
'773.4
770.3
'777.2
777.4
781.1
787.7
789.6

'3,065.9
3,069.4
3,078.5
'3,080.9
'3,072.6
'3,088.2
'3,116.8
'3,135.7
'3,153.4
3,173.4
3,195.1

3,920.2
'3,929.6
'3,951.0
'3,957.8
'3,951.2
'3,966.8
'3,993.4
'3,999.5
'4,000.7
4,010.0
4,026.4

'4,676.3
'4,689.5
'4,724.7
'4,749.1
'4,742.5
'4,752.4
'4,784.2
'4,803.4
'4,813.5
4,827.1

'9,138.9
'9,207.0
'9,269.2
'9,327.6
'9,389.3
'9,444.1
'9,494.4
'9,558.9
'9,615.3
9,681.7

1.0
1.3
.7
g
-3.4
' 51
-2.3
'-2.6
13
1.1
4.2

2.8
2.6
2.9
2.5
'.9
1.2
'3.3
'4.3
'4.9
6.0
8.0

'4.2
4.1
4.7
'4.1
'2.7
'2.6
'3.7
'3.6
'2.5
'2.6
3.8

'8.8
'8.8
'8.7
r
8.6
8.2
'8.0
'7.8
'7.6
'7.5
7.6

Period

1980:
1981:
19821983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
19871988:

1989' Jan
Feb
Mar
May
July
Sept
Oct'
Nov ".

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinanciaf sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



L

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonnnaneial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

Ml

er at a simple annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checks
able
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

NSA

Money market
mutual fund
balances
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

Institution
only

NSA

Small
denomination
time
deposits l

Savings
deposits

Large
denomination
tune
deposits 1

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

NSA

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

1980: Dec
1981: Dec.
1982: Dec
1983: Dec . .
1984- Dec
1985: Dec
1986- Dec
1987: Dec
1988- Dec

115.2
122.5
132.6
146.3
156.1
167.8
180.5
196.4
211.8

261.5
231.5
234.2
238.7
244.2
267.3
303.2
288.3
288.6

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4
282.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.3
78.3
78.5

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
221.1
239.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6
87.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.9
513.5
572.5
526.3
502.7

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4
431.3

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1
1,025.2

260.1
302.5
326.8
327.4
417.2
436.6
439.0
487.4
537.8

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
109.1
124.1

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8
105.8

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
74.2
79.4
91.7
100.4
109.1

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5
271.3

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7
40.6

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.7
207.4
231.0
260.3
335.8

1988: Nov
Dec

210.5
211.8

287.7
288.6

281.0
282.3

75.7
78.5

237.4
239.4

87.4
87.6

506.7
502.7

431.8
431.3

1,017.8
1,025.2

534.4
537.8

128.3
124.1

101.6
105.8

108.7
109.1

264.5
271.3

40.5
40.6

323.7
335.8

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar

213.4
214.3
215.6
r
216.0
'216.5
r
217.3
218.0
218.4
219.4
219.7
220.2

284.0
284.8
284.3
281.4
278.2
275.0
278.8
277.5
277.3
280.4
278.9

281.3
280.9
279.1
278.5
271.4
270.7
273.2
274.4
277.3
280.3
283.0

81.8
79.0
77.4
74.5
73.5
76.0
77.6
74.9
72.3
72.8
71.2

241.7
247.2
255.5
259.3
259.3
r
265.3
r
273.9
* 284.7
T
292.4
298.4
306.5

89.3
89.6
87.6
87.7
91.6
95.1
98.2
100.6
99.1
98.7
102.0

495.2
485.3
480.3
471.3
457.0
456.9
459.8
465.4
469.1
473.0
481.7

427.8
424.6
420.8
412.8
404.7
402.0
401.5
402.3
404.2
405.8
409.3

1,035.7
1,048.3
1,061.0
1,083.1
1,105.7
1,118.5
1,126.3
1,132.1
1,132.2
1,132.5
1,132.7

544.4
551.6
558.8
567.7
572.1
573.0
573.1
569.1
563.7
560.5
559.4

270.9
125.2
100.7 109.7
128.4 r 100.1 110.6 L'65.2
130.9 ' 105.6 111.5 271.7
278.1
128.8 r 100.2 112.3
r
129.2
285.0
96.6 112.9
r
'279.3
129.3
92.6 113.8
124.5 r91.3 114.6 283.0
118.0 r89.0 115.2 '290.7
113.7
84.9 115.7 307.4
110.0
80.5 116.1 316.1
110.4
81.2

40.6
39.9
41.2
41.4
41.1
41.1
42.0
42.7
41.3
40.2

334.9
344.2
349.2
359.5
352.3
351.4
351.3
355.3
348.3
344.7

May
July
Sept '
Oct r
Nov?

F

1

Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE,—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec ... .

1988:

Nonborrowed

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,321
48,493
58 140
58,693
60,706

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,134
47,175
57 313
57,916
58,990

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,739
47,674
57,616
58,399
60,234

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,468
47,4.36
56,771
57,665
59,666

152,525
161,048
173,011
188,303
201,889
219,510
241,448
257.991
'275,503

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

Nov
Dec

60,853
60,706

57,991
58,990

60,314
60,234

59,733
59,666

r

274,381
* 275,503

2,861
1,716

186
130

2,322
1,244

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar

60,370
60,260
59,854
59,463
58,740
58,350
58,698
58,753
59,223
59,621
59,567

58,708
58,773
58,041
57,174
r
57,020
56,880
58,004
r
58,079
58,530
59,066
59,217

59,754
''59,823
59,376
r
. 58,881
58,217
57,776
58,110
58,120
58,552
59,087
59,238

59,226
59,106
58,896
r
58,687
57,709
57.445
57,733
57,869
58,285
58,602
58,821

r

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720
1,490
694
675
693
555
349

76
97
139
213
345
431
497
490
452
330
134

1,046
1,050
3,334
1,707
1.197
917
106
41
22
21
21

. ..

July
Sept ..
Oct
Nov"

276,815
277,598
278,676
' 278,753
' 278,427
' 279,060
'280,014
T
280,288
'282,045
'282,703
283,003
r
r

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.




27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.9 percent in October. Commercial and industrial loans rose 0.7
percent, following a decline of 0.1 percent in September.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
2..400

2,800
2,400

.ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

300

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

3.-.
200

200

160

160

OTHER SECURITIES •

miilimi mnlimi liiiihiin

120

1981

1983

1982

1984

mil
1985

III

1987

1986

- SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVCR

120

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1]
AH commercial banks
Loans and leases
Total
loans and
securities 2

Period

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Get"

1,307.7
1,401.5
1,553.6

!
|
!
!
1

1,723.7
1,911.4
2,094.5
2,239.6
2,417.2
2,401.4
2,410.2
2,417.2
2.422.8
2'.451.9
2,464.9
2,470.9 i
2,486.3 i
2.498.8 I
2,518.1
2,534.4
2,544.1
2,575.5

1

U.S.
Government
securities

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2

270.7
309.6
335.5
361.4
355.6
358.8
361.4
360.4
361.8
368.8
370.7
373.5
373.8
374.4
376.6
378.8
391.7

Other
securities

Total 2

160.9
165.7
170.6
142.6
181.4
196.5
195.3
194.0
196.8
195.9
194.0
189.6
190.4
189.7
187.2
186.4
185.8
184.6
182.8
182.9
182.7

967.5
1,034.1
1,123.9
1,321.0
1,459.3
1,588.4
1,708.8
1,861.9
1,848.9
1,855.6
1,861.9
1,872.9
1,899.7
1.906.5
1,913.1
1,926.5
1,937.3
1,959.1
1,974.9
1,982.4
2,001.1 .

1

Commercial
and
industrial

Heal
estate

355.4
392.6
414.1
472.9
499.7
536.2
562.7
601.9
601.6
601.8
601.9
606.6
619.0
617.8
620.6
626.3
624.9
632.1
637.3
636.9
641.1

284.1
299.8
330.8
376.3
425.8
494.0
589.0
672.0
659.8
665.3
672.0
678.9
685.6

691.8
699.5
705.5
712.0
719.9
729.0
734.4
741.1

vidual

182.5
188.2
212.9
253.8
294.8
315.9
329.5
355.5
351.6
353.0
355.5
357.9
358.9
360.6
362.9
365.4
366.0
367.0
369.3
372.1
374.4

Security

21.5
25.4
28.1
34.3
42.7
40.1
34.4
38.5
38.5
38.2
38.5
37.7
44.7
43.6
40.0
38.1
41.3
40.5
39.9
40.6
42.3

Nonbank
financial
institutions
29.9
31.3

30.5
31.4
32.5
35.0
31.9
30.0
30.4
30.2
30.0
30.3
30.6
29.7
29.2
28.7
30.3
31.4
31.8
32.1
33.3

Agricultural

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1

31.6
29.4
30.7
29.8
30.3
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.4
30.3
30.3
30.4
30.3
30.2
30.1

State
and
political
subdivisions

Foreign
banks

18.1
0.0
14.8
.0
13.4
3.3
11.1
46.0
9.7
56.7
9.6
58.4
7.5
52.5
7.6
46.8
7.6
48.5
8.1
47.7
7.6
46.8
7.8
44.4
8.5
44.5
8.2
44.6
8.3
44.6
9.4
44.7
44.5 | 9.3
8.9 !
44.2
9.3
43.9
8.5
43.5
9.8
42.9

i

Dais are prorated average? of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of inantlvend de,i.a for foreTjp-re'aied institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for caH.ier periods, largely.because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of Statrs and political sub-iivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.




Indi-

'J Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

Other

7.2
5.9
9.4
7.9

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
19.0
22.3
24.5
29.2
28.9
29.1
29.2
29.4
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.0
29.9
30.3
30.3
31.0
31.6

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
36.3
39.4
42.1
44.8
47.5
47.0
44.8
44.4
42.7
45.2
42.9
43.3
44.1
49.9
49.5
48.6
50.5

6.0
5.9
5.3
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.9
4.9
4.7
4.5
4.3
4.3
4.0

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources
External
Period
Total

Internal

l

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total

1979

323.7
323.3
377.4
303.0
419.2
495.0
457.3
510.7
r
486.3
r
508.3

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
344.9
352.6
r
372.5

126.1
123.1
137.9
60.7
133.5
158.7
105.0
165.8
133.6
135.8

60.3
70.7
91.8
50.3
78.3
95.1
50.9
123.0
69.0
77.0

r

r

138.6
141.1
156.2
107.2

1988: I

507.6
508.3
" 528.5
488.8

n
m
IV

r

1989- I r

483.8
536.6
440.3

n
Trf

369.0
367.2
r
372.3
381.6
361.9
364.8
373.1

r

!21.9
171.8
67.3

r

30.6
158.0
25.4

Loans and
short-term
paper

9.0
30.5
25.4
-1.7
44.6
-9.1
30

95.5
109.4
82.0
21.0

r

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 . .

38.1
7.7

57.3
81.3
43.3
95.3

58.9

r

52 2
30.5
-22.8

1
Undistributed proSts (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
2
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

Total

Other 2

51.3
40.2
66.4
52.0
33.7
104.2
53.9
64.0
30.9
69.3

38.2
28.1
38.7
74 3

r

Increase in
financial
assets

Capital

Credit market funds

82.8
127.5
48.2

65.8
52.5
46.0
10.4
55.2
r
63.6
54.1
r
42.9
64.6
r
58.8

r

368.3
341.6
382.9
302.7
392.0
473.0
422.9
r
448.2
453.9
r
473.4

238.6
243.2
285.9
255.7
269.9
367.9
339.9
328.8
348.3
380.4

470.9
474.1
500.8
447.7

359.2
380.7
390.1
391.8

111.7
93.3
110.8
55.9

4.45.5
505.1
415.1

376.0
388.8
386.6

69.6
116.4
28.5

r

r

r

r

r

91.3
13.8
41.9

-44.6
-18.3
-5.6
.3
27.2
22.0
34.4
62.6
32.4
r
34.9

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
122.1
105.1
83.0
119.3
105.6
92.9

r

43.1
31.7
74.3
86.2

tures 3

Discrepancy
{sources less
uses)

r

T

r

r

36.7
34.3
27.7
41.1
38.3
31.4
25.2

3
Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding l

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total
1980- Dec

1981:
19821983:
1984:
1985:
19861987:
19881988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Oct

Nov
Dec
NEW SERIES:
1989- Jan

Feb
Mar
Mav
July
Sept

T

Oct p

Other

Total

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

Other

Revolving

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
649,132
654,413
659,507

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
278,902
279,926
281,174

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
170,131
173,030
174,792

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
26,033
26,005
25,744

112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
174,066
175,452
177,798

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786
2,576
5,281
5,094

-539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198
341
1,024
1,248

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908
1,858
2,899
1,762

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
643
-152
28
-261

-329
-1,529
— 344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323
1,211
1,386
2,346

682,020
687,397
691,162
693,911
698,132
700,849
700,344
703,001
704,371
707,706

286,382
288,767
288,850
289,654
290,741
290,192
288,526
288,533
287,754
288,845

176,716
178,570
182,831
184,500
186,502
189,622
191,028
194,398
195,302
196,339

26,036
25,992
24,168
23,993
23,952
23,685
23,630
22,938
22,991
22,965

192,886
194,068
195,314
195,763
196,936
197,349
197,161
197,132
198,324
199,557

(2)
5,377
3,765
2,749
4,221
2,717
505
2,657
1,371
3,335

(2)
2,385
82
804
1,087
-549
1,667
7
-779
1,091

(2)
1,854
4,261
1,670
2,002
3,120
1,406
3,370
904
1,036

(2)
-44
-1,824
174
— 41
267
-56
692
53
26

(2)
1,182
1,246
449
1,173
413
-189
29
1,192
1,233

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Because of break in series, net change not available.




Mobile
home

Automobile

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates fell slightly in December.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

1931

1982

SOURCE; SEE IABIE BELOW

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields

Period

1981

3-month bills
(new issues)1

Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) 4

1988- Dec
1989: Jan..
Feb
Mar. .
Mav,
June
July
Sept
Oct.
Nov
Dec p
Week ended:
1989: Dec 2
9
16
23
30

30



Prime rate
charged 5
by
banks

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB)"

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22
9.32

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19

9.57

8.97

6.50-6.50

10.50-10.50

9.62
9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.10
8.93
8.96
9.01
8.92
8.89
8.85

9.02
9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.80
8.35
8.32
8.50
8.24
8.00
7.92

6.50-6.50
6.50-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.50-10.50
10.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00
11.00-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-

9.39
9.52
9.82
9.99
10.17
10.18
10.42
10.48
10.22
10.24
10.11
10.09

8.88
8.86
8.85
8.85

7.90
7.86
7.94
7.94

7.00-7.00
7 00 7 00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-

10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71

8.09
8.29
8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22
7.92
7.91
7.72
r
7.63
r
7.65
7.64

9.11

9.11

7.66

9.20
9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.37
7.83
8.13
8.26
8.02
7.80
7.76

9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19
8.01
7.87
7.83

7.41
7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97
6.97
7.08
7.27
7.22
7.13
7.01

7.63
7.55
7.60
7.62
7.77

7.76
7.77
7.74
7.72

7.85
7.84
7.82
7.78

7.00
7.01
7.01
6.99
7.04

1
Bank-discount basis.
2
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.R.
Bank) 5

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

Prime
commercial
paper, l
6 months

r

5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
8
Effective rate {in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in December.
CAIE)
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS

INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)
220
200

rnMpnsiTF STOCK PRICE NDEY f-

180

v

^

r

140
120

^

^y\

(NYSE)

160

-/

240
220
200
180

"

160
140
120
100

100

^j

80

60

40

'

^-W
y

1

80

^—^1

60

i

40

M.,,1,,,,1

1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1987

1986

1989

1988

PERCENT

PERC ENT
20
15
10

^
~
~

NGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMM
(S&P1
\

r^"""

^
5
0

1

i

1

1

1

!

1982

1981
SOURCES; NEW YORK

1

1 1
1983

1

1

1

1

\

1

1985

1984

STOCK EXCHANGE A NO STANDARD & POC

1

10
. —•

r ^
i ti

.

, i
1

1

1986

1987

1

1

1

1988

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 .

Industrial

1

Transportation

0

5

New York Stock Exchange indexes (]
Composite

1
1989

3R'S CORPORATION

Common stock prices l
Period

1

O)

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

2

Finance

Utility

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10)4

Dividendprice ratio

Earningsprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74,30
71.77

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
8.01

1988: Dec

155.35

187.75

144.07

74.81

128.83

2,148.58

276.51

3.68

8.56

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
Julv
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec *>

160.40
165.08
164.60
169.38
175.30
180.76
185.15
192.93
193.02
192.49
188.50
192.54

194.62
200.00
199.20
204.81
211.51
216.75
221.74
231.32
230.86
229.40
224.38
229.98

153.09
162.66
160.14
164.32
168.88
173.47
179.32
197.52
202.02
190.36
174.26
177.19

75.87
77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.95
90.40
92.90
93.44
94.67
94.95
99.61

132.26
137.19
137.91
143.26
146.60
154.08
157.78
164.86
165.51
166.55
160.89
155.60

2,234.68
2,304.30
2,283.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,494.90
2.554.03
2,691.11
2,693.41
2,692.01
2,642.49
2,727.17

285.41
294.01
292.71
302.25
313.93
323.73
331.93
346.61
347.33
347.40
340.22
348.31

3.64
3.59
3.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.38
3.28
3.29
3.29
3.39
3.32

191.54
193.08
193.94
190.31

228.64
230.66
231.70
227.39

175.81
179.56
178.95
172.98

96.37
98.15
100.26
99.91

161.31
159.39
156.62
150.63

2,707.94
2,736.86
2,746.93
2,696.72

346.32
349.16
350.81
344.24

3.37
3.33
3.29
3.33

..

Week ended:
1989: Dec

2
9
16
23

1
Average
2
Includes
3
Includes
4
Includes
5

of daily closing prices.
all the*stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
30 stocks.
500 stocks.
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesda1 closing prices. Earnings-




8.46
7.93

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter,
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 2 months of fiscal 1990, there was a deficit of $55.0 billion, compared with a deficit of $56.1 billion a
year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200
RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS!'

1,200

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

OUTLAYS^

900

900

800

800

RECEIPTS.!/

700

700
600

600

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT t-)!-/

-100

-100

^
^^^

^\^
-200

-200

^^

A
^1981

i

i
1982

,
1983

1984

i
1985

"
1986

N
1987

1988

1989

1990^

FISCAL YEARS
I INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
/

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT Of THE TREASURY AND OFfiCE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]

Total
Fiscal year or period
Receipts

1976
1977
1978
1979

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 !
1990 (estimates) 2
Cumulative total, first 2
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990
1
2

Outlays

Receipts




Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Total

Held by
the public

49 7
-54.9
-38.2
-72.7
-73.9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

66.4
28.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

3.2
-1.4
3.9
-4.3
-2.0
-1.1
-5.0
-7.9
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
931.6
957.1

-221.6
-237.9
-169.3
- 193.9
-204.5
-163.8

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
263.7
286.8

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
211.2
222.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
52.4
64.5

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,865.7
3,084.8

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,188.8
2,279.2

148.9
155.9

-56.2
-53.8

35.2
37.5

35.1
38.8

.0
-1.3

2,658.0
2,926.9

2,091.6
2,241.5

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

-73.7
14 7
-53.6
-59.2
-40.2
-73.8
-78.9
-127.9
-207.8
-185.3

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.8
1,080.1

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.9
1,179.4

-212.3
-221.2
-149.7
-155.1
-152.1
-99.2

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
727.1
793.3

127.9
139.6

184.0
194.7

-56.1
-55.0

92.7
102.1

Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget, July 18,
1989. Data include asset sales.

32

Outlays

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget
Surplus
or deficit
(-)

705

-13.3

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 2 months of fiscal 1990, receipts were $11.7 billion higher than a /ear earlier and outlays were $10.7
billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500
RECEIPTS!/
400

. INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES_

400
300

300

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

. CORPORATION.
INCOME TAXES

200

OTHER RECEIPTS
Tf.

100

100

0

0

900

900

OUTLAYS^/
800

- NONDEFENSE

800

1 , -

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

. NATIONAL DEFENSE^

300

300
200

200
1981

1982

1984

1983

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

FISCAL YEARS
V INCLUDES ON-8UDGET AMD OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
990.8
1,080.1

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.7
484.6

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
103.3
117.0

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
359.4
387.5

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
82.4
91.0

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,142.9
1,179.4

127.9
139.6

61.1
69.9

3.2
3.1

48.9
51.1

14.6
15.5

184.0
194.7

Fiscal year
Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980...
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 *
1990 (estimates) 2
Cumulative total, first 2 months:
Fiscal year 1989
Fiscal year 1990
1

National defense

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

Other




Social
securi-

Net
interest

Other

ty

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

82.8
93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
48.4
56.4

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
85.0
97.1

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.8
145.4

188.8
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.5
249.1

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.3
176.3

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
157.7
142.4

8.0
8.6

12.5
15.2

19.9
21.2

36.8
39.3

26.6
29.7

29.1
33.0

Health

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
303.6
296.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
294.9
286.9

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
9.6
16.4

50.6
45.2

49.1
43.7

.6
2.6

Total

Department of
Defense,
military

Medicare

x

Data from Monthly Treasury Statement.
See footnote 2, page 32.
NOTE.—Data, are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
2

Income
security

International
affairs

Total

1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the third quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts fell $10.0 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures fell $10.7 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,200

1,000

1,000

800

800

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)

--K\

-200

I
1981

1

I

1

1982

I

I

J

I I
1985

1984

1983

-200

I

I

1986

I I
1987

J I
1988

J I
1989

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Fiscal year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
Calendar year:
1985
1986
1987
1988
1982- IV
1983- IV.
1984- IV
1985- IV
1986: IV
1987: HI
IV

1988- I
II
III
IV
1989- I
II
III r

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Transfer
payments

Net
interest
paid

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
<-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

55.8

962.3
1,028.0
1,060.4
1,104.0

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6

128.3
134.6
138.8
149.0

20.7
22.8
31.9
35.1

-0.1
.0
.1
1

-185.5
-212.8
-163.1
— 145.4

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
78.8
88.9
107.4
103.1

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
53.8
54.5

310.9
332.1
350.8
391.3
236.1
259.8
290.7
317.7
337.9
352.2
359.7

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8
1,118.3
835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8
1,065.5
1,101.7

355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3
293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8
384.5
388.1

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2
347.4
352.5
362.1
385.8
405.8
414.3
421.9

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
101.7
102.2

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
142.5
147.3

20.3
26.0
32.6
38.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
22.7
41.9

2
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
.2
-.2

-196.9
-206.9
-161.4
-145.8
-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
-212.2
-189.0
-143.9
- 164.4

104.2
111.6
114.0
115.8
117.0
109.7
99.9

55.9
55.9
57.4
57.8
58.0
58.2
59.4

382.0
388.2
394.5
400.6
414.3
420.2
424.8

1,096.5
1,114.7
1,099.8
1,162.1
1,183.7
1,198-6
1,181.1)

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4
399.0
406.0
402.7

433.0
434.4
438.0
447.6
460.4
466.9
475.6

110.1
112.2
111.0
112.2
118.7
118.4
118.3

144.9
149.9
153.9
157.0
167.0
172.0
171.2

34.4
41.2
29.4
38.9
38.5
35.3
20.1

.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

-151.8
-141.5
-122.5
-167.6
-147.5
-145.4
— 144.7

340.4
357.0
401.2
408.0

74.6
81.1
97.7
108.3

55.9
50.9
53.4

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4
633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8
921.5
937.4

346.4
361.4
405.8
413.0
303.0
291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
408.1
420.0

944.7
973.2
977.3
994.6
1.036.2
1,053.2
1,043.2

402.7
417.5
411.4
420.3
446.8
465.1
459.1

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of ilronomie Analysis




Total

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6

34

Contributions for
social
insurance

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84=100)

Industrial production (1977 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

United
States

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

United
States 1

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

United
Kingdom

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987....
1988

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

104.8
106.9
96.5
102.7
115.2
121.6
121.5
128.3
136.3

119.0
120.3
120.7
124.5
136.1
141.0
140.8
145.7
159.1

107.2
106.1

105.0
105.0
106.1
106.1
107.2
109.4
114.3

108.0
105.9
102.7
103.3
106.2
111.0
113.0
113.7
118.1

114.8
113.0
109.5
105.9
109.5
110.7
114.7
119.3
126.4

99.8
96.7
98.5
102.2
102.4
107.9
110.2
114.1
118.2

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3

76.1
85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4
123.2

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0
105.7

72.2
81.8
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1
124.3

86.7
92.2
97.1
100.3
102.7
104.9
104.7
105.0
106.2

63.2
75.4
87.7
100.8
111.5
121.1
128.5
134.4
141.1

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.1
114.9
119.7
125.6

1988- Oct
Nov

139.4
139.9
140.4

136.9
136.2
137.1

160,2
165.0
166.1

113.2
118.0
117.3

119.4
119.1
121.2

127.6
129.1
132.2

118.7
119.3
118.3

120.2
129.3
120.5

124.8
125.1
125.1

106.9
106.5
106.2

125.6
125.8
126.0

106.4
106.7
106.9

143.3
144.5
145.0

128.7
129.2
129.6

167.3
164.5
172.5
166.3
167.3
170.7
167.6
171.4
168.5

118.2
117.4
116.6
120.3

118.4
117.9
118.1
117.8
116.3
116.4
118.1
119.8

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1
124.4
124.6
125.0
125.6
125.9

125.7
126.6
127.2
127.6
128.9
129.6
130.4
130.5
130.7
131.2
131.6

106.0
105.7
106.2
108.1
108.7
108.6
108.4
108.3
109.2
110.0

126.5
126.8
127.2
128.0
128.5
128.7
129.0
129.2
129.5
130.1

108.1
108.4
108.6
109.2
109.5
109.6
109.5
109.4
109.6

146.1
147.3
148.0
149.0
149.6
150.3
150.7
150.9
151.6
153.1
153.7

130.4
131.4
131.9
134.3
135.1
135.6
135.7
136.1
137.0
138.1
139.2

Dec
1989- Jan
Feb

140.8
136.7
140.5
137.4
r
140.7
!37.1
141.7
138.0
141.6
138.3
142.0
' 137.8
141.9
* 137.5
r
142.5 r!37.8
' 142.1
138.4
r
141 3
141 5

Mar
May
T

3

July
J
,

Sept
Oct"
Noy"
1

r

l!8.6
'119.8
r
!21.0
r
!21.0

118.4

127.9
121.2
130.3
120.5
121.3
126.9
127.0
124.3
118.6
125.3
128.9
123.6
130.7
125.0
125.1 ' 129.1
r
125.0 128.7
123 3

Data relate to all urban consumers.

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysi
and International Trade Administration).
id In

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value):

General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Principal end-use commodity category
Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 .
1988

. .

Total 2

116.4
205.6
224.0
4
218.8
"227.2
254.1
322.4

Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other 2

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2

15.7
16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1

20.7
20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
43.4

Total

244.0
258.0
325.7
345.3
365.4
406.2
441.0

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.3

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
87.7

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9

6.5
6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

Exports
(l.a.s)
less
imports
(customs
value)

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5

-27.5
-52.4
-101.7
-126.5
-138.3
152 1
-118.5

-38.4
-64.2
-122.4
-133.6
-155.1
-170.3
-137.1

1988- Oct
Nov
Dec

27.9
27.5
28.9

2.7
2.6
2.8

6.8
7.0
7.4

9.4
9.4
10.1

2.5
2.5
2.7

2.0
2.0
2.3

4.4
4.0
3.6

37.1
38.1
39.7

2.1
2.1
2.2

9.9
9.8
10.2

8.2
9.1
9.1

7.7
7.5
8.0

8.1
8.3
9.0

1.1
1.2
1.2

38.6
39.6
41.3

-9.2
-10.5
-10.8

-10.7
— 12.1
-12.5

1989:

29.0
28.8
30.1
30.8
30.5
31.3
30.5
30.6
30.7
31.0

2.9
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.2
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.6
2.7

7.1
7.5
7.6
8.0
7.9
8.3
8.2
7.8
7.6
7.8

9.4
9.3
9.9
10.1
9.8
10.6
10.9
10.6
11.7
10.8

2.4
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.7
2.3
2.6

2.4
2.5
2.7
2.8
2.6
2.9
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.7

4.7
4.2
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.0
3.6
4.0
3.7
4.4

37.9
38.2
39.5
39.0
40.5
39.3
38.7
40.7
39.2
41.2

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.1
1.9
2.2

10.7
10.0
11.0
11.3
11.7
11.4
11.4
11.4
10.3
11.7

9.0
9.3
9.3
9.1
9.9
9.5
9.1
10.2
9.6
9.8

7.4
7.6
7.7
7.3
7.2
6.7
6.6
7.1
7.2
7.1

7.7
8.3
8.3
8.3
8.5
8.5
8.6
8.7
9.0
8.9

.9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4

39.5
39.7
41.2
40.7
42.2
40.9
40.4
42.4
40.8
43.0

-8.9
-9.4
-9.5
-8.3
-10.1
-8.0
-8.2
-10.1
-8.5
-10.2

-10.5
-10.9
-11.2
-9.9
-11.7
-9.6
-9.9
-11.9
-10.1
-12.0

Jan
Feb
Mar

May
T J
July
Sept r
Oct
1
2
3
4

Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments.
Includes undocumented exports to Canada.
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical




month basis.
NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the third quarter of 1989, the current account deficit fell to $22.7 billion, from $32.1 billion in the second
quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLL \RS*

BILL ONS OF DOLLARS*
10

10

5

5
^
.

'

V

3\

0

0
A
' \

A\

v
- . i.A\
,.
\\
'— x
\>,

V
-10

-15

-5

-10

-15

\N
\

-20

"X

B,UANCE ON G OODS
AND SERVIC ES

V, ,-A
A

^

/

\

-*%\
s
^'J•*, *

\_

\

/Hr X :"*0sj

A,\ERCHANDISE

-40

*

^1

'\^^\

""\

t

...

hX .J *
i1 r* k^"^-'
1
f >CA,

TRADE

/

//

>jw

-20

-25
-30

35

CURRENT A CCOUNT
-40

BALANCE
1

-45

1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1982

1

1981

1983

1984

1

1

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

i i i

1

1987

1

1

1

1988

1 1
1989

-45

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMEN I OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits ( —)]
Merchandise

[ 2

Investment income 3

Period
Exports

1980
1981

1982
1983.
1984
1985.
1986
1987
1988
1986: HI
IV
1987: I

n
m

IV
1988: I

n
m

IV
1989: I r

n.
m*....

1
2
3

224,269
237,085
211,198
201,820
219,900
215,935
223,367
250,266
319,251
56,182
56,490
57,255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447
78,471
80,604
83,729
87,919
91,423
91,569

Imports

Net balance

-249,749
OCK ncq

-25,480

-247,642
-268,900
-332,422
-338,083
-368,425
-409,766
-446,466

—36,444
67 080
-112,522
122 148
-145,058
159 500
-127^215
-36,801
-38,591
38 661
-39,819
-40,606
-40,414
33 446
-31,411
-30,339
-32,019
-28,378
-27,554
-27,751

-92,983
-95,081
-95,916
-99,834
- 104,903
-109,113
- 109,893
-109,882
-110,943
-115,748
-116,297
-118,977
-119,320

O7 070

Receipts

Payments

72,506
-42,119
co 090
86,412
83,548 -54,884
77,251
52 376
85,908 -67,419
88,832
-62,901
88,615 -66,968
QO 4,90
104,703
107,775 - 105,548
21,744
-15,729
20,822 -16,350
25,117
-19,755
22,744 -20,554
23,578 -21,904
33,265 -20,207
26,750
-23,955
23,148
-25,613
24,720 -27,310
33,159 -28,670
26,830 -29,246
26,644 -32,765
33,808 -31,197

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36



Net

30,387
34,083
28,664
24,875
18,489
25,931
21,647
22,283
2,227
6,015
4,472
5,362
2,190
1,674
13,058
2,795
-2,465
-2,590
4,489
-2,416
-6,121
2,611

Net
military
transactions

-2,577
1 fi93

-474
-343
-2,099
-3,557
-4,576
2 857
-4,606
-1,089
-777
-176
-210
-1,031
-1,440
-964
-1,033
-1,006
-1,604
- 1,498
-1,518
-968

Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

-997
144
992
-4,227
7 885
-9,832
-8,031
-7,324
-2,633
-1,874
-2,241
-1,965
-2,088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
-297
91
193

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers 1

Balance
on current
account

1,533
9,126
7 593
7,794
8,163
15,810 -7,647
11,085
-6,997
2,191
11,436
-9,188
-44,286
12,264 -34,510 -9,776
104 186
12 468
12,299 -91,718
12,351 -97,256 - 15,426 -112,682
15 778 - 133,249
18,547 -117,470
17,909
129 488 -14,212 -143,700
14 656
126 548
20,335 -Hli892
-33,586
-29,210 -4,376
4,539
4,807 -32,330 -4,136 -36,466
4,250 -31,190 -3,137 -34,327
-38,820
4,372 -35,555 -3,265
4,555 -36,687 -3,225 -39,912
4,734 -26,055 -4,586 -30,641
4,787 -28,682 -3,364 -32,046
-2,899 -33,485
5,042 -30,586
-28,964 -3,376 -32,340
5,126
5,381 -23,659 -5,018 -28,677
5,725 -26,864 -3,526 -30,390
-2,868 -32,084
5,886 -29,216
6,884 -19,031 -3,656 -22,687

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $20.7 billion in the third quarter of
1989, in contrast to a decrease of $27.2 billion in the second quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by
U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $25.7 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of
$21.4 billion in the second quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

-20

-40

1989
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Foreign assets in the U.S., net
[increase/capital inflow ( + )] 2

U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase/capital outflow ( — }]
Period
Total

U.S.
official
reserve2
assets l

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
— 32,628
-99,665
-76,218
-82,110

-8,155
-5.175
-4,965
-1,196
-3,131
-3,858
312
9,149
— 3,566

-26,078
-33,422

280
132

n
m

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

n
m

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

Other U.S.
Government
assets

U.S.
private
assets

Total

Foreign
official
assets

Other
foreign
assets

-72,802
-5,162
-5,097 -100,679
-6,131 -110,058
-5,006 -43,576
-13,685
-5,489
-2,821 -25,950
97 954
2 024
-86,363
997
2,999 -81,543

58,112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
-1,083
35,594
45,193
38,882

-1,565
11

-24,793
-33,565

69,927
62,339

15,785
1,251

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418
54,142
61,088

1,956
3,419
32
3,742

40
-195
308
843

6,763
-25,856
-26,316
-40,955

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

14,040
10,329
753
20,070

4,540
-16,119
-37,886
-32,648

1.503
39
-7,380
2,272

-1,490
-885
1,961
3,413

4,528
-15,273
-32,467
-38,332

27,027
65,334
46,179
80,759

-31,318
377
HI".... -47,156

-4,000
-12,095
-5,996

1,049
-309
644

-28,367
12,781
-41,804

60,007
-1,789
72,482

1986
1987
1988
1986: III
IV
1987: I
IV
1988: I

IV
1989: I r

n

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)
1,152
1,093

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 1
(unadjusted,
end of
period)
26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

25,322
18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15.298
11,308
1,878
— 10,641
-10,263
7,549

-4,669
4,463

48,087
48,511

19,341
40,805
72,822
39,879

-7,813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

3,895
-2,559
-4,501
3,166

48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798

24,631
5,895
2 234
10^589

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
- 19,434

3,843
-3,714
-4,556
4,431

43,186
41,028
47.788
47,802

7,478
-5,201
11,246

52,529
3,412
61,236

1,702
33,496
-2,639

4,127
— 2,311
-5,115

49,854
60,502
68,418

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Departm
Treasurv.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
r
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.

38



U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1989

0—25-082