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Home » Publications » Business Cycle Developments » 1961

Business Cycle Developments: 1961

Available Issues for 1961

October 1961 (pdf 5.4M) November 1961 (pdf 5.7M) December 1961 (pdf 6M)

Table of Contents for Issues in 1961

In some instances, pages are assembled into collections with pages of the same title that appear in later issues of the publication. Pages may be retrieved either for a specific year or in a collection.

Cover Page

Title Page

Table of Contents

Introduction and Organization and Content of Report

Basic Data

NBER Leading Indicators

NBER Roughly Coincident Indicators

NBER Lagging Indicators

Business Cycle Series

NBER Leading Indicators (charts)

NBER Roughly Coincident Indicators (charts)

NBER Lagging Indicators (charts)

Other U.S. Series with Business Cycle Significance

International Comparisons of Industrial Production

Charts

Business-Cycle Series

International Series of Industrial Production

Analytical Measures

Percentage Changes for Principal Monthly and Quarterly Series

Distribution of Highs in Business Cycle Indicators During 1961 Expansion and Percent Currently High

Diffusion Indexes (Percent Rising) Over Specified Intervals for 12 Major Economic Activities

Diffusion Indexes - Actual and Anticipated

Diffusion Indexes, Actual and Anticipated, Over Specified Intervals for 4 Manufacturing Activities

Direction of Change in Series Components Over Specified Time Spans and Percent of Series Rising

Average Workweek, Manufacturing - 21 Industries

Value of Manufacturers New Orders, Durable Goods Industries - 21 Industries

Index of Stock Prices, 500 Common Stocks

Index of Industrial Materials Prices - 13 Industrial Materials

Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance, All State Programs

Number of Employees in Nonagricultural Establishments

Index of Industrial Production - 25 Industries

Sales of Retail Stores

Tables

Monthly Percentage Changes for Principal Monthly Series

Percent of Specific Peak Levels as Measured at Designated Months After the Specific Trough Dates in the 9 Most Recent Expansion

Percent Change from Specific Trough Levels as Measured at Designated Months After the Specific Trough Dates in the 9 Most Recent Expansions

Direction of Change in Series Components Over Specified Time Periods and Percent of Series Rising

Value of Manufacturers New Orders, Durable Goods Industries - 21 Components

Cyclical Patterns

Comparisons of Reference Cycle Patterns

Comparisons of Specific Cycle Patterns

Percent of Reference Peak Levels as Measured at Designated Months After the Reference Trough Dates in the 9 Most Recent Expansions

Percent of Specific Peak Levels and Percent Change from Specific Trough Levels as Measured at Designated Months After the Specific Trough Dates in the 9 Most Recent Expansion

Appendix

Business Cycle Reference Dates and Duration of Expansions and Contractions in the United States: 1854-1961

Specific Trough and Peak Dates for Selected Business Indicators

Average Monthly Percentage Changes and Related Measures for 55 Monthly Business Cycle Series

Average Quarterly Percentage Changes and Related Measures for 12 Quarterly Business Cycle Series

Seasonal Adjustment Factors, November 1960 to December 1961, for Business Cycle Series Adjusted by Bureau of Census or NBER

Complete Titles and Sources of Principal Business Cycle Series and Diffusion Indexes


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